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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
L A T I N A M E R I C A
Thursday, July 31, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 152
Headlines
A R G E N T I N A
ARGENTINA: IMF to Discuss Amid US$20BB Program's First Review
COMPANIA LATINOAMERICANA: Fitch Affirms 'CCC' Long-Term IDR
B A H A M A S
FTX GROUP: Judge to Weigh if Prosecutors Broke Plea Promise
B R A Z I L
PRUMO PARTICIPACOES: Fitch Affirms BB+ Rating on USD350MM Sr. Notes
C A Y M A N I S L A N D S
ARADA SUKUK 2: Fitch Rates Trust Cert. Prog. Issuance 'BB-(EXP)'
MONTEGO BAY AIRPORT: S&P Rates $400MM Senior Secured Notes 'BB'
E C U A D O R
ECUADOR SOCIAL: Fitch Affirms 'CCC+sf' Rating on Class B Notes
J A M A I C A
NCB FINANCIAL: Fitch Puts B+ Final Rating to USD255M Sr. Sec. Notes
P U E R T O R I C O
NEW FORTRESS: Creditors Hire Evercore for Debt Advice
T R I N I D A D A N D T O B A G O
PETROTRIN: No Refinery Talks Before Sept Election, Guyana Says
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A R G E N T I N A
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ARGENTINA: IMF to Discuss Amid US$20BB Program's First Review
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Jorgelina do Rosario at Bloomberg News reports that the
International Monetary Fund intends to discuss the first review of
Argentina's US$20-billion program during an informal meeting
between its staff and executive board, according to a person
familiar with the matter.
The meeting is expected to take place in Washington, the person
said, asking not to be named discussing private information,
according to Bloomberg News. It's a key step toward a staff-level
agreement for the first review of the country's current program,
Argentina's third since 2018, Bloomberg News recalls.
Pending staff agreement and board approval, Argentina would receive
a US$2-billion disbursement from the IMF after the first review,
Bloomberg News notes. The country received an immediate
disbursement of US$12 billion in April, when the 48-month loan was
approved, Bloomberg News relays.
The IMF's press office declined to comment and Argentina's Economy
Ministry didn't immediately respond to a request for comment.
Argentine officials were in Washington in early July for technical
talks over the first review of the program. Before, a staff mission
from the Fund visited Buenos Aires last month, recalls Bloomberg
News.
During an informal meeting, IMF staff working on a country's
programme usually brief the lender's board of directors on the
state of negotiations with government officials on a new programme
or a review of an ongoing loan. Normally, the following step is to
announce that IMF staff and the country reached an agreement, that
then will be formally submitted to its board for approval, relates
the report.
Analysts in Buenos Aires have estimated that Argentina didn't meet
the June target in the Fund's programme regarding accumulation of
net reserves. Economy Minister Luis Caputo committed to getting the
Central Bank's stockpile above the target by the end of July as the
Treasury buys dollars to the local market to be used as reserves,
the report adds.
About Argentina
Argentina is a country located mostly in the southern half of South
America. Its capital is Buenos Aires. Javier Milei is the current
president of Argentina after winning the November 19, 2023 general
election. He succeeded Alberto Angel Fernandez in the position.
Argentina has the third largest economy in Latin America. The
country's economy is an upper middle-income economy for fiscal year
2019, according to the World Bank. Historically, however, its
economic performance has been very uneven, with high economic
growth alternating with severe recessions, income maldistribution
and in the recent decades, increasing poverty.
In March 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a
30-month arrangement under an Extended Fund Facility for Argentina
in the amount of SDR 31.914 billion (equivalent to US$44 billion,
or 1000 percent of quota) -- with an approved immediate
disbursement of an equivalent of US$9.65 billion. Argentina's
IMF-supported program sought to improve public finances and start
to reduce persistent high inflation through a multi-pronged
strategy.
On April 11, 2025, the IMF further approved a 48-month Extended
Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Argentina totaling US$20
billion (or 479 percent of quota), with an immediate disbursement
of US$12 billion, and a first review planned for June
2025 with an associated disbursement of about US$2 billion. The
program is expected to help catalyze additional official
multilateral and bilateral support, and a timely re-access to
international capital markets.
Moody's Ratings on July 17, 2025, upgraded Argentina's
long-term foreign currency and local currency issuer ratings to
Caa1 from Caa3 and changed the outlook to stable from positive.
The upgrade reflects Moody's views that the extensive
liberalization of exchange and (to a lesser extent) capital
controls, alongside a new International Monetary Fund (IMF)
program, support the availability of hard currency liquidity and
ease pressure on external finances. This reduces the likelihood of
a credit event. In January 2025, Moody's raised Argentina's local
currency ceiling to B3 from Caa1 and the foreign currency ceiling
to Caa1 from Caa3.
Fitch Ratings, on May 12, 2025, upgraded Argentina's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency and Local-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to
'CCC+' from 'CCC'. S&P Global Ratings, in February 2025 lowered
its local currency sovereign credit ratings on Argentina to
'SD/SD' from 'CCC/C' and its national scale rating to 'SD' from
'raB+'. DBRS, Inc. upgraded Argentina's Long-Term Foreign and Local
Currency Issuer Ratings to B (low) from CCC in November 2024.
COMPANIA LATINOAMERICANA: Fitch Affirms 'CCC' Long-Term IDR
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Fitch Ratings has affirmed CLISA - Compania Latinoamericana de
Infraestructura y Servicios' (CLISA) Long-Term Foreign and Local
Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'CCC'. Fitch has also
affirmed CLISA's senior secured rating at 'CCC' with a Recovery
Rating (RR) of 'RR4'.
The ratings reflect CLISA's persistently weak financial flexibility
and vulnerable business profile, which is exposed to Argentina's
(CCC+/Stable) challenging economic environment and is highly
dependent on the public sector. The ratings also reflect CLISA's
strong local market position, stability of its waste management
operations and the diminished backlog of its construction business.
Fitch's Country-Specific Treatment of Recovery Ratings Criteria
caps the RR for corporate issuers in Argentina at 'RR4'.
Key Rating Drivers
Completion of Debt Restructuring: On Dec. 17, 2024, CLISA announced
the successful completion of a consent solicitation to amend the
terms of its USD358 million senior secured bond due 2027. The
company achieved consent from approximately 94% of bondholders. The
agreed upon terms include a reduced principal amount for this bond
of USD270 million, of which USD200 million is due on December 2031
and USD70 million is due December 2034. As per the terms of the
consent solicitation, CLISA had six months to issue this last 70MM
in the form of senior unsecured redeemable notes; this was
completed in May 2025.
The USD200 million secured notes due 2031 include a cash step-up
coupon that starts at 3.5% and reaches 8.5% over the course of four
years. The bond is secured by the shares of certain subsidiaries,
including CLISA's waste management unit, Cliba I.U.S.A. The USD70
million redeemable unsecured notes due 2034 pay a 7%
payment-in-kind (PIK) coupon and follow a redemption schedule,
starting at 32.35% of par for up to 30 months, with gradual
increases thereafter.
Improved Leverage but Limited Liquidity: Post-restructuring, Fitch
projects EBITDA to be at least USD100 million and net EBITDA
leverage to decrease towards 3.5x over the ratings horizon. CLISA
is projected to maintain an EBITDA coverage ratio above 2x,
contingent on improved Argentinean macroeconomic conditions.
Nevertheless, the cash to short-term debt ratio is expected to
remain significantly below 1x for the foreseeable future and the
company needs continued access to factoring and bank financing.
Construction Business Deterioration: The austerity measures adopted
by the Argentine government have resulted in a drastic reduction of
public contracting for infrastructure projects. This continues to
affect CLISAs construction business and is a significant limitation
to CLISAs business and financial profiles. As of 1Q25, CLISAs
construction business represented less than 10% of LTM EBITDA which
is well below the 30% range from previous years.
Elevated Counterparty Risk: CLISA faces high counterparty risk due
to its strong ties to Argentina's public sector, which generates
between 80% and 90% of its revenue. Regular public service contract
negotiations pose renewal risks, while collection delays from the
public sector impact revenue and profitability. The construction
business heavily depends on government projects at federal,
provincial and municipal levels.
Market Position and Diversification: CLISA has a strong market
position and is one of Argentina's largest privately-owned
conglomerates with businesses in various public infrastructure
sectors. CLISAs business profile benefits from its long-term
concessions for the delivery of key public services in Argentina.
These include the management of the city of Buenos Aires landfill
and subway system, as well as the water utility of the city of
Cordoba. The company generates ~75% of its revenues from these
concessions.
Peer Analysis
CLISA's profitability is lower than that of Companhia de Saneamento
Basico do Estado de Sao Paulo (SABESP; BB+/Stable). CLISA's overall
EBITDA margin was 6.6% at year-end (YE) 2024 and increased above 7%
as of 1Q25. Its Waste Management division margins are expected to
be under 20% in 2025. SABESP's EBITDA margin was around 52.3% in
the same period. However, CLISA compares much more favorably
against Aguas y Saneamientos Argentinos S.A. (AySA; CCC+), which
has a loss-making operation.
CLISA underperforms SABESP but outperforms AySA in credit metrics.
Fitch projects CLISA's gross EBITDA leverage post-restructuring to
be under 4x, compared to SABESP's that is below 3x. CLISA's
operating profile is weaker than SABESP's, consistently showing
lower liquidity metrics. However, AySA is weaker, with
loss-generating operation needing shareholder capital injections
and facing greater refinancing risks.
Fitch views CLISA's credit profile as weaker than its Latin
American peers in the construction, water utility and
transportation sectors, such as Aenza S.A.A. (Aenza; BB-/Negative).
Both companies have medium-sized diversified business profiles, but
Aenza benefits from a stronger financial structure, flexibility,
profitability, and operating environments. Additionally, CLISA's
credit profile is significantly weaker than its U.S. peers in the
waste management sector, such as Waste Management, Inc. (A-/Stable)
and Waste Connections, Inc. (A-/Stable). These companies have
superior scale, margins, FCF generation, leverage and operating
environments.
Key Assumptions
- EBITDA margin of at least 7.5% in 2025, then improving to over 8%
after 2026;
- Revenues weaker in 2025;
- Includes adjustments to secured notes and redeemable notes to
account for restructuring terms;
- Foreign exchange remains under ARS1,350 per USD in 2025.
Recovery Analysis
CLISA's bonds have a RR of 'RR4'. The recovery analysis assumes
that CLISA would be a going concern (GC) in bankruptcy and that it
would be reorganized rather than liquidated.
GC Assumptions
- A 10% administrative claim;
- The GC EBITDA is estimated at USD75 million and assumes a
discounted scenario where CLISA's waste management business
represents the vast majority of the company's EBITDA with little to
no contribution from its other businesses;
- Enterprise value multiple of 5x.
With these assumptions, Fitch's waterfall generated recovery
computation (WGRC) for the senior secured notes is in the 'RR1'
band. However, according to Fitch's Country-Specific Treatment of
Recovery Ratings Criteria, the RR for corporate issuers in
Argentina is capped at 'RR4'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A material weakening in liquidity;
- A deterioration of the operating environment in Argentina;
- Failure to adhere to the terms and conditions of the December
2024 consent agreement.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- An upgrade is unlikely currently. However, Fitch may reassess the
rating upon an upgrade of the Argentine sovereign.
- Maintain net EBITDA leverage below 3x and EBITDA fixed coverage
above 2.5x on a sustained basis.
Liquidity and Debt Structure CLISA held approximately ARS52 billion
in cash and cash equivalents as of 1Q25. The company had ARS189
billion in short-term debt as of the same period. Although CLISA
liquidity improved post-restructuring, the company's overall
liquidity position remains weak.
Fitch estimates Clisa's total debt to be around USD420 million,
including the full principal amount of its secured notes and the
redemption value of its redeemable bonds. The company has USD200
million secured bond due in 2031 with step-up coupons. The company
also has USD70 million note due in 2034 with a 7% PIK coupon. This
note is redeemable at 32.4% of face value through June 2027. The
company also has a ~USD7 million secured bond issued by its Benito
Roggio Construcciones y Concesiones S.A.C subsidiary in Peru. The
remainder of the debt is primarily in ARS.
Issuer Profile
CLISA is a leading Argentine infrastructure company in business for
over 115 years. The company is organized into four main business
segments: Construction, Waste Management, Transportation and Water
Services. The company is mostly focused on public infrastructure.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
CLISA-Compania Latinoamericana de Infraestructura y Servicios has
an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure due to
concentration of ownership, which has a negative impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
CLISA-Compania
Latinoamericana de
Infraestructura y
Servicios LT IDR CCC Affirmed CCC
LC LT IDR CCC Affirmed CCC
senior secured LT CCC Affirmed RR4 CCC
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B A H A M A S
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FTX GROUP: Judge to Weigh if Prosecutors Broke Plea Promise
-----------------------------------------------------------
Pete Brush at law360.com reports that a Manhattan federal judge
said he will investigate an allegation by crypto lobbyist Michelle
Bond that she was charged with campaign finance crimes despite a
promise that a guilty plea by her husband, former FTX executive
Ryan Salame, would leave her in the clear.
About FTX Group
FTX is the world's second-largest cryptocurrency firm. FTX is a
cryptocurrency exchange built by traders, for traders. FTX offers
innovative products including industry-first derivatives, options,
volatility products and leveraged tokens.
Then CEO and co-founder Sam Bankman-Fried said Nov. 10, 2022, that
FTX paused customer withdrawals after it was hit with roughly $5
billion worth of withdrawal requests.
Faced with liquidity issues, FTX on Nov. 9, 2022, struck a deal to
sell itself to its giant rival Binance, but Binance walked away
from the deal amid reports on FTX regarding mishandled customer
funds and alleged US agency investigations. SBF agreed to step
aside, and restructuring vet John J. Ray III was quickly named new
CEO.
FTX Trading Ltd (d/b/a FTX.com), West Realm Shires Services Inc.
(d/b/a FTX US), Alameda Research Ltd. and certain affiliated
companies then commenced Chapter 11 proceedings (Bankr. D. Del.
Lead Case No. 22-11068) on an emergency basis on Nov. 11, 2022.
Additional entities sought Chapter 11 protection on Nov. 14, 2022.
FTX Trading and its affiliates each listed $10 billion to $50
billion in assets and liabilities, making FTX the biggest
bankruptcy filer in the US this year.
According to Reuters, SBF shared a document with investors on Nov.
10, 2022, showing FTX had $13.86 billion in liabilities and $14.6
billion in assets. However, only $900 million of those assets were
liquid, leading to the cash crunch that ended with the company
filing for bankruptcy.
The Hon. John T. Dorsey is the case judge.
The Debtors tapped Sullivan & Cromwell, LLP as bankruptcy counsel;
Landis Rath & Cobb, LLP as local counsel; and Alvarez & Marsal
North America, LLC as financial advisor. Kroll is the claims
agent, maintaining the page
https://cases.ra.kroll.com/FTX/Home-Index
The Official Committee of Unsecured Creditors tapped Paul Hastings
as counsel, FTI Consulting, Inc., as financial advisor, and
Jefferies LLC as the investment banker. Young Conaway Stargatt &
Taylor LLP is the Committee's Delaware and conflicts counsel.
Montgomery McCracken Walker & Rhoads LLP, led by partners Gregory
T. Donilon, Edward L. Schnitzer, and David M. Banker, is
representing Sam Bankman-Fried in the Chapter 11 cases.
White-collar crime specialist Mark S. Cohen has reportedly been
hired to represent SBF in litigation. Lawyers at Paul Weiss
previously represented SBF but later renounced representing the
entrepreneur due to a conflict of interest.
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B R A Z I L
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PRUMO PARTICIPACOES: Fitch Affirms BB+ Rating on USD350MM Sr. Notes
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Fitch Ratings has affirmed the rating of the fixed-rate USD350
million senior secured notes issued by Prumo Participacoes e
Investimentos S.A. (PrumoPar) at 'BB+'. The Rating Outlook is
Stable.
RATING RATIONALE
The rating reflects PrumoPar's strong cash flow stability,
supported by dividend distributions from Ferroport Logística
Comercial Exportadora S.A. (Ferroport). Ferroport's revenue base
benefits from a long-term take-or-pay (ToP) contract with Anglo
American Minerio de Ferro Brasil S.A. (AAMFB), a subsidiary of
Anglo American plc (BBB+/Stable), underlining counterparty strength
and the strategic importance of the terminal as Anglo American's
sole export outlet for iron ore from Minas Gerais. The asset's
critical function and established operating track record underpin
its essentiality.
Despite revenues and debt service being denominated in U.S. dollars
(USD), revenues are collected in Brazilian reais (BRL). Operational
expenses are also paid in BRL, exposing the transaction to the risk
of transfer and convertibility. Furthermore, while the ToP
agreement is robust, BRL-denominated operational expenses can
pressure EBITDA margins in the event of BRL appreciation.
The notes carry a fixed rate and feature a balloon payment at
maturity in 2031. In Fitch's scenarios, the refinancing risk is
mitigated by a cash sweep mechanism that fully amortizes the debt,
as well as an eight-year ToP tail. Under the rating case, the
minimum Project Life Coverage Ratio (PLCR) is projected to be 1.8x
in 2025. Although the metrics are consistent with a higher rating,
the rating is constrained by Brazil's Country Ceiling due to
exposure to transfer and convertibility risk.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Revenue Risk - Volume - High Midrange
Strategic, Single-User Asset with Demand Certainty but Limited
Diversification
Ferroport is a dedicated export terminal, purpose-built to serve
Anglo American's Minas-Rio mine via a proprietary slurry pipeline.
Throughput volume is contractually secured under a long-term ToP
arrangement through 2039, significantly reducing demand and volume
volatility. In addition, Brazil's strengthened position as a
leading supplier, along with the Minas-Rio mine's high-grade ore, a
reserve base supporting production above the ToP annual volumes at
least until 2068, and the potential for further expansion following
the recent incorporation of Serpentina, all support long-term
demand certainty.
However, the single-user nature and reliance on a single upstream
mine and transportation route limit demand diversification and
introduce potential concentration risks if Anglo American's
operations are disrupted. Historical performance since 2014
demonstrates operational reliability over the course of an economic
cycle, and the ToP mechanism insulates the project from volume
fluctuations, while the oil segment remains more exposed to this
risk.
Fitch has revised its assessment of this factor to 'High-Midrange'
from 'Midrange' since the prior review. The change reflects the
asset's demonstrated track record of uninterrupted performance
across an economic cycle, as well as a positive demand outlook in
its reference market, underpinned by the asset's strategic role
within the global iron ore supply chain.
Revenue Risk - Price - Stronger
Predictable and Indexed Revenue Stream
Ferroport's primary revenue stream is a 25-year, USD-denominated
ToP contract with AAMFB, guaranteeing export volumes of 26.6
million wet metric tons per year through June 2039. For volumes
above the ToP commitment, Ferroport receives additional revenue
based on a reduced tariff. Upon expiration, the contract
automatically renews for an additional 35 years, with tariffs set
at 115% of total costs, including operating costs, capex, and
SG&A.
The ToP agreement incorporates annual tariff adjustments indexed to
two-thirds of the U.S. Producer Price Index for Industrial
Commodities, providing a high degree of revenue predictability and
inflation protection. The consistent implementation of these
adjustments demonstrates contractual enforceability and reduces
exposure to cost inflation. While revenue and debt are denominated
in USD, operational costs and expenses are denominated in BRL,
exposing the transaction to the risk of BRL appreciation.
Additionally, Ferroport benefits from a port access agreement with
Vast Infraestrutura S.A. (Açu Petroleo Luxembourg S.A.R.L.;
BB+/Stable), allowing the terminal to handle crude oil, providing
an additional revenue stream, which represents approximately
10%-15% of Ferroport's total revenue over time.
Infrastructure Dev. & Renewal - Midrange
Modern Asset with Predictable Maintenance Needs
Ferroport's facilities are modern and well maintained, with no
major renewal capex anticipated during the debt tenor. Maintenance
planning is comprehensive and adequately budgeted, with planned
investments primarily focused on channel dredging and incremental
efficiency upgrades. The project benefits from robust asset
management practices, supported by the long useful life of key
equipment and ongoing technical assessments.
While expansion capex is contractually permitted, it is subject to
additional tariffing or bondholder approval, which helps limit
unexpected financial burdens. The main equipment at the Ferroport
terminal is expected to have a useful life of approximately 25
years or more — extending to around 2050 — provided current
maintenance strategies and procedures are consistently followed.
After this period, significant investments may be required to
modernize and upgrade the terminal's infrastructure.
Debt Structure - 1 - Midrange
Refinance Risk Mitigated by Cash Sweep:
The debt carries a fixed interest rate and includes a balloon
payment of up to 55.1% (USD177 million) due in 2031. The debt
structure also features a target amortization schedule designed to
fully amortize the debt within 12 years through a cash sweep
mechanism. The evaluated debt is the only obligation to be serviced
exclusively with dividend flows received by PrumoPar. Ferroport
dividends are upstreamed to the issuer every three months, and as
Ferroport cash balances are held in BRL, this may result in foreign
exchange volatility.
However, the issuer has historically managed a monthly hedge
program, which helps to reduce short-term dividend volatility.
Additionally, the debt structure includes a six-month offshore debt
service reserve account (DSRA) and lock-up provisions. These
provisions require compliance with the target debt balance, among
other conditions, for PrumoPar to be permitted to distribute
dividends.
Financial Profile
In Fitch's rating case, PrumoPar is projected to fully repay the
debt at maturity. Refinancing risk is further mitigated by the
PLCR, which is calculated based solely on the ToP period — a
conservative approach, as Fitch considers it highly likely that
AAMFB will extend the commercial use of the port, due to the
remaining useful life of the iron ore mine, the existing
infrastructure and the longevity of the equipment. Under the rating
case, the minimum PLCR is projected to be 1.8x in 2025, and the net
debt-to-cash flow available for debt service (CFADS) peak is
expected to be 5.6x in 2026. Fitch considers both ratios
comfortable due to the eight-year ToP tail.
PrumoPar's metrics align with higher ratings according to Fitch's
Transportation Rating Criteria; however, its rating is constrained
by Brazil's Country Ceiling, as the notes are denominated in USD
while revenue is collected in local currency, making them subject
to transfer and convertibility risk.
PEER GROUP
PrumoPar's closest peers are Dalrymple Bay Finance Pty Ltd (DBT;
BBB-/Stable) and Mersin Uluslararası Liman İşletmeciliği A.Ş.
(Mersin; senior unsecured debt BB-/Stable).
DBT is highly concentrated in coal exports and serves a relatively
small number of users. However, DBT benefits from a robust cash
flow profile, underpinned by long-term ToP contracts with
creditworthy miners. These contracts provide cash flow stability
and substantially reduce volume risk. DBT's net debt to EBITDA
ratio stands at 6.4x. The terminal also benefits from a strong
asset base and limited competition. Although the Australian legal
and regulatory framework is robust, refinancing risk is heightened
for coal-concentrated terminals, compounding the potential effect
of energy transition risks. Nonetheless, DBT maintains an overall
risk profile that supports an investment grade rating.
Mersin is Turkiye's largest export-import port and handles the
highest volume of containerized throughput in the country. Unlike
PrumoPar, Mersin's volume mix is more diversified but also more
volatile. Mersin has a single bullet debt structure, but its
refinancing risk is largely mitigated by a moderate leverage ratio
of 1.6x between 2024 and 2028, measured by net debt to EBITDA.
Mersin's rating is also capped by Turkiye's Country Ceiling of
'BB-' and is aligned with the sovereign rating due to the port's
linkages to the country's economic and regulatory environment.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A significant and sustained increase in costs that negatively
affects cash flows and raises refinancing risk, resulting in the
minimum PLCR falling close to 1.1x in Fitch's rating case
scenario;
- A negative rating action on Brazil's sovereign rating that leads
to a deterioration on the Country Ceiling;
- Operational disruption that significantly affects ToP revenue
collections.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- A strengthening of Brazil's sovereign credit profile,
particularly the risk of imposing controls on the transfer of
foreign currency, as long as PrumoPar presents metrics commensurate
with a higher rating.
SECURITY
PrumoPar is a special purpose vehicle that holds a 50% share of
Ferroport, a joint venture between PrumoPar and Anglo American plc.
Ferroport serves as the exclusive export terminal for iron ore
produced by Anglo American's Minas-Rio project, located in Minas
Gerais. The terminal is connected to the mine by a slurry
pipeline.
The debt issued by PrumoPar is the only obligation to be serviced
exclusively with dividend flows received from Ferroport. The notes
are USD-denominated, bear a fixed interest rate of 7.5% per year,
are issued under Rule 144A/Reg S, and are senior secured. The
security package includes: Ferroport shares held by PrumoPar; 100%
of the shares of PrumoPar; and The issuer's credit rights under its
accounts.
The notes feature both legal and target amortization curves. The
legal curve has a final maturity in 2031 with a 55.1% balloon
payment at maturity, while the target curve, through a cash sweep
mechanism, is intended to fully amortize the debt at maturity,
providing an eight-year tail prior to the end of the ToP contract.
The notes also include a six-month offshore DSRA and lock-up
provisions.
Ferroport does not hold financial debt, and additional indebtedness
is limited to USD50 million, according to Ferroport's shareholders'
agreement, which also requires that interim dividends of all cash
flow available for distribution be paid within 30 business days
after the end of each financial quarter.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Prumo Participacoes e
Investimentos S/A
Prumo Participacoes
e Investimentos S/A/
Dividends & Intercompany
Loan - Fist Lien/1 LT LT BB+ Affirmed BB+
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C A Y M A N I S L A N D S
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ARADA SUKUK 2: Fitch Rates Trust Cert. Prog. Issuance 'BB-(EXP)'
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Arada Developments LLC's (B+/Stable)
issuance under the trust certificate programme an expected rating
of 'BB-(EXP)', based on the new programme update. The programme is
issued through the trustee, Arada Sukuk 2 Limited (ASL2). The
rating is in line with Arada's senior unsecured rating of 'BB-'.
The Recovery Rating is 'RR3'.
In its capacity as trustee, ASL2 is incorporated in the Cayman
Islands as a limited liability company for the sole purpose of
issuing the sukuk notes. The Law Debenture Trust Corporation p.l.c.
is acting as the delegate of the trustee, while Arada (or any its
subsidiaries) is the seller. Arada is also the obligor, lessee, and
servicing agent.
According to the programme documentation, proceeds will be used for
general corporate purposes and partial repayment of Arada's
shari'a-compliant financings and for its general corporate
purposes. The assignment of a final rating is contingent on the
receipt of final programme documents materially conforming to
information already reviewed. If these conditions are not met, or
if the programme is not put into place, Fitch will review the
rating.
Key Rating Drivers
The sukuk's programme's rating is derived from Arada's Long-Term
IDR. This reflects Fitch's view that a default of the senior
unsecured obligations would reflect a default of Arada, in
accordance with Fitch's rating definitions. Fitch has given no
consideration to any underlying assets or collateral provided, as
the agency believes the trustee's ability to satisfy payments due
on the trust certificates will ultimately depend on Arada
satisfying its unsecured payment obligations to the trustee under
the transaction documents.
The company would be required to ensure full and timely repayment
of ASL2's obligations, encompassing Arada's various roles and
obligations especially, but not limited to, the below features:
- Arada shall pay rentals and the wakala portfolio revenues. Such
amounts are intended to be sufficient to fund the periodic
distribution amount payable by the trustee under the trust
certificates.
- On any dissolution or Arada event (which includes a default on
obligations), the aggregate amounts of deferred sale price then
outstanding will become immediately due and payable; and the
trustee will have the right under the purchase undertaking to
require Arada, as the obligor, to purchase all of its rights,
title, interests, benefits and entitlements, present and future,
in, to and under the relevant wakala assets as payment of its
relevant exercise price.
- Both the exercise price payable by Arada under the purchase
undertaking and its outstanding deferred sale price payable under
the murabaha agreement are intended to fund the dissolution amount
payable by the trustee under the relevant trust certificates. This
amount should equal the outstanding face amount of the trust
certificates and unpaid periodic distributions amounts or a
redemption amount as specified in, or determined by the applicable
pricing supplement.
- In circumstances where a periodic distribution date falls on a
day after the occurrence of a total loss event but before the date
on which the replacement wakala assets are acquired by the trustee,
certificate holders will receive only part of the periodic
distribution amounts that would have otherwise been due to them for
a maximum of 60 days. However, this amount of profit that would
have accrued will be paid in the next periodical distribution
date.
- The lessee covenants and undertakes that it shall use the lease
assets for solely sharia compliant activities. If the lessee fails
to comply, it would constitute a dissolution event.
For the upcoming issuance, the programme has been amended so that
if Arada fails to purchase the wakala assets of the relevant series
and as a result does not pay the exercise price, and the trustee is
unable to make a claim under the indemnity because Arada is not in
actual or constructive possession, custody or control of all of the
wakala assets of the relevant series (or claims it is not), then
Arada will irrevocably and unconditionally authorises the trustee
or its nominee, agent, delegate or assignee to register the title
to the wakala assets in the trustee's name at the Sharjah Real
Estate Registration Department, This is provided that at that time
a total loss has not occurred and it is possible to do so under all
applicable laws.
Fitch does not believe this clause is sufficient for it to treat
the debt as secured or higher ranking than existing indebtedness,
due to uncertainties and complexities related to legal framework
and regulations, Arada's willingness and ability to register, and
lack of precedents.
Its assessment of the effect of future asset-registration clauses
will be case by case, and Fitch is monitoring developments in this
evolving area. Fitch could reassess the above assumption in respect
of Arada's ratings and debt ranking, if warranted by developments.
- Arada will pay the total loss or the partial loss shortfall
amount in a total loss event or partial loss event (unless the
relevant wakala assets have been replaced by Arada), or if there is
a shortfall from the insurance proceeds. As the servicing agent,
Arada will irrevocably ensure that the insured amount relating to
each loss event will at all times be at least equal to the full
reinstatement value. If the servicing agent is not in compliance
with the obligation to insure the assets against total and partial
loss event, it will immediately deliver a written notice to the
trustee and the delegate of the non-compliance and this will
constitute a dissolution event.
If a total loss event occurs with respect to the wakala assets,
where the relevant wakala assets are replaced in accordance with
the servicing agency agreement, then the certificate holders could
only receive part of the periodic distribution amount, within a
maximum of 60 days, that will be paid in the next periodical
distribution date.
- The lessee (Arada) will permit the lessor and any person
authorised by the lessor at all reasonable times to inspect and
examine the condition of the lease assets. If the lessee failed to
comply, this would constitute a dissolution event.
- In addition, if the lessee fails to keep and maintain the
security or optimum condition (other than fair wear and tear) of
the lease assets, the lessor will be entitled, but not obliged, to
give 15 business days' notice to possess the lease assets and take
all necessary steps, at the expense of the lessee, to ensure that
the lease assets are in suitable condition for their intended use.
- The lessor agrees that the lessee may sub-let the lease asset to
a third party, provided that: (i) any such sub-let does not in any
way affect, impair or reduce the obligations of the lessee; and
(ii) any use of the lease assets pursuant to any such sub-let does
not and will not contravene the principles of Shari'a. If the
lessee failed to comply, it would constitute a dissolution event.
Arada's payment obligations under the service agency agreement,
purchase undertaking and the murabaha agreement will constitute its
present and future direct, unconditional, unsubordinated and
unsecured obligations and at all times rank at least equally with
its other outstanding present and future unsecured and
unsubordinated obligations.
- The programme documents have a tangible asset ratio (defined as
each series' wakala assets/aggregate value of wakala assets and the
deferred sale price outstanding) of more than 50%. If the ratio
falls to or below 50%, but above 33%, the servicing agent will take
the steps (in consultation with the sharia advisor) required to
restore it to more than 50%. If the ratio falls below 33% (a
tangibility event), the trust certificates will be delisted and
each holder will have the right to require the redemption of all or
any of its trust certificates.
Fitch expects Arada to maintain the tangible asset ratio above 50%
through the life of any trust certificates issued under the
programme. The obligor has a material base of unencumbered tangible
assets, mainly comprising land plots in Sharjah, and leased assets
by Arada that will be initially earmarked for the programme, but
other assets may also be considered eligible later, if necessary.
Arada's asset base is sufficient to support the trust certificate
programme.
The programme documentation includes a negative pledge,
cross-default provisions, indemnity and restrictive covenants,
including debt limitations and interest coverage. Some of the
transaction documents will be governed by English law and others by
the laws of the Emirate of Sharjah and, to the extent applicable in
Sharjah, the federal laws of the UAE.
Fitch does not express an opinion on whether the relevant
transaction documents are enforceable under any applicable law.
However, Fitch's rating on the trust certificates reflects the
agency's belief that Arada would stand behind its obligations.
Fitch does not express an opinion on the trust certificates'
compliance with sharia principles when assigning ratings to the
certificates to be issued.
Fitch applies a one-notch uplift to the senior unsecured rating
compared with the IDR. The recovery estimate uses a liquidation
approach, mainly supported by the attributable value of work in
progress and investment properties, to which Fitch applies a 50%
discount. As Arada's IDR is 'B+', the Recovery Rating is capped at
'RR3', resulting in a senior unsecured rating of 'BB-'.
Peer Analysis
The issue rating is derived from Arada's Long-Term IDR and in line
with its senior unsecured rating.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
ASL2
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- The rating could be downgraded following a similar action on
Arada's Long-Term IDR
- Adverse changes to the roles and obligations of Arada under the
sukuk's structure and documents would be rating negative
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The senior unsecured rating would not be upgraded if Arada's IDR
were upgraded to 'BB-'.
For Arada's rating sensitivities, see rating action commentary
'Fitch Affirms Arada's IDR at 'B+'/Stable; Senior Unsecured Rating
at 'BB-'' published on 24 October 2024.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
In June 2024, Arada established a sukuk programme for up to USD1
billion, from which it drew down USD400 million (AED1.5 billion).
Later in September, the company tapped its sukuk programme and
issued an additional USD150 million (AED550 million). Following
these transactions, its gross debt mainly comprised senior
unsecured sukuk totaling AED3,800 million maturing between 2027 and
2029 and about AED500 million of secured bank facilities.
At end-2024, Arada's liquidity was satisfactory, with AED2.3
billion of unrestricted cash. In 2023, the company completed an
AED1,100 million (USD300 million) share capital increase to support
its projects in the pipeline, which was followed by an additional
capital injection of AED200 million in September 2024.
Issuer Profile
Arada is a master-plan community developer focusing on the Emirate
of Sharjah in the UAE.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
Arada has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure
due to the weak structure of the board of directors compared with
most EMEA peers. The board comprises five members, including the
two shareholders, one independent director and the CEO. The limited
number of independent board members has a negative impact on the
credit profile and is relevant to the rating in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
Arada Sukuk 2 Limited
senior unsecured LT BB-(EXP) Expected Rating RR3
MONTEGO BAY AIRPORT: S&P Rates $400MM Senior Secured Notes 'BB'
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB' rating on Montego Bay Airport
Revenue Finance Ltd.'s (MoAir) issued senior secured notes for $400
million maturing in 2035 with a 6.6% coupon.
The notes are backed by a portion of revenue generated at the
Sangster International Airport that goes to the Airport Authority
of Jamaica, and the proceeds will go toward a one-time payment to
the government of Jamaica.
The stable outlook reflects S&P's expectation of a gradual increase
in passenger volumes, enabling debt service coverage ratios of
approximately 1.8x in the coming 12-24 months.
Montego Bay's Sangster International Airport (SIA) is owned by the
Airport Authority of Jamaica (AAJ). The AAJ operated SIA for
approximately 29 years (previously operated by the government of
Jamaica since 1949), but in 2003, it granted a 30-year concession
to MBJ Airports Ltd. (MBJA). As part of the agreement, MBJA
committed to transfer the concession's revenue share to the AAJ as
a concession fee payment. In 2015, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico
S.A.B de C.V. (GAP), a private airport operator, acquired 75% of
MBJA's stake, becoming the major stakeholder of the operating
vehicle.
As part of the agreement, the concession's revenue share consists
of a base concession fee payment paid monthly, as well as an
additional concession fee and excess benefit payments paid once
every year, if applicable. With the remainder of the revenue, the
operator must cover SIA's operations, maintenance, and capital
expenditure. The concession fee is, therefore, senior to any of the
airport's expenses.
At the direction of the government, the AAJ plans to transfer its
revenue share from the concession to a bankruptcy-remote
nonrecourse special-purpose vehicle established in the Cayman
Islands, Montego Bay Airport Revenue Finance Ltd. (MoAir). MoAir
will raise $385 million in senior secured 144A/Reg S notes. The
noteholders will hold a pledge of the shares of MoAir; the right to
receive its revenue share; and the project's accounts, including an
offshore six-month debt service reserve account (DSRA).
S&P said, "Considering its characteristics, we rate the project
according to our "Principles Of Credit Ratings" methodology.
Particularly, we assess the cash flow coverage according to the
contractual cash waterfall at the project level. We think
notionally amending the project's cash flow waterfall by adding
operating costs wouldn't capture the overall ability to cover these
costs, given that MoAir doesn't receive all the airport's revenue.
"Instead, to recognize the importance of continued operations for
ongoing cash flow, we consider GAP (the current concessionaire) to
be a material and irreplaceable counterparty whose credit quality
directly affects that of the issuer. However, if the concession
were not renewed and GAP was no longer the operator, the same terms
would apply to the new counterparty.
"Following the issuance's completion and upon receipt and
satisfactory review of the documentation, we assigned our 'BB' debt
rating, in line with the 'BB' preliminary rating we assigned on
July 9, 2025. Based on the final documentation, the overall terms
and conditions, covenants, and structural elements are in line with
the preliminary documents that we analyzed. The increased amount of
the issuance to $400 million from $385 million is neutral to the
rating, as we expect the DSCR to remain similar to our preliminary
expectation. In our view, the minimum DSCR will be 1.8x in 2026 for
the pre-refinancing period from 1.7x in our preliminary
expectation, as the increased debt amount was offset by a lower
fixed-interest rate. That said, we now forecast a higher
amortization payment at refinancing in 2035, considering the bullet
characteristic of the notes. Nevertheless, this change has no
impact on the rating.
"We expect MoAir's revenue share to represent 28%-35% of SIA's
previous-year total revenue, plus a top-up from the government in
the case the project receives a lower revenue percentage for any
reason." MoAir's right to receive this revenue share won't depend
on which entity operates the airport. Therefore, if the concession
ends early or if it won't be renewed, MoAir's creditors would still
have the right to receive the pledged revenue.
As a result, the revenue share is MoAir's only source of funds
unless the top-up is triggered. In addition, the portion of the
airport revenue that covers its operations and maintenance or
associated expenses is not part of the MoAir waterfall, structure,
or security package.
As per the transaction documents, if there is an alternate airport
event and the project's DSCR falls below 1.4x, the government would
make payments to MoAir to keep the DSCR above that level. If an
alternate airport event occurs--either if any new international
airport that caters to business passengers is built or any existing
airport in Jamaica is upgraded to accommodate such passengers
(aside from SIA or Ian Fleming International Airport)--and the
project's debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) falls below 1.4x, the
government will make payments to MoAir to lift and maintain its
DSCR above that level. However, S&P would not factor such an event
into its analysis until it happened.
In addition, in the case of a change in the concession that sets
the new revenue share to below 28% of the previous year's revenue,
the government will top up the required amounts to meet 28% of the
previous year's revenue.
The project's operational risks drive the rating because SIA does
not bear construction risk at this stage. The project's operational
phase will extend from the debt placement date until 2045, which
S&P estimates as the project's economic life, without the airport
making expansionary investments to increase its annual passenger
capacity above 9 million.
S&P said, "During the operational phase, we divide our analysis in
two phases: before and after the expected refinancing of the notes,
projected to occur in 2035. The following elements underpin our
analysis in both stages:
"We assess the asset class' stability--the risk that a project's
cash flow will differ from expectations due to operational
issues--at '3', reflecting relatively simple operating complexity,
a predictable cost structure, and very limited risk that any
interruption would affect SIA for long periods.
"We assign a positive operating leverage score, considering the
specific cash waterfall for this transaction, where revenues
received from the airport go directly toward servicing interest and
principal, given the concessionaire will be in charge of servicing
the airport's operational costs and capital expenditure."
Market exposure is medium, given the project is exposed to
fluctuations in passenger volumes. Cash flow available for debt
service could fall by 18% during the debt's term under a stressed
scenario. S&P also considers that the airport operates in a region
prone to environmental risks, such as hurricanes, that could
temporarily lower the number of passengers on flights, as well as
the almost purely tourism-related passenger volume, which is more
volatile than that of passengers visiting friends and relatives.
The competitive position is neutral because S&P believes SIA will
remain Montego Bay's main airport in the coming years, given its
available capacity, its status as the origin and destination
airport for 98.7% of passengers, and its almost exclusively
tourism-related passenger volumes. In addition, the airport
operates under a well-defined framework, with a predictable regime
for rate adjustments.
The operations counterparty dependency assessment is irreplaceable
because revenue generation is predicated on GAP operating the
airport at least until 2034, when the concession matures. GAP,
together with its subsidiaries, holds concessions to develop,
operate, and manage 12 international airports in Mexico and two
international ones in Jamaica (in Montego Bay and Kingston). It
also offers aeronautical and nonaeronautical services.
S&P said, "We view the project as able to withstand a hypothetical
sovereign stress event, which allows us to rate it at the level of
our 'BB' transfer and convertibility assessment for Jamaica, one
notch above the sovereign credit rating (BB-/Positive/B). We expect
the project to withstand a hypothetical sovereign stress scenario
because of the resiliency under a stress test that incorporates a
decrease of 10% in passenger volumes and no rate adjustments. We
believe the project would be able to withstand such stress without
depleting its DSRA. In addition, the project's accounts will be
held offshore in Citibank N.A. (A+/Stable/A-1), where the airport's
operator will directly transfer the funds related to the revenue
share pledge. The airport's revenue is also denominated in U.S.
dollars, mitigating any foreign exchange risks.
"We view the airport as a government-related entity (GRE) because
we believe it's highly likely the Jamaican government would provide
extraordinary support to the airport in the event of financial
distress. We base this on our assessment of the airport's very
important role and strong link to the government, given it's a main
entryway for international passengers and has a covenant package
that would prompt the government to support the airport's (and
consequently, the issuer's) profitability under certain
circumstances. This package is in addition to the top-up payments
that the government will inject in the structure in the event of
the concessionaire's insufficient payment of the concession fee.
"Despite GAP's concession, we also view the government as a strong
and stable shareholder of the airport. Considering the
transaction's stand-alone credit profile, however, the relationship
with the government and the potential support in a stress scenario
are neutral for the rating.
"The stable outlook incorporates our expectation that the issuer
would withstand a hypothetical sovereign stress scenario because of
its financial structure, which includes a cash waterfall where
revenues received from the airport go directly toward servicing
interest and principal. The outlook also incorporates an expected
gradual increase in air passenger volumes (a result of the
airport's importance to Jamaica's main tourist gateway), which will
enable DSCRs of approximately 1.8x in the next 12-24 months.
"We could lower the rating if passenger volumes fall and cause the
minimum DSCR to fall consistently below 1.2x.
"We could also lower the rating if we perceive a weakening in the
issuer's resiliency, refinancing risk increases, or the
creditworthiness of the concessionaire deteriorates below that of
the project.
"Moreover, if the mechanism that obliges the Jamaican government to
fulfill the minimum payment at 28% is triggered, and therefore it
becomes a material and irreplaceable counterparty, we might lower
the project rating to the same level as the sovereign rating.
"Assuming all other factors remain unchanged, we could raise the
rating in the next 12 months if we take the same rating action on
Jamaica and revise up our transfer and convertibility assessment
for the country."
=============
E C U A D O R
=============
ECUADOR SOCIAL: Fitch Affirms 'CCC+sf' Rating on Class B Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Ecuador Social Bond S.a.r.l.'s (ESB)
class A and B 144A/Reg S notes (together, the repack notes) at
'AAAsf' and 'CCC+sf', respectively. The Rating Outlook on the class
A repack notes remains Stable. Fitch does not typically assign
Outlooks to ratings in the 'CCC' category or below, as is the case
for the class B notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ecuador IDB Repack
Class A (secured) XS2106052827 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class B (secured) XS2106053635 LT CCC+sf Affirmed CCC+sf
Transaction Summary
The Social Bond, issued by the Republic of Ecuador and partially
guaranteed by the Inter-American Development Bank (IDB;
AAA/Stable), is the asset backing the repack notes.
The assigned ratings address timely payment of interest and
principal on a semiannual basis.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Social Bond Backed by Full Faith and Credit of Ecuador: The Social
Bond issued by the Republic of Ecuador is the asset backing the
repack notes issued by ESB. The Social Bond shares all
characteristics of other external indebtedness of the sovereign and
is backed by the full faith and credit of Ecuador. The only
difference is that its proceeds are for specific investment in
Ecuador's social housing program, and its debt service benefits
from a partial credit guarantee by the IDB.
IDB's Partial Credit Guarantee Comprehensive in Scope: The partial
credit guarantee between the IDB and ESB, as initial purchaser of
the Social Bond, partially covers Ecuador's failure to meet its
obligations on the Social Bond. After Ecuador's default on the
Social Bond, all draws from the IDB guarantee will be exclusively
applied by the trustee to cover 100% of class A's debt service,
covering a percentage of the underlying Social Bond.
The IDB guarantee is comprehensive in scope and effectively covers
100% of the class A notes to be issued by ESB within the 23-day
cure period. IDB's obligations under the partial guarantee
constitute direct, unsecured obligations of IDB.
IDB's Credit Quality Remains Strong: The rating assigned to the
class A notes is commensurate with the Issuer Default Rating (IDR)
of the guarantee provider. On Nov. 8, 2024, Fitch affirmed IDB's
IDR at 'AAA'/Stable.
Class B Notes' Ratings Commensurate with Sovereign: Given that all
flows from the IDB guarantee will be applied to the class A notes
to meet debt service according to the guarantee's schedule, a
default by Ecuador under its obligations of the Social Bond would
lead to a default of ESB's obligations under the class B notes.
Hence, the credit quality of the class B notes is a pass-through of
Ecuador's rating. The rating of Ecuador was affirmed at 'CCC+' on
Aug. 13, 2024.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- The class A notes' ratings are linked to the IDB's LT FC IDR;
hence, a downgrade of the IDB's IDR would trigger a downgrade of
class A notes in the same proportion. In addition, changes in
Fitch's view regarding the strength of the IDB guarantee may affect
the class A notes' ratings;
- The class B notes' credit quality reflects Ecuador's rating and
therefore is sensitive to changes in Ecuador's LT IDR. Hence, a
downgrade to Ecuador's IDR would trigger a decrease in the class B
note ratings in the same proportion.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The class A notes' ratings are linked to the IDB's LT FC IDR of
'AAA'/Stable, which is the highest rating assigned by Fitch;
- The class B notes' credit quality reflects Ecuador's rating and
therefore is sensitive to changes in Ecuador's LT IDR. Hence, an
upgrade to Ecuador's IDR would trigger an uplift in the class B
note ratings in the same proportion.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
PUBLIC RATINGS WITH CREDIT LINKAGE TO OTHER RATINGS
The credit risk of the class A notes is linked to the credit
quality of the IDB (AAA/Stable) as the only beneficiary of the IDB
guarantee. The credit risk of the class B notes is directly linked
to Ecuador's Long-Term IDR (CCC+).
=============
J A M A I C A
=============
NCB FINANCIAL: Fitch Puts B+ Final Rating to USD255M Sr. Sec. Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned NCB Financial Group Limited's (NCBFG)
USD225 million senior secured notes a final Long-Term (LT) rating
of 'B+' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. The notes have an 11%
coupon and are due on July 31, 2030. The net proceeds will be used
to redeem part of its existing indebtedness and for general
corporate purposes.
The final rating was determined following a review of the final
terms and conditions, based on information available when Fitch
assigned the expected 'B+(EXP)' rating to NCBFG's proposed senior
secured notes. For more information, see "Fitch Rates NCBFG Senior
Secured Notes 'B+(EXP)'".
Key Rating Drivers
NCBFG's senior secured notes are rated at the same level as its LT
Issuer Default Rating (IDR; B+/Positive), as the likelihood of
default of the notes is the same as that of the holding company. In
accordance with Fitch's rating criteria, recovery prospects for the
notes are average and reflected in their Recovery Rating of 'RR4'.
Although these notes are senior secured, Fitch believes the
collateral mechanism would not significantly enhance recovery
rates.
The notes will constitute the NCBFG's direct, secured,
unsubordinated, and senior obligations, ranking pari passu with all
existing and future similarly secured and unsubordinated
obligations. They will rank senior to any subordinated indebtedness
and effectively senior to any unsecured indebtedness, limited to
the value of the collateral securing the notes. The notes will be
effectively junior to other obligations secured by liens on assets
not included as collateral for the notes, to the extent of such
collateral.
NCBFG ratings are based on the creditworthiness of its main
subsidiary National Commercial Bank Jamaica Limited (NCBJ), which
is the largest bank in the country by assets and represents 53% of
the group's consolidated assets. NCBFG's income is mainly derived
from dividend income from its subsidiaries, followed by management
fees and interest income (65%, 24% and 11%, in the same order).
For more details on NCBFG, see "Fitch Rates "Fitch Affirms NCBJ at
'BB-'; Affirms NCBFG at 'B+'; Outlook Positive".
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- NCBFG's senior secured debt ratings are directly linked to the
holding's Long-Term IDR. Any negative rating action on the IDR will
result in a similar rating action on these debt ratings.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- NCBFG's senior secured debt ratings are directly linked to the
holding's Long-Term IDR. Any positive rating action on the IDR will
result in a similar rating action on these debt ratings.
Date of Relevant Committee
22 July 2025
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
NCB FG senior secured debt rating is rated at the same level as the
holding's LT IDR. Holding's IDR is based on creditworthiness of its
main subsidiary, National Commercial Bank of Jamaica Limited.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for NCBFG.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, program,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
NCB Financial
Group Limited
senior secured LT B+ New Rating RR4 B+(EXP)
=====================
P U E R T O R I C O
=====================
NEW FORTRESS: Creditors Hire Evercore for Debt Advice
-----------------------------------------------------
Reshmi Basu and Ruth Liao of Bloomberg News report that a group of
New Fortress Energy creditors has hired Evercore Inc. for advisory
services as the company's debt trades at deeply distressed levels,
according to sources familiar with the matter.
The move follows the group's earlier engagement of law firm Akin
Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld, the sources said, requesting anonymity
due to the confidential nature of the discussions.
According to Bloomberg Law, New Fortress Energy, the liquefied
natural gas company founded by billionaire Wes Edens, has been
facing cash flow challenges tied to project delays.
Representatives
for both the company and Evercore declined to comment.
About New Fortress Energy Inc.
New Fortress Energy Inc. is a US listed energy infrastructure
company operating natural gas liquefaction, re-gasification and
distribution assets in Puerto Rico, Mexico, Jamaica, Nicaragua and
Brazil. The company operates one floating LNG production facility
(FLNG) and is constructing the second onshore facility in Mexico,
expected to come to production in 2026.
=====================================
T R I N I D A D A N D T O B A G O
=====================================
PETROTRIN: No Refinery Talks Before Sept Election, Guyana Says
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Ryan Bachoo at Trinidad and Tobago Guardian report that Guyana's
Minister of Natural Resources, Vickram Bharrat, said while the
country has not closed the door on partnering with T&T to reopen
the Petrotrin Refinery in Pointe-a-Pierre, there are factors they
will have to consider before making a decision.
However, he said no discussion will take place until after Guyana's
general election, which is scheduled for September 1, according to
Trinidad and Tobago Guardian. He was speaking to Guardian Media at
the Global Biodiversity Alliance Summit in Georgetown, Guyana, the
report notes.
The Kamla Persad-Bissessar-led administration announced in June
that it is setting up a refinery committee to explore the
feasibility of reopening the Petrotrin Refinery, the report
relays.
The committee is being chaired by former energy minister Kevin
Ramnarine, who told Guardian Media he expects to have a report
completed in four months, the report notes.
When asked if Guyana will reconsider its position on the refinery
in light of the establishment of a committee, Bharrat said, "I can
say solidly we have not taken a decision with regards to how we
will collaborate with T&T with regards to reopening the refinery
but I'm sure that's on the cards when we meet after the election,"
he added, notes the report.
Bharrat confirmed he received a letter from Energy Minister Dr
Roodal Moonilal, the report discloses. However, he would only say
the letter sought to initiate discussions. He said he told
Moonilal the discussions will have to take place after the
election, the report says.
Pressed on whether the Guyanese government will consider having
discussions with T&T surrounding the refinery, Bharrat said, "I
don't think I'll be able to give you a direct answer to that
because I've not seen any assessment, whether
technical assessment or financial assessment, of that refinery
with regards to restarting it. Of course, we will need that, the
report relays. Otherwise, I'll be just plucking a figure or giving
you my personal thought, and that would not go down well with
either side. So, I don't want to commit without actually
seeing what exists and what needs to be done in order to put that
refinery back into operation."
He went further in saying Guyana will have to look at the financial
costs of restarting the refinery, the report notes.
Bharrat added, "We also have to look at the operational cost and
also the capacity of it in today's world too. That's the
vision. The technology being used. These are all things that have
to be considered before we can make a more informed statement or
decision with regards to."
When asked whether he was surprised US President Donald Trump
revoked T&T's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) licence,
essentially ending the Dragon Gas deal between T&T and Venezuela,
Bharrat would only say the deal never caused friction in the
relationship between this country and Guyana, the report relays.
"Trinidad has always supported Guyana and, being part of Caricom,
has supported Guyana against the claims being made by Venezuela. So
I don't think it brought about any kind of animosity between Guyana
and Trinidad."
Bharrat says there are scores of T&T citizens living and working in
Guyana, particularly in the oil and gas sector, the report
discloses.
He says under the Treaty of Chaguaramas, citizens of his country
have been able to easily access jobs within the energy sector in
that country, the report adds.
About Petrotrin
State-owned Petroleum Co. of Trinidad & Tobago (Petrotrin) closed
its oil refinery in November 2018. Prior to closure, Petrotrin
underwent a corporate reorganization that started in the last
quarter of 2018. The T&T government insisted that the
reorganization was necessary to improve the company's efficiency.
As a result of the reorganization, Petrorin's refining business
was shut down and new entities were created: three operating
subsidiaries (Heritage Petroleum Company Limited, Paria Fuel
Trading Company and Guaracara Refining Company Limited), and the
new holding company, TPH, to which the international bonds were
transferred from Petrotrin.
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