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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, June 15, 2025, Vol. 29, No. 165
Headlines
AIMCO CLO 24: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 26: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 26: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Class F-R Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2023-4: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2023-6: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
AVIS BUDGET 2023-8: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
BBCMS 2019-BWAY: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class HRR Certs to 'Dsf'
BBCMS 2020-BID: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class X-EXT Certs
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2020-C6: Fitch Affirms B-sf Rating on Cl. G-RR Debt
BEANFIELD SECURITIZATION 2025-1: Fitch Rates Cl. C Notes 'BB-sf'
BLACKROCK DLF 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class W Notes
BLUEMOUNTAIN CLO 2018-2: S&P Lowers F Notes Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
BX TRUST 2025-LUNR: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on Cl. E Certs
BX TRUST 2025-TAIL: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Certs
CARLYLE US 2023-1: Fitch Assigns BB-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
CARVANA AUTO 2025-P2: Fitch Gives 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. N Debt
CD 2017-CD4: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Three Tranches
CFMT 2025-AB3: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class M5 Notes
CITIGROUP 2014-GC21: Fitch Lowers Rating on 3 Tranches to BBsf
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2017-P8: S&P Cuts V-3D Certs Rating to 'CCC'
COMM 2012-LTRT: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Classes to C
COMM 2014-CCRE15: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
CONNECTICUT AVE 2023-R07: Moody's Ups Rating on 2B-1B Certs to Ba1
CSAIL 2015-3: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class C Notes to 'BBsf'
DBWF 2015-LCM: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on 2 Classes
EFMT 2025-CES3: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class B-2 Certs
ELMWOOD CLO 42: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
FLATIRON CLO 23: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1MM Class F-R Notes
FORTRESS CREDIT XVIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E-R Notes
GALAXY 31: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
GFH 2025-IND: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)s' Rating on Class HRR Certs
GOODLEAP SUSTAINABLE 2023-2: Fitch Cuts Rating on Cl. C Notes to B-
GREAT LAKES 2014-1: Moody's Ups Rating on $10.5MM F-R Notes to B1
GS MORTGAGE 2019-GC40: Fitch Lowers Rating on 2 Tranches to CCCsf
GS MORTGAGE 2021-IP: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
HARVEST COMMERCIAL 2024-1: DBRS Confirms B Rating on M5 Notes
HOMES 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
HOOK PARK CLO: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 Class F Notes
HOOK PARK: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E Notes, Outlook Stable
HPS PRIVATE 2025-3: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
JOURNEY PERSONAL: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
JP MORGAN 2018-ASH8: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-4: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-NQM2: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B2 Certs
KSL 2025-MAK: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
LENDMARK FUNDING 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on E Notes
MADISON PARK LXIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
MADISON PARK LXIII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R Notes
MAGNETITE LTD XII: Moody's Ups Rating on $32.63MM E-R Notes to Ba2
MAGNETITE LTD XXXVI: Moody's Assigns (P)B3 Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns B+ (sf) Rating on B-2 Notes
OBRA CLO 2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
OCTAGON 64: Fitch Hikes Rating on Class E Notes to 'BB+sf'
OFSI BSL IX: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
OHA CREDIT 22: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
OHA CREDIT 22: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
OPORTUN ISSUANCE 2025-B: Fitch Rates Class E Notes 'BB-sf'
OZLM LTD XXII: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $24MM Class D Notes
PEAKS CLO 1: S&P Corrects/Lowers Class F Notes Rating to 'D (sf)'
PIKES PEAK 14(2023): Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on E-R Notes
RAD CLO 18: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
ROCKFORD TOWER 2018-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on $27.5MM E Notes to B1
RR 23 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Class D-R2 Notes
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-6: Fitch Assigns B(EXP)sf Rating on B5 Certs
SILVER POINT 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
SUTTONPARK STRUCTURED 2021-A: DBRS Keeps BB Rating Under Review
SYMPHONY CLO XVIII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $2MM F-R Notes to Caa2
TABERNA PREFERRED IV: Moody's Ups Rating on Class A-1 Notes to Ba1
TABERNA PREFERRED VI: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Ba2
TOWD POINT 2018-SL1: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class D-2 Notes
TOWD POINT 2025-CES1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B2 Notes
VELOCITY COMMERCIAL 2025-3: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on 3 Classes
WELLS FARGO 2018-C47: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on GRR Certs
WELLS FARGO 2019-JWDR: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Class F Debt
WELLS FARGO 2025-NYCH: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on E Certs
WFRBS COMMERCIAL 2014-C20: Moody's Cuts Rating on Cl. B Certs to B3
[] DBRS Hikes 3 Credit Ratings on 4 GLS Auto Issuer Trust
[] DBRS Reviews 132 Classes From 24 US RMBS Transactions
[] DBRS Reviews 19 Classes From 9 US RMBS Transactions
[] DBRS Reviews 38 Classes in 4 US RMBS Transactions
[] DBRS Reviews 934 Classes From 26 US RMBS Transactions
[] Moody's Takes Action 44 Bonds From 13 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Action on 32 Bonds from 14 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Action on 35 Bonds From 11 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Action on 41 Bonds from 10 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 19 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 29 Bonds from 10 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 12 Bonds from 9 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 13 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 26 Bonds From 3 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 27 Bonds from 8 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 71 Bonds From 16 US RMBS Deals
[] S&P Takes Various Actions on 196 Classes From 41 US RMBS Deals
*********
AIMCO CLO 24: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to AIMCO CLO 24 Ltd./AIMCO
CLO 24 LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Allstate Investment Management Co.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
AIMCO CLO 24 Ltd./AIMCO CLO 24 LLC
Class A-1, $307.80 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $17.20 million: NR
Class B-1, $50.00 million: NR
Class B-2, $5.00 million: NR
Class C (deferrable), $29.00 million: NR
Class D (deferrable), $31.00 million: NR
Class E (deferrable), $18.00 million: NR
Class F (deferrable), $0.20 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $51.20 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 26: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Anchorage
Capital CLO 26, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Anchorage Capital
CLO 26, Ltd.
A-1R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 03331TAC4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 03331TAE0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-1 03331TAG5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-2 03331TAL4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 03331TAJ9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 03331UAA5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB+sf
E-R LT BBsf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Anchorage Capital CLO 26, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Anchorage Collateral Management, L.L.C. that originally closed in
May 2023. On June 4, 2025, the existing secured notes will be
redeemed in full with refinancing proceeds. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality. However, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.4% first lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 72.19%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with that of other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Most of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities have
ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Anchorage Capital
CLO 26, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 26: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Class F-R Notes
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Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Anchorage
Capital CLO 26, Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$240,000,000 Class A-1R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes Due
2038, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
Due 2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
Anchorage Capital CLO 26, Ltd. is a managed cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO). The issued notes are
collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated
senior secured corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio
must consist of first lien senior secured loans and up to 7.5% of
the portfolio may consist of second lien loans and unsecured
loans.
Anchorage Collateral Management, L.L.C. (the Manager) will continue
to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets
on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity,
including discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended
five year reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain
restrictions, the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal
payments and proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, six other
classes of secured notes and additional subordinated notes, a
variety of other changes to transaction features will occur in
connection with the refinancing. These include: extension of the
reinvestment period; extensions of the stated maturity and non-call
period; changes to the overcollateralization test levels; and
changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 80
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3103
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
AVIS BUDGET 2023-4: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a definitive rating of Ba1 (sf) to the
series 2023-4 class D rental car asset backed notes issued by Avis
Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer). The issuer is
an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget Car Rental, LLC
(ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis Budget Group,
Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car System, LLC
(Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget), Zipcar, Inc,
Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck, LLC.
The complete rating action is as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2023-4
Series 2023-4 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The definitive rating assigned to the series 2023-4 class D notes
is based on (1) the credit quality of the collateral in the form of
rental fleet vehicles which ABCR uses in its rental car business,
(2) the credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as
guarantor under the operating lease, (3) the track-record and
expertise of ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) the available
credit enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (5) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (6) the transaction's legal
structure.
The class D notes benefit from dynamic credit enhancement primarily
in the form of overcollateralization. The credit enhancement level
for the 2023-4 class D note will fluctuate over time with changes
in the fleet composition and will be determined as the sum of (1)
5.00% for vehicles subject to a guaranteed depreciation or
repurchase program from eligible manufacturers (program vehicles)
rated at least Baa3 by us, (2) 8.50% for all other program
vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum for non-program (risk) vehicles and
(4) 35.75% for medium and heavy duty trucks, in each case, as a
percentage of the aggregate outstanding balance of the class A, B,
C and D notes net of the series allocated cash amount.
As in prior issuances, the transaction documents will stipulate
that the required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion
which is liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a
percentage of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet
vehicles.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the rating of the series 2023-4 class D note,
as applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the
lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor
defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and a stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the rating of the series 2023-4 class D
note if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee
weakens, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting
on its lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the
sponsor accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in
the event of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy were to decrease, and (4)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to weaken, as reflected by a
weaker mix of program and non-program vehicles and a weaker credit
quality of vehicle manufacturers.
AVIS BUDGET 2023-6: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
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Moody's Ratings has assigned a definitive rating of Ba1 (sf) to the
series 2023-6 class D rental car asset backed notes issued by Avis
Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer). The issuer is
an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget Car Rental, LLC
(ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis Budget Group,
Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car System, LLC
(Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget), Zipcar, Inc,
Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck.
The complete rating actions is as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2023-6
Series 2023-6 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The definitive rating assigned to the series 2023-6 class D notes
is based on (1) the credit quality of the collateral in the form of
rental fleet vehicles which ABCR uses in its rental car business,
(2) the credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as
guarantor under the operating lease, (3) the track-record and
expertise of ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) the available
credit enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (5) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (6) the transaction's legal
structure.
The class D notes benefit from dynamic credit enhancement primarily
in the form of overcollateralization. The credit enhancement level
for the 2023-6 class D note will fluctuate over time with changes
in the fleet composition and will be determined as the sum of (1)
5.00% for vehicles subject to a guaranteed depreciation or
repurchase program from eligible manufacturers (program vehicles)
rated at least Baa3 by us, (2) 8.50% for all other program
vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum for non-program (risk) vehicles and
(4) 35.80% for medium and heavy duty trucks, in each case, as a
percentage of the aggregate outstanding balance of the class A, B,
C and D notes net of the series allocated cash amount.
As in prior issuances, the transaction documents will stipulate
that the required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion
which is liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a
percentage of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet
vehicles.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the rating of the series 2023-6 class D note,
as applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the
lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor
defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and a stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the rating of the series 2023-6 class D
note if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee
weakens, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting
on its lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the
sponsor accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in
the event of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy were to decrease, and (4)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to weaken, as reflected by a
weaker mix of program and non-program vehicles and a weaker credit
quality of vehicle manufacturers.
AVIS BUDGET 2023-8: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Class D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a definitive rating of Ba1 (sf) to the
series 2023-8 class D rental car asset backed notes issued by Avis
Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC (the issuer). The issuer is
an indirect subsidiary of the sponsor, Avis Budget Car Rental, LLC
(ABCR, Ba3 negative). ABCR, a subsidiary of Avis Budget Group,
Inc., is the owner and operator of Avis Rent A Car System, LLC
(Avis), Budget Rent A Car System, Inc. (Budget), Zipcar, Inc,
Payless Car Rental, Inc. (Payless) and Budget Truck LLC.
The complete rating actions is as follows:
Issuer: Avis Budget Rental Car Funding (AESOP) LLC, Series 2023-8
Series 2023-8 Rental Car Asset Backed Notes, Class D, Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The definitive rating assigned to the series 2023-8 class D notes
is based on (1) the credit quality of the collateral in the form of
rental fleet vehicles which ABCR uses in its rental car business,
(2) the credit quality of ABCR as the primary lessee and as
guarantor under the operating lease, (3) the track-record and
expertise of ABCR as sponsor and administrator, (4) the available
credit enhancement, which consists of subordination and
over-collateralization, (5) minimum liquidity in the form of cash
and/or a letter of credit, and (6) the transaction's legal
structure.
The class D notes benefit from dynamic credit enhancement primarily
in the form of overcollateralization. The credit enhancement level
for the 2023-8 class D note will fluctuate over time with changes
in the fleet composition and will be determined as the sum of (1)
5.00% for vehicles subject to a guaranteed depreciation or
repurchase program from eligible manufacturers (program vehicles)
rated at least Baa3 by us, (2) 8.50% for all other program
vehicles, (3) 14.00% minimum for non-program (risk) vehicles and
(4) 35.80% for medium and heavy duty trucks, in each case, as a
percentage of the aggregate outstanding balance of the class A, B,
C and D notes net of the series allocated cash amount.
As in prior issuances, the transaction documents will stipulate
that the required total enhancement shall include a minimum portion
which is liquid (in cash and/or a letter of credit), sized as a
percentage of the outstanding note balance, rather than fleet
vehicles.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Rental Vehicle
Securitizations" published in June 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings of the series 2023-8 class D
note, as applicable if, among other things, (1) the credit quality
of the lessee improves, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's
sponsor defaulting on its lease payments were to decrease, and (3)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to strengthen, as reflected by
a stronger mix of program and non-program vehicles and a stronger
credit quality of vehicle manufacturers.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings of the series 2023-8 class D
note if, among other things, (1) the credit quality of the lessee
weakens, (2) the likelihood of the transaction's sponsor defaulting
on its lease payments were to increase, (3) the likelihood of the
sponsor accepting its lease payment obligation in its entirety in
the event of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy were to decrease, and (4)
assumptions of the credit quality of the pool of vehicles
collateralizing the transaction were to weaken, as reflected by a
weaker mix of program and non-program vehicles and a weaker credit
quality of vehicle manufacturers.
BBCMS 2019-BWAY: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class HRR Certs to 'Dsf'
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Fitch Ratings has downgraded four classes and affirmed three
classes of BBCMS 2019-BWAY Mortgage Trust (BBCMS 2019-BWAY)
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. Fitch has also
removed two of the downgraded classes, classes A and X-NCP, from
Rating Watch Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
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BBCMS 2019-BWAY
A 05492NAA1 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
B 05492NAC7 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
C 05492NAE3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 05492NAG8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 05492NAJ2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
HRR 05492NAL7 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
X-NCP 05492NAQ6 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Limited Workout Progress/Further Decline in Appraised Value: The
downgrades of classes A and interest-only class X-NCP to 'CCCsf'
from 'B-sf' reflect the limited progress towards a commercially
viable workout including a modification for the 1407 Broadway loan,
and a further decline in the reported appraised value. The updated
appraisal values, both 'as-is' and 'as-stabilized', are
significantly below the balance of the senior classes and without a
modification and/or a ground lease extension, full recovery is
unlikely. These factors, combined with insufficient property level
cash flows to amortize the loan contribute to limited recovery
prospects on the senior classes A and X-NCP. Losses are now
possible absent improved collateral performance and a ground-lease
extension.
The downgrade of class B to 'Csf' from 'CCsf' and affirmations of
classes C, D and E at 'Csf' reflect limited, if any, recovery
prospects due to the declining expected recovery value of the
collateral absent an extension of the ground lease. Fitch considers
losses to these classes inevitable. The downgrade of class HRR to
'Dsf' from 'Csf' reflects realized losses to the class, which total
$2.15 million as of the May 2025 remittance.
Excess Cash Flow Used to Pay Senior Classes; Realized Losses: As of
the May 2025 remittance, the specially serviced 1407 Broadway loan
was classified as performing matured. All cash from property
operations is trapped by the special servicer. In the March 2025
through May 2025 remittance reports, excess amounts were used to
pay class A and X-NCP the full amount of interest due, as well as
pay class A unscheduled principal; class A has paid down by
approximately $2.3 million since March 2025. As a result of the
unscheduled principal reduction of class A, the lowest bond in the
transaction, class HRR, has incurred $2.15 million in realized
losses.
Classes B through HRR continue to incur interest shortfalls. The
total cumulative appraisal reduction is $245.3 million, and the
cumulative ASER is approximately $15.2 million as of May 2025. The
master servicer is not currently making principal and interest
advances; available funds from the property operations since March
2025 have been used to pay the current interest and unscheduled
principal to the senior classes.
Updated Appraisal Value/Short-Term Leasehold Interest: An updated
appraisal value for 1407 Broadway was posted with the April 2025
remittance, which indicated an as-is value of $120 million, or an
11.8% decline compared with the May 2024 as-is value of $136
million. The updated values from 2024 and 2025 incorporate the
impact of the short-term ground lease on the property's value. The
property is subject to a 76-year ground lease through December
2030, with one 18-year renewal option remaining, which would extend
the ground lease through December 2048. The current ground lease
payments are a fixed $414,000 per annum, which are set to increase
to a fixed $450,000 per annum on January 2031 through December
2048.
The 2025 reported appraisal value represents a 76% decline from the
$510 million issuance appraised value. The updated 2025 appraisal
also contemplated an 'as-stabilized' value of $168 million in
February 2030 with no ground lease extension, a hypothetical
'as-is' value of $188 million with a ground lease extension and a
hypothetical 'as-stabilized' value of $290 million with a ground
lease extension. Absent a ground lease extension, Fitch expects the
property value to continue to decline along with the net present
value of the cash flows as the final ground lease maturity draws
nearer.
Property Performance: The property performance continues to lag the
submarket averages. Per the most recent appraisal, occupancy has
declined to 75.3% as of YE 2024 from 81.7% as of YE 2023, 83.9% at
YE 2022, 86.1% at YE 2021 and 93.8% at issuance in 2019. The
weighted average in place rent for all tenant space is
approximately $55.88 psf per the appraisal. Per recent CoStar
reports (as of Q1 2025), the Penn Plaza/Garment office submarket
has a reported vacancy rate of approximately 13.6% (availability
rate of 14.5%) and average office asking base rents of
approximately $57 psf for comparable office property types.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to classes A and X-NCP to 'CCsf' or lower, including
'Dsf', are possible if losses become more certain or are incurred.
This would occur without a viable workout or a modification, and/or
ground lease extension that would result in a greater certainty of
recovery to these classes. Further downgrades to the remaining
classes are possible as losses are realized.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades are not likely due to the loan's specially serviced status
and market conditions that could affect the property's cash flow
and recovery value. In addition, near-term upgrades are not
expected as a ground lease extension may take time to negotiate.
However, upgrades may be possible for classes A and X-NCP with an
extension of the ground lease coupled with a sustained improvement
in collateral performance and greater certainty on the ultimate
resolution of the loan.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BBCMS 2020-BID: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class X-EXT Certs
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DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2020-BID
issued by BBCMS 2020-BID Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A at A (high) (sf)
-- Class B at BBB (sf)
-- Class C at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-EXT at B (sf)
-- Class D at B (low) (sf)
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
-- Class HRR at CCC (sf)
The trends on all Classes remain Negative, with the exception of
Classes E and HRR, which have credit ratings that do not typically
carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)
transactions.
During the prior credit rating action in July 2024, Morningstar
DBRS downgraded its credit ratings on all classes, based on the
updates to its Loan-to-Value (LTV) Sizing and resulting LTV Sizing
Benchmarks. Those results suggested downward pressure across the
capital stack, following a revision to the Morningstar DBRS Value
for the underlying collateral. The loan is secured by a
506,000-square-foot (sf), Class A office building in Manhattan's
Upper East Side submarket. Senior debt of $423.5 million
(structured on a floating-rate, interest-only (IO) basis) is held
in the trust, while $60.0 million of mezzanine debt is held outside
the trust. At issuance. the building was fully leased to Sotheby's,
one of the world's largest auction houses, through September 2035.
However, in June 2023, Sotheby's announced its acquisition of the
Breuer Building with plans to relocate to that property in 2025.
Sotheby's subsequently amended its lease in order to re-lease
floors five through nine (approximately 53.0% of the net rentable
area) to Weill Cornell Medicine (Cornell), reportedly for use as a
research lab. Although the current credit ratings continue to
reflect Morningstar DBRS' overall outlook for the transaction,
refinance risk remains elevated as the loan's fully extended
maturity date approaches in October 2025. Given the remainder of
the Sotheby's space is expected to be dark in the near to moderate
term, these factors supported the persisted Negative trends with
this review.
According to the servicer, the borrower is working toward a
refinancing ahead of the loan's October 2025 maturity date;
however, as of the date of this press release, an agreement has yet
to be finalized. The transaction is exposed to affiliate lease risk
given the borrower under the mortgage loan (Bidfair USA) has leased
the property to an affiliated tenant. While a true lease opinion
was provided in connection with the transaction at issuance,
Morningstar DBRS noted that there is still a possibility that the
lease could be recharacterized as financing in the event of a
bankruptcy proceeding.
Sotheby's began relocating to the Breuer building in 2024 with
plans to open to the public toward the end of 2025. According to
the servicer, Sotheby's is expected to remain at the subject in
some capacity through at least loan maturity, given that the
tenant's back-end operations are housed at the property. It was
previously noted that Cornell may also elect to lease the 10th
floor, ultimately occupying up to 313,000 sf; however, as of the
December 2024 rent roll, the 10th floor continues to be leased by
Sotheby's.
Cornell entered a 30-year triple-net lease for the space, which
includes 15 months of free rent and will pay a rental rate of
$68.50 per square foot (psf) starting in May 2025 for floors five
and six, with the first rent step to $74.50 psf occurring in
November 2030, which is well beyond loan maturity. The servicer
confirmed that the buildout for the floors turned over to Cornell,
presumably floors five and six, remains ongoing. The rent
commencement date for floors seven through nine is unknown at this
time, but the starting rental rate will also be $68.50 psf for the
first five years. In comparison, Sotheby's was paying $79.04 psf
for its space and will continue to pay that rate on the remaining
space until its lease expiration in September 2035. The servicer
confirmed that, per the terms of the lease modification, Sotheby's
will cover the 15-month free-rent period for floors five and six of
Cornell's space; however, it is uncertain if Sotheby's will also
continue to pay rent on floors seven through nine until Cornell
starts paying rent on those floors. A leasing reserve of $5.0
million was established to cover buildout costs for Cornell's space
while the tenant is expected to fund any remaining costs out of
pocket. According to the servicer, the borrower has spent
approximately $1.9 million toward its obligations under the lease
to date.
As part of the analysis for the prior credit rating action, the
Morningstar DBRS Net Cash Flow (NCF) was updated to account for the
amendment to Sotheby's lease and the signing of Cornell for the
re-leased space. Morningstar DBRS gave long-term credit-tenant
treatment (LTCT) to Cornell as it is currently rated investment
grade by Moody's Investor Services and Standard and Poor's. The
concluded Morningstar DBRS NCF was $26.1 million, which is
approximately 44.0% below the YE2024 NCF of $46.4 million and 23.0%
below the Morningstar DBRS NCF at issuance of $33.8 million. The
overall reduction in rental revenue was the primary reason for the
variance between the updated Morningstar DBRS NCF and the
Morningstar DBRS NCF at issuance. In addition, Morningstar DBRS
removed LTCT treatment for Sotheby's, with the conservative
approach warranted given Sotheby's is expected to largely vacate
the property soon. Although the property is generally well
positioned to capture demand from hospitals and biomedical research
institutions in the area given its proximity to Hospital Row, large
floorplates, and freight infrastructure, Morningstar DBRS notes
that tenant improvement costs will likely be considerable to
convert the space for medical use, a factor that may limit the
sponsor's commitment to the asset and/or lower investor demand
should a sale of the property be pursued.
Morningstar maintained the cap rate of 8.0%, resulting in a
Morningstar DBRS Value of $326.8 million compared with the issuance
Morningstar DBRS Value of $519.7 million (cap rate of 6.5%) and
issuance appraised value of $830.0 million. It is worthy to note
that at issuance, the appraiser determined a go-dark value of
$575.0 million; however, considering the shift in the economic
landscape and interest rate environment, Morningstar DBRS believes
that the dark value has likely declined. The implied LTV based on
the updated Morningstar DBRS Value and the trust debt is 130.0%.
Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative adjustments
totaling 4.0% to account for the generally favorable property
quality and market fundamentals as well as the overall stable cash
flows, considering the long-term leases in place.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings assigned to Classes A through D
are higher than the results implied by the LTV Sizing Benchmarks by
three or more notches. The variances are warranted given the
long-term leases in place, which extend well beyond loan maturity,
as well as the positive leasing momentum as the borrower secured a
backfill for a portion of Sotheby's space in a relatively short
amount of time.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2020-C6: Fitch Affirms B-sf Rating on Cl. G-RR Debt
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Fitch Ratings has affirmed 15 classes of BBCMS Mortgage Trust
2020-C6 (BBCMS 2020-C6). The Rating Outlooks for affirmed classes
A-S, B, C, D, E, F-RR, G-RR, X-B, and X-D remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
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BBCMS 2020-C6
A-2 05492TAB6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 05492TAC4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 05492TBP4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 05492TAG5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 05492TAD2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 05492TAH3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 05492TAJ9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 05492TAK6 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E 05492TAM2 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 05492TAP5 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
G-RR 05492TAR1 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
H-RR 05492TAT7 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 05492TAE0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 05492TAF7 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 05492TAZ3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss is 3.5%,
down from 4.5% at Fitch's prior rating action. Fitch has identified
eight loans (30.5% of the pool) as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs),
including three loans (11.7%) in special servicing, with the
ParkMerced loan (7.5%) being the largest among them.
The Negative Outlooks reflect the high concentration of specially
serviced loans, and the potential for downgrades to these classes
if pool loss expectations increase from further performance
deterioration and/or prolonged workouts and/or valuation declines
on the specially serviced loans, particularly ParkMerced. The
Negative Outlooks also consider the office exposure for the pool of
27%.
Largest Loss Contributor: The largest contributor to overall pool
loss expectations is the 2000 Park Lane loan, secured by a
234,859-sf office building located in Pittsburgh, PA.
The largest tenant, New York Life (fka Life Insurance Co. of North
America), which occupies 40.6% of the NRA, vacated the majority of
its space before lease expiration in April 2025. Additionally,
Coterra Energy, which occupies 24% of the NRA, is not expected to
renew its lease expiring in August 2025. According to CoStar,
172,500 sf (73% of the NRA) is listed as available for lease. While
two new leases were executed in 2024, with HarbisonWalker
International (10.7%) and AMG Resources (5.4%), occupancy is
expected to further decline to 16% from the current level of 40%.
As of result of the tenant departures, DSCR is projected to fall
below 1.0x. A cash sweep was activated, with approximately $2.4
million reflected in the May 2025 loan-level reserve report.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 23.1% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an elevated 10.25% cap rate, a 25% stress to
the YE 2023 NOI and factors a higher probability of default to
account for the departure of major tenants, high availability rate
at the subject property, and term default risk.
FLOC; ParkMerced: The largest loan in the pool and largest FLOC is
ParkMerced, which is secured by a 3,165-unit multifamily property
in San Francisco, CA. The loan transferred to special servicing in
March 2024, prior to its scheduled December 2024 maturity.
According to the servicer, a modification agreement was not
reached, and the servicer is proceeding with the enforcement of
remedies. Recent updates indicate that a receiver was confirmed in
March 2025 and a new property manager will be hired to manage,
lease and commence work to address deferred maintenance items.
Fitch's analysis reflects recent occupancy declines and stagnating
cashflow at the property due to headwinds in the San Francisco
employment sector, competition from nearby San Francisco State
University (SFSU) and weakening market conditions that have
affected housing demand. Collateral occupancy declined to 80% as of
YE 2024 from 82.7% in September 2023 and remains below issuance
occupancy of 94.2%.
The updated Fitch NCF of $50.4 million, which is 13% below Fitch's
issuance NCF of $57.7 million, reflects leases-in-place as of the
August 2024 rent roll, with a lease-up of vacant units to market
rental rates at a long-term sustainable occupancy of 88%. Fitch's
sustainable long-term vacancy assumption of 12% reflects the
sustained leasing challenges in stabilizing the asset to reach
market levels.
Fitch's recovery expectations for the ParkMerced loan securitized
in the transaction are high, driven by an updated appraisal of $1.4
billion that significantly exceeds the total A-note debt of $547
million, along with moderate leverage reflected in a Fitch-stressed
LTV of 75.9% for the A notes.
The second-largest FLOC is the 650 Madison loan, which is secured
by a 27- story, class A office building in Midtown Manhattan. This
loan was flagged as a FLOC given the renewal terms for Ralph Lauren
(RL), which includes the tenant downsizing from 41% of the NRA to
24%, with a rental rate per square footage that is 30% below the
previous in-place rent. The renewed RL lease expires in April 2036.
As of September 2024, the servicer-reported DSCR and occupancy were
1.82x and 53%, respectively, compared to 2.89x and 90% at YE 2021.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 2.9% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based on an updated Fitch NCF of $42.1 million, which
is 20% below Fitch's issuance NCF of $52.7 million, and reflects
leases-in-place as of the January 2025 rent roll. Fitch utilized a
7.25% cap rate, up from 7% at issuance, reflecting comparable
properties in the market along with the deteriorating outlook for
office properties.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the April 2025
distribution date, the pool's aggregate principal balance has paid
down by 4.6% to $862 million from $904 million at issuance. Two
loans (3.5% of the pool) are fully defeased. Cumulative interest
shortfalls of $39,016 are impacting the non-rated classes NR-RR and
VRRI.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments but may occur if deal-level losses
increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or are
expected to occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes with a Negative Outlook
could occur if performance of the FLOCs continued to deteriorate,
workouts are prolonged, or the valuations of specially serviced
loans decline, leading to increased loss expectations without
improvement in class CE. Additionally, downgrades may happen if
interest shortfalls arise.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur should performance of the FLOCs, most notably
ParkMerced, 650 Madison and 2000 Park Lane, deteriorate further or
if more loans than expected default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades for the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories are likely
with higher-than-expected losses from continued underperformance of
the aforementioned FLOCs, and with greater certainty of losses on
the specially serviced loans or other FLOCs.
Downgrades to distressed 'CCCsf' ratings would occur if additional
loans transfer to special servicing or default, as losses are
realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and improved performance on the FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BEANFIELD SECURITIZATION 2025-1: Fitch Rates Cl. C Notes 'BB-sf'
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Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Beanfield
Securitization Issuer L.P., Secured Fiber Network Revenue Notes,
series 2025-1.
Entity/Debt Rating
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Beanfield Securitization
Issuer L.P., Secured
Fiber Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2025-1
A-1-L LT Asf New Rating
A-1-V LT A-sf New Rating
A-2 LT A-sf New Rating
B LT BBB-sf New Rating
C LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Beanfield Securitization Issuer, L.P., Secured Fiber Network
Revenue Notes, Series 2025-1, is a $565.0 million issuance of
notes, the proceeds of which will be utilized to fund reserve
accounts, pay transaction fees, repay existing debt and for general
corporate purposes. All note balances and amounts are denominated
in CAD$.
The $75 million balance for the variable funding notes (VFN)
reflects the maximum commitment, contingent on leverage consistent
with the total class A leverage ratio of 6.27x. The ability to draw
on the VFN is predicated on incremental cash flow growth from
existing customers and additional penetration of existing markets.
Draws under the VFNs are subject to eligibility requirements.
The notes will be secured by a first-priority perfected security
interest in all equity interests in the issuer and asset entities,
all the obligors' rights, titles and interests in all customer
contracts within the geographic footprint, any other fiber network
assets owned by the obligors, and funds held in transaction
accounts. These include perfected security interests in the
conduits, fiber optic cables, network-level equipment, access
rights and transaction accounts.
At closing, the transaction is secured by the sponsor's fiber
network of approximately 3,939 fiber route kilometers (FRK) that
serves on-net 5,161 facilities, 37,000 residential customers and
600 multi-dwelling units (MDUs). The collateral is primarily
located in Toronto, ON (79.1% of annualized monthly recurring
revenue [AMRR]), Montreal, QC (13.6%), and Vancouver, BC (7.4%).
The network supports approximately 55,673 contracts that provide
internet (32.1%), ethernet (22.9%), transport (15.5%), and managed
hosting & colocation (6.8%) services for enterprise customers and
residential internet and video (22.7%) MDUs.
The ratings reflect Fitch's structured finance analysis of cash
flow from the ownership interest in the underlying fiber optic
network, rather than an assessment of the corporate default risk of
the parent, Beanfield Technologies, Inc.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow and Leverage: Fitch's base case NCF is $44.7 million,
implying a 17.5% haircut to issuer NCF. The debt multiple relative
to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is 10.5x, compared with
debt/issuer NCF leverage of 8.7x.
Inclusive of the cash flow required to draw upon the $75 million
VFN, Fitch NCF is $55.8 million, implying a 15.8% haircut to the
implied issuer NCF. The debt multiple relative to Fitch's NCF on
the rated classes is 9.8x, compared with debt/issuer NCF leverage
of 8.2x.
Based on the Fitch NCF and assumed annual revenue growth of 0.9%,
and following the transaction's anticipated repayment date (ARD),
the notes would be repaid 19.4 years from the closing date.
Credit Risk Factors: The major factors affecting Fitch's
determination of cash flow and maximum potential leverage (MPL)
include the high quality of the underlying collateral network, low
historical churn, the creditworthiness of contract counterparties,
market position, market diversity, capability of the operator and
the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: Due to the specialized nature of the
collateral and potential for changes in technology to affect long
term demand for digital infrastructure, the senior classes of this
transaction do not achieve ratings above 'Asf'. The securities have
a rated final payment date 35 years after closing, and the
long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that an
alternative technology, rendering obsolete the current transmission
of data through fiber optic cables, will be developed. Fiber optic
cable networks are currently the fastest and most reliable means to
transmit information, and data providers continue to invest in and
utilize this technology.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Declining cash flow as a result of higher expenses, contract
churn, contract amendments or the development of an alternative
technology for the transmission of data could lead to downgrades;
- Fitch's base case NCF is 17.5% below the issuer's underwritten
cash flow. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates the
following ratings based on Fitch's determination of Maximum
Potential Leverage: class A notes to 'BBB-sf' from 'A-sf', class B
to 'BBsf' from 'BBB-sf', and class C to B-sf' from 'BB-sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Increasing cash flow without an increase in corresponding debt
from contractual lease escalators, new tenant leases, or lease
amendments could lead to upgrades;
- A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings
based on Fitch's determination of Maximum Potential Leverage: class
A notes to 'Asf' from 'A-sf', class B to 'BBBsf' from 'BBB-sf', and
class C to 'BBsf' from 'BB-sf';
- However, upgrades are unlikely given the provision to issue
additional debt, increasing leverage without the benefit of
additional collateral. Upgrades may also be limited given the
ratings are capped at 'Asf', given the risk of technological
obsolescence.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on certain characteristics with
respect to the portfolio of fiber network assets and related
contracts in the data file. Fitch considered this information in
its analysis and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or
conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BLACKROCK DLF 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class W Notes
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DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the Class A-1
Notes, the Class A-2 Notes, the Class B Notes, the Class C Notes,
the Class D Notes, and the Class W Notes (together, the Secured
Notes) issued by BlackRock DLF X CLO 2025-1, LLC (the Issuer). The
Secured Notes are issued pursuant to the Note Purchase and Security
Agreement, dated as of May 30, 2025, among the Issuer, Wilmington
Trust, N.A., as Collateral Agent, Custodian, Collateral
Administrator, Information Agent and Note Agent, and the Purchasers
referred to therein:
-- Class A-1 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at A (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BB (sf)
-- Class W Notes at B (sf)
The provisional credit ratings on the Class A-1 Notes and the Class
A-2 Notes address the timely payment of interest (excluding the
additional interest payable at the Post-Default Rate, as defined in
the NPSA) and the ultimate repayment of principal on or before the
Stated Maturity of May 30, 2037.
The provisional credit ratings on the Class B Notes, the Class C
Notes, the Class D Notes, and the Class W Notes address the
ultimate payment of interest (excluding the additional interest
payable at the Post-Default Rate, as defined in the NPSA) and the
ultimate repayment of principal on or before the Stated Maturity of
May 30, 2037. The Class W Notes have a fixed-rate coupon that is
lower than the spread/coupon of some of the more-senior Secured
Notes. The Class W Notes also benefit from the Class W Note Payment
Amount, which allows for principal repayment of the Class W Notes
with collateral interest proceeds, in accordance with the Priority
of Payments.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The Issuer is a cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO)
transaction that will be collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
U.S. senior secured middle-market (MM) corporate loans and managed
by BlackRock Capital Investment Advisors, LLC (BlackRock Capital or
BCIA) as the Collateral Manager. BlackRock Capital is a wholly
owned subsidiary of BlackRock, Inc. (BlackRock). The Reinvestment
Period is scheduled to end on May 30, 2029. The Stated Maturity is
May 30, 2037.
In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS considered the following aspects
of the transaction:
(1) The transaction's capital structure and the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
(2) Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination and
excess spread.
(3) The ability of the Secured Notes to withstand projected
collateral loss rates under various cash flow stress scenarios.
(4) The credit quality of the underlying collateral and the ability
of the transaction to reinvest Principal Proceeds into new
Collateral Assets.
(5) Morningstar DBRS' assessment of the CLO management capabilities
of BlackRock Capital as the Collateral Manager.
(6) The legal structure as well as legal opinions addressing
certain matters of the Issuer and the consistency with Morningstar
DBRS' Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance methodology (the
Legal Criteria).
The transaction has a dynamic structural configuration that permits
variations of certain asset metrics via a selection of an
applicable row from a collateral quality matrix (the CQM, as
defined in Schedule G of the NPSA). Depending on a given Diversity
Score (DScore), the following metrics are selected accordingly from
the applicable row of the CQM: Morningstar DBRS Risk Score, Advance
Rate, Weighted-Average (WA) Recovery Rate, and WA Spread Level.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed each structural configuration (row) as a
unique transaction, and all configurations passed the applicable
Morningstar DBRS rating stress levels. The Coverage Tests and
triggers as well as the Collateral Quality Tests that Morningstar
DBRS modeled in its base-case analysis are presented below.
Coverage Tests:
Class A Overcollateralization (OC) Ratio: minimum 134.18%
Class B OC Ratio: minimum 119.11%
Class C OC Ratio: minimum 117.63%
Class D OC Ratio: minimum 112.76%
Class A Interest Coverage (IC) Ratio: minimum 150.00%
Class B IC Ratio: minimum 140.00%
Class C IC Ratio: minimum 120.00%
Class D IC Ratio: minimum 110.00%
Class W IC Ratio: minimum 100.00%
Collateral Quality Tests:
Minimum Weighted Average Spread: Subject to CQM; min 5.00%
Minimum Weighted Average Coupon: 7.00%
Maximum Morningstar DBRS Risk Score: Subject to CQM; min 28.75%
Minimum Weighted Average Recovery Rate: Subject to CQM; min 41.50%
Minimum Diversity Score: Subject to CQM; min 8
Maximum Weighted Average Life Test: 7.25 years from Closing Date
Maximum Advance Rate Level: Subject to CQM; max 85.63
Some particular strengths of the transaction are (1) the collateral
quality, which will consist mostly of senior-secured middle-market
loans; (2) the expected adequate diversification of the portfolio
of collateral obligations (Diversity Score, matrix driven); and (3)
the Collateral Manager's expertise in CLOs and overall approach to
selection of Collateral Loans.
Some challenges were identified: (1) the expected weighted-average
credit quality of the underlying obligors may fall below investment
grade (per the CQM), and the majority may not have public ratings
once purchased, and (2) the underlying collateral portfolio may be
insufficient to redeem the Secured Notes in an Event of Default.
Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction using the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model and its proprietary cash flow engine, which
incorporated assumptions regarding principal amortization,
principal prepayment, amount of interest generated, principal
prepayments, default timings, and recovery rates, among other
credit considerations referenced in the Global Methodology for
Rating CLOs and Corporate CDOs (November 19, 2024). The model-based
analysis, which incorporated the above-mentioned collateral quality
matrix, produced satisfactory results. Considering the analysis, as
well as the transaction's legal aspects and structure, Morningstar
DBRS assigned the provisional credit ratings on the Secured Notes.
To assess portfolio credit quality, Morningstar DBRS provides a
credit estimate or internal assessment for each nonfinancial
corporate obligor in the portfolio not rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Credit estimates are not ratings; rather, they represent a
model-driven default probability for each obligor that Morningstar
DBRS uses when rating the Secured Notes.
As of the Closing Date, Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the
Secured Notes will be provisional. The provisional credit ratings
reflect the fact that the finalization of the provisional credit
ratings are subject to certain conditions after the Closing Date,
such as compliance with the Eligibility Criteria (as defined in the
NPSA).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Secured Notes address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the principal and interest (excluding the
additional interest payable at the Post-Default Rate, as defined in
the NPSA) due on the Secured Notes.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
BLUEMOUNTAIN CLO 2018-2: S&P Lowers F Notes Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class B and C debt
from BlueMountain CLO 2018-2 Ltd. S&P also lowered its ratings on
the class E and F debt and removed the rating on the class E debt
from CreditWatch, where S&P had placed it with negative
implications in May 2025. At the same time, S&P affirmed its
ratings on the class A and D debt.
The rating actions follow its review of the transaction's
performance using data from the March 2025 monthly trustee report
and the May 2025 payment date report.
Although the same portfolio backs all the tranches, there can be
circumstances such as this one where the ratings on the tranches
may move in opposite directions due to support changes in the
portfolio. The transaction is experiencing opposing rating
movements because it both experienced principal paydowns (which
increased the senior credit support) and faced principal losses and
an increase in defaults (which decreased the junior credit
support).
The transaction has paid down $164.20 million to the class A debt
since S&P's June 2022 rating actions. The reported
overcollateralization (O/C) ratios have changed since the May 2022
trustee report, which it used for its previous rating actions:
-- The class B O/C ratio improved to 146.70% from 132.96%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 124.61% from 119.99%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 112.82% from 112.38%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 104.71% from 106.83%.
Class F is not supported by an O/C test.
The upgraded class B and C ratings reflect the improved credit
support available to the debt at prior rating levels. S&P said,
"The affirmed rating on the class D debt reflects our view that the
credit support available is commensurate with the current rating
level. Though our cash flow analysis indicates the potential for a
higher rating on all three notes, the transaction has exposure to
'CCC' collateral obligations, as well as to some assets with low
market values. Our rating decisions reflect our consideration of
the credit enhancement available for these debt under additional
sensitivity analyses that evaluated these exposures."
While the senior O/C ratios experienced a positive movement due to
the lower balances of the senior debt, the junior O/C ratio
declined due to a combination of par losses and increases in 'CCC'
rated and defaulted assets.
In addition, though the absolute level of collateral obligations
rated in the 'CCC' category decreased to $27.21 million from $38.96
million in June 2022, the relative exposure percentage of the 'CCC'
balance increased to 8.7% from 7.8%, primarily due to the
amortization of the CLO. Since the exposure is beyond the maximum
allowable limit, the trustee, as per the transaction documents,
haircuts the excess amount for the purpose of calculating the O/C
ratios. Defaulted obligations have also increased to $3.24 million
as of the May 2025 payment date report from $1.40 million as of the
May 2022 trustee report.
The lowered ratings on the class E and F debt reflect the decrease
in their credit support levels and failing cash flow runs at their
respective prior ratings. On a standalone basis, the results of the
cash flow analysis indicated lower ratings than the ones reflected
by the rating actions. S&P said, "However, our actions considered
the pure O/C ratios (O/C ratios without haircuts) of the class E
and F debt in comparison to similarly rated classes, the relatively
low exposure to 'CCC' and 'CCC-' rated collateral obligations, and
the application of our 'CCC' rating definitions." The committee
concluded that that class E debt does not yet require favorable
conditions to meet its obligation of timely interest and ultimate
repayment of principal by legal final maturity. However, any
increase in defaults and/or further portfolio credit quality
deterioration could lead to potential negative rating actions on
them.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, as well as on recoveries upon default, under
various interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised
BlueMountain CLO 2018-2 Ltd.
Class B to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Rating Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch
BlueMountain CLO 2018-2 Ltd.
Class E to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Rating Lowered
BlueMountain CLO 2018-2 Ltd.
Class F to 'CCC (sf)' from 'CCC+ (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
BlueMountain CLO 2018-2 Ltd.
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
BX TRUST 2025-LUNR: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on Cl. E Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to BX
Trust 2025-LUNR commercial mortgage pass-through certificates,
series 2025-LUNR:
- $553,755,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $70,490,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $82,650,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $96,235,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $146,870,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following classes have not been rated by Fitch:
- $50,000,000 combined RR Interest*.
*RR: Vertical risk retention interest representing approximately
5.0% of the estimated fair value of all the ABS interests, as
defined in the U.S. credit risk retention rules.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that holds a $1.0 billion, two-year, floating-rate,
interest-only mortgage loan with three one-year extension options.
The mortgage is secured by the borrower's fee simple interest in a
portfolio of 58 primarily industrial properties and one parking lot
comprising approximately 11.6 million sf located in 13 states and
18 markets. The properties were acquired by subsidiaries of
Blackstone Real Estate Partners in a series of acquisitions from
May 2018 to April 2020.
Loan proceeds are used to refinance approximately $981.1 million of
existing debt and pay $18.9 million in closing costs. The
certificates follow a pro rata paydown for the initial 30% of the
loan amount and a standard senior sequential paydown thereafter.
The borrower has a one-time right to obtain a mezzanine loan. To
the extent the mezzanine loan is outstanding, and no mortgage loan
event of default (EOD) is ongoing, voluntary prepayments would be
applied pro rata between the mortgage and the mezzanine loan.
The loan is originated by Goldman Sachs Bank USA, Deutsche Bank AG,
New York Branch, Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc. and JPMorgan
Chase Bank, National Association. KeyBank National Association acts
as the servicer and special servicer. Computershare Trust Company,
N.A. acts as trustee and certificate administrator.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch estimates stressed net cash flow (NCF)
for the portfolio at $72.3 million. This is 9.3% lower than the
issuer's NCF. Fitch applied a 7.375% cap rate to derive a Fitch
value of approximately $980.1 million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $1.0 billion whole loan equates to debt of
approximately $86.0 psf with a Fitch stressed debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR), loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and debt yield of 0.86x,
102.0% and 7.23%, respectively. The loan represents approximately
65.1% of the appraised value of approximately $1.5 billion. Fitch
increased the LTV hurdles by 2.5% to reflect the higher in-place
leverage.
Geographic and Tenant Diversity: The portfolio exhibits strong
geographic diversity with 58 industrial properties and one parking
lot (11.6 million sf) located across 13 states, 15 MSAs and 18
markets, per CoStar. The three largest state concentrations are
California (2.7 million sf; nine properties), Florida (1.5 million
sf; 18 properties) and Indiana (1.7 million sf; seven properties).
The three largest MSAs are Stockton-Lodi, CA (16.0% of NRA; 15.1%
of allocated loan amount [ALA]), Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
(14.6% of NRA; 12.0% of ALA) and Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater,
FL (5.7% of NRA; 8.3% of ALA). The Fitch effective geographic count
for the pool is 13.21. The portfolio also exhibits significant
tenant diversity, as it features over 145 distinct tenants.
Institutional Sponsorship and Management: The loan is sponsored by
Blackstone Real Estate Partners, an affiliate of Blackstone Inc.
The Blackstone Real Estate segment has approximately $315.4 billion
of assets under management as of Jan. 30, 2025, per its quarterly
reports. It is the largest owner of commercial real estate (CRE)
globally and has acquired over 600 million sf of industrial space
globally since 2010, including the subject. The portfolio in this
transaction is managed by Link Logistics Real Estate Management
LLC, an affiliate of the borrowers. Link Logistics operates the
largest industrial-only real estate portfolio in the U.S. with 500
million sf across 3,200 properties.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating (MIR) sensitivity to changes in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf';
- 10% NCF Decrease: 'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
MIR sensitivity to changes to in one variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BX TRUST 2025-TAIL: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following ratings and Ratings
Outlooks to BX Trust 2025-TAIL, commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates series 2025-TAIL:
- $366,130,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $43,130,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $46,260,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $65,270,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
- $87,210,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following classes are not rated by Fitch:
- $24,000,000(a) class RR;
- $8,000,000(a) RR Interest;
(a) Class RR and RR Interest represent a non-offered vertical risk
retention interest totaling approximately 5.0% of the fair value of
the offered certificates.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold a $640 million, two-year, floating-rate,
interest-only mortgage loan with three one-year extension options.
The mortgage is secured by the borrower's fee simple interest in a
portfolio of 23 grocery anchored properties located across 12
states. The properties were acquired by affiliates of BREIT
Operating Partnership L.P., who will serve as initial borrower
sponsor. The properties were acquired through various separate
transactions between 2019 and 2022 for a total cost basis of
approximately $916.0 million.
Mortgage loan proceeds were used to refinance approximately $493.0
million of existing debt, pay a total of $2.5 million in closing
costs, and return approximately $144.5 million in equity to the
sponsor. The certificates will follow a pro rata paydown for the
initial 30% of the loan amount and a standard senior sequential
paydown thereafter. The borrower has a one-time right to obtain a
mezzanine loan, subject to a loan-to-value (LTV) and debt yield
(DY) no worse than closing date, among other provisions outlined in
the loan agreement.
The loan was co-originated by German American Capital Corporation,
Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc., and Bank of Montreal. KeyBank
National Association will act as both the master servicer and
special servicer. Computershare Trust Company, National Association
will act as the trustee and Deutsche Bank National Trust Company,
National Association will be the certificate administrator.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch's stressed net cash flow (NCF) for the
portfolio is estimated at $49.8 million. This is 11.3% lower than
the issuer's NCF and 9.5% lower than YE24 NCF. Fitch applied a
7.50% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of $664.4 million.
High Overall Fitch Leverage: The $640.0 million trust loan equates
to a debt of $212.83 psf with a Fitch debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 0.92x, loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 96.3% and debt yield
of 7.8%. The loan represents around 68.6% of the appraised value of
$993.1 million. The Fitch market LTV at 'BB-sf' (the lowest
Fitch-rated non-investment grade tranche) is 85.2%. The Fitch
market LTV is based on a blend of the Fitch cap rate and the market
cap rate of 5.77%.
Geographic Diversity: The portfolio exhibits geographic diversity
with 23 grocery anchored properties (3.0 million sf) located across
12 states and 16 markets, per CoStar. The three largest state
concentrations are are Illinois (two properties; 17.0% of ALA), New
York (one property; 15.7% of ALA), Texas (four properties; 12.4% of
ALA). The three largest markets are New York, NY (13.7% of NRA;
20.7% of allocated loan amount [ALA]), Chicago, IL (14.8% of NRA;
17.0% of ALA) and Seattle, WA (10.2% of NRA; 10.6% of ALA). The
Fitch effective MSA count for the pool is 9.0. The portfolio also
exhibits significant tenant diversity, as it features 314 distinct
tenants.
Institutional Sponsorship and Management: The loan is sponsored by
BREIT Operating Partnership L.P., an affiliate of Blackstone Inc.
Blackstone is one of the largest owners of commercial real estate
in the world and had approximately $315 billion of assets under
management as of February 2025 per the termsheet. The portfolio in
this transaction is managed by ShopCore Properties TRS Management
LLC, Jones Lang LaSalle Americas, Inc. and Mid-America Asset
Management, Inc. ShopCore will manage 20 of the 23 properties and
is an affiliate of the borrowers. ShopCore Properties operates over
nine million square feet of retail centers. ShopCore Properties'
portfolio consists of over 60 shopping centers in various regions
across the United States.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'.
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-f'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'.
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to the mortgage loan. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis, and the findings did
not have an impact on the analysis. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and it did not have an effect on
Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CARLYLE US 2023-1: Fitch Assigns BB-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Carlyle US CLO 2023-1, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Carlyle US
CLO 2023-1, Ltd.
A-1-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Carlyle US CLO 2023-1 (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Carlyle CLO Management L.L.C. The CLO originally closed in June
2023, and its secured notes will be refinanced on June 30, 2025.
Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and existing
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 24.09, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 95.75%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 72.33% and will be managed to
a WARF covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 40.1% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2-R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle CLO 2023-1,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CARVANA AUTO 2025-P2: Fitch Gives 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. N Debt
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to assign ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2025-P2 (CRVNA 2025-P2).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Carvana Auto
Receivables
Trust 2025-P2
A1 ST F1+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
N LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Collateral — Prime Credit Quality: CRVNA 2025-P2 is backed by
collateral that is consistent with that of prior prime
securitizations issued by Carvana. The CRVNA 2025-P2 pool has a
weighted average FICO score of 701, which is on the lower end
relative to peer prime issuers. However, FICO scores above 750
total 26.0% of the pool. The transaction's percentage of
extended-term loans (61+ months) is elevated at 95.3% of the pool
and loans with terms of more than 72 months formed 47.9% of the
pool, both higher than most comparable transactions.
The pool is diversified by vehicle brand, model and geography. Used
vehicles make up 100% of the pool.
Forward-Looking Approach to Derive Rating-Case Loss Proxy: Carvana
provided managed portfolio data beginning in 2015, which showed
consistent performance for its prime originations between 2015 and
the start of the pandemic. Post-pandemic performance was strong,
owing to significant government stimulus and strong used car
prices, which had a positive impact on pre-pandemic vintages with
loans outstanding in addition to the 2020 vintage originations.
Performance deterioration began with the 2021 vintage, with each
subsequent vintage experiencing higher loss levels through 2023,
impacted by both higher defaults and lower recoveries as used
vehicle values declined.
At this early stage, the 2024 vintage shows improvement, with
losses coming in lower than 2023. In the absence of a full cycle of
detailed historical performance data, Fitch supplemented the
Carvana managed performance data with proxy data from a comparable
auto loan platform to derive the credit loss expectation. Fitch
used Carvana's 2021-2023 performance data and recessionary data
from 2007-2008 from peer auto ABS issuers to determine the rating
case loss proxy.
In addition, Fitch took potential risks of the current economic
environment and the state of the auto industry and wholesale
vehicle market (WVM) into consideration, as well as future
expectations and their potential impact on the pool when deriving
the rating case loss proxy. Fitch's forward-looking rating case
credit cumulative net loss (CNL) proxy is 3.50%.
Payment Structure — Adequate Credit Enhancement: Initial hard
credit enhancement (CE) totals 10.65%, 6.45%, 1.95%, 0.50% and
0.25% for classes A, B, C, D and N, respectively. Initial expected
excess spread is 6.65%. Initial CE is sufficient to withstand
Fitch's rating case CNL proxy of 3.50% at the applicable rating
loss multiples of 5.00x for 'AAAsf', 4.00x for 'AAsf', 3.00x for
'Asf' 2.00x for 'BBBsf', and 1.67x for 'BB+sf'.
Operational and Servicing Risks — Stable
Origination/Underwriting/Servicing: Carvana demonstrates adequate
abilities as an originator and underwriter, and Bridgecrest
demonstrates adequate abilities as a servicer. The performance
history of Carvana's managed portfolio demonstrates its abilities
as an originator and underwriter, and prior Carvana and DriveTime
securitizations demonstrate Bridgecrest's abilities as a servicer.
In addition, Vervent serves as a backup servicer in case
Bridgecrest is unable to perform. Fitch deems Carvana to be an
adequate originator and Bridgecrest an adequate servicer for this
transaction.
Fitch's base-case loss expectation, which does not include a margin
of safety and is not used in Fitch's quantitative analysis to
assign ratings, is 3.00% based on Fitch's "Global Economic Outlook
— April 2025 Update" report and historical managed portfolio
performance and projections.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
CNL levels that are higher than the rating case and would likely
result in declines of CE and remaining net loss coverage levels
available to the notes. Weakening asset performance is strongly
correlated to increasing levels of delinquencies and defaults that
could negatively affect CE levels. In addition, unanticipated
declines in recoveries could result in lower net loss coverage,
which may make certain note ratings susceptible to negative rating
action, depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
Therefore, Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing both a
transaction's initial rating case CNL and recovery rate assumptions
and examining the rating implications on all classes of issued
notes. The CNL sensitivity stresses the rating case CNL proxy to
the level necessary to reduce each rating by one full category, to
non-investment grade 'BBsf' and to 'CCCsf', based on the break-even
loss coverage provided by the CE structure.
Fitch increases the rating case CNL proxy by 1.5x and 2.0x to
represent moderate and severe stresses, respectively. Fitch also
evaluates the impact of stressed recovery rates on an auto loan ABS
structure and the rating impact with a 50% haircut. These analyses
aim to indicate the rating sensitivity of notes to unexpected
deterioration of a trust's performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance, driven by steady
delinquencies and defaults, would increase CE levels and lead to
consideration for potential upgrades. If CNL is 20% less than the
projected proxy, the expected ratings for the subordinate notes
could be upgraded by up to two notches.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on 150 loans from the statistical
data file. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it
did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CD 2017-CD4: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Three Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded four and affirmed 13 classes of CD
2017-CD4 Mortgage Trust Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates Series 2017-CD4. The Rating Outlooks for classes B, C,
X-B, D, X-D, V-BC and V-D remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CD 2017-CD4
A-3 12515DAQ7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 12515DAR5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-M 12515DAT1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12515DAP9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12515DAU8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12515DAV6 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 12515DAF1 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 12515DAG9 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
F 12515DAH7 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
V-A 12515DAW4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
V-BC 12515DBU7 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
V-D 12515DAZ7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-A 12515DAS3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12515DAA2 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 12515DAB0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-E 12515DAC8 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-F 12515DAD6 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Fitch's loss expectations
are relatively stable, with Fitch's deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss modestly increasing to 6.8% from 6.6% at Fitch's prior rating
action.
The downgrades to classes E, X-E, F and X-F are the result of
higher certainly of loss given the increase in expected losses on
the specially serviced loans. Thirteen loans (32.7% of the pool)
are considered Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs), including seven
specially serviced loans (13.9%), two of which transferred to
specially servicing in May 2025 (260 West 36th Street and SSM
Health HQ).
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible future downgrades due to the
potential for further occupancy and cashflow declines of the FLOCs,
including those primarily secured by office collateral (28.2% of
the pool). Additionally, downgrades could be caused by lower
valuations and recovery expectations on specially serviced loans,
and/or if additional loans transfer to special servicing prior to
or at maturity. Large office FLOCs include Key Center Cleveland,
Hamilton Crossing, 111 Livingston Street, Los Angeles Corporate
Center, Troy Office Portfolio, Malibu Vista and 5015 Shoreham
Place.
Largest Contributors to Expected Loss: The largest contributor to
overall expected losses is the delinquent 260 West 36th Street loan
(3.3% of the pool), which is secured by an 85,000-sf office
building located between Seventh and Eighth Avenue in the Garment
District section of New York City. Performance has declined, with
the NOI debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) at September 2023 of
0.55x compared with 1.08x at YE 2021, and 1.79x at YE 2019. There
has been limited performance updates since, with the loan
classified as 60 days delinquent as of the May 2025 remittance. The
loan transferred to special servicing subsequent to the remittance
cutoff date.
Occupancy was at 76% per the October 2023 rent roll, which is
fairly granular with several leases classified as month-to-month or
with near-term lease expiration. In December 2022, the loan was
assumed by Ouni Mamrout and partner Meyer Equities for $33 million
($400 psf). Fitch's 50% loss expectation factors a 10.25% cap rate,
25% stress to the annualized 3Q23 NOI and increasing total loan
exposure. It also assumes a value of $67 psf.
The second largest contributor to overall losses is the specially
serviced Hamilton Crossing loan (2.4%), secured by a 590,917-sf
office complex in Carmel, IN. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in July 2019 for imminent default after the property's top
tenant, ADESA, which leased 30% of the NRA, vacated at its July
2019 lease expiry. Occupancy has since recovered slowly. As of the
March 2025 rent roll, occupancy was approximately 62.3%, compared
to 72.6% as of September 2022, 67.7% at YE 2021, 53.8% at YE 2020
and 56.5% at YE 2019. Fitch's loss expectation of 29% reflects a
stressed value of $57 psf, factoring in a 10.75% cap rate and a 30%
stress to the annualized YE 2023 NOI to account for rollover.
The third largest contributor to expected loss is Malibu Office
(1.6%), which transferred to special servicing in May 2024. The
18,643-sf office property is located on the Pacific Coast Highway
in Malibu, CA, was built in 1989 and renovated in 2016. The single
tenant, Regus, vacated in 2020 and the property remains fully
vacant. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 48% (prior to a
concentration adjustment) is based on a 10% cap rate and assumes a
50% discount to the income derived from the prior tenant's rent to
account for the dark property and the lag in re-tenanting office
assets, with an implied recovery value of $282 psf.
The fourth largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
111 Livingston Street loan (3.3% of the pool), secured by a
407,861-sf office building located in Downtown Brooklyn, NY. Major
tenants include Legal Aid (27% of the NRA; October 2037), C.U.N.Y.
(10.4%; August 2027) and Brooklyn Law School (9.5%, January 2032).
The prior largest tenant, the Office of Temporary and Disability
Assistance (OTDA) (29.8%) vacated in 2024.
As of June 2024, the property was 67% occupied, compared to 74% at
YE 2023, 85.6% in March 2023, 98.6% in June 2020, and 100% at
issuance. Per the March 2025 servicer provided rent roll, there
were recently executed leases; however, some tenants did not have
lease start and/or end date indicated, which would significantly
improve the occupancy and cash flow at the property. Fitch's 'Bsf'
rating case loss of 19% (prior to concentration add-ons) reflects a
9.5% cap rate and a 20% stress to the YE 2023 NOI due to the
previous rollover.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2025 remittance
reporting, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by 20.2%
to $718.5 million from $900.45 million at issuance. Nine loans
(16.7% of the pool) have been fully defeased. Nine loans (22.4%)
are full-term IO and 18 loans (51.3%) were partial-term IO, with
all amortizing. To date, the trust has incurred $6.3 million in
realized principal losses which have been absorbed by the non-rated
class G and non-rated risk retention classes. Most of the pool
matures in 2027 (87.7%); however, 2.2% of the pool matures in 2025,
and 7.9% in 2026. One loan (2.2%) has an anticipated repayment date
in 2027 (final maturity in 2035).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades would occur with an increase in pool-level losses from
underperforming or specially serviced loans. Downgrades to the
'AAAsf' rated classes are not likely due to the high CE and
continued expected paydown from loan repayments and amortization,
but may occur should if expected losses increase significantly,
and/or interest shortfalls occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf', 'Asf' and 'BBsf'
categories, which have Negative Outlooks, may occur if expected
losses increase on FLOCs, including 260 West 36th Street, 111
Livingston Street, Hamilton Crossing, Malibu Office, Los Angeles
Corporate Center, Key Center Cleveland and Troy Office Portfolio
and/or if workout times are prolonged resulting in increased
exposures or value deterioration for the specially serviced loans.
Downgrades to distressed classes may occur as losses are incurred
and/or with a greater certainty of loss expectations.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories may be
possible with significantly increased CE from loan payoffs and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and improved performance and recovery expectations on
the FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' category rated classes are not likely until
the later years in a transaction and only if the performance of the
remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs (especially loans
secured by office properties), are better than expected and there
is sufficient CE to the classes.
Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there is likelihood
for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected but would be
possible with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced
loans and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CFMT 2025-AB3: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class M5 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2025-1 (the Notes) issued by
CFMT 2025-AB3, LLC as follows:
-- $454.0 million Class A at AAA (sf)
-- $10.5 million Class M1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $8.4 million Class M2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $9.4 million Class M3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $8.9 million Class M4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $5.8 million Class M5 at B (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating reflects 13.2% of credit enhancement.
The AA (low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and
B (sf) credit ratings reflect 11.2%, 9.6%, 7.8%, 6.1%, and 5.0% of
credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS did not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Lenders typically offer reverse mortgage loans to people who are at
least 62 years old. Through reverse mortgage loans, borrowers have
access to home equity through a lump sum amount or a stream of
payments without periodically repaying principal or interest,
allowing the loan balance to accumulate over time until a maturity
event occurs. Loan repayment is required (1) if the borrower dies,
(2) if the borrower sells the related residence, (3) if the
borrower no longer occupies the related residence for a period
(usually a year), (4) if it is no longer the borrower's primary
residence, (5) if a tax or insurance default occurs, or (6) if the
borrower fails to properly maintain the related residence. In
addition, borrowers must be current on any homeowner's association
dues, if applicable. Reverse mortgages are typically nonrecourse;
borrowers don't have to provide additional assets in cases where
the outstanding loan amount exceeds the property's value (the
crossover point). As a result, liquidation proceeds will fall below
the loan amount in cases where the outstanding balance reaches the
crossover point, contributing to higher loss severities for these
loans.
As of the Cut-Off Date (March 31, 2025), the collateral consists of
approximately $523.07 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB)
from 1,631 performing home equity conversion mortgage reverse
mortgage loans typically on single-family residential properties,
condominiums, multifamily (two- to four-family), manufactured
homes, and planned unit developments. The mortgage assets were all
originated between 1996 and 2016. Of the total assets, 433 have a
fixed interest rate (29.76% of the balance), with a 5.225%
weighted-average (WA) mortgage interest rate. The remaining 1,198
assets have floating-rate interest (70.24% of the balance) with a
6.276% mortgage interest rate, bringing the entire collateral pool
to a 5.963% mortgage interest rate.
All the mortgage assets in this transaction are currently
performing loans. Further, all these loans are insured by the
United States Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD),
which mitigates losses vis-Ã -vis uninsured loans. See the
discussion in the Analysis section of the related presale report.
Because the insurance supplements the home value, the industry
metric for this collateral is not the loan-to-value ratio (LTV) but
rather the WA effective LTV adjusted for HUD insurance, which is
49.75% for these loans. To calculate the WA LTV, Morningstar DBRS
divides the UPB by the sum of the maximum claim amount plus the
asset value.
The transaction uses a sequential structure. No subordinate note
shall receive any principal payments until the senior notes (Class
A Notes) have been reduced to zero. This structure provides credit
enhancement in the form of subordinate classes and reduces the
effect of realized losses. These features increase the likelihood
that holders of the most senior class of notes will receive regular
distributions of interest and/or principal. All note classes have
available fund caps.
Classes M1, M2, M3, M4, and M5 (together, the Class M Notes) have
principal lockout terms insofar as they are not entitled to
principal payments prior to a Redemption event, unless an
Acceleration Event or Auction Failure Event occurs. Available cash
will be trapped until these dates, at which stage the notes will
start to receive payments. Note that the Morningstar DBRS cash flow
as it pertains to each note models the first payment being received
after these dates for each of the respective notes; hence, at the
time of issuance, these rules are not likely to affect the natural
cash flow waterfall.
A failure to pay the Notes in full on the Mandatory Call Date (May
2030) will trigger a mandatory auction of all assets. If the
auction fails to elicit sufficient proceeds to pay off the notes,
another auction will follow every three months for up to nine
months after the Mandatory Call Date. If these have failed to pay
off the notes, this is deemed an Auction Failure, and subsequent
auctions will proceed every six months.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Amounts. In addition, the associated financial obligations for
the Class A Notes include the related Cap Carryover and Interest
Payment Amounts.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CITIGROUP 2014-GC21: Fitch Lowers Rating on 3 Tranches to BBsf
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded three classes and affirmed four
classes of Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust, commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2014-GC21 (CGCMT 2014-GC21).
Following their downgrades, Fitch assigned Negative Rating Outlooks
to three classes.
Fitch has also affirmed four classes of Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates series
2014-GC23 (CGCMT 2014-GC23).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CGCMT 2014-GC21
C 17322MBA3 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
D 17322MAA4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
E 17322MAC0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
F 17322MAE6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
PEZ 17322MBD7 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
X-B 17322MBC9 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
X-C 17322MAJ5 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
CGCMT 2014-GC23
D 17322VAE6 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
E 17322VAG1 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
F 17322VAJ5 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-C 17322VAA4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Concentrated Transactions: All loans across the two transactions
are Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOC), as they are past their initial
scheduled maturity dates. Both the CGCMT 2014-GC21 and CGCMT
2014-GC23 transactions have three loans remaining in the pool, all
of which are in special servicing.
Due to the concentrated nature of the pools, Fitch conducted a
paydown analysis that categorized the remaining loans according to
their status, collateral quality, and anticipated losses.
CGCMT 2014-GC21: The downgrade to class C reflects heightened pool
loss expectations since Fitch's previous rating action, driven by
the Maine Mall and Regional One Medical and the dependency on
recoveries from these loans to repay classes. The Negative Outlook
for class C highlights the potential for further downgrades if
performance for the remaining loans continues to decline and the
recovery prospects worsen.
CGCMT 2014-GC23: The affirmations and Negative Outlook for class D
reflects the high concentration of loans in special servicing.
Furthermore, all remaining loans have surpassed their initial
maturity dates. Downgrades may occur if the performance or
appraisal values of the remaining loans continue to decline, and
anticipated recoveries worsen.
Largest Remaining Loans and Largest Contributors to Loss: The
largest loan in the pool and largest contributor to overall loss
expectations in CGCMT 2014-GC21 is the Maine Mall loan, which is
secured by a 747,660-sf portion of a 1,022,208-sf regional mall
located approximately six miles southwest of Portland, ME. The loan
transferred to special servicing in February 2024 for imminent
maturity default as the loan was scheduled to mature in April 2024.
Recent servicer commentary indicates that terms for a loan
modification and extension are being negotiated.
Non-collateral anchors include Macy's and a dark anchor box
previously occupied by Sears. Collateral anchors include Jordan's
Furniture (which backfilled the majority of the former Bon-Ton
space that closed in August 2017; 16.0% of collateral NRA; July
2030) and JCPenney (11.5%; July 2028). Junior anchors include Best
Buy, Round 1 Bowling & Amusement, and Old Navy. The mall also
features the only Apple store in the state of Maine.
The collateral was 85.6% occupied at YE 2024, compared to 91%
occupied at YE 2023, 91.1% at YE 2021, and 93.9% at YE 2020. There
is upcoming lease rollover of 9% in 2025. The servicer reported NOI
debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) was 1.62x at YE 2024, 1.58x at
YE 2023, 1.48x at YE 2022, 1.40x YE 2021, and 1.45x at YE 2020.
Fitch's expected loss of 33.3 % (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a haircut to the most recent reported
appraisal value that is approximately 50% below the issuance
appraisal.
The second largest loan in the pool and second largest contributor
to overall loss expectations in CGCMT 2014-GC21 is the Regional One
Medical loan, which is secured by a five-story office building
totaling 112,233 NRSF located in Memphis, TN. The property was
built in 1990 as a traditional office space but has since been
renovated and repositioned to a medical office space. The loan
transferred to special servicing in June 2024 due to its failure to
pay at maturity in April 2024.
The borrower was initially granted a 60-day forbearance from the
maturity date in April to facilitate the closing of a potential
collateral sale, but the sale did not close before the forbearance
period expired.
Fitch's expected loss of 1.7% (prior to concentration adjustments)
indicates a discount to the most recent appraisal value and
reflects a stressed value of $135 psf.
The final loan in the CGCMT 2014-GC21 pool is the Brier Creek
Corporate Center 6, which is secured by an office building located
in Raleigh, NC. The loan transferred to the special servicer in
March 2024 due to Borrowers default following the maturity date.
The property is 100% occupied and the lender is working towards
finalizing the forbearance proposal.
Fitch's expected loss of 1%% reflects a haircut to the appraisal
value and accounts for special servicing fees.
The largest loan in the pool and largest contributor to overall
loss expectations in CGCMT 2014-GC23 is the Selig Portfolio loan,
which is secured by a portfolio of seven office properties totaling
1.1 million-sf, located in the CBD of Seattle, WA. The loan
transferred to special servicing in March 2024 due to its inability
to pay at its May 2024 maturity.
Per the January 2024 rent roll, portfolio occupancy was 60%, which
is a slight decline from 63% as of YE 2023, down from 72% in 2022
and 84% in 2021. The servicer reported interest only YE 2023 NOI
DSCR was 1.72x, compared with 1.58x at YE 2022 and 2.12x at YE
2021. According to servicer updates, workout discussions with the
borrower are ongoing.
Fitch's expected loss of 38.4% (prior to concentration add-ons)
reflects a discount to the February 2025 appraisal, indicating a
stressed value of approximately $109 psf.
Another special servicing loan in CGCMT 2014-GC23 is 5185 MacArthur
Boulevard, secured by a mixed-use building located in Washington,
D.C. The loan transferred to special servicing in July 2024 for
non-performing maturity balloon ahead of its initial maturity date
of July 2024. The lender was the successful bidder at the
foreclosure sale in January 2025 and the property is real estate
owned (REO). The property manager and leasing team are actively
engaged, with the property currently at 73% occupancy.
Fitch's expected loss of 16.2% (prior to concentration adjustments)
reflects a haircut to the August 2024 appraisal value resulting in
a stressed value of approximately $220 psf.
The third loan and final loan in the pool is Lake Shore Plaza,
secured by a 96K SF shopping center located in Ronkonkoma, NY. The
loan transferred to special servicing due to expected maturity
default in June 2024. The borrower and special servicer have
entered into a forbearance agreement through June 2025.
Fitch's expected loss of 1% (prior to concentration adjustments)
indicates a haircut to the most recent appraisal value and accounts
for special servicing fees.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE), Concentrated Loan Maturities: As
of the May 2025, the pool's aggregate balances have been reduced by
85.2% in CGCMT 2014-GC21 and 90.6% in the CGCMT 2014-GC23
transaction. Each of the transactions have incurred realized losses
to date which include $16,189,702 in CGCMT 2014-GC21 and $1,052,749
in CGCMT 2014-GC23. Cumulative interest shortfalls of $998,697 are
affecting class G in CGCMT 2014-GC21 and $646,793 are affecting
class G in CGCMT 2014-GC23.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- The Negative Outlook for class C in CGCMT 2014-GC21 and class D
in CGCMT 2014-GC23 reflect the possibility for future downgrades
due to potential further declines in performance and/or value
declines that could result in higher expected losses on loans in
special servicing. If expected losses increase, Fitch anticipates
downgrading these classes.
- Downgrades to distressed classes would occur as losses become
more certain and/or as losses are incurred.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to class C in GCGMT 2021-GC21, class D in CGCMT 2023-GC23
and distressed rated classes are not anticipated given the adverse
selection for each transaction and concentration of defaulted
loans.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CITIGROUP COMMERCIAL 2017-P8: S&P Cuts V-3D Certs Rating to 'CCC'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on 17 classes of commercial
mortgage pass-through certificates from Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2017-P8, a U.S. CMBS conduit transaction. At the
same time, S&P affirmed its ratings on four other classes from the
transaction.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on classes A-S, B, C, D, E, and F primarily
reflect:
-- S&P's lower revised net cash flow (NCF) and expected-case
valuations for the office or lodging properties securing seven
loans, comprising 24.3% of the pooled trust balance, due to
reported or expected declines in operating performance since our
last review in December 2024.
-- S&P's significant (greater than 60.0% of the current loan
balance) loss assumption on the specially serviced Grant Building
loan (3.5% of the pooled trust balance) using the most recent
market value obtained from the special servicer, which represents a
25.5% decline from the appraisal value in April 2024 and is 69.9%
below the appraisal value at issuance.
-- The affirmations on classes A-2, A-3, A-4, and A-AB reflect
that in S&P's analysis the model-indicated ratings are in line with
the current outstanding ratings even after making these
adjustments.
S&P said, "The downgrades on class D to 'CCC (sf)' and classes E
and F to 'CCC- (sf)' also reflect our qualitative consideration
that their repayments are dependent upon favorable business,
financial, and economic conditions and that these classes are
vulnerable to default. As of the May 16, 2025, trustee remittance
report, the trust incurred monthly interest shortfalls of $106,452
due primarily to appraisal subordinate entitlement reduction
amounts of $58,313, special servicing fees of $38,907, and
reimbursement of interest on advances to the servicer of $12,986.
The shortfalls affected classes F and G. (Class G is not rated by
S&P Global Ratings.) If class F continues to incur interest
shortfalls for a prolonged period of time, we may further lower our
rating to 'D (sf)'.
"The downgrades on the class X-A, X-B, X-D, X-E, and X-F
interest-only (IO) certificates are based on our criteria for
rating IO securities, which state that the ratings on the IO
securities would not be higher than that of the lowest-rated
reference class." The notional amounts of the IO classes reference
the principal- and interest-paying classes as follows:
-- Class X-A references classes A-1 (repaid in full), A-2, A-3,
A-4, A-AB, and A-S;
-- Class X-B references class B;
-- Class X-D references class D;
-- Class X-E references class E; and
-- Class X-F references class F.
S&P said, "In addition, we lowered our ratings on the exchangeable
classes V-2A, V-2B, V-2C, V-2D, V-3AC, and V-3D. These exchangeable
classes represent a certain percentage, as defined in the
transaction documents, of the vertical risk retention interest. The
exchangeable classes' interest distribution is based on a formula
referencing the aggregate amount of interest distributed to the
principal- and interest-paying classes." The notional amounts of
the exchangeable classes reference the principal- and
interest-paying classes as follows:
-- Class V-2A references classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-AB, X-A,
and A-S;
-- Class V-2B references classes B and X-B;
-- Class V-2C references class C;
-- Class V-2D references classes D and X-D;
-- Class V-3AC references classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-AB, X-A,
X-B, A-S, B, and C; and
-- Class V-3D references classes D and X-D.
S&P said, "At issuance and in our last review, we applied
loan-level loan-to-value (LTV) threshold adjustments for the
Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio loan (4.1% of the pooled
trust balance) to account for the geographic diversity and
granularity of the portfolio. In our current review, we carried
forward the adjustments.
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the transaction and
the collateral loans, including any developments around the loans
with reported or expected declines in performance and the
resolution of the specially serviced loans. To the extent future
developments differ meaningfully from our underlying assumptions,
we may update our analysis for these loans and take further rating
actions as we determine necessary."
Property-Level Analysis Updates
S&P revised its S&P Global Ratings NCFs and expected-case values on
collateral properties securing seven loans, totaling $246.9 million
or 24.3% of the pooled trust balance, primarily due to reported or
expected declines in the operating performance below its
expectations since our December 2024 review.
The seven loans include:
-- 225 & 233 Park Avenue South ($60.0 million, 5.9% of the pooled
trust balance). The trust loan represents a pari passu portion of a
$235.0 million whole loan;
-- Corporate Woods Portfolio ($43.0 million, 4.2%). The trust loan
represents a pari passu portion of a $190.3 million whole loan;
-- Bank of America Plaza ($42.1 million, 4.1%);
-- Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio ($41.8 million, 4.1%).
-- The trust loan represents a pari passu portion of a $577.3
million whole loan;
-- 440 Mamaroneck Avenue ($29.4 million, 2.9%);
-- 1450 Veterans ($17.8 million, 1.8%); and
-- 215 & Town Center ($12.8 million, 1.3%).
Three of these loans--225 & 233 Park Avenue South, Bank of America
Plaza, and Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio, totaling 14.1%
of the pooled trust balance--are in special servicing. S&P said,
"Based on the servicers' comments, we expect them to be modified
and returned to the master servicer as corrected mortgage loans.
For the remaining specially serviced loan, Grant Building ($35.7
million; 3.5%), the special servicer filed for foreclosure and
appointed a receiver in early 2024. The loan, which has a reported
July 2024 paid-through date, has a total reported exposure of $37.8
million. Using the most recent market value obtained from the
special servicer, which represented a 25.5% decline from the
appraised value in April 2024 of $23.5 million and is 69.9% below
the appraised value at issuance of $58.1 million, we estimated a
significant loss (greater than 60.0% of the current loan balance)
upon the loan's eventual liquidation. In our last review, we
utilized the April 2024 appraised value to project our loss on the
loan."
225 & 233 Park Avenue South
The loan, which has a reported current payment status, was
transferred to the special servicer on March 20, 2024, due to the
imminent monetary default. The largest tenant, Facebook/Meta (39.4%
of the net rentable area [NRA]), terminated its lease (expiring
October 2027), on March 31, 2024, and the third largest tenant, STV
Inc. (19.7%), vacated the property upon its lease expiration on May
31, 2024. In addition, the second-largest tenant, Buzzfeed (28.7%),
which has a lease that expires May 2026, is subleasing its space to
multiple tenants. The servicer reported that occupancy fell to
40.0% as of year-end 2024 from 99.0% in 2023. According to CoStar,
the vacant spaces are currently still being marketed for lease.
S&P said, "Given the lack of leasing progress and still weak
fundamentals in the Gramercy Park office submarket, we revised our
whole loan NCF to $16.6 million by assuming a 20.0% vacancy rate, a
$71.39 per-sq.-ft. S&P Global Ratings gross rent, and 50.0%
operating expense ratio. This revised NCF shows a decline of 7.7%
from our last-review NCF of $17.9 million. Using an S&P Global
Ratings capitalization rate of 8.25% (unchanged from last review),
we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings expected-case value of $200.6
million or $297 per sq. ft., an 8.1% decrease from our last review
value of $218.4 million and 70.3% below the appraised value at
issuance of $675.0 million."
According to the special servicer, KeyBank Real Estate Capital, it
is currently in discussion with the borrower to potentially
modified the loan. The modification terms and resolution timing are
unknown at this time. According to the May 2025 CRE Finance Council
Investor Reporting Package loan-level reserve report, there is
approximately $57.6 million in tenant and other reserve accounts.
Corporate Woods Portfolio
The loan, which has a reported current payment status, is on the
master servicer's watchlist due to low reported debt service
coverage (DSC) and occupancy, which were 1.03x and 73.5%,
respectively, as of year-end 2024. In comparison, the reported DSC
and occupancy were 1.29x and 83.3% in 2023.
S&P said, "In our current analysis, assuming a 73.0% occupancy, we
revised our whole loan NCF to $13.8 million, 19.7% lower than our
last-review NCF of $17.2 million. Using an S&P Global Ratings
capitalization rate of 9.50%, up 100 basis points (bps) from our
last review rate of 8.50%, to reflect our perceived higher market
risk premium for class B office properties in a weak office
submarket, we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings expected-case value
of $145.5 million or $72 per sq. ft., a 28.1% decline from our
last-review value of $202.4 million and a 51.3% decrease from the
appraised value at issuance of $299.1 million."
Bank of America Plaza
The loan, which has a nonperforming matured balloon payment status
(paid through April 2025), was transferred to special servicing on
Aug. 1, 2024, due to imminent maturity default. The loan matured
Sept. 6, 2024. According to the special servicer, KeyBank, it has
agreed with the borrower on preliminary terms of a modification and
extension and the borrower has executed a pre-negotiation
agreement. However, specific terms of the modifications have not
been disclosed at this time.
The special servicer recently released an updated appraised value
of $24.9 million as of Dec. 30, 2024, which is 68.6% lower than the
issuance appraised value of $79.2 million. S&P said, "In our
current analysis, we revised our expected-case value to $22.4
million, about 10.0% below the most recent reported appraised
value, by assuming an S&P Global Ratings NCF of $2.4 million and an
S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate of 10.50%. In our last
review, we assumed that the loan would liquidate through the
special servicer. We estimated a minimal loss (less than 25.0% of
the loan balance) upon its eventual resolution, using an S&P Global
Ratings liquidation value of $37.4 million at that time. Given the
potential for the borrower and the special servicer to arrive at a
modification and extension of the loan, we will continue to track
the process and may revise our assumptions, as needed."
Starwood Capital Group Hotel Portfolio
440 Mamaroneck Avenue
The loan, which has a reported current payment status, is on the
master servicer's watchlist due to low reported DSC and occupancy,
which were 0.37x and 68.1%, respectively, as of year-end 2024. The
property has reported low occupancy and DSC below 1.00x since
2021.
S&P said, "In our current analysis, using an S&P Global Ratings NCF
of $2.4 million, unchanged from our last review, and an S&P Global
Ratings capitalization rate of 9.00%, up 25 bps from our last
review, we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings expected-case value of
$26.3 million or $110 per sq. ft., 2.8% below our last review value
of $27.0 million, and a 49.5% decrease from the appraised value at
issuance of $52.0 million."
1450 Veterans
The loan, which has a reported current payment status, is on the
master servicer's watchlist because the single tenant, which
occupies 100% of the NRA at the property, did not renew its lease
one year prior to lease expiration. According to the master
servicer, the borrower has extended the tenant's lease on a
short-term basis to Sept. 30, 2025.
S&P said, "As a result, in our current analysis, using an S&P
Global Ratings NCF of $1.7 million (the same as in our last review)
and an S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate of 9.25% (up 50 bps
from our last review rate of 8.75% to reflect the uncertainty
around the eventual stabilization of the property's performance in
a weak office submarket), we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings
expected-case value of $18.2 million or $344 per sq. ft., 5.4%
below our last-review value of $19.2 million and 46.4% lower than
the appraised value at issuance of $34.0 million."
215 & Town Center
The loan, which has a reported current payment status, is on the
master servicer's watchlist due to low reported DSC and occupancy,
which was 0.96x and 57.4%, respectively, as of year-end 2024.
Occupancy at the property has declined year over year since 2022.
S&P said, "In our current analysis, using an S&P Global Ratings NCF
of $1.1 million (unchanged from our last review) and an S&P Global
Ratings capitalization rate of 9.50% (up 25 bps from our last
review rate of 9.25% to reflect the uncertainty around the eventual
stabilization of the property's performance in a weak office
submarket), we derived an S&P Global Ratings expected-value value
of $12.0 million or $178 per sq. ft., 2.6% below our last-review
value of $12.3 million and a 43.1% decline from the appraised value
at issuance of $21.1 million."
Transaction Summary
As of the May 16, 2025, trustee remittance report, the collateral
pool balance was $1.02 billion, which is 93.6% of the pool balance
at issuance. The pool currently includes 52 fixed-rate loans, down
from 53 loans at issuance. Five of these loans ($199.1 million;
19.6% of the pooled trust balance) are with the special servicer,
eight ($157.1 million; 15.4%) are on the master servicer's
watchlist, and seven ($93.1 million; 9.2%) are defeased.
Excluding one of the specially serviced loans (Grant Building) and
the seven defeased loans and adjusting the servicer-reported
numbers, S&P calculated an S&P Global Ratings weighted average DSC
of 1.80x and an S&P Global Ratings weighted average LTV ratio of
98.6% using an S&P Global Ratings weighted average capitalization
rate of 8.15% for the remaining 44 loans.
The trust has not experienced any principal losses to date. S&P
expects losses to reach approximately 2.2% of the original pool
trust balance upon the eventual resolution of the specially
serviced Grant Building loan.
Ratings Lowered
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2017-P8
Class A-S to 'A (sf)' from 'AA+ (sf)'
Class B to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)'
Class C to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Class D to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Class E to 'CCC- (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class F to 'CCC- (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class X-A to 'A (sf)' from 'AA+ (sf)'
Class X-B to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)'
Class X-D to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Class X-E to 'CCC- (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class X-F to 'CCC- (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'
Class V-2A to 'A (sf)' from 'AA+ (sf)'
Class V-2B to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)'
Class V-2C to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Class V-2D to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Class V-3AC to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Class V-3D to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2017-P8
Class A-2: AAA (sf)
Class A-3: AAA (sf)
Class A-4: AAA (sf)
Class A-AB: AAA (sf)
COMM 2012-LTRT: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Classes to C
--------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on two classes of COMM
2012-LTRT Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2012-LTRT issued by COMM 2012-LTRT Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class D to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class X-A at AA (sf)
-- Class A2 at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C at B (high) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also changed the trends on Classes B and C to
Negative from Stable. The trend on Class A-2 remains Stable and
Classes D and E have credit ratings that do not typically carry a
trend in commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS) credit
ratings.
The credit rating downgrades and Negative trends reflect the
increased risks for the transaction in Morningstar DBRS' increased
liquidated loss expectations for one of the underlying loans, The
Oaks Mall, which is in special servicing and was recently re-valued
as part of a December 2024 appraisal obtained by the special
servicer, and the sustained net cash flow (NCF) for the Westroads
Mall loan, as further described below.
The underlying collateral represents two mortgage loans secured by
two regional mall properties; the loans are not cross
collateralized or cross defaulted. The largest of the two loans,
Westroads Mall (collateral mall in Omaha, Nebraska), had an
outstanding principal balance of $88.3 million as of the May 2025
remittance (53.6% of the total transaction balance) and the smaller
loan, The Oaks Mall (collateral mall in Gainesville, Florida), had
an outstanding principal balance of $76.4 million (46.4% of the
total transaction balance) at the May 2025 remittance. The Oaks
Mall loan transferred to special servicing in October 2024 and
reported paid through April 1, 2025 as of the May 2025 remittance
report. The Westroads Mall loan is not in special servicing and
reported current with the May 2025 remittance. The sponsor and
manager of both loans is Brookfield Property Partners L.P.
(Brookfield; rated BBB (low) with a Stable trend).
Both loans were granted extensions for the original October 2022
maturity dates; most recently, The Oaks defaulted on its October
2024 maturity date and the Westroads Mall maturity was extended by
one year to October 2025. As of the May 2025 remittance, the
transaction balance has been reduced by 36.4% since issuance. The
paydown since issuance is largely the result of principal
curtailments required as part of the maturity extensions granted
for both loans. Morningstar DBRS considered a loan-to-value (LTV)
sizing as part of the analysis, with the resulting Morningstar DBRS
LTV Sizing Benchmarks supporting the credit rating confirmations
for the top three classes with this review. Morningstar DBRS also
considered its ultimate expectation of recoverability based on the
most recent appraisal values obtained by the servicer, as of
December 2024 and September 2022 for the Oaks Mall and Westroads
Mall, respectively. That analysis suggested liquidated losses for
The Oaks loan would erode the entirety of the Class E certificate,
with losses continuing through the Class D certificate, supporting
the credit rating downgrades with this review.
At the previous credit rating action in June 2024, Morningstar DBRS
noted Brookfield's willingness to turn other underperforming
properties back to the lender when replacement loans could not be
procured, noting that the underperforming status of The Oaks
property could suggest Brookfield would ultimately walk away from
the asset. In October 2024, the loan transferred to special
servicing and the servicer quickly noted a foreclosure was expected
to be filed as a result. As of the most recently reported
financials, for the trailing six months (T-6) ended June 30, 2024,
the servicer reported a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.19
times (x) for The Oaks loan, down from 1.23x at YE2023; cash flows
at this property have been sustained well below issuance
expectations for the last several years. Despite the relatively
healthy servicer-reported DSCR of 1.40x as of YE2024 for the
Westroads Mall, Morningstar DBRS expects Brookfield could have
similar difficulty securing a replacement loan at the extended
maturity date for that loan given the much lower implied DSCR on
today's interest rates (the loan's current fixed interest rate is
4.3%) and value decline suggested by the 2022 appraisal obtained by
the special servicer, as further discussed below.
The Westroads Mall loan, which is secured by the fee interests in
540,304 square feet (sf) of a 1.1 million-sf regional mall in
Omaha, Nebraska, has been the stronger performer. The noncollateral
anchor spaces are occupied by JCPenney, Von Maur, and First
Westroads Bank, while the largest collateral anchor and junior
anchors at the property include Dick's Sporting Goods and AMC
Theatres. The servicer reported a YE2024 occupancy rate of 96.0%
for the collateral, which includes former junior anchor Forever 21
(2.9% of NRA) that vacated prior to its scheduled lease expiration
in January 2027 following bankruptcy proceedings. In the analysis
for this review, Morningstar DBRS considered a Morningstar DBRS
Value of $120.5 million, which was based on a 10.3% cap rate and a
2.0% haircut to the YE2024 NCF and represents a variance of -19.1%
from the September 2022 appraisal value of $149.0 million and
-17.6% from the initial Morningstar DBRS Value of $146.2 million.
At issuance, the appraised value was $242.0 million.
The Oaks Mall loan is secured by the fee interest in 581,849 sf of
a 906,349-sf super regional mall in Gainesville, Florida. The
property is approximately four miles from the University of
Florida's main campus and is anchored by Belk, two Dillard's stores
(one of which is collateral), and JCPenney (noncollateral).
JCPenney and Belk recently extended their leases by an additional
five years to 2028. The mall historically drew traffic from the
nearby college campus, but Butler Plaza, a 2.0 million-sf open-air
shopping center, is also nearby and has become the primary retail
destination for the area. As previously mentioned, an updated
appraisal as of December 2024 was obtained by the servicer,
reflecting an as-is value decline to $81.0 million, down from the
September 2022 appraisal value of $85.0 million and the appraisal
value at issuance of $227.0 million. For this credit rating action,
Morningstar DBRS updated its value for the property, based on a
12.5% cap rate and the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $7.9 million, which
represents a 2.0% haircut to the annualized NCF figure for the T-6
ended June 30 2024. The resulting Morningstar DBRS value of $63.5
million represents a variance of -21.7% from the December 2024
appraisal value estimate and represents an LTV of 120.4% on the
outstanding loan balance as of the May 2025 remittance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
COMM 2014-CCRE15: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-CCRE15
issued by COMM 2014-CCRE15 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (sf)
-- Class PEZ at AA (sf)
-- Class X-B at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
The trends on Classes X-B and D remain Negative. The remaining
classes have Stable trends with the exception of Classes E and F,
which have credit ratings that do not typically carry a trend in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) transactions.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect
Morningstar DBRS' recoverability expectations for the remaining
loans in the pool, most notably 625 Madison Avenue (Prospectus
ID#3, 38.2% of the pool), a pari passu loan that is also secured in
the COMM 2014-CCRE14 Mortgage Trust transaction (rated by
Morningstar DBRS). The loan, which is secured by the leased-fee
interest in the land under 625 Madison Avenue, a 17-story Class A
office tower in Manhattan, continues to exhibit a favorable credit
profile and is expected to be fully recovered upon resolution.
Additional details are outlined below.
Morningstar DBRS considered liquidation scenarios for the three
loans in special servicing (45.5% of the pool), applying
conservative haircuts to the most recent appraised values,
resulting in aggregate projected losses totaling $42.2 million.
Those losses would erode the remaining non-rated Class G balance,
and approximately 60.0% of the C (sf)-rated Class F balance. The
Negative trend on the Class D certificate reflects the possibility
of further value deterioration for the underlying collateral
backing the defaulted loans. In addition, Morningstar DBRS has
concerns regarding the accumulation of interest shortfalls, which
have increased by $400,000 since the previous credit rating action
and are currently accruing at a rate of approximately $110,000 per
month. The Class F certificate has not received full interest
payments since the March 2025 remittance. Although the Class D
certificate continues to receive full interest due, the servicer
could elect to withhold those payments if the workout periods for
the specially serviced loans continue to extend, further supporting
the Negative trend on that class.
As of the May 2025 remittance, the pool's aggregate principal
balance of $192.6 million represents a collateral reduction of
80.9% since issuance. Five loans remain in the pool, two of which,
625 Madison Avenue and 600 Commonwealth (Prospectus ID#6, 16.3% of
the current pool balance), transferred back to the master servicer
since the previous credit rating action with both underlying
properties in various stages of redevelopment. To date, the trust
has realized $18.8 million in losses, which have been contained to
the non-rated Class G certificate.
The largest contributor to Morningstar DBRS' loss projections is
the 25 West 45th Street loan (Prospectus ID#4, 32.6% of the current
pool balance), which is secured by a 17-story Class B office tower
in Manhattan's Grand Central submarket. The loan transferred to
special servicing after failing to repay at maturity in January
2024. Foreclosure proceedings and the appointment of a receiver are
being pursued while discussions with the borrower continue. Two
large tenants, WeWork and FedEx (collectively representing 17.0% of
net rentable area (NRA)), vacated in 2023. In addition, seven
tenants, representing 28.1% of NRA, have leases scheduled to expire
within the next 12 months. The property was 70.4% occupied as of
the March 2025 rent roll, whereas the Grand Central submarket
reported a vacancy figure of 12.0% as of Q1 2025, according to
Reis. The property was appraised in January 2025 at a value of
$60.0 million, a sharp decline from the issuance appraised value of
$107.0 million and below the $62.7 million loan balance. As a
result of significant near-term tenant rollover, the Class B
quality of the property, the sharp decline in value from issuance,
and the general challenges for office properties in today's
environment, Morningstar DBRS analyzed the loan with a liquidation
scenario by applying a conservative 40.0% haircut to the most
recent appraised value, resulting in an implied loss of $36.0
million and a loss severity of 57.0%.
The second-largest specially serviced loan, River Falls Shopping
Center (Prospectus ID#15, 7.7% of the current pool balance), is
secured by a 287,717-square-foot (sf) portion of an 872,969-sf
anchored shopping center in Clarksville, Indiana, approximately
seven miles north of the Louisville, Kentucky, central business
district. The loan originally transferred to special servicing in
May 2020 for monetary default, and the borrower and lender
subsequently executed a forbearance agreement that extended the
loan's maturity date to January 2025. The borrower requested an
additional eight-month extension, after the initial forbearance
period ended in January 2025. According to the servicer, a formal
agreement is expected to be finalized in June 2025. The subject's
third-largest tenant, Gabriel Brothers Inc. (Gabe's) (11.6% of NRA,
lease expiring July 2028), will vacate its current space and occupy
the Old Time Pottery space (29.6% of NRA; currently the largest
tenant at the property) after the tenant vacates in August 2025,
ahead of its October 2026 lease expiration date. Gabe's will pay a
rental rate of $4.0 per sf (psf) for the first five years and $4.5
psf until lease expiration in January 2036, according to a March
2025 asset status report. Although the current Gabe's space will be
vacant from August 2025 onward, the increased rental rate of $4.0
psf compared with Old Time Pottery's current rental rate of
approximately $1.0 psf will partially offset the overall reduction
in total base rent. In addition, the second-largest tenant, Dick's
Sporting Goods (17.1% of NRA), has a lease expiring in January
2026. According to the December 2024 financial reporting, net cash
flow remains stable at $1.3 million (reflecting a debt service
coverage ratio of 1.13 times), in line with 2023 levels. The
property was most recently appraised in July 2024 for $20.3
million, down from the issuance appraised value of $24.0 million.
Given the recent departure of Old Time Pottery and the loan's
extended stint in special servicing, Morningstar DBRS liquidated
the loan in its analysis by applying a 35% haircut to the July 2024
appraisal, resulting in a loss severity of 19.0% and an implied
loss of $2.8 million.
As noted above, the largest loan in the pool, 625 Madison Avenue,
is secured by the leased-fee interest in the land under a 17-story
Class A office tower in Manhattan. SL Green (SLG) was the
ground-lease tenant and owned the improvements; however, following
a default on the mezzanine loan, SLG also acquired the former
sponsor's interest in the land. The senior loan was modified in
December 2023 to terminate the ground lease, preapprove an equity
transfer in the land interest, and extend the loan maturity to
December 2026, with a $25.0 million principal paydown contributed
to close the modification. Ross Related Companies (Related) was the
equity interest transferee, and SLG and Related have spoken
publicly about their plans to redevelop the subject property. A
demolition contract was signed in August 2024 to tear down the
improvements and construct a new tower that is expected to include
hotel, retail, and luxury condominium components. Based on the
November 2023 appraisal, the value of the land was reported at
$415.1 million, an increase from the $400.0 million appraised land
value at issuance, and well above the current whole-loan balance of
$168.7 million (subject trust balance of $73.6 million). Given
these developments and the estimated land value, Morningstar DBRS
expects the loan will ultimately be fully recovered.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CONNECTICUT AVE 2023-R07: Moody's Ups Rating on 2B-1B Certs to Ba1
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 49 bonds issued by
Connecticut Avenue Securities Trust 2023-R07, which is a credit
risk transfer (CRT) RMBS issued by Fannie Mae to share the credit
risk on a reference pool of mortgages with the capital markets.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Connecticut Avenue Securities Trust 2023-R07
Cl. 2A-I1*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2A-I2*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2A-I3*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2A-I4*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2B-1, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2B-1A, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Upgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. 2B-1B, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. 2B-1X*, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2B-1Y, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. 2C-I1*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2C-I2*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2C-I3*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2C-I4*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-A1, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-A2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-A3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-A4, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-C1, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-C2, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-C3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-C4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-D1, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-D2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-D3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-D4, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-D5, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2E-F1, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-F2, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-F3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-F4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2E-F5, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-J1, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-J2, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-J3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-J4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-K1, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-K2, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-K3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-K4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2M-1, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. 2M-2, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2M-2A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Cl. 2M-2C, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2M-2X*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2M-2Y, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-Y1*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-Y2*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-Y3*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. 2-Y4*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 8, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, recent performance, and Moody's
updated loss expectations on the underlying pool.
The transaction Moody's reviewed continues to display strong
collateral performance, with cumulative loss lower than .01% and
low delinquency. In addition, enhancement levels for the tranches
have grown significantly as the pools amortized. The credit
enhancement since closing has grown, on average, by 10% for the
tranches upgraded. Moody's analysis also considered the
relationship of exchangeable bonds to the bonds they could be
exchanged for.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief
No actions were taken on the remaining rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features and credit
enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
CSAIL 2015-3: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class C Notes to 'BBsf'
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded one class and affirmed 11 classes of
CSAIL 2015-C3 Commercial Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2015-C3. Class C has been
assigned a Negative Outlook following the downgrade. The Rating
Outlooks for classes B and X-B remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CSAIL 2015-C3
A-4 12635FAT1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 12635FAX2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12635FAY0 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 12635FAZ7 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
D 12635FBA1 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
E 12635FAG9 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
F 12635FAJ3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
X-A 12635FAV6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12635FAW4 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
X-D 12635FBB9 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-E 12635FAA2 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-F 12635FAC8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increase in 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: The deal-level 'Bsf' rating
case loss has increased to 19.7% from 10.9% at Fitch's prior rating
action. Fitch identified 14 loans (58% of the pool) as Fitch Loans
of Concern (FLOCs), five of which (25.7%) are in special
servicing.
All the loans in the pool are scheduled to mature by August 2025.
Due to the near-term loan maturities, increasing pool concentration
and adverse selection concerns, Fitch performed a look-through
analysis to determine the remaining loans' expected recoveries and
losses to assess the outstanding classes' ratings relative to their
credit enhancement (CE). Higher probabilities of default were
assigned to loans that are anticipated to default at maturity due
to performance declines and/or rollover concerns.
The downgrade on class C reflects increased pool loss expectations
since Fitch's prior rating action, driven primarily by further
performance decline and refinance concerns on the FLOCs, including
the specially serviced loans, most notably The Mall of New
Hampshire (14.3% of the pool), Westfield Wheaton (13.9%), Westfield
Trumbull (5.9%), and 21 Astor place (3.8%).
The Negative Outlooks reflect possible further downgrades if there
is continued degradation of value and a prolonged workout for the
specially serviced loans, as well as if more loans default at
maturity than are currently expected.
Regional Malls/Largest Contributors to Loss Expectations: The
largest contributor to Fitch's overall loss expectations is the
Westfield Wheaton loan, which is secured by a 1.6 million-sf
regional mall sponsored by Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and located in
Wheaton, MD. Anchor tenants include JCPenney, Target, Macy's and
Costco. There is also a nine-screen AMC Theater and two
ground-leased outparcels leased to Giant Food and American Freight.
There are five other large retail centers located within a 10-mile
radius, with another competing mall owned by the same sponsor,
Westfield Montgomery, located seven miles away with a similar
inline tenant profile.
The loan transferred to special servicing in March 2025 due to
maturity default. The special servicer is considering a possible
sale of the mall, with the buyer assuming the modified and extended
loan. As of September 2024, the property was 90% occupied and the
YE 2024 NOI DSCR was 2.41x, compared to 84% and 2.21x at YE 2023,
and 96% and 2.47x at YE 2022.
Total mall sales as of TTM September 2023 were $437 psf, which
compares to $389 psf at TTM March 2022, $317 psf at YE 2020, and
$353 psf at YE 2019. Excluding the major anchors and grocer, tenant
sales are approximately $355 psf, compared with $296 psf at TTM
March 2022, $189 psf at YE 2020, and $255 psf at YE 2019.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss expectations (prior to concentration
add-ons) is approximately 42%, which reflects a 15% cap rate to the
Fitch cash flow based off a 20% stress to the YE 2023 NOI.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Mall of New Hampshire loan, which is secured by a regional mall
sponsored by Simon Property Group and located in Manchester, NH.
Sears, a non-collateral anchor, closed in November 2018; a portion
of that space has since been re-leased to Dick's Sporting Goods and
Dave & Buster's. The loan transferred to special servicing in May
2020 due to the pandemic and the special servicer agreed to a
forbearance agreement that deferred payments between May 2020 and
December 2020. The loan was returned to the master servicer in
April 2021 and has remained on the servicer's watchlist due to
ongoing cash management and monitored for the upcoming maturity
date of July 1, 2025.
As of YE 2024, the property was 88% occupied and NOI DSCR was
1.79x, compared to 84% and 1.87x at YE 2023, 83% and 1.96x at YE
2021, and 87% and 2.11x at YE 2019.
Tenant sales for stores less than 10,000 sf excluding Apple as of
July 2024 were $378 psf, which compares to $390 psf at YE 2023, and
$417 psf at YE 2021. Including Apple, tenant sales were
approximately $760psf, compared with $1,535 psf at YE 2023, and
$1,294 psf at YE 2021. As of June 2024, Apple's sales were $80
million. Apple's lease expires in February 2030.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss prior to concentration add on is
approximately 34%, which reflects a cap rate of 15% to the Fitch
net cash flow based off a 10% stress to the YE 2024 NOI. Fitch
increased the probability of default in its analysis to reflect the
increasing maturity default risk given the regional mall property
type. The loan matures in July 2025.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Westfield Trumbull loan, which is secured by a 1.1 million-sf
regional mall located in Trumbull, CT, now called Trumbull Mall. In
January 2023 the mall was sold and the loan assumed by Namdar
Realty Group. Anchor tenants include Target, JCPenney, Macy's and
LA Fitness. Lord and Taylor closed in early 2021 following the
retailer's bankruptcy. Macy's extended its lease through January
2029, from its lease expiration in April 2025. Both Macy's and
Target are anchors at a competing mall located 9.5 miles away.
The occupancy has declined year-over year, reporting at 90.75% as
of December 2024, which is a decrease from 93.7% as of December
2023 and 100% as of December 2022. The reported NOI DSCR has
increased year-over-year to 2.36x as of YE 2023 from 1.69x at YE
2022, 1.56x at YE 2021 and 1.93x at YE 2019. The increased NOI was
due to a large drop in expenses as revenues increased slightly from
YE 2023 to YE 2024. The YE 2023 NOI is 19.3% below the issuers
underwritten NOI.
The loan transferred to special servicing in March 2025 due to
maturity default. The borrower requested a modification and
discussions with the special servicer are continuing.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss prior to concentration add on is
approximately 47%, which reflects a 15% cap rate to the Fitch cash
flow based off a 15% stress to the YE 2021 NOI given the lack of
certainty regarding the stability of the YE 2023 expense decline,
as well as a heightened probability of default as the loan is in
special servicing.
Increased Credit Enhancement: As of the June 2025 distribution
date, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by 51% to $698
million from $1.42 billion at issuance. There are five loans that
are fully defeased comprising 2.9% of the pool. Cumulative interest
shortfalls of $4.4 million are currently impacting Classes D, E,
and F and the non-rated class NR. Realized losses of $23.3 million
are impacting the non-rated class NR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not likely due to
high and increasing CE, and expected pay-off mostly from performing
loans. However, downgrades are possible should a large portion of
loans that Fitch expects to pay off at maturity default and
expected losses increase significantly, and/or interest shortfalls
occur or are expected to occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes are possible with
continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs and more loans
transferring to the special servicer, increased expected losses and
limited to no improvement in CE, or if interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated 'Asf' and 'BBsf', which have Negative
Outlooks, may occur should performance of The Mall of New
Hampshire, Westfield Wheaton, and Westfield Trumbull experience
further performance declines or other larger performing loans
default at or before maturity.
A downgrade to 'CCCsf', 'CCsf', or 'Csf'rated classes would occur
should additional loans transfer to special servicing and/or
default, or as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the classes rated 'Asf' and 'BBsf' may occur with
performance improvements of the FLOCs including The Mall of New
Hampshire, Westfield Wheaton, and Westfield Trumbull coupled with
improving CE and/or defeasance.
Upgrades to classes rated 'CCCsf', 'CCsf' and 'Csf' are unlikely
absent significant performance improvement and substantially higher
recoveries than expected on the FLOCs and specially serviced
loans.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DBWF 2015-LCM: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on 2 Classes
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-LCM
issued by DBWF 2015-LCM Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the underlying mall, which benefits from a
nontraditional anchor and major tenant mix that includes Macy's,
Costco Wholesale, JCPenney, Target, and The Home Depot. The mall is
in a densely populated and well-trafficked area of Los Angeles,
with several other big-box and commercial developments in the
surrounding area. The consistent performance of the collateral mall
is evidenced by occupancy rates, tenant sales, and cash flows that
are in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations since the previous
credit rating action in June 2024.
The collateral for the underlying loan consists of the fee-simple
and leasehold interests in the 2.1 million-square-foot (sf)
Lakewood Center mall in Lakewood, California, located approximately
10 miles north of Long Beach. At issuance, the whole loan of $410.0
million consisted of $240.0 million of senior debt and $170.0
million of junior debt. The subject transaction is backed by $120.0
million of the senior debt and the entirety of the junior debt. The
remaining $120.0 million of senior debt is secured in the
Morningstar DBRS-rated COMM 2015-CCRE24 Mortgage Trust transaction.
The trust loan has an 11-year term and amortizes over a 30-year
schedule, maturing in June 2026. Morningstar DBRS estimates a
negligible refinance gap, which, in combination with the continued
stable performance, suggests minimal maturity risk. As of the May
2025 remittance, the trust debt had amortized by 15.6% with a
current trust balance of $244.9 million. The loan sponsor, Macerich
Company, retains 60.0% ownership of the property following the sale
of a 40.0% minority interest to Singapore's sovereign wealth fund,
Government of Singapore Investment Corporation, in 2015.
As per the December 2024 rent roll, the property was 94.8%
occupied, a marginal decrease from the March 2024 figure of 95.0%
but an improvement over the December 2022 figure of 91.2%. The
largest tenants include Macy's (17.5% of the net rentable area
(NRA), lease expires in June 2030), Costco (8.0% of the NRA, lease
expires in February 2029), JCPenney (7.8% of the NRA, lease expires
in May 2025), and Target (7.7% of the NRA, lease expires in June
2035). Tenant rollover risk is notable, with approximately 20.7% of
the NRA having leases scheduled to expire in the next 12 months,
including JCPenney and Starlight Cinemas (4.4% of the NRA, lease
expires May 2025). Morningstar DBRS has requested an update on
JCPenney and Starlight Cinemas' plans upon their lease expirations
but has not received a response as of this commentary. One of the
larger tenants, Forever 21 (3.9% of the NRA, lease expired in
January 2025), appears to have vacated as part of a countrywide
closure of all their stores following the company's second
bankruptcy filing. As per Reis, the Long Beach/Cerritos/Carson
retail submarket has an average vacancy of 8.2% as of Q1 2025,
supporting strong leasing activity and making it notably easier to
backfill vacant space relative to submarkets with softer
fundamentals.
According to the tenant sales report for the trailing 12-month
(T-12) period ended December 31, 2024, total mall sales were
$435.51 per square foot (psf), an increase from the T-12 period
ended March 31, 2024, figure of $433.01 psf. In-line tenants
reported sales of $552.82 psf compared with $535.04 psf for the
T-12 periods ended December 31, 2024, and March 31, 2024,
respectively. Department stores, however, reported a marginal
decrease with sales of $161.91 psf for the T-12 period ended
December 31, 2024, compared with $165.87 psf for the T-12 period
ended March 31, 2024. Starlight Cinemas reported total sales of
approximately $1.4 million, equating to $86,100 per screen,
compared with $53,100 at YE2023; however, the tenant took occupancy
only toward the end of July 2023.
The YE2024 net cash flow (NCF) was reported at $29.1 million, a
small decrease from the YE2023 NCF of $29.2 million and slightly
above the YE2022 figure of $28.7 million. For those same periods,
the subject reported a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.33
times (x), 1.33x, and 1.31x, respectively.
Morningstar DBRS maintained the analysis from last review, which
includes a Morningstar DBRS Value of $363.0 million based on a
Morningstar DBRS NCF of $28.1 million, derived from a 2.0% haircut
to the YE2022 NCF, and a Morningstar DBRS capitalization rate of
7.75%. The $363.0 million value implies an 88.1% loan-to-value
ratio (LTV) on the $319.8 million remaining whole loan balance.
Morningstar DBRS maintained positive qualitative adjustments
totaling 2.5% to the LTV sizing benchmarks to account for the
ongoing amortization and the desirable location within the Los
Angeles market.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
EFMT 2025-CES3: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to EFMT 2025-CES3.
EFMT 2025-CES3 uses Fitch's new Interactive RMBS Presale feature.
To access the interactive feature, click the link at the top of the
presale report's first page, log into dv01 and explore Fitch's
loan-level loss expectations.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
EFMT 2025-CES3
A-1A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The EFMT 2025-CES3 residential mortgage-backed certificates are
backed by 100% closed-end second lien (CES) loans on residential
properties. This is the fourth transaction to be rated by Fitch
that includes 100% CES loans off the EFMT shelf. The transaction is
scheduled to close on or about June 10, 2025.
The pool consists of 3,268 non-seasoned, performing CES loans with
a current outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $281.03
million. The entire pool is mainly originated by PennyMac Loan
Services, LLC which is considered an 'Acceptable' originator by
Fitch. The pool is serviced by PennyMac Loan Services
(RPS3+/Stable). Nationstar Mortgage LLC (RMS1-/Stable) is the
Master Servicer.
Distributions of interest and principal are based on a sequential
structure, while losses are allocated reverse sequentially,
starting with the most subordinate class.
The servicers will not be advancing delinquent monthly payments of
principal and interest (P&I).
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans. Class A-1A, A-1B,
A-2 and A-3 certificates with respect to any distribution date
prior to the distribution date in June 2029 will have an annual
rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable fixed rate set forth
for such class of certificates or (ii) the net weighted average
coupon (WAC) for such distribution date. On and after June 2029,
the pass-through rate will be a per annum rate equal to the lower
of (i) the sum of (a) the applicable fixed rate set forth in the
table above for such class of certificates and (b) the step-up rate
(1.0%) or (ii) the net WAC rate for the related distribution date.
The pass-through rate on the class M-1, B-1 and B-2 certificates
with respect to any distribution date and the related accrual
period will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the
applicable fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates or
(ii) the net WAC for such distribution date. The pass-through rate
on class B-3 certificates with respect to any distribution date and
the related accrual period will be an annual rate equal to the net
WAC for such distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.3% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.1% on a national level 4Q24, down 0.1% since last
quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices.
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 2.9% YoY nationally as of February 2025 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory).
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
3,268 performing, fixed-rate loans secured by CES on primarily one-
to four-family residential properties (including planned unit
developments [PUDs]) condos, and townhouses totaling $281.03
million. The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit
profiles and relatively low leverage.
The loans are seasoned at an average of 6.5 months, according to
Fitch, and three months, per the transaction documents. The pool
has a weighted average (WA) original FICO score of 739, as
determined by Fitch, indicative of very high credit-quality
borrowers. About 37.8% of the loans, as determined by Fitch, have a
borrower with an original FICO score equal to or above 750. The
original WA combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 69.7%, as
determined by Fitch, translates to a sustainable loan-to-value
ratio (sLTV) of 78.4%.
The transaction documents stated a WA original LTV of 20.2% and a
WA CLTV of 68.3%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equity in
the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
CLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 91.6% were originated by a
retail channel. Based on Fitch's documentation review, it considers
100.0% of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 100.0% of the loans are owner occupied. Single-family
homes, PUDs, townhouses and single-family attached dwellings
constitute 97.6% of the pool; condos make up 2.2%, and multifamily
homes makes up 0.11%. The pool consists of 100.0% cashout
refinances (cashouts) based on Fitch's analysis of the pool and per
the transaction documents). Fitch only considers loans a cashout if
the cashout amount is greater than 2% of the original balance.
None of the loans in the pool have a current balance over $1.0
million.
Of the pool of loans, 16.2% are concentrated in California. The
largest MSA concentration is the Washington/Arlington/Alexandria
MSA (6.1%), followed by the Los Angeles MSA (4.5%) and the Atlanta
MSA (4.3%). The top three MSAs account for 15.0% of the pool. As a
result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was applied for
geographic concentration.
As a majority of the loans are fully documented with high FICOs,
Fitch's prime loan loss model was used for the analysis of this
pool.
Second-Lien Collateral (Negative): The entire collateral pool
consists of CES loans originated by mainly PennyMac Loan Services,
LLC. Fitch assumed no recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on
second lien loans, based on the historical behavior of the loans in
economic stress scenarios. Fitch assumes second lien loans default
at a rate comparable to first lien loans. After controlling for
credit attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I (Mixed):
The proposed structure is a sequential structure in which principal
is distributed, first, to the A-1A and A-1B classes pro rata and
then sequentially to the A-2, A-3, M-1, B-1, B-2 and B-3 classes.
Interest is prioritized in the principal waterfall, and any unpaid
interest amounts are paid prior to principal being paid.
The transaction has monthly excess cash flows that are used to
repay any realized losses incurred and then unpaid cap carryover
interest shortfalls.
A realized loss will occur if, after giving effect to the
allocation of the principal remittance amount and monthly excess
cash flow on any distribution date, the aggregate collateral
balance is less than the aggregate outstanding balance of the
outstanding classes. Realized losses will be allocated reverse
sequentially, with the losses allocated, first, to class B-3 and,
once the A-2 class is written off, class A-1B will take losses
first prior to class A-1A taking losses (class A-1A will only take
losses once A-1B is written off).
The transaction will have subordination and excess spread,
providing credit enhancement (CE) and protection from losses.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature/Best Execution (Positive): With respect
to any mortgage loan that becomes 180 days MBA delinquent, the
servicer will review, and may charge off, such mortgage loan (based
on an equity analysis review performed by the servicer) if such
review indicates no significant recovery is likely in respect of
such mortgage loan.
Fitch views the servicer conducting an equity analysis to determine
the best execution strategy for the liquidation of severely
delinquent loans as a positive, as the servicer and controlling
holder are acting in the best interest of the certificateholders to
limit losses on the transaction. The servicer deciding to write off
the losses at 180 days would compare favorably to a delayed
liquidation scenario, whereby the loss occurs later in the life of
the transaction and less excess is available. In its cash flow
analysis, Fitch assumed the loans would be written off at 180 days,
as this is the most likely scenario in a stressed case when there
is limited equity in the home.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.3%, at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration, with higher MVDs for all rated
classes compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those being
assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on three areas: compliance review,
credit review and valuation review. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis.
The review confirmed strong origination practices, with 100.0% of
the loans reviewed receiving a final grade of "A" or "B". Based on
the results of the due diligence performed on the pool, Fitch
reduced the overall 'AAAsf' expected loss by 0.77%.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
Consolidated Analytics was engaged to perform the review. Loans
reviewed under this engagement were given compliance, credit and
property grades, and assigned initial grades for each subcategory.
Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence
reports. Refer to the Third-Party Due Diligence section for more
detail.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received
loan-level information based on the American Securitization Forum's
(ASF) data layout format, and the data are considered to be
comprehensive. The ASF data tape layout was established with input
from various industry participants, including rating agencies,
issuers, originators, investors and others to produce an industry
standard for the pool-level data in support of the U.S. RMBS
securitization market. The data contained in the ASF layout data
tape were reviewed by the due diligence companies, and no material
discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ELMWOOD CLO 42: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Elmwood CLO 42
Ltd./Elmwood CLO 42 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term
loans. The transaction is managed by Elmwood Asset Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO 42 Ltd./Elmwood CLO 42 LLC
Class A, $217.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $49.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $21.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $21.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $11.20 million: BB- (sf)
Class F (deferrable), $6.30 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $30.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
FLATIRON CLO 23: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1MM Class F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes issued by Flatiron CLO 23 LLC (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$256,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2036 (the "Class A-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$1,000,000 Class F-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2036 (the "Class F-R Notes"), Assigned B3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has/have been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
NYL Investors LLC (the "Manager") will continue to direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Debt and the other
four classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to
transaction features will occur in connection with the refinancing.
These include: changes to certain collateral quality tests and
changes to the overcollateralization test levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3196
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.10%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.5%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.91 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
FORTRESS CREDIT XVIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Fortress
Credit BSL XVIII Limited refinancing notes classes X-R, A-2-R, B-R,
C-1-R, C-2-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Fortress Credit
BSL XVIII Limited
X-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 34965DAE3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-2 34965DAL7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AA+sf New Rating
C 34965DAG8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full A+sf
C-1-R LT A+sf New Rating
C-2-R LT A+sf New Rating
D-1 34965DAJ2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBBsf
D-1-R LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2-A 34965DAN3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB+sf
D-2-B 34965DAQ6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBBsf
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 34965JAA8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB+sf
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Fortress Credit BSL XVIII Limited (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by FC BSL CLO
Manager II LLC that originally closed in March 2023. On June 6,
2025 (refinancing date), classes A-T, A-L, B-1, B-2, C, D-1, D-2-A,
D-2-B, E and F will be refinanced from proceeds of the issuance of
new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 98.4%
first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 74.69%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 2.9-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting to
the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration
limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
KEY PROVISION CHANGES
The refinancing is being implemented via the First Supplemental
Indenture, which amended certain provisions of the transaction. The
changes include but are not limited to:
A reorganization of classes that includes adding X-R and A-2-R
notes, consolidating the B classes into a single B-R class,
splitting the C class into pari passu floating rate C-1-R and fixed
rate C-2-R classes, and changing D notes to sequential D-1-R and
D-2-R classes. The refinancing tightened spreads across the capital
structure.
The non-call period for the refinancing notes will end in June
2026.
The reinvestment period, WAL schedule, and stated maturity of the
refinanced notes will be the same as the original notes.
FITCH ANALYSIS
The portfolio includes 176 assets from 154 primarily high yield
obligors. The portfolio balance, including the amount of principal
cash, is approximately $400 million. As of the latest trustee
report prior to the refinance date the transaction was not passing
its Minimum Floating Spread and Weighted Average Rating tests and
was beyond the 'CCC'/'Caa' concentration limitation. All other
collateral quality tests, coverage tests, and concentration
limitations were passing. The weighted average rating of the
current portfolio is 'B'/'B-'.
Fitch has an explicit rating, credit opinion or private rating for
21.8% of the current portfolio par balance; ratings for 77.6% of
the portfolio were derived using Fitch's IDR equivalency map. The
analysis focused on the Fitch stressed portfolio (FSP), and cash
flow model analysis was conducted for this refinancing.
The FSP included the following concentrations, reflecting the
maximum limitations per the indenture or maintained at the current
level:
- Largest five obligors: 2.5% each, for an aggregate of 12.5%;
- Largest three industries: 15%, 12%, and 12%, respectively;
- Assumed risk horizon: 6.0 years;
- Minimum weighted average spread of 3.5%;
- Fixed rate Assets: 5.0%;
- 'CCC' obligors as defined by Fitch's ratings: 17.0%;
- Minimum weighted average coupon of 7.0%;
- Non-first priority senior secured assets: 7.5%;
The transaction will exit reinvestment period on April 23, 2028.
Current Portfolio
The Fitch Portfolio Credit Model (PCM) default rate output for the
current portfolio of classes X-R and A-2-R at the 'AAAsf' rating
stress was 49.0%. The PCM recovery rate output for the current
portfolio of classes X-R and A-2-R at the 'AAAsf' rating stress was
39.8%. In the analysis of the current portfolio, the classes X-R
and A-2-R notes passed the 'AAAsf' threshold in all nine cash flow
scenarios with minimum cushions of 51.0% and 10.2%, respectively.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class B-R
at the 'AA+sf' rating stress was 48.0%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the current portfolio of class B-R at the 'AA+sf' rating
stress was 49.2%. In the analysis of the current portfolio, the
class B-R notes passed the 'AA+sf' threshold in all nine cash flow
scenarios with a minimum cushion of 10.4%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class
C-1-R/C-2-R at the 'A+sf' rating stress was 42.6%. The PCM recovery
rate output for the current portfolio of class C-1-R/C-2-R at the
'A+sf' rating stress was 59.2%. In the analysis of the current
portfolio, the class C-1-R/C-2-R notes passed the 'A+sf' threshold
in all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 10.6%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class
D-1-R at the 'BBB+sf' rating stress was 35.8%. The PCM recovery
rate output for the current portfolio of class D-1-R at the
'BBB+sf' rating stress was 68.7%. In the analysis of the current
portfolio, the class D-1-R notes passed the 'BBB+sf' threshold in
all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 8.7%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class
D-2-R at the 'BBB-sf' rating stress was 31.8%. The PCM recovery
rate output for the current portfolio of class D-2-R at the
'BBB-sf' rating stress was 68.6%. In the analysis of the current
portfolio, the class D-2-R notes passed the 'BBB-sf' threshold in
all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 8.3%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class E-R
at the 'BB+sf' rating stress was 29.9%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the current portfolio of class E-R at the 'BB+sf' rating
stress was 73.9%. In the analysis of the current portfolio, the
class E-R notes passed the 'BB+sf' threshold in all nine cash flow
scenarios with a minimum cushion of 12.6%.
Fitch Stressed Portfolio (FSP)
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of classes
X-R and A-2-R at the 'AAAsf' rating stress was 54.9%. The PCM
recovery rate output for the stressed portfolio of classes X-R and
A-2-R at the 'AAAsf' rating stress was 37.0%. In the analysis of
the stressed portfolio, the classes X-R and A-2-R notes passed the
'AAAsf' threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with minimum
cushions of 45.1% and 2.3%, respectively.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class B-R
at the 'AA+sf' rating stress was 53.6%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the stressed portfolio of class B-R at the 'AA+sf'
rating stress was 45.7%. In the analysis of the stressed portfolio,
the class B-R notes passed the 'AA+sf' threshold in all nine cash
flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 2.4%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class
C-1-R/C-2-R at the 'A+sf' rating stress was 47.7%. The PCM recovery
rate output for the stressed portfolio of class C-1-R/C-2-R at the
'A+sf' rating stress was 55.3%. In the analysis of the stressed
portfolio, the class C-1-R/C-2-R notes passed the 'A+sf' threshold
in all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 2.4%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class
D-1-R at the 'BBB+sf' rating stress was 41.0%. The PCM recovery
rate output for the stressed portfolio of class D-1-R at the
'BBB+sf' rating stress was 64.6%. In the analysis of the stressed
portfolio, the class D-1-R notes passed the 'BBB+sf' threshold in
all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 0.6%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class
D-2-R at the 'BBB-sf' rating stress was 36.6%. The PCM recovery
rate output for the stressed portfolio of class D-2-R at the
'BBB-sf' rating stress was 64.5%. In the analysis of the stressed
portfolio, the class D-2-R notes passed the 'BBB-sf' threshold in
all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 2.0%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class E-R
at the 'BB+sf' rating stress was 34.4%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the stressed portfolio of class E-R at the 'BB+sf'
rating stress was 69.8%. In the analysis of the stressed portfolio,
the class E-R notes passed the 'BB+sf' threshold in all nine cash
flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 4.8%.
The rating actions reflect that the notes can sustain a robust
level of defaults combined with low recoveries, as well as other
factors, such as the degree of cushion when analyzing the
indicative portfolio and the strong performance in the sensitivity
scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as 'AAAsf' for class X-R, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for
class A-2-R, between 'BBB-sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B-R, between
'BB-sf' and 'A-sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BBB-sf' for class D-1-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-2-R and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class
E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, and 'Asf' for class D-2-R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Fortress Credit BSL
XVIII Limited. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
GALAXY 31: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the replacement class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt from Galaxy 31 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31
CLO LLC, a CLO managed by PineBridge Investments LLC that was
originally issued in March 2023.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt was
issued at a lower spread over three-month SOFR than the original
debt.
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period were extended by
2.25 years, and the non-call period was extended by 2.20 years.
-- The transaction's liabilities increased by $26.93 million, with
target par increasing by $25 million.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Galaxy 31 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31 CLO LLC
Class A-R, $289.750 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $71.250 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $28.500 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $28.500 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $16.625 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Galaxy 31 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31 CLO LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-1 to NR from 'A+ (sf)'
Class C-2 to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Galaxy 31 CLO Ltd./Galaxy 31 CLO LLC
Class A subordinated notes, $40.060 million: NR
Class B subordinated notes, $100,000: NR
NR--Not rated.
GFH 2025-IND: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)s' Rating on Class HRR Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following expected ratings and
Rating Outlooks to GFH 2025-IND Mortgage Trust commercial
pass-through certificates, series 2025-IND:
- $129,100,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $15,200,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $16,300,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $23,000,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $35,300,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,600,000 class F 'Bsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $12,500,000(a) class HRR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) Class HRR represents a non-offered horizontal risk retention
interest totaling approximately 5.0% of the fair value of the
offered certificates.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold a $250 million, three-year, fixed-rate,
interest-only (IO) mortgage loan. The mortgage will be secured by a
first mortgage lien against the borrower's fee simple interests in
a portfolio of seven industrial properties comprising approximately
2.3 million sf located across seven states and seven distinct
markets. The properties were acquired by affiliates of GFH
Financial Group BSC and Scannell Properties between 2022 and 2023
for an estimated cost of approximately $372.6 million.
Mortgage loan proceeds are being used to refinance approximately
$234.3 million of existing debt, pay a total of $6.0 million in
closing costs, and return approximately $9.7 million in equity to
the sponsors.
The loan is being originated by Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc.
who will act as the mortgage loan seller. Berkadia Commercial
Mortgage LLC is expected to serve as the master servicer with
Torchlight Loan Services, LLC as special servicer. Computershare
Trust Company, National Association will act as both the trustee
and certificate administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC will
act as operating advisor. The transaction is scheduled to close on
June 17, 2025.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch's stressed net cash flow (NCF) for the
portfolio is estimated at $16.7 million. This is 7.4% lower than
the issuer's NCF and 8.5% lower than the YE24 NCF. Fitch applied a
7.50% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of $222.3 million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $250.0 million trust loan equates to debt
of $108.89 psf with a Fitch debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of
0.79x, loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 112.3% and debt yield of 6.7%.
The loan represents about 70.8% of the appraiser concluded
portfolio value of $353.0 million and 72.2% of the aggregate as-is
appraised value of the individual properties of $346.5 million. The
Fitch market LTV at 'B-sf' (the lowest Fitch-rated
non-investment-grade tranche) is 93.6%. The Fitch market LTV is
based on a blend of the Fitch cap rate and the market cap rate of
5.25%.
Long-Term Creditworthy Tenancy: Of the portfolio, 100.0% of the net
rentable area (NRA) is leased by tenants considered creditworthy
and tenants with creditworthy parent entities. The two creditworthy
tenants are FedEx Ground (85.9% of NRA) and General Mills (14.1% of
NRA). The weighted average remaining lease term of the portfolio is
11.1 years, with no early termination or contraction options.
Geographic Diversity: The portfolio exhibits geographic diversity
with seven industrial logistics facilities (2.3 million sf) located
across seven states and markets. The three largest MSAs in the
portfolio by ALA are Cedar Rapids, IA (24.8% of ALA), Sioux Falls,
SD (16.6% of ALA), and Columbia, SC (14.6% of ALA). The effective
MSA count for the portfolio is 6.2.
Institutional Sponsorship: The sponsorship for this transaction
will be a joint venture between GFH Financial Group BSC (98.0%
ownership interest) and Scannell Properties (2.0%). GFH Financial
Group BSC is a diversified financial group that was founded in 1999
and is headquartered in Bahrain's Financial Harbor. According to
its 2024 annual report, GFH Financial Group BSC has extensive
experience and a significant portfolio within the commercial real
estate industry, including approximately $6.5 billion worth of
assets across the U.S., the Gulf Cooperation Council, and the U.K.
Scannell Properties is a privately owned real estate development
and investment company, focusing on build-to-suit and speculative
projects throughout the U.S., Canada and Europe. Scannell
Properties developed this portfolio in 2022.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-f'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'CCC+sf'/'CCC-sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The list below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and
re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to the
mortgage loan. Fitch considered this information in its analysis
and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GOODLEAP SUSTAINABLE 2023-2: Fitch Cuts Rating on Cl. C Notes to B-
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded the class B and C notes for the
GoodLeap Sustainable Home Solutions Trust (GoodLeap) 2023-2 and
2023-3 transactions. For GoodLeap 2023-2, the class B notes have
been downgraded to 'Bsf' from 'BBBsf' and the class C notes to
'B-sf' from 'BBsf'. For GoodLeap 2023-3, the class B notes have
been downgraded to 'BBsf' from 'BBBsf' and the class C notes to
'CCCsf' from 'BB-sf'. The Rating Outlooks for these downgraded
notes are Negative, except for the GoodLeap 2023-3 class C notes
with no Rating Outlook. The remaining ratings on 14 classes of six
GoodLeap transactions have been affirmed.
The downgrades of the class B and C notes from the GoodLeap 2023-2
and 2023-3 transactions are primarily driven by their increasing
susceptibility to economic pressures resulting from lower
prepayment rates and rising default levels. Since these
transactions closed, there has been a notable decrease in
overcollateralization and substantial negative excess spread,
exacerbating the financial strain on these subordinated notes.
These economic trends are shown by the class A notes in both deals
which have not yet achieved their target overcollateralization. The
prepayment rates have persistently fallen short of Fitch's initial
projections, particularly in 2023-2, leading to extended note life
cycles and heightened exposure to loss risks.
In addition, the broader economic environment, characterized by
subdued housing activity and anticipated delayed monetary easing,
suggests that prepayments will continue to remain low, impacting
the credit enhancement levels available to safeguard against
defaults. These factors collectively underscore the vulnerabilities
faced by GoodLeap's 2023-2 and 2023-3 class B and C notes,
prompting the downgrades and reflecting Fitch's adjusted assessment
of future performance.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GoodLeap Sustainable
Home Solutions Trust 2024-1
A 38237BAA8 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 38237BAB6 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
C 38237BAC4 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
GoodLeap Sustainable
Home Solutions Trust 2023-2
A 38237AAA0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
B 38237AAB8 LT Bsf Downgrade BBBsf
C 38237AAC6 LT B-sf Downgrade BBsf
GoodLeap Sustainable
Home Solutions Trust 2023-3
A 38237CAA6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 38237CAB4 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
C 38237CAC2 LT CCCsf Downgrade BB-sf
GoodLeap Sustainable
Home Solutions Trust 2021-5
A 38237HAA5 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 38237HAB3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
C 38237HAC1 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
GoodLeap Sustainable
Home Solutions Trust 2022-1
A 38237JAA1 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 38237JAB9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
C 38237JAC7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
GoodLeap Sustainable
Home Solutions Trust Series 2023-4
A 38237YAA8 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 38237YAB6 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
C 38237YAC4 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Transaction Summary
The transactions subject to this review are securitizations of
consumer loans backed by residential solar equipment and a small
portion of home efficiency loans which are originated by GoodLeap
(formerly known as Loanpal), a frequent securitization sponsor and
currently one of the largest specialized solar lenders by
originations in the U.S., which started advancing solar loans in
December 2017 (although the company already existed as a mortgage
lender).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Prepayments Exacerbate Negative Excess Spread: Prepayments in
GoodLeap Solar ABS transactions have been below Fitch's initial
expectations both before and after the re-amortization date (month
18). This is particularly true for 2023-2, which has had the lowest
average prepayment levels when compared with other GoodLeap
transactions rated by Fitch. This transaction also has the lowest
excess spread.
The current weighted average (WA) cost of funds (rebased to stated
principal balance) for GoodLeap transactions ranges from 2.46% to
6.80%, which results in annual excess spread, before accounting for
fees, ranging from -1.41% to 0.62%. Specifically, those with annual
negative excess spread are 2023-2, 2023-3 and 2023-4. While the
loans were purchased at a discount to mitigate negative or low
excess spreads, the lower prepayments extend the life of rated
notes increasing the impact from negative excess spreads, which
erodes credit enhancement (CE) to protect against credit losses.
Fitch anticipates prepayment rates to remain subdued in the short
term as most of the Fitch-rated Goodleap transactions have seasoned
pools that have surpassed their re-amortization date. In addition,
the current low housing activity, driven by high mortgage rates,
contributes to this outlook. The Fitch economic team projects that
the Federal Reserve will likely wait until the fourth quarter of
2025 to cut rates, which in turn reduces the likelihood of a
resurgence in refinancing activity in the U.S.
Apart from GoodLeap 2024-1, most of the loans in the other GoodLeap
transactions exhibit seasoning that exceeds the re-amortization
term. As a result, Fitch has adopted a post re-amortization
assumption in its considerations and lowered the base case CPR
assumptions both on a pre and post re-amortization basis.
Before the re-amortization period, 2021-5 saw its prepayment rate
decrease by 0.6% to 6.1%, while 2022-1 dropped by 0.5% to 6.5%. The
prepayment rate for 2023-2 decreased by 0.6%, reaching 6.4%, and
for 2023-3 it fell by 0.6% to 6.7%. In addition, 2023-4 experienced
a decrease of 0.6% to 6.1%, and 2024-1 saw a reduction of 0.7% to
6.1%. In the post re-amortization segment, which is the more
important one given majority of the underlying loans within these
deals have moved past their re-amortization date, 2021-5's
prepayment rate decreased by 0.8% to 4.3% while 2022-1 fell by 0.7%
to 4.6%. The prepayment rate for 2023-2 decreased by 0.8% to 4.4%,
and for 2023-3 it dropped by 0.8% to 4.8%. Furthermore, 2023-4
experienced a decrease of 0.8% to 4.3% and 2024-1 saw a reduction
of 0.8% to 4.4%. These adjustments reflect Fitch's modifications to
the prepayment assumptions across the various groups.
Lower Prepayments and CE Levels Drive Downgrades for 2023-2 and
2023-3 Classes B and C: The downgrades on the class B and C notes
in 2023-2 and 2023-3 along with the Negative Outlooks reflect their
vulnerability to the effects of lower prepayment rates and the
rising default rates. In addition, the class B and C notes have not
received any principal payments since closing, further increasing
the stress on these subordinate notes.
Currently, the CE levels for the class A notes in GoodLeap 2023-2
and 2023-3 are 39.31% and 41.22%, respectively, of the stated
balance, falling short of their target CE levels of 41.5% and
42.96%, respectively. In addition, the CE levels for the Class B
and C notes have been declining since closing, with current levels
at 34.78% and 30.86% for 2023-2 and 34.3% and 28.17% for 2023-3. In
contrast, other GoodLeap deals have shown improvements, with the CE
levels of all the class A notes improving and sitting at or close
to their target CE levels since closing.
Defaults Higher Than Fitch's Expectations: Default performance has
exceeded Fitch's expectations since its last review, prompting an
increase in the WA base case lifetime default rates across all
GoodLeap deals. Fitch increased cumulative WA default assumptions:
GoodLeap 2021-5 saw its default rate rise by 1.27% to 11.07%,
GoodLeap 2022-1 increased by 2.42% to 12.32%, GoodLeap 2023-2 grew
by 3.30% to 12.40%, GoodLeap 2023-3 rose by 3.20% to 12.10%,
GoodLeap 2023-4 jumped by 3.43% to 13.03%, and GoodLeap 2024-1
climbed by 3.50% to 12.50%.
In addition, adjustments were made to the default multiples Fitch
used to stress performance at higher rating levels. The WA default
multiples at 'Asf' for GoodLeap 2021-5 increased by 0.04x to 2.96x
and for GoodLeap 2022-1 by 0.09x to 2.98x. GoodLeap 2023-2 and
2023-3 decreased 0.04x to 2.97x and 0.07x to 3.03x, respectively.
GoodLeap 2023-4 also decreased by 0.01x to 2.95x and GoodLeap
2024-1 decreased by 0.07x to 2.98x. These updates incorporate
additional FICO-based performance data and Fitch's macroeconomic
outlook.
Amortization Trigger Offers Stronger Structural Protection for
Senior Class: The senior notes benefit from structural protections
guided by target overcollateralization (OC) percentages. In
scenarios where asset performance encounters stress, first, extra
principal payments are allocated to offset any defaulted amounts.
Second, if predefined cumulative loss thresholds are surpassed, the
payment waterfall adjusts to a "turbo" mode, prioritizing
sequential payments to the senior class. This dynamic mechanism
enhances the protection of senior noteholders by rapidly
redirecting cash flows, thereby mitigating risks associated with
deteriorating asset performance and ensuring greater stability in
adverse conditions. Notes initially amortize based on target OC
percentages.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Asset performance worsening or sustained low prepayments without
expectation of future increases may put pressure on the ratings.
Material changes in policy support, the economics of purchasing and
financing photovoltaic panels and batteries, and/or ground-breaking
technological advances that make the existing equipment obsolete
may also affect the ratings negatively.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch currently caps this transaction's ratings in the 'Asf'
category due to limited performance history, while the assigned
'A-sf' rating is further constrained by the level of CE. As a
result, a positive rating action could result from an increase of
CE due to deleveraging, underpinned by low defaults.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GREAT LAKES 2014-1: Moody's Ups Rating on $10.5MM F-R Notes to B1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Great Lakes CLO 2014-1, Ltd.:
US$21,900,000 Class D-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2029 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously
on March 15, 2024 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
US$28,5000,000 Class E-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2029 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously
on October 6, 2020 Confirmed at Ba2 (sf)
US$10,500,000 Class F-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2029 (the "Class F-R Notes"), Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously
on October 6, 2020 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Great Lakes CLO 2014-1, Ltd., originally issued in April 2014 and
refinanced in October 2017, is a managed cashflow SME CLO. The
notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of small and
medium enterprise loans. The transaction's reinvestment period
ended in October 2021.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging of the
senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since April 2024. The Class A-R,
Class B-R, and Class C-R notes have been paid down completely by
98.2 million and the Class D-R notes have been paid down by
approximately 3.1% or $0.7 million since then. Based on Moody's
calculations, the OC ratios for the Class D-R, Class E-R, and Class
F-R notes are currently 367.62%, 156.92%, and 129.34%,
respectively, versus April 2024 levels of 163.91%, 124.90%, and
114.83%, respectively. Nevertheless, the Class F-R notes have
started to defer interest. The trustee reported interest shortfall
as of April 2025 [1] is $0.1 million.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $69,514,267
Defaulted par: $18,411,552
Diversity Score: 15
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 5828
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 5.22%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.53%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 1.43 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
GS MORTGAGE 2019-GC40: Fitch Lowers Rating on 2 Tranches to CCCsf
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 14 classes of GS Mortgage Securities
Trust series 2019-GC38 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates (GSMS 2018-GC38). The Rating Outlooks for four
affirmed classes are Negative.
Fitch has also downgraded 10 and affirmed four classes of GS
Mortgage Securities Trust 2019-GC40 commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2019-GC40 (GSMS 2019-GC40). Fitch
has assigned Negative Rating Outlooks to eight classes following
their downgrades.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMS 2019-GC38
A-3 36252SAU1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36252SAV9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36252SAW7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36252SAZ0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 36252SBA4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 36252SBB2 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 36252SAA5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E-RR 36252SAE7 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 36252SAG2 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
G-RR 36252SAJ6 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
H-RR 36252SAL1 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 36252SAX5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 36252SAY3 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 36252SAC1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
GSMS 2019-GC40
A-3 36257HBN5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 36257HBP0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-AB 36257HBQ8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 36257HBT2 LT A+sf Downgrade AA+sf
B 36257HBU9 LT BBB+sf Downgrade A+sf
C 36257HBV7 LT BB+sf Downgrade BBB+sf
D 36257HAA4 LT B+sf Downgrade BB+sf
E 36257HAE6 LT B-sf Downgrade BB-sf
F 36257HAG1 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
G-RR 36257HAL0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-A 36257HBR6 LT A+sf Downgrade AA+sf
X-B 36257HBS4 LT BB+sf Downgrade BBB+sf
X-D 36257HAC0 LT B-sf Downgrade BB-sf
X-F 36257HAJ5 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
'Bsf' Loss Expectations: The deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss has
increased since Fitch's prior rating action to 5.2% in GSMS
2019-GC38 and 8.4% in GSMS 2019-GC40. The GSMS 2019-GC38
transaction has five Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 14.9% of the
pool), including one loan (5.1%) in special servicing. The GSMS
2019-GC40 transaction has eight FLOCs (43.1%), including one loan
(2.6%) in special servicing.
The affirmations in GSMS 2019-GC38 reflect the generally stable
pool performance and loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating
action. The Negative Rating Outlooks reflect the continued higher
loss expectations from office FLOCs, including 3 Park Avenue (5.1%
of the pool), 5444 & 5430 Westheimer (3.2%), Fairbridge Office
Portfolio (2.1%) and Mission Point Office (1.5%).
The Negative Outlooks also consider a sensitivity scenario where
the office FLOCs 3 Park Avenue, Dublin Office, Fairbridge Office
Portfolio and Mission Point Office were analyzed with an elevated
probability of default. Downgrades are possible without performance
stabilization of these office FLOCs.
The downgrades in GSMS 2019-GC40 reflect higher pool loss
expectations since the prior rating action and continued
performance deterioration on FLOCs such as 250 Livingston (9.9% of
the pool) and 57 East 11th Street loan (2.6%). At the prior rating
action, Fitch was concerned about the anticipated exit of the
largest tenant at the 250 Livingston property. With confirmation of
the tenant's departure, the downgrades reflect higher certainty of
loss on this loan given the increased vacancy.
The Negative Outlooks reflect the high office concentration in the
pool of approximately 48%. The Negative Outlooks also consider a
sensitivity scenario where the office FLOC 250 Livingston was
analyzed with an elevated probability of default, given the
expected departure of the largest tenant in August 2025.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC38 is the 3 Park Avenue loan, which is secured by 641,186-sf
of office space on floors 14 through 41 and 26,260-sf of
multi-level retail space located on Park Avenue and 34th Street in
the Murray Hill office submarket of Manhattan. This FLOC was
flagged for low occupancy and DSCR. The loan transferred to special
servicing in September 2024 for imminent default and the lender is
dual tracking the foreclosure process while discussing borrower's
request for a loan modification.
As of YE 2023, the property occupancy was 51% compared with 54% at
YE 2023, in line with 2022, but remains below 86% at issuance,
largely from the departure of TransPerfect Translations (13.7%) in
2019, Icon Capital Corporation (3.4%) in 2023 and several tenants
that have downsized their spaces. The largest three tenants are
Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (15.2%, through December 2027), P.
Kaufman (6.9%, through December 2030) and Return Path, Inc. (3.5%,
through July 2025).
The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.91x at YE 2023, compared with
0.81x at YE 2022 and significantly below 2.08x based on the
originator's underwritten NOI at issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 24.0% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects an 8.5% cap rate, 10% stress to the September
2024 NOI, and a higher probability of default due to the
performance declines and low DSCR. Fitch also included an
additional sensitivity scenario in its analysis to account for
elevated refinance risk where the loan-level 'Bsf' sensitivity case
loss increases to 32.1% (prior to concentration add-ons); this
scenario contributed to the Negative Outlooks.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC38 is the 5444 & 5430 Westheimer loan, which is secured by a
404,762-sf suburban office building located in Houston, TX. Per the
March 2025 rent roll, occupancy was 43.2%, compared to 58% at YE
2023 and 78% at YE 2022.
The March 2025 rent roll shows a new lease for Westlake Chemical
(29.7% of the NRA) with no specified lease term. According to
CoStar, Westlake's lease started in April 2025, increasing in-place
occupancy to approximately 72.9%. Near-term lease rollover includes
13.8% in 2025 and 9.6% in 2026. The Galleria/Uptown office
submarket remains challenged, exhibiting a high vacancy rate of
34.3%, as reported by CoStar for 2Q25.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 23.1% reflects a cap rate of 10.25% and no additional stress to
the YE 2024 NOI to account for the increase in occupancy.
The fourth largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC38 is the Fairbridge Office Portfolio loan, which is secured
by a two-property office portfolio located in Illinois, totaling
385,525-sf. Performance of the portfolio continues to be depressed
with YE 2024 occupancy and NOI DSCR of 59% and 1.02x, relatively
unchanged from 59% and 1.01x at YE 2023. Major tenants at the
property include Sargent & Lundy (8.5% of the NRA through December
2033) and Lewis University (7.3%; May 2029). As of the May 2025
remittance, the loan remains current.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 23.6% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a cap rate of 10.5% and a 10% stress to the
YE 2024 NOI and factors a higher probability of default given the
deteriorating performance and weakness of the submarket. Fitch also
included an additional sensitivity scenario in its analysis to
account for elevated refinance risk where the loan-level 'Bsf'
sensitivity case loss increases to 31.5% (prior to concentration
add-ons); this scenario contributed to the Negative Outlooks.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC40 is the 250 Livingston loan, secured by a 370,305-sf
office property located in Brooklyn, NY that was built in 1910 and
renovated in 2013. The largest tenant, The City of New York (92.5%
of NRA), has exercised a termination option to end its lease in
August 2025, five years ahead of expiration in August 2030.
The loan was structured with a springing cash flow sweep if the
City of New York vacates, terminates, goes dark, goes bankrupt, or
fails to renews 18-months prior to lease expiration or its
termination option. Per the May 2025 reporting, there is
approximately $1.7 million in reserves. Fitch has requested
additional information from the servicer regarding the termination
fee along with potential leasing updates.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 23.4% factors a higher probability of default to account for the
largest tenant's expected departure coupled with weakening
submarket conditions with CoStar reporting a vacancy rate of 17.9%
for the Downtown Brooklyn office submarket as of 2Q25. Fitch also
included an additional sensitivity scenario in its analysis to
account for elevated refinance risk where the loan-level 'Bsf'
sensitivity case loss increases to 31.2% (prior to concentration
add-ons); this scenario contributed to the Negative Outlooks.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations in GSMS
2019-GC40 is the 57 East 11th Street loan, which is secured by a
64,460-sf office building located in the Greenwich Village
neighborhood of New York City. The property was formerly 100%
occupied by WeWork. The servicer noted that WeWork stopped paying
rent in October 2023 and is no longer operating at the subject
after rejecting the lease during bankruptcy proceedings.
The loan transferred to special servicing in February 2024 due to
payment default. As of the May 2025 reporting, the property remains
vacant. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration
adjustments) of 70% reflects the most recent appraisal value, which
is approximately $275 psf.
The largest increase in overall loss expectations since the prior
rating action in GSMS 2019-GC40 is the MGBW Portfolio loan, which
is secured by portfolio of a four-building industrial portfolio
totaling 910k-sf, in different cities of North Carolina, all
approximately an hour away from the Charlotte MSA. At issuance, the
portfolio was 100% occupied by The Mitchell Gold Co., a
manufacturer, retailer, and wholesaler of home furnishings.
In September 2023, the sole tenant filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy
and rejected its 4 leases in November 2023. The judge then
converted the Chapter 11 to Chapter 7, and Surya, a home
furnishings brand, acquired Mitchell Gold Co.'s intellectual
property, the brand's inventory, and all of its manufacturing
equipment.
The property remains fully occupied, but the rental rate for Surya
(100% of the NRA through March 2026) is $2.72 per square foot (on a
triple net lease), significantly below the market rate of $9.83 psf
as reported by CoStar for the second quarter of 2025. Due to the
decline in rental revenue, the servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.93x
as of 3Q 24, compared to 2.29x at 3Q24, 2.31x at YE 2022, and 2.27x
at YE 2021.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 10.2% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a cap rate of 9% and a 7.5% stress to the
annualized 3Q23 NOI.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2025 distribution
date, the aggregate balance for GSMS 2019-GC38 has been reduced by
12.1% to $665.2 million from $756.4 million at issuance. Three
loans (3.0% of pool) have been defeased. There are 18 loans (72%)
that are full-term, interest-only and the remaining 28% of the pool
is amortizing.
As of the May 2025 distribution date, the aggregate balance for
GSMS 2019-GC40 has been paid down by 27.1% to $755.2 million from
$1.0 billion at issuance. There are 21 loans (72% of the pool) that
are full-term interest-only and the remaining 28% of the pool is
amortizing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to 'AAAsf' classes are not likely due to their position
in the capital structure and expected continued amortization and
loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level losses increase
significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes are
possible with continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs,
increased expected losses and limited to no improvement in class
CE, or if interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf' category could occur if
deal-level losses increase significantly from outsized losses on
the office FLOCs, particularly 3 Park Avenue, 5444 & 5430
Westheimer, Fairbridge Office Portfolio and Mission Point Office in
GSMS 2019-GC38 and 250 Livingston and 57 East 11th Street in GSMS
2019-GC40, or more loans than expected experience performance
deterioration and/or default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated category are likely with
higher than expected losses from continued underperformance of the
FLOCs, particularly the office loans with deteriorating performance
and/or with greater certainty of losses on other FLOCs.
A downgrade to the 'CCCsf' and 'CCsf' rated class would occur with
a greater certainty of losses and/or as losses are realized.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and improved performance of the FLOCs, including 3
Park Avenue, 5444 & 5430 Westheimer, Fairbridge Office Portfolio
and Mission Point Office in GSMS 2019-GC38 and 250 Livingston and
57 East 11th Street in GSMS 2019-GC40.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf', 'Bsf' and distressed rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
FLOCs are better than expected and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GS MORTGAGE 2021-IP: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2021-IP
issued by GS Mortgage Securities Corporation Trust 2021-IP as
follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the stable performance of
the underlying collateral, which remains in line with Morningstar
DBRS' expectations given the strong tenant mix, prime market
location, and experienced sponsorship.
The interest-only floating-rate loan is secured by the borrower's
fee-simple and leasehold interest in the non-department store
component of International Plaza, a 1.2 million square foot (sf)
Class A super-regional mall, of which approximately 740,000 sf
serve as collateral for the loan. The property is four miles west
of downtown Tampa and is anchored by noncollateral tenants Neiman
Marcus, Nordstrom, and Dillard's, all of which remain open as of
this press release. The subject features two additional anchor
boxes on the first and second floors: the first-floor space serves
as collateral and was formerly occupied by Lifetime Athletic,
discussed further below. The second floor was divided up, and about
20,000 sf was formerly occupied by Ballard Designs, but the
remaining 50,000 sf space has been vacant for more than 10 years
and is currently used as storage space.
The loan was added to the servicer's watchlist in April 2025 ahead
of its upcoming October 2025 maturity date. The loan is structured
with three one-year extension options for a fully extended maturity
date of October 2026. Per the most recent servicer commentary, the
borrower has not yet indicated if it will exercise its final
extension option. To use its extension option, the borrower is
required to enter into an interest rate cap agreement with a strike
rate equal to 4.0% during each of the three extension periods.
Goldman Sachs Bank USA originated the mortgage loan to Tampa
Westshore Associates Limited Partnership, which is indirectly owned
and controlled by the Taubman Realty Group LLC; Simon Property
Group, L.P.; Nuveen; and the Teachers Insurance and Annuity
Association of America-College Retirement Equities Fund.
According to the most recent rent roll available on file from May
2024, the collateral was 80.8% occupied, a decline from the YE2023
rate of 88.6% and YE2022 rate of 96.6%. The decline in 2024 was
primarily attributable to the departure of Lifetime Athletic (7.6%
of the net rentable area (NRA)), Ballard Designs (2.7% of the NRA),
and Forever 21 (4.7% of the NRA). According to the subject's online
directory and various news articles, the former Lifetime Athletic
space appears to have been backfilled by Dick's House of Sport. An
updated rent roll showing lease terms was not provided as of this
press release; however, the YE2024 financials do note an occupancy
rate of 95.2%. According to the May 2024 rent roll, the largest
collateral tenants include Restoration Hardware (5.9% of the NRA,
lease expiry in January 2031); Crate & Barrel (4.5% of the NRA,
lease expiry in January 2029), and H&M (2.9% of the NRA, lease
expired in January 2024). Morningstar DBRS has inquired about the
status of the H&M lease as the tenant shows as open on the
property's online directory. Outside of the largest collateral
tenants, the property features a strong tenant mix with a number of
upscale retailers, including Tiffany & Co., Burberry, Saint
Laurent, Gucci, and others. Near-term rollover risk is heightened
with leases representing approximately 10.0% of the NRA scheduled
to roll by May 2026.
An updated tenant sales report was not provided. However, according
to the most recent file on hand dated YE2022, when excluding Apple,
Tesla, and Louis Vuitton, in-line sales totaled $984 per square
foot (psf) compared with the YE2021 figure of $833 psf. According
to the most recent financials, the loan reported a YE2024 net cash
flow (NCF) of $55.8 million (debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of
1.58 times (x)), compared to the YE2023 and YE2022 figures of $47.6
million (DSCR of 1.41x) and $51.2 million (3.06x), respectively.
The significant fluctuations in DSCR from YE2022 to YE2024 are
primarily attributable to the floating-rate nature of the loan with
current debt service payments more than double those in YE2022;
however, this is generally mitigated by the interest rate cap
agreement required with each extension option.
Morningstar DBRS maintained its issuance analysis with this review,
which includes a Morningstar DBRS value of $549.6 million, based on
a capitalization rate of 7.0% and a Morningstar DBRS NCF of $38.4
million. This results in a loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 86.8%,
compared with the LTV of 48.9% based on the issuance-appraised
value of $976 million. Positive qualitative adjustments totaling
5.5% were maintained to account for the generally stable historical
occupancy and tenant sales, the strong property quality with its
appeal to upper-moderate price point consumers, and market
fundamentals for the subject's location, which caters to
international and domestic tourism demand.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HARVEST COMMERCIAL 2024-1: DBRS Confirms B Rating on M5 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on the following classes of
notes issued by Harvest Commercial Capital Loan Trust 2024-1.
-- Class A AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class M-1 A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class M-2 A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class M-3 BBB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class M-4 BB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class M-5 B (sf) Confirmed
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The transactions' performance, which is within Morningstar
DBRS' expectations.
-- Transaction capital structure, including the credit enhancement
provided through subordination and excess spread. The notes also
benefit from a reserve account that may be used to fund shortfalls
in the interest payment amount ("current interest") and to create
and maintain a required level of parity between the principal
balance of the Rated Notes and the principal balance of the
collateral pool.
-- Capabilities, experience and track record of the transaction
parties with respect to originating, underwriting, and servicing of
first-lien, SBA 504 and conventional commercial real estate loans.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (April 10, 2025).
HOMES 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns B (sf) Rating on Class B-2 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to HOMES 2025-NQM3 Trust's
series 2025-NQM3 mortgage pass-through certificates.
The certificate issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by
first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing
residential mortgage loans, including some loans with interest-only
features, secured by single-family residences, townhouses,
planned-unit developments, condominiums, cooperatives, condotels,
two- to four-family homes, and manufactured housing properties to
both prime and nonprime borrowers. The pool has 1,052 loans, which
are qualified mortgage (QM) safe harbor, QM rebuttable presumption,
ability-to-repay-exempt (ATR-exempt) loans, and
non-QM/ATR-compliant loans.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and mortgage originators; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Ratings Assigned(i)
HOMES 2025-NQM3 Trust
Class A-1, $373,204,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1A, $322,255,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $50,949,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $31,589,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $51,204,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $19,870,000: BBB (sf)
Class B-1, $14,521,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $11,973,000: B (sf)
Class B-3, $7,133,386: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class X, notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A(iii): NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount equals the loans' aggregate stated
principal balance.
(iii)This class will receive certain excess amounts including
prepayment premium and default interest and will not be entitled to
payments of principal.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
HOOK PARK CLO: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Hook Park CLO, Ltd. (the Issuer or Hook Park):
US$307,500,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2038, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Hook Park is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 96.0% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 4.0% of the portfolio may
consist of second lien loans, first lien last out loans, unsecured
loans and senior secured bonds. The portfolio is approximately 80%
ramped as of the closing date.
Blackstone CLO Management LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued eight other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 60
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3004
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.00%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
HOOK PARK: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on E Notes, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Hook Park
CLO, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Hook Park CLO,
Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB+sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-3 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Hook Park CLO, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Blackstone CLO Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
Fitch deviated from the model-implied rating (MIR) for classes B-1
and B-2. The MIR for both classes is 'AA+sf', and Fitch assigned
'AAsf' ratings to these classes. Since the expected ratings were
assigned, there have not been any material changes to the portfolio
nor the senior part of the capital structure and there is limited
default cushion at the MIR.
Fitch also assigned a different rating than the expected rating for
class D-1, driven by the credit enhancement increase from 12% to
13.5%. The prior expected rating was 'BBB-(EXP)sf', and the current
rating is 'BBB+sf'. Additionally, the class D-3 notes were not
assigned an expected rating and are now rated 'BBB-sf'.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.25% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 73.53%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-3 and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A+sf' for class D-2, and 'Asf' for class D-3 and
'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Hook Park CLO,
Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
HPS PRIVATE 2025-3: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to HPS Private
Credit CLO 2025-3 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by middle market speculative-grade
(rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans. The transaction
is managed by HPS Investment Partners LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 5,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
HPS Private Credit CLO 2025-3 LLC
Class A-1, $207.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1 loans(i), $25.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $10.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $32.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $24.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $49.60 million: NR
(i)All or a portion of outstanding principal amount of the class
A-1 loans may be converted into class A-1 notes.
NR--Not rated.
JOURNEY PERSONAL: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Orion CLO
2025-5 Ltd./Orion CLO 2025-5 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term
loans. The transaction is managed by Antares Liquid Credit
Strategies LLC, an affiliate of Antares Capital Advisers LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 6,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Orion CLO 2025-5 Ltd./Orion CLO 2025-5 LLC
Class A, $254.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $50.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $22.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41.35 million: NR
JP MORGAN 2018-ASH8: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on six classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2018-ASH8
issued by J.P. Morgan Chase Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust
2018-ASH8 as follows:
-- Class A to AA (sf) from AAA (sf)
-- Class B to A (sf) from AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C to BBB (sf) from A (sf)
-- Class D to B (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class E to CCC (sf) from B (sf)
-- Class X-EXT to B (high) (sf) from BBB (high) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class F at CCC (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trend on Class B to Negative from
Stable. Class F doesn't carry a trend, and Class E no longer has a
trend given the class now has a rating that does not typically
carry a trend in Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS)
ratings. The trend on all remaining classes is Stable.
The credit rating downgrades reflect the deterioration in
collateral performance as net cash flow (NCF) across the portfolio
continues to decline. In its current credit analysis, Morningstar
DBRS updated its loan-to-value ratio (LTV) sizing benchmarks as a
result of the sustained declines in NCF, supporting the credit
rating downgrades.
In 2020, when Morningstar DBRS originally assigned the credit
ratings, it noted the NCF declines were initially believed to be
partially related to the COVID-19 pandemic-related demand
fluctuations, with the possibility that performance could improve
over time. Since YE2022, however, there have been sustained
year-over-year cash flow declines with the most recent servicer
reported NCF figure of $19.0 million as of YE2024. In comparison,
the YE2023 and YE2022 NCF figures were $24.5 million and $25.1
million, respectively. As a result, the YE2024 debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) declined to 0.65 times (x). The loan
transferred to special servicing in March 2025 because of imminent
monetary default with loan modification discussions currently
ongoing between the borrower and servicer. The Negative trends
assigned to Classes B, C, and D reflect the increased risk that
performance may continue to deteriorate if the loan term is
extended further, and Morningstar DBRS may stress the value
further.
The $395.0 million mortgage loan is secured by the fee and
leasehold interests in a portfolio of eight full-service hotels
totaling 1,964 rooms across six states. There have been no property
releases to date. The portfolio is primarily concentrated in
California consisting of two hotels, Embassy Suites Santa Clara
(257 rooms) and Hilton Orange County Costa Mesa (486 rooms),
accounting for 33.7% of the allocated loan amount (ALA). There are
also two properties in Florida: Embassy Suites Orlando Airport (174
rooms) and Key West Crowne Plaza La Concha (160 rooms), accounting
for 22.24% of the ALA. The remaining hotels are spread across
Oregon (276 rooms), Virginia (267 rooms), Minnesota (220 rooms),
and Maryland (124 rooms).
A loan modification agreement was executed in April 2024, extending
the maturity date to February 2025 with an additional one-year
extension option subject to a minimum 8.0% debt yield. To execute
the extension, the borrower paid the loan down by $10 million with
an additional $10 million paid in October 2024. In February 2025,
the borrower made known its intent to exercise the second, one-year
extension option to extend loan maturity to February 2026; however,
collateral performance did not meet the debt yield test. The
servicer provided a one-month waiver to allow the borrower to make
an additional loan curtailment to meet the test; however, the loan
transferred to special servicing after the borrower did not pay
down the loan for the required amount. Based on the YE2024 net
operating income of $24.5 million, the borrower would have been
required to pay the outstanding loan balance of $325.0 million down
by approximately $19.2 million to meet the 8.0% debt yield test. As
of May 2025 reporting, the loan is current on debt service payments
with $2.3 million held across all reserve accounts.
Portfolio NCF decreased 22.4% between YE2024 and YE2023 driven by
an increase in operating expenses with General and Administrative,
Repairs and Maintenance, and Insurance cumulatively accounting for
a year-over-year (YOY) increase of $3.9 million. Operating costs
across the portfolio also rose significantly YOY, up $3.3 million.
The portfolio's consolidated occupancy rate of 68.0% at YE2024 was
consistent with the YE2023 figure of 69.4%. The reported YE2024
consolidated portfolio revenue per available room (RevPAR) of
$134.52 also remained consistent with the YE2023 figure of RevPAR
of $132.47 and the $133.49 figured concluded to by Morningstar DBRS
in 2020.
At the previous credit rating action in July 2024, Morningstar DBRS
downgraded its credit ratings on Classes E and F and changed the
trends on Classes C, D, E, and X-EXT to Negative from Stable to
reflect the increased credit risk as exhibited in the downward
pressure in the LTV sizing benchmarks following updates to the
analysis. This included an updated Morningstar DBRS NCF of $259.9
million based on a haircut to the YE2023 figure. In its analysis
for this review, Morningstar DBRS updated its LTV Sizing Benchmark,
resulting in a collateral value of $201.7 million based on
Morningstar DBRS' NCF of $18.6 million, derived from a 2.0% haircut
to the YE2024 NCF and a capitalization rate of 9.2%. The
Morningstar DBRS value reflects an LTV of 161.1%. Morningstar DBRS
also maintained positive qualitative adjustments to the LTV sizing
benchmarks totaling 1.00% to reflect positive market fundamentals
for select properties in the portfolio.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2025-4: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B5 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-4 (the Certificates) issued
by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-4:
-- $328.5 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $328.5 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $328.5 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $246.3 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $246.3 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $246.3 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $82.1 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $82.1 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $82.1 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $197.1 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $197.1 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $197.1 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $131.4 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $131.4 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $131.4 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $49.3 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $49.3 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $49.3 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $36.9 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $36.9 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $36.9 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $365.4 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $6.2 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.2 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.2 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $3.3 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $1.9 million Class B-4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $772.8 thousand Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-X-1,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, B-1, and B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These
classes can be exchanged for combinations of depositable
certificates as specified in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, and A-8-A are super-senior certificates. These classes benefit
from additional protection from the senior support certificate
(Class A-9-A) with respect to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 5.45% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B
(low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 3.50%, 1.90%, 1.05%, 0.55%, and
0.35% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages to be funded by the issuance
of the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 312 loans with
a total principal balance of $386,425,361 as of the Cut-Off Date
(May 1, 2025).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of 30 years and a weighted-average loan
age of three months. Approximately 85.1% of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. The remaining
14.9% of the loans are conforming mortgage loans that were
underwritten using an automated underwriting system designated by
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for purchase by such
agencies. Details on the underwriting of conforming loans can be
found in the Key Probability of Default Drivers section in the
related presale report. In addition, all of the loans in the pool
were originated in accordance with the new general Qualified
Mortgage rule.
United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) and PennyMac Loan Services,
LLC (PennyMac) originated 36.5% and 19.1% of the pool,
respectively. Various other originators, each comprising less than
10%, originated the remainder of the loans. The mortgage loans will
be serviced by Cenlar FSB (Cenlar) (35.8%), NewRez LLC d/b/a
Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (31.9%), and PennyMac (19.1%). For
the UWM-serviced loans, Cenlar will act as the subservicer. For the
loans serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. (JPMCB; rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS), Shellpoint will act as interim
servicer until the loans transfer to JPMCB on the servicing
transfer date (September 1, 2025).
For certain servicers in this transaction, the servicing fee
payable for mortgage loans is composed of three separate
components: the base servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee,
and the additional servicing fee. These fees vary based on the
delinquency status of the related loan and will be paid from
interest collections before distribution to the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC will act as the Master Servicer. Citibank,
N.A. (Citibank; rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by Morningstar
DBRS) will act as Securities Administrator and Delaware Trustee.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB (high) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties
Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2025-NQM2: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B2 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the J.P.
Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-NQM2 (JPMMT 2025-NQM2 or the Trust) as
follows:
-- $253.5 million Class A-1A at AAA (sf)
-- $43.1 million Class A-1B at AAA (sf)
-- $296.6 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $36.4 million Class A-2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $43.3 million Class A-3 at A (high) (sf)
-- $19.6 million Class M-1A at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $9.9 million Class M-1B at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B-1 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class B-2 at B (low) (sf)
Class A-1 is an exchangeable certificate while the Class A-1A and
A-1B are the depositible certificates. These classes can be
exchanged in combinations as specified in the offering documents.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 31.15% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated Certificates. The AA
(high) (sf), A (high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB
(low) (sf), and B (low) credit ratings reflect 22.70%, 12.65%,
8.10%, 5.80%, 2.85%, and 0.80% of credit enhancement,
respectively.
The transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed- and
adjustable-rate prime and non-prime first-lien residential
mortgages funded by the issuance of the Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2025-NQM2. The Certificates are backed by 993
loans with a total principal balance of approximately $430,783,150
as of the Cut-Off Date (May 1, 2025).
The pool is, on average, three months seasoned with loan ages
ranging from one to 12 months. The Mortgage Loan Seller acquired
approximately 36.6% and 20.5% of the Mortgage Loans, by aggregate
Stated Principal Balance as of the Cut-off Date, from United
Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) and Maxex Clearing, LLC,
respectively. All the other originators individually comprised less
than 15% of the overall mortgage loans.
NewRez LLC, formerly known as New Penn Financial, LLC, doing
business as (dba) Shellpoint will service approximately 87.5% of
the loans and Selene Finance LP will service 12.5% of the loans.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB (high) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Master Servicer, Custodian,
and Securities Administrator. Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB
will act as Owner Trustee.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 100.0% of the loans in the pool are
contractually current according to the Mortgage Bankers Association
(MBA) delinquency calculation method.
In accordance with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
Qualified Mortgage (QM) rules, 52.2% of the loans by balance are
designated as non-QM. Approximately 43.6% of the loans in the pool
were made to investors for business purposes and are exempt from
the CFPB Ability-to-Repay (ATR) and QM rules. Approximately 3.2% of
the pool are designated as QM Safe Harbor, and 0.9% are QM
Rebuttable Presumption (by unpaid principal balance (UPB)).
Servicers will generally advance delinquent principal and interest
on the mortgage loans for four months. Each servicer is obligated
to make advances in respect of taxes and insurance, the cost of
preservation, restoration, and protection of mortgaged properties
and any enforcement or judicial proceedings, including foreclosures
and reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing of properties until otherwise deemed
unrecoverable.
The EU/UK Retention Holder will retain at least 5.0% of the
aggregate fair value of the Certificates (other than the Class A-R
Certificates) consisting of a portion of the Class B-2, Class B-3,
and Class XS Certificates to satisfy the credit risk-retention
requirements under Section 15G of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934 and the regulations promulgated thereunder.
On any date following the date on which the aggregate UPB of the
mortgage loans is less than or equal to 10% of the Cut-Off Date
balance, the Optional Clean-Up Call Holder will have the option to
terminate the transaction by directing the master servicer to
purchase all of the mortgage loans and any real estate owned (REO)
property from the Issuer at a price equal to the sum of the
aggregate UPB of the mortgage loans (other than any REO property)
plus accrued interest thereon, the lesser of the fair market value
of any REO property and the stated principal balance of the related
loan, and any outstanding and unreimbursed servicing advances,
accrued and unpaid fees, any non-interest-bearing deferred amounts,
and expenses that are payable or reimbursable to the transaction
parties.
The holder of the Trust Certificates may, at its option, on or
after the earlier of (1) the payment date in May 2028 or (2) the
date on which the balance of mortgage loans and REO properties
falls to or below 30% of the loan balance as of the Cut-Off Date
(Optional Redemption Date), redeem the Certificates at the optional
termination price described in the transaction documents.
Master Servicer on behalf of the Issuer may require the Seller to
repurchase loans that become delinquent in the first three monthly
payments following the date of acquisition. Such loans will be
repurchased at the related repurchase price.
The transaction's cash flow structure is generally similar to that
of other non-QM securitizations. The transaction employs a
sequential-pay cash flow structure with a pro rata principal
distribution among the senior tranches subject to certain
performance triggers related to cumulative losses or delinquencies
exceeding a specified threshold (Credit Event). In the case of a
Credit Event, principal proceeds will be allocated to cover
interest shortfalls on the Class A-1A then A-1B followed by a
reduction of the Class A-1A then A-1B certificate balances, before
an allocation of interest then principal to the Class A-2 (IPIP)
followed by a similar allocation of funds to the other classes. For
the Class A-3 Certificates (only after a Credit Event) and for the
mezzanine and subordinate classes of Certificates (both before and
after a Credit Event), principal proceeds will be available to
cover interest shortfalls only after the more senior Certificates
have been paid off in full. Also, the excess spread can be used to
cover realized losses first before being allocated to unpaid Cap
Carryover Amounts due to Class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, A-3, M-1A, and M-1B
(and B-1 if issued with fixed rate).
Of note, the Class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, and A-3 Certificates coupon
rates step up by 100 basis points on and after the payment date in
June 2029. Interest and principal otherwise payable to the Class
B-3 Certificates as accrued and unpaid interest may be used to pay
the Class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, and A-3 Certificates Cap Carryover
Amounts after the Class A coupons step up.
Natural Disasters/Wildfires
The mortgage pool contains loans secured by mortgage properties
that are located within certain disaster areas (such as those
affected by the Greater Los Angeles wildfires). The Sponsor of the
transaction has informed Morningstar DBRS that the servicer has
ordered (and intends to order) property damage inspections (PDI)
for any property located in a known disaster zone prior to the
transactions closing date. Loans secured by properties known to be
materially damaged will not be included in the final transaction
collateral pool. To the extent that a PDI was ordered prior to
closing, but notice of material damages were not available until
after closing, the sponsor will repurchase the related loan/loans
within 90 days of notification.
The transaction documents also include representations and
warranties regarding the property conditions, which state that the
properties have not suffered damage that would have a material and
adverse impact on the values of the properties (including events
such as fire, windstorm, flood, earth movement, and hurricane).
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
KSL 2025-MAK: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class G Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2025-MAK (the Certificates) issued by KSL Trust 2025-MAK:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at A (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The KSL Trust 2025-MAK transaction is collateralized by the
borrower's fee-simple interest (and leasehold with respect to
certain parcels) in one independent full-service hospitality
property and one limited-service hospitality property with a
combined 472 keys on Mackinac Island, Michigan. The transaction
includes three ground leases with Mackinac Island government
agencies for Grand Hotel's golf course through 2044, a borough lot
through 2099, and Fort Mackinac Tea Room through 2027. Representing
388 keys of the total 472 keys in the portfolio is Grand Hotel,
which is a AAA Four Diamond rated hotel of historical significance
as a premier summer destination. Built in 1887 and recognized as a
National Historic Landmark, the hotel has been preserved and
continues to feature old-world hospitality and charm. Grand Hotel
features a wide array of amenities including 15 food and beverage
(F&B) outlets, an 18-hole golf course, a fitness center, an outdoor
pool, a full-service shop, and retail outlets. The other hotel in
the portfolio, representing 84 keys, is Bicycle Street Inn & Suites
(Bicycle Inn), which is a limited-service, relatively new hotel off
Main Street on Mackinac Island providing excellent accessibility to
the ferry terminals; Mackinac Island is accessible only by ferry
from St. Ignace and Mackinaw City, Michigan. Mackinac Island is an
iconic tourist destination, particularly for the Midwest, which
attracts approximately 1 million visitors per year. Mackinac Island
provides a unique old-world charm that prohibits motor vehicles,
and 80.0% of the island is a state park with extremely high
barriers to entry. USA Today rated Mackinac Island as the best
summer travel destination in 2023 and 2024, and PeopleForBikes
ranked Mackinac Island number one for bicycling in the U.S. also in
2024.
The transaction sponsor is KSL Capital Partners (KSL). KSL is a
private equity firm that primarily invests in luxury hotels and
resorts. Since inception, KSL has raised more than $25.0 billion
and has invested in more than 185 travel and leisure businesses.
Both hotels are managed by Davidson Hospitality Group, which is a
highly experienced full-service hospitality management company.
Prior to the acquisition, the hotels were family-owned. Morningstar
DBRS learned on the site tour that, upon acquisition in 2019 for
Grand Hotel and 2021 for Bicycle Inn, the sponsor began active
revenue management and a dynamic pricing model to set room rates
and increase F&B and other revenue spending.
Since acquisition, KSL has invested $106.6 million ($225,795 per
key) into the portfolio including $12.8 million invested in early
2025. In line with other hotels on the island, the hotels in this
portfolio are seasonal, operating from early May until the end of
October each year. The seasonal nature of the hotels allows for
capital expenditure (capex) work to take place during the
offseason, resulting in minimal disruption to guests' experience.
The scope of this investment has been wide ranging from updating
all restrooms at Grand Hotel to creating new amenities such as
Woodlands Recreation Center and new F&B outlets such as Mackinac
Island Pizza Company. The renovation also included the expansion
and restoration of the retail corridor and swimming pool. In 2025,
approximately $4.0 million was spent on cosmetic improvements and
upkeep for Grand Hotel's iconic facade, and an additional $8.8
million is being spent on F&B and retail outlets to grow ancillary
income. While the property has seasonal operations, the loan is
structured with ongoing monthly deposits of approximately $4.0
million from May to October. On or prior to the first loan payment
date, the sponsor will be required to pay a one-time $8.0 million
into the seasonal working capital reserve account.
As a result of capex investment and dynamic pricing, the portfolio
generated a YE2024 revenue per available room (RevPAR) of $445.06
on a seasonal basis, and $215.82 on an annual basis, which
represents a 12.8% increase since 2022. On the back of an
impressive 9.6% increase in occupancy, the hotel portfolio's
average daily rate (ADR) increased by 1.2% in the same period.
Specifically, Grand Hotel's RevPAR experienced an enormous increase
of 58.2% from 2019 to 2024, driven by an increase in ADR. From 2022
to 2024, Grand Hotel's RevPAR increased by 10.5%. On an annual
basis, the hotel's RevPAR increased by 25.2% from 2019 and by 9.2%
from 2022. Per management, the Grand Hotel already had
approximately 40,000 rooms booked for the 2025 season.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Certificates addresses the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
LENDMARK FUNDING 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the classes
of notes issued by Lendmark Funding Trust 2025-1 (Lendmark 2025-1),
as follows:
-- $228,660,000 Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $28,360,000 Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- $31,590,000 Class C Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- $30,870,000 Class D Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $32,310,000 Class E Notes at BB (low) (sf)
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns: March 2025 Update, published on March 26, 2025.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS's
moderate and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were
first published in April 2020.
(2) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 10.78% and is driven by
the re-investment criteria in a worst-case pool scenario. The CNL
assumption reflects the recent elevated but stable losses coming
out from the inflation-led portfolio losses of 2022 and 2023. The
CNL assumption additionally incorporates a 5.00% recovery credit
for all products based upon historical recovery performance
(3) Transaction capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
(A) Credit enhancement is in the form of OC, subordination, amounts
held in the reserve fund, and excess spread. Credit enhancement
levels are sufficient to support Morningstar DBRS's stressed
projected finance yield, principal payment rate, and charge-off
assumptions under various stress scenarios.
(4) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and principal by the
legal final maturity date.
(5) Lendmark's capabilities with regard to originations,
underwriting, and servicing.
(A) Morningstar DBRS has performed an operational review of
Lendmark and considers the entity to be an acceptable originator
and servicer of unsecured personal loans with an acceptable back-up
servicer.
(B) Lendmark's senior management team has considerable experience
and a successful track record within the consumer loan industry.
(6) The credit quality of the collateral and performance of
Lendmark's consumer loan portfolio. Morningstar DBRS has used a
hybrid approach in analyzing the Lendmark portfolio that
incorporates elements of static pool analysis employed for assets,
such as consumer loans, and revolving asset analysis, employed for
such assets as credit card master trusts.
(A) The weighted-average (WA) remaining term of the Statistical
Cut-Off Date is 42 months.
(B) The WA Current Bureau Score as of the Statistical Cut-Off Date
is approximately 611.
(C) The weighted-average coupon (WAC) as of Statistical Cut-Off
Date is 27.18%, and the transaction includes a Reinvestment
Criteria Event if the WAC is less than 24.50%.
-- The Morningstar DBRS base-case assumption for the finance yield
is 24.50%.
-- Morningstar DBRS applied a finance yield haircut of 10.00% for
Class A, 7.78% for Class B, 5.33% for Class C, 3.33% for Class D
and 1.33% for Class E. While these haircuts are lower than the
range described in the Morningstar DBRS's Rating U.S. Credit Card
Asset-Backed Securities methodology, the fixed-rate nature of the
underlying loans, lack of interchange fees, and historical yield
consistency support these stressed assumptions.
(D) Principal payment rates for Lendmark's portfolio, as estimated
by Morningstar DBRS, have generally averaged between 3.0% and 5.0%
over the past several years.
-- The Morningstar DBRS base-case assumption for the principal
payment rate is 3.08%.
-- Morningstar DBRS applied a payment rate haircut of 45.00% for
Class A, 39.44% for Class B, 33.33% for Class C, 26.67% for Class D
and 16.67% for Class E.
(7) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions address the
true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the nonconsolidation of the
special-purpose vehicle with Lendmark, that the trust has a valid
first-priority security interest in the assets, and consistency
with the Morningstar DBRS's Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured
Finance.
Morningstar DBRS's credit rating on the securities referenced
herein addresses the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the related Interest Distribution Amount, and the
related Note Balance.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
MADISON PARK LXIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
Madison Park Funding LXIII, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Madison Park Funding
LXIII, Ltd.
A-1 55817GAA9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 55817GAC5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 55817GAE1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-2 55817GAL5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AA+sf New Rating
C 55817GAG6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT A+sf New Rating
D 55817GAJ0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 55821JAA7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBsf
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Funding LXIII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC. The transaction originally
closed in May 2023, and this will be the first reset. The existing
secured notes will be refinanced in whole on June 5, 2025 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $600 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of recent CLOs.
Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 97.24%
first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 74.29%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry, obligor and
geographic concentrations is in line with other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 5.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting to
the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration
limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, and 'Asf' for class D-2-R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding LXIII, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
MADISON PARK LXIII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Madison Park
Funding LXIII, Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$384,000,000 Class A-1-R Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2038,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R Deferrable Floating Rate Junior Notes due
2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
90.0% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio may consist of not senior
secured loans.
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC (the Manager) will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, six other
classes of secured notes and additional subordinated notes, a
variety of other changes to transaction features will occur in
connection with the refinancing. These include: extension of the
reinvestment period; extensions of the stated maturity and non-call
period; changes to certain collateral quality tests; changes to the
overcollateralization test levels and changes to the base matrix
and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Portfolio par: $600,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2949
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.20%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or a Downgrade of the
Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
MAGNETITE LTD XII: Moody's Ups Rating on $32.63MM E-R Notes to Ba2
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Magnetite XII, Ltd.:
US$29,660,000 Class C-RR Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2031 (the "Class C-RR Notes"), Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously
on March 26, 2024 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
US$38,560,000 Class D-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2031 (the "Class D-R Notes"), Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously
on March 26, 2024 Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
US$32,630,000 Class E-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2031 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously
on September 6, 2018 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Magnetite XII, Ltd., originally issued in March 2015 and last
refinanced in March 2024, is a managed cashflow CLO. The notes are
collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly syndicated
senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's reinvestment
period ended in October 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging of the
senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since April 2024. The Class A-R4
notes have been paid down by approximately 67.6% or $230 million
since that time. Based on the trustee's April 2025 report[1], the
OC ratios for the Class C-RR, Class D-R and Class E-R notes are
reported at 145.70%, 122.65% and 108.16%, respectively, versus
April 2024[2] levels of 123.98%, 113.89% and 106.55%,
respectively.
No actions were taken on the Class A-R4, Class B-RR-A, Class
B-RRR-B and Class F-R notes because their expected losses remain
commensurate with their current ratings, after taking into account
the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralization and interest
coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodologies and could differ from the trustee's
reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $302,937,153
Defaulted par: $3,898,982
Diversity Score: 58
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3014
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.00%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 8.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.83%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.44 years
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 1.95%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MAGNETITE LTD XXXVI: Moody's Assigns (P)B3 Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a provisional ratings to two classes
of CLO refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) to be issued by
Magnetite XXXVI, Limited (the Issuer):
US$273,500,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned (P)B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodologies and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least
90.0% of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured
loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio may consist of second lien
loans, unsecured loans and bonds.
BlackRock Financial Management, Inc. (the Manager) will continue to
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, the other
five classes of secured notes and additional subordinated notes, a
variety of other changes to transaction features will occur in
connection with the refinancing. These include: extension of the
reinvestment period; extensions of the stated maturity and non-call
period; changes to certain collateral quality tests and
concentration limits; changes to the overcollateralization test
levels; and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $428,000,000
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2818
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 2.90%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.50%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM3: S&P Assigns B+ (sf) Rating on B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to New Residential Mortgage
Loan Trust 2025-NQM3's residential mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by first-lien,
fixed- and adjustable-rate, fully amortizing residential mortgage
loans (some with interest-only periods) to both prime and nonprime
borrowers. The loans are secured by single-family residential
properties, planned-unit developments, condominiums, townhouses,
condotels, two- to four-family residential properties, and a five-
to 10-unit multifamily property. The pool consists of 1,039 loans,
which are which are qualified mortgage safe harbor (average prime
offer rate), non-qualified mortgage/ability-to-repay (ATR)
compliant and ATR-exempt loans.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representation and warranty framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator and originators; and
-- S&P's outlook that considers its current projections for U.S.
economic growth, unemployment rates, and interest rates, as well as
its view of housing fundamentals, and is updated, if necessary,
when these projections change materially.
Ratings Assigned(i)
New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-NQM3
Class A-1, $380,271,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1A, $329,837,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $50,434,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $28,747,000: AA- (sf)
Class A-3, $52,955,000: A- (sf)
Class M-1, $17,400,000: BBB-(sf)
Class B-1, $8,826,000: BB (sf)
Class B-2, $7,565,000: B+ (sf)
Class B-3, $8,574,347: NR
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): NR
Class XS, notional(ii): NR
Class R, N/A: NR
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate principal balance
of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related due
period. NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
OBRA CLO 2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Obra CLO 2
Ltd./Obra CLO 2 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term
loans. The transaction is managed by Obra CLO Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 10,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Obra CLO 2 Ltd./Obra CLO 2 LLC
Class A-1, $300.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $67.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $27.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $5.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $46.76 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
OCTAGON 64: Fitch Hikes Rating on Class E Notes to 'BB+sf'
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Octagon
64, Ltd. refinancing notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Octagon 64, Ltd.
A-1 67579AAD9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 67579AAG2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 67579AAK3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AA+sf
B-1-R LT AA+sf New Rating
B-2 67579AAU1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C 67579AAN7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full A+sf
C-R LT A+sf New Rating
D 67579AAR8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB+sf
D-R LT BBB+s New Rating
E 67579BAA3 LT BB+sf Upgrade BBsf
Transaction Summary
Octagon 64, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO), managed by Octagon Credit
Investors, LLC., that originally closed in June 2022. The class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-1-R, C-R and D-R notes will be refinanced on June
5, 2025. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured notes, along
with existing subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $834 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans (excluding defaults and including
principal cash).
Fitch has affirmed the class B-2 notes at 'AA+(sf)' with a Stable
Outlook. Fitch has also upgraded the rating on class E notes from
'BB(sf)' to 'BB+(sf)' with a Stable Outlook.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.04% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.33%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 2.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is three months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
KEY PROVISION CHANGES
The refinancing is being implemented via the first supplemental
indenture, which amended certain provisions of the transaction. The
changes include but are not limited to extending the refinancing
notes non-call period to July 2026 (1.1 year from the first
refinancing date) from July 2024 (2.1 years from the original
closing date) and reducing the refinancing spreads across all rated
notes ranging from 20 bps to 70 bps. The stated maturity on the
refinanced notes and the reinvestment period end date remain the
same as the original notes, except for class A-1-R which is
extended one year July 2024 to July 2025.
FITCH ANALYSIS
Fitch's analysis is based on the latest portfolio presented to
Fitch from the arranger that includes 500 assets from 417 primarily
high yield obligors. The portfolio balance is approximately $834
million, excluding defaulted assets and including principal cash.
The weighted average rating of the current portfolio is 'B'. Fitch
has an explicit rating, credit opinion or private rating for 45.4%
of the current portfolio par balance, while 53.7% of the ratings
were derived using Fitch's Issuer Default Rate Equivalency Map.
Assets unrated by Fitch or without public ratings from other
agencies make up 0.9% of the portfolio.
The FSP included the following concentrations, reflecting the
maximum limitations per the indenture or maintained at the current
level:
- Largest five obligors: 2.5% each, for an aggregate of 12.5%;
- Largest three industries of 15.0%, 12% and 10%, respectively;
- Assumed risk horizon: 6.0 years;
- Minimum weighted average spread of 3.23%, based on the indicative
weighted average spread level which was below the covenant;
- Fixed rate assets: 5.0%;
- Assets rated 'CCC+' or below: 9.9%, based on the indicative
'CCC+' or lower level which was below the covenant;
- Non-first priority senior secured assets: 7.5%;
- Minimum weighted average coupon of 5.17%, based on the indicative
weighted average coupon level which was below the covenant;
The transaction will exit the reinvestment period in July 2027.
Fitch generated projected default and recovery statistics of the
Fitch Stressed Portfolio (FSP) using its portfolio credit model
(PCM) on the underlying collateral pool excluding defaulted assets.
The PCM default and recovery rate outputs for the FSP at the
'AAAsf' rating stress were 49.3% and 37.1%, respectively. The PCM
default and recovery rate outputs for the FSP at the 'AA+sf' rating
stress were 48.0% and 45.4%, respectively. The PCM default and
recovery rate outputs for the FSP at 'A+sf' rating stress were
42.5% and 54.6%, respectively. The PCM default and recovery rate
outputs for the FSP at the 'BBB+sf' rating stress were 36.4% and
64.0%, respectively. The PCM default and recovery rate outputs for
the FSP at the 'BB+sf' rating stress were 30.5% and 69.5%,
respectively.
In the current portfolio analysis, the class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-1-R,
B-2, C-R and D-R and E notes passed the 'AAAsf', 'AAAsf', 'AA+sf',
'AA+sf', 'A+sf' and 'BBB+sf', 'BB+sf' rating thresholds in all nine
cash flow scenarios with minimum cushions of 14.7%, 12.4%, 8.5%,
8.5%, 9.4%, 6.5% and 4.2%, respectively. In the analysis of the
FSP, the class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-1-R, B-2, C-R, D-R and E notes
passed the 'AAAsf', 'AAAsf', 'AA+sf', 'AA+sf', 'A+sf' and 'BBB+sf',
'BB+sf' rating thresholds in all nine cash flow scenarios with
minimum cushions of 8.3%, 5.8%, 2.4%, 2.4%, 3.0%, 1.0% and 0.9%.
The Stable Outlook on the class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-1-R, B-2, C-R, D-R
and E notes reflects Fitch's expectation that the notes have a
sufficient level of credit protection to withstand potential
deterioration in the credit quality of the portfolio.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1-R, between
'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-2-R, between 'BBB-sf' and 'AAsf' for
class B, between 'BB-sf' and 'Asf' for class C-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-R. and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, and 'AA+sf' for class C-R,
'A+sf' for class D-R and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Octagon 64, Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
OFSI BSL IX: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B (sf)'
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class B-1-R, B-2-R,
and C debt from OFSI BSL IX Ltd. S&P also lowered its rating on the
class E debt and removed it from CreditWatch, where it had placed
it with negative implications in May 2025. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its ratings on the class A-R and D debt from the same
transaction.
Although the same portfolio backs all the tranches, there can be
circumstances where the ratings on the tranches may move in
opposite directions due to support changes in the portfolio. The
transaction is experiencing opposing rating movements because it
experienced both principal paydowns, which increased the senior
credit support, and faced principal losses, which decreased the
junior credit support.
The transaction has paid down $86.07 million to the class A-R debt
since S&P's May 2024 rating actions. The following are the changes
in the reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios comparing the
April 2025 trustee report and the April 2024 trustee report, which
S&P used for its previous rating actions:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 141.33% from 127.95%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 124.64% from 118.00%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 111.48% from 109.49%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 104.14% from 104.46%.
-- The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support
available to the debt at prior rating levels primarily due the
paydowns. Though cash flows suggested a higher rating on the class
B-1-R, B-2-R, and C debt, S&P's rating actions reflect its
consideration of the results of extra sensitivity analysis it ran
given the CLO's exposure to 'CCC' rated collateral and some
obligors with low market values.
While the credit support to the senior debt has improved, support
for the junior debt' was more affected by the combination of par
losses and a decline in excess spread. In addition, the recovery
rates have also declined overall. As a result of these factors,
credit support has weakened for junior tranches, and the cash flows
of the class D and E debt are no longer passing at their previous
rating levels. S&P said, "At this time, we affirmed the class D
debt rating at 'BBB (sf)' and limited the downgrade of class E to
'B (sf)' after considering their relatively stable O/C ratios that
are above their respective minimum requirements, and the somewhat
decreased par exposure to 'CCC' rated assets in the collateral
pool. We do not hold the opinion that the credit risk profile of
class E debt fulfills the 'CCC' definition, as the class is not
currently vulnerable to non-payment or dependent upon favorable
conditions to ultimately repay." However, any increase in defaults
and/or further portfolio credit quality deterioration could lead to
potential negative rating actions.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, as well as on recoveries upon default, under
various interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised
OFSI BSL IX Ltd.
Class B-1-R to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2-R to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch
OFSI BSL IX Ltd.
Class E to 'B (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch neg'
Ratings Affirmed
OFSI BSL IX Ltd.
Class A-R: AAA (sf)
Class D: BBB (sf)
Other Debt
OFSI BSL IX Ltd.
Subordinate notes: Not rated
OHA CREDIT 22: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
OHA Credit Funding 22, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
OHA Credit
Funding 22, Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-3 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
OHA Credit Funding 22, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Oak
Hill Advisors, L.P. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 23.79, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with the initial
expected matrix point of 25.26. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating
category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, the
notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S.
CLO structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 100%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.53% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
68.73%.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 48.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 3.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting to
the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration
limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BBB-sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'BB-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'Bsf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-3 and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class D-3 and
'BBBsf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for OHA Credit Funding
22, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
OHA CREDIT 22: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to OHA
Credit Funding 22, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
OHA Credit
Funding 22, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB+sf New Rating BBB+(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-3 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
OHA Credit Funding 22, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Oak
Hill Advisors, L.P. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 23.79, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with the initial
expected matrix point of 25.26. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating
category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, the
notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S.
CLO structural features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 100%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.53% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
68.73%.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 48.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 3.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting to
the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration
limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BBB-sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'BB-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'Bsf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-3 and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class D-3 and
'BBBsf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
04 June 2025
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for OHA Credit Funding
22, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
OPORTUN ISSUANCE 2025-B: Fitch Rates Class E Notes 'BB-sf'
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
ABS issued by Oportun Issuance Trust 2025-B (OPTN 2025-B).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Oportun Issuance
Trust 2025-B
A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
C LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
OPTN 2025-B is backed by a revolving pool of fixed-rate fully
amortizing secured and unsecured consumer loans originated by
Oportun Financial Corporation (Oportun) or its affiliates, as well
as through certain third-party originators, with the loans then
sold to Oportun. Oportun is the sponsor of the transaction. OPTN
2025-B is Oportun's 25th term securitization and the first to be
rated by Fitch.
Since assigning the expected ratings, the size of the OPTN 2025-B
receivables pool was increased along with the size of note
balances. This did not alter the pool composition, which remains
consistent. The increase in pool balance and note balance did not
materially alter the absolute level of credit enhancement. Overall,
these updates did not affect the assigned ratings, which remain
unchanged from the expected ratings.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Consistent Collateral Quality: The weighted average (WA) Vantage
score for OPTN 2025-B is 658, with approximately 5.6% of the pool
consisting of borrowers without a Vantage score. This reflects
Oportun's focus on serving customers with limited or no credit
history. The pool consists of 67.2% renewal loans, which is the
lowest composition for such loans since OPTN 2022-A. The proportion
of secured loans in the securitized trusts has been steadily
increasing, with the current OPTN 2025-B pool exhibiting the
highest percentage to date at 8.9%.
Rewritten loans account for 0.11% of the pool, lower than in prior
transactions. However, this share can increase to as high as 5.0%
of the pool during a revolving period. A rewritten loan is a
one-time rewrite offered by Oportun to severely delinquent
borrowers who have experienced a long-term financial hardship. A
rewritten loan is essentially a new loan document with a principal
balance equal to the balance of the original loan while the
original loan is paid off. The WA contract rate of the loans is
27.6%, lower than in the prior 2025-A transaction.
Elevated But Improving Performance Trends: Oportun's managed
portfolio experienced a notable increase in default rates for loans
originated in 2021 and 2022, compared to previous years, attributed
to new borrowers originated through online aggregators alongside a
deterioration in the broader unsecured consumer loan market. In
response, the company implemented significant underwriting changes
in 3Q22, which led to a material improvement in default rates.
Despite this improvement, however, default rates remain higher than
historical levels.
Fitch's default assumption for the OPTN 2025-B pool based on the
current composition of loans as of the statistical calculation date
is 14.6%; however, a base case default assumption of 15.20% was
assigned to the worst-case portfolio to account for the revolving
nature of the pool and is used in its analysis until the end of the
revolving period. The 15.20% base case assumption is an expected
case reflecting near-term economic conditions and expectations for
additional cooling of the labor market in the U.S.
The base case default assumption was established utilizing
Oportun's historical performance data since 2019; however, Fitch
focused on vintages since 2023 as relevant comparative years due to
the significant underwriting changes undertaken by the company.
Credit Enhancement Mitigates Stressed Losses: Initial hard credit
enhancement (CE) totals 59.94%, 38.78%, 22.92%, 8.27% and 2.59% of
the initial pool balance for the class A, B, C, D and E notes,
respectively. Fitch tested the initial CE under stressed cash flow
assumptions for all classes and found that the classes pass all
stresses at the rating level assigned to the respective class of
notes.
In particular, Fitch applied a 'AAAsf' rating stress of 4.65x the
base case default rate for the 2025-B series. The stress multiples
decrease proportionally between the median and low multiple range
for lower rating levels as described in Fitch's "Consumer ABS
Rating Criteria." The default multiple reflects the absolute value
of the default assumption, the length of default performance
history, exposure to changing economic conditions from higher loan
terms and the length of the revolving period, which exposes the
trust to the potential for performance degradation due to negative
pool migration.
Assurance for True Lender Status for Partner Bank-Loan Origination:
Oportun's securitization transactions involve consumer loans
originated by Oportun, LLC, Oportun, Inc., and its partner bank,
Pathward, N.A. (Pathward), a national bank. The bank's true lender
status in the context of Oportun's loan acquisition is subject to
legal and regulatory uncertainty, especially if the loans' interest
rates exceed those allowed by the borrowers' state usury laws.
If a court ruling or regulatory action deems that Oportun, rather
than Pathward, is the true lender, loans could be declared
unenforceable, void or subject to interest rate reductions and
other penalties. This would increase negative rating pressure.
Fitch's analysis and expected ratings reflect a review of the
transaction's eligibility criteria for selecting the receivables
for OPTN 2025-B, which reduces exposure to such loans by adherence
to certain usury limits. Fitch also performed an operational risk
review and deemed Oportun's compliance, legal and operational
capabilities acceptable to meet consumer protection regulations,
along with the unique aspects of its loan products, such as an
overall small balance and short tenor, which Fitch views as
helpful.
Adequate Servicing Capabilities: PF Servicing, LLC, a wholly owned
subsidiary of Oportun, is the servicer of the receivables. The
servicer has displayed an acceptable track record of servicing
consumer loans. In addition, Systems & Services Technologies, Inc.
is the named backup servicer, which has also shown an acceptable
record of servicing consumer loans, reducing servicing disruption.
Fitch considers all servicers to be adequate for this pool of
consumer loans.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults or charge-offs
could produce loss levels higher than the base case and would
likely result in declines of CE and remaining net loss coverage
levels available to the notes. Decreased CE may make certain
ratings on the notes susceptible to potential negative rating
actions, depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
Fitch conducts sensitivity analysis by stressing a transaction's
initial base case default assumption an additional 10%, 25%, and
50% and examining rating implications. These increases of the base
case default rate are intended to provide an indication of the
rating sensitivity of the notes to unexpected deterioration of a
trust's performance.
During the sensitivity analysis, Fitch examines the magnitude of
the multiplier compression by projecting the expected cash flow and
loss coverage levels over the life of the investments under higher
than initial base case default assumptions. Fitch models cash flow
with the revised default estimates while holding constant all other
modeling assumptions.
Rating sensitivity to increased defaults (class A/class B/class
C/class D/class E):
Current Ratings: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'.
Increased default base case by 10%:
'AA+sf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf';
Increased default base case by 25%:
'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
Increased default base case by 50%:
'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'Bsf'/'NRsf';
Reduced recovery base case by 10%:
'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf';
Reduced recovery base case by 25%:
'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf';
Reduced recovery base case by 50%:
'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf';
Increased default base case by 10% and reduced recovery base case
by 10%: 'AA+sf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf';
Increased default base case by 25% and reduced recovery base case
by 25%: 'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBs-f'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
Increased default base case by 50% and reduced recovery base case
by 50%: 'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'NRsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance, driven by steady
delinquencies, would increase CE levels and lead to a potential
upgrade. If defaults are 20% lower than the projected base case
default rate, the expected ratings for the class B and C notes
could be upgraded by up to one or two notches, respectively.
Rating sensitivity from decreased defaults (class A/class B/class
C/class D/class E):
Current Ratings: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'.
Decreased default base case by 20%:
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and recalculation of
certain characteristics with respect to 150 randomly selected
statistical receivables. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or
conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
OZLM LTD XXII: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on $24MM Class D Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by OZLM XXII, Ltd.:
US$28.8M Class B Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2024 Upgraded to Aa1
(sf)
US$28.8M Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2024 Upgraded to Baa2
(sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$312M (Current outstanding amount US$40,517,839) Class A-1
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Sep 30, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$48M Class A-2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Sep 30, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
US$24M Class D Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Ba3 (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2024 Affirmed Ba3 (sf)
US$9.6M Class E Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 30, 2024 Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
OZLM XXII, Ltd., originally issued in February 2018, is a managed
cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The portfolio
is managed by Sculptor CLO Management LLC. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in January 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B and Class C notes are primarily
a result of the deleveraging of the senior notes following
amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last rating
action in September 2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1, Class A-2, Class
D and Class E notes are primarily a result of the expected losses
on the notes remaining consistent with their current rating levels,
after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1 notes have paid down by approximately USD107.6
million (34.5% of original balance) since the last rating action in
September 2024 and by USD271.5m (87.0%) since closing. As a result
of the deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has increased for
Class A, Class B, Class C and Class D. According to the trustee
report dated May 2025[1] the Class A, Class B, Class C and Class D
OC ratios are reported at 202.16%, 152.54%, 122.47% and 105.19%,
compared to September 2024[2] levels of 147.43%, 128.55%, 113.96%,
104.11%, respectively.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio.
Most of the prepaid proceeds have been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
Key model inputs:
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on its published methodology and
could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In its base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD184.0m
Defaulted Securities: none
Diversity Score: 51
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3187
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.14 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.35%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.64%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 2.81%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into its cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
PEAKS CLO 1: S&P Corrects/Lowers Class F Notes Rating to 'D (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings corrected its rating on the class F-R notes from
Peaks CLO 1 Ltd. by reinstating the rating (which had inadvertently
been withdrawn on April 19, 2025) at 'D (sf)' and then
discontinuing the rating. The 'D (sf)' rating reflects S&P's view
that the tranche did not receive its full principal back on the
final redemption date.
According to a notice provided by the trustee and the final
distribution note valuation report for Peaks CLO 1 Ltd., despite
the liquidation of most of the collateral obligations and other
assets and the distribution of all available funds following the
redemption, the class F-R noteholders were paid only a portion of
the remaining outstanding principal balance plus accrued interest.
The trustee notices also specified that the class F-R noteholders
would receive a reduced redemption price and that there would be a
non-cash principal adjustment.
On April 19, 2025, the class F-R notes were inadvertently
withdrawn. S&P corrected this error, and its ratings now reflect
the correct ratings.
The trustee reports reflected a zero balance for these notes
following the redemption, but in its view these notes did not
receive their entire outstanding balance on the redemption date.
After speaking with the collateral manager, S&P is aware that there
are assets still in the fund to the benefit of class F-R
noteholders that ultimately could make them whole.
S&P said, "However, under our criteria, we view a failure to repay
the full principal when due (by legal final maturity, or sooner in
the case of an optional redemption or liquidation) as a defaulted
instrument regardless of any voluntary agreement by noteholders to
receive less than the outstanding amount due.
"As a result, we have reinstated the rating at 'D (sf)' on the
class F-R notes to reflect that their principal balance was not
fully repaid at the time of redemption, and subsequently we have
discontinued the rating."
Rating Reinstated
Peaks CLO 1 Ltd.
Class F-R: 'D (sf)'
Rating Withdrawn
Peaks CLO 1 Ltd.
Class F-R, to NR from 'D (sf)'
NR--Not rated.
PIKES PEAK 14(2023): Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Pikes Peak CLO 14 (2023) Ltd reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Pikes Peak CLO 14
(2023) Ltd
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Pikes Peak CLO 14 (2023) Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Partners Group US
Management CLO LLC, that originally closed in April 2023. The
existing secured notes will be redeemed in full on June 13, 2025
(the first refinancing date). Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $340 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.2, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality.
However, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.79% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.38% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-1R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 14
(2023) Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
RAD CLO 18: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RAD CLO
18, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RAD CLO 18, Ltd.
A-1 75009AAJ9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 75009AAL4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 75009AAN0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 75009AAQ3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 75009AAS9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 75009BAE8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
RAD CLO 18, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Redding Ridge Asset Management LLC, that originally closed in March
2023. This is the first refinancing that will finance the existing
secured notes in whole on June 4, 2025. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leverage loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality: The average credit quality of the indicative
portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent CLOs. The
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative portfolio
is 24.33, and will be managed to a WARF covenant from a Fitch test
matrix. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural
features.
Asset Security: The indicative portfolio consists of 97.83%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.02% and will be managed to
a WARF covenant from a Fitch test matrix.
Portfolio Composition: The largest three industries may comprise up
to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the top five
obligors can represent up to 7.5% of the portfolio balance in
aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management: The transaction has a 3.1-year reinvestment
period and reinvestment criteria similar to other CLOs. Fitch's
analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by adjusting the
indicative portfolio to reflect permissible concentration limits
and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis: Fitch used a customized proprietary cash flow
model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls and assess
the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1R, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1R and class
A-2R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, and 'A-sf' for class D-2R and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 18, Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
ROCKFORD TOWER 2018-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on $27.5MM E Notes to B1
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has taken a variety of rating actions on the
following notes issued by Rockford Tower CLO 2018-1, Ltd.:
US$25M Class C Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Mar 23, 2023 Upgraded to Aa3
(sf)
US$27.5M Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2018 Assigned Ba3
(sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$320M (Current outstanding amount US$122,934,000) Class A Senior
Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on May
25, 2018 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$55M Class B Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa
(sf); previously on Mar 23, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$32.5M Class D Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Baa2 (sf); previously on Mar 23, 2023 Upgraded to Baa2
(sf)
Rockford Tower CLO 2018-1, Ltd., issued in May 2018, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The portfolio is managed
by Rockford Tower Capital Management, L.L.C. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in May 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade on the rating on the Class C notes is primarily a
result of the significant deleveraging of the senior notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the
payment date in May 2024; the downgrade to the rating on the Class
E notes is due to the deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying collateral and the deterioration in the Class E
over-collateralisation ratio since the payment date in May 2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A, B and D notes are
primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes remaining
consistent with their current rating levels, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A notes have paid down by approximately USD100.9 million
(31.5%) in the last 12 months and USD197.1 million (61.6%) since
closing. As a result of the deleveraging, over-collateralisation
(OC) has increased for the senior and mezzanine rated notes.
According to the trustee report dated May 2025[1], the Class A/B,
Class C and Class D OC ratios are reported at 151.36%, 133.65% and
116.01% compared to May 2024[2] levels of 133.81%, 124.02% and
113.24%, respectively.
However, the OC ratio of the junior rated notes has deteriorated
over the same time period, and is reported at 104.35% as of May
2025[1] compared to 105.48% in May 2024[2]. Moody's notes that the
May 2025 principal payments are not reflected in the reported OC
ratios.
The credit quality has also deteriorated as reflected in the
deterioration in the average credit rating of the portfolio
(measured by the weighted average rating factor, or WARF).
According to the trustee report dated May 2025, the WARF was 3503,
compared with 3262 a year ago.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD277.1m
Defaulted Securities: USD9.0m
Diversity Score: 55
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3215
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.20 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.18%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 8.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.81%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 1.64%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability Moody's are analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties using the methodology "Structured Finance
Counterparty Risks" published in May 2025. Moody's concluded the
ratings of the notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
-- Long-dated assets: The presence of assets that mature beyond
the CLO's legal maturity date exposes the deal to liquidation risk
on those assets. Moody's assumes that, at transaction maturity, the
liquidation value of such an asset will depend on the nature of the
asset as well as the extent to which the asset's maturity lags that
of the liabilities. Liquidation values higher than Moody's
expectations would have a positive impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
RR 23 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Class D-R2 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
RR 23 Ltd reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
RR 23 Ltd
A-1a-R2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1b-R2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-R2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R2 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-1-R2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-2-R2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-R2 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
RR 23 Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) managed by Redding Ridge Asset Management LLC
that previously reset in August 2023. Fitch expects the CLO's
secured notes to be refinanced in whole on July 15, 2025, from
proceeds of new secured and subordinated notes. Net proceeds from
the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $850 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.39, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.82% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.3% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1a-R2, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1b-R2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class A-2-R2, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for class B-R2,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class C-1-R2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class C-2-R2 and between less than
'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class D-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1a-R2 and class
A-1b-R2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class A-2-R2, 'AAsf' for class B-R2,
'A-sf' for class C-1-R2, and 'A-sf' for class C-2-R2 and 'BBB+sf'
for class D-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RR 23 Ltd. In cases
where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in connection
with the credit rating of a transaction, programme, instrument or
issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers any ESG
factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2025-6: Fitch Assigns B(EXP)sf Rating on B5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates to be issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2025-6 (SEMT 2025-6).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
SEMT 2025-6
A1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A10 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A11 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A12 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A13 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A14 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A15 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A16 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A17 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A18 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A19 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A20 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A21 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A22 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A23 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A24 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A25 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO10 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO11 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO12 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO13 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO14 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO15 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO16 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO17 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO18 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO19 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO20 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO21 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO22 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO23 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO24 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO25 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIO26 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1 LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1A LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1X LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2A LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2X LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B3 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B4 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B5 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B6 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The certificates are supported by 405 loans with a total balance of
approximately $484.8 million as of the cutoff date. The pool
consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages acquired by Redwood
Residential Acquisition Corp. from various mortgage originators.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations
are based on a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
405 loans totaling approximately $484.8 million and seasoned at
about three months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted average
(WA) Fitch model FICO score of 779 and a 36.7% debt-to-income ratio
(DTI). The borrowers also have moderate leverage, with an 79.1%
sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) and a 70.0% mark-to-market
combined loan-to-value ratio (cLTV).
Overall, 93.1% of the pool loans are for a primary residence, while
6.9% are loans for second homes; 79.0% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel. In addition, 100.0% of the loans are
designated as safe harbor APOR qualified mortgage (QM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 10.9% above a long-term sustainable
level versus 11.0% on a national level as of 4Q24, down 0.1% since
last quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices have increased 2.9% yoy nationally as of February 2025
despite modest regional declines but are still being supported by
limited inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years.
The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a longer
period should losses occur later in the life of the transaction.
The applicable credit support percentage feature redirects
subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if specified
credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
After the credit support depletion date, principal will be
distributed sequentially, first to the super-senior classes (A-9,
A-12 and A-18), concurrently on a pro rata basis, and then to the
senior-support A-21 certificate.
In SEMT 2025-6 the servicing administrator (RRAC) will be obligated
to advance delinquent P&I to the trust until deemed nonrecoverable,
following initial reductions in the class A-IO-S strip and
servicing administrator fees. Full advancing of P&I is a common
structural feature across prime transactions in providing liquidity
to the certificates. Absent the full advancing, bonds can be
vulnerable to missed payments during periods of adverse
performance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area (MSA) level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10%, 20% and 30%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.1% at 'AAAsf'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration with higher MVDs compared to the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all the rated classes. Specifically,
a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full category upgrade
for the rated class, excluding those assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC, Clayton, and Consolidated Analytics. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance, and property valuation. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, made the following
adjustment to its analysis: a 5% reduction in its loss analysis.
This adjustment resulted in a 23-bp reduction to the 'AAAsf'
expected loss.
ESG Considerations
SEMT 2025-6 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2025-6 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SILVER POINT 9: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Silver
Point CLO 9, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Silver Point
CLO 9, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Silver Point CLO 9, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Silver
Point Select C CLO Manager, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans. Fitch deviated from the
model-implied rating (MIR) for classes D-1. The MIR is 'BBBsf', and
Fitch assigned 'BBB-sf' rating to this class. Since the expected
ratings were assigned, there have not been any material changes to
the portfolio nor the capital structure and there is limited
default cushion at the MIR.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.5% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 73.7%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, and 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Silver Point CLO 9,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
SUTTONPARK STRUCTURED 2021-A: DBRS Keeps BB Rating Under Review
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. maintained its Under Review with Negative Implications
(URN) on nine credit ratings from four SuttonPark Structured
Settlement transactions.
SPSS 2021-A LLC
-- Class A Notes AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes A (sf)
-- Class C Notes BBB (sf)
-- Class D Notes BB (sf)
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The maintaining of the Under Review with Negative Implications
(URN) designation is primarily due to the ongoing servicing
transfer to Vervent which is expected to be finalized over the next
several months. SuttonPark, Vervent, and the relevant investors
have been in negotiations with respect to the servicing transfer to
Vervent. The current plan is to stagger the servicing transfer
separately for each transaction. SuttonPark is expected to be
engaged as sub-servicer to ensure a more seamless transition.
-- Additionally, the 2012-1 and 2021-A transactions have
experienced recent asset deterioration with increasing
delinquencies and unresolved aged defaulted payments. Thus,
SuttonPark has identified a number of open receivables whereby
collections were received but not identified and deposited to the
respective collection accounts. SuttonPark is currently in the
process of resolving these open receivables, which is expected to
result in increased collections and reduced aged defaulted payments
over the next several months which will benefit the transactions.
In certain cases, the payors with outstanding past missed payments
are making current payments. Morningstar DBRS will continue to
monitor the servicing transfer and evaluate collateral performance
and collections available to each transaction to resolve the URN
designation.
-- The generally high credit quality of annuity providers and
their improved capitalization positions and risk-management
frameworks, which have been enhanced since the global financial
crisis of 2008-09.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (April 10, 2025).
SYMPHONY CLO XVIII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $2MM F-R Notes to Caa2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Symphony CLO XVIII, Ltd.:
US$2,000,000 Class F-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2033 (the "Class F-R Notes"), Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously
on Jun 17, 2024 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Symphony CLO XVIII, Ltd., originally issued in December 2016 and
last refinanced in August 2024, is a managed cashflow CLO. The
notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly
syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in July 2024.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade rating action on the Class F-R Notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss observed in
the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on Moody's calculations, the OC
ratio for the Class F-R Notes is currently at 104.47% compared to
106.40% in August 2024.
No actions were taken on the Class A-1-RRR, Class A-2-RR, Class
B-RR, Class C-RR, Class D-RR and Class E-R notes because their
expected losses remain commensurate with their current ratings,
after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio information,
its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $410,090,925
Defaulted par: $9,578,812
Diversity Score: 81
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3020
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.35%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.47%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.03%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.23 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
TABERNA PREFERRED IV: Moody's Ups Rating on Class A-1 Notes to Ba1
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Taberna Preferred Funding IV, Ltd.:
US$313,350,000 Class A-1 First Priority Delayed Draw Senior Secured
Floating Rate Notes due 2036 (current balance $87,277,830),
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on April 11, 2019 Upgraded to Ba3
(sf)
Taberna Preferred Funding IV, Ltd., issued in December 2005, is a
collateralized debt obligation backed by a portfolio of REIT trust
preferred securities (TruPS).
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action is primarily a result of the ongoing deleveraging
of the Class A-1 notes, and the resulting increase in the
transaction's over-collateralization (OC) ratios.
The Class A-1 notes have paid down by approximately 6.7% or $6.2
million since a year ago, using principal proceeds from the
redemption of the underlying assets and the diversion of excess
interest proceeds. Based on Moody's calculations, the OC ratio for
the Class A-1 has improved to 248.2%, from May 2024 level of
236.9%. The Class A-1 notes will continue to benefit from the
diversion of excess interest and the use of proceeds from
redemptions of any assets in the collateral pool.
The action also reflects the consideration that an event of default
(EoD) is continuing for the transaction, and that as a remedy to
the EoD, 66 2/3% of each class, voting separately, can direct the
trustee to proceed with the sale and liquidation of the collateral.
The EoD occurred in August 2009 due to failure to pay interest on
the Class B notes. In September 2009, the controlling class voted
to accelerate the deal. As a result of the acceleration of the
deal, the Class A-1 notes have been receiving all proceeds after
Class A-1, Class A-2, and Class A-3 interest, and will continue to
receive until they are paid in full.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, and weighted average recovery rate,
are based on Moody's published methodologies and could differ from
the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used
the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par: $216.7 million
Defaulted/deferring par: $82.6 million
Weighted average default probability: 20.6% (implying a WARF of
2029)
Weighted average recovery rate upon default of 10.0%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's considered additional
scenarios where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The
additional scenarios include, among others, deteriorating credit
quality of the portfolio.
No actions were taken on the Class B-1 and Class B-2 notes because
their expected losses remain commensurate with their current
ratings, after taking into account the CDO's latest portfolio
information, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Approach
to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalcâ„¢ or credit
estimates. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
TABERNA PREFERRED VI: Moody's Upgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Ba2
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd.:
US$50,000,000 Class A-1A First Priority Senior Secured Floating
Rate Notes due 2036 (current outstanding balance $12,872,119),
Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on February 3, 2020 Upgraded to
Ba3 (sf)
US$305,000,000 Class A-1B First Priority Delayed Draw Senior
Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2036 (current outstanding balance
$78,519,927), Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on February 3, 2020
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Taberna Preferred Funding VI, Ltd., issued in June 2006, is a
collateralized debt obligation (CDO) backed by a portfolio of REIT
trust preferred securities (TruPS), with exposure to bank TruPS and
corporate bonds.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions are primarily a result of the ongoing
deleveraging of the Class A-1A and Class A-1B notes and the
resulting increase in the transaction's over-collateralization (OC)
ratios, and the improvement in the credit quality of the underlying
portfolio since a year ago.
The Class A-1A and A-1B notes have paid down by approximately 4.3%
or $4.1 million since a year ago, using principal proceeds from the
redemption of the underlying assets and the diversion of excess
interest proceeds. Based on Moody's calculations, the OC ratio for
the Class A-1 notes has improved to 217.7%, from May 2024 level of
211.5%. The Class A-1A and Class A-1B notes will continue to
benefit from the diversion of excess interest and the use of
proceeds from redemptions of any assets in the collateral pool.
The deal has also benefited from improvement in the credit quality
of the underlying portfolio. According to Moody's calculations, the
weighted average rating factor (WARF) improved to 2256 from 2336
since a year ago.
The actions also reflect the consideration that an event of default
(EoD) is continuing for the transaction, and that as a remedy to
the EoD, 66 2/3% of each class, voting separately, can direct the
trustee to proceed with the sale and liquidation of the collateral.
The EoD occurred in 2009, due to missed interest payment on the
Class C notes, and a majority of the controlling class directed the
trustee to declare the notes immediately due and payable. As a
result of the declaration of acceleration of the notes, all
proceeds after paying interest on the Class A-1A, Class A-1B and
Class A-2 notes are currently used to pay down the principal of the
Class A-1A and Class A-1B Notes.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, and weighted average recovery rate,
are based on Moody's published methodologies and could differ from
the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used
the following base-case assumptions:
Performing par: $199.0 million
Defaulted/deferring par: $77.5 million
Weighted average default probability: 23.8% (implying a WARF of
2256)
Weighted average recovery rate upon default of 12.5%
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's considered additional
scenarios where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The
additional scenarios include, among others, deteriorating credit
quality of the portfolio.
No actions were taken on the Class A-2, Class B, and Class C notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CDO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit
estimates. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
TOWD POINT 2018-SL1: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class D-2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on two Towd Point Asset
Trust Student Loan Transactions.
Towd Point Asset Trust 2018-SL1
-- Class AB Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class AC Notes AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class C Notes AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class D-1 Notes BBB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class D-2 Notes BB (sf) Confirmed
Towd Point Asset Trust 2021-SL1
-- Class A1 Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class A2 Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class AB Notes AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class B Notes AA (sf) Confirmed
-- Class AC Notes A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class C Notes A (sf) Confirmed
-- Class D Notes BBB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class E Notes BB (sf) Confirmed
-- Class F Notes B (high)(sf) Confirmed
The credit rating confirmations are based on the following
analytical considerations:
-- Transaction capital structure, current rating, and sufficient
credit enhancement levels.
-- Credit enhancements are in the form of overcollateralization,
reserve account, and excess spread with senior notes benefiting
from subordination of junior notes.
-- Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the
Morningstar DBRS-expected default and loss severity assumptions
under various stress scenarios.
-- The transactions parties' capabilities with respect to
origination, underwriting, and servicing.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (April 10, 2025).
TOWD POINT 2025-CES1: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B2 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
Asset-Backed Securities, Series 2025-CES1 (the Notes) issued by
Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2025-CES1 (TPMT 2025-CES1 or the Trust):
-- $313.9 million Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2 at AAA (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2A at A (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2B at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class B1 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $7.5 million Class B2 at B (low) (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2A at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2AX at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2B at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2BX at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2C at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2CX at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2D at AAA (sf)
-- $30.9 million Class A2DX at AAA (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1AX at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1B at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1BX at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1C at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1CX at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1D at AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.9 million Class M1DX at AA (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AA at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AAX at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AB at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2ABX at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AC at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2ACX at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2AD at A (low) (sf)
-- $17.0 million Class M2ADX at A (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BA at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BAX at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BB at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BBX at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BC at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BCX at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BD at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.1 million Class M2BDX at BBB (low) (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 19.65% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (low) (sf), A
(low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B (low) (sf) credit
ratings reflect 14.55%, 10.60%, 7.55%, 4.60%, and 2.85% of credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
TPMT 2025-CES1 is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed, prime
and near-prime, closed-end second-lien (CES) residential mortgages
funded by the issuance of the Asset-Backed Securities, Series
2025-CES1 (the Notes). The Notes are backed by 5,100 mortgage loans
with a total principal balance of $429,139,932 as of the Cut-Off
Date.
The portfolio, on average, is 11 months seasoned, though seasoning
ranges from three to 34 months. Borrowers in the pool represent
prime and near-prime credit quality with a weighted-average (WA)
Morningstar DBRS-calculated FICO score of 733, a Morningstar
DBRS-calculated original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of
74.4%, and are 100.0% originated with Issuer-defined full
documentation. All the loans are current and 98.6% of the mortgage
pool has been clean for the last 24 months or since origination.
TPMT 2025-CES1 represents the ninth CES securitization by FirstKey
Mortgage, LLC and second by CRM 2 Sponsor, LLC. Spring EQ, LLC
(Spring EQ; 65.0%), Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Mr. Cooper
(Nationstar; 17.6%), and Rocket Mortgage, LLC (Rocket; 17.3%) are
the originators for the mortgage pool.
Newrez, LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint;
65.0%), Nationstar, and Rocket are the Servicers of the loans in
this transaction.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (rated AA with a
Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Indenture
Trustee, Administrative Trustee and Administrator. U.S. Bank
National Association (rated AA with a Stable trend by Morningstar
DBRS) and Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB (high) with
a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Custodians.
CRM 2 Sponsor, LLC (CRM) will acquire the loans from various
transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring trusts
acquired the mortgage loans from the Originators. CRM and the
transferring trusts are beneficially owned by funds managed by
affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. Upon acquiring the
loans from the transferring trusts, CRM will transfer the loans to
CRM 2 Depositor, LLC (the Depositor). The Depositor in turn will
transfer the loans to Towd Point Mortgage Grantor Trust 2025-CES1
(the Grantor Trust). The Grantor Trust will issue two classes of
certificates: P&I Grantor Trust Certificate and IO Grantor Trust
Certificate. The Grantor Trust certificates will be issued in the
name of the Issuer. The Issuer will pledge P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate with the Indenture Trustee and will be the primary
asset of the Trust. As a Sponsor, CRM, through one or more
majority-owned affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible
vertical interest in each class of securities to be issued (other
than any residual certificates) to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
Although the mortgage loans were originated to satisfy the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB) Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules,
they were made to borrowers who generally do not qualify for
agency, government, or private-label nonagency prime jumbo products
for various reasons. In accordance with the Qualified Mortgage
(QM)/ATR rules, 24.1% of the loans are designated as non-QM, 24.9%
are designated as QM Rebuttable Presumption, and 48.5% are
designated as QM Safe Harbor. Approximately 2.6% of the mortgages
are loans made to investors for business purposes and were not
subject to the QM/ATR rules.
The Servicers (except servicers servicing the Scheduled Serviced
Mortgage Loans) will generally fund advances of delinquent
principal and interest (P&I) on any mortgage until such loan
becomes 60 days delinquent under the Office of Thrift Supervision
(OTS) delinquency method (equivalent to 90 days delinquent under
the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method),
contingent upon recoverability determination. However, the Servicer
will stop advancing delinquent P&I if the aggregate amount of
unreimbursed P&I advances owed to a Servicer exceeds 95.0% of the
amounts on deposit in the custodial account maintained by such
Servicer. In addition, the related servicer is obligated to make
advances in respect of homeowner association fees, taxes, and
insurance, installment payments on energy improvement liens, and
reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing
and disposing of properties unless a determination is made that
there will be material recoveries.
For this transaction, any loan that is 150 days delinquent under
the OTS delinquency method (equivalent to 180 days delinquent under
the MBA delinquency method), upon review by the related Servicer,
may be considered a Charged Off Loan. With respect to a Charged Off
Loan, the total unpaid principal balance (UPB) will be considered a
realized loss and will be allocated reverse sequentially to the
Noteholders. If there are any subsequent recoveries for such
Charged Off Loans, the recoveries will be included in the principal
remittance amount and applied in accordance with the principal
distribution waterfall; in addition, any class principal balances
of Notes that have been previously reduced by allocation of such
realized losses may be increased by such recoveries sequentially in
order of seniority. Morningstar DBRS' analysis assumes reduced
recoveries upon default on loans in this pool.
This transaction incorporates a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class M1
and subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1 and A2 Notes are retired.
The Sponsor will have the option, but not the obligation, to
repurchase any mortgage loan that becomes 30 or more days
delinquent within 90 days of the Closing Date at the repurchase
price (par plus interest), provided that such repurchases in
aggregate do not exceed 10% of the total principal balance as of
the Cut-Off Date.
On or after (1) the payment date in May 2028 or (2) the first
payment date when the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans
(other than the Charged Off Loans and the REO properties) is
reduced to less than 30.0% of the Cut-Off Date balance, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate so long as the aggregate proceeds from such purchase
exceeds the minimum price (Optional Redemption). Minimum price will
at least equal sum of (A) class balances of the Notes plus the
accrued interest and unpaid interest, (B) any fees, expenses and
indemnification amounts, and (C) accrued and unpaid amounts owed to
the Class X Certificates minus the Class AX distributable amount.
On or after the first payment date on which the aggregate pool
balance of the mortgage loans and the REO properties is less than
10% of the aggregate pool balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate at the minimum price (Clean-Up Call).
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
VELOCITY COMMERCIAL 2025-3: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on 3 Classes
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage-Backed Certificates, Series 2025-3 (the Certificates) to
be issued by Velocity Commercial Capital Loan Trust 2025-3 (VCC
2025-3 or the Issuer) as follows:
-- $270.3 million Class A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $270.3 million Class A-S at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $270.3 million Class A-IO at (P) AAA (sf)
-- $20.4 million Class M-1 at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $20.4 million Class M1-A at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $20.4 million Class M1-IO at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- $21.4 million Class M-2 at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $21.4 million Class M2-A at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $21.4 million Class M2-IO at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- $37.5 million Class M-3 at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $37.5 million Class M3-A at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $37.5 million Class M3-IO at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- $24.1 million Class M-4 at (P) BB (sf)
-- $24.1 million Class M4-A at (P) BB (sf)
-- $24.1 million Class M4-IO at (P) BB (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class M-5 at (P) B (high) (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class M5-A at (P) B (high) (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class M5-IO at (P) B (high) (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class M-6 at (P) B (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class M6-A at (P) B (sf)
-- $4.9 million Class M6-IO at (P) B (sf)
Classes A-IO, M1-IO, M2-IO, M3-IO, M4-IO, M5-IO, and M6-IO are
interest-only (IO) certificates. The class balances represent
notional amounts.
Classes A, M-1, M-2, M-3, M-4, M-5, and M-6 are exchangeable
certificates. These classes can be exchanged for combinations of
initial exchangeable certificates as specified in the offering
documents.
The (P) AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 31.10%
of credit enhancement (CE) provided by subordinated certificates.
The (P) AA (low) (sf), (P) A (low) (sf), (P) BBB (low) (sf), (P) BB
(sf), (P) B (high) (sf), and (P) B (sf) credit ratings reflect
25.90%, 20.45%, 10.90%, 4.75%, 2.50%, and 1.25% of CE,
respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
VCC 2025-3 is a securitization of a portfolio of newly originated
and seasoned fixed rate, first-lien residential mortgages
collateralized by investor properties with one to four units
(residential investor loans) and small-balance commercial mortgages
(SBC) collateralized by various types of commercial, multifamily
rental, and mixed-use properties. Four of these loans were
originated through the U.S. SBA 504 loan program, and are backed by
first-lien, owner occupied, commercial real-estate. The
securitization is funded by the issuance of the Mortgage-Backed
Certificates, Series 2025-3 (the Certificates). The Certificates
are backed by 973 mortgage loans with a total principal balance of
$392,270,452 as of the Cut-Off Date (May 1, 2025).
Approximately 45.5% of the pool comprises residential investor
loans, about 53.7% of traditional SBC loans, and about 0.8% are the
SBA 504 loans mentioned above. The majority of the loans in this
securitization were originated by Velocity Commercial Capital, LLC
(Velocity or VCC). Thirty-six loans (18.5%) were originated by New
Day Commercial Capital, LLC, which is a wholly owned subsidiary of
Velocity Commercial Capital, LLC, which is wholly owned by Velocity
Financial, Inc.
The loans were generally underwritten to program guidelines for
business-purpose loans where the lender generally expects the
property (or its value) to be the primary source of repayment (with
the exception being the four SBA 504 loans which, per SBA
guidelines, were underwritten to the small business cash flows,
rather than to the property value). For all of the New Day
originated loans, underwriting was based on business cash flows,
but loans were secured by real estate. For the SBC and residential
investor loans, the lender reviews the mortgagor's credit profile,
though it does not rely on the borrower's income to make its credit
decision. However, the lender considers the property-level cash
flows or minimum debt-service coverage ratio (DSCR) in underwriting
SBC loans with balances more than USD 750,000 for purchase
transactions and more than USD 500,000 for refinance transactions.
Because the loans were made to investors for business purposes,
they are exempt from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's
Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules and TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosure
rule.
On January 5, 2024, a suit was filed in the U.S. District Court for
the Central District of California by Harvest Small Business
Finance, LLC and Harvest Commercial Capital, LLC against certain
employees of New Day Business Finance LLC and Velocity Commercial
Capital, LLC doing business as New Day Commercial Capital, LLC (New
Day) alleging violations of the Defend Trade Secrets Act, the
California Uniform Trade Secrets Act and the California Unfair
Competition Law. The suit was settled and dismissed with no money
payable to any parties in April 2025.
PHH Mortgage Corporation (PMC) will service all loans within the
pool for a servicing fee of 0.30% per annum. New Day will act as
subservicer for the 36 New Day originated loans (including the four
SBA 504 loans), and PHH will also act as the Backup Servicer for
these loans. In the event that New Day fails to service these loans
in accordance with the related subservicing agreement, PHH will
terminate the subservicing agreement and commence directly
servicing such mortgage loans within 30 days. In addition, Velocity
will act as a Special Servicer servicing the loans that defaulted
or became 60 or more days delinquent under Mortgage Bankers
Association (MBA) method and other loans, as defined in the
transaction documents (Specially Serviced Mortgage Loans). The
Special Servicer will be entitled to receive compensation based on
an annual fee of 0.75% and the balance of Specially Serviced
Loans.
Also, the Special Servicer is entitled to a liquidation fee equal
to 2.00% of the net proceeds from the liquidation of a Specially
Serviced Mortgage Loan, as described in the transaction documents.
The Servicer will fund advances of delinquent principal and
interest (P&I) until the advances are deemed unrecoverable. Also,
the Servicer is obligated to make advances with respect to taxes,
insurance premiums, and reasonable costs incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing properties.
U.S. Bank National Association (U.S. Bank; rated AA with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Custodian. U.S. Bank
Trust Company, National Association will act as the Trustee.
The Seller, directly or indirectly through a majority-owned
affiliate, is expected to retain an eligible horizontal residual
interest consisting of the Class XS Certificates, collectively
representing at least 5% of the fair value of all Certificates, to
satisfy the credit risk-retention requirements under Section 15G of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated
thereunder. Such retention aligns Sponsor and investor interest in
the capital structure.
On or after the later of (1) the three-year anniversary of the
Closing Date or (2) the date when the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans is reduced to 30% of the Closing Date
balance, the Depositor may purchase all outstanding Certificates
(Optional Purchase) at a price equal to the sum of the remaining
aggregate balance of the Certificates plus accrued and unpaid
interest, and any fees, expenses, and indemnity payments due and
unpaid to the transaction parties, including any unreimbursed P&I
and servicing advances, and other amounts due as applicable. The
Optional Purchase will be conducted concurrently with a qualified
liquidation of the Issuer.
Additionally, if on any date on which the unpaid mortgage loan
balance and the value of REO (return on equity) properties has
declined to less than 10% of the initial mortgage loan balance as
of the Cut-off Date, the Directing Holder, the Special Servicer, or
the Servicer, in that order of priority, may purchase all of the
mortgages, REO properties, and any other properties from the Issuer
(Optional Termination) at a price specified in the transaction
documents. The Optional Termination will be conducted as a
qualified liquidation of the Issuer. The Directing Holder
(initially, the Seller) is the representative selected by the
holders of more than 50% of the Class XS certificates (the
Controlling Class).
The transaction uses a structure sometimes referred to as a
modified pro rata structure. Prior to the Class A credit
enhancement (CE) falling below 10.0% of the loan balance as of the
Cut-off Date (Class A Minimum CE Event), the principal
distributions allow for amortization of all senior and subordinate
bonds based on CE targets set at different levels for performing
(same CE as at issuance) and nonperforming (higher CE than at
issuance) loans. Each class's target principal balance is
determined based on the CE targets and the performing and
nonperforming (those that are 90 or more days MBA delinquent, in
foreclosure and REO, and subject to a servicing modification within
the prior 12 months) loan amounts. As such, the principal payments
are paid on a pro rata basis, up to each class's target principal
balance, so long as no loans in the pool are nonperforming. If the
share of nonperforming loans grows, the corresponding CE target
increases. Thus, the principal payment amount increases for the
senior and senior subordinate classes and falls for the more
subordinate bonds. The goal is to distribute the appropriate amount
of principal to the senior and subordinate bonds each month, to
always maintain the desired level of CE, based on the performing
and nonperforming pool percentages. After the Class A Minimum CE
Event, the principal distributions are made sequentially.
Relative to the sequential pay structure, the modified pro rata
structure is more sensitive to the timing of the projected defaults
and losses as the losses may be applied at a time when the amount
of credit support is reduced as the bonds' principal balances
amortize over the life of the transaction.
COMMERCIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES (CMBS) METHODOLOGY--SBC
LOANS
The collateral for the SBC portion of the pool consists of 339
individual loans (two pairs of loans are pari passu,
cross-defaulted loans on the same property, and are each treated as
one loan) secured by 337 commercial and multifamily properties. All
commentary in this report will refer to the pool as a 337-loan pool
because Morningstar DBRS treated each pair of related loans as one.
Given the complexity of the structure and granularity of the pool,
Morningstar DBRS applied its "North American CMBS Multi-Borrower
Rating Methodology" (the CMBS Methodology).
The commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) loans have a
weighted average (WA) fixed interest rate of 10.8%. This is
approximately 10 basis points (bps) lower than the VCC 2025-2
transaction, 40 bps lower than the VCC 2025-1 transaction, 20 bps
lower than the VCC 2024-6 transaction, 20 bps higher than the VCC
2024-5 transaction, 60 bps lower than the VCC 2024-4 transaction,
and 80 bps lower than the VCC 2024-3, VCC 2024-2, and VCC 2024-1
transactions. Most of the loans have original term lengths of 30
years and fully amortize over 30-year schedules. However, 13 loans,
which represent 5.1% of the SBC pool, have an initial interest-only
(IO) period of 24, 60, or 120 months.
All the SBC loans were originated between February 2025 and April
2025 (100.0% of the cut-off pool balance), resulting in a WA
seasoning of 0.5 months. The SBC pool has a WA original term length
of approximately 360 months, or approximately 30 years. Based on
the original loan amount and the current appraised values, the SBC
pool has a WA loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 61.4%. However,
Morningstar DBRS made LTV adjustments to 44 loans that had an
implied capitalization rate of more than 200 bps lower than a set
of minimal capitalization rates established by the Morningstar DBRS
Market Rank. The Morningstar DBRS minimum capitalization rates
range from 5.50% for properties in Market Rank 7 to 8.00% for
properties in Market Rank 1. This resulted in a higher Morningstar
DBRS LTV of 66.6%. Lastly, all loans fully amortize over their
respective remaining terms, resulting in 100% expected
amortization; this amount of amortization is greater than what is
typical for CMBS conduit pools. Morningstar DBRS' research
indicates that, for CMBS conduit transactions securitized between
2000 and 2021, average amortization by year has ranged between 6.5%
and 22.0%, with a median rate of 16.5%.
As contemplated and explained in the CMBS Methodology, the most
significant risk to an IO cash flow stream is term default risk. As
Morningstar DBRS noted in the methodology, for a pool of
approximately 72,000 CMBS loans that had fully cycled through to
their maturity defaults, the average total default rate across all
property types was approximately 28%, the refinance default rate
was approximately 7% (approximately one-quarter of the total
default rate), and the term default rate was approximately 21%.
Morningstar DBRS recognizes the muted impact of refinance risk on
IO certificates by notching the IO rating up by one notch from the
Reference Obligation rating. When using the 10-year Idealized
Default Table default probability to derive a probability of
default (POD) for a CMBS bond from its rating, Morningstar DBRS
estimates that, in general, a one-quarter reduction in the CMBS
Reference Obligation POD maps to a tranche rating that is
approximately one notch higher than the Reference Obligation or the
Applicable Reference Obligation, whichever is appropriate.
Therefore, similar logic regarding term default risk supported the
rationale for Morningstar DBRS to reduce the POD in the CMBS
Insight Model by one notch because refinance risk is largely absent
for this SBC pool of loans.
The Morningstar DBRS CMBS Insight Model does not contemplate the
ability to prepay loans, which is generally seen as credit positive
because a prepaid loan cannot default. The CMBS predictive model
was calibrated using loans that have prepayment lockout features.
Those loans' historical prepayment performance is close to a 0%
conditional prepayment rate (CPR). If the CMBS predictive model had
an expectation of prepayments, Morningstar DBRS would expect the
default levels to be reduced. Any loan that prepays is removed from
the pool and can no longer default. This collateral pool does not
have any prepayment lockout features, and Morningstar DBRS expects
this pool will have prepayments over the remainder of the
transaction. Morningstar DBRS applied a 5.0% reduction to the
cumulative default assumptions to provide credit for expected
payments. The assumption reflects Morningstar DBRS' opinion that,
in a rising interest rate environment, fewer borrowers may elect to
prepay their loan.
As a result of higher interest rate and lending spreads, the SBC
pool has a significant increase in interest rates compared with
prior VCC transactions. Consequently, approximately 53.1% of the
deal (183 SBC loans) has an Issuer net operating income (NOI) debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) less than 1.0 times (x), which is in
line with the previous 2025 and 2024 transactions, but a larger
composition than the previous VCC transactions in 2023 and 2022.
Additionally, although the Morningstar DBRS CMBS Insight Model does
not contemplate FICO scores, it is important to point out the WA
FICO score of 721 for the SBC loans, which is relatively similar to
prior VCC transactions. With regard to the aforementioned concerns,
Morningstar DBRS applied a 2.5% penalty to the fully adjusted
cumulative default assumptions to account for risks given these
factors.
The SBC pool is quite diverse based on loan count and size, with an
average cut-off date balance of $625,128, a concentration profile
equivalent to that of a transaction with 97 equal-size loans, and a
top 10 loan concentration of 24.6%. Increased pool diversity helps
insulate the higher-rated classes from event risk.
The loans are mostly secured by traditional property types (i.e.,
multifamily, retail, office, and industrial).
All loans in the SBC pool fully amortize over their respective
remaining loan terms, reducing refinance risk.
The SBC pool contains six loans where an Income Approach to value
was not contemplated in the appraisal and an Issuer (net cash flow)
NCF was not provided. Morningstar DBRS applied POD penalties to the
six loans to mitigate this risk.
The SBC pool includes one loan originated via New Day's Lite Doc
Investor Loan Program, which does not require tax returns to be
reviewed. Morningstar DBRS applied a POD penalty to the loan to
mitigate this risk.
As classified by Morningstar DBRS for modeling purposes, the SBC
pool contains a significant exposure to retail (28.7% of the SBC
pool) and office (23.4% of the SBC pool), which are two of the
higher-volatility asset types. Loans counted as retail include
those identified as automotive and potentially commercial
condominium. Combined, retail and office properties represent
approximately 52.0% of the SBC pool balance. Morningstar DBRS
applied a -20.6% reduction to the NCF for retail properties and a
-30.0% reduction to the NCF for office assets in the SBC pool,
which is above the average NCF reduction applied for comparable
property types in CMBS analyzed deals.
Morningstar DBRS did not perform site inspections on loans within
its sample for this transaction. Instead, Morningstar DBRS relied
upon analysis of third-party reports and online searches to
determine property quality assessments. Of the 80 loans Morningstar
DBRS sampled, one was Average + quality (1.6% of sample), 21 were
Average quality (32.9%), 38 were Average - quality (37.5%), 17 were
Below Average quality (22.6%), and three were Poor quality (5.3%).
Morningstar DBRS assumed unsampled loans were Average - quality,
which has a slightly increased POD level. This is consistent with
the assessments from sampled loans and other SBC transactions rated
by Morningstar DBRS.
Limited property-level information was available for Morningstar
DBRS to review. Asset summary reports, property condition reports
(PCRs), Phase I/II environmental site assessment (ESA) reports, and
historical cash flows were generally not available for review in
conjunction with this securitization. Morningstar DBRS received and
reviewed appraisals for sampled loans within the top 33 of the
pool, which represent 39.5% of the SBC pool balance. These
appraisals were issued between December 2024 and April 2025.
Morningstar DBRS was able to perform a loan-level cash flow
analysis on 30 loans in the pool. The NCF haircuts for these loans
ranged from -3.7% to -100.0%, with an average of -29.2%; however,
Morningstar DBRS generally applied more conservative haircuts on
the nonsampled loans. No ESA reports were provided nor required by
the Issuer; however, all loans have an environmental insurance
policy that provides coverage to the Issuer and the securitization
trust in the event of a claim. No probable maximum loss (PML)
information or earthquake insurance requirements are provided.
Therefore, a loss given default penalty was applied to all
properties in California to mitigate this potential risk.
Morningstar DBRS received limited borrower information, net worth
or liquidity information, and credit history. Additionally, the WA
interest rate of the deal is 10.8%, which is indicative of the
broader increased interest rate environment and represents a large
increase over VCC deals in 2022 and early 2023. Morningstar DBRS
generally initially assumed loans had Weak sponsorship scores,
which increases the stress on the default rate. The initial
assumption of Weak reflects the generally less sophisticated nature
of small balance borrowers and assessments from past small balance
transactions rated by Morningstar DBRS. Furthermore, Morningstar
DBRS received a 12-month pay history on each loan through February
28, 2025. If any loan has more than two late payments within this
period or is currently 30 days past due, Morningstar DBRS applies
an additional stress to the default rate. This did not occur for
any loans in the SBC pool.
SBA 504 Loans
The transaction includes four SBA 504 loans, totaling approximately
$3.2 million or 0.82% of the aggregate 2025-3 collateral pool.
These are predominantly owner-occupied, 1st lien CRE-backed loans,
originated via the U.S. Small Business Administration's 504 loan
program ('SBA 504') in conjunction with community development
companies ('CDC'), made to small businesses, with the stated goal
of community economic development.
The SBA 504 loans are fixed rate with 360-month original terms and
are fully amortizing. The loans were originated between June 6,
2024, and April 17, 2025, via New Day, which will also act as
sub-servicer of the loans, The total outstanding principal balance
as of the cutoff date is approximately $3,235,123, with an average
balance of $808,781. The weighted average interest rate of the 504
loan sub-pool is 10.03%. The loans are subject to prepayment
penalties of 5%,4%, 3%, 2% and 1% respectively in the first five
years from origination. These loans are for properties which are
owner-occupied by the small business borrower. Weighted average
loan to value is 55.40%. Weighted average debt service coverage
ratio is approximately 3.1x and the weighted average FICO of this
sub-pool is 701.
For these loans, Morningstar DBRS applied its Rating U.S.
Structured Finance Transactions methodology, Small Business,
Appendix (XVIII). As there is limited historical information for
the originator, we utilized proxy data from the publicly available
SBA data set, which contains several decades of performance data,
stratified by industry categories of the small business operators,
to derive an expected default rate. Recovery assumptions were
derived from the Morningstar DBRS CMBS data set of loss given
default stratified by property type, loan to value, and market
rank. These were input into our proprietary model, the Morningstar
DBRS CLO Insight Model, which uses a Monte Carlo process to
generate stressed loss rates corresponding to a specific rating
level.
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES (RMBS) METHODOLOGY
The collateral pool consists of 630 mortgage loans with a total
balance of approximately $178.4 million collateralized by one- to
four-unit investment properties. Velocity underwrote the mortgage
loans to the No Ratio program guidelines for business-purpose
loans.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update, published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WELLS FARGO 2018-C47: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on GRR Certs
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2018-C47
issued by Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2018-C47 as
follows:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class X-B at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (sf)
-- Class X-D at A (sf)
-- Class D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E-RR at BBB (sf)
-- Class F-RR at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G-RR at BB (sf)
-- Class H-RR at B (high) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS maintained the Negative trends on Classes F-RR,
G-RR, and H-RR. All other trends are Stable.
The Negative trends reflect the outstanding interest shortfalls to
Classes F-RR, G-RR, and H-RR despite the improved outlook for the
largest loan in special servicing, Holiday Inn Fidi (Prospectus
ID#6; 4.0% of the pool balance). Interest shortfalls to the bonds
were first reported in May 2025 and were categorized as interest on
advances related to the subject loan, which is paid through
December 2024. While Morningstar DBRS expects the outstanding loan
balance as well as all associated fees and expenses to be paid in
full, the uncertainty surrounding the timing of loan resolution
supports the Negative trends. The loan and the resolution strategy
are highlighted in greater detail below.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the nonspecially serviced loans in the transaction
and the favorable property type concentration across the pool,
which includes 20 loans (35.9% of the current pool balance) secured
by retail properties, and 12 loans (12.1% of the current pool
balance) secured by multifamily properties. Additionally, loan
collateral secured by office properties has decreased to 10.6% of
the current pool balance since the previous credit rating action in
July 2024 following the defeasance of three loans (totaling 4.5% of
the current pool balance).
As of the May 2025 remittance, 71 of the original 74 loans remained
in the trust, with an aggregate balance of $879.0 million,
representing a collateral reduction of 7.6% since issuance. The
pool benefits from defeasance collateral as 17 loans, representing
14.4% of the current pool balance, have been defeased. There are 11
loans, representing 17.8% of the pool balance, on the servicer's
watchlist that are being monitored for performance concerns,
deferred maintenance items, and the occurrence of trigger events.
An additional four loans, representing 5.2% of the current pool
balance, are delinquent and specially serviced. With this review,
Morningstar DBRS analyzed three of these loans, representing 1.2%
of the current pool balance with liquidation scenarios. The
analysis resulted in cumulative implied losses of approximately
$2.5 million, contained to the unrated Class J-RR, which has a
current balance of $39.3 million.
The Holiday Inn Fidi loan is secured by a full-service hotel in the
financial district of downtown Manhattan, New York. The whole loan
includes $87.3 million of senior debt securitized across three
commercial mortgage-backed security (CMBS) transactions and an
securitized $50.0 million B-note. The loan transferred to the
special servicer in May 2020 because of monetary default. In
January 2023, while in bankruptcy, the borrower entered into an
agreement with New York City Health and Hospitals Corporation to
operate the hotel as a migrant family shelter. The agreement
ultimately ended in March 2025. The loan is paid through December
2024, and the property is currently closed as the resolution
strategy focuses on a potential property sale. According to a May
2025 update from the special servicer, the borrower has entered
into an agreement with a third party for a loan assumption and
subsequent asset sale. Servicer commentary notes the associated
transaction documents are being reviewed by all parties with
closing expected to occur in Q2 2025.
Morningstar DBRS was unable to confirm the potential sale price of
the property; however, the property was most recently appraised in
May 2024 at $190.0 million, which represented a 29.3% increase from
the August 2021 appraised value of $146.9 million and an 18.5%
decline from the issuance appraised value of $233.0 million. In its
previous analysis of the loan, Morningstar DBRS applied an
increased probability of default (POD) penalty to the loan to
reflect the uncertainty surrounding the asset's use as a migrant
shelter and the future prospects of the property following the
expiration of the agreement. Given the positive developments
regarding the pending loan repayment, Morningstar DBRS has removed
the adjustment in its current analysis, with a resulting loan
expected loss (EL) below the overall EL for the pool.
The loan of most concern, Meridian at North (2.8% of the pool
balance), is secured by a two-building office property in downtown
Indianapolis. The loan was added to the servicer's watchlist in
March 2025 after the former second largest tenant, Centene
Management Company, LLC (26.7% of the net rentable area (NRA)),
vacated at lease expiration in January 2025, bringing the occupancy
rate to 73.3% from 100.0%. The tenant was the sole occupant at the
550 North Meridan Street property and contributed $1.7 million in
annual rental revenue. Additional tenant rollover risk includes the
third largest tenant, Indiana Department of Child Services (24.5%
of the NRA), which has an upcoming lease expiration in May 2025.
The servicer has confirmed, however, the tenant executed a
short-term, six-month extension through November 2025 as long-term
lease renewal negotiations remain ongoing. The tenant contributes
$1.3 million in annual rental revenue.
The largest tenant at the property remains Hall Render (31.0% of
the NRA), which has a lease expiry in March 2031 and uses the
subject as its headquarters. Morningstar DBRS previously noted a
portion of this space (6.2% of the NRA) was currently dark with an
additional 4.1% of NRA subleased. In its analysis for this review,
Morningstar DBRS was unable to receive confirmation on the current
utilization of the space; however, Hall Render continues to pay
rent as agreed on all leased space with total annual rental revenue
of $1.7 million. According to YE2024 financial reporting, the
property generated net cash flow (NCF) of $3.3 million, resulting
in a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.96 times (x). The
figures compare similarly with the YE2023 metrics of $3.2 million
and 1.90x, respectively; however, performance is expected to
decrease given the increased vacancy rate.
According to May 2025 servicer reporting, there is $1.5 million in
the leasing reserve, equating to approximately $16.00 per square
foot (psf) of available funds for the currently vacant space. Given
necessary tenant buildout costs to execute new leases are likely
greater than $16.00 psf, the borrower may be required to fund
additional leasing costs out of pocket or from free cash flow to
back fill vacancy. Morningstar DBRS also notes the increased
vacancy risk in the submarket as a potential impediment for the
borrower, as according to Reis Q1 2025 data, the vacancy rate for
office properties in the Central Indianapolis submarket was
elevated at 23.2%, and the vacancy rate is expected to remain above
22.0% through loan maturity in 2028. While Morningstar DBRS expects
the loan to remain current, given the increased vacancy rate and
lower projected cash flow, Morningstar DBRS applied an elevated POD
adjustment to the loan, resulting in a loan EL approximately three
times greater than the EL for the pool.
At issuance, Morningstar DBRS assigned investment-grade shadow
ratings to the Aventura Mall (Prospectus ID#2; 5.7% of the pool
balance), Christiana Mall (Prospectus ID#3; 5.7% of the pool
balance), and 2747 Park Boulevard (Prospectus ID#8; 2.9% of the
pool balance) loans. With this review, Morningstar DBRS confirms
the performance of these loans remains in line with the
investment-grade shadow ratings.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WELLS FARGO 2019-JWDR: Fitch Affirms 'Bsf' Rating on Class F Debt
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded three classes and affirmed three class
of Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2019-JWDR (WFCM
2019-JWDR). Fitch has also assigned Stable Outlooks to the three
upgraded classes. The Outlooks are Positive for two affirmed
classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
WFCM 2019-JWDR
A 95002NAA5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95002NAG2 LT AAAsf Upgrade AAsf
C 95002NAJ6 LT AAsf Upgrade Asf
D 95002NAL1 LT Asf Upgrade BBBsf
E 95002NAN7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
F 95002NAQ0 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Improved Performance and Cash Flow: The upgrades reflect the
sustained post-pandemic performance improvement of the property
compared with issuance and strong asset quality.
The Positive Outlooks on classes E and F reflect possible further
upgrades with continued performance improvement and expected
property-level cash flow growth. While the collateral has
experienced higher average daily rate (ADR) and revenue per
available room (RevPAR) in 2023, 2024, and for the TTM March 2025
period as compared with issuance, it has historically been heavily
reliant on group business and demand that may be affected by a
slowing macroeconomy and reduced consumer spending. Fitch will
continue to monitor the property's performance and refinance
expectations given the loan's maturity date in September 2026.
Strong Asset Quality: The JW Marriott Phoenix Desert Ridge Resort &
Spa is a 950-room, full-service, high-quality destination resort
hotel situated on approximately 396 acres in the Sonoran Desert in
Arizona. Property amenities include over 235,000 sf of indoor and
outdoor meeting and event facilities; two 18-hole golf courses
designed by Nick Faldo and Arnold Palmer; a 28,000-sf, full-service
spa; fitness center; seven food and beverage (F&B) outlets; five
pools, including a lazy river; as well as tennis courts,
hiking/biking trails and pickle ball courts. Fitch assigned a
property quality grade of 'A-' at issuance. The hotel was closed
due to the pandemic between March and June of 2020.
Fitch Net Cash Flow: The servicer-reported YE 2024 property net
cash flow (NCF) improved to $60.5 million from $54.3 million at YE
2023, $44.3 million at YE 2022, and $18.3 million at YE 2021.
Fitch's updated sustainable NCF of $46.6 million, which is 27.5%
above Fitch's NCF of $36.6 million at issuance, relied upon the
most recent financial reporting as of YE 2024 for the analysis. The
current Fitch NCF incorporates the TTM March 2025 occupancy of
64.7%, which remains below issuance occupancy of 69.5%, and a 10%
stress to the TTM March 2025 ADR. In addition, Fitch normalized
Food and Beverage (F&B) and Other Income revenue items to be
consistent with historical levels and inflated the YE 2024
insurance expense by 10%.
According to the TTM March 2025 STR report, occupancy, ADR, and
RevPAR were 64.7%, $350.21, and $226.74, respectively, compared
with 65.9%, $348.75, and $229.88 as of TTM December 2024; 63.8%,
$336.95, and $214.95 as of TTM March 2024; 62.2%, $323.63, and
$201.36 as of TTM March 2023; and 69%, $253.03 and $174.60 as of
TTM July 2019 at the time of issuance.
The hotel reported TTM March 2025 respective occupancy, ADR, and
RevPAR penetration ratios of 105.1%, 88.9%, and 93.4%,
respectively.
Fitch Leverage: The $403.0 million trust debt represents a
Fitch-stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio of 1.16x and 90.8%, respectively, compared with 0.91x
and 115.8% at issuance. Fitch's cap rate is 10.5%.
Loan Maturity: The loan is a seven-year, fixed-rate loan that
matures in September 2026.
Sponsorship and Management: Sponsorship is a joint venture between
Elliott Management Corporation and Trinity Real Estate Investments
LLC. Marriott International, Inc. (Marriott) directly manages the
property, which is not subject to a franchise agreement. A
management agreement with Marriott is in place through December
2027, with five 10-year extension options.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior bonds are not likely due to the high level of
recoverability based on the high quality of the property as well as
the low leverage at the higher rating categories.
Downgrades to the junior bonds are also not expected given the
improved performance since the pandemic compared to issuance, but
possible if the cash flow declines significantly and recovery is
not expected. Potential headwinds for the hotel sector, including
high gas prices and airfares, reduced flights, increased labor
costs and staffing shortages, could impact cash flow and lead to
potential Outlook revisions and/or downgrades. Downgrades are more
likely if the loan is not expected to refinance at the maturity
date, and/or defaults and value declines are determined to be
prolonged or permanent.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Possible upgrades to classes E and F will occur with sustained
performance improvement and property-level cash flow growth. In
considering upgrades, Fitch may also consider the amount of
leverage at each rating category, including debt per key, relative
to the loan's recovery, and refinanceability.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WELLS FARGO 2025-NYCH: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on E Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2025-NYCH (the Certificates) to be issued by Wells Fargo Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2025-NYCH (NYCH Portfolio Trust):
-- Class A at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B at (P) AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at (P) BB (sf)
-- Class HRR at (P) BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The NYCH Portfolio Trust transaction is secured by the borrower's
fee-simple interests in seven hospitality properties across the
Manhattan, New York, market. The portfolio totals 1,087 keys and
includes three properties that operate under the Hilton brand
family and four properties that operate under the IHG brand family.
The portfolio only includes one full-service hotel, the Holiday Inn
Wall Street (113 keys), while the rest of the properties are
limited service (975 keys). The properties within the portfolio
were constructed between 2003 and 2009 with a weighted-average (WA)
year built of 2008 and a WA year renovated of 2018. The entirety of
the portfolio was renovated in 2017, with only the Candlewood
Suites getting additional renovations in 2020. While there have
been no extensive renovations since, the sponsor has continued to
put money into each of the properties on an as-needed basis. From
2022 to 2024, the sponsor put in $3.7 million ($3,388 per key). The
loan is currently structured with $5.0 million in reserves that
will be used to continue small upgrades throughout the properties
as needed but there are no major renovations planned for any one
hotel.
The largest properties by Morningstar DBRS Net Cash Flow (NCF) are
the Holiday Inn Express Times Square, which accounts for 20.8% of
the Morningstar DBRS NCF and 210 keys; the Candlewood Suites Times
Square, which represents 19.4% of the Morningstar DBRS NCF and 188
keys; and the Hampton Inn Times Square, which represents 18.4% of
the Morningstar DBRS NCF and 184 keys. No other property accounts
for more than 15.1% of the NCF. Three of the properties are located
within the Times Square neighborhood of Midtown Manhattan,
accounting for 582 keys; two properties are located within the
Financial District of Manhattan, accounting for 225 keys; one hotel
is located within the Chelsea neighborhood, accounting for 144
keys; and the final hotel is located within the Madison Square
Garden area of Manhattan, accounting for 136 keys. All of the
properties are well located within New York and provide access to a
number of demand drivers.
The portfolio has seen a strong recovery since the COVID-19
pandemic, which saw major disruptions to travel both nationally and
globally. While the portfolio has not fully recovered in terms of
occupancy since the pre-pandemic levels, revenue per available room
(RevPAR) has seen a steady return with an increase in the average
daily rate (ADR) for a number of the properties. In 2019, the
portfolio had a WA occupancy of 96.2% and an ADR of $202.78, which
resulted in a RevPAR of $195.15. Portfolio occupancy started to
pick back up by 2022 when the WA occupancy was 71.3%, which
represents a 69.4% increase over the low of 42.1% in 2020. This
trend continued throughout the past few years and occupancy has now
reached a WA of 86.2% as of the April 2025 trailing 12-month (T-12)
period, which shows a 2.98% increase over the YE2024 occupancy. ADR
within the same period has seen a decrease to $227.54 from $229.19,
which represents a -0.72% decrease over the YE2024 figure. In
total, RevPAR has increased 2.24% in April 2025 from the YE2024
figures, with a T-12 2025 figure of $196.18. Each of the properties
has seen an increase in the overall RevPAR when compared with the
YE2024 figures. The Morningstar DBRS-concluded occupancy of 85.4%
and concluded ADR of $226.39 amount to a RevPAR figure of $13.48,
accounting for the above-mentioned decrease. This represents a
0.16% decrease from the March T-12 RevPAR figure of $193.80.
The mortgage loan proceeds of $235.0 million with an additional
$45.0 million of sponsor equity will be used to repay $270.0
million of existing debt, fund a capital expenditure reserve, and
cover closing costs. The two-year, floating-rate (one-month term
Secured Overnight Financing Rate plus 395 basis points (bps))
interest-only mortgage loan has three one-year extension options.
The borrower is required to enter into an interest rate cap with a
strike price resulting in a debt service coverage ratio that is no
less than 1.10 times.
The sponsor for this transaction is Mack Real Estate Group (MREG)
and the property will be managed by the Hersha Hospitality Group
(Hersha Hospitality). MREG is a New York-based real estate group
that was founded in 2013. The group has extensive experience in the
New York City market. Hersha Hospitality has experience in managing
hotels of the same flags as the collateral.
The approximate As-Is Aggregate appraised value for the portfolio
is $407.3 million, which equates to an Issuer Loan-to-Value (LTV)
of 57.7%. The Morningstar DBRS-concluded value of $303.9 million
represents a 25.4% discount from the appraised value and results in
a Morningstar DBRS whole-loan LTV of 77.3%, which is considered to
be high leverage financing. The Morningstar DBRS-concluded value is
based on a capitalization rate (cap rate) of 8.53%, which is
approximately 202 bps higher than the appraised value implied cap
rate of 6.51%.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WFRBS COMMERCIAL 2014-C20: Moody's Cuts Rating on Cl. B Certs to B3
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on two classes in WFRBS
Commercial Mortgage Trust 2014-C20 as follows:
Cl. B, Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Jan 12, 2024 Downgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Jan 12, 2024 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on two P&I classes were downgraded due to higher
anticipated losses and interest shortfall risks as a result of the
significant exposure to specially serviced loans. All of the six
remaining loans (100% of the pool) are in special servicing and
have been deemed non-recoverable by the master servicer as of the
May 2025 remittance date. As a result of the non-recoverability
determination, no principal or interest proceeds have been
distributed to the outstanding P&I classes since March 2025. Cl. B
and Cl. C have accumulated interest shortfalls, and Moody's expects
interest shortfalls to further accumulate until one or more of the
remaining loans are resolved. The actions also reflect the risk of
higher potential losses given the significant delinquency status
and distressed performance of the remaining loans.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 57.3% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 21.9% at Moody's last reviews.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 16.8% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 14.6% at the last review.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-backed
Securitizations" published in January 2025.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 100% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determines a
probability of default for each specially serviced loan and
estimate a loss given default based on a review of broker's
opinions of value (if available), other information from the
special servicer, available market data and Moody's internal data.
The loss given default for each loan also takes into consideration
repayment of servicer advances to date, estimated future advances
and closing costs. Translating the probability of default and loss
given default into an expected loss estimate, Moody's then apply
the aggregate loss from specially serviced to the most junior
classes and the recovery as a pay down of principal to the most
senior classes.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, loan concentration, an
increase in realized and expected losses from specially serviced
and troubled loans or interest shortfalls.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the May 16, 2025 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance has decreased by 86.3% to $172
million from $1.25 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by six mortgage loans. All the remaining loans are
in special servicing and have been deemed non-recoverable by the
master servicer. As of the May 2025 remittance date the cumulative
interest shortfalls were $22.2 million impacting up to Cl. B.
Moody's anticipates interest shortfalls will continue due to the
exposure to specially serviced loans. Interest shortfalls are
caused by special servicing fees, including workout and liquidation
fees, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs), loan modifications
and extraordinary trust expenses.
Four loans have been liquidated from the pool, resulting in an
aggregate realized loss of $111.8 million (for an average loss
severity of 67%). The largest loss was from the Woodbridge Center
Loan, which was liquidated in March 2024 with a realized loss of
$80.9 million (a loss severity of 70% based on the disposition
balance).
The largest specially serviced loan is the Sugar Creek I & II Loan
($57.4 million – 33.4% of the pool), which is secured by two
adjacent, eight-story office buildings totaling 409,168 square feet
(SF) located in Sugarland, Texas, 20 miles southwest of the Houston
CBD. The asset is also encumbered with $8.6 million of mezzanine
financing held outside the trust, which is currently in default.
Sugar Creek-I was constructed in 2000 and Sugar Creek-II was
constructed in 2008. Collateral for the loan also includes a
four-story 1,198-space parking garage in addition to 326 surface
parking spaces. The property was 36% occupied as of the first
quarter of 2025 after the largest tenant, Noble Drilling Services
Inc. (16% of the net rentable area (NRA)) vacated at their lease
expiration in December 2024. As of the May 2025 remittance
statement, the loan was last paid through its May 2024 payment
date. The most recent appraisal value of the property from October
2024 was 56% below the outstanding loan amount causing an appraisal
reduction amount (ARA) of approximately 68% of the outstanding
balance as of the May 2025 remittance report. The property became
real estate owned (REO) in February 2023.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Worldgate Center
Loan ($51.9 million – 30.1% of the pool), which is secured by a
229,326 SF shopping center in Herndon, Virginia. The collateral for
the loan also includes a two-level subterranean parking garage and
surface parking totaling 1,170 parking spaces. As of December 2024,
the property was 100% leased and is anchored by Worldgate Athletic
Club & Spa (46% of NRA) and AMC Worldgate 9 Theaters (17% of NRA).
The loan previously transferred to special servicing in June 2020
due to the coronavirus impact on the property, however, the loan
was returned to the master servicer in August 2020 without a
modification and was brought current in September 2020. The loan
transferred to special servicing again in January 2024, prior to
its scheduled maturity in May 2024. A forbearance agreement was
executed in July 2024, extending the loan to July 2026, with an
option for an extension to July 2027, contingent upon property
performance criteria. However, the loan went into payment default
under the forbearance on the January 2025 payment date and the loan
was last paid through its December 2024 payment date as of the May
2025 remittance statement. The most recent appraisal value of the
property from October 2024 was 50% below the outstanding loan
amount causing an ARA of approximately 54% of the outstanding
balance as of the May 2025 remittance report. The special servicer
is currently working with the borrower on consensual receivership.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Savoy Retail &
60th Street Residential Loan ($30.1 million -- 17.5% of the pool),
which is secured by a mixed-use retail and residential development
located on Third Avenue between 60th Street and 61st Street in New
York, New York. The collateral includes the Savoy Retail Condo and
60th Street Residential. The retail portion is comprised of
approximately 36,000 SF of retail space and approximately 12,000 SF
of subterranean garage containing 70 spaces. 60th Street
Residential is comprised of four abutting 4-story walk-up
residential buildings. As of September 2024, the total collateral
was reported to be 54% leased compared to 75% in December 2020 and
87% at year-end 2019. The loan transferred to special servicing in
June 2023 due to imminent monetary default and was last paid
through the February 2024 payment date. Special servicer commentary
indicates that they continue to engage in negotiations regarding a
potential assumption while dual tracking foreclosure proceedings.
The remaining specially serviced loans (19.0% of the pool) are
secured by two suburban office properties located in Bethesda,
Maryland and Kennesaw, Georgia, that have had a decline in
performance due to lower occupancy and one single-tenant retail
property in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Moody's have estimated an
aggregate loss of $98.6 million (a 57% expected loss on average)
from the specially serviced loans.
[] DBRS Hikes 3 Credit Ratings on 4 GLS Auto Issuer Trust
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. upgraded three credit ratings and confirmed 15 credit
ratings on four GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust and two GLS Auto
Select Receivables Trust transactions as detailed in the summary
chart below.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/44fRDYr
The Issuers are:
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2023-1
GLS Auto Select Receivables Trust 2024-4
GLS Auto Select Receivables Trust 2024-1
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2020-4
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2020-3
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2023-4
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- For GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2020-3 and GLS Auto
Receivables Issuer Trust 2020-4, losses are tracking below
Morningstar DBRS' initial base case CNL expectations. The current
level of hard credit enhancement and estimated excess spread are
sufficient to support the Morningstar DBRS' projected remaining
cumulative net loss assumptions at multiples of coverage
commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- For GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2023-1 and GLS Auto
Receivables Issuer Trust 2023-4, losses are tracking above
Morningstar DBRS' initial base case CNL expectation. However, due
to the transaction structures, credit enhancement has increased for
all classes mitigating the weaker than expected collateral
performance. The current level of hard credit enhancement and
estimated future excess spread are sufficient to support the
Morningstar DBRS' projected remaining cumulative net loss
assumptions at multiples of coverage commensurate with the credit
ratings.
-- For GLS Auto Select Receivables Trust 2024-1 and GLS Auto
Select Receivables Trust 2024-4, losses are tracking in line with
Morningstar DBRS' initial base case CNL expectations. The current
level of hard credit enhancement and estimated excess spread are
sufficient to support the Morningstar DBRS' projected remaining
cumulative net loss assumptions at multiples of coverage
commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- The transaction capital structures and form and sufficiency of
available CE.
-- The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originating, underwriting, and servicing.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update," published on March 26, 2025. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance (April 10, 2025).
[] DBRS Reviews 132 Classes From 24 US RMBS Transactions
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 132 classes from twenty-four U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. The reviewed
transactions are classified as Non-Qualified Mortgages. Of the 132
classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS upgraded its credit ratings on
51 classes and confirmed its credit ratings on the remaining 81
classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/4n1hfQ4
The Issuers are:
CIM Trust 2023-I2
MFA 2022-INV2 Trust
MFA 2021-NQM2 Trust
MFA 2022-CHM1 Trust
PRKCM 2023-AFC2 Trust
CHNGE Mortgage Trust 2023-3
Verus Securitization Trust 2021-5
PRPM 2024-NQM2 Trust
Arroyo Mortgage Trust 2022-2
CHNGE Mortgage Trust 2022-1
CHNGE Mortgage Trust 2022-3
CHNGE Mortgage Trust 2022-2
CHNGE Mortgage Trust 2022-4
Imperial Fund Mortgage Trust 2022-NQM1
Imperial Fund Mortgage Trust 2021-NQM4
Imperial Fund Mortgage Trust 2021-NQM3
Angel Oak Mortgage Trust 2019-4
A&D Mortgage Trust 2024-NQM3
Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2020-1
Bunker Hill Loan Depositary Trust 2019-2
Deephaven Residential Mortgage Trust 2022-3
Imperial Fund Mortgage Trust 2021-NQM2
Imperial Fund Mortgage Trust 2022-NQM6
Bravo Residential Funding Trust 2021-NQM2
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating upgrades reflect a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level.
The credit rating confirmations reflect asset-performance and
credit-support levels that are consistent with the current credit
ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update" published on March 26, 2025
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/450604). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted. The
principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings is the U.S.
RMBS Surveillance Methodology (June 28, 2024).
[] DBRS Reviews 19 Classes From 9 US RMBS Transactions
------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 19 classes from nine U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. The reviewed
transactions are classified as ReREMICs of legacy RMBS. Morningstar
DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on 19 classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/3ZSpVi7
The Issuers are:
MASTR Resecuritization Trust 2008-3
Deutsche Mortgage Securities, Inc. REMIC Trust, Series 2008-RS2
CSMC Series 2013-9R
CSMC Series 2015-6R
Financial Asset Securities Corp. AAA Trust 2005-2
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2010-2
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-11
CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust Resecuritization 2008-3R
Deutsche ALT-A Securities, Inc. Re-REMIC Trust, Series 2007-RS1
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating confirmations reflect asset-performance and
credit-support levels that are consistent with the current credit
ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update" published on March 26, 2025
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/450604). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in US dollars unless otherwise noted.
[] DBRS Reviews 38 Classes in 4 US RMBS Transactions
----------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 38 classes in four U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. Of the four
transactions reviewed, each of which are classified as reperforming
mortgage, manufactured housing, home equity line of credit or
single-family rental. Of the 38 classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS
upgraded its credit ratings on 25 classes and confirmed its credit
ratings on the remaining 13 classes.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating upgrades reflect positive performance trends and
increases in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
their new credit rating levels. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset-performance and credit-support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update" published on March 26, 2025
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/450604). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published on
June 28, 2024 or "Rating and Monitoring U.S. Single-Family Rental
Securitizations," published on September 30, 2024.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
[] DBRS Reviews 934 Classes From 26 US RMBS Transactions
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 934 classes from 26 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. The reviewed deals
are classified as prime mortgage transactions. Of the 934 classes
reviewed, Morningstar DBRS upgraded its credit ratings on 27
classes and confirmed its credit ratings on 907 classes.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/3ST1JrQ
The Issuers are:
OBX 2021-J2 Trust
CIM Trust 2019-J1
OBX 2020-EXP3 Trust
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2021-4
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-1
CIM Trust 2019-J2
CIM Trust 2020-J1
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2021-6INV
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-2
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-5
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2017-1
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-4
Mello Mortgage Capital Acceptance 2021-MTG3
OBX 2018-EXP2 Trust
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2023-4
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2022-7
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2023-6
Shellpoint Co-Originator Trust 2015-1
Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-7
Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2019-1
Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-8
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-INV2
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2020-PJ5
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-PJ7
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2020-PJ4
Mello Mortgage Capital Acceptance 2021-INV1
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit rating upgrades reflect a positive performance trend and
an increase in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
the new credit rating level. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2025 Update" published on March 26, 2025
(https://dbrs.morningstar.com/research/450604). These baseline
macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate and
adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
The credit rating actions are the result of Morningstar DBRS'
application of its "U.S. RMBS Surveillance Methodology," published
on June 28, 2024.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted. The
principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings is the U.S.
RMBS Surveillance Methodology (June 28, 2024).
[] Moody's Takes Action 44 Bonds From 13 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 43 bonds and downgraded
the rating of one bond from 13 US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by Subprime and Alt-A mortgages issued
by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2006-HE1
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-5, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2006-HE2
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2007-HE1
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2007-HE2
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 21, 2014
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: HSI Asset Securitization Corporation Trust 2007-NC1
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 13, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: IndyMac INDX Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-AR13
Cl. A-3, Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 30, 2010
Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Alternative Loan Trust 2006-A3
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 14, 2015
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Alternative Loan Trust 2006-A7
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Trust 2006-WF1
Cl. A-3-A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3-B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-6, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jan 12, 2016
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Home Equity Loan Trust 2007-1
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 15, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 15, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 15, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-2AX
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-5AX
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-7AX
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Action on 32 Bonds from 14 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 21 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of 11 bonds from 14 US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A and Subprime mortgages issued
by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GSAA Home Equity Trust 2005-1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 11, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 28, 2017
Upgraded to B2 (sf)
Issuer: GSAA Home Equity Trust 2005-MTR1
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 19, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2005-HE5
Cl. M-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2017
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 4, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2006-HE2
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2017 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Homebanc Mortgage Trust 2005-5
Cl. A-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2019
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. A-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2019
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Trust 2006-NC1
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Trust 2006-NC2
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-WL3
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Dec 12, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. II-A4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 17, 2018
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Popular ABS Mortgage Pass-Through Trust 2006-A
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 25, 2015 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jul 21, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2005-EFC5 Trust
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 6, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: RASC Series 2006-KS7 Trust
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jun 29, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 6, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Soundview Home Loan Trust 2004-1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 13, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 27, 2013
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 27, 2013
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 1, 2015
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-6, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 23, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-7, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 23, 2018
Upgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. M-9, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 13, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Soundview Home Loan Trust 2006-OPT1
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2017 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Securities Corp Trust 2005-WF4
Cl. M7, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded to
Aa1 (sf)
Cl. M8, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Feb 6, 2024 Upgraded to
Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M9, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Most of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
The majority of the downgraded bonds also have a weak interest
recoupment mechanism where missed interest payments will likely
result in a permanent interest loss. Unpaid interest owed to bonds
with weak interest recoupment mechanisms are reimbursed
sequentially based on bond priority, from excess interest, if
available, and often only after the overcollateralization has built
to a pre-specified target amount. In transactions where
overcollateralization has already been reduced or depleted due to
poor performance, any such missed interest payments to these bonds
is unlikely to be repaid. The size and length of the outstanding
interest shortfalls were considered in Moody's analysis.
The rating upgrades on Class M-7 and M-8 of Structured Asset
Securities Corp Trust 2005-WF4, Class I-A of Long Beach Mortgage
Loan Trust 2006-WL3, Class M-4 of RAMP Series 2005-EFC5 Trust and
Class M-1 of RASC Series 2006-KS7 are a result of an increase in
credit enhancement available to the bonds. Credit enhancement grew
by 9.6% on average for these bonds upgraded over the past 12
months.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Action on 35 Bonds From 11 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 32 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of three bonds from 11 US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by option ARM, Alt-A, subprime and
resecuritized mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Ameriquest Mortgage Securities Inc., Series 2005-R1
Cl. M-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 13, 2019
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 14, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 14, 2013 Affirmed C
(sf)
Issuer: CSMC 2008-1R
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 18, 2011
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: DSLA Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-AR5
Cl. 1-A1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 3, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A1B, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Dec 3, 2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Issuer: HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-1
Cl. 1A-1B, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Dec 5, 2010 Downgraded to C (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Cl. 2A-1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 8, 2016
Upgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 2A-1B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: IMC Home Equity Loan Trust 1998-5
B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 9, 2011 Downgraded to C
(sf)
M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 18, 2018 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 9, 2011 Downgraded to
C (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Corp. 2006-WMC3
Cl. A-1MZ, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: New Century Home Equity Loan Trust, Series 2005-D
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 10, 2017
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 1, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Newcastle Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-1
Cl. M-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 27, 2018
Upgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 19, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 19, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Nomura Asset Acceptance Corporation, Alternative Loan
Trust, Series 2007-1
Cl. I-A-1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 18, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. I-A-1B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 18, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. I-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 2, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. I-A-3, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Sep 2, 2010 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Cl. I-A-4, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Sep 2, 2010 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Cl. I-A-5, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Sep 2, 2010 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Cl. I-A-6, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Apr 18, 2013 Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 2, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 2, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 2, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 2, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Saxon Asset Securities Trust 2006-2
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 2, 2015 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Terwin Mortgage Trust 2007-6ALT
Cl. A-2, Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on
Oct 15, 2010 Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed at A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
The rating downgrades are the result of outstanding credit interest
shortfalls that are unlikely to be recouped. The downgraded bonds
have a weak interest recoupment mechanism where missed interest
payments will likely result in a permanent interest loss. Unpaid
interest owed to bonds with weak interest recoupment mechanisms are
reimbursed sequentially based on bond priority, from excess
interest, if available, and often only after the
overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target amount.
In transactions where overcollateralization has already been
reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid. The size
and length of the outstanding interest shortfalls were considered
in Moody's analysis.
In addition, the rating actions on the bonds from the
resecuritization transaction, CSMC 2008-1R, reflect the rating
actions on the bonds underlying that transaction.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all deals except CSMC
2008-1R was "US Residential Mortgage-backed Securitizations:
Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Action on 41 Bonds from 10 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 29 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of 12 bonds from ten US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A and subprime mortgages issued
by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Asset Backed Securities Corporation Home Equity Loan Trust
AEG 2006-HE1
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 10, 2016
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 12, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Citicorp Residential Mortgage Trust Series 2006-2
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jun 1, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2004-12
Cl. MF-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 24, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. MF-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 2, 2023 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. MF-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2012
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. MF-4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2012
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. MV-5, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. MV-6, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2012
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2005-1
Cl. MF-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 13, 2016
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. MF-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 3, 2023 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. MF-4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Cl. MV-8, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 12, 2013 Affirmed
C (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2005-IM1
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 4, 2018
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2004-13CB
Cl. A-3, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 15, 2024
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. A-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 15, 2024
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. PO, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 15, 2024
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2005-54CB
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-2*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-6, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-7, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2016
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-9, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-10, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-11, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-7, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-13, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. PO, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: GSAA Home Equity Trust 2005-8
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 21, 2019
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 11, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2005-HE3
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Cl. M-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 7, 2019
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley ABS Capital I Inc. Trust 2006-NC1
Cl. M-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2018
Upgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jul 15, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools, and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectation for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or are
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
Some of the rating downgrades are due to outstanding interest
shortfalls on the bonds that are not expected to be recouped. These
bonds have weak interest recoupment mechanisms where missed
interest payments will likely result in a permanent interest loss.
Unpaid interest owed to bonds with weak interest recoupment
mechanisms are reimbursed sequentially based on bond priority, from
excess interest, if available, and often only after the
overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target amount.
In transactions where overcollateralization has already been
reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 19 Bonds from 6 US RMBS Deals
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 16 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of three bonds from six US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime, Alt-A and option arm
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bear Stearns ALT-A Trust 2007-3
Cl. I-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: HarborView Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-5
Cl. 1-A1A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A1A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A1B, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 5, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. X-1*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Feb 13, 2019
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: IndyMac Home Equity Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Trust, SPMD
2004-C
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 21, 2019
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2011
Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 20, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-7, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-8, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-9, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: IndyMac INDX Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-FLX2
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 1, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Securitized Asset Backed Receivables LLC Trust 2004-NC1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2023 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 4, 2011
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Issuer: Soundview Home Loan Trust 2007-NS1, Asset-Backed
Certificates, Series 2007-NS1
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Apr 7, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
Most of the rating downgrades are the result of outstanding credit
interest shortfalls that are unlikely to be recouped. Each of these
downgraded bonds has a weak interest recoupment mechanism where
missed interest payments will likely result in a permanent interest
loss. Unpaid interest owed to bonds with weak interest recoupment
mechanisms are reimbursed sequentially based on bond priority, from
excess interest, if available, and often only after the
overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target amount.
In transactions where overcollateralization has already been
reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid. The size
and length of the outstanding interest shortfalls were considered
in Moody's analysis.
The rating upgrade for Cl. A-4 from Soundview Home Loan Trust
2007-NS1, Asset-Backed Certificates, Series 2007-NS1 is a result of
the improving performance of the related pool and an increase in
credit enhancement available to this bond. Credit enhancement grew
by 10.1% for this bond over the past 12 months.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Rating Action on 29 Bonds from 10 US RMBS Deals
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 19 bonds and downgraded
the ratings of ten bonds from ten US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime mortgages issued by
multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Argent Securities Inc., Series 2004-W3
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 2, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 2, 2023
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Ambac Assurance Corporation (Segregated
Account - Unrated)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 18, 2011
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Argent Securities Inc., Series 2005-W3
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 12, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Chase Funding Trust, Series 2004-1
Cl. IIA-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Mar 26, 2014
Downgraded to A3 (sf)
Cl. IM-1, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2011 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. IM-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 7, 2011
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Equifirst Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Cl. M-6, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-7, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 28, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-8, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 28, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. M-9, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Equifirst Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-3
Cl. M-5, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-6, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-7, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 28, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-8, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-9, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 5, 2013 Affirmed C
(sf)
Issuer: IXIS Real Estate Capital Trust 2004-HE4
Cl. M-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 18, 2011
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. M-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Mar 18, 2011
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Corp. 2005-FLD1
Cl. M-6, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 20, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-7, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 20, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-4
Cl. I-A1, Downgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Sep 28, 2004
Assigned Aaa (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Assured Guaranty Inc. (Affirmed A1, Outlook
Stable on July 10, 2024)
Issuer: Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-1
Cl. M-4, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 17, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 17, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M-6, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2013 Affirmed C
(sf)
Issuer: Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-WL2
Cl. M-3, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 17, 2018
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 17, 2018 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, and Moody's updated loss expectations on
the underlying pools.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change (both upgrades and
downgrades) have either incurred a missed or delayed disbursement
of an interest payment or is currently, or expected to become,
undercollateralized, which may sometimes be reflected by a
reduction in principal (a write-down). Moody's expectations of
loss-given-default assesses losses experienced and expected future
losses as a percent of the original bond balance.
Some of these same bonds have a weak interest recoupment mechanism
where missed interest payments will likely result in a permanent
interest loss. Unpaid interest owed to bonds with weak interest
recoupment mechanisms are reimbursed sequentially based on bond
priority, from excess interest, if available, and often only after
the overcollateralization has built to a pre-specified target
amount. In transactions where overcollateralization has already
been reduced or depleted due to poor performance, any such missed
interest payments to these bonds is unlikely to be repaid. The size
and length of the outstanding interest shortfalls were considered
in Moody's analysis.
The rating action for Long Beach Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-4 is
driven by the fact that the collateral pools backing the
transaction has decreased to an effective number below the
threshold established in the US RMBS Surveillance Methodology.
Moody's do not maintain ratings on US RMBS securities in a
structure where the effective number of borrowers has reduced below
the threshold. However, Cl. I-A1 has the benefit of support
provided by a certificate guarantee. For structured finance
securities with third party support, the rating applied is the
higher of the support provider's rating and the rating without any
consideration of the third-party support. The rating downgrade for
Cl. I-A1 reflects the rating of the support provider, Assured
Guaranty Inc.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 12 Bonds from 9 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 12 bonds from nine US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A,
option ARM, scratch and dent, and subprime mortgages issued by
multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2006-6
Cl. A1-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 22, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2005-AB5
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2016
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2005-45
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Upgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2005-82
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2006-J7
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2007-AL1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 27, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2005-NC1
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: GSR Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-OA2
Cl. 2A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Truman Capital Mortgage Loan Trust 2002-2
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 13 Bonds from 3 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 13 bonds from three US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS). The collateral
backing these deals consists of prime jumbo and agency eligible
mortgage loans issued by GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-GR2
Cl. B, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded to
A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024
Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-PJ8
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-PJ2
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 3, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Aug 5, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structure, and Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools.
The transactions Moody's reviewed continue to display strong
collateral performance, with no or under .01% cumulative loss and a
small number of loans in delinquency. In addition, enhancement
levels for most tranches have grown significantly, as the pools
amortized. The credit enhancement for each tranche upgraded has
grown by, on average, 1.2x since closing.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features and credit enhancement.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 26 Bonds From 3 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 26 bonds from three US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: CWALT, Inc. Alternative Loan Trust 2007-22
Cl. 1-A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-10, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-11*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-12, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-13, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-14*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 1-X*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-8, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-9*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-10, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-12, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-13*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-14, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-15, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-16, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-18*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-19, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-X*, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2017
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. P-O, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 6, 2016 Confirmed
at Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-12XS
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Aug 12, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-15XS
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 4, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 27 Bonds from 8 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 27 bonds from eight US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Fremont Home Loan Trust 2006-B
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 18, 2011
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. SL-A, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jul 23, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Fremont Home Loan Trust 2006-D
Cl. 1-A1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Fremont Home Loan Trust 2006-E
Cl. 1-A1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A3, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. 2-A4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 29, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Soundview Home Loan Trust 2007-OPT5
Cl. I-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. X-1*, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. X-2*, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Oct 27, 2017
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: Washington Mutual Asset-Backed Certificates, WMABS Series
2006-HE4 Trust
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: Washington Mutual Asset-Backed Certificates, WMABS Series
2006-HE5 Trust
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jan 9, 2013
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-A-3, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Washington Mutual Asset-Backed Certificates, WMABS Series
2007-HE1 Trust
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Washington Mutual Asset-Backed Certificates, WMABS Series
2007-HE2 Trust
Cl. I-A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jul 16, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US Residential Mortgage-backed
Securitizations: Surveillance" published in December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 71 Bonds From 16 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 71 bonds from 16 US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime
mortgages issued by ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. HEL Tr 2007-HE4
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-ASAP5
Cl. A-1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-1B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-ASAP6
Cl. A-1A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-1B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-FM1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-FM2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-HE3
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-HE4
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2014
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-NC2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 14, 2012
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2006-NC3
Cl. A-1A, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-1B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Oct 10, 2013
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-ASAP1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-HE1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2014
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 16, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-HE2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Aug 2, 2012
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-HE3
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-HE5
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 19, 2013
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-WM1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2014
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2014
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2014
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Oct 2, 2014
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-WM2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectations of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] S&P Takes Various Actions on 196 Classes From 41 US RMBS Deals
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 196 classes from 41 U.S.
RMBS transactions and seven U.S. RMBS re-securitized real estate
mortgage investment conduits (re-REMIC) transactions issued between
2001 and 2010. The review yielded 81 affirmations, 22 downgrades,
six discontinuances, and 87 withdrawals.
A list of Affected Ratings can be viewed at:
https://tinyurl.com/58ymfjxv
Analytical Considerations
S&P incorporates various considerations into its decisions to
raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by its projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance or structural
characteristics (or both), and their potential effects on certain
classes. Some of these considerations may include:
-- Underlying collateral performance or delinquency trends;
-- Available subordination and/or overcollateralization;
-- Erosion of or increases in credit support;
-- A small loan count;
-- Historical and/or outstanding missed interest payments; and
-- Reduced interest payments due to loan modifications.
Rating Actions
S&P said, "The rating changes reflect our opinion regarding the
associated transaction-specific collateral performance and/or
structural characteristics, as well as the application of specific
criteria applicable to these classes.
"The rating affirmations reflect our opinion that our projected
credit support, collateral performance, and credit-related
reductions in interest on these classes have remained relatively
consistent with our prior projections.
"The downgrades due to interest shortfalls are consistent with our
"S&P Global Ratings Definitions," Dec. 2, 2024, which imposes a
maximum rating threshold on classes that have incurred missed
interest payments resulting from credit or liquidity erosion. In
applying our ratings definitions, we looked to see if the
applicable class received additional compensation beyond the
imputed interest due as direct economic compensation for the delay
in interest payments (e.g., interest on interest) and if the missed
interest payments will be repaid by the maturity date.
"In instances where the class does receive additional compensation
for outstanding interest shortfalls, our analysis considers the
likelihood that the missed interest payments, including the
capitalized interest, would be reimbursed under our various rating
scenarios. Four classes from one transaction were affected in this
review.
"We withdrew our ratings on 84 classes from 23 transactions
primarily due to the small number of loans remaining in the related
underlying group or structure. Once a pool has declined to a de
minimis amount, its future performance becomes more difficult to
project. As such, we believe there is a high degree of credit
instability that is incompatible with any rating level.
Additionally, we withdrew our ratings on two interest-only classes
after applying our interest-only criteria, "Global Methodology for
Rating Interest-Only Securities," April 15, 2010. We also withdrew
our rating on one principal-only class after applying our
principal-only criteria, "Methodology for Surveilling U.S. RMBS
Principal-Only Strip Securities for Pre-2009 Originations," Oct.
11, 2016.
"Lastly, we discontinued four ratings from four transactions that
had observed interest shortfalls or missed interest payments during
recent remittance periods. We had previously lowered our ratings on
these classes to 'D (sf)'because of principal losses, accumulated
interest shortfalls, missed interest payments, and/or
credit-related reductions in interest due to loan modifications. We
view a subsequent upgrade to a rating higher than 'D (sf)' to be
unlikely under the relevant criteria within this review. Two
classes from one transaction were also discontinued because their
balances were paid in full."
*********
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