260310.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Tuesday, March 10, 2026, Vol. 27, No. 49
Headlines
B E L G I U M
AZELIS FINANCE: Fitch Rates EUR400MM Unsecured Notes 'BB+(EXP)'
F R A N C E
EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS: Fitch Rates Sr. Unsecured Notes 'BB(EXP)'
I R E L A N D
JUBILEE 2024-XXVIII: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on F-R Notes
I T A L Y
FULVIA SPV 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
L U X E M B O U R G
[] Fitch Affirms Ratings on 10 EMEA Mixed-Use Property Companies
M A L T A
GENTOO MEDIA: Secures EUR18-Mil. Shareholder Loan Facility
S W E D E N
SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I: S&P Withdraws 'CCC' LongTerm ICR
T U R K E Y
TPAO VARLIK: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Sr. Unsecured Certs
TURKIYE PETROLLERI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-' IDR, Outlook Positive
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
TULLOW OIL: S&P Downgrades ICR to 'CC', Outlook Negative
X X X X X X X X
[] Fitch Affirms Ratings on 3 EMEA Healthcare CDMO Companies
[] Fitch Affirms Ratings on Five EMEA Steel & Metals Companies
- - - - -
=============
B E L G I U M
=============
AZELIS FINANCE: Fitch Rates EUR400MM Unsecured Notes 'BB+(EXP)'
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Azelis Finance NV's proposed EUR400
million notes due 2031 an expected senior unsecured rating of
'BB+(EXP)'. The Recovery Rating is 'RR4'.
The new notes will be guaranteed on a senior unsecured basis by
Azelis Group NV (BB+/Stable) and will rank pari- passu with
existing senior unsecured debt. Proceeds will refinance Azelis
Finance NV's EUR400 million 5.75% notes due March 2028.
Azelis' Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) reflects its position
as a leading specialty chemical distributor with strong
diversification, balanced by high leverage from recurring
acquisitions. The rating also captures its resilient business model
and robust cash flow generation underpinned by an asset-light
structure.
Key Rating Drivers
Proactive Debt Maturity Management: Azelis' refinancing of its
March 2028 senior unsecured notes with the new 2031 notes will
extend its maturity profile and eliminate near-term refinancing
risk. Pro forma for the transaction, the next maturity is EUR15
million of assignable loan notes (Schuldschein) in 2027, followed
by a concentration of maturities in 2029 comprising a EUR600
million term loan and EUR600 million 4.75% notes. The refinancing
is leverage-neutral, with net debt remaining broadly unchanged and
with no impact on credit metrics.
Global Specialty Distributor: Azelis is the second-largest pure
specialty chemical distributor by revenue behind IMCD N.V., and
fourth-largest when considering Brenntag's and Windsor Holdings
III, LLC's (Univar Solutions) specialty segments. Azelis' critical
mass in a fragmented industry allows it to benefit from
longstanding exclusivity contracts with suppliers and thousands of
customers globally. Scale, technical and formulation expertise and
geographical breadth provide competitive advantages over smaller
peers in securing supply contracts with large chemical producers,
and in achieving synergies with acquired businesses.
Robust Free Cash Flow: Azelis' strong free cash flow (FCF),
supported by an asset-light operating model and structurally
resilient margins, ensures high cash conversion and significant
financial flexibility, despite high leverage. Fitch expects Azelis
to generate a 4% FCF margin on average in 2026-2029, which provides
flexibility in capital allocation.
Leverage Calculation; Financial Policy: Azelis' public financial
policy aims to maintain net leverage at 2.5x-3.0x, but its ratio
rose to 3.3x in 2025 due to weak market conditions and continued
M&A activity. Fitch expects Azelis to moderate M&A spending to
reduce its leverage. Fitch estimates Fitch-defined EBITDA net
leverage for 2025 at 3.7x, treating factoring and deferred
considerations as debt, and above the rating's negative sensitivity
of 3.5x. However, Fitch expects it to reduce gradually to about 3x
by 2028.
Deferred Considerations Affect Deleveraging: Fitch includes
deferred payments in its calculation of financial debt. These
liabilities represent delayed M&A outflows and are reported on the
balance sheet. Acquisitions also frequently include earnouts and
put options, which add risk of further outflows, although payments
are usually linked to the outperformance of acquired companies.
This tends to affect the deleveraging trend.
Peer Analysis
Azelis' closest Fitch-rated peer is IMCD N.V. (BBB-/Stable). Both
companies are pure specialty chemical distributors with
market-leading positions, share a similar growth strategy focused
on FCF-funded bolt-on acquisitions and comparable diversification
of suppliers and customers. Both maintain asset-light business
models with minimal sustaining capex requirements. Azelis' FCF
margin is stronger, but IMCD benefits from larger absolute EBITDA
and its leverage is lower.
Windsor Holdings III, LLC (Univar Solutions; B+/Stable) is the
second-largest global chemical distributor behind Brenntag AG and
is the largest North American chemical distributor in a fragmented
industry. Univar's financial structure is weaker than peers', with
EBITDA leverage of about 6.0x in 2025 and Fitch expects it to
remain at 5.5x-6.5x to 2028.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Organic revenue growth in the low single digits in 2026-2029
- EBITDA margin (Fitch-calculated) of 10% in 2026-2029
- Capex at 0.4% of revenue to 2029
- Annual M&A outflows (excluding deferred considerations payments)
of EUR100 million in 2026, EUR125 million in 2027, EUR150 million
in 2028 and EUR200 million in 2029
- Dividends at 30% of prior-year net income
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Azelis Group NV
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb-, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bbb, Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb+,
Moderate), Diversification and Asset Quality (bbb+, Moderate),
Company Operational Characteristics (bbb, Moderate), Profitability
(bbb-, Lower), Financial Structure (bb, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bbb-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2024, 20% for the forecast year 2025, 20% for the forecast year
2026, 20% for the forecast year 2027 and 20% for the forecast year
2028.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb+'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA net leverage at or above 3.5x on a sustained basis
- FCF margin below 2.5% for an extended period
- Capital allocation prioritising acquisitions and growth over
prudent leverage management
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- EBITDA net leverage below 2.5x on a sustained basis
- FCF margin consistently above 5%
- Conservative execution of the company's financial policy
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2025, Azelis' liquidity was EUR713 million, comprising
EUR263 million in cash and an undrawn EUR450 million revolving
credit facility maturing in 2029. This will comfortably cover
assumptions for acquisitions and payments of deferred
acquisition-related considerations in 2026 and will supplement FCF
to support the company's capital allocation priorities of organic
growth investments, shareholder remuneration, prudent deleveraging
and selective value-accretive acquisitions through 2028.
Pro forma for the refinancing, Azelis' funding is diversified
across EUR15 million of assignable loan notes (Schuldschein) due
2027, two bonds maturing in 2029 and 2031 and a EUR600 million term
loan maturing in September 2029. This results in a concentration of
maturities in 2029 at EUR1.2 billion (comprising the EUR600 million
term loan and EUR600 million 4.75% notes due 2029).
Issuer Profile
Azelis is a global specialty chemical distributor headquartered in
Belgium.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
Azelis Finance NV
senior unsecured LT BB+(EXP) Expected Rating RR4
===========
F R A N C E
===========
EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS: Fitch Rates Sr. Unsecured Notes 'BB(EXP)'
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Eutelsat Communications S.A.'s senior
unsecured notes an expected rating of 'BB (EXP)'. The proceeds will
be used to partially refinance debt at Eutelsat SA (ESA) and for
general corporate purposes. The notes will be guaranteed by ESA and
OneWeb Holdings Limited.
A capital increase of EUR1.5 billion completed at end-2025 greatly
improved Eutelsat's leverage and funding, which should be broadly
sufficient to finance investments in its low earth orbit (LEO)
constellation at least in the short to medium term. Fitch expects
net leverage to remain below 4x, which drives the Stable Outlook on
Eutelsat's 'BB' Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR).
Key Rating Drivers
Large Equity Contribution: The shareholder equity injection has
greatly reduced Eutelsat's leverage and improved its funding. The
EUR1.5 capital increase was completed at end-2025, and equal to
almost 3x of Fitch-expected EBITDA for FY26 (year-end June). Fitch
estimates this will reduce net debt/EBITDA to near 2.8x at FYE26.
The capital increase is broadly sufficient to fund the company's
capex programme in the short to medium term and strengthens
prospects for funding access to export credit agencies and debt
markets.
Government Support: Eutelsat's rating incorporates a one-notch
uplift for government support from its 'bb-' Standalone Credit
Profile (SCP). Fitch estimates the support score at 15, to which
Fitch applies an overlay, leading to 'Modest expectations' of
support. The support reflects the strategic importance of LEO
assets, Eutelsat's instrumental role in the future IRIS2
constellation and demonstrated timely state support. The French
government's shareholding in Eutelsat increased to around 30%
following the completion of the capital increase, with the UK
government holding close to 11%.
Ambitious Capex, Negative FCF: Fitch expects Eutelsat to generate
substantial negative free cash flow (FCF), at least in the medium
term, due to investments in maintaining the capabilities of its LEO
satellite constellation and then launching new satellites in
conjunction with a later migration to the EU-sponsored IRIS2
platform. Management estimated total capex, until IRIS2 becomes
fully operational, at EUR4.2 billion, which will result in deeply
negative FCF at least over the medium term. Fitch estimates
cumulative cash burn at above EUR2 billion over FY26-FY29.
LEO Growth: Fitch expects LEO revenues to grow substantially,
driven by strong demand for LEO connectivity but helped by the
completion of Eutelsat's ground station network and securing
additional landing rights, including where these are missing (as in
India). LEO capabilities are strategically important, and Fitch
believes LEO revenues from government services, and from some large
corporates, will be helped by sovereign considerations.
Like-for-like LEO revenues grew 71% in 1QFY26 from a year before.
Low LEO Revenue Visibility: Commercial LEO services are typically
provided without long-term commitments and contain a significant
share of equipment revenues, leading to low visibility. LEO
revenues were down 20% in 1QFY26 from the previous quarter,
reflecting a decline in terminal equipment sales.
Increasing LEO Competition: Fitch expects LEO competition to
further intensify in the short to medium term as new LEO operators
are launching services that will likely lead to pricing pressures.
Starlink, which operates a significantly denser LEO satellite
network, offers a wide range of flat-panel end-user equipment and
has started to offer service-level agreements tailored for B2B
customers, in direct competition with Eutelsat's B2B-oriented
services. Amazon's LEO has announced a test of new
enterprise-focused solutions ahead of its planned broader
commercial roll-out in 2026. Chinese constellations and
Canada-based Telesat are also preparing for service launch.
GEO Structural Challenges: Eutelsat's revenues from traditional
geosynchronous earth orbit (GEO)-enabled services are likely to
remain under pressure in its view, with the TV-related video
subsector hit by structurally lower usage of linear TV, while
non-video subsectors are suffering from the wider adoption of LEO
technology. Video and GEO connectivity revenues were down by 12%
and 5% year on year, respectively, in 1HFY26.
'bb-' Groupwide Credit Profile: Fitch considers Eutelsat's SCP to
be 'bb-' following the large cash equity injection. The company
continues to face significant operating challenges, but funding and
refinancing uncertainty in the short to medium term has
considerably reduced. Fitch projects leverage to be under 4x if the
company performs broadly in line with the low end of its guidance.
Increasing Leverage: Fitch expects Eutelsat's leverage to increase
to 3.9x by FYE28 from a Fitch-projected 2.8x at FYE26, as
capex-driven cash burn outpaces EBITDA improvement. Fitch projects
leverage to stabilise by FY29. Deleveraging will primarily hinge on
growing LEO revenues and improving profitability as capex is
unlikely to abate until the IRIS2 constellation is fully
operational.
Peer Analysis
Eutelsat's strategy of developing a LEO constellation through the
merger with OneWeb contrasts with SES S.A.'s (BBB-/Stable) focus on
building a high-capacity, medium earth orbit constellation with
reasonably low latency to allow for time delay-sensitive
applications, such as video conferencing. This difference may
become less pronounced when both operators participate in the IRIS2
constellation.
Eutelsat's leverage thresholds for the rating are tighter than for
single country, integrated European telecoms operators such as
Royal KPN N.V. (BBB/Stable), reflecting lower revenue visibility,
higher execution risks, and the negative EBITDA and FCF generation
of LEO services. Eutelsat has lower leverage than Viasat, Inc.
(B/Stable), which is more diversified but has higher leverage than
SES. It also faces higher execution risks around its LEO strategy
and more challenging capex requirements.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Mid-to-high single-digit revenue declines in GEO-enabled service
subsectors
- Strong growth of LEO revenues exceeding EUR500 million by FY28
- EBITDA margin gradually improving to 50% by FY29
- Capex exceeding EUR800 million a year on average in FY26-FY29
- No dividends
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb+, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb-, Higher),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bbb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bbb-, Moderate), Profitability (bb,
Moderate), Financial Structure (b+, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bb, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2025, 40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast
year 2027.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb-'.
To derive the IDR:
- Application of Fitch's Government Related Entities Rating
Criteria results in a bottom-up +1 approach.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA net leverage persistently above 4.0x
- Slow progress in growing LEO revenues and/or profitability
improvement
- Negative cash burn above current projections due to weaker EBITDA
or higher capex
- Increasing refinancing and/or funding risk including due to
slower progress with sourcing funding from export credit agencies
or new debt issuance
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Consolidated EBITDA net leverage sustained at below 3.5x
- Visibility on cash flow turning positive through the cycle and
revenue and EBITDA not being adversely affected by changes in
sector trends and the market structure
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Eutelsat had EUR1,567 million of cash at end-December 2025.
Liquidity was boosted by the EUR1.5 billion equity contribution
received at end-2025. The company is planning to refinance and move
substantially all debt to Eutelsat. The proceeds from the new
issuance will be partially used to redeem some debt at ESA.
Eutelsat has already signed a new EUR500 million revolving credit
facility with a maturity of three years and two one-year extensions
and refinanced its EUR400 million loan at Eutelsat on similar
maturity terms.
Issuer Profile
Eutelsat is a global satellite operator operating GEO and LEO
constellations, with most of its revenues generated in the non-US
direct-to-home subsector.
=============
I R E L A N D
=============
JUBILEE 2024-XXVIII: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Jubilee CLO 2024-XXVIII DAC reset notes
expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
final documents conforming to the information already received.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Jubilee CLO
2024-XXVIII DAC
Class A-R Notes LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class B-R Notes LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class C-R Notes LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class D-R Notes LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class E-R Notes LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class F-R Notes LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Jubilee CLO 2024-XXVIII DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. The
refinancing note proceeds will be used to redeem the existing notes
except the subordinated notes, and to upsize the portfolio to a
target par of EUR450 million. The portfolio is actively managed by
BSP CLO Management L.L.C. The CLO has an about 4.4-year
reinvestment period and an 8.5 year weighted average life (WAL)
test.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors in the identified portfolio as
in the 'B' category. The Fitch weighted average rating factor of
the identified portfolio is 23.9.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90.0% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favorable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 61.2%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes various
concentration limits in the portfolio, including a fixed-rate
obligation limit at 12.5%, a top 10 obligor concentration limit at
20%, and a maximum exposure to the three largest Fitch-defined
industries in the portfolio at 40%. These covenants ensure that the
asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction will have three
sets of matrices with each matrix within the same set corresponding
to two fixed rate asset limits of 5% and 12.5% and a top 10
obligors limit of 20%. The first matrix set with a weighted average
life test of 8.5 years will be effective at closing. The second and
the third matrix sets that correspond to a weighted average life
test of 7.5 years and seven years, respectively, will be applicable
after 12 and 18 months from closing, subject to the collateral
principal amount (defaults at Fitch collateral value) being at
least at the reinvestment target par amount.
The transaction has a 4.4-year reinvestment period and includes
reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio is 12 months less than the WAL covenant at
closing to account for structural and reinvestment conditions after
the reinvestment period. These conditions include passing the
over-collateralisation and Fitch 'CCC' limit tests, and a WAL
covenant that gradually steps down before and after the end of the
reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions would reduce
the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during the stress
period.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase in the mean rating default rate (RDR) across all the
ratings and a 25% decrease in the rating recovery rate (RRR) across
the all ratings of the current portfolio would have no impact on
the class A-R, B-R and C-R notes, but would lead to downgrades of
one notch for the class D-R and E-R notes. The class F-R notes
would be downgraded to below 'B-sf'.
Based on the current portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration. As the current
portfolio has better metrics and a shorter life than the
stressed-case portfolio, there would be no impact on the class A-R
notes. The class C-R notes show a rating cushion of up to three
notches and all other notes show rating cushions of two notches.
Should the cushion between the current portfolio and the
stressed-case portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase in the mean RDR
across all the ratings, and a 25% decrease in the RRR across all
the ratings of the stressed-case portfolio, would lead to
downgrades of up to four notches for the notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction in the RDR across all the ratings and a 25%
increase in the RRR across all the ratings of the stressed-case
portfolio would lead to upgrades of up to five notches for the
rated notes, except for the 'AAAsf' rated notes, which are at the
highest level on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the stressed-case
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, leading to the
ability of the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for
the remaining life of the transaction.
After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades may occur if
there is stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging, leading
to higher credit enhancement and excess spread being available to
cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Jubilee CLO
2024-XXVIII DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
FULVIA SPV 2026-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB+(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Fulvia SPV S.r.l.'s - Series 2026-1
notes expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
final documents conforming to information already reviewed.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Fulvia SPV S.r.l.
- Series 2026-1
A1 LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
A2 LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT BB+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
The transaction will be a securitisation of vehicles loans
featuring a standard amortisation (French) or balloon repayment
granted to individuals (persone fisiche) and individual
entrepreneur borrowers, by Hyundai Capital Bank Europe GmbH,
Italian Branch (HCIT), with a nine-month revolving period.
HCIT, is a branch of Hyundai Capital Bank Europe GmbH a joint
venture between Santander Consumer Bank AG (A/Stable/F1; 51% stake)
and Seoul-based Hyundai Capital Services Inc. (A-/Stable/F1; 49%)
in 2019.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Limited Expected Loss: Fitch has observed low historical default
rates for the HCIT loans, in line with other captive auto loan
lenders operating in Italy. Fitch has assumed a base-case lifetime
default and a recovery rate of 1.1% and 40%, respectively. Fitch
has applied a stress multiple of 6.75x at 'AA+sf' to its base-case
default rate and a 50% haircut to the base-case recovery rate. The
default multiple reflects, among other features, the low level of
the base case, the short default definition and the balloon risk.
High Balloon Component: About 78% of the preliminary portfolio is
composed of balloon loans. These borrowers may face a payment shock
at maturity if they cannot refinance the balloon amount or return
the car to the dealer. Fitch has factored balloon risk into its
default multiple of 6.75x for 'AA+sf'.
Pro Rata Subject to Triggers: The class A to D notes repay pro rata
until a sequential redemption event occurs. Fitch views a switch to
sequential amortisation as unlikely at the base case due to the gap
between its portfolio loss expectations and performance triggers.
The mandatory switch to sequential paydown, when the outstanding
collateral balance falls below a certain threshold, mitigates tail
risk.
No Servicing Fees Modelled: The transaction envisages an amortising
replacement servicer fee reserve that will be funded on certain
triggers being breached. Fitch believes the reserve will be
adequate to cover the stressed servicer fees at the notes' maximum
achievable rating throughout the transaction's life. Therefore, no
servicing fees are modelled in Fitch's cash flow analysis,
resulting in higher excess spread being available to the
structure.
Excess Spread Notes Rating Cap: The class E excess spread notes are
not collateralised and their interest and principal are paid from
the available excess spread. The class E notes start amortising
from the issue date and during the five-month revolving period.
Fitch caps excess spread notes' ratings at 'BB+sf', in line with
its Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria.
'AA+sf' Sovereign Cap: The class A notes are rated at their highest
achievable rating, six notches above Italy's sovereign rating
(BBB+/Stable/F1), which is the cap for Italian structured finance
and covered bonds. The Stable Outlook on the class A notes reflects
that on the sovereign.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The class A notes' ratings are sensitive to changes to Italy's
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR). Negative action on Italy's
IDR, reflected in the related rating cap for Italian structured
finance transactions, currently 'AA+sf', could trigger negative
rating action on the class A notes.
Unexpected increases in the frequency of defaults or decreases in
recovery rates that could produce loss levels higher than the base
case and could result in negative rating action on the notes. For
example, a simultaneous increase in the default base case by 25%,
and a decrease in the recovery base case by 25%, would lead to up
to three-notch downgrades for the class B to D notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The class A notes' ratings are sensitive to changes to Italy's
Long-Term IDR. An upgrade of Italy's IDR and the related rating cap
for Italian structured finance transactions, currently 'AA+sf',
could trigger an upgrade of the class A notes' rating if the
available credit enhancement is sufficient to withstand stresses
associated with higher ratings.
An unexpected decrease in the frequency of defaults or an increase
in recovery rates producing loss levels lower than that of the base
case could result in positive rating action. For example, a
simultaneous decrease in the default base case by 25%, and an
increase in the recovery base case by 25%, would lead to up to
three-notch upgrades for the class B to D notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fulvia SPV S.r.l. - Series 2026-1
Fitch reviewed the results of a third party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small targeted sample of the
originator's origination files and found the information contained
in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the
originator's policies and practices and the other information
provided to the agency about the asset portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
[] Fitch Affirms Ratings on 10 EMEA Mixed-Use Property Companies
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed 10 EMEA mixed-use (including offices)
property companies:
1. Alexandrite Lake Lux Holdings S.a r.l.
2. Alexandrite Monnet UK Holdco plc
3. Barings European Core Property Fund SCSp SICAV-SIF
4. DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG
5. Derwent London plc
6. Global Switch Holdings Limited
7. Land Securities PLC
8. M&G European Property Fund SICAV-FIS
9. Pinewood Group Limited
10. Sirius Real Estate Limited
These actions follow the update of Fitch's Corporate Rating
Criteria and the Sector Navigators - Addendum to the Corporate
Rating Criteria on January 9, 2026.
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuers as follows, using its Corporate Rating
Tool (CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Alexandrite Lake Lux Holdings S.a r.l.
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb-, Moderate), Access to Capital (bb+,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bbb-, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bbb, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bbb, Moderate),
Profitability (bb+, Lower), Financial Structure (b, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (b, Higher).
- Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors include
bespoke calculations.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b+'.
To derive the IDR:
- Application of Fitch's Parent and Subsidiary Linkage Rating
Criteria results in a consolidated approach.
Alexandrite Monnet UK Holdco plc
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb-, Moderate), Access to Capital (bb+,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bb, Higher), Property Portfolio
(bbb+, Moderate), Rental Income Risk Profile (a, Lower),
Profitability (bb+, Moderate), Financial Structure (b, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (b+, Higher).
- Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors include
bespoke calculations.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b+'.
To derive the IDR:
- Application of Fitch's Parent and Subsidiary Linkage Rating
Criteria results in a consolidated approach.
Barings European Core Property Fund SCSp SICAV-SIF
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Access to Capital (bbb-,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bb+, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bbb, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bbb, Moderate),
Profitability (bbb-, Lower), Financial Structure (a, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (a-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the forecast year 2025,
40% for the forecast year 2026 and 40% for the forecast year 2027.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb+'.
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb-, Moderate), Access to Capital (b+,
Moderate), Liability Profile (b+, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bb, Moderate), Rental Income Risk Profile (bb-, Moderate),
Profitability (ccc, Lower), Financial Structure (ccc, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (b-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'ccc+'.
Derwent London plc
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Access to Capital (a-,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bbb, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bbb+, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bbb+, Moderate),
Profitability (bbb, Lower), Financial Structure (a-, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (a, Moderate).
- Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors include
bespoke calculations.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb+'.
Global Switch Holdings Limited
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb-, Moderate), Access to Capital (bbb+,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bbb-, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bbb-, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bb, Moderate),
Profitability (bbb+, Lower), Financial Structure (bbb+, Higher),
and Financial Flexibility (a, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb'.
Land Securities PLC
Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Access to Capital (a-,
Moderate), Liability Profile (a, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bbb+, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bbb+, Moderate),
Profitability (bbb-, Lower), Financial Structure (a-, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (aa-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year FY25 (financial year end 31 March 2025), 40% for the forecast
year FY26 and 40% for the forecast year FY27.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
To derive the IDR, Fitch made no adjustments to the SCP, resulting
in a Short-Term IDR of 'F1'.
M&G European Property Fund SICAV-FIS.
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Access to Capital (bbb+,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bb+, Lower), Property Portfolio
(bbb+, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bbb+, Moderate),
Profitability (bbb+, Moderate), Financial Structure (a, Higher),
and Financial Flexibility (a, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'a-'.
Pinewood Group Limited
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Access to Capital (bb+,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bb+, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bb+, Higher), Rental Income Risk Profile (bbb-, Higher),
Profitability (bbb-, Lower), Financial Structure (a-, Moderate),
and Financial Flexibility (bbb+, Moderate).
- Assessments of the quantitative financial subfactors include
bespoke calculations.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb-'.
Sirius Real Estate Limited
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Access to Capital (bbb,
Moderate), Liability Profile (bb+, Moderate), Property Portfolio
(bbb, Moderate), Rental Income Risk Profile (bb+, Higher),
Profitability (bbb-, Lower), Financial Structure (a-, Higher), and
Financial Flexibility (a-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the latest historical
year 2024, 40% for the forecast year 2025 and 40% for the forecast
year 2026.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb'.
RATING ACTIONS
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Pinewood Finco plc
senior secured LT BBB Affirmed BBB
London Merchant
Securities Limited
senior secured LT A Affirmed A
Pinewood Group
Limited
LT IDR BBB- Affirmed BBB-
senior secured LT BBB Affirmed BBB
Derwent London plc
LT IDR BBB+ Affirmed BBB+
senior unsecured LT A- Affirmed A-
Global Switch
Finance B.V.
senior unsecured LT BBB Affirmed BBB
Land Securities PLC
ST IDR F1 Affirmed F1
senior unsecured ST F1 Affirmed F1
Alexandrite Monnet
UK HoldCo Plc
LT IDR B+ Affirmed B+
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed RR3 BB-
Alexandrite Lake
Lux Holdings S.a r.l.
LT IDR B+ Affirmed B+
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed RR3 BB-
Global Switch
Holdings Limited
LT IDR BBB Affirmed BBB
ST IDR F2 Affirmed F2
senior unsecured LT BBB Affirmed BBB
DEMIRE Deutsche
Mittelstand Real
Estate AG
LT IDR CCC+ Affirmed CCC+
senior secured LT B Affirmed RR2 B
Sirius Real Estate
Limited
LT IDR BBB Affirmed BBB
senior unsecured LT BBB Affirmed BBB
M&G European Property
Fund SICAV-FIS
LT IDR A- Affirmed A-
Savoy Luxembourg
Holdings S.a r.l.
LT IDR B+ Affirmed B+
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed RR3 BB-
Barings European
Core Property Fund
SCSp SICAV-SIF
LT IDR BBB+ Affirmed BBB+
senior unsecured LT A-(EXP) Affirmed A-(EXP)
=========
M A L T A
=========
GENTOO MEDIA: Secures EUR18-Mil. Shareholder Loan Facility
----------------------------------------------------------
Gentoo Media announced the largest shareholders have provided a
committed loan facility of EUR 18 million to the Company as part of
its ongoing efforts to optimise the Group's capital structure and
enhance financial flexibility. The term sheet was signed on Feb.
26, 2026.
The purpose of the loan is to reduce the outstanding amount under
the Company's existing revolving credit facility (RCF) to EUR 0
million.
The terms and conditions:
-- A EUR 16 million pari passu facility (Maturing 31 December
2027), carrying interest terms in line with the Company's existing
bond terms and ranking pari passu with the Company's existing
bondholders and RCF provider, covenants will be similar to existing
bond terms with the expectations to bring the facility down to EUR
14 million by the end of July, and
-- A EUR 2 million unsecured facility (Maturing 30 April 2027),
carrying interest on terms corresponding to the existing bond terms
plus 3% and no covenants requirements.
The company expects the repayment of the current RCF to take place
in early March after legal documents has been finalised and signed
by all parties.
Management and the Board of Directors consider this solution to be
an attractive and supportive financing arrangement that underlines
the continued commitment from the Company's largest shareholders
which supports long-term value creation for Gentoo Media.
Bond refinancing
Following an evaluation of market conditions and the terms
indicated by investors, Gentoo Media has decided not to proceed
with the contemplated bond refinancing at this time. The Company
will continue to assess various refinancing alternatives and other
measures to address the upcoming bond maturities.
About Gentoo Media
Gentoo Media is a leading iGaming affiliate, connecting operators
with high-value players through premium lead generation and
compliance solutions. Its portfolio includes AskGamblers,
Time2Play, CasinoTopsOnline, WSN and Casinomeister — sites
trusted by millions worldwide. Through innovation, transparency and
strategic partnerships, Gentoo delivers sustainable growth and
measurable success. Gentoo Media Inc. is listed on Nasdaq Stockholm
(G2M).
===========
S W E D E N
===========
SAMHALLSBYGGNADSBOLAGET I: S&P Withdraws 'CCC' LongTerm ICR
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings withdrew its 'CCC' long-term issuer credit
ratings on Sweden-based real estate company Samhallsbyggnadsbolaget
i Norden AB (publ) (SBB) and all associated instrument ratings on
debt facilities issued under this entity and SBB Treasury Oyj and
Samhallsbyggnadsbolaget i Norden Holding AB. The outlook on SBB was
negative at the time of the withdrawal.
===========
T U R K E Y
===========
TPAO VARLIK: Fitch Assigns 'BB-(EXP)' Rating on Sr. Unsecured Certs
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned TPAO Varlık Kiralama A.Ş,'s lease
certificate issuance programme and upcoming issues under the
programme an expected rating of 'BB-(EXP)'. The Recovery Rating is
'RR4'.
Turkiye Petrolleri Anonim Ortakligi's (TPAO; BB-/Positive) is the
obligor, seller, lessee and servicing agent. TPAO Varlık Kiralama
A.Ş is the issuer, purchaser and the lessor. BNY Mellon Corporate
Trustee Services Limited is acting as representative of the
certificate holders. The issuer's entire share capital is held by
TPAO and consolidated on TPAO's balance sheet. Assets will be
transferred to the issuer but will remain on TPAO's consolidated
balance sheet and under the latter's control.
The assignment of a final rating is contingent on the receipt of
final programme documents materially conforming to information
already reviewed. Fitch will review the rating if these conditions
are not met, or if the programme is not put into place.
Key Rating Drivers
The programme's rating is aligned with TPAO's Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR). This reflects Fitch's view that a default of
these senior unsecured obligations would reflect a default of TPAO,
in accordance with the rating agency's rating definitions.
Fitch has given no consideration to any underlying assets or
collateral provided when assigning the rating, as it believes that
the trustee's ability to satisfy payments due on the certificates
will ultimately depend on TPAO satisfying its unsecured payment
obligations to the trustee under the transaction documents.
In addition to TPAO's propensity to ensure repayment by TPAO
Varlık Kiralama A.Ş, Fitch believes it would also be required to
ensure full and timely repayment of the obligations, due to its
role and obligations under the structure and documentation, which
include especially but not limited to the features below:
- The rental and the deferred sale price instalment payment by the
obligor are intended to be sufficient to fund the periodic
distribution amount.
- On dissolution or obligor event, the aggregate amounts of
deferred sale price then outstanding will become immediately due
and payable by the obligor; and the issuer and the representative
will have the right to require TPAO to purchase all of its rights,
title, interests, benefits and entitlements in, to and under the
lease asset for an amount equal to the exercise price. The exercise
price and the aggregate amounts of the deferred sale price then
outstanding, if any, are intended to fund the dissolution amount.
- The dissolution amount equals the sum of the outstanding face
amount of the certificates and any due and unpaid periodic
distribution amounts.
- TPAO's payment obligations under the transaction documents will
be direct, unsubordinated, unconditional and unsecured obligations
(subject to negative pledge provisions) and at all times rank at
least pari-passu with all its other present and future unsecured
and unsubordinated obligations from time to time outstanding.
- In a loss event, if there is a shortfall from insurance proceeds,
TPAO will pay the loss shortfall amount by no later than the 61st
day after the loss event occurs. If TPAO does not insure the lease
assets against each loss event with an amount at least equal to the
full reinstatement value within 60 days of the issue date, it will
immediately deliver a written notice to the issuer and the
representative of such non-compliance, and this shall constitute a
dissolution event.
- TPAO is obliged to ensure that the tangible asset ratio - defined
as the value of the lease assets/the aggregate value of the lease
assets and each deferred sale price outstanding - is always above
50%. If the tangible asset ratio falls below 33% (tangibility
event), the certificates will be delisted and certificate holders
shall have the option to require the redemption of all or any of
its certificates at the tangibility event dissolution amount. Fitch
expects TPAO to maintain the tangible asset ratio above 50%,
supported by tangible fixed assets totalling over USD3.5 billion as
of 1H25.
- The documentation includes negative pledge, cross acceleration,
cross-default, change-of-control clauses, restrictive covenants,
financial reporting obligations and obligor events.
- The lessor agrees that the lessee (TPAO) may sublease the lease
assets and any part thereof to any third party, provided that any
sublease does not affect, impair or reduce the obligations of TPAO
and any use of the lease assets pursuant to any sublease does not
and shall not contravene the principles of sharia. If TPAO fails to
comply, it would constitute a dissolution event.
- TPAO undertakes to permit the lessor and any person authorised by
the lessor at all reasonable times, to inspect and examine the
lease assets condition. If TPAO fails to comply, it would
constitute a dissolution event.
- If TPAO fails to keep and maintain the security or optimum
condition (other than fair wear and tear) of the lease assets, the
lessor shall be entitled to take possession of the lease assets to
take all necessary measures at the cost and expense of TPAO to
ensure that the lease assets are in a suitable condition.
- Certain transaction documents will be governed by English law
while others will be governed by Turkish law. Fitch does not
express an opinion on whether the relevant transaction documents
are enforceable under any applicable law. However, Fitch's rating
on the certificates reflects the rating agency's belief that TPAO
would stand behind its obligations.
- Fitch does not express an opinion on the certificates' compliance
with sharia principles when assigning ratings to the certificates
to be issued.
Peer Analysis
The programme's ratings are derived from TPAO's Long-Term IDR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- A downgrade of TPAO's IDR
- Adverse changes to the roles and obligations of TPAO under the
lease certificates' structure and documents
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- An upgrade of TPAO's IDR
For TPAO's rating sensitivities, see "Fitch Rates Turkiye
Petrolleri Anonim Ortakligi 'BB-'; Outlook Positive" dated 23
February 2026.
Issuer Profile
TPAO is Turkiye's state-owned oil and gas company, acting as the
country's primary upstream operator. TPAO Varlık Kiralama A.Ş. is
a special-purpose vehicle formed to house the sukuk programme of
TPAO, which is the direct obligor.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
TPAO's rating is constrained by the sovereign rating of Turkiye.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for TPAO Varlık
Kiralama A.Ş,.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
TPAO Varlık
Kiralama A.S.
senior unsecured LT BB-(EXP) Expected Rating RR4
TURKIYE PETROLLERI: Fitch Assigns 'BB-' IDR, Outlook Positive
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Turkiye Petrolleri Anonim Ortakligi
(TPAO) a Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'BB-'. The
Outlook is Positive. Fitch has also assigned a senior unsecured
rating of 'BB-'. The Recovery Rating is 'RR4'.
TPAO's rating is constrained by that of Turkiye (BB-/Positive) due
to its strong links with the sovereign as its ultimate sole
shareholder, in line with Fitch's Government-Related Entities (GRE)
Rating Criteria and Parent and Subsidiary Linkage (PSL) Rating
Criteria. TPAO is fully owned by the state through Türkiye Wealth
Fund. The Positive Outlook reflects that of Turkiye.
Fitch assesses TPAO's Standalone Credit Profile (SCP) at 'bb',
reflecting its medium-sized oil and gas operations balanced across
oil and gas, considerable EBITDA of USD4.1 billion in 2025 and
fairly low leverage despite rising capex to expand output. These
factors are partly offset by the company's high operating costs,
limited disclosure of its reserves, a limited record of large-scale
expansion projects and an evolving operating environment in
Turkiye.
Key Rating Drivers
Rating Constrained by Sovereign's: TPAO's rating is constrained by
that of Türkiye. Fitch assesses decision making and oversight, and
precedents of support as 'Very Strong', preservation of government
policy role as 'Strong' and contagion risk as 'Not Strong Enough'.
This results in a support score of 30 points, out of a maximum of
60, under its GRE Rating Criteria.
'Very Strong' Decision-Making and Oversight: The state owns 100% of
TPAO through Türkiye Wealth Fund. Three out of five members of the
company's board of directors are government representatives,
providing oversight and policy guidance. The state approves the
company's strategy and annual budget, including capex, and mandates
the execution of strategic projects, including the Azerbaijan
project.
'Very Strong' Precedents of Support: The government has
historically supported TPAO by not extracting dividends to allow
the company to reinvest in growth. The company is also exempt from
paying corporate tax. The government has started to issue debt
guarantees, following the discovery at Sakarya gas field, with 31%
of the company's outstanding debt guaranteed by the state as of
end-2025. Of TPAO's debt at end-2025, 82% was provided by
state-controlled banks.
'Strong' Incentives to Support: Fitch assesses the preservation of
government policy role as 'Strong' as TPAO is the main oil and gas
upstream company with a 91% market share domestically and it
continues to align its strategy with the government's drive for
Türkiye's energy independence. Türkiye is a large energy
importer. The company accounts for 87% of domestic oil production
and 96% of domestic gas production. It sells its domestic oil and
gas output on the local market at regulated domestic gas prices.
Production and Capex Growth: TPAO plans to increase capex to USD5
billion-7 billion a year between 2025 and 2028, from USD3.5 billion
in 2024, for new field developments and increases in production in
Gabar and Black Sea in Turkiye. This will raise total production to
above 400 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboepd) by
2028 from 237kboepd in 2024. Fitch forecasts flat production in
2026, followed by growth of 14% in 2027 and 26% in 2028 once
development projects are complete.
High, But Falling, Production Costs: TPAO's unit operating cost of
USD21/boe in 2024 remains high relative to similarly rated oil and
gas producers. Fitch forecasts unit production costs to decline as
the company expands its output.
Leverage to Increase: Fitch expects TPAO to remain moderately
leveraged over 2025-2028 despite an intensive capex phase to fund
its large expansion initiative to develop Sakarya and Gabar fields.
Fitch expects Fitch-adjusted EBITDA net leverage to gradually
increase to 2.4x by 2027 from 0.5x in 2024, before declining to
2.2x in 2028. Fitch anticipates EBITDA to grow to about USD5
billion by 2028, from USD4.1 billion in 2025, on production
expansion and despite its expectation of oil and gas prices
moderation.
Large Domestic Output: According to the Energy Market Regulatory
Authority (EMRA), TPAO accounted for 96% of Türkiye's domestic
natural gas production in 2024, although this covered only about 4%
of national gas demand. All domestic gas is sold at prices set by
the Energy Market Regulatory Authority (EPDK), In oil, TPAO
represented an estimated 87% of domestic production, meeting 16% of
total oil demand. Export sales - primarily from production outside
Türkiye - contributed about 36% of total revenue in 2024.
Medium-Sized Oil and Gas Producer: TPAO is an oil and gas producer,
with operations in Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Iraq with onshore and
offshore producing assets, reaching an average production of
237kboepd in 2024, of which 60% were liquids and 40% natural gas.
More than half of the production comes from domestic operations.
The company is targeting to raise its production output to about
460kboepd by 2028, as it invests in new field developments, which
bears execution risks.
Peer Analysis
TPAO's closest peers in EMEA oil and gas are State Oil Company of
the Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR; BBB-/Stable; SCP: bb-), Energy
Development Oman SAOC (EDO; BBB-/Stable; SCP: bbb+) and JSC
National Company KazMunayGas (BBB/Stable; SCP: bb). Fitch assesses
all four companies under its GRE Rating Criteria.
TPAO has a stronger SCP than SOCAR, as the latter has higher gross
leverage, lower through-the-cycle EBITDA and cash flow, and a
smaller upstream scale, which are partly offset by greater
diversification and a much lower dividend burden.
Fitch’s Key Rating-Case Assumptions
- Brent oil prices averaging USD63/bbl in 2026-2027, and declining
to USD60/bbl in 2028 and mid-cycle
- TTF gas prices averaging USD7.7/mmbtu for 2026-2028, before
declining to USD5/mmbtu mid-cycle, in line with domestic gas price
assumption
- Total upstream volumes increasing 1% in 2026, 14% in 2027 and 26%
in 2028, after rising 21% in 2025
- Capex of about USD5.75 billion on average a year in 2025-2028
- No dividends paid in 2026-2029
- No asset acquisitions or disposals in 2026-2029
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the SCP:
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb-, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bb,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb-, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b+, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb, Moderate), Profitability (bb+,
Moderate), Financial Structure (a-, Lower), and Financial
Flexibility (bb, Higher).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2024, 10% for the forecast year 2025, 30% for the forecast year
2026, 30% for the forecast year 2027 and 20% for the forecast year
2028.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'bb+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb'.
To derive the IDR:
- Application of Fitch's PSL Rating Criteria results in a
consolidated approach.
- Application of Fitch's GRE Rating Criteria results in a
constrained approach.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The ratings are on a Positive Outlook, making a negative rating
action unlikely, at least in the short term. However, a change in
the sovereign Outlook to Stable would lead to a similar action on
TPAO.
- Negative rating action on Turkiye would be negative for TPAO's
rating.
- EBITDA net leverage above 2.8x on a sustained basis, failure to
deliver on planned production expansion and an aggressive financial
policy could be negative for the SCP but not necessarily for the
IDR
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Positive rating action on Turkiye
- EBITDA net leverage at or below 2.0x on a sustained basis,
delivery on planned production expansion, adherence to a
conservative financial policy, production costs reduction and
better disclosure of 1P reserves would be positive for the SCP but
not necessarily for the IDR
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2025, TPAO's liquidity was adequate, with total consolidated
cash of USD308 million. During 9M25, it repaid most of its
short-term debt with new loans, which extended its debt maturity
profile. Fitch forecasts negative FCF over the medium term due to
large capex.
Cash balances are held entirely with domestic state-owned and
participation banks. The currency composition of cash holdings is
45% in Turkish liras and 55% in US dollars. All funds are held
within Türkiye, and TPAO does not have any offshore or
international cash balances.
Issuer Profile
TPAO's operations are primarily in Türkiye; overseas involvement
includes projects in Iraq (Missan and Badra) and contract assets
linked to natural gas supplied from the Shah Deniz project in
Azerbaijan.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
TPAO's rating is constrained by the sovereign's.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
Turkiye Petrolleri
Anonim Ortakligi
LT IDR BB- New Rating
senior unsecured LT BB- New Rating RR4
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
TULLOW OIL: S&P Downgrades ICR to 'CC', Outlook Negative
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its issuer rating on Tullow Oil PLC and
its issue rating on its senior secured notes to 'CC' from 'CCC-'.
The negative outlook reflects that, upon completion of the
transaction, S&P expects to lower its issuer and issue ratings to
'D' (default).
Tullow Oil PLC announced on Feb. 26, 2026 that holders of over 90%
of its $1.285 billion senior secured notes (SSNs) due May 2026,
alongside Glencore Energy UK Ltd. (provider of a $400 million
facility), endorsed a lock-up agreement to support a proposed debt
restructuring.
Upon closure of the transaction, expected in the second quarter of
2026, Tullow will extend the maturity of its $1.285 billion SSNs by
2.5 years and raise their coupon by an additional 300 basis points
(bps) of payment-in-kind (PIK) interest and 175 bps of
pay-if-you-can interest. The Glencore loan will transfer to
non-cash interest accrual and the maturity will be extended by 18
months. Glencore Energy UK Ltd will also provide a new super senior
$100 million cargo prepayment facility (CPF).
S&P said, "We expect Tullow's default with virtual certainty, per
our criteria. The default will arise from the execution of the
proposed transaction, which we view as a distressed debt exchange
and tantamount to default, since the obligations will not be
fulfilled as originally promised."
Tullow entered into an agreement to execute a debt restructuring
that S&P Global Ratings views as a distressed debt exchange and
tantamount to a default. Upon completion of the restructuring,
Tullow will amend the terms and extend the maturities of its $1.285
billion senior secured notes and of the $400 million junior notes
provided by Glencore, without adequately compensating the lenders,
in S&P's view. As part of the transaction, Tullow will repay $100
million of its $1.285 billion senior secured notes from cash on its
balance sheet and issue $25 million of new senior secured notes to
Glencore as a fee payment. The maturity of the $1.21 billion
extended senior secured notes (eSSNs) will be extended by 2.5 years
to November 2028 (from May 2026). Tullow will also extend the
maturity of its $400 million junior notes by 18 months to May 2030
and upsize them to $426 million to account for recently accrued
interest. The transaction also foresees a new super senior $100
million CPF from Glencore Energy UK Ltd. The CPF and the eSSNs will
have springing debt maturities, which will spring to May 18, 2028
if Tullow has not signed a share purchase agreement by Sept. 30,
2027 (the M&A back stop date), incentivizing the group to refinance
its debt or find a buyer for the business before then.
S&P said, "We view this restructuring as distressed and tantamount
to a default because the company's lenders will receive less than
they were promised under the original securities, without adequate
compensation for the maturity extensions. The $1.285 billion senior
secured noteholders only received a 1% cash pay lock-up fee for the
2.5-year maturity extension. We do not consider the addition of 300
bps of PIK interest and 175 bps of pay-if-you-can interest as
sufficient compensation for the senior secured noteholders to
account for the maturity deferral, and we think there is a
significant level of uncertainty associated with the ultimate
receival of accrued interest. We also consider the $5 million fee
and $25 million non-cash fee that Glencore will receive to be
inadequate compensation for the 18-month maturity extension and the
replacement of cash interest with PIK interest. The transaction
requires the participation of 90% of the company's existing
noteholders. As of March 4, 2026, over 90% of its noteholders and
Glencore had acceded to the lock-up agreement.
"We will reevaluate our ratings on the company as the restructuring
progresses. Upon completion of the transaction, we expect to lower
our issuer and issue ratings to 'D' (default), per our criteria.
After this, we will review our ratings based on Tullow's updated
capital structure and liquidity.
"The negative outlook reflects that, upon the completion of the
transaction, we expect to lower our issuer credit rating on the
company to 'D' and our issue-level rating on its senior secured
notes to 'D'."
===============
X X X X X X X X
===============
[] Fitch Affirms Ratings on 3 EMEA Healthcare CDMO Companies
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed three EMEA healthcare contract
development and manufacturing organisations (CDMO) companies'
ratings:
1. Kepler S.p.A. (Biofarma)
2. European Medco Development 3 S.a.r.l. (Axplora)
3. Roar BidCo AB (Recipharm)
These actions follow the update of Fitch's Corporate Rating
Criteria and the Sector Navigators - Addendum to the Corporate
Rating Criteria on January 9, 2026.
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Kepler S.p.A.
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (b+, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bb+, Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b+, Higher), Company Operational
Characteristics (bbb-, Moderate), Profitability (b+, Moderate),
Financial Structure (b-, Higher), and Financial Flexibility (bb-,
Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical year
2024, 20% for the forecast year 2025, 30% for the forecast year
2026 and 30% for the forecast year 2027.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b'.
European Medco Development 3 S.a.r.l. (Axplora)
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (b+, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bb+, Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (b+, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b, Higher), Company Operational
Characteristics (bb-, Moderate), Profitability (b+, Moderate),
Financial Structure (ccc+, Higher), and Financial Flexibility
(bb-/Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 20% weight for the historical
financial year 2024, 40% for the forecast financial year 2025, 30%
for the forecast financial year 2026 and 10% for forecast financial
year 2027.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in no
adjustment.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b-'
Roar BidCo AB (Recipharm)
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bb+, Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb-, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bb+, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb+, Higher), Profitability (bb+,
Moderate), Financial Structure (b-, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bb-, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 33% weight for the forecast year 2025,
33% for the forecast year 2026 and 34% for the forecast year 2027.
- B+ to CC considerations apply in its analysis and result in an
adjustment of -1 notch(es).
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'aa-' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'b'.
RATING ACTIONS
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
European Medco
Development 4
S.a.r.l.
senior secured LT B Affirmed RR3 B
European Medco
Development 3
S.a.r.l.
LT IDR B- Affirmed B-
Roar BidCo AB
LT IDR B Affirmed B
senior secured LT B+ Affirmed RR3 B+
Kepler S.p.A.
LT IDR B Affirmed B
senior secured LT B Affirmed RR4 B
[] Fitch Affirms Ratings on Five EMEA Steel & Metals Companies
--------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed five EMEA steel and metals companies'
ratings:
1. Vallourec SA
2. Derichebourg S.A.
3. Celsa Opco, S.A.U.
4. Eregli Demir ve Celik Fabrikalari T.A.S. (Erdemir)
5. JSC Uzbek Metallurgical Plant
These actions follow the update of Fitch's 'Corporate Rating
Criteria' and the 'Sector Navigators - Addendum to the Corporate
Rating Criteria' on January 9, 2026. The companies' ratings and
Outlooks are unaffected by the criteria changes.
Corporate Rating Tool Inputs and Scores
Vallourec SA
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb,
Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (bbb, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bb+, Higher), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb, Moderate), Profitability (bbb,
Moderate), Financial Structure (a, Moderate), and Financial
Flexibility (bbb+, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on standard CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2024, 10% for the forecast year 2025, 30% for the forecast year
2026, 30% for the forecast year 2027 and 20% for the forecast year
2028.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bbb-'.
Derichebourg S.A.
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb+, Moderate), Sector Characteristics
(bb+, Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb+,
Moderate), Diversification and Asset Quality (bb+, Moderate),
Company Operational Characteristics (bb, Higher), Profitability
(bb-, Moderate), Financial Structure (bbb-, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (a-, Lower).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2025, 30% for the forecast year 2026, 20% for the forecast year
2027, 20% for the forecast year 2028 and 20% for the forecast year
2029.
- The Governance Impact assessment of 'Good' results in no
adjustment.
- The Operating Environment Impact assessment of 'a+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb+'.
Celsa Opco, S.A.U.
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bbb-, Lower), Sector Characteristics
(bbb+, Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb-, Higher),
Diversification and Asset Quality (bb, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb, Moderate), Profitability (bb-,
Moderate), Financial Structure (bb-, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (bb, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the forecast year 2025,
35% for the forecast year 2026, 35% for the forecast year 2027 and
20% for the forecast year 2028.
- The Governance assessment of 'Good' results in no adjustment.
- The Operating Environment assessment of 'a+' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb-'.
Erdemir
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (bb+, Lower), Sector Characteristics (bbb,
Lower), Market and Competitive Positioning (bb, Moderate),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b+, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb+, Higher), Profitability (bb+,
Moderate), Financial Structure (b+, Higher), and Financial
Flexibility (b+, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the
historical year 2024, 10% for the forecast year 2025, 30% for the
forecast year 2026, 30% for the forecast year 2027
and 20% for the forecast year 2028.
- The Governance Impact assessment of 'Good' results in no
adjustment.
- The Operating Environment Impact assessment of 'bb' results in no
adjustment.
- The SCP is 'bb-'.
JSC Uzbek Metallurgical Plant
Fitch scored the issuer as follows, using its Corporate Rating Tool
(CRT) to produce the Standalone Credit Profile (SCP):
- Business and financial profile factors (assessment, relative
importance): Management (b+, Moderate), Sector Characteristics (bb,
Moderate), Market and Competitive Positioning (b, Higher),
Diversification and Asset Quality (b, Moderate), Company
Operational Characteristics (bb, Moderate), Profitability (bb+,
Lower), Financial Structure (b, Moderate), and Financial
Flexibility (b, Moderate).
- The quantitative financial subfactors are based on custom CRT
financial period parameters: 10% weight for the historical year
2024, 10% for the forecast year 2025, 30% for the forecast year
2026, 30% for the forecast year 2027 and 20% for the forecast year
2028.
- The Governance Impact assessment of 'Good' results in no
adjustment.
- The Operating Environment Impact assessment of 'b' results in an
adjustment of -1 notch.
- The SCP is 'b'.
To derive the IDR:
- Application of Fitch's Government-Related Entities Rating
Criteria results in a bottom-up +1 approach.
RATING ACTIONS
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Derichebourg S.A.
LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
senior unsecured LT BB+ Affirmed RR4 BB+
Vallourec SA
LT IDR BBB- Affirmed BBB-
senior unsecured LT BBB- Affirmed BBB-
Celsa Opco, S.A.U.
LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
senior secured LT BB Affirmed RR3 BB
Eregli Demir ve Celik
Fabrikalari T.A.S.
LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
senior unsecured LT BB- Affirmed RR4 BB-
JSC Uzbek
Metallurgical Plant
LT IDR B+ Affirmed B+
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless Hills,
Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C., USA.
Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2026. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
publication in any form (including e-mail forwarding, electronic
re-mailing and photocopying) is strictly prohibited without prior
written permission of the publishers.
Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to
be reliable, but is not guaranteed.
The TCR Europe subscription rate is US$775 per half-year,
delivered via e-mail. Additional e-mail subscriptions for
members of the same firm for the term of the initial subscription
or balance thereof are US$25 each. For subscription information,
contact Peter Chapman at 215-945-7000.
* * * End of Transmission * * *