/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/250209.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, February 9, 2025, Vol. 29, No. 39
Headlines
ACCELERATED 2021-1H: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Class D Notes
ACREC 2025-FL3: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Three Tranches
AGL CLO 37: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
AGL CLO 37: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $312,500 Class F Notes
APIDOS CLO LI: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
APIDOS CLO LI: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Class F Notes
ARES LOAN VIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
ARES LOAN VIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
ARES LVI CLO: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
BALLYROCK CLO 25: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on D-R Notes
BARROW HANLEY I: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
BARROW HANLEY I: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R Notes
BENCHMARK 2020-IG1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class C Certs to 'BB-sf'
BENEFIT STREET XXIX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
BMO 2023-C5: Fitch Affirms B-sf Rating on 2 Tranches
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM1: Fitch Assigns B Rating on B-2 Notes
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM1: Fitch Gives B(EXP) Rating on B-2 Notes
BX TRUST 2025-DIME: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. F Certs
CANYON CLO 2020-2: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
CFCRE 2016-C6: Fitch Lowers Rating on 2 Tranches to 'Csf
CHASE HOME 2025-1: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
CITIGROUP MORTGAGE 2025-1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to B-5 Certs
DBJPM 2020-C9: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'B-sf'
DEUTSCHE BANK 2011-LC3: Fitch Cuts Rating on PM-2 Certs to BB-
DIAMETER CAPITAL 9: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
EXETER AUTOMOBILE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns BB- Rating on Class E Notes
FS RIALTO 2025-FL10: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on 3 Tranches
GLS AUTO 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
GOLUB CAPITAL 77(B): Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
GREEN LAKES: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Cl. F Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ1: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
GS MORTGAGE 2025-RPL1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-CCM1: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-CES1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Certs
JP MORGAN 2025-CES1: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-2 Certs
MADISON PARK XXXVI: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $24MM E-RR Notes
MOSAIC SOLAR 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on D Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 31: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 46: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on E-R Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 59: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM1: Fitch Gives B-(EXP) Rating on B-2 Notes
OCEAN TRAILS XI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 40: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
OFSI BSL XII: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
PMT LOAN 2025-INV1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
PRET TRUST 2025-RPL1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class B2 Notes
RIVERBANK PARK CLO: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
SIXTH STREET XIII: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
TCW CLO 2019-2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R2 Notes
TOWD POINT 2025-CRM1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B2 Notes
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2025-INV1: S&P Assigns (P) B-(sf) on B-2 Notes
VITALITY RE XVI 2025: S&P Assigns 'B+(sf)' Rating to Class C Notes
WELLFLEET CLO 2024-2: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E Notes
WELLS FARGO 2025-5C3: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on G-RR Certs
WOODMONT 2022-10: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
[] Fitch Affirms 'B' Rating on Three HIN Timeshare, Outlook Stable
[] Fitch Withdraws Ratings on 53 Classes From 10 U.S. CDO Deals
[] Moody's Raises Ratings on 15 Bonds From 5 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Raises Ratings on 6 Bonds From 5 Scratch & Dent RMBS
[] Moody's Takes Action on 7 Bonds From 2 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 13 Bonds from 5 US RMBS Deals
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 19 Bonds From 6 U.S. RMBS Deals
*********
ACCELERATED 2021-1H: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Class D Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the outstanding notes of Accelerated
2021-1H LLC (AALLC 2021-1H). The Rating Outlooks remain Stable for
all classes of notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Accelerated 2021-1H
LLC
A 00439KAA4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 00439KAB2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 00439KAC0 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 00439KAD8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmation of the notes reflects default coverage levels
consistent with their current ratings. The Stable Outlook for all
classes of notes reflects Fitch's expectation that default coverage
levels will remain supportive of these ratings.
As of November 2024, the 61+ day delinquency rate is 3.26% (3.15%
in February 2024). Cumulative gross defaults (CGDs) are 23.21%
(19.02% in February 2024) and cumulative net losses are at 19.90%
(16.15% in February 2024), reflective as only a portion of defaults
have been repurchased. The option to repurchase defaulted loans is
capped at 35%.
This transaction is currently within initial expectations but is
projecting above the initial rating case of 24.00%. To account for
recent performance, Fitch revised the lifetime CGD proxy up to
29.00% from 27.00% at last year's review. The updated rating case
default proxy was conservatively derived using extrapolations based
on performance to date. The sponsor has the right, but not the
obligation, to repurchase defaulted loans, which would result in
lower losses on the transaction. Fitch's analysis does not give any
explicit credit to previously repurchased defaults when deriving
the CGD proxies.
Under Fitch's stressed cash flow assumptions, default coverages for
the class A, class B, class C and class D notes are able to support
multiples in excess of 3.00x, 2.25x, 1.50x and1.25x for 'AAAsf',
'Asf', 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf', respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
default levels higher than the current projected rating case
default proxy, and impact available default coverage and multiples
levels for the transaction.
Weakening asset performance is strongly correlated to increasing
levels of delinquencies and defaults that could negatively affect
credit enhancement (CE) levels. Lower default coverage could impact
ratings and Outlooks, depending on the extent of the decline in
coverage.
In Fitch's initial review of the transactions, the notes were found
to have limited sensitivity to a 1.5x and 2.0x increase of Fitch's
rating case default expectation. For this review, Fitch updated the
analysis of the impact of a 2.0x increase of the rating case
default expectation and the results suggest consistent ratings for
the outstanding notes and in the event of such a stress, these
notes could be downgraded by up to two rating categories.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and consideration
for potential upgrades. Fitch applied an up sensitivity, by
reducing the rating case proxy by 20%. The impact of reducing the
proxies by 20% from the current proxies could result in up to two
categories of upgrades or affirmations of ratings with stronger
multiples.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
unless otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means
ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact
on the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they
are being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are
not inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ACREC 2025-FL3: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Three Tranches
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
ACREC 2025-FL3 LLC as follows:
- $583,000,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $176,000,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $71,500,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $66,000,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $42,625,000ab class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class D-E 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0abc class D-X 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $19,250,000ab class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ab class E-E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0abc class E-X 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $35,750,000bd class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bd class F-E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bcd class F-X 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $22,000,000bd class G 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bd class G-E 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0bcd class G-X 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not rated by Fitch:
- $83,875,000d Income Notes.
(a) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Exchangeable Notes. The class D, E, F and G notes are
exchangeable notes. Each class of exchangeable notes may be
exchanged for the corresponding classes of exchangeable notes, and
vice versa. The dollar denomination of each of the received classes
of notes must be equal to the dollar denomination of each of the
surrendered classes of notes.
(c) Notional amount and interest only.
(d) Horizontal risk retention interest, which represents 12.875% of
the notional amount of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date,
including delayed close loans is $983,600,000, and does not include
future funding.
The ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of
Jan. 27, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The notes are collateralized by 25 loans secured by 25 commercial
properties with an aggregate principal balance of $983,600,000 as
of the cutoff date, including two delayed-close collateral
interests totaling $75.0 million, which are expected to close
within 60 days after the closing date. The pool also includes
ramp-up collateral interests of $116.4 million.
The loans were contributed to the trust by ACREC Loan Seller II
LLC. The servicer is Situs Asset Management LLC, and the special
servicer is Situs Holdings, LLC. The trustee is Wilmington Trust,
National Association, and the note administrator is Computershare
Trust Company, National Association. The notes follow a sequential
paydown structure.
Fitch reviewed a comprehensive sample of the transaction's
collateral, including site inspections on 70.7% of the loans by
balance, and cash flow analysis and asset summary reviews on 100%
of the pool.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings performed cash flow analyses on
all 25 loans in the pool. Fitch's resulting aggregate net cash flow
(NCF) of $37.0 million represents a 10.97% decline from the
issuer's aggregate underwritten NCF of $41.6 million, excluding
loans for which Fitch utilized an alternate value analysis.
Aggregate cash flows include only the prorated trust portion of any
pari passu loan.
Higher Leverage: The pool has higher leverage compared to recent
CRE-CLO transactions rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio of 148.1% is between the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages
of 140.7% and 171.2%, respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield
(DY) of 5.7% is between the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of 6.5%
and 5.6%, respectively.
Better Pool Diversity: The pool diversity is better than that of
recently rated Fitch CRE-CLO transactions. The top 10 loans make up
51.7% of the pool, which is lower than both the 2024 and 2023
CRE-CLO averages of 70.5% and 62.5%, respectively. Fitch measures
loan concentration risk with an effective loan count, which
accounts for both the number and size of loans in the pool. The
pool's effective loan count is 23.0. Fitch views diversity as a key
mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss for
pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Multifamily Concentration: The pool 100% comprises multifamily
properties, compared with the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of
78.4% and 82.6%, respectively. The quality of the pool is
comparable to that of Fitch-rated Freddie Mac transactions.
Therefore, Fitch modelled the pool as such, removing the property
type concentration adjustment similar to Freddie Mac and
Fitch-rated MF1 CRE-CLO transactions.
No Amortization: The pool is 100% comprised of interest-only loans.
This is worse than both the 2024 and 2023 CRE-CLO averages of 56.8%
and 35.3%, respectively, based on fully extended loan terms. As a
result, the pool is expected to have zero principal paydown by the
maturity of the loans. By comparison, the average scheduled
paydowns for Fitch-rated U.S. CRE-CLO transactions in 2024 and 2023
were 0.6% and 1.7%, respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'/lower than
'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
Cash Flow Modeling
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash flow modeling referenced in the Fitch criteria
"U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria." Different
scenarios were run where asset default timing distributions and
recovery timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Rating Recovery
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash flow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
AGL CLO 37: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to AGL CLO
37 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
AGL CLO 37 Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AA+sf New Rating
C LT A+sf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
AGL CLO 37 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by AGL
CLO Credit Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.75% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.31%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for AGL CLO 37 Ltd..
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AGL CLO 37: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $312,500 Class F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by AGL CLO 37 Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$320,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$312,500 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2038, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
The issuer is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90.0% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio
may consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, a senior secured
bond or a senior secured note. The portfolio is close to 100%
ramped as of the closing date.
AGL CLO Credit Management LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3170
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
APIDOS CLO LI: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Apidos
CLO LI Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Apidos CLO LI Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AA+sf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
F LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Apidos CLO LI Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CVC
Credit Partners, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
Fitch has assigned 'AA+sf' to class B notes, which is one notch
higher than the expected rating of 'AA(EXP)sf', because this
transaction was priced with an overall lower cost of funding and
improved portfolio quality.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.25% first lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 72.09%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line that of with other
recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Apidos CLO LI Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
APIDOS CLO LI: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Apidos CLO LI Ltd (the Issuer or Apidos CLO LI):
US$307,500,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$500,000 Class F Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the Rated
Notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Apidos CLO LI is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 96% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 4% of the portfolio may
consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, first lien last out
loans and permitted non-loan assets. The portfolio us approximately
93% ramped as of closing date.
CVC Credit Partners, LLC (the Manager) will direct the selection,
acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of the Issuer
and may engage in trading activity, including discretionary
trading, during the transaction's five year reinvestment period.
Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions, the Manager may
reinvest unscheduled principal payments and proceeds from sales of
credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2995
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
ARES LOAN VIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Ares Loan Funding VIII, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Ares Loan
Funding VIII, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Ares Loan Funding VIII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Ares
CLO Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $600 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.44, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.73. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.16% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.01% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 67.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1 notes, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2 notes, between 'BB+sf' and
'A+sf' for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C
notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1 notes,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 notes, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AAsf' for class C notes,
'Asf' for class D-1 notes, 'A-sf' for class D-2 notes, and 'BBB+sf'
for class E notes.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described
in the presale report, which is available at www.fitchratings.com.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares Loan Funding
VIII, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
ARES LOAN VIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Ares Loan
Funding VIII, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ares Loan Funding
VIII, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Ares Loan Funding VIII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Ares
CLO Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $600 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.44 versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.73. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.16% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.01% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 67.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1 notes, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2 notes, between 'BB+sf' and
'A+sf' for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C
notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1 notes,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 notes, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AAsf' for class C notes,
'Asf' for class D-1 notes, 'A-sf' for class D-2 notes, and 'BBB+sf'
for class E notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
23 January 2025
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares Loan Funding
VIII, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
ARES LVI CLO: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Ares LVI
CLO Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Ares LVI CLO Ltd.
A-1-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Ares LVI CLO Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that initially closed in
November 2020 and refinanced in November 2021. This will be the
second reset and the existing secured notes will be refinanced in
whole on January 27, 2025 from proceeds of the new secured notes.
The transaction will be managed by Ares CLO Management LLC. Net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $600 million
of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.14, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.5. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.92% first lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.01% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R2, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R2, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R2, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R2, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R2 and class
A-2-R2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AAsf' for class C-R2, 'Asf'
for class D-1-R2, 'A-sf' for class D-2-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares LVI CLO Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BALLYROCK CLO 25: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on D-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1a-R, A-1b-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, and D-R replacement debt
from Ballyrock CLO 25 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 25 LLC, a CLO originally
issued in December 2023 that is managed by Ballyrock Investment
Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Feb. 4,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Feb. 7, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1a-R, A-1b-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R,
and D-R notes are expected to be issued at a lower spread over
three-month SOFR than the original notes.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to January 2038 from
January 2036.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to January 2030 from
January 2026.
-- No additional subordinated notes will be issued on the
refinancing date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Ballyrock CLO 25 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 25 LLC
Class A-1a-R, $288.00 million: AAA(sf)
Class A-1b-R, $11.25 million: AAA(sf)
Class A-2-R, $42.75 million: AA(sf)
Class B-R (deferrable), $27.00 million: A(sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $27.00 million: BBB-(sf)
Class C-2-R (deferrable), $4.50 million: BBB-(sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $13.50 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Ballyrock CLO 25 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 25 LLC
Subordinated notes, $42.00 million: Not rated
BARROW HANLEY I: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Barrow
Hanley CLO I, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Barrow Hanley
CLO I, Ltd.
X LT NRsf New Rating
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 068751AE6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 068751AG1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 068751AJ5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 06875PAA1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Barrow Hanley CLO I, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by BH Credit
Management LLC, that originally closed in March 2023. The secured
notes will be refinanced in whole on Jan. 29, 2025. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.91% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 76.7%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'A+sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Barrow Hanley CLO
I, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores
in connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
BARROW HANLEY I: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $250,000 F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to three classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Barrow Hanley
CLO I, Ltd. (the Issuer):
US$2,250,000 Class X Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$270,000,000 Class A-1-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least 90%
of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured loans
and up to 10% of the portfolio may consist of second lien loans,
senior unsecured loans or bonds.
BH Credit Management LLC (the Manager) will continue to direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's extended five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes and six other
classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to transaction
features will occur in connection with the refinancing. These
include: extension of the reinvestment period; extensions of the
stated maturity and non-call period; changes to certain collateral
quality tests; changes to the overcollateralization test levels;
and changes to the base matrix and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Portfolio par: $450,000,000
Diversity Score: 80
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3225
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.20%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
BENCHMARK 2020-IG1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class C Certs to 'BB-sf'
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded five and affirmed three classes of
Benchmark 2020-IG1 Mortgage Trust, commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates, series 2020-IG1. Fitch has assigned a Negative
Outlook to five classes following their downgrades.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BENCHMARK 2020-IG1
A-1 08162LAA8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 08162LAB6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 08162LAC4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 08162LAF7 LT AA-sf Downgrade AAAsf
B 08162LAG5 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
C 08162LAH3 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBsf
X-A 08162LAD2 LT AA-sf Downgrade AAAsf
X-B 08162LAE0 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The downgrades reflect Fitch's reassessment of a lower sustainable
property net cash flow (NCF) for 181 West Madison, declining
occupancy and stagnating cash flow that continues to impede
recovery for Parkmerced, and limited progress towards performance
stabilization for 805 Third Avenue. The downgrades also account for
forward-looking performance deterioration expectations due to
imminent rollover concerns, growing expenses and continued weakness
of submarket fundamentals since Fitch's last rating action.
Fitch's analysis incorporates stresses to NCF, including
mark-to-market rental adjustments for near-term rolling tenants,
increased vacancy assumptions and higher tenant improvement
allowances and replacement reserves.
The Negative Outlooks account for potential further downgrades
should NCF and/or submarket conditions deteriorate beyond Fitch's
view of sustainable performance, including limited leasing momentum
and slow progress towards property stabilization over the next one
to two years. In particular, the 805 Third Avenue, Parkmerced, and
650 Madison Avenue properties continue to underperform market
occupancy levels, and the 181 West Madison property faces
concentrated tenant rollover concerns in a weak Chicago office
market.
The pool is highly concentrated, as six of the 13 loans are secured
by office properties and two loans are secured by mixed-use
properties with significant office components, totaling 63.1% of
the overall pool.
Two loans have transferred to special servicing since the prior
rating action, including 805 Third Avenue in September 2024 and
Parkmerced in March 2024.
The largest decline in Fitch sustainable NCF from the last rating
action is 181 West Madison (7.6% of the pool), secured by a
946,099-sf office building located in Chicago, IL. The loan has an
upcoming maturity in December 2026. The largest tenant is Northern
Trust (42% of the NRA) with a reported lease expiration in December
2027 per the October 2024 rent roll, extended two years beyond the
original lease expiration date of December 2025. Costar reports
that the tenant has listed approximately 19% of the NRA as
available by December 2025.
Additionally, the second largest tenant (11% of NRA) has an
upcoming lease expiration in February 2026. As of YE 2023, NOI has
declined 37% from the originator's underwritten NOI with a reported
NOI DSCR of 1.46x.
The updated Fitch NCF of $11.7 million is 10.6% below Fitch's prior
rating action NCF of $13.1 million, and 19.4% below Fitch's
issuance NCF of $16.2 million. The updated Fitch NCF reflects a
higher vacancy assumption of 22% given the elevated submarket
availability rates and greater uncertainty surrounding the largest
tenant commitment to the property, evidenced by its short-term
lease extension and recent available space listing. According to
Costar, as of 4Q24, the submarket vacancy, availability rate and
average asking rent were 22.0%, 25.0% and $40 psf, respectively.
Fitch's analysis incorporated a capitalization rate of 9.50%,
resulting in a Fitch-stressed valuation decline approximately 67%
below the issuance appraisal.
The Parkmerced loan is secured by a 3,165-unit multifamily property
in San Francisco, CA and transferred to special servicing in March
2024 prior to its scheduled maturity date of December 2024.
According to the servicer, a modification agreement was not reached
and the servicer is proceeding with the enforcement of remedies.
Fitch's analysis reflects recent occupancy declines and stagnating
cashflow for the Parkmerced loan due to headwinds in the San
Francisco employment sector, competition from nearby San Francisco
State University (SFSU) and weakening market conditions that have
affected housing demand.
Collateral occupancy declined to 79.1% as of August 2024, down from
82.7% in September 2023, and remains below issuance occupancy of
94.2%.
The updated Fitch NCF of $50.4 million, which is 13% below Fitch's
issuance NCF of $57.7 million, reflects leases-in-place as of the
August 2024 rent roll, with a lease-up of vacant units to market
rental rates at a long-term sustainable occupancy of 88%. Fitch's
sustainable long-term vacancy assumption of 12% reflects the
sustained leasing challenges in stabilizing the asset to reach
market levels.
The 805 Third Avenue loan, which is secured by a 596,100-sf office
property located in the Grand Central submarket of Manhattan,
transferred to special servicing in September 2024. Performance has
declined significantly from issuance with occupancy falling to 58%
as of September 2024, unchanged from YE 2023 and down from 62% in
2022 and 92% at issuance.
Additionally, YE 2023 NOI has declined 64% from issuance, resulting
in cash flow insufficient to support debt service payments. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.90x as of June 2024, down from
1.0x at YE 2023. The largest tenant is Meredith Corporation (35.7%
of NRA; lease expiry in December 2026), which has subleased a
majority of its space on a co-terminus basis since issuance.
Fitch sustainable NCF of $10.7 million, which is 32.6% below
Fitch's issuance NCF of $15.9 million, reflects leases-in-place as
of the January 2024 rent roll, with a lease-up to a sustainable
occupancy level of 78% and rental rates in line with current
in-place rents, excluding the largest tenant, which pays a
substantially below market rental rate. Fitch's analysis
incorporated a capitalization rate of 9.0%, resulting in a
Fitch-stressed valuation decline approximately 74% below the
issuance appraisal.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades would occur should property occupancy and/or NCF fail
to improve and demonstrate lack of progress toward stabilization,
particularly for the 805 Third Avenue, Parkmerced, and 650 Madison
Avenue loans. Additionally, further performance deterioration of
the 181 West Madison loan with the departure of the largest tenant
and insufficient leasing activity would contribute to downgrade.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Upgrades are currently not expected but are possible with
significant and sustained improvement in occupancy and net cash
flow, particularly for the 805 Third Avenue, Parkmerced and 650
Madison Avenue loans, in addition to secured renewals for expiring
tenants and future lease up of vacancies at rates at or above
Fitch's expectations for the 181 West Madison loan.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENEFIT STREET XXIX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from Benefit Street Partners
CLO XXIX Ltd./Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC, a CLO
originally issued in December 2022 that is managed by BSP CLO
Management LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A, B-1, B-2, C, D, and E debt following payment in
full on the February 5, 2025, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 25, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to Jan. 25, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
existing subordinated notes were extended to Jan. 25, 2038.
-- Additional assets were purchased on the Feb. 5, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount was upsized to
$1.0 billion. There is an additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 25, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were amended.
-- Additional subordinated notes totaling $35.20 million were
issued on the refinancing date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC
Class A-R, $640.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $120.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $60.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $60.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $10.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $30.0 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO XXIX LLC
Subordinated notes, $70.2 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
BMO 2023-C5: Fitch Affirms B-sf Rating on 2 Tranches
----------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings affirmed 18 classes of BMO 2023-C5 Mortgage Trust
(BMO 2023-C5). Fitch has also revised the Rating Outlook to
Negative from Stable for classes F-RR, G-RR, X-FRR and X-GRR.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BMO 2023-C5
A-1 055988AA7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 055988AB5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 055988AC3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 055988AD1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 055988AH2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 055988AE9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 055988AJ8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 055988AK5 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 055988AQ2 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 055988AS8 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 055988AU3 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G-RR 055988AY5 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 055988AF6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 055988AG4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 055988AL3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
X-E 055988AN9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-FRR 055988AW9 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
X-GRR 055988BA6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations; Specially Serviced Loans: The
deal-level 'Bsf' rating case loss is 5.31%. The increased pool loss
expectations are driven primarily by three Fitch Loans of Concern
(FLOCs; 7.66%), all of which are in special servicing and have the
same sponsor.
The Negative Outlooks reflect potential downgrades from possible
prolonged workouts and/or valuation declines for the specially
serviced loans.
The largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations is the
Cincinnati Multifamily Portfolio (6%), which is secured by three
multifamily properties totaling 375 units located in Cincinnati,
OH. The portfolio was 98% occupied with a debt service coverage
ratio of 1.31x as of March 2024 compared to 98% and 1.52x at
issuance.
Beginning in May 2024 the loan began to experience delinquency and
subsequently transferred to special servicing in July 2024. The
servicer sent a pre-negotiation letter to the borrower and began to
evaluate the collateral to determine the best course of action.
However, per recent media reports, the sponsor, Mendel Stein, died
in January 2025.
Despite the positive cash flow and stable occupancy for the
portfolio, Fitch expects a prolonged loan workout given the
circumstances that could potentially erode property valuation.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 12.48% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflects the Fitch issuance net cash flow (NCF), an 8.75%
cap rate and also factors an elevated probability of default given
the specially serviced loan status.
The sponsor also has two other specially serviced loans in the pool
(Chicago 4-Pack (1%) and Chicago 3-Pack (0.7%)). Both loans are
secured by multi-family properties located in Chicago, IL totaling
124 units across both loans. Similar to the Cincinnati Multifamily
Portfolio, performance generally remains in line with issuance
expectations, but losses have increased given the delinquency and
special servicing status. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss for both
loans are approximately 14% (prior to concentration add-ons)
reflect the Fitch issuance NCF and an 8.75% cap rate.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Three loans (11.4%) received
an investment-grade credit opinion at issuance. Oak Street NLP Fund
Portfolio (4.6%) received a standalone credit opinion of 'A-sf',
Harborside 2-3 (4.6%) received a standalone credit opinion of
'BBBsf' and Pacific Design Center (2.3%) received a standalone
credit opinion of 'BBB-sf'. Performance for all loans remains in
line with issuance expectations and maintain their investment-grade
credit opinions.
Limited Change to Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the January 2025
remittance report, the transaction has been paid down by 0.61%%
since issuance. There are 22 (66.8%) full-term, interest-only (IO)
loans and six loans (10.1%) have a partial, IO period. Based on the
scheduled balances at maturity, the pool will pay down by 5.5%.
Cumulative interest shortfalls of $68,452 are affecting the
non-rated class J-RR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable to improved pool-level loss
expectations and better than expected resolutions for the three
specially serviced loans.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is the likelihood of interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not
likely until the later years in a transaction and only if the
performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the
specially serviced loans/FLOCs are better than expected and there
is sufficient CE to the classes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur should performance of the specially serviced
loans/FLOCs deteriorate significantly and/or if more loans than
expected default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades for the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories could occur
with higher than expected losses from the specially serviced
loans/FLOCs, particularly the Cincinnati Multifamily Portfolio,
and/or with greater certainty of losses on the other specially
serviced loans.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM1: Fitch Assigns B Rating on B-2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to BRAVO Residential
Funding Trust 2025-NQM1 (BRAVO 2025-NQM1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BRAVO 2025-NQM1
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
SA LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The BRAVO 2025-NQM1 notes are supported by 622 loans with a total
balance of approximately $368 million as of the cutoff date.
The mortgage loans were originated by various originators, with
none originating more than 10% of the pool. Approximately 71.5% of
the loans will be serviced by Select Portfolio Servicing, 16.1% by
Selene Finance, 9.1% by Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint),
and 3.3% by Citadel Servicing Corp. (primarily subserviced by
ServiceMac).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch sees home price values of
this pool as 10.6% above a long-term sustainable level, versus
11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% qoq. Housing
affordability is at the worst levels in decades, driven by both
high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased
4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024, notwithstanding modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Nonqualified Mortgage Credit Quality (Mixed): The collateral
consists of 622 loans totaling approximately $368 million and
seasoned at approximately six months in aggregate, as calculated by
Fitch (one month per the transaction documents). The borrowers have
a strong credit profile, a 750 model FICO, a 40% debt-to-income
ratio (DTI), accounting for Fitch's approach of mapping debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) loans to DTI, and moderate leverage
of 78% for a sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV).
Of the pool, 53.6% of loans are treated as owner-occupied, while
46.4% are treated as an investor property or a second home,
including loans to foreign nationals or loans with non-confirmed
residency status. In addition, 26.8% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel. Of the loans, 42.3% are non-qualified
mortgages (non-QMs), 2.7% are safe-harbor QM (SHQM) and 13.3% are
QM Rebuttable Presumption (APOR); the Ability to Repay/Qualified
Mortgage Rule (ATR) is not applicable for the remaining portion.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 90.6% of the pool
loans were underwritten to less than full documentation, as
determined by Fitch, and 38.3% were underwritten to a 12-month or
24-month bank statement program for verifying income, which is not
consistent with Appendix Q standards and Fitch's view of a full
documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protections Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR, which reduces the risk of borrower default arising from lack
of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational quality
risks due to the rigors of the ATR mandates regarding underwriting
and documentation of a borrower's ability to repay.
In addition, 26.3% of the loans are a DSCR product, while the
remainder comprise a mix of asset depletion, profit and loss (P&L),
12-month or 24-month tax returns, and written verification of
employment products. Separately, 0.06% of the loans were originated
to foreign nationals.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure
distributes principal pro rata among the senior notes while
shutting out the subordinate bonds from principal until all senior
classes are reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or
a delinquency trigger event occurs in a given period, principal
will be distributed sequentially to class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3
notes until they are reduced to zero.
The structure includes a step-up coupon feature whereby the fixed
interest rate for classes A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 will increase by
100 bps, subject to the net weighted average coupon (WAC), after
four years. This reduces the modest excess spread available to
repay losses. Interest distribution amounts otherwise allocable to
the unrated class B-3, to the extent available, may be used to
reimburse any unpaid cap carryover amount for classes A-1A, A-1B,
A-2 and A-3, prior to the payment of any current interest and
interest carryover amounts due to the class B-3 notes on such
payment date.
The class B-3 notes will not be reimbursed for any amounts that
were paid to the senior classes as cap carryover amounts.
While Fitch has previously analyzed transactions using an interest
rate cut, this stress is not being applied for this transaction.
Due to the lack of evidence of interest rate modifications being
used as a loss mitigation tactic, the application of the stress was
overly punitive. If this re-emerges as a common form of loss
mitigation or if certain structures are overly dependent on excess
interest, Fitch may apply additional sensitivities to test the
structure.
On or after the February 2029 payment date, the unrated class B-3
interest allocation will redirect toward the senior cap carryover
amount for as long as there is an unpaid cap carryover amount. This
increases the principal and interest (P&I) allocation for the
senior classes as long as class B-3 is not written down and helps
ensure payment of the 100 bps step-up.
No P&I Advancing (Mixed): There will be no servicer advancing of
delinquent P&I. The lack of advancing reduces loss severities, as a
lower amount is repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and
liquidation proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment
over accrued but unpaid interest.
The downside to this is the additional stress on the structure, as
there is limited liquidity in the event of large and extended
delinquencies. The structure has enough internal liquidity through
the use of principal to pay interest, excess spread and credit
enhancement for timely interest payments to senior notes during
stressed delinquency and cash flow periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model-projected 10.6% at the base case.
The analysis indicates that there is some potential for rating
migration with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third-party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustments to
its analysis:
- A 5% Probability of Default (PD) credit was applied at the loan
level for all loans graded either 'A' or 'B';
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 44 bps as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM1: Fitch Gives B(EXP) Rating on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to BRAVO Residential
Funding Trust 2025-NQM1 (BRAVO 2025-NQM1).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
BRAVO 2025-NQM1
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
SA LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The BRAVO 2025-NQM1 notes are supported by 622 loans with a total
balance of approximately $368 million as of the cutoff date.
The mortgage loans were originated by various originators, with
none originating more than 10% of the pool. Approximately 71.5% of
the loans will be serviced by Select Portfolio Servicing, 16.1% by
Selene Finance, 9.1% by Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint),
and 3.3% by Citadel Servicing Corp. (primarily subserviced by
ServiceMac).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch sees home price values of
this pool as 10.6% above a long-term sustainable level, versus
11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% qoq. Housing
affordability is at the worst levels in decades, driven by both
high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased
4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024, notwithstanding modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Nonqualified Mortgage Credit Quality (Mixed): The collateral
consists of 622 loans totaling approximately $368 million and
seasoned at approximately six months in aggregate, as calculated by
Fitch (one month per the transaction documents). The borrowers have
a strong credit profile, a 750 model FICO, a 40% debt-to-income
ratio (DTI), accounting for Fitch's approach of mapping debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) loans to DTI, and moderate leverage
of 78% for a sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV).
Of the pool, 53.6% of loans are treated as owner-occupied, while
46.4% are treated as an investor property or a second home,
including loans to foreign nationals or loans with non-confirmed
residency status. In addition, 26.8% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel. Of the loans, 42.3% are non-qualified
mortgages (non-QMs), 2.7% are safe-harbor QM (SHQM) and 13.3% are
QM Rebuttable Presumption (APOR); the Ability to Repay/Qualified
Mortgage Rule (ATR) is not applicable for the remaining portion.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 90.6% of the pool
loans were underwritten to less than full documentation, as
determined by Fitch, and 38.3% were underwritten to a 12-month or
24-month bank statement program for verifying income, which is not
consistent with Appendix Q standards and Fitch's view of a full
documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protections Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR, which reduces the risk of borrower default arising from lack
of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational quality
risks due to the rigors of the ATR mandates regarding underwriting
and documentation of a borrower's ability to repay.
In addition, 26.3% of the loans are a DSCR product, while the
remainder comprise a mix of asset depletion, profit and loss (P&L),
12-month or 24-month tax returns, and written verification of
employment products. Separately, 0.06% of the loans were originated
to foreign nationals.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure
distributes principal pro rata among the senior notes while
shutting out the subordinate bonds from principal until all senior
classes are reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or
a delinquency trigger event occurs in a given period, principal
will be distributed sequentially to class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3
notes until they are reduced to zero.
The structure includes a step-up coupon feature whereby the fixed
interest rate for classes A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 will increase by
100 bps, subject to the net weighted average coupon (WAC), after
four years. This reduces the modest excess spread available to
repay losses. Interest distribution amounts otherwise allocable to
the unrated class B-3, to the extent available, may be used to
reimburse any unpaid cap carryover amount for classes A-1A, A-1B,
A-2 and A-3, prior to the payment of any current interest and
interest carryover amounts due to the class B-3 notes on such
payment date.
The class B-3 notes will not be reimbursed for any amounts that
were paid to the senior classes as cap carryover amounts.
While Fitch has previously analyzed transactions using an interest
rate cut, this stress is not being applied for this transaction.
Given the lack of evidence of interest rate modifications being
used as a loss mitigation tactic, the application of the stress was
overly punitive. If this re-emerges as a common form of loss
mitigation or if certain structures are overly dependent on excess
interest, Fitch may apply additional sensitivities to test the
structure.
On or after the February 2029 payment date, the unrated class B-3
interest allocation will redirect toward the senior cap carryover
amount for as long as there is an unpaid cap carryover amount. This
increases the principal and interest (P&I) allocation for the
senior classes as long as class B-3 is not written down and helps
ensure payment of the 100 bps step-up.
No P&I Advancing (Mixed): There will be no servicer advancing of
delinquent P&I. The lack of advancing reduces loss severities, as a
lower amount is repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and
liquidation proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment
over accrued but unpaid interest.
The downside to this is the additional stress on the structure, as
there is limited liquidity in the event of large and extended
delinquencies. The structure has enough internal liquidity through
the use of principal to pay interest, excess spread and credit
enhancement for timely interest payments to senior notes during
stressed delinquency and cash flow periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model-projected 10.6% at the base case.
The analysis indicates that there is some potential for rating
migration with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third-party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustments to
its analysis:
- A 5% Probability of Default (PD) credit was applied at the loan
level for all loans graded either 'A' or 'B';
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 44 bps as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BX TRUST 2025-DIME: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following expected ratings and
Rating Outlooks to BX Trust 2025-DIME, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2025-DIME:
- $490,600,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $55,500,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $59,400,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $83,800,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $128,400,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $84,800,000 class F 'Bsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $38,000,000a class JRR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $9,500,000a class KRR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least 5.0%
of the estimated fair value of all classes.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold a $950.0 million, two-year, floating-rate,
interest-only mortgage loan with three one-year extension options.
The mortgage will be secured by the borrower's fee simple interest
in a portfolio of 57 industrial facilities, comprising
approximately 7.6 million sf located across seven states and eight
markets.
The borrower sponsor, Blackstone Real Estate Partners X, acquired
the properties through a series of transactions over the past two
years for a total cost of approximately $1.25 billion.
The mortgage loan is expected to be used to provide delayed
acquisition financing for the portfolio, pay off existing asset
level debt for 13 properties within the portfolio, and fund
estimated closing costs of $23.1 million.
The loan is expected to be co-originated by Goldman Sachs Bank USA,
German American Capital Corporation, Barclays Capital Real Estate
Inc. and Bank of Montreal. KeyBank National Association, a national
banking association, is expected to be the servicer, with K-Star
Asset Management LLC as the special servicer. Computershare Trust
Company, N.A. is expected to act as the trustee and certificate
administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC, a New York limited
liability company, will act as operating advisor.
The certificates will follow a pro-rata paydown for the initial 30%
of the loan amount and a standard senior-sequential paydown
thereafter. To the extent no mortgage loan event of default (EOD)
is continuing, voluntary prepayments will be applied pro rata
between the mortgage loan components. The transaction is scheduled
to close on Feb. 14, 2025.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch estimates stressed net cash flow (NCF) for the
portfolio at $58.8 million. This is 7.8% lower than the issuer's
NCF. Fitch applied a 7.25% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of
approximately $811.0 million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $950.0 million whole loan equates to debt
of approximately $124 psf with a Fitch stressed loan-to-value (LTV)
ratio and debt yield of 117.1% and 6.2%, respectively. The loan
represents approximately 69.5% of the portfolio appraised value of
$1.37 billion. Fitch increased the LTV hurdles by 1.25% to reflect
the higher in-place leverage.
Geographic and Tenant Diversity: The portfolio exhibits strong
geographic diversity with 57 properties, 55 primarily industrial,
and two office properties (7.6 million sf) located across seven
states and eight metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs).
The three largest state concentrations by NRA are Texas (3,275,320
sf; 19 properties), Florida (1,364,864 sf; 12 properties) and
Illinois (886,535 sf; six properties). The three largest MSAs by
both NRA and allocated loan amount (ALA) are Dallas-Fort Worth, TX
(42.8% of NRA; 32.0% of ALA), Chicago, IL (11.6% of NRA; 13.6% of
ALA) and Phoenix, AZ (11.5% of NRA; 10.5% of ALA). The portfolio
also exhibits significant tenant diversity, as it features over 155
distinct tenants, with no tenant occupying more than 7.8% of NRA.
Institutional Sponsorship: Founded in 1985, Blackstone is the
world's largest real estate investor, with 3,000 employees in 27
offices. As of 3Q24, Blackstone had acquired assets under
management (AUM) of $325 billion in commercial real estate.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: AAAsf /AA-sf/A-sf/BBB-sf/BB-sf/Bsf/B-sf/B-sf;
- 10% NCF Decline: AA-sf
/BBB+sf/BBB-sf/BBsf/Bsf/CCCsf/CCCsf/CCCsf.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: AAAsf /AA-sf/A-sf/BBB-sf/BB-sf/Bsf/B-sf/B-sf;
- 10% NCF Increase: AAAsf / AA+sf/A+sf/BBB+sf/BBsf/B+sf/B+sf/B+sf.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and
re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to the
mortgage loan. Fitch considered this information in its analysis
and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CANYON CLO 2020-2: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R2, B-R2,
C-R2, D-R2, and E-R2 debt from Canyon CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Canyon CLO
2020-2 LLC, a CLO managed by Canyon CLO Advisors LLC that was
originally issued in October 2020 and underwent a refinancing in
October 2021. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt following payment in full on
the Jan. 31, 2025, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- No additional assets were purchased on the Jan. 31, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remains at
$450.00 million. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 15, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
Replacement And October 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R2, $283.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.03%
-- Class B-R2, $58.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.53%
-- Class C-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.85%
-- Class D-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.95%
-- Class E-R2 (deferrable), $18.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.75%
-- Subordinated notes, $44.50 million: Not applicable
October 2021 debt
-- Class A-R, $283.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.45161%(i)
-- Class B-R, $58.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.96161%(i)
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $27.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.31161%(i)
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $27.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.41161%(i)
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $18.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.79161%(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $44.50 million: Not applicable
(i)The credit spread adjustment is 0.26161%.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Canyon CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Canyon CLO 2020-2 LLC
Class A-R2, $283.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $58.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Canyon CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Canyon CLO 2020-2 LLC
Class A-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-R (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Canyon CLO 2020-2 Ltd./Canyon CLO 2020-2 LLC
Subordinated notes, $44.50 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
CFCRE 2016-C6: Fitch Lowers Rating on 2 Tranches to 'Csf
--------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded eight and affirmed five classes of
Cantor Commercial Real Estate's CFCRE 2016-C6 Mortgage Trust (CFCRE
2016-C6) commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. Following
their downgrades, classes B, C, D and X-B have been assigned
Negative Rating Outlooks. The Outlook for affirmed class A-M has
been revised to Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CFCRE 2016-C6
A-2 12532AAY5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 12532AAZ2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-M 12532ABA6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12532AAX7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12532ABB4 LT A-sf Downgrade AA-sf
C 12532ABC2 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
D 12532AAA7 LT B-sf Downgrade B+sf
E 12532AAC3 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
F 12532AAE9 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
X-A 12532ABD0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12532ABE8 LT A-sf Downgrade AA-sf
X-E 12532AAL3 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-F 12532AAN9 LT Csf Downgrade CCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss increased to 8.7% from 6.2% at Fitch's prior rating action.
Fitch identified 11 Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 31.8% of the
pool), including two loans (3.1%) in special servicing.
The downgrades reflect higher pool loss expectations since Fitch's
prior rating action, driven by continued performance deterioration
of the Hill7 Office (10.0%) and 7th & Pine Seattle Retail & Parking
(8.5%) loans.
The Negative Outlooks for classes A-M, B, C, D, and X-B reflect the
possible further downgrades without performance stabilization of
the FLOCs, including Hill7 Office, 7th & Pine Seattle Retail &
Parking, Waterstone 7 Portfolio (3.0%), Holiday Inn Indianapolis -
Carmel (1.8%), Northside Tower (1.2%) and Biston Portfolio (1.0%),
and/or if recovery prospects on the specially serviced TEK Park
(2.1%) and 312 - 314 Bleeker Street (1.0%) loans worsen.
Fitch also performed a sensitivity and liquidation analysis that
grouped the remaining loans based on their current status and
collateral quality, and then ranked them by their perceived
likelihood of repayment and/or loss expectation; the Negative
Outlooks also incorporate these classes' reliance on FLOCs to
repay.
Largest Contributors to Loss Expectations: The largest increase to
loss since the prior rating action and the largest contributor to
expected losses in the pool is the 7th and Pine Seattle Retail &
Parking loan (8.5% of the pool), which is secured by a 361,650-sf
CBD, retail/parking garage property located in Seattle, WA. This
FLOC was flagged due to sustained performance declines,
particularly from the parking garage component of the collateral.
Base rents remain 26% below pre-pandemic levels. The
servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 1.01x as of YE 2023, compared with
0.85x at YE 2022 and 0.58x at YE 2021, and remains below 1.41x at
YE 2019. Fitch's 'Bsf' ratings case loss of 38.5% (prior to
concentration add-ons) reflects a 9.5% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI
and factors a 100% probability of default given anticipated
refinance concerns.
The second largest increase to loss since the prior rating action
is the Hill7 Office loan (10%), which is secured by a 285,680-sf
office property in Seattle, WA. This FLOC was flagged for upcoming
rollover concerns and weaker submarket fundamentals; it had also
previously been flagged as a FLOC due to exposure to WeWork, which
occupied 19% of the NRA, and has since vacated since declaring
bankruptcy in 2023.
Subtenant, Moderna Labs, took occupancy of the WeWork space in
2023, and is reportedly negotiating a direct lease for a 14,942 sf
(5.7% of NRA) portion of the former WeWork space. According to the
servicer, the lease is expected to commence in March 2025.
The largest tenant, Redfin Corporation, which occupies 39% of the
NRA on a lease through July 2027, subleases its space on the 7th
floor (10%) to ABC Legal. The second largest tenant, HBO Code Labs
(39.3%), has an upcoming lease expiration in May 2025. The loan is
structured with a cash sweep tied to major tenants that include
RedFin and HBO, capped at $40 psf. Approximately $4.5 million is
currently being held for the HBO Code Labs space.
CoStar reports an office vacancy rate of 30.1% in the Seattle CBD
submarket and an elevated availability rate of 33.9% as of the
fourth quarter of 2024.
As of September 2024, the servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 3.80x,
compared with 3.97x at YE 2023. The loan is structured with an
anticipated repayment date (ARD) period that is two years beyond
the current maturity date of November 2026. Beyond the ARD, the
interest rate will increase to the greater of 2% plus the initial
interest rate, or 2% plus the then current swap yield for the
corresponding ARD term.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 12.1% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 9% cap rate, 30% stress to the YE 2023 NOI
and factors an increased probability of default to account for the
loan's heightened maturity default concerns.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
TEK Park loan (2.1%), secured by a nine-building office, data
center and technology park totaling 514,033 sf located in
Breinigsville, PA. The loan transferred to special servicing in
January 2022. As of June 2024, occupancy was 61%, in line with YE
2023, but had previously declined in 2021 when Buckeye Partners
(15.1% of NRA) vacated in October 2021. Due to the increased
vacancy, the NOI DSCR declined to 1.12x as of YE 2023 from 1.46x at
YE 2021. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration
adjustments) of 34.3% reflects a 12% cap rate, a 15% stress to the
YE 2023 NOI, and an increased probability of default to account for
the specially serviced loan status and performance deterioration.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the January 2025
distribution date, the pool's aggregate principal balance has been
reduced by 10.4% to $705.9 million from $787.5 million at issuance.
Ten loans (14.3% of the pool) are fully defeased. There are eight
(53.1% of pool) full-term, interest only (IO) loans, and 33 (46.9%)
loans that are currently amortizing. All remaining loans have a
maturity date in 2026. Interest shortfalls and realized losses of
$422,149 and $5.94 million, respectively, are affecting the
non-rated class G.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' and 'Asf' category rated classes with
Negative Outlooks are possible with outsized losses on all of the
FLOCs, including Hill7 Office, 7th & Pine Seattle Retail & Parking,
Waterstone 7 Portfolio, Holiday Inn Indianapolis - Carmel,
Northside Tower and Biston Portfolio, limited to no improvement
these classes' CE, and/or if interest shortfalls occur or are
expected to impact the 'AAAsf' classes.
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are
likely with continued underperformance of the aforementioned FLOCs
and if recovery prospects worsen on the specially serviced TEK Park
and 312 - 314 Bleeker Street loans.
Downgrades to distressed classes would occur if additional loans
transfer to special servicing and/or default, and as losses are
realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the 'Asf' rated classes could occur with improved CE
from paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved
performance on the FLOCs, including Hill7 Office, 7th & Pine
Seattle Retail & Parking, Waterstone 7 Portfolio, Holiday Inn
Indianapolis - Carmel, Northside Tower and Biston Portfolio.
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
were likelihood for interest shortfalls. Upgrades would only occur
if the performance of the remaining pool is stable and recoveries
on the FLOCs, including Hill7 Office, 7th & Pine Seattle Retail &
Parking, Waterstone 7 Portfolio, Holiday Inn Indianapolis - Carmel,
Northside Tower and Biston Portfolio, are better than expected and
there is sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings are not expected and would only
occur with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced
loans and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CHASE HOME 2025-1: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 41 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by Chase Home
Lending Mortgage Trust 2025-1, and sponsored by JPMorgan Chase
Bank, N.A. (JPMCB).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (96.6% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (3.4% by balance) residential mortgages
originated and serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2025-1
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.36%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.16% and reaches 5.13% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
CITIGROUP MORTGAGE 2025-1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 29 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by Citigroup
Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-1, and sponsored by Citigroup Global
Markets Realty Corp.
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (98.3% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (1.7% by balance) mortgages aggregated by
Citigroup Global Markets Realty Corp. originated by multiple
entities and serviced by PennyMac Loan Services, LLC, PennyMac
Corp. and Fay Servicing LLC.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-I-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-I-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-I-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.30%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.12% and reaches 4.53% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
DBJPM 2020-C9: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'B-sf'
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded four and affirmed 13 classes of DBJPM
2020-C9 Commercial Mortgage Trust. Classes F and X-F were assigned
Negative Rating Outlooks following their downgrades. The Outlooks
for classes D, E, and X-D were revised to Negative from Stable.
Additionally, Fitch has affirmed 16 classes of CSAIL 2019-C18
Commercial Mortgage Trust. The Outlooks for classes F, G, X-F, and
X-G remain Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
DBJPM 2020-C9
A-2 233063AF3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 233063AJ5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 233063AQ9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 233063AT3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-M 233063AZ9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 233063AM8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 233063BC9 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 233063BF2 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 233063BS4 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
A-3 12597DAC9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 12597DAD7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 12597DAH8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12597DAE5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12597DAJ4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12597DAK1 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 12597DAS4 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 12597DAU9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F 12597DAW5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G 12597DAY1 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 12597DAF2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12597DAG0 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 12597DAL9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-F 12597DAN5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
X-G 12597DAQ8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses are 4.6% in DBJPM 2020-C9 and 5.1% in CSAIL 2019-C18. Fitch
Loans of Concern (FLOCs) comprise six loans (12.5% of the pool) in
DBJPM 2020-C9, including two specially serviced loans (4.3%), and
seven loans (12.8% of the pool) in CSAIL 2019-C18, including one
specially serviced loan (3.1%).
The downgrades in DBJPM 2020-C9 reflect increased pool loss
expectations since Fitch's prior rating action driven by the
specially serviced office loans, 3000 Post Oak (2.4%) and Brass
Professional Center (1.9%). The Negative Outlooks reflect the
office concentration of 47.2% in the pool and the potential for
downgrades without performance stabilization of the aforementioned
specially serviced loans and FLOCs.
The affirmations in CSAIL 2019-C18 reflect generally stable pool
performance and loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating
action. The Negative Outlooks reflect the potential for downgrades
with higher than expected losses from continued performance
deterioration and/or lack of stabilization on the FLOCS,
particularly Redwood Technology Center (3.3%), United Healthcare
Center (3.1%), and 3100 Alvin Devane (2.1%).
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest contributor to overall
pool loss expectations in the DBJPM 2020-C9 transaction is the
Brass Professional Center loan, secured by an 11-building,
575,771-sf, multi-tenant office park built in various phases
between 1968 and 1998, and located in northwest San Antonio, TX.
The asset transferred to special servicing in May 2023 for monetary
default and became REO in October 2023. The property is currently
not listed for sale. Property performance has declined since
issuance, with June 2024 occupancy declining to 59% from 85% at
issuance. The most recently reported NOI is the annualized June
2024 which reflects a decline in NOI of 57% from the YE 2021 NOI.
The June 2024 NOI DSCR was 0.58x.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 53.8% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a discount to the most recent appraisal value
reflecting a stressed value of $53 psf.
The second largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations
and largest increase in loss expectations since the prior rating
action in the DBJPM 2020-C9 transaction is the 3000 Post Oak loan
(2.4%), secured by a 19-story, 441,523-sf office building located
in Houston, TX. The loan has an upcoming maturity in March 2025.
The loan transferred to the special servicer in August 2024 for
imminent default related to the single tenant, Bechtel (98.9% of
the NRA), vacating at the lease expiration in October 2024. Bechtel
relocated 8.6 miles west to the Westchase area occupying an office
that is approximately half the size of 3000 Post Oak. The
Galleria/Uptown submarket of Houston reported an elevated vacancy
rate of 35.5% according to Costar as of 1Q25.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 35.4% reflects a 10.25% cap rate, 50% stress to the YE 2023 NOI
and factors a higher probability of default to account for the
departure of the single tenant, high submarket vacancy, and
anticipated maturity default concerns.
The largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations and
largest increase in loss expectations since the prior rating action
in the CSAIL 2019-C18 transaction is the United Healthcare loan,
secured by a 204,123-sf office property located in Las Vegas, NV.
The loan was transferred to the special servicer in October 2024
due to a maturity default, as the loan was not paid off by the
October 2024 loan maturity. The building is fully leased to United
Healthcare as a single tenant until December 2025. However, United
Healthcare has informed the borrower that they are likely to renew
the lease but will reduce their occupancy from 100% to between 50%
and 70% of the building.
The borrower has requested a one-year extension of the maturity
date to finalize the lease renewal and address the resulting
vacancy. The special servicer and the borrower are currently
negotiating the terms of an extension.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 39.8% reflects a 10.25% cap rate, 40% stress to the YE 2023 NOI
and factors a higher probability of default to account for the
transfer to special servicing due to the maturity default.
The second largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations in
the CSAIL 2019-C18 transaction is the 3100 Alvin Devane loan,
secured by a 70,388-sf suburban office building located five miles
northwest of the Austin, TX CBD.
The building secured a lease with a new tenant, Yotta Energy, for
32% of the space beginning in March 2024, increasing occupancy to
86%. However, when the largest tenant, Cosential, Inc., vacated
upon the expiration of their lease in August 2024, occupancy
dropped to 51%. The NOI DSCR as of YE 2023 was 0.77x but the loan
has remained current.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 34% reflects a 11% cap rate, 40% stress to the YE 2023 NOI and
factors a higher probability of default to account for the
significant decline in occupancy.
The third largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations in
the CSAIL 2019-C18 transaction is the Redwood Technology Center
loan, secured by two, multi-tenant office buildings and one
retail/fitness center located in Petaluma, CA.
The previous largest tenant, Ciena Corporation (37% of NRA), went
dark in 2023 and the lease expired in January 2025 causing
occupancy to drop to 56%. There are currently no prospects for the
vacant space. The loan has been in a cash trap and there is
approximately $1.7 million in tenant reserves.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 15.3% reflects a 10% cap rate, 30% stress to the YE 2023 NOI and
factors a higher probability of default to account for the
significant decline in occupancy.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the January 2025
distribution date, the aggregate balances of the DBJPM 2020-C9 and
CSAIL 2019-C18 transactions have been reduced by 1.9% and 11.6%,
respectively, since issuance.
The CSAIL 2019-C18 transaction includes ten loans (20.2% of the
pool) that have fully defeased compared to seven loans (6.6%) at
the prior review. Cumulative interest shortfalls of $368,432 are
affecting the non-rated class H in DBJPM 2020-C9 and $144,244 are
affecting the non-rated class NR-RR in CSAIL 2019-C18.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due
to the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur or
are expected to occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes, are possible with
prolonged workouts of the specially serviced assets, increased
expected losses and limited to no improvement in class CE, or if
interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration or default at or before
maturity.
Downgrades to the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', and 'Bsf' categories are
possible with higher-than-expected losses from continued
underperformance of the FLOCs, in particular office loans with
deteriorating performance or with greater certainty of losses on
FLOCs. Loans of particular concern include 3000 Post Oak, Brass
Professional Center, and 675 Creekside Way in DBJPM 2020-C9; and
Redwood Technology Center, United Healthcare Center, and 3100 Alvin
Devane in CSAIL 2019-C18.
Downgrades to classes with distressed ratings would occur if
additional loans transfer to special servicing or default, as
losses are realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' rated categories may be possible
with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or defeasance,
coupled with stable to improved pool-level loss expectations and
improved performance or valuations on the FLOCs. This includes 3000
Post Oak, Brass Professional Center, and 675 Creekside Way in DBJPM
2020-C9; and Redwood Technology Center, United Healthcare Center,
and 3100 Alvin Devane in CSAIL 2019-C18.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' rated categories would be limited based on
sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is a likelihood for interest shortfalls;
Upgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated categories are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs are better
than expected and there is sufficient CE to the classes;
Upgrades to the distressed 'CCCsf' rated classes are not expected,
but possible with better-than-expected recoveries on specially
serviced loans or improved performance on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DEUTSCHE BANK 2011-LC3: Fitch Cuts Rating on PM-2 Certs to BB-
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded six classes and affirmed three classes
of Deutsche Bank Securities (DBUBS), commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2011-LC3 (DBUBS 2011-LC3).
Negative Rating Outlooks were assigned to classes PM-1, PM-X and
PM-2 following their downgrades. The Rating Outlook for the
affirmed class D remains Negative.
The DBUBS 2011-LC3 transaction contains a $41 million pooled senior
trust component and a $214 million non-pooled senior and junior
trust component (collectively, rake certificates) that represent
the beneficial interest in the Providence Place Mall loan.
The pooled senior component and non-pooled senior component (PM-1)
are pari passu in receiving interest and principal from the
Providence Place Mall loan. The non-pooled junior component (PM-2
through PM-5) is subordinate to the senior components in payment
priority for interest and principal.
In addition, Fitch has affirmed one class of Providence Place Group
Limited Partnership. The Rating Outlook for class A-2 remains
Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Providence Place
Group Ltd. Partnership
Providence Place Mall
A-2 743784AB6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
DBUBS 2011-LC3
D 23305YAM1 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
E 23305YAN9 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
F 23305YAP4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
PM-1 23305YAU3 LT BBB-sf Downgrade Asf
PM-2 23305YAW9 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
PM-3 23305YAX7 LT CCCsf Downgrade BB-sf
PM-4 23305YAY5 LT CCsf Downgrade B+sf
PM-5 23305YAZ2 LT Csf Downgrade B-sf
PM-X 23305YAV1 LT BBB-sf Downgrade Asf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Regional Mall Concentration; Adverse Selection: The DBUBS 2011-LC3
transaction comprises three loans, all of which are secured by
underperforming regional malls in secondary and tertiary markets
that are designated as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs) and/or in
special servicing, with deteriorated performance and/or high Fitch
loss expectations. Due to the concentrated nature of the pool,
Fitch conducted a look-through analysis to determine expected
recoveries and losses to assess the outstanding classes' ratings
relative to credit enhancement (CE).
The affirmations in DBUBS 2011-LC3 reflect performance in-line with
expectations from Fitch's prior rating action and sufficient CE
relative to overall loss expectations. The Negative Outlook on
class D reflects significant adverse selection of the pool and
possible downgrades should performance and/or valuations of the
remaining loans continue to deteriorate beyond current expectations
and/or workouts are prolonged for the specially serviced loans/REO
assets.
Providence Place Mall: Downgrades of the PM-1 through PM-5 and PM-X
bonds associated with the Providence Place Mall loan reflect an
updated Fitch sustainable net cash flow (NCF) that leads to a
decreased Fitch stressed value and reduced recovery proceeds. The
update accounts for uncertainty related to the expiration of the
tax treaty agreement with the city of Providence that could result
in a reset of property tax payments to market levels. The loan
transferred to special servicing in April 2024 and a receiver was
appointed as an acceptable modification agreement could not be
reached.
Negative Outlooks to classes PM-1, PM-X and PM-2 reflect possible
downgrades with further value degradation and/or a prolonged
workout resulting in higher loss expectations.
The loan is secured by a 980,711-sf portion of a 1.2 million-sf
regional mall in Providence, RI. At issuance, the property was
anchored by Macy's, JCPenney and Nordstrom.
JCPenney vacated in 2015 and the space was demolished and replaced
with an expanded parking garage. Nordstrom vacated in early 2019
and was replaced in October 2019 by Boscov's (20% of collateral
NRA; lease expiry in January 2030). The status of non-collateral
Macy's has been uncertain due to the company's announcement of
store closures. However, recent statements from the receiver and
the retailer suggests Macy's intent to remain at the property in
the near term.
Fitch's sustainable NCF was revised downward to $25.2 million from
$31.7 million at the prior rating action and is 27% below Fitch's
issuance NCF of $34.3 million. The lower sustainable NCF was driven
by an expectation that real estate taxes could reset to market
levels with the expiration of the tax treaty agreement with the
municipality.
The sponsor has made payments in lieu of taxes (PILOT) pursuant to
the tax treaty agreement; however, the agreement is scheduled to
expire in June 2028. Fitch's updated assumption of real estate
taxes is based upon the commercial real estate tax rate for the
City of Providence and the Fitch stressed value, resulting in
estimated taxes above the current levels of the PILOT payment.
Property net operating income (NOI) declined to $24.9 million as of
TTM August 2024, 2% higher than YE 2023 NOI but 34% below the
originator's underwritten NOI at issuance. As of September 2024,
total mall occupancy was 96%, with a NOI DSCR of 1.85x.
Fitch's analysis incorporated a 12% cap rate, up from 8.5% at
issuance to factor the asset quality and challenges in securing
refinancing, resulting in a Fitch-stressed valuation decline that
is approximately 66% below the issuance appraisal and 53% below
Fitch's issuance value.
High Leverage: The Fitch-stressed debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) and loan-to-value (LTV) for the $254.9 million Providence
Place Mall whole loan, are 0.76x and 121.5%, respectively. The
capital structure also includes a $70.9 million mezzanine loan. The
total debt Fitch DSCR and LTV are 0.59x and 155.3%, respectively,
and a total debt of $332 psf.
Low Leverage PILOT Bond: The Providence Place Group Limited
Partnership, Providence Place Mall pass-through certificates are
secured by a PILOT lien on the Providence Place Mall property. The
PILOT, which has remained current since issuance, is senior to
other liens on the property or leasehold including ground lease or
mortgage payments. The affirmation at 'AAAsf' reflects the
continued deleveraging of the transaction and the ratio of maximum
exposure to the property value is extremely low.
FLOCs; Specially Serviced Loans: The largest loss contributor in
the DBUBS 2011-LC3 transaction is the Dover Mall and Commons loan
(54.8% of the pool), secured by a regional mall, Dover Mall, and a
one-story strip center, Dover Commons, located in Dover, DE
totaling 886,324-sf, of which 553,854-sf is collateral.
The loan was modified in March 2021 and returned from special
servicing in July 2021. The modified maturity date is August 2026.
Property performance has declined, with collateral occupancy
falling to 72% as of June 2024 down from 79% at YE 2023, due to the
departure of the third-largest tenant, AMC Theatres (7.7% of the
NRA).
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 47.5% (prior to concentration
adjustments) incorporates a 28% cap rate, 7.5% stress to the YE
2023 NOI and factors a higher probability of default to account for
the departure of the major tenant from a lower-tier regional mall
located in a tertiary market.
The second-largest loss contributor is the REO Albany Mall asset
(16.0%), which is a 446,969-sf portion of a 753,552-sf regional
mall located in Albany, GA. The asset became REO in November 2021.
As of September 2024, overall mall occupancy was reported to be
approximately 83%, while collateral occupancy was approximately
76%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 73.2% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects an elevated 50% stress to the September 2024
appraisal due to a lack of progress on the disposition of the REO
asset.
Change to CE: As of the January 2025 distribution date, the DBUBS
2011-LC3 transaction's pooled aggregate balance has been reduced by
90.0% to $140.2 million from $1.4 billion at issuance.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Negative Outlooks in DBUBS 2011-LC3 reflect possible downgrades
should loss expectations for Dover Mall and Commons, Providence
Place Mall and Albany Mall be higher than expected upon liquidation
and/or from further deterioration of mall performance. Downgrades
to the distressed classes E and F would occur as losses are
realized and/or with greater certainty of losses.
A downgrade to the bonds associated with Providence Place Mall may
occur with further performance or valuation declines, prolonged
special servicing workout, and limited progress toward resolution
of the asset.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Given the significant pool concentration and adverse selection of
DBUBS 2011-LC3, upgrades are not expected, but may occur if
performance of the regional malls improve substantially and/or
recoveries are better than expected. If the specially serviced
loans and assets revert to their pre-pandemic performance and/or
actual losses are better than expected, the Negative Outlook on
class D may be revised back to Stable.
An upgrade to the bonds associated with Providence Place Mall are
not expected, but could occur if performance of the malls improves
substantially and stabilizes to pre-pandemic levels.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DIAMETER CAPITAL 9: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Diameter
Capital CLO 9 Ltd./Diameter Capital CLO 9 LLC's floating-rate
debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Diameter CLO Advisors LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Feb. 5,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Diameter Capital CLO 9 Ltd./Diameter Capital CLO 9 LLC
Class A, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $20.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $43.00 million: Not rated
EXETER AUTOMOBILE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns BB- Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust (EART) 2025-1.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2025-1
A-1 ST F1+sf New Rating F1+(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Collateral Performance — Subprime Credit Quality: EART 2025-1 is
backed by collateral with subprime credit attributes; however, it
exhibits some improvements in credit attributes when compared to
prior Fitch-rated series, other than 2024-5. The weighted average
(WA) FICO score is 584, up from 582 in 2024-5. In addition, 11.2%
of the pool is backed by new vehicles, up from 8.9% in 2024-5.
Other credit metrics, such as the WA annual percentage rate (APR)
of 21.3%, are generally consistent with those of prior Exeter
transactions, but the WA LTV of 117.2% is a platform high.
Forward-Looking Approach to Derive Rating Case Proxy: Fitch
considered economic conditions and future expectations by assessing
key macroeconomic and wholesale market conditions to derive the
series loss proxy. Fitch maintained the vintage ranges of 2024-5 to
derive the rating case loss proxy for 2025-1, in recognition of
continued weak performance for the 2022 and 2023 securitizations.
Fitch utilized 2006-2008 data from Santander Consumer, as proxy
recessionary static-managed portfolio data, and 2015-2017 vintage
data from Exeter to arrive at a forward-looking rating case
cumulative net loss (CNL) proxy of 21.50%, consistent with 2024-5,
but lower compared with 22.00% in 2024-2.
Payment Structure — Adequate Credit Enhancement: Initial hard
credit enhancement (CE) levels are 60.95%, 45.25%, 32.45%, 18.70%
and 7.45% for classes A, B, C, D and E, respectively. These CE
levels are 0.00%, 0.25%, 1.15%, 1.05% and 0.80% higher than for
2024-5. Excess spread is to be 12.59%, down from 13.24% per annum
in 2024-5. Loss coverage for each class of notes is adequate to
cover the respective multiples of Fitch's rating case CNL proxy of
21.50%.
Operational and Servicing Risks — Adequate
Origination/Underwriting/Servicing: Exeter demonstrates adequate
abilities as the originator, underwriter and servicer, as evidenced
by historical portfolio and securitization performance. Fitch does
not rate Exeter but deems the company as capable to service this
transaction. In addition, Citibank, N.A., which Fitch rates 'A+'
and 'F1' with a Stable Outlook, has been contracted as backup
servicer for this transaction.
Fitch's base-case loss expectation, which does not include a margin
of safety and is not used in Fitch's quantitative analysis to
assign ratings, is 20.00%, based on Fitch's "Global Economic
Outlook - December 2024" report and transaction-based forecast loss
projections.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
CNL levels that are higher than the rating case and would likely
result in declines of CE and remaining net loss coverage levels
available to the notes. In addition, unanticipated declines in
recoveries could also result in lower net loss coverage, which may
make certain note ratings susceptible to potential negative rating
actions, depending on the extent of the decline in coverage.
Fitch therefore conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing both a
transaction's initial rating case CNL and recovery rate
assumptions, as well as by examining the rating implications on all
classes of issued notes. The CNL sensitivity stresses the CNL proxy
to the level necessary to reduce each rating by one full category
to non-investment grade (BBsf) and 'CCCsf' based on the break-even
loss coverage provided by the CE structure.
Fitch also conducts 1.5x and 2.0x increases to the CNL proxy,
representing both moderate and severe stresses. Fitch also
evaluates the impact of stressed recovery rates on an auto loan ABS
structure and rating impact with a 50% haircut. These analyses are
intended to provide an indication of the rating sensitivity of the
notes to unexpected deterioration of a trust's performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to rising CE levels and potential for
upgrades. If CNL is 20% less than the projected proxy, the expected
subordinate note ratings could be upgraded by up to one category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparing or recomputing certain
information with respect to 150 loans from the statistical data
file. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did
not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The concentration of electric and hybrid vehicles in the pool is
low and did not have an impact on Fitch's ratings analysis or
conclusion on this transaction and has no impact on Fitch's ESG
Relevance Score.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
FS RIALTO 2025-FL10: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on 3 Tranches
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
FS Rialto 2025-FL10 Issuer, LLC as follows:
- $579,867,000c class A 'AAA(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $134,111,000c class A-S 'AAA(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $68,971,000c class B 'AA-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $54,921,000c class C 'A-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $34,486,000c class D 'BBB(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,881,000c class E 'BBB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $33,208,000ad class F 'BB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ad class F-E 'BB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0abd class F-X 'BB-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $22,991,000ad class G 'B-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0ad class G-E 'B-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $0abd class G-X 'B-(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $75,357,515d class H.
(a) Exchangeable Notes. The class F and class G notes are
exchangeable notes. Each class of exchangeable notes may be
exchanged for the corresponding classes of exchangeable notes, and
vice versa. The dollar denomination of each of the received classes
of certificates must be equal to the dollar denomination of each of
the surrendered classes of certificates.
(b) Notional amount and interest only (IO).
(c) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(d) Horizontal risk retention interest, estimated to be 12.875% of
the notional amount of the notes.
The approximate collateral interest balance as of the cutoff date
is $1,021,793,515 and does not include future funding.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of Jan. 27, 2025.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial interest in the trust,
the primary assets of which are 23 loans secured by 59 commercial
properties having an aggregate principal balance of $1,021,793,515
as of the cut-off date, including two delayed-close collateral
interests totaling $117.7 million, #1 Aston Park and #13 EDEN at
Kendall West, which are expected to close within 90 days after the
closing date. Should those assets not close within the 90 days,
those proceeds will flow into the reinvestment account and be used
to purchase new, unidentified assets, subject to the eligibility
criteria.
The loans were contributed to the trust by FS CREIT Finance
Holdings LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of FS Credit REIT. The
master servicer is expected to be Wells Fargo Bank, National
Association and the special servicer is expected to be Rialto
Capital Advisors, LLC. The trustee is expected to be Wilmington
Trust, National Association, and the note administrator is expected
to be Computershare Trust Company, N.A. The notes are expected to
follow a sequential paydown structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 20 loans
totaling 90.5% of the pool by balance. Fitch's resulting aggregate
trust net cash flow (NCF) of $68.9 million represents a 10.0%
decline from the issuer's underwritten NCF of $76.5 million.
Aggregate cash flows include only the pro-rated trust portion of
any pari passu loan.
Lower Fitch Leverage: Leverage compared to Recent CLO Transactions.
The pool's Fitch weighted average (WA) trust loan-to-value (LTV) of
131.4% is lower than the 2023 CRE CLO and 2024 YTD CRE CLO averages
of 171.2% and 140.7%, respectively. Additionally, the pool's Fitch
NCF Debt Yield (DY) of 7.4% is higher than the 2023 CRE CLO and
2024 YTD CRE CLO averages of 5.6% and 6.5%, respectively.
Lower Pool Concentration: Lower concentration by loan size. The
pool is more diversified compared to recent CLO transactions. The
pool has an effective loan count of 21.3, which is higher than the
2023 CRE CLO and 2024 YTD CRE CLO effective loan count averages of
19.8 and 16.9, respectively. The top 10 loans accounting for 58.7%
of the pool. This is lower than the 2023 CRE CLO and 2024 YTD CRE
CLO averages of 91.1% and 96.3%, respectively.
Lower Property Type Concentration: The pool has an effective
property count of 3.2 which is higher than the 2023 CRE CLO and
2024 YTD CRE CLO averages of 1.7. Loans secured by multifamily
properties represent 45.6% of the pool which is lower than the 2023
CRE CLO and 2024 YTD CRE CLO averages of 82.6% and 78.4%,
respectively.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf' /
'BBsf' / 'B-sf' / '
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' /
'BBBsf' / 'BBsf' / 'Bsf'.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
Cash Flow Modeling
This transaction utilizes note protection tests to provide
additional credit enhancement (CE) to the investment-grade
noteholders, if needed. The note protection tests comprise an
interest coverage test and a par value test at the 'BBB-' level
(class E) in the capital structure. Should either of these metrics
fall below a minimum requirement then interest payments to the
retained notes are diverted to pay down the senior most notes. This
diversion of interest payments continues until the note protection
tests are back above their minimums.
As a result of this structural feature, Fitch's analysis of the
transaction included an evaluation of the liabilities structure
under different stress scenarios. To undertake this evaluation,
Fitch used the cash flow modeling referenced in the Fitch criteria
"U.S. and Canadian Multiborrower CMBS Rating Criteria". Different
scenarios were run where asset default timing distributions and
recovery timing assumptions were stressed.
Key inputs, including Rating Default Rate (RDR) and Recovery Rating
Rate (RRR), were based on the CMBS multiborrower model output in
combination with CMBS analytical insight. The cash flow modeling
results showed that the default rates in the stressed scenarios did
not exceed the available CE in any stressed scenario.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and
re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to each of
the mortgage loans. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or
conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GLS AUTO 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB (sf) Rating on Cl. E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to GLS Auto
Receivables Issuer Trust 2025-1's automobile receivables-backed
notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Feb. 5,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of approximately 56.43%, 47.87%, 37.64%,
28.68%, and 24.17% of credit support (hard credit enhancement and
haircut to excess spread) for the class A (A-1, A-2, and A-3,
collectively), B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, based on
stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit support levels provide
at least 3.20x, 2.70x, 2.10x, 1.60x, and 1.38x of our 17.50%
expected cumulative net loss (ECNL) for the class A, B, C, D, and E
notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.60x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its
preliminary 'AAA (sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB
(sf)' ratings on the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively,
are within its credit stability limit.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
preliminary ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans, including the representation in the transaction
documents that all contracts in the pool have made at least one
payment, S&P's view of the collateral's credit risk, and its
updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the auto
finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at UMB Bank N.A., which do not
constrain the preliminary ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Global Lending Services
LLC, as servicer, and its view of the company's underwriting and
backup servicing arrangement with UMB Bank N.A.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors that are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
GLS Auto Receivables Issuer Trust 2025-1
Class A-1, $85.00 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $160.71 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $83.67 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $101.33 million: AA (sf)
Class C, $94.96 million: A (sf)
Class D, $93.91 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $46.96 million: BB (sf)
GOLUB CAPITAL 77(B): Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Golub
Capital Partners CLO 77(B), Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Golub Capital Partners
CLO 77(B), Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Golub Capital Partners CLO 77(B), Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage
cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed
by OPAL BSL LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.04, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.54% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
75.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 55% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry concentration is higher than other recent CLOs but was
accounted for in its stressed analysis.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Golub Capital
Partners CLO 77(B), Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
GREEN LAKES: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 Cl. F Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to three classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the Refinancing Notes) issued by Green Lakes
Park CLO, LLC (the Issuer):
US$3,000,000 Class X Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2038,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$320,000,000 Class A-RR Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2038, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$500,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2038, Assigned B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. At least 90%
of the portfolio must consist of first lien senior secured loans
and up to 10% of the portfolio may consist of non-first lien loans,
cash and eligible investments.
Clover Credit Management, LLC (the Manager) will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes and the other
classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to transaction
features will occur in connection with the refinancing. These
include: extension of the reinvestment period; extensions of the
stated maturity and non-call period; changes to certain collateral
quality tests and concentration limits; changes to the
overcollateralization test levels; and changes to the base matrix
and modifiers.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers. For modeling
purposes, Moody's used the following base-case assumptions:
Portfolio par: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3130
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.40%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is subject to uncertainty.
The performance of the Refinancing Notes is sensitive to the
performance of the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on
economic and credit conditions that may change. The Manager's
investment decisions and management of the transaction will also
affect the performance of the Refinancing Notes.
GS MORTGAGE 2025-PJ1: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 60 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-PJ1, and sponsored by Goldman
Sachs Mortgage Company (GSMC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (91.4% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (8.6% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by MAXEX Clearing LLC (MAXEX; 7.1% by loan balance), and
originated and serviced by multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-PJ1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-22, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-24, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-25, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-9*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-10*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-11*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-13*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-15*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-16*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-17*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-18*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-19*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-20*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-21*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-22*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-23*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-24*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-25*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-26*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
Moody's are withdrawing the provisional ratings for the Class A-1L
Loans, Class A-2L Loans and Class A-3L Loans, assigned January 15,
2025, because the issuer will not be issuing these classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.23%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.10% and reaches 3.00% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GS MORTGAGE 2025-RPL1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings rates the residential mortgage-backed certificates
issued by GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2025-RPL1 (GSMBS
2025-RPL1) as follows:
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
GSMBS 2025-RPL1
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating
A-3 LT AAsf New Rating
A-4 LT Asf New Rating
A-5 LT BBBsf New Rating
B LT NRsf New Rating
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating
B-4 LT NRsf New Rating
B-5 LT NRsf New Rating
M-1 LT Asf New Rating
M-2 LT BBBsf New Rating
PT LT NRsf New Rating
R LT NRsf New Rating
RETAINED LT NRsf New Rating
SA LT NRsf New Rating
X LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
The notes are supported by 1,185 seasoned reperforming loans with a
total balance of approximately $244 million as of the cutoff date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 13% above a long-term sustainable level versus
11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since last quarter,
based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices. Housing
affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by both
high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 4.3% YoY nationally as of August 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
RPL Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 1,185
seasoned performing and re-performing first lien loans. As of the
cutoff date, the pool was 96.2% current and 3.8% DQ. Approximately
69.3% of the loans were treated as having clean payment histories
for the past two years or more (clean current) or have been clean
since origination if seasoned less than two years. Additionally,
77.4% of loans have a prior modification. The borrowers have a
moderate credit profile (689 FICO and 45% DTI) and moderate
leverage (62% sLTV).
Sequential-Pay Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash flow is
based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the subordinate
classes do not receive principal until the senior classes are
repaid in full. The credit enhancement consists of subordinated
notes, the distributions of which will be subordinated to P&I
payments due to senior noteholders. In addition, excess cash flow
resulting from the difference between the interest earned on the
mortgage collateral and that paid on the notes may be available to
pay down the bonds sequentially (after prioritizing fees to
transaction parties, Net WAC shortfalls and to the breach reserve
account).
No Servicer P&I Advances (Mixed): The servicer will not advance
delinquent monthly payments of P&I, which reduce liquidity to the
trust. P&I advances made on behalf of loans that become delinquent
and eventually liquidate reduce liquidation proceeds to the trust.
Due to the lack of P&I advancing, the loan-level loss severity (LS)
is less for this transaction than for those where the servicer is
obligated to advance P&I. Structural provisions and cash flow
priorities, together with increased subordination, provide for
timely payments of interest to the 'AAAsf' rated class.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 43.5% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those being
assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by various firms. The third-party due diligence described
in Form 15E focused on a regulatory compliance review that covered
applicable federal, state and local high-cost loan and/or
anti-predatory laws, as well as the Truth In Lending Act (TILA) and
Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA). The scope was
consistent with published Fitch criteria for due diligence on RPL
RMBS. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and, as a
result, Fitch made the following adjustments to its analysis:
- Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 located in states that fall
under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a 100% LS
over-ride;
- Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 but not located in states that
fall under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a
five-point LS increase;
- Unpaid taxes and lien amounts were added to the LS.
In total, these adjustments increased the 'AAAsf' loss by
approximately 175bps.
ESG Considerations
GSMBS 2025-RPL1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to due to the adjustment for the Rep
& Warranty framework without other operational mitigants, which has
a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
JP MORGAN 2025-1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 42 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2025-1, and sponsored by C.U.P. Holdings LLC and
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Corp. (JPMMAC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (94.5% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (5.5% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMMAC and originated and serviced by multiple
entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14-X4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.44%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.21% and reaches 6.02% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JP MORGAN 2025-CCM1: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 32 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2025-CCM1 ("JPMMT 2025-CCM1"), and sponsored by J.P.
Morgan Mortgage Acquisition Corporation (JPMMAC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (83.6% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (16.4% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMMAC, originated by CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC and
serviced by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association (JPMCB).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-CCM1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-5*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.28%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.11% and reaches 4.07% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JP MORGAN 2025-CES1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to J.P. Morgan Mortgage
Trust 2025-CES1 (JPMMT 2025-CES1).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
JPMMT 2025-CES1
A-1-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1-B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-IO-S LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
backed by 100% closed-end second lien (CES) loans on residential
properties, to be issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2025-CES1
(JPMMT 2025-CES1), as indicated above. This is the third
transaction to be rated by Fitch that includes 100% CES loans off
the JPMMT shelf.
The pool consists of 3,417 nonseasoned, performing, CES loans with
a current outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $333.44
million. The main originators in the transaction are loanDepot.com,
LLC (loanDepot), Guild Mortgage Company LLC (Guild), Deephaven
Mortgage LLC (Deephaven) and Amerisave Mortgage Corporation
(Amerisave). All other originators make up less than 15% of the
pool. The loans are serviced by Newrez, loanDepot and PennyMac.
Distributions of interest and principal are based on a sequential
structure, while losses are allocated reverse sequentially,
starting with the most subordinate class.
The servicers, Newrez, loanDepot and PennyMac, will not be
advancing delinquent monthly payments of principal and interest
(P&I).
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans. Class A-1A, A-1B,
A-2, A-3 and M-1 certificates with respect to any distribution date
prior to the distribution date (and the related accrual period)
will have an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable
fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates and (ii) the
net weighted average coupon (WAC) for such distribution date. The
pass-through rate on class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, A-3 and M-1
certificates with respect to any distribution date on and after the
distribution date in February 2029 (and the related accrual period)
will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the sum of the
applicable fixed rate set forth in the table above for such class
of certificates and the step-up rate and (ii) the net WAC for such
distribution date. The "step-up rate" means a per annum rate equal
to 1.000%.
The pass-through rate on class B-1, B-2, and B-3 certificates with
respect to any distribution date and the related accrual period
will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable
fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates and (ii) the
net WAC for such distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.3% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since
the prior quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable
home prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August
2024, despite modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
3,417 performing, fixed-rate loans secured by CES on primarily one-
to four-family residential properties (including planned unit
developments), condominiums and townhouses, totaling $333.44
million. The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit
profiles and relatively low leverage.
The loans are seasoned at an average of eight months, according to
Fitch, and six months, per the transaction documents. The pool has
a weighted average (WA) original FICO score of 740, as determined
by Fitch, indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. About
40.7% of the loans, as determined by Fitch, have a borrower with an
original FICO score equal to or above 750. The original WA combined
loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 68.6%, as determined by Fitch,
translates to a sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) of 77.3%.
The transaction documents stated a WA original LTV of 19.6% and a
WA CLTV of 66.3%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equity in
the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
CLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 88.6% were originated by a
retail channel or correspondent channel with the remaining 11.4%
originated by a broker channel. Based on Fitch's documentation
review, it considers 84.1% of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 94.0% of the loans are of a primary or secondary
residence, and the remaining 6.0% are investor loans. Single-family
homes, planned unit developments (PUDs), townhouses and
single-family attached dwellings constitute 93.3% of the pool;
condominiums make up 3.9%, while multifamily homes make up 2.8%.
The pool consists of loans with the following loan purposes,
according to Fitch: cashout refinances (99.2%), rate-term
refinances (0.5%) and purchases (0.3%). The transaction documents
show 99.5% of the pool to be cashouts, 0.3% to be rate term
refinances, and 0.3% to be purchases. If the cash out amount is
less than 3% Fitch typically does not consider the loan to be a
cash-out loan, which explains the difference in Fitch's cash out
percentage compared to the transaction documents.
None of the loans in the pool are over $1.0 million.
Of the pool loans, 28.4% are concentrated in California. The
largest MSA concentration is Los Angeles MSA (11.1%), followed by
the New York MSA (7.2%) and the Phoenix MSA (4.0%). The top three
MSAs account for 22.4% of the pool. As a result, no probability of
default (PD) penalty was applied for geographic concentration.
As a majority of the loans are fully documented with high FICOs,
Fitch's prime loan loss model was used for the analysis of this
pool.
Second Lien Collateral (Negative): The entirety of the collateral
pool consists of CES loans originated by loanDepot, Guild,
Deephaven, Amerisave and other originators. Fitch assumed no
recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second lien loans, based on
the historical behavior of the loans in economic stress scenarios.
Fitch assumes second lien loans default at a rate comparable to
first lien loans. After controlling for credit attributes, no
additional penalty was applied.
Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I (Mixed):
The proposed structure is a sequential structure in which principal
is distributed first, pro rata, to the A-1A and A-1B classes, then
sequentially to the A-2, A-3, M-1, B-1, B-2 and B-3 classes.
Interest is prioritized in the principal waterfall and any unpaid
interest amounts are paid prior to principal being paid.
The transaction has monthly excess cash flows that are used to
repay any realized losses incurred, and then cap carryover
amounts.
A realized loss will occur if the collateral balance is less than
the unpaid balance of the outstanding classes. Realized losses will
be allocated reverse sequentially with the losses allocated first
to class B-3. Once the A-2 class is written off, principal will be
allocated, first, to class A-1B, and then to class A-1A.
The transaction will have subordination and excess spread,
providing credit enhancement (CE) and protection from losses.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature/Best Execution (Positive): For any
mortgage loan 180 or more days delinquent (DQ; or earlier, in
accordance with the related servicer's servicing practices, other
than due to such mortgage loan being or becoming subject to a
forbearance plan), the related servicer will perform an equity
analysis review and may charge off such mortgage loan (each such
mortgage loan, a "charged-off loan") with the approval of the
controlling holder if such review indicates no significant recovery
is likely in respect of such mortgage loan. If the controlling
holder does not approve such chargeoff, then the related servicer
will continue monitoring the lien status of such mortgage loan, in
which case, the related servicer will provide the controlling
holder with prompt written notice if such servicer obtains actual
knowledge that the associated first lien mortgage loan is subject
to payoff, foreclosure, short sale or similar event.
Fitch views positively that the servicer is conducting an equity
analysis to determine the best execution strategy for the
liquidation of severely DQ loans, as the servicer and controlling
holder are acting in the best interest of the noteholders to limit
losses on the transaction. If the controlling holder decides to
write off the losses at 180 days, it compares favorably to a
delayed liquidation scenario, whereby the loss occurs later in the
life of the transaction and less excess is available. In its cash
flow analysis, Fitch assumed the loans would be written off at 180
days, as this is the most likely scenario in a stressed case when
there is limited equity in the home.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.4% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
Per Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria," originators representing
over 15% of the loan pool require an assessment by Fitch. Guild
represents 18.5%, and Amerisave represents 15.3%, but Fitch did not
conduct an assessment on these originators. However, Fitch received
a presentation from Amerisave describing their management structure
and details about their operations, which Fitch would typically
obtain during an operational risk review. Fitch also confirmed that
the loans were underwritten to fit into JPMMT's credit box.
Fitch was comfortable having 18.5% of the pool originated by Guild
and 15.3% of the pool originated by Amerisave due to the
information provided by the firms, the loans fit into JPMMT's
credit box, and the percentage of loans contributed is just over
15%.
JPMMT is also an 'Above Average' aggregator that conducts its own
operational risk reviews of the originators from which it purchases
loans. There was no impact to the losses due to this criteria
variation, since an 'Acceptable' originator receives the same
treatment as an unreviewed originator with an 'Above Average'
aggregator.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC and Consolidated Analytics. The third-party
due diligence described in Form 15E focused on three areas:
compliance review, credit review, and data integrity. Additionally,
11.4% loans had a due diligence review performed on valuations done
by Consolidated Analytics. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its loss expectations by
0.94% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 100% due diligence with no
material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC and Consolidated Analytics were engaged to perform the
reviews. Loans under this engagement were given compliance and
credit reviews and assigned initial and final grades for each
subcategory. Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due
diligence reports. Refer to the "Third-Party Due Diligence" section
for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies and the auditor (Deloitte), and no material discrepancies
were noted.
ESG Considerations
JPMMT 2025-CES1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to the adjustment for the rep and
warranty framework without other operational mitigants that
increased the loss expectations and is material to the transaction
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
JP MORGAN 2025-CES1: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on B-2 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to J.P. Morgan Mortgage
Trust 2025-CES1 (JPMMT 2025-CES1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JPMMT 2025-CES1
A-1-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1-B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A-3 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates backed by 100% closed-end second lien (CES) loans on
residential properties, to be issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust
2025-CES1 (JPMMT 2025-CES1), as indicated above. This is the third
transaction to be rated by Fitch that includes 100% CES loans off
the JPMMT shelf.
The pool consists of 3,417 nonseasoned, performing, CES loans with
a current outstanding balance (as of the cutoff date) of $333.44
million. The main originators in the transaction are loanDepot.com,
LLC (loanDepot), Guild Mortgage Company LLC (Guild), Deephaven
Mortgage LLC (Deephaven) and Amerisave Mortgage Corporation
(Amerisave). All other originators make up less than 15% of the
pool. The loans are serviced by Newrez, loanDepot and PennyMac.
Distributions of interest and principal are based on a sequential
structure, while losses are allocated reverse sequentially,
starting with the most subordinate class.
The servicers, Newrez, loanDepot and PennyMac, will not be
advancing delinquent monthly payments of principal and interest
(P&I).
The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate loans. Class A-1A, A-1B,
A-2, A-3 and M-1 certificates with respect to any distribution date
prior to the distribution date (and the related accrual period)
will have an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable
fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates and (ii) the
net weighted average coupon (WAC) for such distribution date.
The pass-through rate on class A-1A, A-1B, A-2, A-3 and M-1
certificates with respect to any distribution date on and after the
distribution date in February 2029 (and the related accrual period)
will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the sum of the
applicable fixed rate set forth in the table above for such class
of certificates and the step-up rate and (ii) the net WAC for such
distribution date. The "step-up rate" means a per annum rate equal
to 1.000%.
The pass-through rate on class B-1, B-2, and B-3 certificates with
respect to any distribution date and the related accrual period
will be an annual rate equal to the lower of (i) the applicable
fixed rate set forth for such class of certificates and (ii) the
net WAC for such distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 11.3% above a long-term sustainable
level (versus 11.1% on a national level as of 3Q24, down 0.5% since
last quarter, based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home
prices. Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades
driven by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home
prices have increased 3.8% yoy nationally as of November 2024
despite modest regional declines, but are still being supported by
limited inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
3,417 performing, fixed-rate loans secured by CES on primarily one-
to four-family residential properties (including planned unit
developments), condominiums and townhouses, totaling $333.44
million. The loans were made to borrowers with strong credit
profiles and relatively low leverage.
The loans are seasoned at an average of eight months according to
Fitch, and six months per the transaction documents. The pool has a
weighted average (WA) original FICO score of 740, as determined by
Fitch, indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. About
40.7% of the loans, as determined by Fitch, have a borrower with an
original FICO score equal to or above 750. The original WA combined
loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 68.6%, as determined by Fitch,
translates to a sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) of 77.3%.
The transaction documents stated a WA original LTV of 19.6% and a
WA CLTV of 66.3%. The LTVs represent moderate borrower equity in
the property and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower
CLTV of over 80%. Of the pool loans, 88.6% were originated by a
retail channel or correspondent channel with the remaining 11.4%
originated by a broker channel. Based on Fitch's documentation
review, it considers 84.1% of the loans to be fully documented.
Of the pool, 94.0% of the loans are of a primary or secondary
residence, and the remaining 6.0% are investor loans. Single-family
homes, planned unit developments (PUDs), townhouses and
single-family attached dwellings constitute 93.3% of the pool;
condominiums make up 3.9%, while multifamily homes make up 2.8%.
The pool consists of loans with the following loan purposes,
according to Fitch: cashout refinances (99.2%), rate-term
refinances (0.5%) and purchases (0.3%). The transaction documents
show 99.5% of the pool to be cashouts, 0.3% to be rate term
refinances, and 0.3% to be purchases. If the cash-out amount is
less than 3% Fitch typically does not consider the loan to be a
cash-out loan, which explains the difference in Fitch's cash-out
percentage compared to the transaction documents.
None of the loans in the pool are over $1.0 million.
Of the pool loans, 28.4% are concentrated in California. The
largest metropolitan statistical area (MSA) concentration is Los
Angeles MSA (11.1%), followed by the New York MSA (7.2%) and the
Phoenix MSA (4.0%). The top three MSAs account for 22.4% of the
pool. As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was
applied for geographic concentration.
As a majority of the loans are fully documented with high FICOs,
Fitch's prime loan loss model was used for the analysis of this
pool.
Second Lien Collateral (Negative): The entirety of the collateral
pool consists of CES loans originated by loanDepot, Guild,
Deephaven, Amerisave and other originators. Fitch assumed no
recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second lien loans, based on
the historical behavior of the loans in economic stress scenarios.
Fitch assumes second lien loans default at a rate comparable to
first lien loans. After controlling for credit attributes, no
additional penalty was applied.
Sequential Structure with No Advancing of Delinquent P&I (Mixed):
The proposed structure is a sequential structure in which principal
is distributed first, pro rata, to the A-1A and A-1B classes, then
sequentially to the A-2, A-3, M-1, B-1, B-2 and B-3 classes.
Interest is prioritized in the principal waterfall and any unpaid
interest amounts are paid prior to principal being paid.
The transaction has monthly excess cash flows that are used to
repay any realized losses incurred, and then cap carryover
amounts.
A realized loss will occur if the collateral balance is less than
the unpaid balance of the outstanding classes. Realized losses will
be allocated reverse sequentially with the losses allocated first
to class B-3. Once the A-2 class is written off, principal will be
allocated, first, to class A-1B, and then to class A-1A.
The transaction will have subordination and excess spread,
providing credit enhancement (CE) and protection from losses.
180-Day Charge-off Feature/Best Execution (Positive): For any
mortgage loan 180 or more days delinquent (DQ; or earlier, in
accordance with the related servicer's servicing practices, other
than due to such mortgage loan being or becoming subject to a
forbearance plan), the related servicer will perform an equity
analysis review and may charge off such mortgage loan (each such
mortgage loan, a "charged-off loan") with the approval of the
controlling holder if such review indicates no significant recovery
is likely in respect of such mortgage loan.
If the controlling holder does not approve such charge-off, then
the related servicer will continue monitoring the lien status of
such mortgage loan, in which case, the related servicer will
provide the controlling holder with prompt written notice if such
servicer obtains actual knowledge that the associated first lien
mortgage loan is subject to payoff, foreclosure, short sale or
similar event.
Fitch views positively that the servicer is conducting an equity
analysis to determine the best execution strategy for the
liquidation of severely DQ loans, as the servicer and controlling
holder are acting in the best interest of the noteholders to limit
losses on the transaction. If the controlling holder decides to
write off the losses at 180 days, it compares favorably to a
delayed liquidation scenario, whereby the loss occurs later in the
life of the transaction and less excess is available. In its cash
flow analysis, Fitch assumed the loans would be written off at 180
days, as this is the most likely scenario in a stressed case when
there is limited equity in the home.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.4% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
Per Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria," originators representing
over 15% of the loan pool require an assessment by Fitch. Guild
represents 18.5%, and Amerisave represents 15.3%, but Fitch did not
conduct an assessment on these originators. However, Fitch received
a presentation from Amerisave describing their management structure
and details about their operations, which Fitch would typically
obtain during an operational risk review. Fitch also confirmed that
the loans were underwritten to fit into JPMMT's credit box.
Fitch was comfortable having 18.5% of the pool originated by Guild
and 15.3% of the pool originated by Amerisave due to the
information provided by the firms, the loans fit into JPMMT's
credit box, and the percentage of loans contributed is just over
15%.
JPMMT is also an 'Above Average' aggregator that conducts its own
operational risk reviews of the originators from which it purchases
loans. There was no impact to the losses due to this criteria
variation, since an 'Acceptable' originator receives the same
treatment as an unreviewed originator with an 'Above Average'
aggregator.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC and Consolidated Analytics. The third-party
due diligence described in Form 15E focused on three areas:
compliance review, credit review, and data integrity. In addition,
11.4% loans had a due diligence review performed on valuations done
by Consolidated Analytics. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its loss expectations by
0.94% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 100% due diligence with no
material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC and Consolidated Analytics were engaged to perform the
reviews. Loans under this engagement were given compliance and
credit reviews and assigned initial and final grades for each
subcategory. Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due
diligence reports. Please refer to the "Third-Party Due Diligence"
section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies and the auditor (Deloitte), and no material discrepancies
were noted.
ESG Considerations
JPMMT 2025-CES1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to the adjustment for the rep and
warranty framework without other operational mitigants that
increased the loss expectations and is material to the
transaction.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MADISON PARK XXXVI: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $24MM E-RR Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Madison Park
Funding XXXVI, Ltd. (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$504,000,000 Class A-1-RR Floating Rate Senior Notes due 2035,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$24,000,000 Class E-RR Deferrable Floating Rate Mezzanine Notes
due 2035, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC (the "Manager") will continue
to direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets
on behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity,
including discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes, other changes
to transaction features in connection with the refinancing include
extension of the Refinancing Notes non-call period and changes to
collateral quality test matrices.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $796,016,193
Defaulted par: $3,302,164
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2903
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.30%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.54 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
MOSAIC SOLAR 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Mosaic Solar Loan Trust 2025-1's class
A, B, C and D notes final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Mosaic Solar Loan
Trust 2025-1
A 61945HAA0 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B 61945HAB8 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
C 61945HAC6 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D U6200HAD6 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a securitization of consumer loans backed by
residential solar equipment. All the loans were originated by Solar
Mosaic, LLC (Mosaic), one of the oldest established solar lenders
in the U.S., which has originated solar loans since 2014.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
FICO-informed Loan Performance Assumptions: Given the material
differences in loan performance by borrowers' FICO scores, Fitch
has defined lifetime default expectations by FICO groups. Fitch has
increased the base case default rate assumptions for most FICO
groups compared with the previous transaction. However, the
weighted average base case default rate decreased by 1.5pp to 8.1%
because Mosaic 2025-1 has a higher share of higher FICO groups.
Fitch assumed a 35% base case recovery rate for all FICO groups.
Fitch's rating default rates (RDRs) for 'AA-sf', 'Asf', 'BBB-sf'
and 'BB-sf' are 27.6%, 22.7%, 15.1% and 10.9%, respectively.
Fitch's rating recovery rates (RRRs) are 19.6%, 22.4%, 26.6% and
29.4%, respectively.
Trigger Switches Target OC to Turbo: The class A and B notes will
amortize to a 18% combined target over-collateralization (OC)
level. If the escalating cumulative loss trigger is breached, the
payment waterfall switches to turbo sequential, deferring any
interest payments for the class C and D notes, accelerating the
senior notes' deleveraging. The repayment timing of the class C and
D notes is highly sensitive to the timing of a trigger breach. The
trigger is lose compared with the default assumptions, causing a
substantial amount of cash to leak to the junior notes.
Limited Performance History Caps Ratings: Fitch's rating
assumptions are informed by over eight years of performance data
provided by Mosaic, supplemented by the historical performance of
other solar loans. Fitch considers data robust, but short compared
with the typical 25-year loan term.
Standard, Reputable Counterparties: The transaction account is with
Wilmington Trust and the servicer's collection account is with
Wells Fargo Bank. Commingling risk is mitigated by the transfer of
collections within two business days, the high initial automated
clearing house share and Wells Fargo's ratings. As both assets and
liabilities pay a fixed coupon, there is no need for an interest
rate hedge and consequently no exposure to swap counterparties.
Established Specialized Lender: Mosaic is one of the first movers
among U.S. solar loan lenders, with the longest record among
originators of the solar ABS that Fitch rates. Underwriting is
mostly automated and in line with those of other U.S. solar ABS
originators.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Asset performance that indicates an implied annualized default
rate (ADR) above 1.5% and a simultaneous fall in prepayment
activity may put pressure on the rating or lead to a Negative
Outlook;
- Material changes in policy support, the economics of purchasing
and financing photovoltaic panels and batteries, or ground-breaking
technological advances that make existing equipment obsolete may
also negatively affect the rating.
Fitch's model-implied rating (MIR) sensitivities to changes in
default or recovery assumptions are:
Decrease of prepayments (Class A/B/C/D):
-50%: 'AA-'/'A'/'BBB-'/'BB-'.
Increase of defaults (Class A/B/C/D):
+10%: 'AA-'/'A'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+25%: 'A+'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+50%: 'A'/'BBB+'/'BB'/'B'.
Decrease of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
-10%: 'AA-'/'A'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
-25%: 'AA-'/'A'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
-50%: 'AA-'/'A'/'BBB-'/'BB-'.
Increase of defaults and decrease of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
+10% / -10%: 'AA-'/'A'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+25% / -25%: 'A+'/'A-'/'BB+'/'B+';
+50% / -50%: 'A-'/'BBB'/'BB-'/'CCC'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch currently caps the ratings in the 'AAsf' category due to
limitations in performance history. The assigned 'AA-sf' rating is
further constrained by the available credit enhancement (CE). As a
result, positive rating action could result from an increase in CE
due to class A deleveraging, underpinned by good transaction
performance, for example, through high prepayments and an ADR of
approximately 1% or below. The overall economic environment is also
an important consideration, and Fitch's outlook is deteriorating in
the short term.
Fitch's MIR sensitivities, capped at 'AA+sf', to changes in default
or recovery assumptions are:
Decrease of defaults (Class A/B/C/D):
-10%: 'AA+'/'AA-'/'BBB+'/'BB+';
-25%: 'AA+'/'AA'/'A-'/'BBB-';
-50%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'A+'/'A-'.
Increase of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
+10%: 'AA+'/'A+'/'BBB+'/'BB+';
+25%: 'AA+'/'A+'/'BBB+'/'BB+';
+50%: 'AA+'/'AA-'/'BBB+'/'BB+'.
Decrease of defaults and increase of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
-10% / +10%: 'AA+'/'AA-'/'BBB+'/'BB+';
-25% / +25%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'A'/'BBB';
-50% / +50%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'AA-'/'A'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparing or re-computing certain
information with respect to 150 relevant loan contracts. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
DATA ADEQUACY
The historical information available for this originator did not
cover the asset tenor of up to 30 years, as originations began in
2014. Fitch applied a rating cap at the 'AAsf' category to address
this limitation.
The amortizing nature of the assets, the data available from
previous Mosaic transactions and the application of an ADR to the
static portfolio allowed Fitch to determine lifetime default
assumptions. Taking into account this analytical approach, the
rating committee considered the available data sufficient to
support a rating in the 'AAsf' category.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 31: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1R2, D-2R2, and E-R2 replacement debt from
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 31 Ltd./Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers CLO 31 LLC, a CLO managed by Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers LLC that was originally issued in May 2019 and underwent a
refinancing in April 2021.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Feb. 4,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Feb. 7, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the April 2021 debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the April
2021 debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if
the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
April 2021 debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R2 and D-2R2 debt are expected to be
issued at a higher spread over three-month term SOFR than the April
2021 notes over three-month LIBOR.
-- The replacement class B-R2, C-R2, D-1R2, and E-R2 debt are
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR
than the April 2021 notes over three-month LIBOR.
-- The replacement class D-1R2 and D-2R2 debt will replace the
April 2021 class D-R debt. The class D-2R1 debt will have the same
par subordination as the April 2021 class D-R debt, while the class
D-2-R2 debt will have 1.00% less.
-- The stated maturity will be extended 7.75 years.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended 5.75 years.
-- The non-call period will be extended 4.75 years.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 31 Ltd./
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 31 LLC
Class A-R2, $304.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $57.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $28.50 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R2 (deferrable), $28.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2R2 (deferrable), $4.75 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $14.25 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 31 Ltd./
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 31 LLC
Subordinated notes, $59.79 million: Not rated
NEUBERGER BERMAN 46: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 46, Ltd. refinancing notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
CLO 46, Ltd.
A 64134QAA5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-L LT AAAsf New Rating
B 64134QAC1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 64134QAE7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 64134QAG2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 46, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers II LLC that originally closed in
2021. On Jan. 29, 2025 (refinancing transaction closing date), the
existing classes A, B, C, D, and E notes will be refinanced with
the new classes A-L, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R notes. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $599 million of
primarily first-lien senior secured leverage loans (excluding
defaulted assets).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.39 versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.5. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.32% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.81% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 65.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a two-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
Key Provision Changes
The refinancing is implemented via the Amended and Restated
Indenture and the Class A-L Credit Agreement, which amended certain
provisions of the transaction. The changes include but are not
limited to:
- The spreads for A-L, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R notes are 1.05%,
1.50%, 1.75%, 2.65%, and 5.15%, respectively, compared to the
spreads of 1.39161%, 1.91161%, 2.21161%, 3.26161%, and 6.51161% for
classes A, B, C, D, and E, respectively, of the original deal.
- Stated maturity of all tranches of the refinancing notes is
extended to January 2037 from January 2034 for class A-L loans and
January 2036 for classes B through E notes of the original deal.
- The maximum weighted average life (WAL) covenant was extended by
one year, from six years as of the refinancing date to seven
years.
- Fitch collateral quality tests were added to the transaction. The
issuer will have the option to choose between two Fitch test
matrices on or after the closing date and two additional Fitch test
matrices at the end of the reinvestment period, subject to certain
par and obligor concentration requirements:
Fitch Test Matrix 1: Applicable on or after the closing date.
Fitch Test Matrix 2: Applicable at the discretion of the collateral
manager on or after the closing date if each of the top five
obligors in the portfolio constitutes no more than 1.5% of the
collateral principal amount and each of the remaining obligors
constitutes no more than 1.0% of the collateral principal amount.
Fitch Test Matrix 3: Applicable at the discretion of the collateral
manager on or after the first date of determination after the
closing date on which the weighted average life that is applicable
for purposes of the weighted average life test is less than or
equal to five years and the adjusted collateral principal amount is
greater than or equal to 99% of the target initial par amount.
Fitch Test Matrix 4: Applicable at the discretion of the collateral
manager on or after the first date of determination after the
closing date on which the weighted average life that is applicable
for purposes of the weighted average life test is less than or
equal to five years, the adjusted collateral principal amount is
greater than or equal to 99% of the target initial par amount, and
each of the top five obligors in the portfolio constitutes no more
than 1.5% of the collateral principal amount and each of the
remaining obligors constitutes no more than 1.0% of the collateral
principal amount.
Fitch Analysis
The current portfolio presented to Fitch includes 425 assets from
361 primarily high-yield obligors. The portfolio balance is
approximately $599 million (excluding defaulted assets). As per the
Jan. 9, 2025 trustee report, the transaction passed all of its
coverage tests and concentration limitations. The weighted average
rating of the current portfolio is 'B'.
Fitch has an explicit rating, credit opinion or private rating for
45% of the current portfolio par balance; ratings for 55% of the
portfolio were derived using Fitch's IDR equivalency map, assets
that are unrated by Fitch and have no public ratings from other
agencies constitute less than 0.1% of the portfolio.
Current Portfolio
The Fitch Portfolio Credit Model (PCM) default rate output for the
current portfolio of class A-L loans at the 'AAAsf' rating stress
was 43.2%. The PCM recovery rate output for the current portfolio
of class A-L loans at the 'AAAsf' rating stress was 38.9%. In the
analysis of the current portfolio, the class A-L loans passed the
'AAAsf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with a
minimum cushion of 15.4%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class B-R
at the 'AAsf' rating stress was 40.6%. The PCM recovery rate output
for the current portfolio of class B-R at the 'AAsf' rating stress
was 47.8%. In the analysis of the current portfolio, class B-R
passed the 'AAsf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios
with a minimum cushion of 12.8%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class C-R
at the 'Asf' rating stress was 36.0%. The PCM recovery rate output
for the current portfolio of class C-R at the 'Asf' rating stress
was 57.5%. In the analysis of the current portfolio, class C-R
passed the 'Asf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios
with a minimum cushion of 13.0%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class D-R
at the 'BBB-sf' rating stress was 27.7%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the current portfolio of class D-R at the 'BBB-sf'
rating stress was 66.8%. In the analysis of the current portfolio,
class D-R passed the 'BBB-sf' rating threshold in all nine cash
flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of 12.8%.
The PCM default rate output for the current portfolio of class E-R
at the 'BB-sf' rating stress was 23.1%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the current portfolio of class E-R at the 'BB-sf' rating
stress was 72.3%. In the analysis of the current portfolio, class
E-R passed the 'BB-sf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow
scenarios with a minimum cushion of 14.5%.
Fitch Stressed Portfolio (FSP)
The FSP includes the following concentrations which reflect the
maximum limitations per the indenture or Fitch's assumptions for
the current Fitch Test Matrix Point:
- Largest five obligors: 2.5% each (aggregate 12.5%)
- Top three Fitch industries: 16%/15%/14%
- Risk horizon: Six years
- Minimum weighted average coupon: 5.0%
- Minimum weighted average spread: 3.1%
- Fixed-rate assets: 7.5%
- The FSP assumes a 25.5 WARF and 65.3% WARR, in line with Fitch
Test Matrix 1 applicable on or after the closing date
- The transaction will exit the reinvestment period in January
2027
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class A-L
loans at the 'AAAsf' rating stress was 51.2%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the FSP of class A-L loans at the 'AAAsf' rating stress
was 33.7%. In the stressed analysis, the class A-L loans passed the
'AAAsf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with a
minimum cushion of 2.7%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class B-R
at the 'AAsf' rating stress was 47.6%. The PCM recovery rate output
for the FSP of class B-R at the 'AAsf' rating stress was 39.8%. In
the stressed analysis, the class B-R notes passed the 'AAsf' rating
threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of
0.0%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class C-R
at the 'Asf' rating stress was 42.3%. The PCM recovery rate output
for the FSP of class C-R at the 'Asf' rating stress was 49.8%. In
the stressed analysis, the class C-R notes passed the 'Asf' rating
threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with a minimum cushion of
0.0%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class D-R
at the 'BBB-sf' rating stress was 33.3%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the FSP of class D-R at the 'BBB-sf' rating stress was
58.8%. In the stressed analysis, the class D-R notes passed the
'BBB-sf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with a
minimum cushion of 2.0%.
The PCM default rate output for the stressed portfolio of class E-R
at the 'BB-sf' rating stress was 28.0%. The PCM recovery rate
output for the FSP of class E-R at the 'BB-sf' rating stress was
64.1%. In the stressed analysis, the class E-R notes passed the
'BB-sf' rating threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with a
minimum cushion of 2.5%.
In addition to its analysis of the sample matrix point, Fitch
tested the projected cash flow performance of a total of 336
possible matrix points when analyzing the Fitch-rated notes. Based
on Fitch stressed portfolios consisting of (i) 92.5% floating-rate
assets and 7.5% fixed-rate assets and (ii) 100% floating-rate
assets, there were zero failures at any given matrix point and the
smallest degree of cushion was 0.0%.
The rating actions reflect that the notes can sustain a robust
level of defaults combined with low recoveries, as well as other
factors, such as the degree of cushion when analyzing the
indicative portfolio and the strong performance in the sensitivity
scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-L, between 'BB+sf'
and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'BB-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class
C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-R, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-L loans as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA-sf' for class C-R, 'A-sf'
for class D-R, and 'BBBsf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 46, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 59: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers CLO 59, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers CLO 59, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 59, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers IV LLC. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.18, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.62% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.44% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.75%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 59, Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2025-NQM1: Fitch Gives B-(EXP) Rating on B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed notes
to be issued by New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2025-NQM1
(NRMLT 2025-NQM1).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
NRMLT 2025-NQM1
A-1A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The NRMLT 2025-NQM1 notes are supported by 583 newly originated
loans with a balance of $308 million as of the Jan. 1, 2025 cutoff
date. The pool consists of loans originated by NewRez LLC, as well
as third-party originator Champions Funding, LLC (Champions), among
others.
The notes are secured mainly by non-qualified mortgage (QM) loans
as defined by the ability-to-repay (ATR) Rule. Of the loans in the
pool, 52.3% are designated as non-QM, while the remainder are not
subject to the ATR Rule.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.2% above a long-term sustainable level (relative
to 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24). Housing affordability is
the worst it has been in decades, driven by both high interest
rates and elevated home prices. Home prices had increased 4.3% yoy
nationally as of August 2024 despite modest regional declines, but
are still being supported by limited inventory.
Non-Prime Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 583
loans, totaling $308 million and seasoned approximately three
months in aggregate, according to Fitch, as calculated from
origination date. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile when
compared with other non-QM transactions, with a 752 Fitch model
FICO score and 40% debt/income ratios (DTI), as determined by Fitch
after converting the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) values.
However, leverage (81% sustainable loan/value [sLTV]) within this
pool is consistent compared to previous NRMLT transactions from
2024.
The pool consists of 58.8% of loans where the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 36.1% are considered an investor property
or second home. Additionally, only 17.0% of the loans were
originated through a retail channel. Moreover, 52.3% are considered
non-QM, and the remainder are not subject to QM.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure pays
principal pro rata among the senior notes while shutting out the
subordinate bonds from principal until all senior classes are
reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency
trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will be paid
sequentially to class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 notes until they are
reduced to zero.
Starting on the payment date immediately following the first
payment date of which the principal balance of the mortgage loans
is less than or equal to 20% of the balance as of the cut-off date,
the class A-1A, A-1B, A-2 and A-3 notes feature a 100-bp coupon
step-up, subject to the net WAC. This increases the interest
allocation for the A-1 through A-3 and decreases the amount of
excess spread available in the transaction.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 74.2% of the pool was
underwritten to less than full documentation, according to Fitch.
Approximately 47.3% was underwritten to a 12-month or 24-month bank
statement program for verifying income, which is not consistent
with Fitch's view of a full documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR Rule. The standards are meant to reduce the risk of borrower
default arising from lack of affordability, misrepresentation or
other operational quality risks due to rigor of the ATR Rule's
mandates with respect to the underwriting and documentation of the
borrower's ATR. Additionally, 19.7% are DSCR product, and 4.4% are
Asset Depletion product.
High Investor Property Concentrations (Negative): Approximately
36.1% of the pool comprises investment property loans, including
19.7% underwritten to a cash flow ratio rather than the borrower's
DTI ratio. Investor property loans exhibit higher probability of
defaults (PDs) and higher loss severities (LS) than owner-occupied
homes. Fitch increased the PD by approximately 2.0x for the cash
flow ratio loans relative to a traditional income documentation
investor loan, to account for the increased risk.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model projected 42.3% at 'AAA'. The
analysis indicates that there is some potential rating migration
with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the model
projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home prices
would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Evolve, Infinity, and SitusAMC. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance, and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustments to
its analysis:
- Fitch applied a 5% PD credit was at the loan level for all loans
graded either 'A' or 'B';
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 52bps as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
OCEAN TRAILS XI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R,
C-1-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from Ocean Trails CLO XI/Ocean
Trails CLO LLC, a CLO originally issued in July 2021 that is
managed by Five Arrows Managers North America LLC, a subsidiary of
Rothschild & Co. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A, B, C-1, D, and E debt following payment in full
on the Feb. 4, 2025, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its rating
on the class C-2 debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Feb. 4, 2026.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the Feb. 4, 2025,
refinancing date. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
April 20, 2025.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $248 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.03%
-- Class B-R, $56 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.55%
-- Class C-1-R (deferrable), $17 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.85%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $24 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.10%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $16 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 6.85%
Original debt
-- Class A, $248 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.22% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $56 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.80% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C-1 (deferrable), $17 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.50% + CSA(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $24 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
3.70% + CSA(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $16 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
7.53% + CSA(i)
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Ocean Trails CLO XI/Ocean Trails CLO LLC
Class A-R, $248 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $56 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $17 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $24 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $16 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Ocean Trails CLO XI/Ocean Trails CLO LLC
Class A to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-1 (deferrable) to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class D (deferrable) to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to not rated from 'BB- (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
Ocean Trails CLO XI/Ocean Trails CLO LLC
Class C-2 (deferrable): A (sf)
Other Debt
Ocean Trails CLO XI/Ocean Trails CLO LLC
Subordinated notes, $37.71 million: Not rated
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 40: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-RR,
A-2-RR, B-RR, and C-RR replacement debt from Octagon Investment
Partners 40 Ltd./Octagon Investment Partners 40 LLC, a CLO managed
by Octagon Credit Investors LLC that was originally issued in March
2019 and underwent a refinancing in December 2021. At the same
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R,
C-1-R, and C-2-R debt following payment in full on the Feb. 5,
2025, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class
D-R and E-R debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a conformed indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
conformed indenture, the non-call period for the replacement debt
was set to Jan. 20, 2026. Also, the floating-rate class C-1-R debt
and fixed-rate class C-2-R debt was refinanced by the floating-rate
class C-RR debt.
Replacement And December 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-RR, $378.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.04%
-- Class A-2-RR, $12.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.30%
-- Class B-RR, $66.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.55%
-- Class C-RR (deferrable), $36.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.75%
December 2021 debt
-- Class A-1-R, $378.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.43%
-- Class A-2-R, $12.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.66%
-- Class B-R, $66.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.96%
-- Class C-1-R (deferrable), $29.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.41%
-- Class C-2-R (deferrable), $7.00 million: 3.50%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Octagon Investment Partners 40 Ltd./
Octagon Investment Partners 40 LLC
Class A-1-RR, $378.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-RR, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-RR, $66.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-RR (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Octagon Investment Partners 40 Ltd./
Octagon Investment Partners 40 LLC
Class A-1-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-1-R (deferrable) to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class C-2-R (deferrable) to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Octagon Investment Partners 40 Ltd./
Octagon Investment Partners 40 LLC
Class D-R (deferrable): BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable): BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Octagon Investment Partners 40 Ltd./
Octagon Investment Partners 40 LLC
Subordinated notes, $61.42 million: Not rated
OFSI BSL XII: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R, A-J-R,
B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from OFSI BSL XII
CLO Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO LLC, a CLO originally issued in February
2023 that is managed by OFS CLO Management II LLC. At the same
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A-1, A-J, B,
C, D-1, D-2, and E debt following payment in full on the Feb. 5,
2025, refinancing debt.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The reinvestment period was extended to Jan. 20, 2030.
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 20, 2027.
-- The replacement class B-R, C-R, and E-R debt was issued at a
lower spread over three-month CME term SOFR than the original
debt.
-- No new subordinated notes were issued.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
OFSI BSL XII CLO Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO LLC
Class A-1-R, $180.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-J-R, $9.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $39.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $18.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $15.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $9.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
OFSI BSL XII CLO Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-J to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-1 (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class D-2 (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
OFSI BSL XII CLO Ltd./OFSI BSL XII CLO LLC
Subordinated notes, $28.85 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
PMT LOAN 2025-INV1: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 61 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by PMT Loan
Trust 2025-INV1, and sponsored by PennyMac Corp.
The securities are backed by a pool of GSE-eligible residential
mortgages originated and serviced by PennyMac Corp.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: PMT Loan Trust 2025-INV1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-22, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-24, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-25, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-26, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-27, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-28, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-29, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-30, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-31, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-32, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-33, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X2*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X3*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X6*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X7*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X8*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X9*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X11*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X12*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X14*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X15*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X18*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X19*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X21*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X22*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X24*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X25*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X26*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X27*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X30*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X31*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X32*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X33*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.79%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.48% and reaches 7.68% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
After the provisional ratings were assigned, 14 loans originated in
Maryland were dropped from the pool.
The Class A-1A Loans were not funded on the closing date. Hence,
Moody's withdrew the provisional rating of (P)Aaa (sf) assigned to
Class A-1A Loans.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in July 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
PRET TRUST 2025-RPL1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class B2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to PRET 2025-RPL1 Trust
(PRET 2025-RPL1).
PRET 2025-RPL1 utilizes Fitch's new Interactive RMBS Presale
feature. To access the interactive feature, click the link at the
top of the presale report first page, log into dv01 and explore
Fitch's loan-level loss expectations.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
PRET 2025-RPL1
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A4 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
A5 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
M1 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M2 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B4 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
PT LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
SA LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Fitch rates the residential mortgage-backed notes to be issued by
PPRET 2025-RPL1 as indicated above. The notes are supported by
2,151 seasoned performing and reperforming loans (RPLs) that had a
balance of $424.87 million as of the Dec. 31, 2024 cutoff date.
The notes are secured by a pool of fixed, step-rate and
adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) loans, some of which have an initial
interest-only (IO) period. The loans are primarily fully
amortizing, with original terms to maturity of 30 years. The loans
are secured by first liens primarily on single-family residential
properties, townhouses, condominiums, co-ops, manufactured housing,
multifamily homes, and commercial properties.
In the pool, 100% of the loans are seasoned performing and
re-performing loans. Of the loans, 84.6% are exempt from the
qualified mortgage (QM) rule as they are investment properties or
were originated before the Ability to Repay (ATR) rule took effect
in January 2014.
Selene Finance LP (Selene) will service 100.0% of the loans in the
pool; Fitch rates Selene 'RPS3+'.
There is London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor) exposure in this
transaction. The majority of the loans in the collateral pool
comprise fixed-rate mortgages, but 5.4% of the pool comprises
step-rate loans or loans with an adjustable rate. Of the pool, 2.6%
consists of ARM loans that reference the one-month, six-month or
one-year Libor index.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Fitch views the home
price values of this pool as 12.2% above a long-term sustainable
level (vs. 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% since last
quarter), based on Fitch's updated view on sustainable home prices.
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades, driven
by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices
have increased 4.3% yoy nationally as of August 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still supported by limited inventory.
Seasoned Performing and Reperforming Credit Quality (Mixed): The
collateral consists of 2,151 loans, totaling $424.87 million, which
includes deferred amounts. The loans are seasoned approximately 192
months in aggregate, according to Fitch, as calculated from
origination date (189 months per the transaction documents).
Specifically, the pool comprises 94.6% fully amortizing fixed-rate
loans, 4.2% fully amortizing ARM loans, and 1.2% step-rate loans
that were treated as ARM loans.
The borrowers have a moderate credit profile, with a 662 Fitch
model FICO score (659 FICO per the transaction documents). The
transaction has a weighted average (WA) sustainable loan to value
(sLTV) ratio of 61.5%, as determined by Fitch. The debt to income
ratio (DTI) was not provided for the loans in the transaction; as a
result, Fitch applied a 45% DTI to all the loans.
According to Fitch, the pool consists of 98.9% of loans to
borrowers maintaining a primary residence, while 1.1% of loans are
for investor properties or second homes. Loans with an unknown
occupancy are treated by Fitch as investor properties. In its
analysis, Fitch considered 8.1% of the loans to be non-QM loans and
7.4% were considered safe-harbor QM or high-priced QM loans, while
the remaining 84.6% were considered exempt from QM status. In its
analysis, Fitch considered loans originated after January 2014
non-QM since they are no longer eligible to be in
government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) pools.
In Fitch's analysis, 84.6% of the loans are to single-family homes,
townhouses, and planned unit developments (PUDs), 5.8% are to
condos or coops, 9.5% are to manufactured housing or multifamily
homes, and less than 0.1% are for commercial. In the analysis,
Fitch treated manufactured properties as multifamily and the
probability of default (PD) was increased for these loans as a
result.
The pool contains 14 loans over $1.0 million, with the largest loan
at $2.46 million.
Based on the due diligence findings, Fitch considered 8.2% of the
loans to have subordinate financing. Specifically, for loans
missing original appraised values, Fitch assumed these loans had an
LTV of 80% and a combined (CLTV) of 100%, which further explains
the discrepancy in the subordinate financing percentages per
Fitch's analysis versus the transaction documents. Fitch viewed all
the loans in the pool in the first lien position based on data
provided in the tape and confirmation from the servicer on the lien
position.
Of the pool, 93.8% of the loans were current as of Dec. 31, 2024.
Overall, the pool characteristics resemble RPL collateral;
therefore, the pool was analyzed using Fitch's RPL model and Fitch
extended liquidation timelines as it typically does for RPL pools.
Approximately 19.8% of the pool is concentrated in New York. The
largest metropolitan statistical area (MSA) concentration is in the
New York MSA at 23.7%, followed by the Los Angeles MSA at 6.9% and
the Miami MSA at 5.3%. The top three MSAs account for 35.9% of the
pool. As a result, there was a penalty applied for geographic
concentration of 18bps at the 'AAAsf' rating.
No Advancing (Mixed): The servicer will not be advancing delinquent
monthly payments of principal and interest (P&I). Because P&I
advances made on behalf of loans that become delinquent and
eventually liquidate reduce liquidation proceeds to the trust, the
loan-level loss severities (LS) are less for this transaction than
for those where the servicer is obligated to advance P&I.
To provide liquidity and ensure timely interest will be paid to the
'AAAsf' rated classes and ultimate interest on the remaining rated
classes, principal will need to be used to pay for interest accrued
on delinquent loans. This will result in stress on the structure
and the need for additional credit enhancement (CE) compared with a
pool with limited advancing. These structural provisions and cash
flow priorities, together with increased subordination, provide for
timely payments of interest to the 'AAAsf' rated classes.
Sequential Deal Structure (Positive): The transaction utilizes a
sequential payment structure with no advancing of delinquent P&I
payments. The transaction is structured with subordination to
protect more senior classes from losses and has a minimal amount of
excess interest, which can be used to repay current or previously
allocated realized losses and cap carryover shortfall amounts.
The interest and principal waterfall prioritize the payment of
interest to the A-1, which is supportive of class A-1 receiving
timely interest. Fitch considers timely interest for 'AAAsf' rated
classes and to ultimate interest for 'AAsf' to 'Bsf' category rated
classes.
The note rate for each of the class A-1, A-2, M-1 and M-2 notes on
any payment date up to but excluding the payment date in February
2029 and for the related accrual period will be a per annum rate
equal to the lesser of (i) the fixed rate for such class set forth
in the table above, and (ii) the Net WAC Rate for such payment
date.
Beginning on the payment date in February 2029 and for the related
accrual period, and on each payment date thereafter and for each
related accrual period, the note rate for each of the class A-1,
A-2, M-1 and M-2 notes will be a per annum rate equal to the lesser
of (a) the Net WAC Rate for such payment date, and (b) the sum of
(i) the fixed rate set forth in the table above for such class of
notes, and (ii) 1.000% (such increased note rate referred to as the
Step-Up Note Rate).
The unpaid cap carryover amount payments on the class A and M notes
are prioritized over the payment of the B-3, B-4 and B-5 interest
in both the interest and principal waterfall.
The note rate for the B classes is based on the net WAC.
Losses are allocated to classes reverse sequentially starting with
class B-5. Classes will be written down if the transaction is
undercollateralized.
There is excess spread available to absorb losses.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.9%, at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration, with higher MVDs for all rated
classes compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by ProTitle and AMC. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on the following areas: compliance
review, data integrity, servicing review and title review. The
scope of the review was consistent with Fitch's criteria. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis. Based on the results
of the 100% due diligence performed on the pool, Fitch adjusted the
expected losses.
A large portion of the loans received 'C' and 'D' grades mainly due
to missing documentation that resulted in the ability to test for
certain compliance issues. As a result, Fitch applied negative loan
level adjustments, which increased the 'AAAsf' losses by 25% and
are further detailed in the Third-Party Due Diligence section of
the presale.
Fitch determined there were three loans with material TRID issues;
a $15,500 loss severity penalty was given to loans with material
TRID issues, although this did not have any impact on the rounded
losses.
A ProTitle search found outstanding liens that pre-date the
mortgage. It was confirmed the majority of these liens are retired
and nothing is owed. There are five loans in the pool have a total
of approximately $16,404 (per the 15E) in potentially superior
pre-origination recorded liens/judgments.
In addition, there are 171 loans that have a clean title search but
there may be potential liens that could claim priority over the
mortgage in the pool that total $814,924 (per the 15E). The trust
will be responsible for these amounts. As a result, Fitch increased
the loss severity by these amounts since the trust would be
responsible for reimbursing the servicer these amounts. This did
not have any impact on the rounded losses.
Fitch received confirmation from the servicer on the current lien
status of the loans in the pool. The servicer regularly orders
these searches as part of its normal business practice and resolves
issues as they arise. No additional adjustment was made as a
result. As a result of the valid title policy and the servicer
monitoring the lien status, Fitch treated 100% of the pool as first
liens.
The custodian is actively tracking down missing documents. In the
event a missing document materially delays or prevents a
foreclosure, the sponsor will have 90 days to find the document or
cure the issue. If the loan seller cannot cure the issue or find
the missing documents, they will repurchase the loan at the
repurchase price. Due to this, Fitch only extended timelines for
missing documents.
A pay history review was conducted on a sample set of loans by AMC.
The review confirmed the pay strings are accurate, and the servicer
confirmed the payment history was accurate for all the loans. As a
result, 100% of the pool's payment history was confirmed.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the loans. The third-party due diligence was
consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." The sponsor
engaged ProTitle and AMC to perform the review. Loans reviewed
under this engagement were given initial and final compliance
grades. A portion of the loans in the pool received a credit or
valuation review.
An exception and waiver report was provided to Fitch, indicating
that the pool of reviewed loans has a number of exceptions and
waivers. Fitch determined that the exceptions and waivers
materially affect the overall credit risk of the loans; refer to
the Third-Party Due Diligence section of the presale report for
more details.
Fitch also received confirmation from the servicer that the lien
status and payment history provided in the tape is accurate per its
records. Fitch took this information into consideration in its
analysis.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. The loan-level
information Fitch received was provided in the American
Securitization Forum's (ASF) data layout format. The ASF data tape
layout was established with input from various industry
participants, including rating agencies, issuers, originators,
investors and others, to produce an industry standard for the
pool-level data in support of the U.S. RMBS securitization market.
The data contained in the data tape layout was populated by the due
diligence company, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG Considerations
PRET 2025-RPL1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to elevated operational risk, which
resulted in an increase in expected losses. The Tier 2
representations and warranties (R&W) framework with an unrated
counterparty resulted in an increase in expected losses. This has a
negative impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors. The highest level of ESG
credit relevance is a score of '3', unless otherwise disclosed in
this section.
A score of '3' means ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a
minimal credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or
the way in which they are being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG
Relevance Scores are not inputs in the rating process; they are an
observation on the relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the
rating decision.
RIVERBANK PARK CLO: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Riverbank Park CLO
Ltd./Riverbank Park CLO LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Blackstone Liquid Credit Strategies
LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Riverbank Park CLO Ltd./Riverbank Park CLO LLC
Class A-1, $307.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $22.50 million: Not rated
Class B-1, $35.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $15.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $20.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $48.75 million: Not rated
SIXTH STREET XIII: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-R2, C-1-R2, C-2-R2, D-1-R2, D-2-R2, E-R2 debt and
the proposed new class X debt from Sixth Street CLO XIII Ltd./Sixth
Street CLO XIII LLC, a CLO managed by Sixth Street CLO XIII
Management LLC that was originally issued in June 2019 under the
name TICP CLO XIII Ltd. and was previously refinanced in May 2021.
The June 2019 issuance was not rated by S&P Global Ratings.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 31,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Feb. 11, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the May 2021 debt. At that
time, S&P expects to withdraw its ratings on the May 2021 debt and
assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if the refinancing
doesn't occur, S&P may affirm its ratings on the May 2021 debt and
withdraw its preliminary ratings on the replacement debt.
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period will be extended
approximately 3.8 years.
-- The non-call period will be reestablished and is expected to
end in January 2027.
-- The class X notes will be issued in connection with this
refinancing. These notes are expected to be paid down using
interest proceeds during the first 12 payment dates beginning with
the payment date in April 2025.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 100.00%
have credit ratings (which may include confidential ratings,
private ratings, and credit estimates) assigned by S&P Global
Ratings.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 93.64%
have recovery ratings (which may include confidential and private
ratings) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions."
S&P will continue to review whether, in its view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as S&P deems
necessary.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Sixth Street CLO XIII Ltd./Sixth Street CLO XIII LLC
Class X, $2.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R2, $281.25 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R2, $13.50 million: NR
Class B-R2, $42.75 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1-R2 (deferrable), $26.50 million: A (sf)
Class C-2-R2 (deferrable), $5.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R2 (deferrable), $27.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R2 (deferrable), $2.70 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $15.30 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $45.35 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
TCW CLO 2019-2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1R2, A-2R2, B-R2, C-R2, D-1R2, D-2R2, and E-R2 replacement debt
from TCW CLO 2019-2 Ltd./TCW CLO 2019-2 LLC, a CLO originally
issued in November 2019 transaction that was first refinanced in
February 2022 and is managed by TCW Asset Management Co. LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 31,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the Feb. 20, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to Jan. 20, 2030.
-- The legal final maturity date will be extended to Jan. 20,
2038.
-- The target par amount will remain at $400.00 million. There
will be no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and the
first payment date following the second refinancing is July 20,
2025.
-- Additional subordinated notes with a notional balance of $20.75
million will be issued on the second refinancing date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
TCW CLO 2019-2 Ltd./TCW CLO 2019-2 LLC
Class A-1R2, $248.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2R2, $16.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R2, $40.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $24.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R2 (deferrable), $24.0 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2R2 (deferrable), $6.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $10.0 million: BB- (sf)
Other Outstanding Debt
TCW CLO 2019-2 Ltd./TCW CLO 2019-2 LLC
Subordinated notes, $60.7 million: Not rated
TOWD POINT 2025-CRM1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to Towd Point Mortgage
Trust 2025-CRM1 (TPMT 2025-CRM1).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
TPMT 2025-CRM1
A1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2A LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2AX LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2B LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2BX LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2C LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2CX LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2D LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2DX LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AX LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B1 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B2 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1A LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1AX LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1B LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1BX LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1C LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1CX LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1D LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M1DX LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2A LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2AX LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2B LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2BX LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2C LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2CX LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M2DX LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS2 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed notes issued
by TPMT 2025-CRM1 as indicated above. The transaction is expected
to close on Feb. 7, 2025. The notes are supported by 3,963 newly
originated, closed-end second lien (CES) loans and HELOC loans with
a total balance of $340 million as of the cutoff date.
Spring EQ, LLC and loanDepot.com LLC originated approximately 77%
and 15% of the loans, respectively. Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing
(SMS) and loanDepot will service all of the loans. The servicers
will advance delinquent (DQ) monthly payments of P&I for up to 60
days, under the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) methodology, or
until deemed nonrecoverable.
Distributions of P&I and loss allocations are based on a
traditional senior-subordinate, sequential structure. The
sequential-pay structure locks out principal to the subordinated
notes until the most senior notes outstanding are paid in full.
Excess cash flow can be used to repay losses or net weighted
average coupon (WAC) shortfalls. In addition, the structure
includes a senior interest-only (IO) class, which represents a
senior interest strip of 1.50%, with such interest strip
entitlement being senior to the net interest amounts paid to the
P&I certificates.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to an updated view
on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values of
this pool as 11.3% above a long-term sustainable level, compared
with 11.6% on a national level as of 2Q24, up 0.1% qoq. Housing
affordability is at its worst levels in decades, driven by high
interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased 4.3%
yoy nationally as of August 2024, despite modest regional declines,
but are still being supported by limited inventory.
Closed and Open Second Liens (Negative): The substantial majority
of the collateral pool (99.7%) comprises newly originated second
lien (either closed end or HELOC) mortgages. Fitch assumed no
recovery and 100% loss severity (LS) on second lien loans based on
the historical behavior of second lien loans in economic stress
scenarios. Fitch assumes second lien loans default at a rate
comparable to first lien loans; after controlling for credit
attributes, no additional penalty was applied.
Strong Credit Quality (Positive): The pool primarily consists of
new-origination second lien (either closed end of HELOC) mortgages,
seasoned at approximately six months (as calculated by Fitch), with
a relatively strong credit profile — a weighted average (WA)
model credit score of 737, a 39% debt-to-income ratio (DTI) and a
moderate sustainable loan-to-value ratio (sLTV) of 81%.
Roughly 99% of the loans were treated as full documentation in
Fitch's analysis. Approximately 58% of the loans were originated
through a retail channel.
Sequential-Pay Structure with Realized Loss and Writedown Feature
(Mixed): The transaction's cash flow is based on a sequential-pay
structure whereby the subordinate classes (excluding class D) do
not receive principal until the most senior classes are repaid in
full. Losses are allocated in reverse-sequential order, excluding
class D. Furthermore, the provision to reallocate principal to pay
interest on the 'AAAsf' rated notes prior to other principal
distributions is highly supportive of timely interest payments to
those notes in the absence of servicer advancing.
For any loan that becomes DQ for 150 days or more under the OTS
methodology, the servicer will review and may charge off the loan
with the asset manager's approval, based on an equity analysis
review performed by the servicer. This action will result in the
most subordinated class being written down.
Fitch views the writedown feature positively, despite the 100% LS
assumed for each defaulted second lien loan, as cash flows will not
be needed to pay timely interest to the 'AAAsf' rated notes during
loan resolution by the servicers. Additionally, subsequent
recoveries realized after the writedown at 150 days DQ (excluding
forbearance mortgage or loss mitigation loans) will be passed on to
bondholders as principal.
The structure does not allocate excess cashflow to turbo down the
bonds but includes a step-up coupon feature. The fixed interest
rate for classes A1, A2 and M1 will increase by 100 bps, subject to
the net WAC, after four years. The structure includes a senior IO
class certificate (class AX), which represents a senior interest
strip of 1.50% per annum based off the related mortgage rate of
each mortgage loan, with the interest strip entitlement being
senior to the net interest amounts paid to the notes and at the top
of the waterfall.
The inclusion of this senior IO class reduces the collateral WAC
and effectively diminishes the excess spread. Given that it is a
strip-off of the entire collateral balance and accrual amounts will
be reduced by any losses on the collateral pool, class AX cannot be
rated by Fitch. Overall, unlike other second lien transactions,
this transaction has less excess spread available and its
application offers diminished support to the rated classes,
requiring a higher level of credit enhancement (CE).
Limited Advancing Construct (Neutral): The servicers will be
advancing delinquent P&I on the closed end collateral for a period
up to 60 days delinquent under the OTS method as long as the
amounts are deemed recoverable. Given Fitch's projected loss
severity assumption on second lien collateral, it assumed no
advancing in its analysis.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis shows how ratings
would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at the national
level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in
addition to the model-projected 42.3%, at 'AAAsf'. The analysis
indicates there is some potential rating migration, with higher
MVDs for all rated classes compared with model projections.
Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home prices would lower
all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all rated classes. Specifically, a
10% gain in home prices would result in a full category upgrade for
the rated classes, excluding those being assigned ratings of
'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC (AMC) and Consolidated Analytics. A
third-party due diligence review was completed on 100% of the
loans. The scope, as described in Form 15E, focused on credit,
regulatory compliance and property valuation reviews, consistent
with Fitch criteria for new originations. The results of the
reviews indicated low operational risk with no loans receiving a
final grade of C/D. Fitch applied a credit for the high percentage
of loan-level due diligence, which reduced the 'AAAsf' loss
expectation by 72bps.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2025-INV1: S&P Assigns (P) B-(sf) on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Verus
Securitization Trust 2025-INV1's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is a residential mortgage-backed securities
(RMBS) transaction backed by first-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate
(some with interest-only periods) residential mortgage loans
secured by single-family residences, townhouses, planned-unit
developments, two- to four-family residential properties,
condominiums, five– to 10-unit multifamily properties, mixed-use
properties, and condotels to both prime and nonprime borrowers. The
pool has 1,337 residential mortgage loans; five loans are
cross-collateralized loans backed by 32 properties for a total
property count of 1,364.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Feb. 5,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, and geographic
concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Invictus Capital Partners, and any S&P
Global Ratings reviewed originator; and
-- S&P said, "One key change in our baseline forecast since
September 2024, wherein we expect the Federal Reserve to reduce the
federal funds rate more gradually and reach an assumed neutral rate
of 3.1% by fourth-quarter 2026 (was fourth-quarter 2025
previously). We continue to expect real GDP growth to slow from
above-trend growth this year to below-trend growth in 2025. The
U.S. economy is expanding at a solid pace, and while President
Donald Trump outlined numerous policy proposals during his
campaign, S&P Global Ratings' economic outlook for 2025 hasn't
changed appreciably, partly because we have taken a probabilistic
approach and are assuming partial implementation of campaign
promises. It will take time for changes in fiscal, trade, and
immigration policy to be implemented and affect the economy. Our
current market outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected
archetypal foreclosure frequency is, therefore, unchanged at 2.50%.
This reflects our benign view of the mortgage and housing markets,
as demonstrated through general national-level home price behavior,
unemployment rates, mortgage performance, and underwriting."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned(i)
Verus Securitization Trust 2025-INV1
Class A-1, $309,148,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $36,067,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $62,860,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $45,342,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $27,566,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $20,094,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $14,170,010: Not rated
Class A-IO-S, $515,247,010(ii): Not rated
Class XS, $515,247,010(ii): Not rated
Class R, not applicable: Not rated
(i)The preliminary ratings address the ultimate payment of interest
and principal.
(ii)The notional amount equals the aggregate stated principal
balance of loans in the pool as of the Jan. 1, 2025, cutoff date,
rolled forward to Feb. 1, 2025, to take into account the scheduled
amortization of the applicable mortgage loans.
VITALITY RE XVI 2025: S&P Assigns 'B+(sf)' Rating to Class C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BBB+ (sf)', 'BB+ (sf)', and 'B+
(sf)' ratings to the series 2025 class A, B, and C notes,
respectively, issued by Vitality Re XVI Ltd. The notes will cover
claims payments of Health Re Inc. -- and ultimately, Aetna Life
Insurance Co. (ALIC; A-/Negative/--) -- related to the covered
business to the extent the medical benefits ratio (MBR) exceeds
106% for the class A notes, 100% for the class B notes, and 97% for
the class C notes. The MBR is calculated on an annual aggregate
basis.
S&P bases its ratings on the lowest of the following:
-- The MBR risk factor for the ceded risk ('bbb+' for the class A
notes, 'bb+' for the class B notes, and 'b+' for the class C
notes);
-- The rating on ALIC (the underlying ceding insurer); or
-- The rating on the permitted investments ('AAAm') that will be
held in the collateral account (there is a separate collateral
account for each class of notes) at closing.
According to the risk analysis provided by Milliman Inc., one of
the world's largest providers of actuarial and related products and
services, the primary factors in historical medical insurance
financial fluctuations have been the volatility in per capita claim
cost trends and lags in insurers' reactions to these trend changes
in their premium actions. Other sources of volatility include
changes in expenses and target profit margins. Although these
factors cause the majority of claims volatility, the extreme tail
risk is affected by severe pandemics.
WELLFLEET CLO 2024-2: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Wellfleet
CLO 2024-2 Ltd./Wellfleet CLO 2024-2 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Blue Owl Liquid Credit Advisors, a
subsidiary of Blue Owl Capital Inc.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Jan. 31,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Wellfleet CLO 2024-2 Ltd./Wellfleet CLO 2024-2 LLC
Class A, $68.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L1 loans, $90.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-L2 loans, $90.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $49.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $5.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $26.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $7.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable). $13.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $42.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
WELLS FARGO 2025-5C3: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on G-RR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2025-5C3, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates Series 2025-5C3 as follows:
- $8,317,000a class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $575,147,000a class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $583,464,000ab class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $53,137,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $47,927,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $37,509,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $138,573,000ab class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,880,000ac class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,461,000ac class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $33,340,000abc class X-D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,880,000ac class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $16,467,000abc class X-F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,587,000acd class G-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not rate the following classes:
- $41,676,428acd class J-RR;
- $18,174,000ac class Combined VRR Interest.
Notes:
(a) The certificate balances and notional amounts of these classes
include the vertical risk retention interest, which totals 2.18% of
the certificate balance or notional amount, as applicable, of each
class of certificates as of the closing date.
(b) Notional amount and interest only.
(c) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(d) Class G-RR and J-RR certificates (other than the portions
thereof comprising part of the vertical risk retention interest)
comprise the transaction's horizontal risk retention interest.
Transaction Summary
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, whose primary assets consist of 30 loans secured by 63
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$833,520,429 as of the cut-off date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Wells Fargo Bank, National Association, Argentic Real
Estate Finance 2 LLC, Citi Real Estate Funding Inc., JPMorgan Chase
Bank, National Association, LMF Commercial, LLC, Goldman Sachs
Mortgage Company and UBS AG.
The master servicer is Wells Fargo Bank, National Association and
the special servicer is Argentic Services Company LP. The trustee
and certificate administrator are Computershare Trust Company,
National Association. The certificates follow a sequential paydown
structure.
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on Jan. 6, 2025, the
following changes have occurred:
The balances of class A-2 and class A-3 were finalized. At the time
the expected ratings were published, the initial balances of class
A-2 and class A-3 were unknown and expected to be in the range of
$0-$244,550,000 and $318,058,000-$562,608,000, respectively, net of
their proportionate share of the vertical risk retention interest.
The final balance of class A-2 is $0, and the final balance for
class A-3 is $562,608,000, net of its proportionate share of the
vertical risk retention interest. The issuer removed class A-2 from
the structure, and, as a result, Fitch has withdrawn its expected
rating of 'AAAsf(EXP)' for the class.
There were no other material changes. The deal structure and
ratings reflect information provided by the issuer as of Jan. 28,
2025.
Fitch has withdrawn the expected rating for class A-2 because it
was removed from the final structure by the issuer.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 25 loans
totaling 96.7% of the pool by balance. Fitch's aggregate pool net
cash flow (NCF) of $78.7 million represents a 14.3% decline from
the issuer's underwritten aggregate pool NCF of $91.9 million.
Higher Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool has lower
leverage compared to recent five-year multiborrower transactions
rated by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan to value ratio (LTV) of
103.9% is worse than the 2024 and 2023 averages of 95.2% and 89.7%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 9.4% is lower
than the 2024 and 2023 averages of 10.2% and 10.6%, respectively.
Excluding the credit opinion loan, the pool's Fitch LTV and DY are
104.7% and 9.5%, respectively, compared to the equivalent 2024 LTV
and DY averages of 96.0% and 9.9%, respectively.
Shorter Duration Loans: The pool is 100% comprised of loans with
five-year terms, whereas standard conduit transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default than 10-year loans,
all else being equal. This is mainly attributed to the shorter
window of exposure to potential adverse economic conditions. Fitch
considered its loan performance regression in its analysis of the
pool.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: One loan, representing 3.0%
of the pool, received an investment-grade credit opinion. Queens
Center (3.0%) received a standalone credit opinion of 'BBBsf*'. The
pool's total credit opinion percentage is considerably lower than
the 2024 and 2023 averages of 12.6% and 14.6%, respectively.
Higher Pool Concentration: The pool is more concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The top 10 loans in the pool
make up 68.1% of the pool, which is higher than the 2024 level of
60.2% and 2023 level of 65.3%. The pool's effective loan count of
18.6 is slightly lower than the 2024 and 2023 average effective
loan count of 22.7 and 19.7, respectively. Fitch views diversity as
a key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss
for pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at maturity,
the pool will pay down by 1.0%, which is above the 2024 and 2023
averages of 0.4% and 0.4%, respectively. The pool has 23
interest-only loans, or 79.9% of pool by balance, which is lower
than the 2024 and 2023 averages of 92.8% and 91.7%, respectively,
but still high overall.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'B-sf'/less
than 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WOODMONT 2022-10: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, A-2-L-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from
Woodmont 2022-10 Trust, a CLO originally issued in November 2022
that is managed by MidCap Financial Services Capital Management
LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of Feb. 3,
2025. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the March 3, 2025, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to March 3, 2027.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to April 15, 2029.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) will be extended to April 15,
2038.
-- No additional assets will be purchased on the March 3, 2025,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will upsized to
$1,112.5 million by combining two existing transactions. There will
be no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and the first
payment date following the refinancing is July 15, 2025.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- An additional $45.335 million in subordinated notes will be
issued on the refinancing date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $645.250 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.52%
-- Class A-2-R, $9.500 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.65%
-- Class A-2-L-R, $35.000 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.65%
-- Class B-R, $66.750 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.75%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $89.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.10%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $66.750 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.55%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $66.750 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.00%
-- Certificates, $121.475 million: Not applicable
Original debt
-- Class A, $290.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.25%
-- Class B, $45.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 4.00%
-- Class C (deferrable), $40.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 5.20%
-- Class D (deferrable), $25.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 7.08%
-- Class E (deferrable), $35.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 9.05%
-- Certificates, $76.14 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Woodmont 2022-10 Trust
Class A-1-R, $645.250 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $9.500 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-L-R, $35.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $66.750 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $89.000 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $66.750 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $66.750 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Woodmont 2022-10 Trust
Certificates, $121.475 million: Not rated
[] Fitch Affirms 'B' Rating on Three HIN Timeshare, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed all outstanding ratings of HIN Timeshare
Trust (HINTT) 2020-A, HINNT 2022-A LLC and HINNT 2024-A LLC. The
Rating Outlooks remain Stable for all classes of notes. Holiday Inn
Club Vacations Incorporated (HICV) is the originator and servicer
of all transactions.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
HINNT 2024-A LLC
A 40472QAA5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 40472QAB3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 40472QAC1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 40472QAD9 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 40472QAE7 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
HIN Timeshare
Trust 2020-A
A 40439HAA7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 40439HAB5 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 40439HAC3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 40439HAD1 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 40439HAE9 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
HINNT 2022-A LLC
A 40486JAA5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 40486JAB3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 40486JAC1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 40486JAD9 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 40486JAE7 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmation of the notes reflects default coverage levels
consistent with their current ratings. The Stable Rating Outlook
for all classes of notes reflects Fitch's expectation that default
coverage levels will remain supportive of these ratings.
As of Dec. 2024, the 61+ day delinquency rates for HINTT 2020-A,
HINNT 2022-A, and HINNT 2024-A were 4.39%, 4.04%, and 3.14%,
respectively. Cumulative gross defaults (CGDs; adjusted for
substitutions) are currently 25.26%, 20.25%, and 4.84%,
respectively. The CGD of HINTT 2020-A is currently above its
initial rating case proxy of 24.00%. HINNT 2022-A and HINNT 2024-A
CGDs are currently within initial expectations, but HINNT 2022-A is
projecting above its initial rating case of 22.00%.
Due to optional repurchases and substitutions by the seller, HINTT
2020-A, HINNT 2022-A, and HINNT 2024-A have not experienced net
losses to date. The option to repurchase and substitute defaulted
loans is capped at a combined 35%; HINTT 2020-A remains the closest
to reaching its cap, currently at an unadjusted CGD of 29.74%.
CGDs for HINTT 2020-A and HINNT 2022-A continue to remain elevated;
however, as pool factors decrease for both transactions, the
default pace is expected to slow based on the front-loaded nature
of timeshare transactions.
To account for recent performance in HINTT 2020-A and HINNT 2022-A,
Fitch revised the lifetime CGD proxies up to 30.00% and 29.00%,
from 27.00% and 25.00%, respectively, while maintaining proxy from
the initial rating for HINNT 2024-A at 22.00%. The updated rating
case proxies for the revised transactions were conservatively
derived using extrapolations based on performance to date.
In certain cases, updated extrapolations were higher than the final
CGD proxies. The servicer has the right, but not the obligation, to
substitute or repurchase defaulted loans. As such, Fitch's analysis
does not give any explicit credit to previously substituted or
repurchased defaults, resulting in zero losses on most of the
outstanding transactions. When accounting for previously
substituted or repurchased defaults, the lifetime CGDs are
materially lower than the CGD proxies. Therefore, Fitch believes
the CGD proxies are appropriately conservative and account for the
weaker performance.
Under Fitch's stressed cash flow assumptions, default coverage for
the notes were consistent with the recommended multiples, any
shortfalls were considered nominal and are within the range of the
multiples for the current ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could
produce default levels higher than the current projected rating
case default proxy, and impact available loss coverage and
multiples levels for the transaction;
- Weakening asset performance is strongly correlated to increasing
levels of delinquencies and defaults that could negatively affect
credit enhancement (CE) levels. Lower default coverage could affect
ratings and Outlooks, depending on the extent of the decline in
coverage;
- Fitch ran a down sensitivity for these transactions that would
raise the CGD proxy by 2x the current proxy. This is extremely
stressful to the transactions and could result in downgrades by up
to three categories.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance, driven by stable
delinquencies and defaults would lead to higher CE levels and
consideration for potential upgrades. Fitch applied an up
sensitivity, by reducing the rating case proxy by 20%. Reducing the
proxies by 20% from the current proxies could result in up to two
categories of upgrades or affirmations of ratings with stronger
multiples.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[] Fitch Withdraws Ratings on 53 Classes From 10 U.S. CDO Deals
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings on 48 classes and upgraded
five classes from 10 U.S. trust preferred collateralized debt
obligations (CDOs). Subsequently, Fitch has withdrawn all of the
ratings. At the time of the withdrawal, the Rating Outlooks for 27
of the classes were Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Preferred Term
Securities XXIV,
Ltd./Inc.
A-1 74043CAA5 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
A-1 74043CAA5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
A-2 74043CAB3 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
A-2 74043CAB3 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 74043CAC1 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
B-1 74043CAC1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 74043CAE7 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
B-2 74043CAE7 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-1 74043CAG2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C-1 74043CAG2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-2 74043CAJ6 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C-2 74043CAJ6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
D 74043CAL1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 74043CAL1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Preferred Term
Securities VIII,
Ltd./Inc.
A-2 74041PAB6 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
A-2 74041PAB6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 74041PAC4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-1 74041PAC4 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 74041PAD2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-2 74041PAD2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-3 74041PAE0 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-3 74041PAE0 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Preferred Term
Securities XXVI,
Ltd./Inc.
A-1 74042QAA5 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
A-1 74042QAA5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
A-2 74042QAB3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
A-2 74042QAB3 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 74042QAC1 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
B-1 74042QAC1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 74042QAE7 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
B-2 74042QAE7 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-1 74042QAG2 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
C-1 74042QAG2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-2 74042QAJ6 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
C-2 74042QAJ6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
D 74042QAL1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 74042QAL1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
U.S. Capital
Funding I,
Ltd./Corp.
B-1 903329AE0 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
B-1 903329AE0 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 903329AG5 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
B-2 903329AG5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
U.S. Capital
Funding II,
Ltd./Corp.
A-2 90390KAB0 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
A-2 90390KAB0 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 90390KAC8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
B-1 90390KAC8 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 90390KAD6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
B-2 90390KAD6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
ALESCO Preferred
Funding III,
Ltd./Inc.
A-2 01448MAB5 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
A-2 01448MAB5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 01448MAC3 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-1 01448MAC3 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 01448MAD1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
B-2 01448MAD1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
InCapS Funding I.
Ltd./Corp.
B-1 453247AC2 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
B-1 453247AC2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 453247AD0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
B-2 453247AD0 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C 453247AE8 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
C 453247AE8 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Attentus CDO I,
Ltd./LLC
A-1 049730AA2 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
A-1 049730AA2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
A-2 049730AB0 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
A-2 049730AB0 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B 049730AC8 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
B 049730AC8 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-1 049730AD6 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C-1 049730AD6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-2A 049730AE4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C-2A 049730AE4 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-2B 049730AF1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
C-2B 049730AF1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
D 049730AG9 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 049730AG9 LT WDsf Withdrawn
E 049730AH7 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 049730AH7 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Kodiak CDO II,
Ltd./Corp.
A-2 50011RAB8 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
A-2 50011RAB8 LT WDsf Withdrawn
A-3 50011RAC6 LT BBB-sf Upgrade BB+sf
A-3 50011RAC6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 50011RAD4 LT Bsf Upgrade B-sf
B-1 50011RAD4 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 50011RAE2 LT Bsf Upgrade B-sf
B-2 50011RAE2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-1 50011RAF9 LT CCCsf Upgrade CCsf
C-1 50011RAF9 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-2 50011RAG7 LT CCCsf Upgrade CCsf
C-2 50011RAG7 LT WDsf Withdrawn
D 50011RAH5 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
D 50011RAH5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
E 50011RAJ1 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 50011RAJ1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
F 50011QAA2 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
F 50011QAA2 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Preferred Term
Securities XXV,
Ltd./Inc.
A-1 74042FAA9 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
A-1 74042FAA9 LT WDsf Withdrawn
A-2 74042FAB7 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
A-2 74042FAB7 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-1 74042FAC5 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
B-1 74042FAC5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
B-2 74042FAE1 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
B-2 74042FAE1 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-1 74042FAG6 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C-1 74042FAG6 LT WDsf Withdrawn
C-2 74042FAJ0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C-2 74042FAJ0 LT WDsf Withdrawn
D 74042FAL5 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
D 74042FAL5 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Transaction Summary
The CDOs are secured by banks, insurance, trust preferred
securities (TruPS), senior unsecured debt issued by real estate
investment trusts (REITs), corporate issuers, and tranches of
structured finance collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and
commercial mortgage-backed securities.
Fitch has withdrawn the ratings as they are no longer considered
relevant to the agency's coverage.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Seven of the transactions deleveraged from collateral redemptions
and excess spread, which led to the senior classes of notes
receiving paydowns ranging from 0.1% to 71% of their last review
note balances. The upgrades were driven by the improved credit
enhancement as the result of the deleveraging.
For six transactions, the credit quality of the collateral
portfolios, as measured by a combination of Fitch's bank scores and
public ratings, deteriorated, while the remaining transactions
exhibited positive credit migration or stable credit quality. There
were no new cures, deferrals or defaults since last review.
The following ratings are one to two notches below their
model-implied rating (MIR) due to modest cushions at their MIR: one
notch for the class B-1 and B-2 notes in Preferred Term Securities
XXV, Ltd./Inc. (PreTSL XXV), the class A-1 notes in Attentus CDO I,
Ltd. (Attentus I), the class B-1, B-2, C-1 and C-2 notes in Kodiak
CDO II, Ltd./Corp. and two notches for the class A-2, B-1 and B-2
notes in Preferred Term Securities XXIV, Ltd./Inc., and the class
A-2 notes in PreTSL XXV.
Additionally, the rating for the class A-2 notes in Attentus I is
two notches below its MIRs due to the concentrated nature of the
portfolio. Further, for the class C notes in InCapS Funding I,
Ltd./Corp. (InCaps I), the MIR variation is two notches below its
MIR due to concentration, as well as the sensitivity of modelling
results to the interest rate stresses, given the outstanding swap.
The ratings for the class B-1 and B-2 notes in U.S. Capital Funding
II, Ltd./Corp. (US Cap II), the class A-1 notes in PreTSL XXV, the
class A-1, C-1 and C-2 notes in Preferred Term Securities XXVI,
Ltd./Inc., and the class B-1 and B-2 notes in InCaps I were
affirmed one notch above their MIRs, which were driven by the
outcome of the sensitivity analysis.
The Stable Outlooks on 27 tranches in this review reflect Fitch's
expectation that the classes have sufficient levels of credit
protection to withstand potential deterioration in the credit
quality of the portfolios in stress scenarios commensurate with the
classes' ratings.
Fitch considered the rating of the issuer account bank in the
ratings for the class A-2 notes in Alesco Preferred Funding III,
Ltd./Inc., Preferred Term Securities VIII, Ltd./Inc. and US Cap II
due to the transaction documents not conforming to Fitch's
"Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating
Criteria". These transactions are allowed to hold cash, and their
transaction account bank (TAB) does not collateralize cash.
Therefore, these classes of notes are capped at the same rating as
that of its TAB.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Not applicable as the ratings have been withdrawn.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Not applicable as the ratings have been withdrawn.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
[] Moody's Raises Ratings on 15 Bonds From 5 US RMBS Deals
----------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings, on January 29, 2025, upgraded the ratings of 15
bonds from five US residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS),
backed by subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2006-HE6
Cl. I-M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-M-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2006-HE9
Cl. I-A-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Apr 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. II-A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Apr 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. III-A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Apr 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2009 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: Ellington Loan Acquisition Trust 2007-2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 2, 2024 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. M-1a, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. M-1b, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Jul 14, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: IndyMac Home Equity Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Trust, INABS
2006-B
Cl. 1A-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. 1A-2, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. 2A-4, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Sep 15, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
Issuer: RAMP Series 2006-NC2 Trust
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Dec 29, 2016 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 6, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
on the bonds.
The rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of
the related pools, and/or an increase in credit enhancement
available to the bonds. Moody's analysis also considered the
existence of historical interest shortfalls for some of the bonds.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
The rating upgrades also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Raises Ratings on 6 Bonds From 5 Scratch & Dent RMBS
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of six bonds from five US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Scratch
and Dent mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions have been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities Trust 2007-SD2
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 20, 2011
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. II-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 24, 2009
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: Countrywide Home Loan Trust 2003-SD3
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on May 19, 2011
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2006-QH2
Cl. A-1-B, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Apr 24, 2009
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2007-QH1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 14, 2014
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: MASTR Specialized Loan Trust 2007-1
Cl. A, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 5, 2009 Downgraded
to Ca (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Takes Action on 7 Bonds From 2 US RMBS Deals
-------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of seven bonds from two US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime
and Alt-A mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2006-HE8
Cl. I-A-3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 1, 2017 Upgraded
to Ca (sf)
Cl. I-M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2009
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. II-M-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Sep 21, 2018
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: PHH Alternative Mortgage Trust, Series 2007-2
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 1-A-5, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Nov 5, 2010
Downgraded to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the current levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance,
analysis of the transaction structures, Moody's updated loss
expectations on the underlying pools and Moody's revised
expectation of loss-given-default for each bond. The upgrade for
class I-A-3 and II-M-1 from Bear Stearns Asset Backed Securities I
Trust 2006-HE8 also reflects a recent settlement payment received
by the deal.
Each of the bonds being upgraded have either incurred a missed or
delayed disbursement of an interest payment or the bond is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, sometimes
reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down). Moody's
expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses experienced and
expected future losses as a percent of the original bond balance.
The significant rating upgrade for the class I-A-3 from Bear
Stearns Asset Backed Securities I Trust 2006-HE8 was primarily
driven by a settlement payment received by the deal in September
2024, pursuant to JPMorgan Global RMBS Trust Settlement Agreement.
Upgraded classes (I-A-3 and II-M-1) saw significant principal
reductions as a result of the settlement. In addition, classes
II-M-2 and I-M-1, which provide support to classes II-M-1 and I-A3
respectively, got written up by approximately $13.8 million as a
result of the settlement. These adjustments led to a 53.5% increase
in credit enhancement available to class I-A3, leading to improved
loss coverage and the large upgrade.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 13 Bonds from 5 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 13 bonds from five US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A,
option ARM, and subprime mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Assets Trust 2007-3
Cl. II-1A-1, Upgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 29, 2015
Downgraded to Ca (sf)
Cl. II-2A-1, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Nov 12, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: American Home Mortgage Investment Trust 2006-2
Cl. I-A-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. I-A-3, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. III-A-1, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. III-A-2, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. III-A-3, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. III-A-4, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Cl. III-A-5, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2017
Downgraded to C (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2006-16
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 19, 2016
Confirmed at Caa3 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Apr 2, 2024 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2006-17
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Oct 19, 2016
Upgraded to Ca (sf)
Issuer: First Franklin Mortgage Loan Trust 2005-FF12
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Apr 2, 2024 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools, and Moody's revised loss-given-default
expectation.
Some of the bonds experiencing a rating change have either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or are
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
Moody's analysis also reflects the potential for collateral
volatility given the number of deal-level and macro factors that
can impact collateral performance, the potential impact of any
collateral volatility on the model output, and the ultimate size or
any incurred and projected loss.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on 19 Bonds From 6 U.S. RMBS Deals
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 12 bonds and 7
underlying bonds from six US residential mortgage-backed
transactions (RMBS), backed by Second Liens mortgages issued by
multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions have been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GMACM Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-HE1
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21,
2010 Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21,
2010 Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Cl. A-1 VPRN, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21,
2010 Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Issuer: GMACM Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-HE2
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 28, 2014
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 28,
2014 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Cl. A-5, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21,
2010 Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Cl. A-6, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21,
2010 Confirmed at Caa2 (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Issuer: GMACM Home Equity Loan Trust 2005-HE3
Cl. A-2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Cl. A-1VPRN, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Issuer: GMACM Home Equity Loan Trust 2006-HE2
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 21, 2010
Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Underlying Rating: Upgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on May 21,
2010 Confirmed at Ca (sf)
Financial Guarantor: Financial Guaranty Insurance Company (Insured
Rating Withdrawn Mar 25, 2009)
Issuer: IndyMac Home Equity Mortgage Loan Asset-Backed Trust
2006-H1
Cl. A, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2010 Confirmed
at Ca (sf)
Issuer: IndyMac Residential Asset-Backed Trust, Series 2004-LH1
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Nov 29, 2010 Downgraded
to C (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, Moody's updated loss expectations on the
underlying pools and Moody's revised loss-given-default expectation
for each bond.
Each of the bonds experiencing a rating change has either incurred
a missed or delayed disbursement of an interest payment or is
currently, or expected to become, undercollateralized, which may
sometimes be reflected by a reduction in principal (a write-down).
Moody's expectation of loss-given-default assesses losses
experienced and expected future losses as a percent of the original
bond balance.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US Residential
Mortgage-backed Securitizations: Surveillance" published in
December 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
*********
Monday's edition of the TCR delivers a list of indicative prices
for bond issues that reportedly trade well below par. Prices are
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however, be complete or accurate. The Monday Bond Pricing table
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then-ending.
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*********
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Ivy B. Magdadaro, Carlo Fernandez, Christopher G. Patalinghug, and
Peter A. Chapman, Editors.
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