/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCR_Public/240324.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
Sunday, March 24, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 83
Headlines
720 EAST IV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on $13.5MM Class E Notes
ACC AUTO 2021-A: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Class D Notes to Ba2
AGL CLO 30: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Ratings on Class E Notes
AMMC CLO XII: S&P Affirms CCC+ (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
APIDOS CLO XLVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
APIDOS CLO XLVII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 F Notes
ARES LXIX: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
ARES XXXIV: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
AUDAX SENIOR 9: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Debts
BAIN CAPITAL 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
BATTALION CLO XXV: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
BAYVIEW OPPORTUNITY 2024-CAR1: Moody's Assigns '(P)B3' to F Notes
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2024-5C25: Fitch Gives B-(EXP) Rating on G-RR Certs
BDS 2020-FL5: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on Class G Notes
BENCHMARK 2024-V6: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP) Rating on Cl. G-RR Certs
BENEFIT STREET IV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R4 Notes
BLP COMMERCIAL 2024-IND2: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) on HRR Certs
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM2: DBRS Finalizes B(high) on B2 Notes
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM3: Fitch Gives B(EXP) Rating on B-2 Notes
BRYANT PARK 2024-22: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-XL5: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Cl. E Certs
CARLYLE US 2018-2: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class D Notes
CARLYLE US 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
CARVANA AUTO 2024-N1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class E Notes
CARVANA AUTO 2024-P1: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on Cl. N Notes
CHASE HOME 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B-5 Certs
CITIGROUP 2015-101A: S&P Lowers Class G Certs Rating to 'B- (sf)'
CITYSCAPE HOME 1996-2: Moody's Lowers Rating on A-5 Notes to B1
COLUMBIA CENT 32: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
COMM 2013-CCRE13: Moody's Downgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Ba1
CSAIL 2016-C5: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class X-F Certs
CSMC 2019-ICE4: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
CWABS ASSET-BACKED 2007-12: Moody's Ups Rating on 1-A-2 Certs to B2
DIAMETER CREDIT II: Moody's Ups Rating on $25.65MM E Notes to Ba2
DK TRUST 2024-SPBX: Fitch Assigns 'B+sf' Rating on Class HRR Certs
ELMWOOD CLO VIII: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F-R Notes
EMPOWER CLO 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Debts
EXETER AUTOMOBILE: Fitch Affirms Ratings on 34 Classes in 6 Deals
FREDDIE MAC 2023-HQA1: Moody's Hikes Rating on 16 Tranches to Ba2
FREDDIE MAC 2024-HQA1: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to 10 Tranches
GENERATE CLO 7: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
GREAT WOLF 2024-WOLF: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on G Certs
GS MORTGAGE 2005-ROCK: S&P Affirms BB+(sf) Rating on Class J Certs
GS MORTGAGE 2014-GC26: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ2: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on B-5 Notes
GS MORTGAGE 2024-RPL2: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Cl. B-2 Notes
GSF 2023-1: Fitch Affirms 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Class E Debt
HILDENE TRUPS A4B: Moody's Gives Ba3 Rating to $10.7MM Cl. B Notes
HINNT LLC 2024-A: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
INVESCO US 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E-R Notes
JP MORGAN 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class B-4 Certs
JP MORGAN MORTGAGE 2007-A1: S&P Affirms 'BB+' Rating on 1-A-2 Notes
KCAP F3C: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+ (sf)'
MARINER FINANCE 2022-A: S&P Raises Class E Notes Rating to BB-(sf)
METRONET INFRASTRUCTURE 2024-1: Fitch Rates Class C Notes 'BB-sf'
MILFORD PARK: Fitch Affirms 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
MORGAN STANLEY 2014-C19: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
MOSAIC SOLAR 2023-2: Fitch Affirrms 'BB-sf' Rating on Class D Notes
NAVIENT STUDENT 2014-1: Moody's Lowers Rating on A-3 Notes to Ba2
NEUBERGER BERMAN 39: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
NEW MOUNTAIN 5: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM1: Fitch Gives B-sf Rating on Cl. B-3 Notes
NEWSTAR ARLINGTON: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
NYMT LOAN 2024-CP1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class B-2 Notes
OBX TRUST 2024-HYB2: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to Cl. B-2 Certs
OHA CREDIT XII: S&P Assigns Prelim B-(sf) Rating on Cl. F-R2 Notes
OZLM FUNDING IV: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
PALMER SQUARE 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
PEEBLES PARK: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
PIKES PEAK 7: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Class E-R Notes
POST CLO 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
PRESTIGE AUTO 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E Notes
PRET TRUST 2024-RPL1: Fitch Assigns 'B' Rating on Class B-2 Notes
PRKCM 2024-AFC1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class B-2 Notes
PRPM 2024-RPL1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class B-1 Notes
RCKT MORTGAGE 2024-CES2: Fitch Gives 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Notes
REGATTA XXVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
RR 55 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class D-R Notes
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2024-3: Fitch Assigns BBsf Rating on Cl. B4 Certs
SIGNAL PEAK 5: S&P Affirms BB-p (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
SILVER POINT 4: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $225,000 Cl. F Notes
SLM STUDENT 2010-1: S&P Lowers Class A Notes Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
SLM STUDENT 2013-2: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class B Notes to Bsf
SOFI PERSONAL 2024-2: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class F Notes
STRUCTURED ASSET 2007-AR1: Moody's Ups I-A-1 Notes Rating to Ba1
SYMPHONY CLO 42: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
TABERNA PREFERRED I: Fitch Withdraws BB Rating on 2 Tranches
TEXAS DEBT 2024-I: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
TOORAK MORTAGE 2024-RRTL1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on B-1 Notes
TRALEE CLO II: S&P Lowers Class E-R Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
TRINITAS CLO XXVII: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-(sf)' Rating on E Notes
VENTURE XVII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $8.5MM Cl. F-RR Notes to Caa3
WB COMMERCIAL 2024-HQ: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Cl. HRR Certs
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT 2: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
WELLS FARGO 2021-FCMT: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Certs
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on E Notes
ZIPLY FIBER: Fitch Gives 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on 2024-1 C Notes
[*] Fitch Affirms 6 Timeshare Transactions by Holiday Inn
[*] Moody's Takes Action on $64.9MM of US RMBS Issued 2006-2007
[*] Moody's Takes Actions on $36.4MM of US RMBS Issued 2020
[*] Moody's Upgrades Rating on $79.1MM of US RMBS Issued 2006-2007
[*] S&P Takes Various Action on 61 Classes From 18 U.S. RMBS Deals
*********
720 EAST IV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on $13.5MM Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to 720 East CLO IV Ltd./720
East CLO IV LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Northwestern Mutual Investment
Management Co. LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
720 East CLO IV Ltd./720 East CLO IV LLC
Class A-1, $288.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $27.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $27.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $27.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $27.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $13.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $44.65 million: Not rated
ACC AUTO 2021-A: Moody's Upgrades Rating on Class D Notes to Ba2
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings takes action on 14 classes of bonds issued from 11
non-prime auto securitizations. The bonds are backed by pools of
retail automobile non-prime loan contracts originated and serviced
by multiple parties.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: ACC Auto Trust 2021-A
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on Jul 30, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Issuer: ACC Auto Trust 2022-A
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Class D Notes, Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Downgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Issuer: American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2021-4
Class D Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec
18, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2022-2
Class C Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec
18, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2023-2
Class C Asset Backed Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May
3, 2023 Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Issuer: CIG Auto Receivables Trust 2021-1
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Issuer: CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-B
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Issuer: CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-D
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
Class D Notes, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 26, 2022
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-B
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Apr 26, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Issuer: Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2021-3
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2021-4
Class B Notes, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Dec 18, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Oct 28, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction(s) has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade actions are primarily driven by the buildup of credit
enhancement due to structural features including sequential pay
structures, non-declining reserve accounts and
overcollateralization.
The downgrade action for the Class D notes in ACC Auto Trust 2022-A
is primarily driven by material declines in credit enhancement
available for the affected notes as a result of weak pool
performance. Overcollateralization declined to 5.9% of the
outstanding pool balance as of the February payment date compared
to a target level of 16.0%, and cumulative net
losses-to-liquidation remain elevated at 30.3%.
Moody's lifetime cumulative net loss expectations are noted below
for the transaction pools. The loss expectations reflect updated
performance trends on the underlying pools.
ACC Auto Trust 2021-A: 19.0%
ACC Auto Trust 2022-A: 29.0%
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2021-4: 30.0%
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2022-2: 36.0%
American Credit Acceptance Receivables Trust 2023-2: 31.0%
CIG Auto Receivables Trust 2021-1: 17.0%
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-B: 22.0%
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2022-D: 23.0%
CPS Auto Receivables Trust 2023-B: 24.0%
Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2021-3: 27.0%
Credit Acceptance Auto Loan Trust 2021-4: 27.0%
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Auto Loan- and Lease-Backed ABS" published in
November 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are greater than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could lead
to an upgrade of the ratings. Losses could decline from Moody's
original expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor
defaults or greater recoveries from the value of the vehicles
securing the obligors promise of payment. The US job market and the
market for used vehicles are also primary drivers of the
transaction's performance. Other reasons for better-than-expected
performance include changes in servicing practices to maximize
collections on the loans or refinancing opportunities that result
in a prepayment of the loan.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could lead to a
downgrade of the ratings. Losses could increase from Moody's
original expectations as a result of a higher number of obligor
defaults or a deterioration in the value of the vehicles securing
the obligors promise of payment. The US job market and the market
for used vehicles are also primary drivers of the transaction's
performance. Other reasons for worse-than-expected performance
include poor servicing, error on the part of transaction parties
including further restatement of performance data, lack of
transactional governance and fraud.
AGL CLO 30: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Ratings on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
AGL CLO 30 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
AGL CLO 30 Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
AGL CLO 30 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by AGL
CLO Credit Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.27, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.69% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.49% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.1%.
Portfolio Composition (Neutral): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 44.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Positive): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for AGL CLO 30 Ltd. In
cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
AMMC CLO XII: S&P Affirms CCC+ (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class B-R, C-R, and
D-R notes from AMMC CLO XII Ltd. At the same time, S&P affirmed its
rating on the class A-R2, E-R, and F-R notes from the same
transaction. The transaction is a broadly syndicated CLO managed by
American Money Management Corp. that was refinanced on July 2,
2021.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the February 2024 trustee report.
The transaction has paid down $128.43 million to the class A-R2
notes since S&P's July 2, 2021, rating actions. Following are the
changes in the reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios since
the April 2021 trustee report, which S&P used for its previous
rating actions:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 143.32% from 130.54%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 123.82% from 118.08%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 113.98% from 111.33%.
-- The class E O/C ratio improved to 105.58% from 105.31%.
-- The class F O/C ratio declined to 102.56% from 103.08%.
While the senior O/C ratios experienced a positive movement due to
the paydowns to the senior notes, the junior O/C ratio marginally
declined potentially due to par losses.
Collateral obligations with ratings in the 'CCC' category have
decreased in dollar value but have slightly increased in
percentage, to 6.81% ($19.51 million) as of the February 2024
trustee report, from 6.45% ($25.57 million) as of the April 2021
trustee report. Over the same period, the exposure to defaulted
collateral decreased to $0.48 million from $5.25 million.
However, despite some credit deterioration, the transaction,
especially the senior tranches, has benefited from a drop in the
weighted average life due to the underlying collateral's seasoning,
with 3.42 years reported as of the February 2024 trustee report,
compared with 4.39 years reported at the time of our July 2021
rating actions.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the notes at the prior rating levels, O/C improvement, paydowns,
and collateral seasoning.
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated higher ratings for the class C-R notes; however, S&P's
rating actions reflect additional sensitivity runs that considered
the exposure to lower-quality assets and distressed prices it
noticed in the portfolio.
The cash flow results indicated a lower rating for the class E-R
and F-R notes than the rating action reflects. S&P said, "However,
we affirmed the rating on class E-R after considering the margin of
failure and its relatively stable O/C ratio, which currently has a
significant cushion over its minimum requirements. Similarly,
though the class F-R notes cash flows indicated a lower rating, we
considered its current O/C, which is passing, the degree of
financial stress, likelihood of default, and the level of available
credit enhancement, which in our opinion are in line with a 'CCC+'
risk, and thus the class fits our definition of 'CCC' risk in
accordance with our guidance criteria. Therefore, we affirmed the
rating on the class F-R notes at 'CCC+ (sf)'.
In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various interest rate
and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our analysis considered
the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis--and other qualitative factors as
applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the rated
outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement available at
the rating levels associated with these rating actions."
S&P will continue to review whether, in its view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and it will take rating actions as we
deem necessary.
AMMC CLO XII Ltd. has transitioned its liabilities to three-month
CME term SOFR as its underlying index with the credit spread
adjustment recommended by the Alternative Reference Rates
Committee. Our cash flow analysis reflects this change and assumes
that the underlying assets have also transitioned to a term SOFR as
their respective underlying index. If the trustee reports indicated
a credit spread adjustment in any asset, our cash flow analysis
considered the same.
Ratings Raised
AMMC CLO XII Ltd.
Class B-R to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)'
Class C-R to 'AA- (sf)' from 'A (sf)'
Class D-R to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
AMMC CLO XII Ltd.
Class A-R2: AAA (sf)
Class E-R: B+ (sf)
Class F-R: CCC+ (sf)
APIDOS CLO XLVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Apidos CLO XLVII Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Apidos CLO XLVII Ltd.
A-1 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-2 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Apidos CLO XLVII Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by CVC
Credit Partners, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly
speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.5% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.94%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio is 12 months less
than the WAL covenant to account for structural and reinvestment
conditions after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
APIDOS CLO XLVII: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $500,000 F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Apidos CLO XLVII Ltd (the "Issuer" or "Apidos XLVII").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$320,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$500,000 Class F Mezzanine Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2037, Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the
"Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Apidos XLVII is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 90.0% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans, cash, and eligible investments,
and up to 10.0% of the portfolio may consist of second lien loans,
unsecured loans and permitted non-loan assets. The portfolio is
approximately 85% ramped as of the closing date.
CVC Credit Partners, LLC (the "Manager") will direct the selection,
acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of the Issuer
and may engage in trading activity, including discretionary
trading, during the transaction's five year reinvestment period.
Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions, the Manager may
reinvest unscheduled principal payments and proceeds from sales of
credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in December 2021.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $500,000,000
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3075
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.527%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.90%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 46.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.1 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
December 2021.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
ARES LXIX: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Ares LXIX
CLO Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ares LXIX CLO Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Ares LXIX CLO Ltd. was upsized by approximately $100 million to
$500 million, rather than the effective date target par amount of
$400 million that was anticipated when the expected ratings were
assigned on Jan. 23, 2024.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Ares LXIX CLO Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Ares
CLO Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $500 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.4, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.0. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.0% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.31% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 69.20%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1 notes, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2 notes, between 'BB+sf' and
'A+sf' for class B notes, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C
notes, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D notes, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B notes, 'AAsf' for class C notes,
'A-sf' for class D notes, and 'BBBsf' for class E notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares LXIX CLO Ltd.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
ARES XXXIV: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its rating to the class A-R3
replacement debt from Ares XXXIV CLO Ltd./Ares XXXIV CLO LLC, a CLO
originally issued in September 2015 that is managed by Ares CLO
Management LLC. At the same time, we withdrew our rating on the
class A-R2 debt following payment in full on the March 14, 2024,
refinancing date. S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class B-R2,
C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R debt, which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture, the non-call period for the newly issued
note was set to April 17, 2025.
Replacement And Outstanding Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-R3, $640.00 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.32%
Outstanding debt
-- Class A-R2, $640.00 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.51%
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a lower rating on the class E-R and F-R notes. Given the
overall credit quality of the portfolio and the passing coverage
tests, we affirmed our rating on the class E-R notes due to the low
margin of failure within our cash flow stresses, and we affirmed
our rating on the class F-R notes as they do not meet our 'CCC'
rating definition.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Rating Assigned
Ares XXXIV CLO Ltd./Ares XXXIV CLO LLC
Class A-R3, $ 640 million: 'AAA (sf)'
Rating Withdrawn
Ares XXXIV CLO Ltd./Ares XXXIV CLO LLC
Class A-R2 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Ares XXXIV CLO Ltd./Ares XXXIV CLO LLC
Class B-R2: AA (sf)
Class C-R: A (sf)
Class D-R: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R: BB- (sf)
Class F-R: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes: NR
NR--Not rated.
AUDAX SENIOR 9: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Debts
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Audax Senior Debt CLO 9
LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed by a mix of broadly syndicated and middle
market speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term
loans. The transaction is managed by Audax Management Co. (NY)
LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool, which consists
primarily of a mix of broadly syndicated and middle market
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and lower) senior secured term
loans.
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Audax Senior Debt CLO 9 LLC
Class A-1, $348.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $24.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $36.000 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $48.000 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $36.000 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $36.000 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $78.356 million: Not rated
BAIN CAPITAL 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Bain
Capital Credit CLO 2024-1, Limited.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Bain Capital Credit
CLO 2024-1,Limited
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-2 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Bain Capital Credit CLO 2024-1, Limited (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will
be managed by Bain Capital Credit U.S. CLO Manager II, LP. Net
proceeds from the issuance of the secured and subordinated notes
will provide financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million
of primarily first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 23.86, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 25.0. Issuers rated in the 'B'
rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.4% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.62% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.65%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 42.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings. The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio
and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to
account for structural and reinvestment conditions after the
reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would
reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress
periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-1,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-2, and between
less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D-1, 'A-sf' for class D-2, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
BATTALION CLO XXV: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Battalion CLO XXV Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Battalion
CLO XXV Ltd.
A LT NRsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
F LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated A LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated B LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Battalion CLO XXV Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Brigade Capital Management, LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of
the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+/B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 22.92, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.75% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
71.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted-average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf'
and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D, between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E, and less
than 'B-sf' for class F.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'A-sf' for
class D, 'BBB+sf' for class E, and 'BB+sf' for class F.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Battalion CLO XXV
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
BAYVIEW OPPORTUNITY 2024-CAR1: Moody's Assigns '(P)B3' to F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned provisional ratings to the notes to be
issued by Bayview Opportunity Master Fund VII 2024-CAR1, LLC (BVCLN
2024-CAR1). The credit-linked note references a pool of fixed rate
auto installment contracts with prime-quality borrowers originated
and serviced by Huntington National Bank (HNB, senior unsecured
A3).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Bayview Opportunity Master Fund VII 2024-CAR1, LLC
Class A Notes, Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
Class B Notes, Assigned (P)Aa3 (sf)
Class C Notes, Assigned (P)A3 (sf)
Class D Notes, Assigned (P)Baa3 (sf)
Class E Notes, Assigned (P)Ba3 (sf)
Class F Notes, Assigned (P)B3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rated notes are floating-rate obligations secured by a cash
collateral account. Payments on the notes are linked to a tranched
credit default swap (CDS) transaction entered into with respect to
the reference pool between HNB and the issuer, with HNB as the
protection buyer. HNB pays a monthly fixed CDS premium and receives
compensation for losses incurred on the reference pool. This deal
is unique in that the source of principal payments for the notes
will be a cash collateral account held by a third party with a
rating of atleast A2 or P-1 by Moody's. The transaction also
benefits from a Letter of Credit covering five months of fixed
premium amount provided by a third party with a rating of atleast
A2 or P-1 by Moody's. As a result, the rated notes are not limited
by the long-term senior unsecured rating of HNB.
The credit risk exposure of the notes depends on the actual
realized losses incurred by the reference pool. This transaction
has a pro-rata structure, which is more beneficial to the
subordinate bondholders than the typical sequential-pay structure
for US auto loan transactions. However, the subordinate bondholders
will not receive any principal unless performance tests are
satisfied.
The ratings are based on the quality of the reference pool and its
expected performance, the strength of the capital structure, and
the experience of HNB as the servicer.
Moody's median cumulative net loss expectation for the BVCLN
2024-CAR1 reference pool is 0.50% and loss at a Aaa stress of
4.50%. Moody's based its cumulative net loss expectation on an
analysis of the credit quality of the reference pool; the
historical performance of similar collateral, including
securitization performance and managed portfolio performance; the
ability of HNB to perform the servicing functions; and current
expectations for the macroeconomic environment during the life of
the transaction.
At closing, the Class A notes, Class B notes, Class C notes, Class
D notes, Class E notes and Class F notes benefit from 5.70%, 4.20%,
2.60%, 2.00%, 1.10% and 0.60% of hard credit enhancement,
respectively. Hard credit enhancement for the notes consists of
subordination.The notes may also benefit from excess spread.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Auto Loan- and Lease-Backed ABS" published in
November 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, and
Class F notes if levels of credit enhancement are higher than
necessary to protect investors against current expectations of
portfolio losses. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the vehicles securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on the US
job market and the market for used vehicles. Other reasons for
better-than-expected performance include changes to servicing
practices that enhance collections or refinancing opportunities
that result in prepayments.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the notes if given current expectations of
portfolio losses, levels of credit enhancement are consistent with
lower ratings. Credit enhancement could decline if realized losses
reduce available subordination. Moody's expectation of pool losses
could rise as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or
deterioration in the value of the vehicles securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Portfolio losses also depend greatly on the US
job market, the market for used vehicles, and poor servicing. Other
reasons for worse-than-expected performance include error on the
part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance, and
fraud.
BBCMS MORTGAGE 2024-5C25: Fitch Gives B-(EXP) Rating on G-RR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and issued a presale
report on BBCMS Mortgage Trust 2024-5C25 commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates series 2024-5C25.
Fitch expects to rate the transaction and assign Rating Outlooks as
follows:
- $821,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $619,650,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $620,471,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $171,738,000a class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $96,395,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $43,211,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $32,132,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,404,000ab class X-D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $14,404,000b class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $13,295,000bc class E-RR 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $17,728,000bc class F-RR 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $12,188,000bc class G-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
The following class is not expected to be rated by Fitch:
- $9,972,000bc class H-RR
- $26,592,000bc class J-RR
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Horizontal Risk Retention Interest classes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificate represents the beneficial ownership interest in the
trust, primary assets of which are 33 loans secured by 38
commercial properties with an aggregate principal balance of
$886,388,000 as of the cut-off date. The loans were contributed to
the trust by Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc., 3650 Real Estate
Investment Trust 2 LLC, Citi Real Estate Funding Inc., German
American Capital Corp., UBS AG, Societe General Financial
Corporation, Bank of Montreal, Argentic Real Estate Finance 2 LLC,
Starwood Mortgage Capital LLC, KeyBank National Association, BSPRT
CMBS Finance, LLC, as loan sellers; Midland Loan Services, a
Division of PNC Bank, National Association, as master servicer,
3650 REIT Loan Servicing LLC, as special servicer; and
Computershare Trust Company, National Association, as trustee and
certificate administrator. The certificates are expected to follow
a sequential paydown structure. The transaction is expected to
close on March 28, 2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch performed cash flow analyses on 28 loans
totaling 94.8% of the pool by balance, including all of the pool's
hospitality and office loans. Fitch's cash flow sample included the
largest 20 loans in the pool, as well as loans numbers 22-27, 30
and 33. Fitch's resulting net cash flow (NCF) of $94.0million
represents a 14.8% decline from the issuer's underwritten NCF of
$110.3million.
Higher Leverage Compared to Recent Transactions: The pool has
higher leverage than U.S. private-label multi-borrower five-year
transactions rated by Fitch Ratings during 2023 and 2024 YTD. The
pool's Fitch loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 92.5% is higher than the
2023 and 2024 TYD averages of 89.7% and 86.1%, respectively. The
pool's Fitch NCF debt yield (DY) of 10.6% is equal to 2023 average,
but worse than the 2024 YTD average of 11.2%.
Investment Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Two loans totaling 8.5% of
the pool received an investment grade credit opinion on a
stand-alone basis. Kenwood Towne Centre (5.6% of pool) received a
stand-alone credit opinion of 'BBBsf*'. Tysons Corner Center (2.8%)
received a stand-alone credit opinion of 'AAsf*'. The pool's total
credit opinion percentage is lower than averages for five-year
transactions rated by Fitch during 2023 and 2024 YTD of 14.6% and
16.7%, respectively. Excluding these credit opinion loans, the
pool's Fitch LTV and DY are 90.0% and 10.9%, respectively.
High Loan Concentration: The largest 10 loans make up 59.9% of the
pool; however, this is less concentrated than recently rated Fitch
transactions. The average top 10 loan concentration for five-year
transactions rated by Fitch during 2023 and YTD 2024 are 63.3% and
65.3%, respectively. Fitch measures loan concentration risk with an
effective loan count, which accounts for both the number and size
of loans in the pool. The pool's effective loan count is 21.6.
Fitch views diversity as a key mitigant to idiosyncratic risk.
Fitch raises the overall loss for pools with effective loan counts
below 40.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the model
implied rating sensitivity to changes to the same one variable,
Fitch NCF.
Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'
10% NCF Decline: 'AAsf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'CCCsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF.
Original Rating: 'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'
10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BDS 2020-FL5: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on Class G Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. confirmed its ratings on all classes of notes issued by
BDS 2020-FL5 Ltd. as follows:
-- Class B Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at A (sf)
-- Class E Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class G Notes at B (high) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued the ratings on Classes A and AS after
the bonds were paid in full with the February 2024 remittance.
The trends on all classes are Stable except for Classes F and G,
which carry Negative trends. Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on
Classes F and G to Negative from Stable to reflect increased credit
risks associated with the remaining loans in the transaction, the
majority of which are secured by office properties. As of February
2024 reporting, five loans in the transaction, representing 68.6%
of the current trust balance, were secured by office properties.
Most of these loans are scheduled to mature in 2024 and given the
hesitancy exhibited by lenders for that property type in 2023,
Morningstar DBRS expects refinance difficulty to continue for those
borrowers over the near to medium term. The credit rating
confirmations reflect the increased credit support to the bonds as
a result of successful loan repayments, with collateral reduction
of 62.5% since issuance.
In conjunction with this press release, Morningstar DBRS has
published a Surveillance Performance Update report with in-depth
analysis and credit metrics for the transaction as well as business
plan updates on select loans. For access to this report, please
click on the link under Related Documents below or contact us at
info-DBRS@morningstar.com.
The pool's collateral initially consisted of 24 floating-rate loans
secured by 26 properties with a cut-off pool balance of $492.2
million. The trust featured a two-year reinvestment period that
expired with the February 2022 payment date. As of the February
2024 remittance, eight loans remain in the transaction with a
current trust balance of $206.0 million. Since Morningstar DBRS'
previous credit rating action in April 2023, five loans, with a
former cumulative trust loan balance of $133.4 million, have been
repaid from the transaction or repurchased by the issuer. Beyond
the office concentration noted above, there are two multifamily
properties, representing 17.0% of the current pool balance, and one
hospitality property, representing 14.5% of the current pool
balance.
The loans are primarily secured by properties in suburban markets
with four loans, representing 73.9% of the current trust balance,
in locations with Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of 4 and 5. The
remaining two loans, representing 20.1% of the pool, are secured by
properties in urban locations with Morningstar DBRS Market Ranks of
6 and 7. In comparison with the pool composition in April 2023,
loans comprising 73.9% of the pool were in suburban markets and
26.1% were in urban markets.
The collateral pool exhibits elevated leverage from issuance with a
current weighted-average (WA) appraised loan-to-value ratio (LTV)
of 63.9% and a WA stabilized LTV of 79.7%. In comparison, these
figures were 75.1% and 73.9%, respectively, at closing. As the
majority of individual property appraisals were conducted between
2019 and 2022, it is possible individual property values may have
decreased since that time, particularly for the office property
types, given the current interest rate and capitalization rate
environment. In the analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS
considered the likelihood of refinance for each of the remaining
loans, based on a stressed value estimate where merited. The
results of that analysis showed the pool's cumulative potential
exposure to loans with LTV ratios of more than 100.0% would be
contained to the unrated preferred equity bond, which has a current
balance of $45.4 million; however, the increased credit stress to
the bond, according to that analysis, supports the Negative trends
on Classes F and G.
In total, the lender had advanced $31.4 million in loan future
funding to six of the remaining individual borrowers to aid in
property stabilization efforts through December 2023. The largest
advance have been made to the borrower of the Northridge I & II
loan (Prospectus ID# 31; 19.2% of the pool balance). The loan,
which represents the largest in the pool, is secured by two
suburban office towers totaling 258,462 square feet (sf) in
Herndon, Virginia. The advanced funds were used to pay for capital
expenditure (capex) and leasing costs. According to the collateral
manager, the capex program was completed as of Q4 2022, as the
borrower shifted its focus toward leasing efforts. As of YE2023,
the property was 79.4% occupied while generating net operating
income (NOI) of $2.3 million, resulting in an NOI debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) of 0.70 times (x). Cash flow may improve in
2024 as the borrower has executed three letters of intent totaling
20,000 sf since Q2 2023, which would increase occupancy to 87.0% if
the leases are signed. The loan has a final maturity date of
January 2025 as the sponsor exercised both of its extension
options. In its analysis, Morningstar DBRS applied a current market
cap rate to the in-place NOI, which resulted in an elevated LTV
exceeding 100.0%, suggesting a replacement loan will require a
significant cash equity contribution from the sponsor.
An additional $11.4 million of loan future funding, allocated to
two individual borrowers, remains outstanding. Of this amount,
$10.3 million is allocated to the borrower of the Morris Corporate
Center I and II loan, and $1.1 million is allocated to the borrower
of the Forest City Medical Pavilion loan for further capex and
prospective leasing costs.
Six loans, representing 68.5% of the pool balance, are the
servicer's watchlist. All these loans have been flagged for
upcoming loan maturity, though select loans have also been flagged
for below-breakeven DSCRs. The largest loan on the servicer's
watchlist is One Skyline Tower (Prospectus ID# 5; 17.0% of the pool
balance), which is secured by a Class A office building totaling
520,463 sf in Falls Church, Virginia. The property is currently
100% occupied across two U.S. General Services Administration (GSA)
tenants; however, occupancy is expected to decrease to 57.0% after
the largest tenant, Social Security Administration (SSA;64.2% NRA),
provided notice it will vacate 185,291 sf of its space upon its
September 2024 lease expiration. According to the collateral
manager the other remaining tenant at the property, U.S. Department
of Justice (DoJ), may be interested in backfilling all or a portion
of the forthcoming vacant space. Reportedly, the borrower plans to
pursue this potential leasing opportunity prior to marketing the
space to any other users in the market. Additionally, the
collateral manager reported the borrower exercised its final
extension option extending loan maturity through November 2024
allowing the borrower additional time to potentially secure an
expansion lease with the DoJ or another replacement tenant. In its
analysis, Morningstar DBRS applied a current market cap rate to the
in-place net cash flow (net of the rent and operating expenses
associated with the space the SSA is giving back), which resulted
in an elevated LTV in excess of 100%, suggesting a replacement loan
will require a significant equity contribution.
The second-largest loan on the servicer's watchlist, Briarwood
Office (Prospectus ID# 34; 12.9% of the pool balance), is secured
by a four-building office property in Englewood, Colorado. As of
the February 2024 rent roll, the property was 79.7% occupied.
The loan matures in March 2024 after the lender provided the
borrower a six-month extension to allow the borrower time to divide
the property into four separate parcels to sell the properties
individually. As the property division and building sale process is
still ongoing, Morningstar DBRS expects the loan will be extended
further. As of September 2023, the loan reported a DSCR of 0.55x.
In its current analysis, Morningstar DBRS applied a cap rate
adjustment, which resulted in an LTV above 100.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BENCHMARK 2024-V6: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP) Rating on Cl. G-RR Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Benchmark 2024-V6 Mortgage Trust commercial mortgage pass-through
certificates series V6 as follows:
- $3,107,000 class A-1 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $741,850,000 class A-3 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $744,957,000a class X-A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $216,836,000a class X-B 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $130,368,000 class A-S 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $50,551,000 class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $35,917,000 class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $29,267,000a,b class X-D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,624,000a,b class X-F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,624,000b class D 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $10,643,000b class E 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $18,624,000b class F 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $11,972,000b,c class G-RR 'B-sf'; Outlook Stable;
Fitch does not expect to rate the following classes:
- $42,569,577b,c class J-RR;
- $25,834,423b,d RR Certificates.
Notes:
(a) Notional amount and interest only.
(b) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(c) Classes G-RR and J-RR certificates comprise the transaction's
eligible horizontal risk retention interest.
(d) The RR certificates comprise the transaction's eligible
vertical risk retention interest and the certificate balance is
subject to change based on the final pricing of all classes.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust, the primary assets of which are 37 fixed-rate, commercial
mortgage loans with an aggregate principal balance of
$1,090,060,000 as of the cutoff date. The mortgage loans are
secured by the borrowers' fee and leasehold interests in 62
commercial properties. The loans were contributed to the trust by
Goldman Sachs Mortgage Company, Barclays Capital Real Estate Inc.,
Citi Real Estate Funding Inc., German American Capital Corporation
and Bank of Montreal. The master servicer is expected to be Midland
Loan Services, and the special servicer is expected to be LNR
Partners, LLC. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. will act as
trustee and certificate administrator. These certificates are
expected to follow a sequential paydown structure.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Higher Leverage than Recent Transactions: The pool has higher
leverage than U.S. private-label multiborrower transactions rated
by Fitch during 2023, but lower leverage than Fitch-rated
transactions in 2022. The pool's Fitch loan-to value ratio (LTV) of
94.5% is higher than the 2023 average of 88.3%, but still lower
than the 2022 average of 99.3%. The pool's Fitch net cash flow
(NCF) debt yield (DY) of 10.7% is lower than the 2023 average of
10.9% but higher than the 2022 average of 9.9%.
Lower Proportion of Investment-Grade Credit Opinion Loans: Two
loans representing 9.9% of the pool balance received an
investment-grade credit opinion. Kenwood Towne Centre (6.0% of
pool) received a standalone credit opinion of 'BBBsf*'. Tyson's
Corner Center (3.9%) received a standalone credit opinion of
'AAsf*'. The pool's total credit opinion percentage of 9.9% is well
below the 2023 and 2022 averages of 17.8% and 14.4%, respectively.
Lower Loan Concentration: The pool is less concentrated than
recently rated Fitch transactions. The largest 10 loans make up
55.0% of the pool, which is lower than the 2023 average of 63.7%
and slightly lower than the 2022 average of 55.2%. Fitch measures
loan concentration risk with an effective loan count, which
accounts for both the number and size of loans in the pool. The
pool's effective loan count is 27.3. Fitch views diversity as a key
mitigant to idiosyncratic risk. Fitch raises the overall loss for
pools with effective loan counts below 40.
Shorter-Duration Loans: Loans with five-year terms constitute 100%
of the pool, whereas Fitch-rated multiborrower transactions have
historically included mostly loans with 10-year terms. Fitch's
historical loan performance analysis shows that five-year loans
have a modestly lower probability of default than 10-year loans,
all else equal. This is mainly attributed to the shorter window of
exposure to potential adverse economic conditions. Fitch considered
its loan performance regression in its analysis of the pool.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf'
/ 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' / 'CCC+sf'
/ 'CCCsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf'
/ 'B-sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf'
/'B+sf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis, and the findings
did not have an impact on the analysis. A copy of the ABS Due
Diligence Form-15E received by Fitch in connection with this
transaction may be obtained through the link contained on the
bottom of this report.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BENEFIT STREET IV: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R4 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class X-R4, A-R4,
B-R4, C-R4, D-1A-R4, D-1B-R4, D-2-R4, and E-R4 replacement debt
from Benefit Street Partners CLO IV Ltd./Benefit Street Partners
CLO IV LLC, a CLO managed by Benefit Street Partners LLC. At the
same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class X,
A-1-RRR, A-2A-RRR, A-2B-RRR, B-RRR, C-RRR, and D-RR debt following
payment in full. This is the fourth refinancing of the transaction,
which originally closed in May 2014.
The replacement debt were issued via a supplemental indenture,
which outlined the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class X-R4, A-R4, B-R4, C-R4, D-1A-R4, D-1B-R4,
D-2-R4, and E-R4 debt were issued at generally higher interest
rates than the debt issued in the third refinancing.
-- The replacement class X-R4, A-R4, B-R4, C-R4, D-1A-R4, D-2-R4,
and E-R4 debt were issued with floating spreads, and the class
D-1B-R4 debt was issued with a fixed coupon.
-- The noncall period was extended to April 2025, while the
reinvestment period was extended to April 2026 and the stated
maturity was extended to April 2034.
-- In connection with the refinancing, the issuer modified certain
concentration limitations and some of the provisions related to
workout assets.
-- The class X-R4 debt was issued in connection with this
refinancing. This class is expected to be paid down using interest
proceeds during the first seven payment dates, beginning with the
July 2024 payment date.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class X-R4, $2.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.00%
-- Class A-R4, $320.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.35%
-- Class B-R4, $60.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.90%
-- Class C-R4, $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.40%
-- Class D-1A-R4, $17.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
3.70%
-- Class D-1B-R4, $10.00 million: 7.64%
-- Class D-2-R4, $7.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 5.15%
-- Class E-R4, $17.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 7.15%
Original debt
-- Class X, $5.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 0.60%
-- Class A-1-RRR, $310.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.18%
-- Class A-2A-RRR, $60.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.55%
-- Class A-2B-RRR, $10.00 million: 2.23%
-- Class B-RRR, $30.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 2.15%
-- Class C-RRR, $30.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 3.60%
-- Class D-RR, $17.50 million: Three-month LIBOR + 6.83%
-- Subordinated notes, $66.48 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Benefit Street Partners CLO IV Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO IV LLC
Class X-R4, $2.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-R4, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R4, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R4 (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1A-R4 (deferrable), $17.50 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-1B-R4 (deferrable), $10.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R4 (deferrable), $7.50 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R4 (deferrable), $17.50 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Benefit Street Partners CLO IV Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO IV LLC
Class A-1-RRR, $310.00 million: to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2A-RRR, $60.00 million: to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class A-2B-RRR, $10.00 million: to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-RRR, $30.00 million: to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class C-RRR, $30.00 million: to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class D-RR, $17.50 million: to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Outstanding Debt
Benefit Street Partners CLO IV Ltd./
Benefit Street Partners CLO IV LLC
Subordinated notes, $66.48 million: NR
NR--Not rated.
BLP COMMERCIAL 2024-IND2: DBRS Finalizes BB(low) on HRR Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized provisional credit ratings on the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-IND2 (the Certificates) issued by BLP Commercial Mortgage
Trust 2024-IND2 (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class HRR at BB (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The BLP Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-IND2 transaction is
collateralized by the borrower's fee-simple interests in a
portfolio of 50 cross-collateralized industrial properties totaling
7.6 million sf. The portfolio is spread across 9 states, including
Texas, California, Illinois and 12 markets, including Dallas
Fort-Worth, TX; Inland Empire, CA; and Chicago. The properties
themselves are a mix of bulk distribution, light industrial,
shallow bay, industrial service facility (truck terminal) and cold
storage properties. Overall, the subject markets have solid
fundamentals with positive annual growth in rents while absorbing
new supply. Morningstar DBRS continues to take a favorable view on
the long-term growth and stability of the warehouse and logistics
sector.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Certificates addresses the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Amounts and
Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, Yield Maintenance Premium.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM2: DBRS Finalizes B(high) on B2 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-NQM2 (the Notes)
issued by BRAVO Residential Funding Trust 2024-NQM2 (the Trust) as
follows:
-- $252.4 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $26.5 million Class A-2 at AA (sf)
-- $29.7 million Class A-3 at A (high) (sf)
-- $18.7 million Class M-1 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $11.9 million Class B-1 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $10.1 million Class B-2 at B (high) (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A-1 Notes reflects 32.35%
of credit enhancement provided by subordinated Notes. The AA (sf),
A (high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BB (high) (sf), and B (high) (sf)
credit ratings reflect 25.25%, 17.30%, 12.30%, 9.10%, and 6.40% of
credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed- and
adjustable-rate prime and non-prime first-lien residential
mortgages funded by the issuance of the Mortgage-Backed Notes. The
Notes are backed by 906 loans with a total principal balance of
approximately $373,133,336 as of the Cut-Off Date (January 31,
2024).
The pool is, on average, two months seasoned with loan ages ranging
from one to eight months. The primary originator of the mortgages
is OCMBC, Inc. doing business as (dba) LoanStream Mortgage (OCMBC;
73.2%) and Citadel Servicing Corporation (CSC) dba Acra Lending
(Acra; 22.5%). The remaining originators each comprise less than
10% of the mortgage loans. ServiceMac, LLC will subservice all but
four of the Citadel-serviced loans (23.9%) on behalf of CSC, while
Nationstar Mortgage LLC dba Rushmore Servicing will service the
other loans (76.1%). In August 2023, Mr. Cooper Group Inc. (the
parent of Nationstar Mortgage LLC dba Mr. Cooper) acquired
investment management firm Roosevelt Management Company, LLC and
its affiliated subsidiaries including Rushmore Loan Management
Services (i.e., Rushmore is now part of Mr. Cooper). As further
detailed in this report, Morningstar DBRS did not perform
individual originator reviews for OCMBC, or the originators
comprising less than 10% for the purpose of evaluating the mortgage
pool.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC will act as Master Servicer. Citibank, N.A.
(rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by Morningstar DBRS), will act
as Indenture Trustee, Paying Agent, and Owner Trustee.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (rated BBB with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) will act as Custodian.
As of the Cut-Off Date, 100% of the loans in the pool are
contractually current according to the Mortgage Bankers Association
(MBA) delinquency calculation method.
In accordance with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
Qualified Mortgage (QM) rules, 60.8% of the loans by balance are
designated as non-QM. Approximately 38.9% of the loans in the pool
made to investors for business purposes are exempt from the CFPB
Ability-to-Repay (ATR) and QM rules.
There will be no advancing of delinquent principal or interest on
any mortgage loan by the servicers or any other party to the
transaction; however, each servicer is obligated to make advances
in respect of taxes and insurance, the cost of preservation,
restoration, and protection of mortgaged properties and any
enforcement or judicial proceedings, including foreclosures and
reasonable costs and expenses incurred in the course of servicing
and disposing of properties.
The Sponsor or a majority-owned affiliate of the Sponsor will
acquire and intends to retain an eligible horizontal residual
interest consisting of a portion of the Class B-3 Notes and 100% of
the Class XS Notes, collectively representing at least 5.0% of the
aggregate fair value of the Notes (other than the Class SA, and
Class R Notes) to satisfy the credit risk-retention requirements
under Section 15G of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the
regulations promulgated thereunder.
The holder of the Trust Certificates may, at its option, on or
after the earlier of (1) the payment date in February 2027 or (2)
the date on which the balance of mortgage loans and real estate
owned (REO) properties falls to or below 30% of the loan balance as
of the Cut-Off Date (Optional Redemption Date), redeem the Notes at
the optional termination price described in the transaction
documents.
The Depositor, at its option, may purchase any mortgage loan that
is 90 days or more delinquent under the MBA method at the
repurchase price (Optional Purchase) described in the transaction
documents. The total balance of such loans purchased by the
Depositor will not exceed 10% of the Cut-Off Date balance.
The transaction's cash flow structure is generally similar to that
of other non-QM securitizations. The transaction employs a
sequential-pay cash flow structure with a pro rata principal
distribution among the senior tranches subject to certain
performance triggers related to cumulative losses or delinquencies
exceeding a specified threshold (Credit Event). However, in
contrast to the prior Morningstar DBRS-rated transaction from this
shelf, in the case of a Credit Event, principal proceeds will be
allocated to cover interest shortfalls on the Class A-1 and then in
reduction of the Class A-1 note balance, before a similar
allocation of funds to the Class A-2 (IPIP). Prior issuance would
typically allocate principal (after a Credit Event) to cover
interest shortfalls on the Class A-1 and Class A-2 Notes (IIPP)
before being applied sequentially to amortize the balances of the
senior and subordinated notes. In the current transaction, and the
prior transaction, for the Class A-3 Notes (only after a Credit
Event) and for the mezzanine and subordinate classes of notes (both
before and after a Credit Event), principal proceeds will be
available to cover interest shortfalls only after the more senior
notes have been paid off in full. Also, the excess spread can be
used to cover realized losses first before being allocated to
unpaid Cap Carryover Amounts due to Class A-1 down to Class A-3.
Of note, the Class A-1, A-2, and A-3 Notes coupon rates step up by
100 basis points on and after the payment date in March 2028.
Interest and principal otherwise payable to the Class B-3 Notes as
accrued and unpaid interest may be used to pay the Class A-1, A-2,
and A-3 Notes Cap Carryover Amounts after the Class A coupons step
up.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Current Interest, Interest Carryforward Amount, and the related
Note Amount.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, in this transaction, Morningstar DBRS'
credit ratings do not address the payment of any Cap Carryover
Amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Class A-1, Class A-2, and
Class A-3 Notes also address the credit risk associated with the
increased rate of interest applicable to the Class A-1, Class A-2,
and Class A-3 Notes if the Class A-1, Class A-2, and Class A-3
Notes remain outstanding on the step-up date (March 2028) in
accordance with the applicable transaction document(s).
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
BRAVO RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM3: Fitch Gives B(EXP) Rating on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings to BRAVO Residential
Funding Trust 2024-NQM3 (BRAVO 2024-NQM3).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
BRAVO 2024-NQM3
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
SA LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
AIOS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The BRAVO 2024-NQM3 notes are supported by 686 loans with a total
balance of approximately $325.63 million as of the cutoff date.
Approximately 36.0% of the loans in the pool were originated by
Citadel (dba Acra Lending) [Citadel], 12.2% by Deephaven Mortgage
LLC (Deephaven), 9.8% by ClearEdge Lending LLC (ClearEdge), 5.2% by
All Credit Considered Mortgage, Inc. (ACC), and the remaining loans
by multiple originators, each of which originated less than 5% of
the mortgage loans. Approximately 40.7% of the loans will be
serviced by Selene Finance LP (Selene), 36.0% by Citadel Servicing
Corporation (Citadel), primarily subserviced by ServiceMac, and
23.3% by Select Portfolio Servicing Inc (SPS).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch sees home price values of
this pool as 9.5% above a long-term sustainable level, versus 11.4%
on a national level, as of 3Q23, up 1.7% since 2Q23. Housing
affordability is at its worst in decades driven by high interest
rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased 5.5% YoY
nationally, as of December 2023, despite modest regional declines
but are still supported by limited inventory.
Non-Qualified Mortgage Credit Quality (Mixed): The collateral
consists of 686 loans totaling around $325.63 million and seasoned
at around seven months in aggregate, calculated by Fitch as the
difference between the origination date and the cutoff date. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, a 731 model FICO and a 40%
debt to income (DTI) ratio, including mapping for debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) loans, and moderate leverage of 76% for a
sustainable loan to value (sLTV) ratio.
Of the pool, 60.8% of loans are treated as owner-occupied, while
39.2% are treated as an investor property or second home, which
include loans to foreign nationals or loans where the residency
status was not confirmed. Additionally, 2.8% of the loans were
originated through a retail channel. Of the loans, 64.5% are
non-qualified mortgages (non-QMs), 0.2% are high-priced qualified
mortgages (HPQM), while the Ability to Repay/Qualified Mortgage
Rule (ATR) is not applicable for the remaining portion.
Loan Documentation (Negative): Approximately 89.1% of the pool
loans were underwritten to less than full documentation, as
determined by Fitch, and 48.5% were underwritten to a 12-month or
24-month bank statement program for verifying income, which is not
consistent with Appendix Q standards and Fitch's view of a full
documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protections Bureau's (CFPB)
ATR, which reduces the risk of borrower default arising from lack
of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational quality
risks due to the rigors of the ATR mandates regarding underwriting
and documentation of a borrower's ability to repay.
Additionally, 21.4% of the loans are a DSCR product, while the
remainder comprise a mix of asset depletion, profit and loss (P&L),
12- or 24-month tax returns, award letter and written verification
of employment (WVOE) products. Separately, 0.01% (6 loans) were
originated to foreign nationals or the borrower residency status of
the loans could not be confirmed.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure
distributes principal pro rata among the senior notes, while
shutting out the subordinate bonds from principal until all senior
classes are reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or
delinquency trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will
be distributed sequentially to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 notes until
they are reduced to zero.
The structure has a step-up coupon for the senior classes (A-1, A-2
and A-3). After four years, the senior classes pay the lesser of a
100bps increase to the fixed coupon but are limited by the net
weighted average coupon (WAC) rate. Fitch expects the senior
classes to be capped by the net WAC in its analysis. On or after
April 2028, the unrated class B-3 interest allocation will redirect
toward the senior cap carryover amount for as long as there is an
unpaid cap carryover amount. This increases the principal and
interest (P&I) allocation for the senior classes as long as class
B-3 is not written down and helps ensure payment of the 100bps step
up.
As additional analysis to its rating stresses, Fitch factored a WAC
deterioration that varied by rating stress. The WAC cut was derived
by assuming a 2.5% cut (based on the most common historical
modification rate) on 40% (the historical Alt-A modification
percentage) of the performing loans. Although the WAC reduction
stress is based on historical modification rates, Fitch did not
include the WAC reduction stress in its testing of the delinquency
trigger.
Fitch viewed the WAC deterioration as more of a pre-emptive cut,
given the ongoing macroeconomic and regulatory environment. A
portion of borrowers will likely be impaired but, ultimately, will
not default due to modifications and reduced P&I. Furthermore, this
approach had the largest impact on the back-loaded benchmark
scenario.
No P&I Advancing (Mixed): The servicers will not be advancing
delinquent monthly payments of P&I. As P&I advances made on behalf
of loans that become delinquent and eventually liquidate reduce
liquidation proceeds to the trust, the loan-level loss severities
(LS) are less for this transaction than for those where the
servicer is obligated to advance P&I.
The downside to this is the additional stress on the structure, as
liquidity is limited in the event of large and extended
delinquencies. The structure has enough internal liquidity through
the use of principal to pay interest, excess spread and credit
enhancement (CE) to pay timely interest to senior notes during
stressed delinquency and cash flow periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) at
the national level. The analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and
30.0% in addition to the model projected 41.1% at 'AAA'. The
analysis indicates that there is some potential for rating
migration with higher MVDs for all rated classes, compared with the
model projection. Specifically, a 10% additional decline in home
prices would lower all rated classes by one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class, excluding those being
assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third-party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit, compliance, and
property valuation review. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustments to
its analysis:
- A 5% PD credit was applied at the loan level for all loans graded
either 'A' or 'B';
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 48bps as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
BRYANT PARK 2024-22: S&P Assigns Prelim BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Bryant Park
Funding 2024-22 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2024-22 LLC's floating-
and fixed rate-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Marathon Asset Management L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of March 14,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool, which consists
primarily of broadly syndicated speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and
lower) senior secured term loans.
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Bryant Park Funding 2024-22 Ltd./Bryant Park Funding 2024-22 LLC
Class A-1, $252.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $4.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $20.00 million: A+ (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $4.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14.00 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $37.25 million: Not rated
BX COMMERCIAL 2024-XL5: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Cl. E Certs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to six classes of
CMBS securities, issued by BX Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-XL5,
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-XL5:
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa1 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. E, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. HRR, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are collateralized by a single loan backed by a
first lien mortgage on the borrower's fee simple interests in in a
portfolio of 186 primarily industrial properties encompassing
approximately 16,586,173 SF. Moody's ratings are based on the
credit quality of the loan and the strength of the securitization
structure.
The collateral portfolio consists of 186 primarily industrial
properties located across eleven states and 20 distinct markets.
The metropolitan statistical area concentration is in Seattle
(14.8% of net rentable area (the "NRA") and 16.1% of underwritten
NOI) and the largest state concentration is in California (14.9% of
NRA and 18.6% of underwritten NOI). The portfolio's property-level
Herfindahl score is 65.7 based on allocated loan amount (the
"ALA").
The collateral properties contain a total of 16,586,173 SF of NRA
across the following six industrial and commercial subtypes:
Warehouse (40.4% of NRA, 36.9% of underwritten NOI); Light
Industrial (32.0%, 33.6%); Bulk Warehouse (17.5%, 17.4%);
Manufacturing (8.6%, 10.7%); Office/Retail (1.2%, 1.1%); and
Industrial (0.4%, 0.2%). Property size ranges between 3,600 SF and
846,155 SF, and averages approximately 89,173 SF. Maximum clear
heights for properties range between 11 feet and 36 feet, and
average approximately 25 feet. Construction dates for properties in
the portfolio range between 1964 and 2007, with a weighted average
year built of 1992.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitizations methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also consider a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessment of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessment of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this transaction,
Moody's make various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's adjust the
MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects capitalization (cap)
rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap rates and market cap
rates. Moody's also use an adjusted loan balance that reflects each
loan's amortization profile.
The Moody's first mortgage actual DSCR is 0.98X and Moody's first
mortgage actual stressed DSCR is 0.74X. Moody's DSCR is based on
Moody's stabilized net cash flow.
The loan first mortgage balance of $2,350,000,000 represents a
Moody's LTV ratio of 113.3% based on Moody's value. Adjusted
Moody's LTV ratio for the first mortgage balance is 101.5%,
compared with 101.2% in place at Moody's provisional ratings, based
on Moody's Value using a cap rate adjusted for the current interest
rate environment.
Moody's also grades properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and considers those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The portfolio's
property quality grade is 0.75.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: proximity to global
gateway markets, infill locations, strong occupancy with rent
growth, geographic diversity, tenant granularity, multiple property
pooling and experienced sponsorship.
Notable concerns of the transaction include: high Moody's LTV,
rollover risk, property age, floating-rate interest-only loan
profile, non-sequential prepayment provision, and credit negative
legal features.
Moody's rating approach considers sequential pay in connection with
a collateral release as a credit neutral benchmark. Although the
loans' release premium mitigates the risk of a ratings downgrade
due to adverse selection, the pro rata payment structure limits
ratings upgrade potential as mezzanine classes are prevented from
building enhancement. The benefit received from pooling through
cross-collateralization is also reduced.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed
Securitizations Methodology" published in July 2022.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds
include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
CARLYLE US 2018-2: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class D Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R and
A-2-R replacement debt from Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 Ltd./Carlyle US
CLO 2018-2 LLC, a CLO originally issued in 2018 that is managed by
Carlyle CLO Management LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its
ratings on the original class A-1 and A-2 debt following payment in
full on the March, 20, 2024, refinancing date. S&P also affirmed
its ratings on the class B, C, and D debt, which were not
refinanced.
The replacement debt was issued via a supplemental indenture, which
outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- A non-call period was implemented for the class A-1-R and A-2-R
debt, ending Sept. 20, 2024.
-- No additional assets were purchased on the March 20, 2024,
refinancing date.
-- There was no additional effective date or ramp-up period, and
the first payment date following the refinancing is April 15, 2024
-- The required minimum overcollateralization and interest
coverage ratios remain unchanged.
-- No additional subordinated notes were issued on the refinancing
date.
S&P said, "On a standalone basis, our cash flow analysis indicated
a lower rating on the class D debt (which was not refinanced).
However, we affirmed our 'BB- (sf)' rating on the class D debt
after considering the relatively stable overcollateralization ratio
since our last rating action on the transaction, the portfolio's
manageable exposure to 'CCC'/'D' rated collateral, and the fact
that the transaction is now in its amortization phase. Based on the
latter, we expect the credit support available to all rated classes
to increase as principal is collected and the senior debt are paid
down."
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class A-1-R, $359.76 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.15%
-- Class A-2-R, $61.60 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.80%
Original debt
-- Class A-1, $359.76 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.35161%
-- Class A-2, $61.60 million: Three-month term SOFR + 1.86161%
-- Class B, $55.40 million: Three-month term SOFR + 2.31161%
-- Class C, $33.00 million: Three-month term SOFR + 3.16161%
-- Class D, $27.00 million: Three-month term SOFR + 5.51161%
-- Subordinated notes, $59.55 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis to estimate future performance, based on the portfolio and
transaction data in the trustee report. In line with our criteria,
our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking assumptions on the
expected timing and pattern of defaults and the recoveries upon
default under various interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios.
Our analysis also considered the transaction's ability to pay
timely interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated
tranches. The results of the cash flow analysis (and other
qualitative factors, as applicable) demonstrated, in our view, that
the outstanding rated classes all have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the rating
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support it, and we will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 Ltd./Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 LLC
Class A-1-R, $359.76 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $61.60 million: AA (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 Ltd./Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 LLC
Class A-1 to NR from AAA (sf)
Class A-2 to NR from AA (sf)
Ratings Affirmed
Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 Ltd./Carlyle US CLO 2018-2 LLC
Class B, $55.40 million: A (sf)
Class C, $33.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D, $27.00 million: BB- (sf)
NR--Not rated.
CARLYLE US 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Carlyle US CLO 2024-1, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Carlyle US CLO
2024-1, Ltd
A LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBB-sf New Rating
E LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Carlyle US CLO 2024-1, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Carlyle CLO Management L.L.C. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $400 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 24.87, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 27. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
97.56% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.65% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.05%.
Portfolio Composition (Neutral): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 47.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Positive): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A, between 'BB+sf'
and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C,
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D; and between less
than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A notes; and as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D; and 'BBBsf' for class E
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
CARVANA AUTO 2024-N1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc finalized its provisional ratings to the classes of notes
issued by Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2024-N1 (CRVNA 2024-N1 or
the Issuer) as follows:
-- $41,100,000 Class A-1 Notes at R-1 (high) (sf)
-- $124,000,000 Class A-2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $68,270,000 Class A-3 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $77,130,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $46,010,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $32,450,000 Class D Notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $55,570,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE/DESCRIPTION
The ratings are based on Morningstar DBRS's review of the following
analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, proposed ratings, and form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization,
subordination, a fully funded reserve fund, and excess spread.
Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the Morningstar
DBRS-projected cumulative net loss (CNL) assumption under various
stress scenarios.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors according to the terms in which
they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the
payment of timely interest on a monthly basis and principal by the
legal final maturity date.
(3) The transaction parties' capabilities with regard to
originations, underwriting, and servicing.
-- Morningstar DBRS performed an operational review of Carvana,
LLC (Carvana) and Bridgecrest Credit Company, LLC and considers the
entities to be an acceptable originator and servicer, respectively,
of auto loans.
(4) The operational history of Carvana and the strength of the
overall company and its management team.
-- Company management has considerable experience in the consumer
lending business.
-- Carvana has a technology-driven platform that focuses on
providing the customer with high-level experience, selection, and
value. Its website and smartphone app provide the consumer with
vehicle search and discovery (currently showing more than 34,000
vehicles online); the ability to trade or sell vehicles almost
instantaneously; and real-time, personalized financing. Carvana has
developed underwriting policies and procedures for use across the
lending platform that leverages technology where appropriate to
validate customer identity, income, employment, residency,
creditworthiness, and proper insurance coverage.
-- Carvana has developed multiple proprietary risk models to
support various aspects of its vertically integrated automotive
lending business. All proprietary risk models used in Carvana's
lending business are regularly monitored and tested. The risk
models are updated from time to time to adjust for new performance
data, changes in customer and economic trends, and additional
sources of third-party data.
(5) The credit quality of the collateral, which includes
Carvana-originated loans with Deal Scores of 49 or lower.
-- As of the February 11, 2024 Cut-off Date, the collateral pool
for the transaction is primarily composed of receivables due from
nonprime obligors with a weighted-average (WA) FICO score of 578,
WA annual percentage rate of 21.68%, and WA loan-to-value ratio of
101.6%. Approximately 59.69%, 28.16%, and 12.14% of the pool
include loans with Carvana Deal Scores greater than or equal to 30,
between 10 and 29, and between 0 and 9, respectively. Additionally,
1.68% is composed of obligors with FICO scores greater than 751,
35.83% consists of FICO scores between 601 and 750, and 62.49% is
from obligors with FICO scores less than or equal to 600 or with no
FICO score.
-- Morningstar DBRS analyzed the performance of Carvana's auto
loan and retail installment contract originations and static pool
vintage loss data broken down by Deal Score to determine a
projected CNL expectation for the CRVNA 2024-N1 pool.
(6) The Morningstar DBRS CNL assumption is 14.30% based on the
cut-off date pool composition.
-- The transaction assumptions consider Morningstar DBRS's
baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies,
available in its commentary "Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios for
Rated Sovereigns: December 2023 Update," published on December 19,
2023. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace Morningstar
DBRS's moderate and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic
scenarios, which were first published in April 2020.
(7) Carvana's financial condition as reported in its annual report
on Form 10-K filed as of February 23, 2023.
(8) The legal structure and expected presence of legal opinions,
which address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the
non-consolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with Carvana, that
the trust has a valid first-priority security interest in the
assets, and consistency with the Morningstar DBRS "Legal Criteria
for U.S. Structured Finance."
The ratings on the Class A-1, Class A-2 and Class A-3 Notes reflect
48.75% of initial hard credit enhancement provided by the
subordinated notes in the pool (47.50%) and the reserve account
(1.25%). The ratings on the Class B, C, D, and E Notes reflect
31.40%, 21.05%, 13.75%, and 1.25% of initial hard credit
enhancement, respectively. Additional credit support may be
provided from excess spread available in the structure.
DBRS Morningstar's credit rating on the securities referenced
herein addresses the credit risk associated with the identified
financial obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction
documents. The associated financial obligations for each of the
rated notes are the related Accrued Note Interest and the related
Note Balance.
DBRS Morningstar's credit rating does not address non-payment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations that are not
financial obligations.
DBRS Morningstar's long-term credit ratings provide opinions on
risk of default. DBRS Morningstar considers risk of default to be
the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial
obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term
obligation has been issued. The DBRS Morningstar short-term debt
rating scale provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will
not meet its short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CARVANA AUTO 2024-P1: S&P Assigns BB+ (sf) Rating on Cl. N Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Carvana Auto Receivables
Trust 2024-P1's asset-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS securitization backed by prime auto
loan receivables.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of 14.69%, 11.91%, 9.94%, 6.30%, and 7.71%
credit support (hard credit enhancement and haircut to excess
spread) for the class A (classes A-1, A-2, A-3, and A-4,
collectively), B, C, D, and N notes, respectively, based on final
post-pricing stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit support
levels provide over 5.00x, 4.50x, 3.67x, 2.33x, and 1.73x coverage
of our expected cumulative net loss of 2.30% for the class A, B, C,
D, and N notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(2.00x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'AAA
(sf)', 'AA+ (sf)', 'AA- (sf)', 'BBB+ (sf)', and 'BB+ (sf)' ratings
on the class A, B, C, D, and N notes, respectively, are within our
credit stability limits.
-- The timely interest and principal payments by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which we believe are appropriate for the assigned
ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' prime automobile
loans, our view of the credit risk of the collateral, and our
updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of the auto
finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A., which do
not constrain the ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Bridgecrest Credit Co. LLC
as servicer, as well as the backup servicing agreement with Vervent
Inc.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with our sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
Carvana Auto Receivables Trust 2024-P1
Class A-1, $43.97 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $124.96 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $124.96 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-4, $72.78 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $13.79 million: AA+ (sf)
Class C, $6.90 million: AA- (sf)
Class D, $6.70 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class N, $11.00 million: BB+ (sf)
CHASE HOME 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes B(low) Rating on Class B-5 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional ratings on the
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-2 (the
Certificates) issued by Chase Home Lending Mortgage Trust 2024-2
(CHASE 2024-2):
-- $641.7 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $641.7 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $641.7 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $481.3 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $481.3 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $481.3 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $160.4 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $160.4 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $160.4 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $385.0 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $385.0 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $385.0 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $256.7 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $267.7 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $267.7 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $96.3 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $96.3 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $96.3 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $76.6 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $76.6 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $76.6 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $718.3 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $14.3 million Class B-1 at AA (low) (sf)
-- $14.3 million Class B-1-A at AA (low) (sf)
-- $14.3 million Class B-1-X at AA (low) (sf)
-- $9.1 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $9.1 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $9.1 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $6.0 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.6 million Class B-4 at BB (low)(sf)
-- $1.9 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-X-1,
B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates. The class
balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, Class A-3, Class A-3-X, Class A-4, Class A-4-A, Class
A-4-X, Class A-5, Class A-6, Class A-7, Class A-7-A, Class A-7-X,
Class A-8, Class A-9, Class B-1 and Class B-2 Certificates. These
classes can be exchanged for combinations of depositable
certificates as specified in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, and A-8-A are super senior certificates. These classes benefit
from additional protection from the senior support certificates
(Class A-9 and Class A-9-A certificates) with respect to loss
allocation.
The AAA (sf) ratings on the Certificates reflect 4.85% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA (low)
(sf), A (low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), and B (low) (sf)
ratings reflect 2.95%, 1.75%, 0.95%, 0.60%, and 0.35% of credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien,
fixed-rate, prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 723 loans with a
total principal balance of $754,962,965 as of the Cut-Off Date
(February 1, 2024).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of primarily 30 years and a
weighted-average loan age of six months. All of the loans are
traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage loans. In addition,
all of the loans in the pool were originated in accordance with the
new general Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule.
J.P. Morgan Chase Bank N.A (JPMCB) is the Originator and Servicer
of 100.0% of the pool.
For this transaction, generally, the servicing fee payable for
mortgage loans is composed of three separate components: the base
servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional
servicing fee. These fees vary based on the delinquency status of
the related loan and will be paid from interest collections before
distribution to the securities.
U.S. Bank Trust Company, National Association (rated AA (high) with
a Negative trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Securities
Administrator. U.S. Bank Trust National Association will act as and
Delaware Trustee. JPMCB will act as Custodian. Pentalpha
Surveillance LLC will serve as the Representations and Warranties
Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Certificates are the
related Interest Distribution Amounts, the related Interest
Shortfalls, and the related Class Principal Amounts (for non-IO
Certificates).
Morningstar DBRS's long-term credit ratings provide opinions on
risk of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be
the risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial
obligations in accordance with the terms under which a long-term
obligation has been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt
rating scale provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will
not meet its short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
CITIGROUP 2015-101A: S&P Lowers Class G Certs Rating to 'B- (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on six classes of commercial
mortgage pass-through certificates from Citigroup Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2015-101A, a U.S. CMBS transaction. At the same
time, S&P affirmed its ratings on three other classes from the
transaction.
This U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction is backed
by a 20-year, fixed rate, interest-only (IO) mortgage loan secured
by the borrower's leasehold interest in a 23-story, 436,204-sq.-ft.
class A office building located at 101 Avenue of the Americas in
the Hudson Square office submarket of lower Manhattan.
Rating Actions
The downgrades on classes C, D, E, F, and G reflect:
-- S&P's revised expected-case valuation, which is 15.1% lower
than the valuation we derived in its last review in August 2020.
Although the office collateral is 92.7% occupied, S&P used higher
vacancy and tenant improvement costs to account for tenant
concentration risk and weakened office submarket fundamentals
reinforced by companies continuing to embrace remote and hybrid
work arrangements.
-- S&P's belief that, despite reporting between a 92.7% and 100.0%
occupancy rate since 2015, the property's vacancy rate may increase
in line with the current office submarket metrics. According to the
Jan. 31, 2024, rent roll, five tenants comprising 24.8% of the net
rentable area (NRA) have leases that expire through 2025. The
borrower indicated that approximately 12.7% of the building's NRA
is marketed for sublease. CoStar projects vacancy rates for four-
and five-star office properties in the subject building's submarket
to remain elevated over the next few years.
-- The affirmations on classes A and B reflect the low debt per
sq. ft. (about $257 per sq. ft. through class B), among other
factors.
S&P lowered its rating on the class X-B IO certificates and
affirmed its rating on the class X-A IO certificates based on its
criteria for rating IO securities, in which the ratings on the IO
securities would not be higher than that of the lowest-rated
reference class. Class X-A's notional amount references the balance
of class A. Class X-B's notional amount references the balances of
classes B and C.
S&P said, "In our Aug. 6, 2020, review, the property was 99.7%
occupied. However, we assumed a 10.0% vacancy rate (on par with the
submarket vacancy rate at that time) to account for tenant
concentration and high rollover risks during the loan term, an
$83.27-per-sq.-ft. gross rent, as calculated by S&P Global Ratings,
and a 52.2% operating expense ratio to derive an S&P Global
Ratings' long-term sustainable net cash flow (NCF) of $13.8
million. Using an S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate of 6.50%
and adding to value approximately $19.0 million (mainly for the
present value of the difference between our assumed ground rent
expenses 10 years beyond the loan term and the actual in place
ground rent expenses), we arrived at an S&P Global Ratings
expected-case value of $231.4 million, or $530 per sq. ft.
"Since our last review, the property's reported NCF dipped in 2021
and 2022 and rebounded slightly in 2023 to $19.5 million. The
reported occupancy fell to 92.7%, according to the Jan. 31, 2024,
rent roll, which reflects co-working tenant RGN-New York downsizing
to 3.5% of the NRA at the property in October 2023 from 7.0% and
former tenant Topology Inc. (3.5% of NRA) vacating the premises
upon its lease expiration in September 2022. In addition, five
tenants comprising 24.8% of the NRA have leases that expire through
2025. The borrower indicated that approximately 13.2% of the
building's NRA is marketed for sublease. CoStar noted that average
vacancy rate for four- and five-star office properties in the
subject building's submarket is 15.8% as of year-to-date March
2024.
"As a result, to account for tenant concentration and high rollover
during the loan term, we assumed a 15.0% vacancy rate (on par with
the current submarket vacancy level), an $87.83-per-sq.-ft. S&P
Global Ratings' gross rent, a 57.1% operating expense ratio, and
higher tenant improvement costs to arrive at a S&P Global Ratings
long-term sustainable NCF of $11.9 million, 13.9% lower than our
last review NCF of $13.8 million. Using a 6.5% S&P Global Ratings
capitalization rate, unchanged from the last review, and adding to
value about $13.5 million for the present value of the difference
between our assumed ground rent expenses 10 years beyond the loan
and the actual in place ground rent expenses, we derived an S&P
Global Ratings expected-case value of $196.4 million, or $450 per
sq. ft., which is 15.1% lower than our last review value of $231.4
million and 50.9% below the issuance appraisal value of $400.0
million. This yielded an S&P Global Ratings loan-to-value ratio of
101.8% on the trust balance, up from 86.4% in our last review."
Although the model-indicated ratings were lower than the current or
revised ratings on classes A, B, C, D, and E, S&P tempered its
downgrades on classes C, D, and E and affirmed its ratings on
classes A and B because of certain qualitative considerations.
These include:
-- The potential that the sponsor can backfill vacant spaces in a
timely manner despite weakened office submarket fundamentals.
-- The low near-term default risk, in our view. The loan does not
mature until January 2035 and has a reported debt service coverage
of 2.07x as of year-end 2023.
-- The low-to-moderate debt per sq. ft. for these classes ($406
per sq. ft. though class E).
-- The significant market value decline based on the 2015
appraisal value that would be needed before these classes
experience principal losses.
-- The temporary liquidity support provided in the form of
servicer advancing.
-- The relative position of these classes in the payment
waterfall.
S&P said, "We will continue to monitor the property's tenancy and
performance. If we receive information that differs materially from
our expectations, such as reported negative changes in the
performance beyond what we already considered, or the loan
transfers to special servicing and the workout strategy negatively
affects the transaction's liquidity and recovery, we may revisit
our analysis and take further rating actions as we deem
appropriate."
Property-Level Analysis
The 23-story, 436,204-sq.-ft. (of which 2,110 sq. ft. is retail
space) class A office building is located at 101 Avenue of the
Americas in the Hudson Square office submarket of lower Manhattan.
It was built in 1990 for single-tenancy occupancy, and the sponsor,
Edward J. Minskoff Equities Inc., spent approximately $57.0 million
through 2015 in renovations and capital expenditures since the sole
original tenant vacated in 2011. The building is less than one mile
from the recently completed St. John's Terminal, Google's new
headquarters in New York City, and is at the foot of the Holland
Tunnel, which connects lower Manhattan to New Jersey.
The property initially benefits from lower tax obligations during
the first 10 years of the loan through a tax abatement program
under New York City's Industrial and Commercial Abatement Program
(ICAP) that ends in 2025. According to Wells Fargo, the unabated
real estate taxes were estimated to be about $8.5 million, up from
$4.7 million expected at issuance. Since the reported year-end 2023
real estate taxes were $8.0 million, we assessed that the tax
benefit has virtually phased out and assumed the 2023 real estate
tax amount in our current analysis with no add to value
adjustment.
The property is subject to a ground lease as of Dec. 19, 1989,
between the borrower as lessee and The Rector, Church Wardens, and
Vestrymen of Trinity Church in the City of New York as lessor. The
ground lease expires on Dec. 18, 2088, with no extension options
and specifies an annual fixed base rent payment that escalates 3.0%
per annum, compounded annually. At issuance, the annual ground rent
payment was $1.6 million. As of year-end 2023, the servicer
reported ground rent expenses of $2.1 million. We assumed ground
rent expenses 10 years beyond the loan term of $3.8 million in our
analysis.
The reported NCF declined 6.6% in 2021 to $20.0 million from $21.4
million in 2020. It fell another 8.6% to $18.2 million in 2022
before increasing 7.1% to $19.5 million in 2023. The reported
occupancy was 99.7% in 2021, 96.1% in 2022, and 92.4% in 2023.
According to the Jan. 31, 2024, rent roll, the property was 92.7%
occupied.
The five largest tenants comprised 90.6% of NRA and included:
-- New York Genome Center Inc. (38.5% of NRA, 38.4% of in place
gross rent, as calculated by S&P Global Ratings, September 2033
lease expiration).
-- Two Sigma Investments LLC (32.3%, 39.9%, April 2029, except for
7.3% of NRA that expires in April 2024. The tenant has a one-time
termination option with notice no later than 18 months prior to
April 30, 2024. S&P assessed that the sponsor exercised its
termination option because, according to the January 2024 rent
roll, the tenant's leases on the 19th and 21st floors expire in
April 2024. According to the servicer, the tenant currently
operates at a 40-55% utilization rate. Its headquarters is adjacent
to the subject property at 100 Avenue of the Americas).
-- Digital Ocean (10.3%, 11.4%, June 2025. According to the
servicer, the tenant has marketed a portion of its space for
sublease).
-- Huntsworth Healthcare Group (5.9%, 5.8%; May and June 2024.
According to the servicer, the entire space is currently subleased
to Two Sigma Investments LLC).
-- RGN-New York XX LLC (3.6%, 2.0%, December 2028. The tenant
renewed a portion of its space in October 2023).
-- The property faces elevated tenant rollover risk in 2024 (14.5%
of NRA; 16.2% of S&P Global Ratings' in-place gross rent), 2025
(10.3%; 11.4%), 2029 (25.1%; 31.0%), and 2033 (38.5%; 38.4%).
According to CoStar, the Hudson Square office submarket, like other
New York City office submarkets, has experienced high vacancies and
low demand mainly driven by companies adopting hybrid or remote
work arrangements and/or a flight to quality to newer and modern
office buildings. As of year-to-date March 2024, the four- and
five-star office properties in the submarket had a reported 15.8%
vacancy rate, 21.4% availability rate, and $76.33-per-sq.-ft.
asking rent, compared with a 6.6% vacancy rate and a
$76.99-per-sq.-ft. asking rent in 2020. The property is currently
92.7% leased with a gross rent of $84.55 per sq. ft., as calculated
by S&P Global Ratings. CoStar projects the submarket vacancy for
four- and five-star office properties to increase to 27.4% in 2024
before decreasing to 16.3% in 2025 and 16.1% in 2026 and the asking
rent to contract to $75.63 per sq. ft., $72.83 per sq. ft., and
$73.27 per sq. ft. for the same periods.
As S&P previously discussed, it utilized a 15.0% vacancy rate, in
line with the current submarket vacancy rate, in its current
analysis to account for the near-term tenant rollover, high tenant
rollover during loan term, and concentrated tenancy at the
property,.
Table 1
Reported collateral performance by servicer
2023(I) 2022(I) 2021(I)
Occupancy rate (%) 92.4 96.1 99.7
Net cash flow (mil. $) 19.5 18.2 20.0
Debt service coverage (x) 2.07 1.93 2.12
Appraisal value (mil. $) 400.0 400.0 400.0
(i)Reporting period.
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
CURRENT LAST REVIEW ISSUANCE
(MARCH (AUGUST (JANUARY
2024)(I) 2020)(I) 2015)(I)
Vacancy rate (%) 15.0 10.0 7.0
Net cash flow (mil. $) 11.9 13.8 13.6
Capitalization rate (%) 6.50 6.50 6.50
Value (mil. $) 196.4 231.4 236.9
Value per sq. ft. ($) 450 530 543
Loan-to-value ratio (%) 101.8 86.4 84.4
(i)Review period.
Transaction Summary
The 20-year, IO mortgage loan had an initial and current balance of
$200 million (according to the March 15, 2024, trustee remittance
report), pays an annual fixed interest rate of 4.65%, and matures
on Jan. 10, 2035. The borrower is permitted to incur future debt,
subject to certain performance hurdles, an acceptable intercreditor
agreement, a non-consolidation opinion, and rating agency
confirmation. The servicer, Wells Fargo Bank N.A., confirmed that
no mezzanine debt or preferred equity was incurred currently.
Through its March 2024 debt service payment, the loan has a
reported current payment status. To date, the trust has not
incurred and principal loss. Wells Fargo reported a 2.07x debt
service coverage for year-end 2023 and 1.93x for year-end 2022.
Ratings Lowered
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-101A
Class C to 'A (sf)' from 'A+ (sf)'
Class D to 'BBB (sf)' from 'BBB+ (sf)'
Class E to 'BB- (sf)' from 'BB (sf)'
Class F to 'B- (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'
Class G to 'B- (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'
Class X-B to 'A (sf)' from 'A+ (sf)'
Ratings Affirmed
Citigroup Commercial Mortgage Trust 2015-101A
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class B: AA (sf)
Class X-A: AAA (sf)
CITYSCAPE HOME 1996-2: Moody's Lowers Rating on A-5 Notes to B1
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the rating of Class A-5 issued by
Cityscape Home Equity Loan Trust 1996-2. The collateral backing
this deal consists of subprime mortgages.
The complete rating action is as follow:
Issuer: Cityscape Home Equity Loan Trust 1996-2
A-5, Downgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Sep 6, 2023 Affirmed A1
(sf)
RATING RATIONALE
The rating downgrade of Class A-5 from Cityscape Home Equity Loan
Trust 1996-2 reflects the heightened likelihood that this bond may
not be paid in full prior to its stated final scheduled
distribution date in August 2026. For structured finance securities
with third-party support, the rating applied is typically the
higher of the support provider's rating and the underlying rating.
For the bond in this rating action, the collateral pool backing the
transaction has decreased to an effective number below the
threshold established in the US RMBS Surveillance Methodology.
Moody's does not maintain underlying ratings on US RMBS
transactions where the effective number of borrowers has reduced
below the threshold. Following the withdrawal of the underlying
rating in February 2012, the current rating on the security
reflected the rating of the support provider, Assured Guaranty
Municipal Corp.
While a financial guaranty insurance policy will be in effect until
the tranche is paid off, it does not guarantee the payment of the
full principal balance by the stated final scheduled distribution
date in August 2026. Moody's analysis takes into consideration
Moody's estimate of the principal amount outstanding on the stated
final scheduled distribution date based on the average amortization
speed of the tranche balance over the past 12 months. Therefore,
the rating downgrade of Class A-5 from Cityscape Home Equity Loan
Trust 1996-2 to below the support provider's rating (Assured
Guaranty Municipal Corp. – Long term rating of A1) reflects the
heightened likelihood that this bond may not be paid in full prior
to its stated final scheduled distribution date in August 2026, on
which Moody's current rating is based.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in this rating was "Guarantees,
Letters of Credit and Other Forms of Credit Substitution
Methodology" published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the rating:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
COLUMBIA CENT 32: S&P Affirms BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1-R, B-1-R,
D-R, and X-R debt and A-1-R loans from Columbia Cent CLO 32 Ltd., a
CLO originally issued in 2022 that is managed by Columbia Cent CLO
Advisors LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A-1, B-1, D, and X debt and the class A-1 loans
following payment in full on the March 15, 2024, refinancing date.
S&P also affirmed its ratings on the class A-F, A-FJ, B-F, C-1,
C-F, and E debt, which were not refinanced.
The replacement debt were issued via a supplemental indenture,
which outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The non-call period on the refinanced debt is being extended to
April 24, 2025.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
Class A-1-R loans, $50.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 1.45%
Class A-1-R, $150.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 1.45%
Class A-F, $24.00 million: 4.49%(i)
Class A-FJ, $7.00 million: 4.82%(i)
Class B-1-R, $15.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 2.05%
Class B-F, $20.00 million: 5.20%(i)
Class C-1, $16.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 3.17%(i)
Class C-F, $5.00 million: 5.97%(i)
Class D-R, $21.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 3.70%
Class E, $11.38 million: Three-month SOFR + 8.07%(i)
Class X-R, $1.29 million: Three-month SOFR + 1.15%
Subordinated notes, $30.25 million: Not applicable(i)
(i)Tranche was not refinanced.
Original debt
Class A-1 loans, $50.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 1.70%
Class A-1, $150.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 1.70%
Class A-F, $24.00 million: 4.49%
Class A-FJ, $7.00 million: 4.82%
Class B-1, $15.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 2.40%
Class B-F, $20.00 million: 5.20%
Class C-1, $16.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 3.17%
Class C-F, $5.00 million: 5.97%
Class D, $21.00 million: Three-month SOFR + 4.20%
Class E, $11.38 million: Three-month SOFR + 8.07%
Class X, $1.29 million: Three-month SOFR + 1.15%
Subordinated notes, $30.25 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Columbia Cent CLO 32 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 32 Corp.
Class A-1-R Loans, $50.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R, $150.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1-R, $15.00 million: AA (sf)
Class D-R, $21.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class X-R, $1.29 million: AAA (sf)
Ratings Affirmed
Columbia Cent CLO 32 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 32 Corp.
Class A-F, $24.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-FJ, $7.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-F, $20.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1, $16.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-F, $5.00 million: A (sf)
Class E, $11.38 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Columbia Cent CLO 32 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 32 Corp.
Class A-1 Loans to NR from AAA (sf)
Class A-1 to NR from AAA (sf)
Class B-1 to NR from AA (sf)
Class D to NR from BBB- (sf)
Class X to NR from AAA (sf)
Other Outstanding Ratings
Columbia Cent CLO 32 Ltd./Columbia Cent CLO 32 Corp.
Subordinated notes: NR
NR--Not rated.
COMM 2013-CCRE13: Moody's Downgrades Rating on 2 Tranches to Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings on two classes in COMM
2013-CCRE13 Mortgage Trust, Commercial Pass-Through Certificates,
Series 2013-CCRE13 as follows:
Cl. C, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023
Downgraded to Baa2 (sf)
Cl. PEZ, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023
Downgraded to A2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating on the P&I class, Cl. C, was downgraded primarily due to
the increased risk of interest shortfalls as a result of the
significant exposure to specially serviced and delinquent loans. As
of the March 2024 remittance statement, six loans (97% of the pool)
are in special servicing, have passed their scheduled maturity
dates, and are 60 or more days delinquent on their monthly debt
service payments. Furthermore, the largest loan, 175 West Jackson
(58% of the pool), has been deemed non-recoverable by the master
servicer and is secured by a distressed office property.
As a result of the non-recoverability determination on the 175 West
Jackson Loan and the exposure to loans in special servicing,
interest shortfalls have impacted up to Cl. D as of the March 2024
remittance statement. Since nearly all the remaining loans are
delinquent and in special servicing, the interest shortfalls are
expected to continue and may increase if the loans remain
delinquent on debt service payments.
The rating on the exchangeable class, Cl. PEZ, was downgraded based
on a decline in the credit quality of its referenced exchangeable
classes and principal paydowns of higher quality referenced
exchangeable classes. Cl. PEZ originally referenced Cl. A-M, Cl. B
and Cl. C. However, Cl. A-M and Cl. B have now paid off in full and
Cl. C is the only outstanding referenced classes.
Moody's rating action reflects a base expected loss of 50.4% of the
current pooled balance, compared to 8.4% at Moody's last review.
Moody's base expected loss plus realized losses is now 6.9% of the
original pooled balance, compared to 6.4% at the last review.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range can
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously expected.
Factors that could lead to an upgrade of the ratings include a
significant amount of loan paydowns or a significant improvement in
pool performance.
Factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings include a
decline in the performance of the pool, an increase in realized and
expected losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or
interest shortfalls.
METHODOLOGY UNDERLYING THE RATING ACTION
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed
Securitizations Methodology" published in July 2022.
Moody's analysis incorporated a loss and recovery approach in
rating the P&I classes in this deal since 97% of the pool is in
special servicing. In this approach, Moody's determines a
probability of default for each specially serviced and troubled
loan that it expects will generate a loss and estimates a loss
given default based on a review of broker's opinions of value (if
available), other information from the special servicer, available
market data and Moody's internal data. The loss given default for
each loan also takes into consideration repayment of servicer
advances to date, estimated future advances and closing costs.
Translating the probability of default and loss given default into
an expected loss estimate, Moody's then applies the aggregate loss
from specially serviced to the most junior class(es) and the
recovery as a pay down of principal to the most senior classes.
DEAL PERFORMANCE
As of the March 12, 2024 distribution date, the transaction's
aggregate pooled certificate balance has decreased by 87% to $139.2
million from $1.1 billion at securitization. The certificates are
collateralized by seven mortgage loans, all of which have now
passed their anticipated scheduled maturity dates.
As of the March 2024 remittance statement cumulative interest
shortfalls were $5.2 million and impacted up to Cl. D. Moody's
anticipates interest shortfalls will continue because of the
exposure to specially serviced loans and/or modified loans.
Interest shortfalls are caused by special servicing fees, including
workout and liquidation fees, appraisal entitlement reductions
(ASERs), non-recoverable determinations, loan modifications and
extraordinary trust expenses.
Two loans have been liquidated from the pool, resulting in an
aggregate realized loss of $6.5 million. Six loans, constituting
97% of the pool, are currently in special servicing.
The largest specially serviced loan is the 175 West Jackson Loan
($80.5 million – 57.9% of the pool), which represents a pari
passu portion of a $251 million mortgage loan. The loan is secured
by a Class A, 22-story office building totaling 1.45 million square
feet (SF) and located within the CBD of Chicago, Illinois. The
property's performance has declined steadily since 2015, with
occupancy declining to 55% in December 2023 from 86% in 2015, and
the year-end 2023 net operating income (NOI) was 51% lower than in
2013. The loan first transferred to special servicing in March 2018
for imminent monetary default and was subsequently assumed by
Brookfield Property Group as the new sponsor in connection with the
purchase of the property for $305 million, returning to the master
servicer in August 2018. However, in November 2021, the loan
transferred back to special servicing, and as of the March 2024
remittance statement was last paid through its March 2023 payment
date. The most recent appraisal value was 34% below the outstanding
loan balance and this loan has been deemed non-recoverable by the
master servicer. The special servicer commentary indicates a
receiver was hired to market the property for sale with a potential
loan assumption, and the special servicer is currently in the
process of reviewing offers. Moody's expects a significant loss
from this loan.
The second largest specially serviced loan is the Park Plaza ($16.1
million – 11.6% of the pool), which is secured by a 210,774 SF,
four-story suburban office building located in Naperville,
Illinois. The loan transferred to special servicing in November
2023 due to imminent default and failed to pay off at its scheduled
maturity date in November 2023. The property was 69% leased as of
March 2023, the same as in December 2022 and compared to 83% in
December 2021. Due to the decrease in occupancy, the property's NOI
has declined in recent years and the year-end 2022 NOI was 35%
below the NOI in 2014. Additionally, the property faces significant
upcoming lease rollover risk from the largest tenant, Travelers
Indemnity Company (51.4% of the NRA), which has a lease expiration
in June 2024. As of the March 2024 remittance statement the loan
was classified as non-performing maturity and was last paid through
October 2023. Per the servicer commentary, the special servicer is
evaluating workout options with the borrower.
The third largest specially serviced loan is the 525 West 22nd
Street ($14.2 million – 10.2% of the pool), which is secured by a
16,225 SF retail gallery located in New York, New York. The subject
is 100.0% occupied by established gallery retail tenants and sits
in Manhattan's Gallery District, with direct proximity to the New
York City High Line. The loan remained mostly current during the
loan term but transferred to special servicing ahead of its
scheduled maturity date in December 2023 and is last paid through
its November 2023 payment date. The property was previously
impacted by the coronavirus pandemic and while occupancy returned
to 100% after temporarily dipping to 42% in 2020, the rental rates
have fallen upon lease renewals. The year-end 2022 NOI DSCR was
0.99X based on interest only payments at a 5.2% interest rate. An
updated appraisal value was reported in January 2024 that was 32%
below the value at securitization and marginally above the
outstanding loan balance. Per servicer commentary, the borrower is
working toward a modification that could involve a principal
paydown and the special servicer is dual-tracking foreclosure while
negotiating resolution options with the borrower.
The fourth largest specially serviced loan is the Plaza Riviera
loan ($9.8 million – 7.0% of the pool). The loan is secured by an
office in Redondo Beach, California. The property's performance has
declined significantly since 2019 due to declines in occupancy and
the loan's DSCR has been below 1.00X since 2020. As of September
2023, the property was 59% leased, compared to 61% in 2022 and 93%
at the time of securitization. The loan has amortized 18% since
securitization, however, the loan failed to pay off at its November
2023 maturity date and was unable to secure refinancing after
several forbearances and the loan transferred to special servicing
in February 2024. As of the March 2024 remittance date, the loan
was last paid through its December 2023 payment date.
The remaining two specially serviced loans are secured by a
limited-service hotel property located in Moon Township,
Pennsylvania, and a retail property located in Austin, Texas, that
are both classified as non-performing maturity and were last paid
through their November 2023 maturity date.
The sole performing loan is the Walgreens - Silsbee, TX loan ($3.6
million – 2.6% of the pool), which is secured by free-standing
retail building located in Silsbee, Texas. Walgreens occupies 100%
of the building on an absolute NNN lease. The property performance
has been consistent and is in line with securitization. The loan
has passed its anticipated repayment date and has a final maturity
date in 2035. The loan has amortized approximately 15% since
securitization and Moody's LTV and stressed DSCR are 110% and
0.86X, respectively, compared to 113% and 0.84X at the last review.
CSAIL 2016-C5: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class X-F Certs
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed all credit ratings on the Commercial
Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2016-C5 issued by CSAIL
2016-C5 Commercial Mortgage Trust as follows:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class X-D at BBB (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-E at BB (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class X-F at B (sf)
-- Class F at B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes X-D, D, X-E, E, X-F,
and F to Negative from Stable. All other trends remain Stable.
The credit rating confirmations and Stable trends reflect the
overall stable performance of the transaction, which remains in
line with Morningstar DBRS' expectations since the last rating
action. However, there are some challenges for the pool with two
loans in special servicing and the highest concentration of
non-defeased loans secured by office properties, with exposure to
challenged markets and near-term tenant rollover. Morningstar DBRS
notes mitigating factors in the moderate loss severities expected
for the specially serviced loans and the overall stable performance
as of the most recent reporting for most of the office loans in the
pool. The transaction also benefits from the seven years of
amortization since issuance, as well as significant defeasance and
loan repayments, as further described below. However, given the
loan-specific challenges and heightened credit risk for some of the
office loans, most notably 401 Market (Prospectus ID#5, 8.6% of the
pool), and increased loss expectations, the Negative trends for the
three lowest-rated classes most exposed to loss were warranted.
The 401 Market loan is collateralized by a 484,643 square foot
(sf), Class A office building in the Center City submarket of
Philadelphia. Since issuance, the property has been fully leased to
two tenants, Wells Fargo (66.8% of the net rentable area (NRA)) and
American Bible Society (28.1% of the NRA). The loan was added to
the servicer's watchlist in November 2023 after Wells Fargo
indicated it will not be renewing its lease upon expiration in
September 2024, having already vacated one floor (8.0% of the NRA).
The Wells Fargo lease is part of a larger, multi-property, master
lease agreement, which allows the tenant to terminate up to 234,336
sf across the larger portfolio without payment of a termination
fee; however, the tenant or the guarantor will be required to pay a
termination fee equal to the net present value of the remaining
lease payments for the outstanding lease term on the remainder of
the space. As of the February 2024 reporting, the borrower had
access to reserves totaling $4.7 million to help re-tenant the
space.
While the tenant's departure will result in a below breakeven
coverage without any leasing momentum, Wells Fargo (34.7% of the
gross rent) currently pays a rental rate of only $6.22 psf, well
below the submarket effective rental rate of $24.95 psf and the
asking rental rate of $33.53 psf according to Reis, indicating that
future leasing could lead to potential upside. The tenant, however,
has occupied the majority of its space since 2004 and the space is
in need of capital expenditure. In addition, the Center City
submarket has experienced just 1.6% rent growth over the past four
years, with vacancy doubling from 7.3% as of Q1 2020 to 14.6% as of
Q4 2023, with significant negative absorption during that time
period. Given the anticipated vacancy and soft market conditions,
its value is expected to decline significantly prior to loan
maturity in October 2025, indicating elevated refinance risk. As
such, Morningstar DBRS analyzed the loan with elevated probability
of default and stressed loan-to-value (LTV) assumptions, resulting
in an expected loss almost three times the pool average.
As of the February 2024 reporting, 48 of the original 59 loans
remain in the pool, with an aggregate principal balance of $615.3
million, reflecting a collateral reduction of 34.3% since issuance
as a result of loan repayments, scheduled amortization, and the
liquidation of three loans. Since the last rating action in April
2023, one additional loan has fully defeased, bringing the total
defeased collateral to 20 loans, representing 26.9% of the pool.
The pool is most concentrated by office properties, representing
16.7% of the pool (or 22.9% of the pool excluding defeasance),
followed by multifamily and industrial at 15.8% and 15.6%,
respectively. Eight loans (20.1% of the pool) are on the servicer's
watchlist, predominantly being monitored for significant near-term
tenant rollover or low debt service coverage ratios (DSCR), and two
loans (5.1% of the pool) remain in special servicing. For this
review, Morningstar DBRS analyzed both loans in special servicing
with liquidation scenarios at a total loss of nearly $12.0 million,
partially writing down the principal balance of the non-rated Class
NR.
The largest specially serviced loan, Sheraton Lincoln Harbour
Center (Prospectus ID#12, 3.2% of the pool), is secured by a
343-room full-service hotel in Weehawken, New Jersey. The loan
transferred to special servicing in January 2021 and remains
delinquent. At last review, Morningstar DBRS noted that the sponsor
was no longer supporting operations at the hotel and the special
servicer was pursuing foreclosure, while dual tracking a potential
sale of the asset. The receiver listed the property for sale in
2022 and early 2023 but no acceptable bids were received and the
property was taken off the market. Property operations have
improved significantly since the receiver took possession with an
above breakeven DSCR as of the Q3 2023 annualized financials. As of
September 2023, the property reported a year-to-date occupancy rate
of 87.8%, with average daily revenue (ADR) of $178 and revenue per
available room (RevPAR) of $156, with demand segmentation led by
corporate travel and the airline business. Despite the improvement
in performance, with RevPAR approaching pre-pandemic and issuance
levels, an appraisal dated July 2023 valued the property at $80.5
million, a marginal improvement over the August 2022 value of $79.5
million, but a 37.1% decline from the issuance value of $128.0
million, reflecting an LTV ratio above 110% based on the total loan
exposure. In its analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS
liquidated the loan from the trust based on a haircut to the most
recent appraised value, resulting in an implied loss approaching
$8.0 million, or a loss severity of approximately 40%.
The second specially serviced loan, Frisco Plaza (Prospectus ID#23,
1.9% of the pool), is secured by a 61,453 sf retail property in
Frisco, Texas. The loan transferred to special servicing in April
2019 for imminent default after the former largest tenant, LA
Fitness (previously 73.2% of NRA) defaulted on the terms of its
lease by failing to pay rent. Although the borrower was
subsequently able to bring the loan current, LA Fitness vacated at
lease expiration in March 2021, bringing occupancy down to 16.5%,
and the asset became real estate owned as of February 2022.
Occupancy remains low at 22.5% as of Q3 2023, resulting in a
negative cash flow. According to the most recent servicer
commentary, the receiver plans to take the asset to market in 2024.
An August 2023 appraisal valued the property at $13.0 million, an
improvement over the February 2022 value of $10.8 million, but
still around a 30.0% decline from its issuance appraised value of
$18.5 million, reflecting an LTV ratio in excess of 100% based on
total exposure. In its analysis for this review, Morningstar DBRS
liquidated the loan from the trust based on a haircut to the most
recent appraised value, resulting in an implied loss approaching
$4.0 million, or a loss severity of approximately 35%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CSMC 2019-ICE4: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class F Certs
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited confirmed its credit ratings on all classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2019-ICE4
issued by CSMC 2019-ICE4 as follows:
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AAA (sf)
-- Class C at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class D at A (high) (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (sf)
-- Class HRR at B (high) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The credit rating confirmations reflect the overall stable
performance of the underlying collateral. The loan has exhibited
significant cash flow growth since issuance and benefits from an
experienced operator in Lineage Logistics, which has the largest
temperature-controlled storage, warehousing, and logistics company
in North America.
At issuance, the collateral consisted of 64 industrial cold storage
and distribution facilities totaling about 17.7 million square feet
(sf) in 22 states. Two properties have been released to date, which
resulted in a nominal decrease of the loan balance to $2.34 billion
as of the February 2024 remittance from $2.35 billion. The
transaction features a partial pro rata/sequential-pay structure,
where, in the event properties are released, the first 20% of the
principal balance will be paid pro rata. All remaining properties
are master-leased to Lineage Logistics, following its assumption of
Southeast Frozen Foods Company's operations in 2021.
The interest-only, floating-rate loan is currently on the
servicer's watchlist because its final maturity is in May 2024 as
the loan has exercised all its extension options. Per the most
recent servicer commentary, the borrower has expressed its intent
to repay the loan by the maturity date. In the event that the loan
is not repaid by maturity, a cash sweep would be triggered.
According to the trailing 12-month period ended (T-12) September
30, 2023, financials, the net cash flow (NCF) improved to $341.3
million, compared with the YE2022 NCF of $275.6 million and the
Morningstar DBRS NCF of $226.6 million. The growth in cash flow is
primarily due to increases in both rental revenue and other income.
However, debt service has increased given the floating-rate nature
of the loan, with the T-12 September 30, 2023, debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) of 2.35 times (x), compared with the YE2022
DSCR of 4.09x. Despite the DSCR decline, the figure is still
healthy and the loan is well-positioned to refinance as the
collateral remains 100% occupied.
Considering the near-term maturity, Morningstar DBRS took a
conservative approach and maintained the issuance sizing in its
analysis, which is based on the Morningstar DBRS NCF of $226.6
million and a capitalization rate of 8.75%, resulting in a
Morningstar DBRS value of $2.6 billion, which represents a 21.8%
haircut from the issuance appraised value of $3.3 billion.
Morningstar DBRS applied positive qualitative adjustments totaling
7.5% to reflect the low cash flow volatility, good property
quality, and strong market fundamentals.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
CWABS ASSET-BACKED 2007-12: Moody's Ups Rating on 1-A-2 Certs to B2
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of three bonds issued by
CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2007-12. The collateral
backing this deal consists of subprime mortgages.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: CWABS Asset-Backed Certificates Trust 2007-12
Cl. 1-A-2, Upgraded to B2 (sf); previously on Jan 21, 2022 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-3, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
Cl. 2-A-4, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Nov 22, 2016 Upgraded
to Caa2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect improving trends in the collateral
performance and credit enhancement available to the bonds, Moody's
updated loss expectations on the underlying pools and, in the case
of the class 2-A-3, the short expected time to maturity.
The class 2-A-3 has benefited in recent years from a senior
priority in the Group 2 payment waterfall and a number of months
with large prepayments, which have accelerated the speed of pay
down to the class. Using the past 12 months of principal pay, and
assuming no significant deterioration in collateral performance,
Moody's expect the class 2-A-3 will be paid in full within the next
12 months.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in this deal
because the expected losses remain commensurate with their current
ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS
Surveillance Methodology" published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
DIAMETER CREDIT II: Moody's Ups Rating on $25.65MM E Notes to Ba2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Diameter Credit Funding II, Ltd.:
US$36,900,000 Class B Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes Due 2038 (the
"Class B Notes"), Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on January 25,
2022 Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
US$12,150,000 Class C Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
Due 2038 (the "Class C Notes"), Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on
January 25, 2022 Upgraded to A2 (sf)
US$12,150,000 Class D Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
Due 2038 (the "Class D Notes"), Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on
January 25, 2022 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
US$25,650,000 Class E Junior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
Due 2038 (the "Class E Notes"), Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on
January 25, 2022 Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Diameter Credit Funding II, Ltd., originally issued in November
2019 and partially refinanced in January 2022, is a managed
cashflow CBO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a portfolio
of corporate bonds and loans. The transaction's reinvestment period
will end in January 2025.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transaction has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
These rating actions reflect the benefit of the shortening of the
weighted average life (WAL) covenant since January 2022, which
reduces the time the rated notes are exposed to the credit risk of
the underlying portfolio. In particular, Moody's modeled a
portfolio WAL of 6 years compared to 8 years when the deal was last
partially refinanced in 2022. The upgrade actions also reflect
benefit of the short period of time remaining before the end of the
deal's reinvestment period in January 2025, after which note
repayments are expected to commence. Additionally, the deal
currently reports passing all its covenants.
No action was taken on the Class A notes because its expected loss
remains commensurate with its current rating, after taking into
account the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralization and
interest coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in its analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on its
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $266,531,072
Defaulted par: $2,514,964
Diversity Score: 53
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3450
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 6.60%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 33.7%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 6 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, decrease in overall net interest income, and
lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
December 2021.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
DK TRUST 2024-SPBX: Fitch Assigns 'B+sf' Rating on Class HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the following final ratings and Ratings
Outlooks to DK Trust 2024-SPBX, Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through
Certificates, Series 2024-SPBX:
- $265,600,000a class A 'AAAsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $129,100,000a, b class X-CP 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $129,100,000a, b class X-NCP 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $44,600,000a class B 'AA-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $35,100,000a class C 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $49,400,000a class D 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $65,950,000a class E 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $24,350,000a, c class HRR 'B+sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) Privately placed and pursuant to Rule 144A.
(b) Notional amount and interest-only (IO).
(c) Horizontal risk retention interest.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The certificates represent the beneficial ownership interest in a
trust that will hold a $485.0 million, two-year, floating-rate, IO
commercial mortgage loan with three one-year extension options. The
mortgage will be secured by the borrower's fee simple and leasehold
interests in a portfolio of 108 self-storage facilities totaling
approximately 7.4 million sf and comprising 38,998 self-storage
units, 4,319 parking spaces and 111 other units located in nine
states.
Loan proceeds in combination with $4.7 million of sponsor equity
were used to refinance approximately $462.5 million of existing
balance sheet debt, fund $1.3 million of upfront reserves and pay
$25.9 million of closing costs. The certificates will follow a
standard senior sequential-pay structure, including voluntary
prepayments.
The loan was originated by Bank of America, N.A. and JPMorgan Chase
Bank, N.A., which will act as mortgage loan sellers. KeyBank
National Association will be the servicer and special servicer.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. will act as trustee and
certificate administrator. Park Bridge Lender Services LLC will act
as operating advisor.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Fitch Net Cash Flow: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) for the portfolio
is estimated at $38.3 million; this is 6.0% lower than the issuer's
NCF and 7.4% lower than the YE 2023 NCF. Fitch applied an 8.0% cap
rate to derive a Fitch value of $478.4 million for the portfolio.
Fitch Leverage: The $485 million trust loan equates to debt of
approximately $66 psf with a Fitch stressed debt service coverage
ratio (DSCR), loan-to-value ratio (LTV) and debt yield (DY) of
0.88x, 101.4% and 7.9%, respectively. Based on the total rated debt
and a blend of the Fitch and market cap rates, the transaction's
Fitch Market LTV is 59.2%. Fitch expects the Fitch Market LTV for
non-investment grade tranches to not exceed 100%.
Geographic Diversity: The portfolio exhibits geographic diversity,
with 108 self-storage properties located across nine states
encompassing 59 markets and 29 distinct MSAs. The largest three
state concentrations account for 67.1% of the portfolio by
allocated loan amount (ALA). This includes Texas (29 properties;
37.4% of ALA), Michigan (19 properties; 18.3% of ALA) and Arkansas
(eight properties; 11.4% of ALA). No other state accounts for more
than 7.3% of the ALA.
Thirteen properties representing 10.9% of the ALA are located in
the Amarillo, TX MSA, followed by six properties representing 9.9%
of the ALA in the Waco, TX MSA. All other MSAs represent less than
4.0% of the ALA. The portfolio's effective MSA count is 16.1.
Portfolios with lower effective MSA counts are more concentrated
than those with higher counts.
Sponsorship: The loan is sponsored by a joint venture between
Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP and SpareBox. Founded in
1983, Davidson Kempner is a global institutional alternative asset
management firm with over $35 billion in assets under management.
SpareBox is an owner and operator of self-storage assets and the
properties in this transaction comprise the company's entire
portfolio. SpareBox was founded in 2020 with a business model
predicated on a completely contactless system in which renters can
check availability, sign leases, make payments and access their
units through a computer, smartphone or kiosk. SpareBox relies upon
proprietary technology to implement its business model and achieve
asset management efficiencies.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating (MIR) sensitivity to changes in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' /
'B+sf';
- 10% NCF Decline: 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBsf' / 'Bsf' /
'B-sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet its debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
MIR sensitivity to changes to in one variable, Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB-sf' /
'B+sf';
- 10% NCF Increase: 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBsf' /
'BBsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
ELMWOOD CLO VIII: S&P Assigns Prelim B- (sf) Rating on F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R replacement debt from Elmwood CLO
VIII Ltd./Elmwood CLO VIII LLC, a CLO originally issued in March
2021 that is managed by Elmwood Asset Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of March 19,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the March 22, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. At that
time, S&P expect to withdraw its ratings on the original debt and
assign ratings to the replacement debt. However, if the refinancing
doesn't occur, S&P may affirm its ratings on the original debt and
withdraw our preliminary ratings on the replacement debt.
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, and E-R notes are
expected to be issued at a higher spread over three-month CME term
SOFR than the original notes.
-- The replacement class F-R notes are expected to be issued at
the same spread over three-month CME term SOFR as the original
notes.
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R notes
are expected to be issued at a floating spread, replacing the
current floating spread.
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period will be extended by
3.25 years.
-- The non-call period will be extended until April 2026.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
Class A-R, $672.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.550%
Class B-R, $126.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.000%
Class C-R, $63.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.500%
Class D-R, $63.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.800%
Class E-R, $42.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 6.250%
Class F-R, $15.75 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 8.000%
Subordinated notes, $94.50 million: Not applicable
Original debt
Class A-1, $576.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.24%
Class A-2, $96.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.08%
Class B-1, $108.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.55%
Class B-2, $18.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.45%
Class C-1, $54.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.95%
Class C-2, $9.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.80%
Class D-1, $54.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 3.00%
Class D-2, $9.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 2.85%
Class E-1, $31.50 million: Three-month LIBOR + 6.00%
Class E-2, $5.25 million: Three-month LIBOR + 5.75%
Class F-1, $9.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 8.00%
Class F-2, $1.50 million: Three-month LIBOR + 8.00%
Subordinated notes, $94.50 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Elmwood CLO VIII Ltd./Elmwood CLO VIII LLC
Class A-R, $672.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $126.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $63.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R (deferrable), $63.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $42.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R (deferrable), $15.75 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $94.50 million: Not rated
EMPOWER CLO 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Debts
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Empower CLO 2024-1
Ltd./Empower CLO 2024-1 LLC's fixed- and floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Empower Capital Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Empower CLO 2024-1 Ltd./Empower CLO 2024-1 LLC
Class A-1, $279.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $18.000 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $45.000 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $27.000 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $27.000 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $4.500 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $13.500 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $43.575 million: Not rated
EXETER AUTOMOBILE: Fitch Affirms Ratings on 34 Classes in 6 Deals
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised the Rating Outlooks on two classes in two
Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust (EART) transactions to Negative
from Stable. Fitch has also affirmed the ratings for all 34 classes
of notes in six EART transactions.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2022-5
A-3 30167FAC6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 30167FAD4 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 30167FAE2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 30167FAF9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 30167FAG7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2022-6
A-3 30168AAC6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 30168AAD4 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 30168AAE2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 30168AAF9 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 30168AAG7 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2023-1
A-2 30168BAB6 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 30168BAC4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 30168BAD2 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 30168BAE0 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 30168BAF7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 30168BAG5 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2023-2
A-2 30168CAB4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 30168CAC2 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 30168CAD0 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 30168CAE8 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 30168CAF5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 30168CAG3 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2023-3
A-2 301989AB5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-3 301989AC3 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 301989AD1 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 301989AE9 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 301989AF6 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 301989AG4 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Exeter Automobile
Receivables Trust
2023-4
A2 30166TAB9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A3 30166TAC7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 30166TAD5 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 30166TAE3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 30166TAF0 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E 30166TAG8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The Negative Outlooks for the class E notes in 2022-5 and 2022-6
reflect the possibility of a downgrade in the next one to two
years. The revision of the Outlook from Stable is the result of
continued underperformance in these series, both higher
delinquencies and defaults than initial assumptions, resulting in
declining overcollateralization (OC) and consequent loss coverage
under Fitch's cash flow modeling. Fitch will closely monitor the
pace of losses in these series and the extent of any potential
improvement in delinquencies, deferrals and defaults from the
imminent tax return season in determining any rating actions on
these notes. Negative rating pressure will increase for the class E
notes for 2022-5 and 2022-6 if recent default performance continues
without flattening.
The affirmations of the outstanding notes reflect available credit
enhancement (CE) and loss performance to date. CNLs are tracking
higher than the initial rating case proxies, particularly for the
2022 transactions. However, hard CE levels have grown for all
classes of notes in each transaction since close based on the
current collateral balance. The slower pace of expected upgrades is
reflected in the continuing Stable Outlooks for these classes.
As of the February 2024 distribution date, 61+ day delinquencies
were 10.09%, 9.22%, 8.03%, 7.13%, 6.30%, and 5.78% for EART 2022-5,
2022-6, 2023-1, 2023-2, 2023-3, and 2023-4 respectively. Cumulative
net losses (CNL) were 11.32%, 10.43%, 6.64%, 4.55%, 3.63%, and
2.41%, respectively, all tracking higher than Fitch's initial
rating case proxies of 18.75%, 19.00%, 19.00%, 20.00%, 20.00%, and
20.00%, respectively.
The revised lifetime rating case CNL proxies consider the
transactions' remaining pool factors, pool compositions, and
performance to date. Furthermore, they consider current and future
macroeconomic conditions that drive loss frequency, along with the
state of wholesale vehicle values, which affect recovery rates and
ultimately transaction losses.
To account for potential further increases in delinquencies and
losses, Fitch applied conservative assumptions in deriving the
updated rating case loss proxies. Given the high losses of the 2022
transactions, Fitch raised the rating case CNL proxies to 25.50%
and 26.50% for 2022-5 and 2022-6, respectively, each from 21.00%.
Fitch also revised its delinquent interest and recovery assumptions
to be consistent with recent rated series. For 2023-1, Fitch raised
the rating case to 22.00% from 19.00%. Fitch also raised the
ratings case for 2023-2, 2023-3, and 2023-4 to 22.00% from 20.00%.
The different rating cases reflect how underperformance is most
acute for the 2022 transactions. Although these transactions under
some extrapolation measures are exceeding Fitch's revised CNL
proxies, Fitch expects some moderation. Fitch's analysis caps
defaults at 100% of the collateral pool.
Fitch's base case loss expectations, which do not include a margin
of safety and are not used in Fitch's quantitative analysis to
assign ratings, are 1.00% lower than the rating case CNL proxy for
each series resulting in 24.50%, 25.50%, 21.00%, 21.00%, 21.00%,
and 21.00% for EART 2022-5, 2022-6, 2023-1, 2023-2, 2023-3, and
2023-4, respectively, based on Fitch's Global Economic Outlook and
prior transaction performance.
Fitch conducted updated cashflow modeling for each transaction and
loss coverage multiples for the rated notes are consistent with or
in excess of 3.00x for 'AAAsf', 2.50x for 'AAsf', 2.00x for 'Asf',
1.50x for 'BBBsf' and 1.25x for 'BBsf' (except for 2022-5 and
2022-6 class E which demonstrate some compression to the multiple
given the aforementioned items).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
default levels higher than the current projected rating case
default proxies and affect available loss coverage and multiples
levels for the transactions. Weakening asset performance is
strongly correlated to increasing levels of delinquencies and
defaults that could negatively affect CE levels. Lower loss
coverage could affect the ratings and Outlooks, depending on the
extent of the decline in coverage.
In Fitch's initial review the notes were found to have sensitivity
to a 1.5x and 2.0x increase of Fitch's rating case loss expectation
for each transaction. For outstanding transactions, this scenario
suggests a possible downgrade of up to three categories for all
classes of notes. To date, while the transactions have weakening
performance with losses sometimes exceeding Fitch's initial
expectations, hard credit enhancement has built to a degree that is
supportive of adequate loss coverage and multiple levels at the
current ratings. Therefore, further deterioration in performance
would have to occur within the asset collateral to have potential
negative impact on the outstanding notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and consideration
for potential upgrades. If CNLs were 20% less than projected CNL
proxy, the ratings could be affirmed or upgraded.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
FREDDIE MAC 2023-HQA1: Moody's Hikes Rating on 16 Tranches to Ba2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 23 bonds issued by
Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2023-HQA1, which was issued by the
Freddie Mac to share the credit risk on a reference pool of
mortgages with the capital markets. This transaction is a high-LTV
transaction, which benefit from mortgage insurance. In addition,
the credit risk exposure of the notes depends on the actual
realized losses and modification losses incurred by the reference
pool.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2023-HQA1
Cl. M-1A, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2A, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2AI*, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2AR, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2AS, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2AT, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2AU, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. M-2B, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2BI*, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2BR, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2BS, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2BT, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2BU, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2I*, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2R, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2RB, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2S, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2SB, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2T, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2TB, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2U, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Cl. M-2UB, Upgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously on May 22, 2023
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pool.
In Moody's analysis Moody's considered the additional risk of
default on modified loans. Generally, Moody's apply a 7x multiple
to the Probability of Default (PD) for private label modified
mortgage loans and an 8x multiple to the PD for agency-eligible
modified mortgage loans. However, Moody's may apply a lower
multiple to the PD for loans that were granted short-term payment
relief as long as there were no other changes to the loan terms,
such as a reduced interest rate or an extended loan term, which can
be used to lower the monthly payment on the loan. For loans granted
short-term payment relief, servicers will generally defer the
missed payments, which could be added as a non-interest-bearing
balloon payment due at the end of the loan term. Alternatively,
servicers could extend the maturity on the loan to match the number
of missed payments.
Moody's updated loss expectations on the pools incorporate, amongst
other factors, Moody's assessment of the representations and
warranties frameworks of the transactions, the due diligence
findings of the third-party reviews received at the time of
issuance, and the strength of the transaction's originators and
servicer.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features and credit enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
FREDDIE MAC 2024-HQA1: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to 10 Tranches
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 24 classes of
credit risk transfer (CRT) residential mortgage-backed securities
(RMBS) issued by Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2024-HQA1, and
sponsored by Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp ("Freddie Mac").
The securities reference a pool of mortgage loans acquired by
Freddie Mac and originated and serviced by multiple entities.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Freddie Mac STACR REMIC Trust 2024-HQA1
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned A1 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2A, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2AI*, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2AR, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2AS, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2AT, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2AU, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2B, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2BI*, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2BR, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2BS, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2BT, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2BU, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2I*, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2R, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2RB, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2S, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2SB, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2T, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2TB, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
Cl. M-2U, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
Cl. M-2UB, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
*Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the GSE's oversight of
originators and servicers, and the third-party review.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
1.16%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.92% and reaches 5.40% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
GENERATE CLO 7: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned ratings to the class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R,
C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from Generate CLO 7
Ltd./Generate CLO 7 LLC, formerly known as York CLO-7 Ltd., a CLO
originally issued in January 2020 that is managed by Generate
Advisors LLC. At the same time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the
original class A-1, A-2, B-1, B-2, C, D, and E debt following
payment in full on the March 15, 2024, refinancing date.
The replacement debt was issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, and E-R
debt was issued at a spread over three-month SOFR than the original
notes, and the class D-2-R debt was issued at a fixed coupon.
-- The replacement class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, and E-R
debt was issued at a floating spread, replacing the current fixed
coupon and floating spread.
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period were extended by
4.25 years.
-- A new non-call period was established for approximately two
years.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Generate CLO 7 Ltd./Generate CLO 7 LLC
Class A-1-R, $244.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R, $16.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $44.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $18.15 million: BBB- (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $5.85 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $15.00 million: BB- (sf)
Ratings Withdrawn
Generate CLO 7 Ltd./Generate CLO 7 LLC
Class A-1 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class A-2 to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B-1 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class B-2 to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C (deferrable) to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D (deferrable) to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E (deferrable) to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
Other Outstanding Debt
Generate CLO 7 Ltd./Generate CLO 7 LLC
Subordinated notes, $36.80 million: Not rated
GREAT WOLF 2024-WOLF: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating on G Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. assigned provisional credit ratings to the following
classes of Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series
2024-WOLF (the Certificates) to be issued by Great Wolf Trust
2024-WOLF (the Trust):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C at AA (sf)
-- Class D at A (sf)
-- Class E at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at BB (low) (sf)
-- Class G at B (low) (sf)
All trends are Stable.
The collateral for the Trust includes the borrower's fee and/or
leasehold interests in eight Great Wolf Lodge resorts, totaling
3,044 keys, 461,521 square feet of indoor water park space and
60,459 square feet of meeting space, located across seven states.
Transaction proceeds of $1.0 billion along with the transaction
sponsor's cash equity of approximately $9.6 million will be used to
repay approximately $702.0 million of existing commercial
mortgage-backed securities debt across the Portfolio, repay
existing construction debt of approximately $287.6 million for the
Manteca and Scottsdale assets, and cover closing costs. Six of the
assets, Mason, Williamsburg, New England, Sandusky, Minneapolis,
and Wisconsin Dells, were previously securitized in the GWT
2019-WOLF transaction and the remaining two assets, Manteca and
Scottsdale, opened in June 2021 and October 2019, respectively. The
debt payoff for the six assets is inclusive of the release price
premiums for those assets. The Morningstar DBRS value of $1.071
billion represents a 26.4% discount to the aggregate appraised
as-is value including intangible business value (IBV)) of $1.456
billion. In addition, the Morningstar DBRS cap rate of 9.93% is
approximately 103 basis points higher than the appraised as-is
value (including IBV) implied cap rate, allowing for a reversion to
the mean in lodging valuation metrics.
The Properties are generally located within drive-to locations that
are within a four-hour drive from major metropolitan areas, which
provide the demand base for these leisure-oriented assets. The
Properties are highly amenitized, providing guests with a complete
family vacation experience, with a combination of indoor waterpark,
as well as lodging and dining options, among additional exclusive
attractions. The sponsor has invested a total of approximately
$94.3 million, or $30,985 per key, in capital improvements to the
Portfolio since 2020, excluding construction costs for the two new
assets in Manteca and Scottsdale. Excluding the two most recently
delivered Properties, Manteca and Scottsdale, which tend to have
lower immediate capital expenditure (capex) needs and have the
latest attractions available from the Great Wolf brand, the
previously securitized six assets received approximately $86.7
million in capital improvements since 2020, equating to $39,532 per
key. The Portfolio benefits from experienced management and
sponsorship, which performs initiatives to help increase ancillary
income, improve operating margins, as well as improve overall guest
experience and satisfaction. For example, management initiated the
Day Pass sales program for waterpark access starting in 2019. As of
YE2023, Day Pass sales accounted for approximately $13.1 million in
revenue, with 204,592 passes sold, which is significantly higher
than the level for the trailing 12-month (T-12) period ended
October 31, 2019, as of the GWT 2019-WOLF securitization, of
$496,198, with 7,981 passes sold. Day Pass sales have dynamic
pricing, which fluctuate based on the occupancy level at each
Property. For example, during high occupancy periods (more demand
for waterpark passes than availability), day passes will be offered
at a premium, in order to drive revenue and minimize impact on
overall guest experience.
The Portfolio reported weighted-average occupancy, average daily
rate (ADR), and revenue per available room (RevPAR) levels of
approximately 81.5%, $266.42, and $217.13, respectively, as of
YE2023. The previously securitized six Properties reported
occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR increases of 7.9%, 8.8%, and 17.4%,
respectively, over their T-12 ended October 2019 performance level.
In 2019, prior to the coronavirus pandemic, the Portfolio reported
occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR levels of 76.5%, $214.79, and $164.39,
respectively (Scottsdale opened in October 2019 and this figure
excludes Manteca, which opened in June 2021 and operated under a
government-enforced occupancy cap from January 2022 to April 2022).
While occupancy declined during the pandemic, the sponsor was
successful in recovering occupancy and ADR to higher than its
pre-pandemic historical average. Morningstar DBRS believes that the
strong 2023 performance is at least partially because of a higher
transient proportion in the hotel segmentation as a result of the
pent-up demand because of the pandemic-related restrictions and,
therefore, Morningstar DBRS believes room rates will normalize.
Morningstar DBRS concluded to a stabilized RevPAR of $207.65, which
is approximately 3.0% less than the YE2022 level and approximately
4.4% below the YE2023 level. Overall, Morningstar DBRS has a
favorable outlook on the Portfolio, during the five-year fully
extended term, given the property's experienced management and
sponsor's continued capex commitment.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Principal Distribution
Amounts and Interest Distribution Amounts for the rated classes.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, Spread Maintenance Premium.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2005-ROCK: S&P Affirms BB+(sf) Rating on Class J Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ratings on 12 classes of trust
pass-through certificates from GS Mortgage Securities Corp. II's
series 2005-ROCK, a U.S. CMBS transaction.
This U.S. stand-alone (single-borrower) CMBS transaction is backed
by a $1.685 billion, 20-year, fixed-rate, interest-only (IO)
mortgage loan secured by a first-priority mortgage (up to $1.21
billion) on the borrower's fee and leasehold interests in
Rockefeller Center, comprising 12 individual office/retail
properties and a plaza totaling 6.8 million sq. ft. located in the
Plaza District office submarket of midtown Manhattan, and a
first-priority pledge of the equity interests in the borrower.
Rating Actions
The affirmations on classes A, A-FL, B, C-1, C-2, D, E, F, G, H,
and J reflect:
-- The borrower's ability to sign and retain tenants, increasing
occupancy since S&P's last review in August 2022 to 92.6% from
88.7%, which is currently above the properties' office submarket
level;
-- The reported net cash flow (NCF), while still lower than S&P
assumed NCF, has trended upward since 2021; and
-- S&P's expected-case value, which is unchanged from its last
review.
S&P said, "At our last review on Aug. 31, 2022, we noted the
significant decline in servicer-reported net operating income in
2021 and partial 2022, mainly driven by a decline in income from
the retail tenants and observation deck. At that time, we assumed
an 11.3% vacancy rate, an S&P Global Ratings gross rent of $79.71
per sq. ft., a 59.4% operating expense ratio, and higher tenant
improvement costs to arrive at an S&P Global Ratings long-term
sustainable NCF of $191.7 million."
Since that time, income from the retail tenants and observation
deck has increased, and the borrower has been able to sign new or
renewal leases comprising approximately 5.8% of net rentable area
(NRA) in 2022 and 7.6% of NRA in 2023. As of the December 2023 rent
roll, the property was 92.6% occupied. S&P said, "In our current
analysis, we assumed: an in-place occupancy rate of 92.6% despite
higher submarket vacancy because the properties have performed at
this level in the past three-plus years and tenant rollover is
minimal in the next few years; $82.77 per sq. ft. gross rent as
calculated by S&P Global Ratings; a 61.0% operating expense ratio;
and higher tenant improvement costs. We arrived at the same
long-term sustainable NCF that we derived in our last review of
$191.7 million, 14.6% above the servicer-reported NCF of $167.3
million as of year-end 2022. The reported NCF for the nine months
ending Sept. 30, 2023, is $123.5 million. We attribute the lower
reported in-place NCF partly to ongoing rent concessions given to
several new and renewing tenants. Using an S&P Global Ratings 6.75%
capitalization rate, unchanged from our last review, we derived an
S&P Global Ratings expected-case value that is the same as in our
last review of $2.84 billion or $438 per sq. ft. and 25.3% below
the April 2005 appraisal value of $3.80 billion. This yielded an
S&P Global Ratings loan-to-value ratio of 59.3% on the trust loan
balance."
S&P affirmed its rating on the class X-1 IO certificates based on
our criteria for rating IO securities.
Although the model-indicated ratings were lower than S&P's current
ratings on classes B, C-1, C-2, D, E, F, G, and H, S&P affirmed its
ratings on these classes because it weighed certain qualitative
considerations. These include:
-- The properties' prominent location in the Plaza District office
submarket of Manhattan.
-- The potential that the properties' operating performance could
improve above our expectations. Based on recent media reports, the
borrower is expected to open a hotel at 10 Rockefeller in 2026 by
repurposing a portion of the office space. In addition, as of the
March 2024 reporting period, there is approximately $20.9 million
in various lender-controlled reserve accounts, a portion of which
is earmarked for leasing activities.
-- The healthy leasing momentum the borrower has maintained,
signing or renewing 27.0% of NRA since 2019.
-- The relatively low debt per sq. ft. ($241.05 per sq. ft.
through class H) for these classes.
-- The significant market value decline that would be needed
before these classes experience principal losses.
-- The relative position of these classes in the payment
waterfall.
S&P said, "We will continue to monitor the tenancy and performance
of the properties and loan as well as the borrower's ability to
refinance the loan by its maturity date in May 2025. If we receive
information that differs materially from our expectations, such as
reported negative changes in the performance or the loan transfers
to special servicing and the workout strategy negatively affects
the transaction's recovery and liquidity, we may revisit our
analysis and take rating actions as we deem necessary."
Property-Level Analysis
Rockefeller Center consists of 12 properties across 10 buildings
located in a six-block area of Midtown Manhattan. The properties
are bounded by 51st and 48th Streets to the north and south,
respectively, and by Fifth Avenue and the Avenue of the Americas to
the east and west, respectively. The properties, comprising
approximately 6.8 million sq. ft., were constructed in phases
between 1931 and 1950. The individual properties include:
-- 30 Rockefeller Plaza: 69 floors, 1.39 million sq. ft., of which
205,689 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 630 Fifth Avenue: 39 floors, 1.26 million sq. ft., of which
175,452 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 600 Fifth Avenue: 27 floors, 436,012 sq. ft., of which 51,342
sq. ft. is retail space;
-- One Rockefeller Plaza: 34 floors, 587,335 sq. ft., of which
24,328 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 1230 Avenue of the Americas: 21 floors, 737,311 sq. ft., of
which 59,754 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 610 Fifth Avenue: seven floors, 125,774 sq. ft., of which
43,285 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 10 Rockefeller Plaza: 17 floors, 344,863 sq. ft., of which
48,385 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 1270 Avenue of the Americas: 31 floors, 509,892 sq. ft., of
which 13,877 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 50 Rockefeller Plaza: 15 floors, 507,458 sq. ft., of which
94,771 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- 620 Fifth Avenue: seven floors, 131,965 sq. ft., of which
30,166 sq. ft. is retail space;
-- Radio City Music Hall: 10 floors, 548,250 sq. ft.; and
-- Christie's Auction House: three floors, 183-487 sq. ft.
Five of the individual properties--600 Fifth Avenue, 10 Rockefeller
Plaza, 1230 Avenue of the Americas, 610 Fifth Avenue, and 620 Fifth
Avenue--are subject to ground leases. The ground lessor for these
properties, other than 600 Fifth Avenue, is an affiliate of the
sponsor, Tishman Speyer.
In addition, the collateral includes a landscaped promenade, a
lower plaza renovated in 2023 to include more natural light and
dining options surrounding an ice-skating/roller rink, five rooftop
gardens, a three-story, 320-space parking garage, and an
approximately two-mile underground retail and pedestrian concourse
connecting all buildings and providing access to the subway. The
servicer reports that Top of the Rock (an observation deck at 30
Rockefeller Plaza) renovations are underway, with The Beam (an
experience to replicate sitting atop a skyscraper at Top of the
Rock) now open to the public and the Skylift slated to be open by
October 2024.
The reported NCF had declined since the height of the COVID-19
pandemic, but is rebounding in recent years, while occupancy has
remained relatively stable (i.e., $257.3 million and 98.6%,
respectively, in 2019; $150.9 million and 97.5% in 2020; $136.2
million and 97.2% in 2021; $167.3 million and 98.2% in 2022; and
$123.5 million for the nine months ending Sept. 30, 2023, and 92.6%
occupied as of the Dec. 31, 2023, rent roll.
According to the December 2023 rent roll, the five largest tenants
comprised 31.3% of NRA and included:
-- Radio City Productions LLC (8.9% of NRA; 2.6% of in-place gross
rent, as calculated by S&P Global Ratings; August 2038 lease
expiration). The tenant recently renewed for 15 years.
-- Deloitte LLP (7.3%; 8.8%; September 2028).
-- Lazard Group LLC (6.3%; 7.5%; October 2033).
-- Simon & Schuster Inc. (4.6%; 3.7%; November 2034).
-- JP Morgan Chase Bank (4.3%; 4.8%; August 2037).
The properties generally face staggered tenant rollover, with 4.2%
of NRA and 5.0% of S&P Global Ratings' gross rent expiring in 2024;
5.0% and 7.5%, respectively, in 2025; and 3.5% and 4.0%,
respectively, in 2026.
According to CoStar, the Plaza District office submarket, where the
subject properties are located, continues to experience elevated
vacancy levels and weakened demand due partly to changing office
work preference that caused tenants to exit or contract their
leased space. As of March 2024, four- and five-star office
properties in the submarket have a 14.2% vacancy rate, 15.3%
availability rate, and $94.38 per sq. ft. asking rent compared to a
11.5% vacancy rate and $99.23 per sq. ft. asking rent in 2019.
However, CoStar reports that the vacancy rate has been declining
since a peak of 15.6% was reached in 2021 while asking rents have
been stable. Nevertheless, CoStar projects vacancy to increase to
15.3% by year-end 2024 and 17.4% in 2025 and asking rent to
decrease to $93.89 per sq. ft. and $90.77 per sq. ft. for the same
period. This compares with an in-place 7.4% vacancy and $82.77 per
sq. ft. gross rent, as calculated by S&P Global Ratings. S&P
assumed the in-place vacancy rate considering that the properties
have historically maintained occupancy above the submarket, the
submarket vacancy rates have recently improved, and the low
percentage of leases expiring in the next few years.
Table 1
Reported collateral performance by servicer
YTD ENDING SEPT. 30, 2023 2022 2021
Occupancy rate (%) 93.3 98.2 97.2
NCF ($ mil.) 123.5 167.3 136.3
DSC (x) 1.71 1.73 1.41
Appraisal value ($ mil.) 3,800 3,800 3,800
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
REVIEW AS OF REVIEW AS OF
MARCH 2024 AUGUST 2022
Vacancy rate (%) 7.4 11.3
Net cash flow ($ mil.) 191.7 191.7
Capitalization rate (%) 6.75 6.75
Value ($ mil.) 2,840 2,840
Value per sq. ft. ($) 438 438
Loan-to-value ratio (%) 59.3 59.3
YTD--Year to date.
Transaction Summary
The IO loan had an initial and current balance of $1.685 billion
(according to the March 4, 2024, trustee remittance report), pays a
weighted average annual fixed interest rate of 5.6435%, and matures
on May 1, 2025. In addition, there is a $320.0 million mezzanine
loan.
As previously mentioned, the trust loan is secured by a
first-priority mortgage that was recorded up to $1.21 billion.
Therefore, any amount over $1.21 billion would be considered
unsecured debt of the borrower.
Furthermore, the transaction documents note that the borrower is
not required to incur aggregate "all risk" and terrorism coverage
premiums greater than $7.95 million in any policy year, subject to
annual Consumer Price Index adjustments. S&P increased its minimum
credit enhancement levels at each rating category to account for
this provision.
Through its March 2024 debt service payment, the loan has a
reported in-grace but not yet due payment status, similar to all
prior payment periods. To date, the trust has not incurred any
principal losses. The master servicer, Wells Fargo Bank N.A.,
reported a debt service coverage of 1.71x for the nine months
ending Sept. 30, 2023, and 1.73x as of 2022.
Ratings Affirmed
GS Mortgage Securities Corp. II Series 2005-ROCK
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class A-FL: AAA (sf)
Class B: AAA (sf)
Class C-1: AAA (sf)
Class C-2: AAA (sf)
Class D: AAA (sf)
Class E: AA+ (sf)
Class F: AA (sf)
Class G: A+ (sf)
Class H: A (sf)
Class J: BB+ (sf)
Class X-1: AAA (sf)
GS MORTGAGE 2014-GC26: DBRS Confirms C Rating on 2 Classes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded the credit ratings on two classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-GC26
issued by GS Mortgage Securities Trust 2014-GC26 as follows:
-- Class C to BB (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class PEZ to BB (sf) from A (low) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-AB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class D at CCC (sf)
-- Class E at C (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
The trends on Classes A-S, B, X-A, and X-B were changed to Negative
from Stable while the Negative trends on Classes C and PEZ were
maintained. Classes D, E, and F have ratings that do not typically
carry trends in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)
ratings. All other classes have Stable trends.
The credit rating downgrades and trend changes follow increased
loss projections for the loan in special servicing in addition to
concerns about a number of loans at increased risk of maturity
default. All loans remaining in the pool are scheduled to mature
within the next six months. While Morningstar DBRS expects the
majority of loans will repay from the pool, a concentrated number
of loans exhibit increased default risk given weak credit metrics.
Ten loans, including the second-, third-, and fourth-largest loans
in the pool—representing 34.3% of the pool balance in
aggregate—are current on payments but have been identified by
Morningstar DBRS as being at risk for maturity default. Although
the trends on Classes A-S and B have been changed to Negative from
Stable, the rating confirmations on those classes are supported by
the significant existing credit support given the large outstanding
balances. However, should these loans default as they near their
respective maturity dates, Morningstar DBRS' loss projections may
increase to reflect additional adverse selection, further
supporting the credit rating downgrades and Negative trends.
Additionally, Morningstar DBRS' ratings are constrained by the
expectation of accrued interest shortfalls prior to repayment,
which has also contributed to Morningstar DBRS' rating downgrades
and trend changes. Interest shortfalls currently total $6.2
million, up from a total interest shortfall amount of $4.0 million
at the time of the last rating action. Unpaid interest continues to
accrue month over month, driven by special servicing fees and
appraisal subordinate entitlement reduction from the loan in
special servicing. Morningstar DBRS has minimal tolerance for
unpaid interest to high investment-grade rated bonds, limited to
one to two remittance cycles for the AA (sf) and A (sf) credit
rating categories.
The largest loan in the pool and the only loan in special servicing
is Queen Ka'ahumanu Center (Prospectus #1; 9.5% of the pool). The
loan is secured by the borrower's fee-simple interest in a
570,904-square-foot (sf) super-regional mall in Kahului, Hawaii.
The loan transferred to special servicing in July 2020 and became
real estate owned in June 2022. According to the November 2023 rent
roll, the subject was 79.3% occupied, relatively flat from the
YE2022 rate of 76.0%, however, 23.3% of the net rentable area (NRA)
is leased on a temporary basis. Per the special servicer, ownership
is not pursuing long-term leases given the ongoing multifamily
redevelopment plans for sections of the mall. Concurrently,
ownership is working with Macy's to amend the reciprocal ease
agreement to facilitate the redevelopment plans. Although progress
has been made with the plans for redevelopment, the year-over-year
declines in the property's as-is value indicate significant loss at
resolution. The most recent appraisal reported by the servicer,
dated June 2023, valued the property at $38.5 million, down from a
2022 appraised value of $44.2 million and well below the issuance
appraised value of $120.0 million. Morningstar DBRS analysis
included a liquidation scenario based on the most recent appraisal
resulting in a loss severity approaching 80%.
The second-largest loan in the pool is secured by 1201 North Market
Street (Prospectus ID#2; 8.8% of the pool), a high-rise office
property in Wilmington, Delaware. The loan is currently on the
servicer's watchlist for low debt service coverage ratio (DSCR),
which was reported at 1.19 times (x) as of the Q3 2023 financials,
compared with 1.04x in YE2022 and the Morningstar DBRS-derived
figure of 1.43x at issuance. In addition, cash flows have declined
over the past few years. The decline in performance has stemmed
largely from shifts in the office sector since the onset of the
coronavirus pandemic with an increase in work-from-home and
hybrid-work options. The subject has exhibited consistent declines
in occupancy, reporting an occupancy rate of 71.8% as of September
2023 compared with 73.0% in YE2022 and 84.5% at issuance. The
largest tenant is the law firm Morris Nichols Arsht & Tunnell
(lease expiry in December 2028), occupying 18.5% of the NRA), and
no other tenant occupies more than 8% of the NRA. Leases
representing 5.7% of the NRA are scheduled to expire in 2024.
Morningstar DBRS remains concerned about the loan's refinance
prospects given its upcoming maturity in November 2024, declining
credit metrics, and soft submarket. To reflect this concern,
Morningstar DBRS stressed the probability of default (POD) and the
loan-to-value ratio (LTV), resulting in an expected loss (EL) more
than twice the pool average.
As of the February 2024 remittance, 70 of the original 92 loans
remain outstanding with a pool balance of $865.3 million,
representing a collateral reduction of 31.0% since issuance. Of the
remaining loans, 24, representing 30% of the pool balance, have
fully defeased. There are currently 10 loans, representing 16.4% of
the pool balance, on the servicer's watchlist, eight of which have
been flagged for performance-related issues. By property type, the
pool is mostly concentrated by retail and office, representing
33.0% and 25.4% of the pool balance, respectively. In general, the
office sector has been challenged, given the low investor appetite
for that property type and high vacancy rates in many submarkets as
a result of the shift in workplace dynamics. Office loans and other
loans that have exhibited increased risk were analyzed with
stressed LTVs and/or elevated POD penalties, as applicable. The
resulting weighted-average (WA) EL for these loans was nearly
double the WA EL for the pool.
Notes: All figures are in U.S dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-PJ2: DBRS Finalizes B(high) Rating on B-5 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings on
the Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-PJ2 (the Notes) issued by GS
Mortgage-Backed Securities Trust 2024-PJ2:
-- $305.6 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $305.6 million Class A-1-X at AAA (sf)
-- $305.6 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.6 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.6 million Class A-3A at AAA (sf)
-- $283.6 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $283.6 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $283.6 million Class A-4A at AAA (sf)
-- $141.8 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $141.8 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $141.8 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $170.2 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $170.2 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $170.2 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $28.4 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $28.4 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $28.4 million Class A-10 at AAA (sf)
-- $70.9 million Class A-11 at AAA (sf)
-- $70.9 million Class A-11-X at AAA (sf)
-- $70.9 million Class A-12 at AAA (sf)
-- $42.5 million Class A-13 at AAA (sf)
-- $42.5 million Class A-13-X at AAA (sf)
-- $42.5 million Class A-14 at AAA (sf)
-- $212.7 million Class A-15 at AAA (sf)
-- $212.7 million Class A-15-X at AAA (sf)
-- $212.7 million Class A-16 at AAA (sf)
-- $141.8 million Class A-17 at AAA (sf)
-- $141.8 million Class A-17-X at AAA (sf)
-- $141.8 million Class A-18 at AAA (sf)
-- $113.4 million Class A-19 at AAA (sf)
-- $113.4 million Class A-19-X at AAA (sf)
-- $113.4 million Class A-20 at AAA (sf)
-- $70.9 million Class A-21 at AAA (sf)
-- $70.9 million Class A-21-X at AAA (sf)
-- $70.9 million Class A-22 at AAA (sf)
-- $22.0 million Class A-23 at AAA (sf)
-- $22.0 million Class A-23-X at AAA (sf)
-- $22.0 million Class A-24 at AAA (sf)
-- $305.6 million Class A-X at AAA (sf)
-- $11.5 million Class B-1 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $11.5 million Class B-1-A at AA (high) (sf)
-- $11.5 million Class B-1-X at AA (high) (sf)
-- $6.5 million Class B-2 at A (high) (sf)
-- $6.5 million Class B-2-A at A (high) (sf)
-- $6.5 million Class B-2-X at A (high) (sf)
-- $4.3 million Class B-3 at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $4.3 million Class B-3-A at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $4.3 million Class B-3-X at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $2.3 million Class B-4 at BB (high) (sf)
-- $1.5 million Class B-5 at B (high) (sf)
-- $22.4 million Class B at BBB (high) (sf)
-- $22.4 million Class B-X at BBB (high) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS discontinued and withdrew its credit ratings on
Classes A-3L, A-4L, A-16L, and A-22L Loans initially contemplated
in the offering documents, as they were not issued at closing.
Classes A-1-X, A-3-X, A-5-X, A-7-X, A-9-X, A-11-X, A-13-X, A-15-X,
A-17-X, A-19-X, A-21-X, A-23-X, A-X, B-1-X, B-2-X, B-3-X, and B-X
are interest-only (IO) notes. The class balances represent notional
amounts.
Classes A-1, A-1-X, A-2, A-3, A-3A, A-3-X, A-4, A-4A, A-6, A-7,
A-7-X, A-8, A-10, A-11, A-11-X, A-12, A-14, A-15, A-15-X, A-16,
A-17, A-17-X, A-18, A-19, A-19-X, A-20, A-22, A-24, B, B-1, B-2,
B-3, and B-X are exchangeable notes. These classes can be exchanged
for combinations of exchange notes as specified in the offering
documents.
Classes A-3, A-3A, A-4, A-4A, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-8, A-9, A-10, A-11,
A-12, A-13, A-14, A-15, A-16, A-17, A-18, A-19, A-20, A-21 and A-22
are super senior notes. These classes benefit from additional
protection from the senior support notes (Classes A-23 and A-24)
with respect to loss allocation.
The AAA (sf) credit ratings on the Notes reflect 8.40% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (high) (sf), A
(high) (sf), BBB (high) (sf), BB (high) (sf), and B (high) (sf)
credit ratings reflect 4.95%, 3.00%, 1.70%, 1.00%, and 0.55% credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Notes. The Notes are backed by 358 loans with a total principal
balance of $333,643,730 as of the Cut-Off Date (February 1, 2024).
The pool consists of first-lien, fully amortizing fixed-rate
mortgages (FRMs) with original terms to maturity of 30 years. The
weighted-average (WA) original combined loan-to-value ratio (CLTV)
for the portfolio is 72.6%. A small portion of the pool (10.4%)
comprises loans with Morningstar DBRS calculated current CLTVs
between 80.0% and 90.0%, while 0.3% of the pool falls between 90.0%
and 95.0% Morningstar DBRS calculated current CLTV. In addition,
98.9% of the loans in the pool were originated in accordance with
the new general Qualified Mortgage (QM) rule subject to the average
prime offer rate designation.
The originators for the aggregate mortgage pool are United
Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) (28.9%), Cross Country Mortgage, LLC
(CCM) (14.5%), Movement Mortgage, LLC (10.2%), Guaranteed Rate,
Inc. (10.2%), and various other originators, each comprising less
than 5.0% of the pool.
The mortgage loans will be serviced by Newrez, LLC doing business
as Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (SMS) (94.8%) and United Wholesale
Mortgage, LLC (UWM) (5.2%). Cenlar FSB will act as the Subservicer
for UWM serviced loans.
Computershare Trust Company, N.A. will act as the Master Servicer,
Paying Agent, Loan Agent, Note Registrar, Rule 17g-5 Information
Provider, and Custodian. U.S. Bank Trust National Association (U.S.
Bank; rated AA (high) with a Negative trend by Morningstar DBRS)
will act as Delaware Trustee. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC
(Pentalpha) will serve as the File Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
This transaction allows for the issuance of Classes A-3L, A-4L,
A-16L, and A-22L, loans which are the equivalent of ownership of
Classes A-3, A-4, A-16, and A-22 Notes, respectively. These classes
are issued in the form of a loan made by the investor instead of a
note purchased by the investor. If these loans are funded at
closing, the holder may convert such class into an equal aggregate
debt amount of the corresponding Notes. There is no change to the
structure if these Classes are elected.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes addresses the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Interest Payment Amounts, the related Interest Shortfalls, and the
Debt Amounts (for non-IO Certificates).
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
GS MORTGAGE 2024-RPL2: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Cl. B-2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by GS Mortgage-Backed
Securities Trust 2024-RPL2 (GSMBS 2024-RPL2).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSMBS 2024-RPL2
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
A-5 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-4 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
M-1 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-2 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
PT LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
RISKRETEN LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
SA LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The transaction is expected to close on March 8, 2024. The notes
are supported by 2,265 reperforming loans with a total balance of
$373 million as of the cutoff date.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.7% above a long-term sustainable level versus
11.1% on a national level as of 3Q23, up 1.82% since the prior
quarter. Housing affordability is at its worst level in decades,
driven by high interest rates and elevated home prices.
RPL Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral pool consists
primarily of peak-vintage RPLs. As of the cutoff date, the pool was
83.7% current. Approximately 43.2% of the loans were treated as
having clean payment histories for the past two years or more
(clean current) or have been clean since origination if seasoned
less than two years. Additionally, 96.3% of loans have a prior
modification. The borrowers have a weak credit profile (626 FICO
and 45% debt-to-income ratio [DTI]) and relatively low leverage
(64% sustainable LTV ratio [sLTV]).
Sequential-Pay Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash flow is
based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the subordinate
classes do not receive principal until the senior classes are
repaid in full. The credit enhancement consists of subordinated
notes, the distributions of which will be subordinated to P&I
payments due to senior noteholders. In addition, excess cash flow
resulting from the difference between the interest earned on the
mortgage collateral and that paid on the notes may be available to
pay down the bonds sequentially (after prioritizing fees to
transaction parties, Net WAC shortfalls and to the breach reserve
account).
No Servicer P&I Advances (Mixed): The servicer will not advance
delinquent monthly payments of P&I, which reduce liquidity to the
trust. P&I advances made on behalf of loans that become delinquent
and eventually liquidate reduce liquidation proceeds to the trust.
Due to the lack of P&I advancing, the loan-level loss severity (LS)
is less for this transaction than for those where the servicer is
obligated to advance P&I. Structural provisions and cash flow
priorities, together with increased subordination, provide for
timely payments of interest to the 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' rated
classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.6% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a regulatory compliance
review that covered applicable federal, state and local high-cost
loan and/or anti-predatory laws, as well as the Truth In Lending
Act (TILA) and Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA). The
scope was consistent with published Fitch criteria for due
diligence on RPL RMBS. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustments to
its analysis:
Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 located in states that fall under
Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a 100% LS over-ride.
Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 but not located in states that
fall under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a
five-point LS increase.
Loans with a missing modification agreement received a three-month
liquidation timeline extension.
Unpaid taxes and lien amounts were added to the LS.
In total, these adjustments increased the 'AAAsf' loss by
approximately 50bps.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
GSF 2023-1: Fitch Affirms 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Class E Debt
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded the expected ratings for classes A-1,
A-2, A-S and B of GSF 2023-1. Fitch has also affirmed the existing
expected ratings for classes C, D, E and X.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
GSF 2023-1
A-1 362945AA5 LT A(EXP)sf Downgrade AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 362945AC1 LT A(EXP)sf Downgrade AAA(EXP)sf
A-S 362945AE7 LT A(EXP)sf Downgrade AAA(EXP)sf
B 362945AG2 LT A(EXP)sf Downgrade AA-(EXP)sf
C 362945AJ6 LT A-(EXP)sf Affirmed A-(EXP)sf
D 362945AL1 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Affirmed BBB-(EXP)sf
E 362945AQ0 LT BB-(EXP)sf Affirmed BB-(EXP)sf
F 362945AS6 LT NR(EXP)sf Affirmed NR(EXP)sf
X 362945AN7 LT A-(EXP)sf Affirmed A-(EXP)sf
The downgraded classes were affected by a rating cap put in place
by Fitch at the 'A(EXP)sf' level.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The transaction was given expected ratings by Fitch on Nov. 2,
2023. At that time, the loan pool consisted of one closed loan and
nine delayed-close loans for a total of 10 loans with a balance of
$195,845,000. The delayed-close loans were given 60 days,
post-initial closing (to Jan. 2, 2024), to close into the
transaction. Fitch was expected to review the deal in 1Q24 and
re-rate the pool as it was constituted at the end of the
delayed-close period. Fitch has now re-rated the pool as of that
date. The loan pool consisted of four loans with a balance of
$93,500,000 on Jan. 2, 2024. This is materially different than the
pool Fitch rated on Nov. 2, 2023.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Loan Concentration: Three (out of nine) of the delayed-close loans
closed and the pool, as of Jan. 2, 2024, consisted of four loans.
The pool is very small from a loan count perspective and has a
higher loan concentration compared to all recent CLO transactions.
Rating Cap: The pool's low loan count, four loans, has triggered
Fitch's rating cap at 'A(EXP)sf'. The rating cap addresses Fitch's
concerns that low loan count pools are concentrated, lack diversity
and could impact senior investment grade classes.
Pace of Loan Additions: The pace of adding loans to the pool has
been much slower than originally anticipated. The dearth of loans
closing into the transaction has resulted in the pool's low loan
count and the imposition of the rating cap.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow decreases property value and capacity to meet
debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes in one variable, Fitch
net cash flow (NCF):
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' /
'BB-sf';
- 10% Decline to Fitch NCF: 'AAAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBsf' /
'B-sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improvement in cash flow increases property value and capacity to
meet debt service obligations. The table below indicates the
model-implied rating sensitivity to changes to in one variable,
Fitch NCF:
- Original Rating: 'AAAsf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf' /
'BB-sf';
- 10% Increase to Fitch NCF: 'AAAsf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' /
'BBsf'.
Additionally, an increase in the pool's loan count to 10 or more
loans would remove the rating cap currently imposed at Asf.
SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL ADJUSTMENTS
There were no variances from Fitch criteria.
Cash flow modeling was not employed on this transaction, with the
concurrence of the committee. The deal does not employ CRE CLO
features that would cause us to cash flow model. For example, the
transaction's structure does not contain any note protection tests
(interest coverage or overcollateralization) nor is there is an
interest payment diversion feature within the retained classes (or
anywhere in the structure).
The use of the rating cap at 'A(EXP)sf', which has resulted in a
change in the class A notes' expected ratings by two rating
categories, is not considered a variation from Fitch's credit
model-implied rating (MIR) but, rather, it is the MIR at those
rating categories for small loan count pools.
The expected ratings designation for all classes will remain in
place until the pool's composition is known with more certainty.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Ernst & Young LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on a comparison and re-computation of
certain characteristics with respect to each of the mortgage loans.
Fitch considered this information in its analysis and it did not
have an effect on Fitch's analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
HILDENE TRUPS A4B: Moody's Gives Ba3 Rating to $10.7MM Cl. B Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Hildene TruPS Resecuritization A4B, LLC (the "Issuer").
US$26,700,000 Class A Notes due 2034, Assigned Baa1 (sf)
US$10,700,00 Class B Notes due 2034, Assigned Ba3 (sf)
The Class A Notes and the Class B Notes are referred to herein,
collectively, as the "Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on a consideration of the
risks associated with the portfolio of ALESCO Preferred Funding IV,
Ltd. (the "Underlying TruPS CDO") and structure as described in
Moody's methodology.
The Rated Notes are secured by the following securities that were
issued by the Underlying TruPS CDO on May 18, 2004:
US$33,824,315.92 of the $69,092,347 Floating Rate Class B-1
Mezzanine Notes due July 2034 (current outstanding balance
including deferred interest of $6,712,347.33), (the "Class B-1
Notes")
US$42,465,882.33 of the $57,174,527 Floating Rate Class B-2
Mezzanine Notes due July 2034 (current outstanding balance
including deferred interest of $5,554,526.62) (the "Class B-2
Notes")
US$1,339,520.78 of the $4,018,559 Floating Rate Class B-3 Mezzanine
Notes due July 2034 (current outstanding balance including deferred
interest of $1,018,559.33) (the "Class B-3 Notes")
The Class B-1 Notes, the Class B-2 Notes and the Class B-3 Notes
are referred to herein, collectively as the "Underlying
Securities".
Hildene Structured Advisors, LLC will serve as collateral servicer
for this transaction. The transaction prohibits any asset purchases
or substitutions at any time.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued one class of
subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates par coverage tests which, if
triggered, divert interest proceeds to pay down the notes in order
of seniority. The transaction also includes an interest diversion
feature from and after the April 2030 payment date, when 60% of the
interest at a junior step in the priority of interest payments will
be used to pay the principal on the Class A Notes until the Class A
Notes' principal has been paid in full, then to the payment of
principal of the Class B Notes.
The portfolio of the Underlying TruPS CDO consists of mainly TruPS
issued by US regional and community banks, the majority of which
Moody's does not publicly rate. Moody's assesses the default
probability of bank obligors that do not have public ratings
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM), an econometric
model developed by Moody's Analytics. Moody's evaluation of the
credit risk of the bank obligors in the pool relies on FDIC Q3-2023
financial data. Moody's assumes a fixed recovery rate of 10% for
bank obligations.
Moody's analysis on the Rated Notes took into account stress
scenarios for the banking sector currently on negative outlook.
Furthermore, to address the risk from the deleveraging of the
senior-most Class A note in the Underlying TruPS CDO, in
conjunction with a currently deferring underlying Class B notes, we
modelled different amortization profiles to capture the spread
dynamics within a shrinking collateral pool. These stress scenarios
were important qualitative considerations.
Moody's obtained a loss distribution for this CDO's portfolio by
simulating defaults using Moody's CDOROM(TM), which used Moody's
assumptions for asset correlations and fixed recoveries in a Monte
Carlo simulation framework. Moody's then used the resulting loss
distribution, together with structural features of the CDO, as an
input in its CDOEdge(TM) cash flow model.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions for the Underlying TruPS CDO's portfolio:
Par amount: $159,365,000
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 1035
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 2.63%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 8.13%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 7.95 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating TruPS CDOs" published in July 2021.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The portfolio consists primarily
of unrated assets whose default probability Moody's assesses
through credit scores derived using RiskCalc(TM) or credit
assessments. Because these are not public ratings, they are subject
to additional estimation uncertainty.
HINNT LLC 2024-A: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
notes to be issued by HINNT 2024-A LLC (HINNT 2024-A).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
HINNT 2024-A LLC
A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Borrower Risk — Improved Collateral Composition: The weighted
average (WA) FICO score of the HINNT 2024-A statistical pool is
734, higher than the 729 for HINNT 2022-A and 719 for AALLC
2021-1H. Approximately 25% of the total collateral pool is called
collateral from 2016, 2018, and 2019 securitizations, lending to a
significant seasoning of 22 months. This transaction also features
a prefunding account, which covers approximately 25% of the total
collateral balance, funded by loans that must conform to criteria
similar to the pool overall.
Forward-Looking Approach on CGD Proxy — Weakening Performance:
HICV's delinquency and default performance exhibited material
increases during the Great Recession. Notable improvement was
observed in the 2010-2014 vintages. However, the 2016 through 2022
vintages experienced higher default rates than during the prior
recession, due principally to integration challenges following the
Silverleaf acquisition and defaults related to paid-product-exits
(PPEs). In deriving its cumulative gross default (CGD) proxy of
22.00%, Fitch focused on extrapolations of the 2015-2019 vintages.
Structural Analysis — Lower CE: Initial hard credit enhancement
(CE) is expected to be 64.0%, 41.0%, 18.0%, 10.5% and 4.0% for
class A, B, C, D and E notes, respectively. The hard CE is lower
compared to 2022-A for all classes except slightly higher for
classes D and E. Hard CE is composed of overcollateralization (OC),
a reserve account and subordination. Soft CE is also provided by
excess spread and is expected to be 7.2% per annum. The structure
is sufficient to cover multiples of 3.00x, 2.250x, 1.50x, 1.17x and
1.00x for 'AAAsf', 'Asf', 'BBBsf', 'BB-sf' and 'Bsf',
respectively.
Originator/Seller/Servicer Operational Review — Quality of
Origination/Servicing: HICV has demonstrated sufficient abilities
as an originator and servicer of timeshare loans, as evidenced by
the historical delinquency and default performance of the
securitized trusts and of the managed portfolio.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could produce
CGD levels higher than the base case and would likely result in
declines of CE and remaining default coverage levels available to
the notes. Additionally, unanticipated increases in prepayment
activity could also result in a decline in coverage. Decreased
default coverage may make certain note ratings susceptible to
potential negative rating actions, depending on the extent of the
decline in coverage.
Hence, Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing both a
transaction's initial base case CGD and prepayment assumptions and
examining the rating implications on all classes of issued notes.
The CGD sensitivity stresses the CGD proxy to the level necessary
to reduce each rating by one full category, to non-investment grade
(BBsf) and to 'CCCsf' based on the break-even loss coverage
provided by the CE structure. The prepayment sensitivity includes
1.5x and 2.0x increases to the prepayment assumptions, representing
moderate and severe stresses, respectively. These analyses are
intended to provide an indication of the rating sensitivity of
notes to unexpected deterioration of a trust's performance.
Fitch also conducts increases of 1.5x and 2.0x to the CGD proxy,
which represent moderate and severe stresses, respectively. These
analyses are intended to provide an indication of the rating
sensitivity of notes to unexpected deterioration of a trust's
performance.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and consideration
for potential upgrades. If CGD is 20% less than the projected
proxy, the ratings would be maintained for the class A note at a
stronger rating multiple. For class B, C, D and E notes, the
multiples would increase resulting in potential upgrade of up to
two rating categories.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with third-party due diligence information from
Grant Thornton LLP. The third-party due diligence focused on a
comparison and re-computation of certain characteristics with
respect to 100 sample loans. Fitch considered this information in
its analysis, and the findings did not have an impact on Fitch's
analysis or conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
INVESCO US 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim BB-(sf) Rating on E-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R replacement debt from Invesco
U.S. CLO 2024-1 Ltd./Invesco U.S. CLO 2024-1 LLC, a broadly
syndicated CLO that is managed by Invesco CLO Equity Fund 3 L.P., a
subsidiary of Invesco Senior Secured Management Inc. In connection
with this proposed refinancing, the Cayman Islands-based issuer and
Delaware-based co-issuer have been renamed Invesco U.S. CLO 2024-1
Ltd. and Invesco U.S. CLO 2024-1 LLC, respectively, from Lucali CLO
Ltd. and Lucali CLO LLC, respectively. This is a proposed
refinancing of the issuer's Jan. 7, 2021 transaction that was under
the name Lucali CLO Ltd. S&P Global Ratings provided ratings on the
initial transaction.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of March 19,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
S&P said, "On the March 21, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds
from the replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt.
At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the original
class A, B, C, D, and E debt and assign ratings to the replacement
debt. The class X notes from the original transaction were
previously redeemed following the final scheduled payment made to
the notes on the January 2024 payment date. However, if the
refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-1-R, D-2-R, and E-R
notes are expected to be issued at a higher spread over three-month
CME term SOFR than the original class A, B, C, D, and E notes.
-- The stated maturity will be extended to April 15, 2037 from the
original Jan. 15, 2033 date.
-- The reinvestment period will be extended to April 15, 2029 from
the original Jan. 15, 2024 date.
-- The non-call period will be extended to March 21, 2026 from the
original Jan. 15, 2022 date.
-- The weighted average life test date will be extended nine years
from the first refinancing date.
The transaction will be upsized to $500.00 million from $400.00
million following the first refinancing date. A large portion of
the collateral that is anticipated to be upsized has already been
purchased from the open market into a warehouse, which will be
merged into the Issuer on the first refinancing date. There will
not be an additional effective date, and the first payment date
following the refinancing date will be July 15, 2024.
In connection with the upsize, an additional $15.00 million of
subordinated notes are expected to be issued on the refinancing
date.
Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 99.32% have
credit ratings (which may include confidential ratings, private
ratings, and credit estimates) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
Of the identified underlying collateral obligations, 98.23% have
recovery ratings (which may include confidential and private
ratings) assigned by S&P Global Ratings.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
Class A-R, $320.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.55%
Class B-R, $60.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.10%
Class C-R, $30.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.55%
Class D-1-R, $25.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 3.75%
Class D-2-R, $10.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 5.50%
Class E-R, $12.50 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 7.40%
Original debt(ii)(iii)
Class A, $256.00 million: Adjusted term SOFR(i) + 1.21%
Class B, $48.00 million: Adjusted term SOFR(i) +1.60%
Class C, $24.00 million: Adjusted term SOFR(i) + 2.20%
Class D, $24.00 million: Adjusted term SOFR(i) + 3.60%
Class E, $14.00 million: Adjusted term SOFR(i) + 5.54%
Subordinated notes, $40.00 million: Not applicable
(i)Adjusted term SOFR--Three-month CME term SOFR + 0.26161%.
(ii)The class X notes from the original transaction were previously
redeemed following the final scheduled payment made to the notes on
the January 2024 payment date.
(iii)Available credit support for the notes consists of
subordination, overcollateralization, and excess cash flow.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Invesco U.S. CLO 2024-1 Ltd./Invesco U.S. CLO 2024-1 LLC
Class A-R, $320.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $60.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $30.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1-R (deferrable), $25.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2-R (deferrable), $10.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R (deferrable), $12.50 million: BB- (sf)
JP MORGAN 2024-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class B-4 Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings on
the Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-2 (the
Certificates) issued by J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2024-2 (JPMMT
2024-2):
-- $407.6 million Class A-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $407.6 million Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $407.6 million Class A-3-X at AAA (sf)
-- $305.7 million Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- $305.7 million Class A-4-A at AAA (sf)
-- $305.7 million Class A-4-X at AAA (sf)
-- $101.9 million Class A-5 at AAA (sf)
-- $101.9 million Class A-5-A at AAA (sf)
-- $101.9 million Class A-5-X at AAA (sf)
-- $244.5 million Class A-6 at AAA (sf)
-- $244.5 million Class A-6-A at AAA (sf)
-- $244.5 million Class A-6-X at AAA (sf)
-- $163.0 million Class A-7 at AAA (sf)
-- $163.0 million Class A-7-A at AAA (sf)
-- $163.0 million Class A-7-X at AAA (sf)
-- $61.1 million Class A-8 at AAA (sf)
-- $61.1 million Class A-8-A at AAA (sf)
-- $61.1 million Class A-8-X at AAA (sf)
-- $40.0 million Class A-9 at AAA (sf)
-- $40.0 million Class A-9-A at AAA (sf)
-- $40.0 million Class A-9-X at AAA (sf)
-- $447.6 million Class A-X-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $447.6 million Class A-X-2 at AAA (sf)
-- $447.6 million Class A-X-3 at AAA (sf)
-- $10.1 million Class B-1 at AA (sf)
-- $10.1 million Class B-1-A at AA (sf)
-- $10.1 million Class B-1-X at AA (sf)
-- $10.3 million Class B-2 at A (low) (sf)
-- $10.3 million Class B-2-A at A (low) (sf)
-- $10.3 million Class B-2-X at A (low) (sf)
-- $5.5 million Class B-3 at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $2.2 million Class B-4 at BB (sf)
-- $1.9 million Class B-5 at B (low) (sf)
Classes A-3-X, A-4-X, A-5-X, A-6-X, A-7-X, A-8-X, A-9-X, A-X-1,
A-X-2, A-X-3, B-1-X, and B-2-X are interest-only (IO) certificates.
The class balances represent notional amounts.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-3-X, A-4, A-4-A, A-4-X, A-5, A-6, A-7, A-7-A,
A-7-X, A-8, A-9, A-X-1, B-1, and B-2 are exchangeable certificates.
These classes can be exchanged for combinations of depositable
certificates as specified in the offering documents.
Classes A-2, A-3, A-4, A-4-A, A-5, A-5-A, A-6, A-6-A, A-7, A-7-A,
A-8, and A-8-A are super senior certificates. These classes benefit
from additional protection from the senior support certificates
(Class A-9 and A-9-A certificates) with respect to loss
allocation.
The AAA (sf) ratings on the Certificates reflect 6.65% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinated certificates. The AA (sf), A
(low) (sf), BBB (low) (sf), BB (sf), and B (low) (sf) ratings
reflect 4.55%, 2.40%, 1.25%, 0.80%, and 0.40% of credit
enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of first-lien
fixed-rate prime residential mortgages funded by the issuance of
the Certificates. The Certificates are backed by 415 loans with a
total principal balance of $479,488,928 as of the Cut-Off Date
(February 1, 2024).
The pool consists of fully amortizing fixed-rate mortgages with
original terms to maturity of primarily 30 years and a
weighted-average (WA) loan age of two months. Approximately 91.6%
of the loans are traditional, nonagency, prime jumbo mortgage
loans. The remaining 8.4% of the pool are conforming mortgage loans
that were underwritten using an automated underwriting system (AUS)
designated by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and were eligible for
purchase by such agencies. Details on the underwriting of
conforming loans can be found in the Key Probability of Default
Drivers section. In addition, all of the loans in the pool were
originated in accordance with the new general Qualified Mortgage
(QM) rule.
United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM) originated 61.0% of the pool.
Various other originators, each comprising less than 15%,
originated the remainder of the loans. The mortgage loans will be
serviced or subserviced, as applicable, by Cenlar FSB (Cenlar;
61.0%), JPMorgan Chase Bank, National Association (JPMCB; 33.5%),
and loanDepot.com, LLC (loanDepot; 3.2%). For the JPMCB-serviced
loans, Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint or SMS) will act
as interim servicer until the loans transfer to JPMCB on the
servicing transfer date (June 1, 2024).
For this transaction, generally, the servicing fee payable for
mortgage loans is composed of three separate components: the base
servicing fee, the delinquent servicing fee, and the additional
servicing fee. These fees vary based on the delinquency status of
the related loan and will be paid from interest collections before
distribution to the securities.
Nationstar Mortgage LLC (Nationstar) will act as the Master
Servicer. Citibank, N.A. (Citibank; rated AA (low) with a Stable
trend by Morningstar DBRS) will act as Securities Administrator and
Delaware Trustee. Computershare Trust Company, N.A. (Computershare)
will act as Custodian. Pentalpha Surveillance LLC (Pentalpha) will
serve as the Representations and Warranties (R&W) Reviewer.
The transaction employs a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
cash flow structure that incorporates performance triggers and
credit enhancement floors.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Certificates addresses the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Certificates are the
related Interest Distribution Amounts, the related Interest
Shortfalls, and the related Class Principal Amounts (for non-IO
Certificates).
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
JP MORGAN MORTGAGE 2007-A1: S&P Affirms 'BB+' Rating on 1-A-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 65 ratings from eight
U.S. RMBS transactions issued between 2001 and 2007. The review
yielded three downgrades, 14 withdrawals, and 48 affirmations.
Analytical Considerations
S&P incorporates various considerations into its decisions to
raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by our projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance and/or structural
characteristics and their potential effects on certain classes.
Some of these considerations may include:
-- Collateral performance or delinquency trends,
-- Increase or decrease in available credit support,
-- A small loan count, and
-- Payment priority.
Rating Actions
S&P said, "The rating changes reflect our view regarding the
associated transaction-specific collateral performance, structural
characteristics, and/or the application of specific criteria
applicable to these classes.
"The affirmations reflect our view that our projected credit
support, collateral performance, and credit-related reductions in
interest on these classes have remained relatively consistent with
our prior projections.
"We withdrew our ratings on 13 classes from three transactions due
to the small number of loans remaining in the related group. Once a
pool has declined to a de minimis amount, its future performance
becomes more difficult to project. As such, we believe there is a
high degree of credit instability that is incompatible with any
rating level. Additionally, as a result, we applied our
interest-only criteria "Criteria Global Methodology For Rating
Interest-Only Securities," published April 15, 2010, which resulted
in the withdrawal of one rating from one transaction."
Ratings list
RATING
ISSUER
SERIES CLASS CUSIP TO FROM
CSFB ABS Trust Series 2001-HE22
2001-HE22 A-1 22540VCP5 AA (sf) AA (sf)
CSFB ABS Trust Series 2001-HE22
2001-HE22 A-IO 22540VCR1 AA- (sf) AA- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 1-A-1 46630GAA3 A (sf) A (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 1-A-2 46630GAB1 BB+ (sf) BB+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 2-A-1 46630GAC9 BBB- (sf) BBB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 2-A-2 46630GAD7 BBB+ (sf) BBB+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 2-A-3 46630GAE5 BB (sf) BB (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 2-A-4 46630GAF2 BB (sf) BB (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 3-A-1 46630GAG0 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 3-A-2 46630GAH8 BBB- (sf) BBB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 3-A-3 46630GAJ4 A+ (sf) A+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 3-A-4 46630GAK1 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 3-A-5 46630GAL9 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 4-A-1 46630GAM7 BBB+ (sf) BBB+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 4-A-2 46630GAN5 A- (sf) A- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 4-A-3 46630GAP0 BB+ (sf) BB+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 4-A-4 46630GAQ8 BB+ (sf) BB+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 5-A-1 46630GAR6 BBB- (sf) BBB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 5-A-2 46630GAS4 A- (sf) A- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 5-A-3 46630GAT2 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 5-A-4 46630GAU9 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 5-A-5 46630GAV7 A+ (sf) A+ (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 5-A-6 46630GAW5 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 6-A-1 46630GAX3 BBB- (sf) BBB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 6-A-2 46630GAY1 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 7-A-1 46630GBB0 BBB- (sf) BBB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 7-A-3 46630GBD6 BBB- (sf) BBB- (sf)
JPMorgan Mortgage Trust 2007-A1
2007-A1 7-A-4 46630GBG9 B (sf) B (sf)
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2004-B
MLCC2004-B A-1 59020UBU8 NR BB+ (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2004-B
MLCC2004-B A-2 59020UBV6 NR BB+ (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2004-B
MLCC2004-B A-3 59020UBW4 NR B (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2004-B
MLCC2004-B B-1 59020UCB9 NR CCC (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2004-B
MLCC2004-B B-2 59020UCC7 NR CCC (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2004-B
MLCC2004-B B-3 59020UCD5 NR CCC (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2005-3
2005-3 1A 59020UL37 NR CCC (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2005-3
2005-3 2A 59020UL45 NR A (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2005-3
2005-3 3A 59020UL52 NR B+ (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2005-3
2005-3 5A 59020UL78 NR AA+ (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2006-1
2006-1 I-A 59020U4R3 NR A (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2006-1
2006-1 II-A-1 59020U4S1 NR A (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Merrill Lynch Mortgage Investors Trust Series MLCC 2006-1
2006-1 II-A-2 59020U4T9 NR BBB (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Criteria no longer applicable.
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 2-A-1 61748HBM2 AA- (sf) AA- (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 2-A-2 61748HBN0 AA- (sf) AA- (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 2-A-3 61748HBP5 AA- (sf) AA- (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 3-A 61748HBQ3 AA (sf) AA (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 4-A 61748HBR1 AA (sf) AA (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 5-A 61748HBS9 A+ (sf) A+ (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 6-A 61748HBT7 BBB+ (sf) BBB+ (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 1-M-2 61748HBH3 A (sf) A (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 1-M-3 61748HBJ9 BB+ (sf) BB+ (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 1-B-1 61748HBK6 BB+ (sf) BB+ (sf)
Morgan Stanley Mortgage Loan Trust 2004-6AR
2004-6AR 1-B-2 61748HBL4 BB (sf) BB (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 1-A1 863579GY8 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 1-A2 863579GZ5 BB (sf) BB (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 1-A3 863579HA9 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 2-A1 863579HB7 BB (sf) BB (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 2-A2 863579HC5 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 3-A1 863579HD3 BB (sf) BB (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 3-A2 863579HE1 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
Structured Adjustable Rate Mortgage Loan Trust, Series 2004-20
2004-20 4-A 863579HF8 BB- (sf) BB- (sf)
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR1
2004-AR1 I-A-1 86359LAP4 BBB (sf) A- (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Erosion of credit support.
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR1
2004-AR1 I-A-2 86359LAQ2 A+ (sf) AA (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Erosion of credit support.
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR1
2004-AR1 I-A-3 86359LAR0 BBB (sf) A- (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Erosion of credit support.
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR1
2004-AR1 II-A-1 86359LAS8 AA- (sf) AA- (sf)
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2004-AR1
2004-AR1 X 86359LAT6 NR AA (sf)
MAIN RATIONALE: Interest-only criteria.
NR--Not rated.
KCAP F3C: S&P Lowers Class E Notes Rating to 'B+ (sf)'
------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class B and C debt
from KCAP F3C Senior Funding LLC, a U.S. CLO transaction. S&P also
removed the ratings on the class B and C debt from CreditWatch,
where it placed them with positive implications on Jan. 18, 2024.
At the same time, S&P affirmed its ratings on the class A and D
debt from the same transaction and removed the rating on the class
D debt from CreditWatch, where S&P placed it with positive
implications on Jan. 18, 2024. S&P also lowered the rating on the
class E debt.
The rating actions follow S&P's review of the transaction's
performance using data from the February 2024 trustee report.
Although the same portfolio backs all of the tranches, there can be
circumstances such as this one, where the ratings on the tranches
may move in opposite directions due to support changes in the
portfolio.
This transaction is experiencing opposing rating movements because
it experienced both principal paydowns, which increased the senior
credit support, and had an increase in defaults and decline in
credit quality, which decreased the junior credit support.
Since S&P's August 2020 rating actions, the transaction has paid
down $106.70 million to the class A debt. These paydowns resulted
in improved reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios for all but
the class E debt since the July 2020 trustee report, which S&P used
for its previous rating actions. The changes in the reported O/C
ratios are as follows:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 169.97% from 142.96%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 141.11% from 130.22%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 122.41% from 120.56%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 108.44% from 112.44%, and is
now failing its minimum requirement of 111.40%.
While the senior O/C ratios experienced positive movement due to
the lower balances of the senior debt, the class E O/C ratio
declined due to excess 'CCC' haircuts and overall negative par
movement. Its O/C test is currently failing, but the class has not
deferred interest, as sufficient interest proceeds are available.
S&P said, "The upgrades reflect the improved credit support at the
prior rating levels, while the affirmation reflects our view that
the credit support available is commensurate with the current
rating level. The downgrade reflects heightened obligor
concentration in the portfolio, increased exposure to 'CCC' and 'D'
rated collateral, and par losses since our last rating action.
"The affirmations on the class A and D debt also reflect that they
passed our cash flow stresses at their current ratings. On a
standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis indicated a
higher rating on the class C and D debt. However, because the
transaction currently has higher-than-average exposures to 'CCC'
and 'D' rated collateral obligations, our rating actions reflect
additional sensitivity runs that consider such exposures and offset
future potential credit migration in the underlying collateral.
"In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various interest rate
and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our analysis considered
the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis--and other qualitative factors as
applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the rated
outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement available at
the rating levels associated with these rating actions."
KCAP F3C Senior Funding LLC has transitioned its liabilities to
three-month CME term SOFR as its underlying index with the
Alternative Reference Rates Committee-recommended credit spread
adjustment. S&P's cash flow analysis reflects this change and
assumes that the underlying assets have also transitioned to a term
SOFR as their respective underlying index. If the trustee reports
indicated a credit spread adjustment in any asset, its cash flow
analysis considered the same.
S&P will continue to review whether, in its view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and S&P will take rating actions as it
deems necessary.
Ratings Raised And Removed From CreditWatch Positive
KCAP F3C Senior Funding LLC
Class B to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)/Watch Pos'
Class C to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)/Watch Pos'
Rating Lowered
KCAP F3C Senior Funding LLC
Class E to 'B+ (sf)' from 'BB- (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
KCAP F3C Senior Funding LLC
Class A: AAA (sf)
Rating Affirmed And Removed From CreditWatch Positive
KCAP F3C Senior Funding LLC
Class D to 'BBB- (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)/Watch Pos'
MARINER FINANCE 2022-A: S&P Raises Class E Notes Rating to BB-(sf)
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on ten classes and affirmed
its ratings on 11 classes from Mariner Finance Issuance Trust
(MFIT) 2019-A, 2020-A, 2021-A, 2021-B, and 2022-A.
S&P said, "The rating actions reflect our view of the collateral
pools' performance to date and the pools' future expected
performance, as well as each transaction's structure and credit
enhancement. Our analysis also incorporated secondary credit
factors, including credit stability, payment priorities under
various scenarios, and sector- and issuer-specific analyses. The
upgrades and affirmations reflect our view that the total credit
support as a percentage of the pool balances, compared with our
expected defaults, is commensurate with each raised and affirmed
rating. Additionally, upgrade of class D from MFIT 2019-A reflects
the expected short term to pay down.
"We also reviewed each transaction's operational, legal, and
counterparty risks. Considering all these factors, we believe that
the creditworthiness of the notes is consistent with the raised and
affirmed ratings."
Each MFIT transaction is backed by a pool of fixed-rate personal
consumer loans and contains a sequential principal payment
structure in which the classes are paid principal by seniority. The
transactions each also benefit from credit enhancement in the form
of a reserve account, overcollateralization, subordination for the
higher-rated tranches, and excess spread.
Three of the five MFIT transactions S&P reviewed are still in their
revolving periods and scheduled to enter amortization between 2024
and 2026. The MFIT 2019-A and 2020-A transactions' revolving period
ended June 30, 2022, and July 31, 2023, respectively. Since then,
collections are no longer used to acquire additional loans and
instead are used to redeem the notes.
S&P said, "Our cash flow modeling assumed that for the transactions
in their revolving period, each pool would revolve to the
worst-case composition permitted by the transaction documents and
enter amortization. Additionally, for deals in amortization we use
the actual pool composition for projecting the default rates. We
applied our current cash flow modeling assumptions below to all
transactions."
Cash Flow Modeling Assumptions
S&P ran multiple stressed cash flow scenarios commensurate with the
various rating scenarios. S&P's scenarios included certain
assumptions:
-- Annualized monthly loss rates of approximately 15% to 21%,
which increase linearly during 12 months to a peak loss equal to a
rating-stress multiple of the base case. We applied approximately
62%-73% loss assumptions for the 'AAA' rating scenarios.
-- A 5.6% base case recovery rate, haircut accordingly to each
stress scenario and applied over 60 months.
Voluntary prepayment speeds of 6%-15%.
The cash flow runs show timely interest and principal repayment of
all of the notes in the transactions under the respective rating
stress scenarios.
For transaction MFIT 2020-A, while the cash flow results indicated
that the class B and C debt could support a higher rating, S&P
limited the ratings to one notch below the rating of the classes
senior to them in the transaction structure, since the senior notes
have a favorable position relative to the subordinated notes in
terms of payment priority and in the case of an event of default.
S&P said, "We will continue to monitor the performance of all the
transactions to ensure that the credit enhancement remains
sufficient, in our view, to cover our default expectations under
our stress scenarios for each of the rated classes."
Ratings Raised
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2019-A
Class D to AAA (sf) from AA+ (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2020-A
Class C to AA (sf) from AA- (sf)
Class D to A (sf) from BBB- (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2021-A
Class B to AA (sf) from AA- (sf)
Class C to A (sf) from A- (sf)
Class D to BBB (sf) from BBB- (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2021-B
Class B to AA (sf) from AA- (sf)
Class C to A (sf) from A- (sf)
Class D to BBB (sf) from BBB- (sf)
Class E to BB (sf) from BB- (sf)
Ratings Affirmed
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2019-A
Class C: AAA (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2020-A
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class B: AA+ (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2021-A
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2021-B
Class A: AAA (sf)
Mariner Finance Issuance Trust 2022-A
Class A: AAA (sf)
Class B: AA- (sf)
Class C: A- (sf)
Class D: BBB- (sf)
Class E: BB- (sf)
METRONET INFRASTRUCTURE 2024-1: Fitch Rates Class C Notes 'BB-sf'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Metronet Infrastructure Issuer LLC, Secured Fiber Network Revenue
Notes Series 2024-1. Fitch has also affirmed the ratings on
Metronet Infrastructure Issuer LLC, Secured Fiber Network Revenue
Notes Series 2023-3, Series 2023-2, Series 2023-1, and Series
2022-1. The Rating Outlooks remain Stable.
Fitch has assigned final ratings and Rating Outlooks as follows:
- $344,600,000 series 2024-1, class A-2, 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $47,700,000 series 2024-1, class B, 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $96,00,000 series 2024-1, class C, 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
Fitch has additionally affirmed the following classes:
- $400,000,000a series 2023-2 class A-1 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--$478,236,000 series 2023-3 class A-2 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $66,156,000 series 2023-3 class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $133,109,000 series 2023-3 class C at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $487,139,000 series 2023-1 class A-2 at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
--$67,387,000 series 2023-1 class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $135,587,000 series 2023-1, class C, at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
- $860,781,000 series 2022-1, class A-2, at 'Asf'; Outlook Stable;
- $119,075,000 series 2022-1 class B at 'BBBsf'; Outlook Stable;
- $239,584,000 series 2022-1 class C at 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) This note is a Variable Funding Note (VFN) and has a maximum
commitment of $400 million contingent on leverage consistent with
the class A-2 notes. This class will reflect a zero balance at
issuance.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Metronet Infrastructure
Issuer LLC, Secured
Fiber Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2023-2
Class A-1 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Metronet Infrastructure
Issuer LLC, Secured
Fiber Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2024-1
A-2 59170JAK4 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B 59170JAL2 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
C 59170JAM0 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Metronet Infrastructure
Issuer LLC, Secured
Fiber Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2022-1
Class A-2 59170JAA6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Class B 59170JAB4 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Class C 59170JAC2 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
Metronet Infrastructure
Issuer LLC, Secured
Fiber Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2023-3
Class A-2 59170JA*9 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Class B 59170JA@7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Class C 59170JA#5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
Metronet Infrastructure
Issuer LLC, Secured
Fiber Network Revenue
Notes, Series 2023-1
Class A-2 59170DAA9 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Class B 59170DAB7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Class C 59170DAC5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The transaction is a securitization of subscription and contract
payments derived from an existing fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP)
network. Collateral assets include conduits, cables, network-level
equipment, access rights, customer agreements, transaction accounts
and a pledge of equity from the asset entities. Debt is secured by
net revenue from operations and benefits from a perfected security
interest in the securitized assets.
The collateral consists of high-quality fiber lines that support
the provision of internet, cable and phone services to a network of
approximately 480,000 customers across 14 states; these assets
represent approximately 89.8% of the sponsor's business based on
the percentage of revenue generated. For the markets contributed to
the transaction, the majority of the subscriber base, comprising
29.0% of annualized run rate revenue (ARRR), is located in Indiana,
although the base is spread across a few distinct markets within
the state.
Since the previous issuance in October 2023, the collateral
networks are backed by an additional 47,850 subscribers and include
131,785 newly-passed premises, primarily from organic growth within
previously contributed markets. New markets account for 0.7% of
ARRR, including markets in two new states, Colorado (ARRR: 0.2%)
and Missouri (ARRR: 0.0%).
The ratings reflect a structured finance analysis of cash flows
from the ownership interest in the underlying fiber optic network,
rather than an assessment of the corporate default risk of the
ultimate parent, Metronet Holdings, LLC.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow and Leverage: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) on the pool
is $307.9 million, implying a 14.9% haircut to issuer NCF in the
base case. The debt multiple relative to Fitch's NCF on the rated
classes is 10.0x, versus the debt/issuer NCF leverage of 8.5x.
Inclusive of the cash flow required to draw on the maximum VFN
commitment of $400 million, the Fitch NCF on the pool is $359.8
million, implying a 16.0% haircut to issuer NCF. The debt multiple
relative to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is 9.7x, compared with
the debt / issuer NCF leverage of 8.1x.
Credit Risk Factors: Major factors affecting Fitch's determination
of cash flow and maximum potential leverage (MPL) include: the high
quality of the underlying collateral networks; scale and diversity
of the customer base, market position and penetration; capability
of the operator; and strength of the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: Due to the specialized nature of the
collateral and potential for changes in technology to affect
long-term demand for digital infrastructure, the senior classes of
this transaction do not achieve ratings above 'Asf'. The securities
have a rated final payment date 30 years after closing, and the
long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that an
alternative technology, rendering obsolete the current transmission
of data through fiber optic cables, will be developed. Fiber optic
cable networks are currently the fastest and most reliable means to
transmit information, and data providers continue to invest in and
utilize this technology.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow as a result of higher expenses, customer churn,
lower market penetration, declining contract rates or the
development of an alternative technology for the transmission of
data could lead to downgrades.
Fitch's base case NCF was 14.9% below the issuer's underwritten
cash flow. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates the
following ratings based on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2
from 'Asf' to 'BBB+sf'; class B from 'BBBsf' to 'BBB-sf'; class C
from 'BB-sf' to 'B+sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Increasing cash flow without an increase in corresponding debt,
from rate increases, additional customers, or contract amendments
could lead to upgrades.
A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings based
on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2 from 'Asf' to 'Asf';
class B from 'BBBsf' to 'Asf'; class C from 'BB-sf' to 'BB+sf'.
Upgrades are unlikely for these transactions given the provision
for the issuer to issue additional notes, which rank pari passu or
subordinate to existing notes, without the benefit of additional
collateral. In addition, the transaction is capped in the 'Asf'
category, given the risk of technological obsolescence.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MILFORD PARK: Fitch Affirms 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the ratings on the class A-1, A-2, B, C
and D notes in Unity-Peace Park CLO, Ltd. (Unity-Peace Park), the
B, C and D notes in Davis Park CLO, Ltd. (Davis Park) and the B, C,
D and E notes in Milford Park CLO, Ltd. (Milford Park). Fitch has
revised the Rating Outlooks on classes B, C and D issued by
Unity-Peace Park to Positive from Stable. The Outlook remains
Stable for all other tranches.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Milford Park
CLO, Ltd.
B 59966PAC6 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 59966PAE2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 59966PAG7 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 59967DAA6 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
Unity-Peace
Park CLO, Ltd.
A-1 913318AA9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2 913318AC5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 913318AE1 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 913318AG6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 913318AJ0 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
Davis Park
CLO, Ltd.
B 239086AE1 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
C 239086AG6 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D 239086AJ0 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Unity-Peace Park, Davis Park and Milford Park are broadly
syndicated collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) managed by
Blackstone Liquid Credit Strategies LLC. Unity-Peace Park closed in
May 2022 while Davis Park and Milford Park closed in June 2022
Unity-Peace Park and Davis Park will exit the reinvestment period
in April 2027 and Milford Park exits the reinvestment period in
July 2027. All three CLOs are secured primarily by first-lien,
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Cash Flow Analysis and Stable Collateral Performance
As of February 2024 reporting, portfolio performance remains stable
across all three CLOs. On average, the Fitch weighted average
rating factor (WARF) improved to 25.1 (B/B-) from 25.6 at last
review. There are no Fitch classified defaulted assets in any of
the three deals. All coverage tests, collateral quality tests
(CQTs), and concentration limitations are in compliance. Assets
with a Negative Outlook comprise on average 17.2% of the current
portfolios compared with 16.9% at last review, while average
exposure to issuers on Fitch's watchlist stands at 6.5% compared
with 3.4% at last review. On average, the Fitch weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) improved to 75.7%, compared to 74.7% at last
review.
Fitch analyzed each CLO based on the current portfolio and an
updated Fitch Stressed Portfolio (FSP) cash flow analysis. The FSP
analysis stressed the current portfolios as of the latest trustee
reporting to account for permissible concentration and CQT limits
of each transaction.
The rating actions on the notes are in line with their respective
model-implied ratings (MIRs), as defined in Fitch's "CLOs and
Corporate CDOs Rating Criteria," except for eight classes of notes
that were affirmed below their MIRs: one notch below MIR for class
C notes in Davis Park, the class B and C notes in Unity-Peace Park
and the B, C and E notes in Milford Park and two notches below for
the class D notes in both Unity-Peace Park and Milford Park. This
was due to the sensitivity of these classes' MIRs, driven by the
FSP analysis, to the weighted average spread covenant.
Outlook revision to Positive for class B, C, and D notes issued by
Unity-Peace Park is supported by lower concentration limitation for
non-senior secured limit of 4% that led to higher breakeven default
ratio (BEDR) cushions at MIR levels. The Stable Outlooks on the
remaining notes reflect Fitch's expectation that the notes have
sufficient levels of credit enhancement (CE) to withstand potential
deterioration in the credit quality of the portfolios in stress
scenarios commensurate with each class' rating.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Downgrades may occur if realized and projected losses of the
portfolio are higher than what was assumed at closing and the
notes' CE do not compensate for the higher loss expectation than
initially anticipated;
- A 25% increase of the mean default rate across all ratings, along
with a 25% decrease of the recovery rate at all rating levels for
the current portfolio, would lead to downgrades of up to two rating
notches, based on MIRs.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Except for the tranches already at the highest 'AAAsf' rating,
upgrades may occur in the event of better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and transaction performance;
- A 25% reduction of the mean default rate across all ratings,
along with a 25% increase of the recovery rate at all rating levels
for the current portfolio, would lead to upgrades of up to five
rating notches, based on MIRs.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
MORGAN STANLEY 2014-C19: DBRS Confirms C Rating on Class F Certs
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Limited downgraded its credit ratings on two classes of
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2014-C19
issued by Morgan Stanley Bank of America Merrill Lynch Trust
2014-C19 as follows:
-- Class E to CCC (sf) from B (sf)
-- Class X-E to CCC (sf) from B (high) (sf)
In addition, Morningstar DBRS confirmed the following credit
ratings:
-- Class A-3 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-4 at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-SB at AAA (sf)
-- Class A-S at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-A at AAA (sf)
-- Class X-B at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class X-C at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (high) (sf)
-- Class PST at A (high) (sf)
-- Class X-D at BBB (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F at C (sf)
Morningstar DBRS changed the trends on Classes D and X-D to
Negative from Stable. Classes E, F, and X-E no longer carry a trend
given their CCC (sf) or lower credit rating. The trends on all
remaining classes are Stable.
The credit rating downgrades and Negative trends reflect
Morningstar DBRS' increased loss projections for select loans in
the transaction, most notably for the PacStar Retail Portfolio loan
(Prospectus ID#9; 4.4% of the pool), which is collateralized by two
retail properties that were recently re-valued at a lower amount
compared with the previous appraisal obtained by the special
servicer. Of the eight specially serviced loans as of the February
2024 remittance, six loans received updated appraisals since
Morningstar DBRS' last credit rating action, with seven of the
eight loans liquidated in the analysis for this review. Morningstar
DBRS estimates the total liquidated losses to be approximately
$50.0 million (with an average loan-level loss severity exceeding
40.0%), which would erode the entirety of the unrated Class G and
more than 60.0% of Class F, supporting the credit rating downgrades
with this review. The trend change on Class D to Negative from
Stable reflects the significant credit erosion to the transaction
as the pool winds down, with the majority of the remaining loans
scheduled to mature by the end of 2024.
According to the February 2024 remittance, 62 of the original 77
loans remain in the pool, representing a collateral reduction of
34.3% since issuance. Of the remaining pool, 16 loans, representing
20.5% of the pool, are fully defeased. Five loans, representing
14.8% of the pool, are on the servicer's watchlist and eight loans,
representing 11.4% of the pool, are in special servicing. The
transaction is concentrated by property type with seven loans,
representing 27.1% of the pool, secured by office collateral,
including the largest loan, 300 North LaSalle (Prospectus ID#2;
11.2% of the pool). All but two of the remaining loans, including
all seven office loans, are scheduled to mature in 2024. Outside of
the specially serviced loans, the overall maturity profile is
generally healthy, with a select few non-specially serviced loans
exhibiting increased refinance risk. As the transaction is in
wind-down, the analysis for this review generally focused on the
recoverability prospects for the remaining loans in the pool.
The largest loan in the pool, 300 North LaSalle, is secured by a
trophy Class A office building in Chicago, totaling 1.3 million
square feet (sf). According to the March 2023 rent roll, the
property was 93.5% occupied with an average rental rate of $39.84
per square foot. Tenants representing 27.5% of the net rentable
area (NRA) are scheduled to roll in 2024, including the second
largest tenant, Boston Consulting Group (BCG;12.2% of NRA, lease
expiry in December 2024). BCG has confirmed its plans to vacate at
lease expiry for a relocation to 360 North Green Street. In July
2023, the loan's sponsor, Irvine Company, announced that Winston &
Strawn had been signed as a replacement tenant, taking over all of
BCG's former space. The lease terms have been requested from the
servicer but have not been provided as of the date of this press
release.
The largest tenant, Kirkland & Ellis, LLP (Kirkland & Ellis; 51.5%
of NRA, original lease expiry in February 2029), had a one-time
termination available effective February 2025, which was exercised
to accommodate the tenant's plans to relocate to the newly
constructed Salesforce Tower Chicago at Wolfpoint, which opened in
2023. As part of the lease termination, the tenant is required to
pay a termination fee of $51.2 million, which has been posted in
the form of a letter of credit that is on file with the servicer.
While no replacement tenants for the Kirkland & Ellis space have
been signed to date, the sponsor appears to be committed to the
property as evidenced by an announced upcoming $30.0 million
capital improvement plan that is expected to include an expansion
of the subject's ground-floor restaurant, upgrades to the fitness
and conference centers, and refurbished indoor and outdoor spaces.
The property's ability to attract a replacement for the BCG space
as well as an expansion for another tenant, private equity firm
GTCR, as part of a five-year lease extension through 2029 bodes
well for the sponsor's ability to attract tenants to the building
but the significant footprint that will be left by the absence of
Kirkland & Ellis will undoubtedly add complexity to efforts to
secure a replacement loan at the August 2024 maturity. Mitigating
factors include the low A-note loan-to-value ratio of 22.5%, based
on its appraised value at issuance and current A-note balance,
planned capital improvement project, and the $51.2 million in
termination funds available as additional collateral on the loan.
The largest loan in special servicing, PacStar Retail Portfolio
(Prospectus ID#9; 4.4% of the pool), is secured by two anchored
retail properties totaling 398,131 sf. The larger of the two
properties, Yards Plaza, is a 259,137-sf shopping center located
eight miles southwest of downtown Chicago. The smaller property,
Willowbrook Court Shopping Center, is a 137,650-sf shopping center
located within a highly trafficked retail corridor of northwest
Houston. The loan transferred to special servicing in September
2021 for imminent nonmonetary default but defaulted on its payment
as the loan was last paid through April 2022. Collateral occupancy
has continuously declined following the departure of an anchor
tenant at the Willowbrook Court property in 2018 and the sponsor
has been unable to drive meaningful leasing activity. Through Q2
2023, the loan reported a combined occupancy rate of 54.0% with a
debt service coverage ratio of 0.05 times. The borrower has
indicated a willingness to transfer the properties back to the
lender and a new appraisal was published as of July 2023, valuing
the collateral at $25.7 million. The July 2023 value represents a
-16.9% variance from the November 2022 value of $30.9 million and a
-63.1% variance from the issuance value of $69.6 million. Based on
the most recent appraised value, Morningstar DBRS analyzed this
loan with a liquidation scenario, resulting in a loss severity in
excess of 70.0%.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
MOSAIC SOLAR 2023-2: Fitch Affirrms 'BB-sf' Rating on Class D Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the Mosaic Solar Loan Trust 2023-2
(Mosaic 2023-2) notes as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Mosaic Solar Loan
Trust 2023-2
Class A 61945WAA7 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
Class B 61945WAB5 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
Class C 61945WAC3 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
Class D 61945WAD1 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Mosaic 2023-2 is a securitization of consumer loans backed by
residential solar equipment. All the loans were originated by Solar
Mosaic, LLC (Mosaic), one of the oldest established solar lenders
in the U.S.; it has advanced solar loans since 2014.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance Within Expectations: As of the February 2024 servicer
report, the cumulative default rate (CDR) is 1.15% and is broadly
consistent with Fitch's initial expectations for that level of
portfolio seasoning. Prepayments have been lower than initially
expected, with an average reported Constant Prepayment Rate CPR of
6.2%, compared to its initial assumption of 10%. However, assets
have not yet reached the reamortization period.
Extrapolated Asset Assumptions Maintained: Fitch considered both
originator-wide data and previous Mosaic transactions to set a
lifetime default expectation of 8.3%. Fitch has also assumed a 30%
base case recovery rate. Fitch's rating default rates (RDRs) for
'AA-sf', 'A-sf', 'BBB-sf' and 'BB-sf' are, respectively, 33.5%,
24.9%, 17.8% and 12.6%. Fitch's rating recovery rates (RRRs) are,
respectively, 19%, 21.8%, 24.0% and 26.0%.
Limited History Determines 'AAsf' Cap: Residential solar loans in
the U.S. have long terms, many of which are now at 25 years (and
for a small portion, 30 years). For Mosaic, more than eight years
of performance data are available, which compares favorably with
the other solar ABS transactions that Fitch currently rates, and
the solar industry at large.
Target OC and Amortization Trigger: Class A and B notes will
amortize based on target overcollateralization (OC) percentages.
The target OC is 100% of the outstanding adjusted balance for the
first 16 months, ensuring that there is no leakage of funds
initially, irrespective of the collateral performance; then it
falls to 15.5%. Should the escalating cumulative loss trigger be
breached, the payment waterfall will switch to turbo sequential,
deferring any interest payments for class C and D, and, thus,
accelerating the senior note deleveraging. The repayment timing of
classes C and D is highly sensitive to the timing of a trigger
breach.
Standard Reputable Counterparties; No Swap: The transaction account
is with Wilmington Trust, and the servicer's collection account is
with Wells Fargo Bank. Commingling risk is mitigated by transfer of
collections within two business days, the high initial ACH share
and Wells Fargo's ratings. As both assets and liabilities pay a
fixed coupon, there is no need for an interest rate hedge and,
thus, no exposure to swap counterparties.
Established Specialized Lender: Mosaic is one of the first-movers
among U.S. solar loan lenders, with the longest track record among
originators of the solar ABS that Fitch rates. Underwriting is
mostly automated and in line with those of other U.S. ABS
originators.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Asset performance that indicates an implied annualized default rate
(ADR) above 1.5% and a simultaneous fall in prepayments activity
may put pressure on the rating or lead to a Negative Rating
Outlook.
Material changes in policy support, the economics of purchasing and
financing PV panels and batteries, and/or ground-breaking
technological advances that make the existing equipment obsolete
may also negatively affect the rating.
Below, Fitch shows model-implied rating sensitivities to changes in
default and/or recovery assumptions.
As transaction performance is in line with expectations, the model
has not been re-run since closing.
Increase of defaults (Class A / B / C / D):
+10%: 'A+sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BB+sf';
+25%: 'Asf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf';
+50%: 'A-sf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BB+sf' / 'BB-sf'.
Decrease of recoveries (Class A / B / C / D):
-10%: 'AA-sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBB-sf';
-25%: 'A+sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBB-sf';
-50%: 'A+sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBBsf'.
Increase of defaults and decrease of recoveries (Class A / B / C /
D):
+10% / -10%: 'A+sf' / 'Asf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf';
+25% / -25%: 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBsf';
+50% / -50%: 'BBB+sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BB+sf' / 'BB-sf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch currently caps ratings in the 'AAsf' category due to limited
performance history, while the assigned rating of 'AA-sf' is
further constrained by the available credit enhancement (CE). As a
result, a positive rating action could result from an increase in
CE due to class A deleveraging, underpinned by good transaction
performance, for example, through high prepayments and ADR at
around 1% or below. The overall economic environment is also an
important consideration and Fitch's ABS outlook is generally
deteriorating in the short term.
Below, Fitch shows model-implied rating sensitivities, capped at
'AA+sf', to changes in default and/or recovery assumptions.
As transaction performance is in line with expectations, the model
has not been re-run since closing.
Decrease of defaults (Class A / B / C / D):
-10%: 'AAsf' / 'A+sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf';
-25%: 'AA+sf' / 'AAsf' / 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf';
-50%: 'AA+sf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf' / 'A+sf'.
Increase of recoveries (Class A / B / C / D):
+10%: 'AA-sf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBB-sf';
+25%: 'AA-sf' / 'A+sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBB-sf';
+50%: 'AAsf' / 'A+sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf'.
Decrease of defaults and increase of recoveries (Class A / B / C /
D):
-10% / +10%: 'AAsf' / 'A+sf' / 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf';
-25% / +25%: 'AA+sf' / 'AAsf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBB+sf';
-50% / +50%: 'AA+sf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf' / 'A+sf'.
CRITERIA VARIATION
This analysis includes a criteria variation due to MIR variations
in excess of the limit stated in the consumer ABS criteria report
for new ratings. According to the criteria, the committee can
decide to deviate from the MIRs, but, if the MIR variation is
greater than one notch, this will be a criteria variation. The MIR
variations for classes B to D are greater than one notch.
Given the sensitivity of ratings to model assumptions and
conventions, repayment timing, and tranche thickness, the ultimate
ratings were constrained by sensitivity analysis.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The historical information available for this originator did not
cover the asset tenor of up to 30 years, as originations began in
2014. Fitch applied a rating cap at the 'AAsf' category to address
this limitation.
The amortizing nature of the assets, the data available from
previous Mosaic transactions and the application of an ADR to the
static portfolio allowed us to determine lifetime default
assumptions. Taking into account this analytical approach, the
rating committee considered the available data sufficient to
support a rating in the 'AAsf' category.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
NAVIENT STUDENT 2014-1: Moody's Lowers Rating on A-3 Notes to Ba2
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the ratings of eight classes of
notes issued by five student loan securitizations sponsored and
administered by Navient Solutions, LLC. The securitizations are
backed by student loans originated under the Federal Family
Education Loan Program (FFELP) that are guaranteed by the US
government for a minimum of 97% of defaulted principal and accrued
interest.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Navient Student Loan Trust 2014-1
Floating Rate Class A-3 Notes, Downgraded to Ba2 (sf); previously
on Nov 23, 2022 Downgraded to Baa3 (sf)
Floating Rate Class A-4 Notes, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously
on Jun 23, 2023 Downgraded to A3 (sf)
Floating Rate Class B Notes, Downgraded to A3 (sf); previously on
Sep 16, 2016 Downgraded to A1 (sf)
Issuer: Navient Student Loan Trust 2014-8
Floating Rate Class B Notes, Downgraded to A1 (sf); previously on
Sep 16, 2016 Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
Issuer: Navient Student Loan Trust 2015-1
Floating Rate Class A-2 Notes, Downgraded to A3 (sf); previously on
Sep 25, 2023 Downgraded to A1 (sf)
Issuer: Navient Student Loan Trust 2015-2
Floating Rate Class A-3 Notes, Downgraded to A1 (sf); previously on
Apr 23, 2015 Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Floating Rate Class B Notes, Downgraded to A1 (sf); previously on
Oct 5, 2016 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
Issuer: Navient Student Loan Trust 2015-3
Floating Rate Class B Notes, Downgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on
Jun 1, 2018 Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating downgrades are primarily driven by the updated
performance of these transactions and updated expected loss on the
tranches across Moody's cash flow scenarios. Moody's quantitative
analysis derives the expected loss for a tranche using 28 cash flow
scenarios with weights accorded to each scenario.
The rating actions reflect the change in the weighted average
remaining term. Due to the significant increases in forbearance
previously, the weighted average remaining terms continue to rise,
negatively impacting collateral pool amortization rates and
increasing the risk of notes not paying down by their legal final
maturity dates.
The rating action on Class A-2 Notes of Navient Student Loan Trust
2015-1 also considers the impact of a data format change introduced
by Navient in 2018. For such bonds with long dated legal final
maturities (more than five years), Moody's makes adjustments to
model outputs to normalize the impact of the collateral data format
on modeled cashflows.
Moody's ratings on some of the Class A notes of the affected
transactions are lower than the ratings on the subordinated Class B
notes. Although some transaction structures stipulate that Class B
interest is diverted to pay Class A principal upon default on the
Class A notes, Moody's analysis indicates that the cash flow
available to make payments on the Class B notes will be sufficient
to make all required payments, including accrued interest, to Class
B noteholders by the Class B final maturity dates, which occur
later than the final maturity dates of the Class A notes.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features and credit enhancement.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating Securities Backed by FFELP Student Loans"
published in April 2021.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Moody's could upgrade the ratings if the paydown speed of the loan
pool increases as a result of declining borrower usage of
deferment, forbearance and IBR, increasing voluntary prepayment
rates, or prepayments with proceeds from sponsor repurchases of
student loan collateral. Moody's could also upgrade the ratings
owing to a build-up in credit enhancement.
Down
Moody's could downgrade the ratings if the paydown speed of the
loan pool declines as a result of lower than expected voluntary
prepayments, and higher than expected deferment, forbearance and
IBR rates, and extended remaining terms which would threaten full
repayment of the class by its final maturity date. In addition,
because the US Department of Education guarantees at least 97% of
principal and accrued interest on defaulted loans, Moody's could
downgrade the rating of the notes if it were to downgrade the
rating on the United States government.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 39: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Cl. E-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Neuberger
Berman Loan Advisers CLO 39, Ltd. reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers CLO 39, Ltd.
A-1-R LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R LT AAsf New Rating
C-R LT Asf New Rating
D-R LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R LT BB-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers CLO 39, Ltd. (the issuer) is an
arbitrage cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers II LLC that originally closed in
December 2020. The CLO's secured notes will be refinanced in whole
on March 12, 2024 (the first refinancing date) from the proceeds of
new secured notes. The secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first-lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.75, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.00. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
93.6% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 74.6% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 72.4%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1-R, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf'
for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between
less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D-R, and between less than
'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1-R and class
A-2-R notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class C-R, 'Asf'
for class D-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers CLO 39, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide
ESG relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
NEW MOUNTAIN 5: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to New Mountain CLO 5
Ltd./New Mountain CLO 5 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by New Mountain Credit CLO Advisers
LLC.
The ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
New Mountain CLO 5 Ltd./New Mountain CLO 5 LLC
Class A, $256 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $46 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $26 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $41 million: Not rated
NEW RESIDENTIAL 2024-NQM1: Fitch Gives B-sf Rating on Cl. B-3 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings rates the residential mortgage-backed notes issued by
New Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2024-NQM1 (NRMLT 2024-NQM1) as
follows:
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
NRMLT 2024-NQM1
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
A-3 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
B-2 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
M-1 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS-2 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch rates the residential mortgage-backed notes issued by New
Residential Mortgage Loan Trust 2024-NQM1 (NRMLT 2024-NQM1) as
indicated above. The notes are supported by 610 newly originated
loans that have a balance of $282 million as of the Feb. 1, 2023
cut-off date. The pool consists of loans originated by NewRez LLC
as well as third-party originations from American Heritage Lending
and LendSure, among others.
The notes are secured mainly by non-qualified mortgage (QM) loans,
as defined by the ability-to-repay (ATR) rule. Of the loans in the
pool, 75.6% are designated as non-QM, while the remainder are safe
harbor QM or are not subject to the ATR rule.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 10.3% above a long-term sustainable level (relative
to 9.4% on a national level as of 2Q23). Housing affordability is
the worst it has been in decades, driven by high interest rates and
elevated home prices. National home prices increased by 4.7% yoy as
of October 2023, despite modest regional declines, but are still
being supported by limited inventory.
Non-Prime Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral consists of 610
loans, totaling $282 million and seasoned approximately five months
in aggregate, according to Fitch, as calculated from the
origination date. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile
compared with other non-QM transactions, with a 739 Fitch model
FICO score and 38% debt/income ratios, as determined by Fitch after
converting the debt service coverage ratio values.
However, leverage is consistent with the previous NRMLT
transactions in 2023, with an 80% sustainable loan/value [sLTV])
within the pool is consistent compared to previous NRMLT
transactions from 2023. The pool consists of 64.1% of loans where
the borrower maintains a primary residence, while Fitch considers
23.2% as investor property or second homes. Only 17.6% of loans
were originated through a retail channel. Moreover, Fitch considers
75.6% as non-QM and the remainder either safe harbor or not subject
to QM.
Modified Sequential-Payment Structure (Mixed): The structure pays
principal pro rata among the senior notes, while shutting out the
subordinate bonds from principal until all senior classes are
reduced to zero. If a cumulative loss trigger event or delinquency
trigger event occurs in a given period, principal will be paid
sequentially to class A-1, A-2 and A-3 notes until reduced to
zero.
After the 48th payment date, the A-1 through A-3 classes will be
contractually due the lower of the fixed rate for the class plus
1.0% or the Net WAC rate. This increases the principal and interest
allocation for A-1 through A-3 and decreases the amount of excess
spread available in the transaction. Furthermore, at any time,
interest amounts otherwise distributable to class B-3 will be
redirected to pay cap carryover amounts to classes A-1 through A-3,
sequentially.
Loan Documentation (Negative): According to Fitch, 72.7% of the
pool was underwritten to less than full documentation.
Approximately 62.3% was underwritten to a 12 or 24 month bank
statement program for verifying income, which is inconsistent with
Fitch's view of a full documentation program.
A key distinction between this pool and legacy Alt-A loans is that
these loans adhere to underwriting and documentation standards
required under the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's ATR rule.
The standards aim to reduce the risk of borrower default arising
from lack of affordability, misrepresentation or other operational
quality risks due to rigor of the ATR rule's mandates with respect
to the underwriting and documentation of the borrower's ATR.
Additionally, 7.8% of the loans are debt service coverage ratio
products and 1.78% are asset depletion products.
High Investor Property Concentrations (Negative): Approximately
23.5% of the pool comprises investment property loans, including
7.8% underwritten to a cash flow ratio rather than the borrower's
debt/income ratio. Investor property loans exhibit higher
probability of default and loss severity than owner-occupied homes.
Fitch increased the probability of default by 2.0x for the cash
flow ratio loans relative to a traditional income documentation
investor loan to account for the increased risk.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 41.7% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how the
ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with no
assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is already
rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential positive
rating migration for all rated classes. Specifically, a 10% gain in
home prices would result in a full category upgrade for the rated
classes, excluding those being assigned ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E ("Form 15E") as
prepared by Consolidated Analytics, Clayton, Digital Risk, Evolve,
Infinity and Selene. The third-party due diligence described in
Form 15E focused on a credit, compliance and property valuation
review. Fitch considered this information in its analysis and, as a
result, Fitch made the following adjustments to its analysis:
- A 5% probability of default credit was applied at the loan level
for all loans graded either 'A' or 'B'
- Fitch lowered its loss expectations by approximately 56bp as a
result of the diligence review.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The transaction has an ESG credit relevance score for Transaction
Parties and operational Risk of '4' due to operational
considerations associated with the representation and warranty
framework without mitigating factors.
For all other factors, the highest level of ESG credit relevance is
a score of '3', unless otherwise disclosed in this section. A score
of '3' means ESG issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal
credit impact on the entity, either due to their nature or the way
in which they are being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG
Relevance Scores are not inputs in the rating process; they are an
observation on the relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the
rating decision.
NEWSTAR ARLINGTON: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its rating on the class B-R debt from
NewStar Arlington Senior Loan Program LLC. S&P also removed this
rating from CreditWatch, where it was placed with positive
implications in January 2024. At the same time, S&P raised its
ratings on the class C-1-R and C-2-R debt and affirmed its ratings
on the class A-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R debt from the same
transaction.
The rating actions follow its review of the transaction's
performance using data from the February 2024 trustee report.
The transaction has paid down $132.14 in collective paydowns to the
class A-R debt since our June 2022 rating actions. These paydowns
resulted in improved reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios
since the April 2022 trustee report, which S&P used for its
previous rating actions:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 186.82% from 150.25%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 145.24% from 131.84%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 125.46% from 121.32%.
While the senior O/C ratios improved, the junior O/C ratio declined
slightly since the April 2022 trustee report:
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 109.91% from 112.02%.
While the senior O/C ratios experienced a positive movement due to
the lower balances of the senior notes, the junior O/C ratio
declined partially due to an increase in defaults and haircuts that
the CLO incurred since S&P's last rating action.
Collateral obligations with ratings in the 'CCC' category, as a
percentage of the total portfolio, have increased to 16.0% from
11.7%, though the aggregate par balance of these assets has
declined to $37.94 million from $45.28 million. Over the same
period, the total par amount of defaulted collateral has increased
to $14.77 million from $7.56 million.
However, despite the larger concentrations in the 'CCC' category
and defaulted collateral, the transaction, especially the senior
tranches, have benefited from a drop in the weighted average life
due to underlying collateral's seasoning, with 2.87 years reported
as of the February 2024 trustee report, compared with 3.86 years
reported at the time of our June 2022 rating actions.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the notes at the prior rating levels. The affirmed ratings
reflect adequate credit support at the current rating levels,
though any further deterioration in the credit support available to
the notes could results in further ratings changes.
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a higher rating on the class C-1-R, C-2-R, D-R, and E-R
debt. S&P said, "However, because the transaction currently has
higher exposure to 'CCC' rated collateral obligations and defaulted
assets, we limited the upgrade on these classes to offset future
potential credit migration in the underlying collateral. Our rating
actions also reflect sensitivity runs that considered the exposure
to lower quality assets and distressed prices we noticed in the
portfolio. Additionally, we would expect to see larger cushions to
account for the nature of a middle market transaction."
S&P said, "Although the cash flow results indicated a lower rating
for the class F-R debt, we view the overall credit seasoning as an
improvement to the transaction and also considered the relatively
stable O/C ratios, which currently have additional cushion over
their minimum requirements. The class F-R debt also subsequently
did not meet our 'CCC' criteria for being dependent on favorable
conditions. However, any increase in defaults or par losses could
lead to negative rating actions on the class F-R debt in the
future.
"In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied
forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of
defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various interest rate
and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our analysis considered
the transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis--and other qualitative factors as
applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the rated
outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement available at
the rating levels associated with these rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and will take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Rating Raised And Removed From CreditWatch Positive
NewStar Arlington Senior Loan Program LLC
Class B-R to AAA (sf) from AA (sf)/Watch Pos
Ratings Raised
NewStar Arlington Senior Loan Program LLC
Class C-1-R to A+ (sf) from A (sf)
Class C-2-R to A+ (sf) from A (sf)
Ratings Affirmed
NewStar Arlington Senior Loan Program LLC
Class A-R: AAA (sf)
Class D-R: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R: BB- (sf)
Class F-R: B- (sf)
NYMT LOAN 2024-CP1: Fitch Assigns 'Bsf' Rating on Class B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings assigns ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
notes to be issued by NYMT Loan Trust 2024-CP1 (NYMT 2024-CP1) as
follows:
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
NYMT Loan Trust
2024-CP1
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
M-1 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-2 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-IO-S LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
XS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The notes are supported by one collateral group that consists of
1,670 seasoned performing loans (SPLs) and reperforming loans
(RPLs) in either a senior or junior lien position with a total
balance of approximately $334 million, including $5.9 million in
deferred balances.
Distributions of P&I and loss allocations are based on a
senior-subordinate, sequential structure. The sequential-pay
structure locks out principal to the subordinated notes until the
most senior notes outstanding are paid in full. The servicers will
not be advancing delinquent monthly payments of P&I.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 10.8% above a long-term sustainable level versus
11.1% on a national level as of 3Q23, up 1.82% since the prior
quarter. Housing affordability is at its worst level in decades,
driven by high interest rates and elevated home prices.
RPL Credit Quality (Negative): The collateral pool consists
primarily of peak-vintage SPLs and RPLs. As of the cut-off date,
the pool was 100% current. Approximately 87.5% of the loans were
treated as having clean payment histories for the past two years or
more (clean current) or have been clean since origination if
seasoned less than two years. Additionally, 25.5% of loans have a
prior modification. The borrowers have a moderate credit profile
(714 FICO and 41% debt-to-income ratio [DTI]) and relatively low
leverage (60% sustainable loan-to-value ratio [sLTV]).
Sequential-Pay Structure (Positive): The transaction's cash flow is
based on a sequential-pay structure, whereby the subordinate
classes do not receive principal until the senior classes are
repaid in full. The credit enhancement consists of subordinated
notes, the distributions of which will be subordinated to P&I
payments due to senior noteholders. In addition, excess cash flow
resulting from the difference between the interest earned on the
mortgage collateral and that paid on the notes may be available to
repay current or previously allocated realized losses, and to pay
coupon cap shortfalls.
No Servicer P&I Advances (Mixed): The servicer will not advance
delinquent monthly payments of P&I, which reduce liquidity to the
trust. P&I advances made on behalf of loans that become delinquent
and eventually liquidate reduce liquidation proceeds to the trust.
Due to the lack of P&I advancing, the loan-level loss severity (LS)
is less for this transaction than for those where the servicer is
obligated to advance P&I. Structural provisions and cash flow
priorities, together with increased subordination, provide for
timely payments of interest to the 'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' rated
classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.0%, at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration, with higher MVDs for all rated
classes compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by multiple third party review firms. The third-party due
diligence described in Form 15E focused on a regulatory compliance
review that covered applicable federal, state and local high-cost
loan and/or anti-predatory laws, as well as the Truth In Lending
Act (TILA) and Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act (RESPA). The
scope was consistent with published Fitch criteria for due
diligence on RPL RMBS. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment(s)
to its analysis:
- Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 located in states that fall
under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a 100% LS
over-ride;
- Loans with an indeterminate HUD1 but not located in states that
fall under Freddie Mac's "Do Not Purchase List" received a
five-point LS increase;
- Loans with a missing modification agreement received a
three-month liquidation timeline extension;
- Unpaid taxes and lien amounts were added to the LS.
In total, these adjustments increased the 'AAAsf' loss by
approximately 50bps.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
OBX TRUST 2024-HYB2: Moody's Assigns B2 Rating to Cl. B-2 Certs
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to 6 classes of
residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) to be issued by OBX
2024-HYB2 Trust, and sponsored by Onslow Bay Financial LLC.
The securities are backed by a pool of seasoned and newly
originated Hybrid ARM (100% by balance) residential mortgages
originated by Associated Bank, N.A. and serviced by NewRez LLC
d/b/a Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing (Shellpoint).
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: OBX 2024-HYB2 Trust
Cl. A-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. A-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Cl. M-1, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Cl. M-2, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. B-1, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-2, Definitive Rating Assigned B2 (sf)
Moody's is withdrawing the provisional rating for the Class A-1A
loans, assigned on March 8, 2024, because the issuer will not be
issuing this class.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings are based on the credit quality of the mortgage loans,
the structural features of the transaction, the origination quality
and the servicing arrangement, the third-party review, and the
representations and warranties framework.
Moody's expected loss for this pool in a baseline scenario-mean is
1.17%, in a baseline scenario-median is 0.70% and reaches 17.07% at
a stress level consistent with Moody's Aaa ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's
Approach to Rating US RMBS Using the MILAN Framework" published in
August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings up. Losses could decline from Moody's original
expectations as a result of a lower number of obligor defaults or
appreciation in the value of the mortgaged property securing an
obligor's promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends
greatly on the US macro economy and housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's original expectations
as a result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration
in the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's
promise of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on
the US macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
OHA CREDIT XII: S&P Assigns Prelim B-(sf) Rating on Cl. F-R2 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to the class
A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-1-R2, B-2-R2, C-R2, D-R2, E-R2, and F-R2
replacement debt and proposed new class X-R2 debt from OHA Credit
Partners XII Ltd./OHA Credit Partners XII LLC, a CLO originally
issued in January 2016 and refinanced in June 2018 that is managed
by Oak Hill Advisors L.P.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of March 18,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
On the April 23, 2024, refinancing date, the proceeds from the
replacement debt will be used to redeem the original debt. S&P
said, "At that time, we expect to withdraw our ratings on the
original debt and assign ratings to the replacement debt. However,
if the refinancing doesn't occur, we may affirm our ratings on the
original debt and withdraw our preliminary ratings on the
replacement debt."
The replacement debt will be issued via a proposed supplemental
indenture, which outlines the terms of the replacement debt.
According to the proposed supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class X-R2, A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-1-R2, C-R2, D-R2,
E-R2 and F-R2 debt are expected to be issued at a higher spread
over three-month CME term SOFR than the original debt, and the
class B-2-R2 debt is expected to be newly issued at a fixed
coupon.
-- The replacement class X-R2, A-1-R2, A-2-R2, B-1-R2, C-R2, D-R2,
E-R2 and F-R2 debt are expected to be issued at a floating spread,
replacing the current floating spread.
-- The stated maturity and reinvestment period will be extended by
6.75 and 5.75 years, respectively.
-- The class A-1-R2 debt stated maturity date is expected to be
one year earlier than other rated debt at closing, but may be
extended to a later payment date.
-- Class X-R2 debt is expected to be issued in connection with
this refinancing. These notes are expected to be paid down using
interest proceeds.
Replacement and Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
-- Class X-R2, $6.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.050%
-- Class A-1-R2, $367.25 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.500%
-- Class A-2-R2, $40.75 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
1.700%
-- Class B-1-R2, $28.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR +
2.000%
-- Class B-2-R2, $20.00 million: 5.883%
-- Class C-R2 (deferrable), $36.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.450%
-- Class D-R2 (deferrable), $36.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.700%
-- Class E-R2 (deferrable), $24.00 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 6.550%
-- Class F-R2 (deferrable), $10.80 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 8.530%
Original debt
-- Class X-R, $6.20 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 0.91%
-- Class A-1R, $342.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.28%
-- Class A-2R, $45.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.56%
-- Class B-R, $70.80 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.86%
-- Class C-R (deferrable), $35.40 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 2.16%
-- Class D-R (deferrable), $36.60 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 3.16%
-- Class E-R (deferrable), $22.20 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 5.71%
-- Class F-R (deferrable), $10.80 million: Three-month CME term
SOFR + 7.94%
-- Subordinated notes, $42.00 million(i): Residual
(i)The notional amount of the subordinated notes is expected to
increase to $49.26 million in connection with this proposed
refinancing.
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
OHA Credit Partners XII Ltd./OHA Credit Partners XII LLC
Class X-R2, $6.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-1-R2, $367.25 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-R2, $40.75 million: Not rated
Class B-1-R2, $28.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2-R2, $20.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R2 (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-R2 (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R2 (deferrable), $24.00 million: BB- (sf)
Class F-R2 (deferrable), $10.80 million: B- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $49.26 million: Not rated
OZLM FUNDING IV: S&P Affirms B- (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its ratings on the class A-2-R and B-R
debt from OZLM Funding IV Ltd., and removed them from CreditWatch,
where S&P placed them with positive implications in January 2024.
At the same time, S&P affirmed its ratings on five other classes of
debt from the same transaction.
The rating actions follow its review of the transaction's
performance using data from the Jan 2024 trustee report.
The transaction has paid down $196.6 million in paydowns to the
class A-1-R debt since our June 2022 rating actions. The following
are the changes in the reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios
since the April 2022 trustee report, which S&P used for its
previous rating actions:
-- The class A O/C ratio improved to 143.62% from 131.36%.
-- The class B O/C ratio improved to 125.65% from 119.85%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 114.79% from 112.40%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 106.82% from 106.68%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 103.59% from 104.30%.
While the senior O/C ratios experienced a positive movement due to
the lower balances of the senior notes, the junior O/C ratio
declined primarily due to negative par movement. Collateral
obligations with ratings in the 'CCC' category have increased, with
$27.2 million (or 6.6% of performing collateral balance) reported
as of the January 2024 trustee report, compared with $23.5 million
(or 4.2% of performing collateral balance) reported as of the April
2022 trustee report. However, over the same period, the par amount
of defaulted collateral has decreased to $0.7 million from $1.8
million.
However, despite the slightly increased concentrations in the 'CCC'
category, it is still within the O/C haircut threshold of 7.5%. The
transaction, especially the senior tranches, has also benefited
from a drop in the weighted average life due to underlying
collateral's seasoning, with 3.53 years reported as of the January
2024 trustee report, compared with 4.57 years reported at the time
of our June 2022 rating actions.
The upgraded ratings reflect the improved credit support available
to the notes at the prior rating levels.
The affirmed ratings reflect adequate credit support at the current
rating levels, though any deterioration in the credit support
available to the notes could results in further ratings changes.
Although S&P's cash flow analysis indicated higher ratings for the
class B-R and C-R debt, our rating actions reflect additional
sensitivity runs that considered the CLO's exposure to lower
quality assets and distressed prices we noticed in the portfolio.
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a lower rating on the class E-R notes than the rating
action reflects. S&P said, "However, we affirmed the 'B- (sf)'
rating on class E-R after considering its current credit
enhancement level and the transaction's relatively low exposures to
'CCC' rated collateral and defaulted obligations. Based on our
analysis, we believe this class have sufficient credit enhancement
to withstand a steady-state scenario where the current level of
stress shows little to no increase and collateral performance
remains steady. However, any increase in default and/or par losses
could lead to a potential negative rating action in the future."
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
OZLM Funding IV Ltd. has transitioned its liabilities to
three-month CME term SOFR as its underlying index with the
Alternative Reference Rates Committee (ARRC)-recommended credit
spread adjustment. S&P's cash flow analysis reflects this change
and assumes that the underlying assets have also transitioned to a
term SOFR as their respective underlying index. If the trustee
reports indicated a credit spread adjustment in any asset, its cash
flow analysis considered the same.
Ratings Raised And Removed From Watch Positive
OZLM Funding IV Ltd.
Class A-2-R: to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)/Watch Positive'
Class B-R: to 'AA (sf)' from 'A (sf)/Watch Positive'
Ratings Affirmed
OZLM Funding IV Ltd.
Class A-1-R: AAA (sf)
Class C-R: BBB (sf)
Class D-1-R: BB- (sf)
Class D-2-R: BB- (sf)
Class E-R: B- (sf)
PALMER SQUARE 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Palmer Square CLO 2024-1
Ltd./Palmer Square CLO 2024-1 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Palmer Square Capital Management
LLC.
The ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Palmer Square CLO 2024-1 Ltd./Palmer Square CLO 2024-1 LLC
Class A, $352.0 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $66.0 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $33.0 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $33.0 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $22.0 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $48.8 million: Not rated
PEEBLES PARK: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Peebles Park CLO
Ltd./Peebles Park CLO LLC's floating- and fixed rate-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Blackstone CLO Management LLC.
The ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The diversification of the collateral pool, which consists
primarily of broadly syndicated speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' and
lower) senior secured term loans.
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated debt through portfolio
identification and ongoing management.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Peebles Park CLO Ltd./Peebles Park CLO LLC
Class A, $384.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-1, $48.00 million: AA (sf)
Class B-2, $24.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $36.00 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $36.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $21.60 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $59.35 million: Not rated
PIKES PEAK 7: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Class E-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned expected ratings and Rating Outlooks to
Pikes Peak CLO 7 reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Pikes Peak CLO 7
A-1-R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Pikes Peak CLO 7 (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Partners Group US
Management CLO LLC that originally closed in February 2021. The
CLO's secured notes will be refinanced on March 21, 2024 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first-lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.96, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 27.25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
100% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 73.55% versus a minimum
covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix point of
71%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 45% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.9-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a rating
downgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential
changes in such a metric. The results under these sensitivity
scenarios are as severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class
A-2-R, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B-R, between 'B+sf' and
'BBB+sf' for class C-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class D-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Rating upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2-R
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in a rating
upgrade. Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential
changes in such metrics; the minimum rating results under these
sensitivity scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B-R, 'AAsf' for class
C-R, 'Asf' for class D-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class E-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Pikes Peak CLO 7.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
POST CLO 2024-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Post CLO
2024-1 Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Post CLO
2024-1 Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-1 Loans LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Post CLO 2024-1 Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Post
Advisory Group, LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured
and subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B+'/'B', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 22.17, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 25. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.75% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.31% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.7%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 43.5% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while
the top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant to account for structural and reinvestment conditions
after the reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBBsf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D; and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D; and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Post CLO 2024-1
Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
PRESTIGE AUTO 2024-1: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-' Rating on E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Prestige
Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1's automobile receivables-backed
notes.
The note issuance is an ABS transaction backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of March 15,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The availability of approximately 59.90%, 51.88%, 42.54%,
33.23%, and 26.96% credit support (hard credit enhancement and
haircut to excess spread) for the class A, B, C, D, and E notes,
respectively, based on stressed cash flow scenarios. These credit
support levels provide at least 3.05x, 2.60x, 2.10x, 1.60x, and
1.27x coverage of S&P's expected cumulative net loss of 19.25% for
the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.60x its expected loss level), all else being equal, S&P's
preliminary 'AAA (sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB-
(sf)' ratings on the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively,
are within its credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
preliminary ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral,
and its updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of
the auto finance sector.
-- S&P's assessment of the series' bank accounts at Citibank N.A.
(Citibank), which does not constrain the preliminary ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Prestige Financial
Services Inc. as servicer, and its view of the company's
underwriting and the backup servicing arrangements with Citibank.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Prestige Auto Receivables Trust 2024-1
Class A-1, $34.00 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2, $66.64 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $34.42 million: AA (sf)
Class C, $32.04 million: A (sf)
Class D, $30.86 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $26.35 million: BB- (sf)
PRET TRUST 2024-RPL1: Fitch Assigns 'B' Rating on Class B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed notes to be issued by PRET 2024-RPL1 Trust (PRET
2024-RPL1).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
PRET 2024-RPL1
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-3 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
A-4 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
A-5 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
M-1 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
M-2 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
B-1 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B-2 LT Bsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
B-3 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-4 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B-5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
X LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
B LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
PT LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The PRET 2024-RPL1 notes are supported by 1,851 seasoned performing
and reperforming loans that have a balance of $383.48 million as of
the Jan. 31, 2024 cutoff date.
The notes are secured by a pool of fixed, step-rate and adjustable
rate mortgage loans, some of which have an initial interest-only
(IO) period, that are primarily fully amortizing with original
terms to maturity of 30 years. The loans are secured by first liens
primarily on single-family residential properties, townhouses
condominiums, co-ops, manufactured housing, multi-family homes,
mobile homes and raw land.
In the pool, 100% of the loans are seasoned performing and
re-performing loans.
According to Fitch, 18.2% of the loans are nonqualified mortgages
(non-QM, or NQM) as defined by the ability to repay (ATR) rule (the
Rule), and the remaining 81.8% are exempt from the QM rule as they
are investment properties or were originated prior to the ATR rule
taking effect in January 2014.
Selene Finance LP (Selene) will service 100.0% of the loans in the
pool; Fitch rates Selene 'RPS3+'.
There is LIBOR exposure in this transaction. The majority of the
loans in the collateral pool comprise fixed-rate mortgages, though
11.7% of the pool comprises STEP loans or loans with an adjustable
rate. Of the pool, 8.3% consists of ARM loans that reference the
one-month, three-month, six-month and one-year LIBOR index.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.5% above a long-term sustainable level (vs.
11.1% on a national level as of 3Q23, up 1.68% since last quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% YoY nationally as of December 2023 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Seasoned and Reperforming Credit Quality (Mixed): The collateral
consists of 1,851 loans, totaling $383.48 million which includes
deferred amounts. The loans are seasoned approximately 179 months
in aggregate according to Fitch, as calculated from origination
date (176 months per the transaction documents). Specifically, the
pool comprises 88.3% fully amortizing fixed-rate loans, 9.2% fully
amortizing ARM loans, and 2.6% STEP loans that were treated as ARM
loans.
The borrowers have a moderate credit profile, with a 665 Fitch
model FICO score (667 FICO per the transaction documents) and 45%
debt-to-income (DTI) ratios, as determined by Fitch after applying
default values for missing data. The transaction has a weighted
average (WA) sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) ratio of 61.4%. The
pool consists of 94.6% of loans where the borrower maintains a
primary residence, while 5.4% is an investor property or second
home. According to Fitch, 18.2% of the loans are designated as
non-QM loans and 0.0% are safe-harbor QM loans, while the remaining
81.8% are exempt from QM status. In its analysis, Fitch considered
loans originated after January 2014 to be non-QM since they are no
longer eligible to be in GSE pools.
In Fitch's analysis 81.3% of the loans are to single-family homes
and planned unit developments (PUDs), 9.5% are to condos or coops,
8.6% are to manufactured housing or multifamily homes, and the
remaining 0.5% are to land or mobile homes. In the analysis, Fitch
treated manufactured properties as multifamily and the probability
of default was increased for these loans as a result.
The pool contains 27 loans over $1.0 million, with the largest loan
at $3.59 million. Fitch considered 0.2% loans have subordinate
financing. Fitch viewed all the loans in the pool to be in the
first lien position based on data provided in the tape and
confirmation from the servicer on the lien position.
97.6% of the pool is current as of Jan. 31, 2024. Overall, the pool
characteristics resemble reperforming loan (RPL) collateral;
therefore, the pool was analyzed using Fitch's RPL model and Fitch
extended liquidation timelines as it typically does for RPL pools.
Geographic Concentration (Negative): Approximately 20.5% of the
pool is concentrated in New York. The largest metropolitan
statistical area (MSA) concentration is in the New York MSA at
23.9%, followed by the Los Angeles MSA at 8.5% and the Chicago MSA
at 4.5%. The top three MSAs account for 36.9% of the pool. As a
result, there was a 1.02x penalty applied for geographic
concentration which increased the 'AAAsf' loss by 24bps.
Sequential Deal Structure (Positive): The transaction utilizes a
sequential payment structure with no advancing of delinquent
principal and interest payments. The transaction is structured with
subordination to protect more senior classes from losses and has a
minimal amount of excess interest which can be used to repay
current or previously allocated realized losses and cap carryover
shortfall amounts.
The interest and principal waterfall prioritize the payment of
interest to the A-1 and A-2 classes. Which is supportive of the A-1
receiving timely interest and the A-2 receiving ultimate if not
timely interest. Fitch rates to timely interest for 'AAAsf' rated
classes and to ultimate interest for 'AAsf' to 'Bsf' category rated
classes.
The A-1 notes have a coupon based on a fixed rate that is capped at
the net weighted average coupon (WAC) and the A-2, M and B notes
have a coupon based on the net WAC. All expenses are coming out of
the net WAC.
Losses are allocated to classes reverse sequentially starting with
the B-5 class. Classes will be written down if the transaction is
under-collateralized.
No Advancing (Mixed): The servicer will not be advancing delinquent
monthly payments of principal and interest (P&I). Because P&I
advances made on behalf of loans that become delinquent and
eventually liquidate reduce liquidation proceeds to the trust, the
loan-level loss severities (LS) are less for this transaction than
for those where the servicer is obligated to advance P&I.
To provide liquidity and ensure timely interest will be paid to the
'AAA' and 'AA' rated classes and ultimate interest on the remaining
rated classes, principal will need to be used to pay for interest
accrued on delinquent loans. This will result in stress on the
structure and the need for additional credit enhancement (CE)
compared with a pool with limited advancing. These structural
provisions and cash flow priorities, together with increased
subordination, provide for timely payments of interest to the
'AAAsf' and 'AAsf' rated classes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0%, in addition to the
model-projected 42.5%, at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates there is
some potential rating migration, with higher MVDs for all rated
classes compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analysis was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Opus, ProTitle, Service Link, Recovco, Selene and AMC.
The third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on the
following areas: compliance review, data integrity, servicing
review and title review. The scope of the review was consistent
with Fitch's criteria. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis. Based on the results of the 100% due diligence performed
on the pool, Fitch did adjust the expected losses.
A large portion of the loans received 'C' and 'D' grades mainly due
to missing documentation that resulted in the ability to test for
certain compliance issues. As a result, Fitch applied negative loan
level adjustments, which increased the 'AAAsf' losses by 2.50% and
are further detailed in the Third-Party Due Diligence section of
the presale.
Fitch determined there were 35 loans with material TRID issues; a
$15,500 LS penalty was given to loans with material TRID issues,
though this did not have any impact on the rounded losses.
A ProTitle search found outstanding liens that pre-date the
mortgage. It was confirmed the majority of these liens are retired
and nothing is owed. There are 37 loans that have delinquent taxes
owed in the amount of $78,853 that were identified in the due
diligence that if not advanced on could supersede the lien status
of the mortgage in the pool.
Additionally, there were superior HOA/COA and municipal
judgments/liens found that are active in the amount of $344,807.
The trust will be responsible for these amounts. As a result, Fitch
increased the LS by this amount since the trust would be
responsible for reimbursing the servicer this amount. This did not
have any impact on the rounded losses.
Fitch received confirmation from the servicer on the current lien
status of the loans in the pool. The servicer regularly orders
these searches as part of its normal business practice and resolves
issues as they arise. No additional adjustment was made as a
result. The title report did show loans in the pool to not be in a
first lien position, but the servicer confirmed that they are in a
first lien status and that they will follow standard servicing
practices to maintain the lien position disclosed in the tape. As a
result of the valid title policy and the servicer monitoring the
lien status, Fitch treated 100% of the pool as first liens.
The custodian is actively tracking down missing documents. In the
event a missing document materially delays or prevents a
foreclosure, the sponsor will have 90 days to find the document or
cure the issue. If the loan seller cannot cure the issue or find
the missing documents, they will repurchase the loan at the
repurchase price. Due to this, Fitch only extended timelines for
missing documents.
A pay history review was conducted on a sample set of loans by AMC.
The review confirmed the pay strings are accurate, and the servicer
confirmed the payment history was accurate for all the loans. As a
result, 100% of the pool's payment history was confirmed.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch relied on an independent third-party due diligence review
performed on 100% of the loans. The third-party due diligence was
consistent with Fitch's "U.S. RMBS Rating Criteria." The sponsor
engaged Opus, ProTitle, Service Link, Recovco, Selene and AMC to
perform the review. Loans reviewed under this engagement were given
initial and final compliance grades. A portion of the loans in the
pool received a credit or valuation review.
An exception and waiver report was provided to Fitch, indicating
that the pool of reviewed loans has a number of exceptions and
waivers. Fitch determined that the exceptions and waivers do
materially affect the overall credit risk of the loans; refer to
the Third-Party Due Diligence section of the presale report for
more details.
Fitch also received confirmation from the servicer that the lien
status and payment history provided in the tape is accurate per its
records. Fitch took this information into consideration in its
analysis.
Fitch also utilized data files that were made available by the
issuer on its SEC Rule 17g-5 designated website. The loan-level
information Fitch received was provided in the American
Securitization Forum's (ASF) data layout format. The ASF data tape
layout was established with input from various industry
participants, including rating agencies, issuers, originators,
investors and others, to produce an industry standard for the
pool-level data in support of the U.S. RMBS securitization market.
The data contained in the data tape layout was populated by the due
diligence company, and no material discrepancies were noted.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
PRET 2024-RPL1 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction
Parties and Operational Risk due to elevated operational risk,
which resulted in an increase in expected losses. The Tier 2
representations and warranties (R&W) framework with an unrated
counterparty resulted in an increase in expected losses. This has a
negative impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
PRKCM 2024-AFC1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class B-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized its provisional credit ratings on
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-AFC1 (the Notes issued by PRKCM
2024-AFC1 Trust (the Trust or the Issuer):
-- $205.1 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $32.4 million Class A-2 at AA (high) (sf)
-- $35.6 million Class A-3 at A (high) (sf)
-- $15.8 million Class M-1 at BBB (sf)
-- $11.7 million Class B-1 at BB (sf)
-- $8.8 million Class B-2 at B (sf)
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Notes reflects 34.90% of credit
enhancement provided by subordinate Notes. The AA (high) (sf), A
(high) (sf), BBB (sf), BB (sf), and B (sf) credit ratings reflect
24.60%, 13.30%, 8.30%, 4.60%, and 1.80% of credit enhancement,
respectively.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of fixed- and
adjustable-rate, expanded prime and nonprime, primarily first-lien
(99.8%) residential mortgages funded by the issuance of the
Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-AFC1 (the Notes). The Notes are
backed by 871 mortgage loans with a total principal balance of
$316,079,251 as of the Cut-Off Date (February 1, 2024). Unless
specified otherwise, all the statistics regarding the mortgage
loans in this report are based on the Presale Report balance.
This is the ninth securitization by the Sponsor, Park Capital
Management Sponsor LLC, an affiliate of AmWest Funding Corp.
(AmWest). AmWest is the Seller, Originator, and Servicer of the
mortgage loans.
The pool is about two month seasoned on a weighted-average (WA)
basis; although, seasoning spans from zero to 6 months.
Although the mortgage loans were originated to satisfy the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau's (CFPB) Qualified Mortgage (QM) and
Ability-to-Repay (ATR) rules where applicable, they were made to
borrowers who generally do not qualify for agency, government, or
private-label nonagency prime jumbo products for various reasons.
In accordance with the QM/ATR rules, approximately 16.6% of the
loans are designated as non-QM. Approximately 17.1% of the loans
are designated as QM Safe Harbor and approximately 10.3% are
designated as QM Rebuttable Presumption.
Approximately 55.9% of the loans are made to investors for business
purposes and, hence, are not subject to the QM/ATR rules. The
mortgage loans were underwritten to program guidelines for
business-purpose loans that are designed to rely on the
property-level cash flows for approximately 31.1% of the loans,
primarily the asset value for 8.4% of the loans, and mortgagor's
credit profile and debt-to-income ratio, property value, and the
available assets, where applicable, for approximately 16.6% of the
loans. Since the loans were made to investors for business
purposes, they are exempt from the CFPB ATR rules and Truth in
Lending Act (TILA) and the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act
(RESPA) Integrated Disclosure rule.
For investor loans originated to investors under debt service
coverage ratio (DSCR) programs (31.1% of the pool), lenders use
property-level cash flow or the DSCR to qualify borrowers for
income. The DSCR is typically calculated as market rental value
(validated by an appraisal report) divided by the principal,
interest, taxes, insurance, and association dues (PITIA).
Also, approximately 8.4% of the pool comprises residential investor
loans underwritten to the property focused underwriting guidelines.
The loans were underwritten to program guidelines for
business-purpose loans where the lender generally expects the
property (or its value) and the borrower assets to be the primary
source of repayment. The lender reviews the mortgagor's credit
profile, though it does not rely on the borrower's income to make
its credit decision.
In addition, the pool contains five temporary buy-down mortgage
loans (approximately 0.7%). The initial 24 monthly payments made by
the borrowers for their respective loans will be less than their
scheduled payments due to the trust, with the difference (for each
borrower) compensated from funds held in a related account funded
by the seller of the mortgaged property, the mortgage originator,
or another party. The funds are not eligible for use to offset
potential missed payments; however, if a loan is prepaid in full
during its buy-down period, any remaining related funds will be
credited to the related borrower.
For this transaction, the Servicer will fund advances of delinquent
principal and interest (P&I) until loans become 90 days delinquent
or are otherwise deemed unrecoverable. Additionally, the Servicer
is obligated to make advances with respect to taxes, insurance
premiums, and reasonable costs incurred in the course of servicing
and disposing of properties (Servicing Advances). If the Servicer
fails in its obligation to make P&I advances, the Master Servicer
(Nationstar Mortgage LLC) will be obligated to fund such advances.
In addition, if the Master Servicer fails in its obligation to make
P&I advances, Citibank, N.A. (rated AA (low) with a Stable trend by
Morningstar DBRS) as the Paying Agent, will be obligated to fund
such advances. The Master Servicer and Paying Agent are only
responsible for P&I Advances; the Servicer is responsible for P&I
Advances and Servicing Advances.
The Sponsor, directly or indirectly through a majority-owned
affiliate, is expected to retain an eligible horizontal residual
interest consisting of the Class B-3 Notes and Class XS Notes,
collectively representing at least 5% of the fair value of the
Notes, to satisfy the credit risk-retention requirements under
Section 15G of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the
regulations promulgated thereunder.
On any date on or after the earlier of (1) the payment date
occurring in February 2027 or (2) on or after the payment date when
the aggregate stated principal balance of the mortgage loans is
reduced to less than or equal to 20% of the Cut-Off Date balance,
the Sponsor may terminate the Issuer (Optional Termination) by
purchasing the loans, any real estate owned (REO) properties, and
any other property remaining in the Issuer at the optional
termination price, specified in the transaction documents. After
such a purchase, the Sponsor will have to complete a qualified
liquidation, which requires a complete liquidation of assets within
the Trust and the distribution of proceeds to the appropriate
holders of regular or residual interests.
The Controlling Holder in the transaction is a majority holder (or
majority holders if there is no single majority holder) of the
outstanding Class XS Notes, initially, the Seller. The Controlling
Holder will have the option, but not the obligation, to repurchase
any mortgage loan that becomes 90 or more days delinquent under the
Mortgage Banker Association (MBA) Method at the repurchase price
(par plus interest), provided that such repurchases in aggregate do
not exceed 10% of the total principal balance as of the Cut-Off
Date.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure with a
pro rata principal payment among the Class A-1, A-2, and A-3 Notes
(senior classes of Notes) subject to certain performance triggers
related to cumulative losses or delinquencies exceeding a specified
threshold (Credit Event). Also, principal proceeds can be used to
cover interest shortfalls on the senior classes of Notes (IIPP)
before being applied sequentially to amortize the balances of the
Notes. For the Class A-3 Notes (only after a Credit Event) and for
the mezzanine and subordinate classes of notes, principal proceeds
can be used to cover interest shortfalls after the more senior
tranches are paid in full. Also, the excess spread can be used to
cover realized losses first before being allocated to unpaid Cap
Carryover Amounts due to Class A-1 down to Class A-3 Notes. Of
note, the interest and principal otherwise available to pay the
Class B-3 Notes interest and interest shortfalls may be used to pay
the Class A coupons' Cap Carryover Amounts on any payment date.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Interest Payment Amount, any Interest Carryforward Amount, and the
Note Amount.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Class A-1, Class A-2, and
Class A-3 Notes also address the credit risk associated with the
increased rate of interest applicable to the Class A-1, Class A-2,
and Class A-3 Notes if the Class A-1, Class A-2, and Class A-3
Notes remain outstanding on the step-up date (March 2028) in
accordance with the applicable transaction document(s).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, in this transaction, Morningstar DBRS'
credit ratings do not address the payment of any Cap Carryover
Amount.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
PRPM 2024-RPL1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class B-1 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings on
PRPM 2024-RPL1, Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-RPL1 (the Notes)
issued by PRPM 2024-RPL1, LLC (the Issuer):
-- $156.0 million Class A-1 at AAA (sf)
-- $18.7 million Class A-2 at AA (sf)
-- $14.4 million Class A-3 at A (sf)
-- $11.8 million Class M-1 at BBB (sf)
-- $26.2 million Class B-1 at BB (sf)
The AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A-1 Notes reflects 36.60%
of credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes. The AA (sf),
A (sf), BBB (sf), and BB (sf) credit ratings reflect 29.00%,
23.15%, 18.35%, and 7.70% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes of Notes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a portfolio of seasoned
performing and reperforming first-lien residential mortgages funded
by the issuance of mortgage-backed securities (the Notes). The
Notes are backed by 1,412 loans with a total principal balance of
$246,078,965, as of the Cut-Off Date (January 31, 2024).
The mortgage loans are approximately 176 months seasoned. As of the
Cut-Off Date, 85.8% of the loans are current under the Mortgage
Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method, including 179 (12.4%
of the loans) bankruptcy-performing loans. Below is the current
delinquency status distribution for this pool.
Although the number of months clean (consecutively zero times 30 (0
x 30) days delinquent) at issuance is weaker relative to some other
Morningstar DBRS-rated seasoned transactions, the borrowers in this
pool demonstrate reasonable cash flow velocity (as by number of
payments over time) in the past 12 months. Over the past 12 months,
1,275 loans, or 90.0%, have made six or more payments, and 1,263
loans, or 87.7%, have made 12 or more payments.
Modified loans make up 74.6% of the portfolio. The modifications
happened more than two years ago for 88.8% of the modified loans.
Within the pool, 488 mortgages (34.6% of the pool by loan count)
have a total non-interest-bearing deferred amount of $18,736,821,
which equates to approximately 7.6% of the total principal
balance.
To satisfy the credit risk retention requirements, as of the
Closing Date, the Sponsor or a majority-owned affiliate of the
Sponsors will hold the Class XS, Class B-3, and Class B-2 Notes and
a requisite amount of the Class B-1 Notes.
Following the transfer of servicing of 5.3% of the mortgage loans
to SN Servicing Corporation (SNSC) from Nationstar Mortgage LLC
(dba) Mr. Cooper on or before 45 days following the closing date,
SNSC will service all the loans in this transaction. The Servicer
will not advance any delinquent principal and interest (P&I) on the
mortgages; however, the Servicer is obligated to make advances in
respect of prior liens, insurance, real estate taxes, and
assessments as well as reasonable costs and expenses incurred in
the course of servicing and disposing of properties.
The Issuer has the option to redeem the Notes in full at a price
equal to the sum of (1) the remaining aggregate Note Amount of the
Notes; (2) any accrued and unpaid interest due on the Notes through
the redemption date (including any Interest Shortfalls and Net WAC
Cap Carryover); and (3) accrued and unpaid Step-Up Interest Payment
Amount; (4) any fees and expenses of the transaction parties,
including any unreimbursed servicing advances (Redemption Price).
Such Optional Redemption may be exercised on any date on or after
the earlier of (i) the Payment Date occurring in February 2026 or
(ii) the date on which the aggregate Unpaid Principal Balance of
the Mortgage Loans is less than or equal to 30% of the aggregate
Unpaid Principal Balance of the Mortgage Loans as of the Cut-off
Date.
The Asset Manager is required to conduct a mandatory auction if the
Notes have not been redeemed by the Issuer or otherwise paid in
full by the payment date in January 2029 at a minimum auction price
that covers the aggregate note balances, any accrued and unpaid
interest (including any cap carryover), any servicing advances, and
any outstanding fees, expenses, and indemnities of all the
transaction parties. If the amount of the auction proceeds to be
received would be less than the minimum auction price, payments on
the Notes would be made by the Indenture Trustee on such payment
date and subsequent payment dates in accordance with the priority
of payments.
Notwithstanding the above, if the Asset Manager receives a maximum
bid that is equal to the sum of (i) the rated Notes, any accrued
and unpaid interest thereon at the applicable Note Rates (including
any Net WAC Cap Carryover) and any outstanding fees, expenses, and
indemnities (without regard to the Annual Cap) of the transaction
parties, including any unreimbursed Servicing Advances and (ii) the
fees and expenses of the Asset Manager and the Auction Agent, the
holders of the Class B-2, Class B-3, and Class XS Notes can submit
their Notes to the Paying Agent for cancellation without payment.
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure with
interest payment amount and interest shortfalls paid sequentially
to all Notes, except for the Class B-3 Notes, which will have a
zero coupon prior to the payment in February 2028 (Expected
Redemption Date). Following the Expected Redemption Date, any Net
WAC cap carryover of the Class A-1 Notes will be paid from interest
payment and interest shortfall amounts due to the Class B-3 Notes
that have been diverted to Net WAC Cap Carryover Reserve Account.
Principal can be used to pay interest on all Notes after the Class
A-1 and Class A-2 Notes have been paid to zero.
Monthly Excess Cash flow can be used to cover realized losses
before being allocated to unpaid Cap Carryover Amounts due to Class
A-1, and can be used to turbo down the Notes. For this transaction,
the Class A-1 fixed rates step up by 100 basis points on and after
the payment date in February 2028. On each Payment Date for so long
as the Net WAC Cap Carryover on the Class A-1 Notes is greater than
zero, interest and principal otherwise payable to the Class B-3 may
also be used to pay Cap Carryover Amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are listed at the end of this Press Release.
The associated financial obligations for each of the rated Notes
are the related interest payment amount, any interest shortfalls,
and the related note amount.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating on the Class A-1 Notes also
addresses the credit risk associated with the increased rate of
interest applicable to these Notes if they're not redeemed on the
Expected Redemption Date (February 2028) in accordance with the
applicable transaction documents.
Morningstar DBRS' credit rating does not address non-payment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, in this transaction, Morningstar DBRS
ratings do not address the payment of any Net WAC cap carryover
amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in US Dollars unless otherwise noted.
RCKT MORTGAGE 2024-CES2: Fitch Gives 'B(EXP)sf' Rating on B-2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings expects to rate the residential mortgage-backed notes
issued by RCKT Mortgage Trust 2024-CES2 (RCKT 2024-CES2).
RCKT 2024-CES2 utilizes Fitch's new Interactive RMBS Presale
feature. To access the interactive feature, click the link at the
top of the presale report first page, log into dv01 and explore
Fitch's loan-level loss expectations.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
RCKT 2024-CES2
A-1 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1B LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-1L LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-2 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-3 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-4 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-5 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1 LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1A LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-1B LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-2 LT B(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-3 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-X-1A LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-X-1B LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-1 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
M-2 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
XS LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
The notes are supported by 5,542 closed-end second lien loans with
a total balance of approximately $447 million as of the cutoff
date. The pool consists of closed-end second lien mortgages
acquired by Woodward Capital Management LLC from Rocket Mortgage,
LLC. Distributions of principal and interest and loss allocations
are based on a senior-subordinate, sequential pay structure, which
also presents a 50% excess cashflow turbo feature.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 11.1% above a long-term sustainable level (versus
11.1% on a national level as of 3Q23, up 1.68% qoq). Housing
affordability is the worst it has been in decades, driven by both
high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices increased
5.5% yoy nationally as of December 2023, despite modest regional
declines, but are still being supported by limited inventory.
Prime Credit Quality (Positive): The collateral consists of 5,542
loans totaling $447 million and seasoned at approximately three
months in aggregate, as calculated by Fitch (one months, per the
transaction documents) — taken as the difference between the
origination date and the cutoff date. The borrowers have a strong
credit profile consisting of a weighted-average (WA) Fitch model
FICO score of 735; a 37.6% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio; and moderate
leverage, with a sustainable loan-to-value (sLTV) ratio of 79.2%.
Of the pool loans, 98.9% consist of those where the borrower
maintains a primary residence and 1.1% represent second homes,
while 91.9% of loans were originated through a retail channel.
Additionally, 49.9% of loans are designated as qualified mortgages
(QMs) and 20.0% are higher-priced QM (HPQM). Given the 100% loss
severity (LS) assumption, no additional penalties were applied for
the HPQM and non-QM loan statuses.
Second Lien Collateral (Negative): The entirety of the collateral
pool comprises closed-end second lien loans originated by Rocket
Mortgage. Fitch assumed no recovery and a 100% LS based on the
historical behavior of second lien loans in economic stress
scenarios. Fitch assumes second lien loans default at a rate
comparable to first lien loans; after controlling for credit
attributes, no additional penalty was applied to Fitch's
probability of default (PD) assumption.
Sequential Structure with Turbo Feature (Positive): The transaction
features a monthly excess cash flow priority of payments that
distributes remaining amounts from the interest and principal
priority of payments. These amounts will be applied as principal
first to repay any current and previously allocated cumulative
applied realized loss amounts and then to repay any potential net
WAC shortfalls.
A key difference from other transactions that include a material
amount of excess interest is that, instead of distributing all
remaining amounts to class XS notes, 50% of any remaining cash
thereafter will be implemented to pay principal for classes
A-1A/A-1B to B-3 sequentially. The other 50% is allocated to pay
the owner trustee, collateral trustee, Delaware trustee, paying
agent, custodian, asset manager and reviewer for extraordinary
trust expenses to the extent not paid due to application of the
annual cap and, subsequently, to class XS. This is a more
supportive structure and ensures the transaction will benefit from
excess interest, regardless of default timing.
To haircut the excess cash flow present in the transaction, Fitch
tested the structure at a 50-bp servicing fee and applied haircuts
to the WAC through a rate modification assumption. This assumption
was derived as a 2.5% haircut on 40% of the nondelinquent
projection in Fitch's stresses. Given the lower projected
delinquency (as a result of the chargeoff feature described below),
there was a higher current percentage and a higher rate
modification assumption, as a result.
180-Day Chargeoff Feature (Positive): The asset manager has the
ability, but not the obligation, to instruct the servicer to write
off the balance of a loan at 180 days delinquent (DQ) based on the
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) delinquency method. To the
extent the servicer expects a meaningful recovery in any
liquidation scenario, the asset manager noteholder may direct the
servicer to continue to monitor the loan and not charge it off. The
180-day chargeoff feature will result in losses incurred sooner
while there is a larger amount of excess interest to protect
against losses. This compares favorably with a delayed liquidation
scenario, where the loss occurs later in the life of the
transaction and less excess is available. If the loan is not
charged off due to a presumed recovery, this will provide added
benefit to the transaction, above Fitch's expectations.
Additionally, subsequent recoveries realized after the writedown at
180 days' DQ (excluding forbearance mortgage or loss mitigation
loans) will be passed on to bondholders as principal.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch's incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the metropolitan statistical area level. Sensitivity
analysis was conducted at the state and national level to assess
the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as lower
MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
The defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model projected 42.6% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. The modeling process uses the modification of
these variables to reflect asset performance in up and down
environments. The results should only be considered as one
potential outcome, as the transaction is exposed to multiple
dynamic risk factors. It should not be used as an indicator of
possible future performance.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by AMC Diligence, LLC. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on credit, regulatory compliance, and
property valuation. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the following adjustment to
its analysis: a 5% PD credit to the 24.9% of the pool by loan count
in which diligence was conducted. This adjustment resulted in a
18bps reduction to the 'AAAsf' expected loss.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
REGATTA XXVII: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Regatta
XXVII Funding Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Regatta XXVII
Funding Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Regatta XXVII Funding Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) managed by Napier Park Global
Capital (US) LP. Net proceeds from the issuance of the secured and
subordinated notes will provide financing on a portfolio of
approximately $400 million of primarily first lien senior secured
leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B/B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
indicative portfolio is 25.1, versus a maximum covenant, in
accordance with the initial expected matrix point of 26. Issuers
rated in the 'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit
quality; however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit
enhancement and standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.9% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.9% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 71.8%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 41% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 11.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB-sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Regatta XXVII
Funding Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance
scores in connection with the credit rating of a transaction,
programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key
rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the
rating on an individual basis.
RR 55 LTD: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Rating on Class D-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to RR 25 LTD
reset transaction.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
RR 25 LTD
A-1-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2-R LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-R LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
C-1-R LT BBB+sf New Rating BBB+(EXP)sf
C-2-R LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
D-R LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
E-R LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
RR 25 LTD (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow collateralized
loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by Redding Ridge Asset
Management LLC which originally closed on March 8, 2023. The
secured notes will be refinanced in whole on March 8, 2024 from
proceeds of the new secured notes. Net proceeds from the issuance
of the secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $550 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B'/'B-', which is in line with that of
recent CLOs. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating category denote a
highly speculative credit quality; however, the notes benefit from
appropriate credit enhancement and standard CLO structural
features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.89% first-lien senior secured loans and has a weighted average
recovery assumption of 74.93%. Fitch stressed the indicative
portfolio by assuming a higher portfolio concentration of assets
with lower recovery prospects and further reduced recovery
assumptions for higher rating stresses.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 39% of the portfolio balance in aggregate, while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity required by industry,
obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with other recent
CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The weighted average life (WAL) used for the transaction stress
portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class A-2-R, between
'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class B-R, between less than 'B-sf' and
'BBB-sf' for class C-1-R, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for
class C-2-R, and between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class
D-R.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class A-2-R, 'AAsf' for class B-R, 'A+sf'
for class C-1-R, 'Asf' for class C-2-R, and 'BBB+sf' for class
D-R.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
SEQUOIA MORTGAGE 2024-3: Fitch Assigns BBsf Rating on Cl. B4 Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned final ratings to the residential
mortgage-backed certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust
2024-3 (SEMT 2024-3).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SEMT 2024-3
A1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO3 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO4 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO5 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO6 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO7 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO8 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO9 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO10 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO11 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO12 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO13 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO14 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO15 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO16 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO17 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO18 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO19 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO20 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO21 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO22 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO23 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO24 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO25 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
AIO26 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B1 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
B2 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
B3 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
B4 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
B5 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
AIOS LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Fitch has assigned final ratings to the residential mortgage-backed
certificates issued by Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2024-3 (SEMT 2024-3)
as indicated. The certificates are supported by 359 loans with a
total balance of approximately $388 million as of the cutoff date.
The pool consists of prime jumbo fixed-rate mortgages acquired by
Redwood Residential Acquisition Corp. from various mortgage
originators. Distributions of principal and interest (P&I) and loss
allocations are based on a senior-subordinate, shifting-interest
structure.
Following the publication of presale and expected ratings, the
issuer had notified Fitch of an updated tape that consisted of one
loan drop and updated cutoff balances. In addition, Redwood had
also provided Fitch an updated CDI structure to reflect the updated
balances. There were no changes to the credit enhancement levels to
the bonds. Fitch re-ran both its asset and cash flow analysis, and
there were no changes to the loss feedback or expected ratings.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
High-Quality Mortgage Pool (Positive): The collateral consists of
359 loans totaling approximately $388.3 million and seasoned at
approximately nine months in aggregate, as determined by Fitch. The
borrowers have a strong credit profile, with a weighted-average
Fitch model FICO score of 774 and 34.3% debt-to-income (DTI) ratio,
and moderate leverage, with a 78.6% sustainable loan-to-value
(sLTV) ratio and 72.1% mark-to-market combined loan-to-value (cLTV)
ratio.
Overall, the pool consists of 88.1% in loans where the borrower
maintains a primary residence, while 11.9% are of a second home;
66.9% of the loans were originated through a retail channel.
Additionally, 100.0% of the loans are designated as qualified
mortgage (QM) loans.
Updated Sustainable Home Prices (Negative): Due to Fitch's updated
view on sustainable home prices, Fitch views the home price values
of this pool as 10.5% above a long-term sustainable level (vs.
11.1% on a national level as of 3Q23, up 1.7% since last quarter).
Housing affordability is the worst it has been in decades driven by
both high interest rates and elevated home prices. Home prices have
increased 5.5% YoY nationally as of December 2023 despite modest
regional declines, but are still being supported by limited
inventory.
Shifting-Interest Structure (Negative): The mortgage cash flow and
loss allocation are based on a senior-subordinate,
shifting-interest structure whereby the subordinate classes receive
only scheduled principal and are locked out from receiving
unscheduled principal or prepayments for five years. The lockout
feature helps to maintain subordination for a longer period should
losses occur later in the life of the transaction. The applicable
credit support percentage feature redirects subordinate principal
to classes of higher seniority if specified credit enhancement
levels are not maintained.
Interest Reduction Risk (Negative): The transaction incorporates a
structural feature most commonly used by Redwood's program for
loans more than 120 days delinquent (a stop-advance loan). Unpaid
interest on stop-advance loans reduces the amount of interest that
is contractually due to bondholders in reverse-sequential order.
While this feature helps to limit cash flow leakage to subordinate
bonds, it can result in interest reductions to rated bonds in high
delinquency scenarios.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper market value declines (MVDs) than
assumed at the MSA level. Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the
state and national levels to assess the effect of higher MVDs for
the subject pool as well as lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in
home prices.
This defined negative rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to steeper MVDs at the national level. The
analysis assumes MVDs of 10.0%, 20.0% and 30.0% in addition to the
model-projected 41.8% at 'AAA'. The analysis indicates that there
is some potential rating migration with higher MVDs for all rated
classes, compared with the model projection. Specifically, a 10%
additional decline in home prices would lower all rated classes by
one full category.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch incorporates a sensitivity analysis to demonstrate how the
ratings would react to steeper MVDs than assumed at the MSA level.
Sensitivity analyses was conducted at the state and national levels
to assess the effect of higher MVDs for the subject pool as well as
lower MVDs, illustrated by a gain in home prices.
This defined positive rating sensitivity analysis demonstrates how
the ratings would react to positive home price growth of 10% with
no assumed overvaluation. Excluding the senior class, which is
already rated 'AAAsf', the analysis indicates there is potential
positive rating migration for all of the rated classes.
Specifically, a 10% gain in home prices would result in a full
category upgrade for the rated class excluding those being assigned
ratings of 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Clayton, AMC and Consolidated Analytics. The
third-party due diligence described in Form 15E focused on credit,
compliance and property valuation. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis and, as a result, Fitch made the
following adjustment to its analysis: a 5% reduction in its loss
analysis. This adjustment resulted in a 16bps reduction to the
'AAA' expected loss.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
SEMT 2024-3 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4'[+] for Transaction
Parties & Operational Risk. Operational risk is well controlled for
in SEMT 2024-3 and includes strong R&W and transaction due
diligence as well as a strong aggregator, which resulted in a
reduction in the expected losses. This has a positive impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SIGNAL PEAK 5: S&P Affirms BB-p (sf) Rating on Class E-R Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to the class A-1R, A-2R,
B-R, C-R, D-1R, D-2R, and E-R replacement debt from Signal Peak CLO
5 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 5 LLC (formerly Mariner CLO 5 Ltd./Mariner
CLO 5 LLC), a CLO that is managed by ORIX Advisers LLC. At the same
time, S&P withdrew its ratings on the original class A, B, C, D,
and E debt from the Mariner CLO 5 Ltd./Mariner CLO 5 LLC
transaction following payment in full on the March 15, 2024,
refinancing date.
The replacement debt were issued via a supplemental indenture,
which outlines the terms of the replacement debt. According to the
supplemental indenture:
-- The replacement class A-1R, A-2R, B-R, C-R, D-1R, D-2R, and E-R
debt were issued at a higher spread over three-month CME term SOFR
compared with the original debt spread over three-month LIBOR.
-- The class A-1R and A-2R debt replaced the existing class A
debt.
-- The class D-1R and D-2R debt replaced the existing class D
debt.
-- The replacement class E-R debt is principal-only, and no
interest will be due and payable on them.
-- The class XE-R debt was also issued in connection with this
refinancing. This debt is not rated by S&P Global Ratings.
-- The class XE-R debt is interest-only, and the interest payable
is calculated by referencing the outstanding balance of the class
E-R debt during the relevant accrual period.
-- The stated maturity was extended by six years.
-- The non-call period and reinvestment period were re-established
to April 2026 and April 2029, respectively.
-- The target par balance was increased to $400.75 million from
$400.00 million.
Replacement And Original Debt Issuances
Replacement debt
Class A-1R, $240.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.550%
Class A-2R, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 1.750%
Class B-R, $40.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.200%
Class C-R, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 2.700%
Class D-1R, $24.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 4.200%
Class D-2R, $6.00 million: Three-month CME term SOFR + 5.250%
Class E-R(i), $19.50 million: 0.000%
Class XE-R(ii), Not applicable: Three-month CME term SOFR +
7.500%
(i)The class E-R debt is principal-only, and no interest will be
due and payable on the debt.
(ii)The class XE-R debt is interest-only, and the interest payable
will be calculated based off of the outstanding balance of the
class E-R debt.
Original debt (Mariner CLO 5 Ltd./Mariner CLO 5 LLC)
Class A, $307.00 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.11%
Class B, $58.70 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.45%
Class C, $43.50 million: Three-month LIBOR + 1.80%
Class D, $29.80 million: Three-month LIBOR + 2.65%
Class E, $20.20 million: Three-month LIBOR + 5.65%
Subordinated notes, $51.65 million: Not applicable
S&P said, "Our review of this transaction included a cash flow
analysis, based on the portfolio and transaction data in the
trustee report, to estimate future performance. In line with our
criteria, our cash flow scenarios applied forward-looking
assumptions on the expected timing and pattern of defaults and the
recoveries upon default under various interest rate and
macroeconomic scenarios. Our analysis also considered the
transaction's ability to pay timely interest and/or ultimate
principal to each of the rated tranches. The results of the cash
flow analysis (and other qualitative factors, as applicable)
demonstrated, in our view, that the outstanding rated classes all
have adequate credit enhancement available at the rating levels
associated with the rating actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the debt remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them and take rating actions as we deem
necessary."
Ratings Assigned
Signal Peak CLO 5 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 5 LLC
Class A-1R, $240.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2R, $24.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class B-R, $40.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-R (deferrable), $24.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1R (deferrable), $24.00 million: BBB (sf)
Class D-2R (deferrable), $6.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E-R(i), $19.50 million: BB-p (sf)
Class XE-R (deferrable)(ii), not applicable: Not rated
(i)The class E-R debt is principal-only, and no interest will be
due and payable on the debt.
(ii)The class XE-R debt is interest-only, and the interest payable
will be calculated based off of the outstanding balance of the
class E-R debt.
P--Principal-only rating.
Ratings Withdrawn
Mariner CLO 5 Ltd./Mariner CLO 5 LLC
Class A to NR from 'AAA (sf)'
Class B to NR from 'AA (sf)'
Class C to NR from 'A (sf)'
Class D to NR from 'BBB- (sf)'
Class E to NR from 'BB- (sf)'
NR--Not rated.
Other Outstanding Debt
Signal Peak CLO 5 Ltd./Signal Peak CLO 5 LLC
Subordinated notes, $51.65 million: Not rated
SILVER POINT 4: Moody's Assigns B3 Rating to $225,000 Cl. F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned ratings to two classes of notes issued
by Silver Point CLO 4, Ltd. (the "Issuer" or "Silver Point 4").
Moody's rating action is as follows:
US$279,000,000 Class A-1 Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2037,
Assigned Aaa (sf)
US$225,000 Class F Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due 2037,
Assigned B3 (sf)
The notes listed are referred to herein, collectively, as the
"Rated Notes."
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rationale for the ratings is based on Moody's methodology and
considers all relevant risks, particularly those associated with
the CLO's portfolio and structure.
Silver Point 4 is a managed cash flow CLO. The issued notes will be
collateralized primarily by broadly syndicated senior secured
corporate loans. At least 92.5% of the portfolio must consist of
first lien senior secured loans and eligible investments, and up to
7.5% of the portfolio may consist of assets that are not first lien
senior secured loans and eligible investments. The portfolio is
approximately 100% ramped as of the closing date.
Silver Point RR Manager, L.P. (the "Manager") will direct the
selection, acquisition and disposition of the assets on behalf of
the Issuer and may engage in trading activity, including
discretionary trading, during the transaction's five year
reinvestment period. Thereafter, subject to certain restrictions,
the Manager may reinvest unscheduled principal payments and
proceeds from sales of credit risk assets.
In addition to the Rated Notes, the Issuer issued six other classes
of secured notes and one class of subordinated notes.
The transaction incorporates interest and par coverage tests which,
if triggered, divert interest and principal proceeds to pay down
the notes in order of seniority.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in Section 2.3.2.1
of the "Moody's Global Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan
Obligations" rating methodology published in December 2021.
For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following base-case
assumptions:
Par amount: $450,000,000
Diversity Score: 70
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3100
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.60%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.5%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.00%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 8.0 years
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
December 2021.
Factors That Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the Rated Notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the Rated Notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the Rated Notes.
SLM STUDENT 2010-1: S&P Lowers Class A Notes Rating to 'CCC (sf)'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on SLM Student Loan Trust
2010-1's class A and B notes to 'CCC (sf)' from 'B (sf)'.
The transaction is a student loan ABS backed by a pool of student
loans originated through the U.S. Department of Education's (ED)
Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP).
S&P said, "In determining the ratings, we considered our criteria
article for assigning 'CCC' and 'CC' ratings, which states that an
obligation is rated 'CCC' when it is currently vulnerable to
nonpayment and is dependent on favorable business, financial, and
economic conditions for the obligor to meet its financial
commitments on the obligation.
"Our review considered the transaction's collateral performance and
liquidity position, credit enhancement, and capital and payment
structures. We also considered secondary credit factors, such as
credit stability, peer comparisons, issuer-specific analyses, and
the current macroeconomic environment."
Rationale
The class A notes had the following features as of the February
2024 distribution date:
-- Current note balance: $94.36 million
-- Remaining number of payment dates: 13
-- Average monthly principal paydown over the past year: $2.04
million
Although the collateral pool factor is 11.07% and the class A note
factor is 7.96% as of the transaction's most recent servicer
report, the current pace of collateral amortization is not adequate
to repay the class A notes by their legal final maturity date. The
transaction has an optional collateral call feature that allows the
servicer to purchase either an additional 2.00% or 10.00% of the
collateral pool, which, if exercised, would provide the transaction
liquidity and lower the pool factor to below 10.00%. Once the pool
factor is below 10.00%, the collateral can be sold to the servicer
or through an auction and the sale proceeds used to repay the notes
in full.
S&P believes the current macroeconomic and regulatory environment
makes it less likely that the collateral call option will be
exercised, and thus less likely that the class A notes will be
repaid by their legal final maturity date in March 2025. The
failure to pay the class A notes by their legal final maturity date
will constitute an event of default (EOD) under the transaction
documents, which would allow the noteholders and/or the trustee to
take actions that could negatively affect the repayment of the
class B notes by their legal final maturity date. Therefore, the
likelihood of the class B notes' repayment is related to the
repayment of the class A notes and the occurrence of an EOD.
S&P will continue to monitor the macroeconomic environment and the
transaction's performance (including the student loan receivables),
available credit enhancement, and liquidity, and take further
rating actions as we deem appropriate.
SLM STUDENT 2013-2: Fitch Lowers Rating on Class B Notes to Bsf
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the class A notes of SLM Student Loan
Trust 2013-1, 2013-2, 2013-3, 2013-5, 2013-6, and 2014-2. Fitch has
also downgraded the class B notes of all six transactions.
All Rating Outlooks on the class A notes remain Stable. The
Outlooks for the class B notes of SLM 2013-1, 2013-5, 2013-6, and
2014-2 are Stable following the downgrade, while the Outlooks for
the class B notes of SLM 2013-2 and 2013-3 are Negative following
the downgrade.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2013-2
A 78446CAA9 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78446CAB7 LT Bsf Downgrade Asf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2013-5
A-3 78448BAC5 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78448BAD3 LT BBBsf Downgrade AAsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2013-1
A-3 78447MAC2 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78447MAD0 LT BBBsf Downgrade A+sf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2014-2
A-3 78448GAC4 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78448GAD2 LT Asf Downgrade AAsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2013-6
A-3 78448CAG4 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78448CAH2 LT Asf Downgrade AAsf
SLM Student Loan
Trust 2013-3
A3 78447YAC6 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
B 78447YAD4 LT Asf Downgrade AAsf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
SLM 2013-1 and 2013-5: The class A-3 notes pass all credit and
maturity stresses in cashflow modeling with sufficient hard credit
enhancement (CE). Given seniority the notes were not impacted by
Fitch increasing the sustainable constant default rate (sCDR) in
cashflow modeling. Furthermore, the notes have more than 15 years
to maturity, so maturity risk is muted. Fitch has affirmed the
notes at 'AA+sf' with a Stable Outlook.
The downgrade of the class B notes for both transactions to 'BBBsf'
from 'A+sf' and 'AAsf' for 2013-1 and 2013-5, respectively,
reflects the notes' inability to withstand credit stresses above
the 'BBBsf' level and the principal shortfalls faced at higher
stresses. The Outlook for the notes remains Stable, indicating the
expectation for stability in ratings over the next one to two
years; however, Fitch will monitor default performance over the
next year and may need to increase the sCDR higher if default rates
do not trend toward more normal levels from current highs.
SLM 2013-2: The class A notes pass all credit and maturity stresses
in cashflow modeling with sufficient hard credit enhancement (CE).
Given seniority the notes were not impacted by Fitch increasing the
sustainable constant default rate (sCDR) in cashflow modeling.
Fitch has affirmed the notes at 'AA+sf' with a Stable Outlook.
The class B notes miss their legal final maturity date under
Fitch's baseline credit and maturity rating stresses. The rating of
the notes was impacted by an increase in both credit and maturity
risk in Fitch's cashflow modeling from the last review. The
trailing twelve months CDR went to 9.63% in January 2024 from 4.14%
in January 2023 and Fitch increased the sCDR to 6.00% from 3.80%.
Furthermore, the remaining loan term increased 10.9 months. These
factors had a material impact on Fitch's cashflow model results
since the last surveillance period. The notes have been downgraded
to 'Bsf' from 'Asf'.
The Negative Outlook for the class B notes reflects the possibility
of further negative rating pressure in the next one to two years if
maturity risk increases, particularly if the increase in remaining
loan term does not mitigate. The model-implied ratings of the
outstanding notes are one category lower than the assigned ratings,
as described by Fitch's Federal Family Education Loan Program
(FFELP) rating criteria, which gives credit to the legal final
maturity date of the notes being over 15 years away in 2043.
SLM 2013-3 The class A-3 notes pass all credit and maturity
stresses in cashflow modeling with sufficient hard credit
enhancement (CE). Fitch has affirmed the notes at 'AA+sf' with a
Stable Outlook.
The downgrade of the class B notes to 'Asf' from 'AAsf' reflects
the notes' inability to withstand credit stresses above the 'BBBsf'
level and the principal shortfalls faced at higher stresses.
Trailing twelve month CDR moved to 9.39% and 4.10%. Fitch increased
sCDR assumptions to 6.00% from 3.80%. As a result, current the
model-implied ratings of the outstanding notes are one category
lower than the assigned ratings, in line with Fitch's Federal
Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) rating criteria. The Negative
Outlook for the notes reflects the possibility of further negative
rating pressure in the next one to two years if credit risk
increases, particularly if CDR for both transactions does not
decrease toward the increase assumptions over the next review.
SLM 2013-6 and 2014-2: The class A-3 notes pass all credit and
maturity stresses in cashflow modeling with sufficient hard CE.
Fitch has affirmed the notes at 'AA+sf' with a Stable Outlook.
The downgrade of the class B notes for both transactions to 'Asf'
from 'AAsf' reflects the notes' inability to withstand credit
stresses above the 'Asf' level and the principal shortfalls faced
at higher stresses in cashflow modeling. This change was driven by
Fitch's increase of sCDR assumptions to 4.50% and 5.00% from 3.00%
and 3.20% for SLM 2013-6 and 2014-2, respectively. The change in
assumptions was driven by increasing TTM CDRs to 6.48% and 7.15% at
January 2024 from 3.08% and 3.35% at January 2023, for the
transactions respectively. The Outlook for the notes remains
Stable.
As a summary, the sustainable constant default rate (sCDR)
assumption was increased to 5.00%, 6.00%, 6.00%, 4.50%, 4.50%, and
5.00% from 4.00%, 3.80%, 3.80%, 3.00%, 3.00%, and 3.20% for SLM
2013-1, 2013-2, 2013-3, 2013-5, 2013-6, and 2014-2, respectively,
as Fitch has noted an increase in the trend of defaults that
represent higher long-term trends for these transactions
KEY RATING DRIVERS
U.S. Sovereign Risk: The trust collateral comprises 100% Federal
Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans, with guaranties
provided by eligible guarantors and reinsurance provided by the
U.S. Department of Education for at least 97% of principal and
accrued interest. The U.S. sovereign rating is currently
'AA+'/Stable.
Collateral Performance: For all transactions, Fitch applies the
standard default timing curve in its credit stress cash flow
analysis. Loan consolidation activity stemming from the Public
Service Loan Forgiveness Program waiver, which ended in October
2022, drove the short-term inflation of CPR and voluntary
prepayments are expected to return to historical levels.
Additionally, Fitch has noted an increase in defaults for all
transactions above historical levels, resulting in increases in
sCDR levels. The claim reject rate is assumed to be 0.25% in the
base case and 1.65% in the 'AA' case.
SLM 2013-1: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 39.00% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 100.00% under the 'AA' stress
scenario with an effective default rate of 99.66% after applying
the default timing curve, as per criteria. Fitch is revising the
sustainable constant default rate (sCDR) upwards to 5.00% from
4.00% and is maintaining the sustainable constant prepayment rate
(sCPR; voluntary and involuntary prepayments) of 10.00% in cash
flow modelling. The trailing-twelve-month (TTM) levels of
deferment, forbearance and income-based repayment (IBR; prior to
adjustment) are 5.90% (6.18% at Jan. 31, 2023), 18.41% (17.34%) and
27.57% (24.74%). These assumptions are used as the starting point
in cash flow modelling, and subsequent declines or increases are
modelled as per criteria. Delinquency buckets continue to stabilize
and stand at 4.53% for 31-60 DPD and 2.55% for 91-120 DPD, compared
to 4.89% and 1.85%, respectively from one year ago. The borrower
benefit is approximately 0.08%, based on information provided by
the sponsor.
SLM 2013-2: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 47.75% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 100.00% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario with an effective default rate of 99.80% after
applying the default timing curve, as per criteria. Fitch is
revising the sCDR upwards to 6.00% from 3.80% and is maintaining
the sCPR of 10.00% in cash flow modelling. The TTM levels of
deferment, forbearance and IBR are 5.82% (5.79% at Jan. 31, 2023),
19.52% (17.89%) and 27.14% (24.66%). These assumptions are used as
the starting point in cash flow modelling, and subsequent declines
or increases are modelled as per criteria. Delinquency buckets
continue to stabilize and stand at 4.68% for 31-60 DPD and 2.15%
for 91-120 DPD, compared to 4.54% and 1.69%, respectively from one
year ago. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.05%, based on
information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2013-3: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 53.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 100.00% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario with an effective default rate of 99.89% after
applying the default timing curve, as per criteria. Fitch is
revising the sCDR upwards to 6.00% from 3.80% and is maintaining
the sCPR of 8.50% in cash flow modelling. The TTM levels of
deferment, forbearance and IBR are 5.51% (5.54% at Jan. 31, 2023),
19.32% (17.96%) and 26.99% (24.44%). These assumptions are used as
the starting point in cash flow modelling, and subsequent declines
or increases are modelled as per criteria. Delinquency buckets
continue to stabilize and stand at 4.83% for 31-60 DPD and 1.86%
for 91-120 DPD, compared to 5.06% and 1.85%, respectively from one
year ago. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.04%, based on
information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2013-5: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 34.25% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 94.19% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario with an effective default rate of 99.99% after
applying the default timing curve, as per criteria. Fitch is
revising the sCDR upwards to 4.50% from 3.00% and is maintaining
the sCPR of 11.00% in cash flow modelling. The TTM levels of
deferment, forbearance and IBR are 5.09% (5.49% at Jan. 31, 2023),
17.55% (16.42%) and 30.89% (28.27%). These assumptions are used as
the starting point in cash flow modelling, and subsequent declines
or increases are modelled as per criteria. Delinquency buckets
continue to stabilize and stand at 3.99% for 31-60 DPD and 1.92%
for 91-120 DPD, compared to 3.89% and 1.69%, respectively from one
year ago. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.08%, based on
information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2013-6: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 36.50% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 100.00% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario with an effective default rate of 99.98% after
applying the default timing curve, as per criteria. Fitch is
revising the sCDR upwards to 4.50% from 3.00% and is maintaining
the sCPR of 10.00% in cash flow modelling. The TTM levels of
deferment, forbearance and IBR are 4.91% (5.38% at Jan. 31, 2023),
17.70% (16.30%) and 30.57% (27.94%). These assumptions are used as
the starting point in cash flow modelling, and subsequent declines
or increases are modelled as per criteria. Delinquency buckets
continue to stabilize and stand at 4.31% for 31-60 DPD and 2.25%
for 91-120 DPD, compared to 3.55% and 1.68%, respectively from one
year ago. The borrower benefit is approximately 0.09%, based on
information provided by the sponsor.
SLM 2014-2: Based on transaction-specific performance to date,
Fitch assumes a cumulative default rate of 36.75% under the base
case scenario and a default rate of 86.86% under the 'AA' credit
stress scenario. Fitch is revising the sCDR upwards to 5.00% from
3.20% and is maintaining the sCPR of 11.50% in cash flow modelling.
The TTM levels of deferment, forbearance and IBR are 4.99% (5.05%
at Jan. 31, 2023), 18.46% (17.01%) and 28.77% (26.25%). These
assumptions are used as the starting point in cash flow modelling,
and subsequent declines or increases are modelled as per criteria.
Delinquency buckets continue to stabilize and stand at 4.87% for
31-60 DPD and 2.03% for 91-120 DPD, compared to 5.15% and 1.93%,
respectively from one year ago. The borrower benefit is
approximately 0.08%, based on information provided by the sponsor.
Basis and Interest Rate Risk: Basis risk for these transactions
arises from any rate and reset frequency mismatch between interest
rate indices for Special Allowance Payments (SAP) and the
securities. As of the most recent collection period, 99.76%,
99.78%, 99.84%, 100.00%, 100.00%, and 99.33% of the student loans
in SLM 2013-1, 2013-2, 2013-3, 2013-5, 2013-6, and 2014-2,
respectively, are indexed to SOFR, with the rest indexed to the
91-day T-Bill rate. All the notes in the six transactions are
indexed to 30-day Average SOFR plus the spread adjustment of
0.11448%. Fitch applies its standard basis and interest rate
stresses to the transactions as per criteria.
Payment Structure: Credit enhancement (CE) is provided by excess
spread, overcollateralization, and for the class A notes,
subordination provided by the class B notes. As of the most recent
collection period, reported total parity is 101.01%, for all
transactions. Liquidity support is provided by a reserve account
sized at 0.25% of the outstanding pool balance. The reserve
accounts are currently sized at their floors of $1,249,799,
$1,248,458, $1,249,991, $998,874, $998,463 and $995,345 for SLM
2013-1, 2013-2, 2013-3, 2013-5, 2013-6 and 2014-2, respectively.
Excess cash will continue to be released as long as the reported
total parity (excluding the reserve) is at least 101.01%.
Operational Capabilities: Day-to-day servicing is provided by
Navient Solutions, LLC. Fitch believes Navient is an acceptable
servicer, due to its extensive track record as one of the largest
servicers of FFELP loans. Fitch was notified that Navient entered
into a binding letter of intent on Jan. 29, 2024 that will
transition the student loan servicing to MOHELA, a student loan
servicer for government and commercial enterprises. The transition
to MOHELA is not expected to interrupt the servicing activities
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
'AA+sf' rated tranches of most FFELP securitizations will likely
move in tandem with the U.S. sovereign rating given the strong
linkage to the U.S. sovereign, by nature of the reinsurance
provided by the ED. Aside from the U.S. sovereign rating, defaults,
basis risk and loan extension risk account for the majority of the
risk embedded in FFELP student loan transactions.
This section provides insight into the model-implied sensitivities
the transaction faces when one assumption is modified, while
holding others equal. Fitch conducts credit and maturity stress
sensitivity analysis by increasing or decreasing key assumptions by
25% and 50% over the base case. The credit stress sensitivity is
viewed by stressing both the base case default rate and the basis
spread. The maturity stress sensitivity is viewed by stressing
remaining term, IBR usage and prepayments. The results below should
only be considered as one potential outcome, as the transaction is
exposed to multiple dynamic risk factors and should not be used as
an indicator of possible future performance.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-1
Current Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf' (Credit and
Maturity Stress); class B 'BBBsf' (Credit Stress) / 'AA+sf'
(Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-2
Current Ratings: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A 'AA+sf' (Credit and Maturity
Stress); class B 'CCCsf' (Credit and Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-3
Current Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf' (Credit and
Maturity Stress); class B 'BBBsf' (Credit Stress) / 'AA+sf'
(Maturity Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Bsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-5
Current Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf' (Credit and
Maturity Stress); class B 'Asf' (Credit Stress) / 'BBBsf' (Maturity
Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'Asf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBsf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'CCCsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-6
Current Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf' (Credit and
Maturity Stress); class B 'Asf' (Credit Stress) / 'AA+sf' (Maturity
Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AAsf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2014-2
Current Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'
Current Model-Implied Ratings: class A-3 'AA+sf' (Credit and
Maturity Stress); class B 'Asf' (Credit Stress) / 'AA+sf' (Maturity
Stress)
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Default increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf';
- Basis Spread increase 0.5%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'BBBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR decrease 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- CPR decrease 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- IBR Usage increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
- Remaining Term increase 25%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf';
- Remaining Term increase 50%: class A 'AA+sf'; class B 'Asf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-1
No upgrade credit stress sensitivity is provided for the class A
notes and no maturity stress sensitivity is provided for either the
class A or class B notes, since they are already at their highest
possible model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'BBBsf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-2
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, since they are already at their highest possible
model-implied rating.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'BBBsf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'BBsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'Bsf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-3
No upgrade credit stress sensitivity is provided for the class A
notes and no maturity stress sensitivity is provided for either the
class A or class B notes, since they are already at their highest
possible model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'AAsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-5
No upgrade credit or maturity stress sensitivity is provided for
the class A notes, since they are already at their highest possible
model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'AAsf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Asf'.
Maturity Stress Rating Sensitivity
- CPR increase 25%: class B 'AAsf';
- IBR usage decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- Remaining Term decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2013-6
No upgrade credit stress sensitivity is provided for the class A
notes and no maturity stress sensitivity is provided for either the
class A or class B notes, since they are already at their highest
possible model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'Asf';
- Basis Spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Asf'.
SLM Student Loan Trust 2014-2
No upgrade credit stress sensitivity is provided for the class A
notes and no maturity stress sensitivity is provided for either the
class A or class B notes, since they are already at their highest
possible model-implied ratings.
Credit Stress Rating Sensitivity
- Default decrease 25%: class B 'AA+sf';
- Basis spread decrease 0.25%: class B 'Asf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
SOFI PERSONAL 2024-2: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to the notes
issued by SoFi Personal Loan Trust 2024-2 (SPLT 2024-2).
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
SoFi Personal Loan
Trust 2024-2
A LT AAAsf New Rating
B LT AAsf New Rating
C LT Asf New Rating
D LT BBBsf New Rating
E LT BBsf New Rating
F LT BBsf New Rating
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
SPLT 2024-2 trust is a discrete trust backed by a static pool of
unsecured consumer loans originated by SoFi Bank, National
Association (SoFi Bank) under the SoFi Personal Loan Program. The
transaction is being offered as a Rule 144A issuance. SoFi Bank is
the sponsor, administrator and servicer. SPLT 2024-2 is the third
SoFi-sponsored ABS transaction rated by Fitch.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Solid Receivable Quality: The SPLT 2024-2 pool primarily consists
of unsecured consumer loans made to obligors with strong credit
scores (average credit score: 746) and high incomes (weighted
average [WA] income: $183,395). The pool consists of amortizing
loans with a WA net interest rate of 14.48% and a WA original term
of 49 months, and has been seasoned for two months on average.
Base Case Default Reflects Recent Performance Trends: SoFi's
managed default performance was weaker in vintage year 2022
relative to originations since 2015. Fitch considered this recent
weaker performance as part of its base case default assumption
analysis. However, it looked to 2021 as a more relevant comparative
year, due to observed early-stage performance improvements since
2022. As a result, it assigned its base case default assumption of
5.00%. Fitch applied a stress multiple of 4.5x at the 'AAAsf'
stress level for the pool.
Stable Historical Performance: To date, the default performance of
SoFi's prior securitizations and overall managed portfolio has been
stable. However, recent managed default performance, especially for
vintage 2022 originations, has been trending weaker than historical
originations. While early performance indicators show improving
performance in more recent vintages, Fitch factored this recent
weaker performance in its base case default assumptions and default
stress multiple.
Adequate Servicing Capabilities: SoFi has a long track record as an
originator, underwriter and servicer. SoFi began originating
personal loans in 2015. The entity's credit-risk profile is
mitigated by backup servicing provided by Systems & Services
Technologies, Inc. (SST). Fitch considers all parties to be
adequate servicers for this pool at their expected rating levels.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
During the sensitivity analysis, Fitch examines the magnitude of
the multiplier compression by projecting expected cash flows and
loss coverage levels over the life of investments under default
assumptions that are higher than the initial base case. Fitch
models cash flows with the revised default estimates while holding
all other modeling assumptions constant.
Current Ratings: 'AAAsf', 'AAsf', 'Asf', 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', 'BBsf';
Increased default base case by 10%: 'AA+sf', 'AA-sf', 'A-sf',
'BBB-sf', 'BBsf', 'BB-sf';
Increased default base case by 25%: 'AAsf', 'A+sf', 'BBB+sf',
'BB+sf', 'Bsf', 'Bsf';
Increased default base case by 50%: 'A+sf', 'A-sf', 'BBB-sf',
'BBsf', 'CCCsf', 'NRsf';
Increased default base case by 100%: 'BBB+sf', 'BBB-sf', 'BBsf',
'B-sf', 'NRsf', 'NRsf';
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Current Ratings: 'AAAsf', 'AAsf', 'Asf', 'BBBsf', 'BBsf', 'BBsf';
Decreased default base case by 25%: 'AAAsf', 'AAAsf', 'AAsf',
'Asf', 'BBB-sf', 'BBB-sf';
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E (Form 15E) as
prepared by Deloitte & Touche LLP. The third-party due diligence
described in Form 15E focused on comparison and recalculation of
certain characteristics with respect to 125 randomly selected
statistical receivables. Fitch considered this information in its
analysis and it did not have an effect on Fitch's analysis or
conclusions.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
STRUCTURED ASSET 2007-AR1: Moody's Ups I-A-1 Notes Rating to Ba1
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of two bonds issued by
Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2007-AR1, backed by
option ARM mortgages.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Structured Asset Mortgage Investments II Trust 2007-AR1
Cl. I-A-1, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Sep 15, 2022
Upgraded to Caa1 (sf)
Cl. II-A-1, Upgraded to Ba3 (sf); previously on Sep 15, 2022
Upgraded to Caa1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the recent performance as well as
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of the
related pools, and/or an increase in credit enhancement available
to the bonds.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in this deal
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS
Surveillance Methodology" published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
SYMPHONY CLO 42: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Symphony
CLO 42, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Symphony CLO 42, Ltd.
A-1 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-2 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Symphony CLO 42, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage cash flow
collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed by
Symphony Alternative Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the
issuance of the secured and subordinated notes will provide
financing on a portfolio of approximately $500 million of primarily
first lien senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.16, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial matrix point of 25.25. Issuers rated in the 'B' rating
category denote a highly speculative credit quality; however, the
notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and standard U.S.
CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
98.62% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 76.68% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial matrix point of
71.3%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 50% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings. The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio
and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to
account for structural and reinvestment conditions after the
reinvestment period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would
reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress
periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between
'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for
class C, between less than 'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and
between less than 'B-sf' and 'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-2 notes as
these notes are in the highest rating category of 'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AA+sf' for class C, 'A+sf' for
class D, and 'BBBsf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
TABERNA PREFERRED I: Fitch Withdraws BB Rating on 2 Tranches
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed its ratings on class A-1A, A-1B, A-2,
B-1, B-2, C-1, C-2, C-3, D and E notes in Taberna Preferred Funding
I, Ltd./Inc. (Taberna I). The Rating Outlooks for class A-1A and
A-1B remain Stable. Subsequent to such rating actions, Fitch has
withdrawn the ratings. Accordingly, Fitch will no longer provide
rating or analytical coverage for Taberna I.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Taberna Preferred
Funding I, Ltd./Inc.
A-1A 87330PAA0 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
A-1A 87330PAA0 LT WDsf Withdrawn BBsf
A-1B 87330PAB8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
A-1B 87330PAB8 LT WDsf Withdrawn BBsf
A-2 87330PAC6 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
A-2 87330PAC6 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCCsf
B-1 87330PAD4 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
B-1 87330PAD4 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCsf
B-2 87330PAE2 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
B-2 87330PAE2 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCsf
C-1 87330PAF LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C-1 87330PAF9 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCsf
C-2 87330PAG7 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C-2 87330PAG7 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCsf
C-3 87330PAH5 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
C-3 87330PAH5 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCsf
D 87330PAJ1 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
D 87330PAJ1 LT WDsf Withdrawn CCsf
E 87330PAK8 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
E 87330PAK8 LT WDsf Withdrawn Csf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Taberna I is collateralized by trust preferred securities (TruPS),
senior and subordinated debt issued by real estate investment
trusts (REITs), corporate issuers, tranches of structured finance
collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and commercial
mortgage-backed securities.
Fitch is withdrawing the ratings as a result of the changes to the
'U.S. Trust Preferred CDOs Surveillance Rating Criteria' (TruPS
Criteria), published on Jan. 19, 2024.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The CDO experienced one new defaulted issuer, comprising 11% of the
portfolio, which caused the CDO's weighted average number to drop
to 5.
The notes were affirmed due to the moderate pace of deleveraging
from collateral redemptions and excess spread, which led to the two
senior classes of notes receiving paydowns of 3% of their last
review note balances.
The class A-1A, A-1B and A-2 notes in Taberna I are one notch
higher than their model-implied ratings, driven by the outcome of
the sensitivity analysis, which does not cause a downgrade to note
ratings as described in Fitch's TruPS Criteria.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Negative sensitivities do not apply as the ratings have been
withdrawn.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Positive sensitivities do not apply as the ratings have been
withdrawn.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
TEXAS DEBT 2024-I: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned ratings and Rating Outlooks to Texas
Debt Capital CLO 2024-I, Ltd.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Texas Debt Capital
CLO 2024-I, Ltd.
A-1 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Subordinated LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
Texas Debt Capital CLO 2024-I, Ltd. (the issuer) is an arbitrage
cash flow collateralized loan obligation (CLO) that will be managed
by CIFC Asset Management LLC. Net proceeds from the issuance of the
secured and subordinated notes will provide financing on a
portfolio of approximately $600 million of primarily first lien
senior secured leveraged loans.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Credit Quality (Negative): The average credit quality of the
indicative portfolio is 'B', which is in line with that of recent
CLOs. The weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the indicative
portfolio is 24.09, versus a maximum covenant, in accordance with
the initial expected matrix point of 26.75. Issuers rated in the
'B' rating category denote a highly speculative credit quality;
however, the notes benefit from appropriate credit enhancement and
standard U.S. CLO structural features.
Asset Security (Positive): The indicative portfolio consists of
99.75% first-lien senior secured loans. The weighted average
recovery rate (WARR) of the indicative portfolio is 75.55% versus a
minimum covenant, in accordance with the initial expected matrix
point of 73%.
Portfolio Composition (Positive): The largest three industries may
comprise up to 50% of the portfolio balance in aggregate while the
top five obligors can represent up to 12.5% of the portfolio
balance in aggregate. The level of diversity resulting from the
industry, obligor and geographic concentrations is in line with
other recent CLOs.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 5.1-year
reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to other
CLOs. Fitch's analysis was based on a stressed portfolio created by
adjusting to the indicative portfolio to reflect permissible
concentration limits and collateral quality test levels.
Cash Flow Analysis (Positive): Fitch used a customized proprietary
cash flow model to replicate the principal and interest waterfalls
and assess the effectiveness of various structural features of the
transaction. In Fitch's stress scenarios, the rated notes can
withstand default and recovery assumptions consistent with their
assigned ratings.
The WAL used for the transaction stress portfolio and matrices
analysis is 12 months less than the WAL covenant to account for
structural and reinvestment conditions after the reinvestment
period. In Fitch's opinion, these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Variability in key model assumptions, such as decreases in recovery
rates and increases in default rates, could result in a downgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
a metric. The results under these sensitivity scenarios are as
severe as between 'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-1, between
'BBB+sf' and 'AA+sf' for class A-2, between 'BB+sf' and 'A+sf' for
class B, between 'B+sf' and 'BBB+sf' for class C, between less than
'B-sf' and 'BB+sf' for class D, and between less than 'B-sf' and
'B+sf' for class E.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrade scenarios are not applicable to the class A-1 and class A-2
notes as these notes are in the highest rating category of
'AAAsf'.
Variability in key model assumptions, such as increases in recovery
rates and decreases in default rates, could result in an upgrade.
Fitch evaluated the notes' sensitivity to potential changes in such
metrics; the minimum rating results under these sensitivity
scenarios are 'AAAsf' for class B, 'AAsf' for class C, 'Asf' for
class D, and 'BBB+sf' for class E.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other nationally
recognized statistical rating organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied
upon for its rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Texas Debt Capital
CLO 2024-I, Ltd. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
in the key rating drivers any ESG factor which has a significant
impact on the rating on an individual basis.
TOORAK MORTAGE 2024-RRTL1: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on B-1 Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS, Inc. finalized the following provisional credit ratings to
the Mortgage-Backed Notes, Series 2024-RRTL1 (the Notes) to be
issued by Toorak Mortgage Trust 2024-RRTL1 (TRK 2024-RRTL1 or the
Issuer):
-- $202.8 million Class A Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $182.6 million Class A-1 Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- $20.3 million Class A-2 Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- $13.2 million Class M-1 Notes at BB (low) (sf)
-- $17.9 million Class B-1 Notes at B (sf)
Morningstar DBRS assigned the following credit ratings to the
Notes:
-- $23.9 million Class B Notes at B (low) (sf)
-- $6.0 million Class B-2 Notes at B (low) (sf)
The issuer elected to make certain changes to the structure after
Morningstar DBRS assigned a provisional rating of B (low) (sf) to
Class B-1 Notes. The resulting finalized provisional rating
Morningstar DBRS assigned to Class B-1 Notes was B (sf).
Class A and Class B are exchangeable notes. These classes can be
exchanged for proportionate shares of the exchange notes as
specified in the offering documents.
The A (low) (sf) credit rating reflects 26.96% of credit
enhancement provided by the subordinated notes and
overcollateralization. The BBB (low) (sf), BB (low) (sf), B (sf)
and B (low) (sf) credit ratings reflect 18.85%, 13.55%, 6.39% and
4.00% of credit enhancement, respectively.
Other than the specified classes above, Morningstar DBRS does not
rate any other classes in this transaction.
This transaction is a securitization of a two-year revolving
portfolio of residential transition loans (RTL) funded by the
issuance of the Notes. As of the Statistical Calculation Date, the
Notes are backed by (1) 370 mortgage loans with a total principal
balance of $158,448,508 and (2) $91,551,492 in the Funding Account.
Additional RTL may be added to the revolving portfolio on future
additional transfer dates, subject to the transaction's eligibility
criteria.
TRK 2024-RRTL1 represents the ninth RTL securitization issued by
the Sponsor, Toorak Capital Partners LLC (Toorak), and the
inaugural rated RTL securitization. Formed in 2016 and
headquartered in Summit, New Jersey, Toorak is a mortgage loan
aggregator that partners with third-party loan originators to
acquire business purpose residential, multifamily, and mixed-use
bridge and term loans. Toorak is the named Servicer for the
transaction, and the loans will be subserviced by Merchants
Mortgage Trust & Corporation, LLC (Merchants), Servis One, Inc.
doing business as BSI Financial Services, FCI Lender Services,
Inc., and RCN Capital, LLC. Merchants is the largest originator in
the revolving portfolio and will subservice the
Merchants-originated loans.
The revolving portfolio consists of first-lien, fixed-rate,
interest only (IO) balloon RTL with original terms to maturity of
five to 37 months. The loans also include extension options, which
may lengthen maturities beyond the original terms. The
characteristics of the revolving pool will be subject to
eligibility criteria specified in the transaction documents and
include:
-- A minimum non-zero weighted-average (NZ WA) FICO score of 715.
-- A maximum NZ WA As-Is Loan-to-Value ratio of 85.0%.
-- A maximum NZ WA Loan-to-Cost ratio of 85.0%.
-- A maximum NZ WA As Repaired Loan-to-Value ratio of 70.0%.
RTL Features
RTL are short-term bridge loans designed to help real estate
investors purchase and renovate residential or small balance
commercial properties (the latter is limited to 5.0% of the
revolving portfolio), generally within 12 to 36 months. RTL are
similar to traditional mortgages in many aspects but may differ
significantly in terms of initial property condition, construction
draws, and the timing and incentives by which borrowers repay
principal. For traditional residential mortgages, borrowers are
generally incentivized to pay principal monthly, so they can occupy
the properties while building equity in their homes. In the RTL
space, borrowers repay their entire loan amount when they (1) sell
the property with the goal to generate a profit or (2) refinance to
a term loan and rent out the property to earn income.
In general, RTL are short-term IO balloon loans with the full
amount of principal due at maturity. Borrowers generally rely on
the sale or refinancing of the related mortgaged properties to
repay the balloon payment due at maturity. The repayment of an RTL
is mainly based on the ability to sell the related mortgaged
property or to convert it into a rental property. In addition, many
RTL lenders offer extension options, which provide additional time
for borrowers to repay their mortgage beyond the original maturity
date. For the loans in this transaction, such extensions may be
granted, subject to certain conditions, at the direction of the
Servicer.
In the TRK 2024-RRTL1 revolving portfolio, RTL may be:
(1) Fully funded:
-- With no obligation of further advances to the borrower,
-- With a portion of the loan proceeds allocated to a
rehabilitation escrow account for future disbursement to fund
construction draw requests upon the satisfaction of certain
conditions, or
-- With a portion of the loan proceeds allocated to an interest
reserve escrow account for future disbursement to fund interest
draw requests upon the satisfaction of certain conditions.
(2) Partially funded:
-- With a commitment to fund construction draw requests upon the
satisfaction of certain conditions.
After completing certain construction/repairs using their own
funds, the borrower usually seeks reimbursement by making draw
requests. Generally, construction draws are disbursed only upon the
completion of approved construction/repairs and after a
satisfactory construction progress inspection. Based on the TRK
2024-RRTL1 eligibility criteria, unfunded commitments are limited
to 35.0% of the assets of the issuer, which includes (1) the unpaid
principal balance (UPB) of the mortgage loans and (2) amounts in
the Funding Account and the Reserve Account.
Cash Flow Structure and Draw Funding
The transaction employs a sequential-pay cash flow structure.
During the revolving period, the Notes will generally be IO. After
the revolving period, or on the Redemption Date, principal will be
applied to pay down the Notes, sequentially. If the Issuer does not
redeem the Notes by the payment date in August 2026, the Class A-1
and Class A-2 fixed rates will step up by 1.000% (step-up event).
There will be no advancing of delinquent (DQ) interest on any
mortgage by the Servicer, the Subservicers, or any other party to
the transaction. However, the Servicer is obligated to fund
Servicing Advances, which include:
-- Customary amounts: taxes, insurance premiums, and reasonable
costs incurred in the course of servicing and disposing
properties.
-- Construction advances: borrower-requested draws for approved
construction, repairs, restoration, and protection of the
property.
-- Interest draw advances: for loans with interest reserve escrow
accounts, borrower-requested draws to cover interest payments for
the related mortgage loan, subject to certain conditions.
-- Purchase advances: amounts used to acquire additional mortgage
loans up to 1.5% of the aggregate Class A-1 and Class A-2 Note
amounts.
The Servicer will be entitled to reimburse itself for Servicing
Advances from available funds prior to any payments on the Notes.
Interest draw advances are related to certain loans that have
mortgagor interest reserve escrow amounts that borrowers may draw
upon and are unrelated to DQ interest payments.
Historically, Toorak's RTL acquisition portfolio has generated
robust prepayments, which have been able to cover unfunded
commitments. Nonetheless, the transaction incorporates a Funding
Account during the revolving period, which is used to fund draws
and purchase additional loans. A Reserve Account, which is used to
fund purchases of additional loans solely from Merchants, is also
available for the transaction.
During the revolving period, the Funding Account is replenished
from the transaction cash flow waterfall, after payment of interest
to the Notes, to maintain a minimum required funding balance. The
Reserve Account is replenished from the Funding Account from time
to time at the direction of the Depositor. Amounts held in the
Funding Account and Reserve Account, along with the mortgage
collateral, must be sufficient to maintain a maximum effective
advance rate of 96.0%, which ensures a minimum level of
overcollateralization for the bonds until the amortization period
begins. During and after the revolving period, an Expense Reserve
Account will be available to cover fees and expenses. The Expense
Reserve Account is replenished from the transaction cash flow
waterfall, before payment of interest to the Notes, to maintain a
minimum reserve balance.
In the RTL space, because of the lack of amortization and the
short-term nature of the loans, voluntary prepayments (paydowns and
payoffs) tend to occur closer to or at the related maturity dates
when compared with traditional residential mortgages. In its
analysis of historical RTL data, Morningstar DBRS considers both
unscheduled and scheduled voluntary principal balance reductions in
the construction of its cash flow stresses. In its cash flow
analysis, Morningstar DBRS evaluates Toorak's historical paydowns
relative to draw commitments and incorporates several stress
scenarios where prepayments may or may not sufficiently cover draw
commitments.
Other Transaction Features
The Issuer may be permitted to sell one or more mortgage loans in a
discretionary sale, subject to certain conditions, for a price
equal to the greater of (1) the UPB and (2) the fair market value
of the mortgage loan.
Prior to the two-year anniversary of the Closing Date, the Issuer
will not be permitted to sell all the loans in aggregate in one or
more discretionary sales. On or after the two-year anniversary of
the Closing Date, the Issuer, at the direction of 100% of the Class
P Certificateholders, may sell all the loans in aggregate in a
discretionary sale at the Redemption Price (Optional Redemption).
The Redemption Price is equal to par plus interest and fees. The
Redemption Date is the date on which the aggregate Notes are
redeemed in full.
Similar to certain other issuers, each Seller will have the option
to repurchase any related mortgage loan that becomes 60+ days DQ at
a price equal to the UPB of the loan, as long as the UPB of the
aggregate repurchased DQ mortgages does not exceed 10.0% of the
cumulative principal balance of the mortgage loans. During the
revolving period, if a Seller repurchases DQ loans, this could
potentially delay the natural occurrence of an early amortization
event based on the DQ trigger. Morningstar DBRS' revolving
structure analysis assumes the repayment of Notes is reliant on the
amortization of an adverse pool regardless of whether it occurs
early or not.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Notes address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated Notes are the related
Note Interest Payment Amount, the Interest Carryover Amount, and
the Note Amount.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Class A-1 and Class A-2
Notes also address the credit risk associated with the increased
rate of interest applicable to the Class A-1 and Class A-2 Notes if
the Class A-1 and Class A-2 Notes remain outstanding on the step-up
date (August 2026) in accordance with the applicable transaction
document(s).
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction document(s) that are not financial
obligations. For example, in this transaction, Morningstar DBRS'
credit ratings do not address the payment of any Cap Carryover
Amounts.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued. The Morningstar DBRS short-term debt rating scale
provides an opinion on the risk that an issuer will not meet its
short-term financial obligations in a timely manner.
Notes: All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
TRALEE CLO II: S&P Lowers Class E-R Notes Rating to 'B- (sf)'
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised and removed from CreditWatch positive its
ratings on the class B-R, C-R, and D-R debt from Tralee CLO II Ltd.
At the same time, S&P lowered its ratings on the class E-R and F-R
debt, removed the class F-R rating from CreditWatch negative, and
affirmed its ratings on the class A-R debt from the same
transaction.
S&P said, "The rating actions follow our review of the
transaction's performance using data from the February 2024 trustee
report and consider all rating actions and defaults on the
underlying collateral that might have occurred subsequently.
Although the same portfolio backs all of the tranches, there can be
circumstances, such as this one, where the ratings on the tranches
may move in opposite directions due to support changes in the
portfolio. This transaction is experiencing opposing rating
movements because it both experienced principal paydowns, which
increased the senior credit support, and faced an increase in
defaults and a decline in collateral credit quality, which
decreased the junior credit support."
The transaction has paid down $223.13 million to the class A-R debt
since S&P's October 2021 rating actions. Since the August 2021
trustee report, which S&P used for its previous rating actions, the
reported overcollateralization (O/C) ratios have changed:
-- The class A/B O/C ratio improved to 191.10% from 128.52%.
-- The class C O/C ratio improved to 140.14% from 118.25%.
-- The class D O/C ratio improved to 115.90% from 111.27%.
-- The class E O/C ratio declined to 101.04% from 105.96%.
-- The class F O/C ratio declined to 94.96% from 103.49%.
While the senior O/C ratios experienced positive movement due to
the lower balances of the senior notes, the class E and F O/C
ratios declined due to a combination of increase in defaults and
increased haircuts following an increase in the portfolio's
exposure to 'CCC' or lower quality assets and have been failing
their respective O/C tests.
Collateral obligations with ratings in the 'CCC' category have
decreased in dollar value but have increased in percentage, with
17.8% ($28.37 million) reported as of the February 2024 trustee
report, compared with 7.6% ($28.56 million) reported as of the
August 2021 trustee report. Over the same period, the par amount of
defaulted collateral has increased to $8.37 million from $0.91
million.
The upgrades reflect the improved credit support at the prior
rating levels; the affirmation reflects S&P's view that the credit
support available is commensurate with the current rating level.
The lowered rating reflects the deteriorated credit quality of the
underlying portfolio and the decrease in credit support available
to the class notes.
On a standalone basis, the results of the cash flow analysis
indicated a higher rating on the class C-R and D-R debt. However,
because the transaction currently has higher-than-average exposures
to 'CCC' and 'D' rated collateral obligations, S&P's rating actions
reflect additional sensitivity runs that consider the CLO's
exposure to these lower-quality assets and those currently at
distressed prices, and our preference for more cushion to offset
any future potential negative credit migration in the underlying
collateral.
On a standalone basis, the cash flow results indicated a lower
rating for the class E-R and F-R debt. At this time, the lowered
rating on class E-R is limited to one notch, to 'B- (sf)', based on
its existing credit enhancement as S&P believes the class can
withstand current conditions and does not meet our 'CCC' criteria.
The lowered rating on class F-R is limited to two notches, to 'CCC-
(sf)', as it continues to be dependent on favorable market
conditions and now relies on the recovery prospects of the
defaulted assets.
Tralee CLO II Ltd. has transitioned its liabilities to three-month
CME term SOFR as its underlying index with the Alternative
Reference Rates Committee-recommended credit spread adjustment. Our
cash flow analysis reflects this change and assumes that the
underlying assets have also transitioned to a term SOFR as their
respective underlying index. If the trustee reports indicated a
credit spread adjustment in any asset, S&P's cash flow analysis
considered the same.
S&P said, "In line with our criteria, our cash flow scenarios
applied forward-looking assumptions on the expected timing and
pattern of defaults, and recoveries upon default, under various
interest rate and macroeconomic scenarios. In addition, our
analysis considered the transaction's ability to pay timely
interest and/or ultimate principal to each of the rated tranches.
The results of the cash flow analysis--and other qualitative
factors as applicable--demonstrated, in our view, that all of the
rated outstanding classes have adequate credit enhancement
available at the rating levels associated with these rating
actions.
"We will continue to review whether, in our view, the ratings
assigned to the notes remain consistent with the credit enhancement
available to support them, and we will take rating actions as we
deem necessary."
Ratings Raised And Removed From CreditWatch Positive
Tralee CLO II Ltd.
Class B-R: to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA (sf)/Watch Pos'
Class C-R: to 'AA (sf)' from 'A (sf)/Watch Pos'
Class D-R: to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)/Watch Pos'
Rating Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative
Tralee CLO II Ltd.
Class F-R to 'CCC- (sf)' from 'CCC+(sf)/Watch Neg'
Rating Lowered
Tralee CLO II Ltd.
Class E-R to 'B- (sf)' from 'B (sf)'
Rating Affirmed
Tralee CLO II Ltd.
Class A-R: AAA (sf)
TRINITAS CLO XXVII: S&P Assigns Prelim 'BB-(sf)' Rating on E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Trinitas CLO
XXVII Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVII LLC's floating- and fixed-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Trinitas Capital Management LLC.
The preliminary ratings are based on information as of March 15,
2024. Subsequent information may result in the assignment of final
ratings that differ from the preliminary ratings.
The preliminary ratings reflect S&P's view of:
-- The collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Preliminary Ratings Assigned
Trinitas CLO XXVII Ltd./Trinitas CLO XXVII LLC
Class A-1, $312.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2, $12.50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $55.00 million: AA (sf)
Class C-1 (deferrable), $20.00 million: A (sf)
Class C-2 (deferrable), $10.00 million: A (sf)
Class D-1 (deferrable), $25.00 million: BBB+ (sf)
Class D-2 (deferrable), $10.00 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $12.50 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $50.40 million: Not rated
VENTURE XVII: Moody's Cuts Rating on $8.5MM Cl. F-RR Notes to Caa3
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating on the following notes
issued by Venture XVII CLO, Limited:
US$37,500,000 Class D-RR Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2027 (the "Class D-RR Notes"), Upgraded to Aa2 (sf);
previously on December 12, 2023 Upgraded to A2 (sf)
Moody's has also downgraded the rating on the following notes:
US$8,500,000 Class F-RR Junior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2027 (the "Class F-RR Notes") (current outstanding
balance of $8,787,286.82), Downgraded to Caa3 (sf); previously on
December 12, 2023 Downgraded to Caa2 (sf)
Venture XVII CLO, Limited, originally issued in May 2014, partially
refinanced in July 2017, and fully refinanced in April 2018, is a
managed cashflow CLO. The notes are collateralized primarily by a
portfolio of broadly syndicated senior secured corporate loans. The
transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2020.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
transactions has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrade rating action is primarily a result of deleveraging of
the senior notes and an increase in the transaction's
over-collateralization (OC) ratios since December 2023. The Class
A-RR notes have been paid down by approximately 46.5% or $58.5
million since that time. Based on Moody's calculation, the OC ratio
for the Class D-RR notes is currently 119.45% versus December 2023
level of 116.67%.
The downgrade rating action on the Class F-RR notes reflects the
specific risks to the junior notes posed by par loss observed in
the underlying CLO portfolio. Based on Moody's calculation, the OC
ratio for the Class F-RR notes is reported at 100.48% compared to
the December 2023 level of 101.60%. Moody's also notes that the
Class E-RR OC test has been failing, and as a result, the Class
F-RR notes deferred interest due on the January 2024 payment date.
No actions were taken on the Class A-RR, Class B-RR, Class C-RR,
and Class E-RR notes because their expected losses remain
commensurate with their current ratings, after taking into account
the CLO's latest portfolio information, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralization and interest
coverage levels.
Moody's modeled the transaction using a cash flow model based on
the Binomial Expansion Technique, as described in "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations."
The key model inputs Moody's used in its analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score, weighted average
spread, and weighted average recovery rate, are based on its
published methodology and could differ from the trustee's reported
numbers. For modeling purposes, Moody's used the following
base-case assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: $260,603,445
Defaulted par: $13,455,827
Diversity Score: 51
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2423
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for reference rate
floors): 3.18%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 9.95%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 47.57%
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 2.0 years
In addition to base case analysis, Moody's ran additional scenarios
where outcomes could diverge from the base case. The additional
scenarios consider one or more factors individually or in
combination, and include: defaults by obligors whose low ratings or
debt prices suggest distress, defaults by obligors with potential
refinancing risk, deterioration in the credit quality of the
underlying portfolio, decrease in overall WAS or net interest
income, lower recoveries on defaulted assets.
Methodology Used for the Rating Action
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
December 2021.
Factors that Would Lead to an Upgrade or Downgrade of the Ratings:
The performance of the rated notes is subject to uncertainty. The
performance of the rated notes is sensitive to the performance of
the underlying portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and
credit conditions that may change. The Manager's investment
decisions and management of the transaction will also affect the
performance of the rated notes.
WB COMMERCIAL 2024-HQ: Moody's Assigns Ba1 Rating to Cl. HRR Certs
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to five classes of
CMBS securities, issued by WB Commercial Mortgage Trust 2024-HQ,
Commercial Mortgage Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2024-HQ:
Cl. A, Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
Cl. B, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
Cl. C, Definitive Rating Assigned A3 (sf)
Cl. D, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa2 (sf)
Cl. HRR, Definitive Rating Assigned Ba1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The certificates are collateralized by a single loan backed by a
first lien mortgage on the borrower's fee simple interest in the
Second Century (the "Property"), two newly developed, Class A LEED
certified (expected in April 2024) office buildings totaling
810,648 SF located in Burbank, CA. Moody's ratings are based on the
credit quality of the loans and the strength of the securitization
structure.
The Second Century development, named for the 100-year anniversary
of Warner Bros. Studios, is the centerpiece of a land swap
agreement between the Sponsor and the Tenant. The Property consists
of two, expected to be LEED-certified Frank Gehry designed office
buildings, adjacent to the Warner Bros. main lot in Burbank's Media
District. Together, they offer 810,648 SF of rentable area and
serve as the Warner Bros. global headquarters.
The office building complex contains a seven-story building of
approximately 356,000 SF and a nine-story building of approximately
454,000 SF. It was built in two phases with Phase I completed in
the second quarter of 2022 and Phase II completed in May 2023. The
Property benefits from an expansive variety of amenities and a
campus like setting. The complex also has various ESG friendly
features such as MERV-16 filters, UV lights (Phase I), outdoor
collaboration areas with power and AV stations, natural lighting,
automated shades and hands-free controls.
The Property is situated on a 9.945-acre site, which is parceled
off via a lot line adjustment from the Burbank Studios, a studio
soundstage campus which was previously owned by the Sponsor and
acquired by the Tenant for $300 million in 2023, as part of the
original lease/development agreement.
Worthe acquired the 35-acre campus, which was formerly NBC Studios,
in 2007 from General Electric and rebranded it as Burbank Studios.
In 2019, construction of Second Century began on the quarter mile
frontage along the 134 Freeway on the southern part of the campus.
The agreement allowed for a total of 1,825,865 office equivalent
gross square feet ("OEGSF"), consisting of sound stages, media
office buildings, and other facilities and, of this amount, 658,195
OEGSF was transferred to The Pointe parcels, another Worthe-owned
property, leaving 1,167,670 OEGSF remaining for Second Century.
Moody's approach to rating this transaction involved the
application of Moody's Large Loan and Single Asset/Single Borrower
Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securitization methodology. The rating
approach for securities backed by a single loan compares the credit
risk inherent in the underlying collateral with the credit
protection offered by the structure. The structure's credit
enhancement is quantified by the maximum deterioration in property
value that the securities are able to withstand under various
stress scenarios without causing an increase in the expected loss
for various rating levels. In assigning single borrower ratings,
Moody's also consider a range of qualitative issues as well as the
transaction's structural and legal aspects.
The credit risk of loans is determined primarily by two factors: 1)
Moody's assessment of the probability of default, which is largely
driven by each loan's DSCR, and 2) Moody's assessment of the
severity of loss upon a default, which is largely driven by each
loan's loan-to-value ratio, referred to as the Moody's LTV or MLTV.
As described in the CMBS methodology used to rate this transaction,
Moody's make various adjustments to the MLTV. Moody's adjust the
MLTV for each loan using a value that reflects capitalization (cap)
rates that are between Moody's sustainable cap rates and market cap
rates. Moody's also use an adjusted loan balance that reflects each
loan's amortization profile.
The Moody's first mortgage DSCR is 1.38x and Moody's first mortgage
stressed DSCR at a 9.25% constant is 0.95x.
The loan first mortgage balance of $475,000,000 represents a
Moody's LTV ratio of 100.7% based on Moody's value. Adjusted
Moody's LTV ratio for the first mortgage balance is 90.0% based on
Moody's Value using a cap rate adjusted for the current interest
rate environment.
Moody's also grades properties on a scale of 0 to 5 (best to worst)
and considers those grades when assessing the likelihood of debt
payment. The factors considered include property age, quality of
construction, location, market, and tenancy. The property quality
grade is 1.00.
Notable strengths of the transaction include: the property's asset
quality, media industry demand driver, tenancy, and experienced
sponsorship.
Notable concerns of the transaction include: the market vacancy
conditions, high Moody's loan-to-value ("MLTV") ratio inclusive of
subordinate debt, lack of asset diversification, interest-only loan
profile and certain credit negative legal features.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Large Loan and
Single Asset/Single Borrower Commercial Mortgage-Backed
Securitizations Methodology" published in July 2022.
Moody's approach for single borrower and large loan multi-borrower
transactions evaluates credit enhancement levels based on an
aggregation of adjusted loan level proceeds derived from Moody's
loan level LTV ratios. Major adjustments to determining proceeds
include leverage, loan structure, and property type. These
aggregated proceeds are then further adjusted for any pooling
benefits associated with loan level diversity, other concentrations
and correlations.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The performance expectations for a given variable indicate Moody's
forward-looking view of the likely range of performance over the
medium term. Performance that falls outside the given range may
indicate that the collateral's credit quality is stronger or weaker
than Moody's had previously anticipated. Factors that may cause an
upgrade of the ratings include significant loan pay downs or
amortization, an increase in the pool's share of defeasance or
overall improved pool performance. Factors that may cause a
downgrade of the ratings include a decline in the overall
performance of the pool, loan concentration, increased expected
losses from specially serviced and troubled loans or interest
shortfalls.
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT 2: S&P Assigns BB- (sf) Rating on E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Wellington Management
CLO 2 Ltd./Wellington Management CLO 2 LLC's floating-rate debt.
The debt issuance is a CLO securitization governed by investment
criteria and backed primarily by broadly syndicated
speculative-grade (rated 'BB+' or lower) senior secured term loans.
The transaction is managed by Wellington Management CLO Advisors
LLC, affiliated with Wellington Management Co. LLP and Wellington
Alternate Investments LLC.
The ratings reflect:
-- S&P's view of the collateral pool's diversification;
-- The credit enhancement provided through subordination, excess
spread, and overcollateralization;
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through portfolio
identification and ongoing management; and
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is expected to be
bankruptcy remote.
Ratings Assigned
Wellington Management CLO 2 Ltd./Wellington Management CLO 2 LLC
Class A, $204 million: AAA (sf)
Class A loans, $50 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $50 million: AA (sf)
Class C (deferrable), $24 million: A (sf)
Class D (deferrable), $24 million: BBB- (sf)
Class E (deferrable), $14 million: BB- (sf)
Subordinated notes, $42 million: Not rated
WELLS FARGO 2021-FCMT: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed all classes of Wells Fargo Commercial
Mortgage Trust 2021-FCMT (WFCM 2021-FCMT), commercial mortgage
pass-through certificates, series 2021-FCMT.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
WFCM 2021-FCMT
A 95003EAA4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 95003EAC0 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
C 95003EAE6 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
D 95003EAG1 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
E 95003EAJ5 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
F 95003EAL0 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Mixed Performance Indicators: As of September 2023, the collateral
was 81.1% occupied compared to 84.8% at issuance. As of September
2023, the servicer-reported NCF debt service coverage ratio (DSCR)
was 1.17x, compared with 2.02x at YE 2022 and 2.74x at YE 2021
primarily due to increasing debt service. Fitch relied upon
September 2023 reporting for its analysis.
The updated Fitch NCF of $35.9 million exceeds the $32.2 million
Fitch NCF at issuance. It incorporated an additional vacancy
adjustment to account for upcoming rollover risk and operating
expenses in line with issuance. Fitch noted at issuance that the
largest rollover will occur in 2025. Per the September 2023 rent
roll, approximately 33.8% ($11.8 million) of base rent expires in
2025; 19.4% ($6.7 million) is attributed to the RAND Corporation.
The servicer indicated the tenant's future plans could not be
determined at this time in response to a leasing status update.
Fitch's analysis also considered a sensitivity scenario that
applied a higher vacancy adjustment to account for the possibility
of RAND Corporation vacating as the tenant is paying above-market
rent. This sensitivity scenario combined with the loan's upcoming
May 2024 maturity supports the affirmations. Fitch submitted an
inquiry regarding a status update on the approaching maturity date.
It is likely that the borrower will exercise one of the two
remaining one-year extension options.
Competitive Retail Position and Property Quality: Fitch assigned
Fashion Centre and Metro Tower property quality grades of 'A-' and
'B+', respectively, at issuance. Fashion Centre currently has an A+
designation in GreenStreet's mall database, which tracks malls
across the U.S.
High Fitch Leverage: The $455.0 million mortgage loan has high
leverage metrics, with a Fitch stressed loan-to- value (LTV), debt
service coverage ratio (DSCR) and debt yield of 98.3%, 0.90x and
7.9%, respectively, and debt of $556 psf.
Location: The property is located in the Pentagon City neighborhood
of Arlington, VA and approximately four miles southwest of
Washington, D.C. The Fashion Centre at Pentagon City is connected
to an office (169,551-sf Metro Tower - collateral), a 366-key Ritz
Carlton (ground lease is collateral; hotel improvements are not),
and the Yellow and Blue Metro lines. Given the property's
accessible urban location, it draws from a dense local trade area
within five miles and has a diverse customer base that includes
local shoppers, office workers, and domestic and international
tourists.
Strong Pre-Pandemic Sales Performance: Fitch considers Fashion
Centre's reported 2019 in-line sales (over 10,000 sf) of $993 psf.
The mall's reported in-line sales excluding Apple are $786 psf.
While updated sales were requested, the servicer indicated they are
not required under loan documentation.
Institutional Sponsorship: The borrowers are each indirect
subsidiaries of joint ventures between affiliates of Simon Property
Group, L.P. (SPG) and Institutional Mall Investors (IMI), a
co-investment venture owned by an affiliate of Miller Capital
Advisory, Inc. (MCA) and California Public Employees' Retirement
System (CalPERS). SPG is a real estate investment trust with an
interest in 230 properties comprising 191 million sf, located in
North America, Asia and Europe as of December 2020. The sponsor's
U.S. portfolio includes 94 malls, 69 outlet properties (including
14 properties within the company's Mills portfolio), six lifestyle
centers and 13 other retail properties.
As of YE 2022, SPG's total U.S. portfolio was over 94.9% leased (up
from 93.4% at YE 2021). SPG's U.S. mall and outlet portfolio
generated sales psf of $753 in 2022. MCA is the investment manager
for IMI. CalPERS is the largest public pension fund in the U.S.
with $464 billion in assets under management as of June 2023. IMI's
portfolio consists of 21.1 million sf of retail space and 1.3
million sf of office space as of September 2023.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades are possible if tenants with leases expiring in 2025 do
not renew or renew at significantly lower rates. Fitch will
continue to monitor for leasing updates, particularly with the RAND
Corporation
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Should the collateral demonstrate significant and sustained
performance improvement exceeding Fitch's expectation of
performance at issuance, future upgrades are possible.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
WESTLAKE AUTOMOBILE 2024-1: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its ratings to Westlake Automobile
Receivables Trust 2024-1's automobile receivables-backed notes.
The note issuance is an ABS transaction backed by subprime auto
loan receivables.
The ratings reflect:
-- The availability of approximately 50.07%, 43.02%, 34.58%,
26.84%, and 22.50% credit support (hard credit enhancement and
haircut to excess spread) for the class A (classes A-1, A-2, and
A-3, collectively), B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, based on
S&P's final post-pricing stressed breakeven cash flow scenarios.
These credit support levels provide at least 3.50x, 3.25x, 2.53x,
1.75x, and 1.50x coverage of its expected cumulative net loss of
12.50% for the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively.
-- The expectation that under a moderate ('BBB') stress scenario
(1.75x S&P's expected loss level), all else being equal, its 'AAA
(sf)', 'AA+ (sf)', 'A+ (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and 'BB (sf)' ratings on
the class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively, are within its
credit stability limits.
-- The timely payment of interest and principal by the designated
legal final maturity dates under S&P's stressed cash flow modeling
scenarios, which it believes are appropriate for the assigned
ratings.
-- The collateral characteristics of the series' subprime
automobile loans, S&P's view of the credit risk of the collateral,
and its updated macroeconomic forecast and forward-looking view of
the auto finance sector.
-- The series' bank accounts at Wells Fargo Bank N.A., which do
not constrain the ratings.
-- S&P's operational risk assessment of Westlake Services LLC as
servicer and its view of the company's underwriting and the backup
servicing arrangement with Computershare Trust Co. N.A.
-- S&P's assessment of the transaction's potential exposure to
environmental, social, and governance credit factors, which are in
line with its sector benchmark.
-- The transaction's payment and legal structures.
Ratings Assigned
Westlake Automobile Receivables Trust 2024-1
Class A-1, $347.00 million: A-1+ (sf)
Class A-2-A, $289.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-2-B, $125.00 million: AAA (sf)
Class A-3, $152.18 million: AAA (sf)
Class B, $153.19 million: AA+ (sf)
Class C, $165.11 million: A+ (sf)
Class D, $168.52 million: BBB (sf)
Class E, $109.79 million: BB (sf)
ZIPLY FIBER: Fitch Gives 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on 2024-1 C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has issued a presale report for Ziply Fiber Issuer,
LLC's, Secured Fiber Network Revenue Notes, Series 2024-1 and
2024-2.
Fitch expects to rate Ziply Fiber Issuer, LLC's, Secured Fiber
Network Revenue Notes, Series 2024-1 and 2024-2 as follows:
- $400.0 million(a) 2024-2 class A-1 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $1,144.2 million 2024-1 class A-2 'A-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $159.6 million 2024-1 class B 'BBB-sf'; Outlook Stable;
- $289.9 million 2024-1 class C 'BB-sf'; Outlook Stable.
(a) This note is a Variable Funding Note (VFN) and has a maximum
commitment of $400 million contingent on Class A note leverage
consistent with a 5.9x leverage ratio. This class will reflect a
zero balance at issuance.
TRANSACTION SUMMARY
This transaction is a securitization of subscription and contract
payments derived from an existing fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP)
network. Collateral assets include conduits, cables, network-level
equipment, access rights, customer agreements, transaction accounts
and a pledge of equity from the asset entities. The notes are
serviced by net revenue from operations of the collateral assets.
The collateral consists of high-quality fiber lines that support
the provision of broadband internet, voice and commercial services.
The fiber network of consists of approximately 270,800 residential
and small-medium businesses subscribers and 1.1 million households
passed across four states in the Pacific Northwest. These assets
represent approximately 50.3% of the sponsor's revenue for YE 2023.
For the markets contributed to the transaction, the majority of the
subscriber base, comprising 57.0% of annualized run rate revenue,
is located in Washington, although the base is spread across a few
distinct markets within the state.
The collateral does not include Ziply's copper assets (47.2% of YE
2023 sponsor revenue) or video customer agreements (2.5%); however,
copper assets and video customer agreements will be contributed to
the asset entities pledged to the securitization. Operation of
these assets and related expenses will be the responsibility of the
manager, Northwest Fiber, LLC, and paid solely from copper and
video revenues.
The ratings reflect a structured finance analysis of cash flows
from the collateral assets, rather than an assessment of the
corporate default risk of the ultimate parent, Northwest Fiber, LLC
(dba Ziply Fiber).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Net Cash Flow and Leverage: Fitch's net cash flow (NCF) on the pool
is $163.4 million, implying a 15.0% haircut to issuer NCF. The debt
multiple relative to Fitch's NCF on the rated classes is 9.8x,
versus the debt-to-issuer NCF leverage of 8.3x.
Inclusive of the future cash flow required to draw upon the
variable funding note (VFN) maximum balance of $400 million,
Fitch's NCF flow would be $220.5 million, implying a 15.7% haircut
to the implied issuer NCF. The debt multiple relative to Fitch's
NCF on the rated classes is 9.0x, compared with the debt-to-issuer
NCF leverage of 7.6x.
Credit Risk Factors: Major factors affecting Fitch's determination
of cash flow and maximum potential leverage (MPL) include: the high
quality of the underlying collateral networks, scale and diversity
of the customer base, market penetration and seasoning, capability
of the operator and strength of the transaction structure.
Technology-Dependent Credit: This transaction's senior classes do
not achieve ratings above 'Asf' for reasons that include the
specialized nature of the collateral and the potential for changes
in technology to affect net revenue from the collateral assets. The
securities have a rated final payment date 30 years after closing,
and the long-term tenor of the securities increases the risk that
technological obsolescence would impair current cash flow
expectations. That said, data providers continue to invest in and
utilize this technology given that fiber optic cable networks are
currently the fastest, highest capacity and most reliable means to
transmit information.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Declining cash flow as a result of higher expenses, customer churn,
lower market penetration, declining contract rates or the
development of an alternative technology for the transmission of
data could lead to downgrades.
Fitch's base case NCF was 15.0% below the issuer's underwritten
cash flow. A further 10% decline in Fitch's NCF indicates the
following ratings based on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2
from 'A-sf' to 'BBB-sf'; class B from 'BBB-sf' to 'BBsf'; class C
from 'BB-sf' to 'Bsf'.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Increasing cash flow from rate increases, additional customers, or
contract amendments could lead to upgrades.
A 10% increase in Fitch's NCF indicates the following ratings based
on Fitch's determination of MPL: Class A-2 from 'A-sf' to 'Asf';
class B from 'BBB-sf' to 'Asf'; class C from 'BB-sf' to 'BBB-sf'.
Upgrades, however, are unlikely given the issuer's ability to issue
additional notes pari passu notes. In addition, the senior classes
are capped in the 'Asf' category.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] Fitch Affirms 6 Timeshare Transactions by Holiday Inn
---------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed all outstanding ratings of Orange Lake
Timeshare Trust (OLTT) series 2016-A, 2018-A and 2019-A, HIN
Timeshare Trust (HINTT) 2020-A, Accelerated 2021-1H LLC (AALLC
2021-1H), and HINNT 2022-A LLC (HINNT). The Rating Outlooks remain
Stable for all classes of notes. Holiday Inn Club Vacations
Incorporated (HICV) is the originator and servicer of all
transactions.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Orange Lake Timeshare
Trust 2016-A
A 68504LAA9 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
B 68504LAB7 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Orange Lake Timeshare
Trust 2018-A
A 68504WAA5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 68504WAB3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 68504WAC1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Orange Lake Timeshare
Trust 2019-A
A 68504UAA9 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 68504UAB7 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 68504UAC5 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 68504UAD3 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
HIN Timeshare
Trust 2020-A
A 40439HAA7 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 40439HAB5 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 40439HAC3 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 40439HAD1 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 40439HAE9 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
Accelerated
2021-1H LLC
A 00439KAA4 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 00439KAB2 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 00439KAC0 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 00439KAD8 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
HINNT 2022-A LLC
A 40486JAA5 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B 40486JAB3 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C 40486JAC1 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
D 40486JAD9 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
E 40486JAE7 LT Bsf Affirmed Bsf
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmation of the notes reflects loss coverage levels
consistent with their current ratings. The Stable Outlook for all
classes of notes reflects Fitch's expectation that loss coverage
levels will remain supportive of these ratings.
As of the January 2024 collection period, the 61+ day delinquency
rates for OLTT 2016-A, 2018-A, 2019-A, HINTT 2020-A, AALLC 2021-1H,
and HINNT 2022-A were 1.34%, 1.71%, 2.92%, 3.10%, 3.15% and 3.40%,
respectively. Cumulative gross defaults (CGDs; adjusted for
substitutions) are currently at 23.78%, 23.71%, 30.54%, 21.58%,
19.02% and 14.41%, respectively. CGDs of OLTT 2016-A, 2018-A and
2019-A are currently above their initial base cases of 18.00%,
17.60%, and 21.50%, respectively. While HINTT 2020-A, AALLC
2021-1H, and HINNT 2022-A are currently within initial
expectations, they are projecting above their initial base cases of
24.00%, 24.00% and 22.00%, respectively. Due to optional
repurchases and substitutions by the seller, OLTT 2016-A, 2018-A,
2019-A, HINTT 2020-A, and HINNT 2022-A have not experienced a net
loss to date. Cumulative net losses are at 16.15% for AALLC
2021-1H, as only a portion of defaults have been repurchased. The
option to repurchase and substitute defaulted loans is capped at a
combined 35%; OLTT 2019-A has a current unadjusted CGD of 34.48%.
CGDs in OLTT 2019-A remain elevated and above Fitch's initial base
case proxy; however, default pace has stabilized across the OLTT
outstanding transactions. Stability in timeshare ABS performance
trends are highly correlated to the positive signs exhibited within
the travel and tourism industries. As such, all outstanding notes
in 2019-A have been affirmed (Outlooks Stable) for classes A and B.
HINTT 2020-A, AALLC 2021-1H and HINNT 2022-A continue to see
increasing CGDs given their limited amortization.
To account for recent performance in OLTT 2019-A, HINTT 2020-A, and
HINNT 2022-A, Fitch revised up the lifetime CGD proxies to 34.50%,
27.00%, and 25.00% from 32.00%, 25.00%, and 22.00%, respectively,
while maintaining proxies from the prior review for OLTT 2016-A,
OLTT 2018-A and AALLC 2021-1H at 24.50%, 25.00%, and 27.00%,
respectively. The updated base case default proxies for the revised
transactions were conservatively derived using extrapolations based
on performance to date.
In certain cases, updated extrapolations were higher than the final
CGD proxies. The servicer has the right, but not the obligation, to
substitute or repurchase defaulted loans. As such, Fitch's analysis
does not give any explicit credit to previously substituted or
repurchased defaults, resulting in zero losses on most of the
outstanding transactions and lower losses for AALLC 2021-1H. When
accounting for previously substituted or repurchased defaults, the
lifetime CGDs are materially lower than the CGD proxies. As such,
Fitch believes the CGD proxies are appropriately conservative and
account for the weaker performance.
Under Fitch's stressed cash flow assumptions, loss coverage for the
notes were consistent with the recommended multiples, any
shortfalls were considered nominal and are within the range of the
multiples for the current ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults could
produce default levels higher than the current projected base case
default proxy and affect available loss coverage and multiples
levels for the transaction;
- Weakening asset performance is strongly correlated to increasing
levels of delinquencies and defaults that could negatively affect
CE levels. Lower loss coverage could affect ratings and Outlooks,
depending on the extent of the decline in coverage;
- Fitch ran a down sensitivity for these transactions that would
raise the CGD proxy by 2x the current proxy. This is extremely
stressful to the transactions and could result in downgrades by up
to three categories.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and consideration
for potential upgrades. Fitch applied an up sensitivity, by
reducing the base case proxy by 20%. The impact of reducing the
proxies by 20% from the current proxies could result in up to two
categories of upgrades or affirmations of ratings with stronger
multiples.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
[*] Moody's Takes Action on $64.9MM of US RMBS Issued 2006-2007
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of seven bonds and
downgraded the rating of one bond from three US residential
mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by subprime mortgages
issued by multiple issuers.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: ACE Securities Corp. Home Equity Loan Trust, Series
2007-ASAP2
Cl. A-1, Downgraded to Ca (sf); previously on Apr 14, 2010
Downgraded to Caa3 (sf)
Cl. A-2B, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. A-2C, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. A-2D, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to Ba3 (sf)
Issuer: First Franklin Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-FF8
Cl. I-A-1, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. II-A-4, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to A3 (sf)
Issuer: Terwin Mortgage Trust 2006-5
Cl. I-A-2b, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to Aa3 (sf)
Cl. I-A-2c, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on May 23, 2023
Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the recent performance as well as
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of the
related pools, and an increase in credit enhancement available to
the bonds. The rating downgrade is primarily due to a decline in
credit enhancement available to the bond.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS
Surveillance Methodology" published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Takes Actions on $36.4MM of US RMBS Issued 2020
-----------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 18 bonds from five US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed by prime
jumbo and agency eligible mortgage loans.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-1
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5-Y, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-2
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jun 13, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jun 13, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Cl. B-5-Y, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Jun 13, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba2 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-3
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Cl. B-5-Y, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa3 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-4
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 15, 2022 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5-Y, Upgraded to A3 (sf); previously on Aug 15, 2022 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Issuer: J.P. Morgan Mortgage Trust 2020-5
Cl. B-3, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-A, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-3-X*, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023
Upgraded to Aa2 (sf)
Cl. B-4, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to A2 (sf)
Cl. B-5, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
Cl. B-5-Y, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on May 25, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba1 (sf)
* Reflects Interest-Only Classes
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades reflect the increased levels of credit
enhancement available to the bonds, the recent performance, and
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pool.
In Moody's analysis Moody's considered the additional risk of
default on modified loans. Generally, Moody's apply a 7x multiple
to the Probability of Default (PD) for private label modified
mortgage loans and an 8x multiple to the PD for agency-eligible
modified mortgage loans. However, Moody's may apply a lower
multiple to the PD for loans that were granted short-term payment
relief as long as there were no other changes to the loan terms,
such as a reduced interest rate or an extended loan term, which can
be used to lower the monthly payment on the loan. For loans granted
short-term payment relief, servicers will generally defer the
missed payments, which could be added as a non-interest-bearing
balloon payment due at the end of the loan term. Alternatively,
servicers could extend the maturity on the loan to match the number
of missed payments.
Moody's updated loss expectations on the pools incorporate, amongst
other factors, Moody's assessment of the representations and
warranties frameworks of the transactions, the due diligence
findings of the third-party reviews received at the time of
issuance, and the strength of the transaction's originators and
servicer.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features and credit enhancement.
Principal Methodologies
The principal methodology used in rating all classes except
interest-only classes was "Moody's Approach to Rating US RMBS Using
the MILAN Framework" published in August 2023.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
An IO bond may be upgraded or downgraded, within the constraints
and provisions of the IO methodology, based on lower or higher
realized and expected loss due to an overall improvement or decline
in the credit quality of the reference bonds and/or pools.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] Moody's Upgrades Rating on $79.1MM of US RMBS Issued 2006-2007
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of five bonds from four US
residential mortgage-backed transactions (RMBS), backed subprime
mortgages issued by multiple issuers.
The complete rating actions are as follows:
Issuer: Ownit Mortgage Loan Trust 2006-5
Cl. A-1B, Upgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2023 Upgraded
to Caa3 (sf)
Issuer: Saxon Asset Securities Trust 2007-1, Mortgage Loan Asset
Backed Certificates, Series 2007-1
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2023 Upgraded
to Ba3 (sf)
Cl. A-2d, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: SG Mortgage Securities Trust 2006-OPT2
Cl. A-1, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2023 Upgraded
to Baa1 (sf)
Issuer: Specialty Underwriting and Residential Finance Series
2006-AB1
Cl. A-4, Upgraded to A2 (sf); previously on Jun 9, 2023 Upgraded to
B2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating actions reflect the recent performance as well as
Moody's updated loss expectations on the underlying pools. The
rating upgrades are a result of the improving performance of the
related pools, and/or an increase in credit enhancement available
to the bonds.
No actions were taken on the other rated classes in these deals
because their expected losses remain commensurate with their
current ratings, after taking into account the updated performance
information, structural features, credit enhancement and other
qualitative considerations. These include the potential impact of
collateral performance volatility on ratings, sensitivity to excess
spread, and interest risk from current or potential missed interest
that remain unreimbursed.
Principal Methodology
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "US RMBS
Surveillance Methodology" published in July 2022.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Up
Levels of credit protection that are higher than necessary to
protect investors against current expectations of loss could drive
the ratings of the subordinate bonds up. Losses could decline from
Moody's original expectations as a result of a lower number of
obligor defaults or appreciation in the value of the mortgaged
property securing an obligor's promise of payment. Transaction
performance also depends greatly on the US macro economy and
housing market.
Down
Levels of credit protection that are insufficient to protect
investors against current expectations of loss could drive the
ratings down. Losses could rise above Moody's expectations as a
result of a higher number of obligor defaults or deterioration in
the value of the mortgaged property securing an obligor's promise
of payment. Transaction performance also depends greatly on the US
macro economy and housing market. Other reasons for
worse-than-expected performance include poor servicing, error on
the part of transaction parties, inadequate transaction governance
and fraud.
Finally, performance of RMBS continues to remain highly dependent
on servicer procedures. Any change resulting from servicing
transfers or other policy or regulatory change can impact the
performance of these transactions. In addition, improvements in
reporting formats and data availability across deals and trustees
may provide better insight into certain performance metrics such as
the level of collateral modifications.
[*] S&P Takes Various Action on 61 Classes From 18 U.S. RMBS Deals
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings completed its review of 61 ratings from 18 U.S.
RMBS transactions issued between 2001 and 2007. The review yielded
nine upgrades, 10 downgrades, 30 affirmations, and 12
discontinuances.
A list of Affected Ratings can be viewed at:
https://rb.gy/2uiazl
Analytical Considerations
S&P incorporates various considerations into its decisions to
raise, lower, or affirm ratings when reviewing the indicative
ratings suggested by its projected cash flows. These considerations
are based on transaction-specific performance and/or structural
characteristics and their potential effects on certain classes.
Some of these considerations may include:
-- Collateral performance or delinquency trends;
-- An increase or decrease in available credit support;
-- Historical and/or outstanding missed interest payments or
interest shortfalls;
-- Available subordination and/or overcollateralization;
-- A small loan count; and
-- Reduced interest payments due to loan modifications.
Rating Actions
The rating changes reflect S&P's view regarding the associated
transaction-specific collateral performance, structural
characteristics, and/or the application of specific criteria
applicable to these classes.
The upgrades primarily reflect the classes' increased credit
support. As a result, the upgrades reflect the classes' ability to
withstand a higher level of projected losses than S&P had
previously anticipated.
S&P said, "The rating affirmations reflect our view that our
projected credit support, collateral performance, and
credit-related reductions in interest on these classes have
remained relatively consistent with our prior projections.
"The majority of the downgrades reflect our assessment of reduced
interest payments due to loan modifications and other
credit-related events. To determine the maximum potential rating
for these securities, we consider the amount of interest the
security has received to date versus how much it would have
received absent such credit-related events, as well as interest
reduction amounts that we expect during the remaining term of the
security.
"In accordance with our surveillance and withdrawal policies, we
discontinued 10 ratings from two transactions with missed interest
payments during recent remittance periods. We previously lowered
our ratings on these classes to 'D (sf)' because of missed interest
payments. We view a subsequent upgrade to a rating higher than 'D
(sf)' to be unlikely under the relevant criteria for the classes
within this review. Additionally, we also discontinued two classes
from one transaction due to the classes being paid down in full."
*********
Monday's edition of the TCR delivers a list of indicative prices
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