/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/240707.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, July 7, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 188
Headlines
A&D MORTGAGE 2024-NQM3: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-2 Certs
ABPCI DIRECT XVIII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
ACCESS GROUP 2024-2: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Class A-4 Notes
AGL CLO 33: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
AGL CLO 33: Moody's Assigns (P)B3 Rating to $250,000 Class F Notes
ALLY BANK 2024-A: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to Class F Notes
ANGEL OAK 2024-6: Fitch Assigns BBsf Final Rating on Cl. M-2 Certs
APIDOS CLO XLVIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
APIDOS CLO XLVIII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 F Notes
ARES COMMERCIAL 2024-IND: Moody's Gives B1 Rating to Cl. HRR Certs
AUXILIOR TERM 2024-1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to Class E Notes
BAIN CAPITAL 2024-3: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
BANK 2024-BNK47: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
BANK5 2024-5YR7: DBRS Finalizes BB(high) Rating on Class G Certs
BATALLION CLO XXIV: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
BBAM US IV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class D Notes
BEAR MOUNTAIN: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-RPL1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on B2 Notes
BWAY 2015-1740: DBRS Cuts Rating on Class A Certs to Dsf
BX TRUST 2017-CQHP: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. F Certs to Csf
BX TRUST 2019-IMC: DBRS Cuts Rating on Class HRR Certs to B(low)
CANADIAN COMMERCIAL 6: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class G Certs
CARLYLE US 2024-4: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on Cl. E Notes
CARVANA AUTO 2024-N2: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(high) Rating on E Notes
CATHEDRAL LAKE VII: S&P Affirms 'B- (sf)' Rating on Class F Notes
CFMT LLC 2024-HB14: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class M6 Notes
CHASE HOME 2024-6: Fitch Assigns Bsf Final Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
CHASE HOME 2024-RPL3: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Certs
CHASE HOME 2024-RPL3: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
CIFC FUNDING 2017-V: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
CITIGROUP 2014-GC21: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to Ba1
CITIGROUP 2015-GC33: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to C
CLICKLEASE 2024-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on D Notes
CMLS ISSUER 2014-1: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class G Certs
COMM 2014-UBS3: Moody's Cuts Rating on Cl. C Certs to Ba2
CPS AUTO 2024-C: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on Class E Notes
CROWN CITY VI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
CSAIL 2015-C1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class F Debt
CSMC TRUST 2014-USA: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to Ba1
DBWF 2015-LCM: S&P Lowers Class F Certs Rating to 'B- (sf)'
ELMWOOD CLO VI: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-RR Notes
FLAGSHIP CREDIT 2022-2: DBRS Cuts Class E Notes Rating to B
FLAGSHIP CREDIT 2022-2: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to CCC(sf)
FORTRESS CREDIT XV: Moody's Gives Ba3 Rating to $12.8MM E-R Notes
GOLDENTREE LOAN 21: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Notes
GPMT LTD 2021-FL3: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2021-GR1: Moody's Hikes Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs to Ba2
GS MORTGAGE-BACKED 2024-PJ6: Moody's Gives Ba3 Rating to B-5 Certs
GSMS 2024-MARK: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Certs
GSMS TRUST 2024-FAIR: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on Cl. F Certs
HALSEYPOINT CLO II: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E-R Notes
HARVEST COMMERCIAL 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on M5 Notes
HGI CRE CLO 2021-FL2: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on G Notes
HILDENE TRUPS P17BC: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba3 Rating to Cl. B Notes
HILTON USA 2016-HHV: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class F Certs
HILTON USA 2016-SFP: Moody's Downgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to C
ICG US 2021-1: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
JP MORGAN 2024-5: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on Class B-4 Certs
JP MORGAN 2024-5: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
JPMCC COMMERCIAL 2015-JP1: DBRS Cuts Class F Certs Rating to C
KRR CLO 30: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
LOANCORE 2021-CRE6: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on G Notes
MAN GLG 2018-1: Moody's Lowers Rating on $6MM E-R Notes to Caa2
MAN US 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
MERCHANTS FLEET 2024-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on E Notes
MF1 LLC 2022-B1 LLC: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on 3 Tranches
MIDOCEAN CREDIT X: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-ALTM: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on E Certs
MORGAN STANLEY 2014-C17: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on E Certs
MORGAN STANLEY 2015-MS1: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on F Certs
MORGAN STANLEY 2017-C33: Fitch Affirms B- Rating on Class F Debt
MORGAN STANLEY 2018-H3: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on G-RR Debt
MORGAN STANLEY 2024-INV3: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to B-5 Certs
NASSAU LTD 2017-II: Moody's Cuts Rating on $18.5MM E Notes to Caa3
NEUBERGER BERMAN 25: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R2 Debt
NEUBERGER BERMAN 56: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
OBX TRUST 2021-J1: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Cl. B-4 Certs to Ba1
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 26: Moody's Cuts $10MM F-R Notes Rating to Caa2
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 29: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 33: S&P Affirms 'BB-(sf)' Rating on Cl. D Notes
ONNI COMMERCIAL 2024-APT: Fitch Gives BB-(EXP) Rating on HRR Certs
PALMER SQUARE 2021-4: Moody's Affirms Ba2 Rating on $35MM D Notes
PALMER SQUARE 2024-2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E Notes
PARK BLUE 2024-V: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $16MM Cl. E Notes
PIKES PEAK 16: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
PPM CLO 7: Fitch Assigns BBsf Rating on Cl. E Notes, Outlook Stable
PPM CLO 7: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1MM Class F Notes
PRMI SECURITIZATION 2024-CMG1: Fitch Gives Bsf Rating on B-2 Notes
PRPM LLC 2024-RPL2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class M-2 Notes
RAD CLO 25: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
READY CAPITAL 2022-FL9: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class G Notes
READY CAPITAL 2023-FL12: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to CCC
REALT 2014-1: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on G Certs
RR 29: S&P Assigns Preliminary BB- (sf) Rating on Class D-R Notes
SANTANDER BANK 2024-A: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Class F Notes
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2024-6: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on B4 Certs
SIGNAL PEAK 11: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
SLM STUDENT 2007-4: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'Bsf'
TOWD POINT 2015-6: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Cl. B3 Certs to Ba1
TOWD POINT 2018-SL1: DBRS Hikes Class D-2 Notes Rating to BB
TOWD POINT 2024-CES3: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on B2 Notes
TRINITAS CLO XXIX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
TX TRUST 2024-HOU: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class HRR Certs
UBS-BARCLAYS COMMERCIAL 2012-C2: Moody's Cuts EC Certs to Ca
UNISON TRUST 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class B Notes
VELOCITY COMMERCIAL 2024-3: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on 3 Classes
VOYA CLO 2024-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Cl. E Notes
WELLS FARGO 2015-C31: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to Csf
WELLS FARGO 2015-SG1: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
WELLS FARGO 2016-BNK1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to CCC
WESTGATE RESORTS 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on D Notes
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Notes
[*] DBRS Confirms 34 Credit Ratings From 15 CPS Auto Trusts
[*] DBRS Reviews 30 Classes From 13 US RMBS Transactions
[*] DBRS Reviews 568 Classes From 26 US RMBS Transactions
[*] DBRS Reviews 72 Classes From 11 US RMBS Transactions
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on $147MM of US RMBS Issued 2021-2022
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 104 Classes From 34 US RMBS Deals
*********
A&D MORTGAGE 2024-NQM3: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on B-2 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-NQM3 (the
Certificates) issued by A&D Mortgage Trust 2024-NQM3 (the Trust):
-- $279.3 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $21.3 million Class A-2 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $33.6 million Class A-3 at A (low) (sf)
-- $21.1 million Class M-1 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $29.0 million Class B-1 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $11.7 million Class B-2 at B (low) (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A-1 Certificates reflects
30.65% of credit enhancement provided by subordinated Certificates.
The AA (low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and
B (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 25.35%, 17.00%, 11.75%, 4.55%,
and 1.65% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of
predominantly fixed prime and nonprime first and second lien
residential mortgages funded by the issuance of the Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-NQM3 (the Certificates). The
Certificates are backed by 1,122 loans with a total principal
balance of approximately $402,793,330 as of the Cut-Off Date (June
1, 2024).
The originators for the mortgage pool are A&D Mortgage LLC (ADM;
90.3%) and others (9.7%). 9.7% were originated by qualified
correspondents that adhere to A&D guidelines. ADM originated the
mortgages predominantly under the following programs:
-- Super Prime
-- Prime
-- Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)
-- Foreign National – Full Doc
-- Foreign National – DSCR
-- Second Lien
A&D Mortgage LLC (ADM) will act as the Sponsor and the Servicer for
all loans.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC (Nationstar) will act as the Master
Servicer and Citibank, N.A. (rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Securities Administrator and
Certificate Registrar. Wilmington Trust, National Association will
serve as the Custodian, and Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB
will act as the Trustee.
The pool is about two months seasoned on a weighted-average (WA)
basis, although seasoning may span from zero to 15 months.
In accordance with U.S. credit risk retention requirements, ADM as
the Sponsor, either directly or through a Majority-Owned Affiliate,
will retain an eligible vertical interest equal to not less than 5%
of each class of Certificates (other than the Class R
Certificates), to satisfy the requirements under Section 15G of the
Securities and Exchange Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated
thereunder. Such retention aligns Sponsor and investor interest in
the capital structure.
Although the applicable mortgage loans were originated to satisfy
the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) ability-to-repay
(ATR) rules, they were made to borrowers who generally do not
qualify for the agency, government, or private-label nonagency
prime products for various reasons described above. In accordance
with the CFPB Qualified Mortgage (QM)/ATR rules, 38.3% of the loans
are designated as non-QM. Approximately 44.8% of the loans are made
to investors for business purposes and are thus not subject to the
QM/ATR rules. Also, 108 loans (12.1% of the pool) are a qualified
mortgage with a conclusive presumption of compliance with the ATR
rules and is designated as QM Safe Harbor. The remaining 40 loans
(4.8% of the pool) are designed as QM Rebuttable Presumption
(APOR).
The Servicer will generally fund advances of delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) on any mortgage until such loan becomes 90 days
delinquent under the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) method,
contingent upon recoverability determination. The Servicer is also
obligated to make advances in respect of taxes, insurance premiums,
and reasonable costs incurred in the course of servicing and
disposing of properties. If the Servicer fails in its obligation to
make P&I advances, Nationstar, as the Master Servicer, will be
obligated to fund such advances. In addition, if the Master
Servicer fails in its obligation to make P&I advances, Citibank,
N.A., as the Securities Administrator, will be obligated to fund
such advances. The Master Servicer and Securities Administrator are
only responsible for P&I Advances; the Servicer is responsible for
P&I and advances with respect to taxes, insurance premiums, and
reasonable costs incurred in the course of servicing and disposing
of properties (Servicing Advances). If the Servicer fails to make
the Servicing Advances on a delinquent loan, the recovery amount
upon liquidation may be reduced.
The Sponsor (ADM) will have the option, but not the obligation, to
repurchase any mortgage loan that is 90 or more days delinquent
under the MBA method forbearance loan, such mortgage loan becomes
90 or more days delinquent under the MBA method after the related
forbearance period ends or any REO property acquired in respect of
a mortgage loan) at the Repurchase Price, provided that such
repurchases in aggregate do not exceed 7.5% of the total principal
balance as of the Cut-Off Date.
The Depositor (A&D Mortgage Depositor LLC) may, at its option, on
any date which is the later of (1) the two year anniversary of the
Closing Date, and (2) the earlier of (A) the three year anniversary
of the Closing Date and (B) the date on which the total loan
balance is less than or equal to 30% of the loan balance as of the
Cut-Off Date, purchase all outstanding certificates at a price
equal to the outstanding class balance plus accrued and unpaid
interest, including any cap carryover amounts (Optional
Redemption). An Optional Redemption will be followed by a qualified
liquidation, which requires a complete liquidation of assets within
the Trust and the distribution of proceeds to the appropriate
holders of regular or residual interests.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure with a
pro rata principal distribution among the Class A-1, Class A-2, and
Class A-3 Notes (Senior Classes) subject to certain performance
triggers related to cumulative losses or delinquencies exceeding a
specified threshold (Trigger Event). However, in contrast to the
prior Morningstar DBRS rated transaction from this shelf, in the
case of a Credit Event, principal proceeds will be allocated to
cover interest shortfalls on the Class A-1 and then in reduction of
the Class A-1 certificate balance, before a similar allocation of
funds to the Class A-2 (IPIP). Prior issuance would typically
allocate principal (after a Credit Event) to cover interest
shortfalls on the Class A-1 and Class A-2 Notes (IIPP) before being
applied sequentially to amortize the balances of the senior and
subordinated notes. In the current transaction, and the prior
transaction, for the Class A-3 Notes (only after a Credit Event)
and for the mezzanine and subordinate classes of notes (both before
and after a Credit Event), principal proceeds will be available to
cover interest shortfalls only after the more senior notes have
been paid off in full. Also, the excess spread can be used to cover
realized losses first before being allocated to unpaid Cap
Carryover Amounts due to the Class A-1, Class A-2, Class A-3, and
Class M-1 Certificates.
Of note, the Class A-1, Class A-2, and Class A-3 Certificates'
coupon rates step up by 100 basis points on and after the payment
date in July 2028 (Step-Up Certificates). Also, the interest and
principal otherwise payable to the Class B-3 Certificates as
accrued and unpaid interest may be used to pay the Class A-1, Class
A-2, and Class A-3 Certificates' Cap Carryover Amounts after the
Class A coupons step up.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
ABPCI DIRECT XVIII: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to ABPCI Direct
Lending Fund CLO XVIII L.P.'s floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by middle market speculative-grade
(rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans. The transaction
is managed by AB Private Credit Investors LLC, a wholly owned
subsidiary of Alliance Bernstein.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 28,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
ABPCI Direct Lending Fund CLO XVIII L.P.
Class A-1, $153.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1L loans, $50.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $14.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $21.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $28.0 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $21.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $21.0 million: BB- (sf)
Partnership interests, $43.8 million: Not rated
ACCESS GROUP 2024-2: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Class A-4 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the class A and class B of Access
Funding 2015-1 LLC. The Rating Outlooks for the class A notes and
class B notes remain Stable. Fitch has also affirmed the ratings
for Access Group, Inc. 2004-2 Indenture of Trust. The Rating
Outlook remains Stable. The affirmations reflect stable performance
for both trusts since the last review.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Access Group, Inc. –
Federal Student Loan
Notes, Series 2004-2
A-4 00432CBX8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
A-5 00432CBY6 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
B 00432CBZ3 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
Access Funding
2015-1 LLC
A 00435TAA9 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 00435TAB7 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
U.S. Sovereign Risk: The trust collateral comprises Federal Family
Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans, with guaranties provided by
eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the U.S. Department
of Education (ED) for at least 97% of principal and accrued
interest. The U.S. sovereign rating is currently 'AA+'/Outlook
Stable.
Collateral Performance: Based on transaction specific performance
to date, Fitch assumed a sustainable constant default rate
assumption (sCDR) of 2.0% for 2004-2 and 2.5% for 2015-1 and a
sustainable constant prepayment rate assumption (sCPR) of 6.25% for
2004-2 and 16.0% for 2015-1. The sustainable assumptions remained
unchanged during this review; however, the trusts' CPR levels have
increased this year, driven by consolidation activity to the
Federal Direct student loan SAVE program. Higher current CPR levels
are viewed as temporary.
The cumulative effective (after applying Fitch's standard default
timing curve) base case and AAA default rates in modelling were
10.5% and 31.5%, respectively, for 2004-2 and 14.3% and 42.8% for
2015-1. The 30-59DPD increased year over year to 2.69% from 1.93%
for 2004-2 but 90-119DPD improved to 0.42% from 0.44%. For 2015-1,
30-59DPD increased year over year to 2.89% from 1.85% and 90-119DPD
was increased to 0.60% from 0.47% for last year.
The TTM levels of deferment and forbearance are 0.6% and 2.2%,
respectively, for 2004-2, and 3.2% and 5.0%, respectively, for
2015-1. These levels are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling and subsequent declines and increases are modelled as per
criteria. Fitch applies the standard default timing curve. The
claim reject rate is assumed to be 0.25% in the base case and 2.0%
in the 'AAA' case.
Basis and Interest Rate Risk: Basis risk for this transaction
arises from any rate and reset frequency mismatch between interest
rate indices for SAP and the securities. As of the end of the most
recent collection period, all trust student loans were indexed to
either 91-day T-bill or 30-day Average SOFR plus spread adjustment
(SA) and all notes were indexed to either 30-day or 90-day SOFR
plus SA.
Payment Structure: Credit enhancement (CE) is provided by excess
spread and the class A notes benefit from subordination provided by
the class B notes. All transactions are releasing excess cash as
the parity of 101% is maintained for 2004-2 and the specified
overcollateralization amount of the greater of 2.25% of the pool
balance and $1,070,000 is maintained for 2015-1. Liquidity support
is provided by a reserve accounts sized at $1.1 million, and
$303,814 for 2004-2 and 2015-1, respectively.
Operational Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing is provided by
Nelnet, Inc., which Fitch believes to be an acceptable servicer of
student loans due to its long servicing history.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
'AA+sf' rated tranches of most FFELP securitizations will likely
move in tandem with the U.S. sovereign rating given the strong
linkage to the U.S. sovereign, by nature of the reinsurance
provided by the Department of Education. Aside from the U.S.
sovereign rating, defaults, basis risk and loan extension risk
account for the majority of the risk embedded in FFELP student loan
transactions.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress
sensitivity analysis by increasing or decreasing key assumptions by
25% and 50% over the base case. The credit stress sensitivity is
viewed by stressing both the base case default rate and the basis
spread. The maturity stress sensitivity is viewed by stressing
remaining term, IBR usage and prepayments. The results below should
only be considered as one potential outcome, as the transaction is
exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as
an indicator of possible future performance.
Access Group, Inc. 2004-2 Indenture of Trust
Current Rating: Class A-4 'BBsf'; Class A-5 and Class B 'CCCsf'.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf';
class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.50%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'BBsf';
class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A-4 'BBsf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A-4 'CCCsf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class
B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A-4 'BBBsf'; class A-5 'CCCsf';
class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A-4 'CCCsf'; class A-5
'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A-4 'CCCsf'; class A-5 'AAsf';
class B 'CCCsf'.
Access Funding 2015-1 LLC
Current Rating: - Class A - 'AA+sf'; Class B - 'AAsf'.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'AAsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'AAsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'AAsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Access Group, Inc. 2004-2 Indenture of Trust
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf';
class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.50%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf';
class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A-4 'AAsf'; A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A-4 'AAsf'; A-5 'CCCsf'; class B
'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A-4 'Asf'; class A-5 'CCCsf'; class
B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A-4 'AAsf'; class A-5 'CCCsf';
class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A-4 'AA+sf'; class A-5
'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A-4 'AA+sf'; class A-5
'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
Access Funding 2015-1 LLC
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
CRITERIA VARIATION
The rating for class A-4 of 2004-2 is more than one category lower
than the lowest model implied rating of 'Asf'. As noted in the
FFELP criteria, if the final ratings are different from the model
results by more than one rating category, it would constitute a
criteria variation. Fitch did not upgrade the note as cash flow
modelling under the higher rating maturity stresses indicate that
the note is paid in full on the legal final maturity date for
ratings of 'BBB' through 'A'. This limited margin of safety, full
repayment on the repayment date, was not considered commensurate
with those ratings. If Fitch did not apply this variation, the
notes could have been upgraded to 'Asf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
AGL CLO 33: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
AGL CLO 33 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
AGL CLO 33 Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
AGL CLO 33 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by AGL
CLO Credit Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will finance a portfolio of
approximately $400 million in primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.75% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.73%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average loan (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for AGL CLO 33 Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
AGL CLO 33: Moody's Assigns (P)B3 Rating to $250,000 Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned provisional ratings to two classes of
notes to be issued by AGL CLO 33 Ltd. (the "Issuer" or "AGL CLO
33").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$256,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
US$250,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2037, Assigned (P)B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the
"Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
AGL CLO 33 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90.0% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio
may consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, senior secured
bonds or senior secured notes. Moody's expect the portfolio to be
approximately 85% ramped as of the closing date.
AGL CLO Credit Management LLC (the "Manager") will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer will issue six other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 80
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3100
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.50%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.50%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
Further details regarding Moody's analysis of this transaction may
be found in the related pre-sale report, available soon on
Moodys.com.
ALLY BANK 2024-A: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to the notes issued
by Ally Bank Auto Credit-Linked Notes, Series 2024-A (ABCLN
2024-A). The credit-linked notes reference a pool of fixed rate
auto installment contracts with prime-quality borrowers originated
and serviced by Ally Bank (Ally, long-term issuer rating Baa2).
ABCLN 2024-A is the first credit linked notes transaction issued by
Ally to transfer credit risk to noteholders through a hypothetical-
financial guaranty on a reference pool of auto loans originated and
serviced by Ally.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Ally Bank
Class A-2 Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Class B Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Class C Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Class D Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Class E Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Class F Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rated notes are fixed-rate obligations secured by a cash
collateral account. There is also a letter of credit in place to
cover up to five months of interest in case of a failure to pay by
Ally Bank or as a result of a FDIC conservator or receivership. The
source of principal payments is the cash proceeds from the initial
sale of the notes that are held in a collateral account with a
third-party eligible institution rated at least A2 or P-1 by us.
Ally will solely be responsible for interest payments and, in the
unlikely event that the amount on deposit in the collateral account
is less than the outstanding principal amount of the notes, also
for the payments of principal. The Letter of Credit is provided by
a third party with a rating of at least A2 or P-1 by us. As a
result, the rated notes are not capped by the LT Issuer rating of
Ally (Baa2). The credit risk exposure of the notes depends on the
actual realized losses incurred by the reference pool. This
transaction has a pro-rata structure with target enhancement
levels, which is more beneficial to the subordinate bondholders
than the typical sequential-pay structure for US auto loan
transactions. However, the subordinate bondholders will not receive
any principal unless performance tests are satisfied.
The ratings are based on the quality of the underlying collateral
and its expected performance, the strength of the capital
structure, and the experience of Ally as the servicer.
Moody's median cumulative net loss expectation for the ABCLN 2024-A
reference pool is 1.30% and loss at a Aaa stress of 7.25%. Moody's
based Moody's cumulative net loss expectation on an analysis of the
credit quality of the underlying collateral; the historical
performance of similar collateral, including securitization
performance and managed portfolio performance; the ability of Ally
to perform the servicing functions; and current expectations for
the macroeconomic environment during the life of the transaction.
At closing, the Class A-2 notes, Class B notes, Class C notes,
Class D notes, Class E notes, and Class F notes benefit from 9.65%,
7.70%, 5.80%, 4.60%, 3.40%, and 2.95% of hard credit enhancement,
respectively. Hard credit enhancement for the notes consists of
subordination.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Auto Loan- and Lease-Backed ABS" published in
November 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E and
Class F notes if levels of credit enhancement are higher than
necessary to protect investors against current expectations of
portfolio losses. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the vehicles securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on the US
job market and the market for used vehicles. Other reasons for
better-than-expected performance include changes to servicing
practices that enhance collections or refinancing opportunities
that result in prepayments.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the notes if given current expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
lower ratings. Credit enhancement could decline if realized losses
reduce available subordination. Moody's expectation of pool losses
could rise as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or
deterioration in the value of the vehicles securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on the US
job market, the market for used vehicles, and poor servicing. Other
reasons for worse-than-expected performance include error on the
part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance, and
fraud.
ANGEL OAK 2024-6: Fitch Assigns BBsf Final Rating on Cl. M-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Angel Oak Mortgage
Trust 2024-6 (AOMT 2024-6).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
AOMT 2024-6
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
M-2 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The AOMT 2024-6 certificates are supported by 1,151 loans with a
balance of $479.57 million as of the cutoff date. This represents
the 39th Fitch-rated AOMT transaction and the sixth Fitch-rated
AOMT transaction in 2024.
The certificates are secured by mortgage loans mainly originated
(62.3%) by Angel Oak Mortgage Solutions LLC (AOMS) and Angel Oak
Home Loans LLC (AOHL). The remaining 37.7% of the loans were
originated by various third-party originators (TPOs). Fitch
considers AOMS and AOHL to be average originators. The servicer of
the loans is Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. (RPS1-/Negative).
Of the loans, 57.6% are designated as nonqualified mortgage
(non-QM) loans and 42.4% are investment properties not subject to
the Ability to Repay (ATR) Rule.
There is no Libor exposure in this transaction. There are four ARM
loans in the pool, none of which reference Libor. The certificates
do not have Libor exposure. Classes A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates
are fixed rate, capped at the net weighted average coupon (WAC) and
have a step-up feature. Classes M-1, M-2, and B-X are based upon
the net WAC rate for the related distribution date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 9.9% above a long-term sustainable level (versus
11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% qoq). Housing
affordability is at its worst levels in decades, driven by both
high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of February 2024, notwithstanding
modest regional declines, but are still supported by limited
inventory.
Non-QM Credit Quality (Mixed): The collateral consists of 1,151
loans totaling $479.57 million and seasoned at about 28 months in
aggregate, according to Fitch, and 26 months, per the transaction
documents. The borrowers have a relatively strong credit profile,
with a 739 nonzero FICO and a 44.0% debt-to-income ratio (DTI), as
determined by Fitch. They have relatively moderate leverage, with
an original combined loan-to-value (CLTV) ratio of 70.7%, as
determined by Fitch, which translates to a Fitch-calculated
sustainable LTV of 74.8%.
Fitch's analysis of the pool shows that 56.8% represents loans in
which the borrower maintains a primary or secondary residence,
while the remaining 43.2% comprises investor properties. Fitch's
analysis considers the 20 loans to foreign nationals to be investor
occupied, which explains the discrepancy between the
Fitch-determined figures and those in the transaction documents for
investor and owner occupancy. Fitch determined that 18.6% of the
loans were originated via a retail channel.
Additionally, 57.6% of the pool is designated as non-QM, while the
remaining 42.4% is exempt from QM status, as this comprises
investor loans. The pool contains 68 loans over $1 million, with
the largest amounting to $3.32 million. Loans on investor
properties represent 43.2% of the pool, as determined by Fitch,
including 9.2% underwritten to the borrower's credit profile and
34.0% investor cash flow and no-ratio loans.
Furthermore, only 1.6% of the borrowers were viewed by Fitch as
having a prior credit event within the past seven years. In
addition to the first lien mortgage, 0.3% of the loans have a
junior lien. There are no second lien loans in the pool, as 100% of
the pool consists of first lien mortgages. In Fitch's analysis,
loans with deferred balances are considered to have subordinate
financing.
None of the loans in this transaction have a deferred balance;
therefore, Fitch views 0.3% of the loans in the pool as having
subordinate financing due to the borrower taking out additional
financing on the home that ranks subordinate to the mortgage in the
pool. Fitch views the limited subordinate financing as a positive
aspect of the transaction.
Fitch determined that 20 loans in the pool are to foreign
nationals. Fitch treats loans to foreign nationals as investor
occupied, coded as no documentation for employment and income
documentation, and remove the liquid reserves. If a credit score is
not available, Fitch uses a credit score of 650 for such
borrowers.
Although the borrowers' credit quality is higher than that of AOMT
transactions securitized in 2023 and 2022, the pool's
characteristics resemble those of nonprime collateral; therefore,
the pool was analyzed using Fitch's nonprime model.
The largest concentration of loans is in California (36.0%),
followed by Florida and Texas. The largest MSA is Los Angeles
(16.1%), followed by Miami (9.0%) and Riverside (5.1%). The top
three MSAs account for 30.2% of the pool. There was no geographical
concentration risk in the pool; as such, Fitch did not apply a
penalty and losses were not impacted.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Fitch determined that 91.7% of the
loans in the pool were underwritten to borrowers with less than
full documentation. Fitch may consider a loan to be less than a
full documentation loan based on its review of the loan program and
the documentation details provided in the loan tape, which may
explain any discrepancy between Fitch's percentage and figures in
the transaction documents.
Of the loans underwritten to borrowers with less than full
documentation, Fitch determined that 53.1% were underwritten to a
three-month, 12-month or 24-month business or personal bank
statement program for verifying income, which is not consistent
with the previously applicable Appendix Q standards and Fitch's
view of a full documentation program.
To reflect the added risk, Fitch increases the probability of
default (PD) by 1.5x on bank statement loans. In addition to loans
underwritten to a bank statement program, 33.8% constitute a debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) product, 0.2% are a no-ratio product
and 0.7% are an asset qualifier product.
Four loans in the pool are no-ratio DSCR loans. For no-ratio loans,
employment and income are considered to be "no documentation" in
Fitch's analysis, and Fitch assumes a DTI of 100%. This is in
addition to the loans being treated as investor occupied.
Limited Advancing (Mixed): The deal is structured to six months of
servicer advances for delinquent principal and interest (P&I). The
limited advancing reduces loss severities, as a lower amount is
repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation
proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued
but unpaid interest. The downside is the additional stress on the
structure, as liquidity is limited in the event of large and
extended delinquencies (DQs).
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Neutral): The structure
distributes collected principal pro rata among the class A
certificates while excluding the mezzanine and subordinate
certificates from principal until all three A classes are reduced
to zero. To the extent that either a cumulative loss trigger event
or a DQ trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will be
distributed sequentially to classes A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates
until they are reduced to zero. There is limited excess spread in
the transaction available to reimburse for losses or interest
shortfalls should they occur.
However, excess spread will be reduced on and after the
distribution date in July 2028, since the class A certificates have
a step-up coupon feature, whereby the coupon rate will be the lower
of (i) the applicable fixed rate plus 1.000% and (ii) the net WAC
rate.
Additionally, on any distribution date where the aggregate unpaid
cap carryover amount for the class A certificates is greater than
zero, payments to the cap carryover reserve account will be
prioritized over the payment of interest and unpaid interest
payable to class B-X certificates in both the interest and
principal waterfalls.
This feature is supportive of the class A-1 certificate being paid
timely interest at the step-up coupon rate under Fitch's stresses
and classes A-2 and A-3 being paid ultimate interest at the step-up
coupon rate under Fitch's stresses. Fitch rates to timely interest
for 'AAAsf' rated classes and to ultimate interest for all other
rated classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10%, 20% and 30% in addition to the
model-projected 41.4% at 'AAAsf'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses were conducted at the state and national
levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as
well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC, Evolve, Maxwell, Canopy, Clarifii, Consolidated
Analytics, Covius, Infinity, IngletBlair, Recovco and Selene. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on three
areas: compliance review, credit review and valuation review. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and, as a result, did
not make any negative adjustments to its analysis due to no
material due diligence findings. Based on the results of the 100%
due diligence performed on the pool with no material findings, the
overall expected loss was reduced by 0.38%
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the loans. The third-party due diligence was
consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." The sponsor
engaged AMC, Evolve, Maxwell, Canopy, Clarifii, Consolidated
Analytics, Covius, Infinity, IngletBlair, Recovco and Selene to
perform the review. Loans reviewed under these engagements were
given compliance, credit and valuation grades and assigned initial
grades for each subcategory.
An exception and waiver report was provided to Fitch, indicating
the pool of reviewed loans has a number of exceptions and waivers.
Fitch determined that the exceptions and waivers do not materially
affect the overall credit risk of the loans due to the presence of
compensating factors such as having liquid reserves or FICO above
guideline requirements or LTV or DTI lower than the guideline
requirement. Therefore, no adjustments were needed to compensate
for these occurrences.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. The loan-level
information Fitch received was provided in the American
Securitization Forum's (ASF) data layout format.
The ASF data tape layout was established with input from various
industry participants, including rating agencies, issuers,
originators, investors and others, to produce an industry standard
for the pool-level data to support the U.S. RMBS securitization
market. The data contained in the data tape layout were populated
by the due diligence company and no material discrepancies were
noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
APIDOS CLO XLVIII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Apidos
CLO XLVIII Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Apidos CLO XLVIII Ltd
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Apidos CLO XLVIII Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CVC
Credit Partners, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 73.89%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG DISCLOSURES
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Apidos CLO XLVIII
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
APIDOS CLO XLVIII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Apidos CLO XLVIII Ltd (the "Issuer" or "Apidos XLVIII").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$320,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$500,000 Class F Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the
"Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Apidos XLVIII is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90.0% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and up to 10.0% of the portfolio
may consist of second lien loans, unsecured loans, first lien last
out loans and permitted non-loan assets. The portfolio is
approximately 80% ramped as of the closing date.
CVC Credit Partners, LLC (the "Manager") will direct the selection,
acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of the Issuer
and may engage in trading activity, including discretionary
trading, during the transaction's five year reinvestment period.
Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions, the Manager may
reinvest unscheduled principal payments and proceeds from sales of
credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3050
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.48%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.6%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.08 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
ARES COMMERCIAL 2024-IND: Moody's Gives B1 Rating to Cl. HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to six classes of
CMBS securities, to be issued by ARES Commercial Mortgage Trust
2024-IND, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-IND.
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. E, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. HRR, Definitive Rating Assigned B1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are collateralized by a single loan backed by
first lien mortgages on the borrower's fee simple interests in a
portfolio of 30 primarily industrial properties encompassing
approximately 7.5 million SF. Moody's ratings are based on the
credit quality of the loan and the strength of the securitization
structure.
The collateral portfolio consists of 30 industrial properties
located across ten states and nine different markets. The largest
concentrations are in Florida (26.9% of underwritten NOI),
Tennessee (19.6% of underwritten NOI), and Kentucky (12.2% of
underwritten NOI). The portfolio is highly diverse, with no with no
single asset contributing more than 9.1% of underwritten NOI. The
portfolio's property-level Herfindahl score is 23.00 based on
allocated loan amount (the "ALA"). The properties are leased to 55
individual tenants with a weighted average lease term of 4.7 years
and none of which comprises more than 9.3% of gross rent.
The collateral properties contain a total of 7.5 million sf and
bulk warehouse (82.4% of underwritten NOI), warehouse (16.6% of
underwritten NOI and outdoor parking lot (1.0% of underwritten
NOI). The portfolio's weighted average year built is 2006 and
weighted average clear heights of 30.2 feet (excluding the Lakewood
Logistics IV Property). Office SF represents 4.1% of the portfolio
NRA.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitization methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also consider a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessment of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessment of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this transaction,
Moody's make various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's adjust the
MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects capitalization (cap)
rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap rates and market cap
rates. Moody's also use an adjusted loan balance that reflects each
loan's amortization profile.
Moody's first mortgage actual DSCR is 0.96x and Moody's first
mortgage actual stressed DSCR is 0.72x. Moody's DSCR is based on
Moody's stabilized net cash flow.
The loan first mortgage balance of $590,000,000 represents a
Moody's LTV ratio of 115.6% based on Moody's Value. Adjusted
Moody's LTV ratio for the first mortgage balance is 104.4% based on
Moody's Value using a cap rate adjusted for the current interest
rate environment.
With respect to loan level diversity, the pool's loan level
Herfindahl score is 23.00. The ten largest properties represent
36.6% of the pool balance.
Moody's also grade properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and considers those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The pool's quality
grade is 0.75.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: infill locations,
high occupancy rate with strong tenant roster, portfolio diversity,
multiple property pooling, institutional quality sponsorship,
implied equity and portfolio characteristics.
Notable concerns of the transaction include: rollover risk,
property age, floating-rate interest-only loan profile, and credit
negative legal features.
Moody's rating approach considers sequential pay in connection with
a collateral release as a credit neutral benchmark. Although the
loans' release premium mitigates the risk of a ratings downgrade
due to adverse selection, the pro rata payment structure limits
ratings upgrade potential as mezzanine classes are prevented from
building enhancement. The benefit received from pooling through
cross-collateralization is also reduced.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed
Securitizations Methodology" published in July 2022.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
Moody's loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining
proceeds include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
AUXILIOR TERM 2024-1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to the notes issued
by Auxilior Term Funding 2024-1, LLC (XCAP 2024-1, the issuer). The
transaction is the second securitization sponsored by Auxilior
Capital Partners, Inc. (Auxilior), a small and medium-ticket
independent equipment finance company.
The notes are backed by a pool of loans and leases secured by new
and used equipment in three segments, construction and
infrastructure (construction equipment, aerial lifts and cranes),
transportation and logistics (highway tractors, vocational trucks,
trailers, and school buses) and franchise related equipment
originated by Auxilior.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Auxilior Term Funding 2024-1, LLC
Class A-1 Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned P-1 (sf)
Class A-2 Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Class A-3 Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Class B Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Class C Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Class D Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Class E Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
Moody's cumulative net loss expectation for the XCAP 2024-1
collateral pool is 3.00% and the loss at a Aaa stress is 21.00%
(inclusive of 20.00% credit loss and 1.00% residual value loss).
The ratings, the cumulative net loss expectation, and the loss at a
Aaa stress for the XCAP 2024-1 transaction are based on (1) the
high credit quality of the underlying collateral, (2) Moody's
expectations of the pool's credit performance considering the
historical performance of Auxilior's managed portfolio, although
for a limited period that does not cover a full economic cycle. In
addition, Moody's considered the performance data of comparable
originators of contracts included in transactions Moody's rate for
similar equipment types to the collateral in the pool, (3) loan
performance data from the Small Business Administration (SBA) for
limited-service restaurants as a partial proxy for franchise
performance given Auxilior's limited historical data for franchise
loans, (4) the experience and expertise of Auxilior as the
originator and servicer of the collateral, (5) the strength of the
transaction structure including, among other factors, the
sequential pay structure and credit enhancement levels, (6)
GreatAmerica Portfolio Services Group LLC (GPSG) as backup servicer
for the contracts, (7) the current expectations for the state of
the macroeconomic environment during the life of the transaction,
and (8) the legal aspects of the transaction. Additionally, in
assigning the provisional short-term rating to the class A-1 notes,
Moody's considered the cash flows that Moody's expect the
underlying receivables to generate prior to the class A-1 notes'
legal final maturity date.
At closing, the Class A notes, Class B notes, Class C notes, Class
D notes, and Class E notes benefit from 20.25%, 15.25%, 9.25%,
6.50%, and 4.25% of hard credit enhancement, respectively. Hard
credit enhancement for the notes consists of (1)
over-collateralization (OC) of 3.25% of the initial pool balance,
with the ability to step down once the OC reaches its target of
8.25% of the outstanding pool balance subject to a floor of 1.00%
of the initial pool balance, (2) a fully funded, non-declining
reserve account of 1.00% of the initial pool balance, and (3)
subordination, except for the Class E Notes. The notes may also
benefit from excess spread.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Equipment
Lease and Loan Securitizations Methodology" published in September
2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings on the subordinate notes if
levels of credit protection are greater than necessary to protect
investors against current expectations of loss. Moody's then
current expectations of loss may be better than its original
expectations because of lower frequency of default by the
underlying obligors or slower depreciation than expected in the
value of the equipment securing obligors' promise of payment. As
the primary drivers of performance, positive changes in the US
macro economy and the performance of various sectors in which the
obligors operate could also affect the ratings. This transaction
has a sequential pay structure and therefore credit enhancement
will grow as a percentage of the collateral balance as collections
pay down senior notes. Prepayments and interest collections
directed toward note principal payments will accelerate this
build-up of enhancement.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings on the notes if levels of
credit enhancement are insufficient to protect investors against
current expectations of portfolio losses. Losses could rise above
Moody's original expectations as a result of a higher number of
obligor defaults or higher than expected deterioration in the value
of the equipment that secure the obligor's promise of payment. As
the primary drivers of performance, negative changes in the US
macro economy and the performance of various sectors in which the
obligors operate could also affect the ratings. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance could include poor servicing, error
on the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction
governance or fraud. Additionally, Moody's could downgrade the
short-term rating of the class A-1 notes if there is a significant
slowdown in principal collections in the first year of the
transaction, which could result from, among other reasons, high
delinquencies or a servicer disruption that impacts obligors'
payments.
BAIN CAPITAL 2024-3: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Bain
Capital Credit CLO 2024-3, Limited.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Bain Capital Credit
CLO 2024-3, Limited
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C-1 LT A+sf New Rating
C-2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2024-3, Limited (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by
Bain Capital Credit U.S. CLO Manager II, LP. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.51, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 24.5. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.7% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.34% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.06%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 42.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Neutral): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'BB-sf' and 'Asf' for class C-1, between 'B+sf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C-2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2,
and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C-1, 'AA+sf'
for class C-2, 'A+sf' for class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and
'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Bain Capital Credit
CLO 2024-3, Limited. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
BANK 2024-BNK47: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
BANK 2024-BNK47 commercial mortgage pass-through certificates
series 2024-BNK47 as follows:
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BANK 2024-BNK47
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT WDsf Withdrawn AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-S LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-SB LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-RR LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
E-RR LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
F-RR LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
G-RR LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
J-RR LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
K-RR LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
X-B LT AA-sf New Rating A(EXP)sf
- $6,684,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $65,786,000 class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $7,500,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,226,000 class A-SB 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $663,203,000 class A-5 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $757,399,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $154,185,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable
- $48,690,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,820,000 class C 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $220,695,000a class X-B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,640,000bc class D-RR 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $12,172,000bc class E-RR 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,878,000bc class F-RR 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,935,000bc class G-RR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $10,820,000bc class J-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
The following class is not rated by Fitch:
- $32,460,008bc class K-RR.
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Collectively represent the "eligible horizontal interest"
comprising 5.0% of the pool.
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on June 5, 2024, the
following changes have occurred: the balances for classes A-4 and
A-5 were finalized. At the time the expected ratings were
published, the initial aggregate certificate balance of the A-4
class was expected to be in the $0-$300,000,000 range and the
initial certificate balance of the A-5 class was expected to be in
the $363,203,000-$663,203,000 range. The final class balance for
class A-5 is $663,203,000 and class A-4 will not be issued.
Additionally, at the time the presale was issued, class X-B (which
is tied to the classes A-S, B, and C) was rated 'Asf(EXP)',
reflecting class C, the lowest rated tranche. Since Fitch published
its expected ratings, the class C pass-through rates were finalized
and will be variable rate (WAC), equal to the weighted average of
the net mortgage interest rates on the mortgage loan, and therefore
its payable interest will not have an impact on the IO payments for
class X-B. Fitch updated class X-B to 'AA-sf' (from Asf(EXP) at the
time of the presale) reflecting the lowest tranche (class B) whose
payable interest has an impact on the IO payments. This is
consistent with Appendix 4 of Fitch's Global Structured Finance
Rating Criteria.
The ratings are based on information provided by the issuer as of
June 24, 2024.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, primary assets of which are 52 fixed-rate, commercial
mortgage loans with an aggregate principal balance of
$1,081,999,009 as of the cut-off date. The mortgage loans are
secured by the borrower's fee and leasehold interests in commercial
properties.
The loans were contributed to the trust by Wells Fargo Bank,
National Association, Bank of America, National Association,
Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company, Morgan Stanley Mortgage Capital
Holdings LLC, JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association, Citi Real
Estate Funding Inc. and National Cooperative Bank, N.A.
The master servicers are expected to be Wells Fargo Bank, National
Association, and National Cooperative Bank, N.A. The special
servicers are expected to be Rialto Capital Advisors, LLC and
National Cooperative Bank, N.A. The trustee and certificate
administrator is expected to be Computershare Trust Company, N.A.
The certificates are expected to follow a sequential paydown
structure.
Fitch has withdrawn the expected ratings for class A-4 'AAAsf(EXP)'
because the class was removed from the final deal structure. The
classes above reflect the final ratings and deal structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 31 loans
totaling 93.0% of the pool by balance, including the largest 20
loans and all of the hospitality and office loans in the pool.
Fitch's resulting net cash flow (NCF) of $366.8 million represents
a 13.7% decline from the issuer's underwritten NCF of $424.8
million.
Lower Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool has lower
leverage than U.S. private-label multi-borrower transactions rated
by Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 77.4% is
lower than the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of 89.1% and 88.3%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 13.6% is
higher than the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of 11.3% and 10.9%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch LTV and DY, excluding credit opinion
and co-op loans, are 85.5% and 12.1%, respectively.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Four loans representing
29.5% of the pool balance received an investment-grade credit
opinion. St. Johns Town Center (9.2% of the pool) received a
Standalone Credit Opinion of 'Asf*', Woodfield Mall (7.3% of the
pool) received a Standalone Credit Opinion of 'BBB+sf*', Westwood
Gateway II (6.9% of the pool) received a Standalone Credit Opinion
of 'BBBsf*', and 60 Hudson (6.0% of the pool) received a Standalone
Credit Opinion of 'AAAsf*'. The pool's total credit opinion
percentage of 29.5% is significantly higher than the YTD 2024 and
2023 averages of 13.8% 17.8%, respectively.
Mall Concentration: Mall Concentration: Four loans (24.4% of pool),
including three of the top five loans, are secured by malls — St.
Johns Town Center, Woodfield Mall, Danbury Fair Mall and Arundel
Mills and Marketplace. The malls represent 60.3% of the pool's
entire retail exposure.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Reduction in cash flow decreases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations.
The table below indicates the model implied rating sensitivity to
changes to the same one variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'Asf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf' /'BBB-sf'
/'BB-sf' /'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline:
'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'/'Bsf'/'CCCsf.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Similarly, improvement in cash flow increases property value and
capacity to meet its debt service obligations.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of 3, unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of 3; means ESG issues
are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the
entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BANK5 2024-5YR7: DBRS Finalizes BB(high) Rating on Class G Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series,
2024-5YR7 (the Certificates) issued by BANK5 2024-5YR7 (the
Trust):
-- Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2-X1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-3-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-3-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-3-X1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-3-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-X1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S-X2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-1 at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-X1 at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B-X2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C-1 at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C-2 at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C-X1 at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C-X2 at A (high) (sf)
-- Class X-D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class X-F at BBB (sf)
-- Class X-G at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class D at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class F at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at BB (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
Classes X-D, X-F, X-G, X-J D, E, F, G and J will be privately
placed. The RR Interest Certificates will not be offered.
Classes A-2-1, A-2-2, A-2-X1, A-2-X2, A-3-1, A-3-2, A-3-X1, A-3-X2,
A-S-1, A-S-2, A-S-X1, A-S-X2, B-1, B-2, B-X1, B-X2, C-1, C-2,
C-X1,C-X2 are also offered certificates. Such classes of
certificates, together with the Class A-2, A-3, A-S, B and C
constitute the Exchangeable Certificates. The Class A-1, D, E, F,
G, and J, certificates, together with the Exchangeable Certificates
with a certificate balance are referred to as the principal balance
certificates.
The collateral consists of 37 fixed-rate loans secured by 41
commercial and multifamily properties with an aggregate cut-off
date balance of $1.146 billion. Five loans; Cira Square, Saks
Beverly Hills, Kenwood Towne Centre, Anaheim Desert Inn & Suites,
and Columbus Business Park, representing 20.6% of the pool; are
shadow-rated investment grade by Morningstar DBRS. The conduit pool
was analyzed to determine the provisional credit ratings,
reflecting the long-term probability of loan default within the
term and its liquidity at maturity. The transaction has a
sequential-pay pass-through structure.
Cira Square, Saks Beverly Hills, Kenwood Towne Centre, Anaheim
Desert Inn & Suites, and Columbus Business Park exhibit credit
characteristics consistent with investment-grade shadow ratings.
Combined, these loans represent 20.6% of the pool. Cira Square has
credit characteristics consistent with an AA (high) shadow rating,
Saks Beverly Hills has credit characteristics consistent with an A
(low) shadow rating, Kenwood Towne Centre has credit
characteristics consistent with an A (high) shadow rating, Anaheim
Desert Inn & Suites Square has credit characteristics consistent
with a BBB (high) shadow rating, and Columbus Business Park Square
has credit characteristics consistent with an A (high) shadow
rating.
Seventeen loans, representing a combined 44.5% of the pool by
allocated loan amount (ALA), exhibit Morningstar DBRS Issuance
loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) of less than 59.3%, a threshold
historically indicative of relatively low-leverage financing and
generally associated with below-average default frequency. Even
with the exclusion of the shadow-rated loans, which represent 20.6%
of the pool, the transaction exhibits a favorable WA Morningstar
DBRS issuance LTV of 60.2%.
There are seven loans, representing 24.5% of the pool, in areas
identified as Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of 7 or 8, which are
generally characterized as highly dense urbanized areas that
benefit from increased liquidity driven by consistently strong
investor demand, even during times of economic stress. Markets with
these rankings benefit from lower default frequencies than less
dense suburban, tertiary, and rural markets. Urban markets
represented in the deal include Washington, D.C.; New York; and Los
Angeles. In addition, 17 loans, representing 52.5% of the pool
balance, have collateral in MSA Group 3, which represents the
best-performing group in terms of historical CMBS default rates
among the top 25 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs).
Six loans, representing 25.3% of the pool balance, received a
property quality assessment of Average + or better, including two
loans, representing 13.6% of the pool, deemed to be of Above
Average quality.
Three loans, representing 15.5% of the pool, were classified as
having Strong sponsorship strength. Furthermore, Morningstar DBRS
identified only two loans with sponsorship strength deemed Weak,
accounting for 7.2% of the pool.
The pool has a relatively high concentration of loans secured by
office properties at eight loans, representing 33.2% of the pool
balance, with three in the top 10 loans of the pool. Office
properties are facing increased pressure from changing user
demands, after the pandemic, with the implementation of hybrid
remote-working strategies. However, three of the office loans,
representing 21.4% of the total pool balance, are located in
Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks 6, 7, and 8, which exhibit the lowest
historical CMBS PODs and LGDs. Furthermore, three of the office
loans, representing 16.0% of the total pool balance, are in MSA
Group 3, which is the best-performing group among the top 25 MSAs
in terms of historical CMBS default rates. Cira Square,
representing 7.9% of the total pool balance, is shadow-rated
investment grade by Morningstar DBRS. Two of the office properties
were assigned a property quality of Average+ and Above Average.
In today's challenging interest rate environment, rates have
increased significantly from before the Fed's interest rate hike
regime that began in mid-2022. The rise in interest rates over the
past several quarters has severely constrained debt service
coverage ratios (DSCRs) and in the case of the subject transaction,
has a weighted-average (WA) DSCR of 1.49 times (x) and 1.29x
excluding shadow-rated loans. While adequate to service debt, the
ratio is considerably lower than historical conduit transactions
and provides for a smaller cushion should cash flows be disrupted.
Loans with lower DSCR ratios receive a POD penalty in the
Morningstar DBRS model.
On average, the transaction exhibits -0.70% of negative leverage
(as defined as the issuer's implied cap rate (issuer's NCF divided
by the appraised value), less the current interest rate). While cap
rates have been increasing over the last few years, they have not
surpassed the current interest rates. In the short-term, this
suggests borrowers are willing to have their equity returns reduced
in order to secure financing. Longer-term, should interest rates
hold steady, the loans in this transaction could be subject to
negative value adjustments that may impact the borrower's ability
to refinance their loans.
There are 35 loans, representing 98.4% of the pool balance,
structured with full-term interest-only (IO) periods. Loans that
are full-term IO do not benefit from amortization. Of the 35 loans
with full-term IO periods, nine loans representing 34.5% of the
pool are located in areas with Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of 6
or higher, with 24.5% of the pool in Morningstar DBRS Market ranks
of 7 or 8. These urban markets benefit from increased liquidity
even during times of economic stress. Five of the loans,
representing 20.6% of the pool balance, are shadow-rated investment
grade by Morningstar DBRS. The full-term IO loans still benefit
from a low leverage point as evidenced by the low Morningstar DBRS
WA Issuance LTV of 56.8%, or 60.2% when excluding the shadow-rated
and co-operative loans. Thirty-two loans, representing 91.4% of the
total pool balance, are refinancing or recapitalizing existing
debt. Morningstar DBRS views loans that refinance existing debt as
more credit negative than loans that finance an acquisition. The
loans that are refinancing existing debt exhibit relatively low
leverage. Specifically, the Morningstar DBRS average Issuance and
Balloon LTVs for the loans refinancing debt are 56.3% and 56.2%,
respectively. The loans that are refinancing existing debt are
generally in stronger Morningstar DBRS Markets Ranks and MSA groups
than the broader pool of assets in the transaction.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BATALLION CLO XXIV: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Battalion
CLO XXIV Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Battalion
CLO XXIV Ltd.
A 07135JAA9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-L LT AAAsf New Rating
A-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 07135JAC5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 07135JAE1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 07135JAG6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 07135KAA6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Battalion CLO XXIV Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Brigade Capital Management, LP. that originally closed in December
2022. This is the first refinancing where the existing notes will
be refinanced in whole on June 26, 2024. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.73, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of 98%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.62% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
66.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a three-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A, between 'BB+sf'
and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'BB-sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class
C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D1-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D2-R, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A notes as these
notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA-sf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D1-R, 'BBB+sf' for class D2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that the data is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Battalion CLO XXIV
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
BBAM US IV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class D Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to BBAM US CLO IV Ltd./BBAM
US CLO IV LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by RBC Global Asset Management (U.S.)
Inc., an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Royal Bank of Canada.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
BBAM US CLO IV Ltd./BBAM US CLO IV LLC
Class A-1A, $248.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B, $8.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $16.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $38.10 million: Not rated
BEAR MOUNTAIN: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from Bear Mountain Park CLO
Ltd./Bear Mountain Park CLO LLC, a CLO originally issued in August
2022 that is managed by Blackstone Liquid Credit Strategies LLC, an
affiliate of Blackstone Inc. S&P is not rating the class A-R debt.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 28,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the July 15, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R debt is
expected to be issued at a lower spread over three-month term SOFR
than the original debt.
-- The stated maturity, reinvestment period, non-call period and
weighted average life test date will be extended two years.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Bear Mountain Park CLO Ltd./Bear Mountain Park CLO LLC
Class A-R, $409.500 million: Not rated
Class B-R, $84.500 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $39.000 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $39.000 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $24.375 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Bear Mountain Park CLO Ltd./Bear Mountain Park CLO LLC
Subordinated notes, $44.050 million: Not rated
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-RPL1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on B2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-RPL1 (the Notes) to be issued by
BRAVO Residential Funding Trust 2024-RPL1 (BRAVO 2024-RPL1 or the
Trust) as follows:
-- $275.1 million Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class A2 at AA (sf)
-- $297.2 million Class A3 at AA (sf)
-- $316.2 million Class A4 at A (sf)
-- $335.5 million Class A5 at BBB (sf)
-- $19.0 million Class M1 at A (sf)
-- $19.2 million Class M2 at BBB (sf)
-- $13.4 million Class B1 at BB (sf)
-- $10.1 million Class B2 at B (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A-1 Notes reflects 32.05%
of credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (sf),
A (sf), BBB (sf), BB (sf), and B (sf) credit ratings reflect
26.60%, 21.90%, 17.15%, 13.85%, and 11.35% of credit enhancement,
respectively.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of seasoned
reperforming, first-lien, residential mortgages funded by the
issuance of the Notes. The Notes are backed by 2,024 loans with a
total principal balance of $404,919,565 as of the Cut-Off Date
(April 30, 2024).
The portfolio is approximately 208 months seasoned on a
weighted-average (WA) basis and contains 95.9% modified loans. The
modifications happened more than two years ago for 95.3% of the
modified loans. Within the pool, 1,397 mortgages have
non-interest-bearing deferred amounts, which equates to
approximately 16.5% of the total principal balance.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 89.0% of the pool is current, including
249, or 14.2%, that are current and in active bankruptcy, and 11.0%
is 30 days delinquent, including 35, or 1.9%, that are active
bankruptcy loans under the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA)
delinquency method. Approximately 56.3%, 67.2%, and 75.5% of the
mortgage loans by balance have been current for the past 24, 12,
and six months, respectively, under the MBA delinquency method.
The majority of the pool (98.6%) is not subject to the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau Ability-to-Repay (ATR)/Qualified
Mortgage (QM) rules. The remaining 1.4% of the pool may be subject
to the ATR rules but a designation was not provided. As such,
Morningstar DBRS assumed these loans to be non-QM in its analysis.
PMIT Residential Funding XXV LLC (the Depositor), an affiliate of
Loan Funding Structure LLC (the Sponsor), will acquire the loans
and will contribute them to the Trust. The Sponsor or one of its
majority-owned affiliates will either retain a 5% eligible vertical
interest in each class of the offered Notes and the Class X notes
or retain an eligible horizontal interest in the Issuer of at least
5% of the aggregate fair value of the Notes, to satisfy the credit
risk retention requirements.
The mortgage loans will be serviced by Select Portfolio Servicing,
Inc. (SPS; 59.9%) and Nationstar Mortgage LLC doing business as
(dba) Rushmore Servicing (Rushmore; 40.1%). For this transaction,
the aggregate servicing fee paid from the Trust will be 0.40%.
There will not be any advancing of delinquent principal or interest
on any mortgages by the Servicers or any other party to the
transaction; however, the Servicers are obligated to make advances
in respect of homeowner association fees, taxes, and insurance as
well as reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing of properties.
When the aggregate pool balance is reduced to less than 10% of the
balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the holder of the Trust
certificates may purchase all the mortgage loans and real estate
owned (REO) properties from the Issuer at a price equal to the sum
of principal balance of the mortgage loans plus the accrued and
unpaid interest thereon, the fair market value of REO properties
net of liquidation expenses, any unpaid servicing advances, and any
fees, expenses, or other amounts owed to the transaction parties
(Optional Termination Date).
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A-2
and more subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A-1 note is retired. Class A1 is entitled to
receive net weighted-average coupon (WAC) shortfall amounts that
would otherwise be used to pay current interest or any interest
shortfall amounts to the Class B-3, Class B-4, or Class B-5 notes
in sequential reverse.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
BWAY 2015-1740: DBRS Cuts Rating on Class A Certs to Dsf
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded one credit rating on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificate, Series 2015-1740 issued by BWAY
2015-1740 Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A to D (sf) from C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS simultaneously discontinued and withdrew its
credit rating on Class A.
Morningstar DBRS had rated only the $157.5 million Class A
certificate in this transaction, which had an original deal balance
of $308.0 million. The credit rating downgrade reflects the
realized losses to the trust that were reflected in the May 2024
remittance following the liquidation of the sole asset backing the
transaction. The loan was liquidated from the trust at a loss of
approximately $190.8 million of which $40.2 million was allocated
to the Class A certificate. The proceeds from the liquidation were
applied to the outstanding servicer advances of $48.4 million and
nonrecoverable interest of $9.9 million following which net
proceeds of only $117.2 million became available to the trust,
resulting in a 26% write down of Class A. In November 2023,
Morningstar DBRS had downgraded the Class A certificate to C (sf),
indicating the likelihood of significant expected losses at
disposition of the asset. To read more on Morningstar DBRS'
previous credit rating action, please see the press release titled
"DBRS Morningstar Downgrades Credit Rating on BWAY 2015-1740
Mortgage Trust" published on November 1, 2023, on the Morningstar
DBRS website.
The loan was secured by a 26-story office and retail tower at 1740
Broadway in Manhattan, New York, with a scheduled maturity date in
January 2025. The loan sponsor is Blackstone Property Partners,
L.P. (Blackstone). The property was originally constructed in 1950
and underwent a $33.3 million renovation in 2020. The loan
transferred to special servicing in April 2022 after L Brands
(70.9% of the net rentable area) vacated the space upon its lease
expiration in March 2022. The transaction did not contemplate any
provisions that would have allowed for cash to be trapped during
the lease expiration of L Brands, a structural weakness that
Morningstar DBRS cited at issuance. As such, the sponsor retained
all excess cash flow for two years when the loan's debt service
coverage ratio was 1.87 times (x) for YE2020 and 1.42x for YE2021.
Once L Brands vacated in 2022, cash management was triggered, but
by that time, there was no excess cash to trap. Blackstone was
actively engaged in workout discussions during the initial
forbearance period. However, by the end of the extended forbearance
period in December 2022, the servicer noted that Blackstone was no
longer willing to fund shortfalls and was looking to market the
property for sale.
Although the forbearance expired in December 2022, the first
appraisal reduction amount (ARA) of $77.5 million was not reported
until June 2023. Following multiple changes to the assigned special
servicer, an updated appraised value was eventually reported with
the August 2023 remittance. That appraisal, dated July 2023, valued
the property at $175.0 million, representing a 71.0% decline to the
issuance appraised value of $605.0 million. Consequently, the ARA
increased to $187.6 million, resulting in the master servicer's
non-recoverability determination in the same month. The
non-recoverability determination triggered the shorting of interest
payments to all bonds across the capital stack.
With the May 2024 remittance, the loan was liquidated via a note
sale of $185.0 million. Given the priority of recoverability,
liquidation proceeds first went to recoup servicing fees and
outstanding advances of $49.4 million in addition to the accrued
interest shortfalls of $9.9 million and other expenses of
approximately $2.9 million, ultimately resulting in $117.2 million
in distributable principal. This equated to a loan level loss
severity of 62%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BX TRUST 2017-CQHP: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. F Certs to Csf
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on six classes in BX
Trust 2017-CQHP, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2017-CQHP as follows:
Cl. A, Downgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Feb 22, 2023
Downgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 22, 2023
Downgraded to A2 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Feb 22, 2023 Downgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. D, Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Feb 22, 2023
Downgraded to B1 (sf)
Cl. E, Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Feb 22, 2023
Downgraded to B3 (sf)
Cl. F, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Feb 22, 2023 Affirmed
Caa3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on six P&I classes were downgraded primarily due to
sustained loan underperformance, continued delinquency and
resulting outstanding loan advances as well as the potential for
higher losses due to uncertainty around timing and proceeds from
the loan resolution. This floating rate loan has been in special
servicing since June 2020 and as of the June 2024 distribution
date, the loan remains last paid through its July 2022 payment date
and there is approximately $48.4 million of loan advances, other
expenses and cumulative accrued unpaid advance interest
outstanding.
The portfolio's performance continues to marginally improve year
over year but is not currently generating enough cash flow to cover
its floating rate debt service and the portfolio's most recent net
operating income (NOI) remained well below the NOI in 2019. The
property's reliance on corporate business travel has delayed its
recovery timing, particularly for the assets located in Chicago,
Philadelphia and San Francisco, which continue to lag recovery
timing compared to other major cities in the country. As a result,
Moody's expect the advances to remain outstanding and may increase
if the property's cash flow does not continue to improve. Servicing
advances are senior in the transaction waterfall and are paid back
prior to any principal recoveries which may result in lower
recovery to the total trust balance.
The most recent reported appraised value as of the June 2024
remittance statement was 24% lower than at securitization and while
the value was above the outstanding loan amount of $273.7 million,
when accounting for the total outstanding loan exposure (advances
and accrued unpaid interest amounts), the aggregate loan exposure
of $322.1 million was slightly above the most recent appraisal
value. The loan is backed by four Club Quarters hotels and the
principal proceeds from the sale of any assets could be used to
paydown outstanding advances and as applicable, principal balance
on the certificates. The senior P&I classes Moody's rate,
particularly Cl. A and Cl. B, benefit from credit support in the
form of subordinate mortgage debt balance and also could withstand
further declines in market value prior to a risk of principal
loss.
In this credit rating action, Moody's considered qualitative and
quantitative factors in relation to the senior-sequential structure
and trophy/dominant nature of the asset, and Moody's analyzed
multiple scenarios to reflect various levels of stress in property
values could impact loan proceeds at each rating level.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate v
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or an improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
further decline in actual or expected performance of the loan, an
increase in realized and expected losses or increased interest
shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan
and Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed
Securitizations Methodology" published in July 2022.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the June 17, 2024 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance remains unchanged at $273.7 Million.
The securitization is backed by a single floating rate loan
collateralized by four Club Quarter hotels. The portfolio totals
1,228 rooms, and includes the 346 room Club Quarters San Francisco,
the 429 room Club Quarters Chicago Central Loop, the 178 room Club
Quarters Boston, and the 275 room Club Quarters Philadelphia. The
portfolio is encumbered with $61.3 million of non-pooled mezzanine
debt. The loan's original sponsor was Blackstone Real Estate
Partners VII-NQ L.P., an affiliate of Blackstone Group L.P.
Club Quarters drives business through memberships with corporate
clients that commit to a minimum number of room nights at a
property annually. On weekends when corporate travel demand
generally decreases, they cater to non-members and leisure
travelers.
The portfolio's NOI annualized as of September 2023 was $12.4
million, a marginal increase from $11.9 million in 2022, but
remained significantly below the NOI of $32.3 million in 2019 and
$34.8 million at securitization. Furthermore, due to the current
interest rate environment, the floating rate loan's interest rate
is above 7% as of the June 2024 remittance statement, resulting in
an NOI DSCR less than 0.75X on the interest only debt service.
Based on the allocated loan amount (ALA), the San Francisco
property (39% of ALA) and the Chicago hotel (26% of ALA) account
for 66% of the portfolio. The properties reliance on the corporate
segment has delayed recovery timing from the coronavirus impact,
particularly in certain markets that have been unable to return to
their pre-pandemic levels. According to the year-end 2023 STR
Report, overall US RevPAR (revenue per available room) was up 12.9%
compared to that of 2019. However, the San Francisco/San Mateo MSA
had the worst comparison among the Top 25 MSAs at -28.6% compared
to 2019 and the Chicago and Philadelphia's MSA's 2023 RevPAR were
-0.4% and -2.5% lower, respectively, than that of 2019.
The loan has been in special servicing since June 2020 for monetary
default and the loan is last paid through its July 2022 payment
date. The Boston property was recently foreclosed in February 2024
and the servicer is pursuing foreclosure on the remaining three
hotels. The Boston asset has recognized the most significant
recovery since 2020 and the 2023 NOI for that property was only
9.3% below 2019, while the other three assets' cash flow remain
materially below the 2019 levels.
The first mortgage balance of $273.7 million represents Moody's LTV
of 173% (not including outstanding advances). However, there are
outstanding loan advances and accrued unpaid interest totaling
approximately $48.4 million causing the aggregate loan exposure to
be $322.1 million. There are outstanding interest shortfalls
totaling $9,857 affecting up to Cl. F and no losses have been
realized as of the current distribution date.
BX TRUST 2019-IMC: DBRS Cuts Rating on Class HRR Certs to B(low)
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on four classes of the
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2019-IMC
issued by BX Trust 2019-IMC as follows:
-- Class E to A (sf) from AA (low) (sf)
-- Class F to BBB (low) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class G to B (high) (sf) from BB (high) (sf)
-- Class HRR to B (low) (sf) from BB (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also confirmed its credit ratings on the following
classes:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class C at AAA (sf)
-- Class D at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-NCP at AAA (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating downgrades reflect the increased credit risk as
exhibited in the downward pressure in the loan-to-value (LTV)
sizing benchmarks following updates to the analysis with this
review. The updates to the Morningstar DBRS Net Cash Flow and the
LTV sizing benchmarks were made to reflect the significant decline
in cash flow for the collateral portfolio in the servicer's updated
calculations, which were made available with the April 2024
remittance report. According to the servicer, the reporting
reflected significant declines in performance after Blackstone (the
borrower), reported a YE2023 net cash flow (NCF) figure of $111.5
million and restated the underlying collateral's YE2022 NCF to
$106.9 million, a reduction of more than 35% from the previously
reported YE2022 NCF figure of $170.3 million. The credit rating
confirmations reflect the continued stable outlook on the senior
portion of the trust debt, further bolstered by the increased
credit support that has resulted from a principal paydown of $175.0
million, reducing the transaction balance by 15.2%, since the last
credit rating action.
At its last review, Morningstar DBRS upgraded its credit ratings on
Classes C, D, E, F, G, and HRR to reflect the significant
year-over-year growth in NCF since issuance. At the time of the
last review, the servicer reported financials for the trailing 12
months (T-12) ended March 31, 2023 (Q1 2023 NCF), reflecting NCF
and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) figures of $186.9 million
and 2.41 times (x), respectively, an improvement of 9.7% from the
YE2022 NCF figure of $170.3 million. The Q1 2023 NCF also
represented a significant uptick of 20.6% from the YE2021 NCF
figure of $155.0 million and 44.2% over the Morningstar DBRS NCF
derived in 2020. The portfolio is composed of a multitude of
short-term leases, only one of which has a lease term that extends
beyond 12 months. The financial statements, as presented at the
time, reflected steady year-over-year NCF increases between 8.0%
and 10.0% every year since issuance, with the exception of the
period from YE2020 to YE2021, when the sector suffered from
compression because of the effects of the coronavirus (COVID-19)
pandemic. To evaluate the potential for upgrades given the
consistent and sustained significant improvement in collateral
performance in the prior review, Morningstar DBRS considered a
stressed scenario by applying a conservative 20% haircut to the Q1
2023 NCF, resulting in a stressed Morningstar DBRS value of $1.42
billion (LTV of 80.7%) supporting the credit rating upgrades.
According to the servicer, the borrower previously submitted
consolidated financials, which included properties that were not
collateral for the securitized loan. As previously mentioned, in
April 2024, the borrower restated its YE2022 NCF to $106.9 million
and reported a YE2023 NCF of $111.5 million, both of which
represent significant declines from historical operating
performance and the previously reported figures. The servicer has
also confirmed that, while the financials for YE2021 have not been
restated, those reported figures also represent consolidated
financials that include collateral that is not part of the
transaction. The NCF decrease since issuance has been driven in
large part by significant increases to operating expenses,
specifically advertising and marketing as well as payroll and
benefits. In addition, the servicer noted that there have been
fluctuations in occupancy that have also contributed to slight
decreases in revenue since issuance. For this review, Morningstar
DBRS derived an NCF of $109.3 million, which is based on a haircut
to the YE2023 figure, resulting in a Morningstar DBRS value of
$1.04 billion, based on a capitalization rate of 10.5%, and yields
a Morningstar DBRS LTV of 93.7%, supporting the credit rating
downgrades. The loan, which had an original final maturity in April
2024, was recently modified, extending the loan term by 26 months
to June 2026, and received principal paydown of $175.0 million,
mitigating the impact of the restated financial statements for the
senior certificates.
The collateral for the first-mortgage loan is a portfolio of 16
properties comprising 9.6 million square feet (sf) of premier
showroom space situated across two campuses (or markets) in High
Point, North Carolina, and Las Vegas. The collateral represents
88.0% and 92.7% of the Class A trade show and showroom space in the
High Point and Las Vegas markets, respectively, with the allocated
loan balance split between the 13 High Point properties (50.1%) and
the three Las Vegas properties (49.9%).
Each market holds biannual home and furnishings trade shows,
staggered so that an event occurs once every quarter throughout the
year, with the spring and fall events held in High Point and the
summer and winter events held in Las Vegas. The High Point market
is convenient for its proximity to manufacturers, while the Las
Vegas market serves as a regional hub for buyers in the western
U.S. The quarterly events are positioned as business-to-business
trade shows focused on the home furnishings and decor as well as
gift industries. The events provide an efficient channel for buyers
to access and view products in the highly fragmented industries
with thousands of manufacturers and more than 60,000 commercial
buyers attending each event. The attendance and pre-registration
figures provided for the 2022 and early 2023 events demonstrate
demand had begun to rebound from the impacts of the COVID-19 with
attendance figures surging year-over-year indicating a continued
demand for the in-person trade shows, which is the most important
demand driver for the collateral.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CANADIAN COMMERCIAL 6: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class G Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-6 (the Certificate) issued by Canadian Commercial Mortgage
Origination Trust 6 (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-J at AAA (sf)
-- Class X at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (sf)
-- Class G at B (sf)
All trends are Stable.
Classes A-J, X, B, C, D, E, F, and G will be privately placed.
The collateral consists of 28 fixed-rate loans, including five pari
passu pooled interests, secured by 39 commercial properties. The
transaction is a sequential-pay pass-through structure. Morningstar
DBRS rolled up the five pari passu hotel loans into a single loan
to account for the cross-collateralized and cross-defaulted nature
of the loan interests (Vancouver Hotel Pooled Interest, Ottawa
Hotel Pooled Interest, Edmonton DoubleTree Hotel Pooled Interest,
Bessborough Hotel Pooled Interest, and Edmonton Home2Suites Hotel
Pooled Interest (collectively, Silverbirch Hotel Portfolio Pooled
Interests)). Throughout the remainder of this report, the
collateral pool will be referred to as a 23-loan pool. The loan
pool was analyzed to determine the provisional credit ratings,
reflecting the long-term probability of loan default within the
term and its liquidity at maturity. The collateral pool has an
issuance Morningstar DBRS weighted average loan-to-value ratio (WA
LTV) of 58.4% and scheduled amortization to a Morningstar DBRS
Balloon LTV of 52.9%. When the cut-off loan balances were measured
against the Morningstar DBRS Stabilized Net Cash Flow (NCF) and
their respective actual constants, the initial Morningstar DBRS WA
Debt Service Average Ratio (DSCR) for the pool was 1.48x.
Thirteen loans, representing a combined 48.7% of the pool balance,
exhibit Morningstar DBRS Issuance LTVs of less than 59.3%, a
threshold historically indicative of relatively low-leverage
financing and generally associated with below-average default
frequency. All loans in the pool, except one loan (Fonthill
Retail), representing 1.0% of the pool, have been given full or
partial recourse credit in the Morningstar DBRS CMBS Insight model
because of some form of recourse to individuals and REITs or
established corporations. Recourse generally results in lower POD
over the term of the loan. While it is generally difficult to
quantify the impact of recourse, all else being equal, there is a
small shift lowering the loan's POD for warm-body or corporate
sponsors that give recourse. Recourse can also serve as a
mitigating factor to other risks, such as single-tenant risk, by
providing an extra incentive for the loan sponsor to make debt
service payments if the sole tenant vacates. Additionally, three
Morningstar DBRS-modelled loans, representing 11.3% of the pool,
have Strong sponsor strength.
The Morningstar DBRS sample included 12 of the 23 Morningstar
DBRS-modelled loans or 16 of 28 Issuer-counted loans in the pool.
Site inspections were performed on 23 of the 39 properties in the
portfolio (77.3% of the pool by allocated loan balance).
Morningstar DBRS conducted meetings with the on-site property
manager, leasing agent, or a representative of the borrowing entity
for 10 Morningstar DBRS-modelled loans or 12 Issuer-counted loans,
representing 74.2% of the pool. The Morningstar DBRS sample had an
average NCF variance of -6.0% and ranged from -14.2% (Adgar Office)
to +4.2% (Silverbirch Hotel Portfolio).
Morningstar DBRS notes that Royal Bank of Canada, which serves as
Fiscal Agent and provides backup principal and interest advancing,
is only being held to a gross negligence standard with regard to
its obligations under the Pooling and Servicing Agreement.
Notes: All figures are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
CARLYLE US 2024-4: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Final Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Carlyle US CLO 2024-4, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Carlyle US
CLO 2024-4, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.2, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 27.0. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.8% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.55% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings. The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio
and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to
account for structural and reinvestment conditions after the
reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would
reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress
periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle US CLO
2024-4, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
CARVANA AUTO 2024-N2: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(high) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc assigned provisional ratings to the classes of notes
issued by Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2024-N2 (CRVNA 2024-N2 or
the Issuer) as follows:
-- $61,910,000 Class A-1 Notes at R-1 (high) (sf)
-- $192,030,000 Class A-2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $99,350,000 Class A-3 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $105,980,000 Class B Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- $62,960,000 Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- $96,880,000 Class D Notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $64,360,000 Class E Notes at BB (high) (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The provisional ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS's review of
the following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, proposed ratings, and form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization,
subordination, a fully funded reserve fund, and excess spread.
Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the Morningstar
DBRS-projected cumulative net loss (CNL) assumption under various
stress scenarios.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms in which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
payment of timely interest on a monthly basis and principal by the
legal final maturity date.
(3) The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originations, underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS performed an operational review of Carvana,
LLC (Carvana) and Bridgecrest Credit Company, LLC and considers the
entities to be an acceptable originator and servicer, respectively,
of auto loans.
(4) The operational history of Carvana and the strength of the
overall company and its management team.
-- Company management has considerable experience in the consumer
lending business.
-- Carvana has a technology-driven platform that focuses on
providing the customer with high-level experience, selection, and
value. Its website and smartphone app provide the consumer with
vehicle search and discovery (currently showing more than 30,000
vehicles online); the ability to trade or sell vehicles almost
instantaneously; and real-time, personalized financing. Carvana has
developed underwriting policies and procedures for use across the
lending platform that leverages technology where appropriate to
validate customer identity, income, employment, residency,
creditworthiness, and proper insurance coverage.
-- Carvana has developed multiple proprietary risk models to
support various aspects of its vertically integrated automotive
lending business. All proprietary risk models used in Carvana's
lending business are regularly monitored and tested. The risk
models are updated from time to time to adjust for new performance
data, changes in customer and economic trends, and additional
sources of third-party data.
(5) The credit quality of the collateral, which includes
Carvana-originated loans with Deal Scores of 49 or lower.
-- As of the June 03, 2024 Cut-off Date, the collateral pool for
the transaction is primarily composed of receivables due from
nonprime obligors with a weighted-average (WA) FICO score of 567,
WA annual percentage rate of 22.32%, and WA loan-to-value ratio of
99.46%. Approximately 56.94%, 27.88%, and 15.18% of the pool
include loans with Carvana Deal Scores greater than or equal to 30,
between 10 and 29, and between 0 and 9, respectively. Additionally,
1.15% is composed of obligors with FICO scores greater than 751,
29.19% consists of FICO scores between 601 and 750, and 69.66% is
from obligors with FICO scores less than or equal to 600 or with no
FICO score.
-- Morningstar DBRS analyzed the performance of Carvana's auto
loan and retail installment contract originations and static pool
vintage loss data broken down by Deal Score to determine a
projected CNL expectation for the CRVNA 2024-N2 pool.
(6) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 14.80% based on the
cut-off date pool composition.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns: March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS's
moderate and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic
scenarios, which were first published in April 2020.
(7) Carvana's financial condition as reported as part of its Q1
2024 10-Q filed as of May 1, 2024.
(8) The legal structure and expected presence of legal opinions,
which will address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the
non-consolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with Carvana, that
the trust has a valid first-priority security interest in the
assets, and consistency with the Morningstar DBRS "Legal Criteria
for U.S. Structured Finance."
Morningstar DBRS's credit rating on the securities referenced
herein addresses the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the related Accrued Note Interest and the related
Note Balance.
Morningstar DBRS's credit rating does not address non-payment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations that are not
financial obligations.
Morningstar DBRS's long-term credit ratings provide opinions on
risk of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be
the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial
obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term
obligation has been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt
rating scale provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will
not meet its short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CATHEDRAL LAKE VII: S&P Affirms 'B- (sf)' Rating on Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-R, and E-R replacement debt from Cathedral Lake VII
Ltd./Cathedral Lake VII LLC, a CLO managed by WhiteStar Asset
Management LLC, which was originally issued in October 2015 as
Cathedral Lake III CLO Ltd., and underwent a second refinancing in
February 2021 and reissued as Cathedral Lake VII Ltd. At the same
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on Cathedral Lake VII Ltd.'s class A
loans and class A, B, C, D, and E debt following payment in full on
the June 28, 2024, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its ratings
on the class F debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Dec. 18, 2024.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the June 28, 2024
refinancing date. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
July 15, 2024.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
Replacement And February 2021 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $232.79 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.18%
-- Class B-R, $47.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.85%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $23.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.15%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $23.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.05%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $13.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.60%
February 2021 debt
-- Class A loans, $223.68 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.31% + CSA(i)
-- Class A, $9.12 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.31% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $47.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.90% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $23.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.57% + CSA(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $23.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 4.28% + CSA(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $13.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 7.77% + CSA(i)
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Cathedral Lake VII Ltd./Cathedral Lake VII LLC
Class A-R, $232.79 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $47.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $23.50 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $23.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $13.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Cathedral Lake VII Ltd./Cathedral Lake VII LLC
Class A loans to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Cathedral Lake VI, Ltd./Cathedral Lake VII LLC
Class F: 'B- (sf)'
Other Debt
Cathedral Lake VII Ltd./Cathedral Lake VII LLC
Subordinated notes, $49.36 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
CFMT LLC 2024-HB14: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating on Class M6 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
following Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2024-2 to be issued by CFMT
2024-HB14, LLC:
-- $328.9 million Class A at AAA (sf)
-- $46.6 million Class M1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $34.7 million Class M2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $34.8 million Class M3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $34.9 million Class M4 at BB (low) (sf)
-- $10.2 million Class M5 at B (high) (sf)
-- $12.2 million Class M6 at B (sf)
The AAA (sf) rating reflects 36.2% of credit enhancement. The AA
(low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), B (high)
(sf), and B (sf) ratings reflect 27.2%, 20.5%, 13.7%, 7.0%, 5.0%,
and 2.6% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS did not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Lenders typically offer reverse mortgage loans to people who are at
least 62 years old. Through reverse mortgage loans, borrowers have
access to home equity through a lump sum amount or a stream of
payments without periodically repaying principal or interest,
allowing the loan balance to accumulate over time until a maturity
event occurs. Loan repayment is required (1) if the borrower dies,
(2) if the borrower sells the related residence, (3) if the
borrower no longer occupies the related residence for a period
(usually a year), (4) if it is no longer the borrower's primary
residence, (5) if a tax or insurance default occurs, or (6) if the
borrower fails to properly maintain the related residence. In
addition, borrowers must be current on any homeowner's association
dues, if applicable. Reverse mortgages are typically nonrecourse;
borrowers don't have to provide additional assets in cases where
the outstanding loan amount exceeds the property's value (the
crossover point). As a result, liquidation proceeds will fall below
the loan amount in cases where the outstanding balance reaches the
crossover point, contributing to higher loss severities for these
loans.
As of the Cut-Off Date (April 30, 2024), the collateral has
approximately $515.9 million in unpaid principal balance (UPB) from
1,461 performing and nonperforming home equity conversion mortgage
(HECM) reverse mortgage loans and real estate-owned (REO)
properties secured by first liens typically on single-family
residential properties, condominiums, multifamily (two to four -
family) properties, manufactured homes, planned unit developments,
and townhouses. All of the mortgage assets were originated between
2006 and 2015. Of the total assets, 1,144 have a fixed interest
rate (79.7% of the balance), with a 5.3% weighted-average coupon
(WAC). The remaining 317 assets have floating-rate interest (20.3%
of the balance) with a 7.7% WAC, bringing the entire collateral
pool to a 5.8% WAC.
As of the Cut-Off Date, the mortgage assets in this transaction are
both performing and nonperforming (i.e., inactive) assets. There
are 249 performing loans comprising 16.1% of the total UPB. As for
the 1,212 nonperforming loans (NPLs), 648 are in a foreclosure
process (54.5% of balance), 255 are in default (11.3%), 67 are in
bankruptcy (4.5%), 94 are called due (4.6%), and the remaining 148
loans are in REO status (9.1%). However, all these assets are
insured by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
(HUD), and this insurance acts to mitigate losses compared with
uninsured loans. Because the insurance supplements the home value,
the industry metric for this collateral is not the loan-to-value
ratio (LTV) but rather the weighted-average (WA) effective LTV
adjusted for HUD insurance, which is 62.4% for these assets. The WA
LTV is calculated by dividing the UPB by the maximum claim amount
(MCA) plus the asset value.
Among the 249 performing loans, 230 loans, representing 92.8% of
the performing loan UPB, are flagged to be strategically held and
not assigned (the Strategically Held set), and the remaining 19
loans, representing 7.2% of the performing loan UPB, are flagged as
curable impeded assignments.
The transaction uses a sequential structure. No subordinate note
shall receive any principal payments until the senior notes (Class
A notes) have been reduced to zero. This structure provides credit
enhancement in the form of subordinate classes and reduces the
effect of realized losses. These features increase the likelihood
that holders of the most senior class of notes will receive regular
distributions of interest and/or principal. All note classes have
available fund caps.
Classes M1, M2, M3, M4, M5, M6, and M7 (together, the Class M
Notes) have principal lockout terms insofar as they are not
entitled to principal payments prior to a Redemption Date, unless
an Acceleration Event or Auction Failure Event occurs. Available
cash will be trapped until these dates, at which stage the notes
will start to receive payments. Note that the Morningstar DBRS cash
flow as it pertains to each note models the first payment being
received after these dates for each of the respective notes; hence,
at the time of issuance, these rules are not likely to affect the
natural cash flow waterfall.
A failure to pay the Notes in full on the Mandatory Call Date (June
2027) will trigger a mandatory auction of all assets. If the
auction fails to elicit sufficient proceeds to pay off the notes,
another auction will follow every three months for up to a year
after the Mandatory Call Date. If these have failed to pay off the
notes, this is deemed an Auction Failure, and subsequent auctions
will proceed every six months.
If the Class M6 and Class M7 Notes have not been redeemed or paid
in full by the Mandatory Call Date, these notes will accrue
additional accrued amounts. Morningstar DBRS does not rate these
additional accrued amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Amounts. In addition, the associated financial obligations for
the Class A, M1, M2, M3, M4, and M5 Notes include the related Cap
Carryover and Interest Payment Amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, the credit ratings on the Notes do not
address Additional Accrued Amounts based on their position in the
cash flow waterfall.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an Issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CHASE HOME 2024-6: Fitch Assigns Bsf Final Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-6 (Chase 2024-6).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Chase 2024-6
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-9-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-10-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-11-X LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-X-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-A LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-1-X LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-A LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-2-X LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B-4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-5 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch has rated the residential mortgage-backed certificates issued
by Chase 2024-6 as indicated above. The certificates are supported
by 499 loans with a total balance of approximately $621.66 million
as of the cutoff date. The scheduled balance as of the cutoff date
is $621.23 million.
The pool consists of prime-quality fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs)
solely originated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). The loan-level representations (reps) and warranties
(R&Ws) are provided by the originator, JPMCB. All the mortgage
loans in the pool will be serviced by JPMCB.
The collateral quality of the pool is extremely strong, with a
large percentage of loans over $1.0 million.
Of the loans, 99.7% qualify as safe-harbor qualified mortgage
(SHQM) average prime offer rate (APOR); the remaining 0.3% qualify
as rebuttable presumption QM (APOR). There is no exposure to Libor
in this transaction. The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate
loans, and the certificates are fixed rate and capped at the net
weighted average coupon (WAC) or based on the net WAC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, it views the home price values of
this pool as 10.3% above a long-term sustainable level (vs. 11.1%
on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% since the prior quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades, driven
by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices
increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of February 2024, despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
high-quality, fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans with maturities of
up to 30 years; 99.7% of the loans qualify as SHQM APOR. The
remaining 0.3% qualify as rebuttable presumption QM (APOR). The
loans were made to borrowers with strong credit profiles,
relatively low leverage and large liquid reserves.
The loans are seasoned at an average of 4.7 months, according to
Fitch. The pool has a WA FICO score of 768, as determined by Fitch
and is based on the original FICO for newly originated loans and
the updated FICO for loans seasoned 12 months or more, which is
indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. A large
percentage of the loans have a borrower with a Fitch-derived FICO
score equal to or above 750.
Fitch determined that 74.2% of the loans have a borrower with a
Fitch-determined FICO score equal to or above 750. In addition, the
original weighted average (WA) combined loan-to-value (CLTV) ratio
of 75.8%, translating to a sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) ratio
of 83.1%, represents moderate borrower equity in the property and
reduced default risk, compared with a borrower with a CLTV over
80%.
Of the pool, 100% of the loans are designated as QM loans.
Of the pool, 100% is comprised of loans where the borrower
maintains a primary or secondary residence. Single-family homes and
planned unit developments (PUDs) constitute 91.7% of the pool;
condominiums make up 7.7%; and co-ops make up 0.6%. Fitch viewed it
favorable that there are no loans in the pool to multi-family homes
and that there are no loans to investors in the pool.
The pool consists of loans with the following loan purposes, as
determined by Fitch: purchases (94.0%), cashout refinances (3.6%)
and rate-term refinances (2.4%). Fitch views favorably that no
loans are for investment properties and a majority of mortgages are
purchases.
Of the pool loans, 19.5% are concentrated in California, followed
by Florida and Texas. The largest MSA concentration is in the Los
Angeles MSA (7.0%), followed by the Seattle MSA (6.7%) and the
Miami MSA (6.2%). The top three MSAs account for 19.9% of the pool.
As a result, no probability of default (PD) penalty was applied for
geographic concentration.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years. The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a
longer period should losses occur later in the life of the
transaction. The applicable credit support percentage feature
redirects subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if
specified credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
The servicer, JPMCB, is obligated to advance delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) until deemed nonrecoverable; the servicer is
expected to advance delinquent P&I on loans that enter into a
coronavirus pandemic-related forbearance plan. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the certificates, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
less recoveries.
There is no master servicer for this transaction. U.S. Bank Trust
National Association is the trustee that will advance as needed
until a replacement servicer can be found. The trustee is the
ultimate advancing party.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.15%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration. Additionally, a junior
subordination floor of 0.75% has been considered to mitigate
potential tail-end risk and loss exposure for subordinate tranches
as the pool size declines and performance volatility increases due
to adverse loan selection and small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.7% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC and Digital Risk. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on four areas: compliance review,
credit review, valuation review and data integrity. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch
decreased its loss expectations by 0.15% at the 'AAAsf' stress due
to 60.1% due diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 60.1% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." AMC
and Digital Risk were engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed
under this engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation
grades and assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal
exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports.
Refer to the "Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Chase 2024-6 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to operational risk being well
controlled in Chase 2024-6. Factors that contributed to well
controlled operational risk include strong transaction due
diligence, the entire pool is originated by an 'Above Average'
originator, and all the pool loans are serviced by a servicer rated
'RPS1-'. These all have a positive impact on the credit profile,
and are relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CHASE HOME 2024-RPL3: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-RPL3 (Chase 2024-RPL3).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Chase 2024-RPL3
A-1-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1-B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-2 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-4 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-5 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
P-T LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
to be issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-RPL3 (Chase
2024-RPL3) as indicated above. The transaction is expected to close
on June 27, 2024. The certificates are supported by one collateral
group that consists of 2,297 seasoned performing loans (SPLs) and
reperforming loans (RPLs) with a total balance of approximately
$513.44 million, which includes $63.1 million, or 12.3%, of the
aggregate pool balance in non-interest-bearing deferred principal
amounts, as of the statistical calculation date per the transaction
documents.
All of the loans in the transaction were originated by JPMorgan
Chase Bank (Chase), EMC Mortgage or Washington Mutual Bank and all
loans have been held by Chase since origination or acquisition of
Washington Mutual Bank. All the loans have been serviced by Chase
since origination or acquisition of Washington Mutual. Chase is
considered an 'Above Average' originator by Fitch. JPMorgan Chase
Bank, N.A., rated 'RPS1-' by Fitch, is the named servicer for the
transaction.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations
are based on a traditional senior-subordinate, sequential
structure. The sequential-pay structure locks out principal to the
subordinated certificates until the most senior certificates
outstanding are paid in full. The servicer will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I.
There is no Libor exposure in the transaction. The collateral is
99.6% fixed rate and 0.4% step loans and the class A-1 bonds are
fixed rate and capped at the net weighted average coupon
(WAC)/available fund cap and classes A-2, M-1, M-2, B-1, B-2, B-3,
and B-4 are based on the net WAC/available fund cap. Class B-5 is a
principal-only class.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): As a result of its
updated view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price
values of this pool as 10.1% above a long-term sustainable level
(versus 11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% since last
quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices had increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of
February 2024 despite modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
Seasoned Performing and Reperforming Credit Quality (Mixed): The
collateral consists of 2,297 seasoned, reperforming fully
amortizing and balloon, fixed-rate and step-rate mortgage loans
secured by first and second liens on primarily one- to four-family
residential properties, planned unit developments (PUDs),
condominiums, townhouses, manufactured homes, modular homes,
cooperatives, mixed use properties, and land, totaling $513.44
million per the transaction documents.
In Fitch's analysis, Fitch used the total current balance of
$513.46, which includes $63.1 million in non-interest-bearing
deferred principal amounts and $23.7k in principal reduction
amounts which have not been forgiven yet and are still owed to the
trust.
The loans are seasoned approximately 217 months in aggregate,
according to Fitch (215 months per the transaction documents). The
loans were originated mainly by Chase (38.2%), EMC (0.06%) and
Washington Mutual (61.8%). The vast majority of the loans
originated by Washington Mutual and EMC were modified by Chase
after they were acquired. All loans have been serviced by JPMorgan
Chase Bank N.A. since origination or since the loans were acquired
from Washington Mutual and EMC.
The borrower profile is typical of recent seasoned RPL transactions
that Fitch has seen. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile
(679 FICO, according to Fitch, and 706 per the transaction
documents) and low current leverage with an updated LTV of 43.5%
per the transaction documents (original LTV of 75.9% as determined
by Fitch) and a sustainable LTV (sLTV) as determined by Fitch of
48.7%. Borrower debt-to-income ratios (DTIs) were not provided, so
Fitch assumed each loan had a 45% DTI in its analysis. Of the pool,
98.7% of the loans have been modified.
In its analysis, Fitch only considered 78.6% of the pool as having
a modification, since these modifications were characterized as
loss mitigation modifications while the remaining 20.1% were
non-loss mitigation modifications. The non-loss mitigation
modifications were preemptive modifications on loans that when
initially originated may have been a loan with a balloon term,
negative amortization loan, or an option arm loan. These loans were
preemptively modified into fixed rate fully amortizing loans. The
non-loss mitigation modifications may also include loans that have
been recast. Fitch does not consider loans that have a non-loss
mitigation modification as having been modified in its analysis.
As of the cutoff date, the pool is 100% current. Specifically,
57.9% of the loans have been clean current for 36 months. 20.8% of
the loans have been clean current for 24 months, 19.7% of the loans
have been clean current for 12 months and 1.6% of the loans have
been clean current for 6 months. In total, 78.7% of loans have been
clean current for 24 months or more.
The pool consists of 87.7% of loans where the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 12.3% are investment properties or second
homes. Fitch viewed the high percentage of primary residences as a
positive feature in its analysis.
There is one loan in the pool with a potential principal reduction
amount (PRA) that totals $23,678. Since this amount will be
forgiven, Fitch increased its loss expectation by this amount (the
increase in loss was not material).
Four loans in the pool were affected by a natural disaster and
incurred minor damage with a maximum repair cost of $25,000. Since
the damage rep carves out loans that have damages of less than
$30,000, Fitch reduced the updated property value of these four
loans by the amount of the estimated damage as determined by the
property inspection. As a result, the sLTV were increased for these
loans, which in turn increased the loss severity.
Twenty-nine loans in the pool are second liens (the first lien is
in the pool as well). Fitch applied 100% loss severity (LS) to the
second lien loans.
Geographic Concentration (Negative): Approximately 34.8% of the
pool is concentrated in California. The largest MSA concentrations
are in the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA MSA (16.8%), the
New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA MSA (16.0%) and
the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, FL MSA (8.2%). The top three
MSAs account for 41.0% of the pool. As a result, there was a 1.01x
probability of default (PD) penalty for geographic concentration,
which increased the 'AAAsf' loss by 0.10%.
No Advancing (Mixed): The servicer will not be advancing delinquent
monthly payments of P&I. Because P&I advances made on behalf of
loans that become delinquent and eventually liquidate reduce
liquidation proceeds to the trust, the loan-level LS are less for
this transaction than for those where the servicer is obligated to
advance P&I.
To provide liquidity and ensure interest will be paid to the
'AAAsf' rated notes in a timely manner, principal will need to be
used to pay for interest accrued on delinquent loans. This will
result in stress on the structure and the need for higher credit
enhancement (CE) than it would for a pool with limited advancing.
These structural provisions and cash flow priorities, together with
increased subordination, provide for timely payments of interest to
the 'AAAsf'' rated class.
Sequential Payment Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash
flow is based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the
subordinate classes do not receive principal until the senior
classes are repaid in full. Losses are allocated in
reverse-sequential order. Furthermore, the provision to re-allocate
principal to pay interest on the 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' rated
certificates prior to other principal distributions is highly
supportive of timely interest payments to those classes with no
advancing. Fitch rates to timely interest for 'AAAsf' rated classes
and rates to ultimate interest for all other rated classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.6% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
There was one criteria variation used in the analysis. The
variation was to Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Loan Loss Model Criteria" since
Fitch used lower Loss Severity floors that start at 20% for the
'AAAsf' stress and end at 5% at the base case rather than 30% for
the 'AAAsf' stress and end at 10% in the base case in the analysis
of this pool due to the seasoning of the loans and the very low
LTVs. Using a 30% LS Floor is overly punitive, since almost 40% of
the pool will liquidate without a loss under Fitch's analysis if no
LS floor is applied at the 'AAAsf' stress. Not applying this
criteria variation would result in a one category difference in the
ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC and Clayton. A third-party due diligence
review was performed on 25.2% of the loans in the final pool. These
loans had a compliance review, servicing comment review, payment
history review, and data integrity review completed by SitusAMC and
Clayton, which are assessed by Fitch as 'Acceptable' third-party
review (TPR) firms.
The review scope was consistent with Fitch criteria for due
diligence on seasoned and re-performing loans. All loans in the
final pool that had a due diligence review completed received a
grade of 'A' or 'B' with no material findings.
A tax, title and lien review was performed on a sample of loans in
the pool (690 loans were reviewed by SitusAMC and 89 loans were
reviewed by Clayton). The review found there are $346,766 in
outstanding tax, municipal, and HOA liens (0.07% of the total pool
balance). Fitch did not find this amount to be material as it did
not increase the LS or increase the losses.
Some loans in the pool have missing or defective documents, which
Chase is actively tracking down. Chase also consulted their
foreclosure attorney who confirmed that the majority of the missing
documents would not prevent a foreclosure. If JPMCB is not able to
obtain the missing documents by the time the loan goes to
foreclosure and not able to foreclose, it will repurchase the
loan.
A pay history review was conducted on a sample of the loans that
confirmed the pay strings are accurate.
Fitch considered the results of the due diligence in its analysis.
Fitch did not adjust its loss expectations for any risks posed by
due diligence findings due to the following mitigating factor:
JPMCB is the R&W provider that holds an investment-grade rating.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 25.2% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC and Clayton were engaged to perform the review. Loans
reviewed under this engagement were given compliance grades.
Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence
reports. Refer to the Third-Party Due Diligence section of the
presale for more details.
AMC and Clayton also performed a serving comment review, payment
history review, and data integrity review of the loans that had a
compliance review.
A tax and title review was conducted on a portion of the loans in
the pool. Specifically 690 loans in the pool had a tax and title
review performed by SitusAMC and 89 loans in the pool had a tax and
title performed by Clayton.
JPMorgan Chase has a very robust process for confirming the data in
loan tape is accurate based on the documentation they have in the
loan files and servicing systems, which is a mitigating factor to
the limited data integrity review by SitusAMC and Clayton in
addition to the R&W being provided by JPMorgan Chase.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received
loan-level information; however, this information was not provided
based on the American Securitization Forum's (ASF) data layout
format. Despite this difference in data presentation, Fitch
considered the data to be comprehensive. The data contained in the
data tape were reviewed by the due diligence company and no
material discrepancies were noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Chase 2024-RPL3 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4+' for transaction
parties and operational risk. Operational risk is well controlled
in Chase 2024-RPL3 and includes strong transaction due diligence,
and all the pool loans are serviced by a servicer rated 'RPS1-'.
All these attributes result in a reduction in expected losses and
in conjunction with other factors are relevant to the ratings.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CHASE HOME 2024-RPL3: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Cl. B-2 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-RPL3 (Chase 2024-RPL3).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Chase 2024-RPL3
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1-A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-1-B LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
M-1 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-2 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-4 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
P-T LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The Chase 2024-RPL3 transaction is expected to close on June 27,
2024. The certificates are supported by one collateral group
consisting of 2,297 seasoned performing loans (SPLs) and
reperforming loans (RPLs) with a total balance of approximately
$513.44 million, which includes $63.1 million, or 12.3%, of the
aggregate pool balance in non-interest-bearing deferred principal
amounts, as of the statistical calculation date per the transaction
documents.
All of the loans in the transaction were originated by JPMorgan
Chase Bank (Chase), EMC Mortgage or Washington Mutual Bank and all
loans have been held by Chase since origination or acquisition of
Washington Mutual Bank. All the loans have been serviced by Chase
since origination or acquisition of Washington Mutual. Chase is
considered an 'Above Average' originator by Fitch. JPMorgan Chase
Bank, N.A., rated 'RPS1-' by Fitch, is the named servicer for the
transaction.
Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss allocations
are based on a traditional senior-subordinate, sequential
structure. The sequential-pay structure locks out principal to the
subordinated certificates until the most senior certificates
outstanding are paid in full. The servicer will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I.
There is no Libor exposure in the transaction. The collateral is
99.6% fixed rate and 0.4% step loans and the class A-1 bonds are
fixed rate and capped at the net weighted average coupon
(WAC)/available fund cap and classes A-2, M-1, M-2, B-1, B-2, B-3,
and B-4 are based on the net WAC/available fund cap. Class B-5 is a
principal-only class.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): As a result of its
updated view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price
values of this pool as 10.1% above a long-term sustainable level
(versus 11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% since last
quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of February
2024 despite modest regional declines, but are still supported by
limited inventory.
Seasoned Performing and Reperforming Credit Quality (Mixed): The
collateral consists of 2,297 seasoned, reperforming fully
amortizing and balloon, fixed-rate and step-rate mortgage loans
secured by first and second liens on primarily one-to-four family
residential properties, planned unit developments (PUDs),
condominiums, townhouses, manufactured homes, modular homes,
cooperatives, mixed use properties and land, totaling $513.44
million per the transaction documents.
In Fitch's analysis, Fitch used the total current balance of
$513.46 million, which includes $63.1 million in
non-interest-bearing deferred principal amounts and $23.7k in
principal reduction amounts which have not been forgiven yet and
are still owed to the trust.
The loans are seasoned approximately 217 months in aggregate,
according to Fitch (215 months per the transaction documents). The
loans were originated mainly by Chase (38.2%), EMC (0.06%) and
Washington Mutual (61.8%). The vast majority of the loans
originated by Washington Mutual and EMC were modified by Chase
after they were acquired. All loans have been serviced by JPMorgan
Chase Bank N.A. since origination or since the loans were acquired
from Washington Mutual and EMC.
The borrower profile is typical of recent seasoned RPL transactions
seen by Fitch. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile (679
FICO, according to Fitch, and 706 per the transaction documents)
and low current leverage with an updated LTV of 43.5% per the
transaction documents (original LTV of 75.9% as determined by
Fitch) and a sustainable LTV (sLTV) as determined by Fitch of
48.7%. Borrower debt-to-income ratios (DTIs) were not provided, so
Fitch assumed each loan had a 45% DTI in its analysis. Of the pool,
98.7% of the loans have been modified.
In its analysis, Fitch only considered 78.6% of the pool as having
a modification, since these modifications were characterized as
loss mitigation modifications while the remaining 20.1% were
non-loss mitigation modifications. The non-loss mitigation
modifications were preemptive modifications on loans that when
initially originated may have been a loan with a balloon term,
negative amortization loan, or an option arm loan.
These loans were preemptively modified into fixed rate fully
amortizing loans. The non-loss mitigation modifications may also
include loans that have been recast. Fitch does not consider loans
that have a non-loss mitigation modification as having been
modified in its analysis.
As of the cutoff date, the pool is 100% current. Specifically,
57.9% of the loans have been clean current for 36 months, 20.8% of
the loans have been clean current for 24 months, 19.7% of the loans
have been clean current for 12 months and 1.6% of the loans have
been clean current for 6 months. In total, 78.7% of loans have been
clean current for 24 months or more.
The pool consists of 87.7% of loans where the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 12.3% are investment properties or second
homes. Fitch viewed the high percentage of primary residences as a
positive feature in its analysis.
There is one loan in the pool with a potential principal reduction
amount (PRA) that totals $23,678. Since this amount will be
forgiven, Fitch increased its loss expectation by this amount (the
increase in loss was not material).
Four loans in the pool were affected by a natural disaster and
incurred minor damage with a maximum repair cost of $25,000. Since
the damage rep carves out loans that have damages of less than
$30,000, Fitch reduced the updated property value of these four
loans by the amount of the estimated damage as determined by the
property inspection. As a result, the sLTV were increased for these
loans, which in turn increased the loss severity.
Of the loans in the pool, 29 are second liens (the first lien is in
the pool as well). Fitch applied 100% loss severity (LS) to the
second lien loans.
Geographic Concentration (Negative): Approximately 34.8% of the
pool is concentrated in California. The largest MSA concentrations
are in the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA MSA (16.8%), the
New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA MSA (16.0%) and
the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, FL MSA (8.2%). The top three
MSAs account for 41.0% of the pool. As a result, there was a 1.01x
probability of default (PD) penalty for geographic concentration,
which increased the 'AAAsf' loss by 0.10%.
No Advancing (Mixed): The servicer will not be advancing delinquent
monthly payments of P&I. Because P&I advances made on behalf of
loans that become delinquent and eventually liquidate reduce
liquidation proceeds to the trust, the loan-level LS are less for
this transaction than for those where the servicer is obligated to
advance P&I.
To provide liquidity and ensure interest will be paid to the
'AAAsf' rated notes in a timely manner, principal will need to be
used to pay for interest accrued on delinquent loans. This will
result in stress on the structure and the need for higher credit
enhancement (CE) than it would for a pool with limited advancing.
These structural provisions and cash flow priorities, together with
increased subordination, provide for timely payments of interest to
the 'AAAsf' rated class.
Sequential Payment Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash
flow is based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the
subordinate classes do not receive principal until the senior
classes are repaid in full. Losses are allocated in
reverse-sequential order. Furthermore, the provision to re-allocate
principal to pay interest on the 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' rated
certificates prior to other principal distributions is highly
supportive of timely interest payments to those classes with no
advancing. Fitch rates to timely interest for 'AAAsf' rated classes
and rates to ultimate interest for all other rated classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10%, 20% and 30% in addition to the
model-projected 41.6% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
There was one criteria variation used in the analysis. The
variation was to Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Loan Loss Model Criteria" since
Fitch used lower Loss Severity floors that start at 20% for the
'AAAsf' stress and end at 5% at the base case rather than 30% for
the 'AAAsf' stress and end at 10% in the base case in the analysis
of this pool due to the seasoning of the loans and the very low
LTVs.
Using a 30% LS Floor is overly punitive, since almost 40% of the
pool will liquidate without a loss under Fitch's analysis if no LS
floor is applied at the 'AAAsf' stress. Not applying this criteria
variation would result in a one category difference in the
ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC and Clayton. A third-party due diligence
review was performed on 25.2% of the loans in the final pool. These
loans had a compliance review, servicing comment review, payment
history review, and data integrity review completed by SitusAMC and
Clayton, which are assessed by Fitch as 'Acceptable' third-party
review (TPR) firms.
The review scope was consistent with Fitch criteria for due
diligence on seasoned and re-performing loans. All loans in the
final pool that had a due diligence review completed received a
grade of 'A' or 'B' with no material findings.
A tax, title and lien review was performed on a sample of loans in
the pool (690 loans were reviewed by SitusAMC and 89 loans were
reviewed by Clayton). The review found there are $346,766 in
outstanding tax, municipal, and HOA liens (0.07% of the total pool
balance). Fitch did not find this amount to be material as it did
not increase the LS or increase the losses.
Some loans in the pool have missing or defective documents, which
Chase is actively tracking down. Chase also consulted their
foreclosure attorney who confirmed that the majority of the missing
documents would not prevent a foreclosure. If JPMCB is not able to
obtain the missing documents by the time the loan goes to
foreclosure and not able to foreclose, it will repurchase the
loan.
A pay history review was conducted on a sample of the loans that
confirmed the pay strings are accurate.
Fitch considered the results of the due diligence in its analysis.
Fitch did not adjust its loss expectations for any risks posed by
due diligence findings due to the following mitigating factor:
JPMCB is the R&W provider that holds an investment-grade rating.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 25.2% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC and Clayton were engaged to perform the review. Loans
reviewed under this engagement were given compliance grades.
Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence
reports. Refer to the Third-Party Due Diligence section of the
presale for more details.
AMC and Clayton also performed a serving comment review, payment
history review, and data integrity review of the loans that had a
compliance review.
A tax and title review was conducted on a portion of the loans in
the pool. Specifically 690 loans in the pool had a tax and title
review performed by SitusAMC and 89 loans in the pool had a tax and
title performed by Clayton.
JPMorgan Chase has a very robust process for confirming the data in
loan tape is accurate based on the documentation they have in the
loan files and servicing systems, which is a mitigating factor to
the limited data integrity review by SitusAMC and Clayton in
addition to the R&W being provided by JPMorgan Chase.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received
loan-level information; however, this information was not provided
based on the American Securitization Forum's (ASF) data layout
format. Despite this difference in data presentation, Fitch
considered the data to be comprehensive. The data contained in the
data tape were reviewed by the due diligence company and no
material discrepancies were noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Chase 2024-RPL3 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4+' for transaction
parties and operational risk. Operational risk is well controlled
in Chase 2024-RPL3 and includes strong transaction due diligence,
and all the pool loans are serviced by a servicer rated 'RPS1-'.
All these attributes result in a reduction in expected losses and
in conjunction with other factors are relevant to the ratings.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CIFC FUNDING 2017-V: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
CIFC Funding 2017-V, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CIFC Funding
2017-V, Ltd.
X LT NRsf New Rating
A-1 12551MAA7 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R LT NRsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
CIFC Funding 2017-V, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that is managed by CIFC Asset
Management LLC that originally closed on Nov. 16, 2017. The secured
notes will be refinanced in whole on June 27, 2024. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.78, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.19% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.09% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.6%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
The failure in the indicative portfolio for class E-R notes stems
from the fixed rated asset maturity having a longer horizon
compared to the floating rate assets, which Fitch considers an
unrealistic scenario for a managed transaction with a 5.1
reinvestment period. Model implied ratings (MIRs) are determined by
Fitch stressed portfolio per Fitch's CLOs and Corporate CDOs Rating
Criteria. The MIR for class E-R notes is passing the 'BB-sf' PCM
hurdle rate in all Fitch Stressed scenarios, which is in line with
Fitch's assigned ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class
E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-R, and 'BB+sf' for class E-R.
Fitch conducted an additional sensitivity for the indicative
portfolio by setting the maturity of the fixed rated asset closer
to the floating rate asset maturities. Results are available in the
associated new issue report.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CIFC Funding
2017-V, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
CITIGROUP 2014-GC21: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on four classes in
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2014-GC21, Commercial
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-GC21 as follows:
Cl. B, Downgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 10, 2023
Downgraded to A2 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 10, 2023
Downgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. PEZ, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Oct 10, 2023
Downgraded to A2 (sf)
Cl. X-B*, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Oct 10, 2023
Downgraded to A3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on two P&I classes, Cl. B and Cl. C, were downgraded
due to the potential for higher losses and interest shortfalls
driven primarily by the significant exposure to loans in special
servicing with declining performance. Two loans constituting 71% of
the pool balance are in special servicing with the largest
specially serviced loan secured by a regional mall. As of the June
2024 remittance, all loans have now passed their original maturity
dates and given the higher interest rate environment and loan
performance may increase interest shortfalls risk for the
outstanding classes.
The ratings on one IO class, Cl. X-B, was downgraded due to the
decline in the credit quality of its reference classes resulting
from principal paydowns of higher quality reference classes.
The ratings on one exchangeable class, Cl. PEZ, was downgraded due
to the decline in the credit quality of its reference classes and
principal paydowns of higher quality referenced classes. Cl. PEZ
originally referenced classes A-S, B and C, however, Cl. A-S has
previously paid off in full.
Moody's regard e-commerce competition as a social risk under
Moody's ESG framework. The rise in e-commerce and changing consumer
behavior presents challenges to brick-and-mortar discretionary
retailers.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 19.4% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 8.6% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 5.9% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 7.1% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or a significant improvement in
pool performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced loans or interest
shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitizations Methodology"
published in July 2022.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 70.5% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determine a
probability of default for each specially serviced and troubled
loan that it expects will generate a loss and estimates a loss
given default based on a review of broker's opinions of value (if
available), other information from the special servicer, available
market data and Moody's internal data. The loss given default for
each loan also takes into consideration repayment of servicer
advances to date, estimated future advances and closing costs.
Translating the probability of default and loss given default into
an expected loss estimate, Moody's then apply the aggregate loss
from specially to the most junior classes and the recovery as a pay
down of principal to the most senior classes.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2024 distribution date, the transaction's aggregate
certificate balance has decreased by 76% to $233.3 million from
$1.0 billion at securitization. The certificates are collateralized
by seven mortgage loans ranging in size from less than 3% to 54% of
the pool.
As of the June 2024 remittance report, two of the specially
serviced loans, representing 70.5% of the pool are classified as
performing maturity default and non-performing maturity default,
and all other remaining loans have passed their original maturity
dates.
Five loans, constituting 29.5% of the pool, are on the master
servicer's watchlist. The watchlist includes loans that meet
certain portfolio review guidelines established as part of the CRE
Finance Council (CREFC) monthly reporting package. As part of
Moody's ongoing monitoring of a transaction, the agency reviews the
watchlist to assess which loans have material issues that could
affect performance.
Two loans have been liquidated from the pool, resulting in an
aggregate realized loss of $16 million (for an average loss
severity of 51%). Two loans, constituting 70.5% of the pool, are
currently in special servicing.
The largest specially serviced loan is the Maine Mall Loan ($125.0
million – 53.6% of the pool), which is secured by a 730,444
square feet (SF) component of a 1.0 million SF super-regional mall
located in Portland, Maine. The loan represents a pari passu
portion of a $235.0 million first-mortgage loan and is
interest-only through maturity. The mall contains four anchors,
which include Macy's, Jordans Furniture (former Bon-Ton), J.C.
Penney, and Best Buy. Macy's is not part of the collateral for the
loan and J.C. Penney is under a ground lease. Jordan's Furniture
replaced the Bon-Ton space (17% of NRA), a former collateral anchor
that vacated in August 2017. In 2018, Round 1 Bowling & Amusement
moved into the prior Sports Authority space (6% of NRA) that went
dark in 2017. Property performance has steadily declined since
2016. As of December 2023, the occupancy was 91%, compared to 94%
in December 2020 and 97% at securitization. As of December 2023,
the NOI DSCR was 1.58X based on its fixed interest rate of 4.7%.
The loan transferred to special servicing in February 2024 for
imminent default as a result of the borrower's inability to pay off
the loan at the April 2024 maturity date. The property is
generating sufficient cash flow to cover debt service and the loan
remains current as of the June 2024 remittance report.
The second specially serviced loan is the Greene Town Center Loan
($39.4 million – 16.9% of the pool), which represents a
pari-passu portion of a $114.4 million senior mortgage loan. The
loan is secured by a mixed-use property located in Beavercreek,
Ohio, approximately ten miles southeast of the Dayton, Ohio CBD.
The property is also encumbered by $37.4 million of mezzanine debt.
The subject improvements primarily consist of a lifestyle center
situated around a town square. In total, the property is comprised
of 566,634 SF (80% NRA) of retail, 143,343 SF (20% NRA) of office,
and 206 Class A multifamily units. Retail anchors include Von Maur
(not part of the collateral), LA Fitness, Forever 21, Old Navy,
Nordstrom Rack, and a 14-screen Cinemark Cinema (not part of the
collateral). The property was 92% leased as of September 2023
compared to 91% in December 2022, 93% in December 2020, and 89% at
securitization. The loan transferred to special servicing in
December 2023 due to imminent default ahead of the December 2023
maturity date. An updated appraisal from February 2024 valued the
property at $140 million, a 37% decline in value since
securitization. The most recent servicer commentary indicates that
counsel has been engaged to conduct foreclosure proceedings while
the servicer dual tracks workout alternatives with the borrower. As
of the June 2024 remittance, this loan was last paid through the
April 2024 payment date and has amortized by 16.7% since
securitization.
The top three non-specially serviced loans represent 21.4% of the
pool balance. The largest loan is the Lanes Mill Marketplace Loan
($19.9 million – 8.5% of the pool), which is secured by a 145.375
SF retail property located in Howell, NJ. The property consists of
two major tenants - Stop & Shop Food Store and Crest Furniture,
which accounts for approximately 63% of property's GLA. The
property is shadowed anchored by Target and Lowes Home Improvement.
As of year-end 2023 NOI DSCR was 1.11X with 100% occupancy,
compared to 0.87X and 99% as of year-end 2022, respectively. The
loan is current on its debt service payment but passed its original
maturity date in May 2024. The loan is currently cash managed due
to non-renewal of the Barnes & Noble lease. Servicer commentary
indicates that the borrower is working on the refinancing the loan
and may need a forbearance. The loan has amortized by 14.2% since
securitization. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 126% and 0.77X.
The second largest loan is the Regional One Medical Loan ($15.7
million – 6.7% of the pool), which is secured by a 112,233 SF
medical facility located in Memphis, TN. The property is also
encumbered by $3.0 million of mezzanine debt. As of September 2023,
NOI DSCR was 1.46X with 87% occupancy, compared to 1.46X and 88% as
of December 2022, respectively. The loan is current on its debt
service payment but passed its original maturity date in April
2024. Servicer commentary indicates that the borrower is trying to
sell the property and may need a 60-day forbearance in order to
close the transaction. However, the loan is in the process of being
transferred to the special servicer. The loan has amortized by
17.2% since securitization. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 113%
and 1.01X.
The third loan is the Brier Creek Corporate Center 6 Loan ($14.4
million – 6.2% of the pool), which is secured by a 123,351 SF
office building located in Raleigh, NC. The property is also
encumbered by $1.8 million of mezzanine debt. As of year-end 2023
NOI DSCR was 1.55X with 100% occupancy, compared to 1.41X and 100%
as of year-end 2022, respectively. The loan is current on its debt
service payment but passed its original maturity date in March
2024. Servicer commentary indicates that the borrower is working on
the refinancing the loan. The loan has amortized by 17.6% since
securitization. Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 98% and 1.05X.
CITIGROUP 2015-GC33: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to C
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on five classes of
commercial mortgage-backed notes issued by Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2015-GC33 as follows:
-- Class D to B (high) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-D to B (high) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E to CCC (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from B (sf)
-- Class G to C (sf) from B (low) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on the
remaining classes as follows:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-AB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class PEZ at A (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes C, D, X-D, and PEZ
to Negative from Stable. Classes A-3, A-4, A-AB, A-S, X-A, and B
continue to carry Stable trends. There are no trends for Classes E,
F, and G, which have credit ratings that do not typically carry
trends in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' increased
loss projections for the loans in special servicing, primarily
driven by Illinois Center (Prospectus ID#1, 11.2% of the pool), a
recent transfer that is no longer expected to be supported by the
borrower. Morningstar DBRS considered liquidation scenarios for
both specially serviced loans, representing 11.9% of the pool,
resulting in total implied losses of approximately $54.2 million,
an increase from Morningstar DBRS' projected losses of $0.7 million
from the sole specially serviced loan at the time of the last
credit rating action. Those losses would completely erode the
nonrated Class H, as well as the balance of rated Classes F and G,
and a partial write down of the balance of Class E, significantly
reducing credit support for the transaction as a whole.
The Negative trends reflect Morningstar DBRS' concerns with several
nonspecially serviced loans that have exhibited increased risk of
default given performance challenges, property type, and/or general
market concerns, as the majority of the remaining loans are
scheduled to mature in Q2 and Q3 2025. With this review,
Morningstar DBRS identified 13 loans, representing 19.6% of the
pool, facing elevated refinance risk. For these loans, Morningstar
DBRS applied stressed loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) and/or elevated
probability of defaults (PODs) to increase the expected loss at the
loan level as applicable. These adjusted loans had a weighted
average (WA) expected loss (EL) that was over one and a half times
the pool's WA figure.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
otherwise overall stable performance of the nonspecially serviced
loans in the pool, which Morningstar DBRS generally expects to
repay at maturity based on the most recent year-end (YE)
weighted-average debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) that is above
1.68x. As of the May 2024 reporting, 59 of the original 64 loans
remain in the pool with an aggregate principal balance of $837.6
million, representing a collateral reduction of 12.6% since
issuance, as a result of scheduled amortization, loan repayment,
and the liquidation of one loan. There are 14 loans, representing
approximately 17.0% of the pool, that are fully defeased, and 16
loans, representing 23.5% of the pool, that are on the servicers
watchlist, predominantly being monitored for a low DSCR, occupancy,
and/or deferred maintenance. By property type, the pool is most
concentrated by loans secured by office properties (29.0% of the
pool), followed by retail (21.9% of the pool) and lodging (20.6% of
the pool) properties.
The largest loan in special servicing and in the pool, Illinois
Center, is secured by two adjoining Class A office towers in
downtown Chicago. The loan has been monitored on the servicer's
watchlist for performance declines resulting from the COVID-19
pandemic, and was recently transferred to special servicing in
April 2024 for payment default. Occupancy fell to 67.0% at YE2020
following the departure or downsizing of several tenants, a trend
that has continued at the properties, as occupancy fell from 64.7%
at YE2022, to 47.8% at YE2023. Notable departures include the
Bankers Life and Casualty Company (formerly 6.4% of net rentable
area (NRA) and the U.S. General Services Administration -
Department of Health and Human Services (formerly 8.1% of NRA),
which had lease expirations in August and November 2023,
respectively. While financial performance slightly rebounded in
2023 yielding a debt service coverage ratio of 1.27 times (x), the
increased vacancy indicates a coverage that is well below
breakeven, with 15 tenants, representing 14.2% of NRA, that have
leases scheduled to expire prior to loan maturity in August 2025.
At last review, the borrower was planning to renovate and/or
improve the interior amenities and exterior of the conference
center in an effort to stabilize operations; however, there has
been no update on those plans and the loan is now delinquent, with
individual occupancy rates of 62.1% for 111 East Wacker and 33.9%
for 233 North Michigan Avenue. Per Reis, the East Loop submarket
reported an average vacancy rate and rental rate of 11.7% and
$26.43 per square foot (psf), compared with the subject's in-place
rate of 52.2% and $23.2 psf. As the properties have yet to be
reappraised, Morningstar DBRS liquidated these loans based on a
stressed haircut to the issuance appraised value of $390.0 million,
given the soft submarket performance, upcoming rollover risk, and
general lack of liquidity for this property type. This resulted in
a loss severity exceeding 50.0%, with the stressed value estimate
on a per square foot basis relatively in line with several other
Chicago office properties that are securitized in CMBS transactions
that are in special servicing.
The Decoration and Design Building (Prospectus ID#3, 7.4% of the
pool) is secured by the leasehold interest in an 18-story office
building that is mainly used as a showroom in Midtown Manhattan,
New York. The loan was placed on the watchlist in May 2023 for low
occupancy after several tenants vacated the property and is past
due for the April and May 2024 debt service payments. The property
was 65.3% occupied as of October 2023, relatively stable with the
YE2022 figure of 66.1%, but otherwise showing steady decline from
77.1% at YE2021 and 94.8% at issuance. The property's net cash flow
(NCF) has also shown decline over time as a result of the increased
vacancy, with an annualized Q3 2023 figure of $14.6 million (a DSCR
of 1.53x), down from $15.7 as of YE2022, $17.3 million as of YE2021
and the Issuer's NCF of $22.1 million. There are also 14 tenants,
representing 13.3% of NRA, that have leases scheduled to expire
during the next 12 months.
The property is also subject to a noncollateral ground lease that
had an initial expiration in December 2023, with two renewal
options that extend the maturity to December 2063. As noted at
issuance, per the land's issuance appraisal, without accounting for
inflation, ground rent was expected to reset to an estimated $13.8
million in January 2024, well above the initial fixed rate of $3.8
million. Morningstar DBRS has confirmed the ground lease has been
extended for another 25 years; however, the increased ground rent
is more gradual than anticipated, increasing to $5.75 million in
2024 and $6.0 million 2026, when the loan is scheduled to mature.
Morningstar DBRS expects that performance is likely to further
decline, given the concentrated rollover risk and increased ground
rent. As such, Morningstar DBRS applied an elevated LTV and a
stressed POD penalty, resulting in an expected loss nearly one and
half times the pool's WA expected loss.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CLICKLEASE 2024-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB(low) Rating on D Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of notes to be issued by ClickLease Equipment Receivables
2024-1 LLC (CLICK 2024-1 or the Issuer):
-- $121,200,000 Class A Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- $40,440,000 Class B Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- $40,560,000 Class C Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $21,160,000 Class D Notes at BB (low) (sf)
The provisional credit ratings are based on the review by
Morningstar DBRS of the following analytical considerations:
(1) ClickLease LLC (ClickLease or the Company) provides
micro-ticket financing in form of operating leases primarily
focusing on sub-prime or near-prime commercial obligors. To
evaluate the likelihood of default by an obligor and structure key
financing terms, ClickLease's automated underwriting process
utilizes an empirically derived proprietary risk tiering
algorithm.
The collateral for the CLICK 2024-1 transaction includes internally
graded A, B, C, D, E, F and G credits, which are also classified
and grouped by ClickLease as High Risk, Medium Risk and Low Risk
depending on the type of financed equipment. Morningstar DBRS
considered the impact from inclusion of the lower tiered and deemed
"high risk" credits in its assumptions for the stressed cash flow
scenarios.
As of the Cut-Off Date of April 30, 2024, the collateral pool
comprised obligors internally graded A, B, C, D, E, F and G, which
accounted, respectively, for 6.51%, 15.55%, 32.17%. 35.74%, 7.67%,
1.41% and 0.96% of ADCB of Initial Leases. In addition, obligors
classified as Low Risk, Medium Risk and High Risk accounted for
64.77%, 20.76% and 14.47% of ADCB, respectively.
(2) The subordination, OC, cash held in the Reserve Account,
available excess spread, and other structural provisions create
credit enhancement levels that are commensurate with the respective
ratings for each class of the Notes. Under various stressed cash
flow scenarios, the credit enhancement can withstand the expected
loss using Morningstar DBRS multiples of 2.75 times (x) with
respect to the Class A Notes and 2.10x, 1.50x, and 1.30x with
respect to the Class B, C, and D Notes, respectively.
CLICK 2024-1 relies on the expected loss coverage multiples for the
Class A Notes, Class B Notes, Class C Notes, and Class D Notes that
are below the Morningstar DBRS range of multiples set forth in the
rating methodology for this asset class. Morningstar DBRS believes
this is warranted, given the magnitude of expected cumulative net
loss (CNL), company's focus on non-prime commercial credits, and
structural features of the transaction.
(3) The Morningstar DBRS used the expected cumulative net loss
(CNL) assumption of 20.86% in its stressed cash flow scenarios,
assessed using the actual static pool performance data for
ClickLease. In addition to the overall managed portfolio data,
Morningstar DBRS considered the historical quarterly static pool
vintage cumulative gross loss (CGL), recovery and CNL performance
by internally assigned credit grade as well as risk classification.
Morningstar DBRS also reviewed the quarterly static pool vintage
performance related to the leases secured by utility trailers.
Morningstar DBRS' expected CNL assumption incorporates full credit
to seasoning of the collateral pool, taking into account the
relatively short original effective term of 43.81 months,
substantial seasoning of collateral as of the Cut-Off Date of 10.46
months and the historical loss timing curve.
(4) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated
Sovereigns March 2024 Update, published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
(5) The collateral pool as of the Cut-Off Date did not contain any
significant concentrations of obligors or geographies and comprised
a diversified mix of equipment types with moderate concentrations
in utility trailers (34.3% of ADCB) and industrial equipment
(13.6%). Weighted average (WA) non-zero FICO of the guarantors as
of the Cut-Off Date was 650, and the WA effective yield - 34.2%.
(6) Aggregate discounted residual balance as of the Cut-Off Date
was $19.9 million, or approximately 8.46% of the ADCB of collateral
pool.
Booked residuals are given only 45% (AA) to 75% (BB) credit in the
Morningstar DBRS stressed cash flow scenarios.
(7) ClickLease was founded and is led by industry veterans with
many years of combined experience in equipment leasing and small
business lending. On March 14, 2024, Morningstar DBRS conducted an
operational risk onsite meeting with ClickLease and deemed the
Company to be an acceptable originator and servicer of small-ticket
lease contracts. Morningstar DBRS has reviewed Orion First
Financial, LLC and believes it to be an acceptable backup servicer
of the small-ticket equipment financing contracts.
(8) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that will
address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the
nonconsolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with ClickLease,
and that the Indenture Trustee has a valid first-priority security
interest in the assets. Morningstar DBRS also reviewed the
transaction terms for consistency with Morningstar DBRS' Legal
Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.
Morningstar DBRS credit ratings on the Class A Notes, Class B
Notes, Class C Notes, and Class D Notes address the credit risk
associated with the identified financial obligations in accordance
with the relevant transaction documents. The associated financial
obligations are the related Note Interest and the Outstanding
Amount of each class of Notes.
Morningstar DBRS credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, the contractual payment obligations that
are not financial obligations are the payments related to the
Servicer Indemnified Amounts.
Morningstar DBRS long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CMLS ISSUER 2014-1: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class G Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-1 issued by CMLS
Issuer Corp., Series 2014-1 as follows:
-- Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (sf)
-- Class G at B (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction, which remains in line with
Morningstar DBRS' expectation. The pool benefits from a healthy
weighted-average (WA) debt service coverage ratio (DSCR), which was
reported at 1.53 times (x) based on the most recent financials,
compared with the issuance WA term DSCR of 1.39x. In addition, the
transaction, continues to benefit from increased credit support to
the bonds as a result of scheduled amortization and loan
repayments, which has resulted in a collateral reduction of 44.9%
since issuance. Most loans in the pool also benefit from some level
of recourse to the sponsor and/or low-to-moderate loan-to-value
(LTV) ratios that have only decreased, considering the amortizing
nature of these loans. Morningstar DBRS anticipates the vast
majority of remaining loans in the pool are generally well
positioned to successfully repay at their respective maturity
dates, all of which are upcoming prior to year-end (YE) 2024,
further supporting the credit rating confirmations and Stable
trends.
As of the May 2024 remittance, 23 of the original 37 loans remain
in the trust, with an aggregate principal balance of $156.5
million. The transaction is concentrated by property type, with
loans backed by retail and mixed-use properties representing 38.5%
and 17.2% of the current pool balance, respectively. The
transaction is also concentrated by geography, with 15 loans,
representing 70.3% of the current trust balance secured by
properties in Ontario. There are no loans in special servicing. Ten
loans, representing 41.4% of the pool balance are on the servicer's
watchlist; however, only one of those loans, Spring Garden Place
(Prospectus ID #5; 6.7% of the pool) is being monitored for
performance-related reasons. The remaining nine loans are being
monitored for upcoming maturity dates.
The second-largest loan on the servicer's watchlist, Spring Garden
Place, is secured by a five-storey, mixed-use office building in
Halifax. The loan has been on the servicer's watchlist since 2017
for a low DSCR, which has been well below break-even since 2018.
Challenges at the property began after the former largest tenant,
The Bank of Nova Scotia (rated AA with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS), reduced its footprint to 5.3% of net rentable
area (NRA) in 2019 from 24.1% of NRA at issuance. According to the
servicer, the property's occupancy rate as of September 2023 was
83.3%, compared with 91.5% in April 2022 and 74.1% in March 2021.
Per the most recent rent roll on file dated April 2022, the
Province of Nova Scotia (rated A (high) with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) was the largest tenant at the property, occupying
26.4% of NRA through five separate leases, with staggered
expiration dates in 2023 and 2028. The drop in occupancy between
April 2022 and September 2023 may be a result of the Province of
Nova Scotia vacating a portion of its space at the property as
leases rolled. Morningstar DBRS reached out to the servicer for a
leasing update.
Per CBRE's Q1 2024 Canada Office Report, office properties within
Downtown Halifax reported average vacancy rates of 18.0%,
relatively unchanged from the prior year's figure of 18.4%.
Historically, net cash flow at the property was depressed because
of the low occupancy rate; however, more recently, there has been
an increase in expenses, namely repairs and maintenance. Despite
sustained downward pressure on cash flows, the loan has remained
current, suggesting the sponsor remains committed to the asset.
Nonetheless, the loan is nonrecourse, a factor when combined with
the low in-place cash flows, soft submarket fundamentals, and
near-term maturity, suggests increased risks from issuance. As
such, for this review, Morningstar DBRS analyzed this loan with an
elevated probability of default penalty, resulting in an expected
loss that was more than triple the WA pool expected loss.
Notes: All figures are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
COMM 2014-UBS3: Moody's Cuts Rating on Cl. C Certs to Ba2
---------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings on one class and
downgraded the ratings on six classes in COMM 2014-UBS3 Mortgage
Trust, Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-UBS3 as
follows:
Cl. A-4, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023 Affirmed Aaa
(sf)
Cl. A-M, Downgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023 Affirmed
Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Downgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023
Downgraded to A2 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023 Downgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. PEZ, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023
Downgraded to A3 (sf)
Cl. X-A*, Downgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023
Affirmed Aaa (sf)
Cl. X-B*, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 5, 2023
Downgraded to A3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on Cl. A-4 was affirmed because of the credit support
and the expected principal paydowns from the remaining loans in the
pool. While 75.1% of the pool is in special servicing, Class Cl.
A-4 has already paid down 59% since securitization and is now the
most senior outstanding class and will benefit from payment
priority from any principal paydowns.
The ratings on three P&I classes, Cl. A-M, Cl. B, and Cl. C, were
downgraded due to higher expected losses and increased risk of
potential interest shortfalls driven by the significant exposure to
loans in special servicing. All remaining loans are either in
special servicing or have passed their original maturity dates.
Furthermore, two of the specially serviced loans, (11.4% of the
pool) are classified as REO, one of which has already recognized an
appraisal reduction amount of 87% of the outstanding principal
balance. As a result of the appraisal reductions and exposure to
loans in special servicing, interest shortfalls currently impact up
to Cl. C. Interest shortfalls may increase further if the remaining
loans are unable to payoff, and loans either continue to be
delinquent or experience further performance declines.
The ratings on interest only (IO) classes, Cl. X-A and Cl. X-B,
were downgraded due to the decline in the credit quality of their
referenced classes.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. PEZ, was downgraded due
to the decline in the credit quality of its reference classes
resulting from principal paydowns of higher quality reference
classes. Cl. PEZ references classes Cl. A-M, Cl. B and Cl. C.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 26.4% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 5.5% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 12.0% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 5.8% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected. Additionally, significant
changes in the 5-year rolling average of 10-year US Treasury rates
will impact the magnitude of the interest rate adjustment and may
lead to future rating actions.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization, an increase in
the pool's share of defeasance or a significant improvement in pool
performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitizations Methodology"
published in July 2022.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 75.1% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determine a
probability of default for each specially serviced and troubled
loan that it expects will generate a loss and estimates a loss
given default based on a review of broker's opinions of value (if
available), other information from the special servicer, available
market data and Moody's internal data. The loss given default for
each loan also takes into consideration repayment of servicer
advances to date, estimated future advances and closing costs.
Translating the probability of default and loss given default into
an expected loss estimate, Moody's then apply the aggregate loss
from specially to the most junior classes and the recovery as a pay
down of principal to the most senior classes.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2024 distribution date, the transaction's aggregate
certificate balance has decreased by 60% to $421 million from $1.05
billion at securitization. The certificates are collateralized by
eight mortgage loans ranging in size from less than 5% to 25% of
the pool.
As of the June 2024 remittance report, all remaining loans are
either in special servicing or have passed their original maturity
dates. Six loans representing over 75.1% of the pool are in
specially servicing, of which two special serviced loans (11.4% of
the pool) are classified as REO.
Two loans have been liquidated from the pool, contributing to an
aggregate realized loss of $15.5 million (for an average loss
severity of 69.3%).
The largest specially serviced loan is the State Farm Portfolio
Loan ($100.0 million – 23.7% of the pool), which represents a
pari-passu portion of a $383.5 million mortgage loan. There is also
$86 million of mezzanine financing. The loan is secured by fee
simple interests in 14 suburban office properties across 11 states.
At securitization, all the properties were 100% leased and occupied
by State Farm pursuant to individual leases executed by State Farm
in November 2013. All leases have a 15-year terms and run until
November 2028, except the leases for Greeley South property and the
Greeley North property, which have a 10-year term and 5-year term,
respectively. The loan is structured with an Anticipated Repayment
Date ("ARD") structure, whereby if the loan is not repaid in full
by April 6, 2024, all excess cash flow after debt service will be
swept and applied to pay down principal, which is now in effect. It
is reported that State Farm has vacated all of the properties and
offered up many of the locations for sublease. State Farm has no
lease termination rights and has to continued to pay rent and
perform its obligations under the lease. In September 2023, the
loan transferred to special servicing due to non-monetary default
ahead of the maturity date. The borrower and lender are currently
in discussions regarding potential outcomes. As of the June 2024
remittance, the loan was last paid through April 2024.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Equitable Plaza
Loan ($87.1 million -- 20.7% of the pool), which is secured by a
32-story, office building located in the Koreatown neighborhood of
Los Angeles, California. The largest tenant, The County of Los
Angeles (10% of NRA) vacated during 2018, however, a number of new
leases were signed during that year, largely offsetting the decline
in occupancy. The property was 57% occupied as of September 2023,
compared to 66% in September 2022, 82% in December 2020, and 87% in
September 2017. The largest tenant at the property, Commonwealth
Business Bank (5% of NRA) has a lease expiring in November 2024.
The loan transferred to special servicing in April 2024 due to
imminent default as the borrower indicated that they will not be
able to pay off the loan at the maturity date. A hard lockbox is in
place with springing cash management due to the NOI DSCR falling
below 1.20X. As of the June 2024 remittance, the loan was last paid
through April 2024, and has amortized by 8.2% since
securitization.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the Southfield Town
Center Loan ($70.4 million – 16.7% of the pool), which represents
a pari-passu portion of a $125.0 million mortgage loan. The complex
consists of five office buildings totaling 2,152,344 square feet
(SF) of aggregate rentable area. The loan transferred to special
servicing in February 2024 due to imminent default ahead of the May
2024 maturity date. The occupancy declined to 77% in December
2023, compared to 80% in December 2021, and 67% at securitization.
The servicer dual tracking foreclosure while discussing potential
workout options. As of the June 2024 remittance, the loan was last
paid through April 2024, and has amortized by 12.1% since
securitization.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the 1100 Superior
Avenue Loan ($45.1 million – 10.6% of the pool), which is secured
by a 576,766 square feet (SF) 22-story Class A office tower in
Cleveland, Ohio. The loan transferred to special servicing in June
2021 due to payment default. The borrower indicated that they could
no longer maintain debt service payments due to declines in
occupancy. As of December 2023, the property was 59% leased
compared to 73% in June 2022, and 90% at securitization. The most
recent appraisal from August 2023 valued the property 76% lower
than the value at securitization. A deed-in-lieu was finalized in
January 2023, and the property is now actively being marketed for
sale. As of June remittance, the loan has amortized by 14.1% and
was last paid through March 2022.
The fifth largest loan in special servicing is the Holiday Inn
Express & Suites Santa Cruz Loan ($11.1million -- 2.6% of the
pool), which is secured by a 100-key limited service hotel located
in Santa Cruz, California. The loan transferred to special
servicing in May 2024 due to maturity default. While property
performance has improved since 2020, the cash flow is still below
securitization levels. As of the June 2024 remittance, the loan has
amortized by 11.9% and was last paid through April 2024.
The sixth largest loan in special servicing is the Executive Center
IV Loan ($3.1 million – 0.7% of the pool), which is secured by a
three-story, Class B office building located in Brookfield,
Wisconsin. The property was 16% leased as of December 2022,
compared to 65% in December 2021 and 88% at securitization. As of
the June 2024 remittance, the loan was REO. Moody's estimate an
aggregate $94.4 million (30% expected loss on average) loss for the
specially serviced loans.
As of the June 2024 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $4.6 million. Moody's anticipate interest
shortfalls will continue and may increase because of the exposure
to specially serviced loans and/or modified loans. Interest
shortfalls are caused by special servicing fees, including workout
and liquidation fees, appraisal entitlement reductions (ASERs),
loan modifications and extraordinary trust expenses.
The largest loan not in special servicing is the Bronx Terminal
Market Loan ($105.0 million – 24.9% of the pool), which
represents a pari passu portion of $380.0 million mortgage loan.
The loan is secured by the borrower's leasehold interest in a
912,333 SF anchored retail power center located in Bronx, New York.
The property is anchored by Target, BJs and Home Depot. The
property is subject to a ground lease which expires in September
2055. The fourth largest tenant, Toys "R" Us / Babies "R" Us closed
following its bankruptcy in 2018. In the spring of 2019 Food Bazaar
Supermarket backfilled the former Toys R Us space. As of December
2023, occupancy was 92%, compared to 98% in December 2022, 99% in
December 2019 and 99% at securitization. Bed Bath and Beyond
vacated in March 2020, and Michaels vacated prior to lease
expiration in August 2023. Marshalls, (4.1% of NRA) vacated in
January 2024, approximately eight months prior to lease expiration.
LIDL is expected to open in late 2024 at the property. The loan is
currently on the watchlist and the borrower and primary servicer
are working on potential forbearance.
CPS AUTO 2024-C: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the classes of
notes to be issued by CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2024-C (the
Issuer) as follows:
-- $197,340,000 Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $58,420,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $74,980,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $44,390,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $61,180,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The provisional credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS'
review of the following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, proposed ratings, and form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization
(OC), subordination, amounts held in the reserve fund, and
available excess spread. Credit enhancement levels are sufficient
to support the Morningstar DBRS-projected cumulative net loss (CNL)
assumption under various stress scenarios.
-- The Series 2024-C will not include a CNL trigger.
-- The Series 2024-C will include a prefunding feature.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and the payment of
principal by the legal final maturity date.
(3) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 19.60% based on the
Cutoff Date pool composition.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns: March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024.
These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS's
moderate and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic
scenarios, which were first published in April 2020.
(4) The capabilities of CPS with regard to originations,
underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS performed an operational review of CPS and
considers the Company to be an acceptable originator and servicer
of subprime automobile loan contracts with an acceptable backup
servicer.
-- The CPS senior management team has considerable experience and
a successful track record within the auto finance industry,
managing the Company through multiple economic cycles.
(5) The quality and consistency of provided historical static pool
data for CPS originations and performance of the CPS auto loan
portfolio.
(6) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that address
the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the nonconsolidation of
the special-purpose vehicle with CPS, that the trust has a valid
first-priority security interest in the assets, and the consistency
with Morningstar DBRS's “Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured
Finance.”
CPS is an independent full-service automotive financing and
servicing company that provides (1) financing to borrowers who do
not typically have access to prime credit-lending terms for the
purchase of late-model vehicles and (2) refinancing of existing
automotive financing.
The rating on the Class A Notes reflects 58.10% of initial hard
credit enhancement provided by the subordinated notes in the pool
(51.95%), the reserve account (1.00%), and OC (5.15%). The ratings
on the Class B, C, D, and E Notes reflect 45.40%, 29.10%, 19.45%,
and 6.15% of initial hard credit enhancement, respectively.
Additional credit support may be provided from excess spread
available in the structure.
Morningstar DBRS's credit rating on the securities referenced
herein addresses the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the related Noteholders' Monthly Interest
Distributable Amount and the related Note Balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. The associated contractual payment obligation that is
not a financial obligation for each of the rated notes is the
related interest on any Noteholders' Interest Carryover Shortfall.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CROWN CITY VI: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Crown City CLO VI/Crown
City CLO VI LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Western Asset Management Co. LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Crown City CLO VI/Crown City CLO VI LLC
Class X, $1.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1, $248.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $16.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $40.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $22.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $10.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $40.50 million: Not rated
CSAIL 2015-C1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class F Debt
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on the Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-C1 issued by CSAIL 2015-C1
Commercial Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class X-D at BBB (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-E at BB (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-F at B (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes D, E, F, X-D, X-E,
and X-F to Negative from Stable. All other trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the continued overall
stable performance of a majority of the loans in the pool, which
remain in line with expectations at issuance. The transaction
benefits from high defeasance, as 29 loans, representing 28.3% of
the pool, have been fully defeased. The pool is well diversified by
property type with lodging, retail, and office properties
comprising 24.4%, 24.4%, and 11.4% of the pool, respectively. As of
the May 2024 remittance, 72 of the original 82 loans remain in the
pool, representing a collateral reduction of 19.0% since issuance.
Since the last credit rating action, one loan was liquidated from
the trust. Although this loan was liquidated with a slightly higher
than expected loss, the trust loss was fully contained to the
unrated Class NR.
As of the May 2024 remittance, approximately 56.3% of the original
Class NR balance has been eroded. The Negative trends on Classes F
and X-F reflect the deterioration of credit support as a result of
the $32.5 million in realized trust losses to date, in addition to
Morningstar DBRS' projected losses on the only loan in special
servicing, Bayshore Mall (Prospectus ID#14, 2.1% of the pool).
In addition to this credit erosion, the Negative trends on Classes
D, E, X-D, and X-E reflect Morningstar DBRS' concerns regarding
increased refinance risk for a moderately high concentration of
loans. All of the outstanding loans in the pool are schedule to
mature within the next 12 months. While Morningstar DBRS expects
the majority of these loans will repay, 10 loans representing 26.4%
of the pool were identified as being at increased risk of maturity
default given declines in performance and/or weak credit metrics.
To reflect the increased risk, Morningstar DBRS analyzed these
loans with stressed loan-to-value ratios (LTV) and/or probabilities
of default (PODs) to increase their expected losses (ELs) as
applicable. Should these or other loans default, or should
performance for distressed assets deteriorate further, Morningstar
DBRS' projected losses for the pool may increase, and Classes with
Negative trends may be subject to downgrades.
The only loan in special servicing is Bayshore Mall (Prospectus
ID#14, 2.1% of the pool), which is secured by a 515,912-sf regional
mall in Eureka, California. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in October 2020; however, the loan was subsequently
brought current in July 2022 and remains current as of the May 2024
remittance. Occupancy has declined since issuance following the
departure of several tenants, including collateral anchor Sears,
which vacated in November 2019. As of the December 2023 rent roll,
the property was reported 62.9% occupied. The largest collateral
tenants include anchors Walmart (14.2% of the net rentable area
(NRA), lease expiry in June 2027) and Sportsman Warehouse (5.5% of
the NRA, lease expiry in June 2027). There is also a noncollateral
Kohl's at the property on a lease through February 2028. There is a
large concentration of rollover over the next 12 months, with
leases representing 24.9% of the NRA scheduled to expire. According
to the servicer, renewals totaling 4.3% of the NRA have been
approved.
In addition to the negative trends in occupancy, the net cash flow
(NCF) and tenant sales have also declined over the past several
years. Since the loan's initial transfer to the special servicer,
several updated appraisals have been completed, with the most
recent appraisal, dated February 2022, valuing the property at
$39.4 million, representing a -42.9% variance from the $69.0
million appraised valuation at issuance. As a result of the
prolonged Sears vacancy, declines in occupancy, high rollover, and
low operating performance, Morningstar DBRS liquidated the loan
from the pool, based on a haircut to the February 2020 appraised
value, resulting in a loss severity approaching 30%.
Two loans that Morningstar DBRS has identified at risk of maturity
default are Westfield Trumbull (Prospectus ID#4, 7.9% of the
current pool balance) and Westfield Wheaton (Prospectus ID#5, 4.3%
of the current pool balance). Both loans are pari passu with notes
securitized in the CSAIL 2015-C2 and CSAIL 2015-C3 transactions,
which are also rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Westfield Trumbull is secured by 462,869 sf of a 1.1 million-sf
regional mall in Trumbull, Connecticut. The collateral includes the
Macy's (18.8% of NRA, lease expired in April 2023¿the store
remains open and the servicer's commentary has stated a five-year
renewal is in process) anchor pad and all in-line space. While the
loan is not on the servicer's watchlist in this transaction as with
CSAIL 2015-C2, the controlling piece securitized in the CSAIL
2015-C3 transaction reported that this loan was added to the
servicer's watchlist in March 2022 for cash management as a result
of a low debt service coverage ratio (DSCR). A lockbox was
established after the loan's debt yield fell below 7.5% and,
according to servicer commentary, approximately $845,500 had been
trapped as of May 2024. As noted in previous credit rating actions,
the sponsor, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW), had indicated its
intention to dispose all its retail assets within the U.S. by the
end of 2023, as per various media articles. In December 2022, the
subject and another mall owned by URW were sold to Mason Asset
Management and Namdar Realty Group for a combined sale price of
$196.0 million. As part of that transaction, the subject's debt was
assumed. According to the servicer, the subject's sale price was
reportedly $153.3 million, a 41.5% decline from the issuance value
of $262.0 million, resulting in an implied LTV of just under
100.0%.
As per the December 2023 rent roll, occupancy was reported at
93.7%, with all collateral tenants, excluding Macy's, representing
less than 4.0% of the NRA. Additional noncollateral anchors in
JCPenney and Target are open, and one noncollateral pad that was
previously occupied by Lord & Taylor is now vacant. As per the most
recent financial reporting, the loan reported a YE2023 DSCR of 2.23
times (x) (NCF of $13.1 million). While performance has shown
improvement since the acquisition, Morningstar DBRS notes the
precipitous decline in cash flows from issuance and the significant
deterioration in value, suggesting elevated refinance risk at the
loan's maturity in March 2025. In the analysis for this loan,
Morningstar DBRS used a stressed value that indicated an LTV
approaching 200.0% and a POD penalty, resulting in an EL that is
more than 3x the pool's average EL.
Westfield Wheaton is secured by a 1.6 million-sf super-regional
mall in Wheaton, Maryland. The loan was previously on the
servicer's watchlist due to delinquent taxes; however, the master
servicer has confirmed that the tax payments have been fulfilled as
of March 2024, and the loan has since been removed. Performance
remains generally insulated; however, as of December 2023, the
subject was 84.0% occupied, representing a moderate decline from
the 97.3% occupancy rate at YE2022 and 92.6% occupancy rate at
issuance. The DSCR during the same time periods was reported at
2.02x, 2.28x, and 2.43x, respectively. While the subject loan
remains a part of URW's portfolio as of May 2024, Morningstar DBRS
notes the increased uncertainty surrounding this loan's refinancing
prospects, given the sponsor's lack of commitment for the future as
evidenced by its sale of the Westfield Trumbull loan. Although
Westfield Wheaton poses no imminent monetary concerns, the subject
may face a value decline from issuance when it is ultimately paid
out from the trust. In its analysis for this loan, Morningstar DBRS
used a stressed value that indicated an LTV ratio of approximately
150.0% and a POD penalty, resulting in an EL more than 2x the
pool's average EL.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CSMC TRUST 2014-USA: Moody's Lowers Rating on Cl. C Certs to Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on five classes of CSMC
Trust 2014-USA, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2014-USA as follows:
Cl. A-1, Downgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2020
Affirmed Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Downgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2020
Affirmed Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Downgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2020 Affirmed
Aa1 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2020
Downgraded to A3 (sf)
Cl. X-1*, Downgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 25, 2020
Affirmed Aaa (sf)
* Reflects interest-only classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on four P&I classes were downgraded due an increase in
Moody's LTV ratio and the heightened refinance risk ahead of the
loan's September 2025 maturity date as a result of the property's
cash flow trends, the higher interest rate environment and the
accumulation of loan advances. As of the June 2024 distribution
date, the loan was last paid through its April 2024 payment date
and there are approximately $70 million (5% of loan balance) of
outstanding advances (inclusive of P&I and T&I advances, other
expenses and cumulative accrued unpaid advance interest
outstanding).
This fixed (4.38%) rate loan has been in special servicing since
May 2020 and the property has been generating enough cash flow to
service its debt and make periodic repayments on outstanding
advances, potentially limiting the need for future advances;
however, the lack of significant excess cash flow after payment of
debt service may result in the current advances to remain
outstanding through the loan's maturity date. Servicing advances
are senior in the transaction waterfall and are paid back prior to
any principal recoveries.
The rating on the interest only (IO) class was downgraded based on
the credit quality of the referenced classes.
In this credit rating action Moody's considered qualitative and
quantitative factors in relation to the senior-sequential structure
and trophy/dominant nature of the asset, and Moody's analyzed
multiple scenarios to reflect various levels of stress in property
values could impact loan proceeds at each rating level.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns, or a significant improvement
in the loan's performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
further decline in actual or expected performance of the loan, an
increase in realized and expected losses or increased interest
shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitizations Methodology"
published in July 2022.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the June 17, 2024 distribution date, the transaction's
certificate balance was $1.39 billion compared to $1.40 billion at
securitization. The certificates are collateralized by an original
11-year term loan with a fixed interest rate of 4.38% and maturity
date in September 2025. The loan is secured by a first lien
mortgage related to the Mall of America located in the
Minneapolis/St. Paul trade area and has been in special servicing
May 2020 after initially transferring due to coronavirus related
closures. As of the June 2024 distribution date, the loan was last
paid through its April 2024 payment date and there is approximately
$70 million (5% of loan balance) of P&I advances, other expenses,
T&I advances plus cumulative accrued unpaid advance interest
outstanding.
The Mall of America loan is secured by the Borrower's fee simple
and leasehold interests in approximately 2.64 million square feet
(SF) contained within a 2.82 million SF, four-level super-regional
mall. The property has over 300 inline tenants and anchors such as
Nordstrom and Macy's, together with the 302,969 SF Nickelodeon
Universe theme park and B&B Theatres Bloomington 13 at Mall of
America. The collateral for the loan includes the pad site ground
leased to Sears, however, Sears closed its store at this location
in late 2018 as part of its bankruptcy announcement. The sponsor,
Triple Five Investment, Ltd., has historically demonstrated a track
record of creating and re-developing non-functional space into
income-producing net rentable area. As of year-end 2023, the total
mall occupancy was 90% and historical occupancy has ranged between
87% and 93% since securitization.
The property's historical net operating income (NOI) have ranged
between a $80 million (2021) and $95 million (2022) since
securitization. The 2023 NOI was $82 million having declined from
that of 2022 due to both lower revenues and higher expenses. The
loan benefits from its low fixed interest rate and the property's
cash flow is sufficient to cover its debt service obligations and
periodically paydown a portion of the outstanding advances;
however, given the property's NOI and necessary capital
expenditures it is unlikely that the aggregate advances of $70
million is paid down significantly prior to its maturity in 2025.
Moody's loan to value (LTV) for the first mortgage ratio is 131%,
compared to 119% at last review and reflects an increase in Moody's
cap rate from 7.25% to 8.00%. Moody's trust stressed debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) remains at 0.66X the same as the last review.
There are no losses outstanding as of the current payment date with
an interest shortfall of $573 affecting Cl. F.
DBWF 2015-LCM: S&P Lowers Class F Certs Rating to 'B- (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on three classes of
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates from DBWF 2015-LCM
Mortgage Trust, a U.S. CMBS transaction. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its ratings on five classes from the transaction.
This is a U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction that
is backed by a portion of an 11-year, fixed-rate, amortizing
mortgage whole loan, which is secured by the borrower's fee simple
and leasehold interests in Lakewood Center, a 2.07 million-sq.-ft.
regional mall in Lakewood, Calif. The borrowers own all the land
and most of the improvements, except for the Costco (166,718
sq.-ft.), Wells Fargo (5,000 sq.-ft.), and Applebee's (5,929
sq.-ft.) spaces. Costco, Wells Fargo, and Applebee's own their
improvements and pay ground rent to the borrowers.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on the class D, E, and F certificates reflect:
-- S&P's view of the borrower's ability to refinance the loan at
its June 2026 maturity date, and the lack of meaningful improvement
in the property's net cash flow (NCF) since its last review in
October 2020. The loan has a reported 1.35x debt service coverage
(DSC) as of March 2024, however the existing 3.432% fixed mortgage
interest rate is well below prevailing rates for retail
properties.
-- S&P's expected-case valuation is 13.8% lower than the valuation
it derived at its last review, primarily due to reported decreases
in NCF and the increased risks regarding the borrower's ability to
refinance the loan due to current market conditions for the
collateral property.
-- The affirmation on the class B certificates, despite the higher
model-indicated rating, primarily reflects S&P's view that the
super-regional mall has underperformed our expectations since the
COVID-19 pandemic. Additionally, the impact of its revised lower
valuation was offset by the amortization of the loan to $329.5
million from $365.4 million at last review.
-- S&P's affirmations on the class X-A interest-only (IO)
certificates are based on its criteria for rating IO securities, in
which the rating on an IO security would not be higher than that of
the lowest rated reference class. The class X-A notional amount
references class A-1.
S&P said, "In October 2020, we lowered our expected-case valuation
on the transaction by 13.0%, largely due to the application of a
higher S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate, which we believed
better captured the challenges the mall and the retail sector faced
at the time. The mall had in-line sales of about $419 per sq. ft.
(based on the March 2020 tenant sales report) and an occupancy cost
of 13.8%, as calculated by S&P Global Ratings. Using the S&P Global
Ratings sustainable NCF of $31.0 million (the same as at issuance
and the previous review in January 2018) and applying a
capitalization rate of 7.75% (up from 6.75% in the January 2018
review and at issuance), we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings
expected case value of $399.9 million ($210 per sq. ft.) for the
collateral property. This yielded an S&P Global Ratings
loan-to-value ratio of 91.4% and a DSC of 1.41x on the whole loan,
based on S&P Global Ratings' sustainable NCF.
"According to the March 31, 2024, rent roll, the collateral
property was 93.9% occupied. The servicer reported NCFs of $20.9
million for the nine months ended September 2023 and $28.7 million
for 2022. Using tenant sales report provided by the servicer for
the trailing-12-months ended March 31, 2024, we calculated in-line
sales of $356 per sq. ft. and an occupancy cost of 10.6%. In our
current property-level analysis, we assumed an occupancy rate of
80.4%, based on our assumption that the J.C. Penney (lease
expiration in May 2025) and Forever 21 (lease expiration January
2025) spaces are vacant, given the tenants' credit concerns.
"However, based on the March 2024 rent roll, Forever 21 does not
pay any rent and J.C. Penney pays marginal base rent; and,
therefore, both have marginal impact on the property cash flow.
Using an S&P Global Ratings gross rent of $21.4 per sq. ft. and an
operating expense ratio of 32.6%, we arrive at an S&P Global
Ratings long-term sustainable NCF of $26.7 million, which is 13.8%
lower than our NCF of $31.0 million as of our October 2020 review.
Using an S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate of 7.75%, which is
unchanged from our last review, we derived an S&P Global Ratings
expected-case value of $344.5 million, which is 13.8% below our
October 2020 review and 45.3% below the 2015 market appraisal value
of $630.0 million.
"We will continue to monitor the property's tenancy and
performance, as well as the borrower's ability to refinance the
loan at its June 2026 maturity date. We may revisit our analysis
and take further rating actions as we deem appropriate if we
receive information that differs materially from our expectations,
such as reported negative changes in the property performance
beyond what we've already considered, or if the loan transfers to
special servicing and the workout strategy negatively affects the
transaction's liquidity and recovery."
Property-Level Analysis
Lakewood Center is a two-story, enclosed 2.07 million-sq.-ft.
super-regional mall in Lakewood, Calif. The mall was built in 1973.
The mall is in Lakewood, which is approximately 20 miles southeast
of downtown Los Angeles and approximately 10 miles northeast of
Downtown Long Beach. It is anchored by Macy's (362,852 sq. ft.),
Costco (ground lease; 166,718 sq. ft.), J.C. Penney (162,690 sq.
ft.), Target (160,058 sq. ft.), Home Depot (133,029 sq. ft.), and
Starlight Cinemas (90,944 sq. ft.). In July 2023, Starlight Cinemas
backfilled the Pacific Lakewood Center Stadium Theater space, which
closed during the pandemic.
The servicer has reported stable occupancy and NCF for the past
four years: 93.9% (according to the March 31, 2024, rent roll) and
$20.9 million (as of Sept. 30, 2023), respectively; 91.2% and $28.7
million in 2022; 90.1% and $26.8 million in 2021; and 94.2% and
$29.3 million in 2020. However, these figures are still below the
pre-pandemic levels of 99.0% and $36.2 million in 2019.
The five largest tenants comprise 48.1% of the collateral's net
rentable area (NRA; as of the March 2024 rent roll):
-- Macy's (19.2% of NRA; 0.2% of base rent as calculated by S&P
Global Ratings; June 2030 lease expiration).
-- J.C. Penney (8.6%; considered as non-income generating by S&P
Global Ratings; May 2025).
-- Target (8.5%; 0.8%; January 2035).
-- Home Depot (7.0%; 3.9%; January 2031).
-- Starlight Cinemas (4.8%; 0.9%; May 2024). It is unknown at this
time if the lease will be extended, but, but based on our research,
they remain open at the mall.
-- The property faces staggered rollover in 2024 (12.1% of NRA;
14.7% of S&P Global Ratings' in-place gross rent), 2025 (5.6%;
18.5%), 2026 (6.1%; 9.4%), and 2027 (6.2%; 13.6%).
Table 1 shows the property's historical performance, and table 2
shows our underlying NCF and value assumptions.
Table 1
Servicer reported collateral performance
SEPTEMBER 2023(I) 2022(I) 2021(I)
Occupancy rate (%) 95.3(ii) 91.2 91.0
Net cash flow (mil. $) 20.9 28.7 26.7
Debt service coverage (x) 1.24 1.31 1.23
Appraisal value (mil. $) 630.0 630.0 630.0
(i)Reporting period.
(ii)Based on the Dec. 25, 2023, rent roll.
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
CURRENT LAST REVIEW ISSUANCE
(JULY 2024)(I) (OCTOBER 2020)(I) (JUNE 2015)(I)
Occupancy rate (%) 80.4 81.0 98.4
Net cash flow (mil. $) 26.7 31.0 31.0
Capitalization rate (%)7.75 7.75 6.75
Value (mil. $) 344.5 399.9 459.6
Value per sq. ft. ($) 182.0 210.0 243.0
Loan-to-value ratio (%)95.6 91.4 89.2
(i)Review period.
Transaction Summary
The 11-year, IO mortgage loan has a trust balance of $249.8 million
and a whole loan balance of $329.5 million, down from $290.0
million and $410.0 million, respectively, at issuance; and from
$267.7 million and $365.4 million as of our October 2020 review.
The whole loan consists of:
-- A $79.7 million senior A note that is in the trust,
-- A $79.7 million senior A note that is held outside the trust,
and
-- Two junior B notes totaling $170.0 million that are in the
trust.
-- The two A notes ($159.5 million combined) are pari passu in the
right of payment with each other and senior to the junior B notes.
The whole loan amortizes based on a 30-year schedule, pays an
annual fixed interest rate of 3.43%, and matures on June 1, 2026.
According to the master servicer, Wells Fargo Bank N.A., the trust
has not incurred any principal losses to date.
Ratings Lowered
DBWF 2015-LCM Mortgage Trust
Class D to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to 'B (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'
Class F to 'B- (sf)' from 'B (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
DBWF 2015-LCM Mortgage Trust
Class A-1: AAA (sf)
Class A-2: AAA (sf)
Class B: AA- (sf)
Class C: A- (sf)
Class X-A: AAA (sf)
ELMWOOD CLO VI: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-RR Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-RR, B-RR,
C-RR, E-RR, and F-RR replacement debt and the new class D-1-RR and
D-2-RR debt from Elmwood CLO VI Ltd./Elmwood CLO VI LLC, a CLO
originally issued in October 2020 that is managed by Elmwood Asset
Management LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R debt following
payment in full.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The stated maturity on the existing subordinated notes was
extended to July 18, 2037, from Oct. 20, 2034, to match the stated
maturity on the new refinancing debt.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to July 18, 2029, from
Oct. 20, 2026.
-- The non-call period was extended to July 2, 2026, from Jan. 20,
2023.
-- The replacement class A-RR, B-RR, C-RR, and E-RR debt was
issued at a lower spread over three-month CME term SOFR than the
original debt.
-- The original class D-R debt was replaced by two new classes:
D-1-RR and D-2-RR.
-- The replacement class F-RR debt was issued at a higher spread
over three-month CME term SOFR than the original class F-R debt.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-RR, $384.000 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.38%
-- Class B-RR, $72.000 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70%
-- Class C-RR (deferrable), $36.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.05%
-- Class D-1-RR (deferrable), $36.000 million: Three-month CME
term SOFR + 3.10%
-- Class D-2-RR (deferrable), $6.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.35%
-- Class E-RR (deferrable), $18.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.90%
-- Class F-RR (deferrable), $9.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 8.30%
Original debt
-- Class A-R, $378.000 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.4216%
-- Class B-R, $78.000 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.9116%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $36.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.3116%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $36.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.3616%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $24.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.7616%
-- Class F-R (deferrable), $9.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 8.0116%
-- Subordinated notes, $47.00 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO VI Ltd./Elmwood CLO VI LLC
Class A-RR, $384.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-RR, $72.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-RR (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-RR (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-RR (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-RR (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-RR (deferrable), $9.00 million: B- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Elmwood CLO VI Ltd./Elmwood CLO VI LLC
Class A-R to NR from 'AAA(sf)'
Class B-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R to NR from 'BBB-(sf)'
Class E-R to NR from 'BB-(sf)'
Class F-R to NR from 'B-(sf)'
Other Debt
Elmwood CLO VI Ltd./Elmwood CLO VI LLC
Subordinated notes, $47.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
FLAGSHIP CREDIT 2022-2: DBRS Cuts Class E Notes Rating to B
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit rating on the Class E Notes issued
by Flagship Credit Auto Trust 2022-2 to B (sf) from BB (sf).
The credit rating action is based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated
Sovereigns - March 2024 Update, published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
-- As of the May 2024 payment date, Flagship Credit Auto Trust
2022-2 has amortized to a pool factor of 48.05%, and has current
cumulative net losses (CNLs) to date of 12.77%. Current CNL is
tracking above Morningstar DBRS' initial base-case loss expectation
of 10.60%.
-- Because of the weaker-than-expected performance, Morningstar
DBRS has revised the base-case loss expectation to 19.00%. As a
result, the current level of hard credit enhancement (CE) and
estimated excess spread are insufficient to support the current
credit rating on the Class E Notes and, consequently, the credit
rating has been downgraded to a rating level commensurate with the
current implied multiple.
-- As of the May 2024 payment date, the current
overcollateralization amount is 0.65% relative to the target of
7.25% of the outstanding receivables balance. Additionally, the
transaction structure includes a fully funded non-declining reserve
account (RA) of 1.05% of the initial aggregate pool balance. As the
transaction amortizes, the RA percentage will increase as it will
represent a larger portion of available CE.
-- The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originating, underwriting, and servicing.
Notes: The principal methodology applicable to the credit ratings
is Morningstar DBRS Master U.S. ABS Surveillance.
FLAGSHIP CREDIT 2022-2: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to CCC(sf)
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on three classes of notes
and affirmed its ratings on two classes of notes from Flagship
Credit Auto Trust 2022-2 (FCAT 2022-2). This is an ABS transaction
backed by subprime retail auto loans originated by Flagship Credit
Acceptance LLC (Flagship) and CarFinance Capital LLC and serviced
by Flagship.
The rating actions reflect:
-- The transaction's collateral performance to date;
-- S&P's remaining cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations
regarding future collateral performance and the transaction's
structure and credit enhancement levels; and
-- Other credit factors, including credit stability, payment
priorities under various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific
analyses, and S&P's most recent macroeconomic outlook, which
incorporates a baseline forecast for U.S. GDP and unemployment.
S&P said, "Since our rating action on Feb. 5, 2024, the
transaction's collateral performance continues to trend worse than
our previously revised CNL expectation. Cumulative gross losses are
notably higher, which, coupled with lower cumulative recoveries,
resulted in an elevated CNL. Excess spread has largely been used to
cover net losses, leaving little or no funds available to build the
transaction's overcollateralization amount. Due to the sustained
and elevated losses within the last four months, the series, which
never reached its target overcollateralization, has now completely
exhausted its overcollateralization amount as of the June 2024
distribution date. Additionally, according to our assessment of the
series servicing report, to ensure parity between the series notes
and collateral amount, approximately $258,620 should have been
drawn from the reserve account. As such, the reserve should be
below its target amount."
Table 1
FCAT 2022-2 Collateral performance (%)(i)
Pool 60+ day
Series Mo. factor delinq. Ext. CGL CRR CNL
2022-2 25 46.26 9.43 3.87 21.63 38.16 13.37
(i)As of the June 2024 distribution date. FCAT--Flagship Credit
Auto Trust.
Mo.--Month.
Delinq.--Delinquencies.
Ext.--Extensions.
CGL—Cumulative gross loss.
CRR--Cumulative recovery rate.
CNL--Cumulative net loss.
Table 2a
FCAT 2022-2 Overcollateralization summary(i)
Current Target
Series (%)(ii) (%)(iii) Current ($) Target ($)
2022-2 0.00 7.25 0.00 20,459,083
(i)As of the June 2024 distribution date.
(ii)Percentage of the current collateral pool balance.
(iii)The overcollateralization target on any distribution date is
equal to the greater of the target percentage of the current pool
balance and 1.00% of the initial pool balance.
Table 2b
FCAT 2022-2 Reserve summary(i)
Current Target
Series (%)(ii) (%)(iii) Current ($) Target ($)
2022-2 2.18 1.05 6,147,121 6,405,741
(i)As of the June 2024 distribution date.
(ii)Percentage of the current collateral pool balance.
(iii)The reserve target on any distribution date is equal to 1.05%
of the initial pool balance.
In view of the transaction's performance to date, coupled with
continued adverse economic headwinds and weaker recovery rates, we
revised and raised our expected CNL for FCAT 2022-2.
Table 3
CNL expectations (%)
Original
lifetime Previous revised Current revised
Series CNL exp. lifetime CNL exp. lifetime CNL exp.
2022-2 11.50-12.00 19.50(i) 22.00(ii)
(i)Revised in February 2024.
(ii)As of the June 2024 distribution date.
CNL exp.--Cumulative net loss expectations.
The transaction contains a sequential principal payment structure
in which the notes are paid principal by seniority. The sequential
payment structure increases subordination as a percentage of the
amortizing pool for all classes except the lowest-rated subordinate
class E. The transaction also has credit enhancement in the form of
a non-amortizing reserve account and excess spread. The exhaustion
of the overcollateralization and the decline in the reserve amount
negatively impacted and lowered the hard credit enhancement for
class E. If the series continues to experience losses at an
elevated pace, as it has in recent months, it is at a high risk of
exhausting its reserve amount over the next four to six months. If
this occurs, class E is most immediately at risk, but classes D and
C are not without further potential implications.
Table 4
Hard credit support(i)
Total hard Current total hard
credit support at credit support
Series Class issuance (%) (% of current)(ii)
2022-2 A-3 34.85 71.68
2022-2 B 27.45 55.68
2022-2 C 17.35 33.85
2022-2 D 9.25 16.34
2022-2 E 2.70 2.18
(i)Calculated as a percentage of the total receivable pool balance,
which consists of a reserve account and overcollateralization.
Excludes excess spread that can also provide additional
enhancement.
(ii)As of the collection period ended May 31, 2024.
S&P said, "We incorporated a cash flow analysis to assess the loss
coverage levels for the notes, giving credit to stressed excess
spread. Our cash flow scenarios included forward-looking
assumptions on recoveries, the timing of losses, and voluntary
absolute prepayment speeds that we believe are appropriate given
the transaction's performance. Additionally, we conducted
sensitivity analyses to determine the impact that a moderate
('BBB') stress level scenario would have on our ratings if losses
trended higher than our revised base-case loss expectations.
"In our view, the results demonstrated that the classes all have
credit enhancement consistent with the lowered and affirmed rating
levels, which is based on our analysis as of the collection period
ended May 31, 2024 (the June 2024 distribution date).
"We will continue to monitor the performance of the transaction to
ensure that the credit enhancement remains sufficient, in our view,
to cover our CNL expectations under our stress scenarios for each
rated class."
RATINGS LOWERED
Flagship Credit Auto Trust 2022-2
Rating
Class To From
C A- (sf) A (sf)
D B (sf) BB (sf)
E CCC (sf) B- (sf)
RATINGS AFFIRMED
Flagship Credit Auto Trust 2022-2
Class Rating
A-3 AAA (sf)
B AA+ (sf)
FORTRESS CREDIT XV: Moody's Gives Ba3 Rating to $12.8MM E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of CLO
refinancing notes (the "Refinancing Notes") issued by Fortress
Credit BSL XV Limited (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$248,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2033 (the "Class A-R Notes"), Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$12,800,000 Class E-R Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes
due 2033 (the "Class E-R Notes"), Assigned Ba3 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks particularly those associated with the
CLO's portfolio and structure.
The Issuer is a managed cash flow collateralized loan obligation
(CLO). The issued notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans.
FC BSL CLO Manager LLC (the "Manager") will continue to direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's remaining
reinvestment period.
The Issuer previously issued one class of subordinated notes, which
will remain outstanding.
In addition to the issuance of the Refinancing Notes and the other
three classes of secured notes, a variety of other changes to
transaction features will occur in connection with the refinancing.
These include: extension of the Refinancing Notes' non-call period;
changes to the matrix and related terms; and changes to the
definition of "Aggregate Ramp-Up Par Amount".
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $384,921,391
Defaulted par: $4,378,317
Diversity Score: 55
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3252
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 4.00%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 7.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.50%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 5.4 years
Moody's also considered the information in the June 2024 trustee
report[1] which became available prior to the release of this
announcement.
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
GOLDENTREE LOAN 21: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 21, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
GoldenTree Loan
Management US
CLO 21, Ltd.
X LT NRsf New Rating
A LT AAAsf New Rating
A-J LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating
B-2 LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-J LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
F LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
GoldenTree Loan Management US CLO 21, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by GLM III, LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.9, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point, of 26.7. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.83% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point, of
73.5%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
that of other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to those of
other CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio
created by adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect
permissible concentration limits and collateral quality test
levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A notes, between
'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-J notes, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C notes,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D notes, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-J notes, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BBsf' for class E notes and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A and class A-J
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AA+sf' for class C notes,
'A+sf' for class D notes, 'A+sf' for class D-J notes, 'BBB+sf' for
class E notes, and 'BBBsf' for class F notes.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described
in the new issue report.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for GoldenTree Loan
Management US CLO 21, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide
ESG relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
GPMT LTD 2021-FL3: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class G Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its ratings on all classes of notes issued by
GPMT 2021-FL3, Ltd. as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
The trends on all classes are Stable except for the trends on
Classes E, F, and G, which were changed to Negative from Stable
with this rating action. Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on
these classes to reflect increased loss expectations for the pool,
primarily driven by the three loans in special servicing, which
represent 19.9% of the current trust balance. Additionally,
Morningstar DBRS identified a select number of non-specially
serviced loans with reported values that may be inflated as the
majority of the individual property appraisals were completed in
2021 or 2022 and may not reflect the current rising interest rate
or widening capitalization rate (cap rate) environment. In the
analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS applied upward
loan-to-value (LTV) and/or probability of default (POD) adjustments
for a total of 11 loans, which represent 69.6% of the current trust
balance.
The largest loan in the pool, Times Square West, representing 14.0%
of the current trust balance, is secured by an office building with
ground-level retail located in the Times Square submarket of
Midtown Manhattan. The loan, which transferred to special servicing
in May 2024 for maturity default, has been modified several times
since issuance because of disruptions with its business plan. The
most recent modification, which occurred in May 2023, extended the
loan maturity to May 2024. Despite this, the loan's performance
outlook is bleak as the property's office portion remains
completely vacant and the overall occupancy rate is only 11.6% as
of the March 2024 rent roll. Morningstar DBRS views the credit risk
for this asset as materially increased from closing given the lack
of performance improvement combined with the leasing and financing
challenges currently facing the office sector. The property was
appraised for $105.0 million at issuance, implying an issuance LTV
of 65.5%. While an updated appraisal has not been received,
Morningstar DBRS believes the asset's current market value has
declined further with an LTV in excess of 100.0%. Morningstar DBRS
also increased the loan's POD in the current analysis, making its
expected loss (EL) approximately two times greater than the
transaction's EL.
At issuance, the initial collateral consisted of 27 floating-rate
mortgages secured by 32 mostly transitional properties with a
cut-off balance totaling $823.7 million, excluding approximately
$143.3 million of future funding commitments. The transaction
closed in December 2021 with an initial collateral pool of 23
floating-rate mortgage loans secured by 24 mostly transitional real
estate properties, with a cut-off pool balance of $558.8 million.
Most loans were in a period of transition with plans to stabilize
and improve asset value. The transaction is static and was
structured with a Companion Participation Acquisition Period that
expired with the May 2023 payment date.
Through March 2024, the collateral manager had advanced cumulative
loan future funding of $177.4 million to 17 of the outstanding
individual borrowers. The largest loan advances included $67.4
million to the borrower of the aforementioned Times Square West
loan. An additional $18.7 million of loan future funding to be
allocated to 11 individual borrowers remains available. The largest
portion of available funds, $5.6 million, is allocated to the
borrower of 516-530 West 25th St. loan (Prospectus ID#; % of pool),
which is secured by a 90,727 square foot office building located in
the West Chelsea submarket of Manhattan. As of the March 2024 rent
roll, the property was 26.3% occupied. The loan was modified
several times with the most recent modification, which occurred in
December 2023, extending loan maturity through December 2024. In
its analysis, Morningstar DBRS applied an upward LTV adjustment,
reflective of an in-place LTV near 100.0%. Morningstar DBRS also
increased the loan's POD in its current analysis to bring the
loan's EL in line with the pool average.
As of the May 2024 remittance, the pool comprised 18 loans secured
by 23 properties with a cumulative trust balance of $627.2
million.
In addition to its high exposure to loans in special servicing, the
pool also exhibits a high concentration of office loans, which have
been susceptible to value declines as the properties have been
unable to successfully execute their stated business plans. In
total, eight loans, representing 49.3% of the current trust
balance, are secured by office properties. Offsetting some of the
concern about office properties is the increased credit support to
the bonds as a result of successful loan repayments, with a
collateral reduction of 23.8% since issuance. The significant loss
protection provided by the unrated Preferred Shares Class also
mitigates concerns about Morningstar DBRS' increased loss
expectations; however, should the pool performance exhibit a
further decline or additional loans default, the classes carrying
Negative trends may be subject to credit rating downgrades.
In conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS has
published a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth
analysis and credit metrics for the transaction and business plan
updates on select loans.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2021-GR1: Moody's Hikes Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs to Ba2
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 25 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by prime
jumbo and agency eligible mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-GR1
Cl. B, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded to
A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-X*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Cl. B-X*, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to A3 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-PJ4
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-PJ5
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-PJ6
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 30, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jun 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
Today's rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pool. The
transaction continues to display strong collateral performance,
with no cumulative losses for each transaction and a small number
of loans in delinquency. In addition, enhancement levels for the
tranches have grown significantly, as the pool amortize relatively
quickly. The credit enhancement for each tranche upgraded has grown
by at least 1.2x since closing.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting today's upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations. For the vast majority of the
transactions, no actions were taken on the remaining rated classes
as those classes are already at the highest achievable levels
within Moody's rating scale.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GS MORTGAGE-BACKED 2024-PJ6: Moody's Gives Ba3 Rating to B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 52 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to be issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ6, and sponsored by Goldman
Sachs Mortgage Company, L.P.
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (88.7% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (11.3% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by Maxex Clearing LLC (MAXEX, 2.2% by balance) and
Redwood Residential Acquisition Corporation (Redwood; 0.3% by loan
balance), originated by multiple entities and serviced by NewRez
LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ6
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-13-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-14, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-15-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-16, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-17-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-18, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-19-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-20, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-21, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-21-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-22, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-23-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-24, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
Moody's are withdrawing the provisional rating for the Class A-3L,
Class A-4L, Class A-16L, and Class A-22L loans, assigned on June
10, 2024, because the issuer will not be issuing these classes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.39%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.18% and reaches 5.01% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GSMS 2024-MARK: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following final ratings and Ratings
Outlooks to GSMS 2024-MARK Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates series 2024-MARK:
- $132,700,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,100,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,400,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $25,900,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $39,600,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $43,900,000 class F 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not rate the following classes:
- $7,400,000 class G;
- $15,000,000 class HRR.
HRR is a Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least
5.0% of the estimated fair value of all classes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The GSMS 2024-MARK certificates represent the beneficial interests
in a trust that holds a two-year, floating-rate, IO $300.0 million
mortgage loan secured by leasehold interests in The Mark Hotel and
the adjacent 1000 Madison Avenue townhouse (together, the
property). The Mark Hotel is a 16-story, 153-room, full service
landmark luxury hotel located on the Upper East Side of Manhattan
in New York City. The improvements are owned and controlled by
Alexico Group LLC.
Loan proceeds and mezzanine debt were used to refinance the prior
$190.0 million mortgage and $120.0 million in mezzanine debt, pay
closing costs of $6.7 million and return $17.4 million of cash
equity to the sponsor, Alexico Group LLC.
The loan was originated by Goldman Sachs Bank USA. Berkadia
Commercial Mortgage LLC will act as master servicer, with KeyBank
National Association as special servicer. Computershare Trust
Company, National Association, will serve as the trustee and
certificate administrator. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC will act as
the operating advisor.
The certificates will follow a sequential-pay structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) for the property
is estimated at $24.4 million; this is 12.4% lower than the
issuer's NCF and 14.6% lower than the TTM ended in April 2024 NCF.
Fitch applied a 9.75% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of $250.4
million for the property.
High Fitch Leverage: The $300.0 million trust loan equates to debt
of approximately $2.2 million per key with a Fitch stressed debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR), loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and debt
yield (DY) of 0.86x, 119.8% and 8.1%, respectively. Based on the
total rated debt and a blend of the Fitch and market cap rates, the
transaction's Fitch Market LTV is 92.4%. Fitch does not expect its
market LTV for non-investment grade tranches to exceed 100%. The
Fitch DSCR, LTV and DY through class F (rated B-sf, the lowest
Fitch-rated class) are 0.93x, 110.8% and 8.8%, respectively.
Premium Asset Quality, Prime Location: Fitch assigned The Mark
Hotel a property quality grade of 'A+'. Fitch considers the subject
to be among the highest quality of all hotels reviewed in CMBS
transactions. The hotel was recognized in the Condé Nast Traveler
Gold List in 2023 and was voted No. 1 in "The 15 Best Hotels in New
York City" by Robb Report in 2023.
The property includes The Mark Restaurant and The Mark Bar,
operated by Michelin-starred chef Jean-Georges Vongerichten, a
24-hour concierge, valet parking, a fully equipped fitness center,
1,151 sf of meeting space, a Frederic Fekkai salon, Sant Ambroeus
and additional complementary retail and office space, as well as
24/7 access to nearby luxury retailer Bergdorf Goodman. The Mark
Hotel also offers New York City's largest and most expensive hotel
suite. The penthouse unit includes 9,799 sf of interior space and
2,319 sf of rooftop terrace space. The property is located one
block east of Central Park along Madison Avenue.
Significant Capital Investment; Competitive Suite Advantage: The
sponsor has invested a total of approximately $311.7 million ($2.0
million/key) of capex since acquiring the property in 2006 for $150
million, which has positioned the hotel as one of the top luxury
hotel assets in Manhattan. Among the capex was a reported $3.8
million ($637,305/renovated key) project to convert six guestrooms
on the top floors and roof into high-end luxury suites in 2015 and
2016. Due to their size, layouts and amenities, many guests rent
these suites for extended periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/
'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/ 'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'CCCsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of 3, unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of 3; means ESG issues
are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the
entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GSMS TRUST 2024-FAIR: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on Cl. F Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-FAIR (the Certificates) to be issued by GSMS Trust 2024-FAIR
(the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-CP at BBB (sf)
-- Class X-NCP at BBB (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The collateral for the GSMS Trust 2024-FAIR transaction is the
borrowers' leasehold interest in the Fairmont Austin hotel, which
is composed of 1,048 keys. Mortgage loan proceeds of $430.0
million, as well as a sponsor equity contribution of approximately
$50.3 million, will be used to refinance approximately $301.9
million of existing CMBS mortgage debt (AFHT 2019-FAIR), refinance
$125.4 million of mezzanine debt, and cover closing costs of
approximately $5.0 million. Additionally, Manchester plans to buy
out the minority interest and pay $47.0 million to obtain all of
Fortress's "Class A" membership interest in the property and
purchase a rate buydown to achieve a debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 1.22x. The first mortgage loan is a five-year fixed-rate
IO mortgage loan.
The hotel was built and opened for business in 2018 and is
well-located within the Austin CBD. The property is the largest
hotel in Austin and is connected via a skybridge to the 881,000-sf
Austin Convention Center (ACC). The hotel is adjacent to Rainey
Street Historic District and just half a mile from 6th Street,
which has popular entertainment areas. Further, the University of
Texas at Austin is located 2.7 miles north of the subject, which
had an enrollment of 51,913 as of Fall 2023. Austin has
consistently been deemed one of the most popular places to live in
the United States and experienced 28% population growth between
2012 and 2022 as young people were drawn to the cultural scene,
food and entertainment options, and ample outdoor recreation
spaces. The hotel benefits from the 27.4 million tourists who visit
Austin annually.
ACC, a driver adjacent to the subject that accounted for
approximately 9.0% of room nights in the trailing 12-month (T-12)
period ended April 2024, will be closed for renovations from April
2025 until March 2029. The convention center has brought major
groups attending South by Southwest (SXSW) such as CoinDesk Inc,
and Jamf to the Fairmont Austin. The sponsor and city have followed
a comprehensive planning process to best retain ACC groups during
the closure.
The loan is sponsored by Manchester Financial Group. Manchester
Financial Group was founded in 1970 and is a privately held hotel
and commercial real estate firm focused on acquisition,
development, and management of high-profile properties throughout
the United States with a focus on the West Coast. The company is
headquartered in San Diego, California, and has experience working
with nationally recognized hotel brands including Marriott,
Fairmont, and Hyatt. The collateral is the inaugural development of
Manchester Texas Financial Group, a subsidiary of the sponsor that
manages all Texas-based holdings in commercial real estate and
hospitality. The hotel is managed by Fairmont Hotels & Resorts,
with a management agreement extending through December 2038.
The sponsor broke ground in November 2014 before completing the
hotel in 2018 for a cost of approximately $412.1 million. Since
development, the sponsor has invested approximately $9.2 million
toward capex items including back of house improvements, meeting
room and banquet space updates, and guest room and corridor
updates. The sponsor's future plans include a redesign of two F&B
outlets, meeting room and banquet space updates, and additional
guest room and corridor updates among other items, which together
are projected to cost $21.3 million. The subject's robust amenity
package includes five F&B outlets, a rooftop terrace with a
swimming pool, a full-service spa, and a fitness center. The
subject also boasts 138,800 sf of meeting and event space.
In 2019, prior to the pandemic, the subject reported an occupancy
of 74.1% and an average daily rate (ADR) of $260.87, resulting in a
revenue per available room (RevPAR) of $192.38. While occupancy has
declined since, the sponsor has been successful in recovering ADR
and RevPAR to above their pre-pandemic levels. Most recently, the
subject reported occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR levels of approximately
72.0%, $285.74, and $205.75, respectively, as of the T-12 ended
February 28, 2024. The property performance for the T-12 period
ended February 2024 is 6.5% above pre-pandemic levels, based on the
2019 RevPAR of $193.28. Morningstar DBRS believes that the strong
recent performance is at least partially due to a higher transient
proportion in the hotel segmentation resulting from pent-up
pandemic-related restriction demand, and therefore Morningstar DBRS
believes room rates will see a market correction in the near term.
The location, strong amenities, projected capex, and experienced
sponsorship should support modest growth above pre-pandemic levels.
Morningstar DBRS concluded a stabilized RevPAR of $201.07, which is
4.0% above the 2019 level and 2.3% below the April 2024 T-12
level.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Certificates addresses the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, yield maintenance premium.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
HALSEYPOINT CLO II: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from
HalseyPoint CLO II Ltd./HalseyPoint CLO II LLC, a CLO originally
issued in June 2020 that is managed by HalseyPoint Asset Management
LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 2,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the July 12, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a supplemental indenture,
which outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to July 20, 2029, from
July 20, 2022.
-- The non-call period will be extended to July 20, 2026, from
Jan. 1, 2022.
-- The original class A-1 and A-2 sequentially paying
floating-rate debt is being replaced by the class A-R floating-rate
debt.
-- The original class C floating-rate debt is being replaced by
the class C-1-R floating-rate debt and the class C-2-R fixed-rate
debt.
-- The original class D debt is being replaced by two new
sequentially paying classes: D-1-R and D-2-R.
-- The replacement class B-R, and E-R debt is expected to be
issued at a lower spread over three-month CME term SOFR than the
original notes.
-- The stated maturity on the existing subordinated notes will be
extended to July 20, 2037, from July 20, 2031, to match the stated
maturity on the new refinancing notes.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $219.600 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.52%
-- Class B-R, $54.000 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.95%
-- Class C-1-R (deferrable), $16.600 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.55%
-- Class C-2-R (deferrable), $5.000 million: 6.50%
-- Class D-1-R (deferrable), $14.400 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.60%
-- Class D-2-R (deferrable), $7.200 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.00%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $11.700 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.50%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $225.000 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.86%
-- Class A-2, $11.250 million: Three-month LIBOR + 2.49%
-- Class B (deferrable), $39.375 million: Three-month LIBOR +
2.95%
-- Class C (deferrable), $26.250 million: Three-month LIBOR +
3.53%
-- Class D (deferrable), $22.500 million: Three-month LIBOR +
3.00%
-- Class E (deferrable), $14.000 million: Three-month LIBOR +
3.00%
-- Subordinated notes, $39.975 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
HalseyPoint CLO II Ltd. /HalseyPoint CLO II LLC
Class A-R, $219.60 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $54.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $16.60 million: A (sf)
Class C-2-R (deferrable), $5.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $14.40 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $7.20 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $11.70 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $39.98 million: Not rated
HARVEST COMMERCIAL 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on M5 Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional ratings on the following notes
issued by Harvest Commercial Capital Loan Trust 2024-1 (Harvest
2024-1):
-- $136,139,000 Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $26,660,000 Class M-1 Notes at AA (sf)
-- $14,204,000 Class M-2 Notes at A (sf)
-- $9,834,000 Class M-3 Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $10,161,000 Class M-4 Notes at BB (sf)
-- $7,758,000 Class M-5 Notes at B (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS' review of the
following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure and available credit
enhancement. Note subordination, cash held in the Reserve Account,
cash held in the Capitalized Interest Account, and available excess
spread, as well as other structural provisions, create credit
enhancement levels which are sufficient to support Morningstar
DBRS' stressed cumulative net loss (CNL) hurdle rate assumptions of
30.88%, 22.50%, 16.51%, 12.63%, 8.92%, and 6.03%, respectively, for
each of the AAA (sf), AA (sf), A (sf), BBB (sf), BB (sf), and B
(sf) rating categories.
-- The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originating, underwriting, and servicing of SBA 504, conventional,
and investor first lien commercial real estate loans. Morningstar
DBRS performed an operational review of Harvest and found it to be
an acceptable originator and servicer for the collateral. In
addition, US Bank, which is an experienced servicer of CRE backed
loans, is the Backup Servicer and custodian for the transaction.
-- A review by Morningstar DBRS of Harvest's historical collateral
performance since Harvest began originating, which found minimal
defaults and no net losses.
-- A review of the initial collateral pool as of the statistical
cut-off date of April 30, 2024, which possesses diversity by
property type and business type, among other metrics, as well as
strong overall credit characteristics, most notably with a weighted
average obligor FICO score of 748 and a weighted average current
loan-to-value ratio of 51.91%. The average loan balance is
approximately $1.5 million. All loans in the pool are backed by
business purpose 1st lien CRE and include personal guarantees.
Average time in business is approximately 15 years.
-- Harvest's underwriting process, which evaluates the small
business borrower's ability to repay the loan primarily from the
business cash flows of normal operations (recurring income sources)
to service both its existing debt and the requested loan. The
average debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) for loans in the initial
pool is 2.33x.
-- A review of the collateral pool's industry concentrations
against historical performance of SBA data for significant industry
concentrations as well as aggregate vintage performance.
-- Collateral eligibility and concentration limits built into the
Pre-Funding Parameters that ensure that the final collateral pool
continues to maintain strong credit characteristics and collateral
diversification.
-- The legal structure and legal opinions that address the true
sale of the receivables, the nonconsolidation of the assets of the
Issuer, that the Indenture Trustee has a valid first-priority
security interest in the assets, and consistency with Morningstar
DBRS' Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated
Sovereigns March 2024 Update, published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the notes referenced herein
address the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations for the Class A and Class M-1
Notes are the Interest Payment Amount (including any unpaid
interest from prior periods) and the Note Principal Balance. The
associated financial obligations for the Class M-2, M-3, M-4, and
M-5 Notes are the Interest Payment Amount, the Interest
Carryforward Amount, and the Note Principal Balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address non-payment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction documents that are not financial
obligations. The associated contractual payment obligation that is
not a financial obligation for each of the rated notes is the Net
WAC Rate Carryover Amount and the Prepayment Interest Shortfalls.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HGI CRE CLO 2021-FL2: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on G Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of notes
issued by HGI CRE CLO 2021-FL2, Ltd. as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the transaction, as the majority of borrowers are
generally progressing toward completion of their stated business
plans. The transaction consists of solely multifamily collateral
across 26 loans, most of which are scheduled to mature within the
next 12 months. Morningstar DBRS expects borrowers who have
progressed in property stabilization efforts to successfully
execute loan exit strategies in the near to medium term, given the
underlying collateral has generally demonstrated stable to
improving operating performance over the last several quarters.
A select number of loans, however, are exhibiting increased credit
risk from issuance, including the largest loan in the pool, The
Astor LIC (Prospectus ID#1; 12.1% of the pool balance), which
transferred to the special servicer in December 2023 for monetary
default, and the Lofts at Twenty 25 loan (Prospectus ID#28; 8.5% of
the pool balance), which is currently being monitored on the
servicer's watchlist for missed payments in April and May of this
year. Both loans are outlined in additional detail below. The pool
benefits from a considerable amount of collateral reduction to date
as a result of successful loan repayments (totaling 25.4% since
issuance), partially mitigating loan-level risk associated with
underperforming assets.
In conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS has
published a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth
analysis and credit metrics for the transaction as well as business
plan updates on select loans. To access this report, please click
on the link under Related Documents below or contact us at
info-DBRS@morningstar.com.
The transaction closed in September 2021 with a cut-off pool
balance totaling approximately $514.5 million, and a maximum funded
balance of $579.5 million. At issuance, the pool consisted of 20
floating-rate mortgage loans secured by 22 properties. The
transaction was a managed vehicle with a 24-month reinvestment
period that expired with the September 2023 payment date. As of the
May 2024 reporting, the pool comprises 26 loans secured by 31
properties with a cumulative trust balance of $432.1 million.
Eleven loans with a former cumulative trust balance of $242.8
million have successfully repaid from the pool since issuance,
including six loans with a former cumulative trust balance of
$106.0 million since Morningstar DBRS' prior credit rating action
in June 2023. An additional two loans with a current cumulative
trust balance of $2.5 million have been added to the trust since
June 2023.
The loans are concentrated by properties in suburban locations,
which Morningstar DBRS defines as markets with a Morningstar DBRS
Market Rank of 3, 4, or 5. As of May 2024, 20 loans, representing
67.0% of the current trust balance, were secured by properties in
suburban markets. Three loans, representing 22.4% of the current
trust balance, were secured by properties in urban markets, defined
as markets with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 6, 7, or 8. An
additional three loans, representing 10.6% of the current trust
balance, were secured by properties located in tertiary markets,
defined as markets with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 2.
Leverage across the pool has remained relatively static from
closing, with a current weighted-average (WA) as-is appraised
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 73.3% (compared with 74.2% at closing)
and a WA stabilized LTV of 67.8% (compared with 67.0% at closing).
Morningstar DBRS recognizes that select property values may be
inflated as the majority of the individual property appraisals were
completed in 2021 and 2022 and may not reflect the current interest
rate and widening capitalization rate (cap rate) environment. In
the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS applied upward LTV
adjustments across 13 loans representing 56.1% of the current trust
balance.
Through May 2024, the collateral manager had advanced cumulative
loan future funding of $56.6 million allocated to 24 of the 26
remaining individual borrowers to aid in property stabilization
efforts. The largest advance, $10.6 million, has been made to the
borrower of the Marbella Apartments loan, which is secured by a
multifamily property in Corpus Christi, Texas. Funds were advanced
to the borrower to complete its capital improvement project across
the property. The full $10.6 million future funding component has
been advanced with the Class A note consisting of a $27.6 million
piece in the subject transaction, a $19.8 million piece held in the
HGI CRE CLO 2021-FL1, Ltd. transaction (also rated by Morningstar
DBRS), and a non-securitized $4.3 million piece. An additional
$12.7 million of loan future funding allocated to five of the
remaining individual borrowers remains available. The largest
portion of available funds ($5.9 million) is allocated to the
borrower of The Lofts at Twenty25 loan, which is secured by a
multifamily property in downtown Atlanta. The available funds are
allocated for the borrower's capital improvement and lease-up
plan.
As of the May 2024 remittance, one loan, representing 12.1% of the
pool balance was in special servicing and 19 loans representing
73.3% of the pool balance were on the servicer's watchlist, the
vast majority of which are being monitored for upcoming maturity
dates. The specially serviced loan, The Astor LIC, is secured by
the sponsor's leased-fee interest in a Class A, mid-rise 143-unit
multifamily apartment building in Queens, New York. The collateral
was constructed in 2021 and includes 12,000 square feet (sf) of
retail space. The loan transferred to special servicing in December
2023 for payment default, and as of the May 2024 reporting, remains
delinquent having last paid in September 2023. The special servicer
has established contact with the borrower, noting a pre-negotiation
agreement has been executed; however further resolution details and
timing are pending.
The borrower is progressing with its stated business plan at
issuance, which included leasing-up the property and stabilizing
operations over a 12- to 18-month period. According to the Q1 2024
update from the collateral manager, property performance remains
relatively unchanged compared with prior year's reporting. The
borrower successfully leased the commercial space to Lexus of
Queens, which was expected to take occupancy in May 2024. According
to the February 2024 rent roll, the residential component was 94.4%
occupied and 95.1% leased with an average rental rate of $3,384 per
unit. The borrower has been successful in increasing rental rates
at the property, with reported lease trade out premiums ranging
from 10.0% to 33.0%, based on unit type. According to the financial
reporting provided by the collateral manager for the trailing-12
month (T12) period ended February 29, 2024, the property generated
NCF of $2.6 million (reflecting a debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) of 0.52 times (x)). Given the floating rate nature of the
loan and the absence of an interest rate cap agreement, debt
service obligations have increased considerably from issuance,
placing downward pressure on the DSCR. The lender negotiated a cash
management agreement with the sponsor, terms of which include lock
box provisions. Although the collateral manager noted the sponsor
continues to work towards refinancing and is also marketing the
property for sale, Morningstar DBRS maintains a cautious outlook
for the loan. In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS
increased the loan's expected loss by applying upward LTV
adjustments to both the in-place and stabilized property value
assumptions made by the appraiser at closing in addition to
increasing the loan's probability of default penalty.
The Lofts at Twenty25 loan, is secured by a redeveloped 623-unit,
high-rise multifamily property in Atlanta. The property, which was
originally built it in 1951 as an office building, was completely
gut renovated and redeveloped into its current use in 2021. The
borrower's business plan at issuance was to increase occupancy and
rental rates to market levels following the recent redevelopment.
The three-year loan has an initial maturity date in July 2025 and
includes two, 12-month extension options. The loan is currently
being monitored on the servicer's watchlist due to two missed
payments in April and May 2024.
According to the February 2024 rent roll, the property was
approximately 29.0% occupied with an average rental rate of $1,256
per unit. The collateral manager noted the drop in occupancy and
slowdown in leasing velocity is partially related to a number of
tenant evictions. Property performance has also been weaker than
expected as rental rates for the 215 affordable-rate units is
approximately 25.0% below free market rental rates. According to
the financial reporting for the trailing 12-month period ended
February 29, 2024, the property generated NCF of under $100,000
(reflecting a DSCR of 0.01x). The collateral manager noted that the
borrower has drawn the entirety of the initial $5.2 million
interest reserve to cover shortfalls and has been making debt
service payments out of pocket since November 2023. At issuance,
the property was valued at $149.9 million, reflecting moderate
leverage with an LTV of 65.1%, suggesting there may still be market
equity remaining in the transaction; however, Morningstar DBRS
believes the collateral's current market value has declined from
closing. In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS applied
upward LTV adjustments to both the in-place and stabilized property
value assumptions made by the appraiser at closing, in addition to
increasing the loan's probability of default, resulting in an
expected loss that was approximately 25.0% greater than the
expected loss for the pool.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HILDENE TRUPS P17BC: Moody's Assigns (P)Ba3 Rating to Cl. B Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned provisional ratings to two classes of
notes to be issued by Hildene TruPS Resecuritization P17BC, LLC
(the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$25,000,000 Class A Notes due 2035, Assigned (P)A3 (sf)
US$34,400,000 Class B Notes due 2035, Assigned (P)Ba3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the
"Rated Notes".
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on a consideration of the
risks associated with the portfolio of Preferred Term Securities
XVII, Ltd. (the "Underlying TruPS CDO") and structure as described
in Moody's methodology.
The Rated Notes are secured by the following securities that were
issued by the Underlying TruPS CDO on March 17, 2005:
US$26,515,326 of the $51,429,950 Class B Mezzanine Notes Due 2035
(the "Class B Notes")
US$42,681,177 of the $58,643,708 Class C Mezzanine Notes Due 2035
(the "Class C Notes")
The Class B and Class C Notes are referred to herein, collectively
as the "Underlying Securities".
Hildene Structured Advisors, LLC will serve as collateral servicer
for this transaction. The transaction prohibits any asset purchases
or substitutions at any time.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer will issue one class of
subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates par coverage tests which, if
triggered, divert interest proceeds to pay down the notes in order
of seniority. The transaction also includes an interest diversion
feature from and after the July 2030 payment date, when 60% of the
interest at a junior step in the priority of interest payments will
be used to pay the principal on the Class A Notes until the Class A
Notes' principal has been paid in full, then to the payment of
principal of the Class B Notes.
The portfolio of the Underlying TruPS CDO consists of mainly TruPS
issued by US regional and community banks and insurance companies,
the majority of which Moody's do not publicly rate. Moody's assess
the default probability of bank obligors that do not have public
ratings through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM). Moody's
evaluation of the credit risk of the bank obligors in the pool
relies on FDIC Q4-2023 financial data. Moody's assess the default
probability of insurance company obligors that do not have public
ratings through credit assessments provided by Moody's insurance
ratings team based on the credit analysis of the underlying
insurance companies' annual statutory financial reports. Moody's
assume a fixed recovery rate of 10% for bank and insurance
obligations.
Moody's obtained a loss distribution for this CDO's portfolio by
simulating defaults using Moody's CDOROM(TM), which used Moody's
assumptions for asset correlations and fixed recoveries in a Monte
Carlo simulation framework. Moody's then used the resulting loss
distribution, together with structural features of the CDO, as an
input in Moody's CDOEdge(TM) cash flow model.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions or the Underlying TruPS CDO's portfolio:
Par amount: $227,080,000
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 874
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 2.06%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 10.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.2
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in March 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assess through
credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit assessments.
Because these are not public ratings, they are subject to
additional estimation uncertainty.
HILTON USA 2016-HHV: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class F Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2016-HHV
issued by Hilton USA Trust 2016-HHV as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C at A (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F at B (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall
stable-to-improved performance of the underlying collateral, as
evidenced by year-over-year (YOY) growth in net cash flow (NCF),
occupancy, and revenue per available room (RevPAR) figures. While
the outlook on the transaction remains positive, Morningstar DBRS
believes that some of the YoY growth may be attributable to the
demand diverted away from Maui following the wildfires that broke
out on the island in August 2023 until West Maui was reopened to
tourism in November 2023. As such, growth in 2024 is expected to be
more moderate and Morningstar DBRS did not update the loan-to-value
(LTV) sizing benchmarks as part of this review.
The collateral is a $750 million pari passu participation interest
in a $1.3 billion whole loan on the Hilton Hawaiian Village, a
full-service luxury beachfront resort in Waikiki, Hawaii. The
trophy-quality property is situated on the world-renowned Waikiki
beach, which benefits from a lack of seasonality, high barriers to
entry, and the strongest lodging market of all eight Hawaiian
islands. The subject consists of five guest towers comprising 2,860
rooms, plus conference space for up to 2,600 attendees. The resort
has the longest stretch of beach and the largest amount of meeting
space among its competitors. Amenities at the resort include 65,373
square feet (sf) of indoor meeting space, three restaurants, four
lounges and several other food and beverage (F&B) outlets, five
outdoor pools, fitness centers, a full-service spa, a boat dock, a
lagoon, a 1,978-space garage, and 138,000 sf of leased commercial
space.
The sponsor, Park Intermediate Holdings LLC, is a wholly owned
subsidiary of Park Hotels & Resorts. In 2017, Hilton Worldwide
Holdings Inc., formerly known as Hilton Hotels Corporation, spun
off Park Hotels & Resorts, which is now one of the largest publicly
traded real estate investment trusts in the U.S. hospitality
industry. The sponsor has historically invested significant capital
in the property and appears committed to continuing that trend
through further reinvestment in the resort's offerings. According
to the servicer, the borrower is in the process of obtaining
permits to demolish a restaurant building adjacent to the resort in
order to construct a sixth guest tower, while local news sources
indicate the owner also plans to add 26 rooms to the beachfront
Rainbow Tower. Neither project is slated to begin until late 2025
or early 2026, with minimal business interruptions to guests
expected while construction is ongoing.
The property suffered performance declines as a result of the
coronavirus pandemic, caused by the property's closure from April
2020 through December 2020. A cash sweep period was triggered in
March 2021 as a result of the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)
remaining below the required threshold. Since then, property
performance has restabilized with healthy YOY growth , exceeding
pre-pandemic levels. The YE2023 NCF of $170.9 million (reflecting a
DSCR of 3.15 times (x)), represents an 8.9% increase from the
YE2022 figure of $157.0 million and a 16.4% increase from the
YE2019 figure of $146.8 million. The largest drivers for the
increase in cash flows over the last several years include
continued growth in room revenue, F&B revenue, and other
departmental revenue, contributing to a 12.4% increase in effective
gross income; however, as noted above, Morningstar DBRS anticipates
that 2024 growth may be moderated following the reopening of West
Maui in November 2023
According to the State of Hawaii's Department of Business, Economic
Development and Tourism, the total number of visitors to the
Hawaiian Islands was 9.4 million in 2023, reflecting a 4.4%
increase over the 2022 figure of 9.2 million. While visitor numbers
on the other islands remained relatively static YOY, the islands of
Oahu and Maui welcomed 5.6 million (+15.6% YOY) and 2.5 million
tourists in 2023 (-15.2% YOY), respectively, during 2023. Although
Maui's tourist figure from December 2023 was still depressed when
compared with figures from December 2022 and December 2019,
reflecting declines of -24.8% and -28.7%, respectively, it was the
highest number of visitors to the island in the previous five
months, with figures expected to increase further in 2024. In
contrast, Oahu's December 2023 visitor total slowed to a growth of
just 6.0%.
Per the STR report for the trailing 12 months (T-12) ended December
31, 2023, the occupancy rate, average daily rate (ADR), and RevPAR
were reported at 90.8%, $302, and $275, respectively, compared with
the YE2022 figures of 85.4%, $288, and $246, respectively. As
expected, the property showed a moderate decline in performance
metrics over the T-3 and T-1, with the T-1 occupancy ADR and RevPAR
figures reported at 82.7%, $340, and $281, respectively; however,
the property's RevPAR is still operating well above historical
levels and the property continues to outperform its competitive set
with a T-12 RevPAR penetration rate of 117.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
HILTON USA 2016-SFP: Moody's Downgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to C
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on seven classes of
Hilton USA Trust 2016-SFP, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2016-SFP as follows:
Cl. A, Downgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023
Downgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023 Downgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. C, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023 Downgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. D, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023
Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. E, Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. F, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023 Downgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. X-E*, Downgraded to C (sf); previously on Mar 6, 2023
Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on the six P&I classes were downgraded due to an
increase in Moody's LTV as a result of the properties' continued
underperformance as well as the potential for higher losses due to
the uncertainty around timing and extent of the properties' net
cash flow (NCF) recovery given the continued weak fundamentals of
San Francisco downtown hotel market. The downgrades also reflect
the accumulation of loan advances and expectation of future
advances.
The properties were not able to generate positive NCF between 2020
and 2022 but the loan remained current through the May 2023
remittance date as the original sponsor funded operating and debt
service shortfalls. However, the borrower then ceased to fund debt
service payments indicating they would not be making any further
debt service payments and have been working with the servicer to
cooperate and assist as the receiver markets the hotels for sale.
While the properties reported a marginal positive NCF in 2023, the
reported trailing-12-month NCF as of March 2024 turned negative due
to significant increase in the operating expenses. As a result,
Moody's expect the advances to remain outstanding and will continue
to increase if the properties' cash flow does not improve.
As of the June 2024 distribution date, the loan remains last paid
through its May 2023 payment date and there are approximately $39.0
million of outstanding advances (inclusive of P&I advances, other
expenses and cumulative accrued unpaid advance interest
outstanding). Servicing advances are senior in the transaction
waterfall and are paid back prior to any principal recoveries which
may result in lower recovery to the total trust balance.
The rating on the interest only (IO) class, Cl. X-E, was downgraded
based on the credit quality of its referenced classes.
In this credit rating action Moody's considered qualitative and
quantitative factors in relation to the senior-sequential structure
and trophy/dominant nature of the asset, and Moody's analyzed
multiple scenarios to reflect various levels of stress in property
values could impact loan proceeds at each rating level.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or amortization or a
significant improvement in the loan's performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
further decline in actual or expected performance of the loan or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitizations Methodology"
published in July 2022.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the June 6, 2024 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate certificate balance remains unchanged at $725 million.
The securitization is backed by a fixed-rate loan collateralized by
two adjacent full-service hotels, the Hilton San Francisco Union
Square and the Hilton Parc 55 San Francisco. The Hilton San
Francisco Union Square was constructed in 1964 and features 1,919
guestrooms in four interconnected buildings. The property offers
approximately 130,000 SF of meeting space, a swimming pool, fitness
center, 505 parking spaces, and two food & beverage outlets. The
Hilton Parc 55 San Francisco, constructed in 1984, is located
adjacent to the Hilton San Francisco Union Square. The property
provides 1,024 guestrooms, approximately 29,900 SF of meeting
space. The Properties are located within walking distance of Union
Square, Market Street, and the Moscone Convention Center.
The loan originally had a maturity date in November 2023. The
original sponsor previously funded all debt servicer and operating
shortfalls through May 2023, however, in June 2023, the original
sponsor indicated they would not continue to make debt service
payments and that it was in the best interest of their stockholders
to exit the San Francisco market. The loan was transferred to
special servicing in June 2023, due to imminent default and the
receiver was appointed in October 2023. The portfolio's NCF had
been on an upward trajectory since securitization peaking at $93.7
million in 2019. However, with the coronavirus outbreak the
properties were not able to generate positive NCF between 2020 and
2022 to cover operating expenses. While the properties reported a
marginal positive NCF of $941,066 in 2023, the reported
trailing-12-month NCF as of March 2024 turned negative due to
significant increase in the operating expenses. The properties
revenue did improve 4% from year-end 2023 to the trailing-12-month
period ending March 2024, however, the expenses increased 13%.
The San Francisco/San Mateo MSA continues to be the worst performer
amongst the Top 25 MSAs. According to STR Report, at the end of
2023, overall US revenue per available Room (RevPAR) was up 12.9%
compared with 2019. The San Francisco/San Mateo MSA had the worst
comparison amongst the Top 25 MSAs at -28.6%. Furthermore, the
downtown San Francisco submarket continues to face an elongated
recovery. According to CBRE EA, Downtown San Francisco's RevPAR
reached $146.18 in 2023, an 8.6% increase compared with 2022.
However, that was still 37.1% lower than its RevPAR of $232.44 in
2019.
The first mortgage balance of $725 million represents a Moody's LTV
of 133%, however, the Moody's LTV takes into account a significant
decline in market value since securitization and a slower than
anticipated recovery to date in the properties cash flow based on
the continued lag of business and corporate travel demand to San
Francisco, which continues to lag that of the overall US.
Furthermore, there are outstanding total advances and accrued
unpaid interest totaling approximately $39.0 million, causing the
aggregate loan exposure to be $764.0 million. Moody's expect the
advances to remain outstanding and will continue to increase in the
near term until the properties' cash flow materially improve or the
asset is liquidated from the trust. There are outstanding interest
shortfalls totaling $5,318,024 affecting Cl. F and there are no
cumulative losses as of the current distribution date.
ICG US 2021-1: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R, A-2-R,
B-R, and C-R replacement debt from ICG US CLO 2021-1 Ltd./ICG US
CLO 2021-1 LLC, a CLO originally issued in March 2021 that is
managed by ICG Debt Advisors LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew
its ratings on the original class A-1, A-2, B, and C debt following
payment in full on the July 3, 2024, refinancing date. S&P also
affirmed its ratings on the class D and E debt, which were not
refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to April 3, 2025.
-- The reinvestment period was not extended.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) were not extended.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the July 3, 2024,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remains at $400
million. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up period,
and the first payment date following the refinancing is July 17,
2024.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were not amended.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $244 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.27%
-- Class A-2-R, $12 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.60%
-- Class B-R, $48 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.85%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $24 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.20%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $244 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.27% +
CSA(i)
-- Class A-2, $12 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.55% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $48 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.75% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $24 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.20% + CSA(i)
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
ICG US CLO 2021-1 Ltd./ICG US CLO 2021-1 LLC
Class A-1-R, $244.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R, $24.00 million: A (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
ICG US CLO 2021-1 Ltd./ICG US CLO 2021-1 LLC
Class A-1 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
ICG US CLO 2021-1 Ltd./ICG US CLO 2021-1 LLC
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
Other Outstanding Debt
ICG US CLO 2021-1 Ltd./ICG US CLO 2021-1 LLC
Subordinated notes, $43.45 million: Not rated
JP MORGAN 2024-5: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on Class B-4 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned the following provisional credit ratings to the
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-5 (the
Certificates) to be issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-5
(JPMMT 2024-5):
-- $575.8 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $575.8 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $431.9 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $323.9 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $108.0 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $259.1 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $172.7 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $64.8 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $57.6 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $57.6 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $57.6 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $144.0 million Class A-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $144.0 million Class A-10-X at AAA (sf)
-- $144.0 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $144.0 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $144.0 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $633.4 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $16.6 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $16.6 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $16.6 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $11.2 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $11.2 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $11.2 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $8.1 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $3.0 million Class B-4 at BB (sf)
-- $2.4 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-9-X, A-10-X, A-11-X, A-X-1, B-1-X, and B-2-X are
interest-only (IO) certificates. The class balances represent
notional amounts.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-7, A-9, A-10, A-10-X, A-12, B-1, and
B-2 are exchangeable certificates. These classes can be exchanged
for combinations of depositable certificates as specified in the
offering documents.
Classes A-1, A-2, A-3, A-4, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-10, A-11, and
A-12 are super-senior certificates. These classes benefit from
additional protection from the senior support certificates (Class
A-9 and Class A-9-A certificates) with respect to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) ratings on the Certificates reflect 6.50% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. AA (low) (sf), A
(low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (sf), and B (low) (sf) ratings
reflect 4.05%, 2.40%, 1.20%, 0.75%, and 0.40% of credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 676 loans with a
total principal balance of $677,413,299 as of the Cut-Off Date
(June 1, 2024).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity from 15 to 30 years and a
weighted-average (WA) loan age of two months. Approximately 79.8%
of the loans are traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage
loans. The remaining 20.2% of the pool are conforming mortgage
loans that were underwritten using an automated underwriting system
(AUS) designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section. In addition, all of the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage
(QM) rule.
United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) originated 44.8% of the pool.
Various other originators, each comprising less than 15%,
originated the remainder of the loans. The mortgage loans will be
serviced or subserviced, as applicable, by Shellpoint Mortgage
Servicing (Shellpoint; 43.7%), UWM (43.3%), loanDepot.com, LLC
(7.1%), PennyMac Loan Services, LLC (4.2%), and PennyMac Corp
(PennyMac; 1.7%). For the JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.
(JPMCB)-serviced loans, Shellpoint will act as interim servicer
until the loans transfer to JPMCB on the servicing transfer date
(September 1, 2024).
For certain Servicers in this transaction, the servicing fee
payable for mortgage loans is composed of three separate
components: the base servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee,
and the additional servicing fee. These fees vary based on the
delinquency status of the related loan and will be paid from
interest collections before distribution to the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC will act as the Master Servicer. Citibank,
N.A. (rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will
act as Securities Administrator and Delaware Trustee. Computershare
Trust Company, N.A. will act as Custodian. Pentalpha Surveillance
LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Certificates are the
related Interest Distribution Amounts, the related Interest
Shortfalls, and the related Class Principal Amounts (for non-IO
Certificates).
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN 2024-5: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Cl. B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 26 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) issued by J.P. Morgan
Mortgage Trust 2024-5, and sponsored by J.P. Morgan Mortgage
Acquisition Corp. (JPMMAC).
The securities are backed by a pool of prime jumbo (79.8% by
balance) and GSE-eligible (20.2% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by JPMMAC, including loans aggregated by MAXEX Clearing
LLC (MAXEX; 17.3% by loan balance) and Verus Mortgage Trust 1A
(Verus; 0.1% by loan balance) and originated and serviced by
multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-5
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-9-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-11-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE.
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
0.49%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.24% and reaches 6.70% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
JPMCC COMMERCIAL 2015-JP1: DBRS Cuts Class F Certs Rating to C
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on seven classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-JP1
issued by JPMCC Commercial Mortgage Securities Trust as follows:
-- Class X-C to BBB (high) (sf) from A (high) (sf)
-- Class C to BBB (sf) from A (sf)
-- Class X-D to BBB (low) (sf) from BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class D to BB (high) (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class X-E to B (high) (sf) from BB (high) (sf)
-- Class E to B (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes A-S, X-A, X-B, and B
to Negative from Stable, and maintained the Negative trends on
Classes X-C, C, X-D, D, X-E, and E. Classes A-4, A5, and A-SB
continue to carry Stable trends. There is no trend for Class F,
which has a credit rating that does not typically carry a trend in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS).
The credit rating downgrades reflect Morningstar DBRS' increased
loss expectations for the pool, primarily driven by the largest
loan in the pool, 32 Avenue of the Americas (Prospectus ID#1, 19.5%
of the pool), along with six other loans Morningstar DBRS
identified as being at increased risk of maturity default, given
observed performance declines, concentrated upcoming tenant roll,
and other refinance concerns, as all loans are scheduled to mature
in Q4 2025. In a wind-down scenario where performing loans
successfully repay from the pool, the potential for an adverse
selection is significant given that Morningstar DBRS' loans of
concern represent 55.7% of the pool balance. While all loans are
current as of the May 2024 reporting, updated value projections for
these seven loans of concern indicate sizable value deficiencies,
most notably for loans secured by office properties, including 32
Avenue of the Americas, 7700 Parmer (Prospectus ID#2, 14.6% of the
pool), and Heinz 57 Center (Prospectus ID#3, 8.3% of the pool).
Where applicable, Morningstar DBRS increased the probability of
default (POD) penalties and/or increased loan-to-value (LTV) ratios
to reflect the increased risk of maturity default. These adjusted
loans had a weighted-average (WA) expected loss (EL) that was
nearly 1.5 times (x) the pool's elevated WA EL. Given the
loan-specific challenges for some of the office loans and the
downward pressure implied by the CMBS Insight Model results, the
Negative trends for the five lowest-rated classes most exposed to
loss were warranted. Should performance of these loans fail to
stabilize or deteriorate further, or should future defaults occur,
these classes may be subject to credit rating downgrades as part of
future review cycles.
As part of its June 2023 credit rating action, Morningstar DBRS
downgraded Classes D, E, and F as a result of the loss expectations
for the three cross-collateralized/cross-defaulted Franklin Ridge
loans (Prospectus ID#13, #14, and #15; the Franklin Ridge Loans)
and changed the trends on Classes C, D, and E to Negative because
of the continued credit erosion and increased concerns about the
concentration of loans secured by office properties. In March 2024,
the Franklin Ridge Loans were liquidated from the trust at a
realized loss of $10.3 million, higher than the Morningstar DBRS
projected loss. To date, seven loans have been liquidated from the
trust with a cumulative loss of approximately $44.3 million. The
loss resulted in a complete write down of the unrated Class HR
piece and partial write-down to Class G. Morningstar DBRS
subsequently downgraded the credit rating on Class G and
simultaneously discontinued and withdrew the credit rating.
As of the May 2024 reporting, 34 of the original 51 loans remain in
the pool, with an aggregate trust balance of $513.5 million,
representing a collateral reduction of approximately 35.8% since
issuance. Eight loans, representing 15.8% of the pool, are fully
defeased. The pool is extremely concentrated by loan size, as the
largest loan in the pool accounts for 19.5% of the deal balance,
while the top five loans represent 54.0% of the deal balance. By
property type, excluding defeasance, the pool is most concentrated
by office properties, which represent 42.4% of the pool, followed
by retail and multifamily properties, which represent 12.2% and
12.0% of the pool, respectively. Seven loans, representing 38.1% of
the pool, are on the servicer's watchlist, primarily for occupancy
and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) declines.
The largest loan in the pool is 32 Avenue of the Americas, which is
secured by a 1.2 million square foot (sf) dual office and data
center property in Manhattan's Tribeca district. The 10-year
interest-only (IO) loan is scheduled to mature in November 2025. It
is one of five pari passu pieces of a $425.0 million whole loan,
with other senior portions securitized in JPMCC 2015-C33 and COMM
2016-CCRE28, which are also rated by Morningstar DBRS. The loan was
added to the servicer's watchlist in April 2023 because of
occupancy decline. Occupancy has trended downward year over year
for the past several years. As per the December 2023 rent roll, the
property was 60.5% occupied, down from 70.0% at YE2022, 75.6% at
YE2021, and 95.0% at issuance. Consequently, the loan's DSCR has
also been declining, with the YE2023 DSCR reported at 1.03x,
compared with the YE2022 DSCR of 1.78x and YE2021 DSCR of 1.96x.
The loan is equipped with a cash management account, which will be
activated at a DSCR trigger of 1.15x for two consecutive quarters.
However, given the loan's coverage, it is unlikely that a
meaningful amount of cash can be swept.
The performance declines can be attributed to the downsizing and
departures of prominent tenants at the subject. Former largest
tenant AMFM Operating Inc., part of iHeartMedia, vacated at lease
expiry in December 2022. At issuance, the tenant occupied 14.6% of
the net rentable area (NRA) but had downsized to 8.1% of the NRA
prior to vacating. The current largest tenants are TELX (12.6% of
the NRA, lease expiry in July 2033), Dentsu Holdings USA Inc.
(Dentsu; 6.0% of the NRA, lease expiry in August 2025), and Cedar
Cares Inc. (5.7% of the NRA, lease expiry in August 2027). At
issuance, TELX occupied 22.5% of the NRA, and Dentsu occupied 14.5%
of the NRA. However, both tenants began slowly giving back their
space over the years, eventually downsizing to their current
footprints at the subject. Moreover, as per the servicer
commentary, Cedar Cares Inc. is looking to sublease some space as
it has not grown as expected. There is also approximately 25%
rollover risk prior to loan maturity, which would further
exacerbate the property's performance since issuance and elevate
refinancing risk.
The sponsor, Rudin Management, is currently advertising 41.6% of
the NRA as available for leasing at an average rental rate of
$73.79 per sf (psf), which is slightly higher than the current
average in-place rental rate of $71.74 psf according to the
December 2023 rent roll. As per Reis, office properties in the
South Broadway submarket reported a YE2023 vacancy rate of 14.1%
with an average asking rental rate of $72.52 psf, up from the
YE2022 vacancy rate of 10.7% and average asking rental rate of
$70.10 psf. Although the subject is a prominent telecom building in
Manhattan, with infrastructure that has historically made it a
popular location for data center and telecom tenants, media sources
indicate the sponsor is exploring options to convert some space to
retail use in the hopes of attracting leasing activity. However,
given that the sponsor recently spent approximately $100 million
renovating a nearby asset at 80 Pine Street with little notable
impact on occupancy or value, combined with observed challenges in
the current office landscape, the building's age, consistently
declining occupancy, and a history of tenant departures/downsizing,
Morningstar DBRS remains pessimistic about the property's near-term
leasing prospects. Morningstar DBRS expects the borrower to face
challenges in securing refinancing at loan maturity next year.
Based on these factors, Morningstar DBRS analyzed this loan with an
elevated LTV ratio and a POD adjustment to increase the expected
loss to nearly 1.75x the WA EL of the pool.
Another loan with which Morningstar DBRS has refinance concerns is
Heinz 57 Centre. The loan is secured by a 699,610 sf, 14-story,
Class A, office building in Pittsburgh. The property was originally
constructed in 1913, with substantial renovations in 1999, and has
approximately 172,000 sf of retail space. The loan has historically
performed in line with expectations, most recently reporting a
YE2023 occupancy of 95.0% and a DSCR of 1.35x; however, occupancy
is expected to fall significantly to 65.0% by August 2025, six
months prior to loan maturity in December 2025, which will likely
complicate takeout financing. In March 2024, the second-largest
tenant, Burlington Coat Factory (20.8% of the NRA) vacated the
retail portion of the property, while the fourth-largest tenant,
BDO Seilman LLP (9.% of the NRA), has indicated it will vacate upon
lease expiry in August 2025. While the largest tenant, Heinz North
America (Heinz, 44.3% of the NRA), continues to honor the terms of
its lease agreement, the tenant vacated and has subleased portions
of its space since 2014, to the University of Pittsburgh Medical
Center and to Grant Street Group, with all leases coterminously
expiring six months after loan maturity in July 2026, indicating
occupancy could fall below 25% with no leasing momentum. The
Pittsburgh Central Business District office submarket remains soft,
with Reis reporting a vacancy rate of 19.6% for Class A properties,
with an average asking rental rate of $33.16 psf, compared to the
subject's in-place rate of $17.6 psf. While Heinz was required to
established a $6.2 million tenant reserve, which was reported at
$7.8 million as of May 2024, re-leasing the property to market will
require significant capital from the borrower. Considering the
significant headwinds to backfilling a large vacant space in a
challenging submarket, as well as the low investor demand for this
property type, Morningstar DBRS analyzed this loan with a stressed
LTV in excess of 125% and increased the POD, resulting in an
expected loss that was nearly 1.5x the WA EL of the pool.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
KRR CLO 30: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to KKR CLO
30 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
KKR CLO 30
Ltd._New Reset
X LT NRsf New Rating
A1-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
AJ-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D1-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
KKR CLO 30 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by KKR
Financial Advisors II, LLC that originally closed in September
2020. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $450 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.36, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.0. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.9% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.37% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.63%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.8-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A1-R2, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class AJ-R2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R2, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D1-R2, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D2-R2, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A1-R2 and class
AJ-R2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AA+sf' for class C-R2,
'A+sf' for class D1-R2, 'Asf' for class D2-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for
class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for KKR CLO 30 Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
LOANCORE 2021-CRE6: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on G Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
commercial mortgage-backed notes issued by LoanCore 2021-CRE6
Issuer Ltd. as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes F and G to Negative
from Stable. The trends on the remaining classes are Stable.
The Negative trends are reflective of Morningstar DBRS' concerns
surrounding the trust's significant exposure to assets backed by
office properties. In total, seven loans, representing 36.0% of the
current trust balance, are secured by office properties, including
the largest and second-largest loans in the pool - 433 North Camden
(Prospectus ID#1; 10.6% of the current trust balance) and 110
Atrium (Prospectus ID#12; 9.7% of the current trust balance). In
general, these loans are exhibiting increased credit risk since
issuance as performance declines and softening submarket conditions
have delayed the execution of the borrowers' respective business
plans. While the remaining office loans have extension options,
performance across the properties will not satisfy the required
thresholds for exercising the extension options. As such,
Morningstar DBRS expects those borrowers to face difficulties in
executing loan extensions/modifications that will likely require
equity contributions and/or new rate cap agreements.
The transaction closed in November 2021 with an initial collateral
pool of 31 floating-rate mortgage loans secured by 46 mostly
transitional properties with a cut-off date balance of $1.22
billion. Most of the loans were in a period of transition with
plans to stabilize and improve asset value. The transaction was
structured with a Reinvestment Period that expired with the
November 2023 Payment Date. As of the May 2024 remittance, the pool
comprised 25 loans secured by 40 properties with a cumulative trust
balance of $1.1 billion. Since issuance, 16 loans, with a
cumulative trust balance of $720.0 million, have been paid in full,
nine of which (totaling $447.8 million) were paid in full since
Morningstar DBRS' previous credit rating action in June 2023,
resulting in a collateral reduction of 13.5%. Additionally, five
loans, totaling $120.1 million, have been added to the trust since
Morningstar DBRS' previous credit rating action in June 2023.
Beyond the office concentration noted above,12 loans, representing
46.6% of the current trust balance, are secured by multifamily
properties, which have historically exhibited lower default rates
compared with other property types. The remaining assets are
secured by hotel, mixed-use, and industrial collateral. In
comparison with the June 2023 reporting, multifamily properties
represented 65.7% of the collateral while office properties
represented 25.9%.
The remaining loans are secured primarily by properties in suburban
and urban markets. Fourteen loans, representing 58.8% of the pool,
are secured by properties with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 3,
4, or 5, denoting a suburban market. Ten loans, representing 35.2%
of the pool, are secured by properties in urban markets, as defined
by Morningstar DBRS, with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 6, 7,
or 8. The location of the assets within urban markets potentially
serves as a mitigant to loan maturity risk as urban markets have
historically shown greater liquidity and investor demand. One loan,
representing 6.0% of the pool, is secured by a property in a
tertiary market, as defined by Morningstar DBRS, with a Morningstar
DBRS Market Rank of 2.
Leverage across the pool has decreased as of the May 2024 reporting
compared with issuance metrics. The current weighted-average (WA)
as-is appraised loan-to-value ratio (LTV) is 66.5%, with a current
WA stabilized LTV of 61.8%. In comparison, these figures were 71.1%
and 64.3%, respectively, at issuance. Morningstar DBRS recognizes
that select property values may be inflated as the majority of the
individual property appraisals were completed in 2021 and may not
reflect the current environment of rising interest rates or
widening capitalization rates. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS
applied upward LTV adjustments for 15 loans, representing 66.3% of
the current trust balance. These loans included the 10 largest
loans in the pool and all the office loans, which resulted in
individual loan-level expected loss levels ranging from
approximately 50.0% to 200.0% of the pool's WA expected loss.
Through May 2023, the lender has advanced a cumulative $82.9
million in loan future funding allocated to 16 of the 25 remaining
individual borrowers to aid in property stabilization efforts. The
largest advances have been made to the borrowers of loans secured
by office properties, including 433 North Camden ($15.0 million),
110 Atrium ($11.7 million), and 251 West 39th Street ($9.0
million). These properties are located in Beverley Hills,
California; Bellevue, Washington; and Manhattan, respectively, with
the advanced funds used primarily to fund capital expenditure
projects and accretive leasing costs. An additional $55.1 million
of loan future funding allocated to 14 individual borrowers remains
available. The largest portion of the available funds, $14.6
million, is allocated to the borrower of the aforementioned 110
Atrium loan.
As of the May 2024 remittance, one loan, representing 1.5% of the
current trust balance, is in special servicing. The loan, 1900 W
Lawrence Avenue, is secured by a mixed-use property consisting of
59 residential units and 19,000 square feet of retail space in
Chicago. The loan initially matured in July 2023 but did not
transfer to special servicing until December 2023. According to the
special servicer, both parties are negotiating forbearance terms.
As per the November 2023 rent roll, the consolidated occupancy rate
at the subject was 94.9%, with net cash flow of $1.6 million and
debt service coverage ratio of 0.53 times for the trailing 12
months ended November 30, 2023, In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS
applied an upward LTV adjustment and increased the loan's
probability of default to increase the loan's expected loss to
approximately two times the transaction's expected loss.
Nine loans, representing 28.4% of the current trust balance, are on
the servicer's watchlist, all of which are flagged for upcoming
maturity risk. In total, 21 loans, representing 88.7% of the
cumulative trust loan balance, have scheduled maturity dates
through YE2024, however, according to the collateral manager, the
majority of the borrowers are expected to exercise loan extension
options. Another nine loans, representing 41.4% of the current
trust balance, have been modified. The terms of the individual loan
modifications vary and have included the waiver of
performance-based tests to exercise maturity extensions as well as
the purchase of new rate agreements. In conjunction with this press
release, Morningstar DBRS has published a Surveillance Performance
Update report with in-depth analysis and credit metrics for the
transaction as well as business plan updates on select loans.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MAN GLG 2018-1: Moody's Lowers Rating on $6MM E-R Notes to Caa2
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has taken a variety of rating actions on the
following notes issued by Man GLG US CLO 2018-1 Ltd.:
US$30M Class B-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Feb 21, 2023 Upgraded to A1
(sf)
US$32M Class C-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Aug 19, 2020 Confirmed at Baa3
(sf)
US$6M Class E-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Sep 25, 2023 Downgraded to
Caa1 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
US$315M (Current outstanding amount US$217,326,748) Class A-1-R
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously
on Mar 20, 2018 Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$56M Class A-2-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed
Aaa (sf); previously on Sep 25, 2023 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
US$25M Class D-R Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes,
Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Aug 19, 2020 Confirmed at Ba3
(sf)
Man GLG US CLO 2018-1 Ltd., originally issued in April 2015 and
refinanced in March 2018, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO)
backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured US loans.
The portfolio is managed by Silvermine Capital Management LLC. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrades on the ratings on the Class B-R and C-R notes are
primarily a result of the significant deleveraging of the senior
notes following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the
last rating action in September 2023.
The downgrade on the rating on the Class E-R notes is due to the
deterioration in the credit quality of the underlying collateral
pool and deterioration in over-collateralisation ratios since the
last rating action in September 2023.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-1-R, A-2-R and D-R
notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A-1-R notes have paid down by approximately USD89.9
million (28.5%) since the last rating action in September 2023 and
USD97.7 million (31.0%) since closing. As a result of the
deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) for senior and mezzanine
rated notes has increased. According to the trustee report dated
May 2024 [1] the Class A, Class B and Class C OC ratios are
reported at 137.99%, 124.35% and 112.48% compared to August 2023
[2] levels of 130.02%, 120.10% and 111.06%, respectively.
The credit quality has deteriorated as reflected in the
deterioration in the average credit rating of the portfolio
(measured by the weighted average rating factor, or WARF) and an
increase in the proportion of securities from issuers with ratings
of Caa1 or lower. According to the trustee report dated May 2024
[1], the WARF was 3130, compared with 2985 as of August 2023 [2].
Securities with ratings of Caa1 or lower currently make up
approximately 11.2% of the underlying portfolio, versus 7.3% in
August 2023 [2].
In addition, the over-collateralisation ratios of the junior rated
notes have deteriorated since the rating action in September 2023.
According to the trustee report dated May 2024 [1], the Class D OC
ratio is reported at 104.68% compared to August 2023 [2] level of
104.90%. Moody's note that the Class D OC ratio is currently in
breach of its trigger of 105.00%. Based on Moody's own calculation,
the OC ratio for the Class E-R notes is currently at 103.82%
compared to the August 2023 level of 104.11%.
Key model inputs:
The key model inputs Moody's use in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on its published methodology and
could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In its base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD379.59m
Defaulted Securities: USD3.03m
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2920
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.76 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for Euribor
floors): 3.28%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.66%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0.89%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into its cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Moody's note that the June 2024 trustee report was published at the
time Moody's were completing Moody's analysis of the May 2024 data.
Key portfolio metrics such as WARF, diversity score, weighted
average spread and life, and OC ratios exhibit little change
between these dates.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties using the methodology "Moody's Approach to
Assessing Counterparty Risks in Structured Finance methodology"
published in October 2023. Moody's concluded the ratings of the
notes are not constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
MAN US 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Man US
CLO 2024-1 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
MAN US CLO
2024-1 Ltd.
A LT NRsf New Rating
A-1 L LT NRsf New Rating
A-1 Loan LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 Loan LT NRsf New Rating
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating
B-2 Fixed LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
MAN US CLO 2024-1 LTD. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by GLG
LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated
notes will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $400
million of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.72, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.3. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.25% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.05% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 74.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'A+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'Asf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Man US CLO 2024-1
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
MERCHANTS FLEET 2024-1: DBRS Gives Prov. BB Rating on E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes (together, the Notes) to be issued by Merchants Fleet
Funding LLC, Series 2024-1 (the Transaction):
-- $409,200,00 Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $19,720,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $28,950,000 Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- $26,330,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $15,800,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
The credit ratings on the Notes are based on Morningstar DBRS'
review of the following considerations:
-- Transaction capital structure, proposed credit ratings, and
form and sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support Morningstar
DBRS stressed loss assumptions under various scenarios.
-- The yield supplement account is established to supplement the
yield from any lease that does not meet a minimum yield
requirement.
-- The Transaction's ability to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms in which
they have invested. The credit ratings address the payment of
timely interest on a monthly basis and principal by the Legal Final
Maturity.
-- Merchants Fleet Funding LLC's (Merchants) capabilities with
regard to originations, underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS continues to deem Merchants an acceptable
originator and servicer of fleet leases.
-- The high-credit-quality obligors given strong historical
performance of the collateral.
-- The leased vehicles are essential use vehicles for customers;
therefore, such leases are likely to be affirmed by an obligor in a
bankruptcy proceeding.
-- These leases are hell-or-high water and triple net with no
set-off language. The lessee is responsible to pay all taxes,
title, and registration charges.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic scenarios,
which were first published in April 2020.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on Notes addresses the credit risk
associated with the identified financial obligations in accordance
with the relevant transaction documents. The associated financial
obligations are the Class Monthly Interest and Class Invested
Amount.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, the Class A Additional Interest, Class B
Additional Interest, Class C Additional Interest, Class D
Additional Interest, and Class E Additional Interest.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk
that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations in
accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MF1 LLC 2022-B1 LLC: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on 3 Tranches
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
commercial mortgage-backed notes issued by MF1 2022-B1 LLC (the
Issuer), as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class G-E Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class G-X Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class H Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class H-E Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class H-X Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class I Notes at B (low) (sf)
-- Class I-E Notes at B (low) (sf)
-- Class I-X Notes at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The rating confirmations reflect the overall stable performance of
the outstanding collateral in the transaction, which has remained
in line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations. While select loans
have exhibited performance concerns, the majority of the loans are
expected to successfully secure refinancing and/or pay off upon
loan maturity, given the underlying collateral has demonstrated
stable to improving operating performance over the last few
reporting periods, as the respective borrowers have generally
progressed toward completion of their stated business plans.
In conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS has
published a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth
analysis and credit metrics for the transaction and with business
plan updates on select loans.
The transaction closed in November 2022 with a cut-off pool balance
totaling approximately $1.275 billion, excluding approximately
$151.0 million of future funding commitments. The initial
collateral consisted of 33 floating-rate mortgage loans secured by
76 multifamily, senior housing, student housing, mixed-use, and
manufactured housing properties, most of which were in a period of
transition with plans to stabilize and improve asset values. As of
the May 2024 remittance, the pool comprises 33 loans secured by 69
properties with a cumulative trust balance of $1.625 million. Since
issuance, two loans with a former cumulative trust balance of $78.6
million have successfully repaid from the pool, both of which were
repaid since Morningstar DBRS' prior credit rating action in June
2023.
The transaction has a 24-month reinvestment period, whereby the
Issuer can purchase new loan collateral or funded loan
participations on existing loan collateral into the trust, subject
to certain eligibility criteria. Future collateral interests can be
secured only by multifamily, manufactured housing, student housing,
and senior living property types during the stated reinvestment
period. The Issuer is required to obtain a no-downgrade Rating
Agency Confirmation (RAC) by Morningstar DBRS for all new
collateral interests and funded companion participations. Since
issuance, five loans totaling $274.7 million have been contributed
to the trust.
The transaction is concentrated by property type as 31 loans,
representing 96.5% of the current trust balance, are secured by
multifamily properties, with one loan (2.6% of the current trust
balance) secured by a senior housing and one loan (1.2% of the
current trust balance) secured by a manufactured housing property.
The transaction is also concentrated by loan size, as the largest
15 loans represent 65.9% of the pool, and by properties in suburban
markets, with 17 loans, representing 49.7% of the pool, assigned a
Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 3, 4, or 5. An additional nine
loans, representing 36.6% of the pool, are secured by properties
with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 6, 7, or 8 denoting an urban
market, while seven loans, representing 13.6% of the pool, are
secured by properties with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 1 or
2, denoting a rural or tertiary market.
Leverage across the pool is generally stable compared with issuance
with a current weighted-average (WA) as-is appraised value
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 67.4% (compared with 68.3% at closing)
and a WA stabilized LTV of 62.0% (compared with 61.2% at closing).
Morningstar DBRS recognizes, however, that select property values
may be inflated as the majority of the individual property
appraisals were completed in 2021 or 2022 and may not reflect the
current rising interest rate or widening capitalization rate
environments. In the analysis for this review, DBRS Morningstar
applied upward LTV adjustments across eight loans, representing
21.1% of the current trust balance.
Through April 2024, the collateral manager had advanced $164.3
million in loan future funding to 27 of the 33 remaining individual
loans, to aid in property stabilization efforts. The loan with the
largest future funding advances to date is the Avilla Gateway loan
(Prospectus ID#35; 1.0% of the pool balance), secured by a 228-unit
multifamily property in Phoenix, Arizona. The loan is scheduled
with an initial maturity in July 2024, with two one-year extension
options available. The advanced funds have been used to fund the
borrower's $22.9 million Phase II capital improvement plan that
commenced in June 2022, with the $19.9 million of future funding
allocated specifically to hard costs (including site work,
amenities, and unit improvements) and soft costs (including taxes
and/or legal fees incurred from construction).
According to the Q1 2024 quarterly report, the borrower has drawn a
total of $21.4 million and has completed the hard cost portion of
the project, with only one remaining soft cost to execute. As of
February 2024, the property was achieving physical and leased
occupancy rates of 76.3% and 82.9%, respectively, with an average
leased rental rate of $1,897 per unit, representing a $132 rental
premium over the average in-place rent of $1,765 per unit at
closing. Additionally, concessions are being offered through two
months of free rent. As the average leasing rate was 14 units per
month over the past six months, the borrower expects to reach
stabilization at the end of Q2 2024.
An additional $91.3 million of unadvanced loan future funding
allocated to 19 loans remains outstanding, which are scheduled to
primarily be used toward capital improvements, tenant costs and
leasing commissions, and/or funding debt service or earn out
reserves.
As of the May 2024 remittance, there was only one loan, The Tides
at Country Club (Prospectus ID#7; 3.7% of the pool), in special
servicing. The loan is secured by a 582-unit multifamily community
in Mesa, Arizona. The loan transferred to special servicing in
August 2023 for payment default. According to the Q1 2024 report
provided by the collateral manager, a short-term forbearance
agreement has been granted to provide additional time for the
borrower to finalize a potential loan assumption. The sponsor's
business plan is to implement a $6.9 million in capital improvement
project to complete the renovations on the remaining 420
unrenovated and partially renovated units. As of April 2024, $3.8
million of future funding as been released, with approximately 60
units (14.0%) renovated as of Q1 2024. The property was 85.2%
occupied (86.6% occupied for available units) as of January 2024,
with an average rental rate of $1,161 per renovated unit (not
inclusive prior renovated units), representing a $199 premium over
the average in-place rent of $962 at closing, but below the
sponsor's projected renovated rental rate of $1,466 per unit. Given
the impending modification/loan assumption, Morningstar DBRS
believes the expected loss of the loan is higher than pool average
driven primarily by the suburban location of the asset in MSA Group
1, which is the weakest group in terms of historical defaults and
losses and higher Morningstar DBRS As-Is LTV of 83.8%.
In addition to the specially serviced loan, there are two loans,
The Reserve at Brandon (Prospectus ID#8; 3.5% of the pool) and
Tides on 61st (Prospectus ID#17; 2.0% of the pool), that are deemed
matured nonperforming loans after surpassing their initial loan
maturity in early May 2024. According to the collateral manager's
most recent update, however, both loans have executed
pre-negotiation agreements alongside a temporary forbearance to
provide a short-term loan maturity extension, which will facilitate
potential modification discussions. According to the loan's initial
documents, both loans have three one-year extension options
available. As of January 2024, The Reserve at Brandon property (now
known as the Skye Reserve) was able to achieve an occupancy rate of
76.7% and a rental premium of $504 relative to closing. For the
same period, the Tides on 61st was 89.1% occupied (90.3% occupied
for available units) and was achieving a $491 rental premium
relative to closing. However, given the recent financial
difficulties faced by Tides Equities, Morningstar DBRS analyzed the
loan with an adjustment to the sponsor quality, resulting in an
individual loan expected loss (EL) figure of more than two times
the pool's EL.
The Axel (Prospectus ID#2; 10.2% of the pool) is a matured
performing loan, secured by the borrower's leasehold interest in
two ground leases underlying the Axel, a 284 residential unit
luxury multifamily property, with 59,454 sf of commercial space in
Brooklyn, New York. Following the loan's initial maturity in May
2024, the borrower has been granted a short-term extension to July
2024 via a forbearance agreement, and per the servicer's most
recent commentary, the borrower is currently engaging in
discussions to extend the loan. According to the loan's initial
documents, the loan has three one-year extensions available.
Through April 2024, the borrower has advanced only approximately
38.3% of the future funding that was set to cover the borrower's
capital improvement project, leasing costs, future reserves, and
earn-out future funding. Per the collateral manager, the borrower
will be using the remaining future funding toward tenant
improvements and leasing costs. As of Q1 2024, the property was
81.7% occupied, with the borrower expecting occupancy to stabilize
in Q3 2024, given the upcoming strong leasing season. The average
rental rate for all occupied units was $3,839 per unit, as of
January 2024, with the market-rate units achieving an average
rental rate of $4,535 per unit, above the Morningstar DBRS
stabilized rental rate of $3,958 per unit.
The are 30 loans, representing 91.1% of the pool, on the servicer's
watchlist, the vast majority of which are being monitored for low
debt service coverage ratios, low occupancy, and/or upcoming
maturities, including The Axel loan, as well as two loans,
representing 6.9% of the pool, that are in a payment grace period.
Despite the significant number of loans on the watchlist, the
majority of the borrowers behind these loans have made solid
process in their respective business plans, with the properties
exhibiting signs of improved performance based on the growing
rental premiums relative to the average in-place rents at issuance.
Furthermore, per issuance documents, the majority of these loans
also have multiple extension options available, in the form of two
or three one-year extension options or one six-month plus three
one-year extension options.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MIDOCEAN CREDIT X: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its rating to the class A-1-RR, A-2-RR,
B-RR, C-RR, D-1-RR, and D-2-RR replacement debt from MidOcean
Credit CLO X/MidOcean Credit CLO X LLC, a CLO originally issued in
November 2019 that is managed by MidOcean Credit Fund Management
L.P. At the same time, S&P withdrew its rating on the class A-1-R,
A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, and D-2-R debt following payment in full on
the June 28, 2024, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its rating
on the class E-R debt, which was not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture, the non-call period for the newly issued
debt was set to June 28, 2025.
Replacement And Outstanding Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
Class A-1-RR, $240 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.310%
Class A-2-RR, $15 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.600%
Class B-RR, $49 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.950%
Class C-RR, $24 million: Three-month term SOFR + 2.200%
Class D-1-RR, $16 million: Three-month term SOFR + 3.450%
Class D-2-RR, $8 million: 8.418%
Outstanding debt
Class A-1-R, $240 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.49161%
Class A-2-R, $15 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.86161%
Class B-R, $49 million: Three-month term SOFR + 2.16161%
Class C-R, $24 million: Three-month term SOFR + 2.86161%
Class D-1-R, $16 million: Three-month term SOFR + 3.66161%
Class D-2-R, $8 million: Three-month term SOFR + 5.13161%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Rating Assigned
MidOcean Credit CLO X/MidOcean Credit CLO X LLC
Class A-1-RR, $240 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-RR, $15 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-RR, $49 million: AA (sf)
Class C-RR, $24 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-RR, $16 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2-RR, $8 million: BBB- (sf)
Rating Withdrawn
MidOcean Credit CLO X/MidOcean Credit CLO X LLC
Class A-1-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class D-1-R to not rated from 'BBB+ (sf)'
Class D-2-R to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
MidOcean Credit CLO X/MidOcean Credit CLO X LLC
Class E-R: BB- (sf)
Other Outstanding Debt
MidOcean Credit CLO X/MidOcean Credit CLO X LLC
Subordinated notes: Not rated
MORGAN STANLEY 2013-ALTM: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on E Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2013-ALTM
issued by Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2013-ALTM as follows:
-- Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the continued stable
performance of the collateral property as evidenced by the robust
occupancy rate, strong in-line tenant sales figures, and healthy
financial performance. The loan continues to benefit from the
ongoing amortization; however, Morningstar DBRS does note that the
investor appetite for regional malls does remain somewhat
diminished, which could complicate refinancing efforts as the loan
is scheduled to mature in February 2025. In addition, there is a
moderate tenant rollover risk of approximately 24.0% of the net
rentable area (NRA) with leases scheduled to expire in the next 12
months, but it is worthy to note that the leases for collateral
anchors at the property were recently renewed.
The transaction is secured by the fee-simple interest in a
641,000-square-foot (sf) portion of a 1.16 million-sf, two-story,
enclosed super-regional mall known as Altamonte Mall, which is in
the northern suburbs of Orlando. The 12-year loan had an original
principal balance of $160.0 million, with an initial five-year
interest-only (IO) period; thereafter, the loan amortizes on a
30-year amortization schedule. The loan began amortizing in 2018,
and as of the May 2024 remittance, the loan reported a balance of
$140.5 million, representing a collateral reduction of 12.2% since
issuance. The loan is sponsored by a joint venture between the New
York State Common Retirement Fund and Brookfield Property Partners
L.P. (Brookfield). Brookfield acquired an interest in the property
as part of its acquisition of General Growth Properties, Inc. in
2018. Brookfield provides property management services as well.
The property is a prominent shopping destination in North Orlando,
primarily serving local patrons, in contrast to other nearby malls
that mainly cater to tourists. As of the March 2024 rent roll, the
property was 94.8% occupied, which remains relatively unchanged
since 2020. Noncollateral anchors include Macy's and Dillard's,
while collateral anchors include JCPenney (25.1% of the NRA, lease
expiry in January 2029) and AMC Theatres (AMC; 11.8% of the NRA,
lease expiry in December 2028), both of which signed lease renewals
within the last six months. As previously noted, tenants
representing 24.0% of the NRA have leases scheduled to expire in
the next 12 months.
Although the recent five-year lease renewal for JCPenney is
encouraging, the retailer's sales at the property remain generally
dismal. As of the trailing 12 months (T-12) ended September 30,
2023, JCPenney reported average sales of $69 per sf (psf),
unchanged from the prior year but below the YE2021 figure of $77
psf. In-line tenant sales, however, continue to post strong
figures, with the T-12 ended September 30, 2023, sales at $782 psf
for tenants occupying less than 10,000 sf, compared with the YE2022
figure of $749 psf. When excluding Apple's sales, those figures
decline to approximately $498 psf and $470 psf, respectively. Sales
for AMC were $538,611 per screen for the T-12 ended September 30,
2023, which remains in line with the YE2022 figure of $538,588 per
screen.
Based on the financials for the trailing nine-month period ended
September 30, 2023, the annualized net cash flow (NCF) was $13.8
million (representing a debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.56
times (x)), compared with the YE2022 and YE2021 figures of $14.3
million (DSCR of 1.61x) and $12.5 million (DSCR of 1.41x),
respectively.
Given the relatively stable performance of the collateral,
Morningstar DBRS maintained the $168.2 million value derived in
2020 when the credit ratings were assigned; this value was based on
the Morningstar DBRS NCF figure of $13.5 million and a
capitalization rate of 8.0%. The Morningstar DBRS value implies an
as-is loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 83.5%. Morningstar DBRS
maintained positive adjustments totaling 3.0% to the LTV sizing
benchmarks to account for the property's quality build and
location.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2014-C17: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on E Certs
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed the credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-C17
issued by Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
2014-C17 as follows:
-- Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-B at A (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class PST at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at CCC (sf)
The trend on Class D was changed to Negative from Stable. Class E
has a credit rating that does not typically carry trends in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS). All other trends are
Stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
overall performance of the transaction, supported by the increased
credit enhancement provided to the certificates as a result of the
successful repayment of 19 loans totaling $352.7 million since last
review in June 2023 and the majority of loans, which are exhibiting
healthy performance metrics with a healthy weighted-average (WA)
pool debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.84 times (x),
excluding defeasance (4.9% of the pool). However, the Negative
trend reflects the challenges for the pool, including three loans
(11.8% of the pool) in special servicing and six loans (24.9% of
the pool) that that Morningstar DBRS expects will face increased
refinance risk as a result of performance declines, increased
tenant rollover risk, and/or general market concerns, with all
remaining loans scheduled to mature in the next four months.
According to the May 2024 reporting, 32 of the original 67 loans
remain in the pool, with an aggregate principal balance of $283.3
million, reflecting a collateral reduction of 34% since last review
and 72.7% since issuance, as a result of scheduled loan
amortization, loan repayment and three loan liquidations. The
largest liquidation from the trust was the Holiday Inn Houston
Intercontinental, previously 2.9% of the pool, which was liquidated
with the September 2023 reporting at a realized loss of
approximately $18.6 million, a portion of which affected Class F.
In its analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS liquidated one of
the three specially serviced loans, which was real estate owned
(REO), resulting in an implied loss of $5.3 million that would also
be contained to Class F. There are 21 loans, representing 75.7% of
the pool, on the servicer's watchlist for upcoming maturity, of
which only two have second trigger codes for upcoming tenant
rollover risk and deferred maintenance.
Morningstar DBRS also projected updated valuations for loans with
elevated refinance risk, a number of which indicated value
deficiencies as the loans approach their respective maturities,
resulting in an increased credit risk for Class E and supporting
the Negative trend. Where applicable, Morningstar DBRS increased
the probability of default penalties (POD) and/or increased
loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) to reflect the increased risk of
maturity default. These adjusted loans had a WA expected loss that
was more than 1.5x the pool's WA expected loss.
The largest loan with elevated refinance risk that Morningstar DBRS
has concerns about is also the largest loan in special servicing.
The Holiday Inn Center City Charlotte (Prospectus ID#12; 7.2% of
the pool) is secured by a 294-room full- service hotel in
Charlotte, North Carolina. Since issuance, the hotel had operated
under the Holiday Inn flag (owned by InterContinental Hotel Group
(IHG)), however, the franchise agreement ended in November 2023 and
it appears the property is now operating under a DoubleTree (owned
by Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) flag. The loan transferred to
the special servicer in April 2024 as a result of imminent maturity
default with the loan's scheduled maturity in July 2024. The
workout strategy is still unclear as the servicer is evaluating the
next steps.
The loan's transfer followed a substantial performance decline in
2023 with the DSCR reported at 0.98x in YE2023, down from 1.57x in
YE2022 but in line with pre-pandemic and issuance figures. The
decline has been a result of both a drop departmental revenue and
an increase operating expenses; however, room revenue and food and
beverage revenue remain stable, despite the increase in supply in
the market over the last several years. As of YE2023, other
departmental revenue dropped by nearly $0.5 million year over year,
which, along with the increased expenses, contributed to an
elevated operating expense ratio of 75%, above the previous year's
figure of just 66%. According to the YE2023 STR, the subject
reported occupancy rate, average daily rate, and revenue per
available room (RevPAR) figures of 57.3%, $146, and $84,
respectively, which were in line with 2022 figures, but below the
pre-pandemic figures of 71.7%, $143, and $103 for the trailing 12
months ended March 30, 2018. Based on the same reporting, the hotel
had a RevPAR penetration rate of only 75.2%, a decrease from the
previous year's rate of 86.2%, highlighting the subject's decline
in popularity.
As noted above, the hotel recently began operating under a
DoubleTree flag and, according to the property's website, the
borrower has refreshed the property in line with brand standards
that, as a premium brand, should help to improve the subject's
competitive appeal. While Morningstar DBRS anticipates the borrower
will face some difficulties in refinancing given the recent decline
in performance, which will likely have an effect on the property's
value, the loan has been maintained current to date, and it appears
the borrower has recently invested into the property, which should
help improve future performance. This loan was analyzed with an
elevated POD, resulting in an expected loss (EL) that was nearly
1.5x the pool's WA EL.
The second-largest loan in special servicing is secured by
Arrowhead Professional Park (Prospectus ID#33; 3.0% of the pool), a
40,000 square foot (sf), Class B medical office property in
Glendale, Arizona. The loan is secured by the only office property
remaining in the pool and transferred to special servicing in
November 2020 for monetary default following the departure of
Arrowhead Health Center (formerly 54% of the NRA) in July 2018.
Ultimately, the loan was foreclosed and became REO in April 2022,
following several years when the borrower was unable to backfill
any substantial portions of space. Occupancy has remained
distressed since the loan's transfer and was reported at 20% as of
June 2023.
An updated September 2023 appraisal valued the property at $7.4
million, down from previous valuations of $7.9 million, $8.4
million, and $13.1 million in January 2023, May 2022, and at
issuance, respectively. According to Reis, the Northwest submarket
of Phoenix has reported a vacancy rate above 20% for the past three
years and it is expected to remain elevated through 2029. Given the
poor occupancy, soft submarket, and decreasing investor appetite
for the property type, Morningstar DBRS liquidated the loan, taking
a haircut to the September 2023 appraised value, resulting in a
loss severity in excess of 60%.
At issuance, Morningstar DBRS shadow-rated the Courtyard King
Kamehameha's Kona Beach Hotel Leased Fee loan (Prospectus ID#6;
13.1% of the pool) as investment grade. With this review, DBRS
Morningstar confirms that the performance of the loan remains
consistent with investment-grade loan characteristics.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2015-MS1: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on F Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its credit ratings on all the classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-MS1
issued by Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust 2015-MS1 as follows:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class PST at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F at B (high) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on the Class E and
Class F certificates to Negative from Stable. All other classes
continue to have Stable trends.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the stable performance of
the transaction as exhibited by a healthy weighted-average (WA)
debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 2.0 times (x) based on the
most recent financial reporting available. Twelve loans,
representing 8.8% of the pool, have been fully defeased. As the
pool enters its maturity year in 2025, Morningstar DBRS expects the
vast majority of loans to repay from the pool. The Negative trends
on the Class E and Class F certificates reflect the transaction's
exposure to several loans (representing more than 15.0% of the
pool) that Morningstar DBRS has identified as being at increased
risk of maturity default given recent performance challenges,
weakening submarket fundamentals, and unfavorable lending
conditions for certain property types. For these loans, Morningstar
DBRS applied an elevated probability of default (POD) penalty
and/or loan-to-value ratio (LTV), resulting in a weighted-average
(WA) expected loss for these loans that is triple the WA expected
loss for the pool.
As of the May 2024 remittance, 50 of the original 54 loans remain
in the pool, with a trust balance of $782.0 million, representing a
collateral reduction of 11.7% since issuance. To date, the trust
has not incurred any losses, however there are almost $600,000 in
interest shortfalls that have been contained to the nonrated Class
G certificate. Eleven loans, representing just less than 25% of the
pool balance, are on the servicer's watchlist for declining
performance metrics, lack of updated financial statements, and/or
lack of compliance with provisions in the loan documents. There is
one loan in special servicing, HSBC Building (Prospectus ID#16;
1.9% of the pool), which is secured by an office property in
suburban Tampa. The sole tenant, HSBC, vacated in 2018 although its
lease extended to 2020. The loan is currently real estate owned and
based on the January 2024 appraisal, the property's as-is value was
$7.2 million, down more than 40% from the January 2023 value of
$12.6 million, noting deterioration in the outlook for office
property demand given the emergence of a trend for tenants to
either seek well-located, new and high quality buildings or
downsize and switch to a full or partial remote working
environment. Morningstar DBRS liquidated the loan in the analysis
for this review, applying a haircut to the most recent appraisal
value. This resulted in an implied loss of $10.9 million, with a
loss severity of nearly 75%.
Waterfront at Port Chester (Prospectus ID#4; representing 6.8% of
the pool), the largest loan on the servicer's watchlist, is secured
by a grocery-anchored retail property in Port Chester, New York.
The pari passu loan is being monitored for its low debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR), which fell below breakeven as of the Q3 2023
reporting to 0.78 times (x), compared with 1.15x at YE 2022 and
1.34x at YE 2021 as a result of a decline in occupancy. The
occupancy rate, which remains unchanged, declined to 86.5% when
former major tenant Bed Bath and Beyond (previously 10.6% of net
rentable area (NRA) and 9.4% of base rent) vacated in January 2022.
Given the performance declines and the inability to find a
replacement tenant, Morningstar DBRS elevated the POD to increase
the expected loss in its analysis for this review, resulting in an
expected loss that is more than four times the pool level expected
loss.
At issuance, 32 Old Slip Fee (Prospectus ID#3; representing 7.7% of
the pool), Alderwood Mall (Prospectus ID#5; representing 4.5% of
the pool), and 841-853 Broadway (Prospectus ID#6; representing 6.4%
of the pool) were shadow-rated investment grade. With this review,
DBRS Morningstar confirmed the performance of these loans remains
consistent with investment-grade loan characteristics.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MORGAN STANLEY 2017-C33: Fitch Affirms B- Rating on Class F Debt
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 13 classes of Morgan Stanley Bank of
America Merrill Lynch Trust Series 2017-C33 (MSBAM 2017-C33) and 15
classes of Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
2017-C34 (MSBAM 2017-C34). Fitch has revised the Rating Outlooks
for affirmed classes E and F in MSBAM 2017-C33 and affirmed classes
A-S, B, C, D, X-B and X-D in MSBAM 2017-C34 to Negative from
Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MSBAM 2017-C33
A-3 61767CAT5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 61767CAU2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 61767CAV0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61767CAY4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 61767CAS7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61767CAZ1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C 61767CBA5 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
D 61767CAC2 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 61767CAE8 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
F 61767CAG3 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 61767CAW8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61767CAX6 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
X-D 61767CAA6 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
MSBAM 2017-C34
A-2 61767EAB0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 61767EAD6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 61767EAE4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61767EAH7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 61767EAC8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61767EAJ3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 61767EAK0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 61767EAU8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 61767EAW4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
F 61767EAY0 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-A 61767EAF1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61767EAG9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 61767EAL8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-E 61767EAN4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-F 61767EAQ7 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses are 4.6% for MSBAM 2017-C33 and 5.5% for MSBAM 2017-C34.
There are five Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs; 20.8% of the pool) in
MSBAM 2017- C33, which includes one performing special serviced
loan (6.3%) and eight FLOCs (31%) in MSBAM 2017-C34, which includes
one performing special serviced loan (4.5%).
The affirmations of all classes in MSBAM 2017-C33 and MSBAM
2017-C34 reflect the relatively stable pool performance and loss
expectations since the last rating action. The Negative Outlooks in
MSBAM 2017-C33 reflect an additional sensitivity analysis that
considers a higher increased probability of default on the D.C.
Office Portfolio loan due to elevated vacancy at the property and
softness in the submarket. The Negative Outlooks in MSBAM 2017-C34
reflect an additional sensitivity analysis that considers an
increased probability of default on the Ocean Park Plaza & 1102
Broadway loans. In addition, the Negative Outlooks reflect the high
concentration of office assets (46% of the pool) and
refinanceability concerns.
Fitch Loans of Concern; Largest Loss Contributors: The largest
contributor to loss in the MSBAM 2017-C33 transaction is the 141
Fifth Avenue loan (4.3%), which is secured by a 4,425-sf
single-tenant retail condominium located in the Flatiron District
of Manhattan. The property is comprised of 3,500 sf of ground floor
space and 925 sf of basement storage space and is located at the
base of a 12-story mixed-use condominium building.
The single tenant, HSBC, vacated prior to their October 2022 lease
expiration. A cash flow sweep was triggered with approximately $1.8
million collected in reserves as of June 2024. The sponsor is
currently marketing the vacant space. As of YE 2023 the retail
portion of the property remains vacant. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case
loss of 41.2% (prior to concentration adjustment) reflects a dark
value analysis and a higher probability of default as the property
remains vacant.
The next largest contributor to loss is the D.C. Office Portfolio
loan (6%), which is secured by a portfolio comprised of three
office buildings totaling 328,319-sf located within an area known
as the Golden Triangle within the Washington, D.C. CBD. The tenancy
is granular as the buildings are leased to approximately 100
tenants.
The portfolio's major tenants include New Venture Fund (4.2% NRA;
leased through May 2024) and Mooney, Green, Saindon, Murphy (2.4%;
December 2030). According to the servicer, New Venture fund is in
the process of renewing their lease at the property.
Portfolio occupancy declined to 68.9% as of YE 2023 from 73.7% at
YE 2022 due to several smaller tenants vacating upon their
respective lease expiration. Occupancy previously declined between
2019 and 2020 due to the previous largest tenant, Liquidity
Services, Inc. (8.3% of NRA), vacating in March 2020. Portfolio NOI
DSCR was 1.07x as of YE 2023, compared with 1.04x at YE 2022 and
0.97x at YE 2021.
According to CoStar, the property lies within the CBD Office
Submarket of the Washington, DC market area. As of 2Q24, average
rental rates were $54.94 psf and $39.20 psf for the submarket and
market, respectively. Vacancy for the submarket and market was
17.9% and 16.8%, respectively. Fitch's 'Bsf' case loss of 18.8%
(prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a 9.25% cap rate
and 5% stress to the YE 2021 NOI which reflects performance
consistent with the current occupancy and upcoming lease rollover.
The largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations and the
largest increase in loss since the prior rating action in MSBAM
2017-C34 is the Ocean Park Plaza loan (4.5%), which is secured by a
99,601-sf, class B, office property located in Santa Monica, CA.
Occupancy has continued to decline reaching a historical low of 20%
as of YE 2023 compared with 48% at YE 2022 and 72% in 2021.
Matchcraft (16% of NRA, 18% of base rent), and Ocean Park Casting
(8% of NRA or 11% of base rent), vacated ahead of their respective
lease expirations in May 2022 and November 2023. Costar reported a
submarket vacancy of 19.7% and rent of $62.66 psf as of Q2 2024
compared with subject asking rents of $49.96 psf. The servicer
reported NOI DSCR declined to 0.15x as of YE 2023 compared with
1.15x at YE 2022 and 1.23x at YE 2021.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 51% prior to
concentration adjustments reflects an 10.0% cap rate applied to the
YE 2023 NOI.
The second largest contributor to loss is the Mall of Louisiana
loan (4.2%), which is secured by a 1.5 million sf (776,789 sf
collateral) super-regional mall located in Baton Rouge, LA. The
loan is considered a Fitch Loan of Concern due to a dark anchor and
decline in cashflow. Sears, a non-collateral anchor, closed in May
2021 at the property.
Collateral occupancy was 88% as of December 2023, unchanged from YE
2022 but down from 92% at YE 2021. NOI DSCR declined to
1.48x as of YE 2023 compared to 1.57x at YE 2022 and 1.48x at YE
2021.
As of TTM December 2023, comparable inline sales excluding Apple
was $476 psf, compared to $482 psf at YE 2022, $539 at YE 2021 and
$335 psf at YE 2020.
AMC Theatres reported December 2023 TTM sales of $188,199 per
screen compared to $134,266 per screen at YE 2022, and $560,583 per
screen at issuance. AMC was closed for a significant portion of
2020 due to the pandemic.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of approximately 9% reflects a 12.5%
cap rate and a 7.5% stress to the YE 2023 NOI.
Defeasance: The MSBAM 2017-C33 transaction includes seven loans
(12.6% of the pool) that have fully defeased, while MSBAM 2017-C34
has five loans (8.6%) fully defeased.
Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2024 distribution date, the
aggregate balances of the MSBAM 2017-C33 and MSBAM 2017-C34
transactions have been reduced by 20% and 6.8%, respectively, since
issuance. Cumulative interest shortfalls of $ 398,559 are affecting
the non-rated class G in MSBAM 2017-C33 and $ 307,003 thousand are
affecting the non-rated G class in MSBAM 2017-C34.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to the junior 'AAAsf' rated class A-S in MSBAM 2017-C34
reflect the high office concentration 46% and the potential for
downgrades if expected losses increase, most notably on the office
FLOCs.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to
maturity.
Downgrades to the 'BBBsf' category is possible with higher than
expected losses from continued underperformance of the FLOCs, in
particular retail and office loans with deteriorating performance,
and/or with greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced
loans and/or FLOCs. These elevated risk loans include 141 Fifth
Avenue and D.C. Office Portfolio in MSBAM 2017-C33, and Ocean Park
Plaza and Mall of Louisiana in MSBAM 2017-C34.
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories would occur with
greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced loans or
FLOCs, should additional loans transfer to special servicing or
default and as losses are realized or become more certain.
Downgrades to distressed 'CCCsf' ratings would occur as losses are
realized and/or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE from paydowns and/or
defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss
expectations and improved performance on the FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs and
special serviced loans are better than expected and there is
sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCsf' and 'CCCsf' is not
expected but possible with better than expected recoveries on
specially serviced loans and/or significantly higher values on
FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2018-H3: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on G-RR Debt
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings of 14 classes of Morgan
Stanley Capital I Trust 2018-H3. Fitch has also revised the Rating
Outlook on classes C, D, E-RR and X-D to Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MSC 2018-H3
A-3 61767YAX8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 61767YAY6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 61767YAZ3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61767YBC3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 61767YAW0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61767YBD1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 61767YBE9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 61767YAC4 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E-RR 61767YAE0 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 61767YAG5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G-RR 61767YAJ9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 61767YBA7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61767YBB5 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 61767YAA8 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
losses are 4.94%. There are nine Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs
20.6%), which includes one loan (1.2%) in special servicing.
The affirmations reflect the relatively stable pool performance and
loss expectations since the last rating action. The Negative
Outlooks incorporate an additional sensitivity scenario that
assumed an increased probability of default on the SunTrust Center
and Miracle Mile loans due to tenant or performance concerns. The
Negative Outlooks also reflect the high office concentration
comprising 32% of the pool and declining performance trends and
refinanceability concerns on the office collateral.
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest contributor to loss is
the SunTrust Center loan (4.6% of the pool), which is secured by a
419,653-sf suburban office property located in Glen Allen, VA,
approximately 13 miles NW of the Richmond CBD. The largest tenant
SunTrust Bank (61% of NRA; lease expiration in March 2028) vacated
their entire space during the first half of 2022. In 2019, SunTrust
merged with BB&T bank to become Truist Bank and decided to
consolidate office space.
According servicer updates, there are two separate tenants that
have subleased SunTrust's vacant space. As of YE 2023, servicer
reported occupancy and NOI DSCR were 89% and 2.43x, respectively,
which is in line with YE 2022. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of
18.8% (prior to concentration add-ons) reflects a 10% cap rate and
25% stress to the YE 2023 NOI due to the largest tenant departure
and subleased tenants. Fitch's analysis also incorporated an
increased the probability of default due to anticipated refinance
concerns as the SunTrust lease expires within three months of the
loan maturity.
The next largest contributor to loss is The Westbrook Corporate
Center loan (4%), which is secured by a 1.1 million-sf suburban
office property complex located in Westchester, IL. Occupancy for
the complex continues to steadily decline, at a reported 67% at YE
2023, compared with 71% at YE 2022 and 84% at issuance. According
to CoStar, approximately 50% of the total NRA is being listed as
available for lease. Additionally, 23% of the NRA is scheduled to
roll within next three years, including the largest tenant, Follett
Higher Education Group (11%).
Despite the decline in occupancy, NOI DSCR increased to 1.66x at YE
2023 from 1.56x at YE 2022 due to higher EGI, while operating
expenses increased during the same period. YE 2023 NOI is 16% below
the originator's underwritten NOI at issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 13.3% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 10.25% cap rate, a 30% stress to YE 2023
NOI due to high concentration of space available for sublease and
near-term rollover and an increased probability of default due to
the increasing vacancy
Largest Loss Improvement Since Prior Rating Action: The largest
loss contributor at Fitch's prior rating action was the Crowne
Plaza Dulles Airport loan (3.3%), which is secured by a 324- room
lodging property located in Herndon, VA. Property performance has
begun to rebound after a slow recovery from the pandemic. The
servicer reported TTM March 2024 NOI DSCR was 1.68x compared with
1.84x at YE 2023 and 0.43x at YE 2022. Property performance has
begun to stabilize; however, the subject remains below its
competitive set in ADR and RevPAR with penetration rates of 71% and
81%, respectively according to the January 2024 STR report.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 7.9% (prior to concentration
add-ons) reflect a 11.25% cap rate and a 15% haircut to the TTM
March 2024 NOI. At prior review Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss was
approximately 37%.
Credit Enhancement: As of the May 2024 distribution date, the
pool's aggregate principal balance has paid down by 12.7% to $894.3
million from $1.024 billion at issuance. Of the remaining pool
balance, 25 loans comprising 51.7% of the pool are full-term
interest-only. Two loans (2.7%) have been defeased. Two loans
(4.4%) are scheduled to mature in 2025, with the remainder of the
pool (95.6%) scheduled to mature in 2028. Interest shortfalls of
$376,000 are currently affecting the non-rated class J-RR. There
have been no realized losses to date.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the 'AA-sf' through 'AAAsf' rated-classes are not
considered likely due to increasing CE and expected continued
amortization but could occur if interest shortfalls impact these
classes.
Downgrades to the 'A-sf' rated classes may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly from outsized losses on larger FLOCs
and/or more loans than expected experience performance
deterioration and/or default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades to the 'BBB-sf', 'BB-sf' and 'B-sf' rated classes may
occur if FLOCs fail to stabilize and/or or additional loans
transfer to special servicing. These elevated risk loans include
the SunTrust Plaza, Westbrook Corporate Center, 55 Miracle Mileand
Prince and Spring Street Portfolio
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to the 'AA-sf' and 'A-sf' classes may occur with
significant improvement in CE and/or defeasance, and with the
stabilization of performance on the FLOCs; however, adverse
selection and increased concentrations could cause this trend to
reverse.
Upgrades to classes rated 'BBB-sf' may occur as the number of FLOCs
are reduced, and there is sufficient CE to the classes. Classes
would not be upgraded above 'Asf' if there were any likelihood of
interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' rated classes are not likely until
the later years in a transaction and only if the performance of the
remaining pool is stable and there is sufficient CE to the
classes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MORGAN STANLEY 2024-INV3: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to B-5 Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 34 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to be issued by
Morgan Stanley Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2024-INV3, and
sponsored by Morgan Stanley Mortgage Capital Holdings LLC.
The securities are backed by a pool of GSE-eligible (99.0% by
balance) and prime jumbo (1.0% by balance) residential mortgages
aggregated by Morgan Stanley from CrossCountry Mortgage, LLC (36.0%
by balance), PennyMac Loan Services, LLC and PennyMac Corp.
(collectively, PennyMac, 26.9% by balance), Movement Mortgage, LLC
(14.6% by balance), and other originators constituting less than
10% of the loans (by balance). PennyMac aggregated some of its
loans from other originators. The loans will be serviced by NewRez
LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint), and
PennyMac.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Morgan Stanley Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2024-INV3
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-1-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-X-IO1*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-3-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-4-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-5-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-6-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-7-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned )Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-8-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-9-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-10, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-10-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-11, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-11-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-12, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-12-IO*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
1.20%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.82% and reaches 9.57% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
NASSAU LTD 2017-II: Moody's Cuts Rating on $18.5MM E Notes to Caa3
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Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Nassau 2017-II Ltd.:
US$25,500,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2030 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on
May 12, 2023 Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
Moody's have also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$18,500,000 Class E Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2030 (the "Class E Notes"), Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on
September 29, 2023 Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Nassau 2017-II Ltd., issued in December 2017, is a managed cashflow
CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of
broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in January 2022.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating action is primarily a result of deleveraging of
the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since September 2023. The Class
A-L notes and Class A-F notes have been paid down collectively by
approximately 54.80% or $85.5 million since then. Based on Moody's
calculation, the OC ratios for the Class B and Class C notes are
currently 157.69% and 130.51%, respectively, versus September 2023
levels of 135.99% and 121.14%, respectively.
The downgrade rating action on the Class E notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
Moody's calculation, the transaction has incurred par loss of
approximately $4.2 million or 1.5% of the portfolio since September
2023, and the OC ratio for the Class E notes is currently 99.31%
versus the September 2023 level of 101.02%. Moreover, the Class E
notes' OC test is currently failing its test level. Furthermore,
Moody's calculation of the deal's exposure to issuers rated Caa1 or
lower has increased to 14.8%, compared to 11.1% in September 2023.
No actions were taken on the Class A-L, Class A-F, Class B, and
Class D notes because their expected losses remain commensurate
with their current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's
latest portfolio information, its relevant structural features and
its actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $192,829,378
Defaulted par: $1,623,164
Diversity Score: 53
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2901
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.55%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 8.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.47%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.4 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 25: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R2 Debt
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Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers CLO 25, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
CLO 25, LTD.
A-R2 LT NRsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 25, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers LLC. The transaction originally
closed in September 2017 and was refinanced on March 2021 (Initial
Refinancing Date). On June 27, 2024 (Closing Date), the CLO will
refinance the existing secured notes with net proceeds from the
issuance of new secured and additional subordinated notes (in
addition to the existing subordinated notes), which will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $450 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.1, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.03% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.1% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'Bsf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-1R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-2R2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AAsf' for class C-R2, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R2, 'A-sf' for class D-2R2, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R2.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described
in the new issue report.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 25, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide
ESG relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in
the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 56: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers CLO 56, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
CLO 56, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 56, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers IV LLC. Net proceeds
from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will
provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.83, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.48% first -lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.22% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.75%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 46% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 56, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide
ESG relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in
the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
OBX TRUST 2021-J1: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Cl. B-4 Certs to Ba1
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Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 50 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS). OBX 2021-J1 Trust
is backed by prime jumbo mortgage loans. OBX 2022-INV1 Trust, OBX
2022-INV2 Trust, and OBX 2022-INV5 Trust are backed by almost
entirely agency eligible investor (INV) mortgage loans.
A List of Affected Credit Ratings is available at
https://urlcurt.com/u?l=D08UMb
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: OBX 2021-J1 Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Apr 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2022-INV1 Trust
Cl. A-18, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-19, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-20, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO20*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO21*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jan 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2022-INV2 Trust
Cl. A-13, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-14, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-IO14*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Feb 11, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: OBX 2022-INV5 Trust
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3A, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO1*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-IO2*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-IO3*, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools.
Each of the transactions Moody's reviewed continue to display
strong collateral performance, with no cumulative losses for each
transaction and a small number of loans in delinquency. In
addition, enhancement levels for most tranches have grown
significantly, as the pools amortize relatively quickly. The credit
enhancement since closing has grown, on average, 14.34% for the
tranches upgraded.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features, credit enhancement
and other qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 26: Moody's Cuts $10MM F-R Notes Rating to Caa2
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Moody's Ratings has downgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Octagon Investment Partners 26, Ltd.:
US$10,000,000 Class F-R Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2030 (the "Class F-R Notes"), Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously
on September 17, 2020 Confirmed at B3 (sf)
Octagon Investment Partners 26, Ltd., originally issued in April
2016 and refinanced in June 2018, is a managed cashflow CLO. The
notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly
syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in July 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade rating action on the Class F-R notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss and credit
deterioration observed in the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on
the trustee's June 2024 report[1], the Interest Diversion Test
(which calculates the over-collateralization (OC) ratio for the
Class F-R notes) is reported at 101.59% versus June 2023 level[2]
of 103.39%. Furthermore, the trustee-reported weighted average
rating factor (WARF) has been deteriorating and the current
level[3] is 2954 compared to 2806 in June 2023[4].
No actions were taken on the Class A-1-R and Class A-2-R notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations".
The key model inputs Moody's used in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on Moody's
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $435,063,718
Defaulted par: $2,034,712
Diversity Score: 68
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2979
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.39%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 8.0%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.8%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.7 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, and, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 29: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Octagon
Investment Partners 29, Ltd. Reset Transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Octagon
Partners 29, Ltd.
A-1-R2 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating
D-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Octagon Investment Partners 29, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage
cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed
by Octagon Credit Investors, LLC that originally closed in December
2016. This is the second refinancing where the existing notes will
be refinanced in whole on June 28, 2024. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.42, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.16% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.3% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.96%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 46% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-R2,
and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AAsf' for class C-R2, 'Asf'
for class D-R2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Octagon Investment
Partners 29, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
OCTAGON INVESTMENT 33: S&P Affirms 'BB-(sf)' Rating on Cl. D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class A-2 and B notes
from Octagon Investment Partners 33 Ltd. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its ratings on the class C, D, and R Combo Nt notes from
the same transaction. S&P also removed the class D rating from
CreditWatch, where it placed this with negative implications in
April 2024.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the May 2024 trustee report.
The transaction has paid down $133.64 in collective paydowns to the
class A-1 notes since our June 2023 rating actions. These paydowns
resulted in improved reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios
since the May 2023 trustee report, which we used for our previous
rating actions:
-- The class A-2 O/C ratio improved to 138.27% from 127.75%.
-- The class B O/C ratio improved to 122.98% from 118.24%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 110.92% from 110.17%.
-- The higher coverage tests for the class A-2, B, and C notes
indicate an increase in their credit support. While senior O/C
ratios improved, the class D O/C ratio declined to 104.27% from
105.49% since the May 2023 trustee report and is failing slightly.
The decline in the O/C ratio and indicative cash flows were the
primary reasons behind placing the class D rating on CreditWatch
negative.
While collateral obligations with defaulted ratings remained
relatively unchanged at $2.46 million as of the May 2024 trustee
report, compared with $2.38 million as of the May 2023 trustee
report, collateral obligations in the 'CCC' category increased to
$41.98 million from $19.86 million during the same period. The
current exposure of the collateral obligations with ratings in the
'CCC' category is now in excess of the maximum allowed by the
documents. As a result, the trustee, as per the terms of the CLO
documents, haircut the O/C numerator for this excess. Without
considering this haircut, the class D O/C ratio would otherwise be
passing. The O/C ratio has seen some improvements since the class
was placed on CreditWatch negative, and cashflows are now showing
positive indications.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the notes at the prior rating levels.
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels, though any further deterioration in the credit
support available to the notes could results in further ratings
changes.
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a higher rating on all classes. However, because the
transaction currently has higher exposure to 'CCC' rated collateral
obligations, S&P ran some sensitivity analysis and limited the
upgrade on some classes after considering those results.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Raised
Octagon Investment Partners 33 Ltd.
Class A-2 to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class B to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
Octagon Investment Partners 33 Ltd.
Class D to 'BB- (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Ratings Affirmed
Octagon Investment Partners 33 Ltd.
Class C: BBB- (sf)
Class R Combo Nt: A+p (sf)
ONNI COMMERCIAL 2024-APT: Fitch Gives BB-(EXP) Rating on HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following expected ratings and
Rating Outlooks to ONNI Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-APT,
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates series 2024-APT (ONNI
2024-APT).
- $521,600,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable
- $82,900,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable
- $65,100,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable
- $91,700,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable
- $69,950,000 class E 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable
- $43,750,000a class HRR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable
a. Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least 5.0% of
the estimated fair value of all classes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial interests in a trust that
holds an $875 million, five-year, fixed-rate, interest-only (IO)
mortgage loan. The mortgage will be secured by the borrowers' fee
simple interest in a portfolio of eight multifamily properties with
a total of 2,791 units (including 565 furnished short-term rental
units) and 174,963 sf of commercial space located across Chicago
and Los Angeles. The properties were constructed between 2015 and
2023.
Loan proceeds, along with $125 million of mezzanine debt, will be
used to refinance approximately $930.5 million in prior debt, pay
closing-related costs of approximately $13.5 million, fund $17.4
million of upfront reserves and return $38.6 million of equity to
the sponsor. The sponsor developed the portfolio at a total cost
basis of $1.2 billion. The certificates will follow a
sequential-pay structure.
The loan is expected to be originated by Wells Fargo Bank, National
Association (N.A.), Citi Real Estate Funding Inc. and Goldman Sachs
Bank USA. Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. will also be the master servicer,
with MF1 Loan Services LLC as the special servicer. Computershare
Trust Company, N.A. will act as trustee and certificate
administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC will serve as
operating advisor. The transaction is expected to close on July 18,
2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch Ratings' net cash flow (NCF) for the property
is estimated at $68.8 million; this is 13.2% lower than the
issuer's NCF and 10.1% higher than TTM March 2024 NCF. Fitch
applied a 7.75% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of $887.9
million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $875 million total trust debt has a Fitch
stressed debt service coverage ratio (DSCR), loan-to-value ratio
(LTV) and debt yield of 0.9x, 98.5% and 7.9%, respectively.
Including the $125 million of subordinate mezzanine debt, the Fitch
DSCR, LTV and debt yield are 0.8x, 112.6% and 6.9%, respectively.
Fitch expects the Fitch market LTV for non-investment grade-rated
tranches to not exceed 100%. For this transaction, the Fitch market
LTV through class HRR, the lowest Fitch-rated tranche, is 84.1%.
Quality Assets and Diverse Portfolio: The portfolio is secured by
eight recently constructed multifamily properties located in
Chicago and Los Angeles. These properties are cross-collateralized
and cross-defaulted. The mid- to high-rise apartment buildings
contain a total of 2,791 units and 174,963 sf of commercial space
and are well amenitized; each property generally includes outdoor
pools, theater rooms, outdoor sports courts, spas and private
dining areas.
Of the 2,791 units, 2,226 (or 80%) of the units are traditional
multifamily units and the remaining 565 (or 20%) of the units are
furnished short-term rental (STR) units. Fitch inspected four of
the properties in the portfolio and assigned all inspected
properties a property quality grade of "A". The portfolio is
granular, with no property comprising more than 16.3% of all units
or 17.1% of Fitch NCF.
Experienced Sponsorship: The loan is sponsored by Onni Group. Onni
currently owns and manages over 11,200 multifamily units. Since its
inception, the company has constructed over 15,000 homes and more
than 18.4 million sf of office, retail and industrial space with an
additional 28 million sf in different phases of development. All
leasing, operations and maintenance functions for the portfolio are
managed by Onni's in-house property management team.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Original rating: 'AAAsf'/ 'AA-sf'/ 'A-sf'/ 'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/
'BB-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/ 'BBB+sf'/ 'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/
'B+sf'/'Bsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Original rating: 'AAAsf'/ 'AA-sf'/ 'A-sf'/ 'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/
'BB-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/ 'AA+sf'/ 'A+sf'/ 'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'/
'BB+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by KPMG LLP. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of certain
characteristics with respect to the mortgage loan. Fitch considered
this information in its analysis and it did not have an effect on
Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
PALMER SQUARE 2021-4: Moody's Affirms Ba2 Rating on $35MM D Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Palmer Square Loan Funding 2021-4, Ltd.
USD120,000,000 Class A-2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes,
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2021 Assigned Aa1 (sf)
USD60,000,000 Class B Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2021 Assigned A1
(sf)
USD35,000,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2021 Assigned
Baa2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
USD680,000,000 (current outstanding amount USD 314,415,479.31)
Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Oct 26, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
USD35,000,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Ba2 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2021 Assigned Ba2
(sf)
USD10,000,000 Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2021 Assigned Ba3
(sf)
Palmer Square Loan Funding 2021-4, Ltd., issued in October 2021, is
a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured US loans. The portfolio is
serviced by Palmer Square Capital Management LLC. The servicer may
sell assets on behalf of the Issuer during the life of the
transaction. Reinvestment is not permitted and all sales and
unscheduled principal proceeds received will be used to amortize
the notes in sequential order.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class A2, B and C notes are primarily a
result of the significant deleveraging of the Class A1 senior notes
following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the
payment date in July 2023.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A1, D and E notes are
primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes remaining
consistent with their current rating levels, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A1 notes have paid down by approximately USD198.7 million
(29.2%) in the last 12 months and USD365.6 million (53.8%) since
closing. As a result of the deleveraging, over-collateralisation
(OC) has increased across the capital structure. According to the
trustee report dated June 2024 [1] the Class A, Class B, Class C
and Class D OC ratios are reported at 144.0%, 126.5%, 118.2% and
110.2% compared to June 2023 [2] levels of 131.0%, 119.6%, 113.9%
and 108.7%, respectively.
The key model inputs Moody's use in its analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on its published methodology and
could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In its base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: USD625,364,074
Defaulted Securities: USD608,024
Diversity Score: 64
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2823
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.76 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for floors):
3.28%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.28%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectation of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporate these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into its cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Moody's Approach to Assessing Counterparty Risks in
Structured Finance methodology" published in October 2023. Moody's
concluded the ratings of the notes are not constrained by these
risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the servicer or be delayed
by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings. Fast
amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assume have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the servicer's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the servicer's track record and the potential for
selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
PALMER SQUARE 2024-2: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Palmer
Square CLO 2024-2 Ltd./Palmer Square CLO 2024-2 LLC's floating-rate
debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Palmer Square Capital Management
LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of June 28,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Palmer Square CLO 2024-2 Ltd./Palmer Square CLO 2024-2 LLC
Class A-1, $384.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $6.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $66.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $57.00 million: Not rated
PARK BLUE 2024-V: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to $16MM Cl. E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Park Blue CLO 2024-V, Ltd. (the "Issuer" or "Park Blue CLO
2024-V").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$248,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$16,000,000 Class E Deferrable Mezzanine Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the
"Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Park Blue CLO 2024-V is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes
will be collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior
secured corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio must
consist of first lien senior secured loans and up to 7.5% of the
portfolio may consist first lien last out loans, second lien loans,
unsecured loans and bonds. The portfolio is approximately 100%
ramped as of the closing date.
Centerbridge Credit Funding Advisors, LLC (the "Manager") will
direct the selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on
behalf of the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued four other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2967
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.60%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.1 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
PIKES PEAK 16: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Pikes Peak CLO 16 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Pikes Peak CLO 16 Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-L LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Pikes Peak CLO 16 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Partners Group US Management CLO LLC. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million in primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.2, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.96% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
72.30%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 16
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
PPM CLO 7: Fitch Assigns BBsf Rating on Cl. E Notes, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to PPM CLO 7
Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
PPM CLO 7 Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1L LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AA+sf New Rating
C-1 LT A+sf New Rating
C-2 LT A+sf New Rating
D-1A LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-1B LT BBB+sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BBsf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
PPM CLO 7 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by PPM
Loan Management Company 2, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.25% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.34%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'AA-sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A+sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for PPM CLO 7, Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
PPM CLO 7: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $1MM Class F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
and one class of loans incurred by PPM CLO 7 Ltd. (the "Issuer" or
"PPM 7").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$226,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$30,000,000 Class A-1 Loans Notes maturing 2037, Assigned Aaa
(sf)
US$1,000,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2037, Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes and loans listed are referred to herein, collectively, as
the "Rated Debt."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
PPM 7 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued debt will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90.0% of the portfolio must consist of
senior secured loans and eligible investments, and up to 10.0% of
the portfolio may consist of assets that are not senior secured
loans. The portfolio is fully ramped as of the closing date.
PPM Loan Management Company 2, LLC (the "Manager") will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Debt, the Issuer issued eight other
classes of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the debt in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in May 2024.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $400,000,000
Diversity Score: 75
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3000
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.50%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.50%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Debt is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Debt is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Debt.
PRMI SECURITIZATION 2024-CMG1: Fitch Gives Bsf Rating on B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to PRMI Securitization
Trust 2024-CMG1 (PRMI 2024-CMG1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
PRMI 2024-CMG1
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
CERT LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The residential mortgage-backed notes are backed by a pool of
non-seasoned and seasoned, first lien, open home equity line of
credit (HELOC) on residential properties, to be issued by PRMI
Securitization Trust 2024-CMG1 (PRMI 2024-CMG1). This is the third
transaction rated by Fitch that includes HELOCs with open draws on
the PRMI shelf.
The collateral pool consists of 769 non-seasoned and seasoned,
performing, prime-quality loans with a current outstanding balance
as of the cutoff date of $315.63 million (the collateral balance
based on the maximum draw amount is $416.63 million, as determined
by Fitch). As of the cutoff date, 100% of the HELOC lines are open;
the aggregate available credit line amount is expected to be
$101.00 million, per the transaction documents.
The loans were originated or acquired by CMG Mortgage, Inc. and are
serviced by Northpointe Bank.
The transaction is structured with a sequential structure for both
the interest and principal waterfalls. Losses are allocated reverse
sequentially.
Draws will be funded first by the servicer, which will be
reimbursed from principal collections. If funds from principal
collections are insufficient, the servicer will be reimbursed from
the Variable Funding Account (VFA). The VFA will be funded up front
by the holder of the trust certificate, and the holder of the trust
certificate will be obligated, in certain circumstances (only if
draws exceed funds in the VFA), to remit funds on behalf of the
holder of the class R note to the VFA to reimburse the servicer for
certain draws on the mortgage loans. Any amounts so remitted by the
holder of the trust certificates will be added to the principal
balance of the trust certificates.
The servicer, Northpointe Bank, will not advance delinquent monthly
payments of P&I.
After the presale was published, Merchants Bank of Indiana
(Merchants) was added as the named successor servicer. In the event
of a servicer default, the controlling holder will appoint
Merchants as the new servicer. Merchants is a subsidiary of
Merchants Bancorp, the owner of a minority interest in (i) PRMIGP,
LLC, the general partner of PR Mortgage Investment, LP (PRMI LP),
the parent of the sponsor and (ii) PR Mortgage Investment
Management, LLC, the manager of PRMI LP.
Fitch based its analysis on the current servicer, Northpointe Bank,
since they are the servicer currently servicing the loans. Any
potential increase in servicing fees due to the new servicer taking
over servicing if there is servicer event of default by the current
servicer was already accounted for in Fitch's cash flow. While
having a named successor servicer eases the transition in a
servicer event of default scenario, Fitch did not give any credit
in its analysis to this addition. The overall impact of this change
did not change Fitch's loss expectations or the ratings that Fitch
assigned.
Although the notes have a note rate based on the SOFR index, the
collateral is made up of 100% adjustable-rate loans, with 0.32%
based on 30-day CME Term SOFR and 99.68% based on One-Year Treasury
CMT per the transaction documents. As a result, there is no LIBOR
exposure in the transaction.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.2% above a long-term sustainable level (vs.
11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% since last quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% YoY nationally as of February 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Prime Credit Quality First Lien HELOC (Positive): The collateral
pool consists of 769 first lien, non-seasoned and seasoned,
performing prime-quality loans with a current principal balance of
$315.63 million as of the cutoff date ($416.63 million, based on
the max draw amount). As of the cutoff date, 100% of the collateral
comprises open HELOC lines. The pool in aggregate is seasoned eight
months, according to Fitch. Of the loans, Fitch determined that
100.0% of the loans are current with none of the loans having a
delinquency in the past 24 months. None of loans have received a
prior modification, based on Fitch's analysis, and none of the
loans have subordinate financing.
The pool exhibits a relatively strong credit profile, as shown by
the Fitch-determined 766 weighted average (WA) FICO score (765 per
the transaction documents) as well as the 73.0% combined
loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) and 82.0% sustainable LTV ratio (sLTV).
Fitch viewed the pool as being roughly 79.3% owner occupied, 90.0%
single family, 41.7% purchase and 39.0% to be cashout/limited
cashout refinances (all based on the max draw amount). Based on the
current drawn amount as of the cutoff date, total cashouts are
55.3% based on Fitch's analysis (55.47% per the transaction
documents).
Approximately 12.1% of the pool is concentrated in California, per
Fitch's analysis. The largest MSA concentration is in the Phoenix
MSA (8.7%), followed by the Denver MSA (6.6%) and the Seattle MSA
(5.0%). The top three MSAs account for 20.3% of the pool. As a
result, there was no probability of default (PD) penalty for
geographic concentration.
No Servicer Advancing (Mixed): The servicer will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I. As P&I advances made on behalf
of loans that become delinquent and eventually liquidate reduce
liquidation proceeds to the trust, the loan-level loss severities
(LS) are less for this transaction than for those where the
servicer is obligated to advance P&I.
To provide liquidity and ensure timely interest will be paid to the
'AAAsf' rated notes, principal will need to be used to pay for
interest accrued on delinquent loans. This will result in stress on
the structure and the need for additional credit enhancement (CE)
compared to a pool with limited advancing. These structural
provisions and cash flow priorities, together with increased
subordination, provide for timely payments of interest to the
'AAAsf'' rated class
Sequential Structure (Positive): The proposed structure is a
sequential structure that prioritizes the payment of the more
senior classes first in both the interest and principal waterfall.
In the principal waterfall, unpaid interest on the A-1 is paid
first, which is supportive of the A-1 class receiving timely
interest. In the principal waterfall, after A-1 is paid any unpaid
interest amounts, principal is allocated pro-rata to the trust
certificate and the A-1 (at all times the A-1 is expected to
receive principal payments until it is paid in full). Once A-1 is
paid interest, then unpaid interest and principal are allocated to
the remaining classes sequentially starting with the A-2 class.
If a credit event is in effect, the transaction will still have a
sequential structure for the principal waterfall. However all funds
will go to the A, M, and B classes to pay unpaid interest and then
principal, with the trust certificate being paid after the B-3
class is paid in full.
Losses are allocated reverse sequentially as follows: Realized
losses in respect of the mortgage loans will be applied, through
the application of applied realized loss amounts, (a) on any
payment date on which a credit event is not in effect, by reducing
the residual principal balance of the trust certificates up to the
trust certificates writedown amount for such payment date, until
the residual principal balance of the trust certificates has been
reduced to zero, and then to reduce the note amounts of the offered
notes (other than the class AIOS notes) in reverse sequential order
of principal payments beginning with the class B 3 notes, in each
case until the note amount of such class is reduced to zero, and
(b) on any payment date on which a credit event is in effect, by
reducing the note amount of the notes and the residual principal
balance of the trust certificates in reverse sequential order of
principal payments, beginning with the trust certificates and then
to the class B 3 notes, and so on, in each case, until the residual
principal balance or note amount thereof is reduced to zero.
Excess cash flow in the transaction is not used to pay down the
bonds but is used to repay previously allocated realized losses and
cap carryover amounts.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.3% at 'AAAsf'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Evolve. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on compliance, credit, and valuations. Fitch considered
this information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch did not
make any adjustments to its analysis due to the due diligence
findings. Based on the results of the 49.3% due diligence performed
on the pool, the overall expected loss was reduced by 0.18%.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 49.3% of loans in the pool. The third-party due
diligence was consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
The sponsor engaged Evolve to perform the review on 379 of the
loans in the pool. Loans reviewed under this engagement were given
compliance, credit and valuation grades and assigned initial grades
for each subcategory.
The sponsor also engaged Westcor to perform a review on the 11
seasoned loans in the pool for tax and title which confirmed that
all 11 subject mortgages are recorded in the appropriate recording
jurisdiction, and that for 10 mortgage loans, the title/lien search
confirms the subject mortgage in expected lien position. For one
mortgage loan, the title/lien search does not confirm the subject
mortgage in expected lien position, but a clear title policy
confirms the lien insured in expected lien position.
In addition, the servicer confirmed the pay history for 100% of the
loans in the pool. The servicer confirmed all loans are in the
first lien position and they will advance per standard servicing
practices to maintain the first lien position.
An exception and waiver report was provided to Fitch which
indicated the pool of reviewed loans has a number of exceptions and
waivers. Fitch determined that the exceptions and waivers do not
materially affect the overall credit risk of the loans due to the
presence of compensating factors such as having liquid reserves or
FICO above guideline requirements or LTV or debt-to-income lower
than guideline requirement. Therefore, no adjustments were needed
to compensate for these occurrences.
Fitch utilized data files that were made available by the issuer on
its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. The loan-level information
Fitch received was provided in the American Securitization Forum's
(ASF) data layout format.
The ASF data tape layout was established with input from various
industry participants, including rating agencies, issuers,
originators, investors and others, to produce an industry standard
for the pool-level data in support of the U.S. RMBS securitization
market. The data contained in the data tape layout were reviewed by
the due diligence company, and no material discrepancies were
noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
PRMI 2024-CMG1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to elevated operational risk, which
resulted in an increase in expected losses. While the reviewed
originator and servicing party did not have an impact on the
expected losses, the Tier 2 R&W framework with an unrated
counterparty resulted in an increase in the expected losses. This
has a negative impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
PRPM LLC 2024-RPL2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class M-2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2024-RPL2 (the Notes) to be issued by
PRPM 2024-RPL2, LLC (PRPM 2024-RPL2 or the Trust) as follows:
-- $219.4 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $25.9 million Class A-2 at AA (sf)
-- $25.1 million Class A-3 at A (sf)
-- $34.4 million Class M-1 at BBB (sf)
-- $15.2 million Class M-2 at BB (sf)
The AAA (sf) rating on the Class A-1 Notes reflects 37.40% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (sf), A
(sf), BBB (sf), and BB (sf) ratings reflect 30.00%, 22.85%, 13.05%,
and 8.70% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The Trust is a securitization of seasoned performing and
reperforming, first-lien residential mortgages, to be funded by the
issuance of mortgage-backed notes (the Notes). The Notes are backed
by 2,082 loans with a total principal balance of $350,523,187 as of
the Cut-Off Date (April 30, 2024).
The mortgage loans are approximately 211 months seasoned. As of the
Cut-Off Date, 67.4% of the loans are current under the Mortgage
Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method, including 240 (10.8%
of the loans) bankruptcy-performing loans.
Although the number of months clean (consecutively zero times 30 (0
x 30) days delinquent) at issuance is weaker relative to some other
Morningstar DBRS-rated seasoned transactions, the borrowers in this
pool demonstrate reasonable cash flow velocity (as by number of
payments over time) in the past 12 months. Over the past 12 months,
1,758 loans, or 85.9%, have made six or more payments and 1,600
loans, or 78.4%, have made 12 or more payments.
Modified loans make up 88.4% of the portfolio. The modifications
happened more than two years ago for 90.5% of the modified loans.
Within the pool, 670 mortgages (32.1% of the pool by loan count)
have a total non-interest-bearing deferred amount of $27,171,437,
which equates to approximately 37.3% of the total principal
balance.
To satisfy the credit risk retention requirements, as of the
Closing Date, the Sponsor or a majority-owned affiliate of the
Sponsor, will retain the Class B Notes.
SN Servicing Corporation (SNSC) will service all of the loans in
this transaction. The Servicer will not advance any delinquent
principal and interest (P&I) on the mortgages; however, the
Servicer is obligated to make advances in respect of prior liens,
insurance, real estate taxes, and assessments as well as reasonable
costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing and
disposing of properties.
The Issuer has the option to redeem the Notes in full at a price
equal to the sum of (1) the remaining aggregate Note Amount; (2)
any accrued and unpaid interest due on the Notes through the
redemption date (including any Cap Carryover); and (3) any fees and
expenses of the transaction parties, including any unreimbursed
servicing advances (Redemption Price). Such Optional Redemption may
be exercised on or after the payment date in May 2026.
Additionally, a failure to pay the Notes in full by the Payment
Date in May 2029 will trigger a mandatory auction of the underlying
certificates (mortgage loans). If the auction fails to elicit
sufficient proceeds to make-whole the Notes, another auction will
follow every four months for the first year, and subsequently
auctions will be carried out every six months. If the Asset Manager
fails to conduct the auction, holders of more than 50% of the Class
M-2 Notes will have the right to appoint an auction agent to
conduct the auction.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure with a
bullet feature to Class A-2 and more subordinate notes on either
the Expected Redemption Date or after a Credit Event. P&I
collections are commingled and are first used to pay interest and
any Cap Carryover amount to the Notes sequentially and then to pay
Class A-1 until its balance is reduced to zero, which may provide
for timely payment of interest on certain rated Notes. Class A-2
and below are not entitled to any payments of principal until the
Expected Redemption Date or upon the occurrence of a Credit Event,
except for remaining available funds representing net sales
proceeds of the mortgage loans. Prior to the Expected Redemption
Date or an Event of Default, any available funds remaining after
Class A-1 is paid in full will be deposited into a Redemption
Account. Beginning on the Payment Date in May 2028, the Class A-1
and the other offered Notes will be entitled to its initial Note
Rate plus the step-up note rate of 1.00% per annum. If the Issuer
does not redeem the rated Notes in full by the payment date in July
2031 or an Event of Default occurs and is continuing, a Credit
Event will have occurred. Upon the occurrence of a Credit Event,
accrued interest on Class A-2 and the other offered Notes will be
paid as principal to Class A-1 or the succeeding senior Notes until
it has been paid in full. The redirected amounts will accrue on the
balances of the respective Notes and will later be paid as
principal payments.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Notes addresses the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are Interest Payment Amount, Cap Carryover
Amount, and Note Amount.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Notes also addresses the
credit risk associated with the increased rate of interest
applicable to the Notes if the Notes are not redeemed on the
Expected Redemption Date (as defined in and) in accordance with the
applicable transaction documents.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
RAD CLO 25: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RAD CLO
25, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
RAD CLO 25, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C-1 LT A+sf New Rating
C-2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
RAD CLO 25, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Irradiant Partners, LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.65, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.56. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of 97%
first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery rate
(WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.12% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
68.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-1, between 'B+sf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C-2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf'
for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2,
and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C-1, 'AAsf'
for class C-2, 'A-sf' for class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and
'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 25, Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
READY CAPITAL 2022-FL9: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class G Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. downgraded its credit ratings on one class of notes
issued by Ready Capital Mortgage Financing 2022-FL9, LLC (the
Issuer) as follows:
-- Class F to CCC (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also confirmed its credit ratings on the remaining
classes of notes as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at CCC (sf)
All trends are Stable with the exception of Classes F and G, which
have credit ratings that do not typically carry trends in
commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) credit ratings. In
conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS has published
a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth analysis and
credit metrics for the transaction and with business plan updates
on select loans.
The credit rating downgrade on Class F is the result of ongoing
accumulated interest shortfalls, which have persisted since
November 2023 and have surpassed the maximum Morningstar DBRS
tolerance for the BB or B credit rating category of six months. As
of May 2024 reporting, cumulative interest shortfalls on the Class
F Notes totaled $1.8 million and cumulative interest shortfalls on
Class G total $2.3 million.
The credit rating confirmations on the remaining classes reflect
the overall stable performance on the remaining loan collateral as
borrowers are generally progressing in the stated business plans to
increase property cash flow and value. While there are three loans,
representing 25.7% of the current trust balance, in special
servicing, including the third- and fourth-largest loans in the
transaction, the increased credit support to the bonds as a result
of successful loan repayment serves as a mitigant to the increased
credit risk on these loans. As of the May 2024 remittance, there
has been collateral reduction of 21.1% since issuance.
The initial collateral pool consisted of 25 floating-rate mortgages
secured by 75 transitional properties totaling $754.2 million,
excluding $82.3 million of remaining future funding commitments.
The collateral pool for the transaction is static; however, the
Issuer can acquire funded loan participation interests into the
trust subject to stated criteria and provided the monthly Par Value
Ratio and Interest Coverage Ratio tests are passed. As of May 2024,
the Interest Coverage Ratio test was failed as the ratio was
108.7%, below the minimum 120.0% requirement. The Permitted Funded
Companion Participation Acquisition Period ends with the June 2024
Payment Date, and, as such, the Issuer is unlikely to cure the
failed test prior to the expiration of the Acquisition Period. As
of May 2024 reporting, the Acquisition Account had a minimal
balance of $27.54.
As of the May 2024 remittance, the pool comprises 18 loans secured
by 65 properties with a cumulative trust balance of $603.8 million.
Since issuance, seven loans with a former cumulative trust balance
of $202.1 million have been successfully repaid from the pool,
including three loans, totaling $67.8 million, since the previous
Morningstar DBRS credit rating action in August 2023. The
transaction is concentrated by property type as 17 loans are
secured by multifamily properties, totaling 96.3% of the current
cumulative trust loan balance, while the remaining loan is secured
by a student-housing property.
The loans are primarily secured by properties in suburban markets
with 14 loans, representing 85.6% of the current trust loan
balance, secured by properties in suburban markets, as defined by
Morningstar DBRS, with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 3, 4, or
5. An additional four loans, representing 14.4% of the current
cumulative trust loan balance, are secured by properties with a
Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 6 or 7, denoting an urban market.
Leverage across the pool has also remained consistent as of May
2024 reporting, as the current weighted-average (WA) as-is
appraised loan-to-value ratio (LTV) is 72.1%, with a current WA
stabilized LTV of 65.2%. In comparison, these figures were 71.6%
and 67.4%, respectively, at issuance. Morningstar DBRS recognizes
that select property values may be inflated as the majority of the
individual property appraisals were completed in 2022 and may not
reflect the current rising interest rate or widening capitalization
rate (cap rate) environment. In the analysis for this review,
Morningstar DBRS applied upward LTV adjustments for 15 loans,
representing 91.2% of the current trust balance.
Through May 2024, the lender had advanced cumulative loan future
funding of $32.2 million to 14 of the 18 remaining individual
borrowers to aid in property stabilization efforts. The largest
advance, $10.8 million, has been made to the borrower of the
Premier Apartments and 300 Riverside loan, which is secured by a
portfolio of two multifamily properties totaling 500 units in
Austell, Georgia. Funds were advanced to the borrower to complete
various unit-interior and property wide capital expenditure (capex)
projects across both properties. The loan was structured with
future funding up to $13.0 million for capex with all advanced
funds to date provided to the borrower since July 2023. As of
YE2023 reporting, the portfolio was 79.0% occupied, a continued
increase from the March 2023 occupancy rate of 60.4% and issuance
rate of 50.9%, as the borrower continues to implement its business
plan.
An additional $13.3 million of loan future funding allocated to all
13 individual borrowers remains available. The largest portion of
available funds, $4.0 million, is allocated to the borrower of The
Boulders loan, which is secured by a multifamily property in
Garland, Texas. Future funding is available to the borrower to fund
unit-interior and exterior upgrades across the property. Since loan
closing, the lender has advanced $2.5 million in future funding to
the borrower; however, only an additional $0.3 million has been
advanced since July 2023, suggesting the pace of the originally
planned capex may have slowed significantly. As of the December
2023 rent roll, the property was 92.0% occupied with an average
rental rate of $1,325 per unit, and at YE2023, the property
generated net cash flow (NCF) of $2.4 million. In its original
stabilized analysis, the Issuer projected stabilized metrics of
95.5%, $1,476 per unit, and $3.5 million, respectively.
The largest loan in special servicing, Crescent Ridge (Prospectus
ID#3, 10.2% of the current trust balance), is secured by a 350-unit
multifamily property in Jacksonville, Florida. The borrower's
business plan at closing was to complete an $8.5 million capex
project across the property, including $4.4 million for the
renovation of all unit interiors to allow it to increase rental
rates and occupancy to market. The loan recently transferred to
special servicing in May 2024 as the borrower requested relief.
According to the servicer, negotiations are ongoing with the
borrower regarding a potential loan modification and forbearance.
Potential modification terms, if executed, are expected to include
a maturity date extension, a change in the interest rate, and a
deposit into a debt service reserve. The borrower would also be
expected to make a principal curtailment on the loan and agree to
cash management. According to the March 2024 rent roll, the
property was 82.0% occupied with an average rental rate of $1,503
per unit, an increase of $250 over the average rental rate of
closing, but below the Morningstar DBRS stabilized figure of $1,561
per unit and the Issuer's stabilized figure of $1,801 per unit.
Additional rental revenue upside may be limited as the lender had
advanced loan future funding of $4.9 million to the borrower for
the planned capex from loan closing through May 2024, including
only an additional $0.9 million since July 2023. As such, the
borrower's original business plan is behind schedule. As of YE2023
reporting, the property generated NCF of $2.5 million, implying a
low in-place cap rate of 3.4% based on the originally appraised
As-Is property value of $75.8 million. In its current analysis,
Morningstar DBRS applied upward As-Is and As-Stabilized LTV
adjustments to reflect the increased credit risk on the loan. The
resulting loan expected loss is above the expected loss for the
pool.
The second-largest loan in special servicing, Trails Run Apartments
(Prospectus ID#2; 9.9% of the current trust balance), is secured by
a 312-unit multifamily property in Vernon, Connecticut, built
between 2018 and 2021. The loan transferred to special servicing in
February 2024 for maturity default as the sponsor was unable to
secure take-out financing at the January 2024 maturity date. The
loan was not structured with future funding and the borrower's
business plan was to stabilize operations prior to securing agency
take-out financing. While property cash flow met the required
minimum 6.5% debt yield to exercise the first, six-month extension
option, the borrower did not exercise the option and the loan
remains pending for the February 2024 payment. According to the
special servicer, the property was 97.1% occupied as of December
2023 and it has proposed a loan modification with terms expected to
include a principal curtailment and cash management in exchange for
a maturity extension. A response and potential counter proposal are
pending from the borrower. At loan closing, the property was valued
at $94.0 million, indicative of an LTV of 80.0%, which is slightly
elevated, especially considering the current interest rate
environment. In its current analysis, Morningstar DBRS adjusted the
LTV upwards to reflect the current credit risk of the loan amid the
ongoing resolution process. The resulting loan expected is slightly
above the expected loss for the pool.
As of the May 2024 remittance, there are eight loans on the
servicer's watchlist, representing 30.6% of the current trust
balance. The loans have generally been flagged for low occupancy
rates and debt service coverage ratios (DSCRs). The largest loan on
the servicer's watchlist is the previously mentioned Premier
Apartments and 300 Riverside loan (10.5% of the current trust
balance), which was flagged for a YE2023 DSCR of 0.35 times. The
decline in performance is the result of increased debt service
payments combined with lower occupancy rates and an increase in
operating expenses experienced throughout the renovation process,
which included tenant evictions. According to servicer commentary,
performance is expected to improve as the occupancy rate across the
collateral stabilizes.
Only two loans, representing 11.1% of the current trust balance,
have been modified. The Chronos Portfolio loan (7.5% of the current
trust balance), which is secured by a portfolio of five multifamily
properties totaling 1,070 units throughout the Dallas metropolitan
statistical area, was modified in January 2024 to allow a change in
property management. The Orchard loan (3.7% of the current trust
balance), which is secured by a student housing property in
Columbia, South Carolina, was modified in September 2023 to allow a
preferred equity investment in the property to purchase a
replacement interest rate cap agreement.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
READY CAPITAL 2023-FL12: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to CCC
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on two classes of
commercial mortgage-backed notes issued by Ready Capital Mortgage
Financing 2023-FL12, LLC as follows:
-- Class F to CCC (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G to CCC (sf) from B (low) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed its credit ratings on the
remaining classes as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes D and E to Negative
from Stable. All other trends are Stable with the exception of
Classes F and G, which are assigned credit ratings that do not
typically carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities
(CMBS) transactions. In conjunction with this press release,
Morningstar DBRS has published a Surveillance Performance Update
report with in-depth analysis and credit metrics for the
transaction and with business plan updates on select loans.
The credit rating downgrades on Classes F and G are the result of
ongoing accumulated interest shortfalls, which have persisted since
October 2023 and have surpassed the Morningstar DBRS tolerance for
the BB or B credit rating category of six months. The shortfalls
originally stem from the difference in the floating interest rate
benchmark between the bonds and some of the individual loans in the
transaction. As of May 2024 reporting, cumulative interest
shortfalls on the Class F Notes totaled $1.8 million, and
cumulative interest shortfalls on Class G total $1.7 million.
The Negative trends on Classes D and E reflect the increased credit
risk to the transaction related to the five loans in special
servicing, which include the second- and fifth-largest loans in the
pool and collectively represent 25.1% of the current trust balance.
The borrowers of all five loans have been unable to achieve
meaningful progress in the respective business plans to date with
three loans, representing 9.5% of the current trust balance, at
least two months delinquent on debt service payments as of May 2024
reporting. While all loans have been modified or are in the process
of being modified with select borrowers expected to receive a
forbearance agreement, Morningstar DBRS notes the credit risk on
each asset has materially increased from closing. Additionally,
rated bonds above Class F are now more susceptible to additional
interest shortfalls, a consideration for the Negative trends with
this credit rating action.
The credit rating confirmations on the remaining classes reflect
the overall stable performance on the remaining loan collateral as
borrowers are generally progressing in the stated business plans to
increase property cash flow and value. Additionally, as of the May
2024 remittance, there has been a total collateral reduction of
10.6% since issuance as four loans with a former cumulative trust
loan balance of $74.3 million have successfully repaid from the
pool.
The initial collateral pool consisted of 35 floating-rate mortgage
loans secured by 59 mostly transitional properties with a cut-off
date balance of $648.6 million. The loans were mostly secured by
cash flowing assets, many of which were in a period of transition,
with plans to stabilize and improve the asset value. All loans had
origination dates ranging from December 2019 to May 2023. As of the
May 2024 remittance, the pool comprises 31 loans secured by 54
properties with a cumulative loan balance of $582.1 million.
The pool is concentrated by property type with loans secured by
both multifamily and industrial/flex properties representing 84.1%
and 15.9% of the current pool balance, respectively. The collateral
pool for the transaction is static; however, the issuer can acquire
funded loan participation interests into the trust through the June
2025 Payment Date subject to stated criteria and provided the
monthly Par Value Ratio and Interest Coverage Ratio tests are
passed. As of May 2024, the Interest Coverage Ratio test was failed
as the ratio was 111.0%, below the minimum 120.0% requirement. As
such, the Issuer cannot utilize the outstanding $2.7 million
balance in the Acquisition Account to purchase funded loan
participation interests into the trust at this time.
The loans are primarily secured by properties in suburban markets
with 25 loans, representing 79.1% of the current trust balance
secured by properties in suburban markets, as defined by
Morningstar DBRS, with a Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 3, 4, or
5. An additional four loans, representing 17.0% of the current
cumulative trust balance, are secured by properties with a
Morningstar DBRS Market Rank of 6, 7, and 8, denoting an urban
market.
The largest loan in special servicing, the Appletree Portfolio
(Prospectus ID#2, 9.8% of the current pool balance), is secured by
a portfolio of six multifamily properties (four located in
Columbia, South Carolina, and two located in Memphis, Tennessee)
totaling 933 units. The borrower's business plan at closing was to
invest $11.4 million to renovate all 933 units ($6.5 million),
improve the quality of amenities at the properties ($4.3 million),
and address deferred maintenance items ($0.6 million). The loan
transferred to special servicing in February 2024 for imminent
monetary default. According to the servicer, the borrower has
requested a loan forbearance and modification with terms reportedly
being negotiated. Potential terms are expected to require an equity
injection from the borrower and the nonaccrual of defaulted
interest in exchange for relief.
According to the YE2023 rent roll, the collateral was 72.6%
occupied, with an average rental rate of $963 per unit, a 32.1%
increase from the average in-place figure of $729 per unit at
issuance, but below the Issuer's stabilized figure of $1,045 per
unit. According to an update from the collateral manager, 413 units
have been renovated as of May 2024. According to the YE2023 rent
roll, 72 of the 933 units (approximately 7.7%) are down, likely as
a result of the ongoing renovations. The loan's origination date in
March 2022 and maturity in April 2026 indicate that the borrower's
original business plan is behind schedule. As of the YE2023
reporting, the property generated negative net cash flow (NCF), and
as such, Morningstar DBRS believes the market value of the
portfolio has declined from the original As-Is portfolio value of
$72.2 million derived by the appraiser at loan closing. In its
current analysis, Morningstar DBRS applied an upward loan-to-value
ratio (LTV) and probability of default (POD) adjustments to reflect
the increased credit risk of the loan. The resulting loan expected
loss (EL) was greater than 150.0% times the expected loss for the
pool EL.
The second-largest loan in special servicing, Mission Matthews
Place & Waterford Hills (Prospectus ID#6, 5.8% of the pool), is
secured by a 662-unit two-property portfolio of Class B multifamily
properties in Charlotte, North Carolina. The loan transferred to
special servicing in October 2023 for imminent monetary default. A
loan modification and forbearance was executed in April 2024 with
terms including a pause on interest payments, a $3.0 million equity
injection from the borrower, and a 12-month maturity extension. All
deferred interest amounts are due at the initial August 2025
maturity date.
The borrower's business plan at closing was to spend $5.9 million
to upgrade the interiors of 137 classic units and complete exterior
renovations. According to YE2023 reporting, the portfolio was 85.0%
occupied, below the Issuer's underwritten and projected stabilized
figures of 96.5% and 95.4%, respectively. Average rental rates
increased by 17.2% over issuance to $1,359 per unit as of February
2024, but remain below the Issuer's stabilized figure of $1,502 per
unit. An update on the status of future funding disbursements was
not provided; however, the NCF figure increased to $4.4 million as
of YE2023, from $ 3.7 million at issuance. The figure remains below
the Issuer's stabilized figure of $8.4 million. Given the slow cash
flow growth and the loan's status, Morningstar DBRS applied an
upward adjustment to both the As-is and As-stabilized LTVs as well
as the POD to reflect the increased credit risk of the loan. The
resulting loan expected loss exceeded the overall pool expected
loss by greater than 50.0%.
As of the May 2024 remittance, there were 18 loans on the
servicer's watchlist, representing 53.1% of the current trust
balance. The loans have generally been flagged for low occupancy
rates, low debt service coverage ratios, and upcoming maturities.
The largest loan on the servicer's watchlist is the SAMO Apartments
Portfolio loan (Prospectus ID#1, 10.3% of the pool), which was
flagged for deferred maintenance and the loan's upcoming maturity
in October 2024. Although the loan has exhibited strong cash flow
growth, which now exceeds the projected stabilized figure,
occupancy has fallen below issuance and stabilized levels. The
business plan at closing included a $4.0 million budget to create
22 accessory dwelling units (ADUs) with project financing available
for an $8.0 million loan future funding component as $4.0 million
was available via a performance-based earnout. As of the YE2023
rent roll, a total of 403 units were online, compared with the 399
units available at issuance, but well below the projected unit
count of 421 upon completion of the business plan. It appears the
borrower has funded the cost of the new units out of pocket as only
approximately $40,000 of loan future funding has been advanced to
the borrower since loan closing and none since May 2023. According
to the collateral manager, the right to request any additional
future funding has ceased. The loan was analyzed with upward POD
and LTV adjustments to account for the lack of progress on the
business plan and decreased occupancy levels.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
REALT 2014-1: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on G Certs
-----------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014 1 issued
by Real Estate Asset Liquidity Trust (REALT) Series 2014-1 as
follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class C at AAA (sf)
-- Class X at AAA (sf)
-- Class D at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class E at A (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BBB (sf)
-- Class G to B (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
overall stable performance of the transaction since Morningstar
DBRS' last review in June 2023 and Morningstar DBRS' view that the
remaining seven loans are generally well positioned to be
successfully repaid at their respective maturity dates, all of
which are scheduled by October 2024. The transaction benefits from
a significant concentration of self-storage collateral, which has
historically exhibited strong fundamentals with favorable
refinancing prospects as well as a healthy weighted-average debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.94 times (x) for the pool.
As of the May 2024 remittance, seven of the original 34 loans
remain in the pool with an aggregate principal balance of $54.4
million, representing an 80.6% collateral reduction since issuance
as a result of scheduled loan amortization and payoffs. The
transaction is concentrated by property type with three loans,
representing 50.1% of the pool, secured by retail properties, and
three loans, representing 43.8% of the pool, secured by
self-storage properties. The remaining loan, representing 6.2% of
the pool, is secured by an office property. All seven loans benefit
from some level of material recourse to the loans' sponsor.
As of the May 2024 remittance, no loans are delinquent or in
special servicing. Two loans, representing 19.6% of the pool, are
currently being monitored on the servicer's watchlist for upcoming
maturities in less than 90 days. The larger of the two loans,
Newmarket Plaza (Prospectus ID#12; 13.4% of the pool), is secured
by a 70,000 square foot (sf) anchored retail property in Newmarket,
Ontario. The loan was scheduled to mature in May 2024 and,
according to servicer commentary, the borrower has requested a
three-month maturity extension to allow for additional time to
close on take-out financing. Loan performance has surpassed
issuance levels after rebounding from the lows reported during the
peak of the coronavirus pandemic, with YE2023 net cash flow (NCF)
and DSCR of $1.3 million and 1.87x, respectively, in line with the
YE2022 figures of $1.3 million and 1.90x, respectively. Occupancy
as of YE2023 was reported at 100.0%, an increase from the YE2022
occupancy of 91.8%. Notably, two tenants, representing 15.6% of net
rentable area, are scheduled to roll in H1 2025, however, given the
loan's healthy occupancy and DSCR, Morningstar DBRS believes
refinance prospects remain favorable.
The second loan on the servicer's watchlist, Homer Office Vancouver
(Prospectus ID#24; 6.2% of the pool), is a 19,000 sf office
property in Vancouver. Although Morningstar DBRS remains cautious
regarding the refinancing prospects of loans secured by office
collateral, the subject loan appears reasonably positioned ahead of
its August 2024 maturity date as the property is 100.0% occupied,
according to a property inspection completed in December 2023, with
the majority of tenant rollover occurring in 2027. According to the
financials for the trailing 12-months ended October 31, 2022 (the
most recent on file), the loan reported a DSCR of 1.54x and NCF of
$458,000, in line with 2021 levels and surpassing issuance
expectations.
Notes: All figures are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.
RR 29: S&P Assigns Preliminary BB- (sf) Rating on Class D-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, and D-R replacement debt from RR
29 Ltd./RR 29 LLC, a CLO originally named Gulf Stream Meridian 3
Ltd./Gulf Stream Meridian 3 LLC and issued in February 2021 that is
managed by Redding Ridge Asset Management LLC, a subsidiary of
Apollo Global Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of July 3,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the July 15, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will be extended to July 15, 2026.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to July 15, 2029.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt will be
extended to July 15, 2039.
-- No additional assets will be purchased on the July 15, 2024,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount will remain at
$400 million. There will be no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
Oct. 15, 2024.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios will be amended.
-- An additional $10.77 million in subordinated notes will be
issued on the refinancing date.
-- The concentration limitation of the collateral portfolio's
investment guidelines will be amended.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
RR 29 Ltd./RR 29 LLC
Class A-1-R, $248.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $52.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-R (deferrable), $28.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class C-2-R (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $16.00 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
RR 29 Ltd./RR 29 LLC
Subordinated notes, $45.77 million(i): Not rated
(i)The subordinated notes' balance will be increased to $45.77
million from $35.00 million on the refinancing date.
SANTANDER BANK 2024-A: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to the Santander
Bank Auto Credit-Linked Notes, Series 2024-A (SBCLN 2024-A) notes
issued by Santander Bank, N.A. (SBNA). SBCLN 2024-A is the first
credit linked notes transaction issued by SBNA in 2024 to transfer
credit risk to noteholders through a hypothetical tranched
financial guaranty on a reference pool of auto loans.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Santander Bank, N.A.
Series: Santander Bank Auto Credit-Linked Notes, Series 2024-A
$11,562,000, 5.605%, Class A-2 Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned
Aaa (sf)
$33,529,000, 5.622%, Class B Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3
(sf)
$46,246,000, 5.818%, Class C Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned A3
(sf)
$40,465,000, 6.110%, Class D Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3
(sf)
$28,904,000, 7.762%, Class E Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3
(sf)
$52,027,000, 10.171%, Class F Notes, Definitive Rating Assigned B3
(sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rated notes are fixed-rate obligations secured by a cash
collateral account. There is also a letter of credit in place to
cover up to five months of interest in case of a failure to pay by
Santander Bank, N.A. or as a result of a FDIC conservator or
receivership. This deal is unique in that the source of principal
payments for the notes will be a cash collateral account held by a
third party with a rating of A2 or P-1 by us. SBNA will pay
principal in the unlikely event that the cash collateral account
does not have enough funds. The transaction also benefits from a
Letter of Credit provided by a third party with a rating of A2 or
P-1 by us. As a result, the rated notes are not capped by the LT
Issuer rating of Santander Bank, N.A. (Baa1).
The credit risk exposure of the notes depends on the actual
realized losses incurred by the reference pool. This transaction
has a pro-rata structure, which is more beneficial to the
subordinate bondholders than the typical sequential-pay structure
for US auto loan transactions. However, the subordinate bondholders
will not receive any principal unless performance tests are
satisfied.
The ratings are based on the quality of the underlying collateral
and its expected performance, the strength of the capital
structure, and the experience and expertise of Santander Consumer
USA Inc. as the servicer.
Moody's median cumulative net loss expectation for the 2024-A
reference pool is 3.00% and a loss at a Aaa stress of 12.50%. The
median cumulative net loss at 3.00% for 2024-A is same as that
assigned for 2023-B and the loss at a Aaa stress at 12.50% for
2024-A is 0.50% higher than that assigned for 2023-B, the last
transaction Moody's rated. Moody's based Moody's cumulative net
loss expectation on an analysis of the credit quality of the
underlying collateral; the historical performance of similar
collateral, including securitization performance and managed
portfolio performance; the ability of Santander Consumer USA Inc.
to perform the servicing functions; and current expectations for
the macroeconomic environment during the life of the transaction.
At closing, the Class A-2, B notes, Class C notes, Class D notes,
Class E notes and Class F notes benefit 12.95%, 11.50%, 9.50%,
7.75%, 6.50%, and 4.25% of hard credit enhancement, respectively.
Hard credit enhancement for the notes consists of subordination.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Auto Loan- and Lease-Backed ABS" published in
November 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, and
Class F notes if levels of credit enhancement are higher than
necessary to protect investors against current expectations of
portfolio losses. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the vehicles securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on the US
job market and the market for used vehicles. Other reasons for
better-than-expected performance include changes to servicing
practices that enhance collections or refinancing opportunities
that result in prepayments.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the notes if given current expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
lower ratings. Credit enhancement could decline if realized losses
reduce available subordination. Moody's expectation of pool losses
could rise as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or
deterioration in the value of the vehicles securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on the US
job market, the market for used vehicles, and poor servicing. Other
reasons for worse-than-expected performance include error on the
part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance, and
fraud.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2024-6: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on B4 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2024-6 (SEMT 2024-6).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SEMT 2024-6
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B2 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B3 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B4 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The SEMT 2024-6 certificates are supported by 452 loans with a
total balance of approximately $509.4 million as of the cutoff
date. The pool consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages
acquired by Redwood Residential Acquisition Corp. from various
mortgage originators. Distributions of principal and interest (P&I)
and loss allocations are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
452 loans totaling approximately $509.4 million and seasoned at
approximately three months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch.
The borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted-average
Fitch model FICO score of 773 and 34.8% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio,
and moderate leverage, with an 82.0% sustainable loan-to-value
(sLTV) ratio and 72.7% mark-to-market combined loan-to-value (cLTV)
ratio.
Overall, the pool consists of 92.5% in loans where the borrower
maintains a primary residence, while 7.5% are of a second home;
69.0% of the loans were originated through a retail channel.
Additionally, 100.0% of the loans are designated as qualified
mortgage (QM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.0% above a long-term sustainable level (vs.
11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, flat since last quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% YoY nationally as of February 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure (Negative): The mortgage cash flow and
loss allocation are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure whereby the subordinate classes receive
only scheduled principal and are locked out from receiving
unscheduled principal or prepayments for five years. The lockout
feature helps to maintain subordination for a longer period should
losses occur later in the life of the transaction. The applicable
credit support percentage feature redirects subordinate principal
to classes of higher seniority if specified credit enhancement
levels are not maintained.
Interest Reduction Risk (Negative): The transaction incorporates a
structural feature most commonly used by Redwood's program for
loans more than 120 days delinquent (a stop-advance loan). Unpaid
interest on stop-advance loans reduces the amount of interest that
is contractually due to bondholders in reverse-sequential order.
While this feature helps to limit cash flow leakage to subordinate
bonds, it can result in interest reductions to rated bonds in high
delinquency scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0%, and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 42.2% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Clayton and AMC. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance and property
valuation. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and,
as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to its analysis: a
5% reduction in its loss analysis. This adjustment resulted in a
17bp reduction to the 'AAA' expected loss.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
SEMT 2024-6 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2024-6 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SIGNAL PEAK 11: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Signal Peak CLO 11
Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 11 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by ORIX Advisers LLC, a wholly owned
subsidiary of ORIX Corp. USA.
The ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Signal Peak CLO 11 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 11 LLC
Class A-1, $256.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $20.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $28.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $14.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $10.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $10.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $37.45 million: Not rated
SLM STUDENT 2007-4: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to 'Bsf'
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the SLM Student Loan Trust (SLM)
2003-14, 2005-4 and 2005-5 notes and downgraded the SLM 2007-4 and
2007-5 notes.
The Rating Outlooks for all classes of SLM 2003-14, 2005-4, 2005-5
remain Stable, and classes B-2A and B-2B of SLM 2007-4 were
assigned Stable Rating Outlook. The Outlook is Negative for class
A-5 of SLM 2007-4 and classes A-6 and B-2 of SLM 2007-5.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2007-4
A-5 78444AAE7 LT Asf Downgrade AA+sf
B-2A 78444AAH0 LT Bsf Downgrade BBBsf
B-2B 78444AAJ6 LT Bsf Downgrade BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-4
A-4 78442GPH3 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GPL4 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-14
A-7 78442GKG0 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GKP0 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2005-5
A-5 78442GPR1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78442GPS9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2007-5
A-6 78443FAF4 LT Asf Downgrade AA+sf
B-2 78443FAJ6 LT BBBsf Downgrade Asf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
SLM 2003-14:
Fitch has affirmed the class A-7 notes at 'AA+sf'/Stable. The notes
pass all credit and maturity stresses in Fitch's cashflow modeling.
The legal final maturity date is Oct. 25, 2065. Performance has
remained stable since the prior review with low maturity risk and
sufficient credit enhancement.
Fitch has affirmed the class B notes at 'BBBsf'/Stable. The class B
notes pass credit stresses up to 'BBBsf' and maturity stresses up
to 'Asf'.
SLM 2005-4:
Fitch has affirmed the class A-4 notes at 'AA+sf'/Stable. The notes
pass all credit and maturity stresses. The legal final maturity
date is July 15, 2040. Performance has remained stable since the
prior review with low maturity risk and sufficient credit
enhancement.
Fitch has affirmed the class B notes at 'Asf'/Stable. The class B
notes pass all maturity stresses and credit stresses up to 'AAsf'.
The recommendation is to affirm as the total parity of the notes
does not meet the 101.0% required for 'AAsf', per Fitch FFELP
criteria.
SLM 2005-5:
Fitch has affirmed the class A-5 notes at 'AA+sf'/Stable. The notes
pass all credit and maturity stresses. The legal final maturity
date is Oct. 25, 2040. Performance has remained stable since the
prior review with low maturity risk and sufficient credit
enhancement.
Fitch has affirmed the class B notes at 'BBBsf'/Stable. The class B
notes pass credit and maturity stresses up to 'Asf', facing
principal shortfalls in the 'AAsf' Up credit scenario, along with
failing 'AAsf' and 'AAAsf' Up maturity stress scenarios.
SLM 2007-4:
Fitch has downgraded the class A-5 notes 'Asf' from 'AA+sf'. The
Outlook is Negative Stable. The class A-5 notes pass all credit
stresses and maturity stresses up to 'BBBsf'. The legal final
maturity date is Jan. 27, 2042. Performance has remained stable
since the prior review; however remaining term has increased and
further pressured expected liquidity at maturity. Rating downgrade
maintains one category difference with the Model-Implied Rating
(MIR), as allowed per criteria which allows up to two rating
categories difference in scenarios where the legal final maturity
date is more than seven years away.
The class B notes miss their legal final maturity date of Jan. 27,
2042 under both credit and maturity stresses in Fitch's cashflow
modelling. In downgrading the ratings to 'Bsf' from 'BBBsf'; rather
than 'CCCsf' or below, Fitch has considered qualitative factors
such as Navient's ability to call the notes upon reaching 10% pool
factor, the time horizon until the class A maturity dates, current
rate of amortization, the revolving credit agreements available to
the trusts and the eventual full payment of principal in modeling.
The classes were assigned a Stable Outlook following the
downgrades.
SLM 2007-5:
Fitch has downgraded the class A-6 notes 'Asf' from 'AA+sf'. The
Outlook is Negative. The class A-6 notes pass all credit stresses
and maturity stresses up to 'Asf'. The legal final maturity date is
Jan. 26, 2043. Performance has remained stable since the prior
review; however remaining term has increased and further pressured
expected liquidity at maturity.
The class B-2 notes pass credit stresses up to 'Asf' and maturity
stresses up to 'BBsf'. The recommendation is to downgrade as
supported by cash flow modelling and assign a Negative Outlook,
maintaining a one category difference with the MIR, as allowed per
criteria which allows up to two rating categories difference in
scenarios where the legal final maturity date is more than seven
years away.
The classes of SLM 2007-4 and 2007-5 do not experience a principal
shortfall in Fitch's cashflow modelling. Instead, the downgrades
reflect a reduction in the bonds ability to pay in full prior to or
on the legal final maturity date for each class.
In addition, the sustainable constant prepayment rate (sCPR)
assumption was increased to 10.00% from 8.00% for SLM 2003-14, to
7.50% from 6.50% for 2005-4 and to 8.00% from 7.50% for SLM 2005-5.
Prepayments, including those from loan consolidation, remain higher
than Fitch previously expected and higher than historical levels
for these transactions.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
U.S. Sovereign Risk: The trust collateral comprises 100% Federal
Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans with guaranties
provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the
U.S. Department of Education (ED) for at least 97% of principal and
accrued interest. The U.S. sovereign rating is currently
'AA+'/Stable.
Collateral Performance: For all transactions, Fitch applied the
standard default timing curve in its credit stress cash flow
analysis. Additionally, consolidation from the Public Service Loan
Forgiveness Program, which ended in October 2022, drove the
short-term inflation of the constant prepayment rate (CPR). Further
increases are likely in the short term as borrowers are afforded
special provisions if they consolidate into the Federal Direct loan
program before the end of June. Fitch expects voluntary prepayments
to return to historical levels. The claim reject rate is assumed to
be 0.25% in the base case and 1.65% in the 'AA' case.
SLM 2003-14: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 14.75% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 40.56% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate.
Fitch assumed a sustainable constant default rate (sCDR) of 2.40%,
and revised the sCPR to 10.00% from 8.00% in cash flow modelling.
As of March 2024, the trailing-12-month (TTM) levels of deferment,
forbearance and income-based repayment (IBR; prior to adjustment)
are 2.09% (2.24% at March 31, 2023), 11.72% (10.87%) and 25.91%
(23.75%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 days past due (DPD) have increased and the
91-120 DPD have decreased from March 2023 and are currently 3.48%
for 31 DPD and 1.15% for 91 DPD compared to 2.90% and 1.19% for 31
DPD and 91 DPD, respectively. The borrower benefit is approximately
0.13%, based on information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2005-4: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 12.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 33.69% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate.
Fitch assumed a sCDR of 2.00%, and revised the sCPR to 7.5% from
6.50% in cash flow modelling. As of March 2024, the TTM levels of
deferment, forbearance and IBR are 2.58% (2.42% at March 31, 2023),
10.11% (9.85%) and 16.69% (15.10%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. Both 31-60 DPD and the 91-120 DPD have increased from
March 2023 and are currently 2.30% for 31 DPD and 1.08% for 91 DPD
compared to 2.00% and 0.64% for 31 DPD and 91 DPD, respectively.
The borrower benefit is approximately 0.21%, based on information
provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2005-5: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 17.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 47.44% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate.
Fitch assumed a sCDR of 2.70%, and revised the sCPR to 8.00% from
7.50% in cash flow modelling. As of March 2024, the TTM levels of
deferment, forbearance and IBR are 2.84% (2.94% at March 31, 2023),
12.33% (11.74%) and 19.63% (17.64%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. Both 31-60 DPD and the 91-120 DPD have increased from
March 2023 and are currently 3.02% for 31 DPD and 1.01% for 91 DPD
compared to 2.77% and 0.98% for 31 DPD and 91 DPD, respectively.
The borrower benefit is approximately 0.14%, based on information
provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2007-4: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 25.50% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 70.13% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate.
Fitch assumed a sCDR of 3.20%, and sCPR of 8.50% in cash flow
modelling. As of March 2024, the TTM levels of deferment,
forbearance and IBR are 3.82% (3.76% at March 31, 2023), 16.86%
(16.70%) and 22.07% (20.64%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. both 31-60 DPD and 91-120 DPD have increased from March
2023 and are currently 4.08% for 31 DPD and 1.75% for 91 DPD
compared to 4.06% and 1.23% for 31 DPD and 91 DPD, respectively.
The borrower benefit is approximately 0.09%, based on information
provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2007-5: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 24.00% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 66.00% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate.
Fitch assumed a sCDR of 3.00%, and a sCPR of 8.50% in cash flow
modelling. As of March 2024, the TTM levels of deferment,
forbearance and IBR are 3.75% (4.04% at March 31, 2023), 16.48%
(16.43%) and 24.43% (21.69%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 DPD have decreased and the 91-120 DPD have
increased from March 2023 and are currently 3.86% for 31 DPD and
1.55% for 91 DPD compared to 3.96% and 1.22% for 31 DPD and 91 DPD,
respectively. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.09%, based on
information provided by the sponsor.
Basis and Interest Rate Risk: Basis risk for these transactions
arises from any rate and reset frequency mismatch between interest
rate indices for Special Allowance Payments (SAP) and the
securities. As of the most recent distribution date, approximately
83.56%, 99.65%, 99.76%, 97.88% and 99.27% of the student loans of
SLM 2003-14, 2005-4, 2005-5, 2007-4 and 2007-5, respectively, are
indexed to SOFR, while the remainder are indexed to the 91-day
T-bill rate. Almost all notes are indexed to 90-day Average SOFR
plus the spread adjustment of 0.26161%, while class B of SLM 2007-5
is indexed to 30-day Average SOFR plus the spread adjustment of
0.11448%. Fitch applies its standard basis and interest rate
stresses as per criteria.
Payment Structure: Credit enhancement (CE) is provided by excess
spread, overcollateralization (OC), and for the class A notes,
subordination provided by the class B notes. As of the most recent
distribution date, reported total parity is 100%, 100%, 100%,
99.96% and 99.72% for SLM 2003-14, 2005-4, 2005-5, 2007-4 and
2007-5, respectively. Liquidity support is provided by reserve
funds currently sized at their floors of floors of $3,383,397,
$3,773,732, $3,353,244, $7,500,000 and $3,750,000 for SLM 2003-14,
2005-4, 2005-5, 2007-4 and 2007-5, respectively. All transactions
are releasing cash since target parity or OC levels are met.
Operational Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing for all transactions
is provided by Navient Solutions, LLC. Fitch believes Navient to be
an adequate servicer, due to its extensive track record as the
largest servicer of FFELP loans. Fitch was notified that Navient
entered into a binding letter of intent on Jan. 29, 2024 that will
transition the student loan servicing to MOHELA, a student loan
servicer for government and commercial enterprises. The transition
to MOHELA is not expected to interrupt servicing activities.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
'AA+sf' rated tranches of most FFELP securitizations will likely
move in tandem with the U.S. sovereign rating given the strong
linkage to the U.S. sovereign, by nature of the reinsurance
provided by the ED. Aside from the U.S. sovereign rating, defaults,
basis risk and loan extension risk account for the majority of the
risk embedded in FFELP student loan transactions.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress
sensitivity analysis by increasing or decreasing key assumptions by
25% and 50% over the base case. The credit stress sensitivity is
viewed by stressing both the base case default rate and the basis
spread. The maturity stress sensitivity is viewed by stressing
remaining term, IBR usage and prepayments. The results below should
only be considered as one potential outcome, as the transactions
are exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors and should not be used
as an indicator of possible future performance.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2003-14
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2005-4
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'Bsf'; class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2005-5
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'BBsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Bsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Bsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'BBsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-4
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'BBBsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'BBBsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'BBBsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-5
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'BBsf'; class B 'Bsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'BBBsf'; class B 'BBsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
SLM Student Loan Trust 2003-14
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are already at their highest possible
current and model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- Default decrease 50%: class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class B 'AAsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'Asf';
- CPR increase 50%: class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2005-4
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are already at their highest possible
current and model-implied ratings.
"Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'AAsf';
- Default decrease 50%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class B 'AA+sf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- CPR increase 50%: class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class B 'AA+sf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class B 'AA+sf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2005-5
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are already at their highest possible
current and model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- Default decrease 50%: class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class B 'AAsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'Asf';
- CPR increase 50%: class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'AAsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class B 'AAsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-4
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A 'BBBsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A 'BBsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2007-5
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
TOWD POINT 2015-6: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Cl. B3 Certs to Ba1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 66 bonds issued by Towd
Point Mortgage Trust between 2015 and 2019. The transactions are
backed by seasoned performing and modified re-performing
residential mortgage loans (RPL). The collateral is serviced by
multiple servicers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2015-1
Cl. B1, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2015-2
Cl. 1-B3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2015-3
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
A3 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2015-4
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2015-5
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2015-6
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2016-1
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2016-2
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2016-3
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to B3 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2016-4
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B4, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2016-5
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Mar 16, 2022 Upgraded to
Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B4, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2017-1
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2017-2
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2017-3
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2017-5
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2017-6
Cl. B2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
A3 (sf)
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2018-1
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2018-2
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M2, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2018-5
Cl. A2, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A4, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Feb 7, 2020 Assigned Ca
(sf)
Cl. M1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. M2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2018-6
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to B2 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. B3, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 7, 2020 Assigned C
(sf)
Cl. M1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. M2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 23, 2023 Upgraded to
Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2019-1
Cl. A2, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. A3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Feb 7, 2020 Assigned
Caa1 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Feb 7, 2020 Assigned C
(sf)
Cl. M1, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. M2, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2019-4
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B1A, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B1B, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. M1A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. M1B, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. M2, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa1 (sf)
Cl. M2A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. M2B, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2019-HY1
Cl. B1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2019-HY2
Cl. B1, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. B2, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Mar 16, 2022 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M2, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the recent performance as well as
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of the
related pools, and a one-year increase in credit enhancement of
9.7% on average, for the bonds Moody's upgraded. The loans
underlying the pools have fewer delinquencies and have prepaid at a
faster rate than originally anticipated, resulting in an
improvement of approximately 5.3%, on average, in Moody's loss
projections for the pools since Moody's last review (link above
provides Moody's current estimates).
Moody's analysis also considered the existence of historical
interest shortfalls for some of the bonds. While the majority of
the shortfalls have since been recouped, the size, length and
recency of the past shortfalls, as well as the potential for
recurrence, were analyzed as part of the upgrades.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance. Moody's recent
analysis has found that in addition to robust home price
appreciation, many of these borrower relief programs have
contributed to stronger collateral performance than Moody's had
previously expected, thus supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with
their current ratings, after taking into account the updated
performance information, structural features, credit enhancement
and other qualitative considerations. This includes interest risk
from current or potential missed interest that remain unreimbursed.
Moody's analysis also considered the relationship of exchangeable
bonds to the bonds they could be exchanged for.
Principal Methodologies
The methodologies used in these ratings were "Non-performing and
Re-performing Loan Securitizations" published in April 2024.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
TOWD POINT 2018-SL1: DBRS Hikes Class D-2 Notes Rating to BB
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed two notes and upgraded 13 notes from Towd
Point Asset Trust 2018-SL1 and Towd Point Asset Trust 2021-SL1.
Towd Point Asset Trust 2018-SL1
Class AB Notes AAA (sf) Upgraded
Class B Notes AAA (sf) Upgraded
Class AC Notes AA (sf) Upgraded
Class C Notes AA (sf) Upgraded
Class D-1 Notes BBB (sf) Upgraded
Class D-2 Notes BB (sf) Upgraded
Towd Point Asset Trust 2021-SL1
Class A1 Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
Class A2 Notes AAA (sf) Confirmed
Class AB Notes AA (sf) Upgraded
Class B Notes AA (sf) Upgraded
Class AC Notes A (sf) Upgraded
Class C Notes A (sf) Upgraded
Class D Notes BBB (sf) Upgraded
Class E Notes BB (sf) Upgraded
Class F Notes B(high)(sf) Upgraded
The credit rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated
Sovereigns: March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 pandemic scenarios, which were first published
in April 2020.
-- The upgrades on six classes from Towd Point Asset Trust
2018-SL1 and on seven classes from Towd Point Asset Trust 2021-SL1
are due to increasing credit enhancement and strong multiples
commensurate with the respective credit ratings.
-- Transaction capital structure, current credit ratings, and
sufficient credit enhancement levels.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization,
reserve account, and excess spread with senior notes benefiting
from subordination provided by the junior notes.
-- Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the
Morningstar DBRS-expected default and loss severity assumptions
under various stress scenarios.
-- The transactions parties' capabilities with regard to
origination, underwriting, and servicing.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
TOWD POINT 2024-CES3: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on B2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings to
the Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2024-CES3 (the Notes) issued by Towd
Point Mortgage Trust 2024-CES3 (TPMT 2024-CES3 or the Trust) as
follows:
-- $365.8 million Class A1 at AAA (sf)
-- $35.4 million Class A2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $24.6 million Class M1 at A (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $16.7 million Class B1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $9.3 million Class B2 at B (high) (sf)
-- $16.7 million Class B1A at BB (high) (sf)
-- $16.7 million Class B1AX at BB (high) (sf)
-- $16.7 million Class B1B at BB (high) (sf)
-- $16.7 million Class B1BX at BB (high) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS assigned the following credit ratings to the below
exchangeable notes:
-- $22.1 million Class M2A at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2AX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2B at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2BX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2C at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2CX at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2D at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.1 million Class M2DX at BBB (high) (sf)
The issuer elected to add additional exchangeable notes after
Morningstar DBRS assigned provisional ratings to certain notes.
Class M2A, M2AX, M2B, M2BX, M2C, M2CX, M2D, and M2DX are
exchangeable notes. These classes can be exchanged for
proportionate shares of the Class M2 exchange notes as specified in
the offering documents.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A1 Notes reflects 25.50% of
credit enhancement provided by subordinate Notes. The AA (high)
(sf), A (high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BB (high) (sf), and B (high)
(sf) credit ratings reflect 18.30%, 13.30%, 8.80%, 5.40%, and 3.50%
of credit enhancement, respectively.
This transaction is securitization of a portfolio of fixed, prime
and near-prime, closed-end second-lien (CES) residential mortgages
funded by the issuance of the Asset-Backed Notes, Series 2024-CES3
(the Notes). The Notes are backed by 6,409 mortgage loans with a
total principal balance of $491,034,312 as of the Cut-Off Date
(April 30, 2024).
The portfolio, on average, is four months seasoned, though
seasoning ranges from one to eight months. Borrowers in the pool
represent prime and near-prime credit quality, weighted-average
(WA) Morningstar DBRS-calculated FICO score of 729, Issuer-provided
original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) of 70.3%, and 100%
originated with Issuer-defined full documentation. All the loans
are current and none has been delinquent since origination.
TPMT 2024-CES3 represents the fifth CES securitization by FirstKey
Mortgage, LLC and second by CRM 1 Sponsor, LLC. Spring EQ, LLC
(49.7%), Rocket Mortgage, LLC (Rocket; 21.7%), and PennyMac Loan
Services, LLC (PennyMac; 15.5%) are the top originators for the
mortgage pool. The remaining originator comprises less than 15% of
the mortgage loans.
Newrez, LLC d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (49.7%), Rocket
(21.7%), PennyMac (15.5%), and Nationstar Mortgage LLC d/b/a Mr.
Cooper (13.1%) are the Servicers of the loans in this transaction.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (rated AA (high) with
a Negative trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Indenture
Trustee, Administrative Trustee, and Administrator. U.S. Bank
National Association and Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated
BBB with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the
Custodians.
CRM 1 Sponsor, LLC (CRM) will acquire the loans from various
transferring trusts on the Closing Date. The transferring trusts
acquired the mortgage loans from the Originators. CRM and the
transferring trusts are beneficially owned by funds managed by
affiliates of Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. Upon acquiring the
loans from the transferring trusts, CRM will transfer the loans to
CRM 1 Depositor, LLC (the Depositor). The Depositor in turn will
transfer the loans to Towd Point Mortgage Grantor Trust 2024-CES3
(the Grantor Trust). The Grantor Trust will issue two classes of
certificates: P&I Grantor Trust Certificate and IO Grantor Trust
Certificate. The Grantor Trust certificates will be issued in the
name of the Issuer. The Issuer will pledge P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate with the Indenture Trustee and will be the primary
asset of the Trust. As the Sponsor, CRM, through one or more
majority-owned affiliates, will acquire and retain a 5% eligible
vertical interest in each class of securities to be issued (other
than any residual certificates) to satisfy the credit risk
retention requirements.
Although the mortgage loans were originated to satisfy the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau's Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules, they
were made to borrowers who generally do not qualify for agency,
government, or private-label nonagency prime jumbo products for
various reasons. In accordance with the Qualified Mortgage (QM)/ATR
rules, 35.1% of the loans are designated as non-QM, 25.2% are
designated as QM Rebuttable Presumption, and 37.7% are designated
as QM Safe Harbor. Approximately 2.0% of the mortgages are loans
made to investors for business purposes and were not subject to the
QM/ATR rules.
There will not be any advancing of delinquent principal or interest
on any mortgages by the Servicers or any other party to the
transaction. In addition, the related servicer is not obligated to
make advances in respect of homeowner association fees, taxes, and
insurance, installment payments on energy improvement liens, and
reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing
and disposing of properties unless a determination is made that
there will be material recoveries.
For this transaction, any loan that is 150 days delinquent under
the Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) delinquency method
(equivalent to 180 days delinquent under the Mortgage Bankers
Association delinquency method), upon review by the related
Servicer, may be considered a Charged Off Loan. With respect to a
Charged Off Loan, the total unpaid principal balance will be
considered a realized loss and will be allocated reverse
sequentially to the Noteholders. If there are any subsequent
recoveries for such Charged Off Loans, the recoveries will be
included in the principal remittance amount and applied in
accordance with the principal distribution waterfall; in addition,
any class principal balances of Notes that have been previously
reduced by allocation of such realized losses may be increased by
such recoveries sequentially in order of seniority. Morningstar
DBRS' analysis assumes reduced recoveries upon default on loans in
this pool.
This transaction incorporates a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
Principal proceeds and excess interest can be used to cover
interest shortfalls on the Notes, but such shortfalls on Class A2
and more subordinate bonds will not be paid from principal proceeds
until the Class A1 Notes are retired.
On or after (1) the payment date in May 2027 or (2) the first
payment date when the aggregate pool balance of the mortgage loans
(other than the Charged Off Loans and the REO properties) is
reduced to less than 30.0% of the Cut-Off Date balance, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate so long as the aggregate proceeds from such purchase
exceeds the minimum price (Optional Redemption). Minimum price will
at least equal sum of (A) class balances of the Notes plus the
accrued interest and unpaid interest, (B) any fees, expenses, and
indemnification amounts, and (C) accrued and unpaid amounts owed to
the Class X Certificates minus the Class AX distributable amount.
On or after the first payment date on which the aggregate pool
balance of the mortgage loans and the REO properties is less than
10% of the aggregate pool balance as of the Cut-Off Date, the call
option holder will have the option to purchase P&I Grantor Trust
Certificate at the minimum price (Clean-Up Call).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Current Interest, Interest Shortfall, and the related Class
Principal Balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Class A1, Class A2, Class
M1, and Class M2 Notes also address the credit risk associated with
the increased rate of interest applicable if the Class A1, Class
A2, Class M1, and Class M2 Notes remain outstanding on or after the
payment date in June 2028 in accordance with the applicable
transaction document(s).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, in this transaction, Morningstar DBRS'
credit ratings do not address the payment of any Net WAC
Shortfall.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
TRINITAS CLO XXIX: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Trinitas CLO XXIX
Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXIX LLC's floating- and fixed-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Trinitas Capital Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XXIX Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXIX LLC
Class A-1, $310.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $15.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $50.000 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $5.000 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $30.000 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $27.500 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $6.250 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $15.000 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $47.625 million: Not rated
TX TRUST 2024-HOU: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class HRR Certs
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-HOU (the Certificates) to be issued by TX Trust 2024-HOU (TX
2024-HOU or the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D at A (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The collateral for the Trust includes the borrower's fee-simple
interest in the Marriott Marquis Houston property (the Hotel),
encompassing 1,000 keys. The subject mortgage loan of $325.0
million will retire approximately $319.9 million of existing debt
and cover closing costs of approximately $5.1 million. The first
mortgage loan is a two-year floating-rate interest-only mortgage
loan, with three one-year extension options. The floating rate for
the mortgage loan will be based on the one-month Secured Overnight
Financing Rate (SOFR) plus the initial weighted-average component
spread of approximately 3.178%. The borrower will be required to
purchase an interest rate cap agreement, with a one-month Term SOFR
strike price of no greater than 6.000%.
The Hotel was built and opened for business in 2016, and is well
situated within the Houston central business district. The property
is connected via a skybridge to the 1.9 million-square-foot (sf)
George R. Brown Convention Center. Adjacent to the Hotel is
Discovery Green, a 12-acre urban park that offers outdoor skating,
fitness, concerts, art, and more. Additionally, the subject is
close to stadiums for three major Houston sports teams: Minute Maid
Park is the home of the Houston Astros, Toyota Center is the home
of the Houston Rockets, and Shell Energy Stadium is the home of the
Houston Dynamo FC. Altogether, the three venues host nearly 200
sporting events and concerts annually. The centrally located Hotel
comprises 960 guest rooms and 40 suites, and boasts Houston's
largest ballroom (39,295 sf), as part of its nearly 153,000 sf of
meeting space across 52 spaces. The subject's robust amenity
package consists of a rooftop terrace with cabanas, an infinity
pool, a lazy river designed in the shape of Texas, eight food and
beverage (F&B) outlets, a 5,000-sf spa, and a state-of-the-art
fitness center.
The loan is sponsored by an affiliate of RIDA Development
Corporation (RIDA). RIDA was founded in 1972 and serves as a
full-service commercial real estate organization. RIDA's corporate
headquarters is on the fifth floor of the subject, with regional
offices in Orlando, San Diego, and Warsaw, Poland. RIDA is
experienced with convention hotels. RIDA's prior convention hotel
developments include the 1,424-room Hilton Orlando, 1,008-room Omni
Champions Gate, and 1,501-room Gaylord Rockies Resort & Convention
Center, among others. RIDA is also currently developing the
1,600-room Gaylord Pacific Resort & Convention Center in Chula
Vista, California. The Hotel is managed by Marriott International,
with a management agreement extending through December 2046 with
two automatic 10-year extension options.
The City of Houston requested proposals for a new hotel development
in 2012, which the sponsor ultimately won with its then private
equity partner for a Marriott-branded hotel with unique amenities.
Completed in 2016, the subject served as the host hotel for the
2017 Super Bowl. The sponsor has shown their commitment to the
property by purchasing their private equity development partner's
approximate 45% stake in the Hotel in September 2019 as well as
carrying the Hotel through when its performance was meaningfully
affected by the pandemic. Since development, the sponsor invested
approximately $1.2 million to add a second F&B outlet on the
leisure deck. The sponsor's future plans include an elective
capital improvement plan that involves renovating all 1,000 keys in
summer 2025. The planned room renovations will include upgrades to
the soft goods and painting walls to make the rooms feels lighter
and brighter. Although the $13.9 million planned renovation is
expected to be funded through the furniture, fixtures, and
equipment Reserve balance, there aren't any guarantees in place
that such renovations will be completed as described or at all.
In 2019, prior to the pandemic, the subject reported an occupancy
rate of 76.5% and an average daily rate (ADR) of $208.17 for a
revenue per available room (RevPAR) of $159.22. While occupancy has
declined, the sponsor has been successful in recovering ADR and
RevPAR to above their pre-pandemic levels. The property achieved a
RevPAR of $172.61 as of the trailing 12 months ended March 31, 2024
(T-12 2024), after the pandemic-affected RevPAR of $56.13 in 2020.
The property performance for the T-12 2024 is 8.4% above
pre-pandemic levels, based on the 2019 RevPAR of $159.22.
Morningstar DBRS believes the strong recent performance is at least
partially due to a higher transient proportion in the hotel
segmentation as a result of the pent-up demand because of the
pandemic-related restrictions and therefore Morningstar DBRS
believes room rates will normalize. The location, management
initiatives, and experienced sponsorship should allow for modest
growth above pre-pandemic levels. Morningstar DBRS concluded a
stabilized RevPAR of $169.13 that is 6.2% above the 2019 level;
however, it is 2.0% lower than the T-12 2024 level.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
UBS-BARCLAYS COMMERCIAL 2012-C2: Moody's Cuts EC Certs to Ca
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings on three classes and
downgraded the ratings on one class in UBS-Barclays Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2012-C2, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2012-C2:
Cl. B-EC, Affirmed Caa3 (sf); previously on May 31, 2023 Downgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. C-EC, Affirmed C (sf); previously on May 31, 2023 Downgraded to
C (sf)
Cl. EC, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on May 31, 2023
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. X-B*, Affirmed C (sf); previously on May 31, 2023 Affirmed C
(sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings on two P&I classes were affirmed because the ratings
are consistent with expected recovery of principal and interest
shortfall risks from the sole remaining specially serviced loan.
The remaining special serviced loan was deemed non-recoverable by
the master servicer as of the June 2024 remittance statement and
interest shortfalls would likely increase if the specially serviced
loan becomes delinquent on any debt service payments or the
performance of the loan declines. Furthermore, Cl. C-EC has already
realized a 42% realized loss based on its original balance.
The ratings on IO class, Cl. X-B, was affirmed based on the credit
quality of its referenced classes.
The ratings on exchangeable class, Cl. EC was downgraded due to the
decline in the credit quality of its reference classes resulting
from principal paydowns of higher quality reference classes. Cl. EC
originally referenced Classes A-S-EC, B-EC and C-EC, however, Cl.
A-S-EC has previously paid off in full.
Moody's regard e-commerce competition as a social risk under
Moody's ESG framework. The rise in e-commerce and changing consumer
behavior presents challenges to brick-and-mortar discretionary
retailers.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 42.4% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 48.9% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 17.0% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 16.4% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or a significant improvement in
pool performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced loans or interest
shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Large Loan and Single Asset/Single
Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitizations Methodology"
published in July 2022.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2024 distribution date, the transaction's aggregate
certificate balance has decreased by 95% to $61.4 million from
$1.22 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by one mortgage loan that is currently in special
servicing and has passed its original scheduled maturity date.
Seven loans have been liquidated from the pool, resulting in the
realized loss of $180.4 million (for an average loss severity of
75%). As a result of previously liquidated loans, Cl. C-EC has
already realized a 42% realized loss based on its original balance
and all classes subordinate to Cl. C-EC have experienced a 100%
loss.
The only remaining loan currently in special servicing is the
Southland Center Mall Loan ($61.4 million – 100% of the pool),
which is secured by a 611,000 SF portion of a 903,500 SF
super-regional mall located in Taylor, Michigan. The mall is
currently anchored by Macy's (non-collateral) and JC Penney. Other
major tenants include Best Buy and a 12-screen, all-digital,
Cinemark multiplex theater. The property's net operating income
(NOI) has generally declined since 2019 but remains above levels at
securitization. The full-year 2023 NOI was 16% higher than at
securitization and essentially in-line with 2022 performance. The
loan has amortized 22% since securitization and the NOI DSCR as of
December 2023 was 1.92X based on a 5.1% interest rate and
amortizing payments. The loan sponsor is Brookfield Properties. The
loan transferred to special servicing in June 2022 and was
previously extended through July 2023 but was unable to payoff at
its extended maturity date. As of the June 2024 remittance
statement, the loan is current and is being monitored in special
servicing with a recommended short-term forbearance. The most
recent appraisal value from August 2023 valued the property 43%
below the value at securitization but slightly above the current
outstanding loan balance. The master servicer has already deemed
this loan non-recoverable, so there would likely be no further
advances if the loan becomes delinquent on debt service payments.
Furthermore, the loan has been unable to payoff for several years
and due to the property type, historical performance trends, higher
interest rate environment and the continued maturity default, the
loan has potential for higher anticipated losses.
UNISON TRUST 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class B Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes issued by Unison Trust 2024-1 (UNSN
2024-1 or the Transaction):
-- $110.8 million Class A Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $12.9 million Class B Notes at BB (sf)
The BBB (sf) rating reflects credit enhancement of 48.7% for the
Class A Notes, and the BB (sf) rating reflects credit enhancement
of 42.7% for the Class B Notes.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS did not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
Home equity investments (HEIs) allow homeowners access to the
equity in their homes without the homeowners having to sell their
homes or make monthly mortgage payments. HEIs provide homeowners
with an alternative to borrowing and are available to homeowners of
any age (unlike reverse mortgage loans, for example, for which
there is often a minimum age requirement). A homeowner receives an
upfront cash payment (an Advance or an Investment Amount) in
exchange for giving an Investor (i.e., an Originator) a stake in
their property. The homeowner retains sole right of occupancy of
the property and pays all upkeep and expenses during the term of
the HEI, but the Originator earns an investment return based on the
future value of the property. Some HEI programs include a returns
cap, but no caps exist in UNSN 2024-1.
Like reverse mortgage loans, the HEI underwriting approach is
asset-based, meaning there is greater emphasis placed on the value
of the underlying property and the amount of home equity than on
the credit quality of the homeowner. The property value is the main
focus for predicting investment return because it is the primary
source of funds to satisfy the obligation. HEIs are nonrecourse; in
a default situation a homeowner is not required to provide
additional funds when the HEI settlement amount exceeds the
remaining equity value in the property (after accounting for any
other obligations such as senior liens, if applicable). Recovery of
the Investment Amount and any Originator return is primarily
subject to the amount of appreciation/depreciation on the property,
the amount of debt that may be senior to the HEI, and the cap on
investor return, if applicable.
As of the cut-off date, 61 contracts in the transaction are
first-lien contracts, representing roughly $5.91 million in
original investment payment; 773 are second-lien contracts,
representing roughly $62.55 million in original investment payment;
123 are third-lien contracts, representing roughly $12.36 million
in original investment payment; and eight are fourth-lien
contracts, representing roughly $0.71 million in original
investment payment.
Of the pool, 7.25% of the contracts by original investment amount
are first lien and have a weighted-average original sensitivity
ratio* of 3.97, 76.73% are second-lien contracts and have a
weighted-average original sensitivity ratio of 3.95, 15.16% of the
pool are third-lien contracts with a weighted-average original
sensitivity ratio of 3.99, and the remaining 0.87% of the pool are
fourth-lien contracts and have a weighted-average original
sensitivity ratio of 4.00. This brings the entire transaction's
weighted-average sensitivity ratio to 3.96. To better understand
the impact and mechanics of sensitivity ratio, please see the
example below, in the Contract Mechanics—Worked Example section.
The current unadjusted loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of the pool is
39.96% (i.e., of senior liens ahead of the contracts). At cut-off,
the pool had a weighted-average original option-to-value (OTV) of
15.23%, and a weighted-average original loan-plus-option-to-value
(LOTV) of 71.23%.
The transaction uses a sequential structure in which cash
distributions are first made to reduce the Interest Amount and Cap
Carryover Amount on Class A Notes. Payments are then made to the
Note Amount of Class A Notes until such notes are reduced to zero
followed by payments to reduce the Additional Accrued Amounts for
the Class A Notes that accrued on any earlier payment date but have
not been paid until the Additional Accrued Amounts are reduced to
zero. The Class B Notes are full accrual notes and will not be
entitled to receive any payments of principal until the Class A
Notes and Class A Additional Accrued Amounts have been paid in
full. Payments will not be made to the Class B Notes unless and
until an Optional Redemption, Clean-Up Call, Auction Proceeds
Redemption, or Indenture Default. Upon an Optional Redemption,
Clean-Up Call, Auction Proceeds Redemption, or Indenture Default,
payments are made to the aggregate Note Amount on the outstanding
notes.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated notes are the related
Note Amounts. In addition, the associated financial obligations for
the Class A Notes include the related Cap Carryover and Interest
Amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, the credit ratings on the notes do not
address Additional Accrued Amounts based on their position in the
cash flow waterfall.
Morningstar DBRS's long-term credit ratings provide opinions on
risk of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be
the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial
obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term
obligation has been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt
rating scale provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will
not meet its short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
VELOCITY COMMERCIAL 2024-3: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on 3 Classes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
Mortgage-Backed Certificates, Series 2024-3 (the Certificates)
issued by Velocity Commercial Capital Loan Trust 2024-3 (VCC 2024-3
or the Issuer) as follows:
-- $140.3 million Class A at AAA (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class M-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $10.8 million Class M-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $19.5 million Class M-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $17.1 million Class M-4 at BB (sf)
-- $4.2 million Class M-5 at B (high) (sf)
-- $140.3 million Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- $140.3 million Class A-IO at AAA (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class M1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $12.7 million Class M1-IO at AA (low) (sf)
-- $10.8 million Class M2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $10.8 million Class M2-IO at A (low) (sf)
-- $19.5 million Class M-3A at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $19.5 million Class M3-IO at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $17.1 million Class M4-A at BB (sf)
-- $17.1 million Class M4-IO at BB (sf)
-- $4.2 million Class M5-A at B (high) (sf)
-- $4.2 million Class M5-IO at B (high) (sf)
Classes A-IO, M1-IO, M2-IO, M3-IO, M4-IO, and M5-IO are
interest-only (IO) certificates. The class balances represent
notional amounts.
Classes A, M-1, M-2, M-3, M-4, and M-5 are exchangeable
certificates. These classes can be exchanged for combinations of
initial exchangeable certificates as specified in the offering
documents.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Certificates reflect 33.15% of
credit enhancement (CE) provided by subordinated certificates. The
AA (low) (sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (sf), and B (high)
(sf) credit ratings reflect 27.10%, 21.95%, 12.65%, 4.50%, and
2.50% of CE, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
VCC 2024-3 is a securitization of a portfolio of newly originated
and seasoned fixed- and adjustable-rate, first-lien residential
mortgages collateralized by investor properties with one to four
units (residential investor loans) and small-balance commercial
mortgages (SBC) collateralized by various types of commercial,
multifamily rental, and mixed-use properties. Nine of these loans
were originated through the U.S. Small Business Administration's
(SBA) 504 loan program and are backed by first-lien, owner-occupied
commercial real estate (CRE). The securitization is funded by the
issuance of the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 590
mortgage loans with a total principal balance of $209,854,567 as of
the Cut-Off Date (May 1, 2024).
The pool comprises approximately 45.3% in residential investor
loans, about 50.7% in traditional SBC loans, and about 4.0% in the
SBA's 504 loans mentioned above. Most of the loans in this
securitization (87.7%) were originated by Velocity Commercial
Capital, LLC (Velocity or VCC). Seventeen loans (8.6%) were
originated by New Day Commercial Capital, LLC, which is a wholly
owned subsidiary of Velocity Commercial Capital, LLC, which is
wholly owned by Velocity Financial, Inc. Twenty-one of the loans
(3.7%) were originated by another party and acquired in accordance
with Velocity's guidelines.
The loans were generally underwritten to program guidelines for
business-purpose loans where the lender generally expects the
property (or its value) to be the primary source of repayment (with
the exception being the nine SBA 504 loans, which, per SBA
guidelines, were underwritten to the small business cash flows,
rather than to the property value). For all of the New Day
originated loans, underwriting was based on business cash flows,
but the loans were secured by real estate. For the SBC and
residential investor loans, the lender reviews the mortgagor's
credit profile, though it does not rely on the borrower's income to
make its credit decision. However, the lender considers the
property-level cash flows or minimum debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR) in underwriting SBC loans with balances more than $750,000
for purchase transactions and more than $500,000 for refinance
transactions. Because the loans were made to investors for business
purposes, they are exempt from the Consumer Financial Protection
Bureau's Ability-to-Repay rules and TILA-RESPA Integrated
Disclosure rule.
On January 5, 2024, a suit was filed in the U.S. District Court for
the Central District of California by Harvest Small Business
Finance, LLC and Harvest Commercial Capital, LLC against certain
employees of New Day Business Finance LLC and VCC doing business as
New Day alleging violations of the Defend Trade Secrets Act, the
California Uniform Trade Secrets Act, and the California Unfair
Competition Law. New Day has indicated that it does not believe
that this suit is material.
PHH Mortgage Corporation (PMC) will service all loans within the
pool for a servicing fee of 0.30% per annum. New Day will act as
subservicer for the 17 New Day originated loans (including the nine
SBA 504 loans), and PMC will also act as the Backup Servicer for
these loans. In the event that New Day fails to service these loans
in accordance with the related subservicing agreement, PMC will
terminate the subservicing agreement and commence directly
servicing such mortgage loans within 30 days. In addition, Velocity
will act as a Special Servicer servicing the loans that defaulted
or became 60 or more days delinquent under the Mortgage Bankers
Association (MBA) method and other loans, as defined in the
transaction documents (Specially Serviced Mortgage Loans). The
Special Servicer will be entitled to receive compensation based on
an annual fee of 0.75% and the balance of Specially Serviced Loans.
Also, the Special Servicer is entitled to a liquidation fee equal
to 2.00% of the net proceeds from the liquidation of a Specially
Serviced Mortgage Loan, as described in the transaction documents.
The Servicer will fund advances of delinquent principal and
interest (P&I) until the advances are deemed unrecoverable. Also,
the Servicer is obligated to make advances with respect to taxes,
insurance premiums, and reasonable costs incurred in the course of
servicing and disposing properties.
U.S. Bank National Association (rated AA (high) with a Negative
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Custodian. U.S. Bank
Trust Company, National Association (rated AA (high) with a
Negative trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as the Trustee.
The Seller, directly or indirectly through a majority-owned
affiliate, is expected to retain an eligible horizontal residual
interest consisting of the Class XS Certificates, collectively
representing at least 5% of the fair value of all Certificates, to
satisfy the credit risk-retention requirements under Section 15G of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the regulations promulgated
thereunder. Such retention aligns Sponsor and investor interest in
the capital structure.
On or after the later of (1) the three-year anniversary of the
Closing Date or (2) the date when the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans is reduced to 30% of the Closing Date
balance, the Depositor may purchase all outstanding Certificates
(Optional Purchase) at a price equal to the sum of the remaining
aggregate balance of the Certificates plus accrued and unpaid
interest and any fees, expenses, and indemnity payments due and
unpaid to the transaction parties, including any unreimbursed P&I
and servicing advances and other amounts due as applicable. The
Optional Purchase will be conducted concurrently with a qualified
liquidation of the Issuer.
Additionally, if on any date on which the unpaid mortgage loan
balance and the value of real estate owned (REO) properties has
declined to less than 10% of the initial mortgage loan balance as
of the Cut-off Date, the Directing Holder, the Special Servicer, or
the Servicer, in that order of priority, may purchase all of the
mortgages, REO properties, and any other properties from the Issuer
(Optional Termination) at a price specified in the transaction
documents. The Optional Termination will be conducted as a
qualified liquidation of the Issuer. The Directing Holder
(initially, the Seller) is the representative selected by the
holders of more than 50% of the Class XS certificates (the
Controlling Class).
The transaction uses a structure sometimes referred to as a
modified pro rata structure. Prior to the Class A CE falling below
10.0% of the loan balance as of the Cut-off Date (Class A Minimum
CE Event), the principal distributions allow for amortization of
all senior and subordinate bonds based on CE targets set at
different levels for performing (same CE as at issuance) and
nonperforming (higher CE than at issuance) loans. Each class's
target principal balance is determined based on the CE targets and
the performing and nonperforming (those that are 90 or more days
MBA delinquent, in foreclosure and REO, and subject to a servicing
modification within the prior 12 months) loan amounts. As such, the
principal payments are paid on a pro rata basis, up to each class's
target principal balance, so long as no loans in the pool are
nonperforming. If the share of nonperforming loans grows, the
corresponding CE target increases. Thus, the principal payment
amount increases for the senior and senior subordinate classes and
falls for the more subordinate bonds. The goal is to distribute the
appropriate amount of principal to the senior and subordinate bonds
each month to always maintain the desired level of CE, based on the
performing and nonperforming pool percentages. After the Class A
Minimum CE Event, the principal distributions are made
sequentially.
Relative to the sequential pay structure, the modified pro rata
structure is more sensitive to the timing of the projected defaults
and losses as the losses may be applied at a time when the amount
of credit support is reduced as the bonds' principal balances
amortize over the life of the transaction. That said, the excess
spread can be used to cover realized losses after being allocated
to the unpaid net weighted-average coupon shortfalls (Net WAC Rate
Carryover Amounts). Please see the Cash Flow Structure and Features
section of the report for more details.
COMMERICAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES (CMBS) METHODOLOGY - SMALL
BALANCE COMMERICAL (SBC) LOANS
The collateral for the SBC portion of the pool consists of 227
individual loans secured by 227 commercial and multifamily
properties with an average cut-off date loan balance of $468,825.
None of the mortgage loans are cross collateralized or cross
defaulted with each other. Given the complexity of the structure
and granularity of the pool, Morningstar DBRS applied its "North
American CMBS Multi-Borrower Rating Methodology" (the CMBS
Methodology).
The CMBS loans have a weighted-average (WA) fixed interest rate of
11.7%. This is approximately 10 basis points (bps) higher than the
VCC 2024-2 transaction, 10 bps higher than the VCC 2024-1
transaction, 20 bps lower than the VCC 2023-4 transaction, 30 bps
lower than the VCC 2023-3 transaction, 30 bps higher than the VCC
2023-2 transaction, 120 bps higher than the VCC 2023-1 transaction,
240 bps higher than the VCC 2022-5 transaction, and more than 340
bps higher than the VCC 2022-4, VCC 2022-3, and VCC 2022-2
transactions, highlighting the recent increase in interest rates.
Most of the loans have original term lengths of 30 years and fully
amortize over 30-year schedules. However, seven loans, which
represent 2.2% of the SBC pool, have an initial IO period of 60 or
120 months.
All of the SBC loans were originated between August 2018 and April
2024 (100.0% of the cut-off date pool balance), resulting in a WA
seasoning of 0.7 months. The SBC pool has a WA original term length
of 357 months, or approximately 30 years. Based on the current loan
amount, which reflects 30 bps of amortization, and the current
appraised values, the SBC pool has a WA loan-to-value ratio (LTV)
of 60.9%. However, Morningstar DBRS made LTV adjustments to 30
loans that had an implied capitalization rate of more than 200 bps
lower than a set of minimal capitalization rates established by the
Morningstar DBRS Market Rank. The Morningstar DBRS minimum
capitalization rates range from 5.0% for properties in Market Rank
8 to 8.0% for properties in Market Rank 1. This resulted in a
higher Morningstar DBRS LTV of 66.2%. Lastly, all loans fully
amortize over their respective remaining terms, resulting in 100%
expected amortization; this amount of amortization is greater than
what is typical for CMBS conduit pools. Morningstar DBRS' research
indicates that, for CMBS conduit transactions securitized between
2000 and 2021, average amortization by year has ranged between 6.5%
and 22.0%, with a median rate of 16.5%.
As contemplated and explained in Morningstar DBRS' "Rating North
American CMBS Interest-Only Certificates" methodology, the most
significant risk to an IO cash flow stream is term default risk. As
Morningstar DBRS noted in the methodology, for a pool of
approximately 63,000 CMBS loans that had fully cycled through to
their maturity defaults, the average total default rate across all
property types was approximately 17%, the refinance default rate
was 6% (approximately one-third of the total default rate), and the
term default rate was approximately 11%. Morningstar DBRS
recognizes the muted impact of refinance risk on IO certificates by
notching the IO credit rating up by one notch from the Reference
Obligation credit rating. When using the 10-year Idealized Default
Table default probability to derive a probably of default (POD) for
a CMBS bond from its credit rating, Morningstar DBRS estimates
that, in general, a one-third reduction in the CMBS Reference
Obligation POD maps to a tranche credit rating that is
approximately one notch higher than the Reference Obligation or the
Applicable Reference Obligation, whichever is appropriate.
Therefore, similar logic regarding term default risk supported the
rationale for Morningstar DBRS to reduce the POD in the CMBS
Insight Model by one notch because refinance risk is largely absent
for this SBC pool of loans.
The Morningstar DBRS CMBS Insight Model does not contemplate the
ability to prepay loans, which is generally seen as credit positive
because a prepaid loan cannot default. The CMBS predictive model
was calibrated using loans that have prepayment lockout features.
Those loans' historical prepayment performance is close to a 0%
conditional prepayment rate. If the CMBS predictive model had an
expectation of prepayments, Morningstar DBRS would expect the
default levels to be reduced. Any loan that prepays is removed from
the pool and can no longer default. This collateral pool does not
have any prepayment lockout features, and Morningstar DBRS expects
this pool will have prepayments over the remainder of the
transaction. Morningstar DBRS applied a 5.0% reduction to the
cumulative default assumptions to provide credit for expected
payments. The assumption reflects Morningstar DBRS' opinion that,
in a rising interest rate environment, fewer borrowers may elect to
prepay their loan.
As a result of higher interest rate and lending spreads, the SBC
pool has a significant increase in interest rates compared with
prior VCC transactions. Consequently, approximately more than 73.7%
of the deal has an Issuer net operating income DSCR of less than
1.0 times (x), which is in line with both the VCC 2024-2 and VCC
2024-1 transactions but a larger composition than previous VCC
transactions in 2023 and 2022. Additionally, although the
Morningstar DBRS CMBS Insight Model does not contemplate FICO
scores, it is important to point out the WA FICO score of 717 for
the SBC loans, which is relatively similar to prior transactions.
With regard to the aforementioned concerns, Morningstar DBRS
applied a 5.0% penalty to the fully adjusted cumulative default
assumptions to account for risks given these factors.
The SBC pool is quite diverse based on loan count and size, with an
average cut-off date balance of $468,825, a concentration profile
equivalent to that of a transaction with 135.2 equal-size loans,
and a top 10 loan concentration of 16.7%. Increased pool diversity
helps insulate the higher-rated classes from event risk.
The loans are mostly secured by traditional property types (i.e.,
multifamily, retail, office, and industrial). All loans in the SBC
pool fully amortize over their respective remaining loan terms,
reducing refinance risk.
As classified by Morningstar DBRS for modeling purposes, the SBC
pool contains a significant exposure to retail (21.9% of the SBC
pool) and office (19.0% of the SBC pool), which are two of the
higher-volatility asset types. Loans counted as retail include
those identified as automotive and potentially commercial
condominium. Combined, retail and office properties represent 40.9%
of the SBC pool balance.
Morningstar DBRS applied a 21.3% reduction to the NCF for retail
properties and a 30.0% reduction to the NCF for office assets in
the SBC pool, which is above the average NCF reduction applied for
comparable property types in CMBS analyzed deals.
Morningstar DBRS did not perform site inspections on loans within
its sample for this transaction. Instead, Morningstar DBRS relied
upon analysis of third-party reports and online searches to
determine property quality assessments. Of the 88 loans Morningstar
DBRS sampled, 25 were Average quality (28.1%), 46 were Average -
quality (44.2%), 16 were Below Average quality (26.4%), and one was
Poor quality (1.3%). Morningstar DBRS assumed unsampled loans were
Average - quality, which has a slightly increased POD level. This
is consistent with the assessments from sampled loans and other SBC
transactions rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Limited property-level information was available for Morningstar
DBRS to review. Asset summary reports, property condition reports,
Phase I/II environmental site assessment (ESA) reports, and
historical cash flows were generally not available for review in
conjunction with this securitization.
Morningstar DBRS received and reviewed appraisals for sampled loans
within the top 39 of the pool, which represent 30.9% of the SBC
pool balance. These appraisals were issued between November 2022
and April 2024 when the respective loans were originated.
Morningstar DBRS was able to perform a loan-level cash flow
analysis on 29 loans within the top 39 of the pool. The NCF
haircuts for these loans ranged from +0.1% to -85.0%, with an
average of -19.3%.
No ESA reports were provided nor required by the Issuer; however,
all of the loans have an environmental insurance policy that
provides coverage to the Issuer and the securitization trust in the
event of a claim. No probable maximum loss information or
earthquake insurance requirements were provided. Therefore, a loss
given default (LGD) penalty was applied to all properties in
California to mitigate this potential risk.
Morningstar DBRS received limited borrower information, net worth
or liquidity information, and credit history. Additionally, the WA
interest rate of the deal is 11.7%, which is indicative of the
broader increased interest rate environment and represents a large
increase over previous VCC deals.
Initially, Morningstar DBRS generally assumed loans had Weak
sponsorship scores, which increases the stress on the default rate.
The initial assumption of Weak reflects the generally less
sophisticated nature of small-balance borrowers and assessments
from past-small balance transactions rated by Morningstar DBRS.
Furthermore, Morningstar DBRS received a 12-month pay history on
each loan between March and May 2024. If any loan had more than two
late payments within this period or was 30 days past due,
Morningstar DBRS applied an additional stress to the default rate.
This did not occur for any loans in the SBC pool.
SBA 504 LOANS
The transaction includes nine SBA 504 loans, totaling approximately
$8.3 million, or 3.95% of the aggregate VCC 2024-3 collateral pool.
These are owner-occupied, first-lien CRE-backed loans, originated
via the U.S. SBA's 504 loan program in conjunction with community
development companies, made to small businesses, with the stated
goal of community economic development.
The SBA 504 loans are fixed rate with 360-month original terms and
are fully amortizing. The loans were originated between March 5,
2024, and April 25, 2024, via New Day, which will also act as
subservicer of the loans. The total outstanding principal balance
as of the cut-off date is approximately $8.3 million, with an
average balance of $921,888. ]The WA interest rate is 10.177%. The
loans are subject to prepayment penalties of 5%, 4%, 3%, 2%, and
1%, respectively, in the first five years from origination. These
loans are for properties where a small business owner both occupies
and owns the property. The WA LTV is 51.49%. The WA DSCR is 1.11x,
and the WA FICO of this subpool is 731.
For these loans, Morningstar DBRS applied its "Rating U.S.
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology, specifically Appendix
XVIII: U.S. Small Business. As there is limited historical
information for the originator, Morningstar DBRS used proxy data
from the publicly available SBA dataset, which contains several
decades of performance data, stratified by industry categories of
the small business operators, to derive an expected default rate.
Recovery assumptions were derived from the Morningstar DBRS CMBS
dataset of LGD stratified by property type, LTV, and market rank.
These were input into the Morningstar DBRS CLO Insight Model, which
uses a Monte Carlo process to generate stressed loss rates
corresponding to a specific credit rating level.
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES (RMBS) METHODOLOGY
The collateral pool consists of 354 mortgage loans with a total
balance of approximately $95.1 million collateralized by one- to
four-unit investment properties. Velocity underwrote the mortgage
loans to the No Ratio program guidelines for business-purpose
loans.
The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse COVID-19 scenarios, which were first published in April
2020.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
VOYA CLO 2024-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Voya CLO 2024-2, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Voya CLO 2024-2, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Voya CLO 2024-2, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Voya
Alternative Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first-lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.86, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating
category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, the
notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S.
CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.59% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.31% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial matrix point of
69.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.0-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Voya CLO 2024-2,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
WELLS FARGO 2015-C31: DBRS Cuts Rating on 2 Tranches to Csf
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on six classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-C31
issued by Wells Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-C31 as
follows:
-- Class C to BBB (high) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class D to B (low) (sf) from BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E to C (sf) from B (high) (sf)
-- Class F to C (sf) from CCC (sf)
-- Class X-D to B (sf) from BBB (sf)
-- Class PEX to BBB (high) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes B, C, D, X-B, X-D,
and PEX to Negative from Stable. Classes A-3, A-4, A-SB, A-S, and
X-A continue to carry Stable trends. There are no trends for
Classes E and F, which are assigned credit ratings that do not
typically carry trends in commercial mortgage-backed securities
(CMBS).
The credit rating downgrades on Classes D, E, F, and X-D reflect
Morningstar DBRS' increased loss projections for the loans in
special servicing. Since the last credit rating action, two loans
have transferred to special servicing, and there are currently
three specially serviced loans, representing 15.1% of the pool
balance. Morningstar DBRS' analysis included liquidation scenarios
for all three specially serviced loans, resulting in total implied
losses of approximately $63.0 million, an increase from Morningstar
DBRS' projected losses of approximately $22.0 million from only one
specially serviced loan, Sheraton Lincoln Harbor Hotel (Prospectus
ID#2, 7.1% of the current pool balance), at the time of the last
credit rating action. The current implied losses are projected to
fully erode the unrated Class G certificate, the Class F
certificate, and approximately 20% of the Class E certificate,
further reducing credit enhancement to the junior bonds. The
primary contributors to the increase in Morningstar DBRS' projected
losses are the liquidation scenarios for the recently transferred
CityPlace I (Prospectus ID#3, 5.4% of the current pool balance) and
Patrick Henry Mall (Prospectus ID#7, 2.7% of the current pool
balance) loans.
The credit rating downgrades and Negative trends on Classes B, C,
X-B, and PEX are reflective of increased pool expected losses in
addition to Morningstar DBRS' concerns regarding increased default
risk as the pool nears its maturity year. Nearly all of the
remaining loans in the transaction are scheduled to mature by
YE2025. In a wind-down scenario, Morningstar DBRS expects that the
majority of non-specially serviced loans will successfully repay at
maturity. However, Morningstar DBRS has identified 13 loans,
representing 17.5% of the pool balance, that exhibit increased
default risk given weak credit metrics and/or upcoming rollover
risk. Morningstar DBRS expects that some of these loans will
default as they near their respective maturity dates. To account
for the increased risk, Morningstar DBRS used stressed
loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) and/or elevated probabilities of
default (PODs) for these loans to increase the expected loss (EL)
as applicable. The resulting weighted-average (WA) expected loss
for the pool increased by approximately 200 basis points with this
review. Should performance of these loans deteriorate further or
additional defaults occur, those classes with Negative trends may
be subject to further credit rating downgrades.
The credit ratings for the remaining Classes A-3, A-4, A-SB, A-S,
and X-A were confirmed at AAA (sf), reflective of the otherwise
overall steady performance of the remaining loans in the pool and
Morningstar DBRS' expectation that these classes are sufficiently
insulated from losses and will be recovered from loans expected to
pay at maturity, based on their most recent year-end WA debt
service coverage ratio above 2.0 times and WA debt yield above
15.0%. Specifically, for the subsenior Class A-S, while half of the
outstanding bond balance is expected to be repaid by maturing
loans, the recovery of this class is ultimately reliant on
principal received from specially serviced loans and loans
Morningstar DBRS deems are at high risk of default. Morningstar
DBRS' analysis suggests there will be sufficient principal to repay
the remaining balance of this bond in a conservative liquidation
scenario.
As of the May 2024 remittance, 90 of the original 102 loans remain
in the trust, with an aggregate balance of $837.7 million,
representing a collateral reduction of 15.2% since issuance. There
are 25 fully defeased loans, representing 25.8% of the current pool
balance. There are 12 loans on the servicer's watchlist,
representing 8.9% of the pool balance, that are being monitored
primarily for performance-related concerns and deferred maintenance
items. Excluding defeased loans, the pool is most concentrated by
retail, lodging, and office properties, which represent 24.7%,
16.8%, and 11.9% of the pool balance, respectively. Morningstar
DBRS has a cautious outlook on the office asset type given the
anticipated upward pressure on vacancy rates in the broader office
market, challenging landlords' efforts to backfill vacant space,
and, in certain instances, contributing to value declines,
particularly for assets in noncore markets and/or with
disadvantages in location, building quality, or amenities offered.
Morningstar DBRS' analysis includes an additional stress for select
office loans exhibiting weakened performance, which resulted in a
WA EL that is more than 50% higher than the pool's average EL.
The largest loan in special servicing is the Sheraton Lincoln
Harbor Hotel, which is secured by a 358-room, full-service hotel in
Weehawken, New Jersey. The loan has a noncontrolling pari passu
piece in the CSAIL 2016-C5 transaction, which is also rated by
Morningstar DBRS. The loan transferred to the special servicer in
January 2021 for payment default and the special servicer is
pursuing foreclosure. Property operations have improved since the
receiver took possession; however, the properties' increased
expense ratio has kept cash flows quite low. An appraisal dated
July 2023 valued the property at $80.5 million, a marginal
improvement over the August 2022 value of $79.5 million, but a
37.1% decline from the issuance value of $128.0 million. In its
analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS liquidated the loan from
the trust based on a haircut to the most recent appraised value,
resulting in an implied loss just over 40%.
The second-largest specially serviced loan is the largest
contributor to Morningstar DBRS' liquidated loss projections.
CityPlace I is secured by a 39-story, Class A office property
totaling 884,366 square feet (sf) of space, located in downtown
Hartford, Connecticut. Occupancy has declined significantly
following the downsizing of the former largest tenant,
UnitedHealthcare Services Inc (UHC), which formerly occupied
377,624 sf, or 42.7% of the net rentable area (NRA). UHC extended
its lease, previously scheduled to expire in July 2023, for an
additional five years to July 2028, on only 57,628 sf, or 6.6% of
the NRA. This reduction has brought the occupancy down to 47.0%,
compared with the YE2022 occupancy rate of 85.8%. The loan
subsequently transferred to the special servicer in October 2023
for imminent payment default after the borrower indicated that it
would no longer be funding operating shortfalls. As per the May
2024 remittance, the loan remains current. Morningstar DBRS expects
that occupancy is likely to decline even further given tenants'
additional downsizing options and the aggregate rollover risk of
6.4% prior to loan maturity in September 2025. UHC's downsizing
also triggered the activation of a cash management account, which
had a current balance of $1.2 million as of May 2024. There is also
approximately $4.9 million in replacement, tenant, and other
reserve accounts.
As per Reis, office properties in Hartford CBD reported an average
vacancy rate of 24.3% with an average asking rental rate of $22.78
per square foot (psf) as of Q1 2024, relatively in line with the
average rental rate of $22.01 psf at the subject. While there is no
updated appraisal, Morningstar DBRS believes that value has
deteriorated from issuance given the challenged office landscape,
soft submarket fundamentals, and increased vacancy at the subject.
Morningstar DBRS' analysis, which includes a liquidation scenario
based on a significant haircut to the issuance appraised value, is
indicative of a loss severity in excess of 75.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WELLS FARGO 2015-SG1: DBRS Confirms CCC Rating on Class F Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2015-SG1 issued by Wells
Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-SG1 as follows:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class PEX at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-E at B (high) (sf)
-- Class E at B (sf)
-- Class F at CCC (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes D, E, and X-E to
Negative from Stable. All other classes carry Stable trends with
the exception of Class F, which has a credit rating that does not
typically carry a trend in commercial mortgage-backed securities
(CMBS) credit ratings.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the underlying collateral, as exhibited by a healthy
weighted-average (WA) debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) of 1.99
times (x) based on the most recent financial reporting available.
Twelve loans, representing 11.8% of the pool, have been fully
defeased. Excluding defeased loans, the three largest property-type
concentrations are retail (31.8% of the pool), lodging (20.9% of
the pool), and office (18.2% of the pool). As the pool enters its
maturity year in 2025, Morningstar DBRS has an overall positive
outlook for the refinance prospects for most of the underlying
loans. However, the Negative trends on Classes D, E and X-E reflect
challenges for the pool, including three loans (14.1% of the pool)
in special servicing and eight loans (representing 11.8% of the
pool) that Morningstar DBRS has identified as being at increased
risk of maturity default given recent performance challenges,
weakening submarket fundamentals, and unfavorable lending
conditions for certain property types. For the loans with elevated
refinance risk, Morningstar DBRS applied an elevated probability of
default penalty and/or loan-to-value ratio, resulting in a WA
expected loss for these loans that is 1.3x the WA expected loss for
the pool. Should these or other loans default, or should
performance for specially serviced loans deteriorate further,
Morningstar DBRS' projected losses for the pool may increase, and
Classes with Negative trends may be subject to credit rating
downgrades.
As of the May 2024 remittance, 66 of the original 72 loans remain
in the pool with an aggregate principal balance of $596.1 million,
representing a collateral reduction of 16.8% since issuance as a
result of loan repayment, scheduled loan amortization, and the
liquidation of four loans. Pool losses to date have totaled $6.6
million, eroding the first-loss Class G certificate by 21.2%. Nine
loans representing 13.8% of the pool are on the servicer's
watchlist for declining performance metrics, upcoming rollover,
and/or deferred maintenance. There are five loans representing
22.0% of the pool in special servicing. Morningstar DBRS liquidated
three of the five loans in special servicing resulting in a total
implied loss of $22.1 million that would be contained in the
unrated Class G.
Since the last review, Patrick Henry Mall (Prospectus ID#1, 9.7% of
the pool) transferred to special servicing because of the
bankruptcy of the guarantor. Another specially serviced loan, Bella
at Baton Rouge (Prospectus ID#19, 1.6% of the pool), has been real
estate owned since June 2022, with marketing efforts to sell the
property under way. Based on the January 2024 appraisal, the
property was valued at $5.9 million, down more than 40% from the
September 2020 value of $9.5 million. Based on the appraised value,
Morningstar DBRS analyzed a liquidation scenario for this loan from
the trust, resulting in a projected loss of nearly $7.9 million or
an implied loss severity in excess of 80.0%. Other specially
serviced loans including Boca Park Marketplace (Prospectus ID#2,
6.9% of the pool) and Columbus Hotel Portfolio (Prospectus ID#26,
1.0% of the pool) are expected to be returned to the master
servicer in the near to moderate term, according to servicer
commentary. Boca Park Marketplace has been kept current with some
moderate performance improvements, the borrower is working with
tenants that were paying cotenancy deficient rates triggered by the
departure of Haggen Food & Pharmacy and Fry's Electronics in 2015
and 2016, respectively. The servicer noted that the dark space
would likely be backfilled by Q2 2024.
The largest loan in special servicing, Patrick Henry Mall, is
secured by the fee-simple interest in one anchor box and the in
line retail space of a mid-tier regional mall in Newport News,
Virginia. The trust debt of $57.8 million represents the A1 and A2
notes, with the pari passu A3 note securitized in WFCM 2015-C31
deal, also rated by Morningstar DBRS. The loan transferred to
special servicing in January 2024 following the bankruptcy of the
mall's owner and operator Pennsylvania Real Estate Investment Trust
(PREIT) in December 2023. In April 2024, PREIT has reportedly
emerged from bankruptcy through rounds of corporate restructuring
and consolidation. As of a result of this reorganization, PREIT
would now be privately held. The lender is working with the
borrower to determine a workout strategy. As of the December 2023
rent roll, the property was 96.2% occupied. The largest collateral
tenants include JCPenney (19.7% of the net rentable area (NRA);
expiring May 2025) and Dick's Sporting Goods (11.6% of the NRA;
expiring January 2027). The noncollateral anchor tenants include
Macy's and Dillard's. A tenant sales report was not provided as of
the date of this press release. Rollover risk is concentrated with
leases representing 24.9% of the NRA scheduled to expire prior to
the loan maturity in June 2025. As of the YE2023 financials, the
loan reported a net cash flow of $7.6 million (a DSCR of 1.32x),
down from $8.4 million (a DSCR of 1.46x) at YE2022, $9.0 million (a
DSCR of 1.56x) at YE2021, and the Issuer's underwritten figure of
$9.5 million (a DSCR of 1.66x). Given the increased risk associated
with the upcoming tenant rollover, including the upcoming lease
expiration for an anchor tenant, declining performance and likely
value decline since issuance, Morningstar DBRS liquidated this loan
from the pool after applying a 50% haircut to the issuance
appraised value, resulting in an implied loss of $8.3 million, with
a loss severity of nearly 15%.
The Doubletree DFW loan (Prospectus ID#6, 2.8% of the pool) is
secured by a 282-key hotel in Irving, Texas. The loan transferred
to special servicing in March 2024 because of a nonmonetary
default. The hotel was affected by damage sustained during a severe
cold snap in 2021, and as a result several rooms at the hotel went
offline and cash flows have remained severely depressed since. The
loan remains current as of the May 2024 remittance, and the special
servicer continues to work with the borrower to determine a workout
strategy. However, the loan's DSCR has fallen precipitously
alongside occupancy, with the YE2023 financials reporting a figure
of 0.02x, compared with YE2022 figure of 0.16x, and significantly
less than the Issuer's DSCR of 1.80x. As per the April 2024 STR
report, the subject reported a trailing-12-month occupancy rate of
64.9%, average daily rate of $132.38, and revenue per available
room (RevPAR) of $85.89, underperforming its competitive set with a
RevPAR penetration of 77.5%. Given the sustained low cash flows and
special servicing status of the loan, Morningstar DBRS analyzed a
liquidation scenario, resulting in a loss severity in excess of
35%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WELLS FARGO 2016-BNK1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Tranches to CCC
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded four and affirmed 10 classes of Wells
Fargo Commercial Mortgage Trust 2016-BNK1 commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates. Classes C and X-B were assigned Negative
Rating Outlooks following their downgrades. The Outlooks for
classes A-S and B were revised to Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
WFCM 2016-BNK1
A-2 95000GAX2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 95000GAY0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 95000GBA1 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
A-SB 95000GAZ7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95000GBD5 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 95000GBE3 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
D 95000GAJ3 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
E 95000GAL8 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
F 95000GAN4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
X-A 95000GBB9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 95000GBC7 LT BBsf Downgrade BBBsf
X-D 95000GAA2 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-E 95000GAC8 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
X-F 95000GAE4 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating case
loss has increased to 9.7% from 8.1% at Fitch's prior rating
action. Six loans (26.1% of the pool) are considered Fitch Loans of
Concern (FLOCs), all within the top 15, including one REO asset
(7.1%).
The downgrades on classes C, D, X-B and X-D reflect increased pool
loss expectations since Fitch's prior rating action, driven by
further performance deterioration of the Simon Premium Outlets,
Pinnacle II and Brewer Hill loans, and sustained weak performance
on the REO One Stamford Forum asset.
The Negative Outlooks reflects possible future downgrades based
upon an additional sensitivity scenario that incorporates a
potential outsized loss of 75% on One Stamford Forum due to
continued lack of leasing progress, weak submarket fundamentals and
deteriorating office outlook, which would contribute to lower
recovery expectations or a prolonged workout of the REO asset.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the REO One
Stamford Forum asset (7.1%), a 504,471-sf suburban office building
located in Stamford, CT. The loan transferred to special servicing
in March 2019 for imminent monetary default when major tenant
Purdue Pharma filed for bankruptcy due to lawsuits related to the
opioid crisis. A foreclosure sale was completed in October 2023.
The asset was 51.1% occupied as of the April 2024 rent roll,
compared with 51.7% at YE2023, 53.9% at YE2022 and 53.8% at
YE2021.The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.22x at YE2023, -0.17x
at YE2022 and -0.02x at YE2021. Major tenants include Purdue Pharma
L.P. (25.3% of NRA, leased through December 2026), W.J. Deutsch &
Sons LTD. (9.1%, March 2027), AirCastle Advisor, LLC (6.5%, August
2028) and CBRE, Inc. (2.9%, December 2026). According to the
special servicer, a lease up strategy is being implemented with a
projected disposition in 4Q25. Per CoStar, the property lies within
the Stamford, CT CBD office submarket. As of 1Q24, submarket asking
rents averaged $38.96 psf and the submarket vacancy rate was
23.8%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 57% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a haircut to the most recent (July 2023)
appraisal valuation, reflecting a stressed value of $99 psf. In
addition to its base case analysis, Fitch performed a sensitivity
analysis that assumed an outsized loss of 75% to reflect lower
recovery expectations and a possible prolonged workout given the
weak asset performance and submarket fundamentals.
The second largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Simon Premium Outlets (3.9%) loan, which is secured by a 782,765-sf
portfolio of three outlet centers located in tertiary markets,
including Lee, MA; Gaffney, SC and Calhoun, GA. Portfolio occupancy
was 66.8% as of the March 2024 rent rolls, compared with 65% at
YE2022, 65% at YE2021, 69% at YE2020 and 82% at YE2019. Per the
March 2024 rent rolls, 17.6% of the portfolio NRA rolls by YE2024.
Total portfolio sales have declined to $132.0 million as of the TTM
March 2024, down 30.6% from the $190.2 million reported for 2018
and down 38.9% from the $215.9 million reported around the time of
issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 38.9% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 25% cap rate and 15% stress to the YE
2022 NOI. Fitch's analysis assumed a higher probability of default
due to the upcoming rollover, declining occupancy and sales trends
and concerns with the loan refinancing at maturity.
The third largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Pinnacle II (4.9%) loan, which is secured by a 230,000-sf single
tenant office building built in 2005 and located in Burbank, CA.
The property has remained vacant since Warner Brothers
Entertainment vacated at its lease expiration in October 2022.
According to the servicer, the borrower is in negotiations with
prospective tenants to backfill the vacant space. The loan has
remained current since issuance.
Per CoStar, the property lies within the Burbank office submarket
of Los Angeles, CA. As of 1Q24, submarket asking rents averaged
$44.38 psf and the submarket vacancy rate was 16.7%. Fitch's 'Bsf'
rating case loss of 24.5% (prior to a concentration adjustment) is
based on a 9.50% cap rate to the YE 2022 NOI. Fitch's analysis
assumed a higher probability of default due to heighted maturity
default concerns.
The fourth largest contributor to overall loss expectations is the
Brewers Hill (4.5%) loan, which is secured by a 382,213-sf mixed
use property with office, self-storage and retail components)
located in Baltimore, MD. This FLOC was flagged for declining
occupancy and low DSCR. The property was 74.8% occupied as of the
December 2023 rent roll. Occupancy has declined due to several
tenants vacating upon lease expiry. The property's major tenants
include Canton Self Storage (29.3% of NRA, leased through May 2045
- sponsor affiliated), Nexus Vets (14.2%, March 2032) and BH Hub
LLC (6.3%, May 2024).
The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 0.73x at YE 2023, compared with
0.92x at YE 2021, 1.05x at YE 2020 and 1.64x at issuance. According
to the servicer, the sponsor may be seeking a discussion regarding
a workout in the near future.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 25.3% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 9.25% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI.
Fitch's analysis assumed a higher probability of default due to
declining performance trends and low DSCR.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the June 2024 remittance
reporting, the pool's aggregate balance has been reduced by 8.3% to
$798.1 million from $870.6 million at issuance. Five loans (4.8% of
the pool) have been fully defeased. Twelve loans (40.1%) are
full-term IO and 10 loans (29.0%) were partial-term IO, which have
all started amortizing.
To date, the trust has incurred $1.2 million in realized principal
losses which have been absorbed by the non-rated class G and risk
retention class RRI. Cumulative interest shortfalls totaling $1.4
million are affecting the non-rated class G, class F and risk
retention class RRI.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to these classes are possible if there are lower than
expected recoveries on the REO One Stamford Forum asset, and a
large portion of non-FLOCs fail to pay off and default at or before
maturity, exposing these classes to prolonged workouts.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from an
outsized loss on the REO Stamford Forum asset and larger FLOCs or
more loans than expected experience performance deterioration or
default at or prior to maturity.
Downgrades to the 'BB' rated classes are possible with further loan
performance deterioration of FLOCs, particularly, Simon Premium
Outlets, Pinnacle II and Brewers Hill, additional transfers to
special servicing or with greater certainty of losses on the
specially serviced loans or FLOCs.
Downgrades to 'CCCsf', 'CCsf' and 'Csf' rated classes would occur
should additional loans transfer to special servicing or default,
or as losses become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased credit enhancement (CE),
coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and
improved performance on the FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf' category rated classes would be
limited based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for
future concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf'
if there is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes could occur
only if the performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries
on the FLOCs are better than expected, and there is sufficient CE
to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed classes are not likely, but may be possible
with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WESTGATE RESORTS 2024-1: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) Rating on D Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes issued by Westgate Resorts 2024-1 LLC
(Westgate 2024-1 or the Issuer):
-- $69,028,000 Timeshare Collateralized Notes, Series 2024-1,
Class A rated AAA (sf)
-- $62,530,000 Timeshare Collateralized Notes, Series 2024-1,
Class B rated A (low) (sf)
-- $52,680,000 Timeshare Collateralized Notes, Series 2024-1,
Class C rated BBB (low) (sf)
-- $21,690,000 Timeshare Collateralized Notes, Series 2024-1,
Class D rated BB (low) (sf)
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS's review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) The transaction's form and sufficiency of available credit
enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement will be in the form of subordination,
overcollateralization (OC), amounts held in the reserve account,
and excess spread, which create credit enhancement levels that are
commensurate with the credit ratings.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the credit rating on the
A class of notes addresses the timely payment of interest and the
ultimate payment of principal on or before the legal final
maturity. The credit ratings on the B, C, and D class of notes
address the ultimate payment of interest and the ultimate payment
of principal on or before the final legal maturity.
(3) Westgate 2024-1 employs a full turbo structure where all excess
cashflow is used to repay note holders with no excess spread going
back to issuer until the notes are paid in full.
(4) The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2024 Update, published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
(5) Westgate Resorts, Ltd.'s (Westgate) 35+ year operating history
and its capabilities with regard to developing and managing
timeshare resorts, as well as the origination, underwriting, and
servicing of Timeshare Loans.
-- Morningstar DBRS has performed an operational review of
Westgate and considers the entity to be an acceptable originator
and servicer of Timeshare Loans.
-- The Westgate senior management team averages 40+ years of
experience in timeshare development, marketing, and management.
(6) The credit quality of the collateral and the consistent
performance of Westgate's timeshare loans portfolio.
-- Average availability of historical performance data and a
history of consistent performance on the Westgate portfolio.
-- As of Statistical Calculation Date, the timeshare loans are
seasoned approximately 32 months and contain Westgate originations
from 2014 through 2024. The weighted-average (WA) remaining life of
the initial timeshare loans is approximately 83 months. The WA FICO
score of the initial timeshare loans is 723 (excludes foreign
borrowers) and contains no FICO scores below 600.
(7) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions that address
the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the non-consolidation of
each of the depositor and the Issuer with Westgate, and ensure that
the Issuer has a valid first-priority security interest in the
assets, and consistency with the Morningstar DBRS Legal Criteria
for U.S. Structured Finance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the securities referenced herein
addresses the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations for each of the rated are the
Accrued Interest, Deferred Interest, and Class Principal Balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address non-payment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. The associated contractual payment obligations that is
not a financial obligation is the portion of Accrued Interest
attributable to interest on unpaid Accrued Interest for the
Timeshare Collateralized Notes, Series 2024-1, Class A.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the classes
of notes issued by Westlake Automobile Receivables Trust 2024-2
(Westlake 2024-2 or the Issuer) as follows:
-- $341,410,000 Class A-1 Notes at R-1 (high) (sf)
-- $235,000,000 Class A-2-A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $225,920,000 Class A-2-B Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $129,580,000 Class A-3 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $121,240,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $172,160,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $153,570,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $71,120,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The credit ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS' review of the
following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, ratings, and form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization
(OC), subordination, amounts held in the reserve fund, and
available excess spread. Credit enhancement levels are sufficient
to support the Morningstar DBRS-projected cumulative net loss (CNL)
assumption under various stress scenarios.
-- The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
timely payment of interest on a monthly basis and principal by the
legal final maturity date for each class.
(2) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 14.00% based on the pool
composition.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns: March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic scenarios,
which were first published in April 2020.
(3) The Westlake 2024-2 Notes are exposed to interest risk because
of the fixed-rate collateral and the floating interest rate borne
by the Class A-2-B Notes.
-- Morningstar DBRS ran interest rate stress scenarios to assess
the effect on the transaction's performance, and its ability to pay
noteholders per the transaction's legal documents.
-- Morningstar DBRS assumed two stressed interest rate
environments for each rating category, which consist of increasing
and declining forward interest rate paths for a 30-day average
Secured Overnight Financing Rate based on the Morningstar DBRS
Unified Interest Rate Tool.
(4) The consistent operational history of Westlake Services, LLC
(Westlake or the Company) and the strength of the overall Company
and its management team.
-- The Westlake senior management team has considerable experience
and a successful track record within the auto finance industry,
having managed the Company through multiple economic cycles.
(5) The capabilities of Westlake with regard to originations,
underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS performed an operational review of Westlake
and considers the entity to be an acceptable originator and
servicer of subprime automobile loan contracts with an acceptable
backup servicer.
(6) The Company indicated that it is subject to various consumer
claims and litigation seeking damages and statutory penalties. Some
litigation against Westlake could take the form of class action
complaints by consumers; however, the Company believes that it has
taken prudent steps to address and mitigate the litigation risks
associated with its business activities.
(7) Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB and R-2 (middle)
with Stable trends by Morningstar DBRS) has served as a backup
servicer for Westlake.
(8) The legal structure and expected presence of legal opinions
that address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the
nonconsolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with Westlake, that
the trust has a valid first-priority security interest in the
assets, and the consistency with Morningstar DBRS' "Legal Criteria
for U.S. Structured Finance."
The collateral securing the notes consists entirely of a pool of
retail automobile contracts secured by predominantly used vehicles
that typically have high mileage. The loans are primarily made to
obligors who are categorized as subprime, largely because of their
credit history and credit scores.
Westlake is an independent full-service automotive financing and
servicing company that provides (1) financing to borrowers who do
not typically have access to prime credit-lending terms for the
purchase of late-model vehicles and (2) refinancing of existing
automotive financing.
The ratings on the Class A-1, A-2-A, A-2-B, and A-3 Notes reflect
43.35% of initial hard credit enhancement provided by subordinated
notes in the pool (32.05%), the reserve account (1.00%), and OC
(10.30%). The ratings on the Class B, Class C, Class D, and Class E
Notes reflect 35.85%, 25.20%, 15.70%, and 11.30% of initial hard
credit enhancement, respectively. Additional credit support may be
provided from excess spread available in the structure.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the securities referenced herein
addresses the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations for each of the rated notes
are the related Noteholders' Monthly Interest Distributable Amount
and the related Note Balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. The associated contractual payment obligation that is
not a financial obligation for each of the rated notes is the
related interest on any Noteholders' Interest Carryover Shortfall.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] DBRS Confirms 34 Credit Ratings From 15 CPS Auto Trusts
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. upgraded 17 credit ratings and confirmed 34 credit
ratings from 15 CPS Auto Receivables Trust transactions.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/4byq6lB
The Issuers are:
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-D
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-D
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-A
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2020-B
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-D
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2020-C
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-A
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2020-A
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-A
The rating actions are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS' baseline
macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in
its commentary, "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for Rated
Sovereigns March 2024 Update," published on March 27, 2024. These
baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar DBRS' moderate
and adverse coronavirus pandemic scenarios, which were first
published in April 2020.
-- For CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2020-A through CPS Auto
Receivables Trust 2021-C, losses are tracking below the Morningstar
DBRS initial base-case cumulative net loss (CNL) expectations. The
current level of hard credit enhancement (CE) and estimated excess
spread are sufficient to support the Morningstar DBRS projected
remaining CNL assumptions at a multiple of coverage commensurate
with the credit ratings.
-- For CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2021-D through CPS Auto
Receivables Trust 2023-C, although losses are tracking above the
Morningstar DBRS initial base-case CNL expectations, the current
level of hard CE and estimated excess spread are sufficient to
support the Morningstar DBRS projected remaining CNL assumptions at
a multiple of coverage commensurate with the credit ratings.
-- For CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-D, losses are tracking in
line with the Morningstar DBRS initial base-case CNL expectations.
The current level of hard CE and estimated excess spread are
sufficient to support the Morningstar DBRS projected remaining CNL
assumptions at a multiple of coverage commensurate with the credit
ratings.
-- The transaction capital structures and form and sufficiency of
available CE.
-- The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originating, underwriting, and servicing.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the securities referenced herein
addresses the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
The associated financial obligations for each of the rated notes
are the related Accrued Note Interest and the related Note
Balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. The associated contractual payment obligation that is
not a financial obligation is the interest on unpaid Accrued Note
Interest for each of the rated notes.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
[*] DBRS Reviews 30 Classes From 13 US RMBS Transactions
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 30 classes from 13 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. Out of the 13
transactions reviewed, on June 7, 2024, 11 are classified as
ReREMICs of legacy RMBS, one as legacy subprime mortgage and one as
reperforming mortgage. Of the 30 classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS
confirmed its credit ratings on 29 classes and discontinued its
credit rating on one class.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/45QvXBg
The Issuers are:
MASTR Re-securitization Trust 2008-3
Deutsche Mortgage Securities, Inc. REMIC Trust, Series 2008-RS2
CSMC Series 2013-9R
BCAP LLC 2013-RR8 Trust
CSMC Series 2014-2R
CSMC Series 2015-6R
Ajax Mortgage Loan Trust 2022-B
Financial Asset Securities Corp. AAA Trust 2005-2
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2010-2
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2009-11
Asset Backed Funding Corporation Series 2004-OPT5
CHL Mortgage Pass-Through Trust Re-securitization 2008-3R
Deutsche ALT-A Securities, Inc. Re-REMIC Trust, Series 2007-RS1
The credit rating confirmations reflect asset performance and
credit support levels that are consistent with the current credit
ratings. The discontinued credit rating reflects the full repayment
of principal to bondholders.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt credit rating
scale provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet
its short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] DBRS Reviews 568 Classes From 26 US RMBS Transactions
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 568 classes from 26 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. This review
consists of 18 transactions generally classified as Prime, 5
transactions generally classified as Alt-A, and 1 transaction each
generally classified as Investor, Manufactured Housing, and Home
Equity. Of the 568 classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS upgraded 79
credit ratings and confirmed 489 credit ratings on June 7, 2024.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/3VUsJbs
The Issuers are:
MFA 2021-NQM2 Trust
MFA 2022-CHM1 Trust
PRKCM 2023-AFC2 Trust
CHNGE Mortgage Trust 2023-3
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-1
CSMLT 2015-1 Trust
Verus Securitization Trust 2021-5
FIGRE Trust 2023-HE2
CSMC Trust 2015-3
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-2
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-5
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2017-1
Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2018-4
CSMC Trust 2013-IVR4
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2022-7
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2017-3
J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2023-6
Shellpoint Co-Originator Trust 2015-1
Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2020-1
SoFi Mortgage Trust Series 2016-1
Wells Fargo Mortgage Backed Securities 2019-1 Trust
WinWater Mortgage Loan Trust 2015-A
WinWater Mortgage Loan Trust 2014-1
WinWater Mortgage Loan Trust 2015-4
WinWater Mortgage Loan Trust 2014-3
Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2019-MH1
The credit rating upgrades reflect positive performance trends and
increases in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
their new credit rating levels. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit-support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt credit rating
scale provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet
its short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] DBRS Reviews 72 Classes From 11 US RMBS Transactions
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. reviewed 72 classes from 11 U.S. residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) transactions. The reviewed
transactions are classified as RMBS backed by reperforming
mortgages. Of the 72 classes reviewed, Morningstar DBRS upgraded
its credit ratings on 48 classes and confirmed its credit ratings
on the remaining 24 classes on June 14, 2024.
The Affected Ratings are available at https://bit.ly/4eKTesJ
The Issuers are:
CSMC 2017-FHA1 Trust
Ajax Mortgage Loan Trust 2019-F
Ajax Mortgage Loan Trust 2021-E
Towd Point Mortgage Trust 2022-1
PRPM 2023-RCF1, LLC
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2021-RPL2
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2022-RP3
Citigroup Mortgage Loan Trust 2023-RP2
GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-RPL3
MetLife Securitization Trust 2018-1
Freddie Mac Seasoned Credit Risk Transfer Trust, Series 2022-2
The credit rating upgrades reflect positive performance trends and
increases in credit support sufficient to withstand stresses at
their new credit rating levels. The credit rating confirmations
reflect asset performance and credit support levels that are
consistent with the current credit ratings.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Ratings on $147MM of US RMBS Issued 2021-2022
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 52 bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by prime
jumbo and agency eligible mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2021-1
Cl. B, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023 Upgraded to
A2 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3-A, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-3-X*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023
Upgraded to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 26, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Cl. B-X*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Aug 31, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Issuer: Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2021-2
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-15, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-6*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-A, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-X*, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Cl. B-X*, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Apr 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Issuer: Flagstar Mortgage Trust 2021-3INV
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-A, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-1-X*, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-A, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-2-X*, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Issuer: GS Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-MM1
Cl. A-3, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-21, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-1*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-3*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. A-X-4*, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Feb 8, 2022 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
transactions continue to display strong collateral performance,
with each experiencing cumulative losses of less than .01% and a
small number of loans in delinquencies. In addition, enhancement
levels for the tranches have grown significantly, as the pool
amortize relatively quickly. The credit enhancement since closing
has grown, on average, 23% for the tranches upgraded.
Moody's analysis also considered the existence of historical
interest shortfalls for some of the bonds. Two of the upgraded
bonds have experienced historical interest shortfalls (GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2022-MM1, Class B-4, Class B-5).
While all shortfalls have since been recouped, the size and length
of the past shortfalls, as well as the potential for recurrence,
were analyzed as part of the upgrades.
In addition, while Moody's analysis applied a greater probability
of default stress on loans that have experienced modifications,
Moody's decreased that stress to the extent the modifications were
in the form of temporary payment relief.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Information obtained
from loan servicers in recent years has shed light on their current
strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the impact those
programs may have on collateral performance and transaction
liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent analysis has
found that in addition to robust home price appreciation, many of
these borrower relief programs have contributed to stronger
collateral performance than Moody's had previously expected, thus
supporting upgrades.
No actions were taken on other rated classes in these deals because
their expected losses on the bonds remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations. This includes the relationship of
exchangeable bonds to the bonds they could be exchanged for.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] S&P Takes Various Actions on 104 Classes From 34 US RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 104 ratings from 34 U.S.
RMBS transactions issued between 2001 and 2007. The review yielded
23 upgrades, eight downgrades, 67 affirmations, five withdrawals,
and one discontinuance.
A list of Affected Ratings can be viewed at:
https://rb.gy/w9ydpj
Analytical Considerations
S&P incorporates various considerations into its decisions to
raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by its projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance and/or structural
characteristics and their potential effects on certain classes.
Some of these considerations may include:
-- Collateral performance or delinquency trends;
-- An increase or decrease in available credit support;
-- Historical and/or outstanding missed interest payments, or
interest shortfalls;
-- Small loan count;
-- Available subordination and/or overcollateralization; and
-- Reduced interest payments due to loan modifications.
Rating Actions
S&P said, "The rating changes reflect our view regarding the
associated transaction-specific collateral performance, structural
characteristics, and/or the application of specific criteria
applicable to these classes.
"The upgrades primarily reflect the classes' increased credit
support. As a result, the upgrades reflect the classes' ability to
withstand a higher level of projected losses than we had previously
anticipated.
"The affirmations reflect our view that our projected credit
support, collateral performance, and credit-related reductions in
interest on these classes have remained relatively consistent with
our prior projections.
"The downgrades primarily reflect the erosion of credit support
resulting from the payment allocation trigger passing, which allows
principal payments to be made to more subordinate classes, thus
eroding the projected credit support for the downgraded classes.
"We lowered our ratings on three classes from three transactions
that reflect our assessment of reduced interest payments due to
loan modifications and other credit-related events. To determine
the maximum potential rating for these securities, we consider the
amount of interest the security has received to date versus how
much it would have received absent such credit-related events, as
well as interest reduction amounts that we expect during the
remaining term of the security. In accordance with our surveillance
and withdrawal policies, we discontinued the class M-II-1 from RAMP
Series 2004-RS4 Trust due to the class being paid down in full.
"We also withdrew our ratings on five classes from three
transactions due to the small remaining loan count on the related
structure. Once a pool has declined to a de minimis amount, we
believe there is a high degree of credit instability that is
incompatible with any rating level."
*********
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