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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
L A T I N A M E R I C A
Monday, June 30, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 129
Headlines
A R G E N T I N A
ARGENTINA: Economy Grows Less Than Expected as Imports Surge
PLUSPETROL SA: Unsecured Notes Add-on No Impact on Moody's B3 CFR
B A R B A D O S
INTERPLUS RE: A.M. Best Assigns B(Fair) Financial Strength Rating
B E R M U D A
APEX STRUCTURED: $400MM Loan Add-on No Impact on Moody's 'B2' CFR
B R A Z I L
BRAZIL: Central Bank Says Tightening Effects Yet to Be Felt
C O L O M B I A
COLOMBIA: S&P Lowers Foreign Curr. Sovereign Credit Rating to 'BB'
C O S T A R I C A
COSTA RICA: IDB Approves $250MM to Improve Care System
J A M A I C A
DOLPHIN COVE: Sells Real Estate Assets Amid Parent's Bankruptcy
P U E R T O R I C O
JAL OUTLET: Voluntary Chapter 11 Case Summary
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A R G E N T I N A
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ARGENTINA: Economy Grows Less Than Expected as Imports Surge
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Manuela Tobias at Bloomberg News reports that Argentina's economy
grew less than expected in the first quarter of 2025 as a pickup in
imports along with declines in exports and government spending
tempered the South American nation's recovery.
Gross domestic product expanded 0.8 percent in first three months
of the year compared with the previous quarter, far short of the
1.5 percent median estimate from analysts in a Bloomberg survey.
From a year ago, Argentina's economy grew 5.8 percent in the period
from January to March, according to government data published,
according to Bloomberg News. The median estimate of economists
surveyed by Bloomberg was growth of 6.1 percent.
Still, the reading marks the third straight quarter of expansion,
Bloomberg News relays. In May, monthly inflation in Argentina
slowed to a five-year record of 1.5 percent, while wholesale prices
showed deflation for the first time since the pandemic, Bloomberg
News notes.
The impressive year-on-year growth was expected, given that
Argentina was in the midst of President Javier Milei's shock
therapy of austerity at the start of 2024, after an abrupt currency
devaluation dented consumer spending and the libertarian president
halted government expenditures, Bloomberg News says.
Since then, the significant recovery of Argentine wages and
expanded credit availability have boosted household consumption.
Consumer spending grew 2.9 percent quarter on quarter, Bloomberg
News discloses.
Argentina reached a US$20-billion agreement with the International
Monetary Fund in April, and relaxed many of its capital and
currency controls, Bloomberg News relays. The currency now floats
between bands and is freely accessible to individuals, Bloomberg
News notes. The peso has remained stable, with some government
intervention in the futures market, Bloomberg News relays. An IMF
mission will visit Buenos Aires to review its performance thus far
and unlock an additional US$2 billion after an initial US$12
billion disbursement, Bloomberg News notes.
Economists surveyed by Argentina's central bank in May expect the
economy to grow 5.2 percent in 2025, Bloomberg News adds.
About Argentina
Argentina is a country located mostly in the southern half of South
America. Its capital is Buenos Aires. Javier Milei is the current
president of Argentina after winning the November 19, 2023 general
election. He succeeded Alberto Angel Fernandez in the position.
Argentina has the third largest economy in Latin America. The
country's economy is an upper middle-income economy for fiscal year
2019, according to the World Bank. Historically, however, its
economic performance has been very uneven, with high economic
growth alternating with severe recessions, income maldistribution
and in the recent decades, increasing poverty.
In March 2022, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a
30-month arrangement under an Extended Fund Facility for Argentina
in the amount of SDR 31.914 billion (equivalent to US$44 billion,
or 1000 percent of quota) -- with an approved immediate
disbursement of an equivalent of US$9.65 billion. Argentina's
IMF-supported program sought to improve public finances and start
to reduce persistent high inflation through a multi-pronged
strategy.
On April 11, 2025, the IMF further approved a 48-month Extended
Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement for Argentina totaling US$20
billion (or 479 percent of quota), with an immediate disbursement
of US$12 billion, and a first review planned for June
2025 with an associated disbursement of about US$2 billion. The
program is expected to help catalyze additional official
multilateral and bilateral support, and a timely re-access to
international capital markets.
Fitch Ratings, on May 12, 2025, upgraded Argentina's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency and Local-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to
'CCC+' from 'CCC'. The upgrade reflects the launch of a new IMF
program, among other things. S&P Global Ratings, in February 2025
lowered its local currency sovereign credit ratings on Argentina to
'SD/SD' from 'CCC/C' and its national scale rating to 'SD' from
'raB+'. Moody's Ratings, in January 2025, raised Argentina's local
currency ceiling to B3 from Caa1 and the foreign currency ceiling
to Caa1 from Caa3. DBRS, Inc. upgraded Argentina's Long-Term
Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Ratings to B (low) from CCC in
November 2024.
PLUSPETROL SA: Unsecured Notes Add-on No Impact on Moody's B3 CFR
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Moody's Ratings comments that Pluspetrol S.A. (Pluspetrol)'s B3
Corporate Family Rating, the B3 Senior Unsecured Notes rating and
stable outlook remain unchanged following the company's
announcement that it plans to issue an add-on to its senior
unsecured notes due 2032. The transaction represents an add-on to
the original $450 million notes issued in May 2025, with the
incremental amount expected to be no less than $50 million. Net
proceeds from the proposed issuance will be used to 1) repay or
refinance existing indebtedness for up to 40% of the nominal value
of the Notes, 2) invest in fixed assets located, working capital,
and acquisitions of companies or businesses in Argentina, 3)
capital contributions, 4) the financing of commercial activities of
certain subsidiaries or related companies, and 5) general financing
needs related to the company's commercial activities. In light of
the anticipated issuance amount, Moody's expects the company's debt
protection metrics to remain broadly unchanged.
Pluspetrol's B3 ratings reflect its strong competitive position in
the natural gas and oil production in Argentina, bolstered by
high-quality assets and significant growth potential in both
production and reserve development, supporting a solid cash flow
and credit metrics over 2025-27 for the B3 rating category. The
company's experienced management team has a notable track record in
developing conventional and unconventional resources, contributing
to its overall strength.
Given Pluspetrol's high exposure to Argentina's business
environment, its B3 ratings reflect Moody's views that the
company's creditworthiness cannot be completely de-linked from the
credit quality of the Argentine government and, thus, the rating
needs to closely reflect the risk that the company shares with the
sovereign. However, Pluspetrol's rating surpasses Argentina's
rating by three notches (Government of Argentina, Caa3 positive),
which reflects Pluspetrol's relatively strong credit metrics for
its rating position and diversification of sales revenue through
exports, expected to increase going forward.
Pluspetrol“s ratings are mainly constrained by the concentration
of assets and oil and gas production in Argentina, although this is
partially mitigated by sales diversification through export markets
(around 24% of revenue in 2024). The company is also exposed to
regulatory risks within Argentina's local hydrocarbon market.
Additionally, the company is vulnerable to the volatility of energy
commodity prices, with approximately 30% of its revenues generated
from natural gas sales and around 70% from crude oil sales.
The ratings also take into account the strong support from its
parent company, Pluspetrol Resources Corporation B.V., which can
support the company if needed, given its strong liquidity position.
A subordinated committed credit facility with an initial amount of
$500 million will be established, sufficient to cover the
development of the assets and expected debt service payments. No
principal repayments would be made until leverage at the operating
company is less than 1x, and the facility would be available for
the life of the international bond financing. These factors enhance
Pluspetrol's capacity to manage foreign currency debt. Given the
strong linkages with the company's parent, governance risk is a
consideration in the rating action.
Pluspetrol has adequate liquidity. Pluspetrol had $63 million in
cash as of December 2024, and Moody's expects it to generate
adequate cash flow from operations through 2025 to cover interest
payments of about $135 million and debt amortization of $167
million. However, given the ambitious capex plan, Moody's expects
the company to fund it through debt acquisition. The parent company
holds significant cash reserves in foreign currency abroad to
support Pluspetrol if necessary.
The stable outlook reflects the company's solid credit metrics for
its rating category and adequate liquidity. However, the company's
creditworthiness cannot be completely de-linked from the credit
quality of the Argentine government, from which it generates the
bulk of its revenue, and thus its ratings and outlook incorporate
the risks that it shares with the sovereign, in line with Moody's
cross-sector rating methodology, Assessing the Impact of Sovereign
Credit Quality on Other Ratings, published in June 2019.
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B A R B A D O S
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INTERPLUS RE: A.M. Best Assigns B(Fair) Financial Strength Rating
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AM Best has assigned a Financial Strength Rating of B (Fair) and a
Long-Term Issuer Credit Rating of "bb+" (Fair) to Interplus Re
Limited (Interplus) (Barbados). The outlook assigned to these
Credit Ratings (ratings) is stable.
The ratings reflect Interplus' balance sheet strength, which AM
Best assesses as strong, as well as its adequate operating
performance, limited business profile and appropriate enterprise
risk management.
Interplus is a reinsurance company incorporated under the Laws of
Barbados on Aug. 11, 2021, as a Class 2 License Insurance Company.
Interplus is 98% owned by INTEHO Limited, based in Barbados.
Interplus offers reinsurance products mainly focused on property
business, which accounts for almost 79% of its gross written
premium portfolio, followed by surety and credit lines (12%),
accidents and health (8%) and the remaining (less than 1%) in life.
Two thirds of the businesses underwritten by Interplus originates
in Latin America and the Caribbean, with moderate concentration in
Ecuador (29% of gross written premiums as of December 2024). The
remaining 34% of its portfolio is distributed across Asia (25%),
Africa (5%), Europe (4%) and Oceania (less than 1%). Interplus
reached USD 34.9 million in gross written premiums during 2024, its
third year of operation. AM Best assesses Interplus' business
profile as limited due to the recent creation of the company and
its small size within a highly competitive global market.
Interplus' balance sheet strength is assessed as strong, reflecting
the expected volatility of a startup company, its developing
investment strategy and adjusting risk profile. The company's
capital base has grown since its foundation, to USD 25.1 million as
of December 2024, reflecting two years of positive net results and
shareholder support from significant capital infusions. AM Best
expects Interplus to continue strengthening its capital base
through profitable results and prudent capital management.
Interplus reported positive bottom-line results of USD 16 million
as of December 2024. Reserve adjustments benefited technical
results, allowing for a combined ratio of 32%, well within premium
sufficiency levels. AM Best expects Interplus to remain profitable
through adequate risk selection and stable expenses.
The stable outlooks reflect AM Best's expectation that Interplus
will continue strengthening its capital base, through prudent
capital management and profitable results, to sustain its business
plan to maintain current rating levels.
Negative rating actions could take place if Interplus' operating
performance deteriorates to a point no longer supportive of the
adequate assessment and losses further weaken the company's balance
sheet strength. Positive rating actions could take place if
Interplus is able to consistently strengthen its capital through
reinvestment of earnings or capital infusions, demonstrating
stability at levels that support the current ratings, according to
Best's Capital Adequacy Ratio (BCAR).
The methodology used in determining these ratings is Best's Credit
Rating Methodology (Version Aug. 29, 2024), which provides a
comprehensive explanation of AM Best's rating process and contains
the different rating criteria employed in the rating process.
Key insurance criteria reports utilized:
Evaluating Country Risk (Version June 6, 2024)
Understanding Global BCAR (Version Aug. 1, 2024)
Catastrophe Analysis in AM Best Ratings (Version Feb. 8, 2024)
Available Capital and Insurance Holding Company Analysis (Version
Aug. 15, 2024)
Rating New Company Formations (Version Sept. 5, 2024)
Scoring and Assessing Innovation (Version Feb. 20, 2025)
View a general description of the policies and procedures used to
determine credit ratings. For information on the meaning of
ratings, structure, voting and the committee process for
determining the ratings and monitoring activities, relevant sources
of information and the frequency for updating ratings, please refer
to Guide to Best's Credit Ratings.
Initial Rating Date: June 20, 2025
Date Range of Financial Data Used: Dec. 31, 2022-Dec. 31, 2024
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B E R M U D A
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APEX STRUCTURED: $400MM Loan Add-on No Impact on Moody's 'B2' CFR
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Moody's Ratings announced that the ratings of Apex Structured
Intermediate Holdings Ltd. (Apex), including the B2 corporate
family rating and B2-PD probability of default rating, along with
the B2 ratings of the senior secured bank credit facilities
borrowed by Apex Group Treasury Limited and Apex Group Treasury
LLC, are unaffected by Apex's proposed $400 million add-on
currently being marketed to be issued by Apex Group Treasury
Limited. The stable outlook for all entities remains unchanged.
RATING RATIONALE
The announcement reflects Apex's demonstrated consistent organic
revenue growth of approximately 7% annually over the past two years
and Moody's continues to see good growth opportunities in the fund
administration sector where it operates. Moody's also understands
that Apex is taking a lead in adopting AI tools to increase the
efficiency of its operations, as well as providing administration
services to the fast growing digital assets segment.
Still, Apex's leverage remains material with Moody's adjusted
debt/EBITDA at 6.8x for the last twelve months ending Q1 2025. Pro
forma for the proposed $400 million add-on, this metric will
increase to 7.2x before deleveraging back to 6.8x for the full year
2025. Moody's calculations of leverage reflect sizeable EBITDA
adjustments including management actions, integration of past
acquisitions, synergies and run-rate amounts. These amounts have
declined slightly in the past twelve months and Moody's expects
them to reduce further.
While Apex has historically grown through acquisitions, there has
been a marked decline in acquisition spending - from $2.8 billion
in 2022 to $207 million in 2023 and $79 million in 2024. Moody's
expects the acquisitions effectively to stop following the most
recent announcement in May 2025 of Apex taking a majority stake in
Tokeny, an enterprise-grade tokenisation solutions provider.
Apex's B2 CFR continues to reflect its strong standing as one of
the leading independent fund service providers globally, supported
by a stable and recurring revenue base with limited sensitivity to
market fluctuations. The rating is further underpinned by solid
profitability and the potential to generate significant free cash
flow. Apex also benefits from a well-diversified client portfolio
and strong customer retention.
The rating also takes into account the company's high financial
leverage, substantial pro forma EBITDA adjustments, and the
execution risks associated with integrating recent acquisitions.
Additionally, Apex's reliance on an acquisition-led growth model
limits its ability to deleverage and heightens exposure to
regulatory and legal challenges. This strategy is expected to wind
down although the company continued to make acquisitions in H1'25.
LIQUIDITY
Moody's considers Apex's liquidity to be adequate. Apex will have
access to an undrawn $460 mm senior secured first lien revolving
credit facility (RCF). The company also expects to have $160 mm
cash pro forma for the add-on.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The company's debt facilities consist of a senior secured
first-lien term loan, divided into pro forma tranches of $2,976
million and EUR883 million, as well as a pari passu ranking $460
million senior secured RCF. The B2 rating on the senior secured
first-lien senior secured facilities is in line with the B2 CFR.
RATING OUTLOOK
The stable outlook anticipates Apex's EBITDA growth driven by
organic revenue and successful synergy realization from recent
acquisitions, maintaining adequate liquidity and avoiding
significant re-leveraging from acquisitions, while reducing large
exceptional costs and enhancing free cash flow.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The ratings could be upgraded if Moody's-adjusted debt / EBITDA
sustainably decreases to below 5.5x, (after adjusting for
exceptional items considered recurring), Apex maintains high
operating profitability and substantial free cash flow generation.
Moreover, Apex would need to execute the integration of the
recently closed acquisitions and realise targeted synergies
successfully, leading to a substantial reduction in one-off items
and other EBITDA adjustments.
The ratings could be downgraded if Apex fails to reduce its
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA to below 6.5x (after adjusting for
exceptional items considered recurring). A significant decrease in
EBITA margins from the current high levels or sustained reduction
in free cash flow generation would also put pressure on the
rating.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Apex is one of the largest independent providers of fund
administration services, financial and corporate solutions, founded
in 2003 by its current CEO and with headquarters in Bermuda. The
group is a global operator with presence in 50 countries across the
world, serving more than 10,000 clients with over $3 trillion of
assets on its platforms.
Apex is majority-owned by private equity firm Genstar (56%), with
minority shareholders TA Associates (24%), founder Peter Hughes,
Mubadala and Carlyle holding most the remaining equity. During the
twelve months period ended March 31, 2025, the group generated pro
forma revenue of around $1.6 billion.
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B R A Z I L
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BRAZIL: Central Bank Says Tightening Effects Yet to Be Felt
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globalinsolvency.com, citing Reuters, reports that Brazil's central
bank said that much of the impact from its "particularly quick and
very firm" tightening cycle is yet to be felt, which is why it now
foresees a pause in interest rate increases to assess those
effects.
In the minutes of the decision, when the monetary policy committee
Copom raised rates by 25 basis points to 15% and signaled a "very
prolonged" pause ahead, the central bank also stressed that it will
still assess whether the current rate is appropriate to bring
inflation back to target, according to globalinsolvency.com.
About Brazil
Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world and third largest
in the Americas. Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the 2022 Brazilian
general election. He was sworn in on January 1, 2023, as the 39th
president of Brazil, succeeding Jair Bolsonaro.
In October 2024, Moody's Ratings upgraded the Government of
Brazil's long-term issuer and senior unsecured bond ratings to Ba1
from Ba2, the senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)Ba1 from (P)Ba2;
and maintained the positive outlook. S&P Global Ratings raised on
Dec. 19, 2023, its long-term global scale ratings on Brazil to
'BB' from 'BB-'. Fitch Ratings affirmed on Dec. 15, 2023, Brazil's
Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB' with
a Stable Outlook. DBRS' credit rating for Brazil was last reported
at BB with stable outlook at July 2023.
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C O L O M B I A
===============
COLOMBIA: S&P Lowers Foreign Curr. Sovereign Credit Rating to 'BB'
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S&P Global Ratings, on June 26, 2025, lowered its long-term foreign
currency sovereign credit rating on Colombia to 'BB' from 'BB+' and
the long-term local currency rating to 'BB+' from 'BBB-'. The
outlook on the long-term ratings is negative.
S&P said, "We also lowered our short-term local currency sovereign
credit rating to 'B' from 'A-3' and our transfer and convertibility
assessment to 'BBB-' from 'BBB'. We affirmed our short-term foreign
currency rating at 'B'."
Outlook
S&P's negative outlook reflects the risk that steady fiscal
deterioration in Colombia could persist over several years
alongside the country's heightened security challenges, further
worsening the sovereign's financial profile. Concerns about the
long-term trajectory of fiscal policy could hurt investor sentiment
and contribute to poor economic performance.
Downside scenario
S&P could lower its ratings on Colombia over the next 12-18 months
if the government fails to take effective and timely measures to
stabilize fiscal accounts and debt levels while also sustaining the
country's GDP growth. A continuation of large fiscal deficits could
dampen investor confidence and reduce GDP growth prospects.
Upside scenario
S&P could revise its outlook to stable over the next 12-18 months
if the government undertakes a fiscal consolidation that reduces
fiscal deficits, stabilizes Colombia's debt and interest burdens,
and bolsters investor confidence. Fiscal consolidation, combined
with moderate current account deficits, could gradually strengthen
Colombia's external indicators, supporting greater economic
resilience.
Rationale
S&P's ratings on Colombia capture its limited fiscal flexibility,
high debt burden, weak external position (including its volatile
terms of trade), and moderate GDP per capita.
The combination of large fiscal deficits and weak economic
performance has worsened Colombia's public finances and increased
its vulnerability to external shocks. Expansive government primary
spending, a growing interest burden, and lower-than-expected
revenue collections have caused it to significantly miss fiscal
targets and post large deficits since 2024.
Fiscal policy has also become less predictable, as highlighted by
the government's recent decision to suspend the country's fiscal
rule for three years.
In addition, the ratings reflect the flexibility that comes from
Colombia's central bank, which has pursued an inflation-targeting
monetary policy with a floating exchange rate that provides buffers
against external shocks.
The ratings also take into account Colombia's long-term democracy
and political stability, with checks and balances. Offsetting these
institutional strengths are Colombia's persistent security
challenges, which recently have become more prominent.
Institutional and economic profile: Less predictable fiscal policy
poses additional risks for long-term economic growth and a
sustainable fiscal position
-- Large government deficits and the recent decision to suspend
Colombia's fiscal rule for three years generate more uncertainty
about the trajectory of government debt in coming years.
-- S&P expects economic growth in Colombia to reach 2.8% by 2026.
National elections due in 2026 could reduce the incentives for
Congress to take meaningful actions on fiscal policy.
-- S&P expects the economy in Colombia to grow 2.5% in 2025, and
to trend toward 3% by 2026--or close to potential levels. Its
estimate sees GDP per capita at US$8,140 in 2025 and real per
capita growth at just above 2%, on average, for 2025-2028.
Private credit, responding to softer monetary conditions, should
sustain consumption growth and investment over the second half of
2025 and beyond. Household consumption also continues to benefit
from lower inflation, strong remittances, and significant spillover
effects from agriculture and tourism. And while it's still low,
investment grew in the four quarters that ended March 2025.
Colombia's security situation still poses political, social, and
economic challenges, and it affects our institutional assessment of
the country. Levels of crime and violence remain high, despite the
signing of a peace accord with the country's largest guerrilla
group in 2016. Drug production is reportedly at record levels. And
poor social and economic conditions in neighboring Venezuela (which
has a porous border with Colombia) have boosted criminal activity
and sparked large population displacements.
A recent assassination attempt in Bogota against a potential
presidential election candidate and several bomb attacks in and
near the city of Cali have also worsened the perception of
security.
Colombian President Gustavo Petro's four-year term will end next
year when the country elects new national political leadership.
Petro has had moderate success in passing his ambitious agenda of
social reforms. His pension proposals are likely to regain
congressional approval very soon following a recent reform of labor
laws. However, Congress did not approve his health care reform.
Colombia's public finances have deteriorated in recent years
because of large government deficits and rising debt and interest
burdens. Noninterest government spending has increased (as a share
of GDP) in recent years, but revenue has failed to keep up, with
revenue growth falling short of projections despite the passage of
tax reforms in 2021 and 2022.
Indeed, difficulty in raising revenue is a long-standing fiscal
challenge, reflecting Colombia's relatively weak capacity to widen
and deepen the tax base in order to meet growing demand for
government spending. Low GDP growth in recent years, combined with
public demands for more social spending (especially after the
pandemic), has contributed to the underlying deterioration in
public finances.
The government's recent suspension of Colombia's fiscal rule is
likely to generate more uncertainty about the trajectory of
government debt in coming years. The move was accompanied by a
consolidation plan involving the introduction of tax reforms in
Congress this year--reforms that are intended to raise government
revenue by 1% of GDP in 2026 and start primary spending cuts in
2027 (after the elections), reaching 2% of GDP by 2028.
Congressional approval of the tax reforms, and their potential
yield, is uncertain.
The country's traditional political parties have become weaker in
recent years, making it harder to predict future economic policies.
Colombia's Congress had approved a major decentralization of the
public sector via a substantial boost in the transfer of funds from
the central government to local governments, designed to be phased
in over 12 years. However, it has yet to pass complementary laws to
transfer central government spending obligations to local
governments, thereby matching resources with new tasks. The reform
could disrupt fiscal stability or worsen the quality of public
services unless it's implemented prudently.
Flexibility and performance profile: The fiscal trajectory has
deteriorated, resulting in higher expected debt levels
-- S&P's base case assumes large fiscal deficits in 2025-2026 and
only a mild fiscal consolidation afterward.
-- Current account deficits should be largely funded by foreign
direct investment.
-- S&P expects that the central bank will bring inflation to its
target by 2026.
S&P said, "We expect the general government fiscal deficit to
worsen to 7.1% of GDP in 2025 from 6.1% in 2024. Based on a limited
policy response, we expect deficits to average 6.2% of GDP over
2026-2028. We assume that the revenue benefit from a new tax reform
that's likely to be presented this year will be low. Our definition
of the general government deficit includes the central government,
social security systems, a deposit guarantee fund, the central
bank, and local and regional governments."
'
Net general government debt could rise by 6.2% of GDP annually
during the 2025-2028 period, accounting for the impact of currency
depreciation and debt indexation. Net general government debt is
expected to rise and average 64% of GDP in 2025-2028, compared with
58% in 2024.
Government interest payments may stabilize at above 15% of general
government revenue over the same period. Interest expenses may peak
at almost 5% of GDP by 2026--compared with the 3% average over
2017-2019--and they will continue to reduce Colombia's fiscal
flexibility over the next three years. The government might
increase its reliance on short-term debt, leading to a reduction in
its average debt maturity.
S&P said, "We assess the sovereign's contingent liabilities as
limited. Our assessment of Colombia's financial system, with total
assets estimated at 67% of GDP as of 2024, is based on our
classification of the system in our Banking Industry Country Risk
Assessment (BICRA) group 6. (Our BICRA groups are on a scale from 1
to 10, with 1 denoting the lowest risk and 10 the highest risk.)"
The current account deficit (CAD) is likely to stabilize at just
below 3% of GDP in 2025-2028. The expected CAD is lower than its
pre-pandemic levels, mostly reflecting higher remittances and
strong service sector exports (mostly tourism and corporate
services). Partially compensating for weak oil and coal exports is
the strength in exports of coffee, other agricultural products, and
gold.
Despite numerous free trade agreements and logistical improvements,
Colombian exports are still concentrated in the hydrocarbon sector,
historically resulting in high volatility in terms of trade.
S&P said, "We expect the CAD to be largely funded by foreign direct
investment, helping narrow net external debt and helping it
stabilize at approximately 120% of current account receipts (CAR)
in 2025-2028. We expect gross external financing needs of just
below 100% of CAR in 2025-2028."
Colombia's central bank has a strong record of targeting inflation
and letting the currency float freely. S&P expects continuity in
monetary policy that will anchor inflation expectations. Inflation
has been at roughly 5% since November 2024, but tight monetary
policy should bring it within the central bank's target of 3% plus
or minus 1% by 2026.
Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) credit factors for this
change in credit rating/outlook and/or CreditWatch status:
-- Other governance factors
In accordance with S&P's relevant policies and procedures, the
Rating Committee was composed of analysts that are qualified to
vote in the committee, with sufficient experience to convey the
appropriate level of knowledge and understanding of the methodology
applicable. At the onset of the committee, the chair confirmed that
the information provided to the Rating Committee by the primary
analyst had been distributed in a timely manner and was sufficient
for Committee members to make an informed decision.
After the primary analyst gave opening remarks and explained the
recommendation, the Committee discussed key rating factors and
critical issues in accordance with the relevant criteria.
Qualitative and quantitative risk factors were considered and
discussed, looking at track-record and forecasts.
The committee's assessment of the key rating factors is reflected
in the Rating Component Scores above.
The chair ensured every voting member was given the opportunity to
articulate his/her opinion. The chair or designee reviewed the
draft report to ensure consistency with the Committee decision. The
views and the decision of the rating committee are summarized in
the above rationale and outlook. The weighting of all rating
factors is described in the methodology used in this rating
action.
Ratings list
Downgraded
To From
Colombia
Sovereign Credit Rating
Foreign Currency BB/Negative/B BB+/Negative/B
Local Currency BB+/Negative/B BBB-/Negative/A-3
Transfer & Convertibility Assessment
Local Currency BBB- BBB
Senior Unsecured
Local Currency BB+ BBB-
Foreign Currency BB BB+
Short-Term Debt B A-3
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C O S T A R I C A
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COSTA RICA: IDB Approves $250MM to Improve Care System
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The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) approved a $250 million
loan to improve quality of life for people in Costa Rica who need
care, such as the elderly and people with disabilities, and to
increase the well-being of caregivers.
Costa Rica is experiencing one of the fastest population aging
processes in Latin America and the Caribbean. Currently, 11 out of
every 100 people are 65 years or older, and by 2050 this figure is
projected to increase to 25 out of every 100 inhabitants. This
demographic change significantly increases the demand for care
services. This loan will help expand coverage and improve the
quality of these services, as well as strengthen support for
caregivers.
This is the first operation under IDB Cares, the Bank's initiative
to expand care services and infrastructure to improve the lives of
children, the elderly, and people with disabilities who require
care, while also creating jobs and accelerating economic growth in
Latin America and the Caribbean.
The loan will strengthen Costa Rica's National System of Care and
Support for Dependent Adults and Elderly People (SINCA, its acronym
in Spanish). The initiative includes reforms to improve the
management of the official budget, the accountability of service
providers, and information for decision-making, integrating it into
the social household registry.
The project will benefit approximately 160,000 adults with
functional dependency in the country. Additionally, it will reach
about 170,000 caregivers, including 140,000 unpaid and 30,000 paid
caregivers.
The operation includes the implementation of the CUIDAR.CR
platform, a digital tool that will facilitate the connection
between caregivers and those who require care services. This
platform will enable the registration of formal and informal
caregivers, make their credentials visible, and improve their
employability, contributing to the professionalization of care work
and generating new economic opportunities.
In turn, the project will provide benefits to unpaid caregivers and
improve the quality of services with better instruments and
supervision mechanisms.
The IDB loan has a disbursement period of one year, a grace period
of 5.5 years, and an interest rate based on SOFR.
=============
J A M A I C A
=============
DOLPHIN COVE: Sells Real Estate Assets Amid Parent's Bankruptcy
---------------------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that the real estate assets of Dolphin Cove are
expected to be placed on the market soon as part of efforts to
raise funds for its parent company, Dolphin Discovery Group, which
recently filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in Delaware, United
States.
The development was revealed in a court filing by Leisure
Investment Holdings LLC, the main holding company for the Dolphin
Discovery Group, according to RJR News.
Steven Robert Strom, the sole administrator for Leisure Investments
and its subsidiaries, has sought court approval to hire Green Hill
and Company LLC as investment bankers, the report notes.
Keen-Summit Capital Partners has been retained as the real estate
advisor and broker, the report adds.
About Jamaica
Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea. Jamaica
is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily dependent
on tourism. Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy include
agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining, financial
and insurance services.
On Feb. 21, 2025, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-', with a
positive rating outlook. In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the
Government of Jamaica's long-term issuer and senior unsecured
ratings to B1 from B2, and senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1
from (P)B2. The outlook has been changed to positive from stable.
In September 2024, S&P affirmed 'BB-/B' longterm foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica and revised outlook to
positive.
=====================
P U E R T O R I C O
=====================
JAL OUTLET: Voluntary Chapter 11 Case Summary
---------------------------------------------
Debtor: JAL Outlet, Inc.
Carretera 2, KM 165.2
Hormigueros, PR 00660
Business Description: JAL Outlet, Inc. is a wholesale distributor
of motor vehicles and automotive parts
operating out of Hormigueros, Puerto Rico.
The Company supplies products such as
vehicle components, accessories, and related
equipment to retailers and service
providers.
Chapter 11 Petition Date: June 23, 2025
Court: United States Bankruptcy Court
District of Puerto Rico
Case No.: 25-02796
Judge: Hon. Maria De Los Angeles Gonzalez
Debtor's Counsel: Charles A. Cuprill, Esq.
CHARLES A. CUPRILL, PSC LAW OFFICES
356 Fortaleza St. (2nd Floor)
San Juan, PR 00901
Tel: 787-977-0515
Email: cacuprill@cuprill.com
Estimated Assets: $10 million to $50 million
Estimated Liabilities: $1 million to $10 million
The petition was signed by Jose A. Lugo Alverio as president.
The petition was filed without the Debtor's list of its 20 largest
unsecured creditors.
A full-text copy of the petition is available for free on
PacerMonitor at:
https://www.pacermonitor.com/view/4G4TO5I/JAL_Outlet_Inc__prbke-25-02796__0001.0.pdf?mcid=tGE4TAMA
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
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USA, Marites O. Claro, Joy A. Agravante, Rousel Elaine T.
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Chapman, Editors.
Copyright 2025. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2746.
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