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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, August 3, 2025, Vol. 29, No. 214
Headlines
ALLEGRO CLO XIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
AMERICAN CREDIT 2024-3: S&P Affirms BB-(sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
AMERICAN CREDIT 2025-3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
ANCHORAGE CREDIT 13: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Ba1
ANTHELION CLO 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Debt
ARES LXVIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
ARES LXVIII: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
AUXILIOR TERM 2024-1: Moody's Hikes Rating on Class E Notes to Ba2
BARINGS CLO 2025-IV: Fitch Assigns BB-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E Notes
BARINGS MIDDLE 2023-II: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
BBCMS 2025-C35: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
BENEFIT STREET 41: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
BHG SECURITIZATION 2025-2CON: Fitch Gives BB(EXP) Rating on E Notes
BLACK DIAMOND 2021-1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $18MM D-R Notes
BRANT POINT 2023-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on E-R Notes
BRANT POINT 2023-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
BRANT POINT 2025-7: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
BRIDGECREST LENDING 2025-3: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on E Notes
BRYANT PARK 2025-27: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
CARLYLE US 2021-9: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $27MM E-R Notes
CARLYLE US 2023-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
CARLYLE US 2025-4: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
CATHEDRAL LAKE VIII: S&P Cuts Class D-J Notes Rating to 'BB+ (sf)'
CBAM 2021-14: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+ (sf)'
CIFC FUNDING 2013-IV: Moody's Ups Rating on $26MM E-R2 Notes to Ba2
CITIGROUP 2015-GC31: Moody's Cuts Rating on Cl. A-S Certs to Ba2
CITIGROUP 2016-C1: Fitch Affirms B- Rating on Class F Debt
COLT 2025-8: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
COLT 2025-8: S&P Assigns Prelim B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
COMM 2014-CCRE16: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class D Certs to 'CCCsf'
COMM 2014-CCRE17: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to B1
CTM CLO 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
DRYDEN 130: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
DRYDEN 86: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
EFMT 2025-CES4: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class B-2 Certs
EXETER SELECT 2025-2: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
FALCON 2019-1: Fitch Hikes Rating on Series C Notes to 'BBsf'
FLATIRON CLO 32: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
GOLUB 41(B)-R2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
GREENSKY HOME 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class E Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2014-GC26: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'Bsf'
GS MORTGAGE 2017-GS5: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to BB-sf
GSF 2025-AXMF1: Fitch Affirms 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
HARVEST US 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
HPS LOAN 2025-26: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
JP MORGAN 2025-CES3: S&P Assigns Prelim 'B' Rating on B-2 Notes
JP MORGAN 2025-HE2: Fitch Assigns B(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
JPMBB COMMERCIAL 2014-C25: Moody's Cuts Rating on EC Certs to B1
KKR CLO 17: Moody's Cuts Rating on $33.6MM Class E-R Notes to B1
MADISON PARK LXII: Fitch Gives 'BBsf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
MADISON PARK LXII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R2 Notes
MADISON PARK LXV: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
MAGNETITE LIMITED XX: Moody's Ups Rating on $8MM Cl. F Notes to B2
MASTR ASSET 2005-WF1: Moody's Ups Rating on Cl. M-9 Certs to Caa1
MCF CLO VII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
MFA TRUST 2025-NQM3: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B2 Debt
MMP CAPITAL 2025-A: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to Class C Notes
MORGAN STANLEY 2025-DSC2: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on B-2 Notes
MP CLO VIII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $19MM Class E-RR Notes to B1
NATIONAL COLLEGIATE 2006-3: S&P Affirms 'BB+' Rating on A-5 Notes
NAVESINK CLO 3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 61: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM4: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on B-2 Notes
NEWARK BSL 1: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $20MM Class D-R Notes
NMEF FUNDING 2024-A: Moody's Raises Rating on Class D Notes to Ba1
NOMURA CRE 2007-2: Moody's Withdraws 'C' Rating on 10 Tranches
NORTH COVE III: Moody's Rates $2.7BB Unfunded 2045 Notes 'Ca(sf)'
NYC COMMERCIAL 2025-300P: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to Cl. E Certs
OBX TRUST 2025-SR1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class A2 Bonds
OCP CLO 2025-44: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 50: S&P Cuts Class E-R Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
PIKES PEAK 19: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
PIKES PEAK 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
PIKES PEAK 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
PKHL COMMERCIAL 2021-MF: S&P Lowers D Certs Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
PPM CLO 3: Moody's Lowers Rating on $20MM Class E-R Notes to B1
PROVIDENT FUNDING 2025-3: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to B-5 Certs
PRPM TRUST 2025-NQM3: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-2 Certs
RAD CLO 12: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class D-R Notes
RADIAN MORTGAGE 2025-J3: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
RCKT MORTGAGE 2025-CES7: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Six Tranches
RCKTL 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
REALT 2015-1: Fitch Affirms Bsf Rating on Class G Debt
REALT 2019-1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'B-sf'
SARANAC CLO VIII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $19MM Class E Notes to B2
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-7: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
SHACKLETON 2015-VII-R: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on Class E Notes
SIERRA TIMESHARE 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. D Notes
SIXTH STREET 30: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
SKYBOX CDO: Moody's Ups Rating on $604MM Senior Swap Notes to Ca
SYMPHONY CLO 34-PS: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
SYMPHONY CLO XXVI: S&P Lowers Class E-R Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
TCI-FLATIRON 2018-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
TRALEE CLO VI: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
TRINITAS CLO XXXII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2025-R1: S&P Assigns 'B' Rating on B-2 Notes
WELLFLEET CLO 2020-2: S&P Lowers Cl. E-R Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
WELLS FARGO 2017-C41: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. F-RR Certs to Bsf
WELLS FARGO 2025-AGLN: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. HRR Certs
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 10 Bonds from 4 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 19 Bonds from 12 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 26 Bonds From 8 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 6 Bonds from 5 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 11 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 15 Bonds from 12 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 22 Bonds from 12 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 53 Bonds from 9 US RMBS Deals
*********
ALLEGRO CLO XIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Allegro
CLO XIII, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Allegro CLO XIII,
Ltd.
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT A+sf New Rating
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
X-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Allegro CLO XIII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by AXA Investment
Managers US Inc. that originally closed in June 2021. This the
first reset where the existing secured notes will be refinanced in
whole on July 30, 2025. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 99.79% first
lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 74.1%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'Asf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Allegro CLO XIII,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AMERICAN CREDIT 2024-3: S&P Affirms BB-(sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
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S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on 12 classes and affirmed
its ratings on five classes of notes from four American Credit
Acceptance Receivables Trust (ACAR) transactions. These ABS
transactions are backed by subprime retail auto loan receivables
originated and serviced by American Credit Acceptance LLC (ACA).
The rating actions reflect:
-- Each transaction's collateral performance to date and S&P's
expectations regarding future collateral performance;
-- S&P's remaining cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations for each
transaction, and the transactions' structures and credit
enhancement levels; and
-- Other credit factors, including credit stability, payment
priorities under various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific
analyses, including our most recent macroeconomic outlook that
incorporates a baseline forecast for U.S. GDP and unemployment.
Considering all these factors, S&P believes the notes'
creditworthiness is consistent with the raised and affirmed
ratings.
Overall, ACAR 2023-3, 2023-4, 2024-2, and 2024-3 are performing in
line or better than S&P's initial or prior CNL expectations, and,
as such, its expected CNLs are either unchanged or lowered.
Table 1
Collateral performance (%)(i)
Pool CNL
Series Mo. Factor Current Extensions 60+ day delinq.
2023-3 23 43.61 19.28 3.71 8.99
2023-4 20 50.43 15.78 3.57 8.63
2024-2 14 62.37 10.94 3.96 8.48
2024-3 11 171.96 7.82 3.20 7.78
(i)As of the July 2025 distribution date.
Mo.--Month.
Delinq.--Delinquencies.
CNL--Cumulative net loss.
Table 2
CNL expectations (%)
Series Original Previous Revised
lifetime lifetime lifetime
CNL exp. CNL exp. CNL exp.(i)
2023-3 27.25 27.25(ii) 27.25
2023-4 27.25 27.25(iii) 26.75
2024-2 27.25 N/A 26.75
2024-3 27.25 N/A 26.75
(i)As of July 2025.
(ii)Revised in August 2024.
(iii)As of November 2024.
CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations.
N/A–-Not applicable.
Each transaction has a sequential principal payment structure--in
which the notes are paid principal by seniority--that will increase
the credit enhancement for the senior notes as the pool amortizes.
Each transaction also has credit enhancement consisting of
overcollateralization, a non-amortizing reserve account,
subordination for the more senior classes, and excess spread. As of
the July 2025 distribution date, each transaction is at its
specified target overcollateralization level and specified reserve
level. Each transactions' hard credit enhancement as a percentage
of the amortizing pool balance (as of the collection period ended
June 30, 2025) has increased since issuance.
Table 3
Hard credit support(i)
Series Class Total hard Current total hard
credit support credit support
at issuance (%) (% of current)
2023-3 C 38.40 72.42
2023-3 D 24.90 41.47
2023-3 E 17.30 24.04
2023-4 B 55.80 97.46
2023-4 C 40.80 67.71
2023-4 D 25.80 37.97
2023-4 E 19.25 24.98
2024-2 A 63.25 97.72
2024-2 B 54.70 84.01
2024-2 C 38.55 58.12
2024-2 D 24.50 35.60
2024-2 E 16.80 23.25
2024-3 A 63.20 89.29
2024-3 B 54.70 77.48
2024-3 C 38.10 54.41
2024-3 D 24.40 35.37
2024-3 E 16.50 24.39
(i)As of the July 2025 distribution date. Calculated as a
percentage of the total gross receivable pool balance, consisting
of a reserve account, overcollateralization, and, if applicable,
subordination. Excludes excess spread that can also provide
additional enhancement.
S&P said, "We analyzed the current hard credit enhancement compared
to the remaining expected CNL for those classes where hard credit
enhancement alone--without credit to the expected excess
spread--was sufficient, in our view, to raise the ratings or affirm
them at 'AAA (sf)'. For other classes, we incorporated a cash flow
analysis to assess the loss coverage levels, giving credit to
stressed excess spread. Our various cash flow scenarios included
forward-looking assumptions on recoveries, the timing of losses,
and voluntary absolute prepayment speeds that we believe are
appropriate given each transaction's performance to date.
"In addition to our break-even cash flow analysis, we also
conducted a sensitivity analysis for the series to determine the
impact that a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario would have on our
ratings if losses began trending higher than our revised loss
expectation.
"In our view, the results demonstrated that all of the classes have
adequate credit enhancement at their respective raised and affirmed
rating levels, which is based on our analysis as of the collection
period ended June 30, 2025 (the July 2025 distribution date).
"We will continue to monitor the performance of all the outstanding
transactions to ensure credit enhancement remains sufficient, in
our view, to cover our CNL expectations under our stress scenarios
for each of the rated classes."
Ratings Raised
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2023-3
Class C to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)'
Class D to 'AA- (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Class E to 'BBB (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2023-4
Class C to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)'
Class D to 'A (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Class E to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2024-2
Class B to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Class D to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2024-3
Class B to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Class D to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2023-4
Class B: AAA (sf)
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2024-2
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2024-3
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
AMERICAN CREDIT 2025-3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to American Credit
Acceptance Receivables Trust 2025-3's automobile receivables-backed
notes.
The note issuance is an ABS transaction backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The ratings reflect:
-- The availability of approximately 63.75%, 57.08%, 47.09%,
38.24%, and 33.54%, credit support (hard credit enhancement and
haircut to excess spread) for the class A, B, C, D, and E notes,
respectively, based on final post-pricing stressed cash flow
scenarios. These credit support levels provide at least 2.35x,
2.10x, 1.70x, 1.37x, and 1.20x coverage of our expected cumulative
net loss of 26.75% for the class A, B, C, D, and E notes,
respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.37x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'AAA
(sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB- (sf)' ratings on
the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, are within its
credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans and any subsequent receivables that will be added
during the prefunding period, S&P's view of the collateral's credit
risk, and our updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking
view of the auto finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A., which do
not constrain the ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of American Credit Acceptance
LLC as servicer, and its view of the company's underwriting and
backup servicing arrangement with Computershare Trust Co. N.A.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2025-3
Class A, $239.4 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $51.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C, $93.0 million: A (sf)
Class D, $83.1 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $52.5 million: BB- (sf)
ANCHORAGE CREDIT 13: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Ba1
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Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Anchorage Credit Funding 13, Ltd.:
US$59.63M Class B-1 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes, Upgraded to
Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3
(sf)
US$23.85M Class B-2 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes, Upgraded to
Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Assigned Aa3 (sf)
US$25.88M Class C-1 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned A3 (sf)
US$10.35M Class C-2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Assigned A3 (sf)
US$20.25M Class D-1 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$8.1M Class D-2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$34.88M Class E-1 Junior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Ba3 (sf)
US$13.95M Class E-2 Junior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$219.38M Class A-1 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa
(sf)
US$87.75M Class A-2 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Jul 7, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
Anchorage Credit Funding 13, Ltd., issued in July 2021, is a
managed cashflow CBO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a
portfolio of corporate bonds and loans. The portfolio is managed by
Anchorage Capital Group, L.L.C.. The transaction's reinvestment
period will end in July 2026.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B-1, Class B-2, Class C-1, Class
C-2, Class D-1, Class D-2, Class E-1 and Class E-2 notes are
primarily a result of a shorter weighted average life of the
portfolio which reduces the time the rated notes are exposed to the
credit risk of the underlying portfolio. Moody's also considered
that the deal will be exiting its reinvestment period in July 2026,
which increases the likelihood that the deal will continue to
maintain certain collateral quality measures that currently
outperform their related covenants. In particular, Moody's noted
that the deal currently benefits from interest income on portfolio
assets that significantly exceeds the fixed rate of interest
payable on the rated notes, due to the deal's exposure to
approximately 38% in floating-rate loans that Moody's calculated to
have a weighted average spread (WAS) of 4.35%. Moody's also noted
that based on Moody's calculations, the deal has a significantly
lower weighted average rating factor of 2701, compared to its
current covenant of 3450.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1 and Class A-2
notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CBO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD608.3m
Defaulted Securities: USD18.7m
Diversity Score: 68
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3450
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 6.72 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 4.35%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.54%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 34.80%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CBO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the
weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which could
lengthen as a result of the manager's decision to reinvest in new
issue loans or other loans with longer maturities, or participate
in amend-to-extend offerings. The effect on the ratings of
extending the portfolio's weighted average life can be positive or
negative depending on the notes' seniority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Other collateral quality metrics: Because the deal can
reinvest, the manager can erode the collateral quality metrics'
buffers against the covenant levels. Moody's analysed the impact of
assuming the worse of reported and covenanted values for weighted
average rating factor, weighted average spread, weighted average
coupon and diversity score.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
ANTHELION CLO 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Debt
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Anthelion
CLO 2025-1 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Anthelion CLO
2025-1 Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Anthelion CLO 2025-1 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Anthelion Capital Partners LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 100%
first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 77.64%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a three-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting to
the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration
limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1, between 'A-sf'
and 'AAAsf' for class A-2, between 'BBB-sf' and 'AAsf' for class B,
between 'BB-sf' and 'Asf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BBB-sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-2 and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1,'Asf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Anthelion CLO
2025-1 Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
ARES LXVIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Ares
LXVIII CLO Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd.
A-1 039941AA7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2a 039941AC3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2b 039941AL3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
B-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
C 039941AG4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full A+sf
C-R LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
D 039941AJ8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBB+sf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E 039942AA5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by Ares U.S.
CLO Management III LLC-Series A. The transaction originally closed
in May 2023. On July 25, 2025 (the first refinancing date), all the
existing secured notes except for the class F notes will be
refinanced. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
The final rating assigned to the class D-1-R notes is higher than
the expected rating communicated in the presale report. The rating
change from 'BBB(EXP)sf' to 'BBB+sf' for the class D-1-R notes is
driven by the higher credit enhancement of the notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B'/'B-' which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.93% first
lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 73.15%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a four-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf'
for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-1-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R, 'Asf'
for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares LXVIII CLO
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
ARES LXVIII: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-1-R and B-R debt from Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd./Ares LXVIII CLO LLC, a
CLO managed by Ares U.S. CLO Management III LLC-Series A that was
originally issued in May 2023. At the same time, S&P withdrew its
ratings on the original class A-1, B-1, and B-2 debt following
payment in full on the July 25, 2025, refinancing date. S&P also
affirmed its rating on the class F debt, which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to July 2027.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to July 2029.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement class debt,
class F debt, and the existing subordinated notes were extended by
July 2037.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd./Ares LXVIII CLO LLC
Class A-1-R, $307.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $52.50 million: AA (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd./Ares LXVIII CLO LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd./Ares LXVIII CLO LLC
Class F (deferrable), $0.50 million: B- (sf)
Other Debt
Ares LXVIII CLO Ltd./Ares LXVIII CLO LLC
Class A-2-R, $20.00 million: NR
Class C-R, $30.00 million: NR
Class D-1-R, $27.50 million: NR
Class D-2-R, $7.50 million: NR
Class E-R, $15.00 million: NR
Subordinated notes, $35.90 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
AUXILIOR TERM 2024-1: Moody's Hikes Rating on Class E Notes to Ba2
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded three classes of notes issued by
Auxilior Term Funding 2023-1, LLC (XCAP 2023-1) and four classes of
notes issued by Auxilior Term Funding 2024-1, LLC (XCAP 2024-1).
The transactions are securitizations, sponsored and serviced by
Auxilior Capital Partners, Inc. (Auxilior), of equipment loans and
leases secured predominately by construction and infrastructure,
transportation and logistics, and franchise related equipment.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Auxilior Term Funding 2023-1, LLC
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Mar 11, 2025
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Mar 11, 2025
Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 11, 2025
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Auxilior Term Funding 2024-1, LLC
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jul 3, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jul 3, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jul 3, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Class E Notes, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jul 3, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions were primarily driven by the buildup in credit
enhancements owing to structural features including a sequential
pay structure, non-declining reserve account and
overcollateralization as well as collateral performance. Moody's
also considered the level of credit enhancement and the
subordinated nature of the junior notes. Other considerations
include transactions' moderate to high exposures to the cyclical
trucking and transportation industry which is currently in a
downturn and highly correlated with the health of the overall
economy.
No action was taken on the remaining rated tranches because there
were no material changes in collateral quality, and credit
enhancement remains commensurate with the current ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Equipment
Lease and Loan Securitizations" published in June 2025.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the notes if, given Moody's expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
higher ratings. In sequential pay structures, such as the one in
this transaction, credit enhancement grows as a percentage of the
collateral balance as collections pay down senior notes.
Prepayments and interest collections directed toward note principal
payments will accelerate this build of enhancement. Moody's
expectations of pool losses could decline as a result of a lower
number of obligor defaults. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on
the US macroeconomy, the equipment markets, and changes in
servicing practices.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the notes if, given Moody's expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
lower ratings. Credit enhancement could decline if excess spread is
not sufficient to cover losses in a given month. Moody's
expectations of pool losses could rise as a result of a higher
number of obligor defaults or deterioration in the value of the
equipment securing an obligor's promise of payment. Portfolio
losses also depend greatly on the US macroeconomy, the equipment
markets, and poor servicer performance. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include error on the part of
transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance, and fraud.
BARINGS CLO 2025-IV: Fitch Assigns BB-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Barings CLO Ltd. 2025-IV.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Barings CLO
Ltd. 2025-IV
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Barings CLO Ltd. 2025-IV (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Barings LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+/B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 22.56, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.62%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.51% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 44.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Barings CLO Ltd.
2025-IV. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores
in connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BARINGS MIDDLE 2023-II: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-1R, A-2R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt from Barings Middle Market
CLO 2023-II Ltd./Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II LLC, a CLO
managed by Barings LLC that was originally issued in December 2023.
At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class
A-1, A-2, B, C, D, and E debt following payment in full on the July
30, 2025, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement debt was issued at a lower spread over
three-month CME term SOFR than the original debt.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to July 20, 2026.
-- The non-call period was extended to July 30, 2026.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
subordinated notes were extended to July 20, 2034.
-- The target initial par amount is set at $350.00 million. There
was no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and the first
payment date following the refinancing is Oct. 20, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were amended.
-- Additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II Ltd./
Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II LLC
Class A-1R, $210.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2R, $28.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-R (deferrable), $29.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $21.75 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $21.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $8.50 million: B- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II Ltd./
Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'BBB+ (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'B- (sf)'
Other Debt
Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II Ltd./
Barings Middle Market CLO 2023-II LLC
Subordinated notes, $50.38 million(i): NR
The balance included additional subordinated notes that were issued
on the refinancing date.
NR--Not rated.
BBCMS 2025-C35: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
BBCMS 2025-C35, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2025-C35 as follows:
- $9,224,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $100,000,000 class A-4 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $416,956,000 class A-5 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,907,000 class A-SB 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $538,087,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $82,635,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $41,317,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $29,787,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $153,739,000ab class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $24,022,000ab class X-D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,295,000ab class X-E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $24,022,000b class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,295,000b class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,531,000bc class J-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following classes are not rated by Fitch:
- $24,022,173bc class K-RR;
- $26,643,893bd class VRR.
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Horizontal risk retention interest.
(d) Vertical-risk retention interest.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, the primary assets of which are 33 loans secured by 80
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$795,340,067 as of the cutoff date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc., UBS AG, German
American Capital Corporation, JPMorgan Chase Bank, National
Association, Starwood Mortgage Capital LLC, Societe Generale
Financial Corporation, Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company, Bank of
America, National Association and LMF Commercial, LLC.
The master servicer will be Midland Loan Services, a Division of
PNC Bank, National Association, the special servicer will be
CWCapital Asset Management LLC, and the operating advisor will be
BellOak, LLC. The trustee and certificate administrator will be
Computershare Trust Company, National Association. The certificates
will follow a sequential paydown structure.
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on July 7, 2025, the
following changes have occurred:
- The balances for classes A-4 and A-5 were finalized. At the time
the expected ratings were published, the initial aggregate
certificate balance of the A-4 class was expected to be in the
$0-$200,000,000 range, and the initial aggregate certificate
balance of the A-5 class was expected to be in the
$316,956,000-$516,956,000 range. The final class balances for
classes A-4 and A-5 are $100,000,000 and $416,956,000,
respectively.
There were no other material changes. The deal structure and
recommended ratings reflect information provided by the issuer as
of July 23, 2025.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 22 loans
totaling 89.7% of the pool by balance, including the largest 20
loans and all the pari passu loans. Fitch's resulting net cash flow
(NCF) of approximately $82.4 million represents a 13.5% decline
from the issuer's underwritten NCF of approximately $95.1 million.
The NCF decline is higher than the 2025 YTD and 2024 10-year
averages of 12.6% and 13.2%, respectively.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The pool has higher leverage compared to
recent 10-year multiborrower transactions rated by Fitch. The
pool's Fitch loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 89.0% is slightly worse
than the YTD 2025 and 2024 averages of 88.2% and 84.5%,
respectively. The Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 10.4% is weaker than
the YTD 2025 and 2024 averages of 12.3% and 12.3%, respectively.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Five loans representing
37.7% of the pool balance received an investment-grade credit
opinion on a standalone basis. Rentar Plaza (9.9% of the pool)
received a credit opinion of 'BBB+*', BioMed MIT Portfolio (9.4%) a
'A-*', Marriott World Headquarters (9.4%) a 'BBB-*', Washington
Square (8.8%) a 'BBB-*' and Adini Portfolio (0.1%) a 'AA-*'. The
pool's total credit opinion percentage of 37.7% is significantly
higher than the YTD 2025 and 2024 10-year averages of 13.1% and
21.4%, respectively.
Pool Concentration: The pool is more concentrated than recently
rated Fitch transactions. The top-10 loans make up 68.2%, higher
than the 2025 YTD and 2024 10-year averages of 62.4% and 63.0%,
respectively. The pool's effective loan count of 17.6 is below the
2025 YTD and 2024 10-year averages of 21.0 and 20.8, respectively.
Fitch views diversity as a key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk.
Fitch raises the overall loss for pools with effective loan counts
below 40.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' /
'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBsf' / 'Bsf' /
less than 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' /
'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBBsf'
/ 'BBsf' / 'Bsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENEFIT STREET 41: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings Benefit Street Partners CLO
41 Ltd./Benefit Street Partners CLO 41 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by BSP CLO Management LLC, a subsidiary
of Franklin Templeton.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Benefit Street Partners CLO 41 Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO 41 LLC
Class A, $384.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $72.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $53.20 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
BHG SECURITIZATION 2025-2CON: Fitch Gives BB(EXP) Rating on E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to assign ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
notes issued by BHG Securitization Trust 2025-2CON (BHG
2025-2CON).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
BHG Securitization
Trust 2025-2CON
A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The BHG 2025-2CON trust is a discrete trust backed by a static pool
of consumer loans originated or purchased by Bankers Healthcare
Group, LLC (BHG). This is BHG's third 100% consumer loan 144a
securitization. BHG 2025-2CON is the 11th 144a ABS transaction
sponsored by BHG and the seventh rated by Fitch.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Collateral Pool of High-FICO Borrowers: The BHG 2025-2CON pool
shared with Fitch has a weighted average (WA) FICO score of 733;
1.43% of the borrowers have a score below 661 and 38.40% have a
score higher than 740. The WA original term is 101 months and is
the highest amongst the consumer loan-backed transactions.
Default Assumption Reflects Improved Managed Performance: The base
case default assumption based on the pool is 14.23%. The default
assumption was established by BHG's proprietary risk grade and loan
term. Fitch set assumptions based on segmented performance data
from 2014, which included loans that were re-scored using BHG's
updated underwriting and scoring model, which became effective in
2018. While through-the-cycle loan performance and characteristics
were reviewed, Fitch also considered the recent improved
performance trends in deriving the base case.
For certain segments, primarily the longer-term loans, where Fitch
considered the loans did not have significant historical
performance data, Fitch considered the segment's equivalent
historical commercial loan performance. Commercial loan performance
was considered, given similar borrower characteristics and BHG's
comparable underwriting policies for the guarantor of commercial
loans.
Credit Enhancement Mitigates Stressed Losses: Initial hard credit
enhancement (CE) totals 49.35%, 18.80%, 11.30%, 4.00% and 1.50% for
class A, B, C, D and E notes, respectively. Initial CE is
sufficient to cover Fitch's stressed cash flow assumptions for all
classes. Fitch applied a 'AAAsf' rating stress of 4.25x the base
case default rate for consumer loans.
The stress multiples decline for lower rating levels, according to
Fitch's "Consumer ABS Rating Criteria." The default multiple
reflects the absolute value of the default assumption, the length
of default performance history for loan type (shorter for consumer
loans), high WA borrower FICO scores and income, and the WA
original loan term, which increases the portfolio's exposure to
changing economic conditions.
Counterparty Risks Addressed: BHG has a long operational history
and demonstrates adequate abilities as the originator, underwriter
and servicer, as evidenced by historical portfolio and previous
securitization performance. Fitch deems BHG as capable to service
this transaction. Other counterparty risks are mitigated through
the transaction structure, and such provisions are in line with
Fitch's counterparty rating criteria.
Ongoing True Lender Uncertainty of Partner Bank Originations: BHG,
like peers, purchases consumer loans originated by partner banks,
in this case, Pinnacle Bank, a Tennessee state-chartered bank, and
County Bank, a Delaware state-chartered bank. Uncertainty over the
true lender of the loans remains a risk inherent to this
transaction, particularly for consumer loans originated at an
interest rate higher than a borrower state's usury rate.
If there are challenges to the true lender status, and if such
challenges are successful, the consumer loans could be found to be
unenforceable, or subject to reduction of the interest rate, paid
or to be paid. If such challenges are successful, trust performance
could be negatively affected, which would increase negative rating
pressure. For this risk, Fitch views as positive Pinnacle Bank's
49% ownership of BHG and BHG 2025-2CON's consumer loans originated
at interest rates below the borrower state's usury rate, while the
longer WA remaining loan term of 100 months is viewed as negative.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults or charge-offs
could produce loss levels higher than the base case and would
likely result in declines of CE and remaining net loss coverage
levels available to the notes. Decreased CE may make certain
ratings on the notes susceptible to potential negative rating
actions, depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
Fitch conducts sensitivity analysis by stressing a transaction's
initial base case default assumption by an additional 10%, 25% and
50% and examining the rating implications. These increases of the
base case default rate are intended to provide an indication of the
rating sensitivity of the notes to unexpected deterioration of a
trusts performance. An additional sensitivity run of lowering
recoveries by 10%, 25% and 50% is also conducted.
During the sensitivity analysis, Fitch examines the magnitude of
the multiplier compression by projecting the expected cash flows
and loss coverage levels over the life of investments under higher
than the initial base case default assumptions. Fitch models cash
flows with the revised default estimates while holding constant all
other modeling assumptions.
Current Ratings: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'.
Rating sensitivity to increased defaults (class A/class B/class
C/class D/class E):
Increased default base case by 10%:
'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'A-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf';
Increased default base case by 25%:
'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf';
Increased default base case by 50%:
'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'CCCsf';
Rating sensitivity to reduced recoveries (class A/class B/class
C/class D/class E):
Reduced recovery base case by 10%:
'AAAsf'/'A+sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf';
Reduced recovery base case by 25%:
'AAAsf'/'A+sf'/'A-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf';
Reduced recovery base case by 50%:
'AAAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf';
Rating sensitivity to increased defaults and reduced recoveries
(class A/class B/class C/class D/class E):
Increased default base case by 10% and reduced recovery base case
by 10%: 'AA+sf'/'Asf'/'A-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf';
Increased default base case by 25% and reduced recovery base case
by 25%: 'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf ';
Increased default base case by 50% and reduced recovery base case
by 50%: 'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'B-sf'/'NRsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
would lead to increasing CE levels and consideration for potential
upgrades. If defaults are 20% less than the projected base case
default rate, the expected ratings for the class C, D and E notes
could be upgraded by one category.
Rating sensitivity from decreased defaults (class A/class B/class
C/class D/class E):
Current Ratings: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'.
Decreased default base case by 20%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBBsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on focused on a comparison and recalculation of certain
characteristics with respect to 150 randomly selected statistical
receivables. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and
it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BLACK DIAMOND 2021-1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $18MM D-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of refinancing
notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Black Diamond CLO 2021-1,
Ltd. (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$179,000,000 Class A-1a-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$48,000,000 Class A-2-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Aa1 (sf)
US$20,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Assigned A2 (sf)
US$24,000,000 Class C-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$18,000,000 Class D-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction have been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Black Diamond CLO 2021-1 Adviser, L.L.C. (the "Manager") will
continue to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of
the assets on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading
activity, including discretionary trading, during the transaction's
remaining reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one other class of secured notes and
one class of subordinated notes, which will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a variety of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing. These include: extensions of the non-call period.
No action was taken on the Class A-1b notes because its expected
loss remain commensurate with its current rating, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodologies and could differ from the trustee's
reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $392,426,660
Defaulted par: $3,990,468
Diversity Score: 67
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2847
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.63%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.10%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.20 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
BRANT POINT 2023-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Brant Point CLO 2023-1, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Brant Point CLO
2023-1, Ltd.
(f/k/a Sound
Point CLO 36, Ltd.)
A-1R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Brant Point CLO 2023-1, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Sound
Point CLO C-MOA, LLC. This is the first reset of the transaction
(f/k/a Sound Point CLO 36, Ltd.) originally closed in August 2023
where the existing secured notes will be refinanced in whole on
July 28, 2025. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 22.17, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.01%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.87% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 9% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BBB-sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Brant Point CLO
2023-1, Ltd. (f/k/a Sound Point CLO 36, Ltd.).
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BRANT POINT 2023-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Brant
Point CLO 2023-1, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Brant Point
CLO 2023-1, Ltd.
A-1R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Brant Point CLO 2023-1, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Sound
Point CLO C-MOA, LLC. This is the first reset of the transaction
(f/k/a Sound Point CLO 36, Ltd.) originally closed in August 2023
where the existing secured notes will be refinanced in whole on
July 28, 2025. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 22.17, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.01%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.87% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 9% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BBB-sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
21 July 2025
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Brant Point CLO
2023-1, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BRANT POINT 2025-7: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Brant
Point CLO 2025-7, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Brant Point
CLO 2025-7, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Brant Point CLO 2025-7, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Sound
Point CLO C-MOA, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 22.75, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.68%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.06% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 42% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 9% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, and 'Asf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Brant Point CLO
2025-7, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BRIDGECREST LENDING 2025-3: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Bridgecrest Lending Auto
Securitization Trust 2025-3's automobile receivables-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of approximately 64.74%, 59.51%, 50.65%,
38.94%, and 34.72% credit support (hard credit enhancement and a
haircut to excess spread) for the class A (A-1, A-2, and A-3,
collectively), B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, based on final
post-pricing stressed break-even cash flow scenarios. These credit
support levels provide at least 2.30x, 2.10x, 1.70x, 1.37x, and
1.25x coverage of our expected cumulative net loss of 27.00% for
the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.37x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'A-1+
(sf)', 'AAA (sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB (sf)'
ratings on the class A-1, A-2/A-3, B, C, D, and E notes,
respectively, will be within its credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under our stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios that S&P believes are appropriate for the assigned
ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the subprime auto loans,
S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral, and its updated
macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the U.S. auto
finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A.
(A+/Stable/A-1), which do not constrain the ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Bridgecrest Acceptance
Corp. as servicer, along with its view of the originator's
underwriting and the backup servicing arrangement with
Computershare Trust Co. N.A. (BBB/Stable/--).
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which is in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
Bridgecrest Lending Auto Securitization Trust 2025-3
Class A-1, $60.00 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $95.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $63.35 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $51.97 million: AA (sf)
Class C, $65.18 million: A (sf)
Class D, $96.25 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $35.75 million: BB (sf)
BRYANT PARK 2025-27: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Bryant Park
Funding 2025-27 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2025-27 LLC's
floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior-secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Marathon Asset Management L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 24,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Bryant Park Funding 2025-27 Ltd./
Bryant Park Funding 2025-27 LLC
Class A-1, $244.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $8.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $52.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $18.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-3 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $37.15 million: Not rated
CARLYLE US 2021-9: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $27MM E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to five classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Carlyle US
CLO 2021-9, Ltd. (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$384,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$72,000,000 Class B-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$33,000,000 Class C-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Assigned A2 (sf)
US$36,000,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Assigned Baa3 (sf)
US$27,000,000 Class E-R Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
Carlyle CLO Management L.L.C. (the "Manager") will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issue and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, a variety of
other changes to transaction features will occur in connection with
the refinancing. These include: extensions of the Refinancing
Notes' non-call period and updates to the definition of "Benchmark"
to adopt Term SOFR as the initial base rate for the Refinancing
Notes.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodologies and could differ from the trustee's
reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $589,305,629
Defaulted par: $4,393,178
Diversity Score: 87
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2695
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.17%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.7%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.27 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
CARLYLE US 2023-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to CARLYLE
US CLO 2023-2, LTD reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Carlyle US CLO
2023-2, Ltd.
A-1 14318GAA0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 14318GAE2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 14318GAG7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1 14318GAJ1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 14318GAL6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 14318HAA8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
CARLYLE US CLO 2023-2, LTD (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Carlyle CLO Management L.L.C. that originally closed in June 2023.
This will be the first refinancing where all the notes will be
refinanced in whole. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 24.41, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 95.06%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 72.23% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 10% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2-R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle US CLO
2023-2, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CARLYLE US 2025-4: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Carlyle US CLO 2025-4, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Carlyle US CLO
2025-4, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Carlyle US CLO 2025-4, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Carlyle CLO Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 23.85, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 97.42%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 72.45% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, and 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle US CLO
2025-4, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CATHEDRAL LAKE VIII: S&P Cuts Class D-J Notes Rating to 'BB+ (sf)'
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered and removed from CreditWatch with
negative implications its ratings on the class D-J and E debt from
Cathedral Lake VIII Ltd./Cathedral Lake VIII LLC, a U.S. CLO
originally issued in December 2021 that is managed by Whitestar
Asset Management LLC. At the same time, S&P affirmed its ratings on
the class A-1, A-2, B, C, and D-1 debt from the same transaction.
The CLO is in its reinvestment phase, which is expected to end in
January 2027. The rating actions follow S&P's review of the
transaction's performance using data from both the June monthly
report and the July 10, 2025, payment report.
Though the trustee-reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios of
all tranches are currently passing, they declined between the
February 2022 report and the July 2025 report:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio declined to 129.72% from 133.59%.
-- The class C O/C ratio declined to 118.64% from 122.19%.
-- The class D O/C ratio declined to 109.31% from 112.58%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 105.75% from 108.91%.
The drop in the O/C ratios is primarily due to decline in par since
S&P's last rating action. In addition, the recovery rates have
declined overall, and the weighted average spread has dropped,
which are contributing to the weakened cash flows. As a result of
these factors, credit support has weakened for all tranches, and
the cash flows of the class D-1, D-J, and E debt are no longer
passing at the previous rating levels.
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a lower rating on the class D-1 debt than the rating
action reflects. However, S&P affirmed its rating on the class D-1
debt after considering the margin of failure, the credit support
commensurate with the current rating levels, the low defaults, the
low exposure to collateral obligations rated 'CCC' and 'CCC-',
passing O/C ratios, and that the transaction is still in its
reinvestment period, which is not scheduled to end until January
2027. However, any increase in defaults or par losses could lead to
potential negative rating actions in the future.
The downgrade reflects reduced credit support for the Class E notes
and cash flow failure at the prior 'B' rating level. This was
driven by decline in par, reduced weighted average recovery rates,
and a lower weighted average spread. Narrowing excess spread—due
to tightening margins between asset yields and financing
costs—further limits support for this junior tranche.
Additionally, weaker recovery expectations suggest lower asset
value in default scenarios.
While class E failed to pass cash flow tests at the 'B' level, S&P
believes it is still capable of meeting interest and principal
payments by legal final maturity without relying on favorable
business, financial, or economic conditions. As such, a 'CCC'
rating is not warranted at this time. However, further par
deterioration or an increase in defaults could lead to potential
negative rating actions in the future.
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels. Though the cash flow results indicated a higher
rating for the class B debt, our action considered that the CLO is
still in its reinvestment period (scheduled to expire January 2027)
and that future reinvestment activity could change some of the
portfolio characteristics.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults and recoveries upon default under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with this rating action.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch
Cathedral Lake VIII Ltd./Cathedral Lake VIII LLC
Class D-J to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Class E to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Cathedral Lake VIII Ltd./Cathedral Lake VIII LLC
Class A-1: AAA (sf)
Class A-2: AAA (sf)
Class B: AA (sf)
Class C: A (sf)
Class D-1: BBB+ (sf)
CBAM 2021-14: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+ (sf)'
----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its rating on the class E debt from CBAM
2021-14 Ltd./CBAM 2021-14 LLC and removed the rating from
CreditWatch with negative implications. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its ratings on the class A, B, C, and D debt.
The transaction is a U.S. CLO managed by CBAM Partners LLC, which
was originally issued in April 2021. It has not been refinanced or
reset since closing and will exit its reinvestment period in April
2026.
On May 1, 2025, S&P placed its rating on the class E debt on
CreditWatch negative primarily due to the declining credit support
for the class, the portfolio's sizeable par loss since closing, and
indicative cash flow results.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the June 2025 trustee report. All
overcollateralization (O/C) ratios have declined since the
transaction's closing:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio declined to 128.69% from 131.64%.
-- The class C O/C ratio declined to 119.27% from 122.01%.
-- The class D O/C ratio declined to 111.14% from 113.69%.
-- The class E-1 O/C ratio declined to 106.60% from 109.04%.
The decline in the O/C ratios largely reflects the aggregate par
loss the portfolio has sustained since closing. A small amount of
defaulted assets has also contributed to the decline.
Meanwhile, assets rated in the 'CCC' category have increased to
$19.22 million as of the June 2025 trustee report from $13.00
million at closing. At the same time, sharp declines in both the
portfolio's weighted average spread and expected weighted average
recovery rates constricted the break-even default rates for every
class. A combination of these factors contributed to weakened cash
flow results, particularly at the mezzanine and junior levels of
the capital structure.
The lowered rating on class E reflects the drop in credit support
and the failing cash flow results at the previous rating level. S&P
said, "Although our cash flow results indicate a lower rating on
class E on a standalone basis, we do not believe the tranche
currently depends on favorable conditions to repay its obligations
and thus does not fit our definition of 'CCC' risk." S&P restricted
the downgrade to one notch because:
-- S&P believes existing credit support is commensurate with the
current (lowered) rating on this tranche;
-- The exposure of assets rated in the 'CCC' category and
defaulted assets in the portfolio remains manageable; and
-- The transaction has not yet exited its reinvestment period,
which portends changes to the portfolio over the coming months.
-- However, any further decline in credit support to this tranche
or any increase in par losses could lead to negative ratings in the
future.
S&P said, "Although our cash flow results indicate lower ratings on
the class A, B, C, and D debt on a standalone basis, we affirmed
our ratings on the classes, considering our view that existing
credit support is commensurate with the current ratings, the
exposure of 'CCC' category and defaulted assets remains manageable,
and the transaction has not yet exited its reinvestment period and
thus its portfolio is subject to change. However, any further
decline in credit support to these tranches or any increase in par
losses could lead to negative rating actions in the future.
"In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, as well as on recoveries upon default, under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors, as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that the rated
outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement available at
the rating levels associated with these rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Rating Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
CBAM 2021-14 Ltd./CBAM 2021-14 LLC
Class E to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
CBAM 2021-14 Ltd./CBAM 2021-14 LLC
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class B: AA (sf)
Class C: A (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
CIFC FUNDING 2013-IV: Moody's Ups Rating on $26MM E-R2 Notes to Ba2
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by CIFC Funding 2013-IV, Ltd.:
US$31.5M Class D-R2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Mar 3, 2025 Assigned A2
(sf)
US$26M Class E-R2 Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Mar 3, 2025 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$84.37M (Current outstanding amount US$61,452,714) Class A-1-R2
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Mar 3, 2025 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$15M Class A-2-R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 3, 2025 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$59M Class B-R2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Mar 3, 2025 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$23.5M Class C-R2 Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 3, 2025 Assigned Aaa
(sf)
US$6.25M Class F-RR Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2024 Affirmed Caa1 (sf)
CIFC Funding 2013-IV, Ltd., originally issued in November 2013,
refinanced in February 2017, May 2018 and March 2025, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed
by CIFC Asset Management LLC. The transaction's reinvestment period
ended in April 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class D-R2 and E-R2 notes are primarily
a result of the significant deleveraging of the senior notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last
rating action in March 2025.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-R2,
C-R2 and F-RR notes are primarily a result of the expected losses
on the notes remaining consistent with their current rating levels,
after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-R2 notes have paid down by approximately USD22.9
million (27.2% or 7.5% of closing balance) in since the last rating
action in March 2025 and USD243.6 million (79.9% of closing
balance) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the capital
structure. According to the trustee report dated June 2025[1] the
Class A/B, Class C, Class D and Class E OC ratios are reported at
173.0%, 147.4%, 123.0% and 108.2% compared to February 2025[2]
levels of 164.3%, 143.1%, 122.0% and 108.7%, respectively. Moody's
note that the July 2025 principal payments are not reflected in the
reported OC ratios.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD237.3 million
Defaulted Securities: 0
Diversity Score: 60
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2938
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.8 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.0%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.3%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0.0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assumes that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
CITIGROUP 2015-GC31: Moody's Cuts Rating on Cl. A-S Certs to Ba2
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on three classes in
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-GC31, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-GC31 as follows:
Cl. A-4, Downgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jan 14, 2025
Affirmed Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-S, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jan 14, 2025
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. X-A*, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 14, 2025
Downgraded to Aa3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on the P&I classes were downgraded due to higher
expected losses and increased risk of interest shortfalls primarily
driven by the decline in pool performance from the exposure to
delinquent and specially serviced loans as well as loans that have
passed their original maturity dates. Four loans, representing 83%
of the pool, are in special servicing and the largest is 135 South
LaSalle (38.4% of the pool), which has experienced significant
declines in cash flow and occupancy, currently only 11% leased, and
has been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer. The second
and third largest specially serviced loans are also secured by
office properties that have experienced declines in occupancy and
cash flow performance and are located in markets with weaker office
fundamentals. These specially serviced loans include Selig Office
Portfolio (27.7% of the pool) located in Seattle, Washington and
Pasadena Office Tower (15.0% of the pool) located in Pasadena,
California. The 135 South LaSalle and Pasadena Office Tower loans
have received recent appraisal values 66% and 40% below their
outstanding loan balances, respectively. All the remaining loans
have now passed their original maturity dates and given the higher
interest rate environment and loan performance, Moody's do not
anticipate significant paydowns on Cl. A-4 and Cl. A-S and there
may be increased risks of interest shortfalls and higher potential
losses if certain loans remain or become further delinquent.
The rating on the IO class, Cl. X-A, was downgraded due to a
decline in the credit quality of its referenced classes and from
principal paydowns of higher quality referenced classes. Cl. X-A
originally referenced all senior classes up to and including Cl.
A-S, however, Cl. A-4 has now paid down 70% from its original
balance and all classes senior to Cl. A-4 have previously paid off
in full.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 45.2% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 19.3% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 21.3% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 16.8% at the last review.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations" published in
January 2025.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the July 11, 2025 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 64.0% to $260.2
million from $723.3 million at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by eight mortgage loans which are either in special
servicing or have already passed their scheduled maturity dates.
As of the July 2025 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $7.3 million. Moody's anticipates interest
shortfalls will continue because of the exposure to specially
serviced loans and loans that were unable to payoff at their
maturity dates. Interest shortfalls are caused by special servicing
fees, including workout and liquidation fees, non-recoverability
determinations, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs), loan
modifications and extraordinary trust expenses.
The pool has had an aggregate realized loss of $36.2 million from
one previously liquidated loan and reimbursement of prior servicer
advances on the specially serviced loans. Four loans, constituting
83.1% of the pool, are currently in special servicing.
The largest specially serviced loan is the 135 South LaSalle Loan
($100.0 million -- 38.4% of the pool), which is secured by a 1.3
million square foot (SF), 44-story, Class A office property located
in the Central Loop submarket of Chicago, Illinois. The largest
tenant at securitization, Bank of America (63% of the net rentable
area (NRA)), vacated the property at their lease expiration in July
2021 and the loan has been in special servicing since November
2021. As of March 2025, the property was only 11% occupied and has
not generated sufficient cash flow to cover debt service since
2021. The borrower and servicer are working towards a resolution,
including obtaining financing for a partial residential conversion,
however, the loan remains last paid through its October 2021
payment date and has been deemed non-recoverable by the master
servicer. As of the July 2025 remittance statement there were
minimal advances as prior loan advances were recouped in recent
months contributing to the pool's realized losses. The most recent
appraisal from November 2024 valued the property 66% below the
value at securitization. The loan has also passed its May 2025
Anticipated Repayment Date (ARD) with a final maturity in May 2030.
Due to the low occupancy, weaker Chicago office fundamentals and
significant delinquencies Moody's anticipates a large loss on this
loan.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Selig Office
Portfolio Loan ($72.0 million -- 27.7% of the pool), which
represents a pari passu portion of a $345.0 million mortgage loan.
The loan is secured by a portfolio of nine office properties
totaling 1.6 million SF in Seattle, Washington. The largest of the
nine properties, 1000 Second Avenue, is in Seattle's downtown
financial district, while the other properties are concentrated in
the Lower Queen Anne / Lake Union and Denny Regrade neighborhoods.
Occupancy has consistently declined in recent years and the
portfolio was 60% leased in December 2024, compared to 84% in
December 2021 and 95% in December 2019. The tenant roster is fairly
granular and while property performance was relatively stable
through 2023, performance has since declined as a result of lower
occupancy and rental revenue. Additionally, there is further
rollover risk in 2025 (17% of the NRA). The loan has been in
special servicing since November 2024, failed to pay-off at its
April 2025 maturity date and had a DSCR of close to 2.00X based on
its 2024 NOI and interest only debt service at a 3.9% interest
rate. Servicer commentary indicates the borrower has requested a
loan extension to allow time to complete leasing.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Pasadena Office
Tower Loan ($39.0 million -- 15.0% of the pool), which is secured
by a 142,000 SF, Class-A office tower located in Pasadena,
California. Property performance has deteriorated due to a
combination of a decline in occupancy, rental revenue and increased
operating expenses. As of December 2024, the property was 69%
leased compared to 70% in December 2022, 87% in December 2020, and
98% in 2015. The property faces significant near-term lease
rollover with tenants representing over 63% of the NRA having lease
expirations by year end 2027. The loan has been in special
servicing since March 2025 and failed to pay-off at its June 2025
maturity date. Servicer commentary indicates they have engaged
counsel and will initiate contact with the borrower on post
maturity plans. The most recent appraisal from April 2025 valued
the property 40% below the outstanding loan balance resulting in an
appraisal reduction of 47% of the loan balance as of the July 2025
remittance. The loan is last paid through its May 2025 payment date
and has amortized 7% since securitization.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the Walgreens –
Smithfield Loan ($5.2 million -- 2.0% of the pool), which is
secured by a 14,500 SF retail property in North Smithfield, Rhode
Island. The Walgreens store went dark in 2019 and the loan
transferred to special servicing in October 2020 when the borrower
failed to comply with cash management procedures. The borrower
subleased the space to Rhode Island Health Group in 2023 without
obtaining servicer consent. The borrower and lender were engaged in
legal actions regarding the resolution of the loan. In February
2024, a settlement was reached, the borrower is currently engaged
in marketing the property for sale. As of July 2025 remittance, the
loan was current on P&I payments and failed to pay-off at its June
2025 maturity date.
Moody's estimates an aggregate $117.6 million loss for the
specially serviced loans (54% expected loss on average).
The top three non-specially serviced loans represent 15.7% of the
pool balance. The largest loan is the Park at Sugar Creek Loan
($19.1 million -- 7.4% of the pool), which is secured by a 140,254
SF mixed-use property located in Sugar Land, Texas. As of March
2025, the property was 78% leased compared to 88% at
securitization. The property's 2024 NOI was 16% below 2018 levels
and the loan failed to pay-off at its June 2025 maturity date. The
loan has amortized approximately 16% since securitization and
servicer commentary indicates the borrower stated they are working
to refinance the loan. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 138% and
0.84X, respectively.
The second largest non-specially serviced loan is the Promenades
Plaza Loan ($12.5 million -- 4.8% of the pool), which is secured by
a 230,704 SF retail property located in Port Charlotte, Florida.
The property was 77% leased as of year-end 2024, compared to 88% at
securitization. The loan failed to pay-off at its June 2025
maturity date, however, the servicer commentary indicated the
borrower is working to refinance the loan. The loan has amortized
over 14% since securitization and Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are
106% and 0.94X, respectively.
The third largest loan is the Magnolia Hotel Omaha ($9.3 million --
3.6% of the pool), which is secured by a 145 key, full-service
hotel property located in downtown Omaha, Nebraska. The hotel's
2024 occupancy, ADR and RevPAR were 69%, $130 and $90,
respectively, compared to 64%, $137 and $88, respectively, in 2023.
The loan was previously in special servicing during 2020 but was
returned to the master servicer in September 2020 and failed to
pay-off at its June 2025 maturity date. The loan has amortized over
17% since securitization and Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 105%
and 1.21X, respectively.
CITIGROUP 2016-C1: Fitch Affirms B- Rating on Class F Debt
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 12 classes of Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust, commercial mortgage pass-through certificates
series 2016-C1 (CGCMT 2016-C1). The Rating Outlooks for classes E
and F have been revised to Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CGCMT 2016-C1
A-3 17290YAQ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 17290YAR9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 17290YAS7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 17290YAT5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 17290YAU2 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C 17290YAV0 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
D 17290YAA6 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 17290YAC2 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
EC 17290YAY4 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
F 17290YAE8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 17290YAW8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 17290YAX6 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: The rating affirmations
reflect generally stable pool performance. Loss expectations have
increased since the prior rating action due to maturity default
concerns. The deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss is 6.2% compared to
4.1% at the prior review. The transaction has nine Fitch Loans of
Concern (FLOCs; 25.3% of the pool), including one loan (2%) in
special servicing.
Due to the near-term loan maturities, increasing pool concentration
and adverse selection concerns, Fitch performed a look-through
analysis to determine the remaining loans' expected recoveries and
losses to assess the outstanding classes' ratings relative to their
credit enhancement (CE). Higher probabilities of default were
assigned to loans that are anticipated to default at maturity due
to performance declines or rollover concerns. All the loans in the
pool are scheduled to mature by June 2026.
The Negative Outlooks reflect refinance concerns on the FLOCs,
particularly The Strip (13.2), 4455 LBJ Freeway (3.6%), Victorian
Square (1.8%) and Park Place (1.7%), given the upcoming lease
rollovers close to respective loan maturities. Downgrades are
possible if more loans than expected default at maturity, if
workouts are longer, or if FLOC losses exceed expectations.
Largest Loss Contributors: The largest contributor to loss
expectations is The Strip (13.2%), which is also the largest loan
in the pool. The loan is secured by a 786,928-sf anchored retail
center in North Canton, OH. The property is near downtown Canton,
Kent State University at Stark and the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
The property's major tenants include Walmart (19.0% of NRA, leased
through October 2026), Lowe's (16.6%, October 2026), Giant Eagle
(11.6%, January 2027), Cinemark (8.4%, December 2025) and Bob's
Discount Furniture (5.4%, July 2030).
Property performance has generally been stable, as the YE 2024 net
operating income (NOI) debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) was 1.46x
compared with 1.52x at YE 2023. The property's occupancy was 93% as
of March 2025. Lease rollover in 2025 includes Cinemark. However,
the property's largest tenants, Walmart and Lowe's, have lease
expiry dates that are almost coterminous with the loan maturity
date in April 2026.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 17.5% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based on a 9.0% cap rate, 15% stress to the YE 2024
NOI, and a higher probability of default to account for the
rollover risk associated with the anchor tenant leases that expire
near the loan maturity in April 2026.
The second-largest contributor to loss expectations is the 46 Geary
Street (1.9%) loan, which is secured by an 18,002-sf mixed-use
property in downtown San Francisco, CA. The loan transferred to
special servicing as of April 2024 due to payment default and the
lender filed for foreclosure and receivership in July 2024.
The property's occupancy was 29% as of September 2024 down from
52.4% at YE 2023 and YE 2022, 72.9% at YE 2021, and 100.0% at YE
2020. Occupancy declined due to TapFwd (previously 27.1% of the
NRA) vacating in 2020 ahead of the January 2021 lease expiration.
Haus Services (previously 21.7% of the NRA) vacated the property in
January 2022 upon lease expiration. The servicer previously noted
that Paul Smith (23.0% of NRA; 75.2% of base rental income), did
not renew its lease at the property upon lease expiry in February
2024.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 46.5% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based on a 20.0% stress to the June 2024 appraisal
value.
The third-largest contributor to loss expectations is 4455 LBJ
Freeway (3.6%), which is the sixth-largest loan in the pool. The
loan is secured by a 294,850-sf suburban office located in Farmers
Branch, TX, approximately 10 miles north of the Dallas CBD. The
property's major tenants include AmTrust Financial Services (37.4%
of NRA; February 2028); National General Insurance (29.0% of NRA;
February 2028); and EVO Payments International LLC (17.9%, August
2028).
Property performance has been generally stable, as the YE 2024 NOI
DSCR was 2.01x compared to 1.72x at YE 2023 and 1.83x at YE 2022.
The property's occupancy was 95.0% as of YE 2024.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 16.2% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based on a 11.0% cap rate, 10.0% stress to the YE 2024
NOI, and a higher probability of default to account for heightened
maturity default risk as the loan approaches maturity in 2026.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the June 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate principal balance has been reduced by
14.8% to $643.8 million from $755.7 million at issuance. Twelve
loans (13.3%) are fully defeased. All but two loans are scheduled
to mature in the first half of 2026. To date, the trust has
incurred $37,710 in realized losses which has been absorbed by the
non-rated class H.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur;
- Downgrades to 'AAsf', 'Asf' and 'BBBsf' category rated classes
could occur should performance on FLOCs, particularly The Strip,
4455 LBJ Freeway, and 46 Geary Street, deteriorate further or if
more loans than expected default at or prior to maturity;
- Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are
likely with higher-than-expected losses from the aforementioned
FLOCs, with deteriorating performance and with greater certainty of
losses on the specially serviced loan or other FLOCs.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with
improved pool-level loss expectations of The Strip, 4455 LBJ
Freeway and 46 Geary Street FLOCs;
- Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls;
- Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
aforementioned loans and FLOCs are better than expected and there
is sufficient CE to the classes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COLT 2025-8: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to COLT 2025-8 Mortgage
Loan Trust's mortgage pass-through certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans (some with interest-only periods) to
both prime and nonprime borrowers. The loans are secured by
single-family residential properties, planned-unit developments,
condominiums, townhouses, condotels, two- to four-family, mixed
use, and five- to 10-unit multifamily residential properties. The
pool consists of 708 loans, which are QM/HPML, QM/non-HPML,
non-QM/ATR-compliant, and ATR-exempt.
S&P said, "After we assigned preliminary ratings on July 24, 2025,
the class B-1 and B-2 certificates balance increased by $193,000
and $192,000, respectively. This was offset by an equivalent
decrease of $385,000 to the class M-1 certificates balance. As a
result, the credit enhancement for the class M-1 and B-1
certificates slightly increased. After analyzing these changes and
the final coupons, we assigned final ratings that are unchanged
from the assigned preliminary ratings."
The ratings reflect our view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty (R&W) framework, and
geographic concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and originators; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Ratings Assigned(i)
COLT 2025-8 Mortgage Loan Trust
Class A-1, $265,252,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $26,545,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $40,009,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $19,812,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $14,427,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $12,118,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $6,540,316: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class X, notional(ii): NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate principal balance
of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related due
period.
NR--Not rated.
COLT 2025-8: S&P Assigns Prelim B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to COLT 2025-8
Mortgage Loan Trust's mortgage pass-through certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans (some with interest-only periods) to
both prime and nonprime borrowers. The loans are secured by
single-family residential properties, planned-unit developments,
condominiums, townhouses, condotels, two- to four-family, mixed
use, and five- to 10-unit multifamily residential properties. The
pool consists of 708 loans, which are QM/HPML, QM/non-HPML,
non-QM/ATR-compliant, and ATR-exempt.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 24,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty (R&W) framework, and
geographic concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and originators; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers our current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned(i)
COLT 2025-8 Mortgage Loan Trust
Class A-1, $265,252,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $26,545,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $40,009,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $20,197,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $14,234,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $11,926,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $6,540,316: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class X, notional(ii): NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The preliminary ratings address the ultimate payment of interest
and principal. They do not address payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate principal balance
of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related due
period.
NR--Not rated.
COMM 2014-CCRE16: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class D Certs to 'CCCsf'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded three and affirmed five classes of
Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.'s COMM 2014-CCRE16 Mortgage Trust
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. Negative Rating
Outlooks were assigned to two classes following their downgrades.
Fitch has also affirmed eight classes of COMM 2014-CCRE17 Mortgage
Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates, one class of
Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.'s commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates, series 2014-CCRE18 (COMM 2014-CCRE18), and two
classes of COMM 2014-CCRE19 Mortgage Trust.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
COMM 2014-CCRE19
D 12592GAG8 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 12592GAJ2 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
COMM 2014-CCRE16
Mortgage Trust
B 12591VAH4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12591VAK7 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
D 12591VAQ4 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
E 12591VAS0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
F 12591VAU5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
PEZ 12591VAJ0 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
X-B 12591VAL5 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-C 12591VAN1 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
COMM 2014-CCRE17
B 12631DBE2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12631DBG7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 12631DAG8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
E 12631DAJ2 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
F 12631DAL7 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
PEZ 12631DBF9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
X-B 12631DAA1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
X-C 12631DAC7 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
COMM 2014-CCRE18
E 12632QAG8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Pool Concentration; Adverse Selection: The rating actions,
including the downgrades to classes C, PEZ and D in COMM
2014-CCRE16, reflect the distressed status or underperformance of
the remaining collateral, decreased valuations and/or collateral
quality, challenging office market conditions and potential
protracted loan workouts that can impair recoveries upon
disposition.
The Negative Outlooks reflect the potential for downgrades should
recovery expectations on the specially serviced loans worsen due to
continued performance declines, prolonged workouts and/or growing
loan exposures.
These four transactions are concentrated with six or fewer assets
remaining, with all the loans specially serviced and/or previously
modified. Due to these factors, Fitch conducted a look-through
analysis to determine the loans' expected recoveries and losses to
assess the outstanding classes' ratings relative to credit
enhancement (CE).
Fitch Loans of Concerns (FLOCs) comprise five loans (100% of the
pool) in COMM 2014-CCRE16 including four specially serviced loans
(84.5%), six loans (100%) in COMM 2014-CCRE17, all of which are in
special servicing, one loan (100.0%) in COMM 2014-CCRE18 which is
also in special servicing, and three loans (100%) in COMM
2014-CCRE19 including two specially serviced loans (49.2%).
Largest Contributor to Loss Expectations: The largest contributor
to loss expectations in COMM 2014-CCRE16 and COMM 2014-C17 is the
25 Broadway loan (64.4% of COMM 2014-CCRE16 and 49.3% of COMM
2014-CCRE17), which transferred to special servicing in March 2024
due to maturity default. The loan is secured by a 23-story, 951,998
sf office building located in the Financial District in Manhattan,
NY. Overall property occupancy has remained relatively stable;
however, cash flow remains below issuance. The loan continues to
perform under a forbearance agreement executed in July 2024 with
the forbearance period lasting 24 months-30 months. The servicer
reported occupancy is 89% as of June 2024 with a reported NCF DSCR
of 1.42x. The largest tenant is a private school, Leman Manhattan
Preparatory School (18.2% of the NRA), which repaid back rent due.
Fitch's expected loss of approximately 20.5% reflects a stress to
the most recent reported appraisal value and equates to
approximately $208 psf.
The second largest contributor to loss expectations in the COMM
2014-CCRE16 transaction is the real estate owned (REO) 555 West
59th Street (15.5% of the pool), which is a mixed-use property
located in midtown Manhattan and includes 12,520 sf of multilevel
retail and commercial space and 28,000 sf of parking garage space.
Per the YE 2023 rent roll, occupancy was 92.5%, in line with
historical performance, but cash flow has declined with NOI DSCR
down to 0.21x for the June 2023 reporting period.
The loan transferred to special servicing in July 2020 due to
payment default. The trust took title to the property in April
2024. Fitch's expected loss of approximately 93% reflects a stress
to the most recent reported appraisal value and equates to
approximately $157 psf.
The second largest contributor to loss expectations in the COMM
2014-CCRE17 transaction is the Cottonwood Mall loan (32.3% of the
pool), which is secured by 410,452 sf of a 1.05 million sf super
regional mall located in Albuquerque, NM. Non-collateral anchors
include Dillard's and JCPenney, as well as a vacant box previously
occupied by Sears, which vacated in 2018. Major collateral tenants
include Regal Cinemas (17.9% of collateral NRA) and Old Navy
(3.6%).
Collateral occupancy was approximately 90% per YE 2024 servicer
reporting, which compares to 97% as of September 2022, 93% at YE
2021 and pre-pandemic levels of 88.6% as of September 2019. The
servicer reported a NCF DSCR of 0.85x as of YE 2024.
The loan transferred to special servicing in June 2021 due to the
borrower filing for bankruptcy. Per servicer commentary, a receiver
was appointed in February 2022. Fitch's expected loss of
approximately 21.9% reflects a stress to the most recent reported
appraisal value.
The last remaining loan in COMM 2014-CCRE18 is Southfield Town
Center. The loan is secured by a five-building office complex
totaling 2.15 million sf in Southfield, MI. The property occupancy
is reported at 72.8% as of March 2025, with a servicer reported
March 2025 TTM NOI of $20.4MM. Borrower has signed a forbearance
through January 2026 with an extension option through December
2026. The loan is performing under the forbearance. The top two
tenants are Plante & Moran (8.7% of the NRA) and AlixPartners (6%),
on leases expiring in 2036 and 2030, respectively. Fitch's expected
loss of approximately 3% reflects a stress to the most recent
reported appraisal value.
The largest contributor to loss expectations in the COMM
2014-CCRE19 transaction is the 866 Third Avenue Retail loan (50.8%
of the pool), which is secured by a mixed-use (office, retail and
hotel) building located in Manhattan, NY. The retail tenants
include Duane Reade (54% of the NRA) and Wells Fargo (24.2%). The
loan transferred to special servicing in May 2024 due to imminent
maturity default and returned to the master servicer in April 2025.
The loan was modified and extended to August 2026. The reported YE
2024 occupancy was 100%.
Fitch's expected loss of approximately 37% reflects a 9.0% cap
rate, with a 7.5% stress to the YE 2024 NOI, and factors an
increased probability of default due to the prior maturity default
of the loan.
The second largest contributor to loss expectations in the COMM
2014-CCRE19 transaction is the 140 Second Street loan (25.2% of the
pool), secured by a 34,029 sf office property located in the
Financial District in San Francisco, CA. The subject experienced an
occupancy decline to 66% as of YE 2023 after Percolete Industries
(33.4% of the NRA) vacated at their March 2023 lease expiration.
The reported property occupancy remains at 66% as of March 2025,
and the property's cash flow was reported as negative.
The loan transferred to special servicing in November 2023 due to
payment default. Servicer commentary indicated the note is being
marketed with a pre-negotiated deed in lieu sale. Fitch's expected
loss of approximately 71.7% reflects a stress to the most recent
reported appraisal value.
Increased CE; Realized Losses: As of the July 2025 remittance
report, the pool's aggregate balances have been reduced by 83.0% in
COMM 2014-CCRE16, 78.5% in COMM 2014-CCRE17, 94.9% in COMM
2014-CCRE18, and 93.4% in the COMM 2014-CCRE19 transaction. All
loans have passed their initial scheduled maturity dates.
Each of the transactions have incurred realized losses to date
which include $41.6 million in COMM 2014-CCRE16, $15.9 million in
COMM 2014-CCRE17, $26.2 million in COMM 2014-CCRE18, and $13.8
million in COMM 2014-CCRE19. Cumulative interest shortfalls of $3.0
million are currently affecting classes E, F, and G in the COMM
2014-CCRE16 transaction, $6.6 million are affecting classes F, G,
and H in COMM 2014-CCRE17, $1.9 million are affecting classes F and
G in COMM 2014-CCRE18, and $793K is affecting Class H in COMM
2014-CCRE19.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks reflect the possibility for future downgrades
due to potential further declines in performance that could result
in higher expected losses on FLOCs and loans in special servicing.
These FLOCs include 25 Broadway, 555 West 59th Street and 252 West
37th Street in COMM 2014-CCRE16, 25 Broadway and Cottonwood Mall in
COMM 2014-CCRE17, Southfield Town Center in COMM 2014-CCRE18, and
866 Third Avenue Retail and 140 Second Street in COMM 2014-CCRE19.
If expected losses do increase, downgrades to these classes are
anticipated.
Downgrades to 'AAsf' category rated classes could occur if
deal-level expected losses increase significantly on larger FLOCs
and/or realized losses are significantly higher than anticipated.
Downgrades to 'Asf' and 'BBBsf' category rated classes could occur
if deal-level losses increase significantly on larger FLOCs.
Downgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category classes are possible with
higher expected losses from continued performance declines of the
FLOCs and higher certainty of losses on the loan's in special
servicing.
Downgrades to distressed classes would occur as losses become more
certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with stable
to improved pool-level loss expectations and performance
stabilization of FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'Asf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCCsf' through 'Csf' are not
expected, but are possible with better than expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COMM 2014-CCRE17: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to B1
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the rating on one class and downgraded
the ratings on five classes in COMM 2014-CCRE17 Mortgage Trust,
Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-CCRE17 as
follows:
Cl. B, Affirmed Baa1 (sf); previously on Sep 23, 2024 Downgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Sep 23, 2024 Downgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. D, Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 23, 2024
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. E, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Sep 23, 2024 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. PEZ, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Sep 23, 2024
Downgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. X-B*, Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Sep 23, 2024
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating on one P&I class, Cl. B, was affirmed because of its
credit support and the transaction's key metrics, including Moody's
loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, Moody's stressed debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR), are within acceptable ranges. Cl. B has already paid
down 24% from its original balance and will benefit from priority
of principal proceeds from any loan payoffs or resolutions.
The ratings on three P&I classes, Cl. C, Cl. D and Cl. E, were
downgraded due to the expected losses and increased risk of
interest shortfalls due to the full exposure to specially serviced
loans. All six loans remaining in the pool are currently in special
servicing and have now passed their original maturity dates. The
largest loan in the pool, 25 Broadway (49.3% of the pool), is
secured by an office building with declining occupancy and cash
flow. The second largest specially serviced loan, Cottonwood Mall
(32.3% of the pool), is secured by an underperforming regional mall
property that has suffered significant decline in performance in
recent years. Three of the specially serviced loans (15.5% of the
pool) have realized appraisal reductions of 39%, 50% and 38%,
respectively. As a result of the appraisal reduction, interest
shortfalls have increased significantly in recent months, and
Moody's expects these shortfalls to continue and potentially
increase due to the performance of the remaining loans in the
pool.
The rating on the interest-only (IO) class, Cl. X-B, was downgraded
based on the decline in credit quality of its referenced classes.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. PEZ, was downgraded due
to the decline in the credit quality of its reference classes
resulting from principal paydowns of higher quality reference
classes. Cl. PEZ originally referenced Cl. A-M, Cl. B and Cl. C,
however, the most senior referenced class, Cl. A-M, has paid off in
full.
Social risk for this transaction is higher (IPS S-4) and the
transaction's Credit Impact Score is CIS-4. Moody's regards
e-commerce competition as a social risk under Moody's ESG
framework. The rise in e-commerce and changing consumer behavior
presents challenges to brick-and-mortar discretionary retailers.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 48.0% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 49.2% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 11.7% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 11.9% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations" published in
January 2025.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 100% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determines a
probability of default for each specially serviced loan that it
expects will generate a loss and estimates a loss given default
based on a review of broker's opinions of value (if available),
other information from the special servicer, available market data
and Moody's internal data. The loss given default for each loan
also takes into consideration repayment of servicer advances to
date, estimated future advances and closing costs. Translating the
probability of default and loss given default into an expected loss
estimate, Moody's then apply the aggregate loss from specially
serviced loans to the most junior class(es) and the recovery as a
pay down of principal to the most senior class(es).
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the July 11, 2025, distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 78.5% to $256
million from $1.19 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by six mortgage loans ranging in size from less than
2.9% to 49.3% of the pool.
As of the July 2025 remittance report, all remaining loans are in
special servicing and have passed their original maturity dates.
One loan has been liquidated from the pool, contributing to an
aggregate realized loss of $15.9 million (for a loss severity of
25.2%).
Six loans, constituting 100% of the pool, are currently in special
servicing and Moody's have estimated an aggregate loss of $123.1
million (a 48.0% expected loss on average) from these specially
serviced loans. The largest specially serviced loan is the 25
Broadway loan ($126.4 million – 49.3% of the pool), which
represents a pari-passu portion of a $243 million first mortgage
loan. The loan is secured by a 22-story, 957,000 square feet (SF),
historic office building located in the financial district
submarket of Manhattan, New York. At securitization, the three
largest tenants were Lehman Manhattan Preparatory (20% of the NRA;
lease expiration in September 2030), Teach For America (18% of the
NRA; lease expiration in January 2032), and WeWork (14% of the NRA;
lease expiration in December 2034). In 2021, WeWork vacated prior
to the scheduled lease expiration. Lehman Manhattan Preparatory
defaulted on its lease obligations and failed to remit rent
payments from June 2023 through May 2025, until a new amended lease
agreement was executed. This resulted in a significant decline in
revenues and net operating income (NOI) and the loan transferred to
special servicing in March 2024 due to maturity default. A 24-month
forbearance agreement was executed in July 2024, which includes an
upfront principal curtailment of $15 million and provides the
option for an additional six-month extension. The loan has
continued to perform in accordance with the modification terms and
remains current on P&I payments. The borrower is actively pursuing
new leases and developing strategies for debt repayment.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Cottonwood Mall
loan ($82.7 million – 32.3% of the pool), which is secured by
approximately 410,000 SF portion of a 1.06 million SF
super-regional mall located in western Albuquerque, New Mexico. The
property is one of two regional malls in the area primarily serving
the area west of Interstate 25 and the Rio Grande River, including
the Rio Grande submarket. The loan originally transferred to
special servicing for imminent default in July 2020 due the
coronavirus impact on the property. The loan returned to the master
servicer in October 2020 but transferred back to special servicing
in June 2021 due to the guarantor filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
The borrower noted that they intend to transfer the ownership of
the asset back to the lender and a receiver was appointed in
February 2022. As of December 2024, the collateral occupancy rate
was 92%, including temporary tenants. Property performance has
continued to trend down with NOI declining approximately 50% since
securitization because of a decrease in revenues. The most recent
appraisal from December 2024 valued the property 49% below the
value at securitization but above the outstanding loan balance. The
loan has amortized 21.2% since securitization.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Crowne Plaza
Houston River Oaks Loan ($21.5 million – 8.4% of the pool), which
is secured by a 354-room full-service hotel located in Houston,
Texas. The property has not generated sufficient cash flow to cover
debt service since 2018. The loan transferred to special servicing
in June 2020 and became REO in February 2025. The most recent
appraisal from July 2024 valued the property 26% below the value at
securitization. The loan is last paid through its September 2020
payment date and has accrued approximately $8.0 million in loan
advances. As a result, an appraisal reduction of $8.3 million (39%
of the outstanding loan balance) has been recognized as of the July
2025 remittance statement. Per servicer commentary, the property
will be listed for sale upon completion of stabilized operations.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the Deerpath Plaza
Loan ($10.7 million – 4.2% of the pool), which is secured by a
two-story, 47,000 SF, office/retail mixed-use property located in
Lake Forest, Illinois. Additionally, the loan is encumbered by a
$2.25 million of mezzanine debt. The loan transferred to special
servicing in July 2020 after the borrower had become delinquent on
their debt service payments due to the coronavirus impact on the
property and became a REO in April 2025. The most recent appraisal
from October 2024 valued the property 55% below the value at
securitization. The loan is last paid through its November 2022
payment date and has accrued approximately $1.1 million in loan
advances. As a result, an appraisal reduction of $5.3 million (50%
of the outstanding loan balance) has been recognized as of the July
2025 remittance statement.
The remaining two specially serviced loans are secured by a
portfolio of a multifamily property and an office building located
in Evansville, Indiana, and a mixed-use property located in
Dundalk, Maryland.
As of the July 2025 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $6.6 million. Moody's anticipates interest
shortfalls will continue and may increase because of the exposure
to specially serviced loans and/or modified loans. Interest
shortfalls are caused by special servicing fees, including workout
and liquidation fees, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs),
loan modifications and extraordinary trust expenses.
CTM CLO 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to CTM CLO
2025-1 LTD.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
CTM CLO 2025-1
LTD.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-L LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
CTM CLO 2025-1 LTD. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CTM
Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.04 and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 97.25% first
lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.78% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CTM CLO 2025-1 LTD.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
DRYDEN 130: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Dryden 130
CLO Ltd./Dryden 130 CLO LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by PGIM Inc.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 29,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Dryden 130 CLO Ltd./Dryden 130 CLO LLC
Class A, $384.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $72.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1a (deferrable), $27.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-1b (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $7.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $19.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $51.53 million: Not rated
DRYDEN 86: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
X-R2, A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-R2, and C-R2 debt from Dryden 86 CLO Ltd.,
a CLO managed by PGIM Inc. that was originally issued in August
2020 and reset in July 2021. At the same time, S&P withdrew its
ratings on the class X-R, A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, and C-R debt following
payment in full on the July 24, 2025, refinancing date. S&P also
affirmed its ratings on the class D-R and E-R debt, which was not
refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 24, 2026.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the July 24, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remains the
same. There is no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is Oct. 17, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
Previous And Replacement Debt Issuances
Previous debt
-- Class X-R, $1.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.19%
-- Class A-1-R, $381.30 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.36%
-- Class A-2-R, $25.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.66%
-- Class B-R, $68.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.96%
-- Class C-R, $37.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.26%
Replacement debt
-- Class X-R2, $1.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 0.90%
-- Class A-1-R2, $381.30 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.13%
-- Class A-2-R2, $25.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.48%
-- Class B-R2, $68.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60%
-- Class C-R2, $37.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.90%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions."
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a lower rating on the class E-R debt. Given the overall
credit quality of the portfolio and the passing coverage tests, S&P
affirmed its rating on the class E-R note.
S&P will continue to review whether, in its view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary.
Ratings Assigned
Dryden 86 CLO Ltd.
Class X-R2, $1.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R2, $381.30 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R2, $25.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $68.80 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2, $37.50 million: A (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Dryden 86 CLO Ltd.
Class X-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-1-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to NR from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Dryden 86 CLO Ltd.
Class D-R: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Dryden 86 CLO Ltd.
Subordinated notes, $62.50 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
EFMT 2025-CES4: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class B-2 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to EFMT 2025-CES4.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
EFMT 2025-CES4
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by EFMT 2025-CES4, as indicated above. The
certificates are backed by 100% closed-end second lien (CES) loans
on residential properties. This is the fifth transaction to be
rated by Fitch that includes 100% CES loans off the EFMT shelf. The
transaction is scheduled to close on or about July 24, 2025.
The pool consists of 3,434 non-seasoned performing CES loans with a
current outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $281.91
million. The loans in the pool are mainly originated by
loanDepot.com (47.8%) and Lakeview Loan Servicing, LLC (23.1%),
which are both considered 'Acceptable' originators by Fitch.
Cornerstone Home Lending (RPS3/Positive) will be servicing 48.2% of
the loans, loanDepot.com (Acceptable) will service 47.8% of the
loans and the remaining 4.0% will be serviced by Nationstar
Mortgage LLC d/b/a Mr. Cooper (RPS2/RSS2/Stable). Nationstar
Mortgage LLC (RMS1-/Stable) is the master servicer.
Distributions of interest and principal are based on a sequential
structure, while losses are allocated reverse sequentially,
starting with the most subordinate class.
The servicers will not be advancing delinquent monthly payments of
principal and interest (P&I).
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans. Class A-1, A-2 and
A-3 certificates with respect to any distribution date prior to the
distribution date in August 2029 will have an annual rate equal to
the lower of (i) the applicable fixed rate set forth for such class
of certificates or (ii) the net weighted average coupon (WAC) for
such distribution date. On and after August 2029, the pass-through
rate will be a per annum rate equal to the lower of (i) the sum of
(a) the applicable fixed rate set forth in the table above for such
class of certificates and (b) the step-up rate (1.0%) or (ii) the
net WAC rate for the related distribution date.
The pass-through rate on the class M-1, B-1 and B-2 certificates
with respect to any distribution date and the related accrual
period will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the
applicable fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates or
(ii) the net WAC for such distribution date. The pass-through rate
on class B-3 certificates with respect to any distribution date and
the related accrual period will be an annual rate equal to the net
WAC for such distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.1% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% since
the prior quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable
home prices. Housing affordability is at its worst levels in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices had increased 2.7% yoy nationally as of April
2025, notwithstanding modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
High Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
3,434 performing, fixed-rate loans secured by CES on primarily one-
to four-family residential properties (including planned unit
developments [PUDs]), condos and townhouses totaling $281.91
million. The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit
profiles and relatively low leverage.
The loans are seasoned at an average of eight months, according to
Fitch, and six months per the transaction documents. The pool has a
weighted average (WA) original FICO score of 736, as determined by
Fitch, indicative of very high credit quality borrowers. About
38.6% of the loans, as determined by Fitch, have a borrower with an
original FICO score equal to or above 750. The original WA combined
loan-to-value ratio (cLTV) of 68.4%, as determined by Fitch,
translates to a sustainable LTV ratio (sLTV) of 76.7%.
The transaction documents stated a WA original LTV of 18.4% and a
WA cLTV of 64.7%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equity in
the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
cLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 93.7% were originated by a
retail channel. Based on Fitch's documentation review, it considers
100.0% of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 99.5% of the loans are owner occupied, 0.3% are second
homes and 0.1% are investor homes. Single-family homes, PUDs,
townhouses and single-family attached dwellings constitute 96.4% of
the pool; condos make up 3.6% and multifamily homes make up 0.03%.
The pool consists of 99.9% cashout refinances (cashouts) and 0.1%
purchase loans. (based on Fitch's analysis of the pool and per the
transaction documents). Fitch only considers loans a cashout if the
cashout amount is greater than 2% of the original balance.
None of the loans in the pool have a current balance over $1.0
million.
Of the pool of loans, 21.3% are concentrated in California. The
largest MSA concentration is the New York MSA (6.1%), followed by
the Los Angeles MSA (5.6%) and the Phoenix MSA (4.1%). The top
three MSAs account for 15.8% of the pool. As a result, no
probability of default (PD) penalty was applied for geographic
concentration.
As all of the loans are fully documented with high FICOs. Fitch's
prime loan loss model was used for the analysis of this pool.
Second Lien Collateral (Negative): The entire collateral pool
consists of CES loans originated by various originators (the main
originators are loanDepot.com and Lakeview Loan Servicing LLC).
Fitch assumed no recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second
lien loans, based on the historical behavior of the loans in
economic stress scenarios. Fitch assumes second lien loans default
at a rate comparable to first lien loans. After controlling for
credit attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I (Mixed):
The proposed structure is a sequential structure in which principal
is distributed, first, to the A-1 class and then sequentially to
the A-2, A-3, M-1, B-1, B-2 and B-3 classes. Interest is
prioritized in the principal waterfall, and any unpaid interest
amounts are paid prior to principal being paid.
The transaction has monthly excess cash flows that are used to
repay any realized losses incurred and then unpaid cap carryover
interest shortfalls.
A realized loss will occur if, after giving effect to the
allocation of the principal remittance amount and monthly excess
cash flow on any distribution date, the aggregate collateral
balance is less than the aggregate outstanding balance of the
outstanding classes. Realized losses will be allocated reverse
sequentially, with the losses allocated first to class B-3 and,
once the class A-2 is written off, class A-1 will take losses.
The transaction will have subordination and excess spread,
providing credit enhancement (CE) and protection from losses.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature/Best Execution (Positive): With respect
to any mortgage loan that becomes 180 days MBA delinquent, the
servicer will review, and may charge off, such mortgage loan (based
on an equity analysis review performed by the servicer) if such
review indicates no significant recovery is likely in respect of
such mortgage loan.
Fitch views the servicer conducting an equity analysis to determine
the best execution strategy for the liquidation of severely
delinquent loans as a positive, as the servicer and controlling
holder are acting in the best interest of the certificate holders
to limit losses on the transaction. The servicer deciding to write
off the losses at 180 days would compare favorably to a delayed
liquidation scenario, whereby the loss occurs later in the life of
the transaction and less excess is available. In its cash flow
analysis, Fitch assumed the loans would be written off at 180 days,
as this is the most likely scenario in a stressed case when there
is limited equity in the home.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.2%, at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration, with higher MVDs for all rated
classes compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those being
assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics, SitusAMC, Clarifii, and Digital
Risk. The third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused
on three areas: compliance review, credit review and valuation
review. Fitch considered this information in its analysis.
The review confirmed strong origination practices, with 98.7% of
the loans by count receiving a final grade of "A" or "B" and 1.3%
of loans receiving a final grade of "C". The 44 loans that received
a final grade of "C" had TRID-related compliance issues; however,
the loans have been clean pay since origination and the statute of
limitations for TRID will expire in the next six months. Fitch did
not give due diligence credit for the loans with a "C" grade. Based
on the results of the due diligence performed on the pool, Fitch
reduced the overall 'AAAsf' expected loss by 0.83%.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
Consolidated Analytics, SitusAMC, Clarifii, and Digital Risk. were
engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this engagement
were given compliance, credit and property grades, and assigned
initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions and waivers
were noted in the due diligence reports. Refer to the Third-Party
Due Diligence section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received
loan-level information based on the American Securitization Forum's
(ASF) data layout format, and the data are considered to be
comprehensive. The ASF data tape layout was established with input
from various industry participants, including rating agencies,
issuers, originators, investors and others to produce an industry
standard for the pool-level data in support of the U.S. RMBS
securitization market. The data contained in the ASF layout data
tape were reviewed by the due diligence companies, and no material
discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
EXETER SELECT 2025-2: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Exeter Select Automobile
Receivables Trust 2025-2's automobile receivables-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS transaction backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The ratings reflect:
-- The availability of approximately 42.32%, 36.22%, 27.77%,
21.11%, and 18.41% credit support (hard credit enhancement and
haircut to excess spread) for the class A (classes A-1, A-2, and
A-3, collectively), B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, based on
stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit support levels provide
at least 3.50x, 3.00x, 2.30x, 1.75x, and 1.50x coverage of S&P's
expected cumulative net loss of 12.00% for classes A, B, C, D, and
E, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.75x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'AAA
(sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB (sf)' ratings on
the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, will be within its
credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and repayment of principal by
the designated legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash
flow modeling scenarios for the assigned ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans, S&P's view of the collateral's credit risk, and
our updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the
auto finance sector.
-- S&P's assessment of the series' bank accounts at Citibank N.A.,
which does not constrain the ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Exeter Finance LLC as
servicer, along with its view of the company's underwriting and its
backup servicing arrangement with Citibank.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to the
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
Exeter Select Automobile Receivables Trust 2025-2
Class A-1, $47.000 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $131.470 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $73.685 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $26.840 million: AA (sf)
Class C, $43.660 million: A (sf)
Class D, $38.560 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $6.990 million: BB (sf)
FALCON 2019-1: Fitch Hikes Rating on Series C Notes to 'BBsf'
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded the series A and B notes issued by
Kestrel Aircraft Funding Limited to 'Asf' and 'BBBsf' from 'BBBsf'
and 'BBsf', respectively, and has assigned a Positive Outlook to
the series B note. Fitch has also upgraded the series A, B, and C
notes issued by Falcon 2019-1 Aerospace Limited to 'Asf', 'BBBsf',
and 'BBsf' from 'BBBsf', 'Bsf', and 'CCCsf', respectively, and
assigned Positive Outlooks to the series B and C notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Falcon 2019-1
Aerospace Limited
Series A 30610GAA1 LT Asf Upgrade BBBsf
Series B 30610GAB9 LT BBBsf Upgrade Bsf
Series C 30610GAC7 LT BBsf Upgrade CCCsf
Kestrel Aircraft
Funding Limited
A 49255PAA1 LT Asf Upgrade BBBsf
B 49255PAB9 LT BBBsf Upgrade BBsf
Transaction Summary
The ratings reflect current transaction performance, Fitch's cash
flow projections, and its expectation for the structures to
withstand rating-specific stresses under Fitch's criteria and cash
flow modeling. Lease terms, lessee credit quality and performance,
updated aircraft values, and Fitch's assumptions and stresses all
inform its modeled cash flows and coverage levels.
Kestrel and Falcon have both de-levered since its last review,
primarily driven by sooner than forecasted asset sales in both
transactions, and large end-of-lease (EOL) payments in the Falcon
transaction. Over the past 12 months Kestrel received $75 million
in sale proceeds, while Falcon received $42 million in sales
proceeds as well as $24 million in EOL payments. The upgrades
reflect improved loan to values (LTVs) for all of the notes and
improvements in outstanding principal balances versus scheduled.
The Positive Outlooks reflect the possibility of additional
aircraft sales, current cashflow generation relative to debt
service, and the size of the outstanding notes.
Overall Market Recovery
Demand for air travel continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace.
May YTD 2025 global passenger traffic measured in revenue passenger
kilometers (RPK) was up 5.8% compared to 2024, per the
International Air Travel Association. International traffic grew
8.1% YTD in RPK growth, and domestic traffic grew 2.1%. Growth
rates vary across geographies, with Asia-Pacific and Europe
continuing to lead the overall growth in traffic. North American
passenger traffic, however, had no growth as of May YTD 2025 versus
2024.
Aircraft Collateral and Asset Values
Aircraft ABS transaction servicers are reporting continued strong
demand for aircraft, particularly those with maintenance green time
remaining. In addition, appraiser market values are higher than
base values for many aircraft types, which has not occurred for
several years. Aircraft sale proceeds remain strong. Engines with
maintenance green time remaining are particularly in demand.
Macro Risks
Fitch recently revised its sector outlook for aircraft ABS to
'deteriorating' from 'neutral'. This change reflects expectations
for a slowdown in global air travel growth, consistent with its
forecast for weaker global GDP in 2025 and 2026. Global air travel
is highly correlated to global GDP. Fitch also expects increased
divergence in performance across several categories, including
domestic versus international travel, geographic footprint, lessee
credit strength, and aircraft type and age.
Some domestic markets have contracted through May 2025, and there
is significant uncertainty about how trade relations and conflicts
will be resolved. Conclusive resolutions to tariff conflicts, for
example, may prompt Fitch to reevaluate its sector outlook.
Despite an anticipated slowdown in the growth rate of air travel,
Fitch expects aircraft values will remain supported by the ongoing
under-supply of aircraft. This is driven by continued impediments
to the construction and delivery of new aircraft and by engine shop
capacity issues that reduce total capacity. Fitch expects these
supply-side constraints to mitigate demand reductions.
ABS performance may be affected by deteriorating credit quality of
airline lessees. Despite benefiting from longer-term fixed rental
leases and staggered lease expiries, given sufficient financial
headwinds, some airlines may seek payment relief in the form of
restructures which could reduce cash flows to ABS. Fitch expects
securitizations with younger to mid-life aircraft and with adequate
lessee quality and diversification to be better positioned to
withstand potential pressures on cash flows needed to meet debt
service.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The Fitch Value for the Falcon and Kestrel pools are $198MM and
$159MM, respectively, a decrease of $25 million (11%) and $81
million (34%) over the last 12 months. Fitch used the most recent
appraisals as of December 2024 and applied depreciation and market
value decline assumptions pursuant to its criteria. Fitch Values
are generally derived from base values unless the remaining
leasable life is less than three years in which case a market value
is used. Fitch then uses the lesser of mean and median of the given
value.
Using the Fitch Value, the changes in LTVs since Fitch's prior
review are as follows:
- Falcon: A note 66.1% to 46.5%; B note 88.4% to 52.9%; C note
104.3% to 67.8%;
- Kestrel: A note 62.1% to 56.1%; B note 78.0% to 66.6%.
Falcon and Kestrel's mean maintenance-adjusted base value (MABV)
(depreciated from the appraisal effective date to June 2025) are
$187 million and $163 million, respectively.
Tiered Collateral Quality: The Falcon pool consists of 11
narrowbody (NB) aircraft, one widebody (WB) aircraft, and an engine
with the majority characterized as mid-life aircraft
(weighted-average [WA] age of 16.8 years). The Kestrel pool
consists of eight narrowbody (NB) aircraft (one of which is
consigned for sale), one widebody (WB) aircraft, two turbo props
(TP) and an engine, with the majority characterized as mid-life
aircraft (weighted-average [WA] age of 15.5 years). Fitch utilizes
three tiers when assessing the desirability and liquidity of
aircraft collateral: tier one which is the most liquid, and tier
three which is the least liquid. Additional details regarding
Fitch's tiering methodology can be found here.
As aircraft age, Fitch's aircraft tiering migrates; the weighted
average tier for the Falcon and Kestrel portfolios are 2.13 and
2.18 respectively.
Pool Concentration: Falcon sold two aircraft, one airframe and an
engine since the prior review. Thirteen assets remain in the pool;
12 aircraft are on lease, and one engine is off lease. Kestrel sold
four aircraft since Fitch's prior review. The pool currently
includes 12 assets: 10 aircraft on lease, one engine off lease but
slated for installation on a leased aircraft, and one airframe for
sale under a consignment arrangement.
Falcon is reasonably diversified across regions with 30.3% exposure
to Emerging Asia Pacific, 17.4% to Developed Asia Pacific, 17.3% to
Developed North America, 12.0% to Emerging Europe & CIS, 11.3% to
Developed Europe, and 9.7% to Emerging South & Central America.
Kestrel is reasonably diversified across regions with 35.4%
exposure to Emerging South & Central America, 33.3% to Emerging
Asia Pacific, 14.2% to Emerging Middle East & Africa, 12.6% to
Emerging Europe & CIS.
Lessee Credit Risk: Fitch considers the credit risk posed by the
pool of lessees in Falcon and Kestrel moderate. The WA credit
rating by FV is between 'CCC' to 'CCC+' in both transactions. This
profile is comparable to, but on the low side of, other aircraft
ABS transactions. Delinquencies in both transactions have increased
modestly since Fitch's prior review.
Operation and Servicing Risk: Fitch views Dubai Aerospace
Enterprise (DAE) LTD as an effective servicer based on its
experience as a lessor, overall servicing capabilities and
historical ABS performance to date.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- An increase in delinquencies, lower lease rates, or sales of
aircraft below Fitch's projections could lead to a downgrade;
- Fitch ran a sensitivity with concurrent down sensitivities. The
scenario included: all future lessees assumed to be rated 'CCC',
highest appraised value removed when calculating the Fitch Value,
and downtimes for all leases extended five months. Additionally,
for Kestrel, rental cashflows associated with previous arrearages
were removed. This scenario results in a zero- to one-notch
decrease in the model implied ratings for both transactions;
- Fitch ran a sensitivity related to reduced disposition values and
the timing of future aircraft sales. This sensitivity assumed
aircraft sales occurred at or around the transactions' ARD dates
combined with an approximate 20% decrease in modelled disposition
values. This scenario results in a zero- to one -notch decrease in
the model implied ratings for both transactions.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The aircraft ABS sector has a rating cap of 'Asf'. All
subordinate tranches carry ratings lower than the senior tranche;
- If contractual lease rates outperform modeled cash flows or
lessee credit quality improves materially, this may lead to an
upgrade. Similarly, if assets in the pool display higher values and
stronger rent generation than Fitch's stressed scenarios this may
also lead to an upgrade;
- Fitch ran a sensitivity related to the timing of future aircraft
sales. If the remaining aircraft are sold before or around the
transactions ARD dates, the model implied ratings would increase by
zero to two-notch for both transactions;
- Fitch ran a sensitivity related to the lessee credit quality in
both the Falcon and Kestrel pools. Fitch assigns a credit rating of
'CCC' or lower to more than half of lessees in the pools. The
sensitivity assumes all current lessees are rated 'B' or at their
current rating if higher than 'B', and that all future lessees are
rated 'B.' This scenario results in a zero- to one-notch increase
in the model implied ratings for both transactions;
- Fitch also considers jurisdictional concentrations per its
"Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Country Risk Rating
Criteria," which could result in rating caps lower than 'Asf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
FLATIRON CLO 32: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Flatiron CLO 32 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Flatiron CLO 32 Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Flatiron CLO 32 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by NYL
Investors LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 23.63, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 98.45% first
lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.57% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 10% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with that of other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.2-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Flatiron CLO 32
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
GOLUB 41(B)-R2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Golub
Capital Partners CLO 41(B)-R2, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Golub Capital
Partners CLO
41(B)-R2, Ltd.
A-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Golub Capital Partners CLO 41(B)-R2, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is
managed by OPAL BSL LLC. The original transaction closed in April
2019 and was refinanced in February 2021. On the second refinancing
date, net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $425 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 25.97, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 99.11% first
lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.51% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 49% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with that of other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-R2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R2,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D-1-R2, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for
class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Golub Capital
Partners CLO 41(B)-R2, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
GREENSKY HOME 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to GreenSky
Home Improvement Issuer Trust 2025-2 (GSKY 2025-2).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GreenSky Home
Improvement
Issuer Trust
2025-2
A1 ST F1+sf New Rating F1+(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
GSKY 2025-2 is a discrete trust ultimately backed by economic
participations in unsecured, fixed-rate home improvement (HI) loans
totaling $750 million and originated by Goldman Sachs Bank USA —
about 13.2% of the initial pool balance (IPB; as of June 3, 2025)
— and Synovus Bank — about 86.8% of IPB through a lending
program administered by GreenSky, LLC (GreenSky) on behalf of
federal or state-chartered lenders through a network of merchants
(the GreenSky Program). GreenSky is the program sponsor for the
GreenSky Program, administrator for this transaction and, together
with its subsidiary GreenSky Servicing, LLC and other affiliates,
servicer of the loans underlying the economic participations.
GSKY 2025-2 is the eighth Rule 144A ABS transaction of economic
participations in loans originated through the GreenSky Program,
the fourth Rule 144A ABS transaction issued under the GreenSky Home
Improvement Issuer Trust (GSKY) shelf and the first to be rated by
Fitch.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Consistent Receivable Quality: GSKY 2025-2 is backed by economic
participations in an asset pool of unsecured HI loans made mainly
to prime obligors (FICO scores lower than 700 account for 4.7% of
IPB) in the U.S. originated by Goldman Sachs Bank USA and Synovus
Bank through the GreenSky Program. The GreenSky Program offers
three core loan products: reduced rate loans, zero interest loans
and deferred interest loans. Deferred interest loans have a
promotional period of typically up to 24 months during which the
full principal balance can be paid off with no interest due (and
interest billed during such promotional period will be reversed if
the principal is paid in full during the promotional period).
Certain deferred interest loans require no payments during the
promotional period, while other deferred interest loans require
payments during the promotional period. Loan proceeds are earmarked
for heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems,
kitchens and bathrooms, basement projects, and windows,
solar/energy efficiency products and other HI products and
services.
The characteristics of the initial asset pool are generally in line
with those of prior GreenSky transactions as well as peer HI
lenders. The weighted average (WA) FICO score of the asset pool is
781. The WA original term of the asset pool is 110 months and the
WA loan seasoning is 7.3 months.
Asset Pool Assumptions: Fitch's WA lifetime base case lifetime
default rate assumption is 5.97%, based on the mix of product type
and FICO scores for the asset pool. Fitch assumed a rating case
default multiple of 5.2x at the 'AAAsf' rating level, assessed at
the median-high end of the range of Fitch's applicable rating
criteria. It primarily reflects the limited origination-specific
performance data history. Therefore, the assumed lifetime default
rate for the asset pool is 31.1% at the 'AAAsf' rating level. Fitch
applied an 18% base case recovery rate on defaulted loans, based on
historical recoveries and forward-looking expectations. Fitch
applies a rating-dependent recovery haircut at the higher end of
the range provided by Fitch's consumer ABS rating criteria, equal
to 60% at 'AAAsf', hence resulting in an assumed recovery rate at
'AAAsf' of 10.8%.
In its analysis, Fitch differentiated prepayment rates according to
product type as the deferred products feature a promotional period
during which either no principal and interest is due, or just no
interest, depending on the type of product. The assumed base case
WA prepayment rate is 20.4% per annum (pa) during the promotional
period and 16.2% pa thereafter, also based on the mix of FICO score
in the asset pool. All other asset pool and cash flow modeling
assumptions are as described within Fitch's applicable rating
criteria and throughout this commentary.
Transaction Structure: GSKY 2025-2 financed the purchase of the
asset pool via eight classes of rated notes (class A-1, A-2, A-3,
A-4, B, C, D and E notes; together, the notes). The notes pay a
monthly fixed interest rate set at closing, with the first payment
date in August 2025. Credit enhancement (CE) to the notes is
provided by overcollateralization (OC; initially equal to 4.42% of
95% of the asset balance as of the June 3, 2025 cutoff date), OC
via the subordination of more junior notes, a fully funded
non-amortizing reserve fund sized at 0.50% of the initial notes
balance over 95%, as well as excess spread to the extent generated
by the asset pool (initially estimated at 6.4% pa).
The structure envisages an OC build-up to a target of 5.75% of 95%
of the outstanding asset pool, with a floor of 0.50% of 95% of the
initial asset pool. In addition, the target OC for class A notes is
36.5%. Total hard CE at closing (as a percentage of 95% of the
initial asset pool, including reserve fund and excluding excess
spread) is 27.3%, 19.0%, 13.7%, 8.3% and 4.9% for class A, B, C, D
and E notes, respectively.
Adequate Servicing Capabilities: Under the transaction structure,
Synovus Bank will hold the legal title and servicing rights to the
underlying HI loans. GreenSky, together with its subsidiary
GreenSky Servicing, LLC and other affiliates, and Systems &
Services Technologies, Inc. (SST) will act as servicer and backup
servicer, respectively, for the transaction upon closing and on
behalf of and as agent for the origination partner (Synovus Bank).
The servicer causes collections from the asset pool to be
transferred to an origination partner designated account within two
business days of receipt, and then to the payment account held with
Wilmington Trust, National Association (classified as a transaction
account bank under Fitch's counterparty criteria) on the following
business day. Fitch reviewed the potential commingling exposure of
three days of collections, sized at about 20 bps of the initial
asset pool, and considered the exposure immaterial considering the
credit protection available to the rated notes.
Minimum counterparty ratings as well as replacement and other
counterparty-related provisions in the transaction documents are in
line with Fitch's counterparty criteria. Fitch views backup
servicing arrangements and mitigants to servicer disruption risk as
in line with ratings up to 'AAAsf'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
For its sensitivity analysis, Fitch examines the magnitude of the
multiplier compression by projecting expected cash flows and loss
coverage levels over the life of investments under default
assumptions that are higher and recovery assumptions that are lower
than the initial base case.
An increase in base case defaults by 50% may lead to downgrades up
to -2 notches.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by reduced
delinquencies and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and
consideration for potential upgrades.
A decrease in base case defaults by 50% may lead to upgrades up to
3 categories.
CRITERIA VARIATION
In its analysis of the transaction, Fitch applied a criteria
variation to its "Consumer ABS Rating Criteria." Fitch's "Consumer
ABS Rating Criteria" stipulates a maximum of one notch deviation
between the model implied rating (MIR) derived under Fitch's cash
flow modeling (via Fitch's Solar Loans ABS Cash Flow Model) and
assigned ratings, when assigning ratings to a new ABS issuance.
For class C, D and E notes, Fitch assigned ratings below the MIR in
excess of one notch (minus three notches for all classes), given
the subordinate position of these tranches and resulting reliance
on excess spread generated by the structure, as well as the
increased sensitivity of the default trigger to its default
assumptions and default timing.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2014-GC26: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'Bsf'
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded four classes of GS Mortgage Securities
Trust Series 2014-GC26 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates (GSMS 2014-GC26). Following the downgrades, Negative
Rating Outlooks were assigned to the four classes.
Fitch has also downgraded four classes of Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates series
2014-GC25 (CGCMT 2014-GC25). Following the downgrades, Negative
Rating Outlooks were assigned to the four classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2014-GC26
B 36250HAK9 LT BBsf Downgrade Asf
C 36250HAM5 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
PEZ 36250HAL7 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
X-B 36250HAH6 LT BBsf Downgrade Asf
CGCMT 2014-GC25
B 17322YAG5 LT BBsf Downgrade Asf
C 17322YAH3 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
PEZ 17322YAL4 LT Bsf Downgrade BBsf
X-B 17322YAK6 LT BBsf Downgrade Asf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations; Adverse Selection: The
downgrades in both transactions reflect higher pool expected losses
on the few remaining assets. It also reflects the classes'
dependence on defaulted/distressed assets for recovery and
uncertainty of recovery timing. Additionally, there is a risk of
increasing interest shortfalls if servicer advancing is reduced or
halted, which could result in interrupted payments to bondholders.
Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss has increased to 50.7% in GSMS
2014-GC26 and 58.6% in CGCMT 2014-GC25. The GSMS 2014-GC26
transaction has five loans remaining, including four loans (71.5%)
in special servicing. The CGCMT 2014-GC25 transaction has four
loans remaining, all of which are in special servicing.
Due to the rising concentration and adverse selection within these
pools, Fitch performed a recovery and liquidation analysis that
factored in an assessment of the likelihood of repayment and/or
expected loss, as well as the timing of any recoveries.
The Negative Outlooks in both transactions reflect the potential
for additional downgrades due to the high concentration of
specially serviced loans and if recovery expectations worsen due to
ongoing performance declines, prolonged workouts, and/or increasing
loan exposures. Additionally, office concentration is high,
comprising 67% of GSMS 2014-GC26 and 100% of CGCMT 2014-GC25.
FLOCs and Largest Loss Contributors: The largest contributor to
overall loss expectations in GSMS 2014-GC26 is the REO Queen
Ka'ahumanu Center asset (32% of the pool), a 570,904-sf open-air
regional mall located in Kahului, HI. The loan transferred to
special servicing in June 2020 for imminent default and the asset
became REO in June 2022. The property is not currently listed for
sale and as of October 2024, the entire site was rezoned for a
potential redevelopment of the asset.
The subject mall is anchored by a Macy's Men's, Children's and Home
(14.5% of NRA through November 2034) and a Macy's (14.0%; October
2034). Sears (13.6%) closed in 2021. The mall had a six-screen
movie theater, Consolidated Theatres Ka'ahumanu 6, (4.9%), which
closed in July 2023. At YE 2024, the mall was 55% occupied but has
prospective leasing opportunities including a 6,000-sf lease and
the renewal of Foodland Grocery.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 69.5% (prior to concentration
add-ons) considers a stress to the most recent appraisal value,
reflecting a stressed value of approximately $53 psf.
The second largest increase to loss expectations in GSMS 2014-GC26
is the 1201 North Market Street loan (29.3%), secured by a 23-story
office tower and data colocation center located in the Wilmington,
DE CBD. The 447,439-sf property is the tallest building in
Wilmington and home to several law firms, financial services and
technology companies. The loan transferred to the special servicer
in November 2024 after the borrower indicated an inability to repay
the loan at maturity.
Major tenants at the property include Morris Nichols Arsht &
Tunnell (18.5% of NRA through December 2028), DaSTOR Wilmington
(7.7%; December 2037), The Siegfried Group (6.7%; October 2028) and
Maron Marvel Bradley (4.6%; May 2033).
As of YE 2024, the property was 73% occupied, compared to 71% at YE
2023, 73% at YE 2022 and 77% at YE 2021. The servicer-reported NOI
DSCR was 1.12x at YE 2024, compared to 1.15x at YE 2023, 1.14x at
YE 2022 and 1.16x at YE 2021.
Per the servicer, foreclosure was filed in June 2025 and
discussions regarding workout alternatives will continue.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 51.8% (prior to concentration
add-ons) considers a stress to the most recent appraisal value,
reflecting a stressed value of approximately $80 psf.
The third largest loan in GSMS 2014-GC26 is the 5599 San Felipe
loan (28.4%), secured by a 450,508-sf, 20-story office building
located in the Galleria District of Houston, TX.
The largest tenant, Schlumberger Technology Corporation (69.7% of
NRA through July 2027), is a creditworthy tenant and has been at
the property since 1994. The remainder of the rent roll is
diversified, with the second largest tenant, Hibernia Resources IV
(lease expiry in January 2027), accounting for 2.4% of the NRA.
As of the March 2024 rent roll, the property was 94.0% occupied,
compared to 89.7% in June 2021 and 96.3% in March 2020. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 1.41x at YTD June 2025 compared to
1.59x at YE 2023, 1.43x at YE 2022, and 1.00x at YE 2021. According
to Costar, the Galleria/Uptown office submarket reported a vacancy
rate of 34.8%. The loan remains current and the maturity has been
extended through November 2027.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 19.4% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 9.5% cap rate, 5% stress to the YE 2023 NOI,
and factors an elevated probability of default because of the
larger leases expire in 2027 prior to the extended maturity date in
November 2027, and potential for re-default.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations in CGCMT
2014-GC25 (and the fourth largest contributor to overall loss
expectations in GSMS 2014-GC26) is the Bank of America Plaza loan
(63.7% in GCMT 2014-GC25 and 9.2% in GSMS 2014-GC26), which is
secured by a 1.4 million-sf, LEED Gold certified, office building
located in downtown Los Angeles, CA. Major tenants include Capital
Group Companies (26.6% of the NRA through February 2033), and Bank
of America (14.7%; June 2029). The loan transferred to special
servicing in July 2024 for imminent maturity default ahead of its
scheduled September 2024 maturity date. In April 2025, special
servicer filed a foreclosure complaint. The servicer is also
reviewing a modification request from the borrower; however details
were not provided.
As of the YE 2024 rent roll, the property was 79% occupied with an
interest-only NOI DSCR of 2.23x. According to CoStar, the subject
is located in the Downtown Los Angeles office submarket, which has
a reported vacancy rate of 16.2%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 59.0% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based on a 20% stress to the appraisal value reflecting
a stressed value of approximately $119 psf.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in
CGCMT 2014-GC25 is The Pinnacle at Bishop's Woods loan (16.1%),
secured by a three-building 247,433-sf suburban office portfolio
located in Brookfield, WI. The loan transferred to special
servicing in March 2022 due to imminent monetary default after the
borrower was no longer willing to support the asset. An appointed
receiver is focused on marketing space for lease in order to
stabilize performance and the servicer is pursuing foreclosure
The largest tenants include Pentair Residential Filtration, LLC
(17.9% of the NRA through October 2026), Travelers Indemnity
Company (11.1%; October 2026), Dewitt Ross & Stevens (10.1%; July
2030), and Windstream (5.0%; May 2025). As of YE 2024, the property
was 57% occupied, down from 59% at YE 2023, 66% in May 2022, and
67% at YE 2021.
Fitch's expected loss of 46.8% considers a stress to a recent
appraisal value, reflecting a stressed value of approximately $68
psf.
The third contributor to overall loss expectations in CGCMT
2014-GC25 is the Stamford Plaza Portfolio loan (15.6%), secured by
four office properties totaling 982,483-sf located in Stamford, CT.
The loan transferred to special servicing in August 2024 for
maturity default. The servicer is dual tracking foreclosure and
workout discussions with the borrower.
Occupancy was 67% as of YE 2024, compared with 69% as of YE 2023,
65.2% at YE 2022, 63% at YE 2021, and 90% at issuance. Major
tenants include Icon International (6.2% of NRA through December
2029), PWC (2.5%; December 2029) and LOXO (4.7%; February 2028).
Due to the occupancy decline, the servicer-reported NOI DSCR has
remained below 1.0x since YE 2018. According to CoStar, the subject
is in the Stamford office submarket, which reported a vacancy rate
of 21.6% and average asking rents of approximately $38.35 psf.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 56.5% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 20% stress to the most recent appraisal value
reflecting a stressed value of approximately $123 psf.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the June 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate balance in GSMS 2014-GC26 has been
reduced by 80.0% to $251.1 million from $1.26 billion at issuance.
Since issuance, loans have been repaid or disposed of, resulting in
realized losses of $30.3 million affecting the non-rated class H.
As of the June 2025 distribution date, the pool's aggregate balance
in CGCMT 2014-GC25 has been reduced by 79.5% to $172.6 million from
$842.0 million at issuance. Since issuance, loans have been repaid
or disposed of, resulting in realized losses of $1.9 million
affecting the non-rated class G.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated classes will occur with
higher expected losses from specially serviced loans and/or as
losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated classes are not anticipated
given pool adverse selection and concentration of defaulted loans;
however are possible with significantly higher valuations or
recoveries on the remaining loans.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2017-GS5: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to BB-sf
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded seven and affirmed six classes of GS
Mortgage Securities Trust 2017-GS5 (GSMS 2017-GS5). Fitch has also
assigned Negative Rating Outlooks to four classes following their
downgrades. The Outlooks remain Stable for three of the affirmed
classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GS Mortgage Securities
Trust 2017-GS5
A-3 36252HAC5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36252HAD3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36252HAE1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36252HAH4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
B 36252HAJ0 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
C 36252HAK7 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
D 36252HAL5 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
E 36252HAQ4 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
F 36252HAS0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-A 36252HAF8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-B 36252HAG6 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
X-C 36252HAY7 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
X-D 36252HAN1 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss increased to 11.4% from 9.2% at Fitch's prior rating action.
Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs) comprise eight loans (36.1% of the
pool), including four loans (22.0%) in special servicing.
The downgrades reflect higher pool loss expectations since the
prior rating action driven by further performance deterioration and
refinance concerns on FLOCs, particularly Lafayette Centre (office;
8.7%), 700 Broadway (office; 5.4%) and 20 West 37th Street
(mixed-use office/retail; 2.9%), along with sustained high loss
expectations from limited performance stabilization on 604 Mission
Street (office; 1.7%) and Writer Square (mixed-use office/retail;
6.3%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect the high office concentration in the
pool of 49.3% and possible further downgrade without performance
stabilization and improved refinance prospects of these FLOCs.
Largest Loss Contributors and Loss Increases since Prior Rating
Action: The largest increase in loss expectations since the prior
rating action is the 700 Broadway loan, secured by a 424,771-sf
medical office property in Denver, CO. Anthem developed the
property in 1973, and it was owner-occupied until 2014 when it was
sold in the form of a NNN sale-leaseback transaction. Anthem has
been located at the subject for over 50 years as a mission-critical
data center on site.
Elevance Health (Anthem) previously occupied 86% of NRA and
accounted for approximately 88% of the in-place base rents. Upon
its December 2024 lease expiration, Elevance Health vacated most of
its space, downsizing from 365K sf to 106K sf (25.1%). Following
the downsizing of the largest tenant, NOI DSCR is estimated to have
fallen below 1.0x from 2.67x as of Q3 2024. As of the March 2025
rent roll, the property was 26.6% occupied, down from 94% at YE
2023. The only other tenant at the property as of the most recent
rent roll is Orban, Sillverman & Poulos (1.4%; lease expiry in June
2027).
The loan transferred to special servicing in October 2024 for
imminent monetary default. The loan had been previously 30 days
delinquent in May and June 2025 but was brought current in July
2025. As of the July 2025 reporting, there was approximately $7.6
million in loan reserves.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 36.3% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 10% cap rate and sustainable cash flow derived
from the annualized Q2 2023 NOI, factoring in submarket vacancy.
Fitch's analysis also incorporates an increased probability of
default to account for heightened maturity and refinance risk.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and the largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations is
the Lafayette Centre loan, which is secured by a 793,533-sf office
property in Washington, D.C. (three office buildings connected by
an outdoor plaza and a below-grade mall level).
The loan transferred to special servicing in June 2024 for imminent
monetary default as the largest tenant, U.S. Commodity Futures
Trading Commission (CFTC), will be vacating and not renewing its
lease, which expires in September 2025. The tenant represents 37%
of the NRA and approximately 60% of the total rent. Additionally,
Medstar, the second largest tenant, leases 14.2% of the NRA through
2031, but has a termination option in 2026. The termination option
has a $9.4 million penalty, if exercised.
According to the March 2024 rent roll, the property was 76%
occupied with a servicer-reported NOI DSCR of 1.99x as of YE 2023.
According to servicer updates, the borrower executed a
pre-negotiation letter and discussions are ongoing regarding a
possible consensual receivership and leasing opportunities with
current and new tenants. According to CoStar, as of 1Q25, the
Washington, D.C., CBD office submarket market reported a 20%
vacancy rate, 24.1% availability rate and $54.84 psf market asking
rent.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 28.6% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 9.50% cap rate and 15% stress to the TTM March
2024 NOI to account for occupancy declines, higher submarket
vacancy rate and imminent loss of the largest tenant. Fitch's
analysis also incorporates an increased probability of default to
account for heightened maturity and refinance risk.
The third largest increase in loss since the prior rating action is
the 20 West 37th Street loan, secured by an 82,350-sf mixed-use
property (office/retail) located in Manhattan's Garment District.
The loan was previously in special servicing before returning to
the master servicer in July 2023 as a corrected mortgage. In
January 2024, the loan transferred back to the special servicer and
a receiver was appointed in September 2024. According to the July
2025 commentary, the special servicer is working to take title and
sell the asset.
As of the March 2025 rent roll, the property was 33.3% occupied,
unchanged from April 2024, but down from 52.6% in March 2023, 61%
at YE 2021 and 94% at YE 2019. The remaining tenants at the
property include Matrix New World (8.6%; November 2027), JTTC JV
Electric (7.9%; January 2026), Tri Center (7.9%; August 2029) and
New York Cue Club (7.9%; January 2029).
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 42.4% (prior to concentration
add-ons) considers a haircut to the most recent appraisal value,
reflecting a stressed value of $221 psf.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Writer Square loan, which is secured by a 180,705-sf mixed-use
office/retail property located in Denver, CO. The loan transferred
to special servicing in December 2021 at the borrower's request due
to cash flow issues.
The former largest tenant, Blue Moon Digital, occupied 17.2% of the
NRA on a lease through September 2024, vacated upon lease
expiration. The current largest tenants at the property include
Cresa Global Inc (5.0% of NRA; lease expiry in February 2028),
Overland Sheepskin Co (3.7%; April 2026), and Medilogix (3.6%; June
2026). As of the January 2025 rent roll, the property was 36%
occupied, down from 57% in June 2023, 68% in June 2022, 75% in
September 2021, 77% at YE 2020, and 81% at YE 2019. Approximately
3.2% of the NRA is rolling in 2025 and 12.4% in 2026.
Although the servicer-reported NOI DSCR has been below 1.0x since
YE 2020, the loan has remained current or was reported as less than
30 days delinquent over the past year. As of the July 2025
reporting, the loan is paid through June 2025 and was less than 30
days delinquent.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 37.6% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects an 10% cap rate, 40% stress to the YE 2019 NOI
and factors a heightened probability of default.
The fifth largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
604 Mission Street loan, secured by a 26,794-sf office property in
San Francisco, CA. The loan transferred to special servicing in
August 2023 due to non-monetary default resulting from a
non-compliance with cash management. The borrower transferred the
property to the lender, and foreclosure was completed in September
2024. The special servicer is actively leasing the property in
preparation for its sale.
Per the May 2025 rent roll, the property was 72.3% occupied,
compared to 55.1% in August 2024, 67% in June 2022, 74% at YE 2021,
95% at YE 2020 and 90% at issuance. The largest tenants include
Agenthub Inc (10.1%; August 2026), Cogent Security Inc (10.1%;
February 2027) and Conductor One (9.8%; January 2026). Per CoStar
as of 2Q25, San Francisco continues to show weak market
fundamentals, with the South Financial District submarket reporting
a vacancy rate of 27.8% and market asking rent of $55.60 psf.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 78.7% (prior to concentration
add-ons) considers the most recent appraisal value, reflecting a
stressed value of $210 psf.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the July 2025
distribution date, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by
10.4% to $952.0 million from $1.06 billion at issuance. Seventeen
loans (10.6% of the pool) have been fully defeased. The pool
comprises 13 loans (66%) that are full-term interest-only (IO) and
the remaining 34% is amortizing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades to 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur;
- Downgrades to the 'AAsf' rated classes could occur should
performance of the FLOCs, most notably from Writer Square,
Lafayette Centre, 604 Mission Street, 700 Broadway, and 20 West
37th Street, deteriorate further or if more loans than expected
default at or prior to maturity;
- Downgrades for the 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf' categories are likely with
higher-than-expected losses from continued underperformance of the
FLOCs, particularly the aforementioned office loans with
deteriorating performance and with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans or other FLOCs;
- Downgrades to the 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf'' rated class would occur
should additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or
default, or as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades to classes rated 'AAsf' may be possible with
significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled
with stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and improved
performance on the FLOCs, which includes Writer Square, Lafayette
Centre, 604 Mission Street, 700 Broadway, and 20 West 37th Street;
- Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' rated classes would be limited based on
sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls;
- Upgrades to the 'BBsf' rated classes are not likely until the
later years in a transaction and only if the performance of the
remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs are better than
expected, and there is sufficient CE to the classes;
- Upgrades to distressed 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf' ratings are not
expected, but possible with better-than-expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GSF 2025-AXMF1: Fitch Affirms 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded the expected ratings for classes A-1,
A-2, A-S, and B of GSF 2025-AXMF1 Issuer LLC. Fitch has also
affirmed the existing expected ratings for classes C, D, E, F, and
X. This is related to GSF 2025-AXMF1 Issuer LLC Ramp No. 1.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSF 2025-AXMF1
Issuer LLC
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Upgrade A(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Upgrade A(EXP)sf
A-S LT AAA(EXP)sf Upgrade A(EXP)sf
B LT AA-(EXP)sf Upgrade A(EXP)sf
C LT A-(EXP)sf Affirmed A-(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Affirmed BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Affirmed BB-(EXP)sf
F LT NR(EXP)sf Affirmed NR(EXP)sf
X LT A-(EXP)sf Affirmed A-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction was given expected ratings by Fitch in January
2025. At that time, the loan pool consisted of two c closed loans
and three delayed closed loans with a balance of $40,368,000. Given
the small pool by balance and loan count, a rating cap of "Asf' was
applied.
The purpose of this rating action is to rate Ramp No. 1 and remove
the rating cap on Class A-1, A-2, A-S, and B. The new CRE CLO pool
contains 10 mortgages secured by 10 properties located throughout
the U.S. As of the cutoff date, the trust will have a collateral
balance of $72,060,000. The pool does not feature any future
funding. All loans are fixed-rate loans. The mortgages are sourced
solely by Grant Street Funding and the transaction is arranged by
Grant Street Funding.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Higher Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool's Fitch
LTV 106.2%, higher than GSF 2023-1 Fitch LTV of 105.7%, higher than
BBCMS 2025-5C34 Fitch LTV of 105.1%, higher than WFCM 2025-5C3
Fitch LTV of 103.9%, lower than 2025 YTD CRE CLO Fitch LTV of
140.4%, and higher than the 2025 YTD Multiborrower Five-Year Fitch
LTV of 100.3%. In addition, the pool's Fitch DY is 8.4%, lower than
GSF 2023-1 Fitch DY of 9.1%, lower than the BBCMS 2025-5C34 Fitch
DY of 9.0%, lower than WFCM 2025-5C3 Fitch DY of 9.5%, higher than
2025 YTD CRE CLO Fitch DY of 6.4%, and lower than 2025 YTD
Multiborrower Five-Year Fitch DY of 9.7%.
Lower Interest Rates Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool's
weighed average note rate is 6.8%, lower than GSF 2023-1 note rate
of 7.0%, in line with BBCMS 2025-5C34 note rate of 6.8%, lower than
WFCM 2025-5C3 note rate of 6.9%, lower than 2025 YTD CRE CLO note
rate of 7.5%, and higher than 2025 YTD Multiborrower Five-Year
average of 6.7%. In addition, the pool's Fitch Term DSCR is 1.07x,
which is lower than GSF 2023-1 Fitch Term DSCR of 1.14x, lower than
BBCMS 2025-5C34 Fitch Term DSCR of 1.12x, lower than WFCM 2025-5C3
Fitch Term DSCR of 1.18x, higher than 2025 YTD CRE CLO Fitch Term
DSCR of 0.76x, and lower than the 2025 YTD Multiborrower Five-Year
Fitch Term DSCR of 1.21x.
Highly Concentrated by Loan Size: The pool carries 10 loans with an
effective loan count of 8.5 and translates to a higher pool
concentration compared to recent multiborrower transactions. The
pool's effective loan count of 8.5 is lower than GSF 2023 effective
loan count of 19.1 for Ramp No. 4, and 8.8 for Ramp No. 2 where
Fitch removed the rating cap.
Highly Concentrated Property Type: GSF 2025-AXMF1 has an effective
property count of 1.0 given the pool is fully collateralized by
multifamily properties. The effective property count of 1.0 is
which is lower than GSF 2023-1 at 4.3, lower than BBCMS 2025-5C34
at 3.0, WCM 2025-5C3 at 4.1, 2025 YTD CRE CLO average of 1.8, and
the 2025 YTD Multiborrower Five-Year average of 4.4. The 2025 YTD
CRE CLO and 2025 YTD Multiborrower Five-Year reported multifamily
exposures of 75.7% and 26.7%, respectively.
Highly Concentrated by Geography: GSF 2025-AXMF1 has an effective
geographic count of 6.1 which is lower than GSF 2023-1 Ramp No. 2
effective geo count of 6.8. Loans located in the Dallas MSA account
for 24.7% of the GSF 2025-AXMF1 pool. In the comp set, WFCM
2025-5C3 is the most geographically concentrated with 23.6% of the
pool located in the NYC MSA.
Amortization Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool is comprised
of 100% of interest-only amortization loans; thus, the pool
features 0.0% paydown from securitization to maturity. This is
lower than GSF 2023-1 at 0.2%, lower than BBCMS 2025-5C34 at 0.2%,
lower than WFCM 2025-5C3 at 1.0%, lower than 2025 YTD CRE CLO
average of 0.5%, and lower than the 2025 YTD Multiborrower
Five-Year average of 0.4%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
net cash flow (NCF):
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf';
- 10% Decline to Fitch NCF:
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/ 'B+sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf';
- 10% Increase to Fitch NCF:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
There were no variances from Fitch criteria.
Cash flow modeling was not employed on this transaction, with the
concurrence of the committee. The deal does not employ CRE CLO
features that would cause us to cash flow model. For example, the
transaction's structure does not contain any note protection tests
(interest coverage or overcollateralization) nor is there is an
interest payment diversion feature within the retained classes (or
anywhere in the structure).
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The thirdparty due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
HARVEST US 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Harvest US CLO 2025-2 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
HARVEST US CLO
2025-2 LTD.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Harvest US CLO 2025-2 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Investcorp Credit Management US LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 22.94, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 98.37%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.2% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 9.25% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, and 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Harvest US CLO
2025-2 Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
HPS LOAN 2025-26: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to HPS Loan
Management 2025-26 Ltd./HPS Loan Management 2025-26 LLC's
floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by HPS Investment Partners LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 29,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
HPS Loan Management 2025-26 Ltd./HPS Loan Management 2025-26 LLC
Class A-1, $248.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $10.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $46.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $36.75 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
JP MORGAN 2025-CES3: S&P Assigns Prelim 'B' Rating on B-2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2025-CES3's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by closed-end,
second-lien, fixed-rate, fully amortizing residential mortgage
loans, to both prime and nonprime borrowers. The loans are secured
by single-family residential properties, townhomes, planned-unit
developments, condominiums, two- to four-family residential
properties, and condotels. The pool has 4,861 loans and comprise
qualified mortgage (QM)/non-higher-priced mortgage loan (HPML)
(safe harbor), QM rebuttable presumption, non-QM/compliant, and
ability-to-repay-exempt loans.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 30,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and reviewed originators; and
-- S&P's economic outlook, which considers its current projections
for U.S. economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates,
as well as its view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if
necessary, when these projections change materially.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-CES3(i)
Class A-1A, $339,593,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $19,951,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-X, $359,544,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1(ii), $359,544,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $18,890,000: AA- (sf)
Class A-3, $15,282,000: A- (sf)
Class M-1, $12,310,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $7,853,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $4,882,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $5,730,895: NR
Class A-IO-S, Notional(iii): NR
Class XS, Notional(iv): NR
Class PT, N/A: NR
Class A-R, N/A(v): NR
(i)The preliminary ratings address the ultimate payment of interest
and principal, and do not address payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)Certain proportions of the class A-1-X, A-1A and A-1B notes are
exchangeable for the class A-1 notes, and vice versa.
(iii)The notional amount equals the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans serviced by NewRez LLC doing business
as Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing.
(iv)The notional amount equals the aggregate unpaid principal
balance of loans in the pool as of the cutoff date.
(v)The class A-R notes will not have a class principal amount and
are the class of notes representing the residual interest in the
issuer. The class A-R notes are not expected to receive payments.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
JP MORGAN 2025-HE2: Fitch Assigns B(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to J.P. Morgan Mortgage
Trust 2025-HE2 (JPMMT 2025-HE2).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
JPMMT 2025-HE2
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-2 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-3 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-4 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-IO-S LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
backed by first and second lien, prime, open home equity line of
credit (HELOC) on residential properties to be issued by J.P.
Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-HE2 (JPMMT 2025-HE2), as indicated
above. This is the seventh transaction to be rated by Fitch that
includes prime-quality first and second lien HELOCs with open draws
off the JPMMT shelf and the eight second lien HELOC transaction off
the JPMMT shelf.
The loans associated with the draws allocated to the participation
certificate are 4,004 seasoned and non-seasoned, performing,
prime-quality first and second lien HELOC loans with a current
outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $362.70 million. The
collateral balance based on the maximum draw amount is $593.96
million, as determined by Fitch. As of the cutoff date, 100% of the
HELOC lines are open or on a temporary freeze and may be opened in
the future. The aggregate available credit line amount, as of the
cutoff date, is expected to be $51.08 million, per transaction
documents. As of the cutoff date, weighted average (WA) utilization
of the HELOCs is 91.4%, per the transaction documents.
Per Fitch's analysis, the main originators in the transaction are
United Wholesale Mortgage (60.7%), and Better Mortgage Corporation
(17.6%,) . All other originators make up less than 15% of the pool.
The loans are serviced by NewRez LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage
Servicing (Shellpoint [87.3%] and loanDepot.com LLC [12.7%]).
Distributions of principal are based on a modified sequential
structure, subject to the transaction's performance triggers.
Interest payments are made sequentially to all classes, except B-4,
which is a principal-only class, while losses are allocated reverse
sequentially once excess spread is depleted.
Draws will be funded by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). This transaction will not use a variable funding note
(VFN) structure; rather, it will use participation certificates.
JPMMT 2025-HE2 is only entitled to cash flows based on the amount
drawn as of the cutoff date. The remaining available draws will be
allocated to the JPMorgan participation certificate (JPM PC) if
they are drawn in the future. See the Highlights section for a
description.
In Fitch's analysis, Fitch assumes 100% of the HELOCs are 100%
drawn on day one. As a result, all Fitch-determined percentages are
based off the maximum HELOC draw amount.
The servicers, Shellpoint and loanDepot.com, LLC, will not be
advancing delinquent (DQ) monthly payments of principal and
interest (P&I).
The collateral comprises 100% adjustable-rate loans. These loans
are adjusted based on the prime rate.The class A-1, M-1, M-2, M-3
and B-1 certificates are floating rate and use SOFR as the index;
they are capped at the net WA coupon (WAC). The annual rate on
class B-2 and B-3 certificates with respect to any distribution
date (and the related accrual period) will be equal to the net WAC
for such distribution date. The B-4 certificates are entitled to
distributions of principal only and will not receive any
distributions of interest.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.9% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% from the
prior quarter, based on its updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades,
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices increased 2.9% yoy nationally as of February 2025, despite
modest regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The participation
interest is in a fixed pool of draws related to 4,004
prime-quality, performing, adjustable-rate open-ended HELOCs that
have up to 10-year interest-only (IO) periods and maturities of up
to 30 years. The open-ended HELOCs are secured by mainly second
liens on primarily one- to four-family residential properties
(including planned unit developments), condominiums, townhouses,
and a site condo totaling $595.60 million (includes the maximum
HELOC draw amount).
The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit profiles and
relatively low leverage. The loans are seasoned at an average of
twelve months, according to Fitch, and five months, per the
transaction documents. The pool has a WA original FICO score of
748, as determined by Fitch (747 per transaction documents),
indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. About 48.% of the
loans, as determined by Fitch, have a borrower with an original
FICO score equal to or above 750. The original WA combined
loan-to-value (CLTV) ratio of 71.4%, as determined by Fitch,
translates to a sustainable LTV (sLTV) ratio of 78.3%.
The transaction documents stated a WA drawn LTV of 21.6% and a WA
drawn CLTV of 68.2%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equityB
in the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
CLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 32.4% were originated by a
retail or correspondent channel with the remaining 67.6% originated
by a broker channel. Of the loans, 100% are underwritten to full
documentation. Based on Fitch's documentation review, it considered
95.9% of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 91.9% consists of loans where the borrower maintains a
primary or secondary residence, and the remaining 8.1% represents
investor loans. Single family homes, planned unit developments
(PUDs), townhouses and single-family attached dwellings constitute
91.7% of the pool (or 91.1%, per the transaction documents).
Condominiums and a site condo make up 4.3% (4.8% per the
transaction documents), while multifamily homes make up 4.0% (4.1%
per the transaction documents).
According to Fitch, the pool consists of loans with the following
loan purposes: 98.0% cashout refinances (loans that have a cashout
amount greater than 2% of the original balance), and 1.7% purchases
and 0.3 refinances. The transaction documents show 97.4% of the
pool to be cashouts. Fitch considers a loan to be a rate term
refinance if the cashout amount is less than $5,000, which explains
the difference in the cashout amount percentages.
Fitch viewed the collateral to be 100% current.
None of the loans in the pool are over $1.0 million, and the
maximum draw amount is $500,000.
Of the pool loans, 41.555% (42% per the transaction documents) are
concentrated in California. The largest MSA concentration is in the
Los Angeles MSA (16.9%), followed by the New York MSA (65.9%) and
the Riverdale MSA (5.8%). The top three MSAs account for 28.7% of
the pool. As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was
applied for geographic concentration.
Second Lien HELOC Collateral (Negative): Based on Fitch's analysis
of the pool that is based on the maximum HELOC draw amount, the
majority of the collateral pool (98.6.%) consists of second lien
HELOC loans originated by United Wholesale Mortgage, Better
Mortgage Corporation and other originators (the second lien
percentage is 98.5% based on the transaction documents). Fitch
assumed no recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second lien
loans, based on the historical behavior of the loans in economic
stress scenarios. Fitch assumes second lien loans default at a rate
comparable to first lien loans. After controlling for credit
attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Modified Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I
(Mixed): The proposed structure is a modified-sequential structure
in which principal is distributed pro rata to classes A-1, M-1, M-2
and M-3 to the extent the performance triggers are passing. To the
extent the triggers are failing, principal is paid sequentially.
The transaction also benefits from excess spread that can be used
to reimburse for realized and cumulative losses, as well as cap
carryover amounts.
The transaction has a lockout feature benefiting more senior
classes if performance deteriorates. If the applicable credit
support percentage of classes M-1, M-2 or M-3 is less than the sum
of (i) 150% of the original applicable credit support percentage
for that class plus (ii) 50% of the NPL percentage plus (iii) the
charged off loan percentage, then that class is locked out of
receiving principal payments and the principal payments are
redirected toward the most senior class. To the extent any class of
certificates is a locked-out class, each class of certificates
subordinate to such locked-out class will also be a locked out
class. Due to this lockout feature, the class M will be locked out
starting on day one.
Classes A-1, M-1, M-2, M-3, and B-1 are floating-rate classes based
on the SOFR index and are capped at the net WAC. The annual rate on
the class B-2 and B-3 certificates with respect to any distribution
date (and the related accrual period) will be equal to the net WAC
for such distribution date. Class B-4 is a principal-only class and
is not entitled to receive interest. If no excess spread is
available to absorb losses, losses will be allocated to all classes
reverse sequentially, starting with class B-4. The servicer will
not advance delinquent monthly payments of P&I.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature (Positive): Loans that become 180 days
delinquent based on the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
delinquency method, except for those in a forbearance plan, will be
charged off. The 180-day chargeoff feature will result in losses
being incurred sooner, while a larger amount of excess interest is
available to protect against losses. This compares favorably to a
delayed liquidation scenario, whereby the loss occurs later in the
life of the transaction and less excess is available.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool, as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.4% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
Fitch rated the first JPMMT HELOC in 2023 and the shelf has been a
programmatic HELOC issuer. As such, Fitch now has 12 months of
performance data on post-crisis prime quality HELOC performance.
Based on this additional historical performance data, Fitch
reviewed its benchmark prepayment curves used for HELOCs and found
that revisions were needed in order to more accurately reflect when
prepayments occur and how fast prepayment speeds are based on this
additional data and HELOC borrower behavior.
For this transaction, Fitch applied a variation to Fitch's U.S.
RMBS Cash Flow Analysis Criteria in order to change the shape and
CPR speeds of the benchmark prepayment curves. Specifically, Fitch
used benchmark prepayment curves that have the shape as Fitch's
seven-year ARM prepayment curve and used benchmark prepayments
speeds that range from 15% to 37.5% CPR. These changes more
accurately reflect the historical prepayment behavior of HELOCs
that tend to prepay closer to the end of the IO period and prepay
slower than fixed rate second lien products and first lien
products. Applying the variation resulted in ratings that are one
rating category higher than existing criteria would suggest.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC, Consolidated Analytics, and Digital Risk. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on four
areas: compliance review, credit review, valuation review and data
integrity. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and,
as a result, Fitch decreased its loss expectations by 0.99% at the
'AAAsf' stress due to 100% due diligence with no material
findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC, Consolidated Analytics, and Digital Risk were engaged to
perform the review. Loans reviewed under this engagement were given
compliance, credit and valuation grades and assigned initial grades
for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in
the due diligence reports. Refer to the "Third-Party Due Diligence"
section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
are considered comprehensive. The data contained in the ResiPLS
layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence companies, and
no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
JPMBB COMMERCIAL 2014-C25: Moody's Cuts Rating on EC Certs to B1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the rating on one class and downgraded
the ratings on six classes JPMBB Commercial Mortgage Securities
Trust 2014-C25, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2014-C25 as follows:
Cl. A-5, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024 Affirmed Aaa
(sf)
Cl. A-S, Downgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024
Affirmed Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. EC, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024
Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. X-A*, Downgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024
Affirmed Aa1 (sf)
Cl. X-B*, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Dec 10, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating on the P&I class, Cl. A-5, was affirmed because of the
significant credit enhancement and due to the transaction's key
metrics, including Moody's loan-to-value (LTV) ratio and Moody's
stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR). This class will
benefit from payment priority from any principal proceeds from any
loan payoffs or resolutions.
The ratings on three P&I classes, Cl. A-S, Cl. B and Cl. C, were
downgraded due to increased risk of losses and interest shortfalls
driven primarily by the significant exposure to specially serviced
and troubled loans (68% of the pool balance). Nine loans,
representing 56.0% of the pool are in special servicing, including
the Mall at Barnes Crossing and Market Center Tupelo Loan (15.1% of
the pool), which has passed its original maturity date in September
2024. Furthermore, the largest performing loan, CityPlace Loan
(25.9% of the pool), has passed its original maturity date in
October 2024 and may face increased refinance risk at its extended
maturity date in December 2027, due to tenant rollover risk (37% of
the NRA) through year-end 2027. Loans comprising 97% of the pool
balance have now passed their original maturity date or anticipated
repayment date ("ARD").
The ratings on the IO classes, Cl. X-A and Cl. X-B, were downgraded
due to a decline in the credit quality of their respective
referenced classes. Class X-A references Cl. A-5 and Cl. A-S and
Class X-B references Cl. B.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. EC, was downgraded due to
the decline in the credit quality of its referenced exchangeable
classes. Class EC references Cl. A-S, Cl. B and Cl. C.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 47.7% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 34.2% at Moody's last review.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations" published in
January 2025.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 56.0% of the pool is in
special servicing and Moody's have identified an additional
troubled loan representing 13.2% of the pool. In this approach,
Moody's determines a probability of default for each specially
serviced and troubled loan that it expects will generate a loss and
estimates a loss given default based on a review of broker's
opinions of value (if available), other information from the
special servicer, available market data and Moody's internal data.
The loss given default for each loan also takes into consideration
repayment of servicer advances to date, estimated future advances
and closing costs. Translating the probability of default and loss
given default into an expected loss estimate, Moody's then apply
the aggregate loss from specially serviced and troubled loans to
the most junior classes and the recovery as a pay down of principal
to the most senior classes.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, loan concentration, an
increase in realized and expected losses from specially serviced
and troubled loans or interest shortfalls.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the July 15, 2025 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 68% to $378.4
million from $1.18 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by 13 mortgage loans ranging in size from less than
2% to 25.9% of the pool, with the top ten loans (excluding
defeasance) constituting 93.9% of the pool. One loan, constituting
3.0% of the pool, has defeased and is secured by US government
securities.
Two loans, constituting 15.0% of the pool, are on the master
servicer's watchlist. The watchlist includes loans that meet
certain portfolio review guidelines established as part of the CRE
Finance Council (CREFC) monthly reporting package. As part of
Moody's ongoing monitoring of a transaction, the agency reviews the
watchlist to assess which loans have material issues that could
affect performance.
Four loans have been liquidated from the pool, contributing to an
aggregate realized loss of $14.2 million (for an average loss
severity of 77.3%). Nine loans, constituting 56.0% of the pool, are
currently in special servicing.
The largest specially serviced loan is the Mall at Barnes Crossing
and Market Center Tupelo Loan ($57.3 million – 15.1% of the
pool), which is secured by an approximately 570,000 square foot
(SF) collateral portion of a 670,000 SF single-story regional mall
and a 60,000 SF adjacent strip center located in Tupelo,
Mississippi. The anchors include a Belk (non-collateral), Belk Home
Store, and JC Penney. A former Sears space (78,600 SF) is now
vacant. Other major tenants include a Dick's Sporting Goods (50,000
SF – 7.9% of NRA (net rentable area)), Barnes & Noble (29,000 SF
– 4.7% of NRA) and Cinemark Theater (24,550 SF – 3.9% of NRA).
As of September 2024, the reported NOI DSCR was 1.35X with 80%
occupancy, compared to 1.73X and 77% in December 2023, and compared
to 1.89X and 95% at securitization, respectively. The property is
generating sufficient cash flow to cover debt service, however, the
property has significant lease rollover risk with approximately 55%
of NRA expiring within the next three years. The loan transferred
to special servicing in September 2024 due to the borrower's
failure to repay the loan at the September 2024 maturity date. The
special servicer has reached out to the borrower, and a
pre-negotiation letter has been executed. A foreclosure sale
occured in June 2025. As of the July 2025 remittance, the loan has
amortized 14.7% since securitization and is last paid through its
April 2025 payment date.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Hilton Houston
Post Oak Loan ($39.3 million – 10.4% of the pool), which
represents a pari passu portion of a $70.0 million mortgage loan.
The loan is secured by 448 key full-service hotel located in
Houston, Texas, near the Houston Galleria shopping area. The loan
transferred to special servicing in May 2020 for monetary default.
The borrower filed for bankruptcy in late 2021 and the loan
eventually went into foreclosure, becoming REO in September 2022.
Performance was significantly impacted by the pandemic, however the
recent performance shows slight improvement and as of December
2024, the reported occupancy was 73%, compared to 52% in 2023 and
45% in 2021. As of the July 2025 remittance, the loan is last paid
through November 2024 payment date. The most recent appraisal from
September 2024 valued the property 45% lower than the value at
securitization. The master servicer has recognized an appraisal
reduction of $8.6 million and has deemed the loan non-recoverable.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Southport Plaza
Loan ($25.0 million – 6.6% of the pool), which is secured by
which is secured by a Class B Office / Flex property located in
Staten Island, New York. The property contains approximately
127,500 SF of office space and 64,600 SF of industrial/flex space.
The loan transferred to special servicing in June 2020 for monetary
default as a result of the pandemic. The loan was previously
modified, but the borrower was not able to pay off the loan at its
maturity date in October 2024. The servicer is evaluating an
extension proposal from borrower. As of the July 2025 remittance,
the loan is last paid through November 2024 payment date. The most
recent appraisal from January 2025 valued the property 41% lower
than the value at securitization.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the 9525 West Bryn
Mawr Avenue Loan ($24.8 million – 6.5% of the pool), which is
secured by an approximately 250,000 SF office property located in
the Chicago suburb of Rosemont, Illinois. The loan transferred to
special servicing in May 2023 for imminent monetary default. A
receiver was appointed in November 2023 and the special servicer is
evaluating all options with the property. As of December 2024, the
property was 49% leased, compared to 72% in 2023. As of the July
2025 remittance, the loan is last paid through January 2024 payment
date. The most recent appraisal from January 2025 valued the
property 72% lower than the value at securitization. The master
servicer has recognized an appraisal reduction of $12.9 million and
has deemed the loan non-recoverable.
The fifth largest specially serviced loan is the American Center
Loan ($24.6 million – 6.5% of the pool), which is secured by a
508,000 SF office property located in the Detroit suburb of
Southfield, Michigan. The loan transferred to special servicing in
November 2024 due to imminent maturity default ahead of its
November 2024 maturity date. The property is generating sufficient
cash flow to cover debt service, however, the property has single
tenant (58% of NRA) concentration risk with a lease expiration in
2026. As of the July 2025 remittance, the loan has amortizated
approximately 15.3% since securitization and is current on its P&I
payments.
The sixth largest specially serviced loan is the Park Place Loan
($19.2 million – 5.1% of the pool), which is secured by 180,000
SF office building located in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The loan
transferred to special servicing in February 2024 due to imminent
monetary default. A receiver is in place, managing the property,
and new leasing agents have been hired. As of December 2024, the
property was 70% leased, compared to 74% in 2022 and 94% at
securitization. The property is facing significant upcoming lease
rollover with approximately 95% of NRA expiring within the next
three years. As of the July 2025 remittance, the loan is last paid
through December 2024 payment date. The most recent appraisal from
February 2025 valued the property 71% lower than the value at
securitization and the master servicer has recognized an appraisal
reduction of $11.2 million.
The remaining two specially serviced loans are secured by an office
and retail property. Both properties have upcoming lease rollover
concentration risk and the retail loan has been deemed
non-recoverable by the master servicer.
Moody's have also assumed a high default probability for the third
largest loan, constituting 13.2% of the pool, and have estimated an
aggregate loss of $137.9 million (a 53.6% expected loss on average)
from these specially serviced and troubled loans. The troubled loan
is the Spectra Energy Headquarters Loan ($50.0 million – 13.2% of
the pool), which is secured by a by a 614,000 SF office building
located within the West Loop submarket of Houston, Texas. The
property is 100% leased to Spectra Energy Corporation with a lease
expiration in April 2026, however the entire building is dark. The
loan did not pay off on its ARD in October 2024 and all excess cash
flow is now being applied to principal for the remainder of the
loan term. The loan is performing at a NOI DSCR of 2.26X as March
2025, however, due to the lagging performance of the Houston office
market, the loan will likely face heightened refinance risk at its
final maturity in October 2027.
As of the July 2025 remittance statement, cumulative interest
shortfalls were $7.9 million. Moody's anticipates interest
shortfalls will continue because of the exposure to specially
serviced loans and/or modified loans. Interest shortfalls are
caused by special servicing fees, including workout and liquidation
fees, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs), loan modifications
and extraordinary trust expenses.
The two non-specially serviced, performing loans represent 27.7% of
the pool balance. The largest loan is the CityPlace Loan ($97.9
million – 25.9% of the pool), which is secured by five adjacent
office buildings and one mixed-use office building located in the
St. Louis suburb of Creve Coeur, Missouri. The collateral is part
of a larger 31-acre campus, which includes 1.2 million SF of office
space, retail, and residential buildings. The loan transferred to
special servicing in July 2024 due to imminent maturity default
after the borrower was unable to pay off the loan at its October
2024 maturity date. The loan was modified, brought current and
returned to the master servicer in February 2025. The modification
terms include a maturity date extension to December 2027, cash
sweep for the remainder of the loan term and $2 million excess cash
reserve account deposit. The loan is performing with a reported
NOI DSCR of 1.33X as of March 2025, however, the property has
significant lease rollover risk with approximately 61% of NRA
expiring within the next three years. As of March 2025, the
property was 80% leased, compared to 81% in 2024 and 85% in 2023.
As of the July 2025 remittance, the loan has amortized 10.0% since
securitization and is current on P&I payments. Moody's LTV and
stressed DSCR are 143% and 0.83X, respectively, compared to 126%
and 0.90X at the last review.
The other loan is the Market Place Shopping Center Loan ($6.9
million – 1.8% of the pool), which is secured by a 215,000 SF
grocery anchored retail shopping center located in the Chicago
suburb of Rockford, Illinois. The loan is on the watchlist after
passing the ARD in October 2024. As of December 2024, the property
was 97% leased, unchanged from 2023. As of the July 2025
remittance, the loan has amortized 21.4% since securitization and
is current on P&I payments. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 89%
and 1.15X, respectively, essentially unchanged since the last
review.
KKR CLO 17: Moody's Cuts Rating on $33.6MM Class E-R Notes to B1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by KKR CLO 17 Ltd.
US$33,600,000 Class E-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Downgraded to B1 (sf);
previously on Mar 25, 2021 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
KKR CLO 17 Ltd., originally issued in March 2017 and refinanced in
March 2021, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized
primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment period will end in
April 2026.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade rating action on the Class E-R notes reflects
deterioration in Over-Collateralization (OC) ratio and the specific
risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and spread reduction
observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on trustee's June
2025 report[1], the OC ratio for the Class E-R notes is reported at
103.60% compared to 106.52% in June 2024[2]. Also, based on Moody's
calculation, the total collateral par balance, including recoveries
from defaulted securities, is currently approximately $581.1
million, $18.9 million or 3.15% less than the $600 million Target
Initial Par Amount. Furthermore, the trustee-reported weighted
average spread (WAS) has been deteriorating and the current
level[3] is 3.37%, compared to 3.67% in June 2024[4].
No actions were taken on the Class A-R, Class B-R, Class C-1-R,
Class C-2-R and Class D-R notes because their expected losses
remain commensurate with their current ratings, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $578,021,330
Defaulted par: $6,785,881
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3042
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.13%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.98%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.75 years
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 1.59%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MADISON PARK LXII: Fitch Gives 'BBsf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
refinancing notes issued by Madison Park Funding LXII, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Madison Park
Funding LXII, Ltd.
A-1-R2 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R 55817HAQ2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R2 LT AA+sf New Rating
C-R 55817HAS8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R2 LT A+sf New Rating
D-1-R2 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-R 55817HAU3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
E-R 55817JAG0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBsf
E-R2 LT BBsf New Rating
F-R2 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding LXII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by UBS
Asset Management (Americas) LLC. This is the transaction's second
refinancing after closing in August 2022 and refinancing in July
2023. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leverage loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality. However, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.27% first
lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 74.48%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 41% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with that of other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R2,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D-1-R2, 'Asf' for class D-2-R2, and 'BBBsf' for
class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding LXII, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MADISON PARK LXII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Madison Park
Funding LXII, Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$256,000,000 Class A-1-R2 Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2038,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R2 Deferrable Floating Rate Junior Notes due
2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least 90%
of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured loans
and up to 10% of the portfolio may consist of assets that are not
senior secured loans.
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC (the Manager) will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk and credit improve assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, the other six
classes of secured notes and additional subordinated notes, a
variety of other changes to transaction features will occur in
connection with the refinancing. These include: extension of the
reinvestment period; extensions of the stated maturity and non-call
period; changes to certain collateral quality tests; and changes to
the overcollateralization test levels; and changes to the base
matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3073
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
MADISON PARK LXV: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Madison
Park Funding LXV, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Madison Park
Funding LXV, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding LXV, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
UBS Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.1% first
lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 72.9%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39.0% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as severe
as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2 notes, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf'
for class C notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-1 notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2
notes, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AA+sf' for class C notes,
'Asf' for class D-1 notes, 'A-sf' for class D-2 notes, and 'BBB+sf'
for class E notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding LXV, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MAGNETITE LIMITED XX: Moody's Ups Rating on $8MM Cl. F Notes to B2
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Magnetite XX, Limited:
US$34,700,000 Class C Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on
September 30, 2024 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
US$33,500,000 Class D Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class D Notes"), Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on
September 30, 2024 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
US$25,300,000 Class E Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class E Notes"), Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May
4, 2018 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
US$8,000,000 Class F Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2031 (the "Class F Notes"), Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on May
4, 2018 Assigned B3 (sf)
Magnetite XX, Limited, issued in May 2018, is a managed cashflow
CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging of the
senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since September 2024.
The Class A notes have been paid down by approximately 69% or
$124.19 million since that time. Based on the trustee's May
report[1], the OC ratios for the Class A/B, Class C, and Class D
notes are reported at 199.79%, 153.94%, and 126.01%, respectively,
versus August 2024 [2] levels of 149.42%, 130.59%, and 116.43%,
respectively.
No actions were taken on the Class A, Class B and Rated Structured
Notes because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodologies and could differ from the trustee's
reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $235,794,457
Defaulted par: $1,738,800
Diversity Score: 49
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3091
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 2.74%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 48.15%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.25 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MASTR ASSET 2005-WF1: Moody's Ups Rating on Cl. M-9 Certs to Caa1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating of one bond from one US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime
mortgages issued by MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: MASTR Asset Backed Securities Trust 2005-WF1
Cl. M-9, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 27, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects the current level of credit enhancement
available to the bond, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structure, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bond.
The bond experiencing a rating change have either incurred a missed
or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is currently, or
expected to become, undercollateralized, which may sometimes be
reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down). Moody's
expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses experienced and
expected future losses as a percent of the original bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in this rating was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
MCF CLO VII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the
replacement class A-R2, A-1L-R2, A-2L-R2, B-R2, B-L-R2, C-1-R2,
C-2-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and E-R2 debt and proposed new class X-R2
debt from MCF CLO VII LLC, a CLO managed by Apogem Capital LLC that
was originally issued in Sept. 7, 2017, and underwent a refinancing
in June 24, 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 29,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Aug. 6, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the existing debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
existing debt and assign ratings to the replacement class A-R2,
A-1L-R2, A-2L-R2, B-R2, B-L-R2, C-1-R2, C-2-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, and
E-R2 debt and proposed new class X-R2 debt. However, if the
refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
existing debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement and proposed new debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to July 20, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to July 20, 2029.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
existing subordinated notes will be extended to July 20, 2037.
-- Additional assets will be purchased on and after the Aug. 6,
2025 refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will
remain at $300 million. There will be no additional effective date
or ramp-up period, and the first payment date following the
refinancing will be Oct. 20, 2025.
-- New class X-R2 debt will be issued on the refinancing date and
is expected to be paid down using interest proceeds during the
first 14 payment dates in equal installments of $285,714, beginning
on the second payment date on Jan. 20, 2026.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization ratios will be
amended.
-- Additional $6.05 million in subordinated notes will be issued
on the refinancing date.
-- The transaction was updated to conform to current rating agency
methodology.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and supported with transaction
data in the trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line
with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
MCF CLO VII LLC
Class X-R2(i), $4.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R2, $117.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1L-R2, $30.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2L-R2, $27.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $17.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-L-R2, $13.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1-R2 (deferrable), $18.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class C-2-R2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $18.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
MCF CLO VII LLC
Subordinated notes, $50.83 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
MFA TRUST 2025-NQM3: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B2 Debt
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to MFA 2025-NQM3
Trust.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
MFA 2025-NQM3
A1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The MFA 2025-NQM3 certificates are supported by 568 nonprime loans
with a total balance of approximately $350.3 million as of the
cutoff date.
Loans in the pool were originated by multiple originators,
including Citadel Servicing Corporation d/b/a Acra Lending,
FundLoans Capital, Inc. and Hometown Equity Mortgage, LLC d/b/a
TheLender. Loans were aggregated by MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA).
Loans are currently serviced by Planet Home Lending and Citadel
Servicing Corporation, with all Citadel loans subserviced by
ServiceMac LLC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 9.2% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% since
the prior quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable
home prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices increased 2.9% YoY nationally as of February
2025 despite modest regional declines but are still being supported
by limited inventory.
Non-QM and Non-Prime Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral
consists of 568 loans totaling $350.3 million and seasoned at
approximately seven months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch.
The borrowers have a moderate credit profile consisting of a 737
Fitch model FICO and moderate leverage with a 73.4% sustainable
loan-to-value ratio (sLTV).
The pool is 47.0% composed of loans for homes in which the borrower
maintains as a primary residence, while 53.0% comprises investor
properties or second homes. Additionally, 42.4% are nonqualified
mortgages (non-QM), while the QM rule does not apply to the
remainder. This pool consists of a variety of weaker borrowers and
collateral types.
Fitch's expected loss in the 'AAAsf' stress is 25.75%. This is
mainly driven by the non-QM collateral and the significant investor
cash flow product concentration.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 90.9% of loans in the
pool were underwritten to less than full documentation and 31.8%
were underwritten to a bank statement program for verifying income.
The consumer loans adhere to underwriting and documentation
standards required under the Consumer Financial Protections
Bureau's (CFPB) Ability-to-Repay (ATR) Rule (ATR Rule, or the
Rule). This reduces the risk of borrower default arising from lack
of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational quality
risks due to the rigor of the Rule's mandates with respect to the
underwriting and documentation of a borrower's ATR.
Its treatment of alternative loan documentation increased 'AAAsf'
expected losses by approximately 101.9%, compared with a
transaction of 100% fully documented loans.
High Percentage of Debt Service Coverage Ratio Loans (Negative):
There are 300 debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and 18 property
focused investor loans, otherwise known as "no ratio" products in
the pool (56.0% by loan count). These business purpose loans are
available to real estate investors that are qualified on a cash
flow basis, rather than debt to income (DTI), and borrower income
and employment are not verified.
Compared with standard investment properties for DSCR loans, Fitch
converts the DSCR values to DTI and treats them as low
documentation. Its treatment for DSCR loans results in a higher
Fitch-reported non-zero DTI. Further, no-ratio loans are treated as
100% DTI. Its expected loss for DSCR loans is 34.9% in the 'AAAsf'
stress.
Modified Sequential Payment Structure with No Advancing (Mixed):
The structure distributes principal pro rata among the senior
certificates while shutting out the subordinate bonds from
principal until all senior classes are reduced to zero. If a
cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency trigger event occurs
in a given period, principal will be distributed sequentially to
class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates until they are reduced to
zero.
Advances of delinquent principal and interest (P&I) will not be
made on the mortgage loans. The lack of advancing reduces loss
severities, as a lower amount is repaid to the servicer when a loan
liquidates and liquidation proceeds are prioritized to cover
principal repayment over accrued but unpaid interest. The downside
to this is the additional stress on the structure, as liquidity is
limited in the event of large and extended delinquencies.
MFA 2025-NQM3 has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1, A-2
and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the lesser of a
100-bp increase to the fixed coupon or the net weighted average
coupon (WAC) rate. Any class B-3 interest distribution amount will
be distributed to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates on and after
the step-up date if the cap carryover amount is greater than zero.
This increases the principal and interest (P&I allocation for the
senior classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national level to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 41.0% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes. A 10% gain
in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the
rated class excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC, Clarifii, Clayton, Consolidated Analytics,
Evolve, Infinity, IngletBlair and Selene. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to
its analysis: a 5% credit at the loan level for each loan where
satisfactory due diligence was completed. This adjustment resulted
in 42bps reduction to 'AAAsf' losses.
ESG Considerations
MFA 2025-NQM3 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to elevated operational risk, which
has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MMP CAPITAL 2025-A: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to Class C Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to the notes issued
by MMP Capital 2025-A, LLC (MMP 2025-A). MMP Capital, LLC (MMP), is
the sponsor of the transaction, as well as the servicer and
originator of the securitized loan pool. GreatAmerica Portfolio
Services Group LLC (GreatAmerica) is the subservicer and backup
servicer of the assets backing the securitized loan pool. The notes
are backed by a pool of loans which are secured primarily by
medical aesthetic equipment originated by MMP. This is MMP's first
transaction.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: MMP Capital 2025-A, LLC
Class A Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Class B Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Class C Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The definitive ratings of the notes are based on (1) the credit
quality of the underlying loan pool securitized including the types
of equipment and the credit profile of the obligors, (2) Moody's
expectations of the pool's credit performance, informed by the
historical performance of both MMP's managed portfolio and that of
their closest peers; (3) the experience and expertise of MMP as the
originator and servicer of the pool securitized (4) the
sub-servicing and back-up servicing arrangement with GreatAmerica,
(5) the strength of the transaction structure, including the
sequential-pay structure and levels of credit enhancement; and (6)
the legal aspects of the transaction.
Moody's cumulative net loss expectation for the MMP 2025-A
collateral pool is 7.25% and loss at a Aaa stress of about 42.00%.
Moody's cumulative net loss expectation and loss at a Aaa stress
are based on Moody's analysis of the credit quality of the
underlying collateral pool and the historical performance of
similar collateral, including MMP's managed portfolio and that of
their closest peers, the track-record, ability and expertise of MMP
to perform the servicing functions, and current expectations for
the macroeconomic environment during the life of the transaction.
In addition, Moody's expectations factor in the potential change in
the pool's composition due to the availability of the prefunding
account.
At closing the Class A, Class B, and Class C notes benefit from
41.00%, 18.00%, and 11.00% of hard credit enhancement,
respectively. Hard credit enhancement for the notes consists of
subordination of junior notes (except for Class C), a 1.00% fully
funded, non-declining reserve account, and overcollateralization of
10.00% which will build to a target of 14.00% of the outstanding
pool balance with a floor of 0.50% of the initial pool balance. The
notes may also benefit from excess spread.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Equipment
Lease and Loan Securitizations" published in June 2025.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings on the subordinate notes if
levels of credit protection are greater than necessary to protect
investors against current expectations of loss. Moody's then
current expectations of loss may be better than its original
expectations because of lower frequency of default by the
underlying obligors or slower depreciation in the value of the
equipment that secure the obligor's promise of payment. As the
primary drivers of performance, positive changes in the US macro
economy and the performance of various sectors where the lessees
operate could also affect the ratings.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the notes if levels of credit protection
are insufficient to protect investors against current expectations
of portfolio losses. Losses could rise above Moody's original
expectations as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or
deterioration in the value of the equipment that secure the
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
MORGAN STANLEY 2025-DSC2: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on B-2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Morgan Stanley
Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-DSC2's mortgage-backed
certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, and fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans (some with interest-only periods) to
both prime and nonprime borrowers. The loans are secured by
single-family residential properties, including townhouses, planned
unit developments, condominiums, two- to four-family residential
properties, and a five- to 10-unit residential property. The pool
has 1,280 loans, which are ability-to-replay-exempt loans and
backed by 1,403 properties.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition and geographic
concentration;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, and representation and warranty framework;
-- The mortgage aggregators Morgan Stanley Mortgage Capital
Holdings LLC (MSMCH) and Morgan Stanley Bank N.A. and the reviewed
mortgage originators;
-- The 100% due diligence results consistent with represented loan
characteristics; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers our current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals, which is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Ratings Assigned
Morgan Stanley Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-DSC2(i)
Class A-1-A, $238,995,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-B, $39,932,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $278,927,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $34,741,000: AA- (sf)
Class A-3, $40,732,000: A- (sf)
Class M-1, $17,969,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $9,384,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $11,181,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $6,389,964: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class R-PT, $19,970,314: NR
Class PT, $379,353,650: NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period and is initially $399,323,964.
N/A--Not applicable.
NR--Not rated.
MP CLO VIII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $19MM Class E-RR Notes to B1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by MP CLO VIII, Ltd.:
US$19,000,000 Class E-RR Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on June 10, 2021 Assigned
Ba3 (sf)
US$2,750,000 Class F Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on June 10, 2021 Assigned
B3 (sf)
MP CLO VIII, Ltd., originally issued in August 2015 and refinanced
in May 2018 and June 2021, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes are
collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated
senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment
period will end in April 2026.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade rating actions on the Class E-RR and F notes reflects
the specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and spread
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
the Moody's calculations, the total collateral par balance,
including recoveries from defaulted securities, is $341.1 million,
or $8.9 million less than the $350 million initial par amount
targeted during the deal's ramp-up. Furthermore, the
trustee-reported weighted average spread (WAS) has been
deteriorating and the current level is 3.19%[1] compared to 3.55%
in June 2024[2], failing the trigger of 3.34%.
No actions were taken on the Class A-RR, Class B-RR, Class C-RR,
and Class D-RR notes because their expected losses remain
commensurate with their current ratings, after taking into account
the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralization and interest
coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodologies and could differ from the trustee's
reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $340,370,896
Defaulted par: $2,002,724
Diversity Score: 67
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2808
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 2.96%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.50%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.82%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.12 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
NATIONAL COLLEGIATE 2006-3: S&P Affirms 'BB+' Rating on A-5 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised the ratings on two classes and affirmed
the rating on one class of notes from National Collegiate Student
Loan Trust 2005-1 and National Collegiate Student Loan Trust
2006-3. The remaining three ratings were previously lowered to 'D
(sf)' because the affected classes breached their subordinate
interest triggers and have stopped receiving interest payments.
The rating actions considered the trusts' collateral performance
since its last review and their effect on the available credit
enhancement relative to remaining net losses. The rating actions
also considered the trusts' relevant structural features--in
particular, each trust's cost of funds, capital structure, payment
waterfalls, available credit enhancement, and operational risk
provisions.
Ongoing legal risks remain a concern despite the recent dismissal
of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau lawsuit against the
issuers that was initiated in 2017. While that dismissal eliminates
the impact of the associated monetary judgment against the trusts,
S&P has maintained a rating cap in the 'BB' category due to the
operational risk related to the outcome of potential future
litigation.
Trusts Performance
Since S&P's last surveillance review, the pace of increase in
cumulative defaults for both the trusts has slowed. Additionally,
the percentage of loans in repayment and current statuses has
remained stable. This performance indicates that the trusts are
likely past their peak default periods.
The historical impact of poor collateral performance, as measured
by high levels of realized cumulative net losses, has led to
significant undercollateralization for both the trusts. Based on
the information in the latest servicer report, total parity is
36.6% for the 2005-1 trust and 37.9% for the 2006-3 trust. However,
class parity for all of the classes that are not currently rated 'D
(sf)' has increased in the past year. The 2005-1 class B parity has
increased to 125.5% from 115.8%, while the 2006-3 class A-5 and B
parity have increased to 2,119.0% and 105.0%, respectively from
325.6% and 101.2%, respectively.
All remaining classes continue to experience declines in parity.
Structural Features
The transactions' remaining classes are all indexed to one-month
term SOFR. Due to breaches of the various transaction performance
triggers, the notes are paid sequentially from all available funds
(i.e., full turbo) for the transactions' remaining lives.
Credit enhancement available to support the classes primarily
includes a reserve account and the subordination of lower priority
classes of notes. The reserve accounts for both the trusts are
currently at their floor. The reserve accounts are available to pay
note interest and fees, as well as principal at final maturity. At
issuance, the trusts were structured to provide excess spread over
the trusts' lives as additional credit enhancement. Excess spread
levels have been under pressure for most of the lives of the
transactions, primarily because of undercollateralization due to
previous collateral performance issues.
In addition to subordination of the lower classes of notes in each
trust, the senior classes are supported by interest
reprioritization triggers. The triggers are generally breached when
the senior notes are undercollateralized (i.e., the pool balance is
less than the balance of the senior notes). When the pool balance
is below 10% (as is currently the case), the pool balance
definition for the trigger excludes the reserve account. When this
trigger is breached, interest payments to the lower classes are
subordinated to principal payments to the senior classes until the
trigger is cured.
Rationale
S&P ran break-even cash flow scenarios on the class B notes from
each trust that maximized defaults under various interest rate and
rating stresses. Some of the major assumptions it modeled are:
-- A five-year flat default curve;
-- Recovery rates ranging from 15%-20%, taken evenly over 10
years;
-- A constant prepayment speed of 9% for the trusts' lives;
-- Non-paying loans (i.e., deferment and forbearance) making up 3%
of the loan pool for five years; and
-- Two interest rate scenarios for the stress levels commensurate
to the ratings of the liabilities created by a credit rating model
based on the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross framework of rising then falling
interest rates (up/down curve) and falling then rising interest
rates (down/up curve).
S&P said, "In our break-even cashflow analysis of the 2005-1
transaction, the class B notes were able to withstand (receive full
interest and principal) a level of defaults relative to our base
case default rate that supports a rating of 'B (sf)'. Additionally,
we observed that at very low default levels, class B could build
enhancement sufficient to cure the class C interest trigger and
allow class C to receive interest payments prior to the class B
principal payments in the transaction's waterfall. This would
include the repayment of interest amounts previously missed. The
upgrade on the 2005-1 class B notes to 'B (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
reflects the results of the break-even cash flow analysis and our
view that the class C interest trigger will not likely be cured.
"In our break-even cashflow analysis of the 2006-3 transaction, the
class B notes were able to withstand (receive full interest and
principal) a level of defaults relative to our base case default
rate that supports a 'B-(sf)' rating. Accordingly, we raised the
rating on this class to 'B-(sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'. We also affirmed
the 'BB+ (sf)' ratings on class A-5 based on the improvement in
hard credit enhancement since our last review and the fact that the
rating is currently at its maximum level permitted by our
operational risk assessment."
The ratings on the 2005-1 class C notes and the 2006-3 class C and
D notes were previously lowered to 'D (sf)' because the trusts'
senior interest triggers were breached, resulting in the classes
not receiving interest payments. Due to significant
undercollateralization, S&P does not expect these classes to
receive full interest and principal by legal final maturity.
Ratings Raised
National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2005-1
Class B to 'B (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-3
Class B to 'B- (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
National Collegiate Student Loan Trust 2006-3
Class A-5: BB+ (sf)
NAVESINK CLO 3: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Navesink CLO 3
Ltd./Navesink CLO 3 LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The note issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by ZAIS Leveraged Loan Master Manager
LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Navesink CLO 3 Ltd./Navesink CLO 3 LLC
Class A-1, $288.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $9.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $40.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $5.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $21.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $22.50 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-Ja (deferrable), $2.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-Jb (deferrable), $7.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $13.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $33.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 61: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and rating outlook to
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
CLO 61, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers IV LLC. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.81% first
lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 72.44%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 44% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with that of other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 61, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM4: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to New Residential Mortgage
Loan Trust 2025-NQM4's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by first-lien,
fixed-rate, fully amortizing residential mortgage loans (some with
interest-only periods) to both prime and nonprime borrowers. The
loans are secured by single-family residential properties,
planned-unit developments, condominiums, townhouses, a cooperative,
and two- to four-family residential properties. The pool consists
of 931 loans, which are qualified mortgage safe harbor (average
prime offer rate), non-qualified
mortgage/ability-to-repay-compliant (ATR-compliant) and ATR-exempt
loans.
The ratings reflect:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and originators;
-- The 100% due diligence results consistent with represented loan
characteristics; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
our view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Ratings(i) Assigned
New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-NQM4
Class A-1, $367,267,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1A, $319,006,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $48,261,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $25,819,000: AA- (sf)
Class A-3, $50,916,000: A- (sf)
Class M-1, $15,444,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $11,341,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $7,480,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $4,344,390: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class R, not applicable: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address payment of the cap carryover
amounts. (ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period.
NR--Not rated.
NEWARK BSL 1: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $20MM Class D-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Newark BSL CLO 1, Ltd.:
US$27.5M Class C-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2025 Upgraded to Baa1
(sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$320M (Current outstanding amount US$46,472,408) Class A-1-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Mar 7, 2025 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$60M Class A-2-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2025 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$32.5M Class B-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2025 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$20M Class D-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2025 Affirmed Ba3 (sf)
Newark BSL CLO 1, Ltd., issued in December 2016, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed
by PGIM, Inc. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in
January 2022.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C-R notes is primarily a result of
the deleveraging of the Class A-1-R notes following amortisation of
the underlying portfolio since the last rating action in March
2025.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-R, Class A-2-R,
Class B-R and Class D-R notes are primarily a result of the
expected losses on the notes remaining consistent with their
current rating levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-R notes have paid down by approximately USD25.7
million (8%) since the last rating action in March 2025 and
USD273.5 million (85.5%) since closing. As a result of the
deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has increased. According
to the trustee report dated June 2025[1] the Class A, Class B and
Class C OC ratios are reported at 184.08%, 141.03% and 117.73%
compared to March 2025[2] levels of 169.02%, 135.66% and 116.25%,
respectively.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD198.9 million
Defaulted Securities: USD3.4 million
Diversity Score: 61
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2944
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.93 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.02%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.69%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 1.737%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assumes that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
NMEF FUNDING 2024-A: Moody's Raises Rating on Class D Notes to Ba1
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded three classes of notes issued by NMEF
Funding 2024-A, LLC (NMEF 2024-A). The transaction is a
securitization of fixed-rate loan and lease contracts secured
primarily by transportation, medical and construction equipment.
North Mill Equipment Finance LLC (North Mill) is the sponsor of the
transaction, and the originator and servicer of the assets.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Aug 28, 2024
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions were primarily driven by the buildup in credit
enhancements owing to structural features including a sequential
pay structure, non-declining reserve account and
overcollateralization as well as collateral performance. Moody's
also considered the level of credit enhancement and the
subordinated nature of the junior notes. Other considerations
include transactions' high exposures to the cyclical trucking and
transportation industry which is currently in a downturn and highly
correlated with the health of the overall economy.
No action was taken on the remaining rated tranches because there
were no material changes in collateral quality, and credit
enhancement remains commensurate with the current ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Equipment
Lease and Loan Securitizations" published in June 2025.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the notes if, given Moody's expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
higher ratings. In sequential pay structures, such as the one in
this transaction, credit enhancement grows as a percentage of the
collateral balance as collections pay down senior notes.
Prepayments and interest collections directed toward note principal
payments will accelerate this build of enhancement. Moody's
expectations of pool losses could decline as a result of a lower
number of obligor defaults. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on
the US macroeconomy, the equipment markets, and changes in
servicing practices.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the notes if, given Moody's expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
lower ratings. Credit enhancement could decline if excess spread is
not sufficient to cover losses in a given month. Moody's
expectations of pool losses could rise as a result of a higher
number of obligor defaults or deterioration in the value of the
equipment securing an obligor's promise of payment. Portfolio
losses also depend greatly on the US macroeconomy, the equipment
markets, and poor servicer performance. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include error on the part of
transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance, and fraud.
NOMURA CRE 2007-2: Moody's Withdraws 'C' Rating on 10 Tranches
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has withdrawn the ratings of eleven classes of
Notes issued by Nomura CRE CDO 2007-2 Ltd. as follows:
Cl. D, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed Ca (sf)
Cl. E, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. F, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. G, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. H, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. J, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. K, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. L, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. M, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. N, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
Cl. O, Withdrawn (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2018 Affirmed C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
Moody's have decided to withdraw the rating(s) because Moody's
believes Moody's have insufficient or otherwise inadequate
information to support the maintenance of the rating(s).
Moody's adopts all necessary measures so that the information
Moody's uses in assigning a credit rating is of sufficient quality
and from sources. Moody's considers to be reliable including, when
appropriate, independent third-party sources. However, Moody's are
not an auditor and cannot in every instance independently verify or
validate information received in the rating process.
NORTH COVE III: Moody's Rates $2.7BB Unfunded 2045 Notes 'Ca(sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on notes issued by North
Cove CDO III, Ltd:
US$2,700,000,000 Unfunded supersenior tranche due 2045, Upgraded to
Ca (sf); previously on December 20, 2018 Downgraded to C (sf)
NORTH COVE CDO III, LTD., issued in August 2006, is a
collateralized debt obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of
structured finance assets.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects the current level of credit enhancement
available to the notes, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectation.
The notes have either incurred a missed interest payment or is
currently undercollateralized. Moody's expectations of
loss-given-default assesses losses experienced and expected future
losses as a percent of the original notes balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in the deal
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Structured
Finance CDOs" published in June 2025.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. Certain deal features and their
characteristics, such as amortization profile assumptions, and
waterfall features can also influence the rating outcomes.
NYC COMMERCIAL 2025-300P: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to Cl. E Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to five classes of
CMBS securities issued by NYC Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-300P,
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-300P.
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. E, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are collateralized by a single, fixed-rate loan
secured by the borrower's fee simple interest in 300 Park Avenue
(the "Property"), a 770,030 SF, Class A office building located in
New York, NY. Moody's ratings are based on the credit quality of
the loan and the strength of the securitization structure.
Collateral for the loan consists of a 25-story, office tower
offering approximately 770,030 SF of net rentable area ("NRA").
Approximately 744,865 SF consists of office space (96.7% of NRA),
23,334 SF is retail (3.0% of NRA) and 1,831 SF is used for storage
/ property management (0.2% of NRA). As of April 01, 2025, the
Property was 98.1% leased by approximately 34 unique tenants. The
roster is economically diverse as tenants operate across a variety
of industries, including consumer products, financial services,
multinational firms, professional services, retail and other
corporate businesses. The five largest tenants at the Property are
Colgate-Palmolive, Ally Financial, Goldentree Asset Management,
Rosenthal & Rosenthal and Peapack Gladstone. Other noteworthy
tenants include 3i Group and Lendlease.
The Property is well located in Midtown Manhattan, situated on the
west side of Park Avenue between 49th Street and 50th Street. The
office tower is situated directly opposite the Waldorf Astoria
Hotel and approximately three blocks east of Rockefeller Center.
The Property is also located only two blocks from the nearest Grand
Central Terminal entrance, which grants access to Metro-North
Railroad, Long Island Railroad as well as the 4,5,6,7 and S subway
lines. Additionally, the property benefits from being proximate to
several community amenities including Radio City Music Hall, St.
Patrick's Cathedral, the Museum of Modern Art, Bryant Park and
Central Park.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitizations methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also considers a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessments of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessments of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this transaction,
Moody's makes various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's adjust the
MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects capitalization (cap)
rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap rates and market cap
rates. Moody's also uses an adjusted loan balance that reflects
each loan's amortization profile.
The Moody's first mortgage actual DSCR is 1.46x, compared to 1.41x
at Moody's provisional ratings due to an interest rate decrease.
Moody's first mortgage actual stressed DSCR is 0.86x. Moody's DSCR
is based on Moody's stabilized net cash flow.
The loan first mortgage balance of $330,000,000 represents a
Moody's LTV ratio of 103.1% based on Moody's Value. Adjusted
Moody's LTV ratio for the first mortgage balance is 98.4%, compared
to 97.9% at Moody's provisional ratings, based on Moody's Value
using a cap rate adjusted for the current interest rate
environment.
Moody's also grade properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and considers those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The property quality
grade is 0.50.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: the Property's strong
location, asset quality, exceptional tenant roster, excellent
accessibility, recent lease-up with limited rollover, experienced
sponsorship and cash equity.
Notable concerns of the transaction include: the high total debt
Moody's loan-to-value ratio, office market demand, lack of asset
diversification, interest-only mortgage loan profile and certain
credit negative legal features.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed
Securitizations" published in January 2025.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds
include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
OBX TRUST 2025-SR1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class A2 Bonds
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings to OBX 2025-SR1 Trust (OBX
2025-SR1).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
OBX 2025-SR1
A1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
A2 LT BB-sf New Rating
M LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a resecuritization of retained REMICs which
include 69 underlying subordinate bonds, excess cash flow bonds
(including risk retention), senior interest-only bonds and senior
AIOS strip classes. This issuance is structured with a repurchase
agreement to align to risk-retention requirements and is the first
of this type under the OBX shelf.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Structured Repo Structure (Positive)
OBX 2025-SR1 is a resecuritization transaction issued by Annaly and
supported by 69 Expanded Prime and Non-Prime/Non-QM REMIC tranches
with a contributing balance totaling approximately $348.4 million.
The class A notes benefit from hard credit enhancement (CE) in the
form of an overcollateralization amount equal to the class M
balance ($55.6 million). The A1 bond totals $224.9 million (35.45%
CE) while A2 totals $67.9 million (15.95% CE).
OBX 2025-SR1 is structured as a repurchase (repo) transaction
whereby the repo sellers (Annaly Capital Management, Annaly Resi
Credit Fund LP and OBX MBS Fund LP) will sell the underlying REMIC
tranches to the issuer/repo buyer under the terms of a master
repurchase agreement to comply with risk retention requirements.
This deal is supported by subordinate tranches, interest-only bonds
and servicing fee strips, some of which are risk-retention
securities.
The notes represent obligations of which the repo seller provides
full recourse back to the issuer under the repurchase agreement,
which covers legal requirements related to risk-retention tranches.
Fitch assigned ratings under the assumption and sensitivity that
the repurchase obligations are not executed by the repo sellers and
the underlying REMICs are used to pay off the rated notes.
The transaction uses a supportive structure where the total
remittance amount, defined as total interest and principal
collections from the underlying securities less any fees, will
first pay prior to the earlier of the maturity or optional call
date, current and unpaid interest on the class A1 and A2 notes
followed by principal sequentially, starting with class A1 and then
to the redemption account. The redemption account will be used to
then pay principal on the class A2 followed by any step-up interest
on the A1 and A2 notes and, lastly, principal to class M. The deal
also features an optional call whereby the notes will be fully
repaid in the event it is exercised.
The issuer can exercise the option to repurchase the collateral, at
which time the principal allocations owed on the A2 will be paid
from funds accruing in a redemption account. If the optional call
is not exercised, the coupon on the A1 and A2 classes will incur a
step-up, which incentivizes the issuer to call the collateral. In
its rating analysis, Fitch assumed the redemptions were not
executed and proceeds from the underlying collateral pay off the A1
and A2 classes.
The step-up interest is paid subordinate to the senior interest
payments. There are adequate disclosures in the offering docs and
it is not included as an event of default (EoD), so Fitch did not
look for these amounts to be repaid. This is consistent with the
approach outlined in Fitch's "Global Structured Finance Rating
Criteria." As a result, Fitch's rating opinion only addresses the
ultimate receipt of all current interest amounts and unpaid current
interest amounts and principal payments to which the class A1 and
A2 noteholders are entitled. It does not address the subordinated
accrued step-up interest amount and accrued carryforward step-up
interest amount payments.
This structure is highly supportive of the rated A1 and A2 notes.
In Fitch's cash flow analysis, a scenario with higher prepays,
midloaded losses and declining interest rates was the most
strenuous; otherwise, the CE levels on the notes have significant
subordination cushion.
Fitch expects significant deposits to be held in the redemption
account that will ultimately be used to pay down the class A2 and M
notes. The deal presents some counterparty risk as it pertains to
the collection account bank. Wilmington Savings Fund Society, as
paying agent and indenture trustee, is not rated by Fitch and will
therefore hold deposits into the redemption account as cash with
another entity that meets Fitch's eligible account definition.
Fitch will apply a rating cap of 'Asf' for class A2, which is
equivalent to the minimum rating within its Eligible Account
definition. The counterparty cap is not applicable for this rating
action but may be significant in future surveillance of the deal.
Strong Performance to Date (Positive)
The transaction is backed by 12 underlying pools consisting of
seven Non-Prime/NQM and five Expanded Prime across three separate
transactions. Two of the underlying securities, OBX 2020-EXP1 and
2020-EXP3, each have two separate collateral groups in which
proceeds follow a senior-subordinate shifting-interest Y-structure.
All the transactions were issued between 2020 and 2022, and four of
the 12 were not previously rated by Fitch at issuance. The total
contributing balance from these pools is $348.4 million, while the
total original deal balance of all 12 deals was $4.6 billion. The
average tranche factor of the underlying base classes is 94.5% with
a majority having not yet begun amortizing principal due to their
subordinate place in their respective structures.
- Expanded Prime
The transaction includes 34 classes (18 base classes) across three
OBX Expanded Prime transactions, which constitute 35.5% of the
allocated debt amount. These classes have an average tranche factor
of 88%. All the bonds sit within senior-subordinate shifting
interest structures whereby the subordinate trances receive
scheduled principal payments on a pro-rata basis and, in some
cases, for deals that are passing their respective triggers,
unscheduled payments based off their step-down schedule. All the
underlying Expanded Prime transactions were reviewed by Fitch
during a prior surveillance review and were rated at issuance.
Of the 17 expanded prime base-classes, Fitch expects 14 of them to
fully pay off without any principal writedowns in the most
conservative 'BBB-sf' scenario, which is characterized by
backloaded defaults, high prepayments, and declining interest
rates. These underlying classes have investment-grade ratings. The
B6 classes from OBX 2020-EXP1, 2020-EXP2, and 2020-EXP3 were not
rated at issuance, serve as first-loss pieces in their respective
structures and have already incurred writedowns. OBX 2020-EXP1 B6
has had the most significant writedown (1.6%), Fitch expects it to
be fully written down under the most conservative scenario. On
average, the Expanded Prime base tranches are projected to have a
principal recovery of approximately 90% under the most punitive
'BBB-' scenario.
The EXP underlying pools have an average three-month Conditional
Prepayment Rate (CPR) of approximately 8.2%, which is slightly
above the Non-Prime sector average of 14.2%. The average expected
loss for these deals at 'BBB-sf' is 4.0% and has remained
relatively unchanged over the past six months.
- Non-Prime/NQM Transactions
The transaction also includes 21 base principal and interest (P&I)
classes (excluding 14 XS/AIOS classes) from seven Non-Prime/NQM
transactions. Fitch did not rate the following four transactions at
issuance: OBX 2022-NQM1, OBX 2022-NQM2, OBX 2022-NQM3 and OBX
2022-NQM4. All the NQM transactions were issued between late-2021
and mid-2022. The Non-Prime portfolio is the largest cohort,
accounting for the remaining 65.5% of the allocated debt amount.
In the most stressful scenario, Fitch expects seven NQM base
classes, which are all not rated and are the first-loss piece of
their respective structures, to be completely written down in the
most stressful scenario. Of those classes, Fitch expects that five
will not have any principal recovery in a 'BBB-' scenario.
These underlying pools have an average three-month Conditional
Prepayment Rate (CPR) of 7.0%, which is slower than the Non-Prime
sector average of 14.2%. The expected loss under the 'BBB-sf'
stress for the Non-Prime cohort is 5.3%. OBX 2022-NQM5 has an
expected loss of 8.3%, the highest of the entire underlying
portfolio. However, the deal declined around 180bps over the last
six months due to improved borrower performance and de-leveraging.
Underlying Bonds and Cash Flows (Positive)
In Fitch's stressed scenarios the repayment of the transaction's
notes is primarily based on principal and interest cash flows on
the underlying subordinate bonds.
Of the 38 P&I underlying tranches, 19 pass the most conservative
'BBB-sf' stress with 100% principal recovery expectations and three
pass with over 80% principal recovery. The most subordinate and
first-loss tranches of the underlying transactions are mostly
written off with zero principal recovery in Fitch's given rating
stresses. In the most conservative 'BBB-sf' stress, Fitch expects a
principal recovery of 55.0% of the underlying principal amount and
the A1 tranche of the transaction is to be structured to 35.45% CE.
The means the remaining support would be accumulated from excess
interest and excess servicing fee collections.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative)
Fitch haircuts property values based on overvaluation at a local
level to determine long-term sustainable values and determine
Sustainable LTV's (sLTV). Fitch views the home price values on a
national level as 11.0% above a long-term sustainable level as of
4Q24. The underlying pools in this transaction maintain a current
weighted average base-case. Fitch calculated sLTV ratio of 53.0%.
Inclusion of Excess Cash Flow and Excess Servicing Fee Strips
(Positive)
The transaction also includes 10 classes with excess servicing fee
strip (AIOS) bonds from all the underlying deals along with seven
excess cash flow (XS) tranches from each of the underlying non-QM
deals. The interest collected from both the AIOS and XS is included
in the total remittance amount at the deal level and can be
beneficial outside of the P&I classes.
The AIOS notes of the underlying deals receive interest as a result
of the spread between the aggregate servicing fees of the
underlying deals, primarily structured to 0.25%, and the actual
servicing fees paid to the servicers, which is under 5bps. In order
to stress the structure's dependency on these cash flows, Fitch ran
a servicing fee stress analysis for each of the underlying deal and
determined a minimum actual servicing fee of 10bps to reduce the
modest AIOS interest.
The underlying non-QM transactions generate excess spread due to
the spread between the collateral and bond coupons. The excess cash
flow in these transactions are typically used to cover any current
or periodic losses and then flows to the XS noteholders.
In addition, for each of the underlying non-QM deals, Fitch runs a
rate modification analysis that reduces some of the excess spread
available in the deal. After absorbing its loss and cash flow
stress to pay interest and principal on the underlying, and then
running rate modification stress, there was modest benefit to the
inclusion of the XS classes of approximately 1.4% of the total cash
flow in the most conservative scenario.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model-projected declines.
The analysis indicates that there is some potential rating
migration with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the
model projection. At the 'BBB-sf' rating, a 10% MVD could result in
a downgrade to 'B+sf', while a 20% or 30% MVD could result in a
downgrade to a distressed rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. The analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all the rated classes. Specifically,
a 10% gain in home prices could result in an upgrade to 'BBB+sf'
from 'BBB-sf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified while holding
others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of these
variables to reflect asset performance in up and down environments.
The results should only be considered as one potential outcome, as
the transaction is exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors. It
should not be used as an indicator of possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was provided at issuance for the
underlying transactions but is not applicable in relation to this
rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
OCP CLO 2025-44: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to OCP CLO
2025-44 Ltd./OCP CLO 2025-44 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Onex Credit Partners LLC, a
subsidiary of Onex Corp.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 24,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OCP CLO 2025-44 Ltd./OCP CLO 2025-44 LLC
Class A, $315.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $65.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $22.5 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $7.5 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-3 (deferrable), $5.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.0 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $48.8 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 50: S&P Cuts Class E-R Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class C-RR and D-RR
debt from Octagon Investment Partners XXII Ltd., a U.S. CLO managed
by Octagon Credit Investors LLC. At the same time, S&P lowered its
ratings on the class E-RR and F-RR debt from Octagon Investment
Partners XXII Ltd. and the class D-R and E-R debt from Octagon
Investment Partners 50 Ltd., another U.S. CLO managed by Octagon
Credit Investors LLC, and removed these ratings from CreditWatch
negative. S&P also affirmed its ratings on two classes from Octagon
Investment Partners XXII Ltd. and three classes from Octagon
Investment Partners 50 Ltd.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transactions'
performance using data from their June and July 2025 trustee
reports. Although the same portfolio backs all of the tranches in
the respective transactions, there can be circumstances such as
this, where the ratings on the tranches move in opposite directions
due to support changes in the portfolio. The Octagon Investment
Partners XXII Ltd. transaction is experiencing opposing rating
movements because it experienced both principal paydowns that
increased the senior credit support and faced principal losses that
decreased the junior credit support.
Octagon Investment Partners XXII Ltd.
This transaction originally closed in November 2014 and then went
through a refinancing in June 2017 and a second refinancing in
January 2018 and has exited its reinvesting period in January 2023.
As a result, paydowns have been made to the outstanding senior most
debt. Taking into account the July 2025 payment date, only 7.65% of
the Class A-RR original amount is outstanding.
All the overcollateralization (O/C) ratios have improved except for
the junior-most O/C, which has dropped, since S&P's August 2024
review. As per the July 2025 trustee report, the class E O/C is
failing and the Class F-RR note has deferred its interest due. The
decline in the junior-most O/C levels can be attributed to par
losses, increase in defaults and 'CCC' category assets, which have
offset any benefit for the class E O/C that resulted from the
senior debt paydowns.
The ratings upgrades for the class C-RR and D-RR debt reflect the
improved credit support available to the respective classes at the
prior rating levels. S&P's cash flow analysis indicates the
potential for a higher rating on the class D-RR debt; however, we
believe that the more subordinated position may result in a greater
likelihood of rating migration than that of more senior classes in
the event of portfolio volatility. We also considered the credit
enhancement available for this class under additional sensitivity
analyses that considered exposures to 'CCC'-rated collateral and
assets with distressed prices."
S&P said, "Since our last review, collateral obligations in the
'CCC' rating category rose to 9.51% of the total collateral
reported as of the July 2025 trustee report, compared with 7.14% as
of the July 2024 trustee report. During the same time period,
defaults increased to 2.41% from 0.36%. The portfolio's weighted
average recovery and spread declined during this period,
contributing to weakened cash flows for the class E-RR and F-RR
debt. Given that these classes are positioned lower in the capital
structure, they are more sensitive to such changes as the portfolio
amortizes. These factors led to a decline in credit support, and a
failure of the class E-RR and F-RR cash flows at the previous
rating levels, which resulted in downgrades on classes E-RR and
F-RR.
"Our cash flows indicated lower ratings for both the class E-RR and
F-RR debt. For class E-RR, we considered that the 'CCC' bucket has
improved from prior report levels and that continued paydowns could
potentially improve support levels. Based on its current credit
enhancement and the portfolio's exposure to 'CCC'/'CCC-' rated
obligors, we believe that the class currently is not dependent on
favorable conditions for repayment of its contractual obligations
and, hence, does not fit our 'CCC' definitions yet. Although class
F-RR interest was deferred on the July 2025 payment date due to the
failure of class E O/C, and the cash flow results indicate a lower
rating, based on its existing subordination and exposure to
'CCC'/'CCC-' rated assets, we believe that this tranche needs
favorable conditions for repayment of its contractual obligations
and, hence, downgraded it to the 'CCC' category. We do believe that
the class does not represent our definition of 'CC' risk and do not
expect default to be a virtual certainty. However, any increase in
defaults or par losses could lead to negative rating actions in the
future for both the class E-RR and F-RR debt."
The affirmations on the class A-RR and B-RR debt reflect the
passing cash flows and current credit support.
Octagon Investment Partners 50 Ltd.
This transaction closed in November 2020 and reset in November 2021
and is in its reinvesting period, which is expected to end in
January 2027. As a result, no paydowns have been made to the
outstanding debt.
S&P said, "Although the O/C ratios are above their respective
triggers and passing, they have declined across all classes since
we reviewed it at closing in November 2021. This decline can be
attributed to par losses and increased defaults since our last
review. While collateral obligations in the 'CCC' rating category
have remained below the threshold allowed by the indenture,
defaulted obligations have increased to 1.25% of the total
collateral reported as of the July 2025 trustee report, compared
with 0.00% as of our December 2021 trustee report. In addition, the
portfolio's weighted average spread and weighted average recovery
rates declined during this period."
These factors led to a decline in credit support and the Class D-R
and E-R cashflows failing at the previous rating level, which
resulted in their downgrades. Although the class E-R cash flow
results indicated a potentially lower downgrade, we considered the
passing O/C test levels, existing credit support, and potential for
any 'CC' rated or 'SD' (selective default) obligors returning to
performing status in our analysis. However, any further decline in
credit quality or a reduction in credit support for the class D-R
and E-R debt could result in a downgrade in the future.
S&P said, "While our cash flow analysis also indicated the
potential for a higher rating for the class B-R debt, our rating
actions consider that as the transaction continues to reinvest, the
potential for a change in the collateral composition and increased
volatility. As a result, we did not consider any upgrades at this
time.
"In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various interest rate
and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our analysis considered
the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis--and other qualitative factors as
applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the rated
outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement available at
the rating levels associated with these rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised
Octagon Investment Partners XXII Ltd.
Class C-RR to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'A+ (sf)'
Class D-RR to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
Octagon Investment Partners XXII Ltd.
Class E-RR to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Class F-RR to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Octagon Investment Partners 50 Ltd.
Class D-R to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Class E-R to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Octagon Investment Partners XXII Ltd.
Class A-RR: AAA (sf)
Class B-RR: AAA (sf)
Octagon Investment Partners 50 Ltd.
Class A-R: AAA (sf)
Class B-R: AA (sf)
Class C-R: A (sf)
PIKES PEAK 19: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Pikes Peak CLO 19 (2025).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
PIKES PEAK CLO 19
(2025)
A-L Loans LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 19 (2025) (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Partners Group US Management CLO LLC. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 23.51, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 98% first-lien
senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate (WARR) of
the indicative portfolio is 73.67% and will be managed to a WARR
covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, and 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Most of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities have
ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 19
(2025).
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
PIKES PEAK 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Pikes Peak CLO 9 reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Pikes Peak CLO 9
X-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-1-R LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-2-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 9 (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Partners Group US
Management CLO LLC that originally closed in November 2021. The
CLO's secured notes will be refinanced on July 28, 2025 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B'/'B-' which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.77 and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 98.48% first
lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.72% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.2-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'Asf' for
class C-1-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-2-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-1-R,
'AA+sf' for class C-2-R, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class
D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 9.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
PIKES PEAK 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Pikes
Peak CLO 9 reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Pikes Peak CLO 9
X-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-1-R LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
C-2-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 9 (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Partners Group US
Management CLO LLC that originally closed in November 2021. The
CLO's secured notes will be refinanced on July 28, 2025 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B'/'B-' which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.77 and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 98.48% first
lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.72% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.2-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'Asf' for
class C-1-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-2-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-1-R,
'AA+sf' for class C-2-R, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R, 'A-sf' for class
D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 9.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
PKHL COMMERCIAL 2021-MF: S&P Lowers D Certs Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on five classes of
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from PKHL Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2021-MF.
This U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction is backed
by an unhedged floating-rate, interest-only (IO) mortgage loan
secured by the borrower's fee-simple interest in Parkhill City, a
two-tower apartment complex totaling 538 units in the Jamaica
neighborhood of Queens in New York City. The loan has a $225
million principal balance as of the July 15, 2025, trustee
remittance report, pays floating interest rate indexed to one-month
SOFR + 3.97% spread, and matured July 9, 2023.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on classes A, B, C, and D primarily reflect:
-- S&P's revised net recovery value, which is 10.7% lower than the
net recovery value it derived in its last review in July 2024,
primarily due to increased loan exposure to date that is higher
than S&P anticipated, as well as its projection of an additional $9
million of advances as the special servicer continues to pursue a
foreclosure and liquidation of the asset. The current loan exposure
build primarily reflects servicer advancing for loan interest.
-- S&P's view that the loan's protracted time in special servicing
and increases in loan exposure may result in reduced liquidity and
eventual recovery to the trust since advances and related accruals
sit senior to the outstanding trust debt. These amounts directly
reduce the ultimate recoverable proceeds available to the bonds
upon the asset's eventual liquidation.
-- The downgrade on class D to 'CCC (sf)' also reflects S&P's
qualitative consideration that the class's repayment depends on
favorable business, financial, and economic conditions and that it
is vulnerable to default.
While the model-indicated ratings for classes B and C are lower
than the rating outcomes, primarily reflecting an interest rate
stress applied in our analysis as the loan currently lacks an
interest rate cap agreement (IRCA), S&P considered the potential
for:
-- The loan to be modified with the instatement of a
criteria-compliant IRCA;
-- The future trajectory of interest rates differing from that
embedded in S&P's stressed interest rate analysis; and/or
-- The property to liquidate at a price exceeding our long-term
sustainable value.
S&P downgraded its 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class X-NCP IO
certificates based on our criteria for rating IO securities, in
which the rating on the IO securities would not be higher than that
of the lowest-rated reference class. The class X-NCP notional
amount references class A.
The loan, which has a reported May 9, 2024, paid-through date, was
transferred to special servicing on Feb. 13, 2023, because of
payment default. The special servicer, CWCapital Asset Management
LLC, stated that a receiver has been appointed and it is pursuing a
foreclosure. The special servicer has ordered an updated appraisal
report. The May 2024 appraised value of $273.4 million was 15.2%
below the issuance appraised value of $322.5 million.
Since S&P's July 2024 review, the total loan exposure increased to
$253.2 million from $235.0 million, according to the July 2025
trustee remittance report. The $28.2 million total outstanding
servicer advances and accruals included $23.4 million for debt
service, $1.4 million for other expenses, $1.7 million for taxes
and insurance, and $1.7 million for cumulative unpaid advance
interest accruals.
S&P will continue to monitor the various factors referenced above,
as well as any updated external value points (including broker
opinions of value and appraisals) and will adjust any component of
our analysis, including our long-term sustainable value, as may be
determined necessary.
Property-Level Analysis Update
S&P said, "While updated financials were not available in time for
our current review, we expect the multifamily collateral
performance to be relatively stable due to its location and recent
build date.
"To determine recoveries to the bondholders, in our July 2024
review, we assumed a one-year disposition timeframe for the
collateral property, with a commensurate level of servicer advances
(offset by annual property income) during that period. This
reflected an additional $11.1 million atop the $10.0 million
already present at that time, for a total of $21.1 million of
advances and accruals that are senior to the outstanding trust
debt.
"As we previously discussed, since then, the loan's exposure build
grew to $28.2 million, and the ultimate disposition timeframe
remains unclear. In addition, the special servicer indicated that
the borrower filed a counterclaim against the special servicer's
foreclosure filing, which has already resulted in certain legal
fees being incurred, with the potential for more in the future,
which could affect cashflow to the rated certificates.
"In our current analysis, we forecast an additional year until
disposition, along with a commensurate level of future servicer
advances (again, offset by anticipated property income). As a
result, we expect an additional $9.0 million of advances through
disposition. When added to the $28.2 million of exposure build
reported to date, this results in $37.1 million of forecasted
exposure build sitting senior to the trust debt, which we deducted
from our long-term sustainable value of $170.7 million ($317,241
per unit), unchanged from our last review, to arrive at our reduced
net recovery value of $133.5 million."
Ratings Lowered
PKHL Commercial Mortgage Trust 2021-MF
Class A to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB+ (sf)'
Class C to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BB+ (sf)'
Class D to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'
Class X-NCP to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AAA (sf)'
PPM CLO 3: Moody's Lowers Rating on $20MM Class E-R Notes to B1
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by PPM CLO 3 Ltd.:
US$20,000,000 Class E-R Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2034
(the "Class E-R Notes"), Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on March
25, 2021 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
PPM CLO 3 Ltd., originally issued in June 2019 and refinanced in
March 2021, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized
primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment period will end in
April 2026.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade rating action on the Class E-R notes reflects
deterioration in Over-Collateralization (OC) ratio and the specific
risks to the junior notes posed by par loss observed in the
underlying CLO portfolio. Based on trustee's May 2025 report, the
OC ratio for the Class E notes is reported at 105.42%[1] compared
to 107.44%[2] in May 2024. Also, based on Moody's calculations,
the total collateral par balance is currently $387.9 million, or
$12.1 million less than the $400.0 million initial par amount
targeted during the deal's ramp-up.
No actions were taken on the Class A-R, Class B-R, Class C-R and
Class D-R notes because their expected losses remain commensurate
with their current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's
latest portfolio information, its relevant structural features and
its actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $387,934,618
Diversity Score: 82
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2798
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.16%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.65%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.25 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
PROVIDENT FUNDING 2025-3: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to B-5 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 30 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by Provident
Funding Mortgage Trust 2025-3, and sponsored by Provident Funding
Associates, L.P.
The securities are backed by a pool of GSE-eligible (100.0% by
balance) residential mortgages originated and serviced by Provident
Funding Associates, L.P.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Provident Funding Mortgage Trust 2025-3
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-10*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-16*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.30%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.12% and reaches 4.46% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
PRPM TRUST 2025-NQM3: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-2 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 8 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by PRPM
2025-NQM3 Trust, and sponsored by PRP-LB VI AIV, LLC.
The securities are backed by a pool of non-prime, non-QM
residential mortgages acquired by entities administered by PRPM
2025-NQM3 Trust, originated by multiple entities and serviced by
Newrez LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint) and Fay
Servicing, LLC.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: PRPM 2025-NQM3 Trust
Cl. A-1A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
5.26%, in a baseline scenario-median is 4.34% and reaches 29.72% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
RAD CLO 12: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class D-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the RAD
CLO 12, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
RAD CLO 12, Ltd.
A-1a-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-1b-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAsf New Rating
B-R LT Asf New Rating
C-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
C-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
RAD CLO 12, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by Redding
Ridge Asset Management LLC. The CLO originally closed in November
2021. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $450 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 25.4 and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 96.48%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.24% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 44.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a five-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1b-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class B-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class C-1-R,
and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class C-2-R and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class D-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1b-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class A-2-R, 'AAsf' for class B-R, 'A+sf'
for class C-1-R, and 'Asf' for class C-2-R and 'BBB+sf' for class
D-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 12, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
RADIAN MORTGAGE 2025-J3: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Radian Mortgage Capital
Trust 2025-J3 (RMCT 2025-J3).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Radian Mortgage Capital Trust 2025-J3
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-15-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-17-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-19-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-21-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-23-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-24-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-25-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-27 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-27-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-28 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-28-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-29 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-30 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-31 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-32 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-33 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-34 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-34-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-1-A LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-1-X LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-2-A LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-2-X LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-3 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-3-A LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-3-X LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-5 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-X LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch rates the residential mortgage-backed notes issued by Radian
Mortgage Capital Trust 2025-J3, as indicated above. The notes are
supported by 398 prime loans with a total balance of approximately
$374.0 million as of the cutoff date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.9% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% qoq,
based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices). Housing
affordability is currently at its worst levels in decades, driven
by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices
had increased 2.9% yoy nationally as of February 2025,
notwithstanding modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
High Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
30-year, fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) fully amortizing loans seasoned
at approximately five months in aggregate, calculated by Fitch as
the difference between the cutoff date and the origination date.
The average loan balance is $939,780. The collateral primarily
comprises 76.4% prime-jumbo loans, followed by 171
agency-conforming loans accounting for 23.6% of the unpaid
principal balance (UPB).
Borrowers in this pool have strong credit profiles (a 774 average
model FICO, as calculated by Fitch), in line with comparable
prime-jumbo securitizations. The sustainable loan-to-value ratio
(sLTV) is 80.1%, and the mark-to-market (MtM) combined LTV ratio
(cLTV) is 71.1%. Fitch treated approximately 100% of the loans as
full documentation collateral, and 100% of the loans are qualified
mortgages (QMs).
Of the pool, 93.2% are loans for which the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 6.8% are for second homes. Additionally,
53.8% of the loans were originated through a retail channel. Fitch
expects losses in the 'AAAsf' stress amount to 7.25%, similar to
those of other comparable prime-jumbo shelves.
Shifting-Interest Structure (Mixed): The mortgage cash flow and
loss allocation are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure whereby the subordinate classes receive
only scheduled principal and are locked out from receiving
unscheduled principal or prepayments for five years. This lockout
feature helps maintain subordination for a longer period should
losses occur later in the life of the transaction.
The applicable credit support percentage feature redirects
subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if specified
credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained. Due to leakage
to the subordinate bonds, the shifting-interest structure requires
more CE. While there is only minimal leakage to the subordinate
bonds early in the life of the transaction, the structure is more
vulnerable to defaults at a later stage compared with a sequential
or modified-sequential structure.
To help mitigate tail risk, which arises as the pool seasons and
fewer loans are outstanding, a subordination floor of 2.30% of the
original balance will be maintained for the senior and subordinate
notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national level to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.1% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. A 10% additional
decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by one full
category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all the rated classes. A 10% gain in
home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the rated
class, excluding those assigned 'AAAsf' ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Canopy, Incenter and Opus. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, made the following adjustment to its
analysis: a 5% credit was given at the loan level for each loan
where satisfactory due diligence was completed. This adjustment
resulted in a 31-bps reduction to the 'AAA' expected loss
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
RCKT MORTGAGE 2025-CES7: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Six Tranches
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed notes issued by RCKT Mortgage Trust 2025-CES7 (RCKT
2025-CES7).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RCKT 2025-CES7
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1AR LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1BR LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1L LT WDsf Withdrawn AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-2R LT AAsf New Rating
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
A-3R LT Asf New Rating
A-4 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
A-6 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-1A LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-1B LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-1R LT BBsf New Rating
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-2A LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The notes are supported by 7,427 closed-end second lien (CES)
loans, with a total balance of approximately $647 million as of the
cutoff date. The pool consists of CES mortgages acquired by
Woodward Capital Management LLC from Rocket Mortgage, LLC.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations
are based on a traditional senior-subordinate, sequential
structure, in which excess cash flow can be used to repay losses or
net weighted average coupon (WAC) shortfalls.
Since Fitch assigned expected ratings for the RCKT 2025-CES7
transaction, the issuer added additional exchangeable note classes
for the class A, class M, and class B notes. These ratings are
in-line with the respective note ratings.
Fitch has withdrawn the expected rating of 'AAA(sf)' for the
previous class A-1L notes as the loan was not funded at close and
is no longer being offered.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): As a result of its
updated view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price
values of this pool as 11.6% above a long-term sustainable level
(versus 11% on a national level as of 4Q24). Affordability is the
worst it has been in decades, driven by high interest rates and
elevated home prices. Home prices have increased 2.9% YoY
nationally as of February 2025 despite modest regional declines,
but are still supported by limited inventory.
Prime Credit Quality (Positive): The collateral consists of 7,427
loans totaling approximately $647 million and seasoned at about
three months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch (one month, per
the transaction documents) — taken as the difference between the
origination date and the cutoff date. The borrowers have a strong
credit profile, including a WA Fitch model FICO score of 742, a
debt-to-income ratio (DTI) of 39.1% and moderate leverage, with a
sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) of 77.0%.
Of the pool, 99.3% of the loans are of a primary residence and 0.7%
represent investor properties or second homes, and 94.0% of loans
were originated through a retail channel. Additionally, 56.2% of
loans are designated as safe-harbor qualified mortgages (SHQMs) and
18.7% are higher-priced qualified mortgages (HPQMs). Due to the
100% loss severity (LS) assumption, no additional penalties were
applied for the HPQM loan status.
Second-Lien Collateral (Negative): The entire collateral pool
comprises CES loans originated by Rocket Mortgage. Fitch assumed no
recovery and a 100% LS based on the historical behavior of
second-lien loans in economic stress scenarios. Fitch assumes
second-lien loans default at a rate comparable to first-lien loans;
after controlling for credit attributes, no additional penalty was
applied to Fitch's probability of default (PD) assumption.
Sequential Structure (Positive): The transaction has a typical
sequential payment structure. Principal is used to pay down the
bonds sequentially and losses are allocated reverse sequentially.
Monthly excess cash flow is derived from remaining amounts after
allocation of the interest and principal priority of payments.
These amounts will be applied as principal, first to repay any
current and previously allocated cumulative applied realized loss
amounts and then to repay any potential net WAC shortfalls. The
senior classes incorporate a step-up coupon of 1.00% (to the extent
still outstanding) after the 48th payment date.
180-Day Charge-off Feature (Positive): The class XS majority
noteholder has the ability, but not the obligation, to instruct the
servicer to write off the balance of a loan at 180 days delinquent
(DQ) based on the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency
method. To the extent the servicer expects meaningful recovery in
any liquidation scenario, the class XS majority noteholder may
direct the servicer to continue to monitor the loan and not charge
it off.
While the 180-day charge-off feature will result in losses being
incurred sooner, there is a larger amount of excess interest to
protect against them. This compares favorably with a delayed
liquidation scenario, where losses occur later in the life of a
transaction and less excess is available to cover them. If a loan
is not charged off due to a presumed recovery, this will provide
added benefit to the transaction, above Fitch's expectations.
Additionally, recoveries realized after the writedown at 180 days
DQ (excluding forbearance mortgage or loss mitigation loans) will
be passed on to bondholders as principal.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national level to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.5% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, already rated
'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential positive rating
migration for all of the rated classes. Specifically, a 10% gain in
home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the rated
class excluding those assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC Diligence, LLC. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, regulatory compliance and
property valuation. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to
its analysis: a 5% PD credit to the 25.1% of the pool by loan count
in which diligence was conducted. This adjustment resulted in a
19bps reduction to the 'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
RCKT 2025-CES7 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to {DESCRIPTION OF ISSUE/RATIONALE},
which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant
to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
RCKTL 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the notes
issued by RCKTL 2025-1.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RCKTL 2025-1
A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Solid Receivables Quality: The RCKTL 2025-1 pool consists of
unsecured consumer loans made to obligors with strong credit
scores. The weighted average (WA) credit score is 741, and WA
income of $137,737. The pool consists of amortizing loans, with a
WA net interest rate of 14.29% and a WA original term of 52 months,
averaging seven months of seasoning. Of the loans, 94.6% are
originated to borrowers who own a home.
Base Case Default Reflects Recent Performance Trends: RockLoans
Marketplace LLC's (RockLoans) managed default rates increased in
2022 and 2023. The cumulative gross default (CGD) rate in vintage
1Q22 was approximately 6.8% and peaked at around 9.0% in vintage
4Q22. However, since initiating corrective measures, including
tightened credit standards, performance of 2H23 and 2024 vintages
improved QoQ.
Fitch's WA base case gross default assumption (the default
assumption) for RCKTL 2025-1 is 9.38%. The default assumption was
established based on data stratified by RockLoans' default
probability score and loan term. In setting the expected case
(default assumption), Fitch considered performance trends from
vintage year 2020 and recognized improving default curves in
vintage year 2024.
Credit Enhancement Mitigates Stressed Losses: Initial hard credit
enhancement (CE) totals 37.4%, 25.8%, 16.3%, 9.1%, and 2.3% of the
adjusted pool balance for class A, B, C, D, and E notes,
respectively. The transaction amortizes the notes sequentially and
excess cash is not released before the specified
overcollateralization amount of 12.00% is met. Fitch tested the
initial CE under stressed cash flow assumptions for all classes and
found that the classes pass all stresses at the rating level
assigned to the respective class of notes.
In particular, Fitch applied a 'AAAsf' rating stress of 4.5x the
base case default rate for consumer loans.
The stress multiples decrease for lower rating levels according to
the "higher" prescribed multiples described in Fitch's "Consumer
ABS Rating Criteria." The default multiple reflects the absolute
value of the default assumption, the length of default performance
history for the loans, the WA FICO score of the borrowers, and the
WA original loan term, which increases the portfolio's exposure to
changing economic conditions.
Assurance for True Lender Status for Partner Bank-Loan Origination:
RockLoans' securitization transactions comprise consumer loans
originated by Cross River Bank, a New Jersey state-chartered
commercial bank. The bank's true lender status in the context of
RockLoans' loan acquisition is subject to legal and regulatory
uncertainty, especially if the loans' interest rates exceed those
allowed by the borrowers' state usury laws.
If a court ruling or regulatory action deems RockLoans, rather than
Cross River Bank, is the true lender, loans could be declared
unenforceable, void, or subject to interest rate reductions and
other penalties. This would increase negative rating pressure.
Fitch's analysis and expected ratings reflect a review of the
transaction's eligibility criteria for selecting the receivables
for RCKTL 2025-1, which reduces exposure to loans with interest
rates above usury caps. Fitch also performed an operational risk
review and deemed RockLoans' compliance, legal, and operational
capabilities as acceptable to meet consumer protection
regulations.
Adequate Servicing Capabilities: RockLoans has a strong record of
servicing consumer loans. Since launching the RockLoans Platform in
2016, RockLoans has acted as a subservicer of the consumer loans
originated by Cross River Bank. Starting in May 2025, RockLoans
became the sole servicer of certain personal loans originated
through the RockLoans Platform. The entity's credit risk profile is
mitigated by backup servicing provided by Systems & Services
Technologies, Inc. Fitch considers all parties adequate servicers
for this pool at their expected rating levels.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Current Expected Ratings: 'AAAsf', 'AAsf', 'Asf', 'BBBsf',
'BB-sf';
Increased default base case by 10%: 'AA+sf', 'AA-sf', 'A-sf',
'BBB-sf', 'B+sf';
Increased default base case by 25%: 'AAsf', 'A+sf', 'BBB+sf',
'BB+sf', 'CCCsf';
Increased default base case by 50%: 'A+sf', 'A-sf', 'BBB-sf',
'BBsf', 'NRsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Current Expected Ratings: 'AAAsf', 'AAsf', 'Asf', 'BBBsf',
'BB-sf';
Decreased default base case by 25%: 'AAAsf', 'AAAsf', 'AAsf',
'A-sf', 'BB+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison of certain
characteristics with respect to 150 randomly selected preliminary
portfolio loans. Fitch considered this information in its analysis,
and the findings did not have an impact on its analysis.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
REALT 2015-1: Fitch Affirms Bsf Rating on Class G Debt
------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed two and upgraded three classes of Real
Estate Asset Liquidity Trust's (REAL-T) commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2015-1. The Rating Outlook for
classes D, and E have been assigned as Positive following their
upgrade. The Rating Outlooks for classes F, and G have been revised
to Positive from Negative following their affirmation. The Rating
Outlooks for upgraded classes C remains Stable. All currencies are
denominated in Canadian dollars (CAD).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
REAL-T 2015-1
C 75585RME2 LT AAAsf Upgrade AA+sf
D 75585RMF9 LT Asf Upgrade BBB+sf
E 75585RMG7 LT BBBsf Upgrade BBB-sf
F 75585RMH5 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
G 75585RMJ1 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Improved Credit Enhancement (CE); Decreased Loss Expectations: The
upgrades of classes C, D and E reflect improved pool performance
and increased CE from scheduled amortization, and
better-than-expected recoveries from loans paying off at maturity,
including a former Fitch Loan of Concern (FLOC) the Alta Vista
Manor Retirement Ottawa, which was the largest contributor to loss
expectations at the prior rating actions with a base case loss of
20% (prior to concentration adjustments). As of the July 2025
distribution date, the pool's aggregate principal balance was paid
down by 90.3% since issuance and 45.3% since Fitch's prior rating
action. Fitch's current ratings incorporate a deal-level 'Bsf'
rating case loss of 3.0%, down from 3.4% at Fitch's prior rating
action.
Fitch's affirmations for classes F and G, reflect stable
performance and the pool's high concentration. The two largest
loans (Place D'Armes Office Kingston and Sobey's St. John's;
combined 77% of the total pool balance) have been granted short
term extensions from their July 2025 maturity dates to allow
additional time to arrange refinancing. The last remaining loans
are secured by 10 U-Haul self-storage facilities that are
cross-collateralized and have exhibited stable performance since
issuance. The loans are fully amortizing and mature in January
2035.
The Positive Outlooks on classes D, E, F, and G reflect lower pool
loss expectations and the potential for further upgrades with
additional paydown or continued performance improvement, along with
stable performance on the remaining loans in the pool with
continued scheduled amortization. There are no designated Fitch
Loans of Concerns (FLOC), down from 25.6% at the last rating
action. No loans are in special servicing.
Given the highly concentrated nature of the pool, whereby 77.0% of
the pool matures by October 2025, Fitch performed a recovery and
liquidation analysis that grouped the remaining loans based on
their status and collateral quality and then ranked them by their
perceived likelihood of repayment or loss expectation. This
analysis supported the upgrade of classes C, D, and E and the
Positive Outlooks on classes D, E, F, and G.
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest contributor to loss
expectations is the Place D'Armes Office Kingston loan (46.8% of
the pool), which is secured by 207,184-sf single-tenant office
property in Kingston, Ontario. The property has maintained a 100%
occupancy since issuance. The Government Sponsored Entity tenant,
which includes multiple government ministries, has occupied the
property since 2000, with lease expiry in September 2025. Per a
servicer update, the tenant will relinquish approximately 39,000 SF
and renew the rest of the space, resulting in an occupancy of
81.8%.
The reported DSCR as of TTM ended November 2023 was 1.91x. The loan
was scheduled to mature in July 2025 but will be extended to Oct.
1, 2025, to allow time for the borrower to close on a refinancing
and actively lease the vacant space. The loan remains full recourse
to the sponsor Luciano Pupolin.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 1.2% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.0% cap rate, and a 20% stress to the
most recent cashflow to account for the downsizing of the single
tenant.
Canadian Loan Attributes: The ratings reflect strong historical
Canadian commercial real estate loan performance, including a low
delinquency rate and low historical losses of less than 0.1%, as
well as positive loan attributes, such as short amortization
schedules, recourse to the borrower and additional guarantors on
many loans. Approximately 77.0% of the pool features full or
partial recourse to the borrowers and/or sponsors.
Changes to Credit Enhancement: As of the July 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate balance has been paid down by 90.2% to
$32.35 million from $334.8 million at issuance. All 12 loans (100%
of the pool) are currently amortizing with 10 loans (23.0% of the
pool) that are fully amortizing. No interest shortfalls or realized
losses are impacting to the pool.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAAsf' and 'Asf' categories are
not likely due to their position in the capital structure and
expected paydown from loan repayments and continued amortization.
However, downgrades may occur if the loans maturing in 2025, namely
Place D'Armes Office Kingston, and Sobey's St. John's do not
refinance, and deal-level losses increase significantly.
Downgrades for the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories could occur
if performance of the Place D'Armes Office Kingston and Soby's St.
John's loans deteriorate and/or the aforementioned loans do not
refinance at their extended maturity dates.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the 'Asf', 'BBBsf', 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated classes
could occur with significantly increased CE from paydowns from the
Place D'Armes Office Kingston and Soby's St. John's loans, coupled
with stable or improved performance of the U-Haul loans.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
REALT 2019-1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'B-sf'
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded four and affirmed one class of Real
Estate Asset Liquidity Trust's (REAL-T) commercial mortgage
pass-pass through certificates, series 2019-1. A Negative Rating
Outlook was assigned to classes B, C, D-1 and D-2 following their
downgrades. The Outlook remains Negative for class A-2.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
REAL-T 2019-1
A-2 75585RQZ1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 75585RRB3 LT Asf Downgrade AAsf
C 75585RRC1 LT BBBsf Downgrade Asf
D-1 75585RRD9 LT B-sf Downgrade BBsf
D-2 LT B-sf Downgrade BBsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations; Largest Loan in Special
Servicing: The deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss has increased to
10.1% from 6.3% at Fitch's prior rating action. Fitch identified
seven loans (34.1% of the pool) as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs),
including two (18.2%) loans in special servicing.
The downgrades reflect higher pool loss expectations since Fitch's
prior rating action, primarily driven by continued performance
deterioration, an updated lower appraisal valuation and increasing
loan exposure on the largest loan, WSP Place (13.8% of the pool)
which transferred to special servicing in December 2023. The loan
remains 90+ days delinquent, and the borrower continues to work
with the special servicer on a resolution. The expected losses from
the WSP Place loan represent 82.5% of total deal-level expected
losses.
The Negative Outlooks address the potential for further downgrades
if expected losses and/or exposure on the WSP Place loan increase
more than anticipated or the loan is resolved with
higher-than-expected losses, or if a prolonged workout leads to
lower recovery prospects. The Negative Outlooks also reflect
limited cushion to the senior classes for potential future interest
shortfalls. Current interest shortfalls are affecting classes D-1,
D-2 and the non-rated classes E through H.
The servicer is currently advancing a portion of the principal and
interest (P&I) due on the WSP Place loan, which has $4.6 million in
P&I advances outstanding as of the July 2025 remittance. If the
amount advanced on this loan declines, or if additional loans in
the pool default and negatively affect future payments to the
trust, interest shortfalls could increase and impact more classes.
Specially Serviced Loans: The largest contributor to overall loss
expectations and the largest increase in loss since the prior
rating action is the WSP Place loan (13.8%), which is secured by a
191,851-sf office property located in the financial district of
Edmonton, Alberta. The loan is full recourse to the sponsors, GSRI
Ltd., Pacific Plaza LP and George Schluessel, all of which provided
full joint and several guarantees on the loan. The loan transferred
to special servicing in December 2023 for payment default ahead of
its January 2024 maturity.
The loan has since been modified via a forbearance agreement
extending the maturity through July 2026 with the interest rate
increasing to 7% from 4.65% at issuance. As part of the forbearance
agreement, the special servicer is forbearing on its right to
enforce the recourse provisions in exchange for additional security
via assignment of proceeds upon disposition of assets from the
borrower's portfolio. In addition, the borrower had agreed to make
a principal payment of $1.2 million by July 2025.
Per the latest special servicer update, the borrower has sale
agreements pending for other assets but sale proceeds have not been
received by the borrower, and it is unknown at this time whether
any of those proceeds would be assigned to the trust. In addition,
the $1.2 million principal payment has not yet been received.
The property has experienced significant occupancy declines, and as
of June 2025 is 32.5% occupied after the largest tenant, WSP
Canada, downsized prior to its June 2026 lease expiration to 17.5%
of the NRA from 36.4% at issuance in addition to Her Majesty Queen
in Right of Alberta (23.6% of NRA) and Alberta Investment
Management Corporation (8.5%) vacating at their lease expiration.
The borrower has not reported updated financials since YE 2021.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 60.2% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects the recent appraisal value but with a lower
than 100% probability of default to account for the borrower's
continued efforts to resolve the loan at or before the extended
maturity date in 2026. Fitch also performed a sensitivity analysis
which assumed the loan is disposed sooner than currently expected
at the most recent appraisal value, which is approximately 74%
below the appraisal from issuance, and the total outstanding loan
exposure including the advances. In this analysis, expected losses
increase to 80.5%. The Negative Outlooks consider this sensitivity
analysis.
The second specially serviced loan is the Group Guzzo Retail
Terrebone loan (4.4%), which is secured by a 101,821-sf mixed-use
(retail and office) property located in Terrebonne, Quebec. The
loan is full recourse to the sponsor, Cinemas Guzzo, Inc. The
80,418-sf retail space is occupied by a sponsor-owned 14-screen
movie theater. The 21,403-sf office space is occupied by Cinemas
Guzzo Seige Social (15.0% of the NRA) through February 2038 and
Centre de Sante et Service (6.0%) on a lease that expired in
January 2024. Fitch requested updated financials, but the special
servicer indicated the borrower has not provided them. The loan
transferred to special servicing in May 2024 due to delinquent
principal and interest payments and has been delinquent for over 90
days as of July 2024.
According to a servicer update, the loan has been current since
April 2025, including taxes, though legal fees remain outstanding.
Due to Guzzo's ongoing court-ordered liquidation, the lender
received a land valuation as of March 2025 in excess of the
outstanding loan amount. MCAP, IMS (the master servicer), and Ace
Mortgage (the second mortgagee) are collaborating with counsel on a
remediation plan. On April 1, 2025, ACE purchased the movie theater
equipment, with court approval and closing on April 4, 2025, as ACE
sees potential value in the land if rezoned and has hired an
appraiser and architect for further analysis. ACE acquired the
equipment to either bring in a new operator or sell it back to
Guzzo if their loan is repaid.
Fitch's loss expectations are based on a stress to the October 2023
appraisal value, which is above the loan balance, resulting in a
minimal 'Bsf' rating case loss to account for fees and expenses.
Recourse Provisions: There are 23 loans (76.4% of the pool) that
contain recourse provisions, 22 of which (71.2%) are full recourse
to the sponsors.
Increasing Credit Enhancement: As of the July 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate balance has been paid down by 45.2% to
$244.8 million from $446.4 million at issuance. Loan maturities are
concentrated in 2028 (12 loans; 47.7% of the pool) and 2029 (12
loans; 33.0%). All loans in the pool are currently amortizing.
Interest Shortfalls: Cumulative interest shortfalls totaling
approximately $1.6 million are affecting classes D-1, D-2 and the
non-rated classes E through H. Classes D-1 and D-2 are receiving a
portion of their interest and classes E through H are not receiving
their interest.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A downgrade to class A-2, currently rated 'AAAsf' with a Negative
Outlook, is possible should performance and/or valuation of the WSP
Place loan decline further than anticipated in both the base case
and sensitivity analysis, or if interest shortfalls are incurred or
expected to be incurred.
Downgrades of up to one category on classes B and C are possible if
WSP Place loan liquidates at an outsized loss in line with Fitch's
sensitivity scenario and/or other FLOCs, namely Residences MGR
Bourget, Yarmouth Mall & Shoppes, Eastview Retail and William
Street Industrial, experience further performance declines and/or
default at or prior to maturity.
Further downgrades on classes D-1 and D-2 to distressed levels are
possible if the WSP Place loan liquidates at an outsized loss in
line with Fitch's sensitivity scenario and/or with further
performance declines of the aforementioned FLOCs.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated B and C are not expected, but are
possible with significant increases in CE, better than expected
recoveries on the WSP Place loan and with performance improvement
of the FLOCs, namely Residences MGR Bourget, Yarmouth Mall &
Shoppes, Eastview Retail and William Street Industrial, but would
be limited based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential
for future concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above
'AA+sf' given the likelihood for continued interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to classes D-1 and D-2 are unlikely but may occur with
better-than-expected recoveries on the specially serviced the WSP
place loan and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs,
particularly loans with refinance concerns. Upgrades may be limited
due to increasing concentration and adverse selection of the
remaining pool.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SARANAC CLO VIII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $19MM Class E Notes to B2
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Saranac CLO VIII Limited:
US$38,500,000 Class B Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2033
(the "Class B Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on February
27, 2020 Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$19,000,000 Class E Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2033 (the "Class E Notes"), Downgraded to B2 (sf); previously on
February 27, 2020 Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Saranac CLO VIII Limited, issued in February 2020, is a managed
cashflow CLO. The debt is collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in February 2025.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These upgrade rating action is primarily a result of deleveraging
of the senior notes since February 2025. The Class A-Loans, Class
A-N, and Class A-F notes have been collectively paid down by
approximately 4.3% or $9.6 million since that time.
The downgrade rating action on the Class E notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
the trustee's June 2025 [1] report, the over-collateralization (OC)
ratio for Class E is currently 104.02%, versus June 2024 [2] level
of 106.36%. Furthermore, the trustee-reported[3] weighted average
rating factor (WARF) has been deteriorating and the current level
is 3149, compared to 2887 in June 2024[4].
No actions were taken on the Class A Loans, Class A-N, Class A-F,
Class C-N, Class C-F, and Class D notes because their expected
losses remain commensurate with their current ratings, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $326,471,186
Defaulted par: $3,502,870
Diversity Score: 73
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3021
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.39%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.25%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.1 years
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated debt is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated debt is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated debt.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-7: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2025-7 (SEMT 2025-7).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SEMT 2025-7
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1A LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1X LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-2A LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-2X LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-3 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-5 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The certificates are supported by 326 loans with a total balance of
approximately $398.6 million as of the cutoff date. The pool
consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages acquired by Redwood
Residential Acquisition Corp. from various mortgage originators.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations
are based on a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure.
Following Fitch's publication of its presale and expected ratings,
an updated collateral pool was provided which included updated
balances and five loan drops from the prior pool, four of which
were graded "C" or "D" for compliance-related exceptions at the
time of expected ratings. Fitch re-ran its asset analysis and its
expected loss coverage levels did not change. Additionally, Fitch
received an updated structure based off the new deal balance and
confirmed there were no changes from its expected ratings.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
326 loans totaling approximately $398.6 million and seasoned at
about three months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted average
(WA) Fitch model FICO score of 779 and a 37.4% debt-to-income ratio
(DTI). The borrowers also have moderate leverage, with a 78.2%
sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) and a 69.8% mark-to-market
combined LTV ratio (cLTV).
Overall, 93.2% of the pool loans are for a primary residence, while
6.8% are loans for second homes; 58.1% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel. In addition, 100.0% of the loans are
designated as safe-harbor qualified mortgage (SHQM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.3% above a long-term sustainable
level compared to 11.0% nationally as of 4Q24 and down 0.1% since
the prior quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable
home prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by high interest rates and elevated home prices.
Home prices increased 2.7% YoY nationally as of April 2025, despite
modest regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years.
The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a longer
period should losses occur later in the life of the transaction.
The applicable credit support percentage feature redirects
subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if specified
credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained. After the credit
support depletion date, principal will be distributed sequentially
- first to the super-senior classes (A-9, A-12, and A-18)
concurrently on a pro rata basis and then to the senior-support
A-21 certificate.
SEMT 2025-7 will feature the servicing administrator (RRAC),
following initial reduction in the class A-IOS strip and servicing
administrator fees, obligated to advance delinquent P&I to the
trust until deemed nonrecoverable. Full advancing of P&I is a
common structural feature across prime transactions in providing
liquidity to the certificates, and absent the full advancing, bonds
can be vulnerable to missed payments during periods of adverse
performance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national levels to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumed MVDs of 10%, 20%, and 30%, in addition to the
model-projected 41.7% at 'AAAsf'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration with higher MVDs compared to the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all the rated classes. Specifically,
a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full category upgrade
for the rated class, excluding those assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC, Clayton, and Consolidated Analytics. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance, and property valuation. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment to its analysis: a 5% reduction in its loss
analysis. This adjustment resulted in a 24-bp reduction to the
'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG Considerations
SEMT 2025-7 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational Risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2025-7 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SHACKLETON 2015-VII-R: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Shackleton 2015-VII-R CLO, Ltd.:
US$24.7M Class C-RR Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2024 Assigned Aa2 (sf)
US$30.5M Class D-RR Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2024 Assigned Baa1 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$243.6M (Current outstanding amount US$109,453,890) Class A-RR
Senior Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Oct
18, 2024 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$56.2M Class B-RR Senior Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Oct 18, 2024 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$26.5M Class E Junior Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Ba3 (sf); previously on Oct 18, 2024 Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
US$8.1M Class F Junior Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 11, 2020 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Shackleton 2015-VII-R CLO, Ltd., originally issued in July 2018 and
partially refinanced in May 2021 and October 2024, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed
by Alcentra NY, LLC. The transaction's reinvestment period ended in
July 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C-RR and D-RR notes are primarily
a result of the significant deleveraging of the senior notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last
rating action in October 2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-RR, B-RR, E and F
notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-RR notes have paid down by approximately USD134.2
million (41.8%) since the last rating action in October 2024 and
USD211.5 million (65.9%) since closing. As a result of the
deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the
capital structure. According to the trustee report dated July
2025[1], the Class A/B, Class C, Class D and Class E OC ratios are
reported at 144.77%, 129.73%, 114.99% and 104.65% compared to
October 2024[2] levels of 130.30%, 121.09%, 111.38% and 104.12%,
respectively. Moody's note that the July 2025 principal payments
are not reflected in the reported OC ratios.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD262.88m
Defaulted Securities: USD9.17m
Diversity Score: 59
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3189
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.11 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.35%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.07%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 1.89%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability Moody's are analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
SIERRA TIMESHARE 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. D Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
notes issued by Sierra Timeshare 2025-2 Receivables Funding LLC
(2025-2).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Sierra Timeshare
2025-2 Receivables
Funding LLC
A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
C LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Borrower Risk — Consistent Credit Quality: Approximately 70.17%
of Sierra 2025-2 consists of WVRI-originated loans. The remainder
of the pool comprises WRDC loans. Fitch has determined that, on a
like-for-like FICO basis, WRDC's receivables perform better than
WVRI's. The weighted average (WA) original FICO score of the pool
is 742, which is marginally higher than the prior transaction. The
collateral pool has nine months of seasoning and comprises 58.12%
of upgraded loans.
Forward-Looking Approach on Rating Case CGD Proxy — Shifting
CGDs: Like other timeshare originators, T+L's delinquency and
default performance exhibited notable increases in the 2007-2008
vintages before stabilizing in 2009 and thereafter. However, the
2017 through 2023 vintages show increasing gross defaults, tracking
outside of peak levels experienced in 2008. This is partially
driven by an increased usage of paid product exits (PPEs).
The 2022-2024 transactions are generally demonstrating weakening
default trends relative to improved performance in 2020-2021
transactions, though trending around the worst-performing 2019
transactions. Fitch's rating case cumulative gross default (CGD)
proxy for the pool is 21.50%, consistent with 21.50% for 2025-1.
Given the current economic environment, default vintages reflecting
more recent vintage performance were used, specifically of the
2015-2019 vintages.
Structural Analysis — Shifting CE: The initial hard credit
enhancement (CE) for class A, B, C and D notes is 55.80%, 33.90%,
14.60% and 4.50%, respectively. CE is higher for class A, lower for
classes B and C and the same for class D, relative to 2025-1,
mainly due to differences in subordination compared with the prior
transaction. Hard CE comprises OC, a reserve account and
subordination. Soft CE is also provided by excess spread and is
expected to be 9.10% per annum. Default coverage for all notes can
support CGD multiples of 3.00x, 2.25x, 1.50x and 1.25x for 'AAAsf',
'Asf', 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf', respectively.
Originator/Seller/Servicer Operational Review — Quality of
Origination/Servicing: Fitch believes T+L has demonstrated
sufficient capabilities as an originator and servicer of timeshare
loans. This is evident given the historical delinquency and loss
performance of securitized trusts and the managed portfolio.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
CGD levels that are higher than the rating case and would likely
result in declines of CE and remaining default coverage levels
available to the notes. Unanticipated increases in prepayment
activity could also result in a decline in coverage. Decreased
default coverage may make certain note ratings susceptible to
potential negative rating actions depending on the extent of the
decline in coverage.
Therefore, Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing both a
transaction's initial rating case CGD and prepayment assumptions
and examining the rating implications on all classes of issued
notes. The CGD sensitivity stresses the rating case CGD proxy to
the level necessary to reduce each rating by one full category, to
non-investment grade (BBsf) and to 'CCCsf' based on the break-even
default coverage provided by the CE structure.
The CGD and prepayment sensitivities include 1.5x and 2.0x
increases to the prepayment assumptions, representing moderate and
severe stresses, respectively. These analyses are intended to
provide an indication of the rating sensitivity of the notes to
unexpected deterioration of a trust's performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and consideration
for potential upgrades. If the CGD is 20% less than the projected
rating case CGD proxy, the ratings would be maintained for class A
notes at a stronger rating multiple. For class B, C and D notes the
multiples would increase, resulting in potential upgrades of up to
one rating category for the subordinate classes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and recomputation of
certain characteristics with respect to 155 sample loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on its analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SIXTH STREET 30: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Sixth Street
CLO 30 Ltd./Sixth Street CLO 30 LLC's and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Sixth Street CLO 30 Management LLC, a
subsidiary of Sixth Street Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 25,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Sixth Street CLO 30 Ltd./Sixth Street CLO 30 LLC
Class A, $270.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $67.500 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $31.500 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $27.000 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $16.875 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $45.000 million: NR
SKYBOX CDO: Moody's Ups Rating on $604MM Senior Swap Notes to Ca
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on notes issued by Skybox
CDO, Ltd.:
US$604,000,000 Super Senior Swap due 2040 (current balance
$12,627,767.05), Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on April 24, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Skybox CDO, Ltd., issued in November 2005, is a collateralized debt
obligation backed primarily by a portfolio of structured finance
assets.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects the current level of credit enhancement
available to the notes, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectation.
The notes have either incurred a missed interest payment or is
currently undercollateralized. Moody's expectations of
loss-given-default assesses losses experienced and expected future
losses as a percent of the original notes balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in the deal
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Structured
Finance CDOs" published in June 2025.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. Certain deal features and their
characteristics, such as amortization profile assumptions, and
waterfall features can also influence the rating outcomes.
SYMPHONY CLO 34-PS: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
X-R2, A-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2 and E-R2 debt from Symphony
CLO 34-PS Ltd./ Symphony CLO 34-PS LLC, a CLO managed Symphony
Alternative Asset Management LLC that was originally issued in July
2022 and underwent a refinancing in July 2023. At the same time,
S&P withdrew its ratings on the outstanding class X, A-R, B-1-R,
B-2-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt following payment in full on the July
24, 2025, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class X-R2, A-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2,
and E-R2 debt were issued at a lower spread over three-month CME
term SOFR than the 2023 debt.
-- Additional subordinated notes were issued in the amount of $4.4
million, and the stated maturity of the subordinated notes was
extended to July 24, 2038.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to Feb. 24, 2030.
-- The non-call period was extended to Feb. 24, 2027.
-- The outstanding class B-1-R and B-2-R debt were replaced by the
replacement class B-R2 debt.
-- The outstanding class D-R debt was replaced by the replacement
class D-1-R2 and D-2-R2 debt.
-- New class X-R2 debt was issued in connection with this
refinancing. These notes will be paid down using interest proceeds
during the first 10 payment dates beginning with the first payment
period.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 99.14%
have credit ratings (which may include confidential ratings,
private ratings, and credit estimates) assigned by S&P Global
Ratings.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 94.74%
have recovery ratings (which may include confidential and private
ratings) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Symphony CLO 34-PS Ltd./ Symphony CLO 34-PS LLC
Class X-R2, $4.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R2, $251.25 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $52.25 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $4.25 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $14.25 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Symphony CLO 34-PS Ltd./ Symphony CLO 34-PS LLC
Class X to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-R (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Symphony CLO 34-PS Ltd./ Symphony CLO 34-PS LLC
Subordinated notes, $35.40 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
SYMPHONY CLO XXVI: S&P Lowers Class E-R Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on the class D-R and E-R
notes from Symphony CLO XXVI Ltd., a U.S. collateralized loan
obligation (CLO) managed by Symphony Alternative Asset Management
LLC. S&P also removed the class E-R notes from CreditWatch with
negative implications. At the same time, S&P affirmed its ratings
on the class A-R, B-1R, B-2R, and C-R notes from the same
transaction.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the June 2025 trustee report.
S&P had placed the ratings on the class E-R notes on CreditWatch
negative due primarily to the decline in their respective
overcollateralization (O/C) levels and declining cash flows.
Since S&P's March 2021 rating action, the class A-R notes had total
paydowns of $67 million that reduced its outstanding balance to
82.50% of its original balance. Additionally, the following are the
changes in the reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios since
the March 2021 trustee report:
-- The class A-R/B-1R/B-2R O/C ratio declined to 129.32% from
137.88%.
-- The class C-R O/C ratio declined to 117.54% from 121.44%.
-- The class D-R O/C ratio declined to 109.12% from 113.85%.
-- The class E-R O/C ratio declined to 104.04% from 109.20%.
Despite the paydown, all the O/C ratios declined. This is
attributable to a combination of par losses and increased haircuts
in the O/C ratio due to elevated exposure to 'CCC' assets and
defaulted assets.
S&P said, "Although paydowns have helped the senior classes, the
collateral portfolio's credit quality has deteriorated since our
last rating actions. Collateral obligations with ratings in the
'CCC' category are at $41 million as of the June 2025 trustee
report, compared with $39.3 million reported as of the March 2021
data that we used when the CLO was reset. Given that the pool has
been amortizing, this has increased the proportion of the pool
constituting 'CCC' assets to 10.50% from 6.50%. The current
exposure of the collateral obligations with ratings the 'CCC'
category is now in excess of the maximum allowed by the transaction
documents." As a result, the trustee, as per the terms of the CLO
documents, haircuts the O/C numerator for this excess. The trustee
also reported an increase in defaulted assets to $9.5 million from
$5.2 million over the same time period. As a percentage of this
pool, this represents an increase to 1.91% from 0.86%.
The lowered ratings reflect deteriorated credit quality of the
underlying portfolio and the decrease in credit support available
to the class D-R and E-R notes. In addition, the cash flow runs
were failing at their prior respective ratings. There has been some
benefit from the seasoning of the pool and decline in the weighted
average life to 3.6 years from 4.7 years. The results of the cash
flow analysis have declined due to the increase in defaults and par
losses. Two other factors, which also contributed to the failing
cash flow runs: decline in the weighted average spread (WAS), and
decrease in the weighted average recovery rates (WARR) for the
portfolio. As market conditions have evolved, the spread between
the interest income generated from the underlying collateral and
the cost of financing has narrowed, reducing the excess cash flow
available to support these junior tranches. Additionally, the
decreased WARR for the portfolio further contributed to the lower
cash flow implied ratings.
S&P said, "Although our cash flow analysis indicated higher ratings
for the class B-1R and B-2R notes, our rating actions reflect
additional sensitivity runs that considered the exposure to both
lower quality assets and to assets with low market prices present
in the portfolio. The affirmation of the class A-R, B-1R, B-2R, and
C-R notes also considered that the manager, as permitted under the
transaction documents, has been retaining part of the unscheduled
principal proceeds for further reinvestments. Since such
investments could potentially alter the portfolio's characteristics
and does not allow for the notes to get paid down, we preferred
more cushion.
"On a standalone basis, the cash flow results indicate a lower
rating for the class E-R notes. However, we expect that the
continued paydowns of the class A-R notes are likely to improve the
credit support and remediate the cash flow failure of the class E-R
notes. It is our view that the class E-R notes are not currently
dependent upon favorable business, financial, or economic
conditions to meets its contractual obligations of timely interest
and ultimate repayment of principal by legal final maturity and
thus, does not meet our definition of 'CCC' risk. We limited the
downgrade to three notches at this time after considering its
credit enhancement, the potential of the O/C ratio to increase
following more paydowns, and the transaction's exposure to 'CCC'
category rated assets. However, any increase in defaults or par
losses could lead to potential negative rating actions in the
future."
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels. The lowered rating on the class D-R notes is in line
with the results of the cash flow analysis, taking into account the
credit deterioration and par losses. Any further deterioration in
the credit support available to the notes could result in further
rating changes.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults and recoveries upon default under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with this rating action.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as it deems
necessary."
Rating Lowered
Symphony CLO XXVI Ltd./Symphony CLO XXVI LLC
Class D-R to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Rating Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
Symphony CLO XXVI Ltd./Symphony CLO XXVI LLC
Class E-R to 'B- (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Symphony CLO XXVI Ltd./Symphony CLO XXVI LLC
Class A-R: AAA (sf)
Class B-1R: AA (sf)
Class B-2R: AA (sf)
Class C-R: A (sf)
TCI-FLATIRON 2018-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
TCI-Flatiron CLO 2018-1 Ltd. refinancing notes.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
TCI-Flatiron
CLO 2018-1 Ltd.
A-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
TCI-Flatiron CLO 2018-1 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by TCI
Capital Management LLC. Net proceeds from the second refinancing of
the secured notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $248 million (excluding defaults) of primarily first
lien senior secured leveraged loans. The subordinated notes are not
being refinanced.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B'/'B-' which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 25.41 and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a
Fitch test matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote
a highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit
from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO
structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 99.88% first
lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.97% and will be managed to
a WARR covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction is in a post-reinvestment
period; however, limited trading activity is still permissible.
Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'Asf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-R2, between
'BBB-sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'BB-sf' and 'BBB+sf'
for class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-R2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA-sf' for class C-R2,
'BBB+sf' for class D-R2, and 'BBB-sf' for class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for TCI-Flatiron CLO
2018-1 Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
TRALEE CLO VI: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings took various rating actions on seven classes of
debt from Tralee CLO VI Ltd., a U.S. CLO managed by Blue Owl Liquid
Credit Advisors LLC. S&P raised its ratings on the class B-1-RR and
B-J-RR debt and lowered its rating on the class E debt and removed
this rating from CreditWatch, where S&P placed it with negative
implications on May 1, 2025. At the same time, S&P affirmed its
ratings on the class A-1-RR, A-J-R, C-RR, and D-RR debt.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the June 8, 2025, trustee report.
Although the same portfolio backs all of the tranches, there can be
circumstances such as this one, where the ratings on the tranches
move in opposite directions due to support changes in the
portfolio. This transaction is experiencing opposing rating
movements because it experienced both principal paydowns that
increased the senior credit support and faced principal losses that
decreased the junior credit support.
The transaction has paid $57.85 million in paydowns to the class
A-1-RR debt since our July 25, 2024, rating actions, when the
transaction underwent a partial refinancing. Following are the
changes in the reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios since
the June 8, 2024, trustee report, which S&P used for its previous
rating actions:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 132.11% from 126.28%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 119.19% from 116.39%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 110.85% from 109.78%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 104.98% from 105.01%.
The senior O/C ratios experienced positive movements due to the
lower balance of senior debt along with improvement in credit
quality of the portfolio, which resulted in decreased haircuts in
the O/C ratios. Collateral obligations with ratings in the 'CCC'
category are at $16.11 million or 5.80% of the portfolio as of the
June 2025 trustee report, compared with $20.95 million or 6.20%
reported as of June 2024. Defaults in the portfolio have also
decreased and are at $3.00 million compared with $6.11 million as
of the same report dates.
Despite this, the junior O/C ratio declined marginally due to
approximately $6.19 million in par losses, which offset any benefit
for the class E debt that resulted from the senior debt paydowns
and lower O/C ratio haircuts. In addition, the weighted average
recovery rates have declined across all rating levels and the
weighted average spread has dropped, both of which also contributed
to weakened cash flows on the class E debt. Given that the class E
debt is lower in the capital structure, it is more sensitive to
such changes as the portfolio amortizes.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, along with increased credit support available
to the class B-1-RR and B-J-RR debt at the prior rating levels.
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels, though any deterioration in the credit support
available to the class A-1-RR, A-J-R, C-RR, or D-RR debt could
result in further ratings changes.
S&P said, "Our cash flow analysis indicates the potential for a
higher rating on the class C-RR debt, however, we believe that the
more subordinated position may result in a greater likelihood of
rating migration than that of more senior classes in the event of
portfolio volatility. We also considered the credit enhancement
available for this class under additional sensitivity analyses that
considered exposures to 'CCC' rated collateral and assets with
distressed prices.
"Additionally, on a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow
analysis indicated a lower rating on the class D-RR debt than the
rating action reflects. However, we affirmed the rating on class
D-RR debt after considering the margin of failure, credit
enhancement, and expectation that continued paydowns to the senior
debt may further improve the O/C ratio and cash flow results."
The lowered rating reflects the decrease in credit support
available to the class E debt. In addition, cash flows were failing
at the prior rating level due to a decrease in the break-even
default rates, which resulted from par losses, decreased weighted
average recovery rates and a decrease in the weighted average
spread of the portfolio. As market conditions evolve, the spread
between the interest income generated from the underlying
collateral and the cost of financing has narrowed, reducing the
excess cash flow available to support this junior tranche while the
lower recovery expectations imply that in the event of defaults,
the value recovered from the assets will be less than previously
estimated.
The cash flow results, on a standalone basis, showed the class E
debt was not passing at the 'B' rating level. At this time, the
lowered rating is limited, as S&P feels this tranche is not
currently dependent upon favorable business, financial, or economic
conditions to meet its contractual obligations of timely interest
and ultimate repayment of principal by legal final maturity and
thus does not meet our definition of 'CCC' risk. However, any
increase in defaults or par losses could lead to potential negative
rating actions in the future.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Ratings Raised
Tralee CLO VI Ltd.
Class B-1-RR to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-J-RR to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Rating Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
Tralee CLO VI Ltd.
Class E to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/CW Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Tralee CLO VI Ltd.
Class A-1-RR: AAA sf)
Class A-J-R: AAA( sf)
Class C-RR: A (sf)
Class D-RR: BBB-(sf)
TRINITAS CLO XXXII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Trinitas CLO
XXXII Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXXII LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Trinitas Capital Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 29,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XXXII Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXXII LLC
Class A-1, $300.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $15.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $52.50 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $12.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $3.75 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $16.25 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $50.00 million: Not rated
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2025-R1: S&P Assigns 'B' Rating on B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Verus Securitization
Trust 2025-R1's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS securitization backed by seasoned
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate residential mortgage loans,
including mortgage loans with initial interest-only periods, to
both prime and non-prime borrowers. The loans are secured by
single-family residences, planned-unit developments, two- to
four-family residential properties, condominiums, townhouses,
mixed-use properties, and five- to 10-unit multifamily residences.
The pool has 1,335 loans backed by 1,356 properties, which are
qualified mortgage (QM)/non-higher-priced mortgage loans (safe
harbor), QM rebuttable presumption, non-QM/ability-to-repay
(ATR)-compliant, and ATR-exempt loans. Of the 1,335 loans, seven
are cross-collateralized loans backed by 28 properties.
S&P said, "After we assigned preliminary ratings on July 15, 2025,
five loans were removed from the collateral pool, and changes were
made to bond sizes to reflect the updated loan balances. The
resized bonds reflect a slight increase in credit enhancement
levels for the class A-3, M-1 and B-1 notes. The issuer also added
initial exchangeable classes A-1A and A-1B notes, which, taken
together, can be exchanged for the exchangeable class A-1 notes and
vice versa. After analyzing the updated collateral pool, structure,
and final coupons, we assigned ratings to the classes that are
unchanged from the preliminary ratings we assigned."
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Invictus Capital Partners; and
-- S&P's U.S. economic outlook, which considers its current
projections for U.S. economic growth, unemployment rates, and
interest rates, as well as its view of housing fundamentals, and is
updated, if necessary, when these projections change materially.
Ratings Assigned(i)
Verus Securitization Trust 2025-R1
Class A-1A, $316,436,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $45,205,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $361,641,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $22,829,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $39,555,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $10,849,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $7,007,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $5,876,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $4,295,361: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class DA, $2,587,074(iii): NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period.
(iii)The initial note amount of the class DA notes represents the
aggregate pre-closing deferred amounts as of the cut-off date.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
WELLFLEET CLO 2020-2: S&P Lowers Cl. E-R Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on the class D-R and E-R
debt from Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 LLC and
removed the rating on the class E-R debt from CreditWatch with
negative implications. The transaction is a U.S. CLO managed by
Wellfleet Credit Partners LLC, which was originally issued in
August 2020 and underwent a refinancing in August 2021. S&P also
affirmed its ratings on the class A-R, B-R, and C-R debt from the
same transaction.
The CLO is in its reinvestment phase, which is expected to end in
August 2026. The rating actions follow our review of the
transaction's performance using data from the June 4, 2025, trustee
report.
Though the trustee-reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios of
all the tranches are currently passing, they have declined since
our last rating action in August 2021. Following are the changes in
the reported O/C ratios between the June 2025 report and the July
2021 report (when the CLO was refinanced):
-- The class A/B O/C ratio declined to 126.83% from 131.77%.
-- The class C O/C ratio declined to 117.55% from 122.13%.
-- The class D O/C ratio declined to 109.54% from 113.80%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 105.06% from 109.15%.
S&P said, "The drop in the O/C ratios is primarily due to par
losses since our last rating action. In addition, the recovery
rates have declined overall and the weighted average spread has
dropped, contributing to the weakened cash flows. As a result,
credit support has weakened for all the tranches, leading to the
downgrade of the class D-R and E-R debt.
"On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated lower ratings on the class C-R and E-R debt than the
rating actions reflect. However, we affirmed our rating on the
class C-R debt and limited the downgrade for the class E-R debt
after considering the margin of failure, the credit support
commensurate with the current rating levels, the low defaults, the
low exposure to collateral obligations rated 'CCC' and 'CCC-', and
passing O/Cs. However, any increase in defaults or par losses could
lead to negative ratings in the future."
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults and recoveries upon default under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with this rating action.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Rating Lowered
Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 LLC
Class D-R to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Rating Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch
Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 LLC
Class E-R to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Wellfleet CLO 2020-2 LLC
Class A-R: AAA (sf)
Class B-R: AA (sf)
Class C-R: A (sf)
WELLS FARGO 2017-C41: Fitch Lowers Rating on Cl. F-RR Certs to Bsf
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded eight and affirmed eight classes of
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2017-C42 (WFCM 2017-C42).
Classes C, X-B, D and X-D were assigned Negative Outlook following
their downgrade. Additionally, the Outlooks for classes A-S and B
were revised to Negative from Stable.
Fitch also downgraded four and affirmed 10 classes of Wells Fargo
Commercial Mortgage Trust 2017-C41 (WFCM 2017-C41). Classes D, X-D,
E-RR and F-RR were assigned Negative Outlook following their
downgrade. The Outlook for classes A-S, B and X-B were revised to
Negative from Stable. The Outlook for class C remains Negative.
Fitch also downgraded the MOA 2020-WC41 E-RR horizontal risk
retention pass through certificate (2017 C41 III) and assigned a
Negative Outlook following the downgrade.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
WFCM 2017-C41
A-2 95001ABA3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 95001ABC9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 95001ABD7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 95001ABG0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 95001ABB1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95001ABH8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 95001ABJ4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 95001AAD8 LT BBBsf Downgrade BBB+sf
E-RR 95001AAG1 LT BBsf Downgrade BBB-sf
F-RR 95001AAK2 LT Bsf Downgrade B+sf
G-RR 95001AAN6 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 95001ABE5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 95001ABF2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 95001AAA4 LT BBBsf Downgrade BBB+sf
WFCM 2017-C42
A-3 95001GAD5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 95001GAE3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-BP 95001GAF0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 95001GAK9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 95001GAC7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95001GAL7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 95001GAM5 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
D 95001GAU7 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
E 95001GAW3 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
F 95001GAY9 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-A 95001GAG8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 95001GAJ2 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
X-BP 95001GAH6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-D 95001GAN3 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
X-E 95001GAQ6 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-F 95001GAS2 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
MOA 2020-WC41 E
E-RR 90215VAA1 LT BBsf Downgrade BBB-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and Increased 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf'
rating case losses are 8.5% in WFCM 2017-C42 and 5.5% in WFCM
2017-C41, compared to 5.4% and 4.3%, respectively, at Fitch's last
rating action. Fitch Loans of Concerns (FLOCs) comprise nine loans
(32.4% of the pool) in WFCM 2017-C42, including four specially
serviced loans (11.6%), and 14 loans (39.3%) in WFCM 2017-C41,
including three specially serviced loans (4.8%).
The downgrades in WFCM 2017-C42 reflect higher pool loss
expectations since Fitch's prior rating action, mainly driven by
increased expected losses for the 16 Court Street loan (9.9%). The
loan is in special servicing and has experienced significant
performance and occupancy declines.
The Negative Outlooks in WFCM 2017-C42 reflect potential downgrades
should the value of the specially serviced loans, including 16
Court Street, continue to decline. Due to the large concentration
of loan maturities in 2027 (97% excluding specially serviced
loans), as well as the concentration of expected losses from one
loan, 16 Court Street, Fitch performed a recovery and liquidation
analysis. This analysis grouped the remaining loans based on their
current status and collateral quality and ranked them by their
perceived likelihood of repayment and/or loss expectation. This
analysis contributed to the rating actions and the Negative
Outlooks.
The downgrades in WFCM 2017-C41 and MOA 2020-WC41 E reflect higher
pool loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating action, mainly
driven by increased expected losses for the specially serviced
DoubleTree Berkeley Marina loan (2.6%), and FLOCs National Office
Portfolio (3.6%) and Cascade Building (1.4%) which are considered
to have a higher likelihood of default at or prior to maturity.
The Negative Outlooks in WFCM 2017-C41 and MOA 2020-WC41 E reflect
refinancing concerns for FLOCs secured by office properties,
particularly National Office Portfolio and Cascade Building, as
well as the potential for higher-than-currently expected losses on
the three specially serviced loans DoubleTree Berkeley Marina,
Columbia Park Shopping Center (1.8%) and the Rite Aid Dunmore
(0.4%).
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest increase in loss
expectations since the prior rating action and overall largest
contributor to loss in WFCM 2017-C42 is the specially serviced 16
Court Street loan. Expected losses on this loan represent
approximately 70% of the total deal-level expected losses. Since
Fitch's prior rating action, the loan transferred to special
servicing in August 2024 for imminent monetary default as the
borrower notified the lender they would be unable to pay debt
service due to occupancy declines.
Per the March 2025 rent roll, occupancy declined to 52.5% from 70%
at March 2024 following the departure of the former largest tenant,
The City University of New York (14.5% of NRA; August 2024), at
lease expiration. The loan became 30 days delinquent per the May
2025 remittance and 60 days per the June 2025 remittance report.
The location was the office of academic affairs for the Continuing
Education and Workforce Programs (CEWP) City University of New
York. Additionally, the Walgreens location (formerly Duane Reade,
3.5% NRA) closed in March 2025 as part of the company's planned
store closings reducing occupancy to approximately 49%.
According to CoStar, comparable office properties in the Downtown
Brooklyn Office submarket had 27.5% vacancy and 23.1% availability
rates and market asking rent of $54.37 compared to 27.4%, 25% and
$52.75 at Fitch's prior rating action. The total submarket had
19.6% vacancy and 18.7% availability rates and market asking rent
of $50.07 compared to 19.6%, 19% and $50.96 at Fitch's prior rating
action. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 47% (before concentration
add-ons) reflects an increased probability of default following its
recent transfer to special servicing. Fitch's value is
approximately $185 psf, reflecting the challenges of re-tenanting
the property, as well as the strong location.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations and second
largest increase in loss expectations since the prior rating action
in WFCM 2017-C41 is the DoubleTree Berkeley Marina loan. The loan
transferred to special servicing in February 2025 due to imminent
monetary default stemming from the significant decline in NOI since
2019. The subject is a 378-key full-service hotel located on the
waterfront in Berkeley, CA, built in 1971 with renovations taking
place in 2007 and 2008.
The YE 2024 NOI is 64% below YE 2019 and 55% below the Fitch
issuance NCF. Since 2022, total expenses have increased 14% while
revenue has only increased 8%. Per the most recent STR report for
the TTM January 2025, occupancy, ADR and RevPAR were 72% (115%
penetration rate), $175 (101% penetration rate) and $126 (115%
penetration rate), respectively. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of
34% (prior to concentration add-ons) reflects a 11.25% cap rate and
the YE 2024 NOI with no stress.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations and
largest increase in loss expectations since the prior rating action
in WFCM 2017-C41 is the Cascade Building loan. The loan is a FLOC
given the low occupancy and submarket concerns and is secured by a
94,859-sf, mixed use property (including a 12-story office building
with ground floor retail) in Portland, Oregon built in 1926 and
renovated in 2014.
Occupancy has declined since 2019. As of March 2025, occupancy was
40%, down from 58% at March 2024 and compared to 75% at YE 2019 and
79% at underwriting. Since the prior rating action, the largest
tenant Legal Aid Services of Oregon (12.4% NRA, December 2024) and
former third largest tenant Level 3 Communications (9.6% NRA;
expiration June 2024) vacated at lease expiration, reducing
occupancy. Rollover consists of 6.7% in 2025 and 19.1% in 2026.
According to CoStar, comparable office properties in the CBD Office
Submarket had 26.2% vacancy and 28.1% availability rates and market
asking rent of $26.35 compared to 22.8%, 26.8%, and $26.68 at
Fitch's prior rating action. The total submarket had 28.3% vacancy
and 30.8% availability rates and market asking rent of $32.05
compared to 25%, 28%, and $32.45 at Fitch's prior rating action.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 35% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects a 10% cap rate, YE 2024 NOI with a10% stress and
an elevated probability of default.
The third largest increase in loss expectations since the prior
rating action in WFCM 2017-C41 is the National Office Portfolio
loan. The loan is a FLOC due to low occupancy and lease rollover
concerns in 2025. The portfolio consists of 18 office properties
totaling 2,572,700-sf located in Dallas, Atlanta, Phoenix, and
Chicago. The properties were constructed between 1973 and 1987 and
range in size from 46,769-sf to 381,383-sf.
The largest tenants include American Intercontinental University
(4.5% of portfolio NRA; lease expiration in May 2033) and Trinity
Universal Insurance Co (3.9%; June 2025). Per the servicer, Trinity
Universal Insurance Co has not renewed the lease and will be
vacating at the end of term in June 2025. Centene Management, the
fifth-largest tenant at 1.8% of NRA, has abandoned space across
other loans and properties as employees work remotely. The tenant
is expected to vacate at lease expiration in December 2025. With
these two departures, occupancy is expected to decline to
approximately 75% from 80% at YE 2024.
CoStar data shows that the subject properties generally have lower
asking rents than metro averages and higher vacancy rates than
submarket data, likely because the portfolio consists of older
product. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 10% (prior to
concentration add-ons) reflects a 10.5% cap rate, YE 2022 NOI with
a10% stress and an elevated probability of default due to concerns
with the potential for continued performance declines and
challenges in refinancing at the loan's 2027 maturity date.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the June 2025 remittance
report, the aggregate balances of the WFCM 2017-C42 and WFCM
2017-C41 transactions have been reduced by 9.4% and 9.2%,
respectively, since issuance. Respective defeasance percentages in
the WFCM 2017-C42 and WFCM 2017-C41 transactions include 2.7%
(three loans) and 8% (four loans). Loan maturities are concentrated
in 2027 with 34 loans for 97.1% of the pool in WFCM 2017-C42 and 50
loans for 100% of the pool in WFCM 2017-C41.
Cumulative interest shortfalls for the WFCM 2017-C42 and WFCM
2017-C41 transactions are $600,000 and $554,000 respectively; in
both transactions, they are affecting the non-rated class RRI, H-RR
or G.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible downgrades with further
declines in performance that could result in higher expected losses
on FLOCs. If expected losses do increase, downgrades to these
classes are likely.
Downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' rated classes with Stable Outlooks
are not expected due to the high CE, senior position in the capital
structure and expected continued amortization and loan repayments.
However, downgrades may occur if deal-level losses increase
significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or are expected.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAAsf' 'AAsf' and 'Asf'
categories, particularly those with Negative Outlooks, may occur
should performance of the FLOCs deteriorate further, expected
losses increase or if more loans than expected default during the
term and/or at or prior to maturity. These FLOCs include 16 Court
Street in WFCM 2017-C42 and DoubleTree Berkeley Marina, National
Office Portfolio, Cascade Building, Columbia Park Shopping Center
and Rite Aid Dunmore in WFCM 2017-C41.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', and 'Bsf'
categories, particularly those with Negative Outlooks, could occur
with higher-than-expected losses from continued underperformance of
the FLOCs and with greater certainty of losses on the specially
serviced loans or other FLOCs.
Downgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf' would occur
as losses become more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns, coupled with stable
to improved pool-level loss expectations and performance
stabilization of FLOCs, including 16 Court Street in WFCM 2017-C42
and DoubleTree Berkeley Marina, National Office Portfolio, Cascade
Building, Columbia Park Shopping Center and Rite Aid Dunmore in
WFCM 2017-C41. Upgrades of these classes to 'AAAsf' will also
consider the concentration of defeased loans in the transaction and
would not occur if interest shortfalls are expected.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration and would only occur sustained improved performance
of the FLOCs.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable and there is sufficient CE to the
classes due to paydown and defeasance.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected but possible with
better-than-expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WELLS FARGO 2025-AGLN: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-AGLN Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-AGLN as follows:
- $169,800,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $30,600,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $24,100,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $33,900,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $26,600,000 class E 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $15,000,000a class HRR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
(a) Horizontal risk retention.
Transaction Summary
The commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from WFCM
2025-AGLN Mortgage Trust represent the beneficial ownership
interest in the trust that holds a $300.0 million, two-year,
floating-rate, interest-only mortgage loan with three one-year
extension options. The mortgage is secured by the borrowers' fee
simple interests in a portfolio of 28 logistics facilities and one
office property, comprising approximately 4.2 million sf across
seven states and 10 markets.
The borrower sponsor, Agellan Commercial REIT Holdings Inc
(Agellan), is a commercial real estate investment firm that manages
U.S. industrial assets totaling over 6.4 million sf across 48
properties. The assets are owned by Almadev, a commercial real
estate developer, investor and manager that is primarily known for
master plan communities and mixed-use properties. Almadev has a
portfolio totaling 7.5 million sf of real estate, with another 7
million in various stages of development.
The mortgage loan, accompanied by $50.0 million in mezzanine debt,
was used to repay existing debt of $277.3 million, return equity of
$57.3 million, pay closing costs of $7.0 million, and fund reserves
totaling $8.3 million.
The loan is originated by Wells Fargo Bank, National Association.
KeyBank National Association, a national banking association, is
the servicer and special servicer. Deutsche Bank National Trust
Company is the trustee. Computershare Trust Company, National
Association is the certificate administrator. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC is the acting operating advisor.
The certificates follow a pro-rata paydown for the initial 30% of
the loan amount and a standard senior-sequential paydown
thereafter. To the extent no mortgage loan event of default (EOD)
is continuing, voluntary prepayments will be applied pro rata
between the mortgage loan components. The transaction closed on
July 24, 2025.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings estimates stressed net cash flow (NCF)
for the portfolio at $24.5 million. This is 7.4% lower than the
issuer's NCF. Fitch applied a 7.5% cap rate to derive a Fitch value
of approximately $328.1 million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $300.0 million whole loan equates to debt
of approximately $72 psf, with a Fitch stressed loan-to-value (LTV)
ratio and debt yield of 106.7% and 8.2%, respectively. The loan
represents approximately 56.1% of the appraised value of $535.2
million. Fitch increased the LTV hurdles by 1.25% to reflect the
higher in-place leverage.
Geographic and Tenant Diversity: The portfolio has strong
geographic diversity with 29 properties (4.2 million sf) across
seven states and 10 MSAs. The three largest state concentrations
are Texas (1,761,592 sf; 14 properties), Florida (914,031 sf; one
property), and Georgia (583,444 sf; five properties). The three
largest MSAs are Sarasota, FL (22.0% of NRA; 23.9% of ALA),
Atlanta, GA (14.0%; 18.6%), and Houston, TX (15.7%; 13.5%). The
portfolio also exhibits tenant diversity as it features 169
distinct tenants, with no tenant occupying more than 11.1% of NRA.
Institutional Sponsorship: Agellan is a commercial real estate
investment firm headquartered in Toronto, Ontario. It was founded
in 2013 and specializes in investment in U.S. industrial assets.
Agellan manages a portfolio of 48 properties totaling 6.4 million
sf across nine states in 11 unique markets.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/
'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/BBsf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/
'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf''/BB+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis, and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 10 Bonds from 4 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of five bonds and
downgraded the ratings of five bonds from four US residential
mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by FHA-VA mortgages,
issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp 2005-RF1
Cl. B-1, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Jul 28, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp. 2005-RF4
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 28, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. B2, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Jul 28, 2009 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp. 2005-RF5
Cl. 1-A, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2011
Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. 1-AIO*, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2011
Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2011
Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2011 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2011 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2004-RP1
Cl. II-B-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 25, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. II-B-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 25, 2016
Downgraded to C (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
All of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US FHA-VA Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in April 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 19 Bonds from 12 US RMBS Deals
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 17 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of two bonds from 12 US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by scratch and dent mortgages issued by
multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: C-BASS Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Certificates, Series
2006-RP2
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 20, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: C-BASS Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Certificates, Series
2007-SP2
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 24, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 24, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-SHL1
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 19, 2017 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CS Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2006-CF2
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CS Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2006-CF3
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 7, 2019 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 24, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CSFB Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-CF1
Cl. B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 4, 2013 Affirmed
Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2005-SD2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 4, 2013 Affirmed
Ca (sf)
Cl. M-3, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 20, 2014
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Issuer: GSRPM Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-1
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: GSRPM Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on May 4, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series 2006-SD1
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 5, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: SBMS VII 1997-HUD1
A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 13, 2020 Reinstated
to Caa3 (sf)
B-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 28, 2013 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
B-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 19, 2016 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Truman Capital Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-1
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
The rating downgrades are the result of outstanding credit interest
shortfalls that are unlikely to be recouped. Each of the downgraded
bonds has a weak interest recoupment mechanism where missed
interest payments will likely result in a permanent interest loss.
Unpaid interest owed to bonds with weak interest recoupment
mechanisms are reimbursed sequentially based on bond priority, from
excess interest, if available, and often only after the
overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target amount.
In transactions where overcollateralization has already been
reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid. The size
and length of the outstanding interest shortfalls were considered
in Moody's analysis.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 26 Bonds From 8 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 24 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of two bonds from eight US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by Option ARM, Prime Jumbo and Subprime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bear Stearns Mortgage Funding Trust 2007-AR4
Cl. I-A-1, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Aug 27, 2024
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. I-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 7, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 27, 2024
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-2A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 7, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. Grantor Trust II-A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec
7, 2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. Underlying II-A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 7,
2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2004-AR3
Trust
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 20, 2011
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 20, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2004-AR13
Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 7, 2018 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2011 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-AR1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 15, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 15, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2005-AR9
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 7, 2018 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2006-AR1
Cl. 1A-1B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 7, 2018
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2A-1A, Downgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2024
Downgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2A-1B, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2016
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. 2A-1C, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2006-AR11
Cl. 1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2010 Downgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 2A-1B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 3A-1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. CA-1B2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 23, 2013
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. CA-1B4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Washington Mutual Asset-Backed Certificates, WMABS Series
2006-HE3 Trust
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Sep 10, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2014
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
The rating upgrades on Class I-A of Washington Mutual Asset-Backed
Certificates, WMABS Series 2006-HE3 Trust, Class I-A-1 and Class
II-A-1 of Bear Stearns Mortgage Funding Trust 2007-AR4 are a result
of increase in credit enhancement available to these bonds. Moody's
analysis also considered the existence of historical interest
shortfalls for some of the bonds.
The rating downgrade on Class 2A-1A of WaMu Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2006-AR1 included an assessment of the
existing credit enhancement in place to mitigate the potential
default of a modified loan at the tail end of this transaction.
This loan includes a forborne principal balance that has not yet
been passed through to the deal as a realized loss.
The rest of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either
incurred a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or
is currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 6 Bonds from 5 US RMBS Deals
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of five bonds and
downgraded the rating of one bond from five US residential
mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by FHA-VA mortgages
issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Reperforming Loan REMIC Trust 2003-R2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2011 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp. 2005-RF2
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 24, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. B2, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Jul 24, 2009 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp. 2005-RF3
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 28, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp. 2005-RF6
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2011 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp. 2005-RF7
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 28, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools, and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectation for each bond.
All of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or are
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US FHA-VA
Residential Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance"
published in April 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 11 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 11 bonds from six US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A
and subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bear Stearns ALT-A Trust 2005-5
Cl. I-M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 2, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2005-HE12
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2007-AC4
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 20, 2010
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 20, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-5*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 20, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: GSAA Home Equity Trust 2005-15
Cl. 1A1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 11, 2010
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 1A2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on May 11, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Cl. 2A2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 11, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2A3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 11, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2007-WF1
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2008 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Park Place Securities, Inc., Asset-Backed Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2004-WCW1
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 5, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 15 Bonds from 12 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 15 bonds from 12 US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by
manufactured housing loans issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bombardier Capital Mortgage Securitization Corp 1998-B
A, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 18, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Conseco Finance Securitizations Corp. Series 2001-1
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2023 Upgraded to
Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Green Tree Financial Corporation MH 1997-05
B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 13, 2004 Downgraded to
C (sf)
Issuer: Oakwood Mortgage Investors, Inc., Series 1999-A
M-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Sep 12, 2024 Upgraded to
Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: OMI Trust 2000-C
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 26, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: OMI Trust 2000-D
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: OMI Trust Series 2001-D
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: OMI Trust Series 2001-E
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 30, 2009
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Origen Manufactured Housing Contract Senior/Subordinate
Asset-Backed Certificates, Series 2002-A
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 24, 2015 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Origen Manufactured Housing Contract Trust 2006-A
Callable Class A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 14,
2010 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Origen Manufactured Housing Contract Trust Collateralized
Notes, Series 2007-A
Cl. Callable A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Origen Manufactured Housing Contract Trust Collateralized
Notes, Series 2007-B
Cl. A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Sep 26, 2024 Upgraded to
Caa1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools, and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectation for each bond.
Most of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or are
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
Some of the upgraded bonds benefit from a financial guaranty
insurance policy. In all instances, the bond insurer, who provides
the financial guaranty insurance policy, is no longer rated by us.
As such, each of the upgrades reflects Moody's forward looking view
of the performance of the underlying assets in relation to the
available credit enhancement, without giving credit to the
financial guaranty insurance policy.
The rest of the rating upgrades, for bonds that have not or are not
expected to take a loss, are a result of the improving performance
of the related pools, and/or an increase in credit enhancement
available to the bonds. Credit enhancement grew by 45% on average
for these bonds upgraded over the past 12 months.
Moody's analysis also reflects the potential for collateral
volatility given the number of deal-level and macro factors that
can impact collateral performance, the potential impact of any
collateral volatility on the model output, and the ultimate size or
any incurred and projected loss.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 22 Bonds from 12 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 22 bonds from 12 US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A,
Option ARM and Subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Asset Backed Securities Corporation Home Equity Loan Trust
2005-HE2
Cl. M4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 15, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Issuer: Asset Backed Securities Corporation Home Equity Loan Trust
2005-HE5
Cl. M5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 12, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset-Backed Securities Trust 2003-AC7
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 14, 2017
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 4, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Mortgage Funding Trust 2007-AR1
Cl. I-A-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 7, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 7, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2005-HE4
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 19, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CSFB Mortgage-Backed Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2005-4
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2014
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 10, 2013
Affirmed Caa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2014
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-6*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2017
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-8*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2014
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-9, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 10, 2013
Affirmed Ca (sf)
Issuer: GSAA Home Equity Trust 2005-4
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on May 11, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Impac CMB Trust Series 2004-4 Collateralized Asset-Backed
Bonds, Series 2004-4
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 4, 2023
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 4, 2023
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 2-M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2015
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 12, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Option One Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-3
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 6, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Renaissance Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-4
Cl. AF-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 10, 2015
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Soundview Home Loan Trust 2006-3
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp, Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2006-BC3
Cl. A1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 53 Bonds from 9 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 53 bonds from nine US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A,
option ARM, and subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Banc of America Funding 2006-7 Trust, Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2006-7
Cl. T2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. T2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CSFB Adjustable Rate Mortgage Trust 2006-3
Cl. 4-A-1-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2018
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 4-A-1-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2018
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. 4-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 5, 2018
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 4-A-3-3, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Sep 16, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2005-79CB
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. PO, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. X*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2006-41CB
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-6*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-7, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-9, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-10, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-11, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-13, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-14*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-A-15*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-PO, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 1-X*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-5, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-6, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-7, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-8, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-9*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-10*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-11*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2017
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-12, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-13, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-14, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-15, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-17, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-18, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-20, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-PO, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-X*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2006-HY11
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 19, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2007-OA7
Cl. A-1-A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2016
Upgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. A-1-B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2016
Upgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. A-2-A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2-B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: MASTR Alternative Loan Trust 2004-9
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: People's Choice Home Loan Securities Trust 2005-1
Cl. M5, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 15, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Issuer: Saxon Asset Securities Trust 1999-3
BF-1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 23, 2018 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Most of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
Some of the rating downgrades are the result of outstanding credit
interest shortfalls that are unlikely to be recouped. These bonds
have weak interest recoupment mechanisms where missed interest
payments will likely result in a permanent interest loss. Unpaid
interest owed to bonds with weak interest recoupment mechanisms are
reimbursed sequentially based on bond priority, from excess
interest, if available, and often only after the
overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target amount.
In transactions where overcollateralization has already been
reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid. The size
and length of the outstanding interest shortfalls were considered
in Moody's analysis.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
*********
Monday's edition of the TCR delivers a list of indicative prices
for bond issues that reportedly trade well below par. Prices are
obtained by TCR editors from a variety of outside sources during
the prior week we think are reliable. Those sources may not,
however, be complete or accurate. The Monday Bond Pricing table
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then-ending.
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*********
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