/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCRLA_Public/240329.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
L A T I N A M E R I C A
Friday, March 29, 2024, Vol. 25, No. 65
Headlines
B E R M U D A
BITTREX GLOBAL: Liquidators to Pay Back Creditors
B R A Z I L
AEGEA SANEAMENTO: Moody's Affirms Ba2 CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
BRAZIL: JPMorgan Sees Three Interest Rate Cuts Ahead
BRAZIL: Sees Capital Outflow as U.S. Rates Soar
C H I L E
WOM CHILE: Bondholders Hire Advisers Ahead of Possible Talks
J A M A I C A
JAMAICA: Banks Urged to Ensure Inclusivity Along With Changes
P E R U
PERU: IMF Says Economy is Recovering after Consecutive Shocks
P U E R T O R I C O
ZAGACITY TECH: Plan Exclusivity Period Extended to May 30
U R U G U A Y
NARANJAL/LITORAL URUGUAY 2: Moody's Ups Subordinate Rating to Ba1
- - - - -
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B E R M U D A
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BITTREX GLOBAL: Liquidators to Pay Back Creditors
-------------------------------------------------
Duncan Hall at Royal Gazette reports that customers of Bittrex
Global (Bermuda) Ltd, the failed cryptocurrency exchange, will be
able to claim their funds, the company's joint provisional
liquidators have revealed.
Bittrex Global, which had offices in Bermuda and Liechtenstein,
announced last November that it was ceasing operations and winding
down, according to Royal Gazette.
As part of that process, Bittrex Global Bermuda applied to appoint
an independent, third-party liquidator to oversee the process, the
report notes.
Margot MacInnis, Andrew Howie and Carmel King of Grant Thornton
have been appointed as joint provisional liquidators of Bittrex
Global Bermuda, the report notes. Control of the company has now
been handed over to them, under the supervision of the Supreme
Court of Bermuda, the report relays.
The company's petition for its winding up was presented to the
Supreme Court on March 8 and is set for hearing on March 28, the
report says.
In an e-mail addressed: "Dear Bittrex Global User", the JPLs wrote:
"The purpose of the liquidation process, governed by the laws of
Bermuda, is to ensure an orderly wind-up of the company and ensure
that there will be independent oversight and total transparency in
the process, the report notes.
"We have been working closely with the company and the Bermuda
Monetary Authority for a number of weeks and have developed a
liquidation plan that envisages all Bittrex Global Bermuda users
being able to claim their funds and all other creditors being paid
in full in an orderly and efficient manner.
"We have temporarily halted withdrawals while we establish the
process for doing so. The plan anticipates that the court will
enable withdrawals to be re-enabled in the coming weeks," the
report adds.
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B R A Z I L
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AEGEA SANEAMENTO: Moody's Affirms Ba2 CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the Ba2 rating of AEGEA Saneamento e
Participacoes S.A.'s (AEGEA) Corporate Family Rating and Aegea
Finance S.a r.l.'s ("Aegea Finance") senior unsecured rating at
Ba3. The outlook remains stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
AEGEA Saneamento e Participacoes S.A.'s Ba2 corporate family rating
(CFR) is supported by its diverse portfolio of water and sewage
concessions operating under long-term regulated contracts that
derives predictable operating cash flows. It further incorporates
Moody's views on the overall benign business environment for the
water and sewage sector in Brazil (Ba2 stable) with an evolving
regulatory framework that allows adequate returns on investments.
The rating further considers the company's currently adequate
liquidity profile, which Moody's expects to continue to be
prudently managed in line with the company's financial policy.
Execution risks are also factored in the rating, given the
company's rapid growth strategy that will translate into additional
financing needs to support new investments amid still high
borrowing costs that will constrain cash flow generation and the
pace of leverage reduction through at least 2025.
Aegea Finance's Senior Unsecured rating of Ba3 is positioned one
notch below AEGEA's CFR to reflect the structural subordination
since AEGEA does not hold any operations and is strictly a vehicle
for controlling stakes on the operating subsidiaries. AEGEA largely
depends on the regular payment of dividends from its operating
subsidiaries to allow the company to meet its debt obligations,
equity investment commitments and potential cash requirements
related to its guarantees.
AEGEA's expansion strategy entails execution risks, which are
partially mitigated by the company's demonstrated track record of
integrating and revamping new acquisitions. The company's long-term
debt profile and continued access to diversified funding sources
further mitigates the financial risk. Nonetheless, the rapid growth
have a prolonged impact to its capital structure requiring
additional debt to sustain large investment requirements and a
prolonged period of negative free cash flow generation. Complex
financial arrangements have been used for new investments, with the
purpose to commit with the covenant thresholds of its existing
debt. Still, the overall group indebtedness has increased taking
into consideration off-balance guarantees and encumbered cash at
the subsidiaries levels which are reflected on the ratings.
The stable outlook is based on Moody's assessment that AEGEA is
likely to maintain its adequate liquidity position for the
forthcoming 12-18 months, with credit metrics that remain
appropriately positioned for the Ba2 rating category. These include
a debt to capitalization ratio around 70% and funds from operations
(FFO) interest coverage ratio above 1.8x. These metrics incorporate
an assumption of steady enhancement in internal cash generation,
contingent upon the successful implementation of the Corsan
turnaround strategy and the maturation of other assets.
AEGEA's liquidity profile is currently adequate for the next 12
months. As of fiscal year end, the company reported an unrestricted
consolidated cash balance of BRL4.8 billion that compares to BRL1.5
billion in debt maturities in 2024 and BRL4.2 billion in 2025,
considering Parsan's debt maturity. While at the holding level,
AEGEA reported a cash position of BRL2.5 billion compared to BRL500
million in debt maturities in 2024 and BRL600 million in 2025.
However, the company still depends on sound access to the banking
and capital markets to address refinancing needs in 2025-2026.
From 2024 through 2025, Moody's expect AEGEA to receive about
BRL600 million per year in dividends from its operating
subsidiaries and invested companies, and an additional BRL700
million once Águas do Rio (AdR) starts paying dividends in 2026.
Aegea Finance's senior unsecured notes are fully guaranteed by
AEGEA and ranks pari-passu to its outstanding and future unsecured
debt. As of December 2023, debt at the holding company level
represented around 32% of total consolidated debt.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
A rating upgrade could be triggered as new operations mature
alleviating execution risks, combined with a simplification of the
corporate structure and a visible deleveraging trend. Positive
rating pressure would also build with evidence of strong
shareholder support through planned equity injections or higher
cash retention. Quantitatively, an upgrade would require funds from
operations (FFO) interest coverage stays above 2.5x and
debt/capitalization stays below 70% on a sustained basis.
The rating could be downgraded if there is further deterioration in
the company's liquidity or leverage metrics. Quantitatively,
downward pressure will increase if the FFO interest coverage stays
below 1.8x or if the debt/capitalization approaches 80% on a
sustained basis. The rating could also come under pressure if there
is deterioration in subsidiaries' performance, such that it hurts
cash generation or lead to noncompliance with contractual targets.
Moody's perception of reduced financial flexibility of the
operating subsidiaries to support debt service at the holding
company level could also imply further notching down of the Notes
due to structural considerations.
ISSUER PROFILE
AEGEA is one of the largest private water and sewage players
operating basic sanitation assets in Brazil under full or partial
concession contracts and public-private partnerships (PPPs). The
company's is present in more than 500 municipalities located in 14
states, serving a population of more than 31 million people through
concessions with an average contracted life of 31 years. In 2023,
according to Moody's standard adjustments, AEGEA reported net
revenue of BRL8.6 billion and EBITDA of BRL4.9 billion. In
addition, company's FFO interest coverage was 1.8x in the year and
Debt to Capitalization 66%.
AEGEA's shareholders are Equipav (52.8% stake), the Government of
Singapore Investment Corporation (34.3% stake) and Itausa S.A.
(12.9% stake).
The company holds minority stake in Águas do Rio. CEDAE, Rio de
Janeiro's state-owned water utility, tendered Blocks 1 (AdR 1) and
4 (AdR 4) to these entities for water and sewage services in the
metropolitan area of Rio de Janeiro in 2021. In 2023, AdR reported
a net revenue of BRL6.2 billion and EBITDA of BRL1.9 billion.
Although not consolidated into AEGEA's financials, AdR's assets are
accounted for using the equity income method and hold strategic
importance for the company.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
Issuer: AEGEA Saneamento e Participacoes S.A.
Affirmations:
Corporate Family Rating, Affirmed Ba2
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Remains Stable
Issuer: Aegea Finance S.a r.l.
Affirmations:
Backed Senior Unsecured Regular Bond/Debenture, Affirmed Ba3
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Remains Stable
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Regulated Water
Utilities published in August 2023.
BRAZIL: JPMorgan Sees Three Interest Rate Cuts Ahead
----------------------------------------------------
Richard Mann at Rio Times Online reports that Brazil's Central Bank
is planning more interest rate cuts in 2024. JPMorgan and UBS BB,
two big banks, see these cuts differently. Yet, both agree on the
general economic trend, according to Rio Times Online.
JPMorgan sees three cuts coming. First, they expect two cuts of
0.5% each, the report notes. Then, they see one more cut of 0.25%,
the report relays.
They believe the final rate will be 9.5%, the report adds.
About Brazil
Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world and third largest
in the Americas. Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the 2022 Brazilian
general election. He was sworn in on January 1, 2023, as the 39th
president of Brazil, succeeding Jair Bolsonaro.
S&P Global Ratings raised on Dec. 19, 2023, its long-term global
scale ratings on Brazil to 'BB' from 'BB-'. The outlook on the
long-term ratings is stable. S&P affirmed Brazil's global scale
short-term ratings at 'B' and its national scale long-term rating
at 'brAAA'. S&P also raised the transfer and convertibility
assessment on the country to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'. S&P said, "The
stable outlook reflects our expectation that Brazil will maintain
a
strong external position, thanks to strong commodity output and
limited external financing needs. We also believe Brazil's
institutional framework can sustain stable and pragmatic
policymaking based on extensive checks and balances across the
executive, legislative, and judicial branches of government. We
expect a very gradual fiscal correction but anticipate fiscal
deficits will remain large."
Fitch Ratings affirmed on Dec. 15, 2023, Brazil's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB' with a Stable
Outlook. Fitch said Brazil's ratings are supported by its large and
diverse economy, high per-capita income, and deep domestic markets
and a large cash cushion that support the sovereign's financing
flexibility and its high local-currency debt share. Strong external
finances support resilience to shocks, underpinned by a flexible
exchange rate, robust international reserves and a sovereign net
external creditor position. The ratings are constrained by weak
economic growth potential, relatively low governance scores, high
and rising government debt/GDP, and budgetary rigidities. A new
fiscal framework introduced this year aims to anchor a gradual
consolidation process and address these fiscal weaknesses, but its
effectiveness is increasingly unclear.
Moody's credit rating for Brazil was last set at Ba2 in 2018 with
stable outlook. Moody's affirmed the Ba2 issuer ratings and
senior unsecured bond ratings in April 2022.
DBRS Inc., on August 15, 2023, upgraded Brazil's Long-Term
Foreign and Local Currency - Issuer Ratings to BB from BB (low).
At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed Brazil's
Short-term Foreign and Local Currency - Issuer Ratings at R-4.
The trend on all ratings is Stable (March 2018).
BRAZIL: Sees Capital Outflow as U.S. Rates Soar
-----------------------------------------------
Richard Mann at Rio Times Online reports that foreign investors
have pulled out BRL694 million ($138.8 million) from Brazil's B3
stock market, continuing a 10-day withdrawal streak.
This activity deepens a 2024 trend of BRL24.16 billion ($4.832
billion) in net outflows, a sharp reversal from the previous year's
BRL44.9 billion ($8.98 billion) inflow, according to Rio Times
Online.
This retreat is partly due to the uncertainty in the United States
over the timing of interest rate cuts following unexpectedly high
inflation figures at 3.2%, the report notes.
About Brazil
Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world and third largest
in the Americas. Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the 2022 Brazilian
general election. He was sworn in on January 1, 2023, as the 39th
president of Brazil, succeeding Jair Bolsonaro.
S&P Global Ratings raised on Dec. 19, 2023, its long-term global
scale ratings on Brazil to 'BB' from 'BB-'. The outlook on the
long-term ratings is stable. S&P affirmed Brazil's global scale
short-term ratings at 'B' and its national scale long-term rating
at 'brAAA'. S&P also raised the transfer and convertibility
assessment on the country to 'BBB-' from 'BB+'. S&P said, "The
stable outlook reflects our expectation that Brazil will maintain
a
strong external position, thanks to strong commodity output and
limited external financing needs. We also believe Brazil's
institutional framework can sustain stable and pragmatic
policymaking based on extensive checks and balances across the
executive, legislative, and judicial branches of government. We
expect a very gradual fiscal correction but anticipate fiscal
deficits will remain large."
Fitch Ratings affirmed on Dec. 15, 2023, Brazil's Long-Term
Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB' with a Stable
Outlook. Fitch said Brazil's ratings are supported by its large and
diverse economy, high per-capita income, and deep domestic markets
and a large cash cushion that support the sovereign's financing
flexibility and its high local-currency debt share. Strong external
finances support resilience to shocks, underpinned by a flexible
exchange rate, robust international reserves and a sovereign net
external creditor position. The ratings are constrained by weak
economic growth potential, relatively low governance scores, high
and rising government debt/GDP, and budgetary rigidities. A new
fiscal framework introduced this year aims to anchor a gradual
consolidation process and address these fiscal weaknesses, but its
effectiveness is increasingly unclear.
Moody's credit rating for Brazil was last set at Ba2 in 2018 with
stable outlook. Moody's affirmed the Ba2 issuer ratings and
senior unsecured bond ratings in April 2022.
DBRS Inc., on August 15, 2023, upgraded Brazil's Long-Term
Foreign and Local Currency - Issuer Ratings to BB from BB (low).
At the same time, DBRS Morningstar confirmed Brazil's
Short-term Foreign and Local Currency - Issuer Ratings at R-4.
The trend on all ratings is Stable (March 2018).
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C H I L E
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WOM CHILE: Bondholders Hire Advisers Ahead of Possible Talks
------------------------------------------------------------
Bloomberg News reports that WOM Chile and some of its creditors
have tapped advisers ahead of potential debt talks.
Holders of global bonds issued by the mobile operator began working
with Dechert LLP, according to the people, who asked not to be
named as the negotiations are private, according to Bloomberg News.
They didn't identify members of the bondholder group that retained
the law firm. Some bondholders also hired Ducera Partners LLC as an
adviser, according to two other people familiar with the matter,
the report notes.
The company is working with law firm White & Case LLP, according to
another person familiar with the matter, the report relays. It had
already hired Rothschild last year to help it refinance its debt
coming due this year, the report says.
"The news suggests that a potentially lengthy in or out-of-court
restructuring process is becoming increasingly likely," Sebastian
Hofmeister, who follows the company for Lucror Analytics, wrote in
a note, the report adds.
WOM bonds collapsed last week as Moody’s Ratings cut its credit
score deeper into junk, recounts Bloomberg News. The closely held
company is struggling to convince investors it can manage a $348
million bond payment due in November.
In a statement, WOM said "options to refinance" the 2024 bond have
taken longer than expected but it's still analyzing alternatives to
meet the obligation before November, the report adds.
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J A M A I C A
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JAMAICA: Banks Urged to Ensure Inclusivity Along With Changes
-------------------------------------------------------------
Javaughn Keyes at RJR News reports that financial institutions are
being urged to make well-designed plans for digital and
technological changes.
Minister with responsibility for Digital Transformation Dr. Dana
Morris Dixon, says as technology evolves in the banking sector, the
changes must be inclusive, according to RJR News.
"Through digital platforms, banking services are no longer confined
to brick and mortar establishments, but are accessible to anyone
with a smartphone or computer. This branch and your online banking
platform are testament to that," she said at the opening of Sagicor
Bank's New Brunswick Village branch in Spanish Town, the report
notes.
"This democratization of banking services is crucial for reaching
underserved communities, allowing them to partake in financial
systems that were previously out of reach. When we close branches,
we are excluding some people from the financial services space,"
the minister added, the report notes.
She said the use of artificial intelligence must also be closely
assessed, the report relays.
"In the banking sector and around the world, they are using more
artificial intelligence. And it is useful because it makes the
services more efficient. It makes you go in and out more quickly.
Customer service is actually better. But as we use artificial
intelligence, I maintain that we also have to look at safeguarding
those concepts of inclusion, so fairness and non-discrimination is
a key element.
"When we use AI in banking, usually it's around algorithms. It is
very important that we scrutinise all these algorithms and ensure
that no Jamaican is disadvantaged because of where they come from,
or disadvantaged because whether or not they are male or female,"
she urged, the report adds.
About Jamaica
Jamaica is an island country situated in the Caribbean Sea.
Jamaica is an upper-middle income country with an economy heavily
dependent on tourism. Other major sectors of the Jamaican economy
include agriculture, mining, manufacturing, petroleum refining,
financial and insurance services.
In October 2023, Moody's upgraded the Government of Jamaica's
long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings to B1 from B2, and
senior unsecured shelf rating to (P)B1 from (P)B2. The outlook has
been changed to positive from stable. The upgrade of Jamaica's
rating to B1 reflects the government's sustained commitment to
fiscal consolidation and debt reduction. The positive outlook
reflects Moody's assessment that a continuation of the favorable
fiscal trajectory will further increase Jamaica's credit
resilience.
S&P Global Ratings raised on September 13, 2023, its long-term
foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on Jamaica to
'BB-' from 'B+', and affirmed its short-term foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings at 'B'. The stable outlook
reflects S&P's expectation that the government will remain
committed to prudent fiscal policies and reducing debt, as well as
supportive economic policies including a flexible exchange rate
regime and effective monetary policy.
In March 2022, Fitch Ratings affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term Foreign
Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B+'. The Rating Outlook is
Stable.
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P E R U
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PERU: IMF Says Economy is Recovering after Consecutive Shocks
-------------------------------------------------------------
An International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission met with the Peruvian
authorities and other counterparts during February 21 - March 7 to
discuss recent economic developments and policy priorities. This
concluding statement summarizes the mission's main takeaways.
The Economy is Recovering after Consecutive Shocks
The economy had a slight contraction in 2023, due to multiple
consecutive shocks, while inflation decelerated rapidly. Economic
growth declined to -0.6 percent in 2023, due to climate-related
shocks and social turmoil. Inflation is converging towards the
target thanks to the BCRP's decisive monetary policy tightening.
Strong supervision maintained financial stability. The fiscal
position remained strong, although the fiscal deficit (of the
non-financial public sector) reached 2.8 percent of GDP (above the
fiscal rule target of 2.4 percent of GDP), reflecting a shortfall
in tax revenues due to the economic slowdown. Led by sizable import
compression and better terms of trade, the current account
registered a surplus of 0.6 percent of GDP. International reserves
remain at a comfortable level of about 28 percent of GDP.
A rebound is expected in 2024 with growth converging towards its
potential over the medium term. A strong recovery in agriculture
and fishing after El Niño ends, ongoing momentum in mining, and a
looser monetary policy (consistent with lower inflation) are
expected to support a growth revival. However, only a modest
recovery in private consumption and investment is expected, as
political uncertainty continues to hamper consumer and business
confidence. Real GDP is projected to grow by around 2.5 percent in
2024 with a negative output gap closing gradually until 2026. The
current account is envisaged to return to a low deficit in 2024 as
growth normalizes and to stabilize at about -1.5 percent of GDP in
the medium term. Inflation is expected to decrease towards the
middle of the target band, aided by the normalization of supply
shocks and a negative output gap, while the BCRP continues with its
easing cycle to bring the policy rate to a neutral level.
Evolving risks are broadly balanced, and Peru has ample buffers to
cope with shocks. Key domestic risks include an intensification of
political uncertainty, social unrest, and climate-related shocks.
Key external risks comprise weak trading-partner growth, commodity
price volatility, and a sharp tightening of global financial
conditions. On the upside, a decisive resurgence in confidence,
catalyzed by large infrastructure and mining projects, could
strengthen private consumption and investment. Peru's proven
macroeconomic resilience is reinforced by very strong buffers
including low public debt, abundant international reserves, access
to international capital markets on favorable terms, and access to
the Flexible Credit Line (FCL).
Ensuring a Resilient and Inclusive Recovery
The BCRP's data-driven monetary policy easing remains appropriate.
With inflation entering the target band and anchored inflation
expectations, additional data-dependent monetary policy easing is
warranted. With the interest rate differential against the U.S.
expected to narrow, the BCRP should continue to allow exchange rate
flexibility.
The authorities could use targeted macroprudential measures to
facilitate de-dollarization. Credit dollarization has fallen from
around 49 percent in mid-2013 to 22 percent in 2022, but the trend
has stalled. The authorities could consider foreign exchange
targeted macroprudential measures and removing hurdles to the
development of capital markets to reduce unhedged positions.
The authorities remain committed to the fiscal prudence. The 2024
budget envisages a deficit of the non-financial public sector of 2
percent of GDP, consistent with the fiscal rule target. While the
required adjustment is within reach, given available fiscal space,
if lingering effects from the shocks in 2023 lead to
lower-than-expected revenues, delaying the consolidation by one
year (setting a fiscal target for 2024 of 2.5 percent of GDP
instead of 2.0 percent) could help support the growth recovery and
lessen the risk of missing the target again. New tax benefit and
unfunded spending initiatives by Congress would also jeopardize
attaining the target. Recent announcements to restructure the
governance of Petro-Peru are steps in the right direction, but
further financial support should be conditional on the viability of
the firm. Improving fiscal policy guidance could also bolster
fiscal policy credibility.
Revenue mobilization measures could strengthen fiscal consolidation
plans in the medium term. The fiscal deficit is set to gradually
decline by 0.5 percent of GDP per year to reach a deficit of 1
percent of GDP by 2026, to preserve medium-term fiscal
sustainability. To achieve these targets, a more balanced
composition of the envisaged consolidation would be preferable,
given Peru's relatively low tax burden. To increase revenues, the
authorities could also consider expanding taxes to the digital
economy; homogenizing the tax rates on capital and labor income;
and curtailing sectoral tax benefits, special regimes, and other
tax expenditures. Personal income tax revenues are modest, partly
due to low rates, but also because of the high-income thresholds
that effectively exempt the majority of formal workers. The
authorities' plans to improve tax administration and compliance are
important but will likely require additional resources for the tax
authority.
A long-awaited pension reform is urgently needed to address low
coverage and adequacy. A reform proposal is being considered by
Congress with noteworthy initiatives, such as expanding the minimum
and social pension, introducing automatic enrollment, and
periodically assessing parameters. However, the proposal could
maximize its impact by clarifying the language limiting
withdrawals, increasing the coverage and benefit amounts for the
minimum and social pensions (to reduce old-age poverty with only a
limited fiscal cost), and improving the targeting of the
non-contributory pension. Over the medium term, a comprehensive
pension reform remains essential to fully address weak coverage and
adequacy. New rounds of early withdrawals from the private pension
scheme are ill advised, as they undermine old-age income support
and the functioning of the domestic capital market.
Enhancing Financial Sector Resilience
Systemic risks are limited, but the authorities should continue to
closely monitor and proactively contain financial vulnerabilities.
Banks remain profitable, with ample liquidity and capital buffers.
As the economy recovers, non-performing loans are expected to
decline gradually. The regulator should remain vigilant of emerging
pockets of vulnerability, particularly in small financial
institutions (which were relatively more affected by weak economic
growth) and ensure that private pension funds have appropriate
liquidity cushions against potential withdrawals.
Fully operationalizing new regulations and closing remaining gaps
would enhance financial resilience. Most financial institutions are
prepared for the full implementation of the Basel III capital
requirement in September 2024. New rules for countercyclical
capital buffers and provisioning will be effective in June 2024,
but the SBS should consider recalibrating their activation
criteria. Recovery and resolution plans for domestic systemically
important banks have been submitted for review and should be later
extended to the financial group level. The authorities should build
on their success and continue lowering barriers to entry for
Fintech providers, while maintaining appropriate risk-based
regulation, implementing interoperability regulations, and
introducing frameworks for Open Banking and Finance.
Lifting Productivity and Boosting Resilience
Policies to boost productivity should focus on removing constraints
for firms to grow. GDP growth has disappointed since 2014, with
average and potential growth falling to about 2.5 percent, driven
by a decline in total factor productivity growth, which has been
broad based across firm size, region, and industry. This decline
could be related to special corporate tax regimes, as well as labor
legislations and regulations that do not create incentives for
formalization and growth. Progress in improving regulatory quality,
particularly in simplifying procedures for business formalization
and construction and operating licenses, is welcome. Efforts should
continue to focus on simplifying legislations and regulations that
impose excessive costs for formalizing or growing a business.
Given Peru's high vulnerability to climate change, increased
efforts in building resilience are needed to unlock output gains.
Climate change will likely increase damages from natural disasters
and undermine potential growth in the future. The authorities have
made progress in enhancing public infrastructure, bolstering
financial resilience, and identifying adaptation gaps.
Nevertheless, climate spending remains low, budget planning lacks
adequate costing of key adaptation measures, and territorial
planning should be strengthened. Scaling up investments in climate
adaptation and resilience would unlock significant potential output
gains and fiscal savings over the long term. A recent government
initiative to shift the focus to ex-ante resilience building to
climate change is a positive step.
Digital technologies and artificial intelligence offer a pathway to
enhance productivity. There has been progress in FinTech and
GovTech, including recent innovations in digital payments and
wallets that have increased financial account ownership, as well as
VAT e-invoicing and electronic tax payments. Artificial
intelligence holds the potential to elevate productivity,
especially in the finance, government, education, health, IT, and
construction sectors, by increasing the quality-to-price ratio and
improving services. Automation through artificial intelligence also
presents social challenges as workers will need to transition to
new jobs. It is crucial, therefore, to encourage workers to develop
skills for effectively integrating artificial intelligence into
their work.
Effective governance institutions would also reinforce inclusive
growth. The authorities reaffirmed their commitment to combating
corruption to attract investment and augment the trust in
government. Several anti-corruption frameworks are in place (such
as integrity officers in public agencies, digital platforms for
citizen complaints, and a beneficial ownership registry), but their
implementation must be prioritized and supported with adequate
resources. Independence and integrity of judicial bodies should be
enhanced through robust judicial vetting processes and reduction in
the high reliance on temporary judges. Improving coordination among
relevant agencies could contribute to effective prosecution and
ending corruption impunity.
A more ambitious reform agenda is required to durably raise growth.
Government's efforts in cutting red tape and unblocking large
infrastructure projects, streamlining the tax system, and reforming
the procurement framework; and the recently approved political
reform are welcome. The OECD accession process provides a clear
roadmap for critical reforms to enhance local government capacity,
improve the business climate, reduce informality, and reform the
civil service, to boost productivity and green and inclusive
growth.
=====================
P U E R T O R I C O
=====================
ZAGACITY TECH: Plan Exclusivity Period Extended to May 30
---------------------------------------------------------
Judge Mildred Caban Flores of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the
District of Puerto Rico extended Zagacity Tech LLC's exclusive
periods to file a chapter 11 plan of reorganization and disclosure
statement, and solicit acceptances thereof to May 30 and June 15,
2024, respectively.
As shared by Troubled Company Reporter, the Debtor will be in a
better position to present a plan once it has time to finalize its
reorganization strategy and as soon as the governmental creditor's
bar date elapses. Debtor continues to be in constant communication
with its financial advisor and counsel for the prosecution of the
case and continues to work to increase the feasibility of its
operations.
The Debtor claims that it needs time to continue the formulation of
the exit strategy and negotiations, for which resolution is crucial
for the Debtor's reorganization prospects.
Zagacity Tech, LLC, is represented by:
Javier Vilarino, Esq.
Vilarino & Associates, LLC
P.O. Box 9022515
San Juan, PR 00902-2515
Telephone: (787) 565-9894
Email: jvilarino@vilarinolaw.com
About Zagacity Tech
Zagacity Tech LLC distributes and sells technological products,
home appliances, audio and TV, in the home and commercial lines.
Zagacity Tech LLC filed its voluntary petition for relief under
Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code (Bankr. D.P.R. Case No. 23-03787)
on November 17, 2023. The petition was signed by Nestor G. Cardona
as president. At the time of filing, the Debtor estimated $1
million to $10 million in both assets and liabilities.
The Debtor tapped Javier Vilarino, Esq., at Vilarino & Associates
LLC as counsel and Albert Tamarez Vasquez, CPA, at Tamarez CPA, LLC
as accountant.
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U R U G U A Y
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NARANJAL/LITORAL URUGUAY 2: Moody's Ups Subordinate Rating to Ba1
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Moody's Ratings has upgraded the senior secured rating of
Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 1's (Naranjal/Litoral) to Baa2 from
Baa3 and the subordinate rating of Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer
2's (Naranjal/Litoral) to Ba1 from Ba2. The outlook was changed to
stable from positive.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrade reflects the improvements in the project's cash
generation profile following the higher than expected inflation
period in 2021 and 2022. The power purchase agreement (PPA) signed
with UTE in 2017 established a remuneration of $85.36 per megawatt
hour (MWh) generated, annually adjusted by the US Producer Price
Index for Finished Goods. While Moody's projections at the time the
rating was assigned took into account PPA prices at $99.02/MWh for
2024, the inflation has been such that actual PPA prices reached
$114.77/MWh. While costs have adjusted at a slower pace, both the
margin and the dollar amount of cash flow from operations have
increased, while the debt service is fixed. This dynamic have
resulted in Moody's forecasting permanently higher senior debt
service coverage ratio for the project, that will remain at an
average of 1.53x from 2024 until bond maturity in 2042, while the
initial projections embedded a ratio of 1.23x for the same period.
The operation and maintenance service agreement provides for fixed
costs with a 2% annual step up rate through 2027.
As other solar projects in the region, generation in 2023 was
slightly lower than expected, mainly explained by the above average
rainfall during the "El Niño" weather phenomenon. Nonetheless,
generation during the last three years remains 0.8% higher than
expected by Moody's. Even with lower generation in 2023, the
project recorded a senior debt service coverage ratio of 1.56x for
the year.
Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 1's Baa2 senior secured rating
reflects the project's long-term, fixed-price power purchase
agreement (PPA) with the Administración Nacional de Usinas y
Trasmisiones Eléctricas (UTE), Uruguay's government-owned
electricity company. The Government of Uruguay (Baa1 stable) acts
as a guarantor of UTE's obligations. The PPAs do not require
minimum production levels and include compensation provisions for
curtailment and defined termination payments. The standard project
finance creditor protections are embedded in the bond structure,
including a first lien on assets, well-defined cash flow
waterfalls, limitations in incurring additional debt and debt
distribution tests. Moody's also view the project liquidity
favorably, as the project relies on a senior debt service reserve
account sized to 12 months of debt service, an advantage over its
local peers.
Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 2's Ba1 subordinated debt rating
considers the lower ranking of these notes in the waterfall
schedule and the second lien on the project's assets. It also
incorporates the existence of a distribution test that could stop
debt service on the subordinated notes should the senior debt
service coverage ratio (SDSCR) in any year be below 1.15 times.
While the existence of a twelve month debt service reserve account
mitigates default risk, the two notch difference in the ratings
between the senior secured and the subordinated notes reflect this
potential restriction on cash flows for the subordinated debt.
The stable rating outlook takes into consideration Moody's
expectations of stable and predictable cash flow from long-term
PPAs. The outlook also incorporates Moody's view of a senior debt
service coverage ratio (SDSCR) in the range of 1.35x-1.65x.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Higher-than-expected energy production or cash flow generation
driven by further inflation leading to an SDSCR above 1.70x could
exert upward pressure on the rating. A rating upgrade of the
Uruguayan government, as the owner of the off-taker responsible for
making payments under the PPA (UTE), would also be an important
rating consideration.
Conversely, an unforeseen reduction in cash flow or operational
problems that lead to an SDSCR below 1.4x for an extended period
could exert downward pressure on the rating. Additionally, given
the linkages with the credit quality of the Government of Uruguay,
a multi-notch downgrade of the sovereign rating could also lead to
a downgrade of the project's ratings.
COMPANY PROFILE
The issuers of the notes Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 1 and
Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 2 are two special purpose vehicles,
established solely for the purpose of issuing the senior and
subordinated B Notes to fund the senior B loan participation and
the subordinated B loan participation, per the participation
agreement with the Inter-American Investment Corporation ("IDB
Invest"), the lender of record. The proceeds from the notes were
provided by IDB Invest to Colidim S.A. and Jolipark S.A., the
borrowers, which are wholly owned by Global Infrastructure
Partners.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
Issuer: Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 1
Affirmations:
Senior Secured Regular Bond/Debenture, Upgraded to Baa2 from Baa3
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Changed to Stable from Positive
Issuer: Naranjal/Litoral Uruguay Issuer 2
Affirmations:
Subordinate Regular Bond/Debenture, Upgraded to Ba1 from Ba2
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Changed to Stable from Positive
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Power
Generation Projects published in June 2023.
*********
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