/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/240526.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, May 26, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 146
Headlines
1988 CLO 4: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
AIMCO CLO 21: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 29: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
APIDOS LOAN 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
ARES LXXI: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Notes
BACM 2016-UBS10: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Classes to B-
BALLYROCK CLO 26: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on D Notes
BANK 2017-BNK7: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B-sf' Rating to Negative
BBCMC MORTGAGE 2017-C1: Fitch Alters Outlook on B-sf Rating to Neg.
BENCHMARK 2024-V7: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
BIRCH GROVE: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-RR Notes
BMO 2024-5C4: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. G-RR Certificates
BMP COMMERCIAL 2024-MF23: Fitch Gives B+(EXP) Rating on HRR Certs
BRYANT PARK 2024-23: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
CHASE HOME 2024-5: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
CHASE HOME 2024-RPL2: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)' Rating on B-2 Certs
COLUMBIA CENT 33: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
DRYDEN 42: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)' Rating on Class F-RR Notes
DRYDEN CLO 64: Moody's Cuts Rating on $12MM Class F Notes to Caa2
EBET INC: Incurs $5.05 Million Net Loss in Second Quarter
ELMWOOD CLO IV: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
FANNIE MAE 2024-R04: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB' Rating on 1B-1 Notes
FUTURE FINTECH: Incurs $3.32 Million Net Loss in First Quarter
GCAT TRUST 2024-NQM2: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Certs
GENERATE CLO 15: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
GENERATE CLO 5: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
HILDENE TRUPS P26BC: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to $40MM Cl. B Notes
HOTWIRE FUNDING 2024-1: Fitch Gives BB(EXP) Rating on Cl. C Notes
INVESCO US 2024-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
JPMCC 2019-COR4: Fitch Affirms CCC Rating on Class H-RR Certs
KKR CLO 29: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
LBA TRUST 2024-BOLT: Fitch Assigns B(EXP) Rating on Cl. HRR Certs
MADISON PARK XXXI: Fitch Assigns BB+(EXP) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
MADISON PARK XXXI: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F-R Notes
MCF CLO VIII: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
MOBIQUITY TECHNOLOGIES: Incurs $1.04-Mil. Net Loss in First Quarter
MOSAIC SOLAR 2023-3: Fitch Affirms 'BB-sf' Rating on Class D Notes
NANO MAGIC: Incurs $746K Net Loss in First Quarter
NEUBERGER BERMAN II: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN XXII: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2024-RPL1: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on Cl B-5 Notes
OCTAGON 28: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E-RR Notes
OFSI BSL IX: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
OHA LOAN 2013-1: S&P Assign BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R3 Notes
PENNANTPARK CLO II: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating Class E-R Notes
RAD CLO 16: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
REGATTA VIII: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Notes
REMARK HOLDINGS: Incurs $13.79 Million Net Loss in First Quarter
RR 8: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class D-R Notes
SANDSTONE PEAK III: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
SCIENTIFIC ENERGY: Posts $384,534 Net Income in First Quarter
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2015-2: Moody's Ups Rating on B-4 Certs From Ba1
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2024-5: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on B4 Certs
SLM STUDENT 2023-11: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class B Notes to 'Bsf'
SYMPHONY CLO 30: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
TRESTLES CLO II: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
TRINITAS CLO XIV: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
TRINITAS CLO XXVIII: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
UBS COMMERCIAL 2019-CF1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Classes to CCC
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2024-4: S&P Assigns 'B-' Rating on B-2 Notes
VIDEO RIVER: Reports $1.53 Million Net Income in First Quarter
VOYA CLO 2015-3: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
VOYA CLO 2015-3: S&P Affirms 'B+ (sf)' Rating on Class D-R Notes
[*] Moody's Takes Action on $189MM of US RMBS Issued 2000-2007
[*] Moody's Takes Action on $79.9MM of US RMBS Issued 2006-2007
*********
1988 CLO 4: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to 1988 CLO 4 Ltd./1988 CLO
4 LLC's floating-rate debt. The transaction is managed by 1988
Asset Management LLC, a subsidiary of Muzinich & Co.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term
loans.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
1988 CLO 4 Ltd./1988 CLO 4 LLC
Class A-1, $252.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $40.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14.00 million: BB+ (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41.84 million: Not rated
AIMCO CLO 21: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks on
AIMCO CLO 21, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
AIMCO CLO 21, Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
AIMCO CLO 21, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Allstate Investment Management Company. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.02% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.94%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings. The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio
is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for structural
and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment period. Fitch
believes these conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon
of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2 and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2 and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 29: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Anchorage
Capital CLO 29, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Anchorage Capital
CLO 29, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating
B-2 LT AAsf New Rating
C-1 LT A+sf New Rating
C-2 LT Asf New Rating
D-1 LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
F LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Anchorage Capital CLO 29, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Anchorage Collateral Management, L.L.C. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.71, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.2% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.62% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-1, between 'B-sf' and 'A-sf' for class C-2, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB+sf' for class D-2, between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class E, and less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class F.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C-1, 'AA+sf'
for class C-2, 'A+sf' for class D-1, 'A+sf' for class D-2, 'BBB+sf'
for class E, and 'BB+sf' for class F.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Anchorage Capital
CLO 29, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
APIDOS LOAN 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Apidos
Loan Fund 2024-1 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Apidos Loan Fund
2024-1 Ltd
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AA+sf New Rating
C LT A+sf New Rating
D LT BBB+sf New Rating
E LT BB+sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Apidos Loan Fund 2024-1 Ltd (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CVC
Credit Partners, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $450 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of 99%
first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average recovery
assumption of 74.13%. Fitch stressed the indicative portfolio by
assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets with lower
recovery prospects and further reduced recovery assumptions for
higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 1.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BBB-sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B, between 'BB-sf' and 'A-sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BBB-sf' for class D, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Apidos Loan Fund
2024-I Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
ARES LXXI: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Ares LXXI CLO Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ares LXXI CLO Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Ares LXXI CLO Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Ares
CLO Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.33, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.51% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.5% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 74.43%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the P&I waterfalls and assess the
effectiveness of various structural features of the transaction. In
Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can withstand default and
recovery assumptions consistent with their assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf'
for class E and less than 'B-sf' for class F.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D, 'BBB+sf' for class E and 'BB+sf' for class F.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares LXXI CLO Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
BACM 2016-UBS10: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Classes to B-
---------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 10 classes of Bank of America Merrill
Lynch Commercial Mortgage Trust 2016-UBS10 (BACM 2016-UBS10)
commercial mortgage pass-through certificates; affirmed five
classes of Morgan Stanley Capital I Trust (MSCI) Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, series 2016-UBS9 and affirmed
all classes of Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
(MSBAM) Mortgage Trust 2016-C29 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates.
Fitch has also downgraded four classes of BACM 2016-UBS10 and
revised the Rating Outlook on class C to Negative from Stable.
Fitch has additionally downgraded eight classes in MSCI 2016-UBS9
and revised the Outlook on class A-S to Negative from Stable. The
Outlooks on class D and X-D in MSBAM 2016-C29 have been revised to
Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
MSBAM 2016-C29
A-3 61766EBD6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 61766EBE4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61766EBH7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 61766EBC8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61766EBJ3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 61766EBK0 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 61766EAL9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 61766EAN5 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
F 61766EAQ8 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 61766EBF1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61766EBG9 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 61766EAA3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-E 61766EAC9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-F 61766EAE5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
MSCI 2016-UBS9
A-3 61766CAD1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 61766CAE9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 61766CAG4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 61766CAF6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 61766CAK5 LT A-sf Downgrade AA-sf
C 61766CAL3 LT BBB-sf Downgrade A-sf
D 61766CAV1 LT Bsf Downgrade BB-sf
E 61766CAX7 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
F 61766CAZ2 LT CCsf Downgrade CCCsf
X-A 61766CAH2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 61766CAJ8 LT A-sf Downgrade AA-sf
X-D 61766CAM1 LT Bsf Downgrade BB-sf
X-E 61766CAP4 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
BACM 2016-UBS10
A-3 06054MAD5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 06054MAE3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 06054MAH6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 06054MAC7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 06054MAJ2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 06054MAK9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 06054MAW3 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
E 06054MAY9 LT B-sf Downgrade Bsf
F 06054MBA0 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 06054MAF0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 06054MAG8 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 06054MAL7 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
X-E 06054MAN3 LT B-sf Downgrade Bsf
X-F 06054MAQ6 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' ratings
case losses are 11.5% in BACM 2016-UBS10, 8.5% in MSCI 2016-UBS9
and 7.7% in MSBAM 2016-C29. Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs) comprise
eight loans (36.1% of the pool) in BACM 2016-UBS10 including three
specially serviced loans (14.4%) all of which are performing, nine
loans (41%) in MSCI 2016-UBS9 including one performing specially
serviced loan (8.4%) and nine loans (29.6%) in MSBAM 2016-C29
including three specially serviced loans (3.4%).
The downgrades of eight classes in MSCI 2016-UBS9 and four classes
in BACM 2016-UBS10 are due to increased pool loss expectations,
influenced by the performance deterioration of overlapping FLOCs
including 2100 Ross and Princeton Pike Corporate Center, alongside
unique contributors like 525 Seventh Avenue in the former, and Belk
Headquarters in the latter. The Negative Outlooks reflect the high
office concentration comprising approximately 35% of both pools and
declining performance trends and refinanceability concerns on the
office collateral.
The affirmations of all classes in MSBAM 2016-C29 reflect the
relatively stable pool performance and loss expectations since the
last rating action. The Negative Outlooks reflect possible
downgrades with further performance deterioration on the FLOCs,
primarily Grove City Premium Outlets (8.2%), Crossings at Halls
Ferry (1.3%), Gulfport Premium Outlets (2.5%) and 696 Centre
(2.1%).
Largest contributors to Loss: The largest contributor to overall
pool loss expectations in BACM 2016-UBS10 is the Belk Headquarters
loan, the property is 100% leased to Belk through March 2031 and
served as Belk's headquarters since 1989. In July 2021, Belk
announced it was looking to sublease its headquarters after the
decision to shift to predominantly remote work for corporate
employees. The building remains vacant with no sublease proposals
received to date. The loan transferred back to special servicing at
the request of the borrower in December 2022, to negotiate for a
deed-in-lieu of foreclosure and a potential purchase and sale
agreement. The loan remains current as of the May 2024 distribution
date. The loan matures in April 2026.
Fitch's 'Bsf' ratings case loss of 54% reflects a value of $24.7
million, which equates to a stressed value of $52 psf. The elevated
base case loss reflects the binary nature of the current
resolution. Should talks of a potential purchase and sale agreement
fail to materialize, a prolonged workout is possible. Fitch applied
an additional sensitivity to the Belk Headquarters loan which
contributes to the Negative Outlooks.
One of the largest contributors to loss in the MSCI 2016-UBS9 and
BACM 2016-UBS10 transaction is the 2100 Ross loan, which is secured
by a 33-story, 843,728-sf office building located in the Arts
District of downtown Dallas, TX. The property's largest tenants
include Lockton Companies (11.7% of NRA; leased through March
2026), Netherland, Sewell & Associates (7.3%; September 2025),
Prudential Mortgage Capital (6.5%, April 2027) and Merrill Lynch,
Pierce, Fenner and Smith (5.6%, July 2027).
Occupancy for the property was 62.4% as of the December 2023 rent
roll, compared with 63% at YE 2022, 81% at YE 2020 and 2021 and 82%
at YE 2019. Upcoming rollover at the property includes 4.9% in 2025
and 16.3% in 2026. The servicer-reported NOI DSCR as of YE 2023 was
1.14x, down from 1.35x at YE 2022, 1.52x at YE 2021, 1.56x at YE
2020 and 1.39x at YE 2019. According to CoStar as of 1Q2024, the
Dallas CBD office submarket had a vacancy rate of 27% and a market
rent of $30.
Fitch stressed property value of approximately $74 psf is based on
a 10% cap rate and a haircut to the YE 2023 NOI with an increased
probability of default due to the property's significant
performance declines and uncertainty with the loans ability to
refinance at its February 2026 maturity.
The next largest contributor to loss in all three transactions is
the Princeton Pike Corporate Center loan, which is secured by an
818,140-sf suburban office property consisting of eight buildings
located in Lawrence Township, NJ. The loan re-emerged from special
servicing in September 2021 with a loan modification allowing for
the conversion of debt service to interest-only (IO) payments and
the implementation of an ongoing cash trap for the remainder of the
loan term. However, the loan transferred back to special servicing
in February 2024 due to imminent default. Occupancy has fallen to
60% as of YE 2023, compared with 74% at YE 2022 and 77% at YE 2021.
The property occupancy has been steadily declining since its peak
in 2018 at 91%. According to servicer updates, the borrower is
planning to make another modification proposal. Workout discussions
are ongoing.
Fitch stressed property value of approximately $98 psf is based on
a 11% cap rate and a 20% haircut to the YE 2022 NOI to reflect
occupancy declines and an increased probability of default due to
the loans performance and specially serviced status.
Defeasance: The BACM 2016-UBS10 transaction includes eight loans
(16% of the pool) that have fully defeased, while MSCI 2016-UBS9
has seven defeased loans (20% of the pool), and MSBAM 2016-C29 has
21 defeased loans (24.5%).
Change to Credit Enhancement: As of the March 2024 remittance
report, the aggregate balances of the BACM 2016-UBS 10 have been
reduced by 34.3%. The deal has incurred $1 million in realized
losses to date and interest shortfalls of $401,000 are currently
affecting the non-rated class H. As of the April 2024 distribution
date, MSCI 2016-UBS9 and MSBAM 2016-C29 transactions have been
reduced by about 20% and 16% respectively, since issuance.
MSBAM 2016-C29 has incurred $2.8 million in realized losses to date
and interest shortfalls of $32,000 and $1.2MM are currently
affecting the non-rated classes G and H, respectively. MSCI
2016-UBS9 has incurred no realized losses to date and $65,000 of
interest shortfalls to the non-rated class H.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to
maturity.
Downgrades to the 'BBBsf' category is possible with higher than
expected losses from continued underperformance of the FLOCs, in
particular retail and office loans with deteriorating performance,
and/or with greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced
loans and/or FLOCs. These elevated risk loans include 2100 Ross,
Princeton Pike Corporate Center, 525 Seventh Avenue, Grove City
Premium Outlets, 696 Centre and Belk Headquarters.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased credit enhancement (CE) from
paydowns and/or defeasance, coupled with stable-to-improved
pool-level loss expectations and improved performance on the FLOCs,
including 2100 Ross, Princeton Pike Corporate Center, 525 Seventh
Avenue, Grove City Premium Outlets and Belk Headquarters.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs and
special serviced loans are better than expected and there is
sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCsf' and 'CCCsf' are unlikely,
but possible with better than expected recoveries on specially
serviced loans and/or significantly higher improved performance of
the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BALLYROCK CLO 26: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Ballyrock
CLO 26 Ltd./Ballyrock CLO 26 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Ballyrock Investment Advisors LLC,
which will engage Fidelity Management & Research Co. LLC as a
subadvisor.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 21,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Ballyrock CLO 26 Ltd./ Ballyrock CLO 26 LLC
Class A-1a, $352.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1b, $11.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $55.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B (deferrable), $33.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $30.25 million: BBB (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $8.25 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $16.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $56.50 million: Not rated
BANK 2017-BNK7: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B-sf' Rating to Negative
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 15 classes of BANK 2017-BNK6 Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2017-BNK6 (BANK
2017-BNK6). The Rating Outlook for classes D and X-D were revised
to Negative from Stable. The Outlook on classes E and X-E remain
Negative.
Fitch has also affirmed 15 classes of BANK 2017-BNK7 Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2017-BNK7. Fitch has also
revised the Outlook to Negative from Stable on six of the affirmed
classes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BANK 2017-BNK6
A-3 060352AD3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 060352AE1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 060352AF8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 060352AJ0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 060352AC5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 060352AK7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 060352AL5 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 060352AV3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 060352AX9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
F 060352AZ4 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 060352AG6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 060352AH4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 060352AM3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-E 060352AP6 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-F 060352AR2 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
BANK 2017-BNK7
A-3 06541XAC4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 06541XAE0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 06541XAF7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 06541XAJ9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 06541XAD2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 06541XAK6 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 06541XAL4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 06541XAV2 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 06541XAX8 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
F 06541XAZ3 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-A 06541XAG5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 06541XAH3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 06541XAM2 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
X-E 06541XAP5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
X-F 06541XAR1 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Overall Stable 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' rating
case losses are 5.1% for BANK 2017-BNK6 in line with Fitch's prior
rating action and 3.8% in BANK 2017-BNK7, which reflects a slight
increase since Fitch's prior rating action. The BANK 2017-BNK6
transaction includes 11 loans (25.9% of the pool) that have been
identified as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs), including one
specially serviced loan, Trumbull Marriott (2.3%). The BANK
2017-BNK7 transaction has six FLOCs (20.8%), including one loan,
First Stamford Place (2.2%) in special servicing.
The Negative Outlook on the classes D, E, X-D and X-E in BANK
2017-BNK6 reflect deterioration in performance of the Hall Office
G4 (2.0%), specially serviced Trumbull Marriott (2.3%), and
maturity refinance concerns of the Westchester One (4.7%) loan. The
Negative Outlook on classes D, E, F, X-D, X-E and X-F in BANK
2017-BNK7 reflect performance concerns, lack of stabilization
and/or a prolonged workout of the FLOCs, particularly, the Redondo
Beach Hotel Portfolio (5.1%), specially serviced First Stamford
Place (2.2%), and maturity refinance concerns of the 411 East
Wisconsin (4.7%) loan.
Largest Contributors to Loss: The largest contributor to overall
loss expectations in BANK 2017-BNK6 is the specially serviced
Trumbull Marriott (2.3%) loan, which is secured by a five-story,
325-key, full service Marriott hotel located in Trumbull, CT. The
loan transferred to the special servicer in May 2020 due to
Imminent Monetary Default. The borrower defaulted on payments and
the loan was reported as 90+ Days delinquent as of the April 2024
financial reporting. A receiver was appointed in December 2021 and
has engaged a broker to market the property for sale. According to
the February 2024 STR report, the hotel occupancy, ADR and RevPAR
was 55.7%, $144.12, and $80.34, respectively, for the TTM ended
February 2024. The RevPAR penetration index was 76.6%.
Fitch's 'Bsf' case loss of 91.2% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 10% haircut to the most recent February
2024 appraisal valuation.
The second largest contributor to expected losses in BANK 2017-BNK6
is the Hall Office G4 (2.0%) loan, which is secured by a 121,630-sf
suburban office property located in Frisco, TX. The property was
16% occupied as of the January 2024 rent roll, with The University
of North Texas reported as the only tenant. Occupancy declined due
to several major tenants vacating. Randstad (Previously 34.9% of
NRA) leased through April 2021, vacated the property in August
2021, and Schlumberger Technology Corp. (Previously 33.4% of NRA)
leased through February 2022, vacated upon lease expiry.
The servicer-reported NOI DSCR was -0.20x as of the
trailing-nine-months ended September 2023, compared with -0.12x at
YE 2022, 1.45x at YE 2021 and 1.62x at issuance. The loan was
reported as current as of the April 2024 financial reporting and
reported $2.1 million or $17 psf in total reserves for the same
period.
According to CoStar, the property lies within the Frisco/The Colony
Office Submarket of the Dallas-Fort Worth, TX market area. As of
1Q24, average rental rates were $37.86 psf and $30.90 psf for the
submarket and market, respectively. Vacancy for the submarket and
market was 11.0% and 18.0%, respectively. Fitch's 'Bsf' case loss
of 39.3% (prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a 10.0%
cap rate and 50% stress to the YE 2021 NOI, and factors in an
increased probability of default due to the low occupancy and
loan's heightened maturity default risk.
The largest contributor to overall loss expectations in the BANK
2017-BNK7 transaction is the Redondo Beach Hotel Portfolio (5.1%)
loan, which is secured by a two-property, 319-key
limited-service/extended stay hotel portfolio located in Redondo
Beach, CA. Portfolio performance continues to recover but remains
below levels prior to the pandemic. The YE 2023 NOI increased 13.4%
compared to the YE 2022 NOI but remains 35.5% below the YE 2019
NOI.
The hotel portfolios' December 2023 occupancy, ADR and RevPAR were
75.3%, $162.20, and $122.15, respectively. The Hilton Garden Inn
STR reported occupancy, ADR, RevPAR for the TTM ended September
2023 of 70%, $162, and $114, respectively. The hotel reported
penetration rates of 84%, 100%, and 84% for occupancy, ADR, and
RevPAR, respectively for the same period. Fitch requested for an
updated STR report for the Residence Inn hotel, but this was not
provided.
Fitch's 'Bsf' case loss of 17.3% (prior to a concentration
adjustment) is based on a 11.50% cap rate to the YE 2023 NOI.
The second largest contributor to expected losses in BANK 2017-BNK7
is the specially serviced First Stamford Place (2.2%) loan, which
is secured by three office buildings totaling 810,475-sf and
located in Stamford, CT. The loan transferred to the special
servicer in December 2023 due to Imminent Monetary Default.
The special servicer is dual tracking a foreclosure, including the
acceleration of the loan and appointment of a receiver, along with
a possible loan modification with the borrower. The property's
major tenants include; Odyssey Reinsurance Company (10.4% of NRA,
leased through September 2033); Franklin Templeton Companies, LLC
(9.3%, September 2035), Partner Reinsurance Company (6.6%, January
2029); United Rentals, Inc (5.5%, July 2030), and E&Y (4.2%,
January 2025).
The property was 74.8% occupied as of the January 2024 rent roll,
71.4% at YE 2022, 75.3% at YE 2021 and 81.7% at YE 2020. Near term
lease rollover includes 4.0% of NRA in 2024 across four leases, and
6.6% of NRA in 2025 across nine leases. NOI DSCR was 1.34x as of YE
2023, compared to 1.91x at YE 2022, 2.47x at YE 2021 and 2.93x at
YE 2020. The loan was reported as current as of April 2024
financial reporting.
According to CoStar, the property lies within the Stamford Office
Submarket of the Stamford, CT market area. As of 1Q24, average
rental rates were $39.07 psf and $34.50 psf for the submarket and
market, respectively. Vacancy for the submarket and market was
23.9% and 15.2%, respectively. Fitch's 'Bsf' case loss of 32.6%
(prior to a concentration adjustment) is based on a 10.0% cap rate
and 5% stress to the YE 2022 NOI, and factors in an increased
probability of default due to the deterioration in performance.
Increase in Credit Enhancement: As of the April 2024 distribution
date, the aggregate balances of the BANK 2017-BNK6 and BANK
2017-BNK7 transactions have been reduced by 10.3% and 7.9%,
respectively, since issuance. The BANK 2017-BNK6 transaction
includes seven loans (5.5% of the pool) that have fully defeased
while one loan, Sundance West Apartments (1.4% of the pool) is
fully defeased in BANK 2017-BNK7.
Interest Shortfalls: To date, the BANK 2017-BNK6 and BANK 2017-BNK7
transactions have not incurred any realized principal losses.
Interest shortfalls totaling $1.9 million are impacting the class
F, non-rated class G and Risk Retention class RRI in the BANK
2017-BNK6 transaction and interest shortfalls totaling $21,884 are
impacting the non-rated class G and Risk Retention class RRI in the
BANK 2017-BNK7 transaction.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to the 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to
maturity.
Downgrades to classes with Negative Outlooks in the 'BBBsf', 'BBsf'
and 'Bsf' categories are possible with further loan performance
deterioration of FLOCs, additional transfers to special servicing,
and/or with greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced
loans and/or FLOC.
Downgrades to these classes are likely if the Trumbull Marriott
(BANK 2017-BNK6) and First Stamford Place (BANK 2017-BNK7) loans
remain in special servicing and continue to erode in value or have
significant increases in exposure.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased credit enhancement (CE),
coupled with stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and
improved performance on the FLOCs.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' and 'BBsf' category rated classes would be
limited based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for
future concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf'
if there is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes could occur
only if the performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries
on the FLOCs are better than expected, and there is sufficient CE
to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed classes are not likely, but may be possible
with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans
and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BBCMC MORTGAGE 2017-C1: Fitch Alters Outlook on B-sf Rating to Neg.
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed all 14 classes of BBCMS Mortgage Trust
2017-C1 commercial mortgage pass-through certificates. The Rating
Outlooks for classes A-S, B, C, D, E, X-B, X-D, and X-E have been
revised to Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BBCMS 2017-C1
A-3 07332VBC8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 07332VBD6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 07332VBE4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 07332VBB0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 07332VBF1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 07332VBG9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 07332VAA3 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 07332VAC9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
F 07332VAE5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 07332VBJ3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 07332VBH7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 07332VAL9 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-E 07332VAN5 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-F 07332VAQ8 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Increased 'Bsf' Loss Expectations: Fitch's current ratings
incorporate a 'Bsf' rating case loss of 7.10%, up from 6.13% at the
prior rating action. There are 12 Fitch Loans of Concerns (FLOCs,
39.2% of the pool), including two specially serviced loans (2.8%).
The Negative Outlooks on classes A-S, B, C, D, E, X-B, X-D and X-E
reflect possible downgrades of up to one rating category with
continued performance deterioration or lack of stabilization of the
office FLOCs, including Center West (4%), Gateway Plaza at Meridian
(2.1%), Alhambra Towers (8.2%) and 1166 Avenue of the Americas
(7.5%).
The Negative Outlooks also consider the high office concentration
within the pool (44%) and incorporate an additional sensitivity
scenario that assumed an increased probability of default on the
1166 Avenue of the Americas loan (7.5%) due to concerns with
significant upcoming rollover, resulting in a 'Bsf' sensitivity
rating case loss of 7.7%.
FLOCs: The largest contributor to modeled losses, Center West (4%),
is secured by a 351,789-sf office building located in Los Angeles,
CA. The loan was flagged as a FLOC due to continued performance
deterioration. Occupancy has been historically below 60% and has
steadily declined since YE 2019. As of September 2023, the
servicer-reported occupancy and NOI DSCR were 32% and 0.70x,
respectively compared to 43% and 1.56x at YE 2021, and 57% and
1.72x at YE 2019. The largest tenant is Wells Fargo (4.8% of NRA;
upcoming lease expiry in July 2024; Fitch-rated A+/Stable/F1).
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration add-ons) of
40.6% reflects a 10% cap rate, 10% stress to the YE 2022 NOI and
factors a higher probability of default.
The second largest contributor to modeled losses, Gateway Plaza at
Meridian (2.1%), is secured by 138,687-sf suburban office property
located in Englewood, CO. The loan transferred to special servicing
in June 2023 and the asset became real estate-owned (REO) in
November 2023. At issuance, the property was 96% occupied, but has
experienced significant occupancy declines due to tenants vacating
upon lease expiration. According to the servicer, the property is
currently 100% vacant.
Fitch was not provided an updated value on the asset. Fitch's 'Bsf'
rating case loss (prior to concentration add-ons) of 55% reflects
an estimated Fitch dark value of approximately $50/sf.
The largest FLOC and largest loan, Alhambra Towers (8.2%), is
secured by a 174,250-sf office property located in Coral Gables,
FL. The loan remains a FLOC as occupancy has remained in the
mid-70% range since 2021 following the loss of several tenants.
However, several new leases have reportedly been signed and
occupancy is expected to increase to 93% by June 2024. The largest
in-place tenants are Quest Workspaces 121 Alhambra, LLC (12.9% NRA)
and American Tower (7.3% NRA). As of YE 2023, the servicer-reported
occupancy and NOI DSCR were 82% and 0.80x, respectively. Fitch's
'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration add-ons) of 10.1%
reflects a 9% cap rate and 20% stress to the YE 2022 NOI due to
limited information on the lease terms for the newly signed tenants
that have not taken occupancy.
The second largest FLOC is 1166 Avenue of the Americas (7.5%).,
which is secured by floors 2-6 totaling 196,241-sf (11.1% of the
building's total square footage) of an office property located is
in Midtown Manhattan built in 1974. The top three tenants are DE
Shaw & Co (43.5% NRA; lease expiry in June 2024), Sprint (20%,
January 2027) and Arcesium (20%, June 2024). Per the master
servicer, De Shaw & Co. is expected to vacate at lease expiration.
Arcesium's plans are unknown at this time.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration add-ons) of
8.1% reflects an 8% cap rate, 25% stress to the YE 2023 NOI to
account for the expected occupancy decline and factors a 50%
probability of default. In addition to the base case analysis,
Fitch performed a sensitivity scenario that increases the
probability of default to 100% given heightened default risk and
concerns the loan may transfer to special servicing. Fitch's 'Bsf'
sensitivity case loss for the loan increases to 16.1% (prior to
concentration add-ons), which contributed to the Negative Outlook
revisions.
Increased Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the May 2024 remittance,
the pool's aggregate balance has been paid down by 13.6% to $739.3
million from $857.5 million. There are 12 loans (45.8% of pool)
that are full-term, interest-only (IO). Thirty-two loans (44.6%)
were partial IO loans, all of which have exited their initial IO
period. Ten loans (9.6%) have fully defeased.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes with Negative Outlooks
are possible with continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs,
increased expected losses and limited to no improvement in CE, or
if interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly beyond
Fitch's expectations from outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or
more loans than expected experience performance deterioration.
A downgrade of up to one category to the junior 'AAAsf', 'AAsf' and
'Asf' categories is possible should performance of the Center West,
Gateway Plaza at Meridian, Alhambra Towers and 1166 Avenue of the
Americas loans deteriorate further or fail to stabilize. A
downgrade of these classes is also possible with a special
servicing transfer of the 1166 Avenue of the Americas loan.
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' rated categories are possible
with higher than expected losses from continued underperformance of
the FLOCs, in particular the office loans with deteriorating
performance and/or prolonged resolutions and greater certainty of
losses on the specially serviced loans and/or FLOCs noted above.
A downgrades to 'CCCsf' rated classes would occur should additional
loans transfer to special servicing and/or default, or as losses
become realized or more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' category may be possible
with significantly increased CE, coupled with stable-to-improved
pool-level loss expectations and sustained improved performance on
the FLOCs, including Center West, Gateway Plaza at Meridian,
Alhambra Towers and 1166 Avenue of the Americas.
Upgrades to the 'Asf' category rated classes would be limited based
on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes could occur
only if the performance of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries
on the specially serviced loans are better than expected, and there
is sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to 'CCCsf' rated classes are not likely, but may be
possible with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced
loans and/or significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENCHMARK 2024-V7: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating on Cl. J-RR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Benchmark 2024-V7 Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates series V7 as follows:
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
BMARK 2024-V7
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-S LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F-RR LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
G-RR LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
J-RR LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
K-RR LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
VRR Interest LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-B LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
- $1,650,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $125,000,000d class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $441,784,000d class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $568,434,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $126,882,000a,b class X-B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $86,280,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $40,602,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $29,437,000b class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $26,392,000a,b class X-D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,271,000b class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,121,000b class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,120,000b,c class F-RR 'BBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $10,151,000b,c class G-RR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,166,000b,c class J-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch does not expect to rate the following class:
- $31,467,000b,c class K-RR;
- $9,481,000b,e Combined VRR Interest.
Notes:
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Classes F-RR, G-RR, J-RR and K-RR certificates comprise the
transaction's horizontal risk retention interest.
(d) The initial certificate balances of classes A-2 and A-3 are
unknown and expected to be $566,784,000 in aggregate, subject to a
5% variance. The certificate balances will be determined based on
the final pricing of those classes of certificates. The expected
class A-2 balance range is $0 to $250,000,000 (net of the vertical
risk retention interest), and the expected class A-3 balance range
is $316,784,000 to $566,784,000 (net of the vertical risk retention
interest). Fitch's certificate balances for classes A-2 and A-3
reflect the midpoints of each range.
(e) The VRR Interest certificates comprise the transaction's
vertical risk retention interest and the certificate balance is
subject to change based on the final pricing of all classes.
The expected ratings are based on information provided by the
issuer as of May 15, 2024.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, the primary assets of which are 27 fixed-rate, commercial
mortgage loans with an aggregate principal balance of $821,890,000
as of the cutoff date. The mortgage loans are secured by the
borrowers' fee and leasehold interests in 80 commercial
properties.
The loans were contributed to the trust by Citi Real Estate Funding
Inc., German American Capital Corporation, Goldman Sachs Mortgage
Company, Bank of Montreal and Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc.
The master servicer is expected to be Midland Loan Services, a
Division of PNC Bank, National Association, and the special
servicer is expected to be K-Star Asset Management LLC. The trustee
and certificate administrator is expected to be Computershare Trust
Company, National Association. These certificates are expected to
follow a sequential paydown structure. The transaction's closing
date is expected to be May 30, 2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analysis on 22 loans
totaling 96.5% of the pool by balance. Fitch's resulting net cash
flow (NCF) of $248.6 million represents an 8.6% variance from the
issuer's underwritten NCF of $271.8 million.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The pool has higher leverage compared to
recent U.S. private label multiborrower transactions rated by
Fitch. The pool's Fitch loan to value ratio (LTV) of 92.5% is
higher than the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of 86.6% and 88.3%,
respectively. The pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 10.4% is
lower than the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of 11.2% and 10.9%,
respectively.
Office Concentration: In general, the pool has higher property type
diversity compared to recent Fitch transactions; the pool's
effective property type count of 4.5 is higher than the YTD 2024
and 2023 averages of 4.2 and 4.0, respectively. However, the
largest property type concentration is office (35.9% of the pool),
which is higher than the YTD 2024 and 2023 office averages of 16.6%
and 27.6%, respectively. In particular, the office concentration
includes the top three loans (26.8% of the pool) and four of the
largest 10 loans (32.3% of the pool).
The second largest property type concentration is industrial
(17.3%), which is higher than the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of
8.5% and 14.1%, respectively. The third largest property type is
multifamily (16.6%), which is lower than the YTD 2024 average of
21.7% and higher than the 2023 average of 9.3%.
Pools that have a greater concentration by property type are at a
greater risk of losses, all else equal. Therefore, Fitch raises the
overall losses for pools with effective property type counts below
five property types.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans (COLs): Three loans
representing 18.3% of the pool received an investment-grade credit
opinion. 28-40 West 23rd Street (9.7%) received a standalone credit
opinion of 'BBB+sf*', GNL Industrial Portfolio (4.9%) received a
standalone credit opinion of 'BBB-sf*', and Garden State Plaza
(3.7%) received a standalone credit opinion of 'AAsf*'. The pool's
total credit opinion percentage is higher than the YTD 2024 and
2023 averages of 15.0% and 17.8%, respectively. The pool's Fitch
LTV and DY, excluding COLs, are 99.1% and 9.7%, respectively.
High Pool Concentration: The pool is more concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The top 10 loans in the pool
make up 65.1% of the pool, higher than the YTD 2024 and 2023
averages of 62.0% and 63.7%, respectively. The pool's effective
loan count of 18.6 is below the YTD 2024 and 2023 averages of 21.3
and 20.6, respectively.
Limited Amortization: Based on the scheduled balances at maturity,
the pool will pay down 0.2%, which is below the YTD 2024 and 2023
averages of 0.9% and 1.4%, respectively. The pool has 25
interest-only loans, or 91.0% of pool by balance, which is below
the YTD 2024 average of 94.6% and higher than the 2023 average of
84.5%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBB-sf'
/ 'BB-sf' / B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf' / 'BBsf' /
'Bsf' / 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBB-sf'
/ 'BB-sf' / B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAA-sf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBB+sf' /
'BBBsf' / 'BBsf' / 'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis, and the findings
did not have an impact on the analysis. A copy of the ABS Due
Diligence Form-15E received by Fitch in connection with this
transaction may be obtained through the link contained on the
bottom of this report.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BIRCH GROVE: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-RR Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Birch
Grove CLO Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Birch Grove
CLO Ltd.
A-1-RR LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-RR LT AAAsf New Rating
A-R 09075JAL3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
B-RR LT AAsf New Rating
C-RR LT Asf New Rating
D-1-RR LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-RR LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-RR LT BB-sf New Rating
F-RR LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Birch Grove CLO Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Birch Grove Capital
LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated
notes will provide financing on a portfolio with a target par
amount of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior
secured leveraged loans (including defaulted obligations).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.6, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.42% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.36% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.4%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39.0% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-RR, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-RR, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-RR, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-RR,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-RR, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-RR.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-RR notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-RR, 'AAsf' for class C-RR, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-RR, 'Asf' for class D-2-RR, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-RR.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Birch Grove CLO
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
BMO 2024-5C4: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Cl. G-RR Certificates
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to BMO
2024-5C4 Mortgage Trust Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates Series 2024-5C4 as follows:
- $5,172,000a class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $100,000,000a class A-2 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $481,066,000a class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $604,059,000b class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $102,591,000a class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $42,921,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $30,358,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $181,217,000b class X-B 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,656,000a,c class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,374,000a,c class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $23,731,000b,c class X-D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $13,609,000a,c class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,023,000b,c class X-F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $8,375,000a,c,d class G-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
Fitch does not rate the following classes:
- $30,358,671a,c,d class J-RR.
- $25,461,000e Combined VRR Interest
Notes:
(a) Class balances, excluding the VRR Interest, are net of their
proportionate share of the vertical risk retention interest,
totaling 2.95% of the notional amount of the certificates.
(b) Notional amount and interest only.
(c) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(d) Classes G-RR and J-RR certificates comprise the transaction's
horizontal risk retention interest.
(e) The VRR Interest certificates comprise the transaction's
vertical risk retention interest and the certificate balance is
subject to change based on the final pricing of all classes.
Since Fitch published its expected ratings on April 19, 2024, a
change has occurred. The balances for classes A-2 and A-3 were
finalized. At the time the expected ratings were published, the
initial aggregate certificate balance of the A-2 class was expected
to be in the range of $0-$286,297,000 (net of the vertical risk
retention interest), and the initial aggregate certificate balance
of the A-3 class was expected to be in the range of 294,768,000-
$581,066,000 (net of the vertical risk retention interest). The
final class balances for classes A-2 and A-3 are $100,000,000 and
$481,066,000, respectively.
Classes B and C were finalized as WAC classes that are not expected
to contribute any cash flow to class X-B. Therefore, Fitch has
updated the rating of class X-B to 'AAAsf' from 'A-(EXP)sf' to
reflect the rating of the lowest reference tranche whose payable
interest has an impact on class X-B, in accordance with Fitch's
criteria.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust, the primary assets of which are 39 fixed-rate, commercial
mortgage loans with an aggregate principal balance of $862,941,672
as of the cutoff date. The mortgage loans are secured by the
borrowers' fee and leasehold interests in 71 commercial
properties.
The loans were contributed to the trust by Bank of Montreal,
Argentic Real Estate Finance 2 LLC, Wells Fargo Bank, National
Association, Starwood Mortgage Capital LLC, Citi Real Estate
Funding Inc., Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company, LMF Commercial, LLC,
UBS AG and German American Capital Corporation.
The master servicer is Midland Loan Services and the special
servicer is Argentic Services Company LP. Computershare Trust
Company, N.A. is the trustee and certificate administrator. These
certificates will follow a sequential paydown structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 29 loans
totaling 90.9% of the pool by balance. Fitch's cash flow sample
included the largest 20 loans in the pool, as well as nine loans
outside the top 20. Fitch's resulting net cash flow (NCF) of $237.2
million represents a 13.2% decline from the issuer's underwritten
NCF of $273.4 million.
Higher Fitch Leverage: The transaction has higher Fitch leverage
compared to recent multi-borrower transactions. The pool's Fitch WA
Trust LTV is 91.8%, higher than the BMO 2024-5C3 LTV of 80.5%, and
higher than the YTD 2024 multi-borrower average of 87.1%.
Additionally, the pool's Fitch DY is 11.0%, lower than the Fitch DY
of BMO 2024-5C3 of 11.9% as well as the DY of the YTD 2024
multi-borrower average of 11.6%.
Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Three loans representing
17.4% of the pool balance received an investment-grade credit
opinion. GNL Industrial Portfolio (8.1% of the pool) received a
standalone credit opinion of 'BBB-sf*'. 28-40 West 23rd Street
(5.8%) received a standalone credit opinion of 'BBB+sf*'. Kenwood
Towne Centre (3.5%) received a standalone credit opinion of
'BBBsf*'. The pool's total credit opinion percentage of 17.4% is
above the YTD 2024 average of 12.9% but slightly below the 2023
average of 17.8%. The pool's Fitch LTV and DY, excluding credit
opinion loans, are 96.1% and 10.8%, respectively.
Shorter-Duration Loans: Loans with five-year terms comprise 100% of
the pool, whereas Fitch-rated multiborrower transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default than 10-year loans,
all else equal. This is mainly attributed to the shorter window of
exposure to potential adverse economic conditions. Fitch considered
its loan performance regression in its analysis of the pool.
High Mall Concentration: The transaction's mall concentration
consists of three top 10 properties (12.6% of pool) and accounts
for 97.1% of the pool's retail exposure. However, the overall
retail exposure for this transaction is only 14.4% which is below
the YTD 2024 and 2023 multi-borrower averages of 36.3% and 31.2%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBBsf'
/ 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB+sf' / 'BB-sf'
/ 'B-sf' / '
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBBsf'
/ 'BB-sf' / 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBB-sf'
/ 'BBsf' /'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BMP COMMERCIAL 2024-MF23: Fitch Gives B+(EXP) Rating on HRR Certs
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Fitch Ratings has assigned the following expected ratings and
Ratings Outlooks to BMP Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-MF23,
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates Series 2024-MF23:
- $623,200,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $99,100,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $77,800,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $109,600,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $159,050,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $56,250,000a class HRR 'B+sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least 5.0%
of the estimated fair value of all classes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial interests in a trust that
holds a two-year, floating-rate, interest-only (IO) mortgage loan
with three one-year extension options. The mortgage will be secured
by the borrowers' fee simple interest in a portfolio of 23
multifamily properties with a total of 7,300 units located across
six states (Florida, Texas, Colorado, Utah, Arizona and Georgia).
The properties were constructed between 1983 and 2023. The
portfolio is 95.4% leased as of the March 2024 rent roll.
Loan proceeds, together with approximately $486.0 million in cash
equity, will be used to acquire the properties for $1.55 billion,
pay closing costs and fund a $30.0 million upfront letter of credit
(LOC).
The certificates will follow a pro rata paydown structure for the
initial 30% of the loan amount and a standard senior sequential
paydown structure thereafter. The borrowers' have a one-time right
to obtain a mezzanine loan. To the extent the mezzanine loan is
outstanding and there is no event of default (EOD) on the mortgage
loan, any voluntary prepayments will be applied pro rata between
both the mortgage and the mezzanine loan.
The loan is expected to be originated by Citi Real Estate Funding
Inc., Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc., Goldman Sachs Bank USA and
JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association. KeyBank National
Association will act as servicer and Torchlight Loan Services, LLC
will act as special servicer. Wilmington Savings Fund Society, FSB
will act as trustee. Citibank, N.A. will act as certificate
administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC will act as
operating advisor. The transaction is expected to close on June 4,
2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch estimates stressed net cash flow (NCF) for the
portfolio at $79.6 million. This is 8.1% lower than the issuer's
NCF and 4.2% lower than the YE23 NCF. Fitch applied a 7.5% cap
rate, resulting in a Fitch value of $1.06 billion.
High Fitch Leverage: The $1.125 billion total mortgage loan
($154,110/unit) has a Fitch stressed debt service coverage ratio
(DSCR), loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and debt yield (DY) of 0.83x,
106.0% and 7.1%, respectively. The loan represents approximately
69.4% of the as-portfolio appraised value of $1.62 billion.
Diverse Portfolio: The portfolio is secured by 7,300 units across
23 garden-style multifamily properties located in six states and
eleven MSAs. The portfolio is granular, with no property comprising
more than 7.4% of the total units or 7.1% of allocated loan amount
(ALA). No state or market represents more than 45.6% or 26.0% of
the ALA, respectively.
Institutional Sponsorship: The loan sponsor is Brookfield Strategic
Real Estate Partners V. The sponsor and guarantors are affiliates
of Brookfield. Brookfield and its affiliates had over $900 billion
of total assets under management as of its Dec. 31, 2023 quarterly
report, of which $276 billion is related to real estate. The
sponsor has significant cash equity remaining in the deal. The
portfolio will be managed by Brookfield Property Management LLC, a
Brookfield affiliate. Over the next five years, the sponsor plans
to invest $105.0 million in renovations to the portfolio; $30
million of which is reserved at closing in the form of a letter of
credit (LOC).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the model
implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch net
cash flow (NCF):
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'BBB+sf '/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model implied rating sensitivity to changes to the same one
variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf '/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AA+sf
'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and
re-computation of certain characteristics with respect to the
mortgage loan. Fitch considered this information in its analysis,
which did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BRYANT PARK 2024-23: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Bryant Park Funding
2024-23 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2024-23 LLC's fixed- and
floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Marathon Asset Management L.P.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Bryant Park Funding 2024-23 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2024-23 LLC
Class A-1 loans, $126.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1A, $121.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1B(i), $0.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $10.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $46.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $14.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $10.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $8.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $10.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $38.30 million: Not rated
(i)Class A-1B will be funded if all or a portion of the class A-1
loans are converted. In that case, class A-1B will increase by the
amount converted from the class A-1 loan balance. Once a conversion
is exercised, the class A-1B notes cannot be converted to class A-1
loans.
CHASE HOME 2024-5: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. B-5 Certs
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Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-5 (Chase 2024-5).
Entity/Debt Rating
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Chase 2024-5
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-6-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-7-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-8-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-9-X LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-X-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-A LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-X LT AA-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-A LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-X LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-4 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-5 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-6 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch Ratings expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-5
(Chase 2024-5) as indicated above. The certificates are supported
by 478 loans with a total balance of approximately $548.44 million
as of the cutoff date. The scheduled balance as of the cutoff date
is $548.18 million.
The pool consists of prime-quality fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs)
solely originated by JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association
(JPMCB). The loan-level representations and warranties (R&Ws) are
provided by the originator, JPMCB. All the mortgage loans in the
pool will be serviced by JPMCB.
The collateral quality of the pool is extremely strong, with a
large percentage of loans over $1.0 million.
Of the loans, 99.8% qualify as safe-harbor qualified mortgage
(SHQM) average prime offer rate (APOR); the remaining 0.2% qualify
as rebuttable presumption QM (APOR). There is no exposure to Libor
in this transaction. The collateral comprises 100% fixed-rate
loans, and the certificates are fixed rate and capped at the net
weighted average coupon (WAC) or based on the net WAC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, it views the home price values of
this pool as 10.4% above a long-term sustainable level (vs. 11.1%
on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% since the prior quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades, driven
by both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices
increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of February 2024, despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
High-Quality Prime Mortgage Pool (Positive): The pool consists of
high-quality, fixed-rate, fully amortizing loans with maturities of
up to 30 years; 99.8% of the loans qualify as SHQM APOR; the
remaining 0.2% qualify as rebuttable presumption QM (APOR). The
loans were made to borrowers with strong credit profiles,
relatively low leverage and large liquid reserves.
The loans are seasoned at an average of 9.0 months, according to
Fitch. The pool has a WA FICO score of 773, as determined by Fitch
and is based on the original FICO for newly originated loans and
the updated FICO for loans seasoned 12 months or more, which is
indicative of very high credit-quality borrowers. A large
percentage of the loans have a borrower with a Fitch-derived FICO
score equal to or above 750. Fitch determined that 79.5% of the
loans have a borrower with a Fitch-determined FICO score equal to
or above 750. In addition, the original WA combined loan-to-value
(CLTV) ratio of 73.9%, translating to a sustainable LTV (sLTV)
ratio of 78.6%, represents moderate borrower equity in the property
and reduced default risk, compared with a borrower with a CLTV over
80%.
Of the pool, 99.1% of the loans are nonconforming and the remaining
0.9% are conforming loans. All the loans are designated as QM
loans.
Of the pool, 100% comprises loans where the borrower maintains a
primary or secondary residence. Single-family homes and planned
unit developments (PUDs) constitute 93.9% of the pool; condominiums
make up 4.2%; and co-ops make up 1.0%. The remaining 0.9% (three
loans) are two to four family homes.
The pool consists of loans with the following loan purposes, as
determined by Fitch: purchases (94.8%), cashout refinances (0.6%)
and rate-term refinances (4.6%). Fitch views favorably that no
loans are for investment properties and a majority of mortgages are
purchases.
Of the pool loans, 23.1% are concentrated in California, followed
by Texas and Florida. The largest MSA concentration is in the San
Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA MSA (8.3%), followed by the
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA MSA (7.2%) and the New York-Northern
New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA MSA (6.3%). The top three MSAs
account for 21.7% of the pool. As a result, no probability of
default (PD) penalty was applied for geographic concentration.
Shifting-Interest Structure with Full Advancing (Mixed): The
mortgage cash flow and loss allocation are based on a
senior-subordinate, shifting-interest structure, whereby the
subordinate classes receive only scheduled principal and are locked
out from receiving unscheduled principal or prepayments for five
years. The lockout feature helps maintain subordination for a
longer period should losses occur later in the life of the
transaction. The applicable credit support percentage feature
redirects subordinate principal to classes of higher seniority if
specified credit enhancement (CE) levels are not maintained.
The servicer, JPMCB, is obligated to advance delinquent principal
and interest (P&I) until deemed nonrecoverable; the servicer is
expected to advance delinquent P&I on loans that enter into a
coronavirus pandemic-related forbearance plan. Although full P&I
advancing will provide liquidity to the certificates, it will also
increase the loan-level loss severity (LS) since the servicer looks
to recoup P&I advances from liquidation proceeds, which results in
less recoveries.
There is no master servicer for this transaction. U.S. Bank Trust
National Association is the trustee that will advance as needed
until a replacement servicer can be found. The trustee is the
ultimate advancing party.
CE Floor (Positive): A CE or senior subordination floor of 1.10%
has been considered to mitigate potential tail-end risk and loss
exposure for senior tranches as the pool size declines and
performance volatility increases due to adverse loan selection and
small loan count concentration. Additionally, a junior
subordination floor of 0.60% has been considered to mitigate
potential tail-end risk and loss exposure for subordinate tranches
as the pool size declines and performance volatility increases due
to adverse loan selection and small loan count concentration.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.8% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC. The third-party due diligence described in Form
15E focused on four areas: compliance review, credit review,
valuation review and data integrity. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch decreased its
loss expectations by 0.11% at the 'AAAsf' stress due to 56.1% due
diligence with no material findings.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 56.1% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." AMC
was engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this
engagement were given compliance, credit and valuation grades and
assigned initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions
and waivers were noted in the due diligence reports. Refer to the
"Third-Party Due Diligence" section for more detail.
Fitch also utilized data files provided by the issuer on its SEC
Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received loan level
information based on the ResiPLS data layout format, and the data
provided was considered comprehensive. The data contained in the
ResiPLS layout data tape were reviewed by the due diligence
companies, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Chase 2024-5 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in Chase 2024-5, including strong transaction due diligence, the
entirety of the pool is originated by an 'Above Average'
originator, and the entirety of the pool is serviced by an 'RPS1-'
servicer. All of these attributes result in a reduction in expected
losses. This has a positive impact on the transaction's credit
profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CHASE HOME 2024-RPL2: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)' Rating on B-2 Certs
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Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to Chase Home Lending
Mortgage Trust 2024-RPL2 (Chase 2024-RPL2).
Entity/Debt Rating
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Chase 2024-RPL2
A-1-A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1-B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-2 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-4 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-5 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
PT LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
to be issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-RPL2 (Chase
2024-RPL2), as indicated above. The transaction is expected to
close on May 30, 2024. The certificates are supported by one
collateral group that consists of 2,307 seasoned performing loans
(SPLs) and reperforming loans (RPLs) with a total balance of
approximately $531.95 million, which includes $60.5 million, or
11.4%, of the aggregate pool balance in non-interest-bearing
deferred principal amounts, as of the statistical calculation
date.
All of the loans in the transaction were originated by J.P. Morgan
Chase Bank, EMC or Washington Mutual Bank and all loans have been
held by J.P. Morgan Chase since origination or acquisition of
Washington Mutual Bank. All the loans have been serviced by J.P.
Morgan Chase Bank N.A. since origination or acquisition of
Washington Mutual. Chase is considered an 'Above Average'
originator by Fitch. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., rated 'RPS1-' by
Fitch, is the named servicer for the transaction.
Distributions of P&I and loss allocations are based on a
traditional senior-subordinate, sequential structure. The
sequential-pay structure locks out principal to the subordinated
certificates until the most senior certificates outstanding are
paid in full. The servicer will not be advancing delinquent monthly
payments of P&I.
There is no LIBOR exposure in the transaction. The collateral is
98.4% fixed rate and 1.6% step loans and the A-1 bonds are fixed
rate and capped at the net weighted average coupon (WAC)/available
fund cap and classes A-2, M-1, M-2, B-1, B-2, B-3, and B-4 are
based on the net WAC/available fund cap. The B-5 is a principal
only class.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): As a result of its
updated view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price
values of this pool as 10.4% above a long-term sustainable level
(versus 11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, down 0% since last
quarter). Housing affordability is the worst it has been in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices had increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of
February 2024 despite modest regional declines, but are still being
supported by limited inventory.
Seasoned Performing and Reperforming Credit Quality (Mixed): The
collateral consists of 2,307 seasoned, reperforming fully
amortizing and balloon, fixed-rate and step-rate mortgage loans
secured by first liens on primarily one- to four-family residential
properties, planned unit developments (PUDs), condominiums,
townhouses, manufactured homes, cooperatives, mixed use properties,
and land, totaling $531.95 million and seasoned approximately 217
months in aggregate, according to Fitch (215 months per the
transaction documents).
The loans were originated mainly by Chase (33.1%), EMC (0.1%) and
Washington Mutual (66.8%). The vast majority of the loans
originated by Washington Mutual and EMC were modified by Chase
after they were acquired. All loans have been serviced by J.P.
Morgan Chase Bank N.A. since origination or since the loans were
acquired from Washington Mutual and EMC.
The borrower profile is typical of recent seasoned RPL transactions
that Fitch has seen. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile
(683 FICO, according to Fitch, and 714 per the transaction
documents) and low current leverage with an updated loan-to-value
(LTV) of 42.8% per the transaction documents (original LTV of 76.0%
as determined by Fitch) and a sustainable LTV (sLTV) as determined
by Fitch of 47.9%.
Borrower debt-to-income ratios (DTIs) were not provided, so Fitch
assumed each loan had a 45% DTI in its analysis. Of the pool, 99.1%
of the loans have been modified, with 22.7% borrower retention
modifications. In its analysis, Fitch only considered 76.5% of the
pool as having a modification, since these modifications were made
due to credit issues. Fitch does not consider loans that have a
borrower retention modification as having been modified in its
analysis.
As of the cutoff date, the pool is 100% current; 83.6% of loans
have been clean current for at least 24 months, with 24.4% clean
current for 24 months and 59.2% clean current for 36 months.
The pool consists of 88.6% of loans where the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 11.4% are investment properties or second
homes. Fitch viewed the high percentage of primary residences as a
positive feature in its analysis.
There is one loan in the pool with a potential principal reduction
amount (PRA) that totals $2,445. Since this amount will be
forgiven, Fitch increased its loss expectation by this amount (the
increase in loss was not material).
Seven loans in the pool were affected by a natural disaster and
incurred minor damage with a maximum repair cost of $10,000. Since
the damage rep carves out loans that have damages of less than
$30,000, Fitch reduced the updated property value of these seven
loans by the amount of the estimated damage as determined by the
property inspection. As a result, the sLTV were increased for these
loans, which in turn increased the loss severity.
Geographic Concentration (Negative): Approximately 37.9% of the
pool is concentrated in California. The largest MSA concentrations
are in the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-PA MSA
(15.0%), the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana, CA MSA (14.4%) and
the Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Miami Beach, FL MSA (8.6%). The top three
MSAs account for 37.9% of the pool. As a result, there was a 1.01x
probability of default (PD) penalty for geographic concentration,
which increased the 'AAAsf' loss by 0.05%.
No Advancing (Positive): The servicer will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I. Due to P&I advances made on
behalf of loans that become delinquent and eventually reduce
liquidation proceeds to the trust, the loan-level loss severities
(LS) are less for this transaction than for those where the
servicer is obligated to advance P&I. Structural provisions and
cash flow priorities, together with increased subordination,
provide for timely payments of interest to the 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf'
rated classes.
Sequential Payment Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash
flow is based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the
subordinate classes do not receive principal until the senior
classes are repaid in full. Losses are allocated in
reverse-sequential order. Furthermore, the provision to re-allocate
principal to pay interest on the 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' rated
certificates prior to other principal distributions is highly
supportive of timely interest payments to those classes with no
advancing. Fitch rates to timely interest for 'AAAsf' rated classes
and rates to ultimate interest for all other rated classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.7% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
CRITERIA VARIATION
There was one criteria variation used in the analysis. The
variation was to Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Loan Loss Model Criteria" since
Fitch used lower LS floors that start at 20% for the AAA stress and
end at 5% at the base case rather than 30% for the AAA stress and
end at 10% in the base case in the analysis of this pool due to the
seasoning of the loans and the very low LTVs. Using a 30% LS Floor
is overly punitive, since almost 40% of the pool will liquidate
without a loss under Fitch's analysis if no LS floor is applied at
the AAA stress. Not applying this criteria variation would result
in a one category difference in the ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by SitusAMC and Clayton. A third-party due diligence
review was performed on 24.7% of the loans in the final pool. These
loans had a compliance review, servicing comment review, payment
history review, and data integrity review completed by SitusAMC and
Clayton, which are assessed by Fitch as 'Acceptable' third-party
review (TPR) firms.
The review scope was consistent with Fitch criteria for due
diligence on seasoned and re-performing loans. All loans in the
final pool that had a due diligence review completed received a
grade of 'A' or 'B' with no material findings.
A tax, title and lien review was performed on 690 loans by SitusAMC
and 89 loans by Clayton. The review found there are $258,389 in
outstanding tax, municipal, and HOA liens (0.05% of the total pool
balance).
Some loans in the pool have missing or defective documents, which
JPMCB is actively tracking down. JPMCB also consulted their
foreclosure attorney who confirmed that the majority of the missing
documents would not prevent a foreclosure. If JPMCB is not able to
obtain the missing documents by the time the loan goes to
foreclosure and not able to foreclose, it will repurchase the
loan.
A pay history review was conducted on a sample of the loans that
confirmed the pay strings are accurate.
Fitch considered the results of the due diligence in its analysis.
Fitch did not adjust its loss expectations for any risks posed by
due diligence findings due to the following mitigating factor:
JPMCB is the R&W provider that holds an investment-grade rating.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 24.7% of the pool. The third-party due diligence was
generally consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria."
SitusAMC and Clayton were engaged to perform the review. Loans
reviewed under this engagement were given compliance grades.
Minimal exceptions and waivers were noted in the due diligence
reports. Refer to the Third-Party Due Diligence section of the
presale for more details.
AMC and Clayton also performed a serving comment review, payment
history review, and data integrity review of the loans that had a
compliance review.
690 loans had a tax and title review performed by SitusAMC and 89
loans by Clayton.
JPMorgan Chase has a very robust process for confirming the data in
loan tape is accurate based on the documentation they have in the
loan files and servicing systems, which is a mitigating factor to
the limited data integrity review by SitusAMC and Clayton in
addition to the R&W being provided by JPMorgan Chase.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. Fitch received
loan-level information; however, this information was not provided
based on the American Securitization Forum's (ASF) data layout
format. Despite this difference in data presentation, Fitch
considered the data to be comprehensive. The data contained in the
data tape were reviewed by the due diligence company and no
material discrepancies were noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Chase 2024-RPL2 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for
transaction parties and operational risk. Operational risk is well
controlled in Chase 2024-RPL2 and includes strong transaction due
diligence, and all the pool loans are serviced by a servicer rated
'RPS1-'. All these attributes result in a reduction in expected
losses and in conjunction with other factors are relevant to the
ratings.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
COLUMBIA CENT 33: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Columbia
Cent CLO 33 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 33 Corp.'s floating- and
fixed-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Columbia Cent CLO Advisers LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 16,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool, which consists
primarily of broadly syndicated speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and
lower) senior secured term loans.
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Columbia Cent CLO 33 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 33 Corp.
Class A-1, $240.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-J, $16.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $14.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-F (deferrable), $10.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1F (deferrable), $17.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-1A (deferrable), $5.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-J (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $39.10 million: Not rated
DRYDEN 42: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)' Rating on Class F-RR Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Dryden 42 Senior Loan Fund Reset Transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
DRYDEN 42 SENIOR
LOAN FUND
X-RR LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1RR LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2RR LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-RR LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-RR LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1RR LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2RR LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-RR LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F-RR LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Dryden 42 Senior Loan Fund (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by PGIM, Inc that
originally closed in May 2016 and is being refinanced for the
second time. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $347 million
(excluded defaulted obligations) of primarily first lien senior
secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.28, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 24.83. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.21% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.42% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 74.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average loan (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as for class X-RR, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class
A-1RR, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2RR, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-RR, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-RR, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1RR,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2RR, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-RR, and less than 'B-sf' for
class F-RR. Ratings did not change for the class X-RR notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class X-RR, class A-1RR
and class A-2RR notes as these notes are in the highest rating
category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-RR, 'AA+sf' for class C-RR,
'A+sf' for class D-1RR, 'A-sf' for class D-2RR, 'BBB+sf' for class
E-RR, and 'BB+sf' for class F-RR.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information. Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool
information relied upon for its rating analysis according to its
applicable rating methodologies indicates that it is adequately
reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Dryden 42 Senior
Loan Fund. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
DRYDEN CLO 64: Moody's Cuts Rating on $12MM Class F Notes to Caa2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Dryden 64 CLO, Ltd.:
US$30,000,000 Class C Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to Aa3 (sf);
previously on March 28, 2023 Upgraded to A1 (sf)
US$37,500,000 Class D Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031 (the "Class D Notes"), Upgraded to Baa2 (sf);
previously on May 1, 2018 Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Moody's Ratings has also downgraded the ratings on the following
notes:
US$12,000,000 Class F Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2031 (the "Class F Notes"), Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously
on May 1, 2018 Assigned B3 (sf)
Dryden 64 CLO, Ltd., issued in May 2018 is a managed cashflow CLO.
The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio of broadly
syndicated senior secured corporate loan. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in April 2023.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating actions are primarily a result of deleveraging
of the senior notes since May 2023. The Class A notes have been
paid down by approximately 7.27% or $28.4 million since then.
The downgrade rating action on the Class F notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss observed in
the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on Moody's calculation, the OC
ratio for the Class F notes is 102.07%. Moody's also calculates
that the deal's exposure to collateral from issuers rated Caa1 or
lower has increased to 8.81% from 7.09% as of the last rating
action in March 2023.
No actions were taken on the Class A, Class B and Class E notes
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio information, its relevant structural features and its
actual over-collateralization and interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in its analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on its
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $542,657,803
Defaulted par: $17,653,366
Diversity Score: 89
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2726
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.28%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.59%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.05 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, decrease in overall WAS or net interest
income, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Rating:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
EBET INC: Incurs $5.05 Million Net Loss in Second Quarter
---------------------------------------------------------
EBET, Inc. filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission its
Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting a net loss of $5.05 million
on $3.52 million of revenue for the three months ended March 31,
2024, compared to a net loss of $4.01 million on $11.58 million of
revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
For the six months ended March 31, 2024, the Company reported a net
loss of $8.87 million on $7.81 million of revenue, compared to a
net loss of $11.57 million on $25.99 million of revenue for the six
months ended March 31, 2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $14.55 million in total
assets, $70.73 million in total liabilities, and a total
stockholders' deficit of $56.18 million.
EBET said, "We have a history of and expect to continue to report
negative cash flows from operations and a net loss. Our forecasts
for 2024 and beyond indicate that we will need additional funding
in order to have sufficient financial resources to continue to
settle our debts as they fall due. We have taken significant
measures to increase the profitability of our business in the short
term, but we are not currently generating sufficient cash from our
operations to settle our debts as they fall due and continue to
require near term financing. These actions include optimizing the
efficiency of marketing campaigns, reducing the total number of
employees and contractors, terminating software and other
immaterial contracts as well as generally reducing the operating
costs of the business. These efforts have also resulted in an
increased focus on our i-gaming business and a significant
reduction in the investment of our esports products and
technologies, which resulted in the recognition of an impairment
loss on certain intangible assets and fixed assets. As a result of
our actions as referenced above, we do not expect to launch our
esports products in the short or medium term. These factors raise
substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going
concern. These financial statements do not include any adjustments
to the recoverability and classification of recorded asset amounts
and classification of liabilities that might be necessary should we
be unable to continue as a going concern. We may seek additional
funding through a combination of equity offerings, debt financings,
government or other third-party funding, commercialization,
marketing and distribution arrangements, other collaborations,
strategic alliances and licensing arrangements and delay planned
cash outlays or a combination thereof. Management cannot be
certain that such events or a combination thereof can be
achieved."
As of March 31, 2024, the Company has incurred an accumulated
deficit of $160,023,445 since inception and has not yet generated
any meaningful income from operations.
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1829966/000168316824003700/ebet_i10q-033124.htm
About EBET
EBET, Inc., headquartered in Las Vegas, NV, operates platforms to
provide a real money online gambling experience focused on i-gaming
including casino, sportsbook and esports events. The Company
operates under a Curacao gaming sublicense and under operator
service agreements with Aspire Global plc allowing EBET to provide
online betting services to various countries around the world.
Lakewood, CO-based BF Borgers CPA PC, the Company's auditor since
2022, issued a "going concern" qualification in its report dated
Jan. 12, 2024, citing that the Company's operating losses raise
substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
ELMWOOD CLO IV: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-R, and E-R replacement debt and new class F-R debt from Elmwood
CLO IV Ltd./Elmwood CLO IV LLC, a CLO originally issued in March
2020 that is managed by Elmwood Asset Management LLC. At the same
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class X, A, B, C, D,
and E debt following payment in full on the May 20, 2024,
refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to April 18, 2026.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to April 18, 2029.
-- The legal final maturity date (for the replacement debt and the
existing subordinated notes) was extended to April 18, 2037.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the refinancing date,
and the target initial par amount remains at $500 million.
-- There is no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is Oct. 18, 2024.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were amended.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $320.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.46%
-- Class B-R, $60.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.85%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.30%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.35%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.15%
-- Class F-R (deferrable), $7.50 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.50%
Original debt
-- Class X, $2.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 0.70% +
CSA(i)
-- Class A, $320.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.24% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $60.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.05% + CSA(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.15% + CSA(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $17.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 6.60% + CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $47.20 million: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO IV Ltd./Elmwood CLO IV LLC
Class A-R, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $20.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $7.50 million: B- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Elmwood CLO IV Ltd./Elmwood CLO IV LLC
Class X to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
Elmwood CLO IV Ltd./Elmwood CLO IV LLC
Subordinated notes, $47.20 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
FANNIE MAE 2024-R04: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB' Rating on 1B-1 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Fannie Mae
Connecticut Avenue Securities Trust 2024-R04's notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by fully
amortizing, first-lien, fixed-rate residential mortgage loans
secured by one- to four-family residences, planned-unit
developments, condominiums, manufactured housing, and cooperatives
made primarily to prime borrowers.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 20,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect:
-- The credit enhancement provided by the subordinated reference
tranches and the associated structural deal mechanics;
-- The REMIC structure, which reduces the counterparty exposure to
Fannie Mae for periodic principal and interest payments but also
pledges the support of Fannie Mae (as a highly rated counterparty)
to cover any shortfalls on interest payments and make up for any
investment losses;
-- The issuer's aggregation experience and the alignment of
interests between the issuer and the noteholders in the
transaction's performance, which we believe enhance the notes'
strength;
-- The enhanced credit risk management and quality control
processes Fannie Mae uses in conjunction with the underlying R&W
framework; and
-- The potential impact that current and near-term macroeconomic
conditions may have on the performance of the mortgage borrowers in
the pool. S&P said, "Per our latest macroeconomic update, the U.S.
economy appears on track for 2.5% average growth in 2024 (up from
1.5% in our November 2023 forecast), spurred by a sturdy labor
market--repeating last year's outperformance versus peers. We
continue to expect the economy to transition to below-potential
growth as the year progresses. We apply our current market outlook
as it relates to the 'B' projected archetypal foreclosure frequency
(which we updated to 2.50% from 3.25% in October 2023), reflecting
our benign view of the mortgage and housing market as demonstrated
through general national-level home price behavior, unemployment
rates, mortgage performance, and underwriting."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Fannie Mae Connecticut Avenue Securities Trust 2024-R04
Class 1A-H(i), $17,539,449,120: Not rated
Class 1A-1, $220,403,000: A+ (sf)
Class 1A-1H(i), $11,600,295: Not rated
Class 1M-1, $220,403,000: BBB+ (sf)
Class 1M-1H(i), $11,600,295: Not rated
Class 1M-2A(ii), $58,774,000: BBB+ (sf)
Class 1M-AH(i), $3,093,545: Not rated
Class 1M-2B(ii), $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1M-BH(i), $3,093,545: Not rated
Class 1M-2C(ii), $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1M-CH(i), $3,093,545: Not rated
Class 1M-2(ii), $176,322,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1B-1A(ii), $45,240,000: BB+ (sf)
Class 1B-AH(i), $24,360,989: Not rated
Class 1B-1B(ii), $45,240,000: BB (sf)
Class 1B-BH(i), $24,360,989: Not rated
Class 1B-1(ii), $90,480,000: BB (sf)
Class 1B-2H(i), $139,201,977: Not rated
Class 1B-3H(i), $92,801,319: Not rated
Related combinable and recombinable notes exchangeable
classes(iii)
Class 1E-A1, $58,774,000: BBB+ (sf)
Class 1A-I1, $58,774,000(iv): BBB+ (sf)
Class 1E-A2, $58,774,000: BBB+ (sf)
Class 1A-I2, $58,774,000(iv): BBB+ (sf)
Class 1E-A3, $58,774,000: BBB+ (sf)
Class 1A-I3, $58,774,000(iv): BBB+ (sf)
Class 1E-A4, $58,774,000: BBB+ (sf)
Class 1A-I4, $58,774,000(iv): BBB+ (sf)
Class 1E-B1, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1B-I1, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-B2, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1B-I2, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-B3, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1B-I3, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-B4, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1B-I4, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-C1, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1C-I1, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-C2, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1C-I2, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-C3, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1C-I3, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-C4, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1C-I4, $58,774,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1E-D1, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-D2, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-D3, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-D4, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-D5, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-F1, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-F2, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-F3, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-F4, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1E-F5, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-X1, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-X2, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-X3, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-X4, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-Y1, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-Y2, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-Y3, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-Y4, $117,548,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1-J1, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-J2, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-J3, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-J4, $58,774,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-K1, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-K2, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-K3, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1-K4, $117,548,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1M-2Y, $176,322,000: BBB (sf)
Class 1M-2X, $176,322,000(iv): BBB (sf)
Class 1B-1Y, $90,480,000: BB (sf)
Class 1B-1X, $90,480,000(iv): BB (sf)
(i)Reference tranche only and will not have corresponding notes.
Fannie Mae retains the risk of these tranches.
(ii)The class 1M-2 noteholders may exchange all or part of that
class for proportionate interests in the class 1M-2A, 1M-2B, and
1M-2C notes and vice versa. The class 1B-1 noteholders may exchange
all or part of that class for proportionate interests in the class
1B-1A and 1B-1B notes and vice versa. The class 1M-2A, 1M-2B,
1M-2C, 1B-1A, and 1B-1B noteholders may exchange all or part of
those classes for proportionate interests in the classes of RCR
notes as specified in the offering documents.
(iii)See the offering documents for more detail on possible
combinations.
(iv)Notional amount.
FUTURE FINTECH: Incurs $3.32 Million Net Loss in First Quarter
--------------------------------------------------------------
Future FinTech Group Inc. filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting a net loss
of $3.32 million on $5.12 million of revenue for the three months
ended March 31, 2024, compared to a net loss of $2.25 million on
$3.36 million of revenue for the three months ended March 31,
2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $59.91 million in total
assets, $18.29 million in total liabilities, and $41.62 million in
total stockholders' equity.
Future Fintech stated, "The Company incurred operating losses and
had negative operating cash flows and may continue to incur
operating losses and generate negative cash flows as the Company
implements its future business plan. The Company's operating
losses amounted $3.97 million, and it had negative operating cash
flows amounted $8.15 million as of March 31, 2024. These factors
raise substantial doubts about the Company's ability to continue as
a going concern. The Company has raised funds through issuance of
convertible notes and common stock.
"The ability of the Company to continue as a going concern is
dependent upon its ability to successfully execute its new business
strategy and eventually attain profitable operations. The
accompanying financial statements do not include any adjustments
that may be necessary if the Company is unable to continue as a
going concern."
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1066923/000121390024045190/ea0205821-10q_future.htm
About Future FinTech Group Inc.
Future FinTech Group Inc. is a holding company incorporated under
the laws of the State of Florida. The Company historically engaged
in the production and sale of fruit juice concentrates (including
fruit purees and fruit juices), fruit beverages (including fruit
juice beverages and fruit cider beverages) in the PRC. Due to
drastically increased production costs and tightened environmental
laws in China, the Company had transformed its business from fruit
juice manufacturing and distribution to financial technology
related service businesses. The main business of the Company
includes supply chain financing services and trading in China,
asset management business in Hong Kong and cross-border money
transfer service in UK. The Company also expanded into brokerage
and investment banking business in Hong Kong and cryptocurrency
mining farm in the U.S. The Company had a contractual arrangements
with a VIE E-Commerce Tianjin in China, which has generated minimal
revenue and business since 2021 due to the negative impact caused
by COVID-19. The Company started the process to close it down in
November 2023 and completed deregistration and dissolution of the
VIE with local authority on March 7, 2024.
Orange, CA-based Fortune CPA, Inc., the Company's auditor since
2023, issued a "going concern" qualification in its report dated
April 16, 2024, citing that the Company has suffered losses from
operations. Therefore, the Company has stated substantial doubt
about its ability to continue as a going concern.
GCAT TRUST 2024-NQM2: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates to be issued by GCAT 2024-NQM2 Trust.
GCAT 2024-NQM2 utilizes Fitch's new Interactive RMBS Presale
feature. To access the interactive feature, click the link at the
top of the presale report's first page, log into dv01 and explore
Fitch's loan-level loss expectations.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
GCAT 2024-NQM2
Trust
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-IO-S LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed certificates
to be issued by GCAT 2024-NQM2 Trust as indicated above. The
certificates are supported by 671 loans with a total balance of
approximately $330.7 million as of the cutoff date.
All of the loans were originated by Arc Home LLC (Arc), United
Wholesale Mortgage, AmWest, Cardinal Financial, Guaranteed Rate and
Quontic Bank (Quontic). All loans are either currently or will be
serviced by Newrez LLC (dba Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing [SMS])
and AmWest.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 10.8% above a long-term sustainable level (versus
11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, remaining unchanged since
last quarter). Housing affordability is at its worst levels in
decades, driven by both high interest rates and elevated home
prices. Home prices have increased 5.5% yoy nationally as of
February 2024, despite modest regional declines, but are still
being supported by limited inventory.
Non-QM Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 671
loans totaling $330.7 million and seasoned at approximately five
months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch. The borrowers have a
strong credit profile (744 FICO and 38.6% debt-to-income [DTI]
ratio, both as calculated by Fitch) and moderate leverage (79.6%
sustainable loan-to-value [sLTV] ratio). The pool consists of 64.4%
of loans where the borrower maintains a primary residence, while
35.6% of the pool loans involve investor property or a second home.
Additionally, 9.3% are designated as qualified mortgage (QM) loans,
while 5.4% are higher price QM (HPQM) loans and 55.3% are non-QM
loans.
For the remaining loans, the Ability-to-Repay (ATR) Rule (or the
Rule) does not apply, due to either the loan being an investor
property or because the loan was originated through a community
development financial institution (CDFI).
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 80.9% of the pool
loans were underwritten to less than full documentation.
Furthermore, 49.2% were underwritten to a 12-month or 24-month bank
statement program for verifying income, which is not consistent
with Fitch's view of a full documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR Rule, which reduces the risk of borrower default arising from
lack of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational
quality risks due to the rigor of the Rule's mandates with respect
to underwriting and documentation of the borrower's ability to
repay. Additionally, 9.0% is a CPA (cost per action) or P&L product
and 18.9% is a debt service coverage ratio product.
Limited Advancing (Mixed): The transaction is structured to three
months of servicer advances for delinquent P&I. The limited
advancing reduces loss severities, as there is a lower amount
repaid to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation
proceeds are prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued
but unpaid interest. The downside to this is the additional stress
on the structure side, as there is limited liquidity in the event
of large and extended delinquencies.
Advances of delinquent P&I required but not paid by the servicers
will be paid by Nationstar. If Nationstar is unable to advance,
advances will be made by U.S. Bank Trust Company, National
Association, the transaction's paying agent.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure
distributes principal pro rata among the senior certificates while
shutting out the subordinate bonds from principal until all senior
classes are reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or
delinquency trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will
be distributed sequentially to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 certificates
until they are reduced to zero.
The structure includes a step-up coupon feature where the fixed
interest rate for classes A-1, A-2 and A-3 will increase by 100
basis points (bps), subject to the net weighted average coupon,
starting on the June 2028 payment date. This reduces the excess
spread available to repay losses. On each payment date on or after
the step-up date, interest distribution amounts otherwise allocable
to the unrated class B-3 certificates, to the extent available, may
be used to reimburse any unpaid cap carryover amount for classes
A-1, A-2 and A-3.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model projected 42.0% at 'AAA'. The
analysis indicates that there is some potential rating migration
with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the model
projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home prices
would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third-party review firms.
The third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on a
credit, compliance and property valuation review. Fitch considered
this information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment(s) to its analysis:
- A 5% PD credit was applied at the loan level for all loans graded
either 'A' or 'B';
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 53bps as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GENERATE CLO 15: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Generate CLO 15
Ltd./Generate CLO 15 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Generate Advisors LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Generate CLO 15 Ltd./Generate CLO 15 LLC
Class A, $238.000 million: NR
Class A-L loans(i), $50.000 million: NR
Class B, $54.000 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $27.000 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $27.000 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $16.875 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $45.000 million: NR
(i)The class A-L loans are not convertible into notes.
NR--Not rated.
GENERATE CLO 5: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Generate
CLO 5 Ltd. (Reset).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Generate CLO 5
Ltd. (f/k/a York
CLO-5 Ltd.)
A 98625LAA0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
X-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB+sf New Rating
F-R LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Generate CLO 5 Ltd. (f/k/a York CLO-5 Ltd.) (the issuer),
originally closed in September 2018, is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Generate Advisors, LLC. The existing notes will be refinanced. Net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $449.5
million of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans,
excluding defaulted obligations.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.98% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.43%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the P&I waterfalls and assess the
effectiveness of various structural features of the transaction. In
Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can withstand default and
recovery assumptions consistent with their assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1R, 'A-sf' for class D-2R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Generate CLO 5 Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
HILDENE TRUPS P26BC: Moody's Assigns B1 Rating to $40MM Cl. B Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Hildene TruPS Resecuritization P26BC, LLC (the "Issuer").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$66,000,000 Class A Notes due 2037, Assigned Baa2 (sf)
US$40,000,000 Class B Notes due 2037, Assigned B1 (sf)
The Class A Notes and the Class B Notes are referred to herein,
collectively, as the "Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on a consideration of the
risks associated with the portfolio of Preferred Term Securities
XXVI, Ltd. (the "Underlying TruPS CDO") and structure as described
in Moody's methodology.
The Rated Notes are secured by the following securities that were
issued by the Underlying TruPS CDO on June 21, 2007:
US$29,357,242 of the $55,178,977 Floating Rate Class B-1 Mezzanine
Notes due September 2037 (the "Class B-1 Notes")
US$12,709,588 of the $34,544,435 Fixed/Floating Rate Class B-2
Mezzanine Notes due September 2037 (the "Class B-2 Notes")
US$54,287,360 of the $66,652,006 Floating Rate Class C-1 Mezzanine
Notes due September 2037 (the "Class C-1 Notes")
US$18,061,295 of the $36,821,737 Fixed/Floating Rate Class C-2
Mezzanine Notes due September 2037 (the "Class C-2 Notes")
The Class B-1 Notes, the Class B-2 Notes, the Class C-1 Notes and
the Class C-2 Notes are referred to herein, collectively as the
"Underlying Securities".
Hildene Structured Advisors, LLC will serve as collateral servicer
for this transaction. The transaction prohibits any asset purchases
or substitutions at any time.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued one class of
subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates par coverage tests which, if
triggered, divert interest proceeds to pay down the notes in order
of seniority.
The portfolio of the Underlying TruPS CDO consists of mainly TruPS
issued by US regional and community banks, the majority of which
Moody's does not publicly rate. Moody's assesses the default
probability of bank obligors that do not have public ratings
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM), an econometric
model developed by Moody's Analytics. Moody's evaluation of the
credit risk of the bank obligors in the pool relies on FDIC Q4-2023
financial data. Moody's assumes a fixed recovery rate of 10% for
bank obligations.
Given the continuous challenges facing the banking sector and
observed sudden credit deterioration of regional banks since early
2023, Moody's conducted additional analysis to evaluate the impact
of such potential risk. These stress scenarios were important
qualitative considerations.
Moody's obtained a loss distribution for this CDO's portfolio by
simulating defaults using Moody's CDOROM(TM), which used Moody's
assumptions for asset correlations and fixed recoveries in a Monte
Carlo simulation framework. Moody's then used the resulting loss
distribution, together with structural features of the CDO, as an
input in its CDOEdg(TM) cash flow model.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions for the Underlying TruPS CDO's portfolio:
Par amount: $522,900,000
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 1130
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 1.95%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 8.0%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 9.2
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in March 2024.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit
assessments. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
HOTWIRE FUNDING 2024-1: Fitch Gives BB(EXP) Rating on Cl. C Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has issued a presale report for Hotwire Funding LLC's
Secured Fiber Network Revenue Notes, Series 2024-1.
Fitch expects to rate Hotwire Funding LLC's Secured Fiber Network
Revenue Notes, Series 2024-1 as follows:
- $442.0 million 2024-1 class A-2 'A(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $62 million 2024-1 class B 'BBB(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $124 million 2024-1 class C 'BB(EXP)sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch's expected ratings incorporate the prefunding amount that may
be issued in connection with the transaction.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The transaction is a securitization of the contract payments
derived from an existing Fiber to the Home (FTTH) network. Debt is
secured by the net cash flow from operations and benefits from a
perfected security interest in the securitized assets, which
includes conduits, cables, network-level equipment, access rights,
customer contracts, transaction accounts and an equity pledge from
the asset entities.
The collateral consists of best-in-class fiber lines that support
the provision of internet, cable, and telephony services to a
portfolio of homeowners' associations (HOAs) and condominium
owners' associations (COAs), located predominantly in Florida
(96.0% annualized run rate return [ARRR]). These agreements are
governed by long-term contracts directly with the associations.
Transaction proceeds will be utilized to fund the series 2024-1
prefunding account, fund the applicable securitization transaction
reserves, pay transaction fees and expenses, pay the outstanding
principal balance of the series 2021-1 class A-1-V notes and for
general corporate purposes.
The note balances include $250 million of prefunding, allocated
among classes A-2, B and C.
In connection with the transaction, Fitch expects the 2021-1, class
A-1-V will be amended to increase the committed balance to $300
million from $240 million, extend the maturity date to June 2027
and retain its two one-year extension options. The ratings on all
existing notes are expected to be affirmed concurrent with the
transaction close and the assignment of final ratings.
The ratings reflect a structured financial analysis of the cash
flows from the ownership interest in the underlying fiber optic
network, not an assessment of the corporate default risk of the
ultimate parent, Hotwire Communications, LLC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow (NCF) and Trust Leverage: Fitch Ratings' net cash
flow (NCF) on the pool is $195.2 million in the base case, implying
a 13.8% haircut to issuer base case NCF. The debt multiple relative
to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is 11.50x in this scenario,
versus the debt/issuer NCF leverage of 10.0x.
Inclusive of the cash flow required to draw upon the variable
funding note (VFN), which will have a $300 million commitment at
transaction closing and the $250 million expected prefunding
account balance, Fitch NCF flow is $248.4 million, implying a 15.6%
haircut to the implied issuer NCF.
Credit Risk Factors: The major factors impacting Fitch's
determination of cash flow and maximum potential leverage (MPL)
include the high quality of the underlying collateral networks,
scale, creditworthiness and diversity of the customer base,
long-term contractual cash flow, market position of the sponsor,
capability of the operator, limited operational requirements and
strength of the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: Due to the specialized nature of the
collateral and potential for changes in technology to affect
long-term demand for digital infrastructure, the senior classes of
this transaction do not achieve ratings above 'Asf'. The securities
have a rated final payment date 30 years after closing, and the
long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that an
alternative technology will be developed that renders obsolete the
current transmission of data through fiber optic cables. Fiber
optic cable networks are currently the fastest and most reliable
means to transmit information, and data providers continue to
invest in and utilize this technology.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Declining cash flow as a result of higher expenses, contract
churn, or the development of an alternative technology for the
transmission of data could lead to downgrades;
- Fitch's NCF was 13.8% below the issuer's underwritten cash flow
as of April 2024. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates
the following ratings based on Fitch's determination of Maximum
Potential Leverage: class A to 'BBBsf' from 'Asf'; class B to
'BB+sf' from 'BBBsf'; class C to CCCsf' from 'BBsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Increasing cash flow without an increase in corresponding debt,
from rate increases, additional contracts, or contract amendments
could lead to upgrades;
- A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings
based on Fitch's determination of Maximum Potential Leverage: class
A to 'Asf' from 'Asf'; class B to 'Asf' from 'BBBsf'; class C to
'BBB-sf' from 'BBsf';
- Upgrades are unlikely for these transactions given the provision
for the issuer to issue additional notes, which rank pari passu or
subordinate to existing notes, without the benefit of additional
collateral. In addition, the transaction is capped in the 'Asf'
category, given the risk of technological obsolescence.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparison of certain
characteristics with respect to the portfolio of fiber assets and
related contracts in the data file. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and it did not have an effect on
Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
INVESCO US 2024-2: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Invesco
U.S. CLO 2024-2, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Invesco U.S.
CLO 2024-2, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Invesco U.S. CLO 2024-2, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Invesco CLO Equity Fund 3 L.P. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.53, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
96.75% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.01% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.5%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Invesco U.S. CLO
2024-2, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
JPMCC 2019-COR4: Fitch Affirms CCC Rating on Class H-RR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 15 classes of JPMDB Commercial Mortgage
Securities Trust 2018-C8 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates (JPMDB 2018-C8). The Rating Outlooks on 13 classes
remain Stable.
Fitch has also affirmed 15 classes of JPMCC Commercial Mortgage
Securities Trust 2019-COR4 commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates (JPMCC 2019-COR4). The Rating Outlooks for classes
A-S, B, C, D, E, F-RR, X-A, X-B and X-D have been revised to
Negative from Stable. The Outlook for class G-RR remains Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JPMCC 2019-COR4
A-1 48128YAS0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2 48128YAT8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-3 48128YAU5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 48128YAV3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 48128YAW1 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 48128YBA8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 48128YAX9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 48128YBB6 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 48128YBC4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 48128YAC5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 48128YAE1 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
F-RR 48128YAG6 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
G-RR 48128YAJ0 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
H-RR 48128YAL5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 48128YAY7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 48128YAZ4 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 48128YAA9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
JPMDB 2018-C8
A-3 46591AAZ8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 46591ABA2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 46591ABE4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 46591ABB0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 46591ABF1 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 46591ABG9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 46591AAG0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 46591AAJ4 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
F 46591AAL9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
G 46591AAN5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 46591ABC8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 46591ABD6 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
X-D 46591AAA3 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
X-EF 46591AAC9 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
X-G 46591AAE5 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Transaction-level 'Bsf'
rating case losses are 5.40% in JPMDB 2018-C8 and 6.61% in JPMCC
2019-COR4.
The JPMDB 2018-C8 transaction has nine loans (36.6% of the pool)
which have been identified as Fitch Loans of Concern (FLOCs),
including one loan (4.8%) in special servicing. The JPMCC 2019-COR4
transaction has 12 FLOCs (45.4%), including one loan (2.4%) in
special servicing.
The affirmations and Stable Outlooks in the JPMDB 2018-C8
transaction reflect generally stable performance and loss
expectations since Fitch's prior rating action. Higher loss
expectations on the office FLOCs, Meridian Corporate Center and
Constitution Plaza, were offset by improved performance and
occupancy on several retail loans, Lakewood Forest Plaza and
Weslaco Shopping Center, which have experienced significant
positive leasing momentum.
The Negative Outlooks on classes A-S, B, C, D, E, F-RR, G-RR, X-A,
X-B and X-D in JPMCC 2019-COR4 reflect increased pool loss
expectations since the prior rating action and possible downgrades
of up to one rating category with continued performance
deterioration or lack of stabilization of the office, hotel and
retail FLOCs, including 400 South El Camino (9.4%), Renaissance
Seattle (10.2%), Grand Hyatt Seattle (4.4%), Pier 54 Seattle
(3.1%), Inland Empire Office Portfolio I and II (combined, 4.8%),
The Strand (1.8%), 3500 Helms (1.5%) and Carlsbad (1.2%).
FLOCs; Largest Loss Contributors: The largest contributor to
overall pool loss expectations and the largest increase in loss
since the prior rating action in JPMDB 2018-C8 is the Meridian
Corporate Center loan (5.5%), secured by 11 suburban office
properties totaling 691,705 sf located in Durham, NC. The
properties were built between 1985-1998 and are all located
adjacent to the Research Triangle Park. Performance of the
portfolio continues to decline, with December 2023 occupancy
falling to 71% from 81% at YE 2022. As a result, the
servicer-reported December 2023 NOI DSCR declined to 1.62x from
2.15x at YE 2022. The portfolio has significant upcoming rollover
with 40% of the NRA expected to expire over the next three years.
Costar is reporting a high current availability rate of 39% for the
portfolio.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 20.4% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a 20% stress to the YE 2023 NOI with a 10%
cap rate and also factors a higher probability of default given
concerns with the portfolio's high availability rate and rollover
risk.
The second largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations
and the second largest increase in loss since the prior rating
action in JPMDB 2018-C8 is the Constitution Plaza loan (4.8%),
secured by a 659,315-sf office property in downtown Hartford, CT.
The loan transferred to special servicing in May 2023 for maturity
default. The special servicer is being dual-tracking foreclosure
and receivership with ongoing discussions with the borrower. The
property was 78% occupied as of December 2023 with the largest
tenant, XL America, leasing 19.1% of the NRA through December 2027.
YE 2022 NOI DSCR was 1.62x, in line with issuance.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss (prior to concentration adjustments)
of 22.6% is based on a discount to a recent appraisal value
equating to a stressed recovery of $71 psf.
The largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations and the
largest increase in loss since the prior rating action in JPMCC
2019-COR4 is the 400 South El Camino loan (9.4%), secured by a
145,877-sf office building in San Mateo, CA. Performance of the
property has deteriorated with the largest tenant, Alibaba (22% of
the NRA), vacating at lease expiration in July 2023. The former
second largest tenant, ZS Associates (20% of the NRA), had already
vacated at lease expiration in April 2022. As of September 2023,
property occupancy had declined to 64% with a NOI DSCR of 1.41x.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 21.1% (prior to concentration
adjustments) reflects a cap rate of 10%, 15% stress to the YE 2022
NOI and factors a higher probability of default to account for the
largest tenant's departure and expected decline in cash flow.
The second largest contributor to overall pool loss expectations in
JPMCC 2019-COR4 is the Saint Louis Galleria (6.1%), secured by a
Brookfield-sponsored, super-regional mall located in St. Louis, MO.
This FLOC was flagged due to lagging post-pandemic performance and
upcoming rollover concerns. The mall is anchored by Dillard's,
Macy's and Nordstrom, which are non-collateral tenants.
Property-level NOI has declined since issuance, with the most
recent full-year reported YE 2022 NOI remaining approximately 29%
below the originator's underwritten NOI and 12% below YE 2020 NOI.
The NOI declines are mainly attributed to the lower revenue since
the pandemic, where YE 2022 revenue is 20% below YE 2019. As of
September 2023, the YTD servicer-reported NOI DSCR was 1.60x,
compared with 1.68x at YE 2021. The loan began to amortize in
November 2023.
Collateral occupancy declined to 90.5% as of September 2023 from
96% at YE 2021 as a result of several tenants vacating at or ahead
of their lease expirations. Total mall occupancy was 96.6% as of
the September 2023 rent roll. As of September 2022, reported TTM
inline comparable tenant sales were $536 psf ($419 psf excluding
Apple), compared with $523 psf ($401 psf excluding Apple) as of TTM
September 2021 and $364 psf ($294 psf excluding Apple) at YE 2020.
Fitch requested an updated tenant sales report, but it was not
provided.
Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 12.6% (prior to concentration
add-ons) is based on a 7.5% stress to the YE 2022 NOI and an 11.50%
cap rate.
Seattle MSA FLOCs: In the JPMCC 2019-COR4 transaction, four loans
located in the Seattle MSA have been identified as FLOCs due to
underperformance or sponsor concerns. Two hotel loans in the pool,
which share the same sponsor, the Renaissance Seattle (10.2%) and
the Grand Hyatt Seattle (4.4%), continue to underperform issuance
expectations. As of YE 2023, the Renaissance Seattle reported
occupancy of 62% with NOI DSCR of 1.26x and the Grand Hyatt Seattle
reported occupancy of 66% and NOI DSCR of 1.28x.
Mixed-used loan, Pier 54 Seattle (3.1%) which consists of 43,808 sf
of first floor retail, restaurant and office space, in addition to
21,941 sf of second-floor creative office space, continues to
exhibit insufficient cash flow to service the debt since 2020. The
property is located along the Seattle waterfront which has been
undergoing construction as part of a multi-year re-development
project to revitalize the area. The Sorento Flats loan (2.4%),
secured by a 156-unit multifamily property in Seattle, transferred
to special servicing due to the bankruptcy of the guarantor. YE
2023 NOI DSCR was 1.84x with NOI 24% higher than the originator's
underwritten NOI from issuance.
Changes in Credit Enhancement (CE): As of the April 2024
distribution date, the aggregate balances of the JPMDB 2018-C8 and
JPMCC 2019-COR4 transactions have been paid down by 24.3% and 2.7%,
respectively, since issuance. The JPMDB 2018-C8 transaction
includes two loans (1.9% of the pool) that have fully defeased and
JPMCC 2019-COR4 has two loans (6.4%) that have fully defeased.
Cumulative interest shortfalls of $322 thousand are affecting the
non-rated class NR-RR in JPMDB 2018-C8 and $47 thousand are
affecting the non-rated NR-RR class in JPMCC 2019-COR4.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to senior 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to
the position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes with Negative Outlooks
are possible with continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs,
increased expected losses and limited to no improvement in CE, or
if interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly beyond
Fitch's expectations from outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or
more loans than expected experience performance deterioration
and/or default at or prior to maturity.
A downgrade of up to one category to the junior 'AAAsf', 'AAsf' and
'Asf' categories in JPMCC 2019-COR4 is possible should performance
of 400 South El Camino, Renaissance Seattle, Grand Hyatt Seattle,
Pier 54 Seattle, Inland Empire Office Portfolio I and II, The
Strand, 3500 Helms, and Carlsbad loans, deteriorate further or fail
to stabilize
Downgrade to the 'BBBsf' category is possible with higher than
expected losses from continued underperformance of the FLOCs, in
particular the office, hotel and retail loans with deteriorating
performance, and/or with greater certainty of losses on the
specially serviced loans and/or FLOCs noted above.
Downgrades to the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories would occur with
greater certainty of losses on the specially serviced loans or
FLOCs, should additional loans transfer to special servicing or
default and as losses are realized or become more certain.
Downgrades to distressed classes would occur should additional
loans transfer to special servicing and/or default, as losses are
realized or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE, coupled with
stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and sustained
improved performance on the FLOCs, including Meridian Corporate
Center, Constitution Plaza and Fountaingrove Executive Center in
JPMDB 2019-C8, and 400 South El Camino, Saint Louis Galleria,
Inland Empire Office Portfolio I and II, The Strand, 3500 Helms,
Carlsbad, Renaissance Seattle, Grand Hyatt Seattle, Pier 54 Seattle
and Sorento Flats in JPMCC 2019-COR4.
Upgrades to the 'BBBsf' category rated classes would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs and
special serviced loans are better than expected and there is
sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed classes are not expected, but possible with
better than expected recoveries on specially serviced loans and/or
significantly higher values on FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
KKR CLO 29: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-1R, D-2R, and E-R replacement debt from KKR CLO 29 Ltd./KKR CLO
29 LLC, a CLO originally issued in 2021 that is managed by KKR
Financial Advisors II LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its
ratings on the original class A, B, C, D, E, and F debt following
payment in full.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1R, D-2R, and E-R debt
were issued at a higher spread over three-month SOFR than the
original notes.
-- A new non-call period was established, which will expire on,
but exclude May 14, 2026.
-- The reinvestment period was extended approximately 5.3 years to
May 14, 2029.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) were extended by approximately 5.5
years to July 15, 2037.
-- The weighted average life test was extended to nine years from
the refinancing date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $256.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.54%
-- Class B-R, $48.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.90%
-- Class C-R, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.50%
-- Class D-1R, $20.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.75%
-- Class D-2R, $5.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 5.20%
-- Class E-R, $15.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 7.08%
Original debt
-- Class A, $248.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.20% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $56.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.50% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.00% +
CSA(i)
-- Class D, $22.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.40% +
CSA(i)
-- Class E, $15.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 6.75% +
CSA(i)
-- Class F, $4.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 9.00% +
CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $37.30 million: Not applicable
(i)CSA--Credit spread adjustment. CSA=0.26161%.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
KKR CLO 29 Ltd./KKR CLO 29 LLC
Class A-R, $256.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R, $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R, $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2R, $5.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R, $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
KKR CLO 29 Ltd./KKR CLO 29 LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Class F to NR from 'B- (sf)'
Other Debt
KKR CLO 29 Ltd./KKR CLO 29 LLC
Subordinated notes, $37.30 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
LBA TRUST 2024-BOLT: Fitch Assigns B(EXP) Rating on Cl. HRR Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following expected ratings and
Ratings Outlooks to LBA Trust 2024-BOLT, Commercial Mortgage
Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-BOLT:
- $314,800,000 class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $103,320,000a class X-CP 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $147,600,000a class X-EXT 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $51,500,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $39,900,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $56,200,000 class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $86,200,000 class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $21,400,000 class F 'B+sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $30,000,000b class HRR 'Bsf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Horizontal risk retention interest representing at least 5.0%
of the estimated fair value of all classes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold a $600 million, two-year, floating-rate, IO
mortgage loan with three one-year extension options. The mortgage
will be secured by the borrower's fee simple interest in a
portfolio of 18 industrial facilities, comprising approximately 9.9
million sf located in nine states and 11 markets.
Loan proceeds will be used to refinance approximately $471 million
of existing debt, pay $13.0 million in closing costs and return
approximately $116.0 million of equity to the sponsor The
certificates will follow a pro rata paydown for the initial 30% of
the loan amount and a standard senior sequential paydown
thereafter. The borrower has a one-time right to obtain a mezzanine
loan. To the extent the mezzanine loan is outstanding and no
mortgage loan event of default (EOD) is continuing, voluntary
prepayments will be applied pro rata between the mortgage and the
mezzanine loan.
The loan is expected to be originated by Morgan Stanley Mortgage
Capital Holdings LLC. KeyBank National Association is expected to
be the servicer, with CWCapital Asset Management LLC as special
servicer. Wilmington Trust, N.A., is expected to act as the trustee
and Computershare Trust Company, N.A. is expected to serve as the
certificate administrator. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC will act as
operating advisor.
The transaction is scheduled to close on June 5, 2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow: Fitch's estimates stressed net cash flow (NCF) for
the portfolio at $39.4 million. This is 6.0% lower than the
issuer's NCF and 8.6% higher than YE 2023 NCF. Fitch applied a
7.25% cap rate to derive a Fitch value of $544.0 million.
High Fitch Leverage: The $600.0 million whole loan equates to debt
of approximately $58 psf, with a Fitch stressed loan-to-value ratio
(LTV) and debt yield of 110.3% and 6.6%, respectively. The loan
represents approximately 56.5% of the appraised value of $962.1
million. Fitch increased the LTV hurdles by 1.25% to reflect the
higher in-place leverage.
Geographic and Tenant Diversity: The portfolio exhibits strong
geographic diversity with 18 industrial properties (9.9 million sf)
located across nine states and 11 MSAs. The three largest state
concentrations are Illinois (1.6 million sf; two properties), South
Carolina (1.5 million sf; two properties) and Tennessee (1.4
million sf; two properties). The three largest MSAs are Chicago, IL
(16.0% of NRA; 14.9% of ALA); Memphis, TN (13.9% of NRA; 7.5% of
ALA); and Baltimore, MD (13.8% of NRA; 16.5% of ALA). The portfolio
also exhibits significant tenant diversity as it features 20
distinct tenants, with no tenant occupying more than 13.7%.
Institutional Sponsorship and Management: The loan is sponsored by
a JV between LBA Logistics and GIC. LBA has approximately 102
million sf of logistics and office assets under management. Of
this, 92 million sf are warehouse, distribution, light
manufacturing, multi-tenanted business parks and R&D spaces. GIC is
headquartered in Singapore with investments in over 40 countries.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the model
implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch net
cash flow (NCF):
- Original Rating:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf'
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'BBB+sf
'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'B-sf'/'CCCsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model implied rating sensitivity to changes to the same one
variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf
'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf'
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AA+sf
'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'/'BB-sf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to the mortgage loans. Fitch
considered this information in its analysis and it did not have an
effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MADISON PARK XXXI: Fitch Assigns BB+(EXP) Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
the Madison Park Funding XXXI, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Madison Park
Funding XXXI, Ltd.
A-1-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-RR LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Madison Park Funding XXXI, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
UBS Asset Management (Americas), Inc. that originally closed in
October 2018 and was first refinanced in December 2020. The CLO's
secured notes will be refinanced on June 13, 2024 from proceeds of
the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $796 million, excluding defaults, of
primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.71% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 75.38%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A-sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-RR, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'BB-sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-RR notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'A+sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park
Funding XXXI, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
MADISON PARK XXXI: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the
replacement class X-R and A-1-R debt and the proposed new class F-R
debt from Madison Park Funding XXXI Ltd./Madison Park Funding XXXI
LLC, a CLO originally issued in December 2018 that is managed by
UBS Asset Management (Americas) LLC (as successor in interest to
Credit Suisse Asset Management LLC).
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 20,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the June 13, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. At that
time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the original debt and
assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if the refinancing
doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the original debt and
withdraw our preliminary ratings on the replacement debt.
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class X-R, A-1-R, A-2-RR, B-1-R, C-R, D-1-R,
D-2-R, E-R, and F-R debt is expected to be issued at a higher
spread over three-month SOFR than the original debt.
-- The replacement class B-2-R debt is expected to be issued at
fixed coupon.
-- The new proposed class F-R debt is expected to be issued at a
floating spread over three-month SOFR.
-- The stated maturity will be extended by 6.5 years.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to July 23, 2029.
-- The non-call period will be extended to July 23, 2026.
-- The class X-R debt issued in connection with this refinancing
is expected to be paid down using interest proceeds during the
first eight payment dates, beginning with the payment date in
October 2024.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 99.39%
have credit ratings (which may include confidential ratings,
private ratings, and credit estimates) assigned by S&P Global
Ratings.
-- Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 92.64%
have recovery ratings (which may include confidential and private
ratings) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
-- There will be no additional effective date or ramp-up period,
and the first payment date following the refinancing is in October
2024.
-- No additional subordinated notes will be issued on the
refinancing date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class X-R, $8.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.100%
-- Class A-1-R, $490.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.470%
-- Class A-2-RR, $37.20 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.800%
-- Class B-1-R, $64.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.000%
-- Class B-2-R, $16.00 million: 6.000%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $48.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.450%
-- Class D-1-R (deferrable), $48.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.750%
-- Class D-2-R (deferrable), $8.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.250%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.000%
-- Class F-R (deferrable), $1.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 9.250%
Previously refinanced debt(i)
-- Class A-2B-R, $10.00 million: 1.94%
-- Class A-2C-R, $5.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.45%
+ CSA(ii)
Original debt
-- Class X, $3.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 0.60% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class A-1, $456.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.16% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class A-2A, $45.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.50% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class A-2B, $15.00 million: 4.60%
-- Class B, $88.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class C (deferrable), $48.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.20% + CSA(ii)
-- Class D (deferrable), $50.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.00% + CSA(ii)
-- Class E (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 5.75% + CSA(ii)
-- Subordinated notes, $81.70 million: Residual
(i)Not rated by S&P Global Ratings.
(ii)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Madison Park Funding XXXI Ltd./Madison Park Funding XXXI LLC
Class X-R, $8.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R, $490.80 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-RR, $37.20 million: NR
Class B-1-R, $64.00 million: NR
Class B-2-R, $16.00 million: NR
Class C-R (deferrable), $48.00 million: NR
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $48.00 million: NR
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $8.00 million: NR
Class E-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: NR
Class F-R (deferrable), $1.00 million: B- (sf)
Other Debt
Madison Park Funding XXXI Ltd./Madison Park Funding XXXI LLC
Subordinated notes, $81.70 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
MCF CLO VIII: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-R, C-R,
D-R, and E-R replacement debt from MCF CLO VIII Ltd./MCF CLO VIII
LLC, a CLO originally issued in June 2018 that is managed by Apogem
Capital LLC, a subsidiary of New York Life. At that time, S&P
withdrew its ratings on the original debt and assigned ratings to
the replacement debt following payment in full.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The stated maturity on the existing subordinated notes was
extended to April 18, 2036, from July 18, 2030, to match the stated
maturity on the new refinancing notes.
-- The reinvestment period was extended to May 15, 2028. It is
currently in its amortization period, having ended reinvestment in
July 2022, so there was an injection of capital from Madison
Capital Funding, which brought the transactions portfolio back up
to its target par balance of $325.00 million.
-- The non-call period was extended to May 15, 2026.
-- There is not an additional effective date, and the first
payment date following the May 15, 2024, second refinancing date
will be Oct. 18, 2024.
-- The weighted average life test was extended to eight years from
the second refinancing date.
In addition to updating to recent rating agency methodology, the
transaction also increased its 'CCC' basket in the coverage test
calculations to haircut 'CCC' collateral obligations in excess of
17.5% (rather than in excess of 15%), as well as incorporated
purchase allowances for second lien and unsecured loans,
debtor-in-possession collateral obligations, and workout related
debt obligations and equity securities. Finally, the issuer
incorporated allowances for issuer note repurchases as well as
contribution acceptances to be used for permitted uses.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $188.500 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.95%
-- Class B-R, $32.500 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.40%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $26.000 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.10%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $19.500 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.15%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $17.875 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 8.00%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $157.500 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.37%
+ CSA(i)
-- Class A-2A-R, $21.600 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.40% + CSA(i)
-- Class A-2B-R, $10.000 million: 2.55%
-- Class B, $28.100 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.75% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C (deferrable), $24.400 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.30% + CSA(i)
-- Class D (deferrable), $18.900 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.50% + CSA(i)
-- Class E (deferrable), $23.600 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.33% + CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $41.80 million: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults, and
recoveries upon default, under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
MCF CLO VIII Ltd./MCF CLO VIII LLC
Class A-R, $188.500 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $32.500 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $26.000 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $19.500 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $17.875 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
MCF CLO VIII Ltd./MCF CLO VIII LLC
Class A-1 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2A-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2B-R to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C (deferrable) to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class D (deferrable) to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to not rated from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Outstanding Debt
MCF CLO VIII Ltd./MCF CLO VIII LLC
Subordinated notes, $41.80 million: Not rated
MOBIQUITY TECHNOLOGIES: Incurs $1.04-Mil. Net Loss in First Quarter
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mobiquity Technologies, Inc., filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting a
net loss of $1.04 million on $263,282 of revenues for the three
months ended March 31, 2024, compared to a net loss of $1.72
million on $132,224 of revenues for the three months ended March
31, 2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $4.12 million in total
assets, $2.54 million in total liabilities, and $1.58 million in
total stockholders' equity.
Mobiquity said, "The Company has incurred significant losses since
its inception in 1998 and has not demonstrated an ability to
generate sufficient revenues from the sales of its products and
services to achieve profitable operations. There can be no
assurance that profitable operations will ever be achieved, or if
achieved, could be sustained on a continuing basis. In making this
assessment we performed a comprehensive analysis of our current
circumstances including: our financial position, our cash flows and
cash usage forecasts for the year ended December 31, 2023, and the
quarter ended March 31, 2024, and our current capital structure
including equity-based instruments and our obligations and debts.
"Without sufficient revenues from operations, if the Company does
not obtain additional capital, the Company will be required to
reduce the scope of its business development activities or cease
operations.
"These factors create substantial doubt about the Company's ability
to continue as a going concern within one year after the date that
these consolidated financial statements are issued, as the Company
will need additional capital to meet its financial obligations.
These consolidated financial statements do not include any
adjustments that might be necessary if the Company is unable to
continue as a going concern. Accordingly, the consolidated
financial statements have been prepared on a basis that assumes the
Company will continue as a going concern and which contemplates the
realization of assets and satisfaction of liabilities and
commitments in the ordinary course of business."
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1084267/000168316824003689/mobiquity_i10q-033124.htm
About Mobiquity Technologies
Headquartered in Shoreham, NY, Mobiquity Technologies, Inc., is a
next-generation advertising technology, data compliance and
intelligence company which operates through its various proprietary
software platforms. The Company's product solutions are comprised
of three proprietary software platforms: Advertising Technology
Operating System (ATOS Platform); Data Intelligence Platform; and
publisher Platform for Monetization and Compliance.
Margate, Florida-based Assurance Dimensions, the Company's auditor
since 2023, issued a "going concern" qualification in its report
dated April 8, 2024, citing that the Company has incurred operating
losses and has incurred negative cash flows from operations and has
an accumulated deficit. These and other factors raise substantial
doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.
MOSAIC SOLAR 2023-3: Fitch Affirms 'BB-sf' Rating on Class D Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Mosaic Solar Loan Trust 2023-3
(Mosaic 2023-3) notes as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Mosaic Solar Loan
Trust 2023-3
A 618933AA3 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
B 618933AB1 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
C 618933AC9 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
D 618933AD7 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Mosaic 2023-3 is a securitization of consumer loans backed by
residential solar equipment. All the loans were originated by Solar
Mosaic, LLC (Mosaic), one of the oldest established solar lenders
in the U.S.; it has advanced solar loans since 2014.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance Within Expectations: As of the April 2024 servicer
report, the cumulative default rate (CDR) is consistent with
expectations. The 60+ days past due (DPD) levels have consistently
remained at .50%. Prepayments have been relatively high over the
first 11 months of the transaction, averaging about 9.13%, which is
close to its base case assumption of 10%. Fitch expects the
prepayments to further increase as more of the loans move towards
their Investment Tax Credit (ITC) date.
Extrapolated Asset Assumptions Maintained Fitch considered both
originator-wide data and previous Mosaic transactions to set a
lifetime default expectation of 8.3%. Fitch has also assumed a 30%
base case recovery rate. Fitch's rating default rates (RDRs) for
'AA-sf', 'A-sf', 'BBB-sf' and 'BB-sf' are, respectively, 33.5%,
24.9%, 17.8% and 12.6%. Fitch's rating recovery rates (RRRs) are,
respectively, 19%, 21.8%, 24.0% and 26.0%.
Limited History Determines 'AAsf' Cap: Residential solar loans in
the U.S. typically have long terms, many of which are 25 years (and
for a small portion, 30 years). For Mosaic, more than eight years
of performance data are available, which compares favorably with
the other solar ABS that Fitch currently rates, and the solar
industry at large. Additionally, this was Mosaic's first deal with
a small portion of deferred loans, under tighter underwriting
guidelines but with no meaningful track record.
Target OC and Amortization Trigger: Class A and B notes amortize
based on target overcollateralization (OC) percentages. The target
OC is 100% of the outstanding adjusted balance for the first 16
months, ensuring that there is no leakage of funds initially,
irrespective of the collateral performance; then it falls to 24.5%.
It is currently 33.0%. Should the escalating cumulative loss
trigger be breached, the payment waterfall will switch to turbo
sequential, deferring any interest payments for class C and D, and,
thus, accelerating the senior note deleveraging. The repayment
timing of classes C and D is highly sensitive to the timing of a
trigger breach.
Standard Reputable Counterparties; No Swap: The transaction account
is with Wilmington Trust, and the servicer's collection account is
with Wells Fargo Bank. Commingling risk is mitigated by transfer of
collections within two business days, the high initial ACH share
and Wells Fargo's ratings. As both assets and liabilities pay a
fixed coupon, there is no need for an interest rate hedge and,
thus, no exposure to swap counterparties.
Established Specialized Lender: Mosaic is one of the first-movers
among U.S. solar loan lenders, with the longest track record among
originators of the solar ABS that Fitch rates. Underwriting is
mostly automated and in line with those of other U.S. ABS
originators.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Asset performance that indicates an implied annualized default rate
(ADR) above 1.5% and a simultaneous fall in prepayments activity
may put pressure on the rating or lead to a Negative Outlook.
Material changes in policy support, the economics of purchasing and
financing PV panels and batteries, and/or ground-breaking
technological advances that make the existing equipment obsolete
may also negatively affect the rating.
Below, Fitch shows model-implied rating sensitivities to changes in
default and/or recovery assumptions.
As transaction performance is in line with expectations, the model
has not been re-run since closing.
Decrease of prepayments (Class A/B/C/D):
-50%: 'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-'.
Increase of defaults (Class A/B/C/D):
+10%: 'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+25%: 'A+'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+50%: 'A'/'BBB+'/'BBB-'/'BB-'.
Decrease of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
-10%: 'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
-25%: 'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
-50%: 'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-'.
Increase of defaults and decrease of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
+10% / -10%: 'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+25% / -25%: 'A+'/'A-'/'BBB-'/'BB-';
+50% / -50%: 'A-'/'BBB+'/'BB+'/'BB-'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch currently caps ratings in the 'AAsf' category due to limited
performance history, while the assigned rating of 'AA-sf' is
further constrained by the available credit enhancement (CE). As a
result, a positive rating action could result from an increase in
CE due to class A deleveraging, underpinned by good transaction
performance, for example, through high prepayments and ADR at
around 1% or below. The overall economic environment is also an
important consideration and Fitch's ABS outlook is generally
deteriorating in the short term.
Below, Fitch shows Model Implied Rating (MIR) sensitivities, capped
at 'AA+sf', to changes in default and/or recovery assumptions.
Increase of prepayments (Class A/B/C/D):
+50%: 'AA+'/'AA'/'A'/'A-'.
Decrease of defaults (Class A/B/C/D):
-10%: 'AA+'/'AA'/'A'/'BBB+';
-25%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'A+'/'A-';
-50%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'A+'/'A+'.
Increase of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
+10%: 'AA'/'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB+';
+25%: 'AA+'/'AA-'/'A-'/'BBB+';
+50%: 'AA+'/'AA'/'A'/'BBB+'.
Decrease of defaults and increase of recoveries (Class A/B/C/D):
-10% / +10%: 'AA+'/'AA'/'A'/'BBB+';
-25% / +25%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'A+'/'A';
-50% / +50%: 'AA+'/'AA+'/'A+'/'A+'.
CRITERIA VARIATION
This analysis includes a criteria variation due to MIR variations
in excess of the limit stated in Fitch's consumer ABS criteria
report for new ratings. According to the criteria, the committee
can decide to deviate from the MIRs, but if the MIR variation is
greater than one notch this will be a criteria variation. The MIR
variations for classes B to D are greater than one notch.
Given the sensitivity of ratings to model assumptions and
conventions, repayment timing, and tranche thickness, the ultimate
ratings were constrained by the sensitivity analysis.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
NANO MAGIC: Incurs $746K Net Loss in First Quarter
--------------------------------------------------
Nano Magic Inc. filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission
its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting a net loss of $746,207
on $580,112 of net revenues for the three months ended March 31,
2024, compared to a net loss of $653,037 on $697,029 of net
revenues for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $2.86 million in total
assets, $2.23 million in total liabilities, and $627,031 in total
stockholders' equity.
Nano Magic said, "As reflected in the unaudited financial
statements, the Company had losses from operations and net cash
used by operations of $734,874 and $476,043 for the three months
ended March 31, 2024, respectively, and negative working capital of
$369,388. These factors raise substantial doubt about the
Company's ability to continue as a going concern within one year
after the date that these unaudited financial statements are
issued. Management cannot provide assurance that the Company will
ultimately achieve profitable operations, become cash flow positive
or raise additional capital. The accompanying financial statements
have been prepared assuming that the Company will continue as a
going concern, which contemplates the realization of assets and
satisfaction of liabilities in the normal course of business. They
do not include any adjustments related to the recoverability and/or
classification of the recorded asset amounts and/or the
classification of the liabilities that might be necessary should
the Company be unable to continue as a going concern."
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/891417/000149315224020844/form10-q.htm
About Nano Magic
Nano Magic, headquartered in Madison Heights, MI, develops,
commercializes and markets nanotechnology powered consumer and
industrial cleaners and coatings to clean, protect, and enhance
products for peak performance. Consumer products include lens and
screen cleaners and coatings, anti-fog solutions, and household and
automobile cleaners and protective coatings sold direct-to-consumer
and in big box retail. Nano Magic also sells branded and private
label cleaners and coatings into the optical, safety, and
industrial channels. The Company's focus is to expand its
direct-to-consumer sales through e-commerce and to grow sales to
big box retailers. The Company continues to sell its consumer
products directly to opticians and ophthalmologists and small
optical retailers.
Sterling Heights, Michigan-based UHY LLP, the Company's auditor
since 2019, issued a "going concern" qualification in its report
dated April 2, 2024, citing that the Company has recurring losses
from operations, negative cash flow from operations, and an
accumulated deficit. These conditions raise substantial doubt
about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.
NEUBERGER BERMAN II: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers LaSalle Street Lending CLO II, Ltd. and
publishes new issue report.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers
LaSalle Street
Lending CLO II, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
F LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers LaSalle Street Lending CLO II, Ltd.
(the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan
obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers IV LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Neutral): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.35% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 71.35%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses. In addition, second lien
loan exposure is slightly higher than other typical Fitch-rated BSL
CLOs.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the P&I waterfalls and assess the
effectiveness of various structural features of the transaction. In
Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can withstand default and
recovery assumptions consistent with their assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D; and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes; and as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A-sf' for
class D; and 'BBB-sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers LaSalle Street Lending CLO II, Ltd. In cases where
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in connection with the
credit rating of a transaction, programme, instrument or issuer,
Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which
has a significant impact on the rating on an individual basis.
NEUBERGER BERMAN XXII: Fitch Assigns BB-sf Rating on Cl. E-R2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman CLO XXII, Ltd Reset Transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Neuberger Berman CLO
XXII, Ltd. - Reset
A-1-R 64131BAF0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2-R 64131BAG8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A1-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2-R2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1A-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-1B-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D2-R2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R2 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Neuberger Berman CLO XXII, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash
flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Neuberger Berman Investment Advisers LLC that originally closed in
August 2018. The CLO's secured notes will be refinanced on May 15,
2024 from proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $399.5 million (excluding
defaults) of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.81, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.96% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.84% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 70.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'A+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-1-R2, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class A-2-R2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R2, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R2, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R2, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R2, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-R2.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R2 and class
A-2-R2 notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'. Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in
recovery rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an
upgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential
changes in such metrics; the minimum rating results under these
sensitivity scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R2, 'AAsf' for class
C-R2, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R2, 'Asf' for class D-2-R2; and 'BBB+sf'
for class E-R2.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
CLO XXII. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2024-RPL1: Fitch Assigns Bsf Rating on Cl B-5 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed notes issued by New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust
2024-RPL1 (NRMLT 2024-RPL1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
New Residential
Mortgage Loan
Trust 2024-RPL1
A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B-3 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-5 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-6 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The NRMLT 2024-RPL1 notes are supported by 1,212 seasoned
performing and re-performing loans as well as newly originated
guideline exception loans that have a balance of $225 million as of
the March 31, 2024 cutoff date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11% above a long-term sustainable level (vs. 11.1%
on a national level as of 3Q23, up 1.68% since last quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% YoY nationally as of December 2023 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
RPL Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 1,021
seasoned performing and re-performing first and second lien loans,
totaling $165 million, and seasoned approximately 204 months in
aggregate. This portion of the pool is 73.2% current and 26.8% DQ.
Over the last two years 23.4% of loans have been clean current.
Additionally, 94.6% of loans have a prior modification. The
borrowers have a weak credit profile with a Fitch-calculated
weighted average (WA) FICO score of 653, debt-to-income (DTI) ratio
of 44% and low leverage of 56% sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV)
ratio. This portion of the pool consists of 95% of loans where the
borrower maintains a primary residence, while 5% are investment
properties or second home.
Scratch & Dent Collateral (Negative): The transaction includes a
separate cohort of collateral (although all issued as a single pool
backing the bonds) comprised of more recently originated agency
loans with various guidelines exceptions that prevented sale to the
end investor (typically Fannie or Freddie). This subset is
approximately 25% of the total collateral ($60.45 million) and is
made up of 191 loans and seasoned 33 months in the aggregate. Out
of this portion 92.7% is current, although 36% has had a prior
delinquency in the past two years. These borrowers have a stronger
credit profile (716 FICO) but higher leverage (71.8 sLTV). The most
common exceptions were issues around income or employment
documentation as well as miscalculated DTIs.
No Advancing (Mixed): The deal is structured to no servicer
advances for delinquent principal and interest. The limited
advancing reduces loss severities as there is a lower amount repaid
to the servicer when a loan liquidates and liquidation proceeds are
prioritized to cover principal repayment over accrued but unpaid
interest. The downside to this is the additional stress on the
structure side as there is limited liquidity in the event of large
and extended delinquencies.
Sequential Pay Structure (Positive): The transaction utilizes a
sequential pay structure. Credit enhancement consists of
subordinated notes, the distributions of which will be subordinated
to principal and interest payments due to senior noteholders. In
addition, excess cash flow resulting from the difference between
the interest earned on the mortgage collateral and that paid on the
notes may be available to pay down additional principal on the
notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model projected 42.1% at 'AAA'. The
analysis indicates that there is some potential for rating
migration with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third-party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a mix of credit,
compliance and property valuation reviews based upon the seasoning
of the loans. Fitch considered this information in its analysis
and, as a result, made the following adjustments to its analysis:
- Loans with a missing or indeterminate HUD-1 received a 5% loss
severity add on;
- Loans with high cost issues received a 200% loss severity;
- Loans with improper DTI calculations were run with a 55% DTI and
a 100% loss severity penalty.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
NRMLT 2024-RPL1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk due to due to the adjustment for the Rep
& Warranty framework without other operational mitigants, which has
a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
OCTAGON 28: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E-RR Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Octagon Investment Partners 28, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Octagon Investment
Partners 28, Ltd.
A-1-RR LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2-RR LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-RR LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-1-RR LT Asf New Rating
C-F-RR LT Asf New Rating
C-RR LT WDsf Withdrawn A(EXP)sf
D-1-RR LT BBBsf New Rating
D-J-RR LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-RR LT WDsf Withdrawn BBB-(EXP)sf
E-RR LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X-RR LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Octagon Investment Partners 28, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage
cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Octagon
Credit Investors, LLC that originally closed in October 2016. This
is the second refinancing where the existing notes will be
refinanced in whole on May 16, 2024. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $675 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
Fitch has withdrawn the expected rating on the class C-RR notes,
which were rated 'A(EXP)sf', Outlook Stable, and the expected
rating on the class D-RR notes, which were rated 'BBB-(EXP)sf',
Outlook Stable because they were cancelled. Fitch has assigned new
ratings to the C-1-RR, C-F-RR, D-1-RR, and D-J-RR notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.65, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
94.91% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.93% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 67.9%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-RR, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-RR, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-RR, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-RR, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-RR, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-J-RR, and between less than 'B-sf'
and 'B+sf' for class E-RR.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-RR and class
A-2-RR notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-RR, 'AAsf' for class C-RR, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-RR, 'Asf' for class D-J-RR, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-RR.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information. Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to
above, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the
rating agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Octagon Investment
Partners 28, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, program, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in
the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
OFSI BSL IX: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-R, B-1-R,
and B-2-R replacement debt from OFSI BSL IX Ltd., a CLO originally
issued in July 2018 that is managed by OFS CLO Management LLC. At
the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A and
B debt following payment in full on the May 20, 2024, refinancing
date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class C, D, and E debt,
which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Oct. 15, 2024, for the
refinancing notes.
-- The reinvestment period was not extended and the deal is
currently amortizing.
-- The legal final maturity date was not extended and remains July
15, 2031.
-- There was no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is July 15, 2024.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The original class B debt is expected to be replaced by the
class B-1-R and B-2-R debt. The class B-1-R and B-2-R debt will be
pari passu.
-- The replacement class B-R debt will be split into floating-rate
debt (the class B-1-R debt) and fixed-rate debt (the class B-2-R
debt).
S&P said, "On a standalone basis, our cash flow analysis indicated
a lower rating on the class E debt (which was not refinanced) than
the rating action on the debt reflects. However, we affirmed our
'BB- (sf)' rating on the class E debt after considering the margin
of failure, the manageable exposure to 'CCC' and 'D' rated
collateral, and that the transaction is in its amortization phase.
Based on the latter, we expect the credit support available to all
rated classes to increase as principal is collected and the senior
debt is paid down. Any increase in defaults or par losses could
lead to potential negative rating actions in the future."
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R, $196.92 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.19%
-- Class B-1-R, $47.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.80%
-- Class B-2-R, $5.00 million: 6.2568%
Original debt
-- Class A, $196.92 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.15% +
CSA(i)
-- Class B, $52.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.00% +
CSA(i)
-- Class D, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.25% +
CSA(i)
-- Class E, $16.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 6.20% +
CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $41.75 million: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
OFSI BSL IX Ltd./OFSI BSL IX LLC
Class A-R, $196.92 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R, $47.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R, $5.00 million: AA (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
OFSI BSL IX Ltd./OFSI BSL IX LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
OFSI BSL IX Ltd./OFSI BSL IX LLC
Class C: A (sf)
Class D: BBB (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
OFSI BSL IX Ltd./OFSI BSL IX LLC
Subordinated notes, $41.75 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
OHA LOAN 2013-1: S&P Assign BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R3 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R3,
B-1-R3, B-2-R3, C-R3, D-1-R3, D-2-R3, and E-R3 replacement debt
from OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd./OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Inc., a
CLO originally issued in July 2013 and underwent a first
refinancing in March 2017, then a second in August 2018. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the class A-1-R2, A-2-R2,
B-R2, C-R2, D-R2, E-R2, and F-R2 debt following payment in full on
the May 21, 2024, refinancing date. The CLO is managed by Oak Hill
Advisors L.P., an entity owned by T. Rowe Price.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1-R3, A-2-R3, B-1-R3, B-2-R3, C-R3,
D-1-R3, D-2-R3, and E-R3 notes was issued at generally lower
spreads over three-month LIBOR than the original notes, and there
is a fixed-rate note.
-- The stated maturity, reinvestment period, non-call period, and
weighted average life test date were extended 5.75 years.
-- The transaction documents added the uptier priming debt concept
to the transaction and increased the concentration limits for
current-pay, debtor-in-possession, and deferrable obligations.
-- The indenture also added a restriction to the acquisition of
obligations issued by obligors in certain prohibited industries.
Replacement And August 2018 Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R3, $378.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.500%
-- Class A-2-R3, $27.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.700% (Not rated)
- Class B-1-R3, $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.900%
-- Class B-2-R3, $21.00 million: 6.122%
-- Class C-R3 (deferrable), $36.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.350%
-- Class D-1-R3 (deferrable), $36.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.300%
-- Class D-2-R3 (deferrable), $6.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.500%
-- Class E-R3 (deferrable), $18.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.900%
August 2018 debt
-- Class A-1-R2, $290.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.09%
-- Class A-2-R2, $27.50 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.40%
-- Class B-R2, $64.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.60%
-- Class C-R2 (deferrable), $29.00 million: Three-month LIBOR +
2.07%
-- Class D-R2 (deferrable), $30.20 million: Three-month LIBOR +
3.05%
-- Class E-R2 (deferrable), $18.10 million: Three-month LIBOR +
5.50%
-- Class F-R2 (deferrable), $8.30 million: Three-month LIBOR +
7.90%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd./OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Inc.
Class A-1-R3, $378.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R3, $27.00 million: Not rated
Class B-1-R3, $30.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R3, $21.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R3 (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R3 (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R3 (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R3 (deferrable), $18.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd./OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Inc.
Class A-1-R2 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-R2 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R2 to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R2 to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E-R2 to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Class F-R2 to NR from 'B- (sf)'
Other Debt
OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Ltd./OHA Loan Funding 2013-1 Inc.
Subordinated notes, $106.60 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
PENNANTPARK CLO II: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R loans
and the A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R replacement debt from
PennantPark CLO II Ltd./PennantPark CLO II LLC, a CLO originally
issued in January 2021 that is managed by PennantPark Senior
Secured Loan Fund I LLC.
On the May 20, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt were used to redeem the original debt. At that
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original debt and assigned
ratings to the replacement debt.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period will end April 15, 2026.
-- The reinvestment period will end April 15, 2028.
-- The legal final maturity dates for the replacement debt and the
existing subordinated notes were extended to April 15, 2036.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were amended.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
PennantPark CLO II Ltd./PennantPark CLO II LLC
Class A-1-R, $71.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R loans, $103.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $5.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $25.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.0 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $18.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $18.0 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
PennantPark CLO II Ltd./PennantPark CLO II LLC
Class A-1 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-1 loans to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to not rated from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1 to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2 to not rated from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to not rated from 'A (sf)'
Class D to not rated from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to not rated from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Debt
PennantPark CLO II Ltd./PennantPark CLO II LLC
Preferred shares, $36.7 million: Not rated
RAD CLO 16: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RAD CLO
16, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Rad CLO 16, Ltd.
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 75009LAE6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 75009LAG1 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 75009LAJ5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 75009MAA2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
RAD CLO 16, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Irradiant Partners,
LP that originally closed in September 2022. The CLO's secured
notes were refinanced on May 21, 2024 from the proceeds of the new
secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $350 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.59, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26.79. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
95.67% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.16% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73.81%.
Portfolio Composition (Neutral): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Positive): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf'
for class D-1-R, 'A+sf' for class D-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for RAD CLO 16, Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
REGATTA VIII: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
Regatta VIII Funding Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Regatta VIII
Funding Ltd.
A 75888KAA2 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
X LT NRsf New Rating
A-1R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-1R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
F LT B-sf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Regatta VIII Funding Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Regatta Loan
Management, LLC that originally closed in September 2017. The
existing secured notes will be redeemed in full on May 17, 2024.
Net proceeds from the issuance of the refinancing secured notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million
of primarily first lien senior secured leverage loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.5, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26.5. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.73% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.65% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2R notes, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R notes, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf'
for class C-R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class
D-1R notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2R
notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R notes, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B-sf' for class F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R notes, 'AAsf' for class C-R
notes, 'A+sf' for class D-1R notes, 'Asf' for class D-2R notes,
'BBB+sf' for class E-R notes, and 'BB+sf' for class F notes.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described
in the new issue report.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Regatta VIII
Funding Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
REMARK HOLDINGS: Incurs $13.79 Million Net Loss in First Quarter
----------------------------------------------------------------
Remark Holdings, Inc., filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting a net loss
of $13.79 million on $387,000 of revenue for the three months ended
March 31, 2024, compared to a net loss of $8.16 million on $826,000
of revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $10.14 million in total
assets, $52.57 million in total liabilities, and a total
stockholders' deficit of $42.44 million.
Remark said, "Our history of recurring operating losses, working
capital deficiencies and negative cash flows from operating
activities give rise to, and management has concluded that there
is, substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going
concern.
"We intend to fund our future operations and meet our financial
obligations through revenue growth from our AI and data analytics
offerings. We cannot, however, provide assurance that revenue,
income and cash flows generated from our businesses will be
sufficient to sustain our operations in the twelve months following
the filing of this Form 10-Q. As a result, we are actively
evaluating strategic alternatives including debt and equity
financings."
Management Commentary
"The Clark County School District Board of Trustees has now
formally approved Remark as a provider of weapons detection in the
fifth largest school district in the US, and such contract win has
already led to increased opportunities for our solutions from other
entities within Clark County. We expect installations under the
contract to begin in the next few weeks," said Kai-Shing Tao,
Chairman and chief executive officer of Remark Holdings. "We
believe our solutions are well-suited for the use case with respect
to CCSD and will soon be used in many more school districts across
the US."
"We look forward to beginning sales of our Remark AI computer
vision solutions on Microsoft's Azure Marketplace very soon, as we
near completing the migration of our software solutions for sale
via that sales channel," Mr. Tao continued. "Being on Microsoft's
sales platform gives us the access and credibility to scale our
unique AI models that span more than 10 different industries. We
also expect to announce additional Fortune 500 partners to further
expand our relationships with resellers that recognize the value of
our solutions for many industries and which can accelerate the
acceptance of our products and solutions in the industries we
target."
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1368365/000136836524000068/mark-20240331.htm
About Remark Holdings
Remark Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: MARK) --
http://www.remarkholdings.com-- is a diversified global technology
business with leading artificial intelligence and data-analytics,
as well as a portfolio of digital media properties. The Company's
innovative artificial intelligence ("AI") and data analytics
solutions continue to gain worldwide awareness and recognition
through comparative testing, product demonstrations, media
exposure, and word of mouth. The Company continues to see positive
responses and increased acceptance of its software and applications
in a growing number of industries.
Los Angeles, California-based Weinberg & Company, P.A., the
Company's auditor since 2020, issued a "going concern"
qualification in its report dated April 15, 2024, citing that the
Company has suffered recurring losses from operations and negative
cash flows from operating activities and has a negative working
capital and a stockholders' deficit that raise substantial doubt
about its ability to continue as a going concern.
RR 8: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on Class D-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, and D-R replacement debt from RR 8
Ltd./RR 8 LLC, a CLO originally issued in March 2020 that is
managed by Redding Ridge Asset Management LLC, an affiliate of
Apollo Global Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 21,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the May 23, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original class A-1a,
A-1b, A-2a, A-2b, B, C, and D debt. S&P said, "At that time, we
expect to withdraw our ratings on the original debt and assign
ratings to the class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, and D-R
replacement debt. However, if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may
affirm our ratings on the original debt and withdraw our
preliminary ratings on the replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R, and D-R
debt are expected to be issued at a floating spread.
-- The stated maturity will be extended by 4.25 years and the
reinvestment period will be extended by 2.25 years.
-- A new non-call period will be established, which will expire on
but exclude May 23, 2025.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $304.40 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.35%
-- Class A-2-R, $68.75 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70%
-- Class B-R (deferrable), $29.45 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.20%
-- Class C-1-R (deferrable), $24.55 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.15%
-- Class C-2-R (deferrable), $4.95 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 4.35%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $18.40 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.25%
Original debt
-- Class X(i), $2.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 0.60% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class A-1a, $300.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.23%
+ CSA(ii)
-- Class A-1b, $25.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.45% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class A-2a, $35.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.75% +
CSA(ii)
-- Class A-2b (deferrable), $20.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 1.85% + CSA(ii)
-- Class B (deferrable), $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 2.30% + CSA(ii)
-- Class C (deferrable), $27.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.30% + CSA(ii)
-- Class D (deferrable), $21.25 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 6.25% + CSA(ii)
(i)Class X was paid down on the July 2020 payment date.
(ii)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
RR 8 Ltd./RR 8 LLC
Class A-1-R, $304.40 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $68.75 million: AA (sf)
Class B-R (deferrable), $29.45 million: A (sf)
Class C-1-R (deferrable), $24.55 million: BBB (sf)
Class C-2-R (deferrable), $4.95 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $18.40 million: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
RR 8 Ltd./RR 8 LLC
Subordinated notes(i), $52.315 million: Not rated
(i)Includes $40.75 million of subordinated notes issued on the
March 26, 2020, closing date.
SANDSTONE PEAK III: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Sandstone
Peak III Ltd./Sandstone Peak III LLC's fixed- and floating-rate
debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Beach Point CLO Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of May 21,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Sandstone Peak III Ltd./Sandstone Peak III LLC
Class A-1, $212.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1L, $40.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $8.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $20.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2a (deferrable), $7.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2b (deferrable), $1.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $10.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $36.50 million: Not rated
SCIENTIFIC ENERGY: Posts $384,534 Net Income in First Quarter
-------------------------------------------------------------
Scientific Energy, Inc. filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting net income
of $384,534 on $10.40 million of revenue for the three months ended
March 31, 2024, compared to net income of $655,569 on $9.22 million
of revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $84.72 million in total
assets, $15.72 million in total liabilities, and $69.61 million in
total stockholders' surplus.
Scientific Energy said, "[T]the Company has an accumulated deficit
of $11,530,683 as of March 31, 2024. The Company also experienced
insufficient cash flows from operations and will be required
continuous financial support from the shareholders. The Company
will need to raise capital to fund its operations until it is able
to generate sufficient revenue to support the future development.
Moreover, the Company may be continuously raising capital through
the sale of debt and equity securities.
"The Company's ability to achieve these objectives cannot be
determined at this stage. If the Company is unsuccessful in its
endeavors, it may be forced to cease operations. These
consolidated financial statements do not include any adjustments
that might result from this uncertainty which may include
adjustments relating to the recoverability and classification of
recorded asset amounts, or amounts and classifications of
liabilities that might be necessary should the Company be unable to
continue as a going concern.
"These factors have raised substantial doubt about the Company's
ability to continue as a going concern. There can be no assurances
that the Company will be able to obtain adequate financing or
achieve profitability."
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1276531/000137647424000251/scgy-20240331.htm
About Scientific Energy
Scientific Energy, Inc. is a mobile platform of ordering and
delivery services for restaurants or other merchants in Macau. The
Company's businesses are built on its platform, Aomi App. The
Platform connects restaurants/ merchants with consumers and
delivery riders. The Platform is created to serve the needs of
these three key areas and to become more intelligent and efficient
with every customer order.
Hong Kong-based Centurion ZD CPA & Co, the Company's auditor since
2014, issued a "going concern" qualification in its report dated
April 16, 2024, citing that the Company has suffered recurring
losses from operations and has a net capital deficiency that raise
substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2015-2: Moody's Ups Rating on B-4 Certs From Ba1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of eight bonds from six US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS) issued by Sequoia
Mortgage Trust. The collateral backing these deals consists of
prime jumbo mortgage loans.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2015-2
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 27, 2020 Downgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2015-3
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 18, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2015-4
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 27, 2020 Downgraded
to Baa2 (sf)
Issuer: Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2016-1
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Dec 17, 2021 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2016-2
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 18, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 27, 2020 Downgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: SEQUOIA MORTGAGE TRUST 2016-3
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jul 18, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 27, 2020 Downgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools.
Each of the transactions Moody's reviewed continue to display
strong collateral performance, with cumulative losses for each
transaction under .05% and a small number of loans in delinquency.
In addition, enhancement levels for most tranches have grown
significantly, as the pools amortize relatively quickly. The credit
enhancement since closing has grown, on average, 7x for the
tranches Moody's upgraded.
Moody's analysis applied a greater probability of default stress on
loans that have experienced modifications and Moody's decreased
that stress to the extent the modifications were in the form of
temporary payment relief. Moody's analysis on certain bonds,
including all of the bonds upgraded, also included an assessment of
the existing credit enhancement floor, in place to mitigate the
potential default of a small number of loans at the tail end of a
transaction.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Over the past few years,
Moody's have worked closely with loan servicers to understand and
analyze their strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the
impact those programs may have on collateral performance and
transaction liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent
analysis has found that many of these borrower relief programs, in
addition to robust home price appreciation, have contributed to
collateral performance being stronger than Moody's past
expectations, thus supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on certain rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations. No actions were taken on other rated
classes in these deals as those classes are already at the highest
achievable levels within Moody's rating scale.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2024-5: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on B4 Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2024-5 (SEMT 2024-5).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SEMT 2024-5
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B2 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B3f LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B4 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates are supported by 441 loans with a total balance of
approximately $512.7 million as of the cutoff date. The pool
consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages acquired by Redwood
Residential Acquisition Corp. (Redwood) from various mortgage
originators. Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss
allocations are based on a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
structure.
Following the publication of the presale and expected ratings, the
issuer notified Fitch of an updated tape, which consisted of two
loan drops and updated cutoff balances. In addition, Redwood also
provided Fitch with an updated structure to reflect the new
balances. There were no changes to the credit enhancement levels to
the bonds. Fitch re-ran both its asset and cash flow analysis, and
there were no changes to the loss feedback or expected ratings.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
441 loans totaling approximately $512.7 million and seasoned at
approximately four months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted-average
Fitch model FICO score of 781 and 35.3% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio,
and moderate leverage, with an 80.6% sustainable loan-to-value
(sLTV) ratio and 71.8% mark-to-market combined loan-to-value (cLTV)
ratio.
Overall, the pool consists of 93.8% in loans where the borrower
maintains a primary residence, while 6.2% are of a second home;
65.5% of the loans were originated through a retail channel.
Additionally, 100.0% of the loans are designated as qualified
mortgage (QM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 10.5% above a long-term sustainable level (vs.
11.1% on a national level as of 4Q23, flat since last quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% YoY nationally as of February 2024 despite modest
regional declines, but are still supported by limited inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure (Negative): The mortgage cash flow and
loss allocation are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure whereby the subordinate classes receive
only scheduled principal and are locked out from receiving
unscheduled principal or prepayments for five years. The lockout
feature helps to maintain subordination for a longer period should
losses occur later in the life of the transaction. The applicable
credit support percentage feature redirects subordinate principal
to classes of higher seniority if specified credit enhancement
levels are not maintained.
Interest Reduction Risk (Negative): The transaction incorporates a
structural feature most commonly used by Redwood's program for
loans more than 120 days delinquent (a stop-advance loan). Unpaid
interest on stop-advance loans reduces the amount of interest that
is contractually due to bondholders in reverse-sequential order.
While this feature helps limit cash flow leakage to subordinate
bonds, it can result in interest reductions to rated bonds in high
delinquency scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses were conducted at
the state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs
for the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain
in home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.9% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses were conducted at the state and national
levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as
well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Clayton, AMC and Consolidated Analytics. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance and property valuation. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment to its analysis: a 5% reduction in its loss
analysis. This adjustment resulted in a 15bp reduction to the 'AAA'
expected loss.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied in its analysis on an independent third-party due
diligence review performed on about 94.8% of the pool. The
third-party due diligence was consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS
Rating Criteria." Clayton, AMC, and Consolidated Analytics were
engaged to perform the review. Loans reviewed under this engagement
were given credit, compliance and valuation grades and assigned
initial grades for each subcategory. Minimal exceptions and waivers
were noted in the due diligence reports. Refer to the Third-Party
Due Diligence section of the presale report for further details.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
SEMT 2024-5 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' [+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2024-5 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile, and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SLM STUDENT 2023-11: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class B Notes to 'Bsf'
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded the SLM Student Loan Trust (SLM)
2003-11 classes A-7 and B notes, SLM 2006-2 class A-6 notes and SLM
2006-5 classes A-6A, A-6B and A-6C notes. The Rating Outlook for
the SLM 2006-2 class A-6 notes is Stable. The Outlook for all of
the other downgraded classes is Negative.
Fitch has also affirmed the ratings of class B notes of SLM 2006-2,
class B notes of SLM 2006-5, classes A-6 and B notes of SLM 2006-10
and classes A and B notes of SLM 2012-8. The Outlook for these
notes remains Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2003-11
A-7 78442GJT4 LT BBsf Downgrade AAsf
B 78442GJY3 LT Bsf Downgrade BBBsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2012-8
A 78447LAA8 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78447LAB6 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2006-10
A-6 78443BAG1 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78443BAK2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2006-2
A-6 78442GRX6 LT AAsf Downgrade AA+sf
B 78442GRY4 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2006-5
A-6A 83149EAH0 LT AAsf Downgrade AA+sf
A-6B 83149EAJ6 LT AAsf Downgrade AA+sf
A-6C 83149EAK3 LT AAsf Downgrade AA+sf
B 83149EAG2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
SLM 2003-11:
The downgrade of the class A-7 notes reflects increased maturity
risk (the risk of not being able to repay the principal due on the
notes by legal final maturity). The remaining term of the
underlying FFELP student loans has increased over the last 12
months. It was 174.1 months as of the March 2024 distribution
period compared to 172.5 months the year prior.
Fitch's cashflow modeling results were also driven by stable and
increasing interest rate stress scenarios. The increasing interest
rates since last its review negatively impacted excess spread and,
in combination with the increasing remaining term, higher levels of
income-based repayments (IBR) and forbearance, affected the
maturity stresses in Fitch's cashflow results. Under all stress
scenarios there are no principal shortfalls, and the bonds
eventually pay in full.
The Negative Outlook reflects the possibility of further negative
rating pressure in the next two years if maturity risk for the
class A-7 notes continues to increase, particularly if the
remaining term does not decrease. The downgrade of the cass B notes
to 'Bsf' from 'BBBsf' with a Negative Outlook reflects the
deterioration since its last review. The Model Implied Rating for
the notes is in line with the new rating.
SLM 2006-2:
The class A notes are downgraded to 'AAsf' from 'AA+sf' and
assigned a Stable Outlook. The class A notes passed 'Asf' credit
and 'AA+sf' maturity stresses. Since the legal final maturity date
is 17 years away in 2041, maturity risk is low. Fitch's Federal
Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) rating criteria allows for a
rating tolerance of up to one rating category from the credit
stress scenario.
The class B notes are affirmed at 'Asf'/Stable. The notes pass
'Asf' credit stresses and 'AA+sf' maturity stresses.
SLM 2006-5:
The class A notes are downgraded to 'AAsf' from 'AA+sf' and
assigned a Negative Outlook. The notes pass all credit and maturity
stresses up to 'Asf'. Since legal final maturity date is 16 years
away in 2040, maturity risk is still considered to be low. FFELP
criteria allows for a rating tolerance of up to one rating category
from the credit stress scenario.
The class B notes are affirmed at 'Asf'/Stable. The notes pass
credit stresses up to 'Asf' and all maturity stresses.
SLM 2006-10:
The class A notes are affirmed at 'AA+sf'/Stable. The notes pass
all credit and maturity stresses. The legal final maturity date is
March 25, 2044, which is 20 years away. Therefore, maturity risk is
considered low for the notes. Performance has remained stable since
the prior review with sufficient credit enhancement.
The class B notes are affirmed at 'Asf'/Stable. The notes pass
credit stresses up to 'Asf' and all maturity stresses.
SLM 2012-8:
The class A notes pass credit stresses up to 'AAsf' and all
maturity stresses. The legal final maturity date is April 28, 2070,
which is over 40 years away. The rating was affirmed at
'AA+sf'/Stable. Performance has remained stable since the prior
review with sufficient credit enhancement.
The class B notes are affirmed at 'AA+sf'/Stable. The notes pass
credit stresses up to 'AAsf' and all maturity stresses.
For all transactions, Fitch modeled customized servicing fees
instead of Fitch's criteria-defined assumption of $3.25 per
borrower, per month, due to higher contractual servicing fees for
these transactions.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
U.S. Sovereign Risk: The trust collateral comprises 100% FFELP
loans, with guaranties provided by eligible guarantors and
reinsurance provided by the U.S. Department of Education (ED) for
at least 97% of principal and accrued interest. The U.S. sovereign
rating is currently 'AA+'/Stable.
Collateral Performance: For all transactions, after applying the
default timing curve per criteria, the effective default rate is
unchanged from the cumulative default rate. Fitch applied the
standard default timing curve in its credit stress cash flow
analysis. Additionally, consolidation from the Public Service Loan
Forgiveness Program, which ended in October 2022, drove the
short-term inflation of CPR. Further increases are likely in the
short term as borrowers are afforded special provisions if they
consolidate into the Federal Direct loan program before the end of
June. Fitch expects voluntary prepayments to return to historical
levels. The claim reject rate is assumed to be 0.25% in the base
case and 1.65% in the 'AA' case.
SLM 2003-11: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 14.5% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 39.88% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate. Fitch is maintaining the sCDR of 2.30% and
the sCPR (voluntary and involuntary prepayments) of 9.00% in cash
flow modeling. Fitch applies the standard default timing curve in
its credit stress cash flow analysis. The TTM levels of deferment,
forbearance and IBR are 2.00% (2.28% at May 31, 2023), 10.90%
(10.30%) and 27.06% (24.13%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 DPD have decreased and the 91-120 DPD have
decreased from February, 2023 and are currently 3.04% for 31 DPD
and 1.16% for 91 DPD compared to 2.71% and 1.32% for 31 DPD and 91
DPD, respectively. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.12%,
based on information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2006-2: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 14.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 39.19% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. Fitch is maintaining the (sCDR) of 2.00% and the
sCPR of 6.00% in cash flow modeling. The TTM levels of deferment,
forbearance, and IBR are 2.52% (2.71% at March 31, 2023), 9.96%
(9.38%) and 17.29% (16.02%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 DPD and the 91-120 DPD have increased at March
31, 2024, and are currently 2.52% for 31 DPD and 0.62% for 91 DPD
compared to 2.59% and 0.88% at March 31, 2023 for 31 DPD and 91
DPD, respectively. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.22%,
based on information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2006-5: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 21.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 58.44% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. Fitch is maintaining the sCDR at 3.00% the sCPR of
7.70% in cash flow modeling. The TTM levels of deferment,
forbearance, and IBR are 2.56% (2.75% at March 31, 2023), 12.16%
(11.71%) and 23.22% (21.53%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 DPD have increased and the 91-120 DPD have
decreased at March 31, 2024, and are currently 3.18% for 31 DPD and
1.12% for 91 DPD compared to 2.45% and 1.13% at March 31, 2023 for
31 DPD and 91 DPD, respectively. The borrower benefit is
approximately 0.13%, based on information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2006-10: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 19.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 52.94% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. Fitch is maintaining the sustainable constant
default rate (sCDR) of 2.50% and the sustainable constant
prepayment rate (sCPR; voluntary and involuntary prepayments) of
7.70% in cash flow modeling. The trailing-twelve-month (TTM) levels
of deferment, forbearance, and income-based-repayment (IBR; prior
to adjustment) are 3.30% (3.37% at March 31, 2023), 14.21% (13.35%)
and 23.98% (22.68%).
These assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 DPD have decreased and the 91-120 DPD have
increased at March 31, 2024, and are currently 3.14% for 31 DPD and
1.33% for 91 DPD compared to 3.31% and 1.14% at March 31, 2023 for
31 DPD and 91 DPD, respectively. The borrower benefit is
approximately 0.13%, based on information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2012-8: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 23.50% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 65.31% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. After applying the default timing curve per
criteria, the effective default rate is unchanged from the
cumulative default rate. Fitch is maintaining the sCDR of 3.20% the
sCPR of 8.50% in cash flow modelling. The TTM levels of deferment,
forbearance and IBR are 3.68% (3.52% at April 30, 2023), 12.83%
(13.27%) and 26.59% (24.53%).
These assumptions and are used as the starting point in cash flow
modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per
criteria. The 31-60 DPD have decreased and the 91-120 DPD have
increased from prior review and are currently 3.38% for 31 DPD and
1.29% for 91 DPD compared to 3.39% and 0.92% at April 30, 2023 for
31 DPD and 91 DPD, respectively. The borrower benefit is
approximately 0.17%, based on information provided by the sponsor.
Basis and Interest Rate Risk: Basis risk for these transactions
arises from any rate and reset frequency mismatch between interest
rate indices for Special Allowance Payments (SAP) and the
securities. As of the most recent collection period, 88.8%, 99.2%,
96.0%, 97.2% and 96.5% of the student loans in SLM 2003-11, 2006-2,
2006-5, 2006-10 and 2012-8, respectively, are indexed to SOFR, and
the balance of the loans are indexed to the 91-day T-Bill rate. All
the notes in the SLM 2003-11, 2006-2, 2006-5 and 2006-10
transactions are indexed to 90-day Average SOFR plus the spread
adjustment of 0.26161% and all the notes in the SLM 2012-8
transaction are indexed to 30-day average SOFR plus the spread
adjustment of 0.11448%. Fitch applies its standard basis and
interest rate stresses to the transaction as per criteria.
Payment Structure: Credit enhancement (CE) is provided by excess
spread, overcollateralization (OC), and for the class A notes,
subordination provided by the class B notes. As of the most recent
distribution date, reported total parity is 100.00% for SLM
2003-11, 2006-2, 2006-5 and 2006-10, respectively and 104.68% for
2012-8. Liquidity support is provided by a reserve account
currently sized at $3,008,024, $4,524,615.00, $4,524,559.00,
$6,034,845.00 and $2,235,626.00 for SLM 2003-11, 2006-2, 2006-5,
2006-10 and 2012-8, respectively.
Operational Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing is provided by
Navient Solutions, LLC for all transactions and a percentage of the
loans in SLM 2012-8. Fitch believes Navient to be an adequate
servicer due to its extensive track record as one of the largest
servicers of FFELP loans. Servicing for the balance of the loans in
SLM 2012-8 is performed by Pennsylvania Higher Education Assistance
Agency (PHEAA) in its role as sub-servicer. Fitch also believes
PHEAA to be an acceptable servicer of FFELP student loans due to
its extensive track record as one of the largest servicers of FFELP
loans.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
AA+sf' rated tranches of most FFELP securitizations will likely
move in tandem with the U.S. sovereign rating given the strong
linkage to the U.S. sovereign, by nature of the reinsurance
provided by the Department of Education. Aside from the U.S.
sovereign rating, defaults, basis risk and loan extension risk
account for most of the risk embedded in FFELP student loan
transactions.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress
sensitivity analysis by increasing or decreasing key assumptions by
25% and 50% over the base case. The credit stress sensitivity is
viewed by stressing both the base case default rate and the basis
spread. The maturity stress sensitivity is viewed by stressing
remaining term, IBR usage and prepayments. The results should only
be considered as one potential outcome, as the transaction is
exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as
an indicator of possible future performance.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2003-11
Current Ratings: class A-7 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-7 'AAAsf' (Credit Stress) /
'BBsf' (Maturity Stress); class B 'Bsf' (Credit and Maturity
Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'BBsf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis spread increase 0.50%: class A 'CCCsf; class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'Bsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR usage increase 50%: class A 'BBsf; class B 'CCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-2
Current Ratings: class A-6 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-6 'Asf' (Credit Stress) /
'AAAsf' (Maturity Stress); class B 'Asf' (Credit Stress) / 'AAAsf'
(Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-5
Current Ratings: class A-6A, A-6B & A-6C 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-6A, A-6B & A-6C 'AAAsf'
(Credit Stress) / 'Asf' (Maturity Stress); class B 'Asf' (Credit
Stress) / 'Asf' (Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'BBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-10
Current Ratings: class A-6 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-6 'AA+sf' (Credit Stress) /
'AA+sf' (Maturity Stress); class B 'Asf' (Credit Stress) / 'AA+sf'
(Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'BBsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'CCCsf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 20012-8
Current Ratings: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A 'AAsf' (Credit Stress) /
'AA+sf' (Maturity Stress); class B 'AAsf' (Credit Stress) / 'AA+sf'
(Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
SLM Student Loan Trust 2003-11
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-2
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class A 'AAAsf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AA+sf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-5
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Default decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR increase 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'AAsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2006-10
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, as they are already at their highest possible
model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Default decrease 50%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.5%: class B 'AA+sf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- CPR increase 50%: class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- IBR Usage decrease 50%; class B 'AA+sf'.
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Remaining Term decrease 50%: class B 'AA+sf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 20012-8
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A and B notes, as they are already at their highest
possible model-implied ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SYMPHONY CLO 30: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the
Symphony CLO 30, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Symphony
CLO 30, Ltd.
X LT NRsf New Rating
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B 87169BAC3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-1-R LT AA+sf New Rating
B-2-R LT AAsf New Rating
C 87169BAE9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D 87169BAG4 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-1-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E 87169FAA8 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Symphony CLO 30, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Symphony Alternative Asset Management LLC. The CLO originally
closed in May 2023, and its secured notes were refinanced on May
14, 2023. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.27, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26.00. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.32% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.91% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 75.55%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 47.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BB+sf' and 'AA-sf' for class B-1-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B-2-R, between 'Bsf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less
than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than 'B-sf'
and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-1-R, 'AAAsf' for class B-2-R,
'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R, 'Asf' for class
D-2-R; and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
Key Rating Drivers and Rating Sensitivities are further described
in the new issue report.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assesses the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Symphony CLO 30,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
TRESTLES CLO II: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Trestles
CLO II, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Trestles CLO II, Ltd.
A-1 89531MAA0 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1-R LT AA+sf New Rating
B-2-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT A+sf New Rating
D-1-R LT BBBsf New Rating
D-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
F-R LT Bsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Trestles CLO II, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Aristotle Pacific Capital, LLC which originally closed on June 13,
2018. The secured notes will be refinanced in whole on May 20, 2024
from proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.36, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.62% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.6% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 75.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 40% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.2-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the P&I waterfalls and assess the
effectiveness of various structural features of the transaction. In
Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can withstand default and
recovery assumptions consistent with their assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'BBB-sf' and 'AAsf' for class B-1-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'AA-sf'
for class B-2-R, between 'B+sf' and 'A-sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1-R, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2-R, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BB-sf' for class E-R; and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for
class F-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-1-R, 'AAAsf' for class B-2-R,
'AA+sf' for class C-R, 'A+sf' for class D-1-R, 'A+sf' for class
D-2-R, 'BBB+sf' for class E-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class F-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Trestles CLO II,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
TRINITAS CLO XIV: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R, A-2-R,
B-R, and C-R replacement debt from Trinitas CLO XIV Ltd./Trinitas
CLO XIV LLC, a CLO originally issued in December 2020 that is
managed by Trinitas Capital Management LLC. At the same time, S&P
withdrew its ratings on the original class A-1, A-1B, A-2, B, and C
debt following payment in full on the May 20, 2024, refinancing
date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class D and E debt,
which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period was extended to Jan. 25, 2025.
-- The reinvestment period remains unchanged at Jan. 25, 2026.
-- The legal final maturity remains unchanged at Jan. 25, 2034.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the May 20, 2024,
refinancing date, and the target initial par amount remains at $500
million.
-- There was no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is July 25, 2024.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
-- The original class A-1 and A-1B notes were combined to create
the replacement class A-1-R debt.
-- The transaction has adopted benchmark replacement language and
was updated to conform to current rating agency methodology.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $330.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.34%
-- Class A-2-R, $27.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.54%
-- Class B-R, $60.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.95%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $33.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.40%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $300.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.75161%
-- Class A-1B, $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.71161%
-- Class A-2, $27.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.06161%
-- Class B-2, $60.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.26161%
-- Class C (deferrable), $33.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR
+ 3.26161%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XIV Ltd./Trinitas CLO XIV LLC
Class A-1-R, $330.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $27.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $60.50 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $33.00 million: A (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Trinitas CLO XIV Ltd./Trinitas CLO XIV LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-1B to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Trinitas CLO XIV Ltd./Trinitas CLO XIV LLC
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
Other Debt
Trinitas CLO XIV Ltd./Trinitas CLO XIV LLC
Subordinated notes, $54.00 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
TRINITAS CLO XXVIII: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Trinitas CLO XXVIII
Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVIII LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Trinitas Capital Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XXVIII Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVIII LLC
Class A-1(i), $119.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1L loans(i), $128.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1N(i), $0.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $9.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $15.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41.80 million: Not rated
(i)The class A-1N notes will be issued pari passu to the class A-1
notes and class A-1L loans with a zero balance as of the closing
date. Any class A-1L loans converted into note form will be
converted into class A-1N notes, with corresponding converted
balance subtracted from the balance of the class A-1L loans. The
class A-1N notes are not convertible into loan form.
UBS COMMERCIAL 2019-CF1: Fitch Lowers Rating on Two Classes to CCC
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 15 classes of UBS Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2019-C16 (UBS 2019-C16).
Fitch has downgraded six and affirmed 12 classes of CF 2019-CF1
Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through certificates,
series 2019-CF1 (CF 2019-CF1).
The Rating Outlook on class D in CF 2019-CF1 has been revised to
Negative from Stable.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
CF 2019-CF1
A-1 12529MAA6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 12529MAB4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 12529MAD0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 12529MAE8 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-5 12529MAF5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 12529MAJ7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 12529MAC2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 12529MAK4 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 12529MAL2 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 12529MCY2 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 12529MCZ9 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
F 12529MDA3 LT B-sf Downgrade BB-sf
G 12529MDB1 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
X-A 12529MAG3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 12529MAH1 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
X-D 12529MCV8 LT BB-sf Downgrade BBB-sf
X-F 12529MCW6 LT B-sf Downgrade BB-sf
X-G 12529MCX4 LT CCCsf Downgrade B-sf
UBS 2019-C16
A-2 90276YAB9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 90276YAD5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-4 90276YAE3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-S 90276YAH6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-SB 90276YAC7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 90276YAJ2 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 90276YAK9 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 90276YAN3 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
D-RR 90276YAQ6 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E-RR 90276YAS2 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
F-RR 90276YAU7 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
G-RR 90276YAW3 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
H-RR 90276YAY9 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
X-A 90276YAF0 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
X-B 90276YAG8 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance and 'B' Loss Expectations: Deal-level 'Bsf' ratings
case losses are 5.1% in UBS 2019-C16 and 5.4% in CF 2019-CF1. Fitch
Loans of Concerns (FLOCs) comprise eight loans (27.9% of the pool)
in UBS 2019-C16 including four specially serviced loans (13.2%) and
eight loans (27.3%) in CF 2019-CF1 including two specially serviced
loans (9.2%).
The downgrades in CF 2019-CF1 reflect the increase in pool loss
expectations since the last rating action, primarily driven by two
FLOCs: 65 Broadway and AC by Marriott San Jose. The Negative
Outlooks in CF 2019-CF1 reflect possible downgrades with further
performance deterioration on the FLOCs.
The affirmations of all classes in UBS 2019-C16 reflect the
relatively stable pool performance and loss expectations since the
last rating action. The Negative Outlooks reflect the continued
concentration of FLOCs.
Fitch Loans of Concern; Largest Loss Contributors: The largest
increase in loss since the prior rating action and largest
contributor to loss in CF 2019-CF1, AC by Marriott San Jose (5.4%),
is secured by a 210-room select-service hotel located in San Jose,
CA. This FLOC was flagged due to low DSCR. Property performance has
struggled to rebound from the pandemic. While performance has
slightly improved since the prior rating action, DSCR remains low;
the TTM September 2023 NOI DSCR was 1.04x, compared with 0.83x at
YE 2022 and -0.19x at YE 2021.
Occupancy was 63% as of September 2023, compared with 61% at YE
2022 and well above 39% at YE 2021. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss
of 22.3% (prior to concentration add-ons) is based on an 11.25% cap
rate and the TTM September 2023 NOI.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
and second largest contributor to loss in CF 2019- CF1, is the 65
Broadway loan (6.2%), which is secured by a 355,217-sf office
property located in New York, NY. The building has been renovated
multiple times, is LEED-certified and qualifies for the Lower
Manhattan Energy Program. The loan transferred to special servicing
in February 2024 due to imminent default. The loan was not repaid
at its scheduled maturity in April 2024.
Occupancy has continued to decline, with March 2024 occupancy
reported at 66%, compared with 67% at YE 2023 and 75% at YE 2022.
Upcoming rollover includes 3.2% of the NRA in 2024, 13.5% in 2025
and 7.2% in 2026. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case loss of 17.2% (prior to
concentration add-ons) is based on a 9.25% cap rate, 10% stress to
the TTM September 2023 NOI and a 100% probability of default due to
the specially serviced loan status and maturity default.
The largest loan in UBS 2019-C16, The Colonnade Office Complex
(7.7%), transferred to special serving in September 2023 for
Imminent Monetary Default and did not repay at February 2024
maturity. It is secured by 1,080,180 sf suburban office property
located in Addison, TX. The two largest tenants are Hilton Domestic
Operating Company (13.8%; Jan. 31, 2032) and USP Texas, LP (11.8%;
expiration Oct. 31, 2025). Negotiation discussions regarding a
potential loan extension with the Borrower are ongoing.
In the interim, special servicer has commenced with filing the
appropriate motions to obtain a court appointed receiver. The loan
experienced the largest change in loss since the prior rating
action as losses declined significantly. Fitch's 'Bsf' rating case
loss of 1% (prior to concentration add-ons) is based on a stress to
the March 2024 appraisal.
The second largest increase in loss since the prior rating action
in UBS 2019-C16, Cable Park (2.9%), is secured by a 161,310-sf
retail property located in Orangevale, CA. Top three tenants are
Ross (13.6%; exp Jan. 31, 2029), Goodwill (13.6%; expiration March
31, 2028) and Grocery Outlet (11.2%; expiration Aug. 31, 2028). It
was flagged as FLOC due to low DSCR and declining occupancy after
CVS (19%) vacated at its July 2022 lease expiration. Current
occupancy is 70% compared to 88% at YE 2022. DSCR was 0.59x at YE
2023, down from 1.13x at YE 2022 and 1.52x at YE 2021. Fitch's
'Bsf' rating case loss of 26.2% (prior to concentration add-ons)
reflects a 9% cap rate and 7.5% stress to YE 2023 NOI.
The third largest increase in loss since the prior rating action in
UBS 2019-C16, Quince Diamond Executive Center (1.3%), is secured by
108,827-sf office property located in Gaithersburg, MD. The loan
transferred to special servicing in March 2024 for Imminent
Monetary Default. A recent appraisal and rent roll were requested
but were not provided. Recent AV and RR requested. DSCR and
occupancy as of Sept 2023 were 0.69x and 48% respectively. The
servicer is still evaluating a resolution strategy. Fitch's 'Bsf'
rating case loss of 35.2% (prior to concentration add-ons) is based
on 9% cap rate, 10% stress to September 2023 NOI and an increased
probability of default.
Change to Credit Enhancement: As of the April 2024 remittance
report, the aggregate balances of the UBS 2019- C16 and CF 2019-CF1
have been reduced by approximately 12.4% and 1.9%, respectively,
since issuance. The UBS 2019-C16 transaction includes four loans
(5.4% of the pool) that have fully defeased, while CF 2019-CF1 has
three defeased loans (3.4% of the pool).
Interest Shortfalls: Interest shortfalls of about $66,000 are
affecting the non-rated class NR-RR in UBS 2019-C16 and $234,000
are affecting the non-rated NR-RR class in CF 2019-CF1.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades to 'AAAsf' rated classes are not expected due to the
position in the capital structure and expected continued
amortization and loan repayments, but may occur if deal-level
losses increase significantly and/or interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to junior 'AAAsf' rated classes are possible with
continued performance deterioration of the FLOCs, limited to no
improvement in class CE, or if interest shortfalls occur.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' categories
could occur if deal-level losses increase significantly from
outsized losses on larger FLOCs and/or more loans than expected
experience performance deterioration and/or default at or prior to
maturity.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf' category are possible
with higher than expected losses from continued underperformance of
the FLOCs, in particular office loans with deteriorating
performance, and/or if prolonged workouts of loans in special
servicing result in deteriorating values and increasing exposures.
Elevated risk loans include Cable Park and Quince Diamond Executive
Center in UBS 2019-C16 and 65 Broadway and AC by Marriott San Jose
in CF 2019- CF1.
Downgrades to classes rated in the 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' categories
would occur with greater certainty of losses on the specially
serviced loans or FLOCs, should additional loans transfer to
special servicing or default and as losses are realized or become
more certain.
Downgrades to distressed 'CCCsf' ratings would occur as losses are
realized and/or become more certain.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'AAsf' and 'Asf' category may be
possible with significantly increased CE, coupled with
stable-to-improved pool-level loss expectations and improved
performance on the FLOCs, including Cable Park, Quince Diamond
Executive Center and 16300 Roscoe in UBS 2019-C16 and 65 Broadway
and AC by Marriott San Jose in CF 2019-CF1.
Upgrades to classes rated in the 'BBBsf' category would be limited
based on sensitivity to concentrations or the potential for future
concentration. Classes would not be upgraded above 'AA+sf' if there
is likelihood for interest shortfalls.
Upgrades to 'BBsf' and 'Bsf' category rated classes are not likely
until the later years in a transaction and only if the performance
of the remaining pool is stable, recoveries on the FLOCs and
specially serviced loans are better than expected and there is
sufficient CE to the classes.
Upgrades to distressed ratings of 'CCCsf' is not expected but
possible with better than expected recoveries on specially serviced
loans and/or performance improvement of the FLOCs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
VERUS SECURITIZATION 2024-4: S&P Assigns 'B-' Rating on B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Verus Securitization
Trust 2024-4's mortgage-backed notes.
The note issuance is an RMBS transaction backed by primarily newly
originated first- and second-lien, fixed- and adjustable-rate
residential mortgage loans, including mortgage loans with initial
interest-only periods, to both prime and non-prime borrowers. The
loans are secured by single-family residences, planned-unit
developments, two- to four-family residential properties,
condominiums, condotels, townhouses, mixed-use properties, and
five- to 10-unit multifamily residences. The pool has 1,179 loans
backed by 1,182 properties, which are qualified mortgage
(QM)/non-higher-priced mortgage loans (safe harbor), QM rebuttable
presumption, non-QM/ability-to-repay (ATR)-compliant, and
ATR-exempt loans. Of the 1,179 loans, one is a cross-collateralized
loan backed by four properties.
S&P said, "After we assigned our preliminary ratings, the class B-1
note rate was determined at pricing to have a fixed coupon subject
to the pool's net weighted average coupon rate. The ratings we
assigned are unchanged from our preliminary ratings on all
classes."
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The pool's collateral composition;
-- The transaction's credit enhancement, associated structural
mechanics, representations and warranties framework, prior credit
events, and geographic concentration;
-- The mortgage aggregator, Invictus Capital Partners; and
-- The potential impact current and near-term macroeconomic
conditions may have on the performance of the mortgage borrowers in
the pool. S&P said, "On Oct. 13, 2023, we updated our market
outlook as it relates to the 'B' projected archetypal loss level,
and therefore revised and lowered our 'B' foreclosure frequency to
2.50% from 3.25%, which reflects the level prior to April 2020,
preceding the COVID-19 pandemic. The update reflects our benign
view of the mortgage and housing markets as demonstrated through
general national-level home price behavior, unemployment rates,
mortgage performance, and underwriting. Per our latest
macroeconomic update, the U.S. economy continues to outperform
expectations following consecutive quarters of contraction in the
first half of 2022."
Ratings Assigned
Verus Securitization Trust 2024-4(i)
Class A-1, $358,008,000: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $41,985,000: AA (sf)
Class A-3, $73,191,000: A (sf)
Class M-1, $39,148,000: BBB- (sf)
Class B-1, $21,276,000: BB- (sf)
Class B-2, $20,709,000: B- (sf)
Class B-3, $13,049,982: Not rated
Class A-IO-S, notional(ii): Not rated
Class XS, notional(ii): Not rated
Class R, not applicable: Not rated
(i)The ratings address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal. They do not address the payment of the cap carryover
amounts.
(ii)The notional amount will equal the aggregate stated principal
balance of the mortgage loans as of the first day of the related
due period.
VIDEO RIVER: Reports $1.53 Million Net Income in First Quarter
--------------------------------------------------------------
Video River Networks, Inc., filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q reporting net income
of $1.53 million on $0 of total revenue for the three months ended
March 31, 2024, compared to net income of $281,911 on $380,932 of
total revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
As of March 31, 2024, the Company had $1.56 million in total
assets, $34,502 in total liabilities, and $1.53 million in total
stockholders' equity.
For the period ended March 31, 2024, the Company reported operating
revenue of $0 and a one-time income of $1,562,067 from disposition
of an operating unit, and an accumulated deficit of $17,859,512.
According to the Company, these conditions raise substantial doubt
about its ability to continue as a going concern.
A full-text copy of the Form 10-Q is available for free at:
https://www.sec.gov/ix?doc=/Archives/edgar/data/1084475/000149315224020613/form10-q.htm
About Video River
Headquartered in Torrance, California, Video River Networks, Inc.
is a technology firm that operates and manages a portfolio of
Electric Vehicles, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and
Robotics ("EV-AI-ML-R") assets, businesses and operations in North
America. The Company's target portfolio businesses and assets
include operations that design, develop, manufacture and sell
high-performance fully electric vehicles and design, manufacture,
install and sell Power Controls, Battery Technology, Wireless
Technology, and Residential utility meters and remote,
mission-critical devices mostly engineered through Artificial
Intelligence, Machine Learning and Robotic technologies.
Newhall, California-based DylanFloyd Accounting & Consulting, the
Company's auditor since 2019, issued a "going concern"
qualification in its report dated April 15, 2024, citing that the
Company has an accumulated deficit of $15,898,383 for the year
ended December 31, 2023. These factors raise substantial doubt
about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.
VOYA CLO 2015-3: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Rating on Class E-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Voya CLO
2015-3, Ltd. refinancing notes
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Voya CLO 2015-3, Ltd.
A-1-R 92913UAN6 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-1-R3 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R3 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2A-R 92913UAQ9 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2B-RR 92913UBA3 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-3-R 92913UAS5 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AA+sf
A-3-R3 LT AAAsf New Rating
E-R 92913DAL8 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Voya CLO 2015-3, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Voya
Alternative Asset Management LLC, which originally closed on Sept.
30, 2015. The CLO's secured debt was fully refinanced on Nov. 16,
2018 (the first refinancing date) and partially refinanced on Feb.
9, 2021 (the second refinancing date) from the proceeds of the
issuance of new secured debt. The CLO's secured debt will again be
partially refinanced on May 20, 2024 (the third refinancing date)
from the proceeds of the issuance of new secured debt. The CLO
reinvestment period ended in October 2023 and has begun amortizing
notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.93% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 75.28%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 37% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction is past the
reinvestment period end date and the issuer's ability to extend the
weighted average life of the portfolio is limited as the WAL test
is currently breached. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed
portfolio maintaining the indicative WAL as well as a one-notch
downgrade on the Fitch Issuer Default Rating Equivalency Rating for
assets with a Negative Outlook on the driving rating of the
obligor. The shorter risk horizon means the transaction is less
vulnerable to underlying price movements, economic conditions and
asset performance.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 4.03 years to
reflect the current WAL of the portfolio as of the April 2024
reporting date, which currently exceeds the covenant limit of
3.75.
KEY PROVISION CHANGES
The refinancing is being implemented via the supplemental
indenture, which amended certain provisions of the transaction. The
changes include but are not limited to:
- Class A-1-R notes are refinanced to new class A-1-R3 notes and
rated 'AAAsf'/Outlook Stable;
- Class A-2A-R notes and class A-2B-R2 notes are refinanced to new
class A-2-R3 notes and rated 'AAAsf'/ Outlook Stable;
- Class A-3-R notes are refinanced to new class A-3-R3 notes and
rated 'AAAsf'/Outlook Stable;
- Class E-R notes are not being refinanced and are affirmed at
'B-sf'/Outlook Stable.
- The spreads for class A-1-R3, class A-2-R3, class A-3-R3 are
1.15%, 1.40% and 1.70% respectively, compared to the original
spread of 1.45161%, 1.71161%, 1.61161% and 1.96161% for the class
A-1-R, class A-2A-R, class A-2B-R2 and class A-3-R notes,
respectively. Stated maturity and notional amounts on the
refinanced notes remained the same as compared to original notes.
Non-call period for the refinanced notes is on the payment date
occurring in October 2024.
- The reference rate definition was updated to incorporate the
transition to SOFR.
FITCH ANALYSIS
The current portfolio presented to Fitch (dated April 11, 2024)
includes 499 assets from 423 primarily high yield obligors. The
collateral balance was approximately $665.05 million. As per the
latest trustee report, class D coverage test was cured at the last
payment date, but there are still approximately $1.36 million of
accrued and unpaid interest on class E notes.
The weighted average rating factor of the current portfolio is
'B/B-'. Fitch has an explicit rating, credit opinion or private
rating for 46.6% of the current portfolio par balance; ratings for
53.4% of the portfolio were derived from using Fitch's Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) equivalency map. Analysis focused on the Fitch
stressed portfolio (FSP) and cash flow model analysis was conducted
for the third refinancing. The FSP included the following
concentrations, reflecting the maximum limitations per the
indenture or Fitch's assumption:
- Assumed risk horizon: 4.03 years;
- A one-notch downgrade of the Fitch IDR equivalency rating for
assets with a Negative Outlook on the driving rating of the
obligor.
Projected default and recovery statistics of the FSP were generated
using Fitch's portfolio credit model (PCM). The PCM default rate
outputs for the FSP at the 'AAAsf' rating stress was 44.5%, and the
PCM recovery rate outputs for the FSP at the 'AAAsf' rating stress
was 40.2%. In the analysis of the FSP the class A-1-R3, class
A-2-R3 and class A-3-R3 notes all passed the 'AAAsf' rating
threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with minimum cushions of
20.2%, 16.1% and 4.9% respectively.
In the analysis of the current portfolio the class A-1-R3, class
A-2-R3 and class A-3-R3 notes all passed the 'AAAsf' rating
threshold in all nine cash flow scenarios with minimum cushions of
22.0%, 17.8% and 6.5% respectively. Class E-R notes passed the
'B-sf' rating threshold in eight of the nine cash flow scenarios
with a minimum cushion of 20.1%; the failing result is specific to
one unique scenario and occurs within a narrow default rate range
of approximately 9%, which passes when the default rate is just
above or below that range or at the 'B-sf' projected default rate.
Today's rating actions reflect Fitch's belief that the notes can
sustain a robust level of defaults combined with low recoveries, as
well as other factors, such as the degree of cushion when analyzing
the indicative portfolio and the strong performance in the
sensitivity scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios for the FSP
are as severe as 'AAAsf' for class A-1-R3, between 'AA+sf' and
'AAAsf' for class A-2-R3, between 'BBB+sf' and 'AAAsf' for class
A-3-R3. The results under these sensitivity scenarios for the
current portfolio are as severe as less than 'B-sf' for the
existing class E-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R3, class
A-2-R3, and class A-3-R3 notes as these notes are in the highest
rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'BBsf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied upon for
its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Voya CLO 2015-3,
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
VOYA CLO 2015-3: S&P Affirms 'B+ (sf)' Rating on Class D-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R3 and
A-3-R3 replacement debt from Voya CLO 2015-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2015-3
LLC, a CLO managed by Voya Alternative Asset Management LLC that
was originally issued in 2015. At the same time, S&P withdrew its
ratings on the November 2018 class A-1-R and A-3-R debt following
payment in full on the May 20, 2024, refinancing date. S&P also
affirmed its ratings on the class B-R, C-R, and D-R debt, which was
not refinanced. The class C-R and D-R debt were also removed from
CreditWatch with negative implications.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- A noncall period was implemented for the refinancing debt
ending Nov. 20, 2024.
-- The reinvestment period was not extended.
-- The legal final maturity dates (for the replacement debt and
the existing subordinated notes) were not extended.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the May 20, 2024,
refinancing date. There was no additional effective date or ramp-up
period, and the first payment date following the refinancing is
July 20, 2024.
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios were not amended.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "We affirmed our ratings on the class C-R and D-R debt
and removed the ratings from CreditWatch with negative implications
primarily due to their passing cash flow results at their current
ratings following the lower cost of funding and increased excess
spread attributable to the refinancing.
"The ratings were placed on CreditWatch with negative implications
due to their indicative cash flows (prior to this refinancing) that
pointed to a failure lower than current rating, their deteriorated
credit enhancement, and an increase in the assets rated in the
'CCC' category. The cash flows improved significantly once the
interest rates on the senior part of the capital structure was
refinanced and reduced, and they now pass the current ratings with
a comfortable cushion. Though paydowns have commenced and that has
improved the overcollateralization ratio for class A since our last
rating action, the transaction still has a relatively high exposure
to assets rated in the 'CCC' category. Any increase in defaults or
par losses could lead to potential negative rating actions in the
future."
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R3, $378.26 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.15%
-- Class A-2-R3, $35.90 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.45%
-- Class A-3-R3, $91.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.75%
-- Subordinated notes, $57.60 million: Not applicable
November 2018 debt
-- Class A-1-R, $478.90 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.19%
+ CSA(i)
-- Class A-2A-R, $23.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.45%
+ CSA(i)
-- Class A-2B-R, $12.90 million: 4.682%
-- Class A-3-R, $91.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.70%
+ CSA(i)
-- Class B-R, $51.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.20% +
CSA(i)
-- Class C-R, $44.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.15% +
CSA(i)
-- Class D-R, $31.90 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 6.20% +
CSA(i)
-- Class E-R, $18.40 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 8.50% +
CSA(i)
-- Subordinated notes, $57.60 million: Not applicable
(i)The CSA is 0.26161%.
CSA--Credit spread adjustment.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Voya CLO 2015-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2015-3 LLC
Class A-1-R3, $378.26 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3-R3, $91.80 million: AA (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Voya CLO 2015-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2015-3 LLC
Class A-1-R to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-3-R to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
Voya CLO 2015-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2015-3 LLC
Class B-R: A (sf)
Ratings Affirmed And Removed From CreditWatch
Voya CLO 2015-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2015-3 LLC
Class C-R to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)/Watch Neg'
Class D-R to 'B+ (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)/Watch Neg'
Other Outstanding Debt
Voya CLO 2015-3 Ltd./Voya CLO 2015-3 LLC
Subordinated notes, $56.70 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
[*] Moody's Takes Action on $189MM of US RMBS Issued 2000-2007
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of six bonds and
downgraded the ratings of 12 bonds from five US residential
mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime and prime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Asset Backed Securities Corporation, Long Beach Home Equity
Loan Trust 2000-LB1, Homes 2000-LB1
Cl. AF5, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Jul 6, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. AF6, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on May 22, 2018 Upgraded
to A1 (sf)
Cl. M1F, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 20, 2018
Downgraded to B2 (sf)
Cl. M2F, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Dec 20, 2018 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. M2V, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2020 Downgraded
to B1 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2006-23
Cl. 1-A, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Nov 14, 2022 Upgraded
to B1 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Nov 14, 2022 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: CWABS, Inc. Asset-Backed Certificates, Series 2004-2
Cl. 1-A, Downgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2022
Downgraded to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-3, Downgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2022
Downgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. 3-A-4, Downgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2022
Downgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jun 17, 2020
Downgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: Global Mortgage Securitization 2005-A Ltd
Cl. A1, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Sep 14, 2022
Downgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. A2, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Sep 14, 2022
Downgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. A3, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Sep 14, 2022
Downgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. X-A1*, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Sep 14, 2022
Downgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: GSAMP Trust 2007-HE1
Cl. A-1, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Dec 11, 2019
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Dec 11, 2019
Upgraded to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Downgraded to Caa2 (sf); previously on Dec 11, 2019
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the current levels of credit enhancement
available to the bonds, the recent performance, analysis of the
transaction structures, and Moody's updated loss expectations on
the underlying pools.
Each of the upgraded bonds has seen strong growth in credit
enhancement since Moody's last review, which is the key driver for
these upgrades.
Moody's analysis of certain deals considered the impact of
performance triggers, which are currently passing, resulting in
shared principal payments between the senior and subordinate bonds.
This has caused credit enhancement levels to remain flat for the
senior bonds while benefitting certain subordinate bonds.
Moody's analysis also considered the existence of historical
interest shortfalls for some of the bonds. While shortfalls for
certain bonds have since been recouped, the size and length of the
past shortfalls, as well as the potential for recurrence, were
analyzed as part of the actions.
Other bonds in this review are currently impaired or expected to
become impaired. Moody's ratings on those bonds reflect any losses
to date as well as Moody's expected future loss. Moody's analysis
of these bonds reflects the potential for collateral volatility
given the number of deal-level and macro factors that can impact
collateral performance, the potential impact of any collateral
volatility on the model output, and the ultimate size or any
incurred and projected loss.
The rating upgrades also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Over the past few years,
Moody's have worked closely with loan servicers to understand and
analyze their strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the
impact those programs may have on collateral performance and
transaction liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent
analysis has found that many of these borrower relief programs, in
addition to robust home price appreciation, have contributed to
collateral performance being stronger than Moody's past
expectations, thus supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "US RMBS Surveillance Methodology"
published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Takes Action on $79.9MM of US RMBS Issued 2006-2007
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of three bonds and
downgraded the rating of one bond from three US residential
mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by Alt-A and subprime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Accredited Mortgage Loan Trust 2007-1
Cl. M-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Jun 4, 2019 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Issuer: Opteum Mortgage Acceptance Corporation Asset Backed
Pass-Through Certificates 2006-1
Cl. I-A1C1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Dec 20, 2018
Upgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Issuer: Structured Asset Investment Loan Trust 2006-3
Cl. A2, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2018 Upgraded
to B3 (sf)
Cl. A5, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jan 30, 2018 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the credit enhancement available to the
bonds, the improved performance for most deals as indicated by the
key metrics observed, and Moody's Ratings' updated loss
expectations on the underlying pools. While all but one of the
transactions reviewed, have benefitted from growth in credit
enhancement, a decline in credit enhancement was the key driver for
the downgrade on class A-5 from Structured Asset Investment Loan
Trust 2006-3.
Moody's analysis also considered the existence of historical
interest shortfalls for some of the bonds. In the case of Cl.
I-A1C1 from Opteum Mortgage Acceptance Corporation Asset Backed
Pass-Through Certificates 2006-1 all shortfalls have since been
recouped and in the case of Cl. A2 from Structured Asset Investment
Loan Trust 2006-3 the shortfalls are expected to be recouped.
However, the size and length of the past and current shortfalls, as
well as the potential for recurrence, were analyzed as part of the
upgrades.
Certain bonds in this review are currently impaired or expected to
become impaired. Moody's ratings on those bonds reflect any losses
to date as well as Moody's expected future loss. Moody's analysis
also reflects the potential for collateral volatility given the
number of deal-level and macro factors that can impact collateral
performance, the potential impact of any collateral volatility on
the model output, and the ultimate size of any incurred and
projected loss.
The rating actions also reflect the further seasoning of the
collateral and increased clarity regarding the impact of borrower
relief programs on collateral performance. Over the past few years,
Moody's have worked closely with loan servicers to understand and
analyze their strategies regarding borrower relief programs and the
impact those programs may have on collateral performance and
transaction liquidity, through servicer advancing. Moody's recent
analysis has found that many of these borrower relief programs, in
addition to robust home price appreciation, have contributed to
collateral performance being stronger than Moody's past
expectations, thus supporting the upgrades.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations. This includes interest risk from
current or potential missed interest that remain unreimbursed.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS
Surveillance Methodology" published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's Ratings' original expectations as a result of a lower
number of obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the
mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise of payment.
Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US macro
economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's Ratings' expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
*********
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