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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Friday, June 26, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 127
Headlines
A U S T R I A
CONSTANTIA FLEXIBLES: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)' IDR, Outlook Positive
D E N M A R K
LIQTECH INTERNATIONAL: Marathon Micro Fund Holds 9.1% Stake
F R A N C E
ALTICE FRANCE 3: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'Caa1' CFR to Positive
BISCUIT HOLDING: Fitch Cuts IDR to 'RD', Then Hikes IDR to 'CCC'
FCT YOUNI 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
FCT YOUNI 2026-1: Moody's Assigns (P)B1 Rating to Class E Notes
MISTRAL HOLDCO: Fitch Publishes 'B' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Stable
G E R M A N Y
HT TROPLAST: Moody's Rates New EUR430MM Senior Secured Notes 'B2'
I R E L A N D
ARES EUROPEAN XIX: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
BAIN CAPITAL 2018-1: Fitch Withdraws Dsf Rating on Class F Notes
BAIN CAPITAL 2021-2: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on EUR9.8MM F Notes
CANYON EURO 2026-1: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
CAPITAL FOUR XII: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
DRYDEN 69 EURO 2018: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on Cl. F-R Notes
FERNHILL PARK: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F-R Notes
HENLEY CLO XVII: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class F Notes
TIKEHAU CLO VI: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on EUR11.6MM Cl. F Notes
I T A L Y
BRIGNOLE CQ 2024: Fitch Affirms 'BB+sf' Rating on Class X Notes
DOLCETTO HOLDCO: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'B3' CFR to Positive
FLOS B&B: Fitch Puts 'B' LongTerm IDR on Watch Positive
VIMERCATI SPA: July 1 Deadline Set for Expressions of Interest
K A Z A K H S T A N
SOCIAL-ENTREPRENEURIAL CORP: Fitch Assigns BB IDRs, Outlook Stable
L U X E M B O U R G
CULLINAN HOLDCO: Fitch Affirms 'B-' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Stable
EUROPEAN MEDCO 3: Fitch Affirms 'B-' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Stable
MELLENU HOLDING: Fitch Assigns 'B' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Positive
P O R T U G A L
CONSUMER TOTTA 4 2026: Moody's Gives B1 Rating to EUR9.6MM E Notes
GEMMA STC: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
R U S S I A
ARTEL ELECTRONICS: Fitch Affirms 'B' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Negative
NAVOI MINING: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'BB' Long-Term IDR to Pos.
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
AGPTC HEALTHCARE: BDO LLP Appointed as Joint Administrators
ALDERLEY GROUP: MHA Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
AUBURN 15: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B+sf' Rating to Stable
CURZON SQUARE: FRP Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
EC3 BROKERS: Insurer Client Money Proof Bar Date Set for Sept. 18
ENQUEST PLC: Fitch Puts 'B' LongTerm IDR on Watch Positive
FRONTIER MORTGAGE 2026-1: Fitch Assigns B-sf Rating on Cl. G Notes
HERMITAGE 2026: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
J K ROOFING: KRE (North) Appointed as Joint Administrators
LPPC ENVIRONMENTAL: BTG Begbies Appointed as Administrator
MACKOY LIMITED: Quantuma Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
NEW FARM: Forvis Mazars Appointed as Joint Administrators
OBAN CARDS 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Final Rating on Cl. E Debt
PEGASUS WAREHOUSING: Leonard Curtis Appointed as Administrators
SMALL BUSINESS 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class C Notes
TENETCONNECT SERVICES: Appoints Interpath as Joint Liquidators
TRAVIS PERKINS: Fitch Affirms & Then Withdraws 'BB+' LongTerm IDR
X X X X X X X X
[] BOOK REVIEW: Black Monday - The Stock Market Catastrophe
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A U S T R I A
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CONSTANTIA FLEXIBLES: Fitch Assigns 'B(EXP)' IDR, Outlook Positive
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Fitch Ratings has assigned Constantia Flexibles GmbH an expected
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'B (EXP)' with Positive
Outlook. Fitch has also assigned instrument ratings of 'B+(EXP)'
with Recovery Ratings of 'RR3' to its proposed senior secured debt
totaling EUR1.9 billion.
The final ratings are contingent on the receipt of final
documentation conforming materially to information already
received, including details on amount and security package.
The IDR reflects Constantia's high leverage, albeit with
deleveraging capacity as earnings improve. The rating is supported
by a solid business profile, the company's leading position in
flexible packaging, established customer relationships and moderate
concentration risk.
The Positive Outlook reflects its expectation for deleveraging to
the positive sensitivity of 6.0x in 2027 and below in 2028,
supported by modest but sustainable revenue growth and strong free
cash flow (FCF) with limited volatility.
Key Rating Drivers
Leverage Constrains Rating: Fitch expects Fitch-adjusted EBITDA
gross leverage to remain high, albeit improving, at 6.5x in 2026,
6x in 2027, and to decline below 6x from 2028 onwards, from 7.5x in
2025. Deleveraging is likely to be driven by stronger profitability
rather than debt reduction. Fitch expects factoring and supply
chain finance to remain in line with the 2025 balance and to add
around 1.0x to Fitch-adjusted leverage in 2026.
Improving FCF Generation: Fitch expects Constantia's FCF generation
to strengthen, with the Fitch-defined FCF margin increasing to 1.9%
in 2026, 4.2% in 2027 and 5.1% in 2028. This will be supported by
higher EBITDA, limited working capital outflows, the absence of
restructuring charges from 2027, lower growth capex from 2026 and
no dividend payments. Fitch forecasts FCF of about EUR100
million-120 million in 2027-2028. However, Fitch believes excess
cash is more likely to be used for acquisitions rather than
voluntary debt repayment.
EBITDA Growth: Fitch forecasts Fitch-adjusted EBITDA to increase to
about EUR354 million in 2026 from EUR305 million in 2025. Growth
will be driven by the full run-rate from Aluflexpack acquisition,
integration synergies, recently added growth assets and market
growth. Cost-saving measures beyond integration should more than
offset higher operating costs linked to business expansion in 2026.
Fitch forecasts EBITDA of EUR380 million in 2027 and EUR395 million
in 2028, supported by integration synergies and organic growth.
Fitch-adjusted EBITDA margin should improve to 16% or above from
2027, from 14% in 2025.
Limited Earnings Volatility: Constantia is exposed to changes in
raw material (mainly aluminum and resin) and energy prices. EBITDA
volatility is limited by contractual cost pass-through mechanisms
covering about 85%-90% of contracts. This was evident during the
period of high inflation, elevated energy costs and the imposition
of US tariffs, and Fitch believes the current rise in input costs
will be managed in a similar way. The company's strong customer
relationships and reliable supply record (including during the
pandemic) support pricing flexibility. The small share of packaging
costs in customers' end-product prices also supports its ability to
pass on cost increases.
Acquisition Enhances Scale and Diversification: The acquisition of
Aluflexpack in March 2025 strengthens Constantia's position in
European flexible packaging, adding about EUR350 million of revenue
and EUR35 million of EBITDA, according to management. Fitch
believes the transaction improves the company's product and
geographical diversification and should support margin expansion
through procurement, commercial, operational and administrative
synergies, as well as increased in-sourcing. Fitch expects synergy
realisation of about EUR30 million in 2026 and 2027, following the
EUR9 million recorded in 2025.
Solid Business Profile: Constantia's business profile is supported
by its leading market position in flexible packaging, loyal
customer relationships and a high share of multi-year contracts.
Most of its end-markets across the pharma and consumer divisions
are fairly defensive as they cater to the basic needs of
end-consumers. Fitch also views the company's private label
offering as providing some resilience in weaker consumer
environments. These strengths are offset by its smaller scale than
larger peers, such as Amcor plc (BBB+/Stable) and Mondi Plc. Its
focus on mono-material and easily recyclable packaging in Europe
positions it well for tighter regulatory requirements.
One-Notch Uplift for Senior Secured: Constantia's proposed senior
secured debt is rated one notch above the IDR to reflect its good
recovery prospects. The instruments rank pari passu with its
proposed EUR305 million revolving credit facility (RCF), In
accordance with Fitch's criteria, the recovery waterfall analysis
includes super senior factoring and senior secured supply chain
financing.
Peer Analysis
Constantia's business profile is stronger than that of most
Fitch-rated packaging peers in the sub-investment grade categories.
Constantia's product and end-market diversification is broader than
that of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (B/Stable), Fischbach MidCo III
GmbH (B/Stable), Nordic Paper Holding AB (B+/Positive) and CANPACK
Group Inc, (BB/Negative), which are more focused on one or two
product lines.
Constantia also benefits from higher barriers to entry and stronger
market positioning, supported by strict requirements in
pharmaceutical and food packaging and its leading flexible
packaging position. However, its business profile remains weaker
than that of larger, more diversified peers such as Amcor plc
(BBB+/Stable) and Mondi plc, due mainly to its smaller scale.
Constantia is differentiated by strong contractual cost
pass-through mechanism and ongoing cost-saving measures, which
support strong FCF generation. Its projected FCF margins of
2.1%-5.1% in 2026-2028 compare favourably with Nordic Paper's
(which Fitch forecasts to turn positive only in 2027), CANPACK's
(likely to generate positive FCF from 2028), Smurfit Westrock plc's
(BBB+/Stable; 1.9%-3.3%) and Amcor's (3.8%-4.4%). These differences
reflect product mix, varying vertical integration, operating
efficiency, capex cycles and dividend policies.
In contrast, Constantia's EBITDA gross leverage of 6.5x in 2026,
with some improvement thereafter, is weaker than FischBach's 4.9x
and Nordics Paper's 3.1x and broadly in line with Ardagh Metal
Packaging's 6.7x. This weaker leverage profile remains the main
constraint on the rating relative to peers'.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue to grow 5% in 2026 and 3% in 2027-2028, supported by the
first 12-month contribution of Aluflexpack in 2026, additional
volumes driven by acquired growth assets and organic growth
- EBITDA margin to increase to 15.5% in 2026 and 16.2%-16.3% in
2027-2028 driven by integration synergies, higher volumes and
strict cost management supported by the contractual cost
pass-through mechanism
- Working capital consumption at 0.8% of revenue in 2026 and 0.3%
in 2027-2028
- Capex to decline to 5.5% of revenue in 2026, 4.3% in 2027 and
3.8% on completion of growth capex
- No M&As
- No dividends
- Repayment of subsidiary debt of EUR22 million in 2026, following
the completion of refinancing
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb+', Lower), sector characteristics
('bbb-', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('bb+',
Moderate), diversification and asset quality ('bb+', Moderate),
company operational characteristics ('bbb-', Moderate),
profitability ('bb', Moderate), financial structure ('ccc+',
Higher), and financial flexibility ('bb+', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year
2027.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and have no impact.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'bbb+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B'.
Recovery Analysis
- The recovery analysis assumes that Constantia would be
reorganised as a going concern in bankruptcy rather than
liquidated.
- Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
- Factoring facilities backed by receivables rank super senior
while supply chain financing ranks senior secured, in line with
Fitch's criteria.
- The expected senior secured RCF of EUR305 million is assumed to
be fully drawn in post-restructuring and ranks the same as expected
senior secured debt of EUR1,900 million.
- Other debt of EUR56 million, expected to be outstanding at
closing, is fully cash-collateralised and ring-fenced from
Constantia or its subsidiaries. The loan is excluded from the
waterfall analysis, as it will be repaid from the cash collateral
and therefore will not affect recoveries available to other
creditors.
- Its going-concern (GC) EBITDA estimate of EUR300 million,
including Aluflexpack, reflects its view of a sustainable,
post-reorganisation EBITDA on which Fitch bases the valuation of
the company.
- Fitch uses an enterprise value multiple of 5.5x to calculate a
post-reorganisation valuation. This reflects Constantia's leading
position in its end-markets, long-term relationships with blue-chip
customers and high entry barriers especially for pharma packaging.
- The waterfall analysis output for the senior secured term loan B
(TLB) and other senior secured debt generated a ranked recovery in
the 'RR3' band, indicating an instrument rating of 'B+'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA gross leverage above 7.5x
- FCF margin consistently negative
- EBITDA interest coverage below 2.0x
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- EBITDA gross leverage below 6.0x
- FCF margins sustainably neutral to positive
- EBITDA interest coverage above 2.5x
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2025, Constantia had EUR158 million of cash (adjusted by
Fitch for intra-year working capital changes of EUR50 million) and
an undrawn RCF of EUR200 million. Fitch expects EUR119 million of
Fitch-adjusted cash at end-2026 and EUR305 million of the undrawn
RCF if the refinancing is completed as planned. Fitch forecasts
Constantia to generate strong FCF of EUR44 million in 2026, EUR100
million in 2027 and EUR123 million in 2028.
The new capital structure will consist of the TLB and other senior
secured debt totaling EUR1.9 billion with long-dated maturities.
Constantia also supports its working capital management with
factoring and supply chain financing.
Issuer Profile
Constantia is an Austrian flexible packaging manufacturer with an
aluminum and film foil-based packaging products offering. It serves
well-known global customers across the pharma and consumer
end-markets.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Constantia.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
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Constantia
Flexibles GmbH LT IDR B(EXP) Expected Rating
senior secured LT B+(EXP) Expected Rating RR3
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D E N M A R K
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LIQTECH INTERNATIONAL: Marathon Micro Fund Holds 9.1% Stake
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Marathon Micro Fund, LP disclosed in a Schedule 13G filed with the
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission that as of June 10, 2026,
it beneficially owns 3,000,000 shares with 3,000,000 sole voting
power, 0 shared voting power, 3,000,000 sole dispositive power, and
0 shared dispositive power of LiqTech International Inc's Common
Stock, Par Value $.001, representing 9.1% of the outstanding
shares.
Marathon Micro Fund, LP may be reached through:
James G. Kennedy, President
4 North Park Drive
Suite 106
Hunt Valley, MD 21030
Tel: (410) 329-1522
A full-text copy of Marathon Micro Fund, LP's SEC report is
available at https://tinyurl.com/yw3k7h3w
About LiqTech International
Ballerup, Denmark-based LiqTech International, Inc. is a clean
technology company that provides state-of-the-art gas and liquid
purification products by manufacturing ceramic silicon carbide
filters and membranes as well as developing industry-leading and
fully automated filtration solutions and systems.
Sadler, Gibb & Associates, LLC, based in Draper, Utah, and serving
since 2018, included a "going concern" qualification in its report
dated February 27, 2026, attached to the Company's Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, citing that
Company's recurring losses and negative operating cash flows raise
substantial doubt about the Company's ability to continue as a
going concern.
As of March 31, 2026, the Company had $24.95 million in total
assets, $17.40 million in total liabilities, and $7.55 million in
total equity.
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F R A N C E
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ALTICE FRANCE 3: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'Caa1' CFR to Positive
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Moody's Ratings has affirmed Altice France Lux 3's (Altice France
Lux) Caa1 long-term corporate family rating, the Caa1-PD
probability of default rating, and the Caa3 instrument rating on
the existing senior unsecured notes issued by Altice France Lux.
Concurrently, Moody's have affirmed the Caa1 rating on the backed
senior secured notes and senior secured bank credit facilities
issued by the fully owned subsidiary Altice France SAS (Altice
France). Moody's have changed the outlook for both entities to
positive from stable.
The rating action follows the announcement that a consortium
comprising Orange (Baa1 stable), Bouygues Telecom SA (a subsidiary
of Bouygues S.A., A3 stable) and Iliad Holding S.A.S. (Ba3
positive) signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Altice
France[1], for the joint acquisition of SFR, France's
second-largest telecommunications operator.
Under the terms of the MoU, the total enterprise value of the SFR
assets amounts to EUR20.35 billion, split approximately 42% for
Bouygues Telecom SA (~EUR8.5 billion), 31% for Iliad Holding S.A.S.
(~EUR6.3 billion) and 27% for Orange (~EUR5.6 billion).
The definitive legal documentation is expected to be signed in the
second half of 2026, with completion anticipated in the second half
of 2027, subject to regulatory approvals, including competition
clearance.
"The outlook change to positive reflects the significant
deleveraging Moody's expects in Altice France Lux's credit metrics
should the transaction complete," says Ernesto Bisagno, a Moody's
Ratings Vice President – Senior Credit Officer and lead analyst
for Altice France Lux.
"Moody's expects the vast majority of the proceeds from the SFR
disposal to be used to repay Altice France Lux's outstanding debt,
materially strengthening its credit profile," adds Mr. Bisagno.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The positive outlook is solely driven by Moody's expectations that
the vast majority of Altice France Lux's outstanding debt will be
repaid from the proceeds of the SFR disposal upon completion of the
transaction. Absent this transaction, Altice France's underlying
operating performance remains weak, with revenue declining 9.1% and
EBITDA falling 13.1% year-over-year in Q1 2026. The deterioration
reflects continued pressure on both mobile and fixed segments,
driven by lower volumes and pricing pressure amid intense
competition. As a result, Moody's expects its Moody's adjusted
leverage to increase above 6.5x in 2026, from 5.7x in 2025. Based
on those assumptions, Moody's estimates Altice France's interest
coverage — defined as (EBITDA minus capital expenditure) over
interest expense — to weaken further to around 0.6x in 2026, from
0.8x in 2025. There is also a risk that Altice France's operating
performance could deteriorate further ahead of closing, as the
prolonged uncertainty surrounding the SFR disposal may negatively
affect customer retention.
The Caa1 rating reflects (1) the company's position as one of the
leading convergent companies in the French market, (2) its scale
and ranking as the second largest telecom operator in France, and
(3) its integrated business profile including a 50.01% ownership in
Xpfibre, the largest independent fibre company in France.
The rating also reflects (1) the highly leveraged capital
structure, and the weak free cash flow generation; (2) the ongoing
earnings decline; and (3) the highly competitive nature of the
French market.
LIQUIDITY
Altice France's liquidity is adequate, underpinned by the
expectation that the company will monetize its SFR assets upon
completion of the disposal. However, the underlying liquidity
position has weakened, with pro forma liquidity declining to
approximately EUR0.77 billion at the end of Q1 2026 with full
utilization of the EUR1.2 billion senior secured revolving credit
facility (RCF), reflecting the continued deterioration in operating
performance and negative free cash flow generation.
The RCF is subject to a springing (40% drawings) leverage covenant
of maximum of 6.5x. With net leverage of 6.0x at March 2026 (based
on the L2QA), there is limited headroom under the RCF.
Upcoming debt maturities include EUR922 million euro equivalent due
in 2028 in senior secured term loan Bs. Moody's expects negative
free cash flow of EUR400 million each year over 2026-27.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Altice France's capital structure is an all-senior secured
structure, with bank credit facilities (including RCF) and senior
secured notes ranking pari passu with each other and with the
company's trade payables. The Caa1 rating of the bond and bank
credit facilities at Altice France is in line with the CFR given
that the amount of senior unsecured debt at the holding level is
modest.
The Caa3 rating of Altice France Lux 3 senior unsecured notes
reflects the structural subordination of these holding-company
notes to bond and bank senior debt at Altice France.
RATIONALE FOR POSITIVE OUTLOOK
The positive outlook reflects Moody's expectations that the vast
majority of Altice France Lux's outstanding debt will be repaid
from the proceeds of the SFR disposal upon completion of the
transaction. The positive outlook also assumes that liquidity will
remain adequate.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Further upward rating pressure would materialize upon completion of
the transaction. Absent this transaction, upgrade rating pressure
is unlikely but could develop if Altice France demonstrates
sustained improvement in operating performance and improvement in
cash flow generation, with interest coverage — defined as EBITDA
minus capital expenditures over interest expense — rising well
above 1.0x. A potential upgrade would also be contingent on the
company maintaining adequate liquidity.
Conversely, downward rating pressure could develop if operating
performance fails to recover or cash flow generation weakens,
thereby increasing default risk. A deterioration in liquidity could
also lead to a downgrade.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was
Telecommunications Service Providers published in December 2025.
The Caa1 rating of Altice France Lux is two notches below the
scorecard-indicated outcome of B2, reflecting the greater emphasis
placed on the company's weak cash flow generation, which is
primarily driven by elevated interest expenses and subdued
earnings.
COMPANY PROFILE
Altice France is France's second-largest telecommunications
operator, operating under the SFR brand. At the end of 2025, the
company had 19.4 million mobile subscribers and approximately 6
million fixed-line subscribers, of which around 5.4 million were
fibre connections, representing 90% of the fixed base. In 2025,
Altice France reported revenue of EUR9.2 billion (down 8.4%
year-over-year) and adjusted EBITDA (as defined by the company) of
EUR2.9 billion.
BISCUIT HOLDING: Fitch Cuts IDR to 'RD', Then Hikes IDR to 'CCC'
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Fitch Ratings has downgraded Biscuit Holding SAS's (BH) Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'Restricted Default' (RD) from 'CC'
on the completion of its debt exchange offer. Fitch has
subsequently upgraded the IDR to 'CCC'.
Fitch has also upgraded BH's first-lien secured rating to 'CCC+'
from 'CCC-' and its second-lien debt to 'CC' from 'C'. The Recovery
Ratings remain 'RR3' and 'RR6', respectively.
The downgrade reflects Fitch's view that BH has conducted a
distressed debt exchange (DDE). The subsequent IDR upgrade reflects
its expectation that BH's leverage metrics will remain excessive
through 2029. This suggests that the updated capital structure
still entails heightened refinancing risk, unless there is a
material recovery in operating performance, which remains subject
to execution risk.
Key Rating Drivers
Debt Restructuring Completed: Fitch views BH's completed debt
restructuring as a DDE, as the amend and exchange to its debt terms
constituted a material reduction of the original terms, including
extension of maturity and lowering of lien priority and was
conducted to avoid a probable default.
The plan contemplates an extension of the maturity of the EUR696
million term loan B (TLB) and EUR85 million revolving credit
facility (RCF) by 3.5 years, to 2030 from 2026; the subordination
of the EUR130million (originally EUR80 million) pari passu notes to
first-lien debt, from previously pari passu ranking with the TLB
and RCF; and changing the EUR150 million second-lien loan's payment
terms from cash to non-cash.
Unsustainable Capital Structure: Fitch expects BH's leverage to
remain above 9x in 2026-2029. Deleveraging prospects are
constrained by a material payment-in-kind (PIK) component in the
new capital structure, representing around 25% of total debt, which
will be capitalising. Fitch expects a gradual operational rebound
over the medium term, but under its current assumptions this is
unlikely to be sufficient to drive a meaningful reduction in
leverage, given the still high debt burden following the
restructuring.
High Execution and Refinancing Risks: Fitch believes execution
risks around the planned turnaround strategy remain high, given the
record of weak operating environment with its expectations of a
material drop in EBITDA towards EUR93 million (2024: EUR138
million) in 2025. Fitch assumes that cost pressures amid a
constrained ability to pass on cost inflation to consumers will be
only partially mitigated by cost-efficiency measures across
procurement and commercial initiatives. This may constrain the pace
of operating recovery in 2026-2027 resulting in a slower than
previously expected profit recovery, delaying deleveraging and
suggesting still high refinancing risks.
Neutral to Positive FCF: Fitch expects negative free cash flow
(FCF) in 2026 before gradually recovering to positive territory
from 2027 as EBITDA margins gradually trend towards 9% (2025E:
7.9%) and capex moderates at about 2.5% of sales. Fitch expects
that BH's FCF will be supported by enhanced flexibility from the
capitalisation of cash interest of EUR30 million to EUR35 million
in 2026-2027. A weaker operating performance and increased need in
working capital may lead to a deterioration in liquidity.
Recovery Dependent on Volume Rebound: Fitch expects EBITDA margin
recovery pace will depend on volume recovery, gradual pass through,
product mix improvement and efficiency initiatives. Fitch assumes
BH has moderate ability to increase prices given its role as a
private-label producer facing intense competition from brands.
Fitch assumes flat revenue for 2025 and a low single digit increase
in 2027. Organic growth will be constrained by competition and
softer demand for chocolate-related products, with support from a
strong focus on commercial initiatives and potential acceleration
in the shift toward private label amid weakening consumer
sentiment.
Moderate Scale, Single Product Category: BH's rating captures its
moderate scale with projected EBITDA under EUR130 million in
2026-2029, but strong market positions in France, Germany, Sweden
and Benelux. It operates in the single product category of sweet
and savoury bakery, mainly biscuits, but has a wide offering within
the subsector - often a key advantage for its customers. It is a
predominantly private-label producer (about 90% of revenue in
2025), but also develops co-manufacturing and own brands divisions,
providing additional sales and profit growth opportunities over the
long term.
Peer Analysis
BH's rating is one notch below that of Platform Bidco Limited
(Valeo Foods; B-/Stable). The two companies have similar financial
profiles with comparable profitability and high leverage metrics.
Valeo Foods' rating also benefits from a stronger brand portfolio
and broader product-category diversification.
BH is similar in size, product offerings (long shelf life) and
geographic diversification to La Doria S.p.A. (B+/Stable),
although, the latter's credit profile benefits from considerably
lower leverage, higher profitability, and, to some extent, lower
exposure to commodity price volatility.
BH is smaller than Sammontana Italia S.p.A. (B+/Stable) as measured
by EBITDA but has similar geographical diversification. Sammontana
benefits from a more diversified product portfolio with strong
brands in its key categories. Its ratings also reflect a stronger
financial profile with higher operating margins and lower
leverage.
BH is much smaller than Sigma Holdco BV (B/Stable). The latter has
a stronger market position as the largest plant-based spreads
producer, despite a narrower product offering. Sigma's credit
profile also benefits from a higher operating margin of about 20%,
robust FCF margins in the mid-single digits and lower leverage.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
The following assumptions are subject to receipt of an updated
business plan:
- Revenue to rise 0.9% in 2026, after a 1% decline in 2025,
followed by around 4% annual growth
- EBITDA margin to gradually recover towards 10% by 2029 after a
decline to 7.9% in 2025
- Trade working capital at about 8% of revenue following revenue
dynamics
- Capex to reduce towards 2.5% of revenue in 2026-2029 from an
expected 3.3% in 2025
- No M&A over the rating horizon
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('b', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bb-', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('b', Moderate),
diversification and asset quality ('b+', Moderate), company
operational characteristics ('b+', Moderate), profitability ('b',
Moderate), financial structure ('ccc-', Higher), and financial
flexibility ('b-', Higher).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the forecast year 2025,
40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year 2027.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and results in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
The governance assessment of 'some deficiencies' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'ccc'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'CCC'.
Recovery Analysis
Its recovery analysis assumes that BH would be considered a going
concern (GC) in bankruptcy and that it would be reorganised rather
than liquidated. This is because most of its value lies within its
wide production and logistics network in Europe, and long-standing
customer relationships.
Fitch assumed a 10% administrative claim, which is unavailable
during restructuring and is therefore deducted from the enterprise
value.
Fitch assesses GC EBITDA at EUR115 million, which includes recent
acquisitions and reflects the earnings required for the group to
sustain operations as a GC in unfavourable market conditions,
including a major customer loss or reduced ability to pass on cost
inflation to customers. The GC EBITDA assumes corrective measures
for the company to remain a GC.
Fitch applies a recovery multiple of 5x, which is roughly the
mid-point of its multiple scale for the sector in EMEA, in line
with sector peers. This reflects BH's operational scale and market
positions. BH's enterprise value/EBITDA multiple is in line with La
Doria's, which has comparable scale and operates in related
packaged food categories within the private-label sector. The
multiple is below that of Sammontana and Valeo Foods of 5.5x, due
to their branded product portfolios and Valeo's bigger scale.
Based on these assumptions, its waterfall analysis generates a
ranked recovery in the Recovery Rating 'RR3' band, leading to a
first-lien secured rating of 'CCC+' for the EUR695 million TLB, one
notch above the IDR. The ranked recovery for the EUR150 million
second-lien facility (EUR158 million including about EUR8 million
of interest), for which the payment date has been extended,
corresponds to a Recovery Rating of 'RR6', leading to a second-lien
rating of 'CC', two notches below the IDR.
Under the new capital structure, the EUR130 million 1.5lien 18% PIK
notes are ranking junior to the TLB and the RCF, and senior to the
second-lien notes.
Its estimates of creditor claims include the fully drawn EUR85
million RCF. Fitch expects BH's factoring line will remain
available during and after financial distress, given the strong
credit quality of its client base.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors That Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Indication of further debt restructuring that Fitch would
classify as a DDE
- Liquidity erosion due to weak operational turnaround leading to
continuing decline in revenues or EBITDA
Factors That Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Evidence of sustained improvement in operating performance
leading to EBITDA and cash flow growth, improving liquidity
headroom, altogether signaling of reduced execution and refinancing
risks
Liquidity and Debt Structure
BH's liquidity is satisfactory, with a Fitch-adjusted cash balance
of EUR30 million at March 2026, supported by access to an EUR85
million RCF (EUR41 million drawn as of March 2026), with its
maturity extended to May 2030. Together with its expectations of
positive FCF from 2027, this should be sufficient to insure
satisfactory liquidity position.
Issuer Profile
BH is a EUR1.2 billion revenue, France-based private label biscuit
and bread substitute manufacturer, with broad production footprint
across Europe. It is owned by Platinum Equity since February 2020.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for BH.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Biscuit Holding SAS
LT IDR RD Downgrade CC
LT IDR CCC Upgrade
sr secured 2nd lien LT CC Upgrade RR6 C
senior secured LT CCC+ Upgrade RR3 CCC-
FCT YOUNI 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned FCT Youni France 2026-1 expected
ratings. The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the
receipt of final documentation conforming to the information Fitch
has received.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
FCT Youni
France 2026-1
Class A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class E LT BB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class F LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class R LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class X LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
FCT Youni France 2026-1 is a static true-sale securitisation of
unsecured consumer loans granted to borrowers domiciled in
metropolitan France by Younited S.A. The securitised portfolio
consists of general-purpose personal loans advanced to individuals.
All the loans bear a fixed interest rate and are amortising with
constant monthly instalments.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Score Bands Drive Credit Risk: Fitch expects a lifetime portfolio
weighted average (WA) default rate of 6.2% and a WA recovery rate
of 60%. Fitch applied a WA 'AAAsf' default multiple of 4.3x and a
WA recovery haircut of 55% to stress the base-case assumptions for
the notes' ratings. In setting its assumptions, Fitch considered
Younited's underwriting standards and the performance of individual
score bands.
Strong Excess Spread: The structure benefits from an initial net
annual excess spread of about 5.4% after deducting senior fees,
swap costs and the WA cost of liabilities, providing a source of
credit enhancement for the notes. Fitch tested more severe WA
coupon compression assumptions on defaults than those set out in
its criteria, which did not constrain the ratings of the notes.
Sensitivity to Pro-Rata Length: The transaction will amortise
pro-rata if no sequential amortisation event occurs. In Fitch's
expected case, a switch from pro-rata to sequential amortisation is
unlikely during the first two years, given gap between the
portfolio performance assumptions and the transaction's trigger
levels. Tail risk is mitigated by a mandatory switch to sequential
pay-down once the outstanding collateral balance falls below a
specified threshold.
Sufficient Liquidity Protection: Payment interruption risk is
mitigated by the presence of an amortising cash reserve that will
be used to cover shortfalls on the senior fees, swap payments and
interest on the class A to E notes. This cash reserve will be
funded at closing through the issue of the class X notes.
Servicing Continuity Risk Mitigated: Younited will the servicer of
the transaction. Fitch views servicing continuity risks adequately
mitigated by, among other features, the monthly transfer of
borrowers' notification details to the management company; a
specially dedicated account bank; a cash reserve funded at closing
to cover liquidity; and by the management company's responsibility
in appointing a substitute servicer within 30 calendar days of a
servicer termination event. A back-up servicer will also be
appointed at closing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by adverse changes in
market conditions and the economic environment. Weakening asset
performance is strongly correlated with increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults, which could reduce the credit
enhancement available to the notes.
Unanticipated declines in recoveries could also result in lower net
proceeds, which combined with higher defaults, may negatively
affect the rating of the notes.
Sensitivities to higher default rates and lower recoveries are
shown below:
Defaults increase by 25%
Class A; 'AAsf'; Class B: 'Asf'; Class C: 'BBB+sf'; Class D:
'BB+sf'; Class E: 'BB-sf'; Class X: 'Asf'
Recoveries decrease by 25%
Class A; 'AA+sf'; Class B: 'A+sf'; Class C: 'A-sf'; Class D:
'BBB-sf'; Class E: 'BB-sf'; Class X: 'Asf'
Defaults increase by 25% and recoveries decrease by 25%
Class A; 'AA-sf'; Class B: 'Asf'; Class C: 'BBBsf'; Class D:
'BB+sf'; Class E: 'Bsf'; Class X: 'Asf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An unexpected decrease in the frequency of defaults or increase in
the recovery rates resulting in smaller losses than its expectation
could lead to an upgrade.
Defaults decrease by 25% and recoveries increase by 25%
Class A; 'AAAsf'; Class B: 'AA+sf'; Class C: 'AA-sf'; Class D:
'Asf'; Class E: 'BBBsf'; Class X: 'Asf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small, targeted sample of the
originator's origination files and found the information contained
in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the
originator's policies and practices and the other information
provided to the agency about the asset portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
FCT YOUNI 2026-1: Moody's Assigns (P)B1 Rating to Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned the following provisional ratings to
Notes to be issued by FCT YOUNI FRANCE 2026-1:
EUR [ ]M Class A Asset Backed Floating Rate Notes due July 2043,
Assigned (P)Aaa (sf)
EUR [ ]M Class B Asset Backed Floating Rate Notes due July 2043,
Assigned (P)Aa2 (sf)
EUR [ ]M Class C Asset Backed Floating Rate Notes due July 2043,
Assigned (P)A2 (sf)
EUR [ ]M Class D Asset Backed Floating Rate Notes due July 2043,
Assigned (P)Baa3 (sf)
EUR [ ]M Class E Asset Backed Floating Rate Notes due July 2043,
Assigned (P)B1 (sf)
EUR [ ]M Class X Asset Backed Floating Rate Notes due July 2043,
Assigned (P)A2 (sf)
Moody's have not assigned a rating to the EUR[ ]M Class F Asset
Backed Notes due July 2043, which are also to be issued at the
closing of the transaction.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The transaction is a static cash securitisation of unsecured
consumer loans extended by Younited S.A. (not rated) to obligors in
France. The originator will also act as the servicer of the
portfolio during the life of the transaction.
As of May 12, 2026, the provisional portfolio of EUR214.88M shows
100% performing contracts with a weighted average seasoning of
around 0.9 year. The portfolio consists of fixed rate amortizing
loans (100%) which have equal instalments during the life of the
loan.
According to us, the transaction benefits from credit strengths
such as: (i) a granular portfolio, and (ii) a static structure.
Furthermore, the Notes benefit from a cash reserve funded at
closing at 1.25% of the initial Notes balance of the Class A to E
Notes. The reserve will mainly provide liquidity to pay senior
expenses, hedging costs and the coupon on the Class A to E Notes.
However, Moody's notes that the transaction features some credit
weaknesses such as: (i) an unrated originator, (ii) a pro rata
principal repayments of the Class A to E Notes, and (iii) a risk of
potential servicing disruption mitigated by the presence of MCS &
Associes S.A. as back-up servicer.
Moody's analysis focused, among other factors, on: (1) an
evaluation of the underlying portfolio of financing agreements, (2)
the macroeconomic environment, (3) historical performance
information, (4) the credit enhancement provided by subordination,
cash reserve and excess spread, (5) the liquidity support available
in the transaction through the reserve fund, and (6) the legal and
structural integrity of the transaction.
MAIN MODEL ASSUMPTIONS
Moody's determined the portfolio lifetime expected defaults of
6.3%, a recovery rate of 30.0% and Aaa portfolio credit enhancement
("PCE") of 17.0% related to the receivables. The expected defaults
and recoveries capture Moody's expectations of performance
considering the current economic outlook, while the PCE captures
the loss Moody's expects the portfolio to suffer in the event of a
severe recession scenario. Expected defaults, recoveries and PCE
are parameters used by us to calibrate Moody's lognormal portfolio
loss distribution curve and to associate a probability with each
potential future loss scenario in the ABSROM cash flow model to
rate Consumer ABS.
Portfolio expected defaults of 6.3% are worse than the EMEA
Consumer ABS average and are based on Moody's assessments of the
lifetime expectation for the pool taking into account: (i)
historical performance of the loan book of the originator, (ii)
benchmark transactions, and (iii) other qualitative
considerations.
Portfolio expected recoveries of 30.0% are in line with the EMEA
Consumer ABS average and are based on Moody's assessments of the
lifetime expectation for the pool taking into account: (i)
historical performance of the loan book of the originator, (ii)
benchmark transactions, and (iii) other qualitative
considerations.
PCE of 17.0% is worse than the EMEA Consumer ABS average and is
based on: (i) Moody's assessments of the borrower credit, and (ii)
benchmark transactions. The PCE level of 17.0% results in an
implied coefficient of variation ("CoV") of 36%.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Consumer Loan
Securitizations" published in May 2026.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Factors that may cause an upgrade of the ratings include
significantly better than expected performance of the pool together
with an increase in credit enhancement of the Notes.
Factors that may cause a downgrade of the ratings include a decline
in the overall performance of the portfolio and a meaningful
deterioration of the credit profile of the originator and servicer
Younited S.A.
MISTRAL HOLDCO: Fitch Publishes 'B' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Stable
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has published Mistral Holdco SAS's (MTX) Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (LT IDR) of 'B' with a Stable Outlook. Fitch
has also published the senior secured instrument rating of 'B' with
a Recovery Rating of 'RR4' for its term loan B (TLB). Fitch expects
to affirm TLB's rating once the planned EUR80 million fungible debt
add-on is completed.
Rating strengths are a sustainable business model, supported by
diversified revenue streams and a high share of recurring revenue.
This is balanced by high leverage for the rating, exacerbated by
the EUR80 million TLB increase, partly used to fund the acquisition
of Peasy. Fitch expects Fitch-defined EBITDA gross leverage to
increase to 8.0x in 2026, before declining towards 6.5x (a level
more appropriate for the rating) in 2028. Other constraints are
weak interest cover and low, even though positive, free cash flow
(FCF) generation relative to peers', resulting in limited rating
headroom.
Key Rating Drivers
Sustainable Business Model: MTX has strong positions in France's
mortgage and insurance brokerage markets, a broad service offering
and a high share of recurring revenue, which management estimates
at about 75% in 2025. The company is exposed to the cyclical
mortgage market, but it retains good technology, adequate brand
power, an extensive franchise network, which should allow MTX to
take advantage of financial services digitalisation.
Improving Geographic Diversification: The acquisition of Peasy - a
provider of omnichannel brokerage and comparison services for
credit, insurance and daily expense products in Belgium - is
complementary to MTX's business profile, supporting its geographic
diversification and MTX's financial performance. Fitch expects
Peasy's revenue to grow 13%-14% a year and its company-defined
EBITDA margin to be around 35%.
Increased Leverage, Slower Deleveraging: Fitch expects
Fitch-defined EBITDA leverage to increase to 8.0x in 2026 from 7.7x
in 2025, reflecting higher debt incurred to finance the acquisition
of Peasy. This is compounded by its expectation of slower revenue
and EBITDA growth due to underperformance in the insurance segment
and the prospect of higher interest rates slowing growth in the
credit-related brokerage segment, although this may prove
temporary. Fitch expects leverage to decline to 6.5x only by 2028,
driven by EBITDA expansion and growth in the credit and savings
segments with stabilising trends in the insurance business.
Deleveraging Capacity: MTX retains the capacity to deleverage
organically, supported by revenue growth, cost savings and synergy
realisation. Management has also communicated their intention to
maintain a conservative financial policy with a company-defined net
leverage below 5.0x over the medium term. This, together with the
TLB maturity extension, underpins the Stable Outlook. Its base case
assumes MTX will successfully refinance its debt in 2026. Failure
to refinance or underperformance relative to its forecasts could
lead to a negative rating action
Financial Flexibility to Improve: Fitch expects MTX's EBITDA
interest cover to remain weak for the rating, at 1.9x-2.3x in
2026-2028. However, financial flexibility should improve following
its amend-and-extend TBL transaction and the EUR80 million add-on,
which extends TLB's maturity to 2031. Liquidity should also be
satisfactory, following an increase in its revolving credit
facility (RCF) to EUR65 million, and given expected positive FCF in
2026-2028.
Favourable Organic Growth Prospects: MTX has recorded strong
organic growth in the low double digits over the five years to
2023. Regulatory changes in France, including the Amendment
Bourquin (2019) and the Lemoine Law (2022), have lowered barriers
for consumers to renegotiate mortgage insurance, supporting market
demand. Fitch expects the ongoing recovery in the French mortgage
market, alongside MTX's updated strategic plan to optimise its
franchise network, develop new distribution channels and enhance
service offerings—to support about mid to high single digit
revenue growth in 2027-2029.
EBITDA Margin Gradual Improvement: Fitch expects MTX's
Fitch-defined EBITDA margin to average about 26.4% over 2026-2028.
The initial mechanical margin dilution from the Peasy acquisition
will be gradually offset by synergy realisation, cost savings,
lower lease costs and economies of scale.
FCF Generation to Turn Positive: MTX generated some negative
Fitch-defined FCF in 2024-2025 due to revenue underperformance and
one-off dividend payments. However, Fitch expects Fitch-defined FCF
to improve to 4%-6% of revenue in 2027-2028, supported by stronger
revenue performance, margin improvement, moderate capex, limited
working capital outflows, and the lack of dividends assumed over
the forecast period. Profitability improvement, particularly
related to FCF, is an important consideration underpinning the
Stable Outlook.
Franchise Model: MTX has built a significant franchise network with
250+ branches covering France as of June 2026. The franchise
structure allows complete flexibility to adapt to changing consumer
habits towards online and keeps margins high relative to peers.
Franchisees distribute a share of their revenue to MTX and are
charged for IT and marketing expenses. Franchisees manage their own
operating and financing risks. They are independent and support
their own financial performance.
Peer Analysis
MTX has a leading position in the French mortgage and mortgage
insurance brokerage market. Compared with peers DIOT - SIACI TopCo
SAS (B/Stable) and Ardonagh Group Holdings Limited (B/Stable) -
which are B2B operators - MTX is more consumer-oriented, smaller in
scale with weaker profitability and FCF margins, a less diversified
revenue base and is partially exposed to cyclical pressures in the
mortgage market. This results in tighter leverage thresholds for
MTX than the above peers at the same 'B' rating.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue growth of about 20% in 2026 (5% organic) and in the mid
to high single digits yearly in 2027-2028, supported by a French
credit market rebound, greater demand for intermediation in key
services and market share expansion through new products launch
- Fitch-defined EBITDA at 25% of gross revenue in 2026, before
gradually improving to 27% in 2028, supported by operating leverage
on the back of increasing volumes and cost efficiencies
- Capex of EUR17 million a year in 2026-2028
- No dividend payments over 2026-2028
- No further debt-funded M&A in 2026-2028 (except Peasy in 2026)
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb-', Lower), sector characteristics
('bb', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('b', Higher),
diversification and asset quality ('b+', Moderate), company
operational characteristics ('bb', Moderate), profitability ('b+',
Lower), financial structure ('b-', Higher), and financial
flexibility ('b', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 30% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year
2027 and 20% for the forecast year 2028.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and have no impact.
The governance assessment of 'some deficiencies' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'aa-' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B'.
Recovery Analysis
Fitch assumed that MTX would be considered a going-concern in
bankruptcy and that it would be reorganised rather than
liquidated.
Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
In its bespoke going-concern recovery analysis, Fitch considered an
estimated post-restructuring EBITDA available to creditors of about
EUR50 million (including contribution from acquired businesses)
with limited growth and higher competitive intensity.
Fitch used a distressed enterprise value/EBITDA multiple of 5.5x.
Fitch assumed EUR5 million of Peasy's own debt is subordinated to
the senior secured debt of MTX.
These assumptions - after considering enlarged senior secured debt
of EUR500 million (which includes the EUR80 million of fungible TLB
add-on) and assuming a fully drawn pari-passu RCF of EUR65 million
in default - result in a debt instrument rating of 'B', in line
with the IDR, and a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Deterioration of MTX's strong market position or an increase in
competition resulting in weaker EBITDA growth and erosion in FCF
Debt-funded acquisitions or sustained operational weakness
preventing Fitch-defined EBITDA leverage from declining to below
6.5x on a sustained basis
EBITDA interest covers below 2.0x
FCF margin declining towards the low-single digits on a sustained
basis
Failure to progress on refinancing before end of summer 2026
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Evidence of a conservative financial policy with Fitch-defined
EBITDA leverage below 4.5x on a sustained basis
Greater diversification either by geography or by product,
reflected in steady EBITDA margin and FCF improvement
EBITDA interest covers above 3.0x on a sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
MTX had EUR44 million cash and cash equivalents at end-2025 and
Fitch expects the business to be broadly cash flow- neutral in 2026
before generating positive FCF in 2027-2028. Fitch expects FCF
margins to improve to about 6% by 2028, supporting a growing cash
balance. The rating assumes a more conservative capital allocation
policy that favours deleveraging over the medium term.
MTX will have no short-term debt maturity, if the amend-and-extend
is successful, extending TLB maturity to 2031 Its RCF of EUR50
million was fully drawn as of 1Q26 to fund the acquisition of
Peasy. Fitch expects RCF to be upsized to EUR65 million, after the
amend-and-extend, and to be fully undrawn.
Issuer Profile
MTX is a French financial services broker, with a leading position
in France, its main market.
Date of Relevant Committee
15 June 2026
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for MTX.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
Mistral Holdco SAS
LT IDR B Publish
senior secured LT B Publish RR4
=============
G E R M A N Y
=============
HT TROPLAST: Moody's Rates New EUR430MM Senior Secured Notes 'B2'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a B2 rating to the proposed EUR430
backed senior secured notes due 2031 issued by HT Troplast GmbH
(Profine or the company). Profine's B2 long-term corporate family
rating and B2-PD probability of default rating are unaffected. The
stable outlook is also unaffected.
Proceeds from the proposed notes, together with cash on balance
sheet, will be used to redeem the existing EUR380 million backed
senior secured notes due July 2028, including accrued interest and
call premium, repay the EUR22 million drawn revolving credit
facility (RCF) due January 2028, and cover associated transaction
costs. Moody's expects to withdraw the B2 rating on the existing
notes upon their full repayment.
Pro forma for the refinancing, Moody's-adjusted leverage will
increase modestly to 6.1x on a gross basis (from 5.8x as of the
twelve months ended March 2026) and 5.9x on a net basis (from
5.5x). Notwithstanding this modest increase, Moody's views the
transaction as credit positive, as it extends the debt maturity
profile to 2031 and Moody's expects a modest reduction in annual
interest expense. The revised springing covenant framework —
resetting the maximum net leverage threshold to 4.5x through Q3
2027 before a gradual annual step-down, compared with a previously
tighter forward step-down — provides improved capacity and
reduces the risk of a covenant-driven restriction on RCF
availability.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Profine's B2 CFR reflects its leading position in the global PVC
fenestration market, with vertically integrated operations and high
exposure to relatively resilient residential renovation activity;
proven pricing discipline supporting gross margins sustained above
49% since 2024; and a fragmented, sticky customer base with high
switching costs.
The rating is constrained by weak point-in-time credit metrics,
with Moody's-adjusted leverage at 6.0x gross (5.7x net) pro forma
for the proposed transaction. Elevated operating expenses,
particularly personnel costs associated with strategic growth
initiatives, have weighed on company-reported EBITDA, which,
despite modest improvement to EUR94 million (11.3% margin) in the
twelve months ended March 2026, remains below 2023 levels.
Moody's expects company-reported EBITDA to recover toward
EUR113–118 million over 2026–27, supported by material
surcharges and effective cost pass-through. This should support
gradual deleveraging to 4.9x on a gross basis (4.5x on a net basis)
by year-end 2026 and 4.7x (4.2x net) by year-end 2027, aligning
with rating thresholds for the B2 CFR. Improving earnings, together
with lower interest costs, disciplined capex and working capital
management, should also support a more consistent track record of
positive free cash flow (FCF) and gradual strengthening of
liquidity.
RATIONALE OF THE OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that improved
pricing execution and cost pass-through will support earnings
recovery over the next 12–18 months and a gradual reduction in
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA towards 4.5x–5.0x. It also assumes
prudent financial policies, with no material debt-funded
acquisitions or shareholder distributions, and the maintenance of
adequate liquidity at all times.
LIQUIDITY
Pro forma for the refinancing, Profine has adequate liquidity,
supported by around EUR22 million unrestricted cash and up to EUR85
million fully undrawn RCF. The company also has access to EUR22
million undrawn committed factoring program, maturing in December
2028, providing support to manage intra-year working capital
fluctuations.
Over the next 12-18 months, Moody's expects funds from operations
around EUR70–77 million, sufficient to cover working capital,
capex and principal lease repayments of up to EUR60 million,
resulting in Moody's-adjusted FCF around EUR10–17 million. This
should support a gradual rebuild of the cash balance to around
EUR45 million by year-end 2026 and EUR60 million by year-end 2027.
Profine will have no material debt maturities before 2031. The RCF
contains a springing net leverage covenant, tested quarterly when
utilisation exceeds 35% of commitments, set at 4.5x. Pro forma net
leverage was around 4.2x, indicating modest capacity under the
covenant. Moody's expects net leverage to remain within 3.7x–4.0x
range over the next 12–18 months and do not anticipate material
RCF utilisation.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Post transaction, Profine's capital structure will comprise EUR430
million backed senior secured notes and up to EUR85 million super
senior RCF. Both instruments are guaranteed by operating
subsidiaries across various jurisdictions accounting for at least
80% of consolidated EBITDA and 70% of group assets, and share a
common security package consisting of customary share pledges,
intragroup receivables, bank accounts, certain current and fixed
assets, and land charges over real estate property. However, the
super senior secured RCF benefits from priority of claim over the
senior secured notes.
As a result, in Moody's Loss Given Default (LGD) waterfall, the
super senior secured RCF ranks ahead of the senior secured notes
and trade payables, which then rank ahead of short-term
liabilities, pension obligations and other bank debt at the level
of the operating entities.
The senior secured notes are rated B2, in line with the CFR,
reflecting the relatively small size of the super senior RCF. The
company's PDR at B2-PD is also in line with the CFR, reflecting
Moody's standard assumption of a 50% family recovery rate.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
Positive rating pressure could develop if:
-- Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA remains below 4.0x on a sustained
basis;
-- Moody's-adjusted EBIT/interest exceeds 2.0x;
-- The company maintains good liquidity, with Moody's-adjusted
FCF/Debt improving toward high single digits; and
-- The company adheres to conservative financial policies, with no
excessive profit distributions to shareholders or larger
debt-funded acquisitions
Conversely, negative rating pressure would arise if:
-- Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA exceeds 5.0x on a sustained
basis;
-- Moody's-adjusted EBIT/interest declines below 1.5x on a
sustained basis; and
-- Liquidity deteriorates, evidenced by significantly weaker or
consistent negative FCF
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was Building
Materials published in September 2025.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Profine is a leading global manufacturer of PVC window and door
profile systems and PVC sheets, headquartered in Pirmasens,
Germany. The company operates under three long-established brands
— Kömmerling, KBE, and Trocal — with Europe accounting for
around 89% of revenue in 2025. The company generated EUR834 million
revenue and EUR109 million company-adjusted EBITDA in the twelve
months to March 2026, with renovation accounting for a significant
share of revenue across most markets.
Since 2012, Profine has been privately owned (95% of share capital)
and managed by Peter A. Mrosik, who also serves as the company's
CEO.
=============
I R E L A N D
=============
ARES EUROPEAN XIX: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Ares European CLO XIX DAC's refinancing
notes final ratings and affirmed the existing class F notes.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Ares European
CLO XIX DAC
A-R XS3406779606 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R XS3406779945 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R XS3406780364 LT A+sf New Rating
Class A XS2806450529 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
Class B XS2806450875 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
Class C XS2806450958 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
Class D XS2806451097 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
Class E XS2806451253 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
Class F XS2806451337 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
D-R XS3406780521 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R XS3406780877 LT BB-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Ares European CLO XIX DAC is a securitization of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds, and
is managed by Ares Management Ltd. It closed in June 2024. Net
proceeds from the refinancing notes have been used to redeem the
existing notes, except for the class F notes and the subordinated
notes. The CLO has 2.6 years remaining in its reinvestment period
and a 6.5-year weighted average life (WAL) test at closing of the
refinancing, with an original target par of EUR425 million.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The
Fitch-calculated weighted average rating factor of the identified
portfolio is 24.9.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is
65.3%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction has various
concentration limits, including a maximum exposure to the three
largest Fitch-defined industries in the portfolio at 40%. These
covenants ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to
excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction's Fitch matrices
have been updated at this refinancing, corresponding to a WAL
covenant of 6.5 years. The two matrices both correspond to a top 10
obligor concentration of 16%, and fixed-rate asset limits of 5% or
10%. The transaction is within its reinvestment period, which is
governed by reinvestment criteria similar to those of other
European transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio is six years, which is lower than the
transaction's 6.5-year WAL covenant. This reflects the
transaction's strict reinvestment conditions that apply after the
reinvestment period, including the satisfaction of the coverage
tests and of the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limitation test, and a WAL
covenant test that steps down during and after the reinvestment
period.
This approach is consistent with Fitch's criteria, which allow a
12-month reduction to the transaction's WAL covenant, subject to a
six-year floor, when the transaction provides for strict conditions
after the reinvestment period that reduce the portfolio's effective
risk horizon during the stress period. In addition, its analysis
considered that the transaction was about 0.2% below the EUR425
million target par at refinancing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no negative impact on the class A-R to E-R
notes, and lead to a downgrade to below 'B-sf' for the class F
notes.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly high levels
of defaults and portfolio deterioration. Due to the better metrics
and shorter life of the identified portfolio than the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, the class B-R notes have a rating cushion
of two notches, the class C-R notes of three notches and the class
D-R, E-R and F notes of five notches.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to three
notches for the class C-R and E-R notes, up to two notches for the
class A-R, B-R and D-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to five notches for the notes, except for the
'AAAsf' notes, which are at the highest level on Fitch's scale and
cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing the notes
to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the transaction's
remaining life. After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades
may result from stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging,
leading to higher credit enhancement and excess spread to cover
losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Ares European CLO XIX DAC
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Ares European CLO
XIX DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BAIN CAPITAL 2018-1: Fitch Withdraws Dsf Rating on Class F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded Bain Capital Euro CLO 2018-1 DAC class
F notes to 'Dsf' from 'Csf ' and withdrawn the rating. The class D
and E notes were paid in full.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Bain Capital Euro
CLO 2018-1 DAC
D XS1713467469 LT PIFsf Paid In Full A+sf
E XS1713467030 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB+sf
F XS1713466909 LT Dsf Downgrade Csf
F XS1713466909 LT WDsf Withdrawn
Transaction Summary
Bain Capital Euro CLO 2018-1 DAC is a cash flow CLO comprising
mostly senior secured obligations. The transaction is actively
managed by Bain Capital Credit, Ltd. and exited its reinvestment
period in April 2022.
Fitch is withdrawing the class F notes rating as the notes have
defaulted. Accordingly, Fitch will no longer provide Ratings or
analytical coverage.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Principal Redemption Below Par: The downgrade of the class F notes
to 'Dsf' reflects a redemption in an amount below their outstanding
principal amount. In the notices dated 28 April 2026, class F
noteholders, acting by extraordinary resolution, consented to an
adjustment of the outstanding principal amount. The adjustment
amount was unknown at the previous rating action on 13 May 2026.
According to the payment report for the 12 June 2026 redemption
date, the class F notes received a principal payment of EUR7.4
million, lower than their par amount of EUR11.2 million.
Fitch views the adjustment of the outstanding principal amount as a
Distressed Debt Exchange, as it led to a material reduction in
economic terms compared with the original contractual terms and
averted a default under the transaction documents to allow the
redemption.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Not relevant as the rating is being withdrawn.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Not relevant as the rating is being withdrawn.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has not conducted any checks on the consistency and
plausibility of the information it has received about the
performance of the asset pools and the transactions. Fitch has not
reviewed the results of any third-party assessment of the asset
portfolio information or conducted a review of origination files as
part of its ongoing monitoring.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Bain Capital Euro
CLO 2018-1 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BAIN CAPITAL 2021-2: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on EUR9.8MM F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Bain Capital Euro CLO 2021-2 Designated Activity
Company:
EUR25.9M Class B-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2034,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR13.5M Class B-2 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due 2034,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Aa2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR228.8M Class A Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2034,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR26.3M Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Affirmed A2 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
EUR25.1M Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Affirmed Baa3 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
EUR19.9M Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
EUR9.8M Class F Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Affirmed B3 (sf); previously on Nov 10, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Bain Capital Euro CLO 2021-2 Designated Activity Company, issued in
Nov 2021, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a
portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured European loans. The
portfolio is managed by Bain Capital Credit US CLO Manager, LLC.
The transaction's reinvestment period will end in July 2026.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B-1 and Class B-2 notes are
primarily a result of the benefit of the shorter period of time
remaining before the end of the reinvestment period in July 2026.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A, Class C, Class D,
Class E and Class F notes are primarily a result of the expected
losses on the notes remaining consistent with their current rating
levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its
relevant structural features and its actual over-collateralisation
ratios.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR364.8m
Defaulted Securities: EUR2.6m
Diversity Score: 65
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2977
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.29 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for Euribor
floors): 3.67%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 3.98%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 43.64%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Moody's notes that the June 2026 trustee report was published at
the time Moody's were completing Moody's analysis of the May 2026
data. Key portfolio metrics such as WARF, diversity score, weighted
average spread and life, and OC ratios exhibit little or no change
between these dates.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Collateralized
Loan Obligations" published in April 2026.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as the account bank using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: Once reaching the end of the
reinvestment period in July 2026, the main source of uncertainty in
this transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the
weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which could
lengthen as a result of the manager's decision to reinvest in new
issue loans or other loans with longer maturities, or participate
in amend-to-extend offerings. The effect on the ratings of
extending the portfolio's weighted average life can be positive or
negative depending on the notes' seniority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
CANYON EURO 2026-1: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch has assigned Canyon Euro CLO 2026-1 DAC final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Canyon Euro
CLO 2026-1 DAC
A Notes XS3351078616 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1 Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
B XS3351078889 LT AAsf New Rating
C XS3351079002 LT Asf New Rating
D XS3351079267 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E XS3351079424 LT BB-sf New Rating
F XS3351079770 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes
XS3351079937 LT NRsf New Rating
Z XS3351080273 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Canyon Euro CLO 2026-1 DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds were used to fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR400
million The portfolio is actively managed by Canyon CLO Advisors
L.P. The CLO has a 4.7-year reinvestment period and an 8.5-year
weighted average life (WAL) covenant.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch places the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'. The Fitch weighted
average rating factor (WARF) of the identified portfolio is 23.5.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio is 65.5%.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes
six matrices, all corresponding to a top 10 obligor concentration
limit at 20%. Two matrices are effective at closing and correspond
to two fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 10%, and an 8.5-year WAL
test. The other four matrices can be selected by the manager any
time from one and 1.5 years after closing and correspond to the
same two fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 10%, and 7.5-year and
seven-year WAL tests, respectively.
The transaction includes various concentration limits, including a
maximum exposure to the three largest (Fitch-defined) industries in
the portfolio at 40%. These covenants ensure that the asset
portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has an
approximately five-year reinvestment period and includes
reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant at the issue date to account for the strict reinvestment
conditions envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment
period. These conditions include passing the coverage tests, the
Fitch WARF and the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limitation test, as well as a
WAL covenant that gradually steps down over time, both before and
after the end of the reinvestment period. Fitch believes these
conditions reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the current portfolio
would lead to a one-notch downgrade on the class E notes. It would
also lead to a downgrade to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes,
subject to the erosion of any margin of safety supporting the
'B-sf' rating for the class F notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the current portfolio, may occur if
the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration. The class C
notes have a rating cushion of four notches and the classes B, D, E
and F notes each have a rating cushion of two notches due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the current portfolio than the
stressed-case portfolio. The class A notes do not have any rating
cushion as they are already at the highest achievable rating.
Should the cushion between the current portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of three notches
for the class A notes; four notches for the class B notes; three
notches each for the class C and D notes; and below 'B-sf' for the
class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR across all
ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to upgrades of
up to three notches each for the rated notes, except for the
'AAAsf' rated notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction.
Upgrades after the end of the reinvestment period, except for the
'AAAsf' notes, may result from stable portfolio credit quality and
deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Canyon Euro CLO
2026-1 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CAPITAL FOUR XII: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Capital Four CLO XII DAC final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Capital Four CLO XII DAC
A XS3379657508 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B XS3379657763 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C XS3379657920 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D XS3379658225 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E XS3379658571 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F XS3379658738 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes
XS3379659629 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Capital Four CLO XII DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds have been used to fund the portfolio with a target par of
EUR450 million. The portfolio is actively managed by Capital Four
AIFM A/S. The CLO has a 4.5-year reinvestment period and a 7.5-year
weighted average life (WAL) test covenant at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors in the identified portfolio is
in the 'B' category. The Fitch weighted average rating factor of
the identified portfolio is 24.5.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 65.7%.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction has various
concentration limits, including a top 10 obligor concentration
limit of 20% and a maximum exposure to the three largest
Fitch-defined industries in the portfolio of 40%. These covenants
ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction includes four Fitch
matrices. Two closing matrices correspond to a 7.5-year WAL, and
two forward matrices correspond to a seven-year WAL, which can be
selected starting from 18 months after closing, subject to the
reinvestment target par condition and rating agency confirmation.
Each matrix set corresponds to two different fixed-rate asset
limits at 5% and 10%.
The transaction has a reinvestment period of 4.5 years and includes
reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The transaction can extend the WAL
test by one year on the WAL test step-up determination date, which
is one year after closing. The WAL extension is subject to
conditions, including passing the collateral quality tests,
coverage tests, portfolio profile tests and the collateral
principal amount with defaulted assets carried at their collateral
value being equal to, or greater than, the reinvestment target
par.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio and matrix analysis is 12 months less than
the WAL covenant at the issue date, to account for the strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after its
reinvestment period. These include passing the coverage tests and
the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limit test after reinvestment, and a WAL
covenant that gradually steps down, before and after the end of the
reinvestment period. These conditions would reduce the effective
risk horizon of the portfolio in stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
An increase of the default rate (RDR) in the identified portfolio
by 25% of the mean RDR and a decrease of the recovery rate (RRR) by
25% at all rating levels would have no impact on the class A to D
notes and lead to downgrades of one notch for the class E notes and
to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly high levels
of default and portfolio deterioration. The class B to E notes have
two-notch rating cushions and the class F notes have a three-notch
rating cushion due to the better metrics and shorter life of the
identified portfolio than the Fitch-stressed portfolio. There is no
cushion for the class A notes, as they are at the highest
achievable rating.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches for the class A to D notes and to below 'B-sf' for the
class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would result in
upgrades of up to two notches for all notes, except for the 'AAAsf'
rated notes, which are at the highest level on Fitch's scale and
cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch stressed
portfolio, upgrades may result from better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing the notes
to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the remaining life of
the transaction. After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades
may result from stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging,
leading to higher credit enhancement and excess spread available to
cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Capital Four CLO XII DAC
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Capital Four CLO
XII DAC. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores
in connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
DRYDEN 69 EURO 2018: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on Cl. F-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Dryden 69 Euro CLO 2018 DAC:
EUR14,000,000 Class B-1-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR18,000,000 Class B-2-R Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due
2034, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR12,000,000 Class C-1-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating
Rate Notes due 2034, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Nov 23,
2021 Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
EUR14,000,000 Class C-2-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate
Notes due 2034, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR248,000,000 Class A-R Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR29,000,000 Class D-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Affirmed Baa3 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
EUR25,000,000 Class E-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
EUR12,000,000 Class F-R Mezzanine Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Affirmed B3 (sf); previously on Nov 23, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Dryden 69 Euro CLO 2018 DAC, issued in June 2019 and reset in
November 2021, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by
a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured European loans. The
portfolio is managed by PGIM Limited and PGIM Loan Originator
Manager Limited. The transaction's reinvestment period will end in
July 2026.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B-1-R, Class B-2-R, Class C-1-R
and Class C-2-R notes are primarily a result of the benefit of the
shorter period of time remaining before the end of the reinvestment
period in July 2026.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A-R, Class D-R, Class
E-R and Class F-R notes are primarily a result of the expected
losses on the notes remaining consistent with their current rating
levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its
relevant structural features and its actual over-collateralisation
ratios.
The over-collateralisation ratios of the rated notes have
deteriorated over the last 12 months. According to the trustee
report dated April 2026[1] the Class A/B, Class C, Class D, Class E
and Class F OC ratios are reported at 139.90%, 128.01%, 116.93%,
108.81% and 105.30% compared to April 2025[2] levels of 142.88%,
130.74%, 119.42%, 111.13% and 107.55%, respectively.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR391.13m
Defaulted Securities: EUR4.08m
Diversity Score: 55
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2985
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.65 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.73%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 3.56%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 42.69%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Moody's notes that the May 2026 trustee report was published at the
time Moody's were completing Moody's analysis of the April 2026
data. Key portfolio metrics such as WARF, diversity score, weighted
average spread and life, and OC ratios exhibit little or no change
between these dates.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Collateralized
Loan Obligations" published in April 2026.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: Once reaching the end of the
reinvestment period in July 2026, the main source of uncertainty in
this transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the
weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which could
lengthen as a result of the manager's decision to reinvest in new
issue loans or other loans with longer maturities, or participate
in amend-to-extend offerings. The effect on the ratings of
extending the portfolio's weighted average life can be positive or
negative depending on the notes' seniority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Recoveries higher
than Moody's expectations would have a positive impact on the
notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
FERNHILL PARK: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned the Fernhill Park CLO DAC reset notes
final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Fernhill Park CLO DAC
A XS2809805364 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A-R Note XS3393819175 LT AAAsf New Rating
B XS2809806842 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R XS3393819415 LT AAsf New Rating
C XS2809807816 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R XS3393819688 LT Asf New Rating
D XS2809808624 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-R XS3393819845 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E XS2809809788 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R XS3393820009 LT BB-sf New Rating
F XS2809811172 LT PIFsf Paid In Full B-sf
F-R XS3393820264 LT B-sf New Rating
X XS3393818953 LT AAAsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Fernhill Park Euro CLO DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds were used to redeem all the existing notes, except for the
subordinated notes, and to fund the portfolio with a target par of
EUR500 million and will be managed by Blackstone Ireland Limited.
The collateralised loan obligation (CLO) will have a 4.5-year
reinvestment period, and a 7.5-year weighted average life test
(WAL), or subject to specific conditions an 8.5-year WAL.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The
Fitch-calculated weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
identified portfolio is 24.6.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio will comprise senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio
is 66.1%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction will include
various concentration limits, including a top 10 obligor
concentration limit at 20%, a maximum of 40% to the three-largest
Fitch-defined industries and a fixed-rate asset limit of 10%. These
covenants ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to
excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction will have an
approximately 4.5-year reinvestment period and include reinvestment
criteria similar to those of other European transactions. Fitch's
analysis is based on a stressed case portfolio with the aim of
testing the robustness of the transaction structure against its
covenants and portfolio guidelines.
The transaction includes six Fitch matrices. Each matrix set
corresponds to two different fixed-rate asset limits at 5% and 10%.
Four of the matrices are applicable on or after closing,
corresponding to a 7.5-year WAL and an extended 8.5-year WAL.
Another two matrices are effective 18 months after closing,
corresponding to a 7.0-year WAL, and are subject to the collateral
principal amount (treating defaulted obligations at their
Fitch-calculated collateral value) being at least equal to the
target par amount.
WAL Test Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The WAL test covenant may be
extended by 12 months as early as the issue date, subject to the
satisfaction of Fitch collateral quality tests on the matrix
corresponding to an 8.5-year WAL, and the adjusted collateral
principal amount being equal or exceeding the reinvestment target
par balance.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment period. These
conditions include passing the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC'
bucket limitation test, and a WAL covenant that gradually steps
down, before and after the end of the reinvestment period. Fitch
believes these conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon
of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) across and a 25%
decrease of the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the
identified portfolio would have no negative impact on the class A
notes to class D-R notes. It would lead to downgrades of one notch
on the class E-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F-R
notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class B-R
to F-R notes have rating cushions of up to five notches due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than
the Fitch-stressed portfolio.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to three
notches for the class X to E-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the
class F-R notes
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to three notches for the rated notes, except for the
'AAAsf' rated notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than- expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from a stable portfolio credit
quality and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and
excess spread available to cover losses in the remaining
portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Fernhill Park CLO
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
HENLEY CLO XVII: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Henley CLO XVII DAC expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
final documents conforming to the information already received.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Henley CLO XVII DAC
A XS3356042963 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A-L LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B XS3356043938 LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C XS3356043003 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D XS3356043342 LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E XS3356044159 LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F XS3356043425 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Subordinated Notes
XS3356043771 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Henley CLO XVII DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured
obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bond.Net proceeds from
the notes will be used to purchase a portfolio with a target par of
EUR500 million. The portfolio will be actively managed by Napier
Park CMV LLC. The transaction will have a 4.5-year reinvestment
period and a 7.75-year weighted average life (WAL) test covenant at
closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors to be in the 'B' category. The
Fitch weighted average rating factor of the identified portfolio is
23.5.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio will comprise senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 64.5%.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction will
include various concentration limits in the portfolio, including a
maximum exposure to the three largest Fitch-defined industries in
the portfolio of 40% and the top 10 obligor concentration limit of
17.5%. These covenants ensure the asset portfolio will not be
exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction will have a
4.5-year reinvestment period, which will be governed by
reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European deals. Its
analysis is based on a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of
testing the robustness of the transaction structure against its
covenants and portfolio guidelines.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The transaction can extend the WAL
by nine months on or after the step-up date, which is nine months
after closing. The WAL extension is subject to conditions including
the satisfaction of collateral quality tests and the collateral
balance (defaults at Fitch-calculated collateral value) being no
less than the reinvestment target par balance.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
test covenant at the issue date. This is to account for the strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after its
reinvestment period. These include passing the coverage tests and
the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limitation test and a WAL covenant that
progressively steps down before and after the end of the
reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions would reduce
the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no downgrade impact on the class A to F
notes.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration.
Due to the better metrics and shorter life of the identified
portfolio than the stressed-case portfolio, the class B notes
display a rating cushion of two notches, the class C and D notes of
four notches and the class E and F notes of five notches. The class
A notes do not have any rating cushion as they are already at the
highest achievable rating.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of three notches
for the class A and E notes, two notches for the class B, C and D
notes, and to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the RDR across all ratings and a 25% increase in
the RRR across all ratings of the stressed-case portfolio would
lead to upgrades of up to five notches for the rated notes, except
for the 'AAAsf' rated notes, which are at the highest level on
Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the stressed-case
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, leading to the
ability of the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for
the remaining life of the transaction.
After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades may occur in
case of stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging, leading
to higher credit enhancement and excess spread available to cover
losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Henley CLO XVII DAC
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Henley CLO XVII
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
TIKEHAU CLO VI: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on EUR11.6MM Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Tikehau CLO VI DAC:
EUR27,000,000 Class B-1 Notes due 2035, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR13,000,000 Class B-2 Notes due 2035, Upgraded to Aa1 (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR24,000,000 Class C Notes due 2035, Upgraded to A1 (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR248,000,000 Class A Notes due 2035, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR29,000,000 Class D Notes due 2035, Affirmed Baa3 (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
EUR19,800,000 Class E Notes due 2035, Affirmed Ba3 (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
EUR11,600,000 Class F Notes due 2035, Affirmed B3 (sf);
previously on Dec 21, 2021 Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Tikehau CLO VI DAC, issued in December 2021, is a collateralised
loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield
senior secured European loans. The portfolio is managed by Tikehau
Capital Europe Limited. The transaction's reinvestment will end in
July 2026.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class B-1, Class B-2 and Class C notes
are primarily a result of the benefit of the shorter period of time
remaining before the end of the reinvestment period in July 2026.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A, Class D, Class E
and Class F notes are primarily a result of the expected losses on
the notes remaining consistent with their current rating levels,
after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant
structural features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR392.9m
Defaulted Securities: EUR5.2m
Diversity Score: 56
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2902
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.22 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS): 3.72%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 3.87%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 43.82%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Collateralized
Loan Obligations" published in April 2026.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: Once reaching the end of the
reinvestment period in July 2026, The main source of uncertainty in
this transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the
weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which could
lengthen as a result of the manager's decision to reinvest in new
issue loans or other loans with longer maturities, or participate
in amend-to-extend offerings. The effect on the ratings of
extending the portfolio's weighted average life can be positive or
negative depending on the notes' seniority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
BRIGNOLE CQ 2024: Fitch Affirms 'BB+sf' Rating on Class X Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised Brignole CQ 2024 S.r.l.'s class B and D
notes' Outlook to Stable from Positive, while affirming all
ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Brignole CQ 2024 S.r.l.
Class A IT0005612319 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
Class B IT0005612327 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
Class C IT0005612335 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
Class D IT0005612343 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
Class X IT0005612350 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
Transaction Summary
Brignole CQ 2024 S.r.l. is a static securitisation of fully
amortising salary assignment loans (SAL) granted by Creditis
Servizi Finanziari S.p.A to pensioners, and public- and
private-sector employees.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance within Expectations: As of April 2026, defaults, mainly
life defaults, have continued occurring earlier than the
transaction's default definition of seven months. As a result,
cumulative gross defaults are more front-loaded than expected at
closing. However, they remain commensurate with Fitch's lifetime
default base case assumption of 8.1%. Cumulative gross defaults
were 3.7% of the collateral balance at closing, while arrears 90+
days remained stable at 0.3%. The revision of the Outlooks on the
class B and D notes to Stable reflects that these tranches cannot
sustain higher ratings given current credit enhancement.
Sovereign Adjustment Factor Applies: The public sector exposure is
over 33% of the portfolio's outstanding balance. Fitch applied a
sovereign adjustment factor (SAF) of 1.3x to non-life default
multiples at 'AA+sf' for public-sector borrowers and pensioners to
reflect SAL's considerable dependence on, and interconnectedness
with, the Italian sovereign.
The rating action reflects also the recalibration of its default
multiples for intermediate ratings of 'Bsf' to 'AA+sf' following
the upgrade of Italy's ratings and, as a result, the revised
'AA+sf' maximum achievable for Italian structured finance deals
(see 'Fitch Upgrades 72 Italian SF Tranches on Sovereign Upgrade;
Revised 44 tranches to Positive Outlook', dated 16 October 2025).
Mandatory Insurance Increases Recoveries: The underlying loans
benefit from mandatory insurance (life or unemployment, as
applicable). The 'AA+sf' 31.3% recovery rate is determined by
applying a 55% haircut to unsecured uninsured recoveries and
haircuts that are commensurate with insurers' ratings for insured
recoveries, in accordance with Fitch's criteria.
Sequential Switch Mitigates Pro-Rata Repayment: The class A to D
notes is repaying pro-rata until a sequential redemption event
occurs if, among other events, the cumulative gross default ratio
exceeds certain thresholds. The mandatory switch to sequential
paydown when the outstanding collateral balance falls below 10%
mitigates tail risk. In its expected case, Fitch believes the
switch to sequential amortisation is unlikely until the 10%
collateral balance trigger is breached, given the gap between its
expectations for the portfolio's performance and defined triggers.
Payment Interruption Risk Mitigated: Payment interruption risk is
mitigated for the senior notes as at least six months of the class
A to D interest payments and senior expenses are protected. In its
assessment, Fitch considered the transaction's reserve fund and a
buffer of more than five years between the legal final maturity of
the notes and the last maturing loan in the portfolio. Fitch has
assumed that payments from private-sector borrowers will continue
to be made in the event of salary and pension delays arising from
sovereign distress.
Excess Spread Dependence: The class X notes are not collateralised,
and the related interest and principal are paid from available
excess spread. The class X notes started amortising from the issue
date according to a schedule. Excess spread-dependent notes are
typically sensitive to underlying loan performance and prepayments
and cannot achieve a rating higher than 'BB+sf'.
'AA+sf' Sovereign Cap: Italian structured finance transactions are
capped at six notches above the rating of Italy (BBB+/Stable/F1),
which is the case for the class A notes. No additional rating cap
applies because the portfolio's top 10 employers, excluding pension
providers, represented less than 20% of the portfolio balance at
closing.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The class A notes are sensitive to changes in Italy's Long-Term
IDR. A downgrade of Italy's IDR and a revision downwards of the
'AA+sf' rating cap for Italian structured finance transactions
would trigger downgrades of the notes rated at this level.
All the notes' ratings are sensitive to the length of the pro-rata
period and may face downward rating pressure during a prolonged
pro-rata period.
An unexpected increase in the frequency of defaults or a decrease
in the recovery rates could produce larger losses than the base
case. For example, a simultaneous increase in the default base case
by 25%, and a decrease in the recovery base case by 25% would lead
to downgrades of up to seven notches for the class A to X notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade of Italy's IDR and a revision upwards of the 'AA+sf'
rating cap for Italian structured finance transactions could
trigger upgrades of the notes rated at this level. This is provided
sufficient credit enhancement is available to withstand stress at a
higher rating.
An unexpected decrease in the frequency of defaults or an increase
in the recovery rates could produce smaller losses than the base
case. For example, a simultaneous decrease in the default base case
by 25% and an increase in the recovery base case by 25% would lead
to upgrades of up to three notches for the class B notes and up to
four notches for the class C and D notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
Prior to the transaction's closing, Fitch reviewed the results of a
third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information
and concluded that there were no findings that affected the rating
analysis.
Prior to the transaction's closing, Fitch conducted a review of a
small, targeted sample of the originator's origination files and
found the information contained in the reviewed files to be
adequately consistent with the originator's policies and practices
and the other information provided to the agency about the asset
portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DOLCETTO HOLDCO: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'B3' CFR to Positive
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the B3 corporate family rating and the
B3-PD probability of default rating of Dolcetto HoldCo S.p.A. (DOC
Pharma or the company). Consequently, Moody's have affirmed the B3
instrument ratings of the backed senior secured notes issued by the
company, due in 2032. The outlook has been changed to positive from
stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings affirmation and change to positive outlook reflect
Moody's expectations that the company's key credit metrics will
continue to improve over the next 12-18 months. Over this period,
Moody's expects Moody's-adjusted gross leverage to improve below
6x, supported by good Moody's-adjusted free cash flow (FCF)
generation of around EUR30-40 million per year and Moody's-adjusted
EBITA to interest expense above 2x. The company has also
demonstrated a solid track record of organic growth and cash flow
generation, which also underpins the rating action.
Over the next 12-18 months, Moody's expects organic revenue growth
in the mid- to high-single-digit range in percentages, driven
mainly by new generic drug launches and continued penetration of
over-the-counter (OTC) products under the Muscoril brand. Over the
same period of time, Moody's also expects Moody's-adjusted EBITDA
to increase to around EUR170-180 million from EUR141 million in
2025.
DOC Pharma's B3 rating continues to reflect its strong position in
the Italian retail market for Class A drugs, where generic
penetration and growth remain favourable; solid operating
performance in recent years, which has supported market share gains
in Class A drugs; a broad and well-diversified portfolio across
therapeutic categories; and high profitability margins with good
free cash flow generation.
The rating is constrained by high leverage and execution risk
related to the company's growth strategy, which includes acquiring
off-patent branded products and expanding its OTC offering,
including nutraceuticals. Its asset-light model also increases
exposure to potential supply chain disruption and stock shortages,
while its small scale and concentration in Italy heighten
vulnerability to regulatory changes.
Although Moody's do not expect further major M&A, additional
debt-funded transactions could slow organic deleveraging, as seen
recently. In May 2026, the company acquired Riopan, a branded
anti-acid product sold in Italy and ten other European countries.
The company has already secured meaningful cost synergies that
should support Riopan's profitability over the next two years and
could also expand the product through additional OTC opportunities.
The acquisition was funded through a EUR90 million add-on to the
company's backed senior secured notes.
OUTLOOK
The positive outlook reflects Moody's expectations that DOC
Pharma's operating performance will remain strong and that it will
successfully integrate recent acquisitions, which will result in
EBITDA growth and an improvement of its Moody's-adjusted gross
leverage below 6x, with good FCF generation, in the next 12-18
months. The outlook assumes that the company will not undertake any
major debt-funded acquisitions or shareholder distributions and
that its liquidity will remain at least adequate.
The outlook could be revised to stable if the company's recent
strong performance does not prove sustainable or there is a
significant debt-funded acquisition, leading to credit metrics not
improving as Moody's expects.
LIQUIDITY
DOC Pharma has good liquidity, mainly supported by cash and cash
equivalents of EUR19 million as of March 31, 2026 and access to its
EUR150 million super senior revolving credit facility (SSRCF) which
is undrawn as of the same date. Over the next 12-18 months, Moody's
expects good Moody's-adjusted FCF generation of about EUR30-40
million annually, and have assumed increased working capital
requirements of about 5% of revenue, related to the integration of
recent acquisitions, and modest capital expenditure of about 2-3%
of revenue.
The SSRCF lenders benefit from a springing consolidated senior
secured net leverage covenant set at 11.5x and tested only when the
RCF is drawn by more than 40%. Moody's anticipates that the company
will have significant capacity against this threshold, if tested.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The PDR of B3-PD reflects Moody's assumptions of a 50% family
recovery rate for structures with a mix of bank debt and notes. The
B3 ratings of the backed senior secured notes are in line with the
B3 CFR, reflecting their positioning in the capital structure, with
only the EUR150 million SSRCF ranking ahead of them. All debt
instruments benefit from guarantees by DOC Generici s.r.l. The
security package mainly consists of share pledges, certain material
bank accounts and intercompany receivables.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Upward rating pressure could arise if DOC Pharma continues to
successfully execute its strategy and maintains a good operating
performance, delivering EBITDA growth and supporting deleveraging.
Quantitatively, this would translate into its leverage ratio
(defined as Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA) trending towards
5.5x, its Moody's-adjusted FCF to debt increasing above 5%, and its
Moody's-adjusted EBITA to interest expense improving above 2.0x,
all on a sustained basis.
Downward rating pressure could develop if DOC Pharma's operating
performance weakens or there are material issues or delays in
integrating acquisitions. Numerically, this would translate into a
Moody's-adjusted gross leverage remaining well above 6.5x for a
prolonged period, or its Moody's-adjusted FCF turning negative, or
its Moody's-adjusted EBITA to interest expense declining towards
1x, for a prolonged period of time. A deterioration of the
company's liquidity profile or an adverse change in the regulatory
environment in Italy could create downward pressure on its
ratings.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Pharmaceuticals
published in September 2025.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
DOC Pharma is a leading Italian independent generics company
operating in the retail channel. The company operates mainly in the
Italian market and has operations across a wide variety of
therapeutic categories. DOC Pharma has expanded its product
offering to include off-patent branded drugs and OTC
non-prescription products. The company generated net revenue of
EUR367 million and company adjusted EBITDA of EUR145 million for
the last twelve months ended in March 31, 2026. Private equity
group TPG Inc. has a majority shareholder position with
Intermediate Capital Group PLC (ICG) and management and other
co-investors having minority positions.
FLOS B&B: Fitch Puts 'B' LongTerm IDR on Watch Positive
-------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has placed Flos B&B Italia S.p.A.'s Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) senior secured notes rating - both at 'B' - on
Rating Watch Positive (RWP). The notes have a Recovery Rating of
'RR4'.
The RWP follows the announcement of divestment of Louis Poulsen, a
high-end Danish lighting business, with the plan to use the
proceeds for partial debt repayment. Flos expects the divestment to
be completed in 2H26, subject to customary conditions, including
regulatory approvals.
The RWP reflects Fitch's expectation that Flos's leverage will
improve sharply to 4x-4.5x over 2026-2028, following debt
prepayment, below the positive sensitivity of 5x. The RWP for
senior secured notes reflects a potential upgrade, in line with the
IDR.
Key Rating Drivers
Louis Poulsen Disposal Rating Positive: Fitch expects that the
announced divestment will have a limited impact the company's
business profile, with only moderate reduction in scale and a
narrower brand portfolio but will lead to significant deleveraging
and reduced pressure on free cash flow (FCF) from debt costs. Flos
announced the divestment of Louis Poulsen, one of its high-end
lighting brands, which contributed 17% of its revenue and 23% of
its EBITDA in 2025. Flos plans to use the proceeds to partly repay
its debt, in compliance with the terms of its existing financial
arrangements. The divestment is expected to close in 2H26.
Material Deleveraging after Sale: Fitch expects Flos's leverage to
reduce to and remain below 5x, its positive sensitivity, from 6.4x
at end-2025, following the sale completion, with most of proceeds
used for debt repayment. A more conservative capital structure and,
potentially, improving FCF will offset a moderate reduction in
scale, which will remain compatible with the higher end of the 'B'
rating category. Fitch expects that the negative impact on Flos's
operating margin from the disposal of a higher-margin business will
be more than offset by interest costs savings, resulting in an
improving FCF margin.
Flos's ratings have been under pressure from declining revenue over
2023-2025, driving up its leverage to above 6x and exhausting
rating headroom. This is despite the company's prepayment a total
of EUR85 million expensive fixed-rate notes in 2024 and 2025,
underscoring its proactive liability management.
Refocus on Core Brands: Fitch views the disposal as being aligned
with the group's strategic repositioning since end-2024 and it
refocus on the core brands of Flos and B&B, following the
appointment of a new senior management team in 2025. This disposal
follows the termination of the Fendi Casa joint venture in July
2025. Flos has stated that it would focus on the organic growth of
the existing brand portfolio, benefiting from high brand awareness
and competitiveness in the high-end and premium lighting and
furniture categories.
Weak Demand Pressures Revenue: Fitch anticipates Flos's organic
revenue to continue to fall in 2026, due to cyclical weakness in
the luxury market, softer consumer sentiment and geopolitical
uncertainty, which continue to weigh on consumer spending. Flos
reported soft 1Q26 results, with its revenue declining 5% (after
excluding Fendi Casa), or by 0.5% at constant currency, due to
subdued demand and a weaker US dollar. The group's main markets,
the US and Europe, are likely to remain weak, while APAC does not
provide enough support for a broader recovery. Competition is also
rising from Chinese luxury brands in domestic markets.
FCF to be Further Boosted: Fitch expects FCF margins to improve
above 5%, on a reduced interest burden after debt repayment,
despite lower expected EBITDA margin after the Louis Poulsen sale.
The divested brand had a margin of 26.2% in 2025, higher than
Flos's consolidated margin of 19.3%. Fitch expects EBITDA margin to
be about 17% after the sale, which remains strong versus peers'.
Fitch also expects FCF to be supported by minimal working capital
needs and moderate capex of about 4% of revenue. Profitability will
continue to benefit from a flexible cost base and strong supply
chain management. Sustained positive FCF remains one of the major
supportive factors for the IDR.
Financial Flexibility to Improve: Fitch expects Flos's interest
coverage to improve above 3.5x in 2027-2028, after its planned debt
prepayment. Liquidity will be further supported by improving FCF.
Fitch assumes Flos to repay its EUR20 million drawn revolving
credit facility (RCF) by end-2026. Flos maintained sufficient
liquidity at end-March 2026, with EUR69 million in reported cash
and a EUR125 million undrawn RCF out of a total committed EUR145
million.
Peer Analysis
Flos's luxury peers are Capri Holdings Limited (BB/Negative; the
owner of Jimmy Choo and Michael Kors (USA), Inc.) and Tapestry
Inc., the owner of Coach, Kate Spade and Stuart Weitzman. Fitch
sees higher fashion risk and greater exposure to retail
distribution in Capri and Tapestry than at Flos. However,
comparability is limited, as Flos is smaller and has a
substantially different capital structure.
Within Fitch's leveraged buyout portfolio of branded consumer
goods, Flos shares similarities with Birkenstock Holding plc
(BB+/Stable). The shoe producer's rating reflects its larger scale,
stronger brand recognition, better margins and lower leverage than
Flos, especially after its initial public offering in 2024 and
partial debt prepayment.
Mobilux Group SCA (B+/Stable) has greater operational scale and a
stronger position in its respective markets, but a thinner EBITDA
margin of 6.1% compared with Flos. Its rating is one notch higher,
reflecting stronger EBITDAR leverage of under 4.0x and a strong
cash balance.
Rino Mastrotto Group S.p.A. (RMG; B/Negative) is rated in line with
Flos, on comparable EBITDA margins, and expectations of positive
FCF. The Negative Outlook on RMG reflects a sharp increase in its
leverage following weak operating performance in 2025.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue to decline 3.6% in 2026, before returning to low-to-mid
single-digit expansion from 2027. Revenue growth to be driven by
organic expansion and bolt-on M&A
- EBITDA margin to remain at 19%-20% over 2026-2029
- Neutral working capital-related cash flow between 2026 and 2029
- Capex at an average of 4.3% of sales over the next four years
- Bolt-on M&A acquisitions of about EUR20 million a year in
2027-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bb', Moderate), market and competitive positioning ('bb-',
Higher), diversification and asset quality ('bb+', Moderate),
company operational characteristics ('bb', Moderate), profitability
('bbb', Lower), financial structure ('b', Higher), and financial
flexibility ('b+', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year
2027.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b'.
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B'.
Recovery Analysis
The recovery analysis assumes that Flos would be considered a going
concern (GC) in bankruptcy and would be reorganised rather than
liquidated, given its immaterial asset base and the inherent value
of its distinctive portfolio of brands. Additional value lies in
its retail network and wholesale and contract client portfolio.
Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
Fitch assesses GC EBITDA (pre-disposal) at about EUR95 million,
following slower revenue growth due to weak expansion in certain
distribution channels and weaker pricing, leading to lower margins.
At this GC EBITDA level, Fitch estimates Flos would face an
unsustainable capital structure, making refinancing extremely
difficult and necessitating a debt restructuring.
Fitch used a 6.0x multiple, which is at the high end of its
distressed multiples for high-yield and leveraged finance credits.
Its choice of multiple is justified by the premium valuations in
the sector for strong design and luxury brands. The security
package includes share pledges in its main operating subsidiaries.
No security is provided over the intellectual property rights,
access to which is, however, protected by negative pledges and
limitation-of-lien provisions.
Fitch assumes Flos's RCF of EUR145 million to be fully drawn at
default. The RCF ranks super senior, ahead of the senior secured
notes of EUR890 million. Fitch expects Flos's factoring facilities,
of about EUR6.6 million, to remain available in bankruptcy, given
its industry and client base. Its waterfall analysis generates a
ranked recovery for senior secured noteholders in the 'RR4'
category, leading to a 'B' instrument rating, in line with the
IDR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Fitch expects to resolve the RWP on the transaction close, which is
anticipated to be completed in 4Q26. Consequently, resolution of
the RWP could exceed six months. If the proposed deal does not take
place, Fitch would remove the RWP, and the following rating
sensitivities would apply to Flos:
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Persisting operating underperformance, higher drawdowns under the
RCF, or debt-funded acquisitions leading to EBITDA leverage higher
than 6.0x through the cycle
- EBITDA interest coverage deteriorating towards 2.0x
- FCF margin lower than 2%
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- EBITDA leverage below 5.0x on a sustained basis, including as a
result of a lower leverage target
- EBITDA interest coverage above 3.0x on a sustained basis
- FCF margin of 5% or higher, due to successful pass-through of
input cost increases and strong retention of pricing power
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Flos's liquidity is satisfactory. Fitch-adjusted available cash at
end-March 2026 was EUR67 million, while its RCF was drawn by EUR20
million. Liquidity is further supported by its expectation of
consistently positive FCF. Flos's debt maturity profile improved
after its refinancing in December 2024, when it extended the
maturity of its floating-rate notes to 2029. In addition, its
EUR340 million senior secured notes are due in November 2028.
Issuer Profile
Flos is a leading high-end furniture designer and manufacturer,
based in Italy, with global operations through different channels:
wholesale, contracts, e-commerce and directly operated stores.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Flos.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Flos B&B Italia S.p.A.
LT IDR B Rating Watch On B
senior secured LT B Rating Watch On RR4 B
VIMERCATI SPA: July 1 Deadline Set for Expressions of Interest
--------------------------------------------------------------
In the context of the negotiated settlement procedure (composizione
negoziata) initiated by VIMERCATI S.p.A., with registered office in
Pero (MI), and PROGIND S.r.L, with registered office in Azeglio
(TO), the Appointed Independent Expert, A. Guiotto, announced the
commencement of a competitive bidding procedure pursuant to Article
22 of the Italian Crisis and Insolvency Code for the lease and
subsequent acquisition of the following
business units:
(i) Vimercati Unit: manufacturing of mechatronic automotive
components, approx. 160 employees, located in Pero (MI); and
(ii) Progind Unit: automotive moulds and plastic injection
moulding, approx. 60 employees, located in Azeglio (TO).
Included: tangible assets, including Vimercati's production
facility, intangible assets, employment relationships and severance
pay (7FR), commercial contracts, authorisations and licences.
Excluded: inventory subject to a consignment agreement,
pre-existing receivables/payables, cash, bank debt, tax and social
security liabilities, shareholder/intercompany loans, and
litigation.
MINIMUM TERMS AND CONDITIONS
Business Lease: minimum monthly rent EUR20,000; duration until
December 31, 2026.
Acquisition: minimum purchase price EUR8,500,085.67, of which
EUR7,000,000 for Vimercati and EUR1,500,085.67 for Progind, plus
CNC Success Contribution of EUR1,000,000.
Lease payments shall be deducted from the final purchase price. The
purchase option must be exercised before lease expiry.
PROCEDURE AND KEY DATES
Data Room Access: June 12 - July 13, 2026, subject to execution of
a Non-Disclosure Agreement and payment of a EUR80,000 security
deposit (cashier's cheque to the Expert or designated Counsel).
Requests: michele.petriello@milano.pecavvocati.it
Expression of Interest: by July 1, 2026 at 11:59 p.m. CET.
Binding Offers: to be delivered in a sealed envelope to the Notary
by July 13, 2026 at 2:00 p.m. CET, with a security deposit equal to
10% of the offered price plus CNC Contribution.
Competitive Auction: July 13, 2026 at 3:00 p.m. CET at the Notary's
office. Minimum bid increments: EUR50,000 up to EUR10 million;
EUR75,000 from EUR10 million to EUR11 million; EUR100,000 above
EUR11 million.
INFORMATION AND DOCUMENTATION
The Bidding Rules are available on the Companies' websites, the
Italian Public Sales Portal (PVP) and www.asteannunci it.
Independent Expert PEC: alberto.guiotto@odec.pr.legalmail.it
Companies' PEC: michele.petriello@milano.pecavvocati.it
===================
K A Z A K H S T A N
===================
SOCIAL-ENTREPRENEURIAL CORP: Fitch Assigns BB IDRs, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned JSC Social-Entrepreneurial Corporation
Aktobe (SEC Aktobe) Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer
Default Ratings (IDRs) of 'BB' with Stable Outlooks.
The ratings reflect Fitch's view that extraordinary support from
Aktobe Region (BBB-/Stable) for SEC Aktobe is 'Very likely', given
its tight links with the region and its important public mission as
a development institution. Fitch applies a top-down notching from
the region's rating under its Government-Related Entities (GRE)
Rating Criteria. SEC Aktobe's Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) is
'ccc+', seven notches below the region's rating, as assessed under
its Public Policy Revenue-Supported Entities Rating Criteria. These
assessments result in SEC Aktobe's 'BB' IDR, two notches below the
region's.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Support Score Assessment 'Very likely'
Fitch considers that extraordinary support from Aktobe Region to
SEC Aktobe would be 'Very likely' in case of need, reflecting a
support score of 32.5 (out of a maximum 60) under its GRE criteria.
This reflects a combination of responsibility to support and
incentive to support factors assessment as below.
Responsibility to Support
Decision Making and Oversight 'Very Strong'
SEC Aktobe is a joint-stock company wholly owned by Aktobe Region.
The board of directors includes a senior regional official
alongside the company's CEO and independent directors. The board
approves strategies, major transactions and appoints senior
management. All strategic plans, key performance indicators and
development targets are closely coordinated with the region's
administration and subject to municipal approval.
Precedents of Support 'Not Strong Enough'
SEC Aktobe receives support from the regional government, primarily
in the form of budget loans for the food stabilisation programme
(which constituted 100% of the company's debt up to end-2024 and
about 80% at end-2025) and partial compensation of costs associated
with the industrial zone. The region also provides targeted funding
for specific programmes where SEC Aktobe acts as operator, allowing
it to place temporarily idle funds in bank accounts and earn
interest income.
Fitch assesses precedents of support as 'Not Strong Enough' because
the regional government has not provided sufficient support for the
company to maintain a viable financial profile. SEC Aktobe
generated consistently negative EBITDA throughout 2021-2024, as
operating activities alone do not cover costs. The region
compensates the direct costs of the industrial zone but not SEC
Aktobe's administrative overheads. Interest income from programme
funds has partially offset these operating losses, but Fitch does
not consider this sustainable form of support given the volatility
of cash balances and interest rates, and legislative restrictions
on placing programme funds into deposits.
Incentives to Support
Preservation of Government Policy Role 'Strong'
SEC Aktobe is the region's primary development institution. Its
functions include food price stabilisation, management of the
regional industrial zone, agricultural and SME lending. It is also
operator of targeted government programmes, managing associated
cash flows on behalf of the regional administration.
In Fitch's view, disruption to SEC Aktobe's operations would
materially affect the region's socioeconomic stability and
long-term development, affecting the entire population through
higher food inflation, undermining SME support infrastructure, and
damaging public trust in local government. Political repercussions
could be significant given the company's deep integration within
municipal governance and its central role in executing key
government programmes.
Contagion Risk 'Strong'
SEC Aktobe has a separate budget and its debt is not consolidated
in the regional government's accounts. The company's debt portfolio
at end-2024 consisted entirely of regional budget loans (KZT2.9
billion). From 2025, SEC Aktobe also borrows from Agrarian Credit
Corporation (BBB/Stable), a subsidiary of JSC National Investment
Holding Baiterek (BBB/Stable), and has issued a small market bond
(KZT50 million). A default by SEC Aktobe would likely affect market
perception, raising funding costs for the region and other local
GREs, given the company's high public profile and close operational
alignment with the region's strategic priorities.
Standalone Credit Profile
SEC Aktobe's 'ccc+' SCP reflects the combination of a 'Weaker' risk
profile and a 'b' financial profile. The SCP also factors in peer
comparison, including consistent operational losses, very thin
margin of safety and reliance on the region for continuous
support.
Risk Profile: 'Weaker'
Fitch assesses SEC Aktobe's risk profile at 'Weaker', reflecting
the combination of assessments:
Revenue Risk: 'Weaker'
SEC Aktobe operates in Aktobe Region, one of Kazakhstan's major
agricultural and industrial regions, with a diversified economic
base. The company generates operating revenue primarily through its
industrial zone (approximately 60% of operating revenue in 2024),
consisting mainly of cost compensation from the regional budget
supplemented by rents and fees from zone residents. Additional
streams include sales of food products through the stabilisation
fund (19%) and agency commissions from administering government
programmes (18%).
Operating revenue has historically been volatile, reflecting
structural shifts in the company's mandate, which continues to
evolve. Operational scope and pricing policies are determined by
government directives, and most activities carry social pricing
that only partially covers associated direct and administrative
costs, leading to consistent operating losses. These factors
support a 'Weaker' revenue risk assessment.
Expenditure Risk: 'Weaker'
Opex consistently exceeds operating revenues. Costs are dominated
by goods, services and maintenance (66% in 2024, largely reflecting
industrial zone utilities and cost of goods sold for food
stabilisation) and staff costs (30%). The company has limited
ability to reduce expenditure in response to revenue shortfalls, as
staff costs are largely fixed given the policy-driven and
administrative nature of its functions. SEC Aktobe also has a
record of material impairments on financial assets and investments,
and its planned expansion into direct lending and investment
projects introduces additional credit risk.
Liabilities and Liquidity Risk: 'Midrange'
The company's debt at end-2024 (KZT2.9 billion) consisted entirely
of low-cost regional budget loans with no foreign exchange or
interest rate risk. Cash and deposits on the balance sheet (KZT11.4
billion) represent restricted programme funds unavailable for debt
service, but the rollover nature of budget lending mitigates
immediate repayment pressure. The funding structure began
diversifying in 2025, signalling a shift toward more complex
liabilities as lending operations expand.
Financial Profile 'b'
Under Fitch's rating case, SEC Aktobe's EBITDA remains negative
throughout the scenario horizon, in line with 2021-2024 actuals.
With negative debt metrics and no unrestricted liquidity available
for debt service, all assessments (net adjusted debt/EBITDA, debt
service coverage, gross interest coverage, and liquidity coverage)
are 'b', yielding a 'b' financial profile.
Operating revenue is structurally short of costs, with regional
government compensation only partial. Interest income from
programme funds held in bank deposits has historically offset some
of this shortfall but falls outside its EBITDA calculation and is
inherently volatile. Under its base case, the intended removal of
loss-making functions and shift toward lending and investment
activities bring EBITDA toward break-even by the end of the
scenario. The rating case includes stresses for historical
volatility and execution risks surrounding the transition, yielding
persistently negative EBITDA throughout.
Short-Term Ratings
SEC Aktobe's 'B' Short-Term IDR corresponds to its 'BB' Long-Term
IDR.
National Ratings
SEC Aktobe's National Long-Term Rating is 'A+(kaz)' under Fitch's
National Scale Rating Criteria, reflecting correspondence to its
'BB' Long-Term Local-Currency IDR and peer comparison.
Peer Analysis
SEC Aktobe's closest peers are JSC Social-Entrepreneurial
Corporation Astana (BBB-/Stable) and JSC Social-Entrepreneurial
Corporation Almaty (BBB-/Stable), similar regional development
institutions in Kazakhstan. International peers include urban
development entities, such as Societe d'Etude, de Maitrise
d'Ouvrage et d'Amenagement Parisienne (SEMAPA; A+/Stable) in the
City of Paris and municipal companies in China that have various
functions for local economic development, largely
government-initiated and commercial construction projects. These
include Shandong Land Development Group Co., Ltd. (BBB+/Positive),
Taizhou Urban Construction and Investment Development Group Co.,
Ltd. (BBB/Stable) and Foshan Construction & Development Group
Co.,Ltd (BBB+/Stable).
The SCPs of most peers are in the 'b' category (SEMAPA does not
have a SCP), but all companies benefit from support from their
respective governments. This support leads to IDRs that are two
categories higher than the SCPs, with exact notching dependent on
Fitch's assessment of the relevant government's ability to provide
support and support score assessment.
Issuer Profile
SEC Aktobe is a development institution of Aktobe Region and
contributes to sustainable socio-economic growth by implementing
the region's programmes in agricultural production support, food
security, and broader entrepreneurial development.
Key Assumptions
Fitch's rating case is a "through-the-cycle" scenario, which
incorporates a combination of revenue, cost and financial risk
stresses. It is based on 2020-2024 historical figures and 2025-2029
scenario assumptions:
- Operating revenue growth on average at approximately 18% a year,
reflecting return from the expansion of investment activities
- Opex growth on average at approximately 14% a year, reflecting
expected decrease or restructure of loss-generating activities
- Average net capex of approximately KZT1.9 billion a year,
predominantly reflecting expansion of lending activities
- Cost of debt on average at 4.7%, driven by a mix of preferential
rates from government-related lenders and capital market debt
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A downgrade of Aktobe Region's ratings
- A weakening of the region's control over or incentive to support
SEC Aktobe, resulting in a support score of 25 points or less,
which would lead to wider notching from the region's ratings
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- An upgrade of Aktobe Region's ratings
- An increase in the support score to 35 points or more, which
could be driven by material improvements in SEC Aktobe's financial
profile that reflect stronger regional support and result in a
higher precedent of support assessment, narrowing the notching from
the region's ratings
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The Climate.VS for 2035 for SEC Aktobe is 51. The high VS reflects
elevated exposure to extreme weather risk. This could affect SEC
Aktobe through its lending operations to agricultural producers and
is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other factors.
However, SEC Aktobe's ratings are driven by support from Aktobe
Region, which mitigates these risks.
ESG Considerations
SEC Aktobe has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Exposure to
Environmental Impacts due to potential effects of extreme weather
conditions on agricultural producers to which SEC Aktobe extends
loans, which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is
relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
SEC Aktobe's IDRs are linked to Aktobe Region's ratings
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
JSC Social-
Entrepreneurial
Corporation Aktobe
LT IDR BB New Rating
ST IDR B New Rating
LC LT IDR BB New Rating
LC ST IDR B New Rating
Natl LT A+(kaz) New Rating
senior unsecured LT BB New Rating
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
CULLINAN HOLDCO: Fitch Affirms 'B-' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Stable
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Cullinan Holdco SCSp's (Graanul)
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B-' and senior secured
rating at 'B-' and removed them from Rating Watch Negative (RWN).
The Outlook on the IDR is Stable. The Recovery Rating is 'RR4'.
The removal of the RWN and rating affirmation reflect the extension
of its contract with a major utility until 2030, removing
short-term re-contracting risk. Graanul's rating is constrained by
the still material risk related to the ability to maintain stable
sales volumes and by high leverage.
Key Rating Drivers
Important Contract Extended: Graanul's largest utility customer,
historically accounting for about 50% of annual wood pellet
production, has extended its contract to 2030. The new
contract-for-difference (CfD) bridging mechanism for the customer's
biomass plant runs from March 2027 to March 2031 and covers around
half the load factor compared with the current scheme. The renewal
is a positive development for Graanul's credit profile, as it
removes the near-term re-contracting risk associated with its
largest revenue contributor and provides greater cash flow
visibility through the end of the decade.
2027 Contracting Progress: Contracting for 2027 is well advanced
with over 50% contracted on a firm volume basis. Notably, these
contracted volumes relate solely to take-or-pay commitments. Fitch
assumes Graanul will be able to contract additional volumes for
2027 in 2H26. Graanul also maintains a portion of its volume as
spot sales, providing a buffer to capture more favourable pricing
opportunities that typically arise during the heating season.
Concentrated Customer Base: Graanul has a highly concentrated
customer base, with the three largest customers in the pellet
production segment accounting for approximately78% of total revenue
in 2025. Customer concentration is not uncommon among pellet
producers, which bid for large contracts that often result in a
significant share of a single customer in the total revenue mix,
but it is a rating constraint.
Regulatory Risk: Fitch views the current regulatory environment as
broadly supportive of pellet producers, although the sustainability
of feedstock faces increased regulatory scrutiny. The revised
Renewable Energy Directive continues to count primary wood biomass
as 100% renewable and zero rated in the EU Emissions Trading
System. Subsidies for biomass in the UK, its largest contracted
market, were extended until 2031 but state support is gradually
decreasing and there is limited visibility on future cost
competitiveness of wood pellets for utilities. Higher carbon prices
could support the switch to biomass from coal-based heat or
electricity installations in the EU.
High Leverage: Fitch projects that Graanul will sustain sales
volumes of 2.5 million tonnes, with average EBITDA — inclusive of
contributions from electricity generation and logistics — of
approximately EUR40/tonne. This translates into expected EBITDA
gross leverage of approximately 6.0x over 2026-2029. This is within
the 5.5x-7.5x range for the current rating, but Fitch views
leverage as high for the company's scale, exposure to volume and
price risk, and its concentrated customer base.
Potential New Customers: Fitch understands from management that
Graanul is working to diversify its customer base and exploring
contracts with new customers in Poland and Scandinavia as well as
in sustainable aviation fuels, lime and cement. Crystallisation of
new contracts in the medium term could offset lower utility sales.
Fitch views diversification as a critical factor supporting
Graanul's long-term business viability.
Peer Analysis
Graanul's closest Fitch rated peers are Sunoco LP (BB+/Stable) and
Puma Energy Holdings Pte. Ltd (BB+/Stable).
Graanul focuses on the production and distribution of wood pellets
and biomass energy, whereas Puma Energy focuses on traditional
energy logistics and distribution. Graanul's scale is smaller than
Puma Energy, with operations concentrated in Europe and the US,
whereas Puma Energy offers midstream and downstream operations
globally. Graanul's leverage profile is weaker, with average EBITDA
net leverage of 5.3x in 2026-2027 compared with Puma Energy's
1.5x.
Sunoco LP is the largest fuel distributor in the US, distributing
about eight billion gallons a year. In addition to distributing
motor fuel, Sunoco also distributes other petroleum products such
as propane and lubricating oil, and about 25% of its volumes are
sold under long-term contracts. Sunoco's scale is larger than
Graanul's and its leverage lower than Graanul's.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Volumes of about 2.5 million tonnes annually in 2026-2029
- EBITDA per tonne including CHP and logistics segments of around
EUR40/tonne
- Capex of EUR17 million annually
- No dividends in 2026-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb', Lower), sector characteristics
('bb-', Moderate), market and competitive positioning ('b-',
Higher), diversification and asset quality ('bb', Moderate),
company operational characteristics ('b', Higher), profitability
('b', Moderate), financial structure ('bb-', Moderate), and
financial flexibility ('b', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2025, 10% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year
2027, 30% for the forecast year 2028 and 20% for the forecast year
2029.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
The governance assessment of 'some deficiencies' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a-' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b-'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B-'.
Recovery Analysis
- Its recovery analysis assumes that Graanul would be reorganised
as a going concern (GC) in bankruptcy rather than liquidated.
- The GC EBITDA reflects its view of a sustainable,
post-reorganisation EBITDA on which Fitch bases the enterprise
valuation (EV).
- The GC EBITDA of EUR85 million (net of lease charges) reflects
production levels of about 2 million tonnes.
- Fitch uses a multiple of 5.0x to estimate a GC enterprise value
for Graanul, due to its position as the second-largest wood-pellet
producer in Europe and the contractual nature of its operations.
- Its revolving credit facility (RCF) is ranked as super senior to
its senior secured notes.
- Its analysis, after deducting 10% for administrative claims,
generated a waterfall-generated recovery computation in the 'RR4'
band, indicating a 'B-' rating for the senior secured notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Significant reduction in volumes or loss of a sizeable customer
without a replacement
- EBITDA gross leverage above 7.5x on a sustained basis
- EBITDA interest coverage at or below 1x on a sustained basis
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Improvement in the business profile including scale, customer
diversification and contract duration
- EBITDA gross leverage consistently below 5.5x
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Cash balance at end-2025 was EUR13 million against short-term debt
of EUR16 million (excluding leases). Graanul had also EUR100
million available under its revolving credit facility maturing in
2029.
Issuer Profile
Graanul's main activity is renewable energy with production of wood
pellets (nameplate capacity of 2.9 million tonnes) and production
of electricity and heat from biomass.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Fitch reduced operating costs by EUR9.6 million in 2025 to account
for one-off refinancing costs.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Grannul.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Cullinan Holdco SCSp
LT IDR B- Affirmed B-
senior secured LT B- Affirmed RR4 B-
EUROPEAN MEDCO 3: Fitch Affirms 'B-' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Stable
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed European Medco Development 3 S.a.r.l.'s
(Axplora) Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B-' with a
Stable Outlook. Fitch has also affirmed the senior secured debt
issued by European Medco Development 4 S.a.r.l. at 'B' with a
Recovery Rating of 'RR3'.
The rating reflects Axplora's modest size, high leverage and weak
but improving free cash flow (FCF) due to high growth capex, which
are mitigated by the strength of its niche and profitable steroids
and specialty active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) businesses
and satisfactory liquidity headroom.
The Stable Outlook reflects its expectation that the contract
portfolio will be rebuilt in FY27 (year-end to March) after several
years of revenue and earnings contraction, leading to improved
leverage despite negative FCF due to high growth capex. Fitch
projects further credit improvement from FY28, supported by EBITDA
growth, albeit subject to some execution risk, notably regarding
the pace of operational improvement at Novasep.
Key Rating Drivers
Weak FY26 Revenue; Profitability Maintained: Axplora's underlying
operating performance in FY26 was overall weak with reduced revenue
and operating cash flows. Revenue declined 5.5% in FY26, including
a -1.8% FX impact and a 3.8% organic decline caused by lower sales
from certain contracts, including the World Health Organisation.
However, Axplora has maintained its profitability. Fitch-defined
EBITDA margins were stable at 21.3%, as a large rise in margins at
the specialty API division to 30% (from the low 20% range) and a
modest rise in margins at the steroids division offset continued
weakness at Novasep. Fitch expects the margins of the specialty API
division to remain in the high 20% ranges, benefiting from
production relocation to lower-cost plants in India.
Growth; Margin Improvement from FY27: The continued strength of the
highly profitable steroids division has supported Axplora's credit
profile and has offset the continued weakness at Novasep, whose
underperformance had previously caused a deterioration of margins
and leverage. Fitch projects underlying EBITDA margins to gradually
expand to 24% in FY27 and towards 27% in FY29, driven by a recovery
of the Novasep division and structurally higher margins at the
specialty API division related to new contracts and efficiencies
from the relocation of some production to its lower-cost Indian
plants.
Recovery at Novasep; Execution Risks: Weakness at Novasep, the
pharma CDMO (contract development and manufacturing organisation)
division acquired in April 2022, has weighed on Axplora's
performance since it lost three key customer contracts in FY23.
Fitch believes that performance bottomed out in FY26 and expect a
gradual recovery, supported by sales from new contracts. Fitch
assesses execution risk as meaningful, given limited visibility on
the timing of the operational improvement at Novasep. Evidence of
progressive EBITDA growth throughout FY27, particularly in the CDMO
division, would be a major sign of improving credit fundamentals
for Axplora over the medium term.
Underlying FCF to Improve: FCF was strongly positive in FY26 mostly
due to a one-off insurance compensation. However, Fitch projects
mid-single digit negative FCF margin in FY27 as growth capex
resumes, in addition to incurring some exceptional costs.
Nevertheless, Fitch forecasts underlying operating cash flow to
improve, led by EBITDA growth from FY27. Axplora's commitment to
growth capex will consume up to 9%-10% of revenue, but these
investments will be central to its medium-term operational growth.
Fitch expects the gradual rise of EBITDA to help turn FCF to
neutral-to-positive from FY28.
Deleveraging Expected: Fitch expects EBITDA growth will lead to a
decrease in EBITDA gross leverage to 6.0x in FY27 from 6.7x in
FY26, followed by an improvement to 5.5x in FY28, creating
substantial rating headroom over the next 12-18 months. This
deleveraging is a function of receding execution risks,
particularly during the portfolio rebuilding in FY27.
Some Concentration Risks: The rating is constrained by Axplora's
small scale in a fragmented and competitive CDMO market, and
certain customer and product concentration. This concentration is
reflected in its business risk assessment, alongside the high
operating leverage of Axplora's capex-intensive
manufacturing-driven business model, with a high percentage of
fixed costs.
Resilient Niche Position: Axplora benefits from a resilient niche
market position, supported by high barriers to entry in the main
subsidiary, PharmaZell, particularly in its high-margin steroids
and high-potency APIs. The group has modest geographic
diversification, supplying European clients from its nine
production sites in Germany, France, Italy and India. Its credit
profile benefits from a supportive environment in the broader
pharmaceutical market due to a growing and ageing population and
increasing access to medical care, with generic drugs supported by
government as a means to contain rising healthcare costs.
Peer Analysis
Fitch compares Axplora with Fitch-rated CDMO companies, such as
Roar BidCo AB (Recipharm; B/Stable), Kepler S.p.A. (Biofarma;
B/Stable) and F.I.S. Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p.A. (FIS;
B+/Stable). Axplora has similar scale by revenue with Biofarma and
is considerably smaller than FIS and Recipharm.
Axplora's EBITDA margin of about 20%-25% compares well with those
of Biofarma, FIS, Nidda BondCo GmbH (B/Stable), Triley Midco
Limited (B/Negative) and Recipharm. Its EBITDA margin is below that
of about 28% of Financiere Top Mendel S.A.S. (Ceva Sante;
B+/Stable), an animal health company.
Fitch also compares Axplora with asset-light niche pharmaceutical
companies that own drug patents but outsource their manufacturing
to CDMOs, such as CHEPLAPHARM Arzneimittel GmbH (B/Stable) and
ADVANZ PHARMA HoldCo Limited (B/Negative), whose EBITDA margins are
above 30%. These companies also benefit from stronger FCF margins,
but they suffer from neutral or structurally declining organic
revenue, relying on acquisitions for growth instead.
Axplora's EBITDA leverage compares well with those of Biofarma,
CHEPLAPHARM and ADVANZ PHARMA, but its weaker versus FIS's and
Rechipharm's.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue decline of 5.5% in FY26, including a -3.4% FX impact and
a 2% organic decline due to specific contracts including the lower
sales to the World Health Organsisation
- Organic revenue growth of 2.5% in FY27, accelerating to 9.5% in
FY28 and 11% in FY29
- Fitch-adjusted EBITDA margins stable at 21.3% in FY26 (excluding
any insurance proceeds) and improving to 24% in FY27 and towards
27% by FY29
- Net capex, after client prepayments, of EUR37 million in FY26 and
at about EUR45 million-50 million a year in FY27-FY29
- Small working capital outflow in FY26 and about EUR10 million
over FY27-FY29
- No acquisitions
- No shareholder distributions
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('b+', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bb+', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('b+',
Moderate), diversification and asset quality ('b+', Higher),
company operational characteristics ('bb-', Moderate),
profitability ('b', Moderate), financial structure ('ccc+',
Higher), and financial flexibility ('bb-', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the forecast year FY26,
40% for the forecast year FY27, 30% for the forecast year FY28 and
10% for the forecast year FY29.
Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors also include
bespoke calculations.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and have no impact.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b-'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B-'.
Recovery Analysis
Its recovery analysis assumes that Axplora would be restructured as
a going concern (GC) rather than liquidated in a default.
Its estimated GC EBITDA of EUR80 million (unchanged from last year)
reflects potential distress from declining sales due to loss of
customers, production issues or underperformance in selected
product categories due to concentration risk. The GC EBITDA also
incorporates corrective measures, which the business would
implement following distress.
Fitch maintains an enterprise value/EBITDA multiple of 5.5x, which
Fitch considers appropriate for a mid-scale CDMO company.
Its analysis. after deducting 10% for administrative claims,
generates a ranked recovery in the 'RR3' band for the fully senior
secured capital structure, leading to a 'B' instrument rating
(unchanged) for the senior secured debt.
Its waterfall analysis comprises a EUR530 million term loan B (TLB)
and an undrawn EUR60 million revolving credit facility (RCF)
ranking equally among themselves, the latter of which Fitch assumes
to be fully drawn prior to distress. In its debt waterfall Fitch
also assumes that 50% of the group's estimated EUR46 million of
average drawn factoring facilities would be replenished through
similar super senior debt in a default.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Declining revenue due to product or production issues,
integration challenges, or a loss of customers leading to EBITDA
margin declining towards 17% on a sustained basis
- Consistently negative FCF, leading to diminished liquidity
headroom
- Total debt/EBITDA above 7.0x for an extended period
- EBITDA/interest paid below 1.5x on a sustained basis
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Increasing product diversification, supporting EBITDA margin
expansion above 20% on a sustained basis
- Consistently neutral-to-positive FCF margins
- Total debt/EBITDA reducing towards 5.5x on a sustained basis
- EBITDA/interest paid above 2.5x on a sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At FYE26 Axplora's Fitch-defined readily available cash (net of
restricted cash of EUR10 million) was EUR81 million. The group does
not have any material upcoming maturities except for its EUR530
million TLB due September 2029. Available liquidity is sufficient
to cover potential fluctuations of FCF in the next two years.
Fitch-defined short-term debt at FYE26 comprised solely
non-recourse factoring usage. Liquidity is also supported by an
undrawn committed EUR60 million RCF due in March 2029.
Issuer Profile
Axplora, created from the 2022 merger of PharmaZell and Novasep, is
an API contract manufacturer operating nine manufacturing sites:
four in France, two in Germany, one in Italy and two in India. Its
clients are generic and innovative pharmaceutical firms.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Fitch views all insurance proceeds as an exceptional cash inflow,
reversing the EUR20 million in business interruption compensation
that Axplora treats as EBITDA.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Axplora.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
European Medco
Development 4
S.a.r.l.
senior secured LT B Affirmed RR3 B
European Medco
Development 3
S.a.r.l. LT IDR B- Affirmed B-
MELLENU HOLDING: Fitch Assigns 'B' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Positive
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Luxembourg-based Mellenu Holding S.A.
(Mellenu) a Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'B' with
Positive Outlook.
Fitch has also affirmed Mellenu Finance S.A.'s (formerly 4finance
S.A.) senior unsecured bond, which is unconditionally and
irrevocably guaranteed by Mellenu and its major operating
subsidiaries, at 'B' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'.
The Positive Outlook on Mellenu's Long-Term IDR is primarily driven
by the completion of the sale of TBI Bank in February 2026, which
released previously ring-fenced capital and materially improved the
quality and usability of the group's capital and liquidity to
support debt repayment, loss absorption and growth. It is also
supported by the early redemption of its October 2026 bond on 27
April 2026, which materially reduced near-term refinancing risk.
Fitch has withdrawn 4finance Holding S. A.'s ratings as the entity
has undergone a reorganisation, with its activities acquired by
Mellenu in late May 2026. Accordingly, Fitch will no longer provide
ratings or analytical coverage of 4finance Holding.
A consortium led by 4finance Holding management announced a
shareholder restructuring of the group's core operating
subsidiaries on 29 May 2026. A new Luxembourg-based holding
company, Mellenu, was established to acquire 4finance Holding's
core online lending teams, assets, liabilities, subsidiaries and
retail brands. In 2H26, the consortium will acquire Mellenu through
a Luxembourg acquisition vehicle with Mellenu's management holding
25% of the vehicle's share capital and existing and new
institutional investors holding the rest.
Key Rating Drivers
Subprime Online Consumer Lender: Mellenu's ratings are driven by
its standalone credit profile and reflect the inherently high
regulatory and credit risks of its monoline business model in the
higher-risk subsector of consumer lending. They also reflect
increasing exposure to weaker operating environments in emerging
markets and heightened foreign-currency risk.
Rating strengths include Mellenu's long record (including before
the reorganisation) of stable operations in sub- and near-prime
unsecured consumer lending, its healthy profitability, granular,
short-dated loan portfolio, tested access to bond markets and
reduced refinancing risk.
Adequate Financial Performance: The group's financial performance
has been adequate through economic cycles and across different
countries by developing well-established underwriting practices.
High margins, sufficient scale, small ticket loans, short tenors
and effective use of extensive client data have allowed the group
to build a profitable online lending business ahead of some peers,
and to roll out its model in additional markets.
TBI Bank Sale Improves Capitalisation: The sale of TBI Bank in
February 2026 released previously ring-fenced capital, materially
strengthening the group's capitalisation. Fitch expects Mellenu's
consolidated gross debt/tangible equity ratio to improve to about
0.5x by mid-2026, from 1x at end-2025. Its assessment is
constrained by the high-risk sub-prime lending focus, but this is
partly offset by strong internal capital generation and high
provisioning levels, which limit capital erosion.
Improved Liquidity after Sale: The disposal of TBI Bank released
considerable liquidity that had previously been trapped within a
regulated entity. In its view, the bank had offered limited
strategic synergies with Mellenu's core online non-bank lending
business and had restricted cash upstreaming to the group. Fitch
has factored in up to EUR40 million dividend payments, funded by
the sale proceeds. Domestic sanctions imposed in Poland in December
2024, restricting 4finance Holding's re-entry into that market, had
no impact on the group's operations so far.
Prior to the disposal, Fitch had treated the 100%-owned Bulgarian
bank subsidiary, TBI Bank, as an asset held for sale, due to
limited integration and synergies with the group.
High Credit Risk; Adequate Provisioning: Sizeable impairment
charges are an integral part of Mellenu's business model, with cost
of risk (loan impairment charges/average gross loans) at 46%, while
impairment charges consumed 75% of Fitch-defined pre-impairment
operating profit in 2025. Impaired loans were 1.5x covered by loan
loss provisions. Portfolio seasoning risks are modest, as about 65%
of loans matured within 12 months at end-2025, and the loan
portfolio's average maturity was nine months. Single-name
concentration is low, with the 20 largest exposures representing
0.2% of the loan book at end-2025.
Adequate Profitability: Mellenu's focus on high-cost consumer
lending results in high loan margins, which are subsequently
consumed by high impairment charges and marketing expenses.
However, efficient online operations, with over 90% of loans issued
through mobile phone apps and a high number of repeat customers
resulted in a sound cost/income ratio of 40% in 2025 (2024: 39%)
and an adequate pre-tax income/average assets ratio (3% in 2025).
However, expansion into new markets and different subsectors could
lead to earnings volatility.
Liquid Balance Sheet: The group's business model is based on
originating short-term loans that are primarily funded with
longer-term bond issuance. This supports its immediate liquidity,
allowing it to deleverage in a manageable manner.
Reduced Refinancing Risk: The early repayment of a EUR140 million
bond in April 2026 has materially reduced near-term refinancing
risk. Reliance on wholesale funding leaves the group sensitive to
shifts in investor sentiment, even though it has continued access
to capital markets.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Outlook could be revised to Stable as a result of a sharp
increase in credit risk or leverage, for example, due to rapid
lending growth in lower-rated jurisdictions or higher-than-expected
dividend payouts.
A weakening of the funding and liquidity profile with, for example,
shorter average debt maturities or reduced liquidity buffers, could
lead to a downgrade.
A material deterioration in profitability with, for example,
pre-tax income/average assets ratio worsening to below 2% could
also lead to negative rating action.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Deploying the bulk of proceeds from the sale of TBI Bank in
sustainably growing its franchise, leading to a stronger and more
diversified business model, alongside the maintenance of sound
financial metrics, could lead to an upgrade of the Long-Term IDR to
'B+'.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
Mellenu's debt issuing subsidiary, Mellenu Finance S.A., has one
outstanding senior unsecured bond of EUR135 million maturing in May
2028, of which the group holds about EUR5 million in treasury. The
issue is irrevocably and unconditionally guaranteed by Mellenu's
major operating subsidiaries.
Mellenu has no material external debt other than its bond. Fitch
rates the senior unsecured debt in line with the Long-Term IDR, as
the bonds are reference obligations, and Fitch expects average
recovery prospects, given the group's unsecured funding profile.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The senior unsecured debt rating is mainly sensitive to changes in
the Long-Term IDR.
Changes to its assessment of recovery prospects for the senior
unsecured debt could result in the senior unsecured debt rating
being notched down from the Long-Term IDR.
ADJUSTMENTS
The sector risk operating environment score of 'bb' is below the
implied score of 'bbb' due to the following adjustment reason(s):
regulatory and legal framework (negative), regional, industry or
sub-sector focus (negative).
The business profile score 'b' is below the implied score of 'bb'
due to the following adjustment reason(s): business model
(negative).
The earnings and profitability score of 'b+' is below the implied
score of 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason(s): portfolio
risk (negative).
The funding, liquidity and coverage score of 'b' is below the
implied score of 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason(s):
business model/funding market convention (negative).
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Fitch treated TBI Bank as an asset held for sale also for the
historical period, due to its limited integration and synergies.
ESG Considerations
Mellenu has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Exposure to Social
Impacts due to regulatory risks to the business model development
(including the potential tightening of lending rate caps), which
has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
Mellenu has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Customer Welfare -
Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security due to the risks in the
context of fair lending practices and pricing transparency, which
has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
Mellenu g has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Group Structure due
to the developing nature of its corporate governance structure with
limited independent oversight including the absence of a
supervisory board, which has a negative impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other
factors.
Mellenu has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure
due to the developing nature of its corporate governance structure,
which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant
to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Mellenu Holding SA
LT IDR B New Rating
ST IDR B New Rating
4finance Holding S.A.
LT IDR WD Withdrawn B
ST IDR WD Withdrawn B
Mellenu Finance S.A
senior unsecured LT B Affirmed RR4 B
===============
P O R T U G A L
===============
CONSUMER TOTTA 4 2026: Moody's Gives B1 Rating to EUR9.6MM E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned the following definitive ratings to
Notes issued by Consumer Totta 4 2026:
EUR398.4M Class A Floating Rate Notes due 2036, Definitive Rating
Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR31.2M Class B Floating Rate Notes due 2036, Definitive Rating
Assigned A2 (sf)
EUR18M Class C Floating Rate Notes due 2036, Definitive Rating
Assigned Baa2 (sf)
EUR22.8M Class D Floating Rate Notes due 2036, Definitive Rating
Assigned Ba2 (sf)
EUR9.6M Class E Floating Rate Notes due 2036, Definitive Rating
Assigned B1 (sf)
EUR4.8M Class F Floating Rate Notes due 2036, Definitive Rating
Assigned B3 (sf)
Moody's have not assigned a rating to EUR 1 Class R Floating Rate
Notes due 2036 and EUR 1000 Class X Note due 2036.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Notes are backed by a 6-month revolving pool of Portuguese
unsecured consumer loans originated by Banco Santander Totta S.A.
("Santander Totta"), (A2/P-1 Bank Deposits; A2(cr)/P-1(cr)). This
represents the fourth SRT ABS issuance originated by Banco
Santander Totta S.A.
The portfolio consists of approximately EUR401.58 million as of the
22 of May pool cut-off date. The weighted average seasoning of the
portfolio is approximately 0.8 years. The weighted average original
term to maturity of the portfolio is approximately 6.48 years and
weighted average remaining term to maturity is 5.68 years. 99% of
the loans are fixed rate loans and all loans are monthly annuity
style amortising loans with no balloon payment. 75.7% of the
portfolio is composed of pre-approved loans where the borrower was
offered an unsecured consumer loan up to a maximum amount without
initiating an application process. There will be a pre-funding
period of 6 months, where additional receivables can be purchased
in an amount equal to approximately 20% of the closing portfolio.
The Reserve Fund is funded to 1.0% of the A to E Notes balance at
closing and the total credit enhancement for the Class A Notes is
18.0%.
The ratings are primarily based on the credit quality of the
portfolio, the structural features of the transaction and its legal
integrity.
The transaction benefits from various credit strengths such as the
granularity of the portfolio, securitisation experience of
Santander group, a reserve fund sized at 1.0% of the Class A-E
Notes as of closing with a floor of 0.25%, subordination of the
Notes and significant excess spread. However, Moody's notes that
the transaction features a number of credit weaknesses, such as a
(i) complex structure including interest deferral triggers for
junior Notes, (ii) pro-rata payments on all classes A-E of Notes,
(iii) a six months revolving structure which could increase
performance volatility of the underlying portfolio, partially
mitigated by early amortisation triggers, revolving criteria both
on individual loan and portfolio level and the eligibility criteria
for the portfolio, and (iv) the relatively high linkage to
Santander Totta acting as originator and servicer. These
characteristics, amongst others, were considered in Moody's
analysis and ratings.
99% of the underlying loans are linked to fixed interest rates, and
the rated notes are all floating rate indexed to three month
Euribor. As a result, the issuer is subject to fixed-floating
mismatch. This risk is mitigated by an interest rate swap provided
by Banco Santander, S.A. (Spain) (A1/P-1; A2(cr)/P-1(cr)).
Moody's determined the portfolio lifetime expected defaults of
6.0%, expected recoveries of 15% and portfolio credit enhancement
("PCE") of 18% related to borrower receivables. The expected
defaults and recoveries capture Moody's expectations of performance
considering the current economic outlook, while the PCE captures
the loss Moody's expects the portfolio to suffer in the event of a
severe recession scenario. Expected defaults and PCE are parameters
used to calibrate its lognormal portfolio loss distribution curve
and to associate a probability with each potential future loss
scenario in the ABSROM cash flow model to rate Consumer ABS.
Portfolio expected defaults of 6.0% are in line with the EMEA
Consumer Loan ABS average and are based on Moody's assessments of
the lifetime expectation for the pool taking into account (i)
historic performance of the loan book of the originator, (ii) the
pool composition in terms of the exposure to certain products i.e.
pre-approved loans where the borrower was offered an unsecured
consumer loan up to a maximum amount without initiating an
application process, (iii) benchmark transactions, and (iv) other
qualitative considerations, such as the revolving period.
Portfolio expected recoveries of 15% are in line with the EMEA
Consumer Loan ABS average and are based on Moody's assessments of
the lifetime expectation for the pool taking into account (i)
historic performance of the loan book of the originator, (ii)
benchmark transactions, and (iii) other qualitative
considerations.
PCE of 18% is in line with the EMEA Consumer Loan ABS average and
is based on Moody's assessments of the pool taking into account:
(i) the revolving and pre-funding period, and (ii) the relative
ranking to peers in EMEA. The PCE level of 18% results in an
implied coefficient of variation ("CoV") of 34.74%.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Consumer Loan
Securitizations" published in May 2026.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Factors that may cause an upgrade of the ratings of the notes
include significantly better than expected performance of the pool
together with an increase in credit enhancement of Notes.
Factors that would lead to a downgrade of the ratings include: (i)
increased counterparty risk leading to potential operational risk
of (a) servicing or cash management interruptions and (b) the risk
of increased swap linkage due to a downgrade of a swap counterparty
ratings; and (ii) economic conditions being worse than forecast
resulting in higher arrears and losses.
GEMMA STC: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Gamma, STC S.A. / Consumer Totta 4 final
ratings.
The final rating on the class E notes is one notch higher than the
expected rating due to final lower spreads and a lower swap rate.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Gamma, STC S.A. /
Consumer Totta 4
Class A PTGMMIOM0012 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
Class B PTGMMJOM0003 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
Class C PTGMMKOM0000 LT BBBs New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
Class D PTGMMLOM0009 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
Class E PTGMMMOM0008 LT BB-sf New Rating B+(EXP)sf
Class F PTGMMNOM0007 LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a six-month revolving securitisation of a fully
amortising unsecured consumer loans portfolio originated in
Portugal by Banco Santander Totta S.A. (Totta; A+/Stable/F1). Totta
is owned by Banco Santander, S.A. (A+/Stable/F1).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Assumptions: Fitch has calibrated a base-case default rate of
7% for the portfolio, lower than the 7.5% applied in the previous
transaction Consumer Totta 3 in October 2025. This reflects recent
improvement in portfolio performance, supported by favourable
macroeconomic conditions and the originator's strengthened risk
policies. The base case recovery rate has been recalibrated to 25%,
from 35% in Consumer Totta 3, reflecting Fitch's updated analysis
of historical recovery data, and underlining lower recoveries on
defaulted receivables.
Revolving and Pre-funding Period: The transaction features a
six-month revolving and pre-funding period, during which additional
receivables can be purchased by the issuer for up to 30% of the
initial portfolio balance, assuming a 10% prepayment rate. Fitch
considers any associated credit risk as captured by the default
multiples and the portfolio eligibility criteria contractually
defined.
At closing, the issuer used the note proceeds to purchase a maximum
84% of the portfolio balance with the remaining 16% held in cash at
the transaction account bank (the pre-funding amount) for
purchasing additional assets. Any unapplied pre-funding amounts
will be used to amortise the class A to E notes pro rata after the
end of the revolving period.
Pro Rata Note Amortisation: The class A to E notes amortise pro
rata from the first quarterly interest payment date after the end
of the revolving period until a switch-to-sequential amortisation
event. Fitch considers such an event as unlikely during the first
years after closing under the base case, given its portfolio
performance expectations versus the defined triggers. Fitch
believes the tail risk posed by the pro rata pay-down is mitigated
by the mandatory switch to sequential amortisation when the pool
balance falls below 10% of the initial balance.
Interest Rate Risk Mitigated: Hedging through a fixed-to-floating
interest rate swap addresses the mismatch between the floating-rate
liabilities and the predominantly fixed-rate assets (99.0% of the
portfolio).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Long-term asset performance deterioration such as increased
defaults and delinquencies or reduced portfolio yield, which could
be driven by changes in portfolio characteristics, macroeconomic
conditions, business practices or legislation could be negative for
the ratings
Sensitivities to higher default rates and lower recoveries are
shown below:
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of increased defaults (class
A/B/C/D/E/F)
Increase default rates by 10%:
'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'BB+sf''
Increase default rates by 25%:
'Asf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'B-sf'/'BB+sf''
Increase default rates by 50%:
'A-sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'CCCsf'/'NRsf'/'BB+sf''
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of reduced recoveries (class
A/B/C/D/E/F)
Reduce recovery rates by 10%:
'AA-sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'/'BB+sf''
Reduce recovery rates by 25%:
'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'BB+sf''
Reduce recovery rates by 50%:
'A+sf'/'BBBsf'/'BB+sf'/'BB-sf'/'B-sf'/'BB+sf''
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of increased defaults and
reduced recoveries (class A/B/C/D/E/F)
Increase default rates by 10% and reduce recovery rates by 10%:
'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'BB+sf''
Increase default rates by 25% and reduce recovery rates by 25%:
'Asf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'CCCsf'/'BB+sf''
Increase default rates by 50% and reduce recovery rates by 50%:
'BBBsf'/'BBsf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'/'NRsf'/'BB+sf''
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Better asset performance than expected, such as lower defaults and
higher recoveries would be positive for the ratings.
Increasing credit enhancement ratios as the transaction deleverages
to fully compensate the credit losses and cash flow stresses
commensurate with higher ratings would also lead to positive rating
action.
Reducing default rates by 10% and increasing recovery rates by 10%
would result in ratings of
'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'BBsf'/'BB+sf' for the class A, B, C,
D, E and F notes, respectively.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Gamma, STC S.A. / Consumer Totta 4
Fitch reviewed the results of a third party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
===========
R U S S I A
===========
ARTEL ELECTRONICS: Fitch Affirms 'B' LongTerm IDR, Outlook Negative
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Artel Electronics LLC's (AE) Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B'. The Outlook is Negative.
The Negative Outlook reflects weaker demand and lower profitability
in 2026 due to a challenging white goods market and stronger
competition in AE's key end-markets. Fitch expects leverage to
remain above the negative rating sensitivity with improvement
possible on accelerated debt repayment or stabilizing market
conditions that would support the current rating. However,
underperformance with weaker financial flexibility may lead to a
downgrade.
The affirmation reflects AE's continuing small scale, limited
geographic diversification, and exposure to emerging-market and FX
risks. It also reflects its expectation of positive free cash flow
(FCF) generation, supported by improved working capital and lower
dividend distributions.
Key Rating Drivers
Prolonged Weaker Revenue Trends: Fitch expects Artel's revenue
decline to continue in 2026, with a further 2% fall before a modest
recovery from 2027 onwards. Uzbekistan's growing progress in
reforms and policy focus are increasing foreign competition in
Artel's domestic market, which accounted for 82% of 2025 revenue.
This contributed to recent market share losses. Competitors benefit
from broader product ranges and aggressive pricing, which
intensified after the Uzbek currency appreciated in 2025.
Fitch expects a modest recovery from 2027 as market share
stabilises and Artel's shift toward premium products supports
performance. Artel's strategic repositioning focuses on stronger
differentiation through product reliability rather than lower
pricing.
Further Margin Pressure: Fitch forecasts EBITDA margin to decline
slightly in 2026-2029, due to aggressive pricing in an inflationary
domestic market. Margin pressure could increase if raw material
costs rise further, including plastics, due to a prolonged closure
of the Strait of Hormuz amid the Iran conflict. Artel's strategic
shift toward more profitable products and cost-efficiency measures,
including office relocation to a free economic zone in Uzbekistan,
should help stabilise profitability, but at a lower level than in
previous years.
Leverage to Peak Before Easing: Fitch anticipates EBITDA leverage
to rise to 3.6x at end-2026 from 3.1x at end-2025, before easing
back to 3.1x by 2029. The increase reflects weaker profitability,
despite management's efforts to accelerate debt repayment. Fitch
believes Artel's deleveraging path is achievable, supported by
ongoing debt repayment, but it is likely to be gradual as
profitability stabilises below 2025 levels and cash continues to
also be used for dividends. The pressure on leverage is mitigated
by still modest metrics relative to diversified manufacturing peers
in the 'B' rating category and by strong coverage ratios.
Positive FCF: Fitch views Artel's ability for positive FCF recovery
in 2025 as positive for its credit profile. This reflected lower
working capital outflows, supported by longer payable days that
better align with receivable and inventory days. Fitch expects FCF
margin to average about 0.8% through 2029, supported by disciplined
capex, lower dividend payouts and lower interest paid as debt
declines. Positive FCF should help support liquidity, which is
under pressure in the near term due to accelerated debt repayment.
Ongoing Related-Party Transactions: Fitch views increased
related-party transactions in 2025 as a credit weakness. Fitch does
not include related-party guarantees in Artel's debt or leverage
because the underlying loans are secured by the borrowers' assets
and there is no indication that Artel will be called to support
repayment. However, a direct loan to related parties in 2025 and
ongoing guarantees would be reassessed if the related parties
underperform, which could lead to rating pressure.
Leading Market Position: AE remains a leading household appliances
producer in Uzbekistan, with strong market positions across most of
its main product categories. Its established production base,
distribution network and long-standing cooperation with brands,
such as Shivaki, provide modest protection against new entrants and
support its business profile.
Peer Analysis
AE has a more limited scale than its direct peers Arcelik A.S.
(B+/Negative) and Whirlpool Corp. (BB-/Negative). Its limited
geographic diversification, with 82% of sales derived from
Uzbekistan, compares with Arcelik's 45% locally, is another
contributing factor to the one-notch difference in their ratings.
Fitch views material exposure to emerging markets as a rating
limitation for these peers as it makes cash flow generation
susceptible to macroeconomic, political, and FX risks.
AE's forecast EBITDA and EBIT margins are at similar levels to
those of other diversified industrial companies, such as Ahlstrom
Oy (B/Stable), and ams-OSRAM AG (B/Positive), but are weaker than
Ammega Group B.V.'s (B-/Negative). AE's improved FCF margins remain
stronger than Ahlstrom's and ams', but are weaker than INNIO's,
supporting the one-notch rating difference.
AE's leverage is comparable with that of higher-rated peers, such
as INNIO, and is considerably lower than Ammega's and Ahlstrom's,
supporting the rating differences.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue to decline about 2% in 2026 before growing on average at
2.2% a year during 2027-2029
- EBITDA margin at low double-digit levels, supported by slower
cost inflation but prolonged pricing pressures
- Normalised working capital outflows until 2029
- Capex at an average 3% of sales over 2026-2029 on lower sales and
production refocus
- Dividend payments of about UZS94 billion in 2026 and on average
at UZS139 billion from 2027 onwards
- Regular refinancing of short-term debt
- No M&A from 2027
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb-', Lower), sector characteristics
('bb+', Moderate), market and competitive positioning ('bb-',
Moderate), diversification and asset quality ('b', Higher), company
operational characteristics ('bb-', Moderate), profitability
('bb+', Moderate), financial structure ('bb', Moderate), and
financial flexibility ('b-', Higher).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year
2027.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and have no impact.
The governance assessment of 'some deficiencies' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'b+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR: Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP,
resulting in an IDR of 'B'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA leverage above 3.0x on a sustained basis
- FCF margin below 1%
- EBITDA margin below 11%
- Deterioration in liquidity, resulting in an inability to
refinance short-term debt
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Sustained record of improved corporate governance, including
greater financial transparency
- Improved geographical diversification, with a materially lower
reliance on the domestic market
- FCF margin above 3% on a sustained basis
- EBITDA leverage below 2.0x on a sustained basis and improved
liquidity
Liquidity and Debt Structure
AE's liquidity is supported only by cash, with no committed credit
facilities, and does not fully cover 2026 short-term debt
maturities. This is mitigated by AE's long-standing relationships
with local banks, which allow it to refinance short-term debt
regularly. The low cash balance reflects AE's newly implemented
deleveraging strategy with a UZS587 billion repayment in 2025.
Liquidity is supported by positive FCF, which Fitch expects to
continue, driven by disciplined capex and better working capital
management.
AE's capital structure is concentrated with 86% of total debt
raised from a single source. AE significantly increased guarantees
provided to related parties in 2025.
Issuer Profile
AE is based in Uzbekistan (BB/Positive) and a leading domestic
producer of household appliances and electronics.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for AE.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Artel Electronics LLC LT IDR B Affirmed B
NAVOI MINING: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'BB' Long-Term IDR to Pos.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised two Uzbek natural resources companies'
Outlooks to Positive from Stable. Fitch has affirmed the Long-Term
Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of JSC Navoi Mining and Metallurgical
Company (NMMC) at 'BB' and JSC Navoiyazot at 'BB-'.
The rating actions follow the revision of the Outlook on
Uzbekistan's Long-Term IDR to Positive from Stable on June 3, 2026.
NMMC's Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) is 'bb+', but its IDR is
constrained by that of Uzbekistan in accordance with Fitch's
Government Related Entities (GRE) Rating Criteria and Parent and
Subsidiary Linkage (PSL) Rating Criteria.
Navoiyazot's SCP is 'b-'. Its Long-Term IDR is notched down by one
notch from the sovereign parent, Uzbekistan, under Fitch's GRE
Rating Criteria.
Key Rating Drivers
NMMC
Sovereign Constrains Rating: NMMC's rating is constrained by that
of Uzbekistan, given its close links with the sovereign, in
accordance with Fitch's GRE Rating Criteria and PSL Rating
Criteria. This reflects the influence the state exerts on the
company through strategic direction and control over the company's
cash flows through taxation and dividends. The company's GRE
support score is 30, out of a maximum 60.
Responsibility to Support: Decision making and oversight under the
GRE Rating Criteria is 'Strong', given state ownership through the
Ministry of Economy and Finance. Fitch assesses precedents of
support as 'Strong' based on the state's history of providing
assistance through debt provided by government entities. The
company has not received any equity injections over the past 10
years.
Incentive to Support: Fitch assesses NMMC's preservation of
government policy role as 'Strong' as it is responsible for more
than 80% of gold produced in the country and is the largest
taxpayer and a major employer in Uzbekistan. Fitch considers NMMC
to be a reference entity for the state, given its size and
international debt amount, underscoring its 'Strong' assessment of
contagion risk.
Navoiyazot
Top-Down Rating Approach: Navoiyazot's IDR is notched down by one
notch from the rating of Uzbekistan, its sole ultimate shareholder.
The GRE support score is 35 out of 60, which underlines 'Extremely
Likely' expectations for state support, according to its GRE Rating
criteria.
Responsibility to Support: Decision-making and oversight by the
state is 'Strong', given the government's ultimate 100% ownership
and its control over the company's strategy and investment
programme. The state also regulates certain product prices. Fitch
assesses precedents of support as 'Very Strong' as most funding is
either from state-owned banks or Ministry of Economy and Finance
and given its record of other forms of support including
debt-to-equity conversion and direct support loans.
Incentives to Support: Fitch assesses the preservation of
government policy role as 'Strong' as Navoiyazot mainly produces
fertilisers for the agriculture industry, which is key for the
local economy. The company also produces essential sodium cyanide
for Uzbek miners. Fitch views contagion risk as 'Strong',
reflecting that its default would likely disrupt access to, or
raise the cost of financing for the government or its other GREs.
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuers as follows, using its Corporate Rating
Tool (CRT) to produce the SCP:
NMMC
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bbb-', Lower), sector characteristics
('bb+', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('bbb', Higher),
diversification and asset quality ('bbb', Moderate), company
operational characteristics ('bbb-', Moderate), profitability
('bbb+', Moderate), financial structure ('a+', Moderate), and
financial flexibility ('bb+', Higher).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2025, 10% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year
2027, 30% for the forecast year 2028 and 20% for the forecast year
2029.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'b' results in an
adjustment of -2 notches.
The SCP is 'bb+'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR: Application of Fitch's PSL Rating
Criteria results in a consolidated approach.
Application of Fitch's GRE Rating Criteria results in a constrained
approach.
Navoiyazot
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('b-', Moderate), sector characteristics
('bb', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('b-', Higher),
diversification and asset quality ('b', Moderate), company
operational characteristics ('b', Moderate), profitability ('bb+',
Lower), financial structure ('b+', Moderate), and financial
flexibility ('b-', Higher).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the forecast year 2025,
10% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year 2027, 30%
for the forecast year 2028 and 20% for the forecast year 2029.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and have no impact.
The governance assessment of 'some deficiencies' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'b+' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b-'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Application of Fitch's GRE Rating Criteria results in a top-down -1
approach.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
NMMC
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
As the Outlook is Positive, a negative rating action is unlikely.
However, a negative rating action on the sovereign would be
replicated in NMMC
- EBITDA gross leverage above 2.0x on a sustained basis could be
negative for the SCP, but not necessarily for the IDR
- Sustained negative free cash flow due to dividends or large capex
or M&A activity could be negative for the SCP, but not necessarily
for the IDR
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Positive rating action on the sovereign
Navoiyazot
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
As the Outlook is Positive, a negative rating action is unlikely.
However, a revision of the sovereign Outlook to Stable would be
replicated to Navoiyazot
- Material weakening of links with and support from the state
- Unremedied liquidity issues
- EBITDA gross leverage above 5.5x on a sustained basis would be
negative for the SCP, but not necessarily for the IDR
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Positive rating action on the sovereign
- Strengthening ties with the state
- Improvement in the liquidity profile and EBITDA gross leverage
below 4.5x on a sustained basis
For Rating Sensitivities for Uzbekistan, see Rating Action
Commentary 'Fitch Revises Uzbekistan's Outlook to Positive; Affirms
at 'BB', dated 3 June 2026
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
NMMC's rating is constrained by Uzbekistan's rating.
Navoiyazot's rating is notched down by one notch from the
sovereign's.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for NMMC or Navoiyazot.
RATINGS
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
JSC Navoiyazot
LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
JSC Navoi Mining and
Metallurgical Company
LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
senior unsecured LT BB Affirmed RR4 BB
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
AGPTC HEALTHCARE: BDO LLP Appointed as Joint Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------
AGPTC Healthcare Limited was placed into administration in the
Court of Session, Court Number COS-P481 of 2026. James Stephen,
Kerry Bailey, and David Wallis, all of BDO LLP, were appointed as
Joint Administrators on June 3, 2026.
The company specialised in the wholesale of pharmaceutical goods.
Its registered office is Norwood, 3 Beech Road, Lenzie, Glasgow,
G66 4HN, changing to c/o BDO LLP, 2 Atlantic Square, 31 York
Street, Glasgow, G2 8NJ. Its principal trading address is 35
Meiklewood Road, Glasgow, G51 4GB.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
James Stephen
Kerry Bailey
David Wallis
BDO LLP
2 Atlantic Square
31 York Street
Glasgow G2 8NJ
Further information:
Contact: Alex Convery
Email: BRCMTNorthandScotland@bdo.co.uk
Tel: +44 (0)744 2798412
BDO LLP
ALDERLEY GROUP: MHA Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Alderley Group (2019) Limited was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Court Number
CR-2026-004508. Steven Illes and Andrew Duncan, both of MHA
Advisory Ltd, were appointed as Joint Administrators on June 9,
2026.
The company specialised in the development of building projects.
Its registered office and principal trading address is 50 Sloane
Avenue, Chelsea, London, SW3 3DD.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Steven Illes
Andrew Duncan
MHA Advisory Ltd
6th Floor
2 London Wall Place
London EC2Y 5AU
Further information:
Contact: James Holdsworth
Email: James.Holdsworth@mha.co.uk
MHA Advisory Ltd
AUBURN 15: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B+sf' Rating to Stable
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised Auburn 15 plc's (AU15) class E to F notes
to Stable Outlook from Negative. Fitch has affirmed the ratings of
AU15, alongside those of Oat Hill No.3 PLC (OH3).
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Auburn 15 plc
Class A1 NRR Loan Note LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class A1 XS2813764540 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class A2 XS2813764979 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class B XS2813765190 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
Class C XS2813765356 LT A-sf Affirmed A-sf
Class D XS2813765513 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
Class E XS2813765786 LT BB+sf Revision Outlook BB+sf
Class F XS2813765869 LT B+sf Revision Outlook B+sf
Oat Hill No.3 PLC
A XS2639038384 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B XS2639039192 LT AA+sf Affirmed AA+sf
C XS2639039275 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
Class A Loan LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
D XS2639039606 LT BBBsf Affirmed BBBsf
E XS2639065601 LT BBsf Affirmed BBsf
F XS2639066088 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
Transaction Summary
AU15 and OH3 are securitisations of buy-to-let (BTL) and
owner-occupied (OO) residential mortgage assets originated by
Capital Home Loans Limited (CHL) and secured against properties in
the UK. In both transactions, the underlying assets had been
previously securitised, with the collateral pools backing AU15
sourced from the Towd Point Mortgage Funding Auburn series (most
recently Auburn 12, 13 and 14), and the collateral pool backing OH3
sourced from Oat Hill No. 1 plc (OH1) and Oat Hill No. 2 plc (OH2).
Currently, Topaz acts as servicer for both transactions.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Recovery Rate Assumptions: The reported loss severity across both
transactions implies recovery rates (RR) below those assumed under
its criteria. The RR assumed in its analysis for both performing
and defaulted loans, which Fitch defines as loans that more than 12
months in arrears, can have a significant impact on model-implied
ratings (MIR), especially for junior notes. The class B to F note
ratings of OH3 have been affirmed below their respective MIRs to
avoid rating volatility, should realised RRs continue to be
persistently below those assumed under Fitch's criteria.
Both transactions have reported realised losses exceeding those
implied by the indexed value of the underlying properties. Fitch
has therefore applied borrower-level recovery rate caps to BTL
loans, in line with non-conforming loan treatment, at 85% at 'Bsf'
and 65% at 'AAAsf'.
Stable Asset Performance: Performance across both transactions has
remained broadly stable since the prior review. One-month-plus and
three-month-plus arrears have shown modest year-on-year improvement
in both pools, with the pace of arrear build-up stabilising. A
meaningful portion of delinquent BTL loans continues to be managed
through the receiver of rent mechanism, containing loss
realisation. Stable asset performance, alongside credit enhancement
available to the notes, underpin today's rating actions. This is
underscored in the revised Outlooks for the class E and F notes of
AU15.
Transaction Adjustment: Fitch applied its BTL-specific assumptions
to the BTL sub pools in both transactions, incorporating a 1.5x
transaction adjustment to the foreclosure frequency, reflecting
each transaction's historical performance where the proportion of
loans in three-month-plus arrears has consistently underperformed
Fitch's BTL index.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transactions' performance may be affected by adverse changes in
market conditions and economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated to increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults that could reduce the credit enhancement
available to the notes.
Fitch found that a 15% increase in the weighted average forclosure
frequency and a 15% decrease of the weighted average recovery rate
would imply the following:
AU15:
Class A : 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'AA-sf'
Class C: 'BB+sf'
Class D: 'B+sf'
Class E: 'B-sf'
Class F: distressed rating
OH3:
Class A: 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'AA+sf'
Class C: 'AA-sf'
Class D: 'BBB+sf'
Class E: 'BBBsf'
Class F: 'BB-sf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Improving market conditions, economic environment and credit
enhancement build-up could lead to positive rating actions. Fitch
found that a 15% decrease in the weighted average foreclosure
frequency and a 15% increase of the weighted average recovery rate
would imply the following:
AU15:
Class A: 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'AA+sf'
Class C: 'AA-sf'
Class D: 'Asf'
Class E: 'BBB+sf'
Class F: 'BB+sf'
OH3:
Class A: 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'AAAsf'
Class C: 'AAAsf'
Class D: 'AA+sf'
Class E: 'AA+sf'
Class F: 'A+sf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset
pools and the transactions. Fitch has not reviewed the results of
any third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
Prior to the transactions' closing, Fitch reviewed the results of a
third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information
and concluded that there were no findings that affected the rating
analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
AU15 plc has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Customer Welfare -
Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security due to a proportion of
interest-only loans in legacy owner-occupied mortgages, which has a
negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CURZON SQUARE: FRP Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------
Curzon Square Limited was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Court Number
CR-2026-004042. Philip Lewis Armstrong and Geoffrey Paul Rowley,
both of FRP Advisory Trading Limited, were appointed as Joint
Administrators on June 5, 2026.
The Company is a UK-registered private company that has
historically operated as a private family office and non-trading
company. Its registered office is 4 Curzon Square, London, W1J
7FW, in the process of being changed to FRP Advisory Trading
Limited, 110 Cannon Street, London, EC4N 6EU.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Philip Lewis Armstrong
Geoffrey Paul Rowley
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
110 Cannon Street
London EC4N 6EU
Further information:
Email: Joseph.Price@frpadvisory.com
Contact: Joseph Price
Tel: 020 3005 4000
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
EC3 BROKERS: Insurer Client Money Proof Bar Date Set for Sept. 18
-----------------------------------------------------------------
EC3 Brokers Limited entered into administration on November 25,
2022. Anthony John Wright and David Paul Hudson, both of FRP
Advisory Trading Limited, 2nd Floor, 110 Cannon Street, London,
ECA4N 6EU, are currently appointed as Joint Administrators of the
Company . Pursuant to the Order of Chief Insolvency and Companies
Court Judge Briggs dated April 14, 2026, a scheme of distribution
("Scheme of Distribution") was approved setting out how the Joint
Administrators will deal with the distribution of client monies
held by the Company at the time of its entry into administration
("Client Money Pool").
This notice relates to insurers only. The Joint Administrators will
issue a further notice in the future relevant to non-insurers.
To the extent that an insurer considers it is a client of the
Company and may have outstanding balances with the Company and is
entitled to a share of the Client Money Pool, they should submit an
insurer client money proof (and any supporting information and/or
documentation in respect of their claim) to the Joint
Administrators as soon as possible but by no later than September
18, 2026 ("Bar Date"), unless they have already done so.
The Joint Administrators will adjudicate upon insurer client money
proofs submitted, and will inform each insurer as to the
determination of any claim submitted. Subsequently, the Joint
Administrators (or any subsequently appointed liquidators) intend
to declare and make a distribution from the Client Money Pool in
accordance with the terms of the Scheme of Distribution, once all
relevant steps of the Scheme of Distribution have been undertaken.
To the extent an insurer submits their insurer client money proof
after the Bar Date, as set out in the Scheme of Distribution, it
will be at the discretion of the Joint Administrators whether to
adjudicate upon such claim (and there is no guarantee that such
adjudication will take place).
Contact Details
Insurer client money proofs (and any supporting information and/or
documentation in respect of your claim) must be delivered to the
Joint Administrators and can be sent by email to
EC3@frpadvisory.com.
A template client money proof, and a copy of the Scheme of
Distribution, is available on request by contacting the email
address above.
ENQUEST PLC: Fitch Puts 'B' LongTerm IDR on Watch Positive
----------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has placed EnQuest plc's Long-Term Issuer Default
Rating (IDR) of 'B' and senior unsecured rating of 'B+' on Rating
Watch Positive (RWP). The Recovery Rating is 'RR3'.
The RWP reflects the company's proposed acquisition of offshore
various assets in Malaysia, which it expects to close in 4Q26 and
the resulting improvements to the company's business profile.
The RWP also incorporates the company's higher production and
reserves, lower unit costs, and greater diversification, following
the acquisition, alongside its assumptions of a manageable debt
increase for its funding.
Fitch expects to resolve the RWP by upgrading EnQuest's ratings,
likely by no more than one notch, upon acquisition close, which may
take more than six months.
Key Rating Drivers
Acquisition Increases Scale: The proposed acquisition of certain
assets in Malaysia will materially increase EnQuest's scale in
reserves, production volumes, and EBITDA generation. The assets to
be acquired represent 103.5 million barrels of oil equivalent
(mmboe) of 1P reserves and 138mmboe of 2P reserves (on a working
interest basis), bringing the company's reserves to 230mmboe on a
1P basis and 301mmboe on a 2P basis. Fitch also assumes a large
increase in production volumes which, under its conservative rating
case, will average over 95 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per
day (mboe/d) through 2030, compared with pre-transaction levels of
40mboe/d-45mboe/d.
This will result in much higher through-the-cycle EBITDA
generation, which Fitch expects will average about USD700 million a
year for 2027-2030 under its rating case, though this will also
partly depend on the company's updated business plan once the
acquisition is finalised.
Pivot in Geographic Focus: The acquisition would meaningfully
diversify EnQuest's operations, which have derived most of its
reserves and revenue from the UK North Sea. Malaysia will account
for over 40% of EBITDA and about 57% of reserves after the
acquisition. The company's production mix will also become more
balanced towards gas versus its current liquids-weighted
composition.
Leverage to Remain Manageable: Its rating case, subject to the
company's updated business plan, expects strong cash generation in
2026 on the back of supportive prices and manageable acquisition
debt, including USD189 million of deferred consideration, to keep
leverage moderate. Fitch assumes funds from operations (FFO) gross
and net leverage will average 2.1x and 1.5x, respectively, during
2027-2030, subject to the mix of cash and debt it will use to fund
the acquisition. Nevertheless, Fitch expects the resulting leverage
to be manageable for the enlarged company.
Unit Costs to Improve: EnQuest has guided that the assets to be
acquired will have substantially lower opex of around USD10/boe on
average, bringing company-defined opex to about USD16/boe. This is
positive for the credit profile but is partly offset by its
assumption that the acquired assets will also have lower revenue
per barrel on a working interest basis than the existing portfolio,
due in part to their higher proportion of gas than liquids
production, as well as the commercial and fiscal terms applicable
to the assets.
Reserve Life Diluted: The assets to be acquired have 1P and 2P
reserve life of 4.9 years and 6.6 years, respectively. The
company's pre-acquisition 2025 reserve life was 7.6 years on a 1P
basis and 9.8 years on a 2P basis. The acquisition will therefore
reduce reserve life to around six years on a 1P basis and eight
years on a 2P basis. Fitch expects the company will therefore need
to manage the conversion of 2C resources in its portfolio into
reserves over the next four years to replenish reserves and
maintain its reserve life at comfortable levels.
Peer Analysis
Trident Energy, L.P. (B+/Stable), Talos Energy Inc. (B/Stable) and
W&T Offshore, Inc. (B-/Stable) have business models similar to
EnQuest's, focusing on acquiring and operating mature assets with
low decline rates, limited exposure to greenfield projects and
disciplined capital deployment. This supports stable production and
modest capex across the peer group. All three also maintain
manageable through-the-cycle leverage.
Talos is the largest among EnQuest's peers, with production of
about 95mboe/d, followed by Trident at about 70 mboe/d. Fitch
expects EnQuest's production following the acquisition to be
largely in line with that of Talos. W&T is smaller than EnQuest at
about 35mboe/d. Trident has the largest reserves, with 2P reserves
of 344mmboe, materially higher than Talos's 278mmboe and W&T's
242mmboe. EnQuest's 2P reserves of around 300mmboe after the
acquisition will be slightly lower than Trident's.
Unit economics differentiate the peer group. Trident and Talos have
unit operating cash costs of about USD20/bbl, slightly higher than
its assumption for EnQuest's post-transaction Fitch-defined cash
costs of USD19/bbl (including leases). However, EnQuest's revenue
per barrel (on a working interest basis) will be mildly lower
through the cycle due to a higher share of gas production and
commercial and fiscal terms governing the acquired assets. W&T is
weaker than the rest of the peer group at about USD30/bbl, although
it has lower capital intensity.
Given EnQuest's exposure to a higher-tax jurisdiction in the UK,
Fitch uses FFO-based metrics to compare it with peers in lower-tax
jurisdictions. Fitch expects EnQuest's through-the-cycle FFO gross
leverage to be about 2.0x. This is slightly higher than Talos' and
Trident's 1.5-1.8x, but well below W&T's at about 4x.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Oil and gas prices in line with Fitch's base case price deck
- Production averaging 40mboe/d-45mboe/d by end-2030 on a
pre-acquisition basis, increasing to over 95mboe/d on average after
the acquisition during 2027-2030
- Capex averaging USD100 million a year by end-2030 on a
pre-acquisition basis, increasing to USD150 million a year on
average after the acquisition during 2027-2030
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) before the
acquisition:
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb+', Lower), sector characteristics
('b+', Lower), market and competitive positioning ('b', Higher),
diversification and asset quality ('b', Moderate), company
operational characteristics ('b-', Moderate), profitability ('b-',
Higher), financial structure ('bbb-', Moderate), and financial
flexibility ('b+', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2025, 10% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year
2027, 30% for the forecast year 2028 and 20% for the forecast year
2029.
B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and have no impact.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'a' has no impact.
The SCP is 'b'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of 'B'.
Recovery Analysis
Its recovery analysis assumes that EnQuest would be reorganised as
a going concern (GC) in bankruptcy rather than liquidated.
EnQuest's GC EBITDA of USD225 million (before acquisition) reflects
its view on EBITDA generation from the group's assets, assuming a
severe downturn in oil prices followed by some recovery.
Fitch has applied an enterprise value (EV)/EBITDA multiple of 4x to
calculate a GC EV, which reflects the small scale of the company's
assets partially offset by their presence in the UK North Sea with
significant associated tax losses.
The contemplated senior unsecured notes are subordinated to the
USD400 million cash tranche of the company's reserve-based loan
(RBL). The notes rank pari passu with the GBP42 million working
capital facility and USD22 million vendor loan. The notes are
guaranteed on a senior subordinated basis by subsidiaries
contributing 90% of EnQuest's assets and 100% of its revenue.
For its recovery analysis, Fitch assumes that both the senior
secured RBL and the senior unsecured SVT working capital facility
are fully drawn.
Its analysis, after deducting 10% for administrative claims,
generated a waterfall-generated recovery computation in the 'RR3'
band for the senior unsecured bonds, indicating a 'B+' instrument
rating.
Following the acquisition, Fitch believes the impact on the
Recovery Rating for the unsecured bonds is unlikely from the
increase in RBL which will be upsized to USD700 million from the
current USD400 million level to fund the acquisition.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- As the ratings are on RWP, Fitch does not expect negative rating
action. However, if the acquisition does not materialise Fitch is
likely to affirm the 'B' IDR with a Stable Outlook.
Without the proposed acquisition
- Failure to maintain production above 40mboe/d on a sustained
basis would be negative for the rating.
- Fitch-defined FFO gross leverage above 3x or FFO net leverage
above 2x on a sustained basis
- Increase in liquidity and refinancing risk
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- The RWP would be resolved, likely with a one-notch upgrade of
EnQuest's ratings upon closing of the proposed acquisition
Without the proposed acquisition
- Increasing production to over 70mboe/d on a sustained basis while
maintaining adequate reserve life
- Fitch-defined FFO gross leverage below 2x or FFO net leverage
below 1x on a sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
EnQuest's liquidity at end-2025 comprised USD266 million of
Fitch-defined readily available cash and a fully undrawn USD400
million RBL maturing in 2031. This comfortably covers short-term
debt of about USD60 million. Following the successful refinancing
of its bonds during 2026, the company's next maturity is its USD675
million senior unsecured bond in 2031.
The proposed acquisition will be funded by an upsized RBL to USD700
million as well as cash on hand. Fitch believes this should leave
the company with adequate liquidity once it pays the USD554 million
upfront consideration. Subsequent maturities consisting of USD63
million deferred consideration a year for 2027-2029 could be
covered with internal resources. Drawdowns on the RBL may become
due earlier than 2031 as the facility begins to amortise in 2028.
Issuer Profile
EnQuest is an independent oil and gas exploration and production
company, primarily active in the UK North Sea and southeast Asia
(Malaysia, Vietnam and Brunei).
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The Climate.VS for 2035 for EnQuest is 53. While the Climate.VS is
high, it is comparable with the average for oil and gas producers.
This does not have an immediate affect on the ratings as the energy
transition is expected to occur over a very long timescale and
there continues to be a high level of uncertainty over its pace and
form. Any impact on the rating may differ from the illustrative
rating impact in the Climate.VS framework, reflecting the evolution
of its assessment of global risks and action the entity might take
to adapt to or mitigate the exposure.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
EnQuest PLC
LT IDR B Rating Watch On B
senior unsecured LT B+ Rating Watch On RR3 B+
FRONTIER MORTGAGE 2026-1: Fitch Assigns B-sf Rating on Cl. G Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Frontier Mortgage Funding 2026-1 plc's
notes final ratings
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Frontier Mortgage
Funding 2026-1 plc
Class A NRR Loan Note LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
Class A XS3386592029 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
Class B XS3386592375 LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
Class C XS3386592615 LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
Class D XS3386592888 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
Class E XS3386592961 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
Class F XS3386593183 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Class G XS3386593423 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Class X XS3386593779 LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
Class Z XS3386593696 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
VRR Loan Notes LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a static securitisation containing a mixed pool
of seasoned owner-occupied (OO) loans (91.9%) and buy-to-let (BTL)
loans (8.1%) originated by Santander UK (STUK) Plc. STUK remains
the legal title holder and the servicer of the assets.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Seasoned Portfolio, High Arrears: The pool consists predominantly
of OO mortgages originated by STUK and its predecessors, with a
weighted average (WA) seasoning of 8.5 years. Overall, the pool's
credit profile is in line with prime RMBS transactions, despite a
material share (26.7%) of pre-2014 originations; 94.5% of the
borrowers had verified income and limited adverse credit markers at
origination.
However, the pool was selected to include weaker loans, featuring
8.3% of restructured loans and 8.2% with more than three payments
in arrears, of which 0.7% of the pool balance has been reclassified
as defaulted. Fitch has modelled the pool using the prime matrix
with a 1.0x transaction adjustment.
Interest Rate Swap in Place: At end-March 2026, 83% of the loans
paid a fixed interest rate (reverting to a floating rate), while
the notes pay a SONIA-linked floating rate. The issuer entered into
a swap at closing to mitigate the interest rate risk arising from
the fixed-rate mortgages in the pool. The swap features a defined
notional balance that could lead to over-hedging in the structure
due to defaults or prepayments. This could reduce the available
revenue funds in decreasing interest rate scenarios and has been
factored into Fitch's analysis.
Alternative Prepayment Rates: Fixed-rate loans are subject to early
repayment charges. The point at which these loans are scheduled to
revert from a fixed to the relevant follow-on rate will likely
determine the time of prepayments. Fitch has therefore applied an
alternative high prepayment stress that tracks the fixed-rate
reversion profile of the pool. The prepayment rate applied is
capped at a maximum rate of 40% a year.
Product Switches, Limited Interest-Rate Risk: Product switches
granted by STUK for non-forbearance reasons will be repurchased
from the pool. Product switches to a fixed-rate loan for borrowers
in arrears (forbearance-related) will be retained in the pool. STUK
offers a fixed product for 12 months, based on a discount from its
standard variable rate. The issuer will enter into additional
hedging if the proportion of fixed-rate loans exceeds the existing
swap notional amount by 5% of the pool's balance, to mitigate the
risk of a material portion of unhedged fixed-rate loans in the
pool. Fitch has incorporated the exposure to unhedged
product-switches up to the allowed limit in its analysis.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and the economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated to increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults that could reduce the credit enhancement
available to the notes. In addition, unexpected declines in
recoveries could result in lower net proceeds, which may make some
notes susceptible to potential negative rating action depending on
the extent of the decline in recoveries.
Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing a transaction's
base-case foreclosure frequency (FF) and recovery rate (RR)
assumptions. Fitch found that a 15% increase in the WAFF and a 15%
decrease in the WARR indicated model-implied downgrades of one
notch for the class A notes, four notches for the class B, C and D
notes, five notches for the class X notes, and more than one
category for the E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing credit enhancement and
potential upgrades. Fitch tested an additional rating sensitivity
scenario by applying a decrease in the WAFF of 15% and an increase
in the WARR of 15%. This leads to model-implied upgrades of one
notch for the class B notes, two notches for the class D notes, and
five notches for the class E, F and G note. The class A, C and X
notes are at their highest achievable rating and cannot be
upgraded.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
HERMITAGE 2026: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Class E Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Hermitage 2026 PLC expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
documentation conforming to information already reviewed.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Hermitage 2026 PLC
Class A XS3375210963 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class B XS3375206342 LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class C XS3375206425 LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class D XS3375206698 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class E XS3375206771 LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class F XS3375210617 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Hermitage 2026 PLC will be the fourth securitisation of equipment
finance receivables originated by Haydock Finance Limited to SME
borrowers in the UK. Affiliates of funds managed by Apollo Global
Management, Inc. acquired a majority stake in Haydock in 2018.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Moderate Obligor Credit Risk: Fitch assumed a default base case of
7.5%, slightly lower than the 8% assumption made for the previous
deal, Hermitage 2025. The reduction largely reflects the longer
performance data history available for this issuance. Performance
has been stable despite a challenging operating environment for
SMEs. Haydock targets riskier segments than prime-only lenders,
resulting in higher interest rates and an increased focus on asset
recovery value. The base case reflects the subdued macroeconomic
environment for SMEs in the UK and Fitch's deteriorating sector
outlook.
Revolving Period Risk Addressed: The transaction will feature a
12-month revolving period from closing, slightly higher than the
nine-month revolving period in Hermitage 2025. The longer
transaction horizon heightens the risk of changes in origination
standards and the risk of an economic downturn. Fitch has set the
'AAA' default multiple at 4.25x, resulting in an 'AAA' default rate
of 32%.
Pro Rata Increases Risk: The class A to E notes and the unrated
class F notes will amortise pro rata with one another until the
breach of certain triggers. In Fitch's view, this increases tail
risk and makes the ratings more sensitive to default timing and
prepayment rates. Fitch analysed the transaction's triggers in its
cash flow modelling and believe they are adequate to mitigate the
risk at the assigned ratings.
Limited Portfolio Concentration: Obligor concentrations are higher
than in a typical EMEA ABS pool due to the commercial nature of the
borrowers and the presence of some high value assets. However, the
pool is still sufficiently granular for Fitch's Consumer ABS Rating
Criteria approach to apply. The largest obligor comprises 0.9% of
the total pool balance. There is wide diversification across
industries, asset types and geographies.
Heterogenous Equipment Collateral: The loans finance many asset
types, including heavy goods vehicles, light commercial vehicles,
"prestige" vehicles, industrial machinery and buses. Haydock
focuses on business-critical, high recovery and easily movable
assets. This supports strong recoveries. Fitch assigned a recovery
base case of 60%. Fitch also applied a median 'AAA' recovery
haircut of 50%. The secured nature of recoveries is a strength but
there is risk of volatility stemming from exposure to larger, more
specialised and higher-value assets.
Servicing Continuity Risk Addressed: The credit risk of the
obligors and the heterogeneity of the financed equipment increase
the complexity of finding replacement servicers. However, Fitch
views the risk as adequately mitigated by the presence of a back-up
servicer and the availability of liquidity to preserve timely
payments on the notes during the transition period.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Rating sensitivity to increased default rates:
Increase default rate by 10% / 25% / 50%
Class A: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf'
Class B: 'AA+sf' / 'AA-sf' / 'A+sf'
Class C: 'Asf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBBsf'
Class D: 'BBBsf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BB+sf'
Class E: 'BB+sf' / 'BB+sf' / 'BBsf'
Rating sensitivity to reduced recovery rates:
Reduce recovery rate by 10% / 25% / 50%
Class A: 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf' / 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'AA+sf' / 'AAsf' / 'AA-sf'
Class C: 'A-sf' / 'BBB+sf' / 'BBBsf'
Class D: 'BBBsf' / 'BBB-sf' / 'BBsf'
Class E: 'BB+sf' / 'BBsf' / 'Bsf'
Rating sensitivity to increased default rates and reduced recovery
rates:
Increase default rate and reduce recovery rate each by 10% / 25% /
50%
Class A: 'AAAsf' / 'AA+sf' / 'A+sf'
Class B: 'AAsf' / 'A+sf' / 'BBB+sf'
Class C: 'A-sf' / 'BBBsf' / 'BBsf'
Class D: 'BBB-sf' / 'BBsf' / 'CCCsf'
Class E: 'BBsf' / 'B+sf' / 'NRsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Rating sensitivity to reduced default rates and increased recovery
rates:
Reduce default rate and increase recovery rate each by 10%
Class B: 'AAAsf'
Class C: 'A+sf'
Class D: 'A-sf'
Class E: 'BBBsf'
The class A notes are already rated at 'AAAsf' and therefore cannot
be upgraded.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction and conducted a review of origination files as
part of its ongoing monitoring. Fitch has not reviewed the results
of any third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information.
Prior to the transaction closing, Fitch will review the results of
a third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio
information.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
J K ROOFING: KRE (North) Appointed as Joint Administrators
----------------------------------------------------------
J K Roofing Specialist Ltd was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Business and Property Court in Newcastle,
Company & Insolvency List, Court Number 000065 of 2026. Paul
Matthew Kings and Lynn Marshall, both of KRE (North) Limited, were
appointed as Joint Administrators on June 4, 2026.
The company specialised as a roofing contractor.
Its registered office and principal trading address is Unit 10,
Swales Industrial Estate, Howdon Lane, Wallsend, NE28 0BE.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Paul Matthew Kings
Lynn Marshall
KRE (North) Limited
7-8 Delta Bank Road
Gateshead
NE11 9DJ
Further information:
Contact: Lynn Marshall
Email: lynn.marshall@krecr.co.uk
Tel: 0191 406 7364
KRE (North) Limited
LPPC ENVIRONMENTAL: BTG Begbies Appointed as Administrator
----------------------------------------------------------
LPPC Environmental Ltd was placed into administration on June 5,
2026. Kevin Mapstone of BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP was
appointed as Administrator.
The company specialised in environmental consulting activities.
Its registered office is 2 Bothwell Street, Glasgow, G2 6LU
(formerly Office 205 - Neospace Neohouse, Riverside Drive,
Aberdeen, Aberdeen, AB11 7LH). Its principal trading address is
Neo Space, Neo House, Riverside Drive, Aberdeen, Aberdeenshire,
AB11 7LH.
The Administrator can be contacted at:
Kevin Mapstone
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
2 Bothwell Street
Glasgow G2 6LU
Further information:
Contact: Stanley Smith
Email: stanley.smith@btguk.com
Tel: 0141 222 2230
Email: glasgow@btguk.com
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
MACKOY LIMITED: Quantuma Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Mackoy Limited, formerly known as Mackoy Construction Limited, was
placed into administration in the High Court of Justice, Business
and Property Courts of England and Wales, Court Number
CR-2026-003236. Kelly Mitchell and Alyson Richards, both of
Quantuma Advisory Limited, were appointed as Joint Administrators
on June 9, 2026.
The company specialised in the construction of commercial
buildings.
Its registered office is Unit 10 Monks Brook Industrial Park,
School Close, Chandlers Ford, Eastleigh, SO53 4RA, and is in the
process of being changed to Office D, Beresford House, Town Quay,
Southampton, SO14 2AQ.
Its principal trading address is Unit 10 Monks Brook Industrial
Park, School Close, Chandlers Ford, Eastleigh, SO53 4RA.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Kelly Mitchell
Alyson Richards
Quantuma Advisory Limited
Office D, Beresford House
Town Quay, Southampton SO14 2AQ
Further information:
Contact: Laura Stevens
Email: Laura.Stevens@quantuma.com
Tel: 02380 821 865
Quantuma Advisory Limited
NEW FARM: Forvis Mazars Appointed as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------
New Farm Produce Limited was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts in Birmingham,
Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), Court Number CR-2026-283.
Scott Christian Bevan and Simon David Chandler, both of Forvis
Mazars LLP, were appointed as Joint Administrators on June 8,
2026.
The company specialised in the growing of pome fruits and stone
fruits. Its registered office is c/o Forvis Mazars LLP, 30 Old
Bailey, London, EC4M 7AU. Its principal trading address is Park
View Farm, Elmhurst, Lichfield, WS13 8EX.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Scott Christian Bevan
Simon David Chandler
Forvis Mazars LLP
Three Chamberlain Square
Birmingham B3 3AX
Further information:
Contact: Alexander Mole
Email: Alexander.Mole@mazars.co.uk
Forvis Mazars LLP
OBAN CARDS 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+sf' Final Rating on Cl. E Debt
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Oban Cards 2026-1 plc final ratings and
affirmed Oban's existing series.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Oban Cards 2026-1 plc
2026-1 Class A LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
2026-1 Class B LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
2026-1 Class C LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
2026-1 Class D LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
2026-1 Class E LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
2026-1 Class Z LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Oban Cards 2021-1 plc
2021-1 Class A
XS2274099832 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a securitisation of a revolving portfolio of
non-prime UK credit card receivables originated by Vanquis Bank
Limited (Vanquis; BB-/Positive), wholly owned by Vanquis Banking
Group plc (BB-/Positive). Vanquis is one of the leading non-prime
card lenders in the UK and is rated in line with Vanquis Banking
Group because of its high integration as the group's main operating
company.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Asset Assumptions Reflect Stable Data: Fitch determined asset
assumptions using historical data over more than a decade. As is
typical in the non-prime credit card sector, the portfolio has
historically shown low payment rates and high yield. Fitch applied
a steady-state monthly payment rate of 12% with a 45% stress at
'AAAsf', and a steady-state yield of 30% with a 40% stress at
'AAAsf'. The charge-off assumption of 18% reflects fairly stable
historical charge offs, while the stressed charge-off multiple of
3.5x considers the fairly high absolute level of the steady-state
and limited volatility in the historical data.
Fitch assumed a steady-state purchase rate of 100%, which was
stressed by 90% at 'AAAsf' that was gradually reduced to 40% at
'Bsf'. Vanquis is a rated bank and its stress assumptions reflect
its assessment of their non-prime portfolio.
Rated Originator and Servicer: Fitch assesses Vanquis's credit
profile to be in line with Vanquis Banking Group's, based on its
role as the group's main operating subsidiary. Vanquis acts in
several capacities to this trust, most prominently as originator,
servicer and cash manager to the securitisation. The reliance on
Vanquis is mitigated by the ease in the transferability of
operations to alternative providers and an amortising liquidity
reserve. Fitch also considers that Vanquis, being a regulated bank,
is subject to regulation that will provide for an orderly wind-down
rather than a sudden disruption in operations upon insolvency.
Originator and Servicer Linkage: As in all credit card
transactions, the trust's performance is closely linked to the
originator and servicer due to the revolving nature of the
underlying assets and will be influenced by its monitoring and
risk-management procedures. Fitch considers Vanquis's policies and
procedures to be in line with industry standards and adequate to
support the transaction's performance.
Unhedged Structure: The credit cards carry a fixed monthly interest
rate whereas the notes pay SONIA plus a spread. This mismatch is
not hedged but the risk is mitigated by the ability of Vanquis to
revise interest rates. The credit card portfolio was successfully
repriced when European rates rose in 2022. The remaining risk is
reflected in its pricing spread assumption.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Rating sensitivity to increased charge-off rate:
Increase steady state by 25%/50%/75%:
Class A Notes: 'AA+sf'/'AAsf'/'AA-sf'
Class B Notes: 'AA-sf'/'A+sf'/'Asf'
Class C Notes: 'Asf'/'A-sf'/'BBBsf'
Class D Notes: 'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'
Class E Notes: 'BB-sf'/'Bsf'/'NR'
Rating sensitivity to reduced monthly payment rate (MPR):
Reduce steady state by 15% /25%/35%:
Class A Notes: 'AA+sf'/'AAsf'/'AA-sf'
Class B Notes: 'AA-sf'/'A+sf'/'Asf'
Class C Notes: 'Asf'/'A-sf'/'BBB+sf'
Class D Notes: 'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'
Class E Notes: 'BBsf'/'BB-sf'/'BB-sf'
Rating sensitivity to reduced purchase rate:
Reduce steady state by 50%/75%/100%:
Class A Notes: 'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'
Class B Notes: 'AAsf'/'AAsf'/'AAsf'
Class C Notes: 'A+sf'/'A+sf'/'Asf'
Class D Notes: 'BBBsf'/'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'
Class E Notes: 'BBsf'/'BBsf'/'BB-sf'
Rating sensitivity to reduced yield:
Reduce steady state by 15%/25%/35% (with unchanged pricing spread
assumptions):
Class A Notes: 'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'/'AAAsf'
Class B Notes: 'AA+sf'/'AAsf'/'AAsf'
Class C Notes: 'A+sf'/'A+sf'/'Asf'
Class D Notes: 'BBBsf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB+sf'
Class E Notes: 'BB-sf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf'
Rating sensitivity to increased charge-off rate and reduced MPR:
Increase steady-state charge-offs by 25%/50%/75% and reduce
steady-state MPR by 15%/25%/35%:
Class A Notes: 'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'
Class B Notes: 'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBB-sf'
Class C Notes: 'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'
Class D Notes: 'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'Bsf'
Class E Notes: 'B+sf'/'NR'/'NR'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Rating sensitivity to decreased charge-off rate:
Decrease steady state by 25%:
Class A Notes: 'AAAsf'
Class B Notes: 'AAAsf'
Class C Notes: 'AAsf'
Class D Notes: 'Asf'
Class E Notes: 'BBBsf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch sought to receive a third-party assessment conducted on the
asset portfolio information, but it was unavailable for this
transaction.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
PEGASUS WAREHOUSING: Leonard Curtis Appointed as Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------------
Pegasus Warehousing & Fulfilment Ltd was placed into administration
in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts in
Manchester, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Court Number
CR-2026-MAN-000852. Mike Dillon and Andrew Knowles, both of
Leonard Curtis, were appointed as Joint Administrators on June 3,
2026.
The company specialised in the operation of warehousing and storage
facilities for land transport. Its registered office is Orme
Business Centre, Greenacres Road, Lees, Oldham, Lancashire, OL4
3NS.
The Joint Administrators can be contacted at:
Mike Dillon
Andrew Knowles
Leonard Curtis
Riverside House
Irwell Street
Manchester M3 5EN
Further information:
Email: recovery@leonardcurtis.co.uk
Leonard Curtis
SMALL BUSINESS 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating on Class C Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Small Business Origination Loan Trust
2026-1 DAC's notes final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Small Business
Origination Loan
Trust 2026-1 DAC
A-Loan LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
B XS3352063559 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
C XS3352064102 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
R XS3352064441 LT NRsf New Rating
Z XS3352064284 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a true-sale securitisation of a GBP353.32
million static pool of UK mostly unsecured SME loans, originated
through the marketplace lending platform of Funding Circle Ltd (FC,
servicer) and sold by Glencar Investments 49 DAC. This is the
fourth issuance from this platform to be rated by Fitch, and the
10th overall.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
SME Borrower Default Probability: Fitch analysed the default risk
of the underlying SME portfolio based on FC's static default
vintage data, which is disclosed for each internal risk band
separately. For the securitised portfolio, including the 'A+' to
'D' risk bands, Fitch determined an average one-year probability of
default at close to 5.0%.
Unsecured SME Loans: The transaction's underlying loans are backed
by personal guarantees granted by the owners of the SME borrowers,
except for a minor portion of the portfolio (GBP6.6 million) that
benefits from a debenture granted by the SME borrowers themselves.
Fitch analysed the static recovery vintage data and determined an
average recovery rate of close to 35%, expected to be uniformly
distributed over a five-year period after a borrower default.
Waterfall Eden Master Fund, Ltd may also purchase all the defaulted
loans at a price of no less than 36.5% of their par amount a
maximum of twice throughout the transaction.
Granular Portfolio: The collateral portfolio features low single
obligor concentration levels, with the top 10 obligors accounting
for 2.2% of the portfolio balance. However, industry concentration
is more in line with other SME portfolios. The largest three
industries accounting for 44.6% of the portfolio balance, led by
property and construction (19.9%), followed by manufacturing and
engineering (12.6%) and professional and business support (12.1%).
Sensitivity to Pro Rata Period: The transaction will feature pro
rata amortisation of the notes at closing until the breach of a
sequential-pay trigger. The pro rata amortisation is based on the
note balance net of the corresponding principal deficiency ledger
but also includes the subordinated notes. Pro rata structures
generally leak proceeds to subordinated notes and therefore are at
a higher risk than sequential amortisation. Their ratings are more
sensitive to the back-loaded default timing assumption as it
determines the timing of the continued leakage of principal to
subordinated notes.
Consistent with the historical performance default data provided by
FC for its loan book and previous securitisations, Fitch applied
some defaults during the first year of the transaction's life under
its back-loaded default timing assumption. This approach is in line
with Fitch's criteria for portfolios of consumer loans with similar
granularity and tenor.
Model-Implied Rating Deviation: The class A to C notes are rated
one notch above their model-implied ratings. This deviation
reflects the impact of modelling higher fees, assuming that the
back-up servicer takes over from day one after closing for the full
life of the transaction as well as modelling high prepayments and
high defaults. Fitch deems this to be a highly remote scenario.
Under the assumption that the original servicer remains in place
for the life of the transaction, the model-implied ratings would
not be lower than the assigned ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Weakening asset performance is strongly correlated to increasing
levels of delinquencies and defaults that could reduce credit
enhancement available to the notes. Additionally, unanticipated
declines in recoveries could also result in lower net proceeds,
which may make certain notes susceptible to negative rating action,
depending on the extent of the decline in those recoveries.
An increase of the rating default rate (RDR) by 25% of the mean
default rate and a 25% decrease of the rating recovery rate (RRR)
at all rating levels would lead to downgrades of up to three
notches for the notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
After the end of the pro-rata period, upgrades may occur on
better-than-initially expected asset performance, leading to higher
credit enhancement and excess spread available to cover losses in
the remaining portfolio.
A reduction of the RDR by 25% of the mean default rate and a 25%
increase of the RRR at all rating levels would lead to upgrades of
up to one notch for the notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
TENETCONNECT SERVICES: Appoints Interpath as Joint Liquidators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Robert Thomas Spence and Joshua James Dwyer of Interpath Advisory
were appointed Joint Liquidators of TenetConnect Services Limited
and TenetConnect Limited on June 1, 2026.
For further details contact Interpath Advisory at
tenet.customers@interpath.com or
tenet.employees@interpath.com or tenet.creditors@interpath.com
The Joint Liquidators can be reached at:
Interpath Ltd.
10 Fleet Place
London, EC4M 7RB
TRAVIS PERKINS: Fitch Affirms & Then Withdraws 'BB+' LongTerm IDR
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Travis Perkins Plc's Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB+' with a Stable Outlook. It has
simultaneously withdrawn the ratings.
The affirmation and Stable Outlook reflect Travis Perkins' strong
cash-preservation measures, which have helped offset weaker EBITDA
margins in a challenging trading environment and support a strong
financial structure and flexibility consistent with the rating.
Fitch expects EBITDA margins to decline further in 2026 to 3.7%,
before rising in 2027-2029. However, Fitch expects free cash flow
(FCF) to remain weak for the rating, and net leverage to remain
within its rating sensitivities at 1.8x-2.2x over 2026-2029.
Fitch has chosen to withdraw Travis Perkin's ratings for commercial
reasons and will no longer provide ratings or analytical coverage
for the company.
Key Rating Drivers
Market Remains Challenging: Travis Perkins' 2025 revenue and EBITDA
were below its expectations, with Fitch-adjusted EBITDA of about
GBP173 million versus its expectation of GBP216 million. Weak
consumer spending, low housebuilding activity and commodity price
deflation reduced earnings, while the Fitch-adjusted EBITDA margin
deteriorated to 3.8%, from 4.5% in 2024. Fitch expects trading
conditions to remain difficult in the near term as activity in the
group's core markets remains weak. Fitch expects conditions to
improve in 2027, supported by a recovery in homebuilding activity.
Improving Leverage: Fitch expects EBITDAR net leverage to reduce to
2.2x at end-2026, before gradually improving through 2029. The
deleveraging path is driven mainly by higher cash balances and cash
preservation measures, with contribution from EBITDA margin gains
from 2027. Fitch forecasts EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage to weaken
further to 2.0x in 2026 before gradually improving to 2.5x by
2029.
Cash Flow Management: Travis Perkins has a record of effective
cash-saving measures. Its forecast includes low base capex, in line
with company guidance, continued working capital improvement
through inventory management, and low dividends in 2026. This
supports neutral-to-positive free cash flow (FCF) throughout
2026-2029.
Toolstation Improving: Toolstation UK continues to improve
profitability and perform well in a difficult market, which Fitch
expects to continue in 2026, supported by further price inflation
and new store openings. It continues to gain share as stores
mature, reinforcing its position as the number two supplier in the
UK market. Toolstation Benelux remains challenged with
profitability. It showed some improvement in 2025, but further
operational disruption limited progress. Fitch expects further
restructuring in Toolstation Benelux to lead to additional related
costs.
Market Leader in UK: Travis Perkins is the UK's largest distributor
of building materials to the building, construction and
home-improvement markets, with about 1,500 stores. It is firmly
positioned to benefit from a market recovery. Its scale and
market-leading position provide economies-of-scale advantages over
its direct competitors, which are mostly smaller independent
outlets.
Geographic Concentration: Travis Perkins' business is heavily
concentrated in the UK, unlike its more diversified peers such as
Winterfell Financing S.a.r.l., which has exposure to several
countries. The lack of geographical diversification is a rating
constraint. Its announced exit from France will further reduce its
diversification.
Cyclical Business: Travis Perkins is exposed to the cyclical UK
construction and housebuilding sectors, a weakness that has been
reflected in the almost 60% decline in EBITDA margins between 2021
and 2025. However, Fitch believes that underlying demand drivers
remain robust, amid an ageing and scarce UK housing stock. The
government's various sustainability targets should also drive
increased investment in housing, including in energy efficiency.
This should support the recovery of trading performance over time.
Peer Analysis
Travis Perkins' forecast EBITDA margin (3.7%-4.6% over 2026-2028)
compares favourably with that of Nordic buildings materials
distributor, Winterfell Financing S.a.r.l. (Stark, B-/Rating Watch
Negative), due to the latter's greater focus on heavy building
materials.
Quimper AB (B+/Stable), a Nordic distributor of installation
products, tools and suppliers, is similar in size and has a higher
EBITDA margin of over 9%. Quimper also demonstrates stronger
underlying FCF generation than Travis Perkins. However, its EBITDA
leverage is more than 2.0x higher than Travis Perkins', which
alongside a more aggressive financial policy, explains the
three-notch difference between the ratings.
DIY retailer Kingfisher plc's (BBB/Stable) business profile is
supported by greater scale, geographical diversification, higher
margin and lower leverage, which leads to its rating being two
notches higher than Travis Perkins'.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue to grow 1.1% in 2026 amid continued challenging market
conditions and minimal volumes growth, followed by low single-digit
growth 2027-2029, driven by a gradual recovery in repair,
maintenance, and improvement volumes and construction activity
- Fitch-defined EBITDA margin to remain under pressure at 3.7% in
2026, before gradually recovering to 5% by 2029
- Working capital inflow of 1.1% of revenue in 2026, followed by an
outflow at an average of 0.3% in 2027-2029
- Capex to normalise at 1.7% of revenue in 2026-2029
- Bolt-on M&A at GBP10 million a year during 2026-2029
- Dividend payments GBP30 million in 2026, followed by GBP35
million-GBP60 million in 2027-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): management ('bb+', Lower), sector characteristics
('bb', Moderate), market and competitive positioning ('bbb-',
Lower), diversification and asset quality ('b+', Moderate), company
operational characteristics ('bb-', Moderate), profitability ('b',
Moderate), financial structure ('bbb+', Higher), and financial
flexibility ('bb', Moderate).
The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 25% weight for the forecast year 2026,
25% for the forecast year 2027, 25% for the forecast year 2028 and
25% for the forecast year 2029.
The governance assessment of 'good' has no impact.
The operating environment assessment of 'aa-' has no impact.
The SCP is 'bb+'.
To derive the Long-Term IDR:
Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting in an IDR of
'BB+'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Not applicable
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Fitch expects Travis Perkins' year-end cash balances to remain at
GBP380 million-420 million in 2026-2029, after restricting GBP50
million for working-capital seasonality.
Travis Perkins' Fitch-adjusted cash on balance sheet of GBP377
million is supported by its GBP375 million fully undrawn revolving
credit facility at end-2025, which matures in November 2028.
At end-2025, Travis Perkins reported gross debt of GBP425 million,
which included GBP350 million US private placement notes (multiple
tranches maturing between 2028 and 2037), and a bilateral loan of
GBP75 million maturing in November 2027.
Issuer Profile
Travis Perkins is the UK's largest distributor of building
materials to the building, construction and home improvement
markets. It serves a full range of building material customers in
the UK from around 1,426 branches.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Travis Perkins.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Following the rating withdrawal, Fitch will no longer provide ESG
scores for Travis Perkins.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Travis Perkins Plc LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
LT IDR WD Withdrawn
ST IDR B Affirmed B
ST IDR WD Withdrawn
===============
X X X X X X X X
===============
[] BOOK REVIEW: Black Monday - The Stock Market Catastrophe
-----------------------------------------------------------
Author: Tim Metz
Publisher: Beard Books
Softcover: 268 pages
List Price: $34.95
Order your personal copy at
http://amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/1587982145/internetbankrupt
Metz uses his 23-year career as a journalist with the "Wall Street
Journal" to good effect in this account of the worst stock-market
crash since 1929. Chapters and sections within them begin by
noting date and location in the style of newspaper reports--e. g.,
"October 19, 1987 - New York Stock Exchange, chairman's office,
10:45 A.M."; "August 25, 1987 - Storefront broker's office near
Canal Street, 11:30A.M." This has the effect of dramatizing the
collapse, events surrounding it, and varied individuals playing key
roles in trying to deal with it and affected by it. A hotel in
Paris, a roadway leading to the Caracas, Venezuela airport, the
White House, and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are other
locations. Like a camera panning from one scene to the next,
Metz's style keeps the drama high and the story moving. Even
though the generalities of this historic stock-market event are
known, one is drawn into Metz's telling by its inside-story
perspective and to find out how the main characters act as the
event unfolds and how things turn out for them in the end.
Two of these main characters are John Phelan, chairman of the New
York Stock Exchange at the time, and Donny Stone, an NYSE trading
specialist. The book opens with Phelan in his chairman's office in
a meeting with the heads of Salomon Brothers, Merrill Lynch,
Goldman Sachs, and other top financial and securities firms. They
are all extremely concerned about the 235-point stock-market
decline of the preceding week. And they have different thoughts on
its causes, import, and appropriate responses to it. After seeing
the havoc in the stock market of the previous week, Donny Stone
cuts short his vacation in Florida to hurry back to New York to
take care of his business as best he can in the circumstances which
are having repercussions not only at the NYSE, but also in
Washington, D. C., across America, and around the world.
The long-term crippling consequences that Wall Street's top leaders
and high government officials feared the worse were avoided by a
combination of enlightened quick remedies, lowering of fears,
expertise and professionalism among numerous individuals in
positions high and low, and opportunism among many who saw new
opportunities in the havoc. While the worst consequences of the
sudden, unexpected, chaotic collapse were avoided and normal order
and predictability returned to the financial markets before long,
"Black Monday" brought essential changes to the NYSE and the
business of trading. Most of the public were not aware of these
changes as normal operations returned over the following weeks. But
they were unmistakable to insiders; and many individuals connected
to Wall Street for decades were hurt by the changes. At Metz's
paper, the "Wall Street Journal," some staff were let go because of
the reduction in advertising and circulation following the crash.
But apart from countless individuals who lost their jobs from the
dislocations caused by the crash, the business of trading had a sea
change.
"Black Monday" brought to light the degree to which traders and
trading had come to dominate the modern-day stock market. Of
course, trading in stocks had always been the NYSE's reason for
being. But as the market crash evidenced, trading had taken on a
life of its own. Trading calculations, as seen especially in risk
arbitrage, had become so sophisticated and easy to execute that
market weaknesses being exploited were publicized widely and
quickly. Along with this, the volume of stocks traded and the
speed with which financial transactions occurred with advanced
communications made the market more mercurial and unmanageable than
it had ever been. The very image of trading had been changed
within the financial community. As William Simon, the former
Secretary of the Treasury, noted, when he first entered investment
banking, "trading was not a respectable profession." But by the
time of the 1987 disaster and even more so in the years after it,
"kids out of B-school are dying to get to the trading desk."
Trading has become a high-profile, quasi-glamorous subject in the
daily financial and business media. And to the graduates of
business schools, it is seen as the field where the most money can
be made most quickly and easily.
Tim Metz captures all of the dimensions and human drama of this
watershed event in the history of the New York Stock Exchange. He
closes with the Cassandra-like note that instead of trying to
control the astonishingly high levels of trading in short periods
of time which was a major cause of Black Monday, the NYSE with the
guidance and support of the Security Exchange Commission (SEC)
increased the capacity for trading.
After more than two decades with "The Wall Street Journal," Tim
Metz became the head of his own firm in the areas of financial
communications and media relations strategy and execution.
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless Hills,
Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C., USA.
Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2026. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
publication in any form (including e-mail forwarding, electronic
re-mailing and photocopying) is strictly prohibited without prior
written permission of the publishers.
Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to
be reliable, but is not guaranteed.
The TCR Europe subscription rate is US$775 per half-year,
delivered via e-mail. Additional e-mail subscriptions for
members of the same firm for the term of the initial subscription
or balance thereof are US$25 each. For subscription information,
contact Peter Chapman at 215-945-7000.
* * * End of Transmission * * *