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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
L A T I N A M E R I C A
Monday, March 30, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 63
Headlines
B R A Z I L
BANCO MASTER: Brazil Audit Court Sidesteps Ruling as Probes Unfold
COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA: Surges After Securing $1.2B Loan Deal
NEW FORTRESS: Delays 2025 10-K Filing Amid Financial Restatement
H O N D U R A S
HONDURAS: S&P Affirms 'BB-/B' SCRs, Alters Outlook to Stable
J A M A I C A
JAMAICA: Beverage Industry Exec Warn of Fallout Due to Added Taxes
JAMAICA: BOJ Reports Year-To-Date Losses of $10.7 Billion
JAMAICA: Byles Says Traditional Economic Indicators Insufficient
M E X I C O
COEUR MINING: S&P Ups Issuer Rating to 'BB' on New Gold Acquisition
P A R A G U A Y
FRIGORIFICO CONCEPCION: Moody's Cuts CFR, Sec. Notes Rating to Caa1
P E R U
TERMINALES PORTUARIOS: S&P Withdraws 'BB+' Rating on Sr. Sec. Debt
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B R A Z I L
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BANCO MASTER: Brazil Audit Court Sidesteps Ruling as Probes Unfold
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Reuters reports that Brazil's federal audit court TCU deferred its
ruling on the Banco Master case despite the conclusion of an
internal audit amid elements under review by other authorities
that are necessary for its decision, the judge overseeing the
case said.
In February, Reuters had already reported that the TCU audit did
not give any recommendations regarding the central bank's conduct
in the liquidation of Banco Master in November amid a sharp
liquidity crisis and alleged sale of fraudulent credit
portfolios, according to the report.
About Banco Master
Banco Master, S.A., formerly known as Banco Maxima, is a financial
institution that provides corporate credit, foreign exchange, and
treasury services, and later expanded into real estate credit as
well as fund and wealth management activities. The bank began
operations in 1974 and broadened its business lines in the
mid-1990s as part of its growth strategy within the financial
service sector.
Banco Master filed a Chapter 15 Petition with the U.S. Bankruptcy
Court for the Southern District of Florida on December 10, 2025
(Case No. 25-24568), with the Hon. Scott M Grossman presiding.
COMPANHIA SIDERURGICA: Surges After Securing $1.2B Loan Deal
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SeekingAlpha.com reports that Brazil's Companhia Siderurgica
Nacional (SID) jumped 10.9% in trading after saying it reached
agreement for a group of banks to extend the company a $1.2B loan,
easing concerns about its ability to meet near-term obligations.
The credit line is expected to be partially secured by certain
assets designated for sale and can be increased to $1.4B, Bloomberg
reported, citing a regulatory filing, notes the report.
The the loan will support for the company until it can raise cash
with asset sales, according to the filing, notes Bloomberg. CSN
also said it intends to use the proceeds of the credit facility to
refinance debt and pay related fees and expenses.
The lenders include Morgan Stanley, Citigroup Inc., Credit
Agricole, HSBC, Banco XP, BNP Paribas, Banco do Brasil's New York
branch and Banco Bradesco, the filing reads, the report relays.
As reported in the Troubled Company Reporter-Latin America on
March 20, 2026, S&P Global Ratings lowered its ratings on
Companhia Siderurgica Nacional (CSN) to 'B' from 'B+'.
NEW FORTRESS: Delays 2025 10-K Filing Amid Financial Restatement
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New Fortress Energy Inc. disclosed in a regulatory filing that it
is working diligently and plans to file its Annual Report on Form
10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, as soon as
practicable.
The Company reported on March 17, 2026, that the Audit Committee
of the Board of Directors concluded that the Company's previously
issued financial statements for the years ended December 31, 2024
and 2023 included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K/A
for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, filed on June 30,
2025, and each of the Company's previously issued financial
statements included in its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q as of
and for each of the interim periods in 2025 and 2024 should no
longer be relied upon.
The Company requires additional time to complete a restatement of
its historical financial statements related to the incorrect
presentation of certain capital expenditures on its statements of
cash flows. Additionally, certain errors were identified in the
capitalization of interest, as well as other insignificant errors,
that require restatement of the Company's 2025 interim financial
statements. The Company continues to work diligently to complete
the remaining review and restatement procedures. As a result, the
Company has determined that it is unable, without unreasonable
effort or expense, to file the Annual Report within the prescribed
time period.
The Company expects to file the Annual Report, including all
required restated financial statements, no later than March 31,
2026, or as soon as practicable; however, the timing of the filing
may be subject to further delay, and the Company cannot provide
assurance regarding the definitive filing date while this work
remains in progress.
About New Fortress Energy Inc.
New Fortress Energy Inc., a Delaware corporation, is a global
energy infrastructure company founded to help address energy
poverty and accelerate the world's transition to reliable,
affordable and clean energy. The Company owns and operates natural
gas and liquefied natural gas infrastructure, ships and logistics
assets to rapidly deliver turnkey energy solutions to global
markets. The Company has liquefaction, regasification and power
generation operations in the United States, Jamaica, Brazil and
Mexico. The Company has marine operations with vessels operating
under time charters and in the spot market globally.
As of September 30, 2025, the Company had $11.9 billion in total
assets, $10.8 billion in total liabilities, and a total
stockholders' equity of $1.1 billion.
* * *
In November 2025, S&P Global Ratings lowered its issuer credit
rating on New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) to 'SD' (selective
default) from 'CCC'. At the same time, S&P lowered its issue level
rating on NFE's 12% senior secured notes due 2029 to 'D' from
'CCC-'. The downgrade reflects NFE's decision to enter into a
forbearance agreement. S&P will reevaluate its ratings on NFE
before the end of November as more information becomes available.
The Company has initiated a process to evaluate its strategic
alternatives to improve its capital structure. It has retained
Houlihan Lokey Capital, Inc. as financial advisor and Skadden,
Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP as legal advisor to assist it in
this evaluation. The Company, along with its advisors, is
considering all options available, including asset sales, capital
raising, debt amendments and refinancing transactions, and other
strategic transactions that seek to provide additional liquidity
and relief from acceleration under its debt agreements.
As part of this process, the Company is engaging in discussions
with various existing stakeholders and potential investors. There
are inherent uncertainties as the outcome of these negotiations
and potential transactions are outside management's control, and
therefore there are no assurances that management will be
successful in these negotiations and that any of these potential
transactions will occur.
In addition, there can be no assurances that these transactions
will sufficiently improve the Company's liquidity or that the
Company will otherwise realize the anticipated benefits.
Moreover, if the Company fails to obtain amendments and
forbearance, the Company may be required or compelled to pursue
additional restructuring initiatives to preserve value and
optionality, including possible out-of-court restructurings, or
in-court relief, which could have a material and adverse impact on
the Company's stockholders.
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H O N D U R A S
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HONDURAS: S&P Affirms 'BB-/B' SCRs, Alters Outlook to Stable
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On March 26, 2026, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on
Honduras to stable from negative and affirmed the 'BB-/B' long- and
short-term sovereign credit ratings. The transfer and
convertibility assessment remains at 'BB-'.
Outlook
The stable outlook incorporates S&P's view of lower political
uncertainty in Honduras following last year's tight elections. It
also incorporates the significant shift in government policies,
focusing on fiscal consolidation and productive relationships with
the private sector, multilateral lending institutions, and the
U.S.
Downside scenario
S&P could lower the ratings in the next six to 12 months if weaker
external conditions were to dampen private-sector investment, both
domestic and external, and limit economic growth prospects,
pressuring the government's efforts to contain fiscal pressures.
Upside scenario
S&P could raise the ratings in the next six to 12 months if the
significant shift in policies allows for faster-than-expected
implementation of structural reforms that result in stronger rule
of law and meaningful institutional improvements, leading to
consistently higher long-term GDP growth, while the government
successfully addresses the long-standing weaknesses in the energy
sector.
Rationale
The 'BB-' long-term ratings on Honduras reflect the country's low
per capita GDP and its weak democratic institutions with recurrent
episodes of political turmoil. On the other hand, the country has
also maintained low fiscal deficits and a favorable debt profile,
with most sovereign debt coming from official sources at
concessional conditions. Remittances, which account for 30% of GDP,
have proven to be a source of external inflows of hard currency
into the country, which have also translated into higher domestic
consumption.
Institutional and economic profile: Political uncertainty has eased
following tight elections, with a significant shift in policies by
the new government
-- Following a very uncertain electoral period late last year, the
new government has significantly shifted policies in Honduras, with
a focus on fiscal consolidation and much closer relationships with
the private sector and the international community.
-- S&P projects that GDP growth will slow to 3% in coming years
from the normalization of remittances this year and the impact of
external shocks from higher energy prices.
-- The country's per capita GDP, estimated to be $3,900 in 2026,
is among the lowest in the region, while its social indicators
compare unfavorably with those at most of its peers.
In S&P's view, the high political uncertainty during last year's
elections has eased. Honduras held presidential and legislative
elections in November 2025, and Nasry Asfura from Partido Nacional
was elected president with 40% of the vote. Asfura's margin of
victory over Salvador Nasralla from Partido Liberal was less than 1
percentage point.
Asfura's party also had a good result in the legislative elections,
putting it in a position to assemble working majorities to pass
reforms.
Following the elections, there's been a significant shift in the
government's policies, with a focus on fiscal consolidation and
closer relationships with the private sector and the international
community. The incoming government promptly announced that the
country would return to the international arbitration court known
as ICSID, and it held conversations with top officials in the U.S.
and the main multilateral lending institutions.
Furthermore, following an increase in borrowings and supplier debt
during the transition period, the government passed a law to
reorganize the public sector, eliminating or merging ministries and
giving it more flexibility to reduce spending. The government is
also working with Congress to pass an amendment for the 2026 budget
(which wasn't approved because of congressional paralysis late last
year); the amendment shrinks the budget and makes use of available
funds from multilateral lending institutions.
A relatively weak institutional framework constrains the country's
economic performance. S&P said, "We think per capita GDP will be
around $3,900 in 2026, among the lowest figures in the region.
Remittances account for 30% of GDP; we project that GDP growth will
slow to 3% in 2026-2029, given a remittances slowdown that'll
hamper domestic consumption and given more strained financial
conditions globally, with high energy prices impacting Hondurans'
disposable income."
The new government will have the challenge of attending to
Honduras' structural social demands. Poverty in Honduras is high at
around 60% (with extreme poverty at 40%), and about 75% of the
working-age population works in the informal sector. Steps to
strengthen the rule of law and foster competition and private
investment could raise the country's growth rate.
Long-standing problems in the energy sector have affected economic
growth, increasing costs and deterring private investment. Despite
efforts to cut energy losses and arrears owed by the state-owned
energy transmission and distribution company (known as ENEE) in
accordance with its IMF program, losses remain high, and the
government will need to continue supporting that company. Attending
to this issue is key to Honduras attracting more domestic and
external investment.
Furthermore, Honduras is highly exposed to extreme weather events,
such as hurricanes, tropical storms, and earthquakes. As a result,
the government has expressed interest in IMF financing under the
Resilience and Sustainability Facility, which could be considered
in subsequent IMF program reviews.
Flexibility and performance profile: The government is reversing
the increase in debt that occurred during the political transition,
and it faces more complicated external conditions
-- The new government is committed to fiscal consolidation,
following a jump in expenditures, an increase in debt by the
central bank, and high arrears from the previous government. S&P
projects that the change in net general government debt will be
equal to roughly 3% of GDP, on average, over the next four years,
following a spike to 6% of GDP in 2025.
-- Honduras will face more strained external conditions, with
slowing remittances, higher energy import prices, and lower export
prices for main products such as coffee.
-- The central bank recently shifted to more flexible monetary and
exchange rate policies.
S&P expects that the new government will remain committed to fiscal
consolidation, following a sharp deterioration of fiscal accounts
during the last political transition. As a result of the political
uncertainty late last year, Congress didn't approve a 2026 budget,
and it has had to use a rerun of the 2025 budget until the current
government approves an amendment. Furthermore, there's been a
sizable increase in supplier debt (estimated at around 2.4% of GDP)
and an extraordinary increase in central bank debt, which boosted
the annual change in net general government debt to 6% of GDP in
2025.
S&P said, "However, we believe the government has presented an
initial plan to contain the fiscal slippage; that plan calls for a
smaller public sector, reversing the high increase in personnel in
recent years, and redirecting resources toward capital expenditure.
We don't expect major changes to government revenue in 2026, other
than efficiency measures.
"We estimate that the average annual change in net general
government debt will be equal to around 3% of GDP over the next
three years, taking into account the government's commitment to
gradual fiscal consolidation." The current medium-term fiscal
framework and fiscal responsibility law target a deficit of 1% of
GDP for the nonfinancial public sector.
The fiscal consolidation measures are in line with Honduras' IMF
program (for around $830 million), with planned disbursements from
2023 to 2026. The program's fourth review has been delayed since
the previous government didn't fully meet the program's target. But
S&P believes a joint fourth and fifth review could be performed in
coming months, allowing for the disbursement of around $240
million.
In addition to fiscal consolidation, the government is also
committed to improving the financial health of ENEE and avoiding
central bank financing of the fiscal deficit, among other
structural benchmarks. Despite efforts from different governments,
there hasn't been a meaningful improvement in ENEE's financial
standing, with still high arrears to electricity generators and its
losses in the grid at around 38%. The company is likely to run
financial losses of 1.1%-1.2% of GDP annually over the next three
years, funded by government transfers and borrowings.
As a result of Honduras' moderate fiscal deficits, S&P projects
that net general government debt will stabilize at around 41% of
GDP in 2026-2029. S&P deducts intergovernmental debt holdings from
its calculation of general government debt, and S&P deducts
government liquid assets to calculate net general government debt.
About 40% of Honduras' total debt is owed to official creditors,
and around 70% of its debt is in foreign currency, exposing it to
risks from sudden exchange rate fluctuations. S&P projects that
interest payments will hover near 9.7% of general government
revenue in 2026-2029.
In S&P's view, improved relationships with the private sector and
the international community will reduce the risk of contingent
liabilities from ongoing lawsuits by private-sector companies in
international courts. The government's decision to reinstate
Honduras at ICSID should favor the country's rule of law. Late last
year, the single largest judicial claim against the government from
a firm in the free-trade zone was substantially reduced by 90%--to
2.4% of GDP from 24% of GDP.
S&P said, "We estimate that Honduras posted a current account
surplus in 2025, although we expect it to be reversed in 2026,
given weaker external conditions. We project current account
deficits at 1.7% of GDP in 2026, gradually deteriorating to 3% of
GDP in 2026-2029. This stems from a remittances slowdown due to
changes in U.S. immigration policy, and fear of deportation led
Hondurans living in the U.S. to front-load remittances in 2025. (We
expect the inflows to normalize in the next three years.)"
Moreover, higher energy import prices and lower export prices,
mainly for coffee, are worsening Honduras' trade balance. Honduras
remains vulnerable to further tariffs by the U.S., its main market
for exports of textiles and electrical equipment.
Despite a better relationship with the private sector, foreign
direct investment is likely to remain low in the short term--at
around 1.5% of GDP over the next four years--because of tepid
investor sentiment. As a result, S&P expects narrow net external
debt to marginally worsen to around 10%-15% of current account
receipts over the same period.
Net international reserves increased markedly to almost $11 billion
in March 2026 from $6.4 billion in October 2024--a result of an
improved current account balance, disbursements from the IMF, and
the extraordinary external conditions last year. S&P forecasts that
gross external financing needs will average 90% of current account
receipts and usable reserves over the next three years.
The government faces external commercial debt amortization of $700
million in 2027. It's likely to try to tap international debt
markets in 2026 to roll over this capital payment, if financial
conditions globally improve.
The government has introduced more flexibility in monetary and
exchange rate policies in recent years, meeting its commitments to
the IMF. The central bank increased its policy rate to 5.75% from
3% and allowed a steeper depreciation of the lempira. Having said
that, we believe that limited exchange rate flexibility in the past
and the small size of the domestic capital markets limit the
effectiveness of monetary policy.
The foreign exchange market has improved following the higher
availability of dollars in the economy. The central bank changed
the system for allocating dollars to the market in 2023 because of
allegations that private banks had discretionarily supplied foreign
exchange to their clients under the previous system. As a result,
the central bank returned to an auction system from interbank
market allocation. Exchange agents are obliged to surrender foreign
currency inflows to the central bank. Although the change resulted
in a large gap in the foreign exchange market last year, better
external conditions have enabled the central bank to fully meet the
daily demand for hard currency.
The central bank's more restrictive monetary policy (from monetary
policy rate increases and tighter reserve requirements for the
banking sector) will curb inflation to where it's closer to the
middle of the central bank's target (4.0% plus or minus 1
percentage point) over the next three years. As a result, credit
growth has decelerated markedly. S&P expects credit growth of
nearly 9% annually in 2026-2029, following four years of growth at
an average of 15%.
In accordance with S&P's relevant policies and procedures, the
Rating Committee was composed of analysts that are qualified to
vote in the committee, with sufficient experience to convey the
appropriate level of knowledge and understanding of the methodology
applicable. At the onset of the committee, the chair confirmed that
the information provided to the Rating Committee by the primary
analyst had been distributed in a timely manner and was sufficient
for Committee members to make an informed decision.
After the primary analyst gave opening remarks and explained the
recommendation, the Committee discussed key rating factors and
critical issues in accordance with the relevant criteria.
Qualitative and quantitative risk factors were considered and
discussed, looking at track-record and forecasts.
The committee's assessment of the key rating factors is reflected
in the Rating Component Scores above.
The chair ensured every voting member was given the opportunity to
articulate his/her opinion. The chair or designee reviewed the
draft report to ensure consistency with the Committee decision. The
views and the decision of the rating committee are summarized in
the above rationale and outlook. The weighting of all rating
factors is described in the methodology used in this rating
action.
Ratings List
Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Action
To From
Honduras
Sovereign Credit Rating BB-/Stable/B BB-/Negative/B
Ratings Affirmed
Honduras
Transfer & Convertibility Assessment
Local Currency BB-
Senior Unsecured BB-
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J A M A I C A
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JAMAICA: Beverage Industry Exec Warn of Fallout Due to Added Taxes
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RJR News reports that Chairman of Caribbean Producers Jamaica,
Richard Pandohie and Clement 'Jimmy' Lawrence, chairman of the
Spirits Pool Association, say the tax hike on alcoholic beverages
will lead to an increase in informal activities in order to beat
the system and to remain competitive.
They argue that there will be a reduction in demand and a fallout
in revenues and investments if the tax is passed onto the consumer
who is already under pressure, according to RJR News.
They, however, stressed that company margins will get thinner if
they absorb the tax, while adding that this will lead to lower
levels of profitability and investments, the report notes.
The two beverage industry executives also warned that the tax could
put compliant businesses at a competitive disadvantage compared to
those not paying it, potentially driving more operators underground
in an effort to remain competitive and viable, the report relays.
About Jamaica
Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea. Jamaica
is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily dependent
on tourism. Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy include
agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining, financial
and insurance services.
On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook. In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2. The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook to
positive.
JAMAICA: BOJ Reports Year-To-Date Losses of $10.7 Billion
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RJR News reports that the Bank of Jamaica (BOJ) is reporting
year-to-date losses of $10.7 billion.
The central bank said total assets have grown by about 8 per cent
to reach $1.3 trillion as at March 11, according to RJR News.
Foreign assets recorded a single increase rising by roughly 21 per
cent to $1.1 trillion, the report notes.
However, local assets edged down slightly, declining by less than 1
per cent over the period, the report relays.
On the liability side, demand liabilities surged about 21 per cent
to $802 billion, while other liabilities increased by approximately
4 per cent, the report notes.
Despite the losses, the bank's capital and reserves rose by around
23 per cent to $59.5 billion, reflecting continued balance sheet
expansion, the report adds.
About Jamaica
Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea.
Jamaica is an upper-middle income country with an economy
heavily dependent on tourism. Other major sectors of the
Jamaican economy include agriculture, mining, manufacturing,
petroleum refining, financial and insurance services.
On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook. In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2. The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook to
positive.
JAMAICA: Byles Says Traditional Economic Indicators Insufficient
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RJR News reports that Bank of Jamaica Governor Richard Byles has
asserted that traditional indicators such as GDP growth, asset
expansion, profit growth and market share are no longer sufficient
to measure economic success in today's environment.
Byles, speaking at the Caribbean CFO Summit under the theme
"Redefining Economic Leadership: Rebuilding Resilient Financial
Ecosystems in Emerging Markets," said economic leadership must also
be assessed by a country's resilience -- its ability to withstand
shocks, adapt to rapid and disruptive change, and support
sustainable development, according to RJR News.
He argued that this requires the strengthening of macro-economic
buffers, including maintaining strong foreign reserves,
implementing flexible and responsive monetary policy, and adhering
to prudent fiscal rules, the report notes.
About Jamaica
Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea. Jamaica
is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily dependent
on tourism. Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy include
agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining, financial
and insurance services.
On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook. In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2. The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook to
positive.
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M E X I C O
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COEUR MINING: S&P Ups Issuer Rating to 'BB' on New Gold Acquisition
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S&P Global Ratings raised its rating on Chicago-based Coeur Mining
Inc. to 'BB' from 'B+' and removed it from CreditWatch, where S&P
placed it with positive implications on Nov. 4, 2025.
S&P said, "At the same time, we assigned our 'BBB-' issue-level
rating and '1' recovery rating to the newly upsized $1 billion
revolving credit facility. We also raised our issue-level rating on
the existing senior unsecured debt to 'BB' from 'BB-' and revised
the recovery rating to '3' from '2'. Concurrently, we assigned our
'BB' issue-level rating and '3' recovery rating to the proposed
senior unsecured debt involved in the obligor exchange."
The positive outlook reflects the potential for a higher rating as
Coeur establishes a track record of low leverage and stable
production while integrating the new assets.
Coeur Mining Inc. has acquired all issued and outstanding shares of
Toronto-based New Gold Inc. in an all-equity transaction valued at
approximately $7 billion.
The acquisition strengthened Coeur's competitive position through
increased scale and operating breadth, almost doubling its
production volume from seven mines in total, concentrated in less
risky jurisdictions.
S&P expects leverage below 1x based on our estimates of stronger
earnings and cash flow, its favorable outlook for gold, silver, and
copper prices, and the company's stated conservative financial
policy.
The addition of the New Afton and Rainy River mines strengthens
Coeur's competitive profile. The acquisition increases the
company's scale by almost doubling its production to about 1.25
million gold equivalent ounces. Its operating breadth also
increases with seven operating mines in less risky jurisdictions of
Canada, Mexico and U.S.
However, Coeur will derive about half of its annual revenues from
Canadian assets, which represents some concentration risk, partly
mitigated by the stability of the country. The two additional mines
add new operating jurisdictions and mines with good cost
characteristics, which will improve product diversity and
operational efficiency.
The addition of meaningful copper by-product volumes from the New
Afton mine improves mineral diversity and lowers the cost profile
of the mine and that of the combined entity. However, most of the
company's operating assets are still located within the third and
fourth quartile of the global industry cost curve. Additionally, 4
out of the seven mines have 9 years or fewer of mine life,
including the two newly added assets.
On the other hand, Coeur has been successful in replacing depleted
resources at some of its mines, thereby maintaining production and
life-of-mine over the past 10 to 15 years. For example, Wharf's
mine life was five years when the company acquired it in 2015. By
Dec. 31, 2025, Coeur successfully increased the life of mine to 12
years through years of investment in exploration.
Overall, S&P does not expect significant operational synergies,
which is typical of mergers in the mining industry. Mining assets
are often isolated, which can preclude the asset-level cost savings
that often characterize takeovers in other sectors. Mergers in
mining improve portfolio breadth and corporate sustainability by
adding reserves and resources.
Favorable precious metals prices and various growth projects have
enhanced Coeur's earnings profile. Coeur could generate S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion-$3.0 billion and free
operating cash flows of $1.3 billion-$1.8 billion in fiscal 2026,
after accounting for capital expenditure (capex) of $400
million-$460 million. It will use more than half of the proposed
capex for various growth projects which could maintain or further
enhance the earnings profile.
S&P expects gold and silver prices to moderate over the next 12-24
months from recent highs but remain solidly above historic prices
of less than $2,000/ounce. Coeur recently completed a period of
heavy capex on the Rochester mine expansion in 2024, which
increased throughput and production volumes at the mine beginning
that same year. This also coincided with the start of the rapid
rise in gold and silver prices. At the same time, Coeur
aggressively expanded over the last 12 months, completing the
acquisition of SilverCrest in February 2025 and now New Gold Inc.
The combination of these acquisitions, expansion projects and
favorable price outlook for gold and silver have increased Coeur's
earnings and cash flow profile
S&P said, "We expect leverage well below 1x supported by
conservative financial policies. Upon close of the New Gold
acquisition, Coeur announced an enhanced shareholder distribution
policy which includes a $750 million authorized share repurchase
program and fixed semi-annual dividends of 2 cents per share. We
expect these distributions will be financed with free operating
cash flows based on our forecast for robust earnings and cash flow
generation over the next 12 – 24 months. The company has
publicly stated it would maintain a net cash position at all times,
with a minimum cash balance equal to its gross debt. As a result,
we expect Coeur to maintain leverage well below 1x, with a
significant cushion to absorb earnings volatility."
Coeur's rolling-12-month leverage as of Sept. 30, 2025, was below
1x, driven by higher earnings and repayment of debt levels. Over
the past 36 months, Coeur reduced its S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
debt through debt-for-equity exchanges and recently utilized free
cash flows to pay down all drawings under its revolving credit
facility, creating a permanent cushion in its credit metrics even
before the combination.
Coeur financed its recent acquisitions with equity issuance,
preserving balance sheet flexibility and strength. S&P expects the
combined entity to have low S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt of
about $1.3 billion comprising about $700 million of unsecured notes
and $600 million of debt-like obligations such as asset retirement
obligations, pension liabilities, and stream obligations.
S&P said, "We believe the company's continuation of its
conservative financial policy and maintaining stable operations
following the aggressive growth will be key determinants for a
higher rating because it currently lacks a track record of
operating with such low debt leverage. Therefore, we account for
this lack of operating history by applying a negative one-notch
comparable rating analysis adjustment.
"The positive outlook reflects our expectation for record EBITDA
and free cash flows over the next 12 months, supported by the
company's enhanced earnings profile from recent acquisitions and a
favorable outlook for gold, silver, and copper prices. We expect
Coeur will generate robust cash flows to finance high capex
associated with various projects that will either maintain or
enhance its production profile.
"We could revise our outlook on Coeur to stable over the next 12
months if it runs into challenges with operations at any of assets
or prolonged operational disruptions at any of its mines lead to
lower-than-expected volumes. We could also lower our ratings if the
company undertakes debt-financed shareholder distributions or
acquisitions that may harm its credit profile. In such scenarios,
we would expect leverage to rise above 1.5x.
"We could raise our rating on Coeur within the next 12 months if it
establishes a track record of operating with leverage below 1.5x,
supported by our commodity price assumptions and a stable
production profile. We would also expect further clarity on its
financial policy and commitment to maintaining conservative
financial policies that support low leverage."
===============
P A R A G U A Y
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FRIGORIFICO CONCEPCION: Moody's Cuts CFR, Sec. Notes Rating to Caa1
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Moody's Ratings has downgraded to Caa1 from B2 Frigorifico
Concepcion S.A.'s (FriCon) corporate family rating and backed
senior secured notes' rating. The outlook for the ratings was
changed to negative from stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade to Caa1 reflects heightened liquidity and refinancing
risk, driven by FriCon's continued negative cash flow generation
(Moody's adjusted), limited access to long-term financing, which
has prevented the company from extending its debt maturity profile,
as previously expected. These factors have constrained the
company's financial flexibility and increased execution risk around
future liability management.
The negative outlook reflects Moody's expectations that refinancing
risk will remain elevated over the next 12–18 months, given
FriCon's limited access to long-term financing and ongoing
inability to generate positive free cash flow. Although FriCon's
senior secured notes are not due until July 2028, the company's
weak liquidity profile and limited market access increase execution
risk well ahead of maturity.
Despite relatively stable operating margins, FriCon has been unable
to reverse cash outflows, primarily because of structurally high
working capital requirements associated with its growing
export-oriented business model. As a result, free cash flow has
remained negative, increasing reliance on short-term debt and
exacerbating refinancing risk.
Liquidity risk is further exacerbated by a more restrictive global
financing environment, particularly for lower rated issuers.
Elevated interest rates and tighter global credit conditions,
partly influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle
East, will further constrain access to cross border capital
markets. In addition, disruptions related to the conflict will
require FriCon to reroute part of its exports to alternative
markets, increasing working capital needs and overall costs. In the
nine months ending September 2025, roughly one-third of sales went
to Asia, 3% to the Middle East, and most of the rest to Latin
America.
As of September 2025, the company held approximately $60 million in
cash against around $263 million of short-term debt, while
generating approximately $158 million of Moody's adjusted negative
free cash flow over the preceding twelve months. Negative cash flow
was driven primarily by working capital absorption, particularly
inventory and receivables linked to the company's export-oriented
business model. While most of FriCon's debt is denominated in US
dollars, the company does not employ financial hedging instruments.
Export revenues provide a partial natural hedge, however.
Management has initiated asset divestment processes in Paraguay,
including the sale of El Nido pig farm, the Inka pork plant, and
All Par Casings S.A., with expected proceeds to be used for debt
reduction. While these measures could partially alleviate liquidity
pressure, execution risk remains, and Moody's do not view asset
sales alone as sufficient to restore a sustainable liquidity
profile.
Governance considerations remain a credit weakness and constrain
the rating. FriCon has highly concentrated ownership, with
approximately 95% held by a single individual, and limited board
independence. The company's historical debt-funded growth strategy
has contributed to elevated leverage and balance-sheet risk. While
management has stated its intention to improve leverage and
liquidity, tangible improvements in financial policy and cash flow
discipline have yet to be demonstrated.
FriCon's ratings continue to be supported by its leading position
in beef and pork processing in Paraguay, Bolivia, and Brazil, and
its geographically diversified export base, which provides some
resilience against localized market disruptions. FriCon's ratings
are primarily constrained by its smaller scale compared with Latin
American peers with global operations. This risk is partially
mitigated by the diversification provided by the company's export
revenue. Additional constraints include exposure to the cyclical
nature of the protein industry and overall volatility in protein
prices, especially given the concentration in beef, the main
revenue driver. A sudden rise in cattle costs could significantly
affect EBITDA and working capital requirements.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Downward pressure could result from a further deterioration in
liquidity, failure to execute asset sales or apply proceeds to debt
reduction.
Upward pressure could develop if the company demonstrates sustained
improvement in liquidity, successfully extends debt maturities and
adopts a more conservative and consistent financial policy.
COMPANY PROFILE
Founded in 1997 and headquartered in Asuncion, Paraguay, FriCon has
a leading position in the production and sale of fresh beef and
pork in Paraguay, Bolivia and Brazil, with a diversified portfolio
of global clients. Since 2017, FriCon has also incorporated
industrialized product lines such as burgers, premium burgers,
meatballs and sausages. As of September 2025, around 48% of revenue
came from exports to 37 countries, with the remainder from local
market sales.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Protein and
Agriculture published in October 2025.
FriCon's Caa1 rating is two notches below the B2 indicated by
Moody's Protein and Agriculture rating methodology scorecard as of
September 2025, due to refinancing risk affecting short-term
liquidity.
=======
P E R U
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TERMINALES PORTUARIOS: S&P Withdraws 'BB+' Rating on Sr. Sec. Debt
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings withdrew its 'BB+' issue rating on Terminales
Portuarios Euroandinos Paita S.A.'s senior secured debt at the
issuer's request. The outlook was stable at the time of the
withdrawal.
*********
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