260430.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Thursday, April 30, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 86
Headlines
F R A N C E
EGIS SA: S&P Assigns 'BB-' LT Issuer Credit Rating, Outlook Stable
LABORATOIRE EIMER: S&P Assigns 'B' ICR on Proposed Refinancing
G E R M A N Y
EPHIOS SUBCO 3: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
TUI CRUISES: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'BB-' ICR
I R E L A N D
CARLYLE 2015-2: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B-sf' Rating to Negative
I T A L Y
RENO DE MEDICI: Fitch Hikes Long-Term IDR to 'CC'
WEBUILD SPA: S&P Assigns 'BB+' Rating to Proposed Unsecured Notes
K A Z A K H S T A N
FORTELEASING JSC: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
JET FINANCE: Fitch Affirms 'B-' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Now Pos.
QAZAQGAZ NC: S&P Assigns 'BB+' Rating to New Senior Unsecured Notes
TAS FINANCE: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
TECHNOLEASING LLC: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
TRANSTELECOM CO: S&P Upgrades ICR to 'B+' on Low Leverage
L U X E M B O U R G
4FINANCE HOLDING: Fitch Affirms 'B' IDR, Alters Outlook to Positive
N E T H E R L A N D S
DUTCH MORTGAGE 2026-1: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating to X-Dfrd Notes
R U S S I A
ELDIK BANK: Fitch Puts 'B' Final Rating to Sr. Unsecured Eurobond
S P A I N
BBVA RMBS 3: Fitch Affirms 'Csf' Rating on Class C Notes
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
8 ALBERT CT: FTI Consulting Appointed as Joint Administrators
ATLAS FUNDING 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating to Class X2 Notes
CLOCK BIO: FRP Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
E-CARAT UK 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'B+(EXP)sf' Rating to Cl. F Notes
EMBANKMENT (TS): BTG Begbies, FRP Named as Joint Administrators
IVERNA COURT: BTG Begbies, FRP Advisory Appointed as Administrators
KINGSWAY SLG: Leonard Curtis Appointed as Joint Administrators
NEW FORTRESS: Advances UK Restructuring with 97% Creditor Support
QG PLACE (FLAT A): BTG Begbies, FRP Named as Joint Administrators
TULLOW OIL: S&P Cuts ICR to 'D' on Completion of Debt Restructuring
- - - - -
===========
F R A N C E
===========
EGIS SA: S&P Assigns 'BB-' LT Issuer Credit Rating, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB-' long-term issuer credit
rating to France-headquartered Egis S.A., as well as its 'BB-'
issue rating to Egis' proposed EUR400 million senior unsecured
notes, to which we also assigned a '3' recovery rating.
The stable outlook reflects S&P's view that Egis will continue to
generate robust organic growth and follow a prudent capital
allocation strategy, with forecast adjusted EBITDA margin of about
11%, adjusted leverage below 5.0x, and funds from operations (FFO)
to debt of 12%-16% in 2026-2027.
Egis S.A. is a leading international services provider specialized
in architecture, consulting, engineering, and mobility; in 2025, it
generated about EUR2.6 billion in revenue, pro forma its
acquisitions during the year, and about EUR255 million in S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted pro forma EBITDA, driven by its business
expansion, particularly in North America.
The company benefits from positive underlying megatrends in the
infrastructure market, a solid reputation, an asset-light business
model, well-diversified end markets, and a track record of a
resilient and strong EBITDA margin; this is partly offset by its
relatively moderate size and narrower client base versus peers.
Egis' operations are supported by its expertise and solid
reputation. S&P expects Egis to soon rank among the top 10
engineering firms in terms of sales, thanks to its continued
external growth and brand recognition over the past few years. The
company is poised to benefit from strong tailwinds in the
infrastructure engineering sector, an addressable market of more
than $580 billion that should propel Egis' revenue growth in the
medium term. In addition, the company has a solid reputation and a
loyal customer base that has helped to establish its position in
the fragmented engineering and construction market. About 70% of
the company's order backlog derives from recurring contracts,
reflecting long-term relationships with clients and multiple
projects from repeat customers. Egis' average client relationship
is more than 10 years, underscoring its clients' satisfaction with
its services, which contributes to its competitive advantage. In
addition, Egis is not involved in the construction phase of its
projects and therefore bears very limited construction risk, which
we regard as an advantage over pure construction companies in the
sector.
Egis' diversification by end market, region, and customer mitigates
its moderate size. The company offers a wide range of services to
its clients, comprising architecture, consulting, and engineering
(84% of revenue), as well as operations and mobility services (16%
of revenue). It also operates across three main
sectors--transportation, cities, and sustainable
resources--covering 10 segments such as road, rail, ports,
buildings, and urban development. In addition, the company has
balanced geographic exposure with a focus on low-risk countries. In
2025, France accounted for 27% of Egis' pro-forma revenue, North
America 20%, the Middle East 21%, Europe (excluding France) 17%,
Australia and New Zealand 6%, and other countries 9%. Moreover,
Egis' client base is well diversified with limited client
concentration. The largest client accounts for less than 4% of
revenue and the top 25 clients generate 27% of revenue, which
mitigates Egis' moderate scale. With pro forma revenue of EUR2.6
billion in 2025 and adjusted EBITDA of EUR255 million on the same
basis, we consider the company's size to be moderate versus peers
such as Worley Ltd. or Arcadis, although sufficient to compete in
their markets.
The company's margins compare well with those of engineering and
construction market peers. With a projected EBITDA margin of about
11% for 2026, Egis' profitability remains relatively high for the
engineering and construction sector. The majority of its contracts
are small and short term, providing limited revenue visibility, but
typically less risky and more profitable as they are largely at a
fixed price, which offers better margins than cost-flex contracts.
With about two-thirds of its contracts at a fixed price, Egis
therefore reduces the risk of cost overruns and allows for
optimization of staffing rates, which are key in determining margin
and cash generation. In addition, Egis' operations and mobility
activity provides stability for margins and revenue visibility,
thanks to larger long-term contracts, while concessions deliver
recurring dividends.
S&P said, "We expect Egis' credit metrics will improve in 2026. We
forecast S&P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage will decrease to
5.0x-5.5x in 2026 and 4.0x-4.5x in 2027 from 6.5x in 2025. We also
expect FFO to debt to improve to 12%-14% in 2026 from 9% in 2025,
while free operating cash flow (FOCF) to debt should turn positive
at about 7%-10% in 2026 from negative 1.4% in 2025 (but from
positive 2.8% on a pro forma basis). The temporary deterioration of
Egis' credit metrics in 2025 stemmed from the groupwide
implementation of a new enterprise resource planning (ERP) system,
which disrupted the group's business and delayed invoicing. The new
system caused Egis to incur higher-than-expected restructuring
costs and larger-than-expected working capital outflows. At the
same time, the company pursued extensive external growth by
completing seven acquisitions in 2025 for a total cash amount of
over EUR700 million, with acquisitions partly financed by
additional debt incurrence. For 2026 and onward, we expect Egis'
business to show strong growth with a revenue increase, excluding
the effect of its 2025 acquisitions, of about 9%-11%, primarily
fueled by robust performance in operations and mobility services.
The company recently secured two major motorway contracts, one in
Greece (Egnatia Odos) and one in Qatar (Ashghal). Organic growth
should also be boosted by favorable conditions in the
infrastructure engineering sector and an increase in the backlog,
for example, in rail, urban, energy, and water. The group has also
indicated that it will make fewer acquisitions, which should help
contain debt levels.
"The company's capital-light business model supports its strong
FOCF generation. Egis' has low capital expenditure (capex) needs,
at about 1% of gross revenue, enabling the company to achieve a
high cash conversion cycle. We expect the company will generate
FOCF of EUR100 million-EUR150 million in 2026.
"In our view, Egis' dynamic bolt-on strategy is partly financed by
an increase in its leverage metrics. In recent years, the company
has increased its merger and acquisition (M&A) activity, making
more than 35 acquisitions between 2021 and 2024, which contributed
to more than EUR600 million of the company's revenue in 2024. In
2025, Egis accelerated its M&A activity with seven acquisitions,
mainly in the U.S., the U.K., Australia, and New Zealand. Those
acquisitions are aimed at expanding Egis' scale of operations and
reinforcing its position in prospective high-growth markets.
Notably, Egis has completed the acquisition of Lochner, a leading
U.S. engineering company specialized in transportation services
with gross revenue of over $305 million and a presence in aviation
and water services. We believe M&A is an integral element of Egis'
strategy. Although we acknowledge that acquisitions are an
important factor of growth to gain market share in the highly
fragmented engineering and construction markets, we think it puts
pressure on leverage because the company took on additional debt to
finance the acquisitions.
"Despite Tikehau Capital's significant ownership, we view the
presence of Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations (CDC) and partners
and employees in the company's shareholding structure as credit
positive. Egis has a balanced shareholding structure, with 43%
owned by Tikehau Capital (BBB-/Stable/A-3); 34% by CDC
(A+/Stable/A-1), a financial institution linked to the French State
that, in our view, has a long-term commitment to Egis with no
short-term exit strategy but strong and balanced governance rights.
The remaining 23% of the company is owned by partners, executives,
and employees, whose representation on the board fosters greater
commitment to Egis' long-term sustainable growth.
"Because Tikehau has at least 40% and controls the board, we
consider Egis to be a financial sponsor-owned company, as per our
methodology, and therefore do not net cash from gross debt, in line
with our criteria. We acknowledge Egis' prudent financial policies,
demonstrated by a 1.5x-2.5x net leverage ratio target over the next
two to three years. Normalized dividends are also capped at 30% of
Egis' adjusted net income, and the company can decide not to
distribute dividends, as happened in 2026, in light of its
allocation of capital to acquisitions in 2025. In late 2025, Egis'
shareholders injected EUR200 million to partially fund the recent
acquisitions. Tikehau Capital and CDC can provide additional equity
support of up to EUR200 million, which is available for future
acquisitions, limiting the potential for group leverage to
increase. These factors support the rating, in our view.
"The stable outlook reflects our view that Egis will continue to
generate robust organic growth and follow a prudent capital
allocation strategy, with a forecast adjusted EBITDA margin of
about 11%, adjusted leverage below 5.0x, and FFO to debt of 12%-16%
in 2026-2027."
S&P could lower its rating if:
-- Egis experienced severe underperformance and margin pressure,
for example, because of weak end-market demand or problems with
integrating its recent acquisitions;
-- FFO to debt approaches 12% without any expectation of an
imminent recovery;
-- S&P's adjusted debt to EBITDA is consistently above 5.0x;
-- Egis does not refinance its debt due in 2027 in the coming
months, which would put pressure on its liquidity; or
-- Egis and its shareholders follow a more aggressive financial
strategy on distributions or acquisitions, leading to consistently
higher leverage.
S&P could raise the rating if:
-- The adjusted EBITDA margin is consistently above 11%, even
while Egis is integrating its recent acquisitions, without major
setbacks;
-- FFO to debt improves sustainably to 16%-20%; and
-- Egis' FOCF to debt approaches 10%.
LABORATOIRE EIMER: S&P Assigns 'B' ICR on Proposed Refinancing
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned an issuer credit rating of 'B' to
France-based Laboratoire Eimer SELAS (Biogroup), based on the same
rating factors that previously supported its rating on CAB.
Biogroup also intends to address its upcoming maturities with
extension of its existing term loan B (TLB) by 3.5 years and issue
a new senior secured notes with 5.25 years tenure, which will be
used to refinance its existing TLB, senior unsecured and secured
notes. S&P understands EUR400 million cash on the balance sheet
will be used for debt repayment.
S&P's stable outlook reflects its view that Biogroup's resilient
operating performance and positive free operating cash flow (FOCF)
after leases generation should support stable credit metrics in the
next 12 months.
Eimer SELAS is the ultimate parent and holding company for CAB,
itself parent to Biogroup, a leading laboratory chain. In 2025, the
group generated EUR1.61 billion in sales.
S&P said, "We believe that Biogroup will retain sufficient
financial headroom from the proposed debt-refinancing transaction.
Biogroup is seeking to extend its existing term loan by 3.5 years
to August 2031 and to issue new 5.25-year senior secured notes
(SSN) also maturing in August 2031. While the final size of each
instrument will depend on market conditions, we understand that a
minimum issuance of EUR1 billion per instrument is required. We
also understand that the company plans to convert its existing
EUR250 million senior unsecured notes (SUN) into SSN. This should
imply a total debt of EUR2.744 billion across the SSNs and TLB,
down from EUR3.15 billion following a EUR400 million cash
repayment. We also note that Biogroup will extend the maturity of
its euro-denominated EUR280 million undrawn revolving credit
facility (RCF) by 3.5 years. The company will use the proceeds to
refinance the outstanding EUR1.75 billion TLB and EUR1.15 billion
senior secured notes initially due in February 2028. We expect the
remainder of the proceeds and EUR400 million in cash on balance
sheet to be used to repay outstanding senior debt levels, which we
expect will support the group's deleveraging trajectory. Based on
the new debt structure and our updated operating base case, we
estimate that Biogroup's credit metrics will remain in line with
the current rating. Our adjusted debt includes gross borrowings,
lease liabilities, pensions and put options and we net cash."
Biogroup reported robust operating performance at year-end 2025,
despite recent tariffs headwinds. Revenue for the year rose to
EUR1.615 billion, from EUR1.582 billion in 2024, primarily because
of higher volumes in Belgium and the full-year contribution from
Analiza. This positive trajectory was further supported by
management continuity and a strategic focus on core activities,
which favorably distinguishes Biogroup from its peers. These
positive factors more than compensated for the negative impact of
tariffs in France, Belgium, and Luxembourg. Profitability also
improved due to the synergies created by the integration of Analiza
and the efficient execution of the group's transformation plan.
Biogroup reported strong positive FOCF after leases of EUR121
million in 2025, in line with S&P's previous expectations.
S&P said, "We believe Biogroup's revenue generation will be
supported by steady volume growth, compensating for tariff
uncertainty beyond 2026. We project that revenue growth will be
largely organic, at 2.5%-3.5% in 2026 and 1.5%-2% over 2027-2028.
Biogroup will benefit from volume growth across all the group's
segments and regions and, in particular, an increasing presence in
higher-margin segments such as specialty testing and diagnostic
imaging. We take a positive view of the revenue predictability
embedded in France's 2024-2026 triennial agreement, which allows
for price increases of 0.6% in 2026. Our projections incorporate
conservative assumptions on tariff reductions, in line with past
cuts and the sector's expectations, mitigated by the full-year
contribution from Analiza, which strengthens Biogroup's presence
and market share in Spain.
"As Biogroup continues to unlock cost savings from its
transformation plan, we anticipate that its operating performance
will gradually improve. Over 2025-2027, management expects
personnel costs to reflect wage inflation. We think these costs are
likely to be partially compensated for by savings achieved by
optimizing the group's collection centers and technical platform
consolidation. Biogroup also expects to make savings by bringing
subcontracted tests in-house and using digitalization and AI to
streamline back-office functions and patient journeys. This will
result in our adjusted financial leverage on the cash
interest-paying debt and put options below 7x over the next 12-18
months, from 7.1x in 2025.
"FOCF after leases is forecast to be strongly positive at EUR85
million-EUR90 million in 2026 and at least EUR115 million annually
thereafter. Our assessment is underpinned by our expectation that
efficient working capital management will result in a moderate EUR5
million-EUR10 million outflow over the next 12-18 months. We also
anticipate that cash conversion will be supported by the
stabilization of capital expenditure (capex) at EUR65 million-EUR70
million because Biogroup completed capex-intensive projects such as
the new technical platform and most IT enhancements in 2025.
"Biogroup's credit metrics are forecast to gradually improve over
the next 12-18 months. We anticipate that Biogroup will benefit
from French tariffs being frozen until the end of 2026.
Demographics also favors market dynamics in the testing sector and
the policy shift toward preventive care implies further preventive
testing and therefore higher volumes for laboratories. That said,
we see potential risks arising from further unexpected regulatory
changes, which could weigh on laboratories' operations. In our
view, Biogroup's business and cost strategy is positive, and the
transformation plan has been seamlessly executed so far.
Nevertheless, improvements to profitability may be delayed as new
technical platforms ramp up and the group centralizes its
purchasing and support functions. The group could also suffer a
material cash outflow if the biologists exercise the significant
amount of put options available to them. Our base case also
includes some acquisitions during the next 12-18 months, because we
see a possibility that Biogroup could resume external growth to
enhance its international presence.
"The stable outlook reflects our view that our adjusted financial
leverage on Laboratoire Eimer's cash interest-paying debt and put
options will decline toward 6.5x-7x in 2026, primarily through the
improvement of its EBITDA margins as management implements
cost-cutting initiatives to restore efficiencies and realize
synergies. We forecast that the group will continue to reduce
leverage in 2027 and 2028, but at a slower pace.
"We anticipate that the group's FOCF after leases will remain solid
in 2026 and improve further in 2027, while funds from operations
(FFO) cash interest coverage is forecast to comfortably exceed
2x."
Profitability is projected to improve over the next two years,
based on the stable tariff environment, the full effect of
cost-cutting measures, and increasing volumes.
S&P said, "We could lower the rating if Laboratoire Eimer's
performance deviates from our current expectations for 2026 and
2027, so that adjusted leverage on the cash interest-paying debt
and put options does not sustainably improve to below 7x. A
decrease in the FFO cash interest coverage to below 2x could also
jeopardize the current ratings. This could happen if the group's
operating performance deteriorates well below our base-case
forecast, which we regard as unlikely to occur until 2027, when new
tariff schemes come into effect.
"We could also lower the rating if the group takes an aggressive
approach to acquisitions.
"We consider a positive rating action to be unlikely over the next
12 months because we forecast that Laboratoire Eimer's credit
metrics will likely remain commensurate with a highly leveraged
financial risk profile." However, S&P could raise the rating if:
-- Laboratoire Eimer's profitability and FOCF are materially above
S&P's base case;
-- It uses internally generated cash to reduce adjusted debt to
EBITDA sustainably toward 5x and commits to maintaining this level;
and
-- It maintains a conservative financial policy.
=============
G E R M A N Y
=============
EPHIOS SUBCO 3: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Ephios Subco 3 S.a.r.l's (Synlab)
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B' with a Stable Outlook.
Fitch has also affirmed its senior secured debt at 'B+' with a
Recovery Rating of 'RR3' and Synlab Bondco PLC's senior unsecured
rating at 'CCC+'/RR6.
The affirmation reflects its expectation that leverage will remain
within the sensitivities for the 'B' IDR in 2026, despite the
repayment of EUR248 million of a payment in kind (PIK) loan, which
Fitch treats as equity, supported by expected Fitch-defined EBITDA
expansion.
The Stable Outlook is supported by Synlab's ability to deleverage,
given its expectation of revenue and margin growth through 2027,
neutral to positive free cash flow (FCF) generation and adequate
Fitch-defined EBITDAR fixed charge coverage
Key Rating Drivers
Steady Margin Recovery: Fitch expects Fitch-defined EBITDA to grow
by more than 10% in 2026, driven by low-single digit organic
revenue growth and margin expansion. Fitch forecasts a gradual rise
in Fitch-defined EBITDA margins towards 11% in 2026 and 13% by
2029, supported by the cost-optimisation programme and portfolio
optimisation to focus on core profitable markets. Synlab's
Fitch-defined EBITDA margin (calculated excluding IFRS16
lease-related expenses) already improved in 2025 to 9.7% from 8.9%
in 2024 (pro forma for a cyberattack).
Leverage Within Sensitivities: The repayment of EUR248 million of
its EUR648 million PIK loan with a mix of cash and revolving credit
facility (RCF) drawing will have a negative impact on Synlab's
leverage, given Fitch's treatment of the instrument as equity.
However, Fitch expects Fitch-defined gross leverage will remain
broadly stable due to its expectation of higher EBITDA, having
improved to 6.9x in 2025 from 7.2x in 2024. Fitch expects
Fitch-defined EBITDAR leverage to remain between 5.5x and 7.0x and
Fitch-defined EBITDAR fixed charge coverage around 1.7x and 2.1x
during 2026-2029, which is adequate for the 'B' rating and the
Stable Outlook.
Its rating case does not factor in faster deleveraging through
divestments of non-core countries or portfolio pruning at
attractive multiples. However, these strategic options provide
additional financial flexibility. Fitch understands management
intends to pursue these options selectively, as it did in 2025,
depending on its ability to divest at attractive valuations.
Neutral FCF to Improve: Fitch forecasts marginally negative FCF
generation in 2026 due to ongoing capex programmes, high interest
expenses and reorganisation costs in some countries. Fitch expects
the FCF margin will be slightly positive in 2027 and gradually
improve towards 2.5% in 2029, driven by higher EBITDA and lower
capex intensity.
Financial Policy Key to Rating: The expected deleveraging is driven
by the assumed operating performance improvements, but also implies
a conservative financial policy, abstaining from shareholder
distributions, debt-financed PIK loan repayments and large
acquisitions. The rating could face pressure if negative
sensitivities are breached following soft operating performance
combined with an increase in debt related to acquisitions,
repayment of the remaining EUR400 million of PIK notes or dividend
distributions.
Defensive Sector, Reimbursement Pressure: Fitch views lab testing
as a defensive and non-cyclical industry. The sector benefits from
structurally rising demand, supported by the growing prevalence of
preventive and stratified medicine. However, these favourable
demand trends are partly offset by ongoing price and reimbursement
pressures as national regulators seek to contain healthcare
spending. Larger operators such as Synlab are better positioned to
benefit from long-term demand growth, given their ability to
capture scale efficiencies and gain market share from smaller, less
efficient and less focused peers.
Diversification Mitigates Regulatory Pressure: Synlab operates
across multiple regulated healthcare markets, subject to different
pricing and reimbursement dynamics. This mitigates the impact of
adverse reimbursement changes in any single country. Synlab's
largest markets are France, Germany, Italy and the UK, which
together account for around two-thirds of revenue. Certain
jurisdictions, such as France, are subject to tight price and
volume agreements, while others, particularly in northern and
eastern Europe, benefit from greater pricing flexibility through
inflation-indexed tariff frameworks.
Peer Analysis
Synlab compares well with its direct peers in European clinical
laboratory services. It is much smaller than higher-rated peers
like Quest Diagnostics, Inc. (BBB+/Stable) and Eurofins Scientific
S.E. (BBB-/Stable), more concentrated on European market (about 90%
of sales) and more exposed to the routine lab-testing market. Quest
and Eurofins are more diversified across other diagnostic markets
such as environmental and food testing.
Nevertheless, Synlab has larger scale than its direct competitors
in European clinical laboratory services such as Inovie Group
(B/Negative) and Laboratoire Eimer Selas (Biogroup; B/Stable).
Synlab also has better geographical diversification than Inovie and
Biogroup, which are primarily focused on France.
Synlab's Fitch-defined EBITDA margins of 10%-13% are lower than
peers due to its geographic mix and a greater focus on lower-margin
routine testing. Nevertheless, Synlab's EBITDAR leverage is better
than Inovie and Biogroup's, albeit weaker than higher-rated peers
such as Quest Diagnostics and Eurofins.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Organic sales growth of 2.9% on average for 2026-2029, as volume
growth offsets price declines
- Revenue to increase by 2.8% in 2026 and in 2027, with further
growth of 2.9% in 2028 and 3.5% in 2029 supported by acquisitions
in 2029
- EBITDA margins (after IFRS16 lease expenses) to rise to 11% in
2026 with further gradual improvement towards 13% by 2029
- Repayment of EUR248 million of the existing PIK notes
- Disposal proceeds of EUR35 million in 2026
- No acquisitions during 2026-2028 followed by EUR50 million
acquisitions in 2029, at enterprise value/EBITDA multiple of 10x
- Modest working capital inflow in 2026-2027, followed by modest
outflows in 2028-2029
- Capex at 4.5% of sales in 2026, followed by 3%-4% during
2027-2029
- No common dividends paid over 2026-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (b+, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bb-, Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb-, Moderate), Profitability (bb-,
Higher), Financial Structure (b-, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bb-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2025, 30% for the forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year
2027 and 20% for the forecast year 2028.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b'.
Recovery Analysis
The recovery analysis assumes that Synlab would be reorganised as a
going concern in bankruptcy rather than liquidated, given its
leading market positions, asset-light operations and diversified
geographical exposure.
Fitch estimates going-concern EBITDA of EUR225 million, which
reflects the potential regulatory changes, a failure to improve
margins, and an aggressive and poorly executed M&A strategy leading
to an unsustainable capital structure. At this EBITDA level Synlab
will have an unsustainable capital structure with neutral to
negative cash flow generation.
Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
Fitch uses a 6.0x EBITDA enterprise value multiple to calculate a
post-reorganisation valuation, which is comparable with multiplies
applied to peers such as Biogroup. This multiple reflects Synlab's
geographic breadth and scale as a leader in the European
lab-testing market and its cash-generative operations.
Fitch assumes Synlab's RCF of EUR500 million is fully drawn on
default and ranks equally with senior secured loans and notes.
Fitch treats the EUR85.5 million term loan B4 (TLB4) issued by
Synlab Bondco as subordinated to its senior secured debt, as not
guaranteed by any operating subsidiary.
Its waterfall analysis indicates ranked recovery in the 'RR3' band
for the senior secured debt, supporting a 'B+' instrument rating.
Ranked recovery for the senior unsecured debt falls in the 'RR6'
band, supporting a 'CCC+' instrument rating.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Fitch-defined EBITDAR leverage above 7.5x on a sustained basis.
- Fitch-defined EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage below 1.5x on a
sustained basis.
- Negative or neutral FCF margins beyond 2026.
- Absence of like-for-like sales growth, inability to extract
synergies and integrate acquisitions, or other operational
challenge
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- A more conservative and clearly communicated financial policy
leading to Fitch-defined EBITDAR leverage below 5.5x on a sustained
basis.
- Fitch-defined EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage above 2.0x on a
sustained basis.
- Strengthening FCF margins in the low-single digits on a sustained
basis.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2025, Synlab's Fitch-defined readily available cash (net of
restricted cash of EUR50 million) was EUR265 million. This is
sufficient to cover expected marginally negative FCF of EUR10
million in 2026. The group does not have any material upcoming
maturities except for its EUR85 million TLB due in July 2027.
LIquidity is also supported with an available committed EUR500
million RCF due in October 2030, which has been partly drawn by
around EUR125 million to repay EUR248 million of the existing
EUR648 million PIK loan. Available cash of EUR123 million is
expected to be used to redeem the existing PIK loan.
The group's sources of funding mainly consist of EUR1.3 billion TLB
due April 2031 and EUR450 million senior secured notes due January
2031. The group repriced its TLB due April 2031 in February 2026
and partly repaid its TLB due July 2027 with EUR85 million
currently outstanding. The group also repriced its RCF in April
2026, which together with TLB repricing resulted in about 150bp
savings since the take-private transaction.
Issuer Profile
Synlab is one of Europe's largest providers of medical diagnostic
testing services. It runs operations in around 40 countries, with a
focus on France, Germany, Italy and the UK.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Fitch restricts EUR50 million from readily available cash.
Fitch-defined EBITDA deducts IFRS16 lease expenses, calculated as
depreciation of right-of-use assets plus interest on lease
borrowings.
Fitch decided to adjust the reported lease liability to calculate
the EBITDAR leverage ratios. Fitch's lease-equivalent debt was
calculated using a capitalisation multiple of 5.5x to Fitch-defined
lease expenses of EUR104 million for 2025. Fitch-defined lease
expenses were calculated as 60% of IFRS16 lease expenses,
representing the approximate share of leases related to real
estate.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for Ephios Subco 3 S.a.r.l. or Synlab Bondco PLC.
ESG Considerations
Ephios Subco 3 S.a.r.l has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for
Exposure to Social Impacts due to increased risks of tightening
regulation that may constrain its ability to maintain operating
profitability and cash flow. This has a negative impact on the
credit profile, and is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction
with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Ephios Subco 3
S.a.r.l LT IDR B Affirmed B
senior secured LT B+ Affirmed RR3 B+
Synlab Bondco PLC
senior unsecured LT CCC+ Affirmed RR6 CCC+
TUI CRUISES: S&P Alters Outlook to Positive, Affirms 'BB-' ICR
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised S&P's outlook on TUI Cruises GmbH to
positive from stable and affirmed its 'BB-' long-term issuer credit
rating and 'B+' issue rating on TUI Cruises and its senior
unsecured debt.
The positive outlook reflects that S&P could upgrade TUI Cruises in
the next 12 months if it manages the first- and second-degree
effects from the turmoil in the Middle East with limited impact on
its fleet, cost structure, and customer booking levels, while
retaining debt to EBITDA well below 4.0x and funds from operations
(FFO) to debt above 20%.
TUI Cruises has remained resilient to the fallout of the crisis in
the Middle East, which delayed the return of its Mein Schiff 4 and
Mein Schiff 5 ships to the Mediterranean Sea for the summer season.
Both ships are expected to operate from mid-May onwards, following
their passage through the Strait of Hormuz on April 19. S&P expects
earnings to be impacted by about EUR80 million this year.
S&P said, "We project TUI Cruises to report capacity growth of 7%
for 2026, with the delivery of MS Flow in June 2026 more than
offsetting the hit from delayed ship returns. We anticipate that
the group can sail with a complete fleet during the highly
profitable summer season and forecast EBITDA of EUR1,018 million,
up from EUR977 million in 2025, bolstered by largely hedged fuel
and foreign currency exposure until 2027."
S&P said, "TUI Cruises reported an S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
EBITDA margin of 36.5% for fiscal 2025 improving from 35.3% in
2024, surpassing our expectations. The company recorded revenue
growth of 26.6% in 2025, amounting to EUR2.68 billion and exceeding
our expectation. We initially anticipated that additional capacity
would pressure ticket prices, which has not occurred, leading to an
increase in revenue growth in line with capacity growth of 27%
thanks to a full year of operations for Mein Schiff 7 (June 2024)
and Mein Schiff Relax (February 2025). Occupancy increased to 101%
in 2025 from 100% in 2024 for the Mein Schiff brand, and to 77%
compared to 75% for Hapag-Lloyd Cruises. At the same time average
daily ticket rates decreased modestly to EUR203 in 2025, from
EUR205 in 2024 largely due to a higher contribution of Mein Schiff
revenue (83% in 2025). Based on higher profitability and stronger
operating cash flow from customer deposit inflows, S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA was 3.4x in 2025 compared to 4.2x
in 2024 and 3.7x in our base-case expectations for 2025.
"We expect capacity to grow 7% and EBITDA margins of 35.7% in 2026
down from 36.5% in 2025 due to Middle East conflict but supported
by the delivery of one ship in June 2026 and summer booking levels.
The conflict in the Middle East and operations to repatriate
customers from Doha and Abu Dhabi to Germany--as well as the two
vessels Mein Schiff 4 and Mein Schiff 5--will overall impact
earnings in 2026 by about EUR80 million, which are related to
revenue shortfall and repatriation of guests and crew, leading to
only modest growth in S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA to about
EUR1,018 million. This is still higher than EUR977 million achieved
in 2025, thanks to the expected capacity growth this summer with
the delivery of the new vessel Mein Schiff Flow in June 2026.
Bookings for full-year 2026 are at a similar level of about 85%
compared to 87% in the previous year for the Mein Schiff brand, and
we expect that cancelations related to geopolitical instability
will be limited due to the sizable prepayments required from
customers. That said, we understand the last percentages in
utilization of the fleet are essential for achieving the high
EBITDA margin. While our forecast anticipates that net revenue
yields remain stable compared to 2025 levels, we acknowledge the
situation in the Middle East is evolving and could impair consumer
sentiment and the need to change itineraries for MS Flow for Winter
season 2026 that was supposed to sail in the Middle East, which
combined could impact the expected utilization of 100%-101% for the
Mein Schiff fleet. In terms of potential cost impact, we view
positively TUI Cruises' conservative hedging policy, with a
substantially hedged fuel and foreign exchange exposure until 2027.
This could help to address headwinds for fuel expenses (less than
10% of operating costs) and volatility in foreign exchange rates
with the U.S. dollar reflecting about 50% of its cost structure.
"A slowing economy and upcoming ship delivery pose leveraging risks
that could deteriorate leverage beyond our current expectations of
3.8x in 2026.The cruise industry typically benefits from booking
visibility and historically withstands modest economic weakness
without large cancellation spikes. However, we see risks that a
weakening economy could impair yields, on-board spending, and
booking volumes later in 2026 and 2027. Our macroeconomists believe
the current Middle East conflict increases the risk of an energy
shock that would likely lead to more subdued consumer spending.
Higher gasoline and utility bills act like a tax on real incomes,
typically compressing discretionary consumption and delaying
big-ticket purchases. Energy inflation also acts like a regressive
tax because it hits necessities with little short-run substitution,
and because it takes a larger share of lower-income budgets. While
cruise operators typically lower prices to sustain high occupancy
levels if the economy weakens, we expect the impact may be less
severe than in past slowdowns, as the price of cruises generally
remains substantially lower than comparable land-based vacations.
This could benefit operators as customers seek value
alternatives."
Ship deliveries could exacerbate the leveraging impact of a slowing
economy. The cruise industry is capital intensive because of the
significant capital required to fund the purchase of new ships and
the need to take delivery of ships regardless of the operating
environment. Cruise operators generally must commit to new ship
orders at least three to five years in advance, given the limited
number of shipyards globally that are equipped to build cruise
ships. Operators typically obtain financing commitments for the
ships before their delivery (often at the same time they contract
for the ship's delivery), which provides some liquidity support if
their cash flow declines. However, the incremental debt can
significantly weaken their credit measures during periods of
operating weakness because it increases their debt balances while
their EBITDA declines. In 2026, TUI Cruises will take delivery of
one ship incurring incremental ship debt. This incremental debt
could weaken credit measures if a slowing economy hurts EBITDA
beyond the 3.8x we currently anticipate.
S&P said, "TUI Cruises has shown its ability to onboard additional
capacity, increasing its scale to EUR2.85 billion revenue in 2026,
and we anticipate reduced market concentration in the long term
from the license agreement with TUI AG to operate under the TUI
Cruises brand in the U.K. and Northern Europe. At the end of 2026,
TUI will have increased the capacity of its fleet by about 40%
since 2023--prior to the delivery of MS 7 (June 2024), MS Relax
(February 2025), and MS Flow (June 2025)--which, based on booking
levels, showcases its ability to expand in the niche German cruise
market, with market share likely to increase to about 35% in 2027
from about 26% in 2023. We therefore expect the company to increase
revenue to EUR2.85 billion and EBITDA to about EUR1,018 million in
2026. In addition, the group has signed a license agreement with
one of its shareholders, TUI AG (BB-/Stable/--), to operate under
the TUI Cruises brand in the U.K. and Northern Europe, catering to
a larger audience of international customers. Over the long term
this will mitigate the source market concentration, which allows
for more flexibility to shift capacity in case the German speaking
source market (more than 95% of customers) weakens. As such, we see
more flexibility for the group to onboard the two additional sister
ships to MS Relax and Flow that are expected to be delivered in
2031 and 2033.
"We expect dividend payments will accelerate in line with the
group's financial policy and limit reduction of leverage. The
company has defined a net leverage ratio target of 3.5x-4.0x (2.9x
actual for the 12 months to Dec. 31, 2025), which we view as
commensurate with the 'BB-' rating. In 2025, TUI Cruises
distributed EUR440 million of dividends to its parents. For 2026,
we expect dividend payments of about EUR400 million-EUR500 million,
depending on operating cash flow development, which could be slowed
by the developments in the Middle East. Given our expectation of
continued high operating cashflows and no ship deliveries between
2027-2030, we expect dividends to accelerate to about EUR700
million to EUR800 million onwards, keeping financial debt stable,
while refinancing amortizing secured Export Credit Agency (ECA)
loans with unsecured debt over time. The prioritization of
shareholder distributions limits a reduction of financial debt and
we expect S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA to remain at
about 3.5x from 2027 onwards. That said, we understand the group
has a cautious approach in terms of timing of dividend payments
following the summer season and that it keeps a minimum cash
balance of about EUR100 million and EUR600 million revolving credit
facility (RCF) available for liquidity needs.
"The positive outlook reflects that we could upgrade TUI Cruises in
the next 12 months if it manages the first- and second-degree
effects from the turmoil in the Middle East with limited impact on
its fleet, cost structure, and customer booking levels. A higher
rating would reflect TUI Cruises' increased scale, ability to
retain high utilization levels for existing and additional capacity
from one new ship delivery in 2026, while it maintains its sound
margin profile. It would also require TUI Cruises to retain its
financial policy and approach to a balanced shareholder
renumeration keeping debt to EBITDA well below 4.0x and FFO to debt
above 20%."
S&P could revise the outlook to stable if:
-- S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA approaches 4.0x, or
-- S&P Global Ratings-adjusted FFO to debt declines toward 20%.
S&P said, "We could also revise the outlook to stable if the
company's performance significantly weakens due to an inability to
mitigate the impact from the Middle East crisis, challenging our
view of improved resilience of its operations. This could be
reflected by higher customer cancelations or an inability to market
new capacity impacting utilization and declining net yields.
"We could raise the ratings on TUI Cruises in the next 12 months if
it manages the first- and second-degree effects from the turmoil in
the Middle East with limited impact on its fleet, cost structure,
and customer booking levels, successfully onboarding Mein Schiff
Flow in June, improving our view on its operations, while it
maintains a balanced approach to shareholder renumeration, keeping
liquidity adequate and debt to EBITDA well below 4.0x and FFO to
debt above 20%."
=============
I R E L A N D
=============
CARLYLE 2015-2: Fitch Alters Outlook on 'B-sf' Rating to Negative
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised Carlyle Global Market Strategies Euro CLO
2015-2 DAC's class E-R notes Outlook to Negative from Stable. All
notes have been affirmed as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Carlyle Global Market
Strategies Euro
CLO 2015-2 DAC
A-1-RR XS2432571078 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2A-RR XS2432571409 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
A-2B-RR XS2432571664 LT AAsf Affirmed AAsf
B-RR XS2432571748 LT Asf Affirmed Asf
C-RR XS2432572126 LT BBB-sf Affirmed BBB-sf
D-RR XS2432572472 LT BB-sf Affirmed BB-sf
E-R XS2432572639 LT B-sf Revision Outlook B-sf
Transaction Summary
Carlyle Global Market Strategies Euro CLO 2015-2 DAC is a
securitisation of mainly senior secured obligations (at least 90%)
with a component of corporate rescue loans, senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Net proceeds
from the note issuance were used to redeem the outstanding rated
notes and to fund a portfolio with a target size of EUR400 million.
The portfolio is managed by CELF Advisors LLP (part of The Carlyle
Group LP). The collateralised loan obligation (CLO) had a 4.7-year
reinvestment period and an 8.7-year weighted average life (WAL) at
the reset closing in 2022.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Performance Deterioration: The transaction has experienced further
par losses since the previous review in June 2025 to 3.7% below
par, from 2.6% below par, as a result of selling distressed assets
at a discount. The par losses and a reduction in the portfolio's
weighted average spread to 3.58% from 3.78% over the same period
have eroded the break-even default rate cushion. The revision of
the Outlook reflects reduced protection against new defaults. Fitch
calculates the portfolio has 5.6% of assets rated 'CCC' (or 5.1%,
if excluding an unrated asset).
Sufficient Cushion for Higher-Ranking Notes: The class A-1-RR to
D-RR notes have retained sufficient buffers to support their
current ratings and should be capable of absorbing further defaults
and par erosion in the portfolio. This is reflected in their Stable
Outlooks.
'B'/'B-' Portfolio: Fitch assesses the average credit quality of
the underlying obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The weighted average rating
factor of the current portfolio is 24.9 as calculated by Fitch.
About 17.9% of the portfolio is currently on Negative Outlook.
High Recovery Expectations: Senior secured obligations comprise
100% of the portfolio. Fitch views the recovery prospects for these
assets as more favourable than for second-lien, unsecured and
mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated weighted average recovery
rate of the current portfolio is 60.9%.
Diversified Portfolio: The portfolio is well-diversified across
obligors, countries and industries. The top 10 obligor
concentration, as calculated by Fitch, is 10.5%, and no obligor
represents more than 1.2% of the portfolio balance. Exposure to the
three-largest Fitch-defined industries is 37.7% as calculated by
Fitch. Fixed-rate assets as reported by the trustee are at 5.2%,
currently complying with the limit of 12.5%.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades, which are based on the current portfolio, may occur if
the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades may result from stable portfolio credit quality and
deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle Global
Market Strategies Euro CLO 2015-2 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
RENO DE MEDICI: Fitch Hikes Long-Term IDR to 'CC'
-------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has downgraded Reno de Medici's S.p.A. (RDM)
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'RD' (Restricted Default)
from 'C', after the company failed to cure the missed coupon
payment on its EUR600 million senior secured notes within the
original 30-day grace period. Fitch has subsequently upgraded RDM's
IDR to 'CC'.
The rating reflects RDM's ongoing debt restructuring negotiations
with creditors, given its unsustainable capital structure. RDM
announced on 16 March 2026 that it has obtained more than 70% of
existing bondholders consent to proceed with the forbearance
agreement in relation to non-payment of interest on its bond. Fitch
expects the results of debt restructuring to represent a distressed
debt exchange (DDE).
Fitch will reassess the IDR after RDM has reached an agreement with
most of its creditors, based on the new capital structure, business
prospects and liquidity.
Key Rating Drivers
Missed Uncured Coupon Payment: The downgrade to 'RD' reflects RDM's
failure to cure the missed coupon payment of its senior secured
notes, following the expiry of the original 30-day cure period. The
company has effectively secured bondholder consent to defer the
coupon payment, which will be treated as locked-up debt in the
restructuring. Fitch considers the lapse of an original grace
period without payment as an 'RD', and these coupon payments are
unlikely to be made until the restructuring is complete. Fitch
understands from management that RDM continues to service its other
debt obligations and maintains sufficient liquidity to support
operations.
Ongoing Debt Restructuring: The subsequent IDR upgrade to 'CC'
reflects the current unsustainable capital structure. RDM has
secured consent from over 70% of bondholders in relation to the
non-payment of coupon for its EUR600 million bonds for 90 days.
Fitch expects RDM's capital structure to undergo debt restructuring
in the coming months, which is likely to result in a material
reduction in terms for creditors, including a proportion of the
debt being exchanged for equity in the business, which Fitch would
view as a DDE under Fitch's Corporate Rating Criteria.
Fitch would reassess RDM's restructured profile and assign a rating
that is consistent with its forward-looking assessment of its
credit profile after debt exchange.
Materially Constrained EBITDA: Fitch estimates RDM's EBITDA
remained materially below its previous projections in 2025, due to
delayed volume recovery, weak pricing and increased energy and
recycled paper prices over the past 12 months. Fitch forecasts that
EBITDA will increase to EUR52 million in 2026, supported by a
cost-cutting initiative implemented over 2025 and slightly improved
capacity use following the closure of its Barcelona plant.
Nevertheless, EBITDA generation in 2026-2027 will be much below
previous expectations, leading to negative free cash flow (FCF) and
unsustainable leverage under the current capital structure.
Persistent Cash Losses: Fitch expects FCF to remain negative in
2026 and 2027, at EUR68 million and EUR41 million, respectively,
after about EUR200 million cumulative negative FCF in 2024-2025.
This reflects continued weak trading performance below Fitch's
previous projections and depressed profitability due to weak
pricing and inflated energy and raw material prices. Fitch expects
ongoing uncertainty around the timing of market recovery and RDM's
operational turnaround following the closure of its Barcelona
plant. Stabilising and containing cash outflows will be critical to
safeguarding the viability of RDM's operations.
Peer Analysis
RDM is small compared with other Fitch-rated packaging peers, such
as Sappi Limited (BB/Stable), CANPACK Group, Inc. (BB/Negative) and
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (B/Stable). RDM's business profile is
weaker than its peers', due to its limited geographical
diversification.
RDM's forecast EBITDA margin of 5%-9% remains lower than Ardagh's
11%-12% and materially below Nordic Paper Holding AB's
(B+/Positive) 17%-19%. This is due to its concentrated presence in
the European packaging market, while the others have a presence in
America and Asia. RDM's negative FCF margins in 2025-2028 are
materially weaker than Ardagh Metal's negative 1%-2% or Sappi's
negative 1%-3%.
RDM's financial profile in 2025-2028 is considerably weaker than
all other Fitch-rated packaging peers'. Fitch estimates RDM's gross
leverage at 22.7x at end-2025, 15.9x at end-2026 and 12.7x at
end-2027, which are much weaker than Ardagh Metal's 6.0x , Sappi's
3.2x or Nordic Paper's 3.0x at end-2027.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Revenue to rise in 2026-2028 due to increase in demand, after a
5% decline in 2025
- EBITDA margin to remain 6% in 2026, before trending towards 9% in
2028 due to volume recovery and cost- cutting initiatives, after a
decline to 5% in 2025
- Bridge loan to be repaid in 2026 using the Barcelona plant
disposal proceeds
- Working capital outflows across 2026-2028 due to an increase in
factoring use and rise in revenue
- Capex to normalise at 3.3%-4% of sales from 2026, versus 6.3% in
2024, due to completed capex on the Blendecques mill
- No dividends or M&As to end-2028
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (b+, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bb,
Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (b+, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (b, Moderate), Profitability (ccc,
Moderate), Financial Structure (ccc-, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (ccc-, Higher).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in an
adjustment of -1 notch(es).
- The Governance assessment of 'Some Deficiencies' results in no
adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a' results in no
adjustment.
- The other risk elements adjustment applies and results in an
adjustment of -1 notch(es).
- The SCP is 'cc'.
Recovery Analysis
The recovery analysis assumes that RDM would be reorganised as a
going concern (GC) in bankruptcy rather than liquidated.
Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
RDM's super senior RCF is fully drawn after restructuring and ranks
ahead of senior secured debt. Fitch also considers the EUR50
million bridge loan as super senior as this is an asset-backed
lending facility, which will be repaid with the sale proceeds of
the Barcelona plant. Factoring facilities backed by receivables
also rank super senior.
Fitch's GC EBITDA estimate is EUR80 million, versus previous
estimate of EUR90 million, reflecting the sustainable,
post-reorganisation EBITDA on which Fitch bases the valuation of
the company.
An enterprise value multiple of 5.0x is applied to GC EBITDA to
calculate a post-reorganisation valuation. It reflects RDM's
long-term relationship with clients, well-invested production
assets, and a 60%-70% exposure to resilient markets. This is in
line with other packaging peers, like Ardagh.
Its debt structure comprises an increased EUR141.6 million (as of
December 2025) super senior RCF (assumed fully drawn), EUR600
million senior secured notes, EUR50 million bridge loan, EUR44
million factoring (outstanding value as of December 2025) and EUR26
million of other debt.
Its waterfall analysis based on the above generates a ranked
recovery for the senior secured notes noteholders in the 'RR5'
category, leading to a 'C' rating for the EUR600 million notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Uncured payment default (such as failure to pay interest on any
material financial obligation), entering into formal debt
restructuring recognised as a DDE under Fitch's criteria, or
entering bankruptcy, administration or other formal winding-up
procedure
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Fitch does not envisage an upgrade before an overhaul of the
capital structure
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Fitch expects RDM's liquidity for 2026 to consist of about EUR80
million cash (with the EUR141.6 million RCF fully drawn). This also
includes the EUR50 million bridge loan arranged/drawn in November
2025, which will be used to fund the negative FCF of 2026. Fitch
expects the Barcelona plant disposal proceeds of about EUR66
million to be available in 3Q26 and be used to repay the EUR50
million bridge loan.
Fitch expects RDM's financial flexibility to deteriorate, with
negative FCF of EUR68 million in 2026 and EUR41 million in 2027.
The company had no major repayment obligations other than the
EUR43.7 million factoring and EUR44 million other short-term loans
at end-2025; however, its EUR50 million bridge loan will have to be
repaid in 2H26 using the Barcelona plant sale proceeds. RDM's debt
structure remains dominated by its EUR600 million senior secured
notes due in April 2029.
Issuer Profile
RDM, founded in 1967 and headquartered in Milan, is a leading
European producer and distributor of recycled paper boards mainly
for the packaging industry.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
Climate Vulnerability Signals
The results of its Climate.VS screener did not indicate an elevated
risk for RDM.
ESG Considerations
RDM has an ESG Relevance Score of '4[+]' for Exposure to Social
Impacts due to the consumer preference shift from plastic to paper
and cardboard packaging, which has a positive impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Reno de Medici S.p.A. LT IDR RD Downgrade C
LT IDR CC Upgrade
senior secured LT C Affirmed RR5 C
WEBUILD SPA: S&P Assigns 'BB+' Rating to Proposed Unsecured Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB+' issue rating and '4' recovery
rating to the proposed senior unsecured notes of up to EUR500
million to be issued by Italian construction company Webuild SpA
(BB+/Stable/--). The '4' recovery rating reflects the proposed
notes' unsecured and unguaranteed nature, as well as their
structural subordination to prior-ranking claims. S&P estimates
recovery prospects at 40%.
The proposed notes will have a maturity of up to seven years and
will rank at the same seniority as Webuild's existing unsecured
senior debt. Webuild intends to use the proceeds to partially
refinance existing debt, including early redemption and/or
repurchase through a tender offer of EUR250 million 3.625% notes
due January 2027, and for general corporate purposes. The
issue-level and recovery ratings on the proposed notes are based on
preliminary information and subject to the notes' successful
issuance and our satisfactory review of the final documentation.
S&P said, "We expect the documentation for the proposed notes will
be broadly in line with that for the existing notes. The notes will
benefit from a negative pledge covenant but will no longer include
debt incurrence and restricted payment restrictions, or limitations
on sale of certain assets and transactions with affiliates.
"In our hypothetical default scenario, we assume a prolonged
economic downturn that affects the construction sector. We also
consider a delay in collecting payments for projects that would
result in severe margin contraction and negative operating cash
flow. In our view, this would weaken Webuild's ability to meet its
debt obligations, triggering a payment default in 2031.
"We value Webuild as a going concern, based on its strong brand
value, market position, and global presence."
Simulated default assumptions
-- Year of default: 2031
-- Jurisdiction: Italy
-- Emergence EBITDA (after recovery adjustments): EUR467 million
-- Multiple: 5x, in line with the standard assumption for the
construction sector
Simplified waterfall
-- Gross recovery value: EUR2.3 billion
-- Net recovery value after administrative expenses (5%): EUR2.2
billion
-- Estimated priority claims: EUR128 million
-- Value available to first-lien claims: EUR2.1 billion
-- Estimated first-lien claims: EUR573 million
-- Value available to unsecured claims: EUR1.5 billion
-- Unsecured debt claims: EUR3.6 billion
--Recovery range: 30%-50% (rounded recovery estimate of 40%)
--Recovery rating: 4
===================
K A Z A K H S T A N
===================
FORTELEASING JSC: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed JSC ForteLeasing's (FL) Long-Term
Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'BB'
and its National Long-Term Rating at 'A(kaz)'. The Outlooks are
Stable. Fitch has also affirmed FL's Shareholder Support Rating
(SSR) at 'bb'.
Key Rating Drivers
Support-Driven Ratings: FL's ratings are driven by Fitch's
assessment of potential support from shareholder ForteBank JSC (FB)
and are equalised with the parent's 'BB' ratings, which are on
Stable Outlook. This reflects a high level of management and
operational integration, and strong synergies with the parent as
the only entity providing leasing services to the clients of the
banking group. In its view, the reputational risk to FB from a FL
default is high, given their shared branding and FL's full
ownership by FB. FB is one of the largest privately owned banks in
Kazakhstan.
High Integration with Parent Bank: Fitch's support assessment is
underpinned by the high integration and close supervision of FL by
FB management, FL's large parental funding (81% of FL's borrowings
at end-3Q25) and its record of strong performance. Fitch believes
FL's small size relative to FB's (less than 1% of total assets)
would make extraordinary support manageable for the shareholder.
Weaker Standalone Credit Profile: In Fitch's view, FL's standalone
credit profile would be materially lower than the support-driven
IDRs. This is due to FL's narrow independent franchise, the
performance of which is highly correlated with FB's, its modest
absolute size and high reliance on funding from the parent.
Small Franchise; Focused Business Model: FL has a small but growing
franchise in the Kazakh leasing market, which is dominated by
state-owned companies. The business model is focused on leasing
trucks, specialised vehicles and passenger cars, although recently
the company has started growing other segments and product types.
FL's portfolio, largely unseasoned due to its strong growth,
remains concentrated by asset types and single names, although
associated risks have moderated in recent years as the portfolio
has expanded.
Adequate Asset Quality, Rapid Growth: FL's asset quality has
improved in recent years, with problem receivables at around 6% at
end-3Q25 down from 8.5% at end-2020. However, the problem
receivables ratio has been flattered by rapid portfolio growth,
averaging 47% a year in 2021-2024, potentially indicating more
aggressive underwriting than at peers. Fitch expects FL to maintain
rapid portfolio growth in the next two to three years, but the
seasoning of FL's lease portfolio over the long term could pressure
its asset-quality metrics.
Solid Profitability: FL's profitability is sound, with a pre-tax
return on average assets ratio at 7.7% in 9M25 (8% in 2024),
supported by a healthy annualised net interest margin of 12.6%
(12.1% in 2024). In its view, higher provisioning costs, driven by
asset-quality deterioration from the company's portfolio seasoning
over the long term, could pressure profitability.
Parent Supports Capitalisation: In 2025, FB provided KZT3 billion
of additional capital to FL to support its portfolio growth, with
further capital injections up to KZT10 billion possible until
end-2027. FL's gross debt/tangible equity increased to 2.3x at
end-3Q25 from 0.6x at end-2020, as portfolio growth outpaced
internal equity generation.
Fitch expects FL's leverage to gradually increase in 2025-2027,
driven by its projected portfolio growth. However, FB's capital
injections will support the expansion, allowing the parent to meet
its covenants. Concentration risk weighs on its assessment of
capital adequacy, with the 10 largest leasing exposures
representing around 80% of FL's equity at end-2025.
Parent Bank Dominates Funding Profile: FL receives most of its
funding from FB, with other sources including the Industrial
Development Fund (14%) and the state-owned fund DAMU (5%). FL's
access to parent bank funding supported recent growth and its
growth targets. Fitch believes FB would continue to have a strong
willingness to provide liquidity support.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A downgrade of FB's ratings would result in a corresponding
downgrade of FL's ratings.
A weakening of FB's propensity to support FL, triggered, for
example, by weaker integration, reduced ownership or deviation of
FL from the group's objectives could result in FL's Long-Term IDR
being notched down from the parent's.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade of FB's IDRs would likely result in an upgrade of FL's
ratings.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
FL's ratings are linked to FB's IDRs.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
JSC ForteLeasing LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
LC ST IDR B Affirmed B
Natl LT A(kaz) Affirmed A(kaz)
Shareholder Support bb Affirmed bb
JET FINANCE: Fitch Affirms 'B-' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Now Pos.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised Microfinance organization Jet Finance
LLP's (formerly Microfinance Organization Mogo Kazakhstan) Outlook
to Positive from Stable, while affirming its Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) at 'B-'. Fitch has also upgraded its National
Scale Rating to 'BB-(kaz)' from 'B+(kaz)'.
Key Rating Drivers
The Positive Outlook reflects an improving business profile and a
reduction in FX risk through the implementation of a cap on
unhedged foreign-currency (FC) borrowing. Maintaining adequate
management of market and credit risks during the company's current
rapid growth could lead to an upgrade.
Rapid Recent Growth: The Positive Outlook reflects the company's
fast-growing franchise, improving management of market risks and
diversifying funding. At the same time, the company's ratings
remain constrained by its monoline business model focussed on used
car loans, with significant credit risk and large asset/liability
mismatches. Jet Finance had a net portfolio totalling USD98 million
at end-2025 (2024: USD28 million), representing growth in 2025 of
249% (236% in Kazakhstani tenge), having also more than doubled in
the previous year.
Improved FX Hedging: Jet Finance's FX risk reduced in 2025
following improvements in its hedging policy. As of end-2025, all
FC funding (61% of the total) was hedged, and its internal policy
now caps unhedged FC borrowing at a maximum of 50% of equity. At
end-2024, about 70% of total debt had been in unhedged euros and US
dollars, while all lending was in local currency, exposing the
company to a shortfall in asset values in the event of a sharp
currency depreciation.
High Risk Sector: Jet Finance provides secured loans to underbanked
clients with limited credit history, mostly backed by used cars
(90% of loans at end-2025). The company benefits from a scalable
digital business model with most loans issued online and approved
by its proprietary scorecard.
Seasoning Risk: Jet Finance's impaired loans ratio fell to 10% at
end-2025 from 17% at end-2024, due to rapid loan growth.
Provisioning of impaired loans weakened further to 44% in 2025,
from 46% in 2024 and 132% in 2023. The secured nature of lending
only in local currency, adequate loan-to-value ratios (LTVs) and a
fairly liquid market for cars partly mitigate the company's high
credit risks.
Tighter Regulation on Charges: The Kazakh regulator in June 2025
imposed an interest-rate cap of 46% and capped lenders' commission
on insurance at 10%. In 2025, 37% of Jet Finance's total gross
income came from non-interest sources, primarily referral
commissions from insurance policies bundled with lending products.
Fitch expects the insurance commission cap to weigh on Jet
Finance's revenue, but its impact would be mitigated by
supplementary platform and advertising fees charged to dealerships
and insurance companies for using Jet Finance's online platform.
Adequate Profitability; Low Cost Base: Jet Finance's profitability
is supported by wide margins, reflective of its higher-risk
customer base. Net interest margin was broadly stable at 16% (2024:
15%), but down from the highs of 2022 and 2023 (29% and 22%,
respectively). Pre-tax income/average assets ratios improved to
14.8% (2024: 6.6%), reflecting lower provisioning of impaired loans
and reduced operating costs. The cost/income ratio improved to 29%,
from 59% in 2024 and 55% in 2023, due to Jet Finance's technology
and automation-driven model, which allows loan volumes to grow,
while keeping overheads low. Fitch expects costs to remain low as
Jet Finance expands.
Diversifying Funding: Jet Finance has continued to diversify its
funding sources by issuing domestic unsecured bonds and securing
relationships with international funding providers. Local bonds
accounted for 85% of total debt at end-2025 (2024: 67%), and half
were issued in US dollars. Headroom on Jet Finance's covenants for
Mintos-sourced financing is limited, exposing it to refinancing
risk unless shareholder capital injections help contain leverage.
Debt/tangible equity increased to 5.3x at end-2025 (2024: 3.7x).
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Adverse regulatory developments threatening business model
viability
- Deterioration of the company's capital position, for instance due
to growth outpacing capital generation, credit-negative revisions
to FX hedging policy, or material receivables from related parties
- Weakening profitability to the point of operational losses, for
example, due to a sharp decline of net interest margin or widening
credit losses
- Sustained deterioration of asset quality
- Signs of reduced funding access or refinancing difficulties
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Maintenance of an expanding franchise, alongside proven control
over asset quality and reduced asset/liability mismatches,
accompanied by a debt/tangible equity ratio comfortably below 5.5x
ADJUSTMENTS
The sector risk operating environment score is below the implied
score at 'bb-' due to the following adjustment reason: regulatory
and legal framework (negative).
The asset quality score is above the implied score at 'b-' due to
the following adjustment reason: collateral and reserves
(positive).
The earnings and profitability score is below the implied score at
'b' due to the following adjustment reason: portfolio risk
(negative).
The capitalisation and leverage score is below the implied score at
'b' due to the following adjustment reasons: size of capital base
(negative), risk profile and business model (negative).
The funding, liquidity and coverage score is below the implied
score at 'b-' due to the following adjustment reason: funding
flexibility (negative).
ESG Considerations
Jet Finance has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Exposure to
Social Impacts due to risks arising from a business model focused
on extending credit at high rates. This could give rise to consumer
and public disapproval and expose it to regulatory changes and
conduct-related risks that could affect the company's franchise and
performance metrics. This has a moderately negative impact on Jet
Finance's credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in
conjunction with other factors
Jet Finance has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Customer Welfare
- Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security due to its exposure to
higher-risk, underbanked borrowers with limited credit history and
variable incomes. This underlines social risks arising from
increased regulatory scrutiny and policies to protect more
vulnerable borrowers (such as lending caps) regarding its lending
practices, pricing transparency and consumer data protection. This
has a moderately negative impact on Jet Finance's credit profile
and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other factors.
Jet Finance has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance
Structure due to developing corporate governance as underlined in
material related-party transactions. This has a moderately negative
impact on the credit profile and is relevant to the rating in
conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Microfinance
organization Jet
Finance LLP LT IDR B- Affirmed B-
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR B- Affirmed B-
LC ST IDR B Affirmed B
Natl LT BB-(kaz) Upgrade B+(kaz)
QAZAQGAZ NC: S&P Assigns 'BB+' Rating to New Senior Unsecured Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB+' rating to the proposed senior
unsecured notes to be issued by QazaqGaz NC JSC. The company will
use net proceeds from these notes for refinancing its $750 million
Eurobonds ($706 million outstanding) due in September 2027 and for
general corporate purposes and investments.
S&P said, "Our 'BB+' issuer credit rating and positive outlook on
QazaqGaz are unchanged. Consistent with our previous forecast, we
expect debt to EBITDA at about 2.0x in 2026 and potentially up to
about 2.5x in 2027, compared with 2.0x in 2025. This is because of
the company's increasing investments in the domestic network, and
new joint ventures (JVs) with Qatari partners for the construction
of the second line of the Beineu-Bozoy-Shymkent gas pipeline,
processing plants in Kashagan, and a compressor station and the
main gas pipeline in the Aktobe and Kostanay regions. We expect
about Kazakhstani tenge (KZT) 400 billion on equity contributions
to these JVs in 2026, on top of about KZT116 billion of own capital
expenditure. These investments are aimed at expanding
transportation capacity and supporting growth in domestic gas
supply, and we could eventually expect these assets to generate
additional cash flow, including potential dividend income from JVs,
although we have not yet reflected this in our base-case scenario.
"That said, we anticipate that a 33% yearly increase in local
tariffs over 2025-2027 will help QazaqGaz reach break-even domestic
EBITDA by 2027, while favorable market conditions and high gas
demand in China will generate additional revenue from exports.
Generally, we expect market conditions to be favorable to QazaqGaz
in the near term, as supply disruptions in the global liquefied
natural gas markets due to the conflict in the Middle East could
increase demand for pipeline gas. Accordingly, we expect at least
KZT350 billion of dividends from longstanding JVs should contribute
to consolidated EBITDA and support metrics.
"The positive outlook on the rating mirrors that on Kazakhstan, a
positive action on which is the most likely upgrade scenario for
QazaqGaz. At the same time, there's a potential for the improvement
in its stand-alone creditworthiness, as well, if the upward tariff
revision, combined with higher exports, translates into sustainably
stronger metrics."
TAS FINANCE: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Kazakhstan-based Microfinance
Organization TAS FINANCE GROUP LLP's (TAS) Long-Term Foreign- and
Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'B'. The Outlook is
Stable.
Key Rating Drivers
Modest Franchise; Regulatory Risk: TAS's ratings reflect its modest
franchise in the domestic microfinance sector and its monoline and
concentrated business model, with a focus on secured used
car-backed loans (82% of the total loan portfolio at end-2025) and
higher-risk under-banked customers. They also consider its basic
underwriting standards and risk controls, as well as its
concentrated funding profile and limited liquidity flexibility.
Strong Capitalisation; Declining Profitability: TAS has sound
buffers relative to regulatory requirements, and a granular, mostly
short-term secured loan portfolio, backed by liquid collateral. It
has had only moderate credit losses and good profitability,
although this came under pressure in 2024 and 2025 amid a volatile
macroeconomic environment and regulatory pressure.
Monoline Business, Regulatory Risk: TAS provides secured loans to
under-banked clients with limited credit history, backed mostly by
used cars and real estate (18% of portfolio at end-2025). Clients
are largely individuals and small business owners, who use the
loans to finance consumption and working capital. TAS's business is
sensitive to evolving regulation for microfinance companies and
could be subject to event risk, such as further interest-rate caps
or changes in licensing requirements. Exposure to these borrowers,
potential market disapproval, sensitivity to regulatory changes and
conduct-related risks have a negative effect on TAS's credit
profile.
Key Person Risk, Stiff Competition: TAS's management has so far
been able to handle macroeconomic and regulatory challenges,
achieving adequate performance, despite the recent profitability
decrease. In Fitch's view, key-person risk is material and could
affect governance practices, due to high reliance on shareholders
and their families for decision-making. However, TAS complies with
all local regulatory and disclosure requirements.
TAS is one of the largest companies in domestic secured loans, but
its franchise is smaller than larger local micro-finance companies'
and, in its view, could be replicated by incumbents including banks
and microfinance and fintech companies.
High Portfolio Growth: TAS's portfolio growth was strong at 46% in
2025 (20% in 2024), which Fitch believes could pressure the
company's underwriting practices, and consequently asset quality,
as the portfolio seasons. Positively, TAS has demonstrated a solid
record of maintaining adequate risk controls through periods of
macroeconomic volatility and strong portfolio growth.
Impaired Loans Decreased: TAS's impaired loans/gross loans ratio
(Stage 3) decreased to 5.3% at end-2025 from 7.1% at end-2024,
which, in its view, was due to rapid portfolio growth and could
give rise to further seasoning and macroeconomic challenges. TAS's
coverage ratio (loan loss reserves/impaired loans) was about 40% at
end-2025; however, its acceptable loan-to-value ratio and
collateral quality requirements support its asset quality.
Profitability Decreased: TAS's pre-tax income/average assets
decreased to 13% in 2025 from 23% in 2023, due to increased
interest, employee and other operating expenses. The net interest
margin (NIM) fell to 26% in 2025 from 33% in 2023, but, in its
view, was still solid. TAS's business model is labour-intensive,
and its cost/income ratio rose to about 50% in 2025 from 36% in
2023, due mostly to an increase in employee expenses. Fitch
believes TAS is subject to potential earnings and business model
volatility due to its exposure to regulatory actions across the
sector on lending to higher-risk and more vulnerable borrowers.
Strong Capital Buffers: TAS's leverage ratio (gross debt/tangible
equity) increased to 1.5x at end-2025 from 1.1x at end-2024 due to
rapid portfolio growth and moderate dividends. It is still stronger
than most of its peers', and the company maintains a comfortable
buffer above regulatory requirements. TAS's equity/assets ratio,
its prudential capital measurement (regulatory minimum requirement
of 10%), was 44% at end-2025.
Adequate Liquidity, High Equity Funding: TAS's debt funding
includes unsecured tenge-denominated bonds (51% of total debt at
end-2025) and secured loans from JSC Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan
(BBB-/Stable; 39% of total debt) and other sources. In addition,
the company uses equity to fund around half of its assets. Its
short-term liquidity, measured as liquid assets/short-term funding,
was modest at 0.2x at end-2025 (end-2024: 0.2x). However, in its
view, TAS's liquidity is supported by the cash flow-generative
nature of its business model.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A regulatory event, for example considerably tighter lending
caps, negatively affecting TAS's business model viability or signs
of funding and refinancing problems (including covenant breaches),
compromising its funding access or ability to grow
- Prolonged high interest rates in Kazakhstan, alongside
asset-quality challenges, which could put pressure on TAS's
earnings and portfolio quality
- A material reduction in TAS's regulatory capital headroom or its
gross debt/tangible equity ratio approaching 5.5x, particularly if
combined with material asset-quality deterioration and weaker
revenue generation, weighing on profitability and capital buffers
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Sustained growth of TAS's franchise and business scale over the
long term, maintaining solid financial metrics
- Sustained funding diversification, stable and proven access to
international financial institution funding
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
TAS's senior unsecured bond rating is equalised with its Long-Term
Local-Currency IDR, reflecting Fitch's view that the likelihood of
default on the senior unsecured obligation is the same as that of
the company, with average recovery prospects reflected in a 'RR4'
Recovery Rating.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Negative rating action on TAS's Long-Term IDR
- Weaker recovery expectations, for example due to materially
weaker capitalisation or higher asset encumbrance
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Positive rating action on TAS's Long-Term IDR
ADJUSTMENTS
TAS's 'b' Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) is in line with the
implied SCP.
The 'bb-' sector risk operating environment score is in line with
the 'bb' category implied score.
The 'bb-' sector risk operating environment score is below the
'bbb' implied category score due to the following adjustment
reason(s): regulatory and legal framework (negative).
The 'b' business profile score is below the 'bb' category implied
score due to the following adjustment reason(s): business model
(negative).
The 'b' asset quality score is below the 'bb' category implied
score due to the following adjustment reason(s): risk profile and
business model (negative).
The 'bb-' earnings and profitability score is below the 'bbb'
category implied score due to the following adjustment reason(s):
portfolio risk (negative).
The 'b+' capitalisation and leverage score is below the 'bb'
category implied score due to the following adjustment reason(s):
risk profile and business model (negative).
The 'b' funding, liquidity and coverage score is above the 'ccc &
below' category implied score due to the following adjustment
reason(s): cash flow-generative business model (positive).
ESG Considerations
TAS has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for customer welfare given
its exposure to higher-risk, underbanked borrowers with limited
credit history and variable incomes. This underlines social risks
arising from increased regulatory scrutiny and policies to protect
more vulnerable borrowers (such as lending caps) regarding its
lending practices, pricing transparency and consumer data
protection. This has a moderately negative impact on TAS's credit
profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
TAS has as ESG Relevance Score of '4' for exposure to social
impacts. This reflects risks arising from a business model focused
on extending credit at high rates, which could give rise to
consumer and market disapproval, and to regulatory changes and
conduct-related risks that could affect the company's franchise and
performance metrics. This has a moderately negative impact on TAS's
credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with
other factors.
TAS has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for governance structure.
This reflects high key-person risk due to significant dependence on
the company's shareholders and their families in decision-making,
which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant
to the rating in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Microfinance
Organization TAS
FINANCE GROUP LLP LT IDR B Affirmed B
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR B Affirmed B
LC ST IDR B Affirmed B
Natl LT BB+(kaz) Affirmed BB+(kaz)
senior
unsecured LT B Affirmed RR4 B
TECHNOLEASING LLC: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed TechnoLeasing LLC's (TL) Long-Term
Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'B' and National Long-Term Rating
at 'BB(kaz)'. The Outlooks are Stable.
Key Rating Drivers
Modest Leasing Franchise: TL's ratings reflect its modest franchise
in Kazakhstan's leasing market, its monoline business model with
substantial concentration by lessee and industry, and its reliance
on continued access to funding, which can be volatile. The ratings
also take account of sound and improving profitability, and a solid
leverage position, helped by contained loan impairments.
Stable Outlook: The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch's view that TL's
credit profile can withstand moderate macroeconomic challenges,
including high interest rates and inflation. It also reflects TL's
record of adequate profitability and capitalisation during several
stressed periods.
Reducing Leverage: TL's gross debt/tangible equity ratio improved
to 1.8x at end-2025 from 3.2x at end-2023, helped by modest growth
and full profit retention. Absolute capital size remains small, but
is improving, to KZT9.9 billion (USD19.6 million) at end-2025. TL's
liabilities/equity ratio of 2.2x was well below the covenanted
ratio of 5x. Management aims to keep an ample buffer, targeting
capitalisation (equity/assets) above 25% in the long term.
Limited Funding Flexibility: TL's liquidity is acceptable for the
rating, with a well-matched balance sheet and solid unrestricted
cash balances of KZT1.3 billion at end-2025, covering 19.6% of
short-term debt. However, TL has limited access to unsecured
funding and most of its debt is secured (72.3% of total debt at
end-2025), following the repayment of unsecured bonds in April
2025, constraining its funding flexibility and liquidity.
High Concentrations: TL's asset quality is vulnerable to
macroeconomic challenges, agricultural commodity prices, harvests
and export controls. Fitch assesses TL's credit risk as high, given
its considerable exposure to the agricultural sector (47% of total)
and concentrated lessee base. Its lessees have high seasonality of
revenue and are sensitive to weather-related risks. This drives
high volatility in TL's non-performing loans (NPLs), but reasonable
underwriting and collateral management help TL to contain credit
losses across the cycle.
Volatile Impairments; Low Coverage: TL's impaired leases declined
to 0.3% of the total gross portfolio at end-2025 from a peak of
6.6% at end-2024, driven by a return to repayment schedule and
recovery of delinquent exposures, primarily related to its largest
agricultural lessee. Loss allowance amounted to 0.6% of the total
gross portfolio at end-2025 (corresponding to healthy reserve
coverage of 163%); however, Fitch expects it to decrease, in the
absence of increases in NPLs.
Potential Competition: Profitability has been gradually
strengthening, with TL's pretax income/average assets ratio at 5.2%
in 2025 (2022: 3.2%), supported by widening net interest margins.
Fitch believes TL's profitability could come under pressure from
increasing competition, particularly from state-owned entities and
bank subsidiaries, and broader macroeconomic volatility. However,
Fitch expects TL to maintain healthy performance in 2026-2027, in
the absence of one-off impairment losses.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
TL's ratings could be downgraded on signs of increased refinancing
risk, such as funding becoming increasingly reliant on short-term
sources, or an inability to access liquidity when needed.
The ratings could also be downgraded on changes in strategic
direction that contribute to a material increase in risk appetite,
or an increase in the gross debt/tangible equity ratio to above 5x,
which would significantly narrow headroom to covenanted leverage
metrics.
A deterioration in asset quality that affects profitability and
reduces loss absorption buffers could also lead to a rating
downgrade, as could weakening profitability, for example, due to
competitive pressure or state intervention in the agricultural
leasing sector, with pre-tax return on average assets dropping
below 2% on a sustained basis.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Rating upside is limited in the medium term and would require a
materially stronger franchise, improved liquidity and greater
funding diversification.
In the long term, a more diversified portfolio and larger business
scale relative to both domestic and international peers', combined
with a conservative leverage profile and the maintenance of
financial indicators above peers', could be positive for the
rating.
ADJUSTMENTS
The asset quality score 'b' is below the implied category 'bb' due
to the following adjustment reason: risk profile and business model
(negative).
The earnings and profitability score 'b' is below the implied
category 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason: revenue
diversification (negative).
The capitalisation and leverage score 'b+' is below the implied
category 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason: risk profile
and business model (negative).
The funding, liquidity and coverage score 'b-' is below the implied
category 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason: funding
flexibility (negative).
ESG Considerations
TL has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure due
to significant dependence on the sole shareholder in
decision-making, which has a negative impact on the credit profile,
and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other factors.
TL has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Exposure to Environmental
Impacts due to its large exposure to the agricultural sector, which
has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
TechnoLeasing LLC LT IDR B Affirmed B
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR B Affirmed B
Natl LT BB(kaz)Affirmed BB(kaz)
TRANSTELECOM CO: S&P Upgrades ICR to 'B+' on Low Leverage
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its global scale issuer credit rating on
TransTeleCom Co. JSC to 'B+' from 'B', and national scale issuer
credit rating to 'kzBBB' from 'kzBBB-'.
S&P said, "The stable outlook on the long-term global scale rating
reflects our expectation of comfortable liquidity, and S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA remaining below 2x, funds from
operations (FFO) to debt of more than 40%, and positive free
operating cash flow (FOCF) with FOCF to debt at about 10% or
more."
S&P said, "We forecast that Kazakhstan-based telecoms operator
TransTeleCom Co. JSC will maintain low leverage and prioritize
gradual debt repayment over dividend distribution in the absence of
large investment projects in the next two years.
"Therefore, we expect S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to reduce
gradually, and leverage to decline below 1.5x in 2025-2026 and to
about 1.0x in 2027 from 2.1x in 2024, while core telecom operations
continue to generate solid EBITDA."
TransTeleCom is participating in a large-scale project of
Kazakhtelecom, which will boost the company's EBITDA in 2026-2027.
Kazakhtelecom is executing the state project to provide high-speed
internet to 99% of the country's villages by the end of 2027, with
the total cost of the project exceeding Kazakhstani tenge (KZT) 200
billion (about US$430 million). TransTeleCom is acting as a
contractor responsible for construction of fiberoptic
infrastructure, while Kazakhtelecom will retain control over
underlying assets. In this role, TransTeleCom is expected to
receive remuneration for its services, which should add about KZT20
billion to EBITDA over 2026-2027.
S&P said, "At the same time, we expect project-related activities
to inflate revenue and operating expenditure in 2026-2027, leading
to temporary decline in reported EBITDA margins to about 15% .
Nevertheless, we anticipate that TransTeleCom's core telecom and IT
business will continue to operate with a broadly stable
profitability of about 25%.
"With additional EBITDA from the contract and in absence of own
large investment projects, we expect TransTeleCom will repay
maturing debt and maintain leverage below 1.5 x in the next two
years. We expect S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt declined to KZT38
billion as of year-end 2025 and will decline to KZT33 billion at
year-end 2026, from KZT47 billion in 2024, and thus, leverage
should reduce below 1.5x in 2025-2026 from 2.1x in 2024. The
deleveraging results primarily from debt repayments according to
maturity schedule. We expect the core telecom operations will
remain stable and the completed contracts will be gradually
replaced with new ones yielding broadly the same profitability,
while the existing contracts assume regular indexation, which is
supportive of EBITDA generation.
"We expect healthy positive FOCF generation, barring large
debt-funded investment projects, and neutral to positive net
working capital. The company's performance has been volatile in the
past few years mainly due to one-off IT projects; however, we
anticipate more visibility in the next few years given the known
parameters of the Kazakhtelecom project. The company reported
materially negative net working capital in 2024 due to settlements
related to disposal of data centers, which we view as a one-time
occurrence. Accordingly, we forecast net working capital will
normalize to at least neutral in 2025 and thereafter, and
contribute to positive FOCF generation with FOCF to debt at or
above 10% in the forecast period through 2027.
"We expect TransTeleCom to prioritize debt repayments over elevated
dividend distributions. TransTeleCom's dividend policy allows
60%-100% distribution of net income. In our base case, we assume
that dividends of about KZT7 billion in 2026-2027. TransTeleCom
does not have a leverage target, but we think that releveraging due
to extensive dividends is unlikely, and it's more likely to
materialize from large new investment projects.
"The recent change of major shareholder may affect longer-term
development strategy and investment plans. Unit Telecom owns 75% of
TransTeleCom, and in 2025, Jusan Mobile JSC acquired a 51% stake in
Unit Telecom, which made it the major shareholder of TransTeleCom.
We anticipate that the new ownership may affect the company’s
development strategy and investments to support it. At this stage,
the absence of a long-term growth framework limits visibility of
the financial policy. For now, we assume that the core telecom and
IT business will grow organically and capital expenditure (capex)
will not exceed average historical levels of about KZT15 billion
annually.
"The stable outlook indicates that we expect TransTeleCom to
maintain moderate leverage with debt to EBITDA below 2x, and FFO to
debt of more than 40% in the medium term, while generating positive
FOCF, with FOCF to debt about 10% on average. We also forecast a
temporary weakening in profitability to about 15% due to inflated
revenue and expense over 2026-2027, related to the large project
with Kazakhtelecom.
"We could lower the rating if the company's credit metrics worsen
materially and sustainably, for example on the back of
higher-than-forecast capex or dividends, low-profitability one-off
projects, or operating headwinds affecting profitability and FOCF
generation.
"Further upside would hinge on sustainable business improvements,
making business less volatile and more predictable, a clear
development strategy, and a track record of operating under the new
major shareholder."
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
4FINANCE HOLDING: Fitch Affirms 'B' IDR, Alters Outlook to Positive
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has revised 4finance Holding S.A.'s Outlook to
Positive from Stable, while affirming the company's Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B'.
Fitch has also affirmed 4finance S.A.'s senior unsecured bonds,
which are unconditionally and irrevocably guaranteed by 4finance
Holding and its major operating subsidiaries, at 'B' with a
Recovery Rating of 'RR4'.
The revision of the Outlook is primarily driven by the completion
of the sale of TBI Bank in February 2026, which released previously
ringfenced capital and materially improved the quality and
usability of the group's capital and liquidity to support debt
repayment, loss absorption and growth. It is also supported by the
announced early redemption of its October 2026 bond on 27 April
2026, which materially reduced near-term refinancing risk.
Key Rating Drivers
Sub-prime Online Consumer Lender: 4finance Holding's ratings are
driven by its standalone credit profile and reflect the inherently
high regulatory and credit risks of its monoline business model in
the higher-risk subsector of consumer lending. They also reflect
increasing exposure to weaker operating environments, heightening
foreign-currency risk.
Rating strengths are its long record of stable operations in sub-
and near-prime unsecured consumer lending, its good profitability,
granular, short-dated loan portfolio, tested access to bond markets
and reduced refinancing risk.
Fitch has historically treated 4finance Holding's 100%-owned
Bulgarian bank subsidiary, TBI Bank, as an asset held for sale due
to limited integration and synergies with the group.
Good Financial Record: 4finance Holding has shown adequate
financial performance through economic cycles and in different
countries by developing well-established underwriting practices.
High margins, sufficient scale, small ticket loans, short tenors
and effective use of extensive client data have allowed the group
to build a profitable online lending business ahead of some peers
and to roll out its model in additional markets.
Materially Improved Capitalisation: The sale of TBI Bank in
February 2026 released previously ringfenced capital, materially
strengthening the group's capitalisation. Fitch expects 4finance
Holding's gross debt-to-tangible equity ratio to improve to about
0.5x by mid-2026. Its assessment remains constrained by its
high-risk sub-prime lending focus, but this is partly offset by
strong internal capital generation, a short-dated, granular
portfolio and high provisioning levels, which limit potential
capital erosion.
TBI Bank Sale Beneficial: The disposal of TBI Bank released
significant liquidity that had previously been trapped within a
regulated entity. In its view, the bank offered limited strategic
synergies with the core non-bank financial institutions' business
and restricted cash upstreaming to the group. Fitch factors in up
to EUR40 million of dividend payments from the sale proceeds.
Sanctions imposed in Poland in December 2024, restricting 4finance
Holding's re-entry into that market, have had no impact on the
group's operations so far.
High Credit Risk: 4finance Holding's business model results in
large credit losses, with cost of risk (loan impairment
charges/average gross loans) at 46%, while impairment charges
consumed 75% of Fitch-defined pre-impairment operating profit in
2025. Impaired loans were 1.5x covered by loan loss provisions.
Portfolio seasoning risks are modest, as at end-2025, about 65% of
loans matured within 12 months and the loan portfolio's average
maturity was nine months. Single-name concentration is low, with
the 20 largest exposures representing 0.2% of the loan book at
end-2025.
Adequate Profitability: 4finance Holding's business model assumes
high margins on loans, which are subsequently consumed by high
impairment charges and marketing expenses. However, efficient
online-based operations, with over 90% of loans issued through
mobile phone apps, and a high number of repeat customers resulted
in a sound cost/income ratio of 40% in 2025 (2024: 39%). However,
expansion into new markets and different subsectors could lead to
earnings volatility.
4finance Holding's pre-tax income/average assets ratio was 3% in
2025, but it was adversely affected by the high share of TBI Bank's
net asset value in its calculation of assets, while excluding its
returns due to the limited fungibility of capital prior to February
2026.
Liquid Balance Sheet: 4finance Holding materially strengthened its
liquidity following the sale of TBI Bank in February 2026. The
group's business model is based on originating short-term loans
that are primarily funded with longer-term bond issuance. This
supports its immediate liquidity, allowing it to deleverage in a
manageable manner.
Reduced Refinancing Risk: At end-2025, the group had two
outstanding bonds, maturing in October 2026 and May 2028. In April
2026, it announced the early redemption of its October 2026 bond,
including accrued interest, amounting to about EUR140 million. The
repayment of the bond on 27 April will materially reduce near-term
refinancing risk. 4finance Holding's reliance on wholesale funding
leaves it sensitive to shifts in investor sentiment, even though it
has shown continued access to capital markets.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The Outlook could be revised to Stable as a result of a sharp
increase in credit risk or leverage, for instance, due to rapid
lending growth in lower-rated jurisdictions or higher-than-expected
dividend pay-outs.
- A weakening of the funding and liquidity profile with, for
example, shorter average debt maturities or reduced liquidity
buffers
- A material deterioration in profitability with, for example,
pre-tax income/average assets ratio worsening to below 2%
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Deploying the bulk of proceeds from the sale of TBI Bank in
sustainably growing its franchise, leading to a stronger and more
diversified business model, alongside the maintenance of sound
financial metrics, could lead to an upgrade of the Long-Term IDR to
'B+'
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
4finance Holding's debt issuing subsidiary, 4Finance S.A., has two
outstanding senior unsecured bonds of EUR139 million (initial
contractual maturity in October 2026, but will be repaid on 27
April 2026) and EUR135 million (maturing in May 2028). Both bonds
are irrevocably and unconditionally guaranteed by 4finance
Holding's major operating subsidiaries of the group.
4finance Holding has no material external debt other than its two
senior unsecured bonds. Fitch rates the senior unsecured debt in
line with the Long-Term IDR, as the bonds are reference
obligations, and Fitch expects average recovery prospects given the
group's unsecured funding profile.
DEBT AND OTHER INSTRUMENT RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The senior unsecured debt rating is mainly sensitive to changes in
the Long-Term IDR.
Changes to its assessment of recovery prospects for the senior
unsecured debt could result in the senior unsecured debt rating
being notched down from the Long-Term IDR.
ADJUSTMENTS
The sector risk operating environment score of 'bb' is below the
implied score of 'bbb' due to the following adjustment reason(s):
regulatory and legal framework (negative); regional, industry or
sub-sector focus (negative).
The business profile score of 'b' is below the implied score of
'bb' due to the following adjustment reason(s): business model
(negative).
The earnings and profitability score of 'b+' is below the implied
score of 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason(s): portfolio
risk (negative).
The funding, liquidity and coverage score of 'b' is below the
implied score of 'bb' due to the following adjustment reason(s):
business model/funding market convention (negative).
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Fitch treated TBI Bank as an asset held for sale also for the
historical period, due to its limited integration and synergies
with 4finance Holding.
ESG Considerations
4finance Holding has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Exposure to
Social Impacts due to regulatory risks to the business model
development (including the potential tightening of lending rate
caps), which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is
relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
4finance Holding has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Customer
Welfare - Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security due to the risks
in the context of fair lending practices and pricing transparency,
which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant
to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
4finance Holding has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Group
Structure due to the developing nature of its corporate governance
structure with limited independent oversight including the absence
of a supervisory board, which has a negative impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other
factors.
4finance Holding has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance
Structure due to the developing nature of its corporate governance
structure, which has a negative impact on the credit profile, and
is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
4finance Holding S.A. LT IDR B Affirmed B
ST IDR B Affirmed B
4Finance S.A.
senior unsecured LT B Affirmed RR4 B
=====================
N E T H E R L A N D S
=====================
DUTCH MORTGAGE 2026-1: S&P Assigns BB (sf) Rating to X-Dfrd Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned credit ratings to Dutch Mortgage
Finance 2026-1 B.V.'s class A, B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd,
F-Dfrd, and X-Dfrd notes. At closing, the issuer also issued
unrated class R, S1, and S2 notes.
The pool comprises about EUR400 million prime BTL mortgage loans
located in the Netherlands, mainly originated by RNHB B.V. Vesting
Finance Servicing B.V. conducts the primary servicing, and RNHB
B.V. is the master and special servicer. RNHB focuses on the BTL
and mid-market real estate lending business in the Netherlands,
targeting real estate investors, primarily midsize and smaller
investment firms, as well as independent investors and affluent
individuals. Unlike other lenders in the Dutch BTL market, RNHB has
traditionally targeted commercial or mixed-use properties as well
as residential properties. S&P believes its underwriting,
origination, and risk management policies and procedures are in
line with market standards.
The capital structure has a fully sequential application of
principal proceeds. Therefore, credit enhancement can build up over
time, starting with the senior notes, enabling the structure to
withstand performance shocks. A fully-funded amortizing reserve
fund equal to 1% of 100/95 of the class A to F-Dfrd notes' initial
balance provides liquidity and credit support for the transaction.
The floor is set at 1.0% of the outstanding balance of the class A
to F-Dfrd notes on the step-up date. The transaction's ability to
use principal receipts to pay senior fees and interest on the most
senior class of outstanding notes provides further liquidity.
S&P said, "We classify the properties that form the portfolio's
underlying security as 29.1% commercial and 9.9% partially
commercial-use (mixed-use) properties, according to our criteria.
Overall, they are within our 40% threshold for non-residential
loans. However, these exposures can increase due to further
advances.
"The seller is not a deposit-taking institution, and therefore, the
transaction is not exposed to deposit setoff risk. The issuer is a
Dutch special-purpose entity, which we consider to be bankruptcy
remote."
The issuer is exposed to Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. (Rabobank) as
a collection foundation account bank, U.S. Bank Europe DAC as a
bank account provider, and NatWest Markets N.V. as a swap
counterparty. The replacement mechanisms mitigate the transaction's
exposure to counterparty risk in line with S&P's counterparty
criteria.
S&P said, "We have used our "Principles Of Credit Ratings," Feb.
16, 2011, and "Methodology And Assumptions: Analyzing European
Commercial Real Estate Collateral In European Covered Bonds," March
31, 2015, to account for the higher proportion of commercial and
mixed-use properties in the pool than in a typical RMBS
transaction.
"Our ratings address the timely payment of interest and the
ultimate payment of principal on the class A notes and the ultimate
payment of interest and principal on the other rated notes if they
are not the most senior class outstanding. Our analysis reflects
our view that, at the assigned ratings, the senior fees and any
swap outflows will be paid on time."
Ratings
Class Rating* Amount (mil. EUR) Class size (%)§
A AAA (sf) 332.4 87.50
B-Dfrd AA (sf) 17.1 4.50
C-Dfrd A (sf) 12.3 3.25
D-Dfrd BBB (sf) 6.6 1.75
E-Dfrd BB (sf) 4.7 1.25
F-Dfrd CCC (sf) 6.6 1.75
X-Dfrd BB (sf) 7.6 2.00
R NR N/A N/A
S1 NR N/A N/A
S2 NR N/A N/A
*S&P's ratings address timely receipt of interest and ultimate
repayment of principal on the class A notes, and ultimate repayment
of interest and principal on the class B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd,
E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, and X-Dfrd notes.
§As a percentage of 95% of the pool for the class A to F-Dfrd
notes.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
===========
R U S S I A
===========
ELDIK BANK: Fitch Puts 'B' Final Rating to Sr. Unsecured Eurobond
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Open joint-stock company Eldik Bank's
USD500 million 8.5% five-year senior unsecured Eurobond issue a
final long-term rating of 'B' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'.
The assignment of the final rating follows the completion of the
issue and receipt of documents conforming to the information
previously received. The final rating is the same as the expected
rating assigned on 14 April 2026 (see Fitch Rates Eldik Bank's
Upcoming Senior Unsecured Eurobond 'B(EXP)'/'RR4').
Key Rating Drivers
The final rating is in line with Eldik's Long-Term Foreign-Currency
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'B'. In accordance with Fitch's
rating criteria, recovery prospects for the notes are average, as
reflected in their Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. The Eurobonds
constitute direct, general, unsubordinated and unsecured
obligations of the bank, which rank pari passu with all other
unsecured unsubordinated obligations of Eldik.
Eldik's Long-Term IDRs are equalised with Kyrgyzstan's sovereign
ratings, reflecting the limited probability of support from the
Kyrgyz authorities, as reflected by the bank's 'b' Government
Support Rating (GSR). Eldik's 'b-' Viability Rating reflects its
exposure to the volatile and structurally weak Kyrgyz economy, its
high risk appetite and loan quality risks, balanced against a good
domestic franchise and a record of high capitalisation and
profitability.
For more details on Eldik's ratings and credit profile, see 'Fitch
Upgrades Eldik Bank to 'B'; Outlook Stable', dated 3 June 2025.
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A negative rating action on the IDR will result in a similar rating
action on the debt rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A positive rating action on the IDR will result in a similar rating
action on the debt rating.
Date of Relevant Committee
13-Apr-2026
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
Eldik's GSR and IDRs are directly linked to Kyrgyzstan's sovereign
IDRs.
ESG Considerations
Unless otherwise disclosed in this section, the highest level of
ESG credit relevance is a score of '3'. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Open joint-stock
company Eldik Bank
senior unsecured LT B New Rating RR4 B(EXP)
=========
S P A I N
=========
BBVA RMBS 3: Fitch Affirms 'Csf' Rating on Class C Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed BBVA RMBS 3, FTA (BBVA 3) and removed
the tranches from Rating Watch Positive.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
BBVA RMBS 3, FTA
B ES0314149032 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
C ES0314149040 LT Csf Affirmed Csf
Transaction Summary
The transaction comprises Spanish mortgages serviced by Banco
Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. (A-/Stable/F1).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Updated HPI for Spain: The rating actions reflect its updated
assumptions driving recovery rates under the European RMBS Rating
Criteria. Since the previous house price index (HPI) update in
October 2024, official data indicates that Spain has recorded
strong house price growth, which has positively affected the
weighted average indexed current loan-to-value ratios of relevant
transactions (see 'Fitch Places 42 European RMBS Tranches on Rating
Watch Positive on House Price Decline Update' dated 3 March 2026).
Deferred Interest and Outstanding PDL: Outstanding deferred
interest in all transactions' junior notes is not expected to be
repaid before legal maturity, in line with the stressed nature of
their ratings. There is also a material share of principal
deficiency ledger (PDL) outstanding (12% of the collateralised
notes balance), and the reserve fund is fully depleted.
Credit Enhancement to Increase: Fitch expects credit enhancement
(CE) to continue increasing for BBVA 3 given prevailing sequential
amortisation and the ongoing clearing of PDLs. The very low or
negative CE ratios for BBVA 3 notes are reflected in their
distressed ratings.
Neutral Asset Performance Outlook: The rating action reflects the
transaction's broadly stable asset performance outlook, in line
with its neutral asset performance outlook for eurozone RMBS. The
transaction has low shares of loans in arrears over 90 days
excluding defaults (below 0.5%) and is protected by substantial
portfolio seasoning of more than 17 years.
Fitch has applied a 1.5x transaction adjustment to BBVA 3's
foreclosure frequency (FF) rates to reflect its general assessment
of the pool considering the historical performance data. This
accounts for the difference between observed FF performance in the
portfolio and the criteria-derived transaction-specific weighted
average (WA) FF, resulting in an increase in the transaction's
WAFF.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Long-term asset performance deterioration such as increased
delinquencies or larger defaults, which could be driven by changes
to macroeconomic conditions, interest-rate increases or borrower
behaviour
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Increases in CE ratios as the transactions deleverage to fully
compensate for the credit losses and cash flow stresses
commensurate with higher ratings
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset
pools and the transactions. Fitch has not reviewed the results of
any third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
Fitch did not undertake a review of the information provided about
the underlying asset pool ahead of the transaction's closing. The
subsequent performance of the transactions over the years is
consistent with the rating agency's expectations given the
operating environment and Fitch is therefore satisfied that the
asset pool information relied upon for its initial rating analysis
was adequately reliable.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the rating
agency's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is adequately reliable.
In addition, Fitch's credit analysis of BBVA 3 assumed a 30%
exposure to broker origination consistent with the information as
of the closing dates because the latest loan-by-loan portfolio data
did not include information about origination channel.
ESG Considerations
BBVA 3 has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Transaction Parties &
Operational Risk due to the breach of derivative provider and
transaction account bank minimum ratings and the absence of
remedial actions, which has a negative impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the rating[s] in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
8 ALBERT CT: FTI Consulting Appointed as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------
8 Albert Ct Limited was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), No CR-2026-001789, and
Joanne Hewitt-Schembri, Ali Abbas Khaki, and Matthew Boyd Callaghan
of FTI Consulting were appointed as joint administrators on March
10, 2026.
The company engages in the buying and selling of own real estate.
The company's registered office is at c/o FTI Consulting, 200
Aldersgate, Aldersgate Street, London, EC1A 4HD.
The Joint Administrators can be reached at:
Joanne Hewitt-Schembri
Ali Abbas Khaki
Matthew Boyd Callaghan
FTI Consulting
200 Aldersgate, Aldersgate Street
London, Greater London, United Kingdom
For further details, contact:
FTI Consulting
Tel. No: +44 (0)7974 518450
Email: project_mist@fticonsulting.com
ATLAS FUNDING 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BBsf' Rating to Class X2 Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Atlas Funding 2026-1 PLC final ratings,
as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Atlas Funding
2026-1 PLC
A XS3346958914 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B XS3346959052 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C XS3346959136 LT A+sf New Rating A+(EXP)sf
D XS3346959219 LT BBB+sf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E XS3346959300 LT BB+sf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
X1 XS3346959565 LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
X2 XS3346959649 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Atlas 2026-1 is a securitisation of buy to-let (BTL) mortgages
originated in England and Wales by Lendco Limited. This is the
seventh securitisation in the Atlas shelf. The transaction will
permit product switches, up to 25% of the closing pool balance,
till the optional redemption date (ORD). Lendco Limited also acts
as servicer.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Prime BTL: The pool has a weighted average (WA) seasoning of 29
months as just under half the pool was originated in 2021-2022. The
WA original loan-to-value is 72.1% and the Fitch calculated WA
interest coverage ratio 85.3%, which is in line with BTL RMBS
transactions rated by Fitch.
Lendco's target market consists of professional landlords and
limited companies with large portfolios. Borrower concentration is
lower than the predecessor Atlas transactions and more comparable
to peer non-bank BTL lenders. For this reason, Fitch has reduced
its transaction adjustment for the foreclosure frequency (FF) to
1.0x, versus 1.1x for the predecessor Atlas transactions.
Product Switches: The transaction allows for the retention of
product switches up to 25% (up from 12.5% for Atlas 2025-2) of the
closing collateral balance. This will be subject to the product
switch conditions and asset tests outlined in the transaction
documentation, including a requirement for the WA post-swap margin
on the total assets (fixed and floating) to be no less than 1.95%
over three-month SONIA.
Higher Prepayments Expected: Thirty-four per cent of the loans are
due to reset from their fixed rates in the next 12 months. Fitch
expects higher prepayments in the short term than in other recent
BTL transactions. Its assumptions follow the reset profile and
assume 40% constant payment rate for periods where there is a
concentration of loan interest-rate resets.
Pro-Rata for Initial Nine Months: The collateralised notes (class A
to E) will pay down on a pro-rata basis for nine months after
closing and thereafter switch to a sequential paydown. The pro-rata
period will be subject to a number of conditions, most notably that
the outstanding pool balance is no less than 50% the closing
principal balance of the notes. Any breach of conditions will lead
to an irreversible switch to sequential paydown of the
collateralised notes.
Fixed Interest Rate-Hedging Schedule: The pool consists of 93.1% of
the current balance of fixed-rate loans that are hedged through a
series of interest-rate swaps. A swap notional amount and margin
will be re-calculated at each interest payment date (IPD),
according to a pre-defined set of parameters, to account for the
fixed-rate roll-off of the loans and inclusion of product
switches.
This could lead to over-hedging due to defaults or prepayments,
reducing the performing asset balance by more than the reduction in
the swap notional amount over time. Over-hedging results in higher
available revenue funds in rising interest rate scenarios but lower
ones in falling interest rate scenarios.
Final Ratings Above Expected Ratings: The notes and swap rates were
priced at lower margins than those provided to Fitch when it
assigned the expected ratings. As a result, the final ratings for
the class D and E notes are one notch higher than the expected
ratings. In addition, as part of Fitch's rating determination, the
class C note is capped at 'A+sf' due to liquidity constraints,
while the class E note is capped at 'BB+sf' due to excessive
reliance on the turbo feature.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Transaction performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and economic environment. Weakening economic performance
is strongly correlated to increasing levels of delinquencies and
defaults that could reduce the credit enhancement available to the
notes. In addition, unanticipated declines in recoveries could
result in lower net proceeds, which may make certain note ratings
susceptible to negative rating actions, depending on the extent of
the decline in recoveries.
Fitch found that a 15% WAFF increase and a 15% WA recovery rate
decrease would result in downgrades of up to two notches each for
the class B, C and E notes and one notch each for the class A and D
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable-to-improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing credit enhancement and,
potentially, upgrades.
Fitch found that a decrease in the WAFF of 15% and an increase in
the WA recovery rate of 15%, would lead upgrades of one notch for
the class B and X2 notes, and up to three notches for the class D
note. The class A, C, E and X1 notes are already rated at their
respective maximum achievable ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small, targeted sample of the
originator's valuation files at the time of the previous issuance
and found the information contained in the reviewed files to be
adequately consistent with the originator's policies and practices
as well as the other information provided to Fitch about the asset
portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
CLOCK BIO: FRP Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------
Clock Bio Limited was placed into administration in the High Court
of Justice, Court Number CR-2026-001863. Geoffrey Paul Rowley and
Philip Lewis Armstrong of FRP Advisory Trading Limited were
appointed as joint administrators on March 11, 2026.
Clock Bio Limited specialized in research and experimental
development on biotechnology.
Its registered office is at Salisbury House, Station Road,
Cambridge, CB1 2LA (in the process of being changed to c/o FRP
Advisory Trading Limited, 2nd Floor, 110 Cannon Street, London,
EC4N 6EU).
The Joint Administrators can be reached at:
Geoffrey Paul Rowley
Philip Lewis Armstrong
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
110 Cannon Street
London
EC4N 6EU
For further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel. No: 020 3005 4000
Alternative contact: Aaron Graft
Email: cp.london@frpadvisory.com
E-CARAT UK 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'B+(EXP)sf' Rating to Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned E-CARAT UK 2026-1 PLC expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
final documents conforming to information already reviewed.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
E-CARAT UK
2026-1 PLC
Class A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class C LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class D LT BBB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class F LT B+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class G LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a securitisation of auto loan receivables
originated and serviced by Stellantis Financial Services UK
Limited. The financed vehicles are mainly from Stellantis brands
such as Vauxhall, Peugeot, Citroën and Fiat, and, to a lesser
extent non-Stellantis brands. A discounted asset balance is
expected to be sold to the issuer at the closing date, with
additional loans to be sold during a one-year revolving period,
subject to eligibility and replenishment criteria.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Stable Performance Drives Base Case: Fitch has set a 1.5% lifetime
default base-case assumption for the portfolio, reflecting stable
and strong historical default performance across the entire pool.
Overall performance has been resilient, despite some volatility
during pandemic-affected vintages, with recent originations showing
improvement. The high 'AAAsf' default multiple of 7.0x is due to
the low absolute level of the base case and the risks associated
with the revolving period. The base-case recovery rate is 65%,
mostly reflecting recoveries achieved in recent vintages. The
'AAAsf' haircut is in line with peer transactions at 45%, mainly
due to the secured nature of the assets.
RV and VT Risks Contained: The transaction is exposed to both
residual value (RV) and voluntary termination (VT) risks. However,
overall RV exposure is constrained by a 30% portfolio limit, which
is already reached. As a result, Fitch does not expect an increase
in RV exposure during the revolving period. Fitch has applied a
'AAAsf' RV loss assumption of 6.7% and a VT loss assumption of 6.4%
to the total stressed pool, reflecting the portfolio's risk profile
under stress scenarios.
Pro Rata Note Amortisation: The class A to G notes will be repaid
pro rata from the first payment date after the end of the revolving
period unless a sequential amortisation event occurs. This event is
mainly defined in relation to portfolio performance metrics, such
as a principal deficiency ledger (PDL) or cumulative losses
exceeding certain thresholds. The tail risk posed by the pro rata
pay-down is mitigated by the mandatory switch to sequential
amortisation when the portfolio balance falls below 10% of the
initial balance.
Experienced Servicer: There will be no replacement servicer in
place at closing. A replacement servicer will be appointed if
Stellantis Financial Services UK fails to fulfil payment
obligations to the issuer, fails to materially comply with its
other covenants or obligations, or becomes insolvent. A back-up
servicer facilitator will be in place from close. An amortising
liquidity reserve will be available from closing to cover liquidity
gaps on the class A to D notes resulting from servicing
discontinuity or other payment interruptions.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Unanticipated increases in the frequency of defaults or decreases
in recovery rates could produce larger losses than the base case
and could result in negative rating action on the notes.
Sensitivities to higher default rates and lower recoveries are
shown below:
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of increased defaults (class
A/B/C/D/E/F/G)
Increase default rates by 10%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'
Increase default rates by 25%:
'AA+sf'/'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'
Increase default rates by 50%:
'AA+sf'/'AA-sf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of reduced recoveries (class
A/B/C/D/E/F/G)
Reduce recovery rates by 10%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'
Reduce recovery rates by 25%:
'AAAsf'/'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'
Reduce recovery rates by 50%:
'AA+sf'/'AA-sf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'NRsf'
Expected impact on the notes' ratings of increased defaults and
reduced recoveries (class A/B/C/D/E/F/G)
Increase default rates by 10% and reduce recovery rates by 10%:
'AA+sf'/'AAsf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BB+sf'/'B+sf'/'NRsf'
Increase default rates by 25% and reduce recovery rates by 25%:
'AA+sf'/'AA-sf'/'Asf'/'BBB+sf'/'BBsf'/'Bsf'/'NRsf'
Increase default rates by 50% and reduce recovery rates by 50%:
'AAsf'/'A+sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BB-sf'/'CCCsf'/'NRsf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Unanticipated decreases in the frequency of defaults or increases
in recovery rates could produce smaller losses than the base case
and could result in positive rating action on the notes.
The expected impact on the notes' ratings of decreased default
rates by 10% and increased recovery rates by 10% are as follows
(class A/B/C/D/E/F/G):
'AAAsf'/'AA+sf'/'AA-sf'/'A-sf'/'BBB-sf'/'BBsf'/'NRsf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch sought to receive a third-party assessment conducted on the
asset portfolio information, but none was available for this
transaction.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
EMBANKMENT (TS): BTG Begbies, FRP Named as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------------
Embankment (TS) Limited was placed into administration in the
Business and Property Courts of England and Wales Insolvency and
Companies List (ChD), Court Number CR-2026-001982. Paul Steven
Cooper of BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP, David Paul Hudson and
Simon Baggs of FRP Advisory Trading Ltd were appointed as joint
administrators on March 13, 2026.
Embankment (TS) Limited specialized in the buying and selling of
own real estate and other letting and operating of own or leased
real estate.
Its registered office is at 134 Buckingham Palace Road, London,
SW1W 9SA.
The Joint Administrators can be reached at:
Paul Steven Cooper
BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP
40 Bank Street
Canary Wharf
London
E14 5NR
-- and --
David Paul Hudson
Simon Baggs
FRP Advisory Trading Ltd
2nd Floor, 110 Cannon Street
London
EC4N 6EU
For further details, contact:
Marcus Wright
Tel. No: 0114 275 5033
Email: sheffield.north@btguk.com
IVERNA COURT: BTG Begbies, FRP Advisory Appointed as Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Iverna Court Property Limited was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), Court Number
CR-2026-001981. Paul Cooper of BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP,
David Hudson and Simon Baggs of FRP Advisory Trading Limited were
appointed as administrators on March 13, 2026.
Iverna Court Property Limited specialized in the buying and selling
of own real estate, and other letting and operating of own or
leased real estate.
Its registered office is at 134 Buckingham Palace Road, London,
SW1W 9SA.
The Administrators can be reached at:
Paul Cooper
BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP
c/o Floor 2, 10 Wellington Place
Leeds
LS1 4AP
-- and --
David Hudson
Simon Baggs
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
110 Cannon Street
London
EC4N 6EU
For further details, contact:
Benjamin Silverwood
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
Tel. No: 0113 285 8610
Email: benjamin.silverwood@btguk.com
KINGSWAY SLG: Leonard Curtis Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Kingsway SLG Limited was placed into administration in the High
Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts of England and Wales
Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), Court Number CR-2026-001570.
Nick Myers and Alex Cadwallader of Leonard Curtis were appointed as
joint administrators on March 2, 2026.
Kingsway SLG Limited specialized in hotels and similar
accommodation.
Its registered office is at Cavern Court, 1st Floor, 8 Mathew
Street, Liverpool, Merseyside, L2 6RE.
The Joint Administrators can be reached at:
Nick Myers
Alex Cadwallader
Leonard Curtis
5th Floor, Grove House
248a Marylebone Road
London
NW1 6BB
For further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel. No: 020 7535 7000
Email: recovery@leonardcurtis.co.uk
Alternative contact: Amber Walker
NEW FORTRESS: Advances UK Restructuring with 97% Creditor Support
-----------------------------------------------------------------
New Fortress Energy Inc. previously announced on March 17, 2026,
that it entered into a Restructuring Support Agreement with its
creditors as part of a consensual UK Restructuring Plan. NFE is
pleased to announce that it has received commitments of support
for the transaction, to be implemented through a UK RP, from
approximately 97% in value of its holders and lenders in
aggregate.
Practice Statement Letter
NFE is also pleased to announce that its subsidiaries, NFE Global
Holdings Limited and NFE Brazil Newco Limited, have now executed
and published a practice statement letter dated April 20, 2026, in
connection with the implementation of the transactions
contemplated by the RSA via the UK RP.
The Practice Statement Letter is addressed to the Plan Creditors
(as defined in the Practice Statement Letter). The Practice
Statement Letter outlines each of the Plan Company's proposed UK
RP, its proposed effects and the next steps for Plan Creditors.
Creditors are encouraged to read the Practice Statement Letter
which is available online through the website:
https://deals.is.kroll.com/nfe, which has been set up by Kroll
Issuer Services Limited as information agent in connection with the
UK RP. Creditors that do not already have a password to access the
Plan Website and require one should contact the information agent
at the email address nfe@is.kroll.com.
Creditors should contact the Information Agent at nfe@is.kroll.com
with any questions on accessing the Practice Statement Letter --
including to request provision of a hard copy.
Convening Hearing
The Plan Companies intend to apply to the High Court of Justice of
England and Wales, for permission to convene a meeting of Plan
Creditors (as defined in the Practice Statement Letter) to consider
and, if thought appropriate, approve the UK RP. The date of the
Convening Hearing is expected to be May 14, 2026 and the details of
the Convening Hearing will be confirmed to Plan Creditors by the
Information Agent (and details will also be available on the Plan
Website).
Further Information
For further details on the transaction and its terms, please refer
to NFE's previous announcement on March 17, 2026, regarding its
entry into the RSA.
As previously announced, the Company expects the transaction to be
completed by the third quarter of 2026, subject to court
availability, customary conditions and regulatory approvals.
About New Fortress Energy Inc.
New Fortress Energy Inc., a Delaware corporation, is a global
energy infrastructure company founded to help address energy
poverty and accelerate the world's transition to reliable,
affordable and clean energy. The Company owns and operates natural
gas and liquefied natural gas infrastructure, ships and logistics
assets to rapidly deliver turnkey energy solutions to global
markets. The Company has liquefaction, regasification and power
generation operations in the United States, Jamaica, Brazil and
Mexico. The Company has marine operations with vessels operating
under time charters and in the spot market globally.
As of September 30, 2025, the Company had $11.9 billion in total
assets, $10.8 billion in total liabilities, and a total
stockholders' equity of $1.1 billion.
* * *
In November 2025, S&P Global Ratings lowered its Company credit
rating on New Fortress Energy Inc. (NFE) to 'SD' (selective
default) from 'CCC'. At the same time, S&P lowered its issue level
rating on NFE's 12% senior secured notes due 2029 to 'D' from
'CCC-'. The downgrade reflects NFE's decision to enter into a
forbearance agreement. S&P will reevaluate its ratings on NFE
before the end of November as more information becomes available.
The Company has initiated a process to evaluate its strategic
alternatives to improve its capital structure. It has retained
Houlihan Lokey Capital, Inc. as financial advisor and Skadden,
Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP as legal advisor to assist it in
this evaluation. The Company, along with its advisors, is
considering all options available, including asset sales, capital
raising, debt amendments and refinancing transactions, and other
strategic transactions that seek to provide additional liquidity
and relief from acceleration under its debt agreements.
As part of this process, the Company is engaging in discussions
with various existing stakeholders and potential investors. There
are inherent uncertainties as the outcome of these negotiations
and potential transactions are outside management's control, and
therefore there are no assurances that management will be
successful in these negotiations and that any of these potential
transactions will occur.
In addition, there can be no assurances that these transactions
will sufficiently improve the Company's liquidity or that the
Company will otherwise realize the anticipated benefits.
Moreover, if the Company fails to obtain amendments and
forbearance, the Company may be required or compelled to pursue
additional restructuring initiatives to preserve value and
optionality, including possible out-of-court restructurings, or
in-court relief, which could have a material and adverse impact on
the Company's stockholders.
QG PLACE (FLAT A): BTG Begbies, FRP Named as Joint Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------------
QG Place (Flat A) Limited was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), Court Number
CR-2026-001993. Paul Cooper of BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP,
David Hudson and Simon Baggs of FRP Advisory Trading Limited were
appointed as Joint Administrators on March 13, 2026.
QG Place (Flat A) Limited specialized in the buying and selling of
own real estate, and other letting and operating of own or leased
real estate.
Its registered office is at 134 Buckingham Palace Road, London,
SW1W 9SA.
The Joint Administrators can be reached at:
Paul Cooper
BTG Begbies Traynor (London) LLP
31st Floor, 40 Bank Street
London
E14 5NR
-- and --
David Hudson
Simon Baggs
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
110 Cannon Street
London
EC4N 6EU
For further details, contact:
Grace Sellars
BTG Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
Tel. No: 0113 521 0887
Email: Grace.Sellars@btguk.com
TULLOW OIL: S&P Cuts ICR to 'D' on Completion of Debt Restructuring
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on
Tullow Oil and its issue rating on its $1.285 billion senior
secured notes due May 2026 to 'D' (default) from 'CC'.
S&P said, "We will reassess our view of Tullow Oil's new capital
structure in the next few weeks based on the company's business
prospects. We will then also withdraw our rating on the $1.285
billion senior secured notes due May 2026 issued by Tullow Oil, to
reflect their release and exchange, and assign ratings to the $1.
21 billion senior secured notes issued by Tullow Holdco 2 Ltd."
On April 27, 2026, Tullow Oil implemented a consensual debt
restructuring on its entire capital structure. S&P Global Ratings
views this restructuring as a distressed debt exchange and
tantamount to a default.
Tullow Oil replaced its $1.285 billion senior secured notes and of
the $400 million loan provided by Glencore with new debt
instruments. The restructured debt comprises all the debt
instruments in its capital structure at the time of default. Under
the transaction:
-- Tullow Oil released the $1.285 billion senior secured notes
10.25% due May 15, 2026, and exchanged them for $1.185 billion
senior secured notes 10.25% cash, 3.0% payment in kind (PIK) and
1.75% pay-if-you can issued by Tullow Holdco 2 Ltd., while repaying
$100 million from cash on hand. In addition, Tullow Holdco 2 Ltd.
issued $25 million fungible new senior secured notes to Glencore as
a fee payment. The maturity of the new $1.21 billion senior secured
notes is November 2028, 2.5 years after the May 2026 maturity of
the original senior secured notes. This maturity will spring to May
18, 2028, if Tullow has not signed a legally binding sale and
purchase agreement by Sept. 30, 2027 (the mergers and acquisition
back-stop date).
-- Tullow Oil also released the $400 million Glencore secured loan
and exchanged it for $423 million junior notes issued by Tullow
Holdco 1 Ltd. The $423 million includes $23 million of capitalized
interests and upfront fee. These notes will bear interest at the
secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) plus 12.75% PIK per year
(with an additional 0.75% PIK if the Brent price for the relevant
period exceeds $65 per barrel [/bbl]) and will mature on May 15,
2030. These notes will rank junior to the new senior secured
notes.
-- Finally, Glencore also provided a new super senior $100 million
cargo prepayment facility (CPF) loan to Tullow Ghana Ltd. The
November 2028 maturity of the CPF loan will also spring to May 15,
2028, if Tullow Oil has not signed a share purchase agreement by
Sept. 30, 2027. The facility ranks super senior secured and
benefits from the same security package and guarantees as the new
senior secured notes. The CPF loan can be drawn against designated
cargo from the Ghanaian Jubilee and Tweneboa-Enyenra-Ntomme (TEN)
fields' sold under the existing offtake arrangements, with each
advance repaid from the relevant cargo sale proceeds. Interest will
be charged at SOFR plus 4.50% per year. Glencore received an
upfront fee of 1.0% of the total facility amount.
S&P said, "Although this transaction was implemented on a
consensual basis, we view it as distressed and tantamount to a
default. The transaction was consensual and received the consent of
over 99% of senior secured noteholders, and of Glencore. Despite
this, we view the transaction as a distressed debt exchange and
tantamount to default. We also view the compensation provided to
lenders as insufficient. The $1.285 billion senior secured
noteholders only received a 1% cash pay lock-up fee for the
2.5-year maturity extension. We do not consider the addition of 300
basis points (bps) of PIK interest and 175 bps of pay-if-you-can
interest as sufficient compensation for the senior secured
noteholders to account for the maturity deferral, and we think
there is a significant level of uncertainty associated with the
ultimate receipt of accrued interest. We also consider the $5
million fee and $25 million noncash fee that Glencore receives to
be inadequate compensation for the 18-month maturity extension and
the replacement of cash interest with PIK interest.
"We will reevaluate our ratings on Tullow Oil and assign ratings to
the $1. 21 billion senior secured notes issued by Tullow Holdco 2
Ltd. shortly. We will rate Tullow Oil based on our assessment of
its updated business plan, capital structure, and liquidity. The
company's liquidity will temporarily improve, as the maturity wall
was extended by 2.0-2.5 years. That said, we believe that Tullow
remains exposed to meaningful refinancing risk. In addition, while
the current oil prices are supportive of the company's short-term
prospects, we believe that Tullow Oil remains exposed and reliant
on favorable oil prices and financing conditions to meet its
obligations. Our latest price deck anticipates Brent at $85/bbl for
2026. For further details, see "S&P Global Ratings Raises WTI and
Brent Price Assumptions Amid Uncertainty Following Announced
Ceasefire," April 10, 2026. In addition to this, the company has a
concentrated asset base, which largely consists of two fields in
Ghana. In 2025 production averaged 40,400 barrels of oil equivalent
per day (boepd) (61,200 boepd in 2024) and proven and probable
reserves were 100.4 million boe (2024: 164.5 million boe). As a
result, we anticipate that the company's credit profile under the
new capital structure could fall into the 'ccc' category."
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless Hills,
Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C., USA.
Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2026. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
publication in any form (including e-mail forwarding, electronic
re-mailing and photocopying) is strictly prohibited without prior
written permission of the publishers.
Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to
be reliable, but is not guaranteed.
The TCR Europe subscription rate is US$775 per half-year,
delivered via e-mail. Additional e-mail subscriptions for
members of the same firm for the term of the initial subscription
or balance thereof are US$25 each. For subscription information,
contact Peter Chapman at 215-945-7000.
* * * End of Transmission * * *