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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
L A T I N A M E R I C A
Wednesday, May 13, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 95
Headlines
A N T I G U A A N D B A R B U D A
ANTIGUA & BARBUDA: Economic Expansion Continues, IMF Says
A R G E N T I N A
ARGENTINA: Fights to Save Huge Soy Exports After Dutch Rejections
ARGENTINA: Soyoil Trades at Decade Low to U.S. on Harvest, Biofuels
B O L I V I A
BOLIVIA: Fitch Assigns 'CCC+' Rating to USD1BB Notes
C A Y M A N I S L A N D S
GRIFFIN GLOBAL: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Positive
C O L O M B I A
FRONTERA ENERGY: Fitch's 'B' Rating on Sr. Unsec Notes on Watch Pos
J A M A I C A
JAMAICA: Inflationary Shocks to Force Cuts to Standard of Living
PORT ROYAL HOTEL: Court Ruling Clears Way For Sale
M E X I C O
METROFINANCIERA SAPI: Fitch Hikes MTROCB 07U Rating to 'Csf'
P U E R T O R I C O
INSTITUTO MEDICO: Court Directs U.S. Trustee to Appoint PCO
VALLE DEL SUR: Case Summary & Two Unsecured Creditors
X X X X X X X X
LATAM: Tax Reforms Boosted Revenues in Region in 2024
- - - - -
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A N T I G U A A N D B A R B U D A
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ANTIGUA & BARBUDA: Economic Expansion Continues, IMF Says
---------------------------------------------------------
The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
concluded the Article IV consultation with Antigua and Barbuda. The
authorities have consented to the publication of the Staff Report
prepared for this consultation.
Antigua and Barbuda's economic expansion continues. Real GDP grew
by an estimated 3 percent in 2025, supported by a pick-up in
construction despite slowing tourism activity. Employment has
gradually recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Inflation moderated
from over 6 percent (year-average) in 2024 to 1.4 percent in 2025.
Public debt as a share of GDP declined from 101 percent of GDP in
2020 to an estimated 68 percent in 2025, aided by an improved
fiscal position. However, arrears to Paris Club creditors and
domestic suppliers are significant and gross financing needs are
elevated. The fiscal position strengthened in 2024–25, reflecting
both improved tax collection and one-off factors. The 2025 primary
balance is estimated at nearly 5 percent of GDP, underpinned by
higher tax revenues, stronger inflows under the
Citizenship-by-Investment Program (CIP), restraint in current
spending, and a modest increase in capital spending.
Following a sharp narrowing in 2024, the current account deficit in
2025 returned to trend and is estimated around 11½ percent of GDP.
The deficit was predominantly financed by foreign direct investment
(FDI), and partly by CIP-related inflows. The overall financial
system remains stable and liquid.
A steady economic expansion is projected to continue, but risks are
tilted to the downside amid heightened global uncertainty. Downside
risks stem externally from commodity price volatility and a
slowdown in major trading partners and, domestically, from capacity
constraints weighing on growth. Upside potential could materialize
from stronger tourism demand, improved connectivity, and
productivity-enhancing reforms.
Executive Board Assessment
Executive Directors welcomed Antigua and Barbuda's continued
economic expansion, supported by construction activity and
resilient tourism, alongside a welcome moderation of inflation.
Noting the downside risks from the war in the Middle East and the
country’s long-standing debt challenges, Directors called for
additional reforms to restore debt sustainability and to strengthen
potential growth and climate resilience. Tailored and
well-sequenced capacity development by the Fund remains important
given the country’s capacity constraints.
Directors welcomed the decline in public debt as a share of GDP.
Noting that persistent arrears and elevated gross financing needs
are constraining access to longer‑term financing and undermining
debt sustainability, Directors urged the authorities to develop and
implement a credible and comprehensive strategy for addressing all
arrears, broadening financing options, and making space for
resilience-building investments. Directors also noted the need to
continue strengthening cash and debt management to prevent future
arrears.
Directors underscored the need for further revenue mobilization to
rebuild fiscal buffers and meet the authorities’ fiscal
objectives. To build on recent gains, Directors recommended
broadening the tax base, curtailing exemptions, restraining current
expenditures, and strengthening the targeting of social assistance.
Directors also encouraged the authorities to continue efforts to
strengthen fiscal institutions and enhance fiscal oversight,
transparency, and reporting of fiscal and public enterprise data.
Directors recognized the regional and national efforts to
strengthen financial sector oversight, resilience, and
intermediation. For credit unions, they encouraged a shift to
risk‑based supervision and efforts to bolster provisioning and
capital positions. Continued efforts to strengthen financial
deepening, and the AML/CFT and Citizenship by Investment (CIP)
frameworks, remain important.
Directors encouraged further efforts to enhance connectivity to
support trade, tourism, and competitiveness. They also recommended
streamlining port and customs procedures, carefully prioritizing
and sequencing infrastructure projects, and addressing skills
shortages. Directors also underscored the need for improved data to
support evidence-based policymaking.
=================
A R G E N T I N A
=================
ARGENTINA: Fights to Save Huge Soy Exports After Dutch Rejections
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Jonathan Gilbert at Bloomberg News reports that Argentina is
scrambling to keep its soy cargoes flowing to Europe after an
unapproved genetically modified strain was detected in shipments,
raising the risk of widespread rejections of the country's most
valuable export.
Farmers and crushers are going to extra lengths to isolate the
drought-resistant soy strain known as HB4 from the rest of the
crop, Gustavo Idigoras, president of the CIARA-CEC oilseed
processing and export group, said in an interview. While approved
in places including Argentina and China, the strain, developed by
Bioceres Crop Solutions, lacks authorisation in the European Union,
according to Bloomberg News.
The alarm follows recent rejections of Argentine soy meal cargoes
by the Netherlands after testing detected the HB4 strain, Bloomberg
News relates. While the country is the only member of the EU to
reject the cargoes so far, it is a primary gateway to the trading
bloc, Bloomberg News notes.
"Many of the importers in Europe are paranoid right now," Idigoras
said, notes the report. CIARA-CEC represents powerhouses of global
agriculture trading in Argentina, including Cargill Inc, Bunge
Global SA, and Cofco International Ltd, Bloomberg News discloses.
Bioceres declined to comment.
The stakes for President Javier Milei are significant: Soy exports
are projected to have brought in more than US$18 billion last year,
Bloomberg News relays. Milei desperately needs similar inflows
from this year's harvest to rebuild Central Bank reserves and
signal to international bondholders that the cash-strapped nation
can meet its debt obligations, Bloomberg News says.
The HB4 saga comes as the South American Mercosur bloc and the EU
provisionally implement a free-trade deal starting this month while
the EU’s top court reviews it. The deal was 25 years in the
making and faced fierce opposition from European countries with big
farming industries, Bloomberg News notes.
To save the soy trade relationship, Argentina’s industry is
effectively placing the HB4 harvest under quarantine, Bloomberg
News discloses.
"We are working with our food safety authority to give assurances
that there is a direct trip from all the farms, all the trucks, to
one port without crushing facilities to avoid any problem with
contamination," Idigoras said, adding that the industry has now
geo-located all HB4 soy acreage, Bloomberg News says.
"We need to convince importers and the European Commission that we
are doing a very good job of having zero HB4," he said. "So far, it
is a challenge," he added.
Only a few thousand acres of soy fields in Argentina are planted
with HB4, which is still in a breeding phase rather than full
commercial roll-out, Bloomberg News relays. There is also a
breeding programme in Brazil, Bloomberg News discloses. But
contamination represents a threat to Argentina’s full 42
million-acre crop given that the EU usually buys about one fourth
of all its meal, and farmers are currently in harvest season,
Bloomberg News relates.
The plan is to send the isolated HB4 harvest unprocessed to China,
where the strain is approved, Idigoras said, Bloomberg News notes.
Parallel to the efforts to isolate HB4, Argentina's government and
soy exporters are lobbying the EU to allow for a certain tolerance
by detectors even if Bioceres' low-level-presence application
hasn’t yet been approved by Brussels, Bloomberg News says.
If Argentina can't convince the EU that its cargoes are compliant,
it would seek to relocate them elsewhere, perhaps in Asia, "but at
a good price," Idigoras said, Bloomberg News adds.
About Argentina
Argentina is a country located mostly in the southern half of
South America. Its capital is Buenos Aires. Javier Milei is the
current president of Argentina after winning the November 19,
2023 general election. He succeeded Alberto Angel Fernandez
in the position.
Argentina has the third largest economy in Latin America. The
country's economy is an upper middle-income economy for fiscal
year 2019, according to the World Bank. Historically, however,
its economic performance has been very uneven, with high economic
growth alternating with severe recessions, income maldistribution
and in the recent decades, increasing poverty.
In March 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a
30-month arrangement under an Extended Fund Facility for Argentina
in the amount of SDR 31.914 billion (equivalent to US$44 billion,
or 1000 percent of quota) -- with an approved immediate
disbursement of an equivalent of US$9.65 billion. Argentina's
IMF-supported program sought to improve public finances and start
to reduce persistent high inflation through a multi-pronged
strategy.
On April 11, 2025, the IMF further approved a 48-month Extended
Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Argentina totaling US$20
billion (or 479 percent of quota), with an immediate disbursement
of US$12 billion, and a first review planned for June
2025 with an associated disbursement of about US$2 billion. The
program is expected to help catalyze additional official
multilateral and bilateral support, and a timely re-access to
international capital markets.
Fitch Ratings on May 5, 2026, has upgraded Argentina's
Long-Term Foreign Currency and Local Currency Issuer Default
Rating (IDR) to 'B-' from 'CCC+'. The rating Outlook is Stable.
Fitch said Argentina's rating reflects structurally improved fiscal
and external balances, progress on economic reforms, improved
prospects for FX reserve accumulation, and its expectation that
the government will secure adequate financing to cover debt
obligations.
S&P Global Ratings on Dec. 17, 2025, raised its local currency
sovereign credit ratings on Argentina to 'CCC+/C' from 'SD/SD',
and its long-term foreign currency sovereign credit
rating to 'CCC+' from 'CCC'. S&P affirmed its 'C' short-term
foreign
currency rating. The outlook on the long-term ratings is stable.
Moody's Ratings on July 17, 2025, upgraded Argentina's
long-term foreign currency and local currency issuer ratings to
Caa1 from Caa3 and changed the outlook to stable from positive.
DBRS, Inc. upgraded Argentina's Long-Term Foreign and Local
Currency Issuer Ratings to B (low) from CCC in November 2024.
ARGENTINA: Soyoil Trades at Decade Low to U.S. on Harvest, Biofuels
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Jonathan Gilbert & Anuradha Raghu at Bloomberg News reports that
soybean oil from Argentina, the world's biggest exporter, is
trading at the cheapest in at least a decade relative to rival
supplies out of the United States, as the harvest on the Pampas
crop belt hits full stride and after Washington increased biofuel
blending mandates.
The discount paid for Argentine soyoil fell to about 24 cents per
pound below global benchmark futures on the Chicago Board of Trade,
according to Commodity3 data, notes Bloomberg News. That's the
lowest level in a series going back to 2016, Bloomberg News
relates. The gap was slightly narrower at 23.6 cents.
Argentine farmers are collecting a bumper soybean crop forecast to
be 48.6 million metric tons, according to the Buenos Aires Grain
Exchange, which said in a report that yields in the country's prime
growing region are above historical averages, Bloomberg News
notes. Processors who turn the beans into oil and feed meal to
ship abroad usually snap up supplies and ramp up production at this
time of year, Bloomberg News says.
The big discount also comes as prices for US soyoil climb after the
Trump administration in March implemented bigger biofuel blending
requirements that'll boost demand for soyoil and corn ethanol,
Bloomberg News relates. Soyoil futures have gained more than 50
percent this year, Bloomberg News adds.
About Argentina
Argentina is a country located mostly in the southern half of
South America. Its capital is Buenos Aires. Javier Milei is the
current president of Argentina after winning the November 19,
2023 general election. He succeeded Alberto Angel Fernandez
in the position.
Argentina has the third largest economy in Latin America. The
country's economy is an upper middle-income economy for fiscal
year 2019, according to the World Bank. Historically, however,
its economic performance has been very uneven, with high economic
growth alternating with severe recessions, income maldistribution
and in the recent decades, increasing poverty.
In March 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a
30-month arrangement under an Extended Fund Facility for Argentina
in the amount of SDR 31.914 billion (equivalent to US$44 billion,
or 1000 percent of quota) -- with an approved immediate
disbursement of an equivalent of US$9.65 billion. Argentina's
IMF-supported program sought to improve public finances and start
to reduce persistent high inflation through a multi-pronged
strategy.
On April 11, 2025, the IMF further approved a 48-month Extended
Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Argentina totaling US$20
billion (or 479 percent of quota), with an immediate disbursement
of US$12 billion, and a first review planned for June
2025 with an associated disbursement of about US$2 billion. The
program is expected to help catalyze additional official
multilateral and bilateral support, and a timely re-access to
international capital markets.
Fitch Ratings on May 5, 2026, has upgraded Argentina's
Long-Term Foreign Currency and Local Currency Issuer Default
Rating (IDR) to 'B-' from 'CCC+'. The rating Outlook is Stable.
Fitch said Argentina's rating reflects structurally improved fiscal
and external balances, progress on economic reforms, improved
prospects for FX reserve accumulation, and its expectation that
the government will secure adequate financing to cover debt
obligations.
S&P Global Ratings on Dec. 17, 2025, raised its local currency
sovereign credit ratings on Argentina to 'CCC+/C' from 'SD/SD',
and its long-term foreign currency sovereign credit
rating to 'CCC+' from 'CCC'. S&P affirmed its 'C' short-term
foreign
currency rating. The outlook on the long-term ratings is stable.
Moody's Ratings on July 17, 2025, upgraded Argentina's
long-term foreign currency and local currency issuer ratings to
Caa1 from Caa3 and changed the outlook to stable from positive.
DBRS, Inc. upgraded Argentina's Long-Term Foreign and Local
Currency Issuer Ratings to B (low) from CCC in November 2024.
=============
B O L I V I A
=============
BOLIVIA: Fitch Assigns 'CCC+' Rating to USD1BB Notes
----------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned a 'CCC+' rating with a Recovery Rating
of 'RR3' to Bolivia's USD1 billion notes maturing on May 14, 2031.
The notes have a coupon rate of 9.45%.
Proceeds from the sale of the notes will be used for general
government financing purposes.
Key Rating Drivers
Bolivia's Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) is 'CCC.' The
senior unsecured long-term debt ratings are one notch above the
applicable long-term IDR, reflecting Fitch's expectation of good
recovery prospects in a default scenario as reflected in the 'RR3'
Recovery Rating. Fitch typically does not assign Rating Outlooks to
sovereigns with a rating of 'CCC+' or below.
Bolivia has an ESG Relevance Score (RS) of '5' for both Political
Stability and Rights and for the Rule of Law, Institutional and
Regulatory Quality and Control of Corruption. These scores reflect
the high weight that the World Bank Governance Indicators (WBGI)
have in its proprietary Sovereign Rating Model (SRM). Bolivia has a
low WBGI ranking at the 22nd percentile, reflecting recent
political instability, weak regulatory quality, weak rule of law, a
high level of corruption, and moderate voice and accountability.
However, the congressional composition following elections in
October 2025 could support an easing of political gridlock.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Depletion of usable foreign currency reserves and/or the failure
of external loan disbursements to materialize, which hampers debt
repayment capacity; and/or evidence of reduced willingness to pay
external debt as a means of alleviating current external liquidity
pressures
- Failure to implement a macroeconomic and fiscal policy adjustment
consistent with rebuilding reserves and a sustainable path for
public finances.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Rebuilding of international reserves that improves debt service
capacity;
- Fiscal consolidation and a macroeconomic adjustment program that
supports stabilization of the government debt-to-GDP ratio and
improves financing flexibility.
Date of Relevant Committee
15 January 2026
ESG Considerations
Bolivia has an ESG Relevance Score of '5' for Political Stability
and Rights as WBGIs have the highest weight in Fitch's SRM and are
therefore highly relevant to the rating and a key rating driver
with a high weight. As Bolivia has a percentile rank below 50 for
the respective Governance Indicator, this has a negative impact on
the credit profile.
Bolivia has an ESG Relevance Score of '5' for Rule of Law,
Institutional & Regulatory Quality and Control of Corruption as
WBGIs have the highest weight in Fitch's SRM and are therefore
highly relevant to the rating and are a key rating driver with a
high weight. As Bolivia has a percentile rank below 50 for the
respective Governance Indicator, this has a negative impact on the
credit profile.
Bolivia has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Human Rights and
Political Freedoms as the Voice and Accountability pillar of the
WBGIs is relevant to the rating and a rating driver. As Bolivia has
a percentile rank below 50 for the respective Governance Indicator,
this has a negative impact on the credit profile.
Bolivia has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Creditor Rights as
willingness to service and repay debt is relevant to the rating and
is a rating driver for Bolivia, as for all sovereigns. As Bolivia
restructured public debt in 2006, this has a negative impact on the
credit profile.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating
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Bolivia
senior unsecured LT CCC+ New Rating
===========================
C A Y M A N I S L A N D S
===========================
GRIFFIN GLOBAL: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Positive
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Griffin Global Asset Management
Holdings, Ltd.'s (Griffin) and its rated subsidiary, GGAM Finance
Ltd.'s Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'BB'. The Rating
Outlook is Positive. Fitch has also affirmed GGAM Finance Ltd.'s
senior unsecured note rating at 'BB'.
These rating actions are being taken in conjunction with Fitch's
global aircraft leasing sector review. For more information on the
sector review, please see "Fitch Ratings Completes Aircraft Lessor
Peer Review; Revises Sector Outlook to Deteriorating,".
Key Rating Drivers
Improved Earnings; Evolving Corporate Structure: The Positive
Outlook reflects Griffin's fully unsecured funding profile and good
capital discipline, with the leverage ratio continuing to trend in
a narrow 2.75x band. Additionally, earnings generation and
profitability improved in 2025, but were underpinned by gains on
sale from the disposal of select aircraft to a newly established,
affiliated but legally and structurally separate Master Trust
vehicle (GGAM Master Trust).
A one-notch upgrade of the rating could be supported by a sustained
increase in net operating income above $150 million, pre-tax return
on average assets sustained above 1% and improvement in core
profitability, with net spreads approaching 2.5%. While Fitch views
recent gains on aircraft sales positively, improving core leasing
profitability remains key to sustained earnings strength.
Fitch believes the planned refinancing of the firm's $700 million
unsecured issuance in 2H26 at lower rates would help to support a
higher spread. Additionally, an upgrade depends on
stable-to-improving portfolio concentrations with high-quality
lessees, given expected higher sales activity and sustaining other
key financial performance indicators. These include leverage below
2.75x, a largely unsecured funding profile, and liquidity coverage
above 1.2x.
Management Experience; Partnership with Bain: Griffin's ratings
remain supported by its young fleet, appropriate targeted leverage,
its experienced management team, diverse asset sourcing channels,
the lack of substantial near-term debt maturities, solid liquidity
metrics, and ownership benefits from Bain Capital Credit, LP.
Modest Scale: Rating constraints include the company's smaller
scale and modest franchise relative to peers, execution risks
associated with the company's ambitious growth targets, a more
concentrated portfolio by customer and geography, weaker-than-peer
profitability, and key person risk associated with founder and CEO
Ryan McKenna. Fitch also notes potential governance and conflicts
of interest associated with Griffin's externally managed business
model, limited number of independent directors, and ownership by
fixed-life funds.
Sector Constraints: Rating constraints applicable to the aircraft
lessor industry include its monoline nature, potential exposure to
residual value risks, the reliance on wholesale funding sources,
and vulnerability to exogenous shocks, including sensitivity to
higher oil prices, inflation and unemployment, which could
negatively impact travel demand. Fitch also notes the ongoing Iran
conflict and risk of protracted jet fuel shortages. While airlines
globally have responded by cutting capacity on less-profitable
routes, lessors may still face increased requests for lease
deferrals, which, if granted, could negatively impact liquidity and
internal capital generation over time.
Master Trust as a Disposal Channel: Fitch views GGAM Master Trust
as a suitable disposal channel to unlock attractive asset
valuations inherent in Griffin's midlife aircraft. However,
uncertainty remains about its ability to replenish its portfolio
with suitable new assets in the absence of an orderbook, leading to
increased concentration risk.
Fitch also notes that GGAM Master Trust is a novel structure and
its longer-term viability and scalability as a trade sales
counterparty is yet to be demonstrated. A more demonstrated track
record of Griffin deriving significant franchise benefits from its
affiliation with the wider Griffin asset management platform may
lead Fitch to apply greater implicit uplift to the business profile
assessment, which could be rating positive.
Liquid Fleet; Low Impairment Risk: As of March 31, 2026, Griffin's
contracted fleet consisted of 52 owned aircraft leased to 18
airlines, with a net book value of around $3.2 billion. Its weighed
average (WA) age and WA remaining lease term was 3.1 years and 8.2
years, respectively. Since inception, Griffin has not reported any
impairments, which reflects its young fleet and strong lessee
quality.
Improved Earnings Driven by Gain on Sales: Pre-tax income was $251
million for TTM ended 1Q26, up from negative $21 million a year ago
and driven primarily by gains on the sale of 14 aircraft to GGAM
Master Trust. Net spreads (lease yields minus funding costs) were
1.6% at 1Q26, up from 1.5% one year ago and above the historic
average of 1.2% from 2022 to 2025. Although Fitch expects net
spreads to remain lower than most peers, they are likely to improve
as average funding costs decline with the refinancing of upcoming
maturities at lower rates.
Appropriate Leverage: Griffin's leverage (gross debt to tangible
equity) was 2.80x as of 1Q26, or 2.65x on a net debt basis, little
changed from fiscal YE 2025 and fiscal YE 2024. Management
continues to pursue a leverage target (net debt to equity) of 2.75x
or below, which Fitch considers appropriate in the context of the
underlying portfolio mix, customer concentrations, and liquidity
profile.
Enhanced Funding Flexibility: Unsecured debt to total debt was 100%
at 1Q26, up from 65% at YE 2023. Fitch expects Griffin to continue
to opportunistically access the unsecured debt capital markets to
fund its operations and manage debt maturities, maintaining greater
than 70% unsecured debt on a sustained basis.
Maintaining Solid Liquidity: Liquidity resources included $133
million of unrestricted cash and $1.2 billion of availability under
the committed RCF as of March 31, 2026. This, coupled with expected
operating cash flow over the next 12 months, provided liquidity
coverage of 1.3x over contracted acquisitions and debt refinancing
over the next 12 months. Fitch expects liquidity coverage to be
maintained above 1.2x on a sustained basis.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Outlook could be revised to Stable from Positive if there is a
failure to execute on planned growth targets to further enhance
scale and core profitability. In addition, a sustained increase in
portfolio concentrations could also result in the Outlook being
revised to Stable. Beyond that, a downgrade of the ratings could be
driven by:
- An inability to generate positive pre-tax income, absent asset
sales, on a sustained basis;
- Further increase in portfolio concentrations;
- Macroeconomic and/or geopolitical-driven headwinds that pressure
airlines and lead to additional lease restructurings, rejections,
lessee defaults, and increased losses;
- A sustained increase in leverage above 4.0x;
- A sustained decline in the liquidity coverage ratio below 1.2x;
- Griffin's ownership by fixed-life private funds if it leads to
elevated capital extractions or if a forced sale of the company at
fund maturity impairs Griffin's financial profile, franchise or
long-term strategic direction;
- An abrupt departure of Griffin's founder and CEO could if the
departure impairs its franchise or long-term strategic direction.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- A demonstrated ability to sustain net operating income above $150
million, pre-tax return on average assets above 1.0% and net
spreads approaching 2.5% could result in a one-notch upgrade.
An upgrade would also be contingent upon:
- Greater diversity of airline customers, maintenance of a largely
tier 1 profile and low impairments;
- Maintenance of a largely unsecured funding profile;
- Demonstrated franchise benefits derived from the affiliation with
Griffin's wider asset management may lead Fitch to consider greater
implicit business profile uplift;
- Any potential upward momentum would also be evaluated in the
context of potential long-term strategic uncertainty, given
Griffin's ownership by fixed-life private funds, and potential
governance and conflicts of interest risks associated with
Griffin's externally managed business model.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
The senior unsecured debt rating is equalized with Griffin's
Long-Term IDR and reflects Fitch's expectations for average
recovery prospects in a stress scenario given the availability of
unencumbered assets.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The senior unsecured debt rating is primarily sensitive to
Griffin's IDR and, secondarily, to the relative recovery prospects
of the instruments. A decline in unencumbered asset coverage,
combined with a material increase in secured debt, could result in
the notching of the unsecured debt ratings downward from the IDR.
SUBSIDIARY AND AFFILIATE RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The rating assigned to GGAM Finance Ltd. is primarily sensitive to
changes in Griffin's IDR and is expected to move in tandem.
ADJUSTMENTS
The Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) has been assigned below the
implied SCP due to the following adjustment reason: Weakest Link -
Earnings & Profitability.
The Asset Quality score has been assigned below the implied score
due to the following adjustment reasons: Concentrations; asset
performance (negative), Growth (negative).
The Capitalization & Leverage score has been assigned below the
implied score due to the following adjustment reason: Historical
and future metrics (negative).
ESG Considerations
Griffin has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Management Strategy
due to the execution risk associated with the operational
implementation of the company's outlined strategy. This has a
negative impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
Griffin has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure
due to the potential governance and conflict of interests
associated with Griffin's externally managed business model,
limited number of independent board members and ownership by a
fixed-life private fund structure. This also reflects key person
risk related to its founder and CEO, Ryan McKenna, who is leading
the growth and strategic direction of the company. This has a
negative impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Griffin Global
Asset Management
Holdings, Ltd. LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
GGAM Finance Ltd. LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
senior unsecured LT BB Affirmed BB
===============
C O L O M B I A
===============
FRONTERA ENERGY: Fitch's 'B' Rating on Sr. Unsec Notes on Watch Pos
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has placed Frontera Energy Corporation's senior
unsecured notes on Rating Watch Positive (RWP) at 'B' with a
Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. Fitch currently rates Frontera's
Long-Term Foreign Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and Local
Currency IDR at 'B'. The Rating Outlook is Stable.
The RWP follows Parex Resources Inc.'s (B+/Stable) announcement of
an agreement to acquire Frontera's upstream assets in Colombia.
Under the proposed transaction, Parex would assume all obligations
under Frontera's USD310 million in outstanding 2028 unsecured
notes.
Fitch views the acquisition as credit positive for Frontera's 2028
notes, as bondholders should benefit from a stronger ultimate risk
profile. The notes will be upgraded following the completion of the
transaction.
Key Rating Drivers
Notes Benefit from Parex's Stronger Credit Profile: Frontera's
senior unsecured notes will be assumed by Parex upon closing of the
acquisition and will become general unsecured obligations of an
entity with a stronger consolidated credit profile. The notes'
credit quality will be strengthened by Parex's greater scale,
stronger operating profile and stronger financial profile than
Frontera's on a standalone basis. Cross-acceleration provisions
further link the notes to Parex's broader capital structure.
On April 30, 2026, Frontera announced its shareholders had agreed
to divest Frontera Petroleum International Holdings B.V. (its
Colombian E&P business along with SAARA and Proagrollanos) to Parex
for up to USD500 million, consisting of an upfront cash
consideration of USD500 million payable at closing and USD25
million in contingent consideration. The transaction is still
subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions
and is expected to occur during 2Q26. Parex will assume Frontera's
USD310 million 2028 senior unsecured notes and the USD80 million
Chevron prepayment facility.
Peer Analysis
Frontera's credit and business profile are comparable with other
small independent oil producers in Colombia (BB/Stable). The
ratings of GeoPark Limited (B+/Stable), SierraCol Energy Limited
(B+/Stable) and Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (B+/Stable) are all
constrained to the 'B' or below category, given the inherent
operational risk associated with the small scale and low
diversification of oil and gas production.
Frontera's eventual focus on infrastructure should provide the
company a more predictable and diversified cash flow profile
compared to other midstream peers in the country, such as Oleoducto
Central S.A. (OCENSA; BB/Stable), which has a stronger financial
profile, with leverage of 0.3x over the rating horizon, and larger
scale.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Fitch's price deck for Brent oil prices of USD70 in 2026, USD63
in 2027, and USD60 in 2028 and 2029;
- Gross production average of 42,000 boed;
- Average USD5 per barrel (bbl) discount to Brent in 2024; average
of USD3/bbl between 2025 and 2027;
- COGS averaging USD46/boe in 2026;
- Net divesture income proceeds of USD500 million;
- Dividends payments of USD470 million in 2026;
- Annual dividends received from Oleoducto de los Llanos Orientales
S.A (ODL) of USD62 million in 2026.
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bb-,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (b, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b+, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (b-, Higher), Profitability (b+,
Moderate), Financial Structure (a+, Lower), and Financial
Flexibility (bb, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2025, 30% for the forecast year 2025, 30% for the forecast year
2026 and 30% for the forecast year 2027.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bbb' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b'.
- Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in a Foreign and
Local Currency IDR of 'B'.
Recovery Analysis
The recovery analysis assumes Frontera would be a going concern in
bankruptcy and it would be reorganized rather than liquidated.
Going Concern Approach
- A 10% administrative claim;
- The going concern EBITDA is estimated at USD290 million. The
going concern EBITDA estimate reflects Fitch's view of a
sustainable, post-reorganization EBITDA level upon which Fitch
bases the valuation of Frontera;
- Enterprise value multiple of 4.0x.
With these assumptions, its waterfall generated recovery
computation (WGRC) for the senior unsecured notes is in the 'RR2'
band. However, according to Fitch's Country-Specific Treatment of
Recovery Ratings Criteria, the Recovery Rating (RR) for corporate
issuers in Colombia is capped at 'RR4'. The RR for the senior
secured notes is therefore 'RR4' with a WGRC output percentage at
50%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Sustainable production size declines below 30,000 boed;
- 1P reserve life declines below seven years on a sustained basis;
- A significant deterioration of credit metrics to total
debt-to-EBITDA of 3.0x or higher;
- A persistently weak oil and gas pricing environment that impairs
the longer-term value of its reserve base;
- Sustained deterioration in liquidity and operating profile,
particularly in conjunction with more aggressive dividend
distributions than previously anticipated;
- A weakened contracted profile that results in greater exposure to
commodity price volatility.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- A stronger contract portfolio in the infrastructure business;
- Net production of 45,000 boed or more, with a 1P reserve life of
at least seven and PDP reserve life of at least four years;
- A conservative financial profile, with gross leverage of 2.5x or
below.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
As of December 2025, Frontera's cash and cash equivalents balance
was USD230 million, excluding USD11 million in restricted cash,
which covers interest expenses for the next three years by 4.0x.
Frontera debt amortization profile includes USD173 million in
amortizing loans at the Infrastructure level maturing, of which
USD85 million are due within the next 24 months, while USD310
million in unsecured notes are due in June 2028. The outstanding
debt at the Infrastructure level is nonrecourse to Frontera.
On a pro forma basis, Fitch's base case assumes Frontera's debt
will hover around USD200 million between 2027 and 2028.
Issuer Profile
Frontera Energy Corporation is an oil and gas company incorporated
in Canada. It has operations in Latin America, including upstream,
pipeline and port facilities assets in Colombia and off-shore
Guyana.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The Climate.VS at 2035 for Frontera is 56.
The results of its Climate.VS screener are elevated for Frontera.
However, this does not affect the current ratings, given the long
time horizon over which the transition is expected to occur. Any
potential future rating impact may change over time, reflecting
developments in Fitch's assessment of these risks.
ESG Considerations
Frontera Energy Corporation has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for
GHG Emissions & Air Quality due to the growing importance of the
continued development and execution of the company's
energy-transition strategy, which has a negative impact on the
credit profile, and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Frontera Energy
Corporation
senior unsecured LT B Rating Watch On RR4 B
=============
J A M A I C A
=============
JAMAICA: Inflationary Shocks to Force Cuts to Standard of Living
----------------------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that Donovan Wignal, a former ranking member of
the Economic Program Oversight Committee, says the Jamaican people
will have to endure a cut in their standard of living because of
the impact of Hurricane Melissa and the war in the Middle East on
inflation.
Inflation was running at 4.3 per cent during the 12-month period in
March, and the Bank of Jamaica is projecting a rate of 7.5 per cent
by the end of this year, according to RJR News.
Mr. Wignal stressed that although the government collects more ad
valorem taxes on fuel than it programmed for when the price
increases, it will not use the money to subsidize basic food
prices, the report notes.
He suggested that the government will instead use these funds to
reduce the amount of money it has borrowed in order to fund the
budget, and as a result, consumers will have to cut back on their
purchases of goods and services because of the higher prices, the
report relays.
About Jamaica
Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea. Jamaica
is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily dependent
on tourism. Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy include
agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining, financial
and insurance services.
On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook. In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2. The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook to
positive.
PORT ROYAL HOTEL: Court Ruling Clears Way For Sale
--------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that receiver for the Port Royal Hotel, Wilfred
Baghaloo of PwC Jamaica, says the property should be vacated by
next year following a recent ruling by the Court of Appeal.
Mr. Baghaloo says the court rejected a third appeal by the existing
tenant seeking to remain on the property, clearing the way for the
long-delayed sale of the hotel, formerly known as the Morgan's
Harbour Hotel, according to RJR News.
The latest ruling brings to an end nearly a decade of legal
wrangling surrounding the sale of the historic property, the report
notes.
The Court of Appeal upheld earlier decisions ordering that the
premises now occupied must be vacated to facilitate the sale of the
hotel to the Swan Property Group of Malta, the report relays.
Mr. Baghaloo says the sale agreement cannot be finalised until the
tenant leaves the property, the report adds.
===========
M E X I C O
===========
METROFINANCIERA SAPI: Fitch Hikes MTROCB 07U Rating to 'Csf'
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded Metrofinanciera S.A.P.I. de C.V. SOFOM
ER's residential mortgage-backed security (RMBS) MTROCB 07U to
'Csf' and 'C(mex)vra' from 'Dsf' and 'D(mex)vra'. The upgrade
reflects the resolution of the prior coupon interest shortfall and
timely payment of the May 4, 2026 coupon.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Metrofinanciera
MTROCB07U (F#297)
MTROCB 07U
Senior Notes
MX97MT010009 LT Csf Upgrade Dsf
Senior Notes
MX97MT010009 Natl LT C(mex)vra Upgrade D(mex)vra
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The upgrade reflects the payment of accrued interest that remained
past due for April 2026 and was cured in May 2026. The scheduled
interest for May 2026 was also paid in full, with no shortfalls.
Therefore, the default status was resolved.
The 'C' rating reflects the high-level credit risk of the notes, as
default appears imminent and inevitable. The transaction doesn't
count with cash reserves to meet the timely payments of interest,
it has a level of portfolio deterioration, and high reliance on the
foreclosure proceeds for full debt repayment.
As of May 4, 2026, accrued interest payable totaled 248,109.90
inflation-indexed units (UDIs), which were paid in full, as well as
the past-due remainder of 13,992.71 UDIs from the prior coupon. An
additional 33,116.11 UDIs of principal were also paid. Following
these payments, the outstanding balance of the transaction is
62,766,268.32 UDIs.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The rating could be lowered if an interest payment is missed, or
principal is not paid at maturity.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade is unlikely given the level of portfolio deterioration,
an absence of cash reserves that heightens liquidity risk, and
reliance on the sale of foreclosed properties to fully repay the
debt.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
PHOENIX AVIATION: Fitch Hikes Long-Term IDR to 'B+', Outlook
Stable
-----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Upgrades Phoenix Aviation Capital LLC to 'B+'; Outlook
Stable
Fri 08 May, 2026 - 1:46 PM ET
Fitch Ratings - New York - 08 May 2026:
FTCRLA – Cayman Islands
Fitch Ratings has upgraded the Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings
(IDRs) of Phoenix Aviation Capital LLC (PAC) and its rated
subsidiary, Phoenix Aviation Capital Limited (PACL), to 'B+' from
'B'. The Rating Outlook is Stable.
Fitch has also upgraded PACL's senior unsecured debt rating to 'B+'
from 'B' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR4' and the senior secured
rating on the Term Loan B (TLB) co-issued by PAC Aviation III
Designated Activity Company (PACDIII) and PAC DAC LLC (PACD),
collectively the co-issuers and ultimately wholly owned by Phoenix
Aviation Capital, LLC (PAC), to 'BB' from 'BB-' with a Recovery
Rating of 'RR2'.
These rating actions are being taken in conjunction with Fitch's
global aircraft leasing sector review. For more information on the
sector review, please see "Fitch Ratings Completes Aircraft Lessor
Peer Review; Revises Sector Outlook to Deteriorating,".
Key Rating Drivers
Upgrade on Strong Execution and Improved Diversification: The
rating upgrade reflects PAC's improving scale and portfolio
diversification from orderbook placements and secondary market
trading, as well as strong execution against its business strategy.
PAC's fleet of owned aircraft grew to 30 from 17 one year ago, with
a net book value (NBV) of $1.6 billion at March 31, 2026, pro forma
for its contracted pipeline. In addition, portfolio diversification
improved notably with the single largest lessee representing 15% of
NBV at 1Q26, down from 29% one year ago, while its geographic reach
expanded to 13 airlines in 10 countries from seven airlines in six
countries over the same period, pro forma for its contracted
pipeline.
PAC executed several capital markets transactions and further
diversified its funding profile, most notably with its inaugural
$592 million Term Loan B offering in October 2025, which was
upsized by $42 million in March 2026. PAC also issued an inaugural
$600 million unsecured note in June 2025 and a $150 million add-on
in January 2026, resulting in an increase in unsecured funding to
around 37% of total debt at Dec. 31, 2025, on a pro forma basis.
Fitch expects scale and diversification will continue to improve as
PAC adds aircraft from its orderbook. At the current rating level,
PAC's ratings remain supported by its market standing as a
full-service lessor focused on new technology, narrowbody aircraft,
appropriate current and target leverage, the absence of any
meaningful near-term debt maturities and clear growth visibility
through its near-term orderbook.
Ambitious Growth Targets: Rating constraints include the company's
short operating track record as a standalone lessor, execution risk
associated with its ambitious growth targets, reliance on wholesale
secured funding, a smaller, concentrated portfolio by customer and
geography compared to peers, and funding and placement risks
associated with the firm's sizable orderbook. Fitch also notes
potential governance and conflicts of interest associated with
PAC's externally managed business model and ownership by fixed life
funds.
Sector Constraints: Rating constraints applicable to the aircraft
lessor industry more broadly include the monoline nature of the
business, potential exposure to residual value risks, the reliance
on wholesale funding sources, and vulnerability to exogenous shocks
including sensitivity to higher oil prices, inflation and
unemployment, which could negatively impact travel demand. Fitch
also notes the ongoing Iran conflict and risk of protracted jet
fuel shortages. While airlines globally have responded by cutting
capacity on less-profitable routes, lessors may still face
increased requests for lease deferrals. If granted, these deferrals
could negatively impact liquidity and internal capital generation
over time.
Nominal Franchise: As of March 31, 2026, PAC has a committed
orderbook for 25 Boeing B737-8 aircraft, which are scheduled to
deliver through 2028, and has optional purchase rights for an
additional 30 B737-8 aircraft. The company expects to support
additional portfolio growth through sale-leaseback and secondary
market opportunities over the medium term.
Attractive Portfolio: PAC's portfolio comprises highly liquid tier
1 (86% of NBV) and tier 2 aircraft (14%), as categorized by Fitch,
with a weighted average age of the owned portfolio of 3.2 years,
and an average remaining lease term of 8.4 years, as of Dec. 31,
2025. Compared to rated peers, PACs maintains a younger and more
liquid aircraft portfolio while its remaining lease term is one of
the longest in the market. In Fitch's view, this underpins asset
performance as a relative rating strength for the business.
Modest Earnings: Net spreads (lease yields less funding costs) were
1.7% for FY2025 down from 2.0% in FY2024, due to higher interest
expense and the dilutive effect of new orderbook assets being
introduced into the portfolio during the year. Fitch expects net
spreads to improve over time as existing new technology aircraft
become more seasoned and funding costs decline with anticipated
refinancing. Over the medium term, Fitch expects net spreads to
move into the 'bb' category benchmark range of 1%-5% for aircraft
lessors with a sector risk operating environment (SROE) score in
the 'bbb' category.
Adequate Leverage: Fitch's calculated leverage (gross debt to
tangible equity), which assigns 100% equity credit to PAC's $652
million preferred equity, was 3.7x at YE 2025, or 3.4x net of cash.
This was aligned with the firm's business plan projections and was
within management's stated leverage target of 3.0x-3.5x on a net
debt-to-equity basis. PAC's leverage is appropriate given its fleet
profile.
Improved Funding Mix: Following unsecured debt issuances in 2025
and early 2026, unsecured debt comprised 37% of total debt at YE
2025, pro forma for the $150 million unsecured note add-on issued
in January 2026, versus a fully secured funding mix at YE 2024.
Current funding comprises unsecured notes, a Term Loan B and
secured term loans and warehouse financings backed by aircraft.
Fitch expects PAC's unsecured mix to decrease modestly in the near
term, as deliveries are initially funded through its secured
warehouse facility. Over time, PAC may term out some of this debt
in the unsecured bond market. Fitch expects unsecured debt to
remain within the 'bb' range of 10%-35% for aircraft lessors with
an SROE score in the 'bbb' category.
Appropriate Liquidity: PAC faces heightened funding and placement
risks due to its substantial order book commitments, but all 2026
order book positions and 43% of 2027 deliveries are already placed.
Liquidity resources for the next 12 months totaled $949 million at
YE 2025, including $174 million of unrestricted cash, $604 million
of availability under secured and unsecured credit facilities, and
$170 million of operating cash flow. These resources provide
adequate liquidity coverage of 1.6x relative to the next 12 months'
order purchase commitments of $510 million and debt maturities of
$98 million. On-balance-sheet liquidity will also be supported by
an additional $325 million equity commitment from shareholders.
Stable Outlook: The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's expectation
that PAC will manage its balance sheet growth to maintain
sufficient headroom relative to its targeted leverage range and
Fitch's negative rating sensitivities for liquidity coverage over
the Outlook horizon, despite Fitch's expectation for increased
macro challenges including geopolitical risks, increased fuel
prices, higher inflation and uncertainty around the robustness of
air travel demand.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Weakening in the company's projected long-term cash flow
generation, unsecured debt below 20% of total debt, net spreads
sustained below 1%, liquidity coverage dropping below 1.0x, and/or
a sustained increase in Fitch-calculated gross leverage above 5x;
- Macroeconomic and/or geopolitical headwinds that lead to lease
restructurings rejections, lessee defaults, and increased losses,
or a material deterioration in fleet quality, particularly
concerning the proportion of tier 1 aircraft, average fleet age and
average lease terms, could also negatively impact ratings;
- PAC's ownership by private funds could lead to negative rating
actions if it results in elevated capital extractions or if a
forced sale of the company at fund maturity undermines PAC's
financial profile, franchise, or long-term strategic direction;
- Shortcomings in corporate governance or conflicts of interest
that weaken PAC's franchise position, limiting its ability to
pursue new business opportunities.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Sustained strong execution against planned growth targets and
long-term strategic objectives, particularly if this leads to
further fleet diversification, with single airline exposure
approaching 10% of NBV while maintaining a liquid, young fleet
portfolio;
- Profitably improving franchise scale, as demonstrated by net
operating income exceeding $25 million on a sustained basis;
- Maintaining a sound financial profile, including gross leverage
below 4.0x, low impairment ratios, a sustained increase in net
spreads above 2% and liquidity coverage above 1.1x;
- Continued ability to fund and proactively place order book
assets;
- Demonstrated capital market access while maintaining unsecured
debt above 30% of total debt.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
The senior secured debt rating (BB/RR2) is two notches above PAC's
Long-Term IDR and reflects the aircraft collateral backing the
obligations, which suggests strong recovery prospects.
The senior unsecured debt rating (B+/RR4) is equalized with PAC's
Long-Term IDR and reflects expectations for average recovery
prospects in a stress scenario, given the availability of
unencumbered assets.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The senior secured debt rating is primarily sensitive to changes in
PAC's Long-Term IDR and secondarily to the relative recovery
prospects of the instruments. In the event of a future upgrade in
PAC's Long-Term IDR to 'BB-' or above, Fitch will assess recovery
prospects using its generic notching approach, which could lead to
a narrowing in the notching between the Long-Term IDR and secured
debt rating.
The senior unsecured debt rating is primarily sensitive to changes
in PAC's Long-Term IDR and the relative recovery prospects of the
instruments. A decline in unencumbered asset coverage, combined
with a material increase in secured debt relative to PAC's business
plan, could result in the notching of the unsecured debt down from
the Long-Term IDR.
ADJUSTMENTS
The Standalone Credit Profile has been assigned in line with the
implied Standalone Credit Profile.
The Business Profile score has been assigned above the implied
score due to the following adjustment reason(s): Historical and
future developments (positive).
The Asset Quality score has been assigned below the implied score
due to the following adjustment reason(s): Concentrations; Asset
performance (negative), risk profile and business model
(negative).
The Earnings & Profitability score has been assigned below the
implied score due to the following adjustment reason(s): Historical
and future metrics (negative).
The Capitalization & Leverage score has been assigned below the
implied score due to the following adjustment reason(s): Risk
profile and business model (negative).
ESG Considerations
PAC has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Management Strategy due
to execution risk associated with the operational implementation of
the company's outlined business plan. This has a negative impact on
the credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction
with other factors.
PAC has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure due
to potential governance and conflicts of interest risks associated
with PAC's limited number of independent board members and
ownership by a fixed-life fund structure and external management.
Shortcomings in corporate governance or conflicts of interest could
weaken PAC's franchise position and limit its ability to pursue new
business opportunities. This has a negative impact on the credit
profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of
ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. This means ESG issues are
credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on the entity,
either due to their nature or the way in which they are being
managed by the entity.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Phoenix Aviation
Capital Limited LT IDR B+ Upgrade B
senior unsecured LT B+ Upgrade RR4 B
PAC DAC LLC
senior secured LT BB Upgrade RR2 BB-
Phoenix Aviation
Capital LLC LT IDR B+ Upgrade B
PAC Aviation III
Designated Activity
Company
senior secured LT BB Upgrade RR2 BB-
=====================
P U E R T O R I C O
=====================
INSTITUTO MEDICO: Court Directs U.S. Trustee to Appoint PCO
-----------------------------------------------------------
Judge Mildred Caban Flores of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the
District of Puerto Rico directed the U.S. Trustee to appoint a
patient care ombudsman for Instituto Medico Del Norte Inc.
The bankruptcy judge finds that the provisions of Section 333(a)(1)
of the Bankruptcy Code for appointment of a PCO apply to Instituto
Medico Del Norte after having filed its bankruptcy petition,
indicating that it operates a health care business.
On April 28, Instituto Medico Del Norte filed a Chapter 11 petition
designating the company as a health care business.
About Instituto Medico Del Norte Inc.
Instituto Medico Del Norte Inc. sought protection under Chapter 11
of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code (Bankr. D.P.R. Case No. 26-01886) on
April 28, 2026, with $0 to $50,000 in assets and $1,000,001 to $10
million in liabilities.
Judge Mildred Caban Flores presides over the case.
Jesus Enrique Batista Sanchez, Esq. at The Batista Law Group, Psc
represents the Debtor as legal counsel.
VALLE DEL SUR: Case Summary & Two Unsecured Creditors
-----------------------------------------------------
Debtor: Valle Del Sur Memorial Park Inc.
Sector Pozo Hondo
Carr. 7711 Km 0.5
Guayama, PR 00784
Business Description: Valle Del Sur Memorial Park Inc. operates a
private cemetery and memorial park in Guayama, Puerto Rico. The
company, whose facility is located in the Pozo Hondo sector along
Puerto Rico Route 7711, provides cemetery and burial-related
services to families in the Guayama area.
Chapter 11 Petition Date: May 6, 2026
Court: United States Bankruptcy Court
District of Puerto Rico
Case No.: 26-02069
Debtor's Counsel: Alexandria Bigas Valedon, Esq.
MODESTO BIGAS LAW OFFICE
PO Box 7462
Ponce, PR 00732
Tel: (787) 844-1444
Fax: (787) 842-4090
Email: alexandra.bigas@gmail.com
Estimated Assets: $0 to $50,000
Estimated Liabilities: $1 million to $10 million
The petition was signed by Alejandro Mayendia Blanco as president.
A full-text copy of the petition, which includes a list of the
Debtor's two unsecured creditors, is available for free on
PacerMonitor at:
https://www.pacermonitor.com/view/7G47I6Y/VALLE_DEL_SUR_MEMORIAL_PARK_INC__prbke-26-02069__0001.0.pdf?mcid=tGE4TAMA
===============
X X X X X X X X
===============
LATAM: Tax Reforms Boosted Revenues in Region in 2024
-----------------------------------------------------
Tax revenues rose in more than half of the countries in Latin
America and the Caribbean (LAC) in 2024, with the largest gains
occurring in those that implemented major tax reforms, according to
a new report.
Revenue Statistics in Latin America and the Caribbean 2026,
released at the UN-ECLAC 38th Regional Fiscal Seminar in Santiago,
Chile, shows that tax revenues rose as a share of GDP in 15 of the
28 countries in the LAC region included in the report and declined
in 13.
The largest increases were observed in Antigua and Barbuda (1.9
percentage points [p.p.]), Brazil (2.0 p.p.), Barbados (2.1 p.p.)
and Cuba (5.0 p.p.). Each of these countries recently introduced
major tax reforms, which increased revenues from taxes on goods and
services (Brazil, Cuba, and Antigua and Barbuda) and from corporate
income tax (Barbados and Brazil).
The two largest declines in the tax-to-GDP ratio were mainly due to
economic factors. In Trinidad and Tobago, lower energy prices and
declining natural gas production contributed to a fall of 3.0 p.p.,
while in Guyana strong economic growth outpaced increases in tax
revenues, resulting in a fall of 2.4 p.p.
The report shows that tax-to-GDP ratios in the LAC region ranged
from 9.2% in Guyana to 33.7% in Brazil in 2024 (Figure 1), with a
regional average of 21.7%, an increase of 0.2 p.p. from the
previous year. Excluding Cuba, the average was unchanged from the
previous year as slow economic growth and volatile commodity prices
weighed on revenues.
Taxes on goods and services continue to represent the largest part
of the tax mix in many LAC countries, with a lower contribution
from income taxes and social security contributions than in OECD
countries. In 2024, taxes on goods and services accounted for 49.2%
of total tax revenues on average across the LAC region, driven
largely by value-added tax (VAT, 28.9% of revenues). Taxes on
income and profits generated 29.1% of total revenues (17.4% from
corporate income tax and 9.6% from personal income taxes) and
social security contributions accounted for 15.9%.
Looking further back, the average tax-to-GDP ratio for the LAC
region rose by 1.5 p.p. between 2014 and 2024, largely due to
increases in revenues from VAT and from taxes on income and
profits. Over this period, tax revenues rose as a share of GDP in
21 LAC countries and declined in 7. Tax revenues per capita
increased in all countries, more than doubling in the Dominican
Republic, Nicaragua and Guyana in PPP terms.
The difference between the LAC average tax-to-GDP ratio and the
average for OECD countries has narrowed only slightly over the past
decade. The OECD average tax-to-GDP ratio rose by 1.2 p.p. between
2014 and 2024, reducing the gap with the LAC average to 12.3 p.p.
in 2024.
The report shows how fiscal revenues in some of the largest
economies in the LAC region are significantly affected by
fluctuations in commodity prices. Amid strong volatility in oil and
gas markets, average hydrocarbon revenues among major producers
fell to 3.1% of GDP in 2024 from 4.1% of GDP in 2023. Decreases in
Colombia and Trinidad and Tobago drove the overall decline, which
was partly offset by higher oil revenues in Guyana. Meanwhile,
revenues from mining fell from 0.55% of GDP in 2023 to 0.47% of GDP
in 2024, largely due to a sharp drop in tax revenues in Colombia.
In 2025, oil and gas revenues are projected to have fallen to 3.0%
of GDP due to a sharp decline in hydrocarbon prices, while mining
revenues are estimated to have risen to 0.63% of GDP, supported by
exceptional increases in the price of gold, silver and, to a lesser
extent, copper.
Revenue Statistics in Latin America and the Caribbean 2026 is a
joint publication by the Inter-American Center of Tax
Administrations (CIAT), the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB),
the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the
Caribbean (UN-ECLAC), and the Organisation for Economic
Co-operation and Development (OECD) Centre for Tax Policy and
Administration and Development Centre.
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S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
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