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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Thursday, July 30, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 151
Headlines
D E N M A R K
LIQTECH INTL.: Receives Nasdaq Notice for $1 Bid Price Deficiency
G E R M A N Y
DELIVERY HERO: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'B' ICR
I R E L A N D
MERRION SQAURE 2023-1: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Notes
I T A L Y
ALMAVIVA SPA: S&P Affirms 'BB-' ICR on Free Cash Flow Rebound
EOLO SPA: S&P Withdraws 'B-' Long-Term Issuer Credit Rating
FEDRIGONI SPA: S&P Rates New EUR665MM Senior Secured Notes 'B-'
YOUNI ITALY 2024-1: S&P Raises E-Dfrd Notes Rating to 'BB+ (sf)'
P O R T U G A L
ARES LUSITANI: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
R U S S I A
KAPITALBANK: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'BB-/B' ICRs
NATIONAL BANK: S&P Affirms 'BB/B' ICRs, Outlook Stable
S W E D E N
NORDIC PAPER: S&P Alters Outlook to Negative, Affirms 'B' ICR
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
GALINO LIMITED: AAB Business Appointed as Joint Administrators
GREAT HALL NO.1 2027-2: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Two Tranches
HERA CARE: KRE Corporate Appointed as Administrators
J.M. GORRY: FTS Recovery Appointed as Administrators
KARTA CREATIVE: S&W Partners Appointed as Joint Administrators
KIRKHAM GRAMMAR: Kroll Appointed as Joint Administrators
LANFINE LIMITED: FRP Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
ORBIT DISCOVERY GROUP: James Cowper Tapped as Administrators
PRESSMATIC LIMITED: KRE Appointed as Joint Administrators
VICTORIA PLC: Fitch Lowers IDR to 'CCC-' & Keeps on Watch Negative
WD FF: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'B' ICR
WOODVILLE CONSULTANTS: Kroll Appointed as Joint Administrators
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D E N M A R K
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LIQTECH INTL.: Receives Nasdaq Notice for $1 Bid Price Deficiency
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LiqTech International, Inc. said in a regulatory filing with the
Securities and Exchange Commission that, on July 21, 2026, it
received a deficiency notice from The Nasdaq Stock Market informing
that its common stock, par value $0.001 per share, fails to comply
with the $1 minimum bid price required for continued listing on The
Nasdaq Capital Market under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2) based
upon the closing bid price of the Common Stock for the 30
consecutive business days prior to the date of the notice from
Nasdaq.
Nasdaq's notice has no immediate effect on the listing of the
Common Stock on The Nasdaq Capital Market and, at this time, the
Common Stock will continue to trade on The Nasdaq Capital Market
under the symbol "LIQT". Pursuant to Nasdaq Listing Rule
5810(c)(3)(A), the Company has been provided an initial compliance
period of 180 calendar days, or until January 19, 2027, to regain
compliance with the minimum bid price requirement. To regain
compliance, the closing bid price of the Common Stock must meet or
exceed $1.00 per share for a minimum of ten consecutive business
days prior to Jan. 19, 2027.
If the Company is unable to regain compliance by Jan. 19, 2027, the
Company may be eligible for an additional 180 calendar day
compliance period to demonstrate compliance with the minimum bid
price requirement. To qualify, the Company will be required to meet
the continued listing requirement for market value of publicly held
shares and all other initial listing standards for The Nasdaq
Capital Market, with the exception of the minimum bid price
requirement, and will need to provide written notice to Nasdaq of
its intention to cure the deficiency during the second compliance
period. If the Company does not qualify for the second compliance
period or fails to regain compliance during the second 180 calendar
day period, Nasdaq will notify the Company of its determination to
delist the Common Stock, at which point the Company would have an
opportunity to appeal the delisting determination to a Hearings
Panel.
The Company said that it intends to monitor the closing bid price
of its Common Stock and is considering its options to regain
compliance with the minimum bid price requirement under the Nasdaq
Listing Rules.
About LiqTech International
Ballerup, Denmark-based LiqTech International, Inc. is a clean
technology company that provides state-of-the-art gas and liquid
purification products by manufacturing ceramic silicon carbide
filters and membranes as well as developing industry-leading and
fully automated filtration solutions and systems.
Sadler, Gibb & Associates, LLC, based in Draper, Utah, and serving
since 2018, included a "going concern" qualification in its report
dated Feb. 27, 2026, attached to the Company's Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2025, citing that
Company's recurring losses and negative operating cash flows raise
substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a
going concern.
As of March 31, 2026, the Company had $24.95 million in total
assets, $17.40 million in total liabilities, and $7.55 million in
total equity.
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G E R M A N Y
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DELIVERY HERO: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'B' ICR
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S&P Global Ratings revised to positive from stable its outlook on
Delivery Hero SE and its core financing subsidiaries, Delivery Hero
Finco Germany GmbH and Delivery Hero Finco LLC. At the same time,
S&P affirmed its 'B' long-term issuer credit rating on these
entities and its 'B' issue rating on Delivery Hero SE's senior
secured debt. The '3' recovery rating on the senior secured debt is
unchanged.
The positive outlook indicates that following the completion of the
transaction, Delivery Hero could benefit from credit uplift based
on group support.
On July 16, 2026, Uber Technologies Inc. (BBB+/Positive/A-2)
offered to acquire Delivery Hero SE's shares at EUR41.5 per share,
which would imply an enterprise value of about $18 billion. The
transaction is expected to close in the second half of 2027,
subject to approval from shareholders and regulatory authorities in
multiple jurisdictions globally.
The acquisition would make Delivery Hero part of the world's
largest mobility and delivery platform. In S&P's view, Delivery
Hero's creditworthiness would benefit from Uber's greater scale and
stronger balance sheet.
S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook to positive following Uber's
announcement that it intends to acquire Delivery Hero. Because Uber
has greater scale and a stronger balance sheet than Delivery Hero,
S&P anticipates that Delivery Hero's creditworthiness would
strengthen if it becomes part of the Uber group. Uber proposes to
acquire Delivery Hero's operations in 50 of the markets in which it
has a presence. Pro rata the acquisition, the combined group would
have had a gross merchandise value (GMV) of $236 billion in 2025,
across 99 countries.
Uber's acquisition of Delivery Hero is subject to shareholders'
approval. It is expected to close in the second half of 2027.
Uber's voluntary tender offer will be subject to a minimum
acceptance threshold of 50% of Delivery Hero's shares. Uber has
already received an irrevocable tender commitment of about 17%.
Combined with its existing shareholding and its holding of Delivery
Hero's instruments, this brings Uber's total economic interest in
Delivery Hero to more than 53%.
The business combination agreement provides for an extended period
before the transaction closes, reflecting the complex nature and
potential prolonging of the regulatory process across multiple
jurisdictions globally. The latest closing date is in May 2028. In
2024-2025, Uber tried to acquire Delivery Hero's Taiwanese
business; it failed due to antitrust concerns. Delivery Hero
operates in 14 markets, where it competes with Uber. The company
has agreed to sell its operations in these markets to SSW Partners
LP, a New York-based investment firm. The transaction is
conditional on completion of the deal between Uber and Delivery
Hero.
The extent to which the transaction may have a positive effect on
Delivery Hero's creditworthiness depends on S&P's assessment of how
the company is positioned within the wider Uber group structure. At
present, insufficient details are available to assess Delivery
Hero's potential group status.
S&P said, "On a stand-alone basis, we estimate solid revenue growth
of 9.5% in 2026 and 6.3% in 2027. This will be fueled by higher
GMV-to-revenue conversion based on higher contributions from quick
commerce and own deliveries, combined with rising subscription and
advertising revenue. The group has made growth investments in
regions such as the Middle East and Asia and to help it withstand
competition. Despite these, we estimate that its S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin will remain broadly stable, at about
4.4%, in 2026 (excluding the provision reversals from which the
company benefitted in 2025). In 2027, EBITDA margin is forecast to
improve to 5.6%.
"We assume that margins will benefit from stronger operating
leverage as scale and network density improve and investments are
reduced. Therefore, we forecast that Delivery Hero will reduce its
debt to EBITDA below 7x and improve its cash flow by 2027.
Specifically, leverage is projected to remain elevated above 8.0x
in 2026, before declining to below 6.5x in 2027. EBITDA interest
coverage will be 2x-3x in 2026-2027 and free operating cash flow
(FOCF) before exceptional cash outflows will break even in 2026 and
turn positive in 2027, at about EUR250 million. These predictions
do not incorporate any debt repayment from the proceeds of the sale
of the Taiwanese business.
"We expect Delivery Hero to maintain strong liquidity. Liquidity
was supported by about EUR2.7 billion in cash as of Dec. 31, 2025,
pro forma the proceeds from an incremental term loan in March 2026
(about EUR600 million), and EUR442 million of availability under
the revolving credit facility. In addition, the company expects to
receive about EUR515 million (net of taxes) from the sale of its
business in Taiwan."
The positive outlook indicates that following the completion of the
transaction, Delivery Hero could benefit from credit uplift based
on group support.
S&P said, "We could revise the outlook to stable if the proposed
acquisition does not go through.
"We could raise the rating if the transaction is completed because
Delivery Hero would benefit from group support as part of its
higher-rated parent, Uber Technologies Inc.
"Although unlikely in the next 12 months, we could also raise the
rating if Delivery Hero continues to increase its EBITDA, such that
we expect it to achieve leverage below 5x and generate solid FOCF
while maintaining ample liquidity. This could occur if it maintains
its strong GMV growth; orders increase in frequency and size; it
expands the subscription-based model; or it receives an increased
contribution from advertising revenue."
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I R E L A N D
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MERRION SQAURE 2023-1: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Rating on Class F Notes
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Fitch Ratings has affirmed Merrion Square Residential 2023-1 DAC's
notes and removed two tranches from Rating Watch Positive (RWP).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
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Merrion Square
Residential
2023-1 DAC
A XS2647846463 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B XS2647846976 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C XS2647847198 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
D XS2647847354 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E XS2647847438 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
F XS2647847602 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a securitisation of first-lien Irish residential
and commercial mortgage assets originated predominantly between
2005 and 2008 by several lenders. The pool was previously
securitised across Shamrock 2021-1 DAC and Strandhill RMBS DAC,
neither of which Fitch rated.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable Performance: As of end-May 2026, loans more than 90 days in
arrears remained broadly stable at almost 19%. The portfolio
includes a significant portion of restructured loans, at about 49%
by current balance at May 2026. The build-up of available credit
enhancement (CE) has offset weaker performance, but the
model-implied ratings (MIRs) remain sensitive to recovery outcomes.
This has driven Fitch to remove the ratings from RWP and affirm
them below the MIRs with Stable Outlooks.
Asset Assumptions: Fitch maintained a 3.0x transaction adjustment
to the foreclosure frequency (FF). This reflects the difference
between observed FF performance in the portfolio and the
criteria-derived transaction-specific weighted average (WA) FF.
Fitch has also applied an 85% borrower-level recovery rate cap
given the low level of recoveries registered as of May 2026.
Non-Liquidity Reserves Drawings: Since closing, there have been
draws on the non-liquidity reserve fund, which now stands at around
86% of the target, leading to an uncleared principal deficiency
ledger of about EUR10.2 million (42.1% of Class Z2 notes). This is
due to pool underperformance and limited excess spread. Under
stressed rating scenarios, Fitch expects the non-liquidity reserves
to be fully depleted on upcoming interest payment dates.
SME loans Criteria Variation: As of May 2026, the pool contains
around 11% by current balance of SME loans backed by either land or
commercial properties. These are small-ticket loans that are mostly
agricultural loans to farmers and small businesses, with a current
average balance of EUR37,000. The valuations for these loans are
subject to commercial market value decline assumptions, as stated
in Fitch's European RMBS Rating Criteria.
Fitch determined the WAFF for the SME sub-pool based on historical
performance data provided at closing. Fitch also assessed the
impact of subsidies potentially supporting the performance of the
agricultural loans, in line with its SME Balance Sheet
Securitisation Rating Criteria. The determination of the WAFF for
the SME sub-pool represents a criteria variation to the European
RMBS Rating Criteria and SME Balance Sheet Securitisation Rating
Criteria.
Property Valuations Criteria Variation: Fitch relied on 1,716
original valuations provided at closing, representing around 34.6%
by loan count. Updated valuations were provided at closing for
4,216 loans (of which 1,009 had both original and updated
valuations), which were either desktop or drive-by valuations
undertaken between 2015 and 2019. Where an updated valuation was
used in the absence of an original valuation, Fitch applied a 5%
haircut to the valuation amount. This is a criteria variation from
the European RMBS Rating Criteria
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and the economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated to increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults that could reduce CE available to the
notes
In addition, unanticipated declines in recoveries could result in
lower net proceeds, which may make certain notes susceptible to
negative rating action depending on the extent of the decline in
recoveries. Fitch found that a 15% increase in the WAFF and a 15%
decrease in the WA recovery rate (RR) indicate downgrades of up to
three notches for the class E and F notes.
A downgrade of the European Union's rating (AAA/Stable/F1+) may
also affect the ratings given the reliance on subsidies supporting
SME loan performance in the portfolio.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing CE levels and upgrades. Fitch
found a decrease in the WAFF of 15% and an increase in the WARR of
15% indicate upgrades of one notch for the class B notes, four
notches for the class C notes and six notches for the class D to F
notes.
CRITERIA VARIATION
For desktop and drive-by valuation Fitch applied a 5% haircut to
the valuation amount, which is a criteria variation from the
European RMBS Rating Criteria.
Fitch determined the WAFF for the SME sub-pool of the portfolio
based on historical performance data. The determination of the WAFF
for the SME sub-pool represents a variation to the European RMBS
Rating Criteria and SME Balance Sheet Securitisation Rating
Criteria.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Merrion Square Residential 2023-1 DAC
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
Prior to the transaction closing, Fitch reviewed the results of a
third party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information
and concluded that there were no findings that affected the rating
analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
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I T A L Y
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ALMAVIVA SPA: S&P Affirms 'BB-' ICR on Free Cash Flow Rebound
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S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'BB-' ratings on Almaviva SpA and
its debt.
The stable outlook reflects S&P's expectation that robust organic
growth, margin expansion, and normalized working capital will lead
to significant deleveraging to 3.7x and FOCF representing about 10%
of debt in 2026.
Almaviva's leverage increased to 4.5x in 2025, pro forma Tivit's
full-year consolidation, on higher nonrecurring expenses, market
challenges in the U.S., and adverse foreign exchange movements in
Brazil. Free operating cash flow (FOCF) remained negative due to
less efficient working capital management following acquisitions
and strategic renegotiations with suppliers.
S&P said, "That said, we expect steady revenue and EBITDA growth
this year and normalizing working capital, leading to deleveraging
to below 4x and an FOCF rebound in full year.
"We affirmed the rating because we expect FOCF will turn positive,
driven by EBITDA growth and the normalization of Almaviva's working
capital cycle. We anticipate that Almaviva's FOCF-to-debt ratio
will rebound to approximately 10% in 2026 and 13% in 2027. This
recovery is supported by robust organic EBITDA growth and the
full-year consolidation of Brazil-based Tivit (acquired in 2025),
which benefits from more favorable market payment terms in Latin
America than the rest of the group." While Almaviva reported a
significant working capital outflow of approximately EUR150 million
during 2024-2025, the outflow resulted from:
-- Integration processes from prior acquisitions that temporarily
reduced receivables collection efficiency in the second half of
2025;
-- Strategic contract renegotiations with cloud infrastructure
providers and other key suppliers, trading shorter payment terms
for improved contract conditions;
-- Increased invoicing requests from Italian clients in the fourth
quarter of 2025 linked with delays in Italy's National Recovery and
Resilience Plan (PNRR) decision-making process;
-- Prepayments to suppliers in the fourth quarter of 2025 for
services spanning 2026; and
-- Slow value-added tax refunds from public authorities.
S&P forecasts a more manageable working capital outflow of EUR60
million across 2026-2027 on normalized collections from clients and
payments to suppliers. Furthermore, Almaviva's increasing
geographic and client diversification should reduce year-end
working capital volatility.
S&P said. "We expect resilient demand from Italian public
administration clients, sound positioning in Brazil, and recovering
U.S. operations to drive 6.5% organic revenue growth in 2026-2027.
In Italy, which generates approximately 50% of total revenue,
Almaviva continues to benefit from long-standing client
relationships, tailwinds from public digitalization spending via
the PNRR, and AI-driven opportunities through its proprietary,
Italian-proficient "Velvet" platform. Growth prospects are further
bolstered by Almaviva's position as the second-largest IT services
provider in Brazil, a higher-growth market representing roughly 30%
of revenue. We also project a recovery in U.S. operations--which
account for less than 10% of the group's revenue--following the
market volatility experienced in 2025 due to the federal shutdown
and government spending-efficiency initiatives. Finally, the
acquisition of U.S.-based Iteris and Brazil-based Tivit positions
Almaviva to capture significant revenue synergies by expanding its
vertical expertise into new geographies.
"We expect leverage will decrease to below 4.0x from 2026, which
supports the rating. We anticipate Almaviva's leverage will decline
to 3.7x in 2026 and 3.2x in 2027, down from 4.5x in 2025 pro forma
Tivit's full-year consolidation in 2025. This deleveraging will be
fueled by revenue growth and our expectation that EBITDA margins
will expand gradually to about 16.5% by 2027, from 14.4% in 2025.
This growth is supported by the conclusion of early retirement
programs, a reduction in nonrecurring expenses to EUR20 million per
year (from EUR33 million in 2025), and a strategic shift toward
more profitable digital products in new geographies. We attribute
the leverage spike in 2025 to the group's restructuring
initiatives, including integrating previous acquisitions into the
group, challenging market conditions in the U.S., and negative
foreign exchange effects.
"The stable outlook reflects our expectation that robust organic
growth, margin expansion, and normalized working capital will lead
to deleveraging to 3.7x and FOCF representing about 10% of debt in
2026.
"We see a downgrade as unlikely over the next 12 months, given
Almaviva's financial policy and commitment to deleveraging.
However, we could lower the rating on Almaviva if its adjusted debt
to EBITDA failed to drop to below 4x or if working capital changes
were persistently negative, leading to FOCF to debt of below 10%.
This could happen due to a decline in competitiveness, integration
challenges, and adverse foreign exchange impacts.
"We could raise our rating if adjusted debt to EBITDA decreases to
below 3x and adjusted FOCF to debt improves sustainably to 15% or
above. This could happen if continued organic profitability
improvements are coupled with higher cost synergies than we
currently expect, without significant spending on integration costs
to offset these. An upgrade is also dependent on Almaviva adhering
to a financial policy in line with such credit metrics."
EOLO SPA: S&P Withdraws 'B-' Long-Term Issuer Credit Rating
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S&P Global Ratings withdrew its 'B-' long-term issuer credit rating
on Eolo SpA at the issuer's request. At the time of the withdrawal,
its outlook on the rating was stable.
This withdrawal follows Eolo's tender offer on its outstanding
EUR375 million senior secured notes due in October 2028, at a fixed
price of 99.95%, and for which it had obtained committed financing.
On July 23, 2026, the company announced that the bulk of the notes
have been validly tendered, with a settlement expected on July 31,
2026, after which date Eolo anticipates about EUR21.7 million of
the October 2028 notes to remain outstanding. Eolo may also decide
to repurchase or redeem the remaining notes at par on or after
Sept. 30, 2026.
FEDRIGONI SPA: S&P Rates New EUR665MM Senior Secured Notes 'B-'
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'B-' issue rating and '4' recovery
rating to Fedrigoni S.p.A.'s proposed EUR665 million senior secured
notes due 2033.
Fedrigoni intends to use issuance proceeds to repay the EUR665
million senior secured notes due 2030. Therefore, S&P considers the
transaction leverage neutral, with no effect on its 'B-' long-term
issuer credit rating and stable outlook on the company.
YOUNI ITALY 2024-1: S&P Raises E-Dfrd Notes Rating to 'BB+ (sf)'
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S&P Global Ratings raised its credit ratings on Youni Italy 2024-1
S.r.l.'s class A notes to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA+ (sf)', class B-Dfrd
notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)', class C-Dfrd notes to 'A+ (sf)'
from 'BBB+ (sf)', class D-Dfrd notes to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB-
(sf)', and class E-Dfrd notes to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'B+(sf)'. At the
same time, we resolved the UCO placements of the class A and C-Dfrd
ratings.
S&P said, "The upgrade of the class A notes follows the application
of our revised rating above the sovereign criteria. For
transactions that have both a short economic life and low
sensitivity to sovereign default risk, our revised criteria allow
up to eight notches of uplift above the rating of the sovereign if
the latter has an investment-grade rating. Youni Italy 2024-1
fulfils all the conditions as the portfolio has a weighted-average
life lower than 36 months and a low sensitivity to sovereign
default risk, and our unsolicited sovereign credit rating on Italy
is 'BBB+'. Our cash flow analysis demonstrates that the class A
notes can withstand the stresses we apply at the 'AAA' level. We
therefore raised to 'AAA (sf)' from 'AA+ (sf)' our rating on this
class of notes.
"The upgrades of the class B-Dfrd to E-Dfrd notes follow our review
of the transaction's performance, the application of our relevant
criteria, and our assessment of the payment structure outlined in
the transaction documents.
"We analyzed the transaction's credit risk under our global
consumer ABS criteria. In our view, Youni Italy 2024-1's cumulative
gross losses have remained in line with our assumptions since
closing. We therefore maintained our base-case gross loss
assumption at 5.60%. We then recalibrated our base-case gross loss
assumptions to account for defaults that have already occurred and
the portfolio's current size. We applied a 3.46% base-case gross
loss on the loans' current outstanding balance. We kept all the
other assumptions unchanged."
The rated notes have been amortizing pro rata since the initial
interest payment date, as no sequential amortization triggers have
been breached. Nevertheless, credit enhancement has slightly
increased because the unrated class F notes are not amortizing.
The liquidity reserve is amortizing and is at its required level of
EUR1.2 million, as of the June 2026 payment date.
The pool factor is 39%, the weighted-average seasoning is almost 36
months, and the cumulative default rate is 4.25%. Loans more than
90 days in arrears are quite stable at 0.83% compared to 0.88% at
S&P's previous review.
Credit assumptions
Previous Current
review review
Gross loss base case (%) 5.60 5.60
Gross loss base case applied
to the current balance (%) 5.16 3.46
Stress multiple at 'AAA' (x) 4.80 4.80
Stress multiple at 'AA+' (x) 4.30 4.30
Stress multiple at 'A+' (x) 3.30 3.30
Stress multiple at 'BBB+' (x) 2.30 2.30
Stress multiple at 'BB+' (x) 1.55 1.55
Recovery rate base case (%) 25 25
Recovery haircut at 'AAA' (%) 40 40
Recovery haircut at 'AA+' (%) 35 35
Recovery haircut at 'A+' (%) 27.50 27.50
Recovery haircut at 'BBB+' (%) 22.50 22.50
Recovery haircut at 'BB+' (%) 15 15
Stressed net loss at 'AAA' (%) 21.10 14.10
Stressed net loss at 'AA+' (%) 18.60 12.50
Stressed net loss at 'A+' (%) 13.90 9.30
Stressed net loss at 'BBB+' (%) 9.60 6.40
Stressed net loss at 'BB+' (%) 6.30 4.20
S&P said, "While the class B-Dfrd notes are now able to pass our
stresses at the 'AAA' rating level, we do not consider deferrable
notes to be commensurate with this rating level. We therefore
limited our upgrade of this class of notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA
(sf)'.
"The available credit enhancement for the class C-Dfrd notes is
sufficient to withstand the credit and cash flow stresses that we
apply at the 'A+' rating level. We therefore raised our rating to
'A+ (sf)' from 'BBB+ (sf)'.
"The class D-Dfrd and E-Dfrd notes could withstand stresses
commensurate with higher ratings than those currently assigned.
However, we limited our upgrades, considering the notes'
sensitivity to higher stresses and their level of credit
enhancement. We therefore raised our rating on the class D-Dfrd
notes to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB- (sf)', and our rating on the class
E-Dfrd notes to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)'.
"We consider the transaction's resilience in case of additional
stresses to some key variables, in particular defaults and
recoveries, to determine our forward-looking view. We therefore ran
additional scenarios with increased gross defaults up to 30% and
reduced expected recoveries by up to 30%. Our sensitivity analysis
results indicate a deterioration in line with the credit stability
considerations in our rating definitions."
Youni Italy 2024-1 is a securitization of Italian consumer loan
receivables which Younited, Italian branch, granted to its private
customers.
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P O R T U G A L
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ARES LUSITANI: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned Ares Lusitani - STC, S.A. / Thetis
Finance Auto 2026 final ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
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Ares Lusitani - STC,
S.A. / Thetis Finance
Auto 2026
Class A PTLSNAOM0016 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
Class B PTLSNBOM0015 LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
Class C PTLSNCOM0014 LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
Class D PTLSN4OM0007 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
Class E PTLSN5OM0006 LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a six-month revolving securitisation of a
portfolio of fully amortising vehicle loans originated and serviced
in Portugal by Banco Credibom, S.A., a specialist lender wholly
owned by Credit Agricole Consumer Finance S.A. (CACF, whose trading
name is Credit Agricole Personal Finance and Mobility, rated
AA-/Stable/F1+).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Assumptions Reflect Mixed Portfolio: Fitch has assumed
base-case lifetime default and recovery rates of 5% and 50% for the
total portfolio, based on the historical data provided by Credibom,
Portugal's economic outlook, and the originator's underwriting and
servicing strategies. The portfolio mainly comprises used car loans
with an exposure that can reach 90% in volume during the revolving
period. It also includes loans for the purchase of new cars and a
residual share of loans for the purchase of motorcycles and
tractors.
Short Revolving Period: The transaction features a six-month
revolving period, shorter than typical in comparable European
securitisations. Fitch considers the risk of portfolio migration to
weaker attributes to be negligible as less than 12% of the pool is
expected to be replenished. The risk is also sufficiently captured
by the default multiples calibrated for the rating analysis (eg 5x
for the 'AAAsf' rating case).
Hybrid Pro-Rata Amortisation: The class A to E notes will have an
initial sequential amortisation period, after the end of the
revolving period, until their credit enhancement (CE) ratios have
increased by about 30% (except for the class E notes for which CE
will remain zero). The notes will then be repaid pro-rata unless a
sequential amortisation event occurs, primarily linked to
performance triggers such as cumulative balance of defaults or
entries to the principal deficiency ledger.
Fitch views these triggers as sufficiently robust to prevent the
pro-rata amortisation from continuing on early signs of performance
deterioration. Fitch believes the tail risk posed by the pro rata
paydown is mitigated by the mandatory switch to sequential
amortisation when the outstanding pool balance falls below 10% of
the initial balance.
Adequate Counterparty Arrangements: Counterparty arrangements are
compatible with a maximum achievable rating of 'AAAsf' on the
notes, including minimum eligibility ratings for the transaction
account bank (TAB) and interest-rate swap provider. Commingling is
a secondary risk as the servicer will transfer collected funds to
the TAB at least once a month, and is mitigated by minimum
eligibility ratings on its parent entity, CACF, and remedial
actions including increasing the frequency of cash sweeps to every
day.
Servicing disruption risk is mitigated by a dedicated liquidity
reserve to cover senior costs, net swap payments and interest on
the class A to C notes for over three months, a period Fitch views
as sufficient to implement alternative arrangements. The class D
and E notes are excluded from the liquidity reserve cover,
resulting in excessive payment interruption risk, despite requiring
timely interest payments when they become most senior. This caps
the class D and E note ratings to the servicer's credit profile,
which Fitch assesses based on CACF's rating, in line with its
Structured Finance and Covered Bonds Counterparty Rating Criteria.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Long-term asset performance deterioration, such as increased
delinquencies or reduced portfolio yield, which could be driven by
changes in portfolio characteristics, macroeconomic conditions,
business practices or the legislative landscape
- For the class D and E notes, a deterioration in the servicer's
credit profile as these ratings are capped at the servicer's credit
profile due to unmitigated payment interruption risk
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of increased defaults (class
A/B/C/D/E)
Increase default rates by 10%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'
Increase default rates by 25%:
'AA+sf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'
Increase default rates by 50%:
'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of reduced recoveries (class
A/B/C/D/E)
Reduce recovery rates by 10%:
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'
Reduce recovery rates by 25%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'
Reduce recovery rates by 50%:
'AAAsf'/'AA-sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of increased defaults and
reduced recoveries (class A/B/C/D/E)
Increase default rates by 10% and reduce recovery rates by 10%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'
Increase default rates by 25% and reduce recovery rates by 25%:
'AA+sf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'
Increase default rates by 50% and reduce recovery rates by 50%:
'AA-sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'CCCsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The class A notes are rated at the highest level on Fitch's scale
and cannot be upgraded
- For the remaining notes, increasing CE ratios as the transaction
deleverages to fully compensate for the credit losses and cash flow
stresses commensurate with higher ratings
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small, targeted sample of the
originator's origination files and found the information contained
in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the
originator's policies and practices and the other information
provided to the agency about the asset portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
===========
R U S S I A
===========
KAPITALBANK: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'BB-/B' ICRs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on Kapitalbank to positive
from stable and affirmed its 'BB-/B' long- and short-term issuer
credit ratings.
Kapitalbank is a long-established retail bank, operating since
2001. It has the largest domestic market share in retail deposits,
the fourth-largest share in retail loans, and a strong brand name.
Since 2022, it has been part of the Uzum group, which was
established in 2022 and is gradually developing its fintech and
e-commerce business. Kapitalbank provides the major share of the
group's banking operations and will likely continue to account for
the largest share of its total loans (about 87% as of end-May 2026)
and net income (about 88% in 2025).
S&P expects Kapitalbank's capitalization as measured by our RAC
ratio to increase to 10.5%-11.5% in 2026-2027 from 9.4% as of
year-end 2025. This will be supported by moderation of loan growth
to about 5% per year and full retention of earnings. Kapitalbank
needs to comply with tighter domestic regulatory requirements,
introduced in 2023-2024, limiting exposure to car lending, cash and
card loans, and overdrafts to maximum 25% each of the bank's total
amount of loans. As of year-end 2025, the share of car loans at
Kapitalbank reduced to 55% of total loans. Kapitalbank got an
extension from the regulator to meet the 25% limit. Therefore, over
the next three years, Kapitalbank plans to almost double its
corporate loans, keep its loans to small and midsize enterprises
(SMEs) stable, and continue gradually reducing the share of car
loans to reach the regulatory limit. S&P's forecast assumes that
Kapitalbank will not receive any equity injections but at the same
time will continue to fully retain earnings.
Kapitalbank's asset quality will gradually stabilize and remain
better than the system average. S&P said, "We expect that Stage 3
loans and other real estate owned assets under International
Financial Reporting Standards could increase to 5.5% over the next
24 months from 4.9% as of year-end 2025 and 4.5% a year earlier. We
understand that the bank has been actively working on strengthening
its credit risk management, including constant improvement of its
scoring models and strengthening collections. We anticipate that
these efforts will eventually result in stabilizing asset quality
and that Stage 3 loans at Kapitalbank will remain comfortably below
the 7.5%-8.5% sector average. Stage 3 loans were covered by
reserves by 44% reflecting collateral for car loans and real estate
collateral for corporate exposures. We view positively the bank's
risk diversification into corporate and SME loans from
concentration on car loans. Also, unlike state-owned banks,
Kapitalbank is not a subject to directed lending and exercises
detailed credit analysis of borrowers' financial conditions when
considering corporate lending."
Kapitalbank benefits from being a part of a dynamic and diversified
Uzum group. S&P said, "We reflect this in the positive comparable
rating analysis notch incorporated into the rating. Group
membership provides the bank with unique access to customers and
cross-selling opportunities because Uzum group claims to service
half of the population of Uzbekistan. The group actively develops
its ecosystem that combines banking, e-commerce, and fintech which
supports its business generation and profitability. The group
continues to invest in digitalization and innovation to protect its
solid market positions in retail and SME business and increase
customer loyalty over time. We consider that Kapitalbank will
benefit from its unique position in the market being more advanced
and dynamic than majority of large domestic peers."
S&P said, "We regard Kapitalbank as an insulated subsidiary of the
Uzum group, and do not see Uzum's credit strength constraining a
higher rating on the bank. The bank is a separate legal entity, it
is self-funded by retail and corporate deposits and is supervised
by the Central Bank of Uzbekistan as a separate legal entity. We
believe that, in case of problems at the group, the regulator would
potentially restrict dividend and liquidity distribution from
Kapitalbank to other group members. While the bank has some
commercial benefits from group membership, we see it as
substantially self-supporting from an operational and financial
performance perspective.
"The positive outlook on Kapitalbank over the next 12 months
reflects its strengthening capitalization, moderation of loan
growth rates, strong profitability, and diversification into
corporate and SME lending away from concentration on car loans.
"We could revise the outlook to stable over the next 12 months if
our expectations of strengthening capital and stabilizing asset
quality are not fulfilled.
"We could upgrade the bank if its RAC ratio reaches and remains
sustainably above 10% supported by fully retained earnings,
moderated growth, and stabilized asset quality that remains better
than the system average."
NATIONAL BANK: S&P Affirms 'BB/B' ICRs, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'BB/B' long- and short-term issuer
credit ratings on National Bank For Foreign Economic Activity Of
The Republic Of Uzbekistan JSC (NBU). The outlook is stable.
S&P expects NBU's performance to remain resilient, supported by its
strong position as the leading bank in Uzbekistan, which gives it
privileged access. It has a sizable market share in commercial
business and public projects. In S&P's view, the bank's business
position will be supported by its strong market position; wide
geographic presence across Uzbekistan; and long-term relationships
with the largest state-owned enterprises, which operate in
strategically important sectors.
NBU's assets totaled Uzbek sum (UZS) 146.5 trillion (about $12.1
billion) as of mid-2026. By assets, it is the largest bank in
Uzbekistan, with a market share of 14.5%. The bank's profitability
has been stable over the past three years, with a return on equity
(ROE) above 13%. Ongoing investments in the bank's franchise,
combined with an increase in competition, could cause ROE to
decline slightly to about 12% in 2026-2027. The investments have
caused NBU's cost-to-income ratio to show a negative trend.
Because the government has focused on reducing the economic
dominance of state-owned banks, their market share has been
diminishing for the past several years. S&P said, "Although NBU's
market share dynamics reflect this trend, we anticipate that it
will maintain its dominance over the sector for the next two years.
The government has not indicated that it intends to privatize NBU
and we expect the bank to continue to provide a wide range of
services to corporate and retail clients. It is also likely to be
involved in implementing the government's growth and modernization
agenda."
S&P said, "Although NBU's asset quality is projected to show
moderate deterioration, we expect it to continue to outperform the
system average. We forecast a moderate weakening in asset quality
at the system level, so that Stage 3 loans and other real
estate-owned assets comprise about 7.5%-8.5% of the total. NBU is
projected to see a similar weakening, its Stage 3 loans and other
real estate-owned assets are likely to rise to about 6% by year-end
2027, from 5.3% as of year-end 2025. This reflects NBU's privileged
position--it underwrites projects that are seen as strategically
important for the country.
"We also expect NBU to maintain its solid capital adequacy, which
we see as a positive rating factor, through 2026-2027. Our
risk-adjusted capital (RAC) ratio is forecast to remain at
9.0%-9.5% over the next 24 months. As of year-end 2025, NBU's RAC
ratio was 9.7%.
"We see a very high likelihood that NBU will receive extraordinary
government support if needed. This reflects its very strong link
with the government and its very important role in Uzbekistan's
financial system and economy. Although we expect the bank to retain
its high systemic importance for the banking sector and to maintain
its relationship with the government, our long-term rating on NBU
does not incorporate any notches of extraordinary support because
the bank's stand-alone credit profile is at the same level as the
rating on the sovereign. That said, the stand-alone credit profile
(SACP) is bolstered by the government's material and ongoing
support for NBU, in terms of funding, capital, and guarantees.
"The stable outlook on NBU mirrors that on the sovereign and
reflects our expectation that the bank will maintain its leading
position in the Uzbekistani banking sector. We also expect that its
very strong links with the government will continue to support its
diversified business profile, thus enabling it to maintain adequate
capital buffers and a stable and diversified funding base over the
next 12 months.
"We could consider lowering the rating on NBU in the next 12 months
if we took a similar action on the sovereign, or if the bank's SACP
were to deteriorate. This would most likely be caused by a
deterioration in asset quality or capitalization.
"We would consider raising the rating on the bank within the next
12 months if we took a similar action on the sovereign and at the
same time, NBU's creditworthiness strengthened. This is not part of
our base-case scenario."
===========
S W E D E N
===========
NORDIC PAPER: S&P Alters Outlook to Negative, Affirms 'B' ICR
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'B' issuer credit rating on Nordic
Paper Holding and 'B' issue rating on the term loan B (TLB). The
recovery rating on the TLB is '3', indicating about 60% recovery
expected in a default scenario.
The negative outlook indicates the one-in-three possibility of a
downgrade over the next 12 months if EBITDA or free operating cash
flow (FOCF) come in below S&P's expectations, or if the financial
policy prevents a recovery in credit metrics.
Softer demand, more intense competition in Europe, and struggles to
pass input cost increases on to customers depressed Nordic Paper
Holding's S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA to Swedish krona (SEK)
504 million (versus SEK817 million in 2024, and our expectations of
SEK845 million). Our adjusted debt to EBITDA thereby rose to 6.0x
and funds from operations (FFO) to debt declined to 3%.
S&P said, "We forecast S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA
will improve to 5.2x and the FFO-to-debt ratio recover to 10.3%,
thanks to a modest recovery in adjusted EBITDA in 2026 to
approximately SEK650 million, from cost reduction and strategic
initiatives. Prevailing market conditions remain soft and the
timing of a recovery remains uncertain (mainly in greaseproof
paper). In light of these lower EBITDA margin expectations for the
medium term, we have revised down our business risk assessment for
Nordic Paper to weak.
"S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was SEK504 million,
well below our projected SEK845 million, and EBITDA is expected to
remain well below 2024 EBITDA levels (SEK817 million) in the short
to medium term. This underperformance was driven by a rapid
deterioration in market conditions in the second half of 2025,
which led to volume declines of 6% in kraft paper (due to weakening
demand) and 7% in greaseproof paper (as competition in Europe
intensified). The company also lacked the pricing power to pass
wood cost increase on to kraft paper customers. While we anticipate
a modest EBITDA recovery to SEK645 million by end-2026--thanks to
cost-saving initiatives mainly--this remains well below our
previous expectations. We anticipate S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
debt to EBITDA will decline to 5.2x in 2026 from 6.0x in 2025.
These ratios are well above our previous forecasts."
Nordic Paper's FOCF also deteriorated more sharply than anticipated
in 2025. FOCF was negative at SEK226 million (negative SEK169
million in 2024) as EBITDA was insufficient to cover SEK485 million
in capital expenditure (capex), SEK342 million in cash interest
(inclusive of transaction costs), and SEK 69 million in cash taxes.
S&P said, "We expect FOCF to recover to approximately SEK175
million in 2026, driven by a modest recovery in EBITDA,
nonrecurrence of transaction costs, and reduced expansionary
investments. We anticipate annual capex to stabilize at SEK165
million-SEK185 million through 2027 (primarily maintenance
related)." The Backhammar water-handling project will now be funded
through a build-to-lease model: Nordic Paper will have a third
party build the facility, and then lease it from that party
starting in late 2027. While the reduction in capex supports FOCF
generation in 2026-2027, it also increases the group's lease
liabilities by SEK470 million from late 2027.
S&P said, "We view the financial policy of Strategic Value
Partners, which fully owns Nordic Paper, as aggressive. Strategic
Value Partners has implemented financial engineering measures that
have increased the company's S&P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage.
These include the factoring facility put in place in 2026 (with
SEK320 million utilized in 2026), and the SEK71 million
sale-and-leaseback transaction completed in December 2025. While
our base case does not assume any dividend distributions, we cannot
rule them out.
"The negative outlook reflects a one-in-three chance that Nordic
Paper's performance in the next 12 months will fall short of our
expectations. Our visibility on the timing of a recovery in
greaseproof paper markets remains limited. This is compounded by
uncertainties on the impact of the conflict in the Middle East and
its impact on energy and other input costs. In addition, the
competitive landscape for greaseproof paper in Europe is expected
to remain challenging due to the rising influx of imported volumes.
Finally, we cannot rule out that further aggressive financial
policy decisions will weaken credit metrics.
"We have revised our view of Nordic Paper's business risk profile
to weak from fair. This downward revision reflects lower EBITDA
margin expectations. Our previous assessment assumed the company
would sustain above-average sector margins of more than 19%. We no
longer expect it to reach those levels over the next 24 months,
reflecting the sharp deterioration in market sentiment in the
second half of 2025. In the kraft paper segment, weak demand
limited the company's ability to pass higher wood costs through to
selling prices, while the greaseproof paper segment faced rising
competitive pressures from lower-cost Asian imports. While we
expect a modest recovery in kraft paper in 2026, we do not
anticipate any material improvement in the greaseproof paper
market. Despite this, our business risk assessment continues to be
supported by Nordic Paper's vertical integration into pulp, its
proximity to key raw-material suppliers, its leading market
positions, and its relatively diversified manufacturing footprint.
"The negative outlook indicates the one-in-three possibility of a
downgrade over the next 12 months if EBITDA or FOCF come in below
our expectations, or if the financial policy prevents a recovery in
credit metrics."
S&P could consider lowering the rating if:
-- Nordic Paper continues experiencing adverse market conditions
and competitive pressure that offset the potential benefits of
cost-saving measures, resulting in adjusted EBITDA remaining low or
FOCF remaining negative or minimal in the next 12 months; or
-- The group's financial policy remains aggressive. This could be
characterized by large debt-funded acquisitions, material S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt increases (including from sale and
lease-back transactions or factoring facilities), or substantial
dividend payments that deteriorate credit metrics.
S&P could revise its outlook to stable if:
-- Nordic Paper's business plan and cost control initiatives
result in substantial EBITDA growth and materially positive FOCF
generation; and
-- Such improvements are reinforced by supportive financial
policies.
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
GALINO LIMITED: AAB Business Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Galino Limited, trading as Galino, was placed into administration
in the Court of Session, No P690 of 2026. David McGinness and
Judith Howson of AAB Business & Tax Advisory were appointed as
Joint Administrators on July 7, 2026.
The company specialized in the manufacture of fasteners and screw
machine products.
Its registered office is 133 Finnieston Street, Glasgow, G3 8HB.
The former registered office was 2 South Caldeen Road, Coatbridge,
ML5 4EG.
Its principal trading address is 2 South Caldeen Road, Coatbridge,
ML5 4EG.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
David McGinness
Judith Howson
133 Finnieston Street
Glasgow
G3 8HB
Tel: 0141 271 2827
Email: restructuring@aab.uk
GREAT HALL NO.1 2027-2: Fitch Affirms 'BBsf' Rating on Two Tranches
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed the tranches of all Great Hall Mortgages
No. 1 plc (GHM) transactions and revised the Outlook on GHM2007-2's
class D notes to Stable from Negative.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Great Hall Mortgages
No. 1 plc (Series 2007-1)
Class Ba XS0288628224 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Bb XS0288628810 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Ca XS0288629545 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Cb XS0288630121 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Da XS0288630394 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
Class Db XS0288630550 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
Class Ea XS0288630808 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
Great Hall Mortgages
No. 1 plc (Series 2007-2)
Class Ba XS0308356970 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Ca XS0308357358 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Cb XS0308355733 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Da XS0308357788 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
Class Db XS0308356111 LT AA-sf Affirmed AA-sf
Class Ea XS0308357861 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Class Eb XS0308356467 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
Great Hall Mortgages
No. 1 plc (Series 2006-1)
Class Ba XS0276086989 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Bb XS0276093332 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Ca XS0276087524 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Cb XS0276093928 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class Da XS0276088506 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
Class Db XS0276095030 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
Class Ea XS0276089223 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
Transaction Summary
The transactions comprise UK buy-to-let (BTL) and non-conforming
owner-occupied (OO) mortgage loans that were originated before 2007
by Platform Homeloans Limited and purchased by JPMorgan Chase Bank
N.A. The portfolios are predominantly made up of floating-rate
interest-only (IO) assets.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Arrears Performance: Arrears performance has broadly stabilised
across all three transactions since its last review in September
2025, with modest improvement for GHM2006-1. Prepayments have
increased since the last review, particularly in GHM2006-1 and
GHM2007-2, likely reflecting stronger borrowers refinancing out of
the pools. This may weaken the remaining pools' credit quality and
be detrimental to the junior notes.
As the loan count in the transactions continues to decline, the
notes' ability to pay down will increasingly depend on the
performance of a small number of borrowers. This may result in the
transactions becoming more reliant on reserve funds for credit
support.
Rising Credit Enhancement (CE): CE has increased across all
tranches since the last review, most notably for the senior notes,
driven by sequential amortisation and non-amortising reserve funds,
as trigger breaches have prevented the reserves from amortising.
However, there have been small drawings on the reserve funds across
all three transactions, followed by modest replenishments. As of
the latest investor report in June 2026, the GHM 2007-1 reserve
fund is at target, while GHM 2006-1 and GHM 2007-2 areat 90.7% and
93.7% of target, respectively.
Outlooks Reflect Uneven Credit Support: The Outlook revision on
GHM2007-2's class D notes to Stable from Negative is primarily
driven by increased CE from subordination and the support provided
by the non-amortising reserve fund, which remains available despite
potential drawings over the life of the transaction. However, Fitch
has maintained the Negative Outlooks on GHM2007-2's class E notes,
reflecting the greater sensitivity of these notes to pool
concentration risk and limited CE, which leave these notes more
exposed to adverse performance as the transaction continues to
amortise.
Tail Risks: The transactions contain a high proportion of IO loans,
resulting in material back-ended risk within the portfolios. IO
loans represent about 90% for all three transactions, with
maturities concentrated between 2026 and 2031. This has led to an
increase in loans past maturity and, given the concentration of
upcoming IO maturities, Fitch expects this proportion to increase.
To address this risk, Fitch has modelled loans past maturity as
restructured in its asset analysis, which attracts a higher
foreclosure frequency (FF).
Transaction Adjustment: Fitch has applied its non-conforming
assumptions and an OO transaction adjustment of 0.75x and a BTL
transaction adjustment of 1.5x to FFs for GHM2006-1 and GHM2007-1.
This is because the transactions' historical performance of loans
three months or more in arrears has been better than Fitch's
non-conforming index, but worse than the BTL index. GHM2007-2 has
performed in line with Fitch's UK non-conforming index of loans
that are three months or more in arrears. Fitch has applied an OO
transaction adjustment of 1.0x and a BTL transaction adjustment of
1.5x to FFs for this deal.
BTL Recovery Rate Cap: The non-conforming sector has reported
losses that exceed those implied by the indexed property values in
the underlying pools. Fitch has therefore applied borrower-level
recovery rate (RR) caps to the BTL loans in these transactions, in
line with those applied to non-conforming loans: 85% RR at 'Bsf'
and 65% RR at 'AAAsf'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transactions' performance may be affected by adverse changes in
market conditions and the economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated with increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults and could reduce the CE available to the
notes.
Fitch found that a 15% increase in the weighted average FF (WAFF)
and a 15% decrease in the WARR could lead to downgrades of four
notches for GHM2006-1's class E notes, three notches for
GHM2007-1's class E notes, three notches for GHM2007-2's class D
notes and four notches for GHM2007-2's class E notes . No other
notes would be affected.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults, would lead to increasing CE and, potentially, rating
upgrades.
Fitch found that a decrease in the WAFF of 15% and an increase in
the WARR of 15% could lead to upgrades of one notch for GHM2006-1's
class D notes, four notches for GHM2006-1's class E notes, one
notch for GHM2007-1's class D notes, four notches for GHM2007-1's
class E notes, three notches for GHM2007-2s class D notes and four
notches GHM2007-2's class E notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset
pools and the transactions. Fitch has not reviewed the results of
any third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
Fitch did not undertake a review of the information provided about
the underlying asset pools ahead of the transaction's initial
closing. The subsequent performance of the transactions over the
years is consistent with the agency's expectations given the
operating environment and Fitch is therefore satisfied that the
asset pool information relied upon for its initial rating analysis
was adequately reliable.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
All three GHM transactions have an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for
Customer Welfare - Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security due to
the pool's IO maturity concentration at greater than 20% of legacy
non-conforming OO loans, which has a negative impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
All three GHM transactions have an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for
Human Rights, Community Relations, Access & Affordability due to a
significant portion of the pool containing OO loans advanced with
limited affordability checks, which has a negative impact on the
credit profile, and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
HERA CARE: KRE Corporate Appointed as Administrators
----------------------------------------------------
Hera Care Services Ltd was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-005485, and Paul Ellison and
Christopher Errington of KRE Corporate Recovery Limited were
appointed as Administrators on July 13, 2026.
The company specialized in temporary employment agency activities.
Its registered office is at Unit 8, The Aquarium, King Street,
Reading, Berkshire, RG1 2AN.
The Administrators can be contacted at:
Paul Ellison
Christopher Errington
KRE Corporate Recovery Limited
Unit 8, The Aquarium Building
King Street, Reading
Berkshire, RG1 2AN
Further details contact:
Chloe Brown
Tel: 01189 479090
Email: chloe.brown@krecr.co.uk
J.M. GORRY: FTS Recovery Appointed as Administrators
----------------------------------------------------
J.M. Gorry & Son Limited (formerly Pinedeck Services Limited) was
placed into administration in the High Court of Justice, Business
and Property Courts in Manchester, Insolvency & Companies List
(ChD), Court Number CR-2026-001043, and Alan Coleman and Nicola
Baker of FTS Recovery Limited were appointed as Administrators on
July 20, 2026.
The company specialized in freight transport by road.
Its registered office and principal trading address is Middlegate,
Whitelund Industrial Estate, Morecambe, LA3 3BN.
The Administrators can be contacted at:
Alan Coleman
Nicola Baker
FTS Recovery Limited
Suite 1A, 40 King Street
Manchester, Greater Manchester
M2 6BA
Further details contact:
Gemma Payne
Tel: 0161 464 3834
Email: gemma.payne@ftsrecovery.co.uk
KARTA CREATIVE: S&W Partners Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Karta Creative Ltd was placed into administration in the High Court
of Justice, Business and Property Courts, Insolvency & Companies
List (ChD), Court Number CR-2026-005598, and James Thompson and Ben
Woodthorpe of S&W Partners LLP were appointed as Joint
Administrators on July 17, 2026.
The company specialized in advertising agencies.
Its registered office and principal trading address is 167-169
Great Portland Street, 5th Floor, London, W1W 5PF.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
James Thompson
Ben Woodthorpe
S&W Partners LLP
45 Gresham Street
London
EC2V 7BG
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel: 020 4617 5500
Alternative Contact: Alexandra Nastase
Email: alexandra.nastase@swgroup.com
KIRKHAM GRAMMAR: Kroll Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------
Kirkham Grammar School was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts in Leeds, Insolvency
& Companies List (ChD), Court Number CR-2026-001077, and Philip
Joseph Dakin and Benjamin John Wiles of Kroll Advisory Ltd were
appointed as Joint Administrators on July 17, 2026.
The company specialized in primary and general secondary
education.
Its registered office is at The News Building, Level 6, 3 London
Bridge Street, London, SE1 9SG.
Its principal trading address is Ribby Road, Kirkham, Preston,
Lancashire, PR4 2BH.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Philip Joseph Dakin
Benjamin John Wiles
Kroll Advisory Ltd
The News Building
Level 6
3 London Bridge Street
London
SE1 9SG
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7089 4700
Alternative Contact: Judah Jackson
LANFINE LIMITED: FRP Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------------
Lanfine Limited (trading as The Honesty Works) was placed into
administration in the Court of Session, No P685 of 2026, and
Michelle Elliott and Callum Angus Carmichael of FRP Advisory
Trading Limited were appointed as Joint Administrators on July 10,
2026.
The company specialized in soft furnishings wholesale.
Its registered office at is 3-5 Campbell Street, Darvel, KA17 0BU
(to be changed to Level 2, The Beacon, 176 St Vincent Street,
Glasgow, G2 5SG).
Its principal trading address is 3-5 Campbell Street, Darvel, KA17
0BU.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Michelle Elliott
Callum Angus Carmichael
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
Level 2, The Beacon
176 St Vincent Street
Glasgow
G2 5SG
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel: +44 (0)330 055 5455
Email: cp.glasgow@frpadvisory.com
Alternative Contact: John Woodhouse
ORBIT DISCOVERY GROUP: James Cowper Tapped as Administrators
------------------------------------------------------------
Orbit Discovery Group Ltd was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, No 005336 of 2026, and Sandra Lillian Mundy
and Susan Rosemary Staunton of James Cowper Kreston were appointed
as Joint Administrators on July 20, 2026.
The company specialized in research and experimental development on
biotechnology.
Its registered office is at Inventa Building, Botley Road, Oxford,
OX2 0HA, United Kingdom.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Sandra Lillian Mundy
Susan Rosemary Staunton
James Cowper Kreston
2 Communications Road
Greenham, Newbury
RG19 6AB
Further details Contact:
Sandra Mundy
Tel: 01635 35255
Email: smundy@jamescowper.co.uk
PRESSMATIC LIMITED: KRE Appointed as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------
Pressmatic Limited (formerly Powpress Multimatics Limited) was
placed into administration in the High Court of Justice, Business
and Property Court in Newcastle, Company & Insolvency List, No
000084 of 2026, and Lynn Marshall and Paul Matthew Kings of KRE
(North) Limited were appointed as Joint Administrators on July 10,
2026.
The company specialized in the fabrication of metal products.
Its registered office and principal trading address is Unit D
Franklin Industrial Estate, Patterson Street, Blaydon, NE21 5TL.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Lynn Marshall
Paul Matthew Kings
KRE (North) Limited
c/o KRE (North) Limited
7-8 Delta Bank Road
Gateshead
NE11 9DJ
Tel: 0191 406 7364
Further details contact:
Lynn Marshall
KRE (North) Limited
Tel: 0191 406 7364
Email: lynn.marshall@krecr.co.uk
VICTORIA PLC: Fitch Lowers IDR to 'CCC-' & Keeps on Watch Negative
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded Victoria PLC's Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) to 'CCC-' from 'CCC' and maintained it on
Rating Watch Negative (RWN).
The action follows Victoria's proposed exchange of existing senior
secured notes (SSNs) for new second-priority notes and equity, and
the conversion of preferred equity into equity and second-priority
notes. The downgrade reflects its assessment that this transaction
would constitute a distressed debt exchange (DDE), as it involves
reduced terms for creditors and enables Victoria to avoid an
eventual default under its criteria.
The RWN reflects the pending outcome of the proposal and the
likelihood of a further downgrade before the ratings are rebased to
reflect the new capital structure following the DDE.
Key Rating Drivers
Proposal Signals Potential DDE: Fitch views the proposed
transaction as a DDE, given the 75:100 exchange of its 2028 SSNs
into new second-priority notes, equity stake and the addition of
payment-in kind (PIK) interest, both of which represent a
meaningful deterioration in creditor terms. Fitch believes the
exchange's structure also indicates the company's limited ability
to address its 2028 maturities through a conventional refinancing,
increasing the likelihood of default without the transaction.
Limited Financial Flexibility: Fitch forecasts Victoria to generate
negative free cash flow (FCF) across FY26-FY28 (year-end March),
driven by higher interest costs and its annual capex plan. Fitch
expects leverage to remain above the sector's 'CCC' midpoint of
7.0x through FYE27, with financial flexibility constrained by
heightened refinancing risk until the proposed transaction is
completed.
High Leverage: Leverage was high at 10.8x at FYE25 and will remain
high at FYE26 due to a higher debt load after the company's
September 2025 restructuring. Under the proposed transaction,
preferred equity would be partly refinanced with new
second-priority notes, although overall debt would decline as a
result of the 75:100 exchange rate applied to the 2028 notes. Fitch
forecasts leverage to decline to about 10.0x at FYE26, before
falling below 7.0x only by FYE28. This deleveraging path reflects
improving EBITDA margins as market conditions recover in FYE27,
alongside a lower debt burden following completion of the
transaction.
Peer Analysis
Victoria is larger than peers like PCF GmbH (CCC) and comparable in
size to Hestiafloor 2 (Gerflor: B+/Stable). However, it remains far
smaller than Mohawk Industries, Inc. (BBB+/Stable) and slightly
smaller than Tarkett Participation (B+/Positive). Gerflor has
superior geographical diversification compared with Victoria, but
both companies maintain high exposure to Europe, including the UK.
Tarkett benefits from broader geographical diversification. Similar
to many building product companies, Victoria has limited market
diversification, with a predominantly residential focus, whereas
Tarkett and Gerflor have greater exposure to commercial real estate
markets.
Victoria's forecast EBITDA margins remain higher than those of
Tarkett (7%-8%), benefitting from a more focused product mix and
less exposure to the lower-margin North American market. However,
Victoria's EBITDA margins lag those of Gerflor, which benefits from
strong market diversification and a specialised product mix. Fitch
projects Victoria's EBITDA leverage at about 10.0x by FYE26,
substantially higher than Gerflor's and Tarkett's.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue to decline 0.6% in FY26 due to subdued demand, before
rising 2.6% in FY27 and 5%-6% annually in FY28 and FY29
- EBITDA margin to improve to 8.3% in FY26 and to 10.6%-12% for
FY27-FY29, driven by increased volumes and proposed cost savings
plan
- Annual working capital consumption at 0.7% of revenue in FY26 and
broadly neutral during FY27-FY29
- Annual capex of GBP65 million during FY26-FY29
- No dividends, M&A or preferential share redemption to FY29
- Refinancing of preferred equity and 2028 notes to be completed in
FY27
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('b+', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bb', Moderate), market and competitive positioning ('b',
Moderate), diversification and asset quality ('bb-', Moderate),
company operational characteristics ('b+', Moderate), profitability
('b-', Moderate), financial structure ('ccc-', Higher), and
financial flexibility ('ccc', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
FY25, 30% for the forecast year FY26, 30% for the forecast year
FY27 and 30% for the forecast year FY28.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and results in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
The governance assessment of 'some deficiencies' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'ccc-'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'CCC-'.
Recovery Analysis
- The recovery analysis assumes that Victoria would be reorganised
as a going concern in bankruptcy rather than liquidated and
considers the current capital structure.
- Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
- The revolving credit facility (RCF) is fully drawn and super
senior, alongside few local facilities, after a restructuring,
according to Fitch's criteria. The company's factoring line is
super senior (deducted from estimated enterprise value). Senior
unsecured debt consists of overdraft facilities and other bank
loans, which rank behind senior secured debt.
- New first priority notes (FPNs) issued in September 2025 (2029
maturities) of GBP576 million (GBP528 million plus PIK coupon for
following 12 months) rank after the RCF.
- SSNs of GBP8 million maturing in 2031 and GBP146 million maturing
in 2028 rank next in the security waterfall after the new FPNs.
- The going-concern EBITDA estimate of GBP120 million reflects its
view of a sustainable, post-reorganisation EBITDA, on which Fitch
bases the valuation of the company, also considering the most
recent acquisitions/disposals.
- Fitch uses a multiple of 5.0x to calculate a post-reorganisation
enterprise valuation, reflecting Victoria's leading position in its
niche markets (soft flooring and ceramic tiles), long-term
relationships with blue-chip companies and a loyal customer base.
- The waterfall analysis result in a ranked recovery in the 'RR3'
band for the FPNs, indicating an instrument rating of 'CCC', and a
recovery in the 'RR6' band for the remaining portion of SSNs,
indicating an instrument rating of 'C'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Completion of a distressed debt exchange leading to a downgrade
(to 'RD') before re-rating the new capital structure
post-restructuring
- Imminent liquidity pressure
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Positive rating action is unlikely, as reflected by the RWN,
ahead of the refinancing
Liquidity and Debt Structure
As of 30 September 2025, Victoria's liquidity was supported by
about GBP84 million readily available cash (net of Fitch-restricted
cash for working capital adjustments), alongside large drawings on
its RCF, which were primarily used to redeem the previous RCF and
other general corporate purposes. Fitch forecasts Victoria will
generate negative FCF in FY26 and FY27.
At end-1HFY26, Victoria's debt structure consisted of GBP130
million RCF maturing in January 2030, GBP528 million FPNs due in
August 2029, GBP146 million SSNs due in March 2028 and
approximately GBP8 million SSNs due in August 2031. Preferred
equity was GBP289 million at end-September 2025.
Issuer Profile
Victoria is a listed, UK-based company involved in designing,
manufacturing and distributing flooring products.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Victoria.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Victoria PLC LT IDR CCC- Downgrade CCC
senior secured LT C Downgrade RR6 CC
senior secured LT CCC Downgrade RR3 CCC+
WD FF: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'B' ICR
------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised our outlook on WD FF Ltd. (operating as
Iceland Group) to positive from stable and affirmed its 'B'
long-term issuer credit rating, its 'BB' issue rating on its super
senior revolving credit facility (RCF), and 'B' issue rating on the
existing senior secured notes. S&P also assigned a 'B' issue rating
to the proposed GBP512 million-equivalent senior secured notes.
S&P said, "The positive outlook reflects our expectation that we
could upgrade the group if it generates profitable growth which
translates to more consistent and material positive free operating
cash flow (FOCF) generation after leases, while adhering to its
debt deleveraging trajectory including S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
debt to EBITDA improving to about 4.0x by the end of fiscal 2028.
"We expect that WD FF Ltd. (operating as Iceland Group) will
continue to demonstrate a resilient operating performance,
supported by sustained market share and volume growth. We assume
the group's EBITDA margins will remain robust driven by cost saving
initiatives amid stable demand trends, despite ongoing competitive
pressures and labor and input cost pressure, translating into more
consistent and material FOCF generation."
The group has announced plans to refinance its capital structure by
raising GBP512 million-equivalent euro-denominated senior secured
notes due in 2033, issued by its financing subsidiary Iceland
Bondco PLC, to repay GBP472 million-equivalent senior secured notes
maturing in December 2027 and cover transaction costs and
redemption fees. The company will also extend its GBP75 million
super senior secured revolving credit facility (RCF, currently
maturing in November 2027) to April 2028.
S&P said, "The positive outlook reflects our expectation that
Iceland Group will continue to defend its market share and grow
volumes despite ongoing competitive pressures, which could result
in more consistent and material positive FOCF generation. Despite
its smaller operating scale compared with U.K. retail peers, the
group continues to preserve its 2.2% market share in the U.K.
grocery market, based on Kantar Worldpanel by Numerator
data--despite a shift in market share from some big box grocers to
discounters--demonstrating the appeal of Iceland Group's value
proposition, omnichannel reach, and resilient demand for quality
frozen and chilled foods. The group posted revenue of about GBP4.4
billion in both fiscal 2026 and in the first quarter of fiscal 2027
on a rolling-12-months basis. Volumes grew by more than 1% in
fiscal 2026 (ended March 27, 2026) and year-to-date fiscal 2027
(ended June 19, 2026), above the flat market average growth. We
expect this resilience to continue in fiscals 2027 and 2028,
supported by pricing investments (including the group's popular
GBP1 value range and promotional activity), product innovation,
expansion of its quick delivery offering, alongside the development
of its loyalty program (relaunched in August 2025) and new
marketing efforts, including the growth of its retail media
network.
"FOCF generation after leases improved to about GBP39 million in
fiscal 2026, where we had previously forecast cash outflows. This
was underpinned by resilient EBITDA margins, as well as improved
supplier payment terms that led to a working capital inflow of
GBP69 million. We now expect FOCF generation after leases to remain
positive in fiscals 2027 and 2028 at about GBP30 million annually,
on the back of stable market share, improved store-level stock
management from the new Warrington depot, and disciplined and much
lower capital expenditure (capex) after a one-off investment in its
new frozen meal manufacturing facility in Oldham in 2026.
"We expect S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA to decline to
about 4x by the end of fiscal 2028, thanks to earnings growth and
disciplined financial policy. We expect the group to be able to
defend its S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin at about 7% in
fiscals 2027 and 2028, after reporting a slight decline to 6.8% in
fiscal 2026 due to staff costs (National Insurance Contribution and
National Living Wage increases in 2025), energy levies, and other
input cost inflation. We note that the group reported 7.0% in the
first quarter of fiscal 2027 on a rolling-12-months basis. We think
that the group's efforts to improve in-store labor efficiency,
optimize delivery and the usage of the new Warrington depot, and
its energy hedging policy and conservation efforts, will offset
ongoing inflationary cost pressures, in addition to its growing
focus on the Food Warehouse supermarket format with higher basket
sizes. Moreover, product innovation across its own and partnered
exclusive brands, now equipped with a new manufacturing facility
for frozen ready meals, will continue to expand the group's
margin-accretive wholesale and store partnerships in existing and
new markets.
"We believe resilient profitability and the group's priority to
deleverage its balance sheet will drive S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
debt to EBITDA down to about 4.1x in fiscal 2027 and 3.9x in fiscal
2028, from 4.3x in fiscal 2026. We note that the group is owned by
family shareholders, with key members in the management team, who
prioritize sustainable growth of the business. They also aim to
deleverage the business to company-adjusted debt to EBITDA of 3x
(equivalent to slightly above 3x on our adjusted basis), a target
they have publicly committed to, before considering any dividend
payout. In addition, the group has a track record of repaying some
of its debt maturities early, albeit at small amounts, with cash.
We therefore do not factor any material dividends or acquisitions
in our base case. Ongoing financial discipline will be key to
achieving a higher rating.
"The proposed transaction will support EBITDAR cash interest and
rent coverage and boost liquidity. Iceland Bondco PLC, financing
subsidiary of the group, plans to issue new GBP512
million-equivalent euro-denominated senior secured notes due 2033,
to refinance its GBP472 million-equivalent floating rate and fixed
rate senior secured notes, due December 2027. We expect total
annualized cash interest of about GBP90 million (including lease
interest) with the new notes, which will support the improvement of
EBITDAR cash interest and rent coverage to about 1.5x by fiscal
2028, from 1.2x in fiscal 2026. The transaction will also leave
about GBP24 million of cash on the balance sheet, after paying
transaction and redemption fees. The maturity of the group's GBP75
million super senior RCF will also be extended to April 2028 (from
November 2027). The pro forma cash of about GBP176 million and
availability under the undrawn RCF will continue to support the
group's liquidity position, amid seasonal working capital
requirements and capex on maintenance, new stores, and its refit
program.
"The positive outlook reflects our view that we could upgrade the
group if it generates earnings growth and more consistent and
material FOCF after leases, on the back of resilient demand for
value and frozen products. We forecast EBITDA margins of about 7%
resulting in adjusted debt to EBITDA falling toward 4.0x by 2028."
S&P could revise the outlook back to stable if Iceland Group
underperforms its base case, such that:
-- EBITDAR to cash interest and rent coverage remains below 1.5x
without foreseeable improvement;
-- FOCF after leases is weaker than our expectations; or
-- If the group adopts a more aggressive financial policy than
expected.
S&P could raise the rating if Iceland Group shows a track record of
the following metrics:
-- Materially positive FOCF after leases at least in line with
S&P's expectations;
-- EBITDAR to cash interest and rent coverage of about 1.5x;
-- A debt deleveraging trajectory in line with S&P's base case,
and medium-term financial policy adhering to its public target of
3x reported debt leverage; and
-- The group's 2028 debt maturities are successfully refinanced.
WOODVILLE CONSULTANTS: Kroll Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Woodville Consultants Limited was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Court Number
CR-2026-005434, and Robert William Goodhew and Andrew Gordon
Stoneman of Kroll Advisory Ltd were appointed as Joint
Administrators on July 16, 2026.
The company specialized in financial management.
Its registered office and principal trading address is 5
Gelliwastad Road, Pontypridd, CF37 2BP.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Robert William Goodhew
Andrew Gordon Stoneman
Kroll Advisory Ltd
The News Building
Level 6, 3 London Bridge Street
London
SE1 9SG
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel: 020 7089 4700
Email: Woodville@Kroll.com
Alternative contact: Samuel Warlow
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless Hills,
Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C., USA.
Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2026. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
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