/raid1/www/Hosts/bankrupt/TCRLA_Public/221201.mbx        T R O U B L E D   C O M P A N Y   R E P O R T E R

                 L A T I N   A M E R I C A

          Thursday, December 1, 2022, Vol. 23, No. 234

                           Headlines



B E R M U D A

BLOCKFI INC: Case Summary & 50 Largest Unsecured Creditors


B R A Z I L

BRAZIL: Economist Will Lead Regional Development Bank
BRAZIL: Market Value of Banks is Still Lower Than in 2019


J A M A I C A

JAMAICA: Manufacturing Prices Fell in October
JAMAICA: Seeking Investments of at least US$1 Billion


M E X I C O

BRASKEM IDESA: S&P Alters Outlook to Negative, Affirms 'B+' ICR


S T .   K I T T S   A N D   N E V I S

ST. KITTS & NEVIS: Growth Has Slowed the Past Year, IMF Says

                           - - - - -


=============
B E R M U D A
=============

BLOCKFI INC: Case Summary & 50 Largest Unsecured Creditors
----------------------------------------------------------
Nine affiliates that concurrently filed voluntary petitions for
relief under Chapter 11 of the Bankruptcy Code:

     Debtor                                       Case
No.
     ------                                       --------
     BlockFi Inc. (Lead
Debtor)                   22-19361
     201 Montgomery Street, Suite 263
     Jersey City, NJ 07302

     BlockFi Trading
LLC                          22-19363
     BlockFi Lending
LLC                          22-19365
     BlockFi Wallet
LLC                           22-19366
     BlockFi Ventures
LLC                         22-19367
     BlockFi International
Ltd.                   22-19368
     BlockFi Investment Products
LLC              22-19370
     BlockFi Services,
Inc.                       22-19371
     BlockFi Lending II
LLC                       22-19374

Business Description: BlockFi is a ditigal asset lender founded in

                      2017.

Chapter 11 Petition Date: November 28, 2022

Court: United States Bankruptcy Court
       District of New Jersey

Judge: Hon. Michael B. Kaplan

Debtors'
General
Bankruptcy
Co-Counsel:      Joshua A. Sussberg, P.C.
                 Christine A. Okike, P.C.
                 KIRKLAND & ELLIS LLP
                 KIRKLAND & ELLIS INTERNATIONAL
LLP
                 601 Lexington Avenue
                 New York, New York 10022
                 Tel: (212) 446-4800
                 Email: jsussberg@kirkland.com
                        christine.okike@kirkland.com

Debtors'
General
Bankruptcy
Co-Counsel:      Richard S. Kanowitz, Esq.
                 Kenric D. Kattner, Esq.
                 HAYNES AND BOONE, LLP
                 30 Rockefeller Plaza, 26th Floor
                 New York, New York 10112
                 Tel: (212) 659-7300
                 Email:
richard.kanowitz@haynesboone.com
                        kenric.kattner@haynesboone.com

Debtors'
Local
Bankruptcy
Counsel:          Michael D. Sirota, Esq.
                  Warren A. Usatine, Esq.
                  COLE SCHOTZ P.C.
                  Court Plaza North, 25 Main
Street
                  Hackensack, New Jersey 07601
                  Tel: (201) 489-3000
                  Fax: (201) 489-1536
                  Email: msirota@coleschotz.com
                         wusatine@coleschotz.com

Debtors'
Financial
Advisor:          BERKELEY RESEARCH GROUP, LLC

Debtors'
Investment
Banker:           MOELIS & COMPANY

Debtors'
Strategic &
Communications
Advisor:          C STREET ADVISORY GROUP, LLC

Debtors'
Special
Bermuda
Counsel:          WALKERS (BERMUDA) LIMITED

Debtors'
Notice &
Claims Agent:     KROLL RESTRUCTURING ADMINISTRATION LLC

Estimated Assets
(consolidated): $1 billion to $10 billion

Estimated Liabilities
(consolidated): $1 billion to $10 billion

The petitions were signed by Zachary Prince as chief executive
officer.

A full-text copy of the Lead Debtor's petition is available for
free at PacerMonitor.com at:

https://www.pacermonitor.com/view/EHR2XVY/BlockFi_Inc__njbke-22-19361__0001.0.pdf?mcid=tGE4TAMA

Consolidated List of Debtors' 50 Largest Unsecured Creditors:

   Entity                          Nature
of Claim    Claim Amount
   ------                          ---------------    ------------
1. Ankura Trust Company,
LLC,        Indenture        $729,036,246
as Trustee for the
Indenture dated as of February 28, 2022
James J. McGinley
140 Sherman Street, 4th Floor
Fairfield, CT 06824
Tel: 203-319-6900
Email: james.mcginley@ankura.com

2. West Realm Shires Inc. (FTX
US)      Loan          $275,000,000
John J. Ray III
3500 South Dupont Highway
Dover, DE 19901

3. Name and Address on
File             Client         $48,561,400

4. Securities & Exchange
Commission   Settlement       $30,000,000
Hane Kim
Brookfield Place
200 Vesey Street, Suite 400
New York, NY 10281-1022
Tel: 212-336-1088
Email: kimha@SEC.GOV

5. Name and Address on
File             Client         $27,930,663

6. Name and Address on
File             Client         $25,531,937

7. Name and Address on
File             Client         $16,450,930

8. Name and Address on
File             Client         $10,092,477

9. Name and Address on
File             Client          $9,130,266

10. Name and Address on
File            Client          $6,500,000

11. Name and Address on
File            Client          $6,416,732

12. Name and Address on
File            Client          $6,264,675

13. Name and Address on
File            Client          $6,042,827

14. Name and Address on
File            Client          $5,713,322

15. Name and Address on
File            Client          $5,500,232

16. Name and Address on
File            Client          $5,482,181

17. Name and Address on
File            Client          $5,000,000

18. Name and Address on
File            Client          $4,670,469

19. Name and Address on
File            Client          $3,995,213

20. Name and Address on
File            Client          $3,290,438

21. Name and Address on
File            Client          $3,290,186

22. Name and Address on
File            Client          $3,092,832
  
23. Name and Address on
File            Client          $3,084,390

24. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,733,625

25. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,618,909

26. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,600,000

27. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,527,023

28. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,385,343

29. Name and Address on
File        Institutional       $2,264,185
                                        Loans

30. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,195,060

31. Name and Address on
File            Client          $2,028,277

32. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,799,293

33. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,769,481

34. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,693,730

35. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,680,488

36. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,647,320

37. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,646,355

38. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,630,590

39. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,535,700

40. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,471,911

41. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,454,081

42. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,398,077

43. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,354,519

44. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,253,815

45. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,201,448

46. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,100,609

47. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,046,888

48. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,042,364

49. Name and Address on
File            Client          $1,000,189

50. Name and Address on
File            Client            $999,650




===========
B R A Z I L
===========

BRAZIL: Economist Will Lead Regional Development Bank
-----------------------------------------------------
globalinsolvency.com, citing Associated Press, reports that Latin
American governments elected Brazilian economist Ilan Goldfajn to
lead the region's largest development bank in the wake of a
misconduct probe that led to the firing of the previous president.


Governors from the Inter-American Development Bank's 48 members
selected Goldfajn to lead the Washington-based multilateral lender
from a slate of five candidates nominated by Argentina, Brazil,
Chile, Mexico and Trinidad & Tobago, according to
globalinsolvency.com.

                            About Brazil

Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world and third largest
in the Americas.  Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the 2022
Brazilian
general election. He will be sworn in on January 1, 2023, as the
39th president of Brazil, succeeding Jair Bolsonaro.

In July 2022, Fitch Ratings affirmed Brazil's Long-Term Foreign
Currency Issuer Default Rating at 'BB-' and revised the Rating
Outlook to Stable from Negative.  In June 2022, S&P Global
Ratings
also affirmed its 'BB-/B' long- and short-term foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Brazil.  Moody's, in April
2022, affirmed Brazil's long-term Ba2 issuer ratings and senior
unsecured bond ratings, (P)Ba2 senior unsecured shelf ratings, and
maintained the stable outlook.  On the other had, DBRS, in
August
2022, confirmed Brazil's Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency
Issuer Ratings at BB (low).

BRAZIL: Market Value of Banks is Still Lower Than in 2019
---------------------------------------------------------
The Rio Times Online reports that the 4 largest banks listed on the
B3 (Sao Paulo Stock Exchange) are worth 62% of the market value
registered in 2019, BRL951.9 billion in the pre-pandemic period.

The survey was carried out by analyst Einar Rivero, from TradeMap,
and sent exclusively to Poder360. It considers the numbers of BB
(Banco do Brasil), Bradesco, Itau Unibanco and Santander Brasil,
according to The Rio Times Online.

                            About Brazil

Brazil is the fifth largest country in the world and third largest
in the Americas.  Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the 2022
Brazilian
general election. He will be sworn in on January 1, 2023, as the
39th president of Brazil, succeeding Jair Bolsonaro.

In July 2022, Fitch Ratings affirmed Brazil's Long-Term Foreign
Currency Issuer Default Rating at 'BB-' and revised the Rating
Outlook to Stable from Negative.  In June 2022, S&P Global
Ratings
also affirmed its 'BB-/B' long- and short-term foreign and local
currency sovereign credit ratings on Brazil.  Moody's, in April
2022, affirmed Brazil's long-term Ba2 issuer ratings and senior
unsecured bond ratings, (P)Ba2 senior unsecured shelf ratings, and
maintained the stable outlook.  On the other had, DBRS, in
August
2022, confirmed Brazil's Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency
Issuer Ratings at BB (low).



=============
J A M A I C A
=============

JAMAICA: Manufacturing Prices Fell in October
---------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that the Statistical Institute of Jamaica (STATIN)
is reporting that the cost to produce goods in the manufacturing
industry fell in the month of October.

The Producer Price Index for the sector was down one per cent,
according to RJR News.

The main contributor was a decline in the major group, 'Refined
Petroleum Products', which fell by 6.4 per cent, due to lower crude
oil prices on the international market, the report notes.

But the falloff was tempered by a 0.4 per cent increase in the
index for the major group 'Food Beverages & Tobacco,' the report
relays.

October's PPI movement brought the point-to-point index for the
manufacturing industry up by 14.6 per cent, the report dicloses.

The three major groups contributing to the growth were 'Refined
Petroleum Products,' 'Food, Beverages & Tobacco', and 'Chemical and
Chemical Products, the report relays.

                   Mining and Quarrying PPI Falls

The October PPI for the Mining and Quarrying industry fell by 9.4
per cent, the report says.

The movement in the index for the industry was mainly attributed to
a 9.9 per cent decline in the index for the major group 'Bauxite
Mining & Alumina Processing,' adds the report.

The index for the other major group 'Other Mining & Quarrying' saw
slight movement, the report discloses.

The Mining & Quarrying industry's point-to-point index fell by 19.8
per cent, following a 20.8 per cent decline in the index for the
major group 'Bauxite Mining & Alumina Processing,' the report
adds.

As reported in the Troubled Company Reporter-Latin America in March
2022, Fitch Ratings has affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term Foreign
Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B+'. The Rating Outlook is
Stable.

JAMAICA: Seeking Investments of at least US$1 Billion
-----------------------------------------------------
RJR News reports that Jamaica is looking to secure investments of
US$1 billion or more.

Finance Minister Dr. Nigel Clarke says the government is pushing to
have amendments to the Large Scale Projects and Pioneer Industries
Act of 2013 approved before the end of the financial year to
support this new agenda, according to RJR News.

"We have Omnibus Incentive legislation that is the framework for
everyday investments but with the track record that Jamaica has
established and with the macroeconomic fundamentals that we have,
which are strong, our goal now is to attract investments that are a
billion US dollars in size and more," he announced, the report
notes.

Dr. Clarke was contributing to the opening discussion at the Invest
Jamaica 2022 Business Conference, the report adds.

As reported in the Troubled Company Reporter-Latin America in March
2022, Fitch Ratings has affirmed Jamaica's Long-Term Foreign
Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B+'. The Rating Outlook is
Stable.



===========
M E X I C O
===========

BRASKEM IDESA: S&P Alters Outlook to Negative, Affirms 'B+' ICR
---------------------------------------------------------------
On Nov. 29, 2022, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on
Mexico-based polyethylene producer Braskem Idesa S.A.P.I.'s (BI) to
negative from stable and affirmed its 'B+' issuer credit rating. At
the same time, S&P affirmed its 'B+' issue-level and '3' recovery
ratings on the company's senior secured notes due 2029 and 2032.
The '3' recovery rating indicates its expectation of meaningful
(50%-90%; rounded estimate 65%) recovery prospects in the event of
a payment default.

The negative outlook reflects S&P's view that BI could face a
complex price environment for its products (polyethylene) and raw
materials (mainly ethane), increasing its weighted net debt to
EBITDA above 5.0x in the next 12 months.

Despite revenue and EBITDA improvement last year, the outlook
revision reflects expected higher leverage for 2022 and 2023. The
company strengthened its financial results during 2021 due to
robust demand for its products and favorable polyethylene prices.
However, its revenue and EBITDA deteriorated in the third quarter
of 2022. On a quarterly basis, BI posted MXN5.5 billion in revenue,
down 20.1% from a previous-year level mainly due to lower
polyethylene prices. At the same time, raw material prices rose,
especially ethane (the main input for polyethylene production,
which represents about 55% of its total costs) and natural gas.
This caused BI's EBITDA to plummet about 85% to about MXN578
million from MXN3.6 billion last year. Consequently, due to lower
EBITDA during the third quarter of 2022, BI's net leverage
increased to 4.2x for the 12 months ended September 2022. S&P said,
"We also expect that the fourth-quarter results will be in line
with those in the third quarter due to current polyethylene prices.
Therefore, we now forecast BI's net weighted debt to EBITDA to be
well above 5.0x by the end of 2022, up sharply deviating from our
previous expectation of less than 4.0x. Nonetheless, we still
expect a steady demand for the company's products (high- and
low-density polyethylene), given their diverse final applications
and the resiliency of the industries that BI serves (packaging,
hygiene, cleaning, pharmaceuticals, food, and beverage among
others). Nevertheless, despite the basic consumption nature of BI's
products, we expect a challenging environment for the next 12
months given that polyethylene prices could remain sluggish,
denting BI's EBITDA and credit metrics."

S&P said, "We could downgrade BI if polyethylene prices continue to
fall further than expected amid persistently high inflation.
Although we expect lower EBITDA for the remainder of 2022, which in
turn should raise weighted net debt to EBITDA well above 5.0x by
year-end, we forecast a gradual recovery of polyethylene prices
during 2023 that should enable the company's EBITDA to bounce back.
Additionally, although we expect a complex scenario for commodity
prices to remain due to persistently high inflation, we assume that
ethane and natural gas prices will gradually normalize during 2023,
supporting BI's profitability." Stricter cost controls and BI's
operating efficiencies should cause weighted net debt to EBITDA to
drop below 5.0x for the next 12 months. On the other hand, if
polyethylene prices continue to drop and raw material prices to
remain high because of inflationary pressures and the
Russia-Ukraine conflict, the company's weighted net debt to EBITDA
could reach beyond our 5.0x threshold. This could lead us to
downgrade BI.

Despite challenging business conditions, BI's liquidity remains
strong. The company still maintains a strong liquidity position
with a cash balance of about MXN8 billion (about $400 million) as
of Sept. 30, 2022. BI still has a comfortable debt maturity
profile, with no material financial obligations in the next 12
months, given short-term debt maturities of only about MXN523.4
million as of Sept. 30, 2022, through the amortizations of a bank
loan. The company's debt structure mainly consists of its two
senior secured notes of $900 million and $1.2 billion, which
represents about 94% of its total debt due 2029 and 2032,
respectively. Last year, BI issued $1.2 billion in senior notes,
and coupled with an amortizing bank loan, fully refinanced a
project finance loan, extending its debt maturity profile. Although
S&P expects lower EBITDA than in previous year, it expects BI to
deploy its capital expenditures (capex) prudently and lower its
dividend payments in order to preserve its cash and keep a solid
liquidity position.

The negative outlook reflects S&P's view that BI could face
difficulties stemming from lower polyethylene prices and higher raw
materials (mainly ethane) prices. These factors could continue
sapping the company's EBITDA and increase its weighted net debt to
EBITDA above 5.0x.

S&P could lower the rating on BI in the next six-12 months if:

-- The supply-demand dynamics continue to depress polyethylene
prices and the company's credit metrics;

-- Business conditions or global economy recovery stalls,
deepening a drop in the company's revenues and margins, which would
cause EBITDA to continue eroding;

-- BI's production and sales prices don't reach the expected
levels, crimping revenue and EBITDA;
-- Weighted average net debt to EBITDA remains well above 4.0x and
the weighted EBITDA interest coverage ratio below 3.0x consistently
due to lower EBITDA;

-- Cash flows plummet well beyond our expectations, weakening
liquidity well beyond our assumptions; and/or

-- If the company increases substantially its debt to fund capex
or other investments.

S&P could revise our outlook on BI to stable in the next six-12
months if:

--- There is evidence of stable operating performance, and BI's
finances improve, with higher revenue through increasing volume
sales and polyethylene prices;

-- BI boosts its EBITDA while its margins significantly recover;
and/or

-- Its credit metrics improve, toward a weighted net debt to
EBITDA below 4.0x and weighted EBITDA interest coverage of more
than 3.0x on a consistent basis.

The above could result from higher output at its polyethylene
production plant, coupled with solid product demand and favorable
polyethylene prices.

BI was incorporated in April 2010 and is based in Mexico City. It's
a petrochemical company primarily producing polyethylene. The
company's petrochemical complex in Veracruz (the Etileno XXI
project) has an annual output of 1.05 million tons of polyethylene,
750,000 tons of high-density polyethylene, and 300,000 tons of
low-density polyethylene, using ethane as the principal raw
material. Braskem S.A. owns 75% of the company, and Grupo Idesa
S.A. de C.V. owns the remaining 25%.

Assumptions

GDP in Mexico, the U.S., Europe, and Latin America to grow about
2.1%, 1.6%, 3.1%, and 3.0%, respectively, in 2022, and 0.8%, 0.2%,
0.3% and 1.4%, respectively, in 2023. Demand for BI's products has
been resilient despite complex business conditions, given strong
consumption of its high- and low-density polyethylene. S&P expects
consumption of polyethylene to remain stable for 2022 and 2023.
Average foreign exchange rate of MXN20.15 per $1 in 2022 and
MXN20.75 per $1 in 2023. Given that all of BI's debt is in dollars,
and its sales are in the same currency or pegged to it, offsets the
exchange-rate risk.

S&P's price deck assumptions for natural gas prices are $6.25 per
million British Thermal Units (MMBTU) in 2022 and $5.25/MMBTU in
2023.

Consolidated revenue to decrease about 5% for 2022. Nonetheless,
revenue to jump about 20% for 2023 due to higher volume sales
coupled with more stabilized polyethylene sales prices.
Lower EBITDA for 2022 due to higher raw material prices, mainly
ethane gas and natural gas that represent around 55% and 10%,
respectively of the company's cost structure. However, S&P expects
a recovery for 2023, coupled with the company's cost controls,
operating efficiencies and more stable raw material prices, should
reflect EBITDA margins to improve.

Capex of about MXN1.9 billion for 2022 and MXN2.1 billion for 2023,
mainly for maintenance, the implementation of the logistics for
ethane imports, the definitive ethane import terminal, and
operational needs.

No dividend payments for the remainder of 2022, except MXN205
million (or $10 million) already distributed to Grupo Idesa. No
dividend payments for 2023; however, the company can adjust
dividends according to its cash flows.

Lower debt for the next 12 months because we expect BI to reduce it
through the amortizations of its term loan.

Key metrics

Based on these assumptions, we arrive at the following credit
metrics for 2022 and 2023.

EBITDA margins in the range of 20%-25% for 2022 and 2023;
Adjusted net debt to EBITDA above 5.0x in 2022 and 2023; and
EBITDA interest coverage in the 1.5x-2.0x range in 2022 and 2023.
We still view BI's liquidity as strong because we expect cash
sources to exceed uses by at least 1.5x for the next 12 months, and
1.0x for the subsequent 12 months. In the next two years, we also
expect sources to exceed uses even if EBITDA were to decline by
30%. We also incorporate qualitative factors in our liquidity
analysis, including BI's solid relationships with banks. We
continue to view the company's risk management as generally
prudent, with efforts to maintain liquidity through strict cash
controls that align inflows with expenses, and the flexibility to
address short-term pressures. In addition, in our view, BI can
adjust its capex by prioritizing investments, keeping a solid cash
position to comply with the debt maturity profile.

Principal liquidity sources:

-- Cash and cash equivalents of MXN8 billion (about $396.1
million) as of Sept. 30, 2022; and

-- Funds from operations (FFO) of about MXN2.3 billion for the
next 12 months.

Principal liquidity uses:

-- Short-term debt maturities of MXN523.4 million (about $25.8
million) as of Sept. 30, 2022;

-- Working capital requirements of about MXN920 million for the
next 12 months; and

-- Capex of about MXN2.1 billion for the next 12 months.

S&P said, "We performed a recovery analysis to arrive at our
issue-level rating on BI's senior secured notes.

"Our issue-level rating of 'B+' on BI's notes due 2029 and 2032 is
in line with the issuer credit rating. We maintain our recovery
rating of '3' indicating our expectation for meaningful recovery in
the event of payment default (50%-90%).

"We valued BI on a liquidation basis, given our belief that in a
hypothetical default scenario, the company's main assets would be
sold, disrupting its business continuity. We valued the company
under the discrete asset valuation analysis to determine its
stressed enterprise value at the hypothetical point of default,
given its heavy asset base.

"Our simulated default scenario contemplates a default in 2026
caused by a downturn in the petrochemicals and chemicals industry
due to a global economic downturn that erodes consumption and
demand for BI's products and results in more volatile raw material
prices, coupled with increased competition. We estimate that for
the company to default, its EBITDA would need to plunge, causing
its business to deteriorate."

-- Simulated year of default: 2026

-- EBITDA at emergence: about MXN4.1 billion

-- Implied enterprise value multiple: 5.0x

-- Jurisdiction: Mexico

-- Gross enterprise value (EV) at default: about MXN33.6 billion

-- Net EV at default (after 5% administrative costs): about
MXN31.9 billion

-- Recovery rating: '3'

-- Recovery expectations: 50%-90%

*All debt amounts include six months' prepetition interest.

ESG credit indicators: E-3, S-2, G-2




=====================================
S T .   K I T T S   A N D   N E V I S
=====================================

ST. KITTS & NEVIS: Growth Has Slowed the Past Year, IMF Says
------------------------------------------------------------
The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)
concluded the Article IV consultation with St. Kitts and Nevis.

Growth decelerated marginally in 2017, as the continued decline in
CBI inflows slowed growth in construction. Consumer inflation was
low, partly due to a small contraction in food prices. The overall
fiscal balance remained in surplus but has deteriorated markedly
since its 2013-peak, and the debt-to-GDP ratio increased marginally
from the previous year. The current account deficit remains high
and only marginally declined in 2017, as the decline in CBI
receipts was more than offset by growing tourism receipts and a
significant decrease in imports. Foreign reserves at the ECCB
remained at comfortable levels, well above the various
reserve-adequacy metrics. The banking sector has reported capital
and liquidity ratios that are well above the regulatory minimum but
has elevated NPLs and risks, including delays in completing the
debt-land swap arrangement and loss of Corresponding Banking
Relationships (CBRs).

Medium-term growth is projected to fluctuate around 3 percent under
the current policies. It is projected to improve in 2018-20 as the
implementation of FDI projects in the tourism sector accelerates
and decelerate to around 2.7 percent over time as the momentum
slows down. The current account deficit is projected to worsen over
the medium term, driven by higher FDI-related imports associated
with tourism projects and a tapering of CBI inflows, partially
offset by growth in tourism receipts. Downside risks include lower
than projected CBI inflows; further delays in resolving the
debt-land swap; failure to tackle worsening financial sector
vulnerabilities; exposure to major natural disasters; a tighter
financial environment from higher U.S. interest rates; and
spillovers from regional financial challenges, including loss of
CBRs. On the upside, stronger CBI inflows and higher growth in
advanced economies could support growth compared to the baseline.

                     Executive Board Assessment

Executive Directors welcomed St. Kitts and Nevis's good
macroeconomic performance in recent years. However, growth has
slowed over the past year, and the medium‑term outlook remains
moderate. Directors acknowledged significant challenges, including
those associated with declining Citizenship By Investment (CBI)
inflows, financial sector vulnerabilities, tighter global financial
conditions, and weather‑related shocks. Against this background,
Directors encouraged policies to safeguard macroeconomic and
financial stability, together with reforms to strengthen
competitiveness and foster inclusive growth.

Directors noted that, absent any corrective policies, public debt
is expected to increase over the medium term, as revenue from CBI
receipts further declines. They considered that a significant
fiscal adjustment is needed to reverse debt dynamics. The
adjustment could focus on both revenue and expenditure measures,
including streamlining tax incentives, restructuring activities
funded by the Sugar Industry Diversification Foundation, and
containing the wage bill through a multi‑year framework.

Recognizing the need to maintain fiscal buffers to assist in
covering the cost of natural disasters, Directors recommended the
establishment of a Growth and Resilience Fund (GRF), which should
be linked to a fiscal responsibility framework. They suggested that
access to the GRF could be used to respond to adverse shocks and to
support natural disaster resilience investment projects. The GRF
should have a sovereign wealth fund structure in line with
international best practices.

Directors expressed concern about the high level of NPLs and urged
the authorities to prioritize their resolution, which would include
the operationalization of the Eastern Caribbean Asset Management
Corporation, a credit bureau, and the strengthening of foreclosure
and insolvency legislation. They supported the implementation of
IFRS9 and new regulations on provisioning and valuation and
encouraged the authorities to closely monitor capitalization levels
of the banking system.

Directors encouraged the authorities to take decisive steps to
accelerate land sales under the debt‑land swap arrangement to
mitigate the fiscal and financial sectors from contingent
liabilities. They also emphasized the importance of remaining
vigilant to CBR risks, enhancing the AML/CFT regime, and
strengthening the transparency of the CBI program.

Directors agreed that comprehensive structural reforms would
strengthen the potential for diversified and inclusive growth, and
address competitiveness challenges. They welcomed ongoing efforts
to improve the ease‑of‑doing business, support skills
development, promote growth in tourism and other sectors, and
strengthen social policies and security. Improving labor
productivity and promoting trade integration at the regional and
international level are also necessary to support competitiveness.

       


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S U B S C R I P T I O N   I N F O R M A T I O N

Troubled Company Reporter-Latin America is a daily newsletter
co-published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless
Hills, Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C.,
USA, Marites O. Claro, Joy A. Agravante, Rousel Elaine T.
Fernandez, Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A.
Chapman, Editors.

Copyright 2022.  All rights reserved.  ISSN 1529-2746.

This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
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