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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Monday, November 17, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 229
Headlines
B E L G I U M
TITAN SA: S&P Affirms 'BB+/B' ICR & Alters Outlook to Positive
F R A N C E
COOPER CONSUMER: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
G E R M A N Y
WEPA HYGIENEPRODUKTE: Moody's Rates New EUR400MM Sr. Sec. Notes Ba3
WEPA HYGIENEPRODUKTE: S&P Rates New EUR400MM Secured Notes 'BB'
I R E L A N D
AQUEDUCT EUROPEAN 14: Fitch Puts 'B-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
BROOM HOLDINGS: Moody's Affirms 'B2' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
CAIRN CLO XIII: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on EUR11MM Class F Notes
HARVEST CLO XXXVII: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
HARVEST XXX CLO: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
TRINITAS EURO X: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F Notes
L U X E M B O U R G
ARD FINANCE: Moody's Appends 'LD' Designation to PDR
ARDAGH GROUP: S&P Lowers ICR to 'SD' on Debt Restructuring
KLEOPATRA HOLDINGS 2: S&P Cuts Sec. Debt Rating to D on Ch. 11 Case
KLEOPATRA HOLDINGS: Moody's Downgrades PDR to D-PD and CFR to Ca
N E T H E R L A N D S
FAIRBRIDGE 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating to Class E Notes
VTR FINANCE: S&P Puts 'CCC+' ICR on Watch Pos. Amid Reorganization
P O R T U G A L
ARES LUSITANI: DBRS Confirms BB Rating to Class D Notes
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
ANGLIA CROWN: Kroll Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
ASIMI FUNDING 2025-2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating to F Notes
CANARY WHARF: Moody's Affirms 'Ba3' CFR, Alters Outlook to Stable
DEUCE FINCO: Moody's Rates New GBP1.295BB Sr. Secured Notes 'B2'
EAST ONE 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) Rating to 2 Note Classes
ELSTREE FUNDING 5: DBRS Confirms BB(high) Rating on 2 Note Classes
ENTAIN PLC: Moody's Rates New EUR800MM Senior Secured Notes 'Ba1'
EUROHOME UK 2007-2: S&P Affirms 'BB+(sf)' Rating on Cl. B2 Notes
GATWICK AIRPORT: Moody's Rates New GBP475MM Sr. Secured Bond 'Ba2'
GROSVENOR 2023-1: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' E Notes Rating, Outlook Neg.
HOSPITAL COMPANY: Moody's Cuts Rating on GBP152MM Sec. Bonds 'Ba3'
INTERNET RETAILER: AMS Business Appointed as Joint Administrators
JULIENNE BRUNO: Interpath Appointed as Joint Administrators
KING HOLDCO: Moody's Assigns First Time 'B1' Corp. Family Rating
LIQUID TELECOMMUNICATIONS: Moody's Cuts CFR to Caa2, Outlook Neg.
MERIDIAN 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes BB(high) Rating on 2 Class Certs.
PEOPLECERT WISDOM: Moody's Cuts CFR to B2 & Alters Outlook to Neg.
POLARIS 2025-3: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class X2 Debt
POLARIS 2025-3: S&P Assigns CCC(sf) Rating on Class X2-Dfrd Notes
SAGE AR 2021: S&P Raises Class E Notes Rating to 'B+(sf)'
SAGE AR 2025: S&P Raises Class E Notes Rating to 'BB+sf'
VGL HOLDCO: PwC Appointed as Joint Administrators
WARWICK FINANCE: Moody's Ups Rating on GBP36.73MM E Notes from B1
WEATHERBREAK WINDOWS: FRP Advisory Appointed as Administrators
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B E L G I U M
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TITAN SA: S&P Affirms 'BB+/B' ICR & Alters Outlook to Positive
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S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on Belgium-based heavy
construction materials manufacturer Titan S.A. to positive from
stable and affirmed its 'BB+' long-term issuer credit and issue
ratings on Titan, as well as its 'B' short-term rating on the
issuer.
The positive outlook reflects S&P's view that it could raise the
long-term rating to 'BBB-' over the next 12-18 months if Titan
keeps its financial leverage at the lower end of or below its
1.5x-2.0x target, so that FFO to debt remains well over 45%, and
healthy FOCF.
Titan S.A. continues to post resilient results amid an uncertain
market environment, supported notably by its operations in the
U.S., Greece, and Egypt.
S&P said, "We forecast that the group will deliver 0%-3% revenue
growth in 2025-2026, while preserving its profitability of about
23% and its strongly positive free operating cash flow (FOCF)
profile, thanks to positive pricing developments, operational
efficiencies, and a solid control of its cost base.
"At the same time, we expect Titan's funds from operations (FFO) to
debt to comfortably exceed 80% in 2025-2026, bolstered by the
proceeds from the partial initial public offering of its U.S.
subsidiary Titan America S.A. in February this year.
Titan has sufficient leeway to allow some increase in the leverage
on its balance sheet, which could occur because of mergers and
acquisitions (M&A). We understand that the company aims to keep its
financial leverage at the lower end of its 1.5x-2.0x target range.
"Titan is building a track record of consistently low leverage. We
forecast S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA of about 1.0x
and FFO to debt above 80% in 2025-2026. This compares with FFO to
debt of about 65% in 2024 and 57% in 2023. We also note that the
company's gross debt has reduced since 2024 and the reimbursement
of its EUR350 million bonds. Titan's balance sheet remains strong
after the partial IPO of its U.S. subsidiary, Titan America S.A.,
of which part of the proceeds have been used to pay an
extraordinary dividend and has prepared the company for future
growth.
"Titan's strong metrics and capital allocation could allow for an
upgrade in the medium term, although an upgrade remains subject to
a robust track record of reporting a financial leverage at the
lower end of or below its 1.5x-2.0x target. We expect dividend
payments to normalize in 2026 and thereafter after the partial IPO,
with an assumption of a dividend payout between EUR1.10 and EUR1.20
per share (/share), or about EUR100 million per year. This follows
the sizable special dividend of EUR3/share paid to all shareholders
in July 2025, totaling around EUR226 million, funded from the IPO
proceeds. We note that share buybacks are limited, as the company
launched a EUR10 million share-buyback program on July 1, 2025,
following the end of the previous program of the same amount. As of
Nov. 3, 2025, the company has completed share buybacks totaling
around EUR7.4 million. We anticipate capital expenditure (capex)
will increase to EUR300 million-EUR400 million, from about EUR250
million in 2024, as the company invests in sustainability, energy
mix improvement, and other initiatives to support the growth.
However, we believe that Titan has appropriate FOCF to absorb its
capex. Titan's capital allocation, combined with leverage at the
lower end of its 1.5x-2.0x target, is consistent with a higher
rating, considering the headroom under its credit metrics (in
particular, low leverage and FFO to debt well above 45%). Rating
upside could happen if the company consistently sustained credit
metrics at this level or better over the next 12-18 months.
However, if the company undertakes sizable debt-funded M&A, its
credit metrics could deteriorate; therefore, we apply a one-notch
negative financial policy adjustment to the rating. We believe that
Titan has the leverage headroom to absorb bolt-on M&A without
jeopardizing credit metrics, with FFO to debt remaining above 45%.
In such scenario, we would expect Titan to trim its growth capex
plans. We do not assume M&A in our base case, due to the
uncertainty regarding the nature, size, and timing of such
transactions.
"We expect Titan's operating performance will improve further in
2025-2026. In the first nine months of 2025, the company posted a
modest year-on-year increase in sales of 1.4% to EUR2.013 billion,
driven by strong performance in the U.S., Greece, and Egypt, owing
to increased volumes and overall firm pricing levels. We expect a
modest revenue growth of about 0.0%-2.0% for full-year 2025 to
approximately EUR2.64 billion-EUR2.7 billion, reflecting the
company's resilient performance despite ongoing macroeconomic
uncertainty and market headwinds. We anticipate a rebound with a
revenue growth of 2.4%-2.6% in 2026 and a stronger 5.7%-5.9% in
2027, largely supported by the U.S. market and Titan's capacity
improvement and ongoing recovery in Greece. Company-reported EBITDA
in the first nine months of 2025 increased by 8.4% year on year to
EUR473.6 million, reflecting strong cost management and operational
efficiencies. We expect S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA to be
EUR600 million-EUR630 million in 2025, which translates into an
adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.8%-23.3%, remaining relatively stable
at around last year's level of 23.1%. We expect margins to improve
to 23%-24% in 2026-2027 alongside business development.
"We continue to view Titan's liquidity as adequate. We expect
Titan's liquidity will remain adequate, with sources of liquidity
exceeding uses by 1.2x over the next 12 months. Titan extended the
maturity of its revolving credit facility (RCF) until January 2030.
The facility is currently fully available. Its next bond maturity
is in 2027. We note that Titan has healthy headroom under its
covenants, given the reduced leverage.
"The positive outlook reflects our view that we could raise the
long-term rating to 'BBB-' over the next 12-18 months if Titan
keeps its financial leverage at the lower end of its 1.5x-2.0x
target, translating into FFO to debt remaining well over 45% and
healthy FOCF."
S&P could revise the outlook to stable if the group's FFO to debt
dropped below 45% and FOCF deteriorates materially, with limited
possibility of a swift recovery. Such a deterioration of the
group's leverage would most likely happen if:
-- Titan pursued larger-than-expected debt-funded acquisitions,
capital investments, or shareholder distributions, which would
signal a lack of commitment to keep metrics commensurate with a
higher rating; and
-- There is a weakening of operating performance in key countries
that contribute to group earnings, such as the U.S. and Greece, and
the group is not willing to reduce its discretionary spending to
protect credit metrics.
S&P could raise the rating if:
-- Titan continues to build a solid track record of FFO to debt
comfortably above 45% with material FOCF, while maintaining rating
headroom to finance capex and shareholder remuneration;
-- Management exhibits the commitment to maintain a strong
financial position, in line with the lower end of its leverage
target; and
-- Titan develops a track record of financing its growth
prudently.
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F R A N C E
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COOPER CONSUMER: Fitch Affirms 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
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Fitch Ratings has affirmed Cooper Consumer Health's Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'B' with a Stable Outlook. Fitch has
also affirmed its first-lien senior secured debt at 'B+' with a
Recovery Rating of 'RR3'.
Cooper's 'B' IDR balances its high leverage and aggressive
financial policy with its high profitability, strong free cash flow
(FCF) and the solid business risk profile of its enlarged
operations since the acquisition of Viatris's European
over-the-counter (OTC) portfolio in July 2024.
The Stable Outlook reflects its expectation of gradual deleveraging
to below 6.5x by 2027, from 6.9x pro forma for the acquisition in
2024.
Key Rating Drivers
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation: Fitch expects Cooper's
performance to remain resilient, with EBITDA margins above 30%
leading to strong cash generation and high single-digit FCF
margins. Fitch forecasts organic growth averaging 3% over
2025-2028, complemented by growth from modest bolt-on acquisitions.
Fitch believes the weakness in 2024 and 1H25 at the pre-acquisition
perimeter will be temporary. Fitch projects EBITDA margins to
improve to 30.3% in 2025, from 27% in 2024, followed by a gradual
improvement toward 31% by 2028.
High Leverage, Deleveraging Capacity: Cooper's rating is
constrained by high financial leverage, which exceeds its 6.5x
negative sensitivity. Fitch expects EBITDA leverage to gradually
improve to 6.5x by 2026 and towards 6.0x by 2027, driven by EBITDA
margin expansion and FCF generation. This incorporates its
assumption of financial discipline and conservative capital
allocation with no additional large debt-funded acquisitions to
2027. In 2024, EBITDA leverage improved to 6.9x (pro forma for the
acquisition of Viatris's assets) from 7.4x in 2023, supported by
the partial financing of the acquisition with a EUR500 million
convertible shareholder loan, which Fitch treats as equity.
Integration on Track: Fitch considers the execution risk of
integrating the transformational acquisition of Viatris's European
OTC assets to have reduced, following the completed migration of
distribution and IT systems. The EUR1.6 billion acquisition has
improved Cooper's business profile by doubling its scale,
strengthening its market position and enhancing its product and
geographic diversification within Europe. It has halved its
reliance on the French market (to 32% of group sales) and
strengthened its position in countries where it previously had a
subscale presence, such as Italy and Germany.
Defensive Business: Cooper has strong positions in selected
regional OTC consumer health markets. Its specialist brands benefit
from access to protected, regulated pharmacy channels, which
underpins distribution and pricing. These strengths offset the
company's modest scale and limited geographic diversification
compared with peers.
Supportive Underlying Market: Market growth should remain supported
by favourable secular trends, including rising healthcare
consumerism, an ageing population, and a greater awareness of
prevention and healthy lifestyles. Fitch expects Cooper's organic
expansion to be further driven by portfolio optimisation, enhanced
commercialisation capabilities and brand development.
Protected and Regulated Market: The continental European pharmacy
sector, Cooper's main retail channel, is highly fragmented with
small specialist local operators. Its core markets (France, the
Netherlands, Italy and increasingly Iberia) are highly regulated
and protected, offering barriers to entry and protecting Cooper's
business model. Cooper's business model is subject to regulatory
risk affecting the sector and risks from developing retail channels
for its products, including online. However, these risks are
limited and Fitch expects a stable regulatory environment for
Cooper's core markets over the medium term.
Peer Analysis
Cooper's business profile compares well with that of Opal Holdco 4
SAS (Opella, B+/Stable), which also focuses on OTC consumer
healthcare products and has leading market positions in different
segments across several countries. Fitch also compares Cooper with
THG PLC (B+/Stable) and Galderma Group AG (BBB/Stable), which are
focused on consumer beauty and dermatology.
Cooper is smaller than Opella and Galderma, but is almost twice the
size of THG PLC. Cooper is focused on Europe, while Opella,
Galderma and THG have better geographical diversification. Cooper
has stronger EBITDA and FCF margins than THG, but the latter's
stronger leverage metrics support its higher rating than Cooper's.
Fitch also compares Cooper with European asset-light pharmaceutical
companies focused on off-patent branded and generic drugs,
including Pharmanovia Bidco Limited (B-/Negative), Neopharmed
Gentili S.p.A. (B/Stable), CHEPLAPHARM Arzneimittel GmbH (B/Stable)
and ADVANZ PHARMA HoldCo Limited (B/Stable). Fitch also compares it
with the larger generic drug manufacturer, Nidda BondCo GmbH
(Stada; B/Stable).
Pharmanovia has a lower rating due to multiple operational setbacks
and challenges resulting in a weakening financial profile with
sharply increased leverage and softening operating margins. Stada
has larger, cash-generative operations, but a more aggressive
financial risk profile than Cooper. Neopharmed has a smaller scale
than Cooper and its operations are focused on Italy.
Both CHEPLAPHARM and Neopharmed have stronger FCF margins and lower
leverage than Cooper. ADVANZ has better EBITDA margins and lower
EBITDA leverage than Cooper, but a smaller scale and weaker FCF
margins.
Key Assumptions
- Revenue growth slightly above 40% in 2025 due to the full-year
contribution of Viatris OTC assets and, to a lesser extent, a
one-off benefit of start-up stock sales to newly set-up
distributors
- Organic revenue growth of 2% in 2025, followed by 3% over
2026-2028
- Reported revenue growth slightly below 1% in 2026 and 6%-6.5%
over 2027-2028, supported by bolt-on acquisitions averaging EUR120
million a year between 2026 and 2028
- EBITDA margin about 30% in 2025, gradually improving towards 31%
by 2028
- Capex at 2.5%-3% of sales over 2025-2028
- No dividends
Recovery Analysis
Key Recovery Rating Assumptions:
- The recovery analysis assumes that Cooper would be considered a
going concern in bankruptcy and reorganised rather than liquidated.
This is driven by the company's diversified product portfolio and
established pan-European market position.
- Fitch assumes a 10% administrative claim.
- Fitch estimates the going concern value available for creditor
claims at about EUR1.5 billion, based on a going concern EBITDA of
EUR270 million. The going concern EBITDA reflects a deterioration
in demand, the loss of a major brand in products portfolio, rising
competition and the negative impact of regulations. The assumption
also reflects corrective measures taken in the reorganisation to
offset the adverse conditions that trigger a default.
- Fitch uses a 6.0x EBITDA enterprise value multiple to calculate a
post-reorganisation valuation. This multiple reflects Cooper's
premium market positions and protected business model, especially
in the French market.
- Fitch assumes the company's multi-currency revolving credit
facility (RCF) of EUR295 million to be fully drawn in a
restructuring, ranking equally with the rest of the senior secured
first-lien loan.
- Its principal waterfall analysis generates a ranked recovery of
'RR3' leading to a 'B+' rating for the senior secured first-lien
loans of EUR2.7 billion, comprising a EUR2.4 billion term loan B
and the RCF.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Deteriorating organic or unsuccessful acquisitive growth, leading
to a gradual weakening of EBITDA margins and low single-digit FCF
margins
- A continuing aggressive financial policy resulting in failure to
deleverage to total debt/EBITDA below 6.5x by 2026
- EBITDA interest coverage below 2.0x on a sustained basis
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Profitable business organic growth, leading to robust EBITDA
margins at around 30%
- Solid profitability supporting continued strong cash conversion,
with healthy FCF margins in high single digits
- A more conservative financial policy leading to total debt/EBITDA
at below 5.5x on a sustained basis
- EBITDA interest coverage above 3.0x on a sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-June 2025, Cooper reported Fitch-defined readily available
cash of EUR185 million (after adjustment for restricted cash of
EUR50 million). It has no material upcoming debt repayment
maturities and expected positive FCF generation will support
liquidity. Short-term debt was represented by factoring use of
about EUR29 million at end-2024.
The undrawn EUR295 million RCF due May 2028 provides additional
support to Cooper's liquidity.
Its sources of funding are concentrated and consist of a EUR2.4
billion first-lien term loan B due November 2028.
Issuer Profile
Cooper is a leading pan-European OTC consumer healthcare specialist
managing a diversified portfolio of brands sold mainly in retail
pharmacies.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
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Cooper Consumer Health LT IDR B Affirmed B
senior secured LT B+ Affirmed RR3 B+
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G E R M A N Y
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WEPA HYGIENEPRODUKTE: Moody's Rates New EUR400MM Sr. Sec. Notes Ba3
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Moody's Ratings has assigned a Ba3 instrument rating to the
proposed EUR400 million backed senior secured notes of the German
tissue producer WEPA Hygieneprodukte GmbH (WEPA). The outlook is
positive.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The new backed senior secured notes are rated in line with the long
term corporate family rating (CFR) of Ba3 and at the same level as
WEPA's existing EUR650 million senior secured notes, reflecting
their pari passu ranking in the capital structure. The proceeds
from the issuance are expected to be used to refinance WEPA's
existing EUR400 million senior secured fixed rate notes due 2027
with the remainder being available for general corporate purposes
including M&A and capex.
The new backed senior secured notes share the same collateral
package as the super senior RCF, consisting of materially all of
the group's assets, as well as upstream guarantees from most of the
group's operating subsidiaries, representing a substantial share of
assets and EBITDA. While RCF lenders benefit from priority
treatment in a default scenario because their claims have a
priority right of payment before any remaining proceeds are
distributed to the holders of the senior secured notes a notching
of the notes is not warranted given the fact that the relative
share of the EUR150 million super-senior revolving credit facility
in the capital structure of WEPA has reduced over time below
Moody's threshold for a notching.
The rating continues to be supported by (1) the group's leading
market position in the production of private-label consumer tissue
products, which benefit from fairly stable demand due to
non-discretionary nature of some products; (2) long relationships
and strong ties with customers, including joint product
development; (3) strategically located good-quality assets, which
are close to customers and limit transportation costs; (4) focus on
cost control and commitment to tighter financial policy; and (5)
strong credit metrics with high profitability, low leverage,
positive free cash and a good liquidity profile despite strategic
investments, low securitization drawings, and continued dividend
distributions.
The rating is primarily constrained by (1) limited geographical
diversification and modest scale, with operations mainly in mature
Western European markets, and a relatively narrow product portfolio
compared with larger peers, such as Essity Aktiebolag (Essity, Baa1
stable); (2) some customer concentration, with a few large
customers having significant pricing power; (3) WEPA's
susceptibility to volatile input costs, which has resulted in a
high level of volatility in its credit metrics in the past and can
lead to earnings seasonality under price-sensitive contracts; (4)
risks of profitability erosion due to downwards pricing pressure or
sudden increase in key input costs; (5) relatively weak track
record of positive free cash flow (FCF) generation over the past
decade.
RATIONALE OF THE OUTLOOK
The positive outlook reflects the strengthened credit quality of
WEPA mirrored in the strong credit metrics the company currently
shows and the expectation that WEPA will be able to further build
on a track record of strong operating metrics with high
profitability, low leverage, and positive free cash flow. The
positive outlook also assumes that liquidity remains solid with no
significant dividend distributions outside of payout policy, large
debt-funded acquisitions, or intensive period of capital
spendings.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
Positive rating pressure would develop further if:
-- WEPA maintains a strong operating performance with a clear
evidence of reduced earnings volatility
-- Moody's-adjusted EBIT margin is materially above 12% on a
sustained basis
-- Moody's adjusted debt/EBITDA (including off-balance
securitisation) is below 3.5x on a sustained basis
-- WEPA builds a track record of positive free cash flow
generation through the cycle
Conversely, negative rating pressure could arise if:
- Moody's adjusted EBIT margin is below 8% on a sustained basis
-- Moody's adjusted debt/EBITDA (including off-balance
securitisation) is above 4.5x on a sustained basis
-- WEPA shifts to a more aggressive growth strategy, resulting in
weaker credit metrics or material deterioration of the liquidity
profile
LIQUIDITY
WEPA maintains a good liquidity, supported by EUR102 million cash
and cash equivalents and EUR150 million fully undrawn committed
revolving credit facilities (RCFs) as of September 30, 2025. In
addition, the company has access to a EUR220 million
receivable-based program (ABS Program) which further strengthens
its liquidity and financial flexibility. Net drawings as of
September 30, 2025 amounted to EUR10.8 million compared to EUR5.8
million as of December 2024 and EUR100 million as of December
2023.
Looking ahead, Moody's expects WEPA to maintain an ample headroom
under its springing covenant (relaxed to at maximum net debt/EBITDA
of 6.0x) which is only tested when RCFs drawings exceed 50%. The
5-year ABS program matures in June 2027, the maturity of the RCF
has been extended to 2030, recently. Together with funds from
operations of around EUR280 million (Moody's estimates including
interest paid), Moody's expects WEPA to comfortably cover working
capital swings, capital spending, and dividend distributions in
line with its payout policy in the next 12-18 months. WEPA has no
significant upcoming debt maturity, with EUR400 million senior
secured notes only coming due in December 2027 and EUR250 million
backed senior secured notes coming due in January 2031.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was Paper and Forest
Products published in August 2024.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Headquartered in Arnsberg, Germany, WEPA Hygieneprodukte GmbH
(WEPA) is among the leading producers and suppliers of tissue
products in Europe. The company focuses on private-label consumer
tissue products, which currently generate around 86% of its group
sales, with the remainder generated primarily from tissue solutions
for Professional applications.
The company operates 22 paper machines and around 80 converting
lines in 14 production sites across Europe and has more than 4,000
employees. WEPA generated around EUR1.8 billion revenue in the 12
months that ended in September 2025. The company operates in
Europe, with an established footprint in DACH, Italy, Benelux,
France, Poland and the UK.
WEPA was founded in 1948 by Paul Krengel as "Westfälische
Papierfabrik". Currently, three Krengel families hold equal shares
in the company.
WEPA HYGIENEPRODUKTE: S&P Rates New EUR400MM Secured Notes 'BB'
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB' issue rating and '3' recovery
rating to Germany-based hygiene-paper manufacturer WEPA
Hygieneprodukte GmbH's (Wepa's) proposed EUR400 million senior
secured fixed-rate notes due 2032. The proposed notes will rank
pari passu with the existing EUR250 million senior secured
fixed-rate notes due 2031. Wepa will use the issuance proceeds for
the early refinancing of the EUR400 million senior secured
fixed-rate notes due 2027.
The issuance follows the publication of Wepa's third quarter
results for 2025, which point to a trend broadly in line with our
base case. For the first nine months of 2025, Wepa posted revenue
of around EUR1.3 billion, declining by around 2% compared with the
same period in the previous year, given declined sales volumes of
semifinished goods. At the same time, in line with expectations,
Wepa reported EBITDA margins contracted by around 300 basis points
to approximately 14%, mainly driven by sales price deflation.
S&P said, "In our base case, we expect annual revenue of around
EUR1.8 billion in 2025, a 1%-2% decline versus 2024. We expect
revenue to reach EUR1.8 billion-EUR1.85 billion in 2026, with some
modest growth supported by increasing volumes, given the continuous
penetration of private-label hygiene products in Europe, and
moderate pricing revisions. Market analysis firm RISI forecasts
that prices of northern bleached softwood kraft pulp will increase
by 7% in 2026 and bleached hardwood kraft pulp by 5%. We expect
Wepa to maintain S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin around
14.0%-14.5% over 2025-2026 (from 16.8% posted in 2024), a level
that we believe the company can structurally maintain also over the
medium term. This level of profitability will translate into S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted leverage remaining close to 2.0x-2.5x.
"Main downside risks to our base case could derive primarily from
stronger competition in the tissue industry, in our view. We note
A-brand players like Essity AB (BBB+/Stable/A-2) and Kimberly Clark
Corp. (A/Negative/A-1) rely on promotional activity to maintain
their market shares from further penetration of private labels.
Yet, we believe Wepa has entrenched its position as a supplier of
choice for some key retailers, leveraging its innovations from a
sustainability point of view and its ability to satisfy customers'
orders on time. We believe the company has relatively good headroom
under the existing 'BB' issuer credit rating, supported by S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA of about 2.0x-2.5x over
2025-2026, well below our downside trigger of 4.0x. We note Wepa's
public financial policy states that it will keep net leverage
between 2.0x and 3.0x (according to the company's calculation). In
line with our methodology and including drawings on the
asset-backed-securitization (ABS) facility, this translates into
S&P Global Ratings' adjusted leverage of 2.5x-3.5x."
Issue Ratings--Recovery Analysis
Key analytical factors
-- The EUR250 million senior secured notes due 2031 and the
proposed EUR400 million senior secured notes due 2032 are rated
'BB' with a '3' recovery, which indicates our expectation of
meaningful (50%-70%; rounded estimate: 60%) recovery in the event
of a default.
-- The recovery rating reflects the comprehensive nature of the
security package, which includes share pledges, intercompany loans,
and certain equipment and other real estate owned by Wepa and its
subsidiaries.
-- The recovery rating is constrained by the substantial amount of
prior-ranking liabilities (primarily the EUR150 million super
senior revolving credit facility [RCF] and the EUR220 million ABS
facility).
-- Under S&P's hypothetical scenario, it assumes increased
competition and rising raw-material prices that cannot be passed on
to consumers.
-- S&P values Wepa as a going concern, reflecting its strong
market position in the European private-label tissue market and its
long-term relationships with key retailers.
Simulated default assumptions
-- Year of default: 2030
-- Jurisdiction: Germany
Simplified waterfall
-- Emergence EBITDA: approximately EUR120 million (capex
represents 3.0% of sales; cyclicality adjustment is 0%, in line
with the industry subsegment)
-- Operational adjustment: 20%
-- Multiple: 6.0x
-- Gross recovery value: EUR711 million
-- Net recovery value for waterfall after administrative expenses
(5%): About EUR675 million
-- Estimated priority claims (includes RCF drawings and the ABS
facility): About EUR244.2 million*
-- Estimated second-lien senior secured debt claims: Approximately
EUR564 million§
--Recovery range: 50%-70% (rounded estimate: 60%)
--Recovery rating: 3
*S&P assumes that the RCF is 85% drawn and that the ABS facility is
50% utilized at default.
§All debt amounts include six months of prepetition interest.
=============
I R E L A N D
=============
AQUEDUCT EUROPEAN 14: Fitch Puts 'B-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Aqueduct European CLO 14 DAC final
ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Aqueduct European
CLO 14 DAC
Class A Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
Class A XS3173759484 LT AAAsf New Rating
Class B XS3173759641 LT AAsf New Rating
Class C XS3173760060 LT Asf New Rating
Class D XS3173760144 LT BBB-sf New Rating
Class E XS3173760227 LT BB-sf New Rating
Class F XS3173760656 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes
XS3173761894 LT NRsf New Rating
Z-1 XS3173760904 LT NRsf New Rating
Z-2 XS3173761209 LT NRsf New Rating
Z-3 XS3173761548 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Aqueduct European CLO 14 DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds were used to purchase a portfolio with a target par of
EUR400 million. The portfolio is actively managed by HPS Investment
Partners CLO (UK) LLP. The collateralised loan obligation (CLO) has
a 4.7-year reinvestment period and an 8.5-year weighted average
life test (WAL).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the identified portfolio
is 24.5.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. The recovery
prospects for these assets are more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio
is 62.1.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes various
concentration limits, including a maximum exposure of 40% to the
three-largest Fitch-defined industries. All matrices are based on a
top 10 obligor concentration at 20%. These covenants ensure the
asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The deal has an about 4.7-year
reinvestment period and includes reinvestment criteria similar to
those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on
a stressed case portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of
the deal structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
The deal has four matrices. Two are effective at closing and two
one year after closing, all with fixed-rate limits of 12.5% and 5%.
The closing matrices correspond to an 8.5-year WAL test while the
forward matrices correspond to a 7.5-year WAL test. The forward
matrices could be elected one year after closing if the collateral
principal amount (defaults at Fitch collateral value) is at least
at the reinvestment target par balance.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged by the deal after its reinvestment period. These
conditions include passing the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC'
bucket limitation test after reinvestment, and a WAL covenant that
gradually steps down, before and after the end of the reinvestment
period. These conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of
the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would not have any impact on the class A notes, lead to
downgrades of two notches on the class B notes, one notch each for
the class C, D and E notes, and to below 'B-sf' on the class F
notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class, B,
D, E and F notes each have a rating cushion of up to two notches
and the class C notes have a cushion of one notch, due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than
the Fitch-stressed portfolio. The class A notes have no rating
cushion as they are at the highest achievable rating.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches for the class A to D notes and to below 'B-sf' for the
class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to four notches each, except for the 'AAAsf' notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
transaction's remaining life. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from stable portfolio credit quality
and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and other nationally
recognised statistical rating organisations and European Securities
and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch has relied
on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch and other
rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio information or
information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for its analysis
according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it
is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Aqueduct European
CLO 14 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BROOM HOLDINGS: Moody's Affirms 'B2' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed Broom Holdings BidCo Limited's (Broom)
B2 long-term corporate family rating and B2-PD probability of
default rating. Concurrently, Moody's have affirmed the B2
instrument ratings of its senior secured term loan B and credit
facilities due 2028. The outlook remains stable.
The rating action follows the announcement by the company that it
plans to raise EUR50 million of additional debt. Proceeds from the
proposed EUR50 million fungible increase to the existing senior
secured term loan will be used to repay the EUR42 million revolving
credit facility (RCF) drawn earlier in the year, while the
remaining EUR8 million will be retained as cash on the balance
sheet.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The ratings affirmation reflects Moody's expectations that the
company's Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA will decline to below 6.0x
by 2026. However, Moody's notes that the ratings will be initially
weakly positioned with Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA increasing to
around 6.2x by year-end 2025 due to weaker-than-expected operating
performance in the first nine months of the year.
While Broom demonstrated robust revenue growth of 8% year-over-year
in the first nine months of 2025, EBITDA remained largely unchanged
compared to the previous year and was 5% behind budget. The
underperformance is in its entirety ascribed to the UK waste
business. In addition, Moody's expects Moody's-adjusted gross debt
to rise by around EUR65 million in 2025, thereby further weakening
Broom's leverage. This increase in debt is mainly attributed to
capex requirements and acquisition payments.
However, in 2026, Moody's expects earnings growth to accelerate,
driven by volume and price increases as well as contribution from
recent acquisitions and initiatives, allowing for EBITDA to exceed
EUR140 million, which would position Broom more solidly in the
rating category.
Broom's B2 CFR continues to reflect its diversification along the
waste value chain and moderate geographic diversification in
Ireland , the UK and, to a lesser extent, the Netherlands; its
leading market position in waste collection and processing in
Ireland, with high barriers to entry, as well as a developing
regional market share in the UK's fragmented market; the supportive
regulatory and industry trends where it operates; and a track
record of solid margins.
At the same time, the ratings are constrained by Broom's high
financial leverage, with Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA at 5.8x
in 2024, with further deleveraging dependent on future earnings
growth; the group's small size, with reported EBITDA of EUR139
million in 2024; the exposure of commercial waste collected volumes
to cyclical macroeconomic conditions; a moderate level of waste
internalization; continued high capital spending, which strains
free cash flow; and some degree of event risk related to future M&A
activity.
LIQUIDITY
Moody's considers Broom's liquidity to be solid, because it is
supported by the absence of significant debt maturities until 2028
and Moody's expectations of positive, although modest, free cash
flow. As of September 30, 2025, Broom had EUR39 million of cash on
its balance sheet. The company also has a EUR120 million RCF due
2028, which will be fully undrawn following the EUR42 million
repayment.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The B2 ratings on Broom's senior secured term loan and credit
facilities are aligned with the B2 CFR, reflecting that the loan
and facilities are guaranteed by Broom and subsidiaries
representing 80% of consolidated EBITDA.
Broom's capital structure also includes around EUR517 million worth
of a shareholder loan from Broom Investments Limited. Moody's
considers this shareholder loan as equity under Moody's Hybrid
Equity Credit methodology.
OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Broom will
continue to grow its EBITDA, allowing for its leverage — defined
as Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA — to decline below 6x.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The ratings could be upgraded if Broom successfully drives further
EBITDA growth so that its leverage decreases below 5x on a
sustained basis.
Conversely, the ratings could be downgraded if Broom's leverage
remains above 6x for a sustained period or its liquidity
deteriorates substantially.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Environmental
Services and Waste Management published in August 2024.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
Broom Holdings BidCo Limited is the holding company that owns 100%
of Beauparc Utilities Holdings Limited (Beauparc), an Irish waste
management company involved in the collection and processing of
waste in Ireland and the UK. Beauparc also carries out waste
treatment in Ireland and the UK, and in the Netherlands
(specialised recycling). Broom is owned through funds managed by
private equity fund Macquarie Asset Management (MAM). In 2024,
Broom reported revenues of EUR806 million and EBITDA of EUR139
million.
CAIRN CLO XIII: Moody's Affirms B3 Rating on EUR11MM Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Cairn CLO XIII DAC:
EUR38,500,000 Class B Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2033,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 19, 2021 Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR25,000,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2033, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on May 19, 2021
Assigned A2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR73,000,000 Class A Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2033,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on May 19, 2021 Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR125,000,000 Class A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Loan due
2033 Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on May 19, 2021 Assigned
Aaa (sf)
EUR50,000,000 Class A-2 Senior Secured Floating Rate Loan due 2033
Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on May 19, 2021 Assigned Aaa
(sf)
EUR29,000,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2033, Affirmed Baa3 (sf); previously on May 19, 2021
Assigned Baa3 (sf)
EUR20,500,000 Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2033, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on May 19, 2021
Assigned Ba3 (sf)
EUR11,000,000 Class F Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2033, Affirmed B3 (sf); previously on May 19, 2021
Assigned B3 (sf)
Cairn CLO XIII DAC, issued in May 2021, is a collateralised loan
obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of mostly high-yield senior
secured European loans. The portfolio is managed by Cairn Loan
Investments II LLP. The transaction's reinvestment period will end
in November 2025.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrades on the ratings on the Class B and Class C notes are
primarily a result of the benefit of the shorter period of time
remaining before the end of the reinvestment period in November
2025.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A, Class A-1, Class
A-2, Class D, Class E and Class F notes are primarily a result of
the expected losses on the notes remaining consistent with their
current rating levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralisation ratios.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR391.9m
Defaulted Securities: EUR6.0m
Diversity Score: 55
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2937
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.27 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for Euribor
floors): 3.67%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 3.18%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 44.30%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Collateralized
Loan Obligations" published in October 2025.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Weighted average life: The notes' ratings are sensitive to the
weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which could
lengthen as a result of the manager's decision to reinvest in new
issue loans or other loans with longer maturities, or participate
in amend-to-extend offerings. The effect on the ratings of
extending the portfolio's weighted average life can be positive or
negative depending on the notes' seniority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell Moody's
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Moody's analysed
defaulted recoveries assuming the lower of the market price or the
recovery rate to account for potential volatility in market prices.
Recoveries higher than Moody's expectations would have a positive
impact on the notes' ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
HARVEST CLO XXXVII: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Harvest CLO XXXVII DAC notes final
ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Harvest CLO XXXVII DAC
A XS3192948480 LT AAAsf New Rating
B XS3192948647 LT AAsf New Rating
C XS3192948993 LT Asf New Rating
D XS3192949298 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E XS3192949454 LT BB-sf New Rating
F XS3192949611 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes
XS3192950031 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Harvest CLO XXXVII DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured
obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note proceeds
have been used to fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR400
million. The portfolio is actively managed by Investcorp Credit
Management EU Limited. The CLO has a 4.7-year reinvestment period
and an 8.5-year weighted average life (WAL) test at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B+'/'B'. The Fitch-weighted
average rating factor (WARF) of the identified portfolio is 23.1.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. The recovery
prospects for these assets is more favourable than for second-lien,
unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-weighted average recovery
rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio is 59.8%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes various
concentration limits, including a top 10 obligor concentration
limit of 20% and a maximum exposure to the three-largest
Fitch-defined industries of 40%. These covenants ensure the asset
portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The deal includes four Fitch test
matrices. Two are effective at closing, corresponding to an
8.5-year WAL. Two are effective one year after closing
corresponding to a 7.5-year WAL. Each matrix set corresponds to two
different fixed-rate asset limits at 5% and 10%. Switching to the
forward matrices is subject to the aggregate collateral balance
(defaults at Fitch collateral value) being at least equal to the
reinvestment target par balance.
The transaction has a 4.7-year reinvestment period and includes
reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European deals.
Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed case portfolio with the aim
of testing the robustness of the transaction structure against its
covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the deal's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis and matrices analysis is 12
months less than the WAL covenant. This is to account for strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after its
reinvestment period, which include passing the coverage test and
the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limitation test after reinvestment, and a
WAL test covenant that gradually steps down, before and after the
end of the reinvestment period. These conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A to C notes and would
lead to downgrades of one notch each for the class D and E notes,
and to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class B to
E notes have a two-notch rating cushion due to the better metrics
and shorter life of the identified portfolio than the
Fitch-stressed portfolio. The class A notes have no rating
cushion.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches each for the class B and C notes, three notches each for
the class A and D notes, and to below 'B-sf' for the class E and F
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to two notches each, except for the 'AAAsf' rated
notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test covenant,
allowing the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
transaction's remaining life. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from stable portfolio credit quality
and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and other nationally
recognised statistical rating organisations and European Securities
and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch has relied
on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch and other
rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio information or
information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for its analysis
according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it
is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Harvest CLO XXXVII
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
HARVEST XXX CLO: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Class F-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned credit ratings to Harvest XXX CLO DAC's
class A-R, B-1-R, B-2-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R notes. At closing,
the issuer also issued unrated subordinated notes.
This transaction is a reset of the already existing transaction
that closed in September 2023. The existing classes of notes were
fully redeemed with the proceeds from the issuance of the
replacement notes on the reset date. The ratings on the original
notes were withdrawn.
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest, unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following such an
event, the notes would permanently switch to semi-annual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period ends 4.50 years after closing;
the non-call period ends 1.5 years after closing.
The ratings assigned to the reset notes reflect S&P' assessment
of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes through collateral
selection, ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,787.33
Default rate dispersion 551.79
Weighted-average life (years) 4.61
Obligor diversity measure 139.68
Industry diversity measure 22.63
Regional diversity measure 1.28
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 2.95
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.47
Target weighted-average coupon 4.19
Target weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.77
S&P said, "The portfolio is well-diversified at closing, primarily
comprising broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term
loans and senior secured bonds. Therefore, we have conducted our
credit and cash flow analysis by applying our criteria for
corporate cash flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the 400 million target par
amount, the covenanted weighted-average spread (3.70%), and the
covenanted weighted-average coupon (4.50%), as indicated by the
collateral manager. We assumed the actual weighted-average recovery
rates at all rating levels. We applied various cash flow stress
scenarios, using four different default patterns, in conjunction
with different interest rate stress scenarios, for each liability
rating category.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis shows that the class B-1-R to
class E-R notes benefit from break-even default rate and scenario
default rate cushions that we would typically consider to be in
line with higher ratings than those assigned. However, as the CLO
is still in its reinvestment phase, during which the transaction's
credit risk profile could deteriorate, we have capped our ratings
on the notes. The class A-R and F-R notes can withstand stresses
commensurate with the assigned ratings.
"Until April 27, 2030, when the reinvestment period ends, the
collateral manager may substitute the assets in the portfolio, as
long the CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation to
the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain, as established
by the initial cash flows for each rating, and compares that with
the current portfolio's default potential, plus par losses to date.
As a result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the
collateral manager may, through trading, cause the transaction's
credit risk profile to deteriorate.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we consider
that the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-R to F-R notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to indicate how rising
pressures among speculative-grade corporates could affect our
ratings on European CLO transactions, we also assessed the
sensitivity of our ratings on the class A-R to E-R notes, based on
four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis includes additional considerations to be
incorporated before we would assign ratings in the 'CCC'
category--and we would assign a 'B-' rating if the criteria for
assigning a 'CCC' category rating are not met--we have not included
the above scenario analysis results for the class F-R notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being related
to certain industries. Accordingly, since the exclusion of assets
from these industries does not result in material differences
between the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no
specific adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to
account for any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) enhancement (%) Interest rate§
A-R AAA (sf) 244.00 39.00 Three /six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.28%
B-1-R AA (sf) 42.00 28.50 Three /six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.90%
B-2-R AA (sf) 5.00 27.25 4.40%
C-R A (sf) 24.50 21.13 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 2.20%
D-R BBB- (sf) 28.50 14.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 3.45%
E-R BB- (sf) 18.00 9.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 5.60%
F-R B- (sf) 12.00 6.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 8.70%
Sub. NR 31.40 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-R, B-1-R, and B-2-R notes
address timely interest and ultimate principal payments. The
ratings assigned to the class C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R notes address
ultimate interest and principal payments.
§The payment frequency permanently switches to semiannual and the
index switches to six-month SONIA when a frequency switch event
occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
Sub.--Subordinated notes.
TRINITAS EURO X: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Trinitas Euro CLO X DAC final ratings,
as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Trinitas Euro CLO X DAC
Class A Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
Class A Notes XS3176121252 LT AAAsf New Rating
Class B XS3176121419 LT AAsf New Rating
Class C XS3176121682 LT Asf New Rating
Class D XS3176121849 LT BBB-sf New Rating
Class E XS3176122060 LT BB-sf New Rating
Class F XS3176122227 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes XS3176122573 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Trinitas Euro CLO X DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds were used to fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR400
million. The portfolio is managed by Trinitas Capital Management,
LLC. The CLO has a 4.5-year reinvestment period and an 8.5-year
weighted average life (WAL) test covenant at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B+'/'B'. The
Fitch-calculated weighted average rating factor of the identified
portfolio is 22.8.
Strong Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is
62.2%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes various
concentration limits, including a top 10 obligor concentration
limit at 20% and a maximum of 40% to the three largest
Fitch-defined industries. These covenants ensure the asset
portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction includes two Fitch
matrices effective at closing accompanied by two fixed-rate asset
(FRA) limits of 7.5% and 12.5% and two matrices eligible from one
year after closing based on a 7.5-year WAL test and the same FRA
limits, subject to satisfaction of the reinvestment target par
condition with defaults carried at collateral value. The
transaction has an approximately 4.5-year reinvestment period and
includes reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
test covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment
conditions envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment
period. These conditions include passing the coverage tests and
Fitch's 'CCC' limit test, as well as a WAL covenant that gradually
steps down, before and after the end of the reinvestment period.
Fitch believes these conditions would reduce the effective risk
horizon of the portfolio during the stress period.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) across all ratings
and a 25% decrease of the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of
the identified portfolio would have no impact on the class A notes
and lead to one-notch downgrades for the class B and E notes and to
below 'B-sf' for the class F notes. The class A, C and D notes
would not be downgraded.
Based on the actual portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. Due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio, the
class B, D, E and F notes display rating cushions of two notches
and the class C notes of three notches.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
across all ratings and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings
of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to
four notches for the class A to D notes and to below 'B-sf for the
class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR across all ratings and a 25%
increase in the RRR across all ratings of Fitch's stress portfolio
would lead to upgrades of up to three notches for the notes, except
the 'AAAsf' rated notes, which are at the highest level on Fitch's
scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on Fitch's stress portfolio,
upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio credit quality
and a shorter remaining WAL test, leading to the ability of the
notes to withstand larger than expected losses for the remaining
life of the transaction. After the end of the reinvestment period,
upgrades may occur in case of stable portfolio credit quality and
deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover for losses on the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Trinitas Euro CLO X DAC
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Trinitas Euro CLO X
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
ARD FINANCE: Moody's Appends 'LD' Designation to PDR
----------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has appended a limited default (LD) designation to
ARD Finance S.A.'s (Ardagh) probability of default rating, revising
it to Caa2-PD/LD from Caa2-PD. The LD designation will remain in
place for three business days. There is no change to the company's
Caa2 long-term corporate family rating or to the ratings of its
debt instruments issued by ARD Finance S.A. and Ardagh Packaging
Finance plc. The unaffected outlook remains negative.
On November 12, Ardagh completed a full recapitalization of its
capital structure, whereby the total debt of the glass packaging
business (ARGID) was reduced by approximately $4 billion to $5
billion and its maturity extended to 2030.
The LD designation reflects Moody's views that the transaction
constitutes a distressed exchange, which qualifies as a default
under Moody's definitions.
The new capital structure will include $1.56 billion of first-lien
senior secured notes, c.$2.6 billion of second-line senior secured
notes, and a c.$0.5 billion asset based lending (ABL) facility, all
maturing in 2030. Proceeds from the first-lien senior secured notes
were used to refinance existing debt, including the $926 million
senior secured facility provided by Apollo, to fund the $300
million purchase of Yeoman Capital S.A. by the new equity holders,
and to support general corporate purposes.
While the transaction is credit positive from a balance sheet and
liquidity perspective, reducing total debt and leverage, and
extending the debt maturity, the company's free cash flow will
further weaken because interest expense under the new structure
will be higher. This is due to a 9.5% cash coupon on the new
first-lien senior secured notes and a higher coupon on the second
lien senior secured notes. The second lien senior secured notes
also carry PIK interest component, a feature that will increase
debt over time, potentially slowing deleveraging.
ARDAGH GROUP: S&P Lowers ICR to 'SD' on Debt Restructuring
----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit ratings on
Ardagh Group S.A., ARD Finance S.A., Ardagh Packaging Holdings
Ltd., and Ardagh Packaging Group Ltd. to 'SD' (selective default)
from 'CC'.
S&P said, "We also lowered our issue ratings on the senior secured
notes co-issued by Ardagh Packaging Finance PLC and Ardagh Holdings
USA Inc. to 'D' (default) from 'CC'. We also lowered our issue
ratings on the senior unsecured notes co-issued by Ardagh Packaging
Finance PLC and Ardagh Holdings USA Inc., and the deeply
subordinated PIK toggle notes issued by ARD Finance S.A. to 'D'
from 'C'.
"Our ratings on Ardagh Metal Packaging Finance PLC (AMP;
CCC+/Stable/--) and its debt instruments remain unchanged."
Luxembourg-based metal and glass packaging producer Ardagh Group
S.A. announced the completion of a capital restructuring.
This capital restructuring relates solely to the debt raised by
Ardagh's glass operations. It foresees the provision of new senior
secured $1.5 billion senior secured notes and the exchange of the
existing senior secured notes (about $2.7 billion) for new
second-lien notes. The senior unsecured notes issued by the glass
packaging entities and the payment-in-kind (PIK) notes issued by
ARD Finance S.A. are being written off, resulting in the transfer
of the ownership of Ardagh Group S.A. to the holders of these
notes. S&P views this restructuring as distressed and tantamount to
default, as certain senior secured, senior unsecured, and PIK
toggle note creditors are receiving less than originally promised.
S&P said, "Ardagh Group SA completed a restructuring of its capital
on Nov. 12, 2025, which we view as a distressed transaction. The
capital restructuring relates to debt borrowed by the group's glass
packaging entities. The restructuring includes the provision of a
new first-lien senior secured $1.5 billion loan to refinance the
EUR790 million loan provided to Ardagh Investments Holdings Sarl
(AIHS), fund a $300 million payment to existing shareholders (for
the indirect purchase of Ardagh Group S.A. by certain lenders), as
well as about $274 million in cash on balance sheet. The
restructuring also provides for the exchange of the existing senior
secured notes (about $2.7 billion) for new second-lien notes. The
senior unsecured notes and the PIK notes issued by ARD Finance S.A.
will be fully written off; this corresponds to about $4.3 billion
or about 35% of Ardagh Group S.A.'s total debt. In return,
ownership of Ardagh Group S.A. will pass to the holders of the
existing senior unsecured notes (92.5%) and of the PIK notes issued
by ARD Finance S.A. (7.5%). We view this restructuring as
distressed and tantamount to default, as some creditors (mainly the
senior unsecured noteholders and the PIK noteholders) are receiving
less value than originally promised.
"We understand that the company received the consent of over 99% of
the affected secured and unsecured noteholders, allowing the
company to restructure these notes on a consensual basis. The
company has initiated a court procedure in Luxembourg to implement
the write-off of the PIK notes, as only 82% (90% would have been
required for a consensual procedure) of these noteholders consented
to the restructuring. Equitization of the PIK notes has already
taken place.
"We lowered our issue ratings on the senior secured, senior
unsecured, and PIK toggle notes issued by the glass packaging
operations to 'D'. We lowered our issue ratings on the senior
secured notes co-issued by Ardagh Packaging Finance PLC and Ardagh
Holdings USA Inc. to 'D' (default) from 'CC', as we view the
exchanged senior secured notes as being primed by the new $1.5
billion senior secured loan. We also lowered the issue rating on
the senior unsecured notes co-issued by Ardagh Packaging Finance
PLC and Ardagh Holdings USA Inc., and the $1.8 billion deeply
subordinated PIK toggle notes issued by ARD Finance S.A. to 'D'
from 'C'. These notes are being entirely written off, in exchange
for equity stakes (92.5% for the unsecured noteholders and 7.5% for
the PIK noteholders) in Ardagh Group S.A. The existing owners will
receive $300 million for their equity; this will be funded by the
new $1.5 billion first-lien senior secured notes.
"We have not taken any rating action on AMP. We do not anticipate
that a default by Ardagh would directly affect our rating on AMP,
although some risk exists. We have therefore not taken any rating
action on AMP.
"We will reassess our ratings on Ardagh Group S.A. and its
subsidiaries, including AMP, after completion of the debt
restructuring. We will then rate Ardagh Group S.A. based on our
assessment of its business plan and credit metrics under the new
capital structure. We expect these new ratings to be assigned
shortly."
Ardagh Group S.A., ARD Finance S.A., Ardagh Packaging Holdings
Ltd., and Ardagh Packaging Group Ltd.
S&P's 'SD' rating on Ardagh, ARD Finance S.A., and the rated glass
packaging subsidiaries does not carry any outlook.
Ardagh Metal Packaging Finance PLC (AMP)
S&P said, "The stable outlook on AMP reflects our expectation that
the selective default on Ardagh Group S.A. does not adversely
affect AMP. We expect AMP will continue to generate positive cash
flows over the next 12 months and pay dividends."
KLEOPATRA HOLDINGS 2: S&P Cuts Sec. Debt Rating to D on Ch. 11 Case
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its issue rating on plastics producer
Kleopatra Holdings 2 S.C.A.'s (KH2) senior secured debt to 'D' from
'CCC-'.
The downgrade reflects KH2's Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing. KH2 and
certain of its subsidiaries voluntarily initiated a prepackaged
Chapter 11 process in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern
District of Texas. S&P expects the procedure will allow KH2 to
implement a Restructuring Support Agreement that it reached with
certain debtholders.
S&P said, "We understand that the restructuring plan will reduce
KH2's debt by approximately EUR1.3 billion. We estimated KH2's S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt quantum at about EUR2.4 billion at the
time of the Chapter 11 filing."
Additionally, KH2 obtained commitments for EUR215 million new
debtor-in-possession financing, which is expected to support the
company's operations during the restructuring process.
S&P plans to reassess our ratings once the company emerges from
Chapter 11. It expects this will happen in about 90 days.
The 'D' issue rating on KH2's senior secured instruments mirrors
the downgrade of the issuer credit ratings. The senior secured
instruments included a EUR600 million term loan, a $725 million
term loan, and EUR400 million notes all due in 2026. The rated
senior secured debt was issued by Kloeckner Pentaplast of America
Inc. and Kleopatra Finco S.a.r.l. -- both entities are ultimately
fully owned by KH2.
KLEOPATRA HOLDINGS: Moody's Downgrades PDR to D-PD and CFR to Ca
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded the probability of default rating of
global plastic packaging manufacturer Kleopatra Holdings 2 S.C.A
(Klockner Pentaplast, KP or the company) to D-PD from Caa3-PD.
Concurrently, Moody's have downgraded KP's corporate family rating
to Ca from Caa1. Moody's have also downgraded the instrument
ratings of Kleopatra Finco S.a r.l.'s EUR400 million senior secured
global notes due 2026, EUR600 million senior secured first lien
term loan B due 2026 and EUR120 million senior secured first lien
revolving credit facility due 2026 to Ca from Caa1, and Klockner
Pentaplast of America, Inc.'s $725 million backed senior secured
first lien term loan B due 2026 to Ca from Caa1. Moody's have also
downgraded the rating of Kleopatra Finco S.a r.l.'s EUR300 million
backed senior unsecured notes due 2029 to C from Caa3. The outlook
on the three entities has been changed to stable from negative.
This rating action follows KP's announcement that it has entered
into a Restructuring Support Agreement (RSA) with a significant
majority of its financial partners and has voluntarily initiated a
prepackaged Chapter 11 process in the United States Bankruptcy
Court for the Southern District of Texas on 4 November 2025.
Subsequent to this rating action, Moody's will withdraw all ratings
of KP.
RATINGS RATIONALE
KP's ratings are constrained by an unsustainable capital structure,
characterised by high leverage, weak interest coverage, negative
free cash flow, weak liquidity and approaching debt maturities in
2026. The company's restructuring plan, as outlined in the RSA,
will substantially reduce funded debt by approximately EUR1.3
billion and transition ownership to certain financial partners. The
downgrade of the PDR to D-PD reflects KP's Chapter 11 filing, which
constitutes a default under Moody's definitions.
Moody's expects recovery prospects for existing creditors to be
lower, consistent with the downgrade of the CFR and instrument
ratings. The instrument ratings for the equivalent EUR1.2 billion
of senior secured term loans issued by Kleopatra Finco S.a r.l. and
Klockner Pentaplast of America, Inc. and EUR400 million of senior
secured notes issued by Kleopatra Finco S.a r.l. are rated Ca, in
line with the CFR. The senior unsecured notes rating at C reflects
their subordination to a substantial amount of secured debt and
lower expectations of recovery after the restructuring is
completed.
The stable outlook reflects Moody's views that recovery prospects
are now appropriately reflected in the ratings.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Governance risk was a key consideration in the rating action,
reflecting the company's aggressive financial strategies and high
leverage, which led to the need for restructuring.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Packaging
Manufacturers: Metal, Glass and Plastic Containers published in
April 2025.
KP's Ca CFR is three notches below the scorecard-indicated outcome
of Caa1, primarily due to lower recovery prospects for creditors
following the restructuring.
COMPANY PROFILE
KP, a plastic packaging manufacturer, produces both flexible and
rigid plastic films and trays for the pharmaceutical, health and
food sectors. In the 12 months ending September 30, 2025, the
company reported revenues of EUR1.7 billion and Moody's-adjusted
EBITDA of EUR156 million. Since a restructuring and
recapitalisation in June 2012, Strategic Value Partners (SVP) has
been the principal investor.
=====================
N E T H E R L A N D S
=====================
FAIRBRIDGE 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. B Rating to Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH assigned provisional credit ratings to the
residential mortgage-backed notes to be issued by Fairbridge 2025-1
B.V. (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at (P) AA (sf)
-- Class C Notes at (P) A (sf)
-- Class D Notes at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at (P) B (sf)
-- Class X1 Notes at (P) B (high) (sf)
The credit rating assigned to the Class A Notes addresses the
timely payment of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal.
The credit rating assigned to the Class B Notes addresses the
timely payment of interest once they are the most-senior class and
the ultimate repayment of principal on or before the final maturity
date. The provisional credit ratings on the Class C, Class D, Class
E, and Class X1 Notes (together with the Class A and Class B Notes,
the Rated Notes) address the ultimate payment of interest and the
ultimate repayment of principal on or before the final maturity
date. Morningstar DBRS does not rate the Class X2, Class Z, and
Class R Notes (together with the Rated Notes, the Notes) also
issued in the transaction.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The Issuer is a bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicle
incorporated in the Netherlands. The Issuer will use the Notes to
fund the purchase of mortgage receivables secured against
buy-to-let residential properties in the Netherlands and a small
portion of bridging loans. The mortgage loans were originated by
Mogelijk Hypotheken B.V. (Mogelijk), Hyra Real Estate Investments
B.V. (Hyra), and Pontifex Bridge Financing B.V. (DCMF)
(collectively, the Originators or the Servicers) and were acquired
by Spinnaker Assets 1 SARL (the Seller) before selling them to the
Issuer.
The transaction features a dedicated liquidity reserve fund that
addresses shortfalls in the payment of senior expenses and interest
on the Class A Notes, after the application of revenue collections.
The transaction also features a Class B liquidity reserve fund to
address shortfalls in the payment of interest on the Class B Notes,
after the application of revenue funds. In addition, principal
borrowing is also envisaged, after the application of revenue funds
and the liquidity reserves.
The Notes will start with a pro rata amortization and switch to a
sequential amortization subject to a trigger event. Such an event
may occur if the outstanding portfolio principal amount breaches
the 3% threshold as of the cut-off date, including prefunding, or
the interest payment date (IPD) in November 2026.
As of September 2025, the portfolio consisted of 806 loans granted
to 565 borrowers. These loans are secured by 736 properties, with
an aggregate outstanding principal balance of EUR 268 million.
Furthermore, the portfolio largely consists of fixed-rate loans
that shall reset to a floating coupon, typically within five years
after origination. Shortly before the reset, the Originators shall
offer a new fixed-rate loan to the client. If the client accepts
it, this would be recognized as a product switch as per the
transaction documents and therefore be limited to 15% of the
portfolio's outstanding balance. Product switches will also be
guided by specific product switch conditions. Given the interest
rate mismatch, the transaction also features an interest rate swap
agreement.
A prefunding period up to 31 December 2025 is also envisaged in the
transaction up to an amount of EUR 13,120,600 that will be
allocated to a dedicated prefunding principal reserve. This implies
that the portfolio as of the first IPD may include additional
mortgage receivables originated by Mogelijk when compared with the
portfolio at closing. The selection of these additional exposures
shall be limited by prefunding eligibility criteria. In case there
are any remaining amounts in the dedicated reserve after the
aforementioned date, these shall be allocated pro rata to amortize
the Notes.
Following the first optional redemption date on the IPD in November
2029, the margin payable on the Rated Notes (except for the Class
X1 Notes) increases.
U.S. Bank Europe DAC acts as the issuer account bank in this
transaction, while ABN AMRO Bank N.V. will be the collection
foundation account provider. Natixis S.A. shall act as the swap
counterparty (Natixis). These counterparties are subject to
downgrade credit rating triggers as well as remedial periods and
actions, which are in compliance with the Morningstar DBRS'
criteria.
Morningstar DBRS based its credit ratings on a review of the
following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction capital structure and form and sufficiency of
available credit enhancement.
-- The credit quality of the mortgage portfolio and the servicers'
ability to perform collection and resolution activities.
Morningstar DBRS estimated stress-level probability of default
(PD), loss given default (LGD), and expected losses (EL) on the
mortgage portfolio. Morningstar DBRS used the PD, LGD, and EL as
inputs into the cash flow engine and analyzed the mortgage
portfolio in accordance with its European RMBS Insight
Methodology.
-- The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay the notes according to the terms of the
transaction documents. Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction
cash flows using the PD and LGD outputs provided by its European
RMBS Insight Model. Morningstar DBRS analyzed transaction cash
flows using Intex DealMaker.
-- The structural mitigants in place to avoid potential payment
disruptions caused by operational risk and the replacement language
in the transaction documents.
-- Morningstar DBRS' sovereign credit rating on the Kingdom of the
Netherlands of AAA with a Stable trend as of the date of this press
release; and
-- The consistency of the transaction's legal structure with the
Morningstar DBRS' Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions methodology and the presence of
legal opinions that are expected to address the assignment of the
assets to the Issuer.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
VTR FINANCE: S&P Puts 'CCC+' ICR on Watch Pos. Amid Reorganization
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings placed its 'CCC+' issuer credit rating on VTR
Finance N.V. (VTR), 'CCC' issue rating on its senior unsecured
notes, and the 'CCC+' issue rating on the operating subsidiary VTR
Comunicaciones SpA's senior secured notes on CreditWatch with
positive implications.
The CreditWatch positive placement reflects our expectation that
S&P could raise its ratings on VTR once the financials under the
new corporate structure become available.
In October 2025, America Movil S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX; A-/Stable/--)
incorporated Claro Comunicaciones under VTR Finance N.V. (VTR).
S&P believes this will strengthen VTR's credit profile.
The CreditWatch positive placement signals the consolidation of
Claro Chile's fixed telephony business into VTR and a high
likelihood of the latter's upgrade. AMX has recently completed a
reorganization of its operations in Chile, including the
incorporation of Claro Comunicaciones under VTR. Claro
Comunicaciones holds all fixed telephony business of Claro Chile
including broadband, fixed telephony, and pay TV.
The combined entity's scale and market position will strengthen.
The incorporation of Claro's fixed business under VTR will result
in a larger and more diversified business platform. For instance,
according to data from Subtel, market share in pay TV of the
consolidated operations would have been 37.4% (against VTR's 29.5%
on a stand-alone basis), 22.2% in fixed telephony (1.3%), and 27.6%
in broadband (18.7%) as of June 2025. S&P also anticipates the
integration of Claro fixed business will contribute to operating
cash flow while not adding new debt, which could improve VTR's
credit metrics from their currently very weak levels.
S&P said, "We will reassess VTR's credit profile once the
financials of the combined entity become available. We expect to
have sufficient additional information once the company starts
reporting consolidated financials as of the fourth quarter of 2025.
At that point, we will assess the combined entity's competitive
position, operational performance, and capital structure.
"We will continue incorporating group support from AMX into our
ratings on VTR. During 2024 and 2025, VTR has received considerable
financial support from AMX. For instance, since September 2024,
through VTR and other related entities, the group has repurchased a
large share of VTR and VTR Comunicaciones' notes in open market
operations."
===============
P O R T U G A L
===============
ARES LUSITANI: DBRS Confirms BB Rating to Class D Notes
-------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH confirmed its credit ratings on the rated notes
issued by Ares Lusitani - STC, S.A. (Pelican Finance No. 2) (the
Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BB (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal final maturity date in January 2035. The credit ratings
on the Class B, Class C, and Class D Notes address the ultimate
payment of interest while junior to other outstanding classes of
notes but the timely payment of scheduled interest when they are
the senior-most tranche, as well as the ultimate repayment of
principal by the legal final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of the September 2025 payment date;
-- Updated probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD),
and expected loss assumptions for the aggregate collateral pool;
and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the rated notes to
cover the expected losses at their respective credit rating
levels.
The transaction is a static securitization of Portuguese consumer
and auto loan receivables originated and serviced by Caixa
Economica Montepio Geral and Montepio Credito - Instituicao
Financeira de Credito, S.A. The transaction closed in December 2021
with an initial portfolio balance of EUR 356.8 million and has been
repaying principal on the rated notes on a pro rata basis since.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the August 2025 cut-off date, loans that were 0 to 30, 30 to
60, and 60 to 90 days delinquent represented 3.2%, 0.5%, and 0.3%
of the outstanding collateral balance, respectively. Gross
cumulative defaults, defined as loans more than 90 days in arrears,
amounted to 2.2% of the aggregate portfolio initial balance, 48.6%
of which has been recovered to date.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables, maintained its base case PD assumption at 5.6%
and updated its LGD assumption to 40.9%.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
Credit enhancement to the rated notes is provided by the
subordination of the respective junior obligations and, partially,
the cash reserve, as amortized amounts are released as principal
available funds to amortize the notes. As of the September 2025
payment date, credit enhancement to the Class A, Class B, Class C,
and Class D Notes was 19.1%, 13.3%, 8.3%, and 2.8%, respectively,
down from 19.7%, 13.8%, 8.9%, and 3.5%, one year ago. The credit
enhancement decreased due to the cash reserve no longer releasing
principal to the structure as the reserve is currently at its
floor, while principal collections are used to repay the partially
uncollateralized Class E Notes. However, any amount outstanding on
the cash reserve at the time of when the rated notes are fully
repaid, or at final maturity, will be released back into the
principal available funds.
The amortizing cash reserve, fully funded at closing to EUR 3.43
million, has a target balance equal to 1.0% of the outstanding
balance of the rated notes, subject to a floor of EUR 1.78 million.
The reserve provides liquidity support to the transaction as it is
available to cover senior expenses and interest payments on the
Class A Notes. As of the September 2025 payment date, the reserve
was equal to its floor level of EUR 1.78 million.
Citibank N.A., London Branch (Citibank London) acts as the account
bank for the transaction. Based on Morningstar DBRS' private credit
rating on Citibank London, the downgrade provisions outlined in the
transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the
transaction structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising
from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the
credit ratings on the rated notes, as described in Morningstar
DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European Structured
Finance Transactions" methodology.
Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank (CACIB) acts as the
cap counterparty for the transaction. Morningstar DBRS' private
credit rating on CACIB is consistent with the first rating
threshold as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative
Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
ANGLIA CROWN: Kroll Advisory Appointed as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Anglia Crown Limited, trading as Bon Culina, was placed into
administration in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property
Courts of England and Wales, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD),
Court Number CR-2025-007605. Benjamin John Wiles and Robert
Armstrong of Kroll Advisory Ltd were appointed as joint
administrators on Nov. 10, 2025.
The company is a manufacturer of prepared meals and dishes.
Its registered office is at Unit 1 Newcomen Way, Severalls
Industrial Park, Colchester, Essex, CO4 9WN.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Benjamin John Wiles
Robert Armstrong
Kroll Advisory Ltd
The News Building, Level 6
3 London Bridge Street
London, SE1 9SG
For further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: +44 (0) 20 7089 4700
Email: angliacrown@kroll.com
Alternative contact: Judah Jackson
ASIMI FUNDING 2025-2: DBRS Gives Prov. B(low) Rating to F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited assigned provisional credit ratings to the
following classes of notes (collectively, the Rated Notes) issued
by Asimi Funding 2025-2 PLC (the Issuer):
-- Class A Notes at (P) AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at (P) AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at (P) A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at (P) BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at (P) BB (low) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at (P) B (low) (sf)
-- Class X Notes at (P) CCC (sf)
Morningstar DBRS does not rate the Class G Notes (together with the
Rated Notes, the Notes) also expected to be issued in the
transaction.
The credit ratings of the Class A and Class B Notes address the
timely payment of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of
principal by the final maturity date. The credit ratings of the
Class C, Class D, Class E, Class F and Class X Notes address the
ultimate payment of scheduled interest while the class is
subordinate but the timely payment of scheduled interest when it is
the most senior class, and the ultimate repayment of principal by
the final maturity date.
The transaction is the third securitization issuance of fixed-rate
consumer loans granted by Plata Finance Limited (Plata or the
seller) to private individuals residing in the United Kingdom.
Plata is the initial servicer with Lenvi Servicing Limited (Lenvi)
in place as the standby servicer for the transaction.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
Morningstar DBRS based its credit ratings on the following
analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's structure, including the form and sufficiency
of available credit enhancement to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay the Issuer's financial obligations according
to the terms under which the Rated Notes are issued
-- The credit quality and the diversification of the collateral
portfolio, its historical performance, and the projected
performance under various stress scenarios
-- Morningstar DBRS' operational risk review of Plata's
capabilities regarding originations, underwriting, servicing,
position in the market, and financial strength
-- The operational risk review of Lenvi regarding servicing
-- The transaction parties' financial strength relative to their
respective roles
-- The expected consistency of the transaction's structure with
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology
-- Morningstar DBRS' long-term sovereign credit rating on the
United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, currently AA
with a Stable trend
TRANSACTION STRUCTURE
The transaction is static and allocates collections in separate
interest and principal priorities of payments. The transaction
benefits from two reserves initially funded with the (Class X)
Notes proceeds: (1) the Class A liquidity reserve fund equal to 2%
of the outstanding Class A Notes balance, subject to a floor of 1%
of the initial Class A Notes balance and (2) the general reserve
fund equal to 1.5% of the outstanding Rated Notes balance
(excluding the Class X Notes) minus the Class A liquidity reserve
fund target amount, subject to a floor of GBP [500,000]. Both
reserves are part of interest available funds and can be used to
cover senior expenses, servicing fees, senior hedging payments,
interest payments on the Class A Notes, and the Class A principal
deficiency ledger (PDL) by the Class A liquidity reserve fund, and
interest payments on the Rated Notes (excluding the Class X Notes)
by the general reserve fund.
In addition, there is a late delinquency loss reserve fund, which
will be funded in the transaction interest waterfalls for loans 90
or more days past due that are not defaulted. If the interest
collections and these three reserves are not sufficient, principal
funds can also be reallocated to cover senior expenses, servicing
fees, senior hedging payments, interest payments on the most-senior
class of Notes (excluding the Class X Notes), and related Class
PDLs.
Morningstar DBRS considers the interest rate risk for the
transaction to be somewhat limited as an interest rate swap is
expected to be in place to reduce the mismatch between the
fixed-rate collateral and the floating-rate Notes. However, only
around [67]% of the portfolio at closing is hedged with a
predefined notional amount. Under the terms of the swap agreement,
the Issuer pays a gradually increasing swap rate during the later
stage of the transaction, which further compresses excess spread.
TRANSACTION COUNTERPARTIES
Barclays Bank PLC (Barclays) is both the account bank and hedge
provider for the transaction. Morningstar DBRS has a Long-Term
Issuer Rating of "A" on Barclays, which meets the Morningstar DBRS
criteria to act in these capacities.
The transaction documents contain downgrade provisions consistent
with Morningstar DBRS' criteria.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS
As the performance data of Plata's loans continues to be limited,
Morningstar DBRS received a proxy dataset of more seasoned loans
originated by a Plata-related entity, Bamboo Limited (Bamboo),
under similar underwriting criteria but with higher annual
percentage rates (APRs) than Plata loans. Considering the slightly
longer available historical data, a better collateral composition
based on Plata's internal risk ranking and benchmarking of
comparable European unsecured consumer loan portfolios, Morningstar
DBRS revised the lifetime expected default to 13.5% from the 14%
applied to the Asimi Funding 2025-1 transaction. In comparison,
Morningstar DBRS maintained the expected recovery at 15% or a loss
given default (LGD) of 85%, comparable with other UK consumer loan
portfolios.
FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Rated Notes address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the related Interest Amounts and the
Class Balances.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
CANARY WHARF: Moody's Affirms 'Ba3' CFR, Alters Outlook to Stable
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the Ba3 long-term corporate family
rating and B1 senior secured instrument ratings of Canary Wharf
Group Investment Holdings plc (CWGIH or the company). The outlook
has been changed to stable from negative.
The rating action reflects:
-- Improving operating performance, with strong leasing momentum
and rising office occupancy;
-- Moody's expectations of an improvement in interest coverage as
CWGIH executes its disposal programme and uses proceeds to repay
higher-cost debt; and
-- Elimination of near-term refinancing risk and an improved
liquidity position, supported by new secured debt and ongoing
shareholder support.
RATINGS RATIONALE
CWGIH's operating performance has strengthened in 2025, supported
by robust leasing activity, including over 450,000 square feet of
office space signed year-to-date as of August 2025, with major
deals including HSBC Bank plc and Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria,
S.A. Office occupancy improved to 94% as of November 2025, up from
88% at year-end 2024, reflecting the strong leasing momentum and
positive tenant retention. Retail and residential occupancy levels
remain high, at 96% and 97% respectively. Retail rental income rose
8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, supported by record
footfall and sales.
Whilst interest coverage is currently weak, Moody's expects it to
improve gradually as CWGIH executes its disposal programme, which
is central to the company's deleveraging strategy. Moody's projects
EBITDA/interest expense to rise to 1.4x by 2028 and debt/gross
assets to fall below 40% over the next two to three years,
supported by planned asset sales. There is a level of execution
risk, particularly given the scale of planned disposals in a still
uncertain, albeit improving, investment environment. However,
CWGIH's shareholders have historically provided support through
asset acquisitions, and Moody's expects such support to continue as
necessary.
CWGIH has successfully eliminated near-term refinancing risk. In
December 2024, the company secured a GBP610 million facility on
retail assets to refinance the GBP350 million 2025 bond and the
EUR300 million 2026 bond. CWGIH also benefits from an equity
commitment letter from its shareholders, which can be drawn to
repay the 2028 bond and outstanding revolving credit facility (RCF)
balances at maturity if needed. Liquidity has therefore
significantly improved, with GBP261 million in cash and GBP130
million in committed RCFs as of June 30, 2025.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
Governance is a key consideration in CWGIH's credit profile. The
company benefits from explicit and ongoing shareholder support,
including a substantial equity commitment and a demonstrated track
record of timely interventions to address liquidity needs.
RATIONALE FOR THE STABLE OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects CWGIH's improving operating
performance, elimination of near-term refinancing risk and
continued shareholder support, as well as Moody's expectations that
interest coverage will improve as a result of the company's planned
disposal programme.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Moody's views the senior secured notes as unsecured because they do
not benefit from a direct fixed charge security over any
properties. In line with Moody's REITs and Other Commercial Real
Estate Firms methodology, CWGIH's Ba3 CFR references a senior
secured rating because secured funding forms most of the company's
funding mix. The senior secured notes, which Moody's views as
unsecured, are rated B1, one notch below the Ba3 CFR, to reflect
the low level of unencumbered assets (excluding land value) that
provides weak asset coverage for unsecured creditors.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The ratings could be upgraded if: interest coverage steadily
improves and leverage reduces on a sustained basis; operating
performance remains strong across all segments, with high
occupancy, robust leasing activity and resilient rental income; and
liquidity remains robust, with early refinancing of debt
maturities.
The ratings could be downgraded if: interest coverage, as measured
by EBITDA/interest expense, fails to improve steadily towards 1.5x;
debt/gross assets remains well above 55% for a prolonged period; or
shareholders do not continue to provide sufficient and timely
support if needed. Moody's may downgrade the senior secured notes,
which Moody's considers unsecured, if the quality of the
unencumbered asset pool deteriorates or there is a further
weakening of unencumbered asset coverage for unsecured creditors,
beyond the anticipated reduction following the introduction of new
secured debt.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was REITs and Other
Commercial Real Estate Firms published in May 2025.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
CORPORATE PROFILE
CWGIH develops, manages and currently owns interests in
approximately 9 million square feet of mixed-use space, including
12 office properties, 19 retail, leisure and hospitality properties
and over 1,400 Build to Rent apartments situated on the Canary
Wharf Estate. As of June 30, 2025, the group's investment
properties, developments and development land were valued in
aggregate at approximately GBP6.3 billion, generating gross rental
income of around GBP321 million for the last twelve months.
CWGIH's ultimate shareholders are Brookfield Corporation (A3
stable) and the Qatar Investment Authority, owned by the Government
of Qatar (Aa2 stable). The company is the developer of the largest
urban regeneration project in Europe.
DEUCE FINCO: Moody's Rates New GBP1.295BB Sr. Secured Notes 'B2'
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned B2 ratings to the planned GBP1.295
billion equivalent backed senior secured notes issued by Deuce
FinCo plc, a subsidiary of Deuce Midco Limited (David Lloyd Leisure
or DLL).
Deuce Midco Limited's B2 long-term corporate family rating (CFR),
its B2-PD probability of default rating (PDR), and its Ba2 senior
secured bank credit facility rating are unaffected by its planned
refinance.
The stable outlook on both entities is also unaffected.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The GBP1.295 billion raised from the new backed senior secured
notes issuance by Deuce FinCo plc will be used to repay
approximately GBP900 million equivalent of currently outstanding
backed senior secured notes, as well as to refinance about GBP385
million of Holdco PIK that sits outside the restricted group.
As part of the refinancing, DLL will establish a new GBP175 million
senior secured revolving credit facility (RCF), a GBP50 million
increase from the current GBP125 million RCF.
Moody's expects DLL to sustain its strong operating performance
leading to strong earnings growth and improving credit metrics.
Moody's anticipates that the company's Moody's-adjusted
debt-to-EBITDA ratio, which was 6.5x for the 12 months ending June
30, 2025, will rise slightly to 6.8x by the end of 2025 following
the refinancing. Moody's expects this ratio to improve to 6.2x in
2026 and 5.7x in 2027.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Governance considerations include DLL's concentrated ownership by
private equity, along with its tolerance for leverage and
debt-funded growth.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Moody's could upgrade the company's rating if on a Moody's-adjusted
and sustainable basis:
-- profits keep growing through membership and/or member yield
growth; and
-- debt/EBITDA is below 5x; and
-- EBITA/interest is above 2x; and
-- free cash flow is substantially positive, leading to a higher
cash balance
Downward pressure could materialise if on a Moody's-adjusted and
sustainable basis:
-- profits decline due to lower membership and/or member yield
decline; or
-- debt/EBITDA increases towards 7x; or
-- EBITA/Interest is below 1.5x; or
-- liquidity weakens.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Business and
Consumer Services published in November 2021.
PROFILE
Headquartered in Hatfield, UK, David Lloyd Leisure is the second
largest Health & Wellness operator in Europe by revenue after
Basic-Fit. As at June 30, 2025, the company had 801 thousand
members across 134 premium clubs: 105 in the UK and 29 in Europe
(Republic of Ireland, Germany, Spain, France, Belgium, the
Netherlands, Switzerland, and Italy).
Since November 2013, it has been owned by funds advised by TDR
Capital.
EAST ONE 2025-1: DBRS Gives Prov. B(high) Rating to 2 Note Classes
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited assigned provisional credit ratings to the
residential mortgage-backed notes (collectively, the Rated Notes)
to be issued by East One 2025-1 PLC (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class F Notes at B (high) (sf)
-- Class X Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal on or before
the legal final maturity date. The credit ratings on the Class B,
Class C, Class D, Class E and Class F Notes address the ultimate
payment of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal on or
before the legal final maturity date while junior, and the timely
payment of interest once such class of notes becomes the most
senior class of notes outstanding. The credit rating on the Class X
Notes addresses the ultimate payment of interest and principal on
or before the legal final maturity date.
Morningstar DBRS does not rate the Class Z Notes and Residual
Certificates are also expected to be issued in this transaction.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The Issuer is a bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicle
incorporated in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern
Ireland (UK). The notes to be issued shall fund the purchase of
British second-lien mortgage loans originated and serviced by
Equifinance Limited (Equifinance). Equifinance is a UK specialist
second-lien mortgage lender which has been offering loans to
customers in England, Scotland, and Wales since January 2012.
Homeloan Management Limited shall be appointed as the back-up
servicer to the transaction.
This is the second securitization from Equifinance. The initial
mortgage portfolio consists of GBP 224 million of second-lien
mortgage loans collateralized by owner-occupied properties in the
UK.
Liquidity in the transaction is provided by a liquidity reserve
fund (LRF). The LRF balance at closing will be zero. From closing,
it will be funded via available principal collections on each IPD
until the cumulative amount of principal applied equals the target
level (ignoring any drawings). After the target level is achieved,
the LRF will be funded via available revenue collections. It shall
cover senior costs and expenses, senior swap payments, and interest
shortfalls on Class A and Class B Notes. In addition, principal
borrowing is also envisaged under the transaction documentation and
can be used to cover senior costs and expenses as well as interest
shortfalls on the most senior outstanding class of notes. Interest
shortfalls on Class B to F and Class X Notes, as long as they are
not the most senior class outstanding, shall be deferred and not be
recorded as an event of default until the final maturity date or
such earlier date on which the notes are fully redeemed.
The transaction also features a fixed-to-floating interest rate
swap, given the presence of a large portion of fixed-rate loans
(with a compulsory reversion to floating in the future), while the
liabilities shall pay a coupon linked to Sterling Overnight Index
Average (Sonia). The swap counterparty to be appointed as of
closing shall be Citibank Europe plc.
Furthermore, Citibank, N.A., London Branch, shall act as the Issuer
Account Bank, and Santander UK Plc shall be appointed as the
Collection Account Banks. Each of these entities are privately
rated by Morningstar DBRS and meet the eligible ratings in
structured finance transactions and are consistent with Morningstar
DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European Structured
Finance Transactions" methodology.
Credit enhancement (CE) is expressed as a percentage of the initial
portfolio balance, includes the liquidity reserve, and is as
follows:
-- Class A Notes CE: 21.25%;
-- Class B Notes CE: 15.50%;
-- Class C Notes CE: 10.00%;
-- Class D Notes CE: 8.00%;
-- Class E Notes CE: 6.25%; and
-- Class F Notes CE: 1.75%.
CE to the Class X notes is calculated at zero, as these are excess
spread notes with interest and principal payments flowing through
the revenue priority of payments.
Morningstar DBRS based its credit ratings on a review of the
following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure, including the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement;
-- The credit quality of the mortgage portfolio and the ability of
the servicer to perform collection and resolution activities.
Morningstar DBRS estimated stress-level PD, loss given default
(LGD), and expected losses (EL) on the mortgage portfolio.
Morningstar DBRS used the PD, LGD, and EL as inputs into the cash
flow engine. Morningstar DBRS analyzed the mortgage portfolio in
accordance with its "European RMBS Insight: UK Addendum";
-- The transaction's ability to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class
E, Class F, and Class X Notes according to the terms of the
transaction documents. Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction
structure using Intex DealMaker. Morningstar DBRS considered
additional sensitivity scenarios of 0% CPR;
-- The sovereign rating of AA with a Stable trend on the UK as of
the date of this report; and
-- The expected consistency of the transaction's legal structure
with Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology and the presence of
legal opinions that are expected to address the assignment of the
assets to the Issuer.
Notes: All figures are in Pound Sterling unless otherwise noted.
ELSTREE FUNDING 5: DBRS Confirms BB(high) Rating on 2 Note Classes
------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the Class A to
Class F Notes (together, the Rated Notes) issued by Elstree Funding
No. 5 PLC (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at BB (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and ultimate payment of principal on or before the
legal final maturity date. The credit ratings on the Class B, Class
C, Class D, Class E and Class F Notes address the ultimate payment
of interest and principal on or before the legal final maturity
date while junior, and timely payment of interest while the
senior-most class outstanding.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults and
losses, as of the September 2025 payment date.
-- Portfolio default rate (PD), loss given default (LGD) and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables.
-- Current available credit enhancement to the notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a securitization of UK first and second lien
owner-occupied and buy-to-let residential mortgages originated by
West One Secured Loans Limited and West One Loan Limited, each a
subsidiary of ENRA Specialist Finance. West One Secured Loans
Limited acts as servicer of the portfolio and CSC Capital Markets
UK Limited is the back-up servicer facilitator.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of August 31, 2025, loans two to three months in arrears and
loans more than three months in arrears both represented 0.1% of
the outstanding portfolio balance. The cumulative default ratio was
0.0%.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and updated its base case PD and LGD
assumptions at the B (sf) credit rating level to 3.8% and 20.8%
respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
Credit enhancement to the Rated Notes is provided by subordination
of the junior notes and the general reserve fund (GRF). As of the
September 2025 payment date, credit enhancement had increased from
the Morningstar DBRS Initial Rating as follows:
-- Class A Notes: 16.4%, up from 14.9%;
-- Class B Notes: 11.2%, up from 10.3%;
-- Class C Notes: 6.5%, up from 5.9%;
-- Class D Notes: 3.5%, up from 3.1%;
-- Class E Notes: 1.1%, up from 0.9%; and
-- Class F Notes: 0.2%, up from 0.1%;
The transaction benefits from a liquidity reserve fund (LRF) that
is funded to 1.25% of the outstanding balance of the Class A and
Class B Notes, and is available to cover shortfalls in senior fees
and interest payments on the Class A and Class B Notes. The LRF is
at its target level of GBP 2.6 million.
The GRF is funded to 1.25% of the initial balance of the Rated
Notes minus the LRF target amount. The GRF is available to cover
shortfalls in senior fees and interest payments on the Rated Notes,
as well as principal losses on the Rated Notes via the principal
deficiency ledgers. The GRF is at its target level of GBP 0.6
million.
Citibank N.A., London Branch acts as the account bank for the
transaction. Based on the Morningstar DBRS private credit rating on
Citibank N.A., London Branch, the downgrade provisions outlined in
the transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in
the transaction structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk
arising from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with
the credit rating assigned to the Class A Notes, as described in
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets plc acts as the swap counterparty for
the transaction. Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on Lloyds
Bank Corporate Markets plc is above the First Rating Threshold as
described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
ENTAIN PLC: Moody's Rates New EUR800MM Senior Secured Notes 'Ba1'
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned Ba1 ratings to the inaugural proposed
minimum EUR800 million equivalent six-year dual-tranche senior
secured notes issued by UK-based sports-betting and gaming group
Entain plc (Entain). Existing ratings, including Entain's Ba1
corporate family rating, Ba1-PD probability of default rating and
existing Ba1 ratings on the senior secured and backed senior
secured bank credit facilities borrowed by wholly-owned
subsidiaries Entain Holdings (Gibraltar) Limited and Ladbrokes
Group Finance Plc respectively are unchanged. The outlook on all
entities is negative.
Net of fees and transaction expenses, proceeds from Entain's new
notes will refinance on a dollar-for-dollar basis about a proposed
minimum EUR800 million equivalent of amounts outstanding under the
Euro Term Loan B4 due June 2028 borrowed by Entain Holdings
(Gibraltar) Limited.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Ba1 ratings assigned to Entain's bond issuance is in line with
the company's CFR, reflecting the single debtor class in the
capital structure. The newly-issued notes rank pari passu with the
back facilities and share the same security package subject to the
terms of the related intercreditor agreement.
Entain's refinancing of a large quantum of Term Loan B debt with
new bond debt well in advance of maturity is credit positive
because it improves liquidity and diversifies the company's capital
structure. Although the transaction is leverage-neutral, Entain's
pro forma Moody's-adjusted gross leverage of 3.8x for the last
twelve months ended June 30, 2025 (LTM June 2025) remains slightly
outside of Moody's rating requirements.
The Ba1 CFR continues to reflect Entain's (1) diversified business
profile - across mature markets (UK, Italy, Australia) and fast
growing geographies (Brazil, Central & Eastern Europe), as well as
across products and delivery channels, (2) exposure to underlying
positive demand in online gaming and sports betting combined with a
stable retail gaming cash flow generation, (3) continued strategic
focus on product innovation and responsible gambling initiatives,
with its portfolio operating in only regulated and regulating
markets minimising risk of regulatory disruption, , (4) proprietary
technology platforms and CRM systems, which provide some form of
barrier to entry, and (5) first-mover advantage in the growing US
market through its JV BetMGM, which holds a number three market
position locally.
However, the Ba1 CFR remains constrained by the company's (1)
limited free cash flow generation due to the yearly payment related
to the HMRC settlement until 2027 as well as Moody's expectations
that a settlement with the Australian Transaction Reports and
Analysis Centre (AUSTRAC) will result in additional cash outflows;
(2) a Moody's-adjusted leverage currently above the 3.5x threshold
identified as commensurate with the current rating; (3) the risk of
higher gaming tax being introduced to ease governments' deficits in
both Europe and the UK, as evidenced by recent regulatory setbacks
in Netherlands and Belgium ; (4) exposure to the highly competitive
online betting and gaming industry, requiring constant innovation
to maintain and attract new customers, and (5) JV structure in
North America (BetMGM) that may limit Entain's control over
strategy and cash flows repatriation, although BetMGM has announced
it will start to return cash to parents from this year, with at
least $100m being returned to Entain by year end.
LIQUIDITY
Entain's liquidity is good. The company reported cash of GBP267
million at June 30, 2025, net of cash held on behalf of customers.
Entain also has access to a sizeable GBP645 million senior secured
revolving credit facility (RCF) borrowed by Ladbrokes Group Finance
Plc which Moody's expects to remain undrawn. The RCF benefits from
a springing covenant once drawn for at least 40%; the covenant
level of 6.0x provides plenty of headroom.
On a pro forma basis, Entain's first meaningful scheduled maturity
event is in October 2029 when $2,218 million of senior secured term
loan B borrowed by Entain Holdings (Gibraltar) Limited comes due.
However, the minority investors in Entain CEE hold a put option
that could be exercised from November 2025 and which may result in
significant cash outflows. Moody's base case assumes no exercise of
the put option. However, if an exit payment needs to be made to the
minorities, Entain would likely raise additional debt (bridge
financing of GBP500m is in place for this purpose, should it be
required).
OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Entain's
credit metrics will continue to remain under pressure in 2025 and
will start to materially improve only in 2026. Additionally, there
is a risk that company's credit metrics and liquidity could further
deteriorate because the ongoing AUSTRAC's legal proceeding could
result in a material financial obligation, as well as the minority
investors in Entain CEE could choose to exercise a put option after
November 2025. A stabilisation of the outlook would require
improved visibility of such outcomes, in addition to sustained
organic EBITDA growth and a positive FCF.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Upward pressure on the ratings is unlikely to materialise in the
next 12-18 months, given the negative outlook. However, it could
arise over time if Entain's Moody's-adjusted gross leverage remains
below 2.5x and retained cash flow/net debt (Moody's-adjusted)
exceeds 35%, both on a sustained basis. For a rating upgrade,
Moody's also expects the group to further define its dividend
policy and meet its net leverage target.
Downward pressure on the ratings could occur if Moody's-adjusted
debt to EBITDA is no longer expected to decline towards 3.5x by the
end of 2026 or if the company changes its financial policy
resulting in a higher net debt target than its currently stated
2.0x or if it choose to increase shareholders' remuneration ahead
of debt repayment. A downgrade could also occur if significantly
adverse regulatory actions materialize in one or more of the larger
geographies, or Moody's assess a deterioration in the company's
liquidity profile.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Gaming
published in September 2025.
PROFILE
Entain plc is one of the world's largest sports-betting and gaming
groups; it has operations in 31 regulated or regulating
territories, employing more than 25,000 people in 20 offices across
five continents. Entain operates through a broad portfolio of more
than 35 leading brands, including iconic brands with presence on
the high-street such as Coral, Eurobet, Ladbrokes and Bwin. Entain
also owns proprietary technology across the vast majority of its
core product verticals, as well as its B2C operations.
The company reported net gaming revenue of GBP5,233 million and
management EBITDA of GBP1,148 million for the LTM June 2025. The
BetMGM JV operating in North America is not consolidated, and
reported net gaming revenue of $2,452 million for the LTM June
2025.
Listed on the London Stock Exchange and a constituent of the FTSE
100 index, Entain had a market capitalisation of about GBP5.1
billion as of November 03, 2025.
EUROHOME UK 2007-2: S&P Affirms 'BB+(sf)' Rating on Cl. B2 Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'A+ (sf)' credit ratings on
Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-2 PLC's class A3, M1, and M2 notes. At
the same time, S&P affirmed its 'A- (sf)' rating on the class B1
notes and 'BB+ (sf)' rating on the class B2 notes. S&P also
resolved the UCO placements of the class A3, M1, and M2 ratings.
S&P said, "The affirmations reflect our full analysis of the most
recent information we have received and the transaction's current
structural features. The overall effect of applying our global RMBS
criteria is an increase of our expected losses due to a higher
weighted-average foreclosure frequency (WAFF) assumption. This has
increased due to the larger proportion of loans in the portfolio
receiving a 100% foreclosure frequency."
Credit analysis results
Rating level WAFF (%) WALS (%) Credit coverage (%)
AAA 60.02 29.12 17.48
AA 54.85 22.72 12.46
A 51.97 12.24 6.36
BBB 48.26 7.02 3.39
BB 44.21 4.29 1.90
B 43.20 2.60 1.12
WAFF--Weighted-average foreclosure frequency.
WALS--Weighted-average loss severity.
The ratings remain capped at the counterparty level under our
revised counterparty criteria.
S&P said, "The liquidity facility remains undrawn. However, the
liquidity facility agreements held with Deutsche Bank AG do not
comply with our counterparty criteria, as the transaction documents
lack a strong commitment from the liquidity provider to replace
itself or draw-to-cash its obligation if we lower its rating below
'A-1'. Furthermore, following our June 9, 2015, downgrade of
Deutsche Bank, it failed to take any remedial actions. Therefore,
in scenarios where we give benefit to the liquidity facility, the
ratings remain capped at the 'A ' long-term ICR on Deutsche Bank.
"Barclays Bank PLC is the swap counterparty in this transaction.
Under our counterparty criteria, the collateral assessment for the
swap is "no collateral". Therefore, in scenarios where we give
credit to the swap counterparty, we limit the maximum supported
rating for the notes to the swap counterparty, which corresponds to
the 'AA- ' RCR on Barclays Bank.
"The bank account documents do not comply with our counterparty
criteria. As a result, the ratings on the notes are capped at our
'A+' long-term ICR on the bank account provider, U.S Bank Europe
DAC.
"Following the application of our criteria, we have determined that
our ratings on this transaction's classes of notes should be the
lower of (i) the rating as capped by our counterparty criteria, or
(ii) the rating that the class of notes can attain under our global
residential loans criteria.
"Our credit and cash flow results for the class A3, M1, and M2
notes indicate that they could withstand our stresses at higher
ratings than those currently assigned. However, we affirmed our 'A+
(sf)' ratings on these classes of notes as they are capped at our
'A+' long-term ICR on the bank account provider.
"Under our credit and cash flow analysis, the class B1 and B2 notes
could withstand our stresses at higher ratings than those currently
assigned. However, we affirmed our ratings because they are
constrained by additional factors that we considered. These include
the exposure of these classes to tail-end risk due to any potential
increase in defaults from the high level of interest-only loans and
high arrears, their relative position in the capital structure, and
the significantly lower credit enhancement for the subordinated
classes than for the senior notes. We also considered the
consistently high level of fees in the transaction."
The transaction is backed primarily by a pool of nonconforming
mortgage loans.
GATWICK AIRPORT: Moody's Rates New GBP475MM Sr. Secured Bond 'Ba2'
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a Ba2 rating to the proposed five-year
senior secured bullet bond with an expected aggregate amount of
GBP475 million to be issued by Gatwick Airport Finance plc (GAF).
GAF plans to use most of the proceeds to refinance the upcoming
GBP450 million bond maturity due in April 2026 and cover
transaction costs.
GAF is a holding company of Ivy Holdco Limited, which is a security
parent for the Gatwick airport group (or the ring fenced group)
owning London Gatwick Airport. The group is ultimately owned 50.01%
by Vinci S.A. (A3 stable), while the remainder is managed by Global
Infrastructure Partners (GIP) on behalf of several investors.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
issuer(s) has been conducted during a rating committee.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Ba2 rating of the proposed bond is aligned with the existing
rating of GAF and reflects the senior secured nature of the
obligations and the terms of the proposed issuance, which are
substantially in line with existing outstanding debt, with the
exception of the removal of cross default clauses with the ring
fenced group and liquidity provisions. In particular, the proposed
issuance does not include any debt service reserving requirements,
although GAF has a policy to maintain cash balances covering at
least six months of debt service at all times. Until October 2024,
GAF's lenders benefited from a 3.5 year fully-funded Debt Service
Reserve established at the time of the issuance and put in place in
the context of the uncertainties stemming from the Covid pandemic.
The reduced liquidity levels going forward will make GAF's rating
more vulnerable to potential stress and any weakening of financial
flexibility exhibited by the ring fenced group. Moody's take
comfort, however, from the Gatwick airport group's track record and
commitment to continue implement prudent financial and liquidity
policies.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
Upward rating pressure is currently not anticipated, in light of
the expected leverage levels of the Gatwick airport group and the
potential for significantly increased investment needs over the
medium term. More generally, GAF's rating could be upgraded if (1)
there was a permanent strengthening of the Gatwick group's credit
quality, coupled with increased clarity on longer term investment
commitments for the group; (2) there were no concerns about the
ring fenced group's ability to upstream cash providing a strong
coverage of debt service requirements at GAF; and (3) the company
had committed liquidity sources providing debt service coverage in
excess of yearly requirements.
GAF's rating could be downgraded if (1) it appeared likely that the
ring-fenced group's FFO/debt will fall persistently below 10%; (2)
there were concerns about the ring fenced group's ability to
accommodate distributions to GAF, and these were not offset by
adequate mitigating measures such as shareholder support; (3)
financial flexibility exhibited at the ring fenced group's level
were to decrease or was otherwise used to protect its own credit
quality, particularly in anticipation of a potential significant
increase in investment levels; (4) there was a risk of covenant
breaches without offsetting measures in place; or (5) the company
did not maintain prudent levels of liquidity including to cover six
months debt service requirements as a minimum.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was Privately Managed
Airports and Related Issuers published in November 2023.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
GROSVENOR 2023-1: Fitch Affirms 'B-sf' E Notes Rating, Outlook Neg.
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded Grosvenor Square RMBS 2023-1 PLC's class
B notes, and affirmed the others. All notes have been removed from
Under Criteria Observation.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Grosvenor Square
RMBS 2023-1 PLC
Class A XS2594135084 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
Class B XS2594135324 LT AAAsf Upgrade AAsf
Class C XS2594138005 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
Class D XS2594138260 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
Class E XS2594138690 LT B-sf Affirmed B-sf
Class F XS2594139078 LT CCCsf Affirmed CCCsf
Class G XS2594139235 LT CCsf Affirmed CCsf
Transaction Summary
Grosvenor Square RMBS 2023-1 PLC is a refinancing of previous
securitisations under Kensington Mortgage Company Limited's
Finsbury Square (FSQ) and Gemgarto (GMT) RMBS shelf programmes
prior to Kensington's acquisition by Barclays. The loans
constituting the pool are a mix of seasoned owner-occupied and
buy-to-let loans primarily originated by Kensington with a small
proportion of loans originated by other lenders, Southern Pacific
Personal Loans Limited and Money Partners Limited.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Strong Credit Enhancement Accumulation: The transaction has
deleveraged substantially since the last review due to borrowers
refinancing with other lenders and prepaying out of the pool,
product switches that have been repurchased by Kensington and the
presence of a static general reserve fund in the structure. As at
the September 2025 interest payment date (IPD), credit enhancement
for the class A notes was about 69.4%, up from 36.9% as at the
December 2024 IPD. This build-up in credit protection across the
senior and mezzanine notes has supported the upgrade of the class B
notes.
Ratings Capped by PIR: The liquidity reserve fund in the structure
only provides coverage for the class A and B notes once funded to
target. In contrast, the class C to G notes do not have access to
dedicated liquidity, leading Fitch to cap the notes at 'A+sf' for
unmitigated payment interruption risk.
Worsening Arrears: As at the September 2025 IPD, total arrears were
about 45.7% and 12 month+ arrears were at 22.5%. This represents
the worst arrears among UK prime specialist transactions rated by
Fitch. The deterioration since closing when arrears were 9.7% has
been driven by existing loans in arrears rolling deeper into
arrears rather than new arrears formation. In addition, large
prepayments by borrowers and loan repurchases by the seller due to
product switches not being retained have exacerbated the pool's
arrears. This, alongside the low yield relative to the weighted
average (WA) margin of the structure after step-up, underlines the
Negative Outlook on the class E notes.
UK RMBS Criteria Updated: The rating actions reflect its updated UK
RMBS Rating Criteria (see Fitch Ratings Updates UK RMBS Rating
Criteria" dated 23 May 2025). A key element of the criteria update
relevant to this transaction was the treatment of 12 month+ arrears
loans, which Fitch now treats as defaulted in its analysis. This
criteria update is aimed at recognising the volatile nature of cash
flows related to these late-stage arrears and mitigates the
potential for over-estimation of cash flows in Fitch's modelling.
The pool's 22.5% share of 12 month+ arrears loans has a material
negative impact on the analysis of the mezzanine and junior notes.
This is due to no yield being generated from these assets in
Fitch's modelling and the increasing WA margin of the structure as
senior notes pay down over time.
Protracted Work-Out: Fitch has sought to engage the servicer
regarding the material build up in late-stage arrears since
transaction closing. Discussions with the servicer have highlighted
a protracted repossession process due to delays in the UK court
system, borrower-friendly court decisions and complex cases due to
borrower vulnerabilities, which can have extended work-out times.
Fitch therefore expects more arrears loans to roll into late-stage
arrears, placing continued stress on the mezzanine and junior
notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and economic environment. Weakening asset performance is
strongly correlated to increasing levels of delinquencies and
defaults that could reduce credit enhancement available to the
notes.
Unanticipated declines in recoveries could also result in lower net
proceeds, which may make certain notes susceptible to negative
rating action, depending on the extent of the decline in
recoveries. Fitch found that a 15% increase in the WAFF and a 15%
decrease in the WA recovery rate (RR) would lead to downgrades of
eight notches for the class D notes, two notches for the class C
notes and three notches for the class D notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing credit enhancement levels
and, potentially, upgrades. Fitch found that a decrease in the WAFF
of 15% and an increase in the WARR of 15% would lead to an upgrade
of up to five notches for the class D notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
Prior to the transaction closing, Fitch reviewed the results of a
third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information
and concluded that there were no findings that affected the rating
analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
HOSPITAL COMPANY: Moody's Cuts Rating on GBP152MM Sec. Bonds 'Ba3'
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded to Ba3 from Ba1 the underlying
rating on The Hospital Company (Dartford) Issuer Plc's (the Issuer)
GBP152.5 million index-linked senior secured bonds due 2031. The
outlook remains negative.
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
issuer(s) has been conducted during a rating committee.
No rating action is taken on the A1 backed senior secured rating,
as this is derived from the financial guarantee provided by Assured
Guaranty UK Limited (AGUK, A1 stable).
The Issuer is the financing vehicle for The Hospital Company
(Dartford) Limited (ProjectCo).
RATINGS RATIONALE
The downgrade to Ba3 reflects the further material increase in
estimated costs for outstanding estates remedial works, which
ProjectCo must implement as part of the Settlement and Amendment
Deed (S&AD) agreed in 2021 with the Dartford and Gravesham NHS
Trust (the Trust). Following design works and extensive discussions
between ProjectCo and the Trust over the past year, the total
remedial cost estimate has risen to above GBP40 million, up from
prior estimates and a previously disclosed GBP3.6 million for
cladding issues. The increase is primarily due to additional design
works, increased project scope and complexity, and an extended work
schedule, with completion now expected in October 2032 - beyond the
bonds scheduled maturity.
Negotiations with the Trust are ongoing, with a new commercial
settlement agreement expected by early 2026. The Trust has levied
deductions related to fire safety unavailability of approximately
GBP80,000 per month since August 2024, and a potential waiver from
levying additional deductions is subject to continuing
negotiations.
ProjectCo's reserves remain fully funded and Moody's continues to
expect debt service to be paid without reliance on the debt service
reserve account but flexibility to accommodate any further cost
increases is limited. From the second half of 2021, ProjectCo
ceased to make dividend payments and build additional cash
balances. Following an agreement with AGUK, ProjectCo funded an
additional debt service reserve account, the ASDSCR reserve
account, to smooth Debt Service Coverage Ratios (DSCRs) above
covenant default levels (1.05x DSCR) and provide a further
six-month debt service coverage while remedial works are ongoing.
Given the recent revision of the timeline for the works, this
reserving mechanism is now expected to remain in use until debt
maturity in 2031. Shareholders have provided a GBP3 million
subordinated loan facility to support remedial works, but no
further contributions are envisaged.
The magnitude and phasing of the works will strain ProjectCo's
financial profile, resulting in a Moody's calculated minimum and
average DSCRs of 0.88x (October 2026) and 1.06x, respectively.
Under the Issuer's base case, using the smoothing mechanism with
the ASDSCR reserve account, minimum and average covenant DSCRs
would be 1.06x and 1.13x, respectively.
The rating action also takes into account continued delays in the
publication of audited accounts for the year ending March 2025,
following similar delays for the prior year's accounts. These
delays, together with the sharp upward revision in remedial cost
estimates, continue to weigh on Moody's assessments of compliance
and reporting and ProjectCo's management credibility and track
record.
The Ba3 underlying rating is further constrained by the following
credit weaknesses: (1) a weak and leveraged financial profile,
which reduces flexibility to absorb unexpected stress or further
revisions of expenditures; (2) the magnitude and complexity of
remedial works required, which pressure on the Project's financial
and liquidity position; (3) the risk linked to the expiry of relief
periods related to remedial works and the potential to incur
additional material financial deductions and performance score
reductions; and (4) protracted negotiations to arrive at a new
settlement agreement as well as early signs of a deterioration in
the relationship with the Trust.
The Ba3 underlying rating continues to reflect as positives (1)
ProjectCo's long-term private finance initiative project agreement
(PA) with the Trust to build, finance, maintain and provide
facilities management (FM) services to the Darent Valley Hospital;
(2) the predictable and stable revenue stream under the PA; (3) a
generally satisfactory operating performance of the hospital
following the finalisation of the S&DA, which clarified performance
standards; (4) the removal of soft FM services, which simplified
ProjectCo's operational obligations; (5) the fact that P2G LLP, an
independent third-party consultancy, has formally left the project,
which is expected to reduce the risk of frictions between parties
as ongoing discussions proceed and outstanding defects are
remedied; and (6) creditor protections included within the
financing structure.
RATIONALE FOR NEGATIVE OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects the magnitude and complexity of
remedial measures which ProjectCo must deliver and protracted
negotiations with the Trust on a new settlement agreement. Any
increase in costs would further weigh on ProjectCo's financial and
liquidity position when flexibility to absorb additional stress is
limited.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
Given the negative outlook, as well as the extent and complexity of
planned remedial works, upward rating pressure is currently not
envisaged.
The rating could be downgraded if (1) required cladding, fire
safety and site condition remedial works are more significant,
costly or complex than currently estimated; (2) ProjectCo
experiences difficulties or delays in delivering remedial works and
this leads to increased risk of financial deductions and
performance score reductions; (3) increased tensions negatively
impact relationships between project parties; (4) the finalisation
of the standstill agreement and, in turn, settlement agreement
currently under discussion between ProjectCo and the Trust is
further delayed; and (5) it appears likely that the Issuer will
need to rely on mandatory maintenance and debt service reserves to
fund its liquidity needs.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in this rating was Operational
Privately Financed Public Infrastructure (PFI/PPP/P3) Projects
published in March 2023.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
INTERNET RETAILER: AMS Business Appointed as Joint Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------------
The Internet Retailer Limited entered into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts in England and
Wales, Insolvency and Companies List, Case Number CR-2025-007537.
Gareth Howarth and Philip Lawrence of AMS Business Recovery were
appointed as joint administrators on Oct. 30, 2025.
The company's registered office and principal trading address is 12
Riverview Business Park, Station Road, Forest Row, RH18 5FS.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Gareth Howarth
Philip Lawrence
AMS Business Recovery
1 Hardman Street
Manchester, M3 3HF
Telephone: 0161 413 0999
For further information, contact:
Sahil Nadeem
AMS Business Recovery
Tel No: 0161 413 0999
Email: sahil.nadeem@groupams.co.uk
JULIENNE BRUNO: Interpath Appointed as Joint Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------
Julienne Bruno Ltd, fka Secondbake Ltd, was placed into
administration in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property
Courts of England & Wales, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Court
Number CR-2025-007953. Samuel Birchall and Howard Smith of
Interpath Advisory were appointed as joint administrators on Nov.
11, 2025.
The company is a manufacturer of prepared meals and dishes.
Its registered office is at Interpath Ltd, 10 Fleet Place, London,
EC4M 7RB.
Its principal trading address is Unit 3 Stonefield Close, Unit 3
Hawkers Yard, Stonefield Close, Ruislip, HA4 0GH.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Samuel Birchall
Howard Smith
Interpath Advisory, Interpath Ltd
4th Floor, Tailors Corner
Thirsk Row, Leeds, LS1 4DP
For further details, contact:
Tel No: 0161 509 8604
KING HOLDCO: Moody's Assigns First Time 'B1' Corp. Family Rating
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a first-time B1 corporate family
rating and a B1-PD probability of default rating to King HoldCo
Limited (Kelvion or the company), a global manufacturer of heat
exchange solutions. At the same time Moody's have withdrawn the B2
CFR and the B2-PD PDR of Mangrove LuxCo III S.a r.l. (Mangrove).
Concurrently, Moody's have assigned a B1 instrument rating to the
proposed EUR750 million backed senior secured notes due 2032, to be
issued by King US Bidco Inc. The B2 rating of the EUR525 million
backed senior secured notes issued by Mangrove maturing in 2029
will be withdrawn upon repayment. The outlook on King HoldCo
Limited and King US Bidco Inc. is stable.
The net proceeds from the proposed EUR750 million issuance of
backed senior secured notes, together with a concurrent equity
contribution, will be used to repay existing net indebtedness of
Mangrove LuxCo III S.a r.l., support the secondary buyout of
Kelvion—through which Apollo Global Management, Inc. (Apollo)
will acquire a majority stake alongside legacy shareholder Triton
Investment Advisers (Triton)—and fund transaction-related costs.
The transaction will result in a gross debt increase of around
EUR220 million and a pro forma increase in Moody's-adjusted
debt/EBITDA to 3.5x in the twelve months to June 2025 (up from 2.6x
on an actual basis). However, absent any releveraging transactions,
Moody's expects the company to delever organically at a steady
pace, supported by a proven track record of operational turnaround,
disciplined cost management, and robust organic growth across
diversified, high-value end markets.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The B1 CFR assigned to Kelvion reflects the material improvement in
credit metrics and operational performance since 2020.
Moody's-adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 15.2% in LTM June 2025
from 5.5% in 2020, while Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA declined to
3.5x pro forma (2.6x actual) from 9.3x. Moody's-adjusted
EBITA/Interest Expense improved to 3.2x from 0.2x over the same
period. All operating segments have transitioned to
earnings-accretive profiles, supported by structural tailwinds and
operating leverage.
Kelvion's earnings strength stems from its exposure to structurally
growing sectors, notably High Tech (e.g., data center cooling) and
Green Tech (e.g., energy transition and HVAC applications). The
company has also enhanced its Services segment, which provides
refurbishment, upgrades and repair solutions for installed
equipment. This segment supports revenue visibility and contributes
to margin stability beyond the installed equipment base.
Kelvion benefits from strong pricing power, driven by the
mission-critical nature and high failure costs of its components
for a diversified blue-chip customer base. The company maintains a
highly flexible cost base, with around 85% of costs classified as
variable or semi-variable. In addition, its region-for-region
manufacturing model mitigates geopolitical and supply chain risks.
However, the CFR remains constrained by EBITDA margins that, while
improving, still trail broader industry peers in thermal solutions
and industrial process equipment. Moody's recognizes that the
company is proactively engaging in an operational efficiency
program to bridge the profitability gap targeting manufacturing,
supply chain, and cost optimization, but note that execution
sustainability is key to deliver targeted improvements. The rating
also reflects limited visibility on financial policy under Apollo's
majority ownership, which may affect the future pace of
deleveraging, and the inconsistent free cash flow generation since
2020, notably with negative Moody's-adjusted FCF in 2021–2022 and
shareholder distributions in 2024.
RATIONALE OF THE OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Kelvion will
maintain resilient credit metrics through market cycles and a
potential normalization in data center expansion. As such, Moody's
expects Kelvion to sustain mid-to-high double-digit EBITDA margins
and absent any releveraging transactions to reduce Moody's-adjusted
debt/EBITDA to 2.9x by year-end 2027, and build a consistent track
record of positive Moody's-adjusted free cash flow.
The stable outlook also reflects Moody's expectations that Apollo
and Triton will endorse prudent financial policies, with no
material debt-funded acquisitions or shareholder-friendly
distributions that could delay deleveraging.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
Governance is a key driver of this initial rating assignment.
Concentrated ownership by Apollo and Triton, combined with the
absence of independent board members, increases the risk of
shareholder-friendly financial policies. On the positive side,
Kelvion benefits from an experienced management team with a solid
track record of revenue and earnings growth since 2022, and
continued efforts to improve profitability in line with industry
peers.
LIQUIDITY
Kelvion maintains good liquidity, underpinned by solid internal
cash flow generation and access to diversified, committed external
funding sources.
Post-secondary buyout, Moody's expects the company to maintain
access to EUR87 million unrestricted cash by year-end 2025. As part
of the transaction, Kelvion upsized its committed revolving credit
facility (RCF) to EUR120 million from EUR65 million. The company
also benefits from a EUR50 million committed factoring program,
which supports intra-year working capital needs, and a EUR170
million super senior secured guarantee facility, which provides
additional support for operational and commercial activities.
Over 2026-2027, Moody's expects the company to generate cash EBITDA
of EUR260 - 300 million, sufficient to cover interest and tax
charges, working capital fluctuations, and capital spending
(estimated at EUR75 million, including lease principal repayments).
It would result in a positive free cash flow in the range of EUR60
- 90 million (Moody's estimate). Moody's do not forecast
shareholder distributions or M&A activity during this period,
supporting an increase in year-end cash balances to EUR160–255
million.
Kelvion benefits from a long-dated maturity profile, with no
significant maturities prior to 2032.The super senior secured RCF
is subject to a springing financial covenant, tested quarterly if
net utilization exceeds 40% of total commitments, imposing a
maximum senior secured net leverage ratio of 6.0x. While Moody's do
not expect the company to draw on the RCF and trigger covenant
testing, Moody's forecasts leverage to remain between 1.5x and 2.2x
over 2026–2027, providing ample headroom under the covenant.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Following the completion of the secondary buyout, Kelvion's capital
structure will comprise a EUR120 million super senior secured RCF
and proposed EUR750 million backed senior secured floating rate
notes, both due 2032. The company also maintains access to a EUR170
million super senior secured guarantee facility, recorded
off-balance sheet, to support operational needs such as warranty
and performance obligations. Both the super senior RCF and
guarantee facility benefit from first-ranking security and payment
priority ahead of the backed senior secured notes in an enforcement
scenario.
The backed senior secured notes and super senior RCF are guaranteed
by operating subsidiaries in the United States, Germany, the
Netherlands, and Poland, collectively generating at least 80% of
EBITDA from wholly-owned subsidiaries in those jurisdictions. Both
instruments also benefit from a common security package, including
pledges over equity interests in key holding entities, intercompany
receivables, material bank accounts, and all assets of the US-based
guarantors.
In Moody's Loss Given Default (LGD) waterfall, the super senior RCF
ranks ahead of the backed senior secured notes and other unsecured
obligations at the operating entity, including trade payables,
short-term lease liabilities, and pension obligations. The B1
rating assigned to the backed senior secured notes, in line with
the B1-PD probability of default rating and the B1 corporate family
rating (CFR), reflects the relatively modest quantum of
structurally senior RCF relative to the total financial
obligations, and incorporates Moody's standard 50% family recovery
rate assumption.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive rating pressure could develop if:
-- Kelvion sustains mid- to high-double-digit Moody's-adjusted
EBITA margins throughout the cycle;
-- Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA declines sustainably towards
3.0x;
-- Moody's-adjusted EBITA/Interest Expense improves above 4.0x on a
sustained basis;
-- Kelvion maintains good liquidity, evidenced by Moody's-adjusted
FCF/Debt sustained at high single digits; and
-- Private equity sponsors publicly commit to capital allocation
policies aligned with deleveraging and liquidity standards of a
higher rating and
-- Moody's have a positive outlook on the data center business.
Conversely, negative rating pressure would arise if:
-- Profitability deteriorates, as indicated by Moody's-adjusted
EBITA margin sustained below 10%;
-- Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA remains above 4.5x on a sustained
basis;
-- Moody's-adjusted EBITA/Interest Expense fails to improves above
3.0x on a sustained basis; and
-- Liquidity deteriorates, evidenced by Moody's-adjusted FCF/Debt
dropping to low single digits and aggressive capital allocation
practices
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Manufacturing
published in September 2025.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Kelvion is a globally diversified manufacturer of industrial heat
exchange solutions, serving around 11 end-markets including data
centers, liquefied natural gas (LNG), carbon capture, HVAC,
refrigeration, oil & gas, chemicals, and food & beverage. The
company structures its operations around four strategic
pillars—High Tech (data center applications), Green Tech (power,
energy, and HVAC), Conventional (refrigeration, food & beverage,
chemicals, and oil & gas), and Service (predictive maintenance and
aftermarket support across all segments). Kelvion operates through
a broad global footprint of 17 manufacturing sites, 32 service
hubs, and 16 engineering centers across 24 countries, supplying
mission-critical thermal technologies to a diversified base of
large blue-chip customers.
In the last twelve months to September 2025, the company, which
emerged from the restructuring of Galapagos Holding S.A. in late
2019, generated EUR1.6 billion in revenue and EUR275 million in
company's normalized EBITDA (post-IFRS 16).
On August 13, 2025, funds managed by Apollo Global Management, Inc.
signed a definitive agreement to acquire a majority stake (70% of
total share capital) in the group. Triton Investment Advisers, the
current owner, will retain a minority interest of 30%. The
transaction is expected to close between Q4 2025 and Q1 2026,
subject to customary regulatory approvals.
LIQUID TELECOMMUNICATIONS: Moody's Cuts CFR to Caa2, Outlook Neg.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded Liquid Telecommunications Holdings
Limited's (Liquid Telecom or the company) corporate family rating
to Caa2 from Caa1 and the probability of default rating to Caa2-PD
from Caa1-PD. Moody's have also downgraded to Caa2 from Caa1 the
instrument rating on the $620 million backed senior secured notes
due 2026 issued by Liquid Telecommunications Financing plc. The
outlook remains negative for both entities.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects Moody's increasing concerns over Liquid
Telecom's ability to refinance its upcoming debt maturities in
February and September 2026. A failure to refinance could lead to a
distressed debt exchange or restructuring and result in losses for
lenders. As of August 2025, the company had $131 million
outstanding under a ZAR-denominated term loan due in February 2026,
alongside a $620 million bond maturing in September 2026.
Over the past two years, the company has actively pursued a
strategy to reduce leverage through asset sales and equity
injections, aiming to reduce debt and support the refinancing of a
smaller, more sustainable debt structure. Moody's views the
company's existing debt as unsustainably high because, in the
current higher interest rate environment, the company will have to
pay materially higher rates on any newly issued debt relative to
what it is currently paying on its bond. The $620 million senior
secured notes have a coupon of 5.5%. Materially higher rates will
put pressure on the company's ability to generate free cash flow
and will lead to a weakening of its interest coverage ratio,
defined as (EBITDA – capex) / interest expense, to below 1x when
excluding EBITDA and capex from Zimbabwe.
Moody's views the unsustainable capital structure, weak liquidity
and increased likelihood of default as governance risks. Because of
the increase in these risks, Moody's changed Liquid Telecom's
governance issuer profile score to G-5 from G-4 and credit impact
score to CIS-5 from CIS-4.
Liquid Telecom is aiming to raise a total of $185 million of
equity, to be used to repay debt and bolster its cash balance.
While the company has made some progress towards this plan, there
have been repeated delays to milestones and so far, the company has
succeeded in raising only $60 million. The company plans to raise a
further $100 million from asset sales in the wider Cassava group,
outside of the Liquid Telecom bond perimeter and to inject it into
the company. Cassava group has secured commitments from an investor
in this regard, but completion of the transaction remains subject
to completion of certain conditions precedent. Moody's understands
the company also has plans to raise another $25 million of equity
in short order.
With regards to refinancing its debt, the company has secured a
$220 million equivalent commitment from a lender to refinance its
February 2026 loan maturity. However, this commitment remains
contingent on Liquid Telecom successfully completing the planned
$125 million equity raise. The limited time remaining before
maturity of the loan to finalize the two separate equity
transactions introduces uncertainty and heightens the risk of a
payment default should further delays occur.
The company has also announced its refinancing strategy for the
$620 million bond maturing in September 2026. The plan includes
repaying $170 million through equity proceeds and refinancing the
remaining $450 million via a combination of commercial loans and a
bond. While discussions with lenders and investors are underway,
the execution of this plan also remains dependent on the successful
completion of the $125 million equity raise and the refinancing of
the February 2026 loan maturity.
Liquid Telecom's Caa2 CFR continues to reflect its (1) strong
market position as the largest pan-African fibre network covering
more than 20 countries across central, eastern and southern Africa;
(2) valuable high-capacity long-haul fibre network assets spanning
over 100,000 km; (3) exposure to supportive industry dynamics,
given the growing demand for carrier and enterprise broadband
services across Africa; and (4) long-standing contractual
relationships with a blue-chip customer base with moderate customer
concentration and low customer churn.
The rating also reflects (1) the elevated default risk as debt
maturities in February and September 2026 approach and refinancing
and equity raising efforts face execution risks; (2) limited track
record of growth in dollar-terms and negative to low free cash flow
generation because of exposure to the depreciation of local
currencies and still substantial capex, although this has been
reducing over the past two years; (3) exposure to sovereign risks
through operations in countries with high geo-political risk and
weak institutional strength, as is the case in Zimbabwe which
continues to face currency weakness, hyperinflation and dollar
illiquidity
NEGATIVE OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects the unsustainability of Liquid
Telecom's capital structure, increasing liquidity and default risk
as the maturities of its February 2026 loan and September 2026 bond
approach, and execution risk related to completing the equity raise
planned to reduce debt and facilitate a refinancing of maturing
debt.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Moody's would consider an upgrade if the company repays or
refinances its debt in full without any material loss to lenders.
Moody's could downgrade the rating if the company defaults on its
debt or proceeds with any kind of debt restructuring or bond
buyback and recovery for lenders falls short of Moody's current
expectation.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Communications
Infrastructure published in September 2025.
Liquid Telecom's Caa2 rating is three notches below the
scorecard-indicated outcome of B2. This reflects the heightened
liquidity and default risk ahead of the company's February and
September 2026 maturities. In addition, the lower rating also
reflects that the scorecard is based on the company's consolidated
financials, including operations in Zimbabwe. The final rating
however, takes into account that the company's ability to access
cash generated in the country is limited.
MERIDIAN 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes BB(high) Rating on 2 Class Certs.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited finalized its provisional credit ratings on
the certificates issued by Meridian Funding 2025-1 PLC (the Issuer)
as follows:
-- Class A certificates at AAA (sf)
-- Class B certificates at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C certificates at A (sf)
-- Class D certificates at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E certificates at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class X certificates at BB (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A certificates addresses the timely
payment of profit and the ultimate repayment of principal on or
before the final maturity date in February 2068. The credit ratings
on the Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, and Class X certificates
address the timely payment of profit once they are the most senior
class of certificates outstanding and, until then, the ultimate
payment of profit and the ultimate repayment of principal on or
before the final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The transaction represents the issuance of UK residential
mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) backed by Sharia-compliant home
purchase plans (HPPs), which are an Islamic finance alternative to
traditional mortgage loans, and originated by StrideUp Homes
Limited (StrideUp or the Originator). The Issuer is a
bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicle incorporated in the UK.
StrideUp acts as the servicer of the portfolio while servicing was
delegated to Intrum Mortgages UK Finance Limited as delegated
servicer. This is the first securitization from StrideUp.
The transaction includes a prefunding mechanism where the seller
has the option to sell StrideUp-originated HPPs to the Issuer
subject to certain conditions to prevent a material deterioration
in credit quality. The acquisition of these assets will occur
before the fourth distribution date using the proceeds standing to
the credit of the prefunding reserves. Any funds that are not
applied to purchase additional HPPs will, (1) if standing to the
credit of the prefunding principal reserve ledger, be applied pro
rata to pay down the Class A to Class F certificates; or (2) if
standing to the credit of the prefunding revenue reserve ledger,
flow through the revenue priority of payments.
The Issuer issued six tranches of collateralized securities (the
Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, and Class F
certificates) to finance the purchase of the portfolio and the
prefunding principal reserve ledger at closing. Additionally, the
Issuer issued one class of noncollateralized certificates (the
Class X certificates).
The transaction is structured to initially provide 7.75% of credit
enhancement to the Class A certificates, which includes
subordination of the Class B to the Class F certificates.
Liquidity in the transaction is provided by a liquidity reserve
fund (LRF) that is sized at 1.50% of the Class A and Class B
certificates' outstanding balance. The LRF covers shortfalls on
senior costs and expenses, swap payments, and profit on the Class A
and Class B certificates. Any liquidity reserve excess amount will
be applied as available principal receipts, and the reserve will be
released in full once the Class B certificates are fully repaid. In
addition, principal borrowing is also envisaged under the
transaction documentation and can be used to cover shortfalls on
senior costs and expenses, including swap payments, as well as
profit on Classes A to E, subject to being the most senior class of
certificates outstanding.
The transaction features a fixed-to-floating profit rate swap,
given that the majority of the pool is composed of fixed profit
rate HPPs with a compulsory reversion to floating in the future.
The certificates pay a coupon linked to the daily compounded
Sterling Overnight Index Average. BNP Paribas SA (BNPP) was
appointed as the swap counterparty at closing. Based on Morningstar
DBRS' credit ratings on BNPP, the downgrade provisions outlined in
the documents, and the transaction structural mitigants,
Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to
the swap counterparty to be consistent with the credit ratings
assigned to the rated certificates as described in Morningstar
DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European Structured
Finance Transactions".
Standard Chartered Bank acts as the Issuer account bank and holds
the Issuer's transaction account, the LRF, and the swap collateral
account. HSBC Bank plc (HSBC) was appointed as the collection
account. Morningstar DBRS privately rates HSBC. The entities meet
the eligible credit ratings in structured finance transactions and
are consistent with the credit ratings assigned to the rated
certificates as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
Morningstar DBRS based its credit ratings on a review of the
following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure, including the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement;
-- The HPP portfolio's credit quality and the servicer's ability
to perform collection and resolution activities. Morningstar DBRS
estimated stress-level probability of default (PD), loss given
default (LGD), and expected losses (EL) on the HPP portfolio.
Morningstar DBRS used the PD, LGD, and EL as inputs into the cash
flow engine and analyzed the HPP portfolio in accordance with its
"European RMBS Insight Methodology";
-- The transaction's ability to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class
E, and Class X certificates according to the terms of the
transaction documents;
-- The structural mitigants in place to avoid potential payment
disruptions caused by operational risk, such as a downgrade, and
replacement language in the transaction documents;
-- Morningstar DBRS' sovereign credit rating on the United Kingdom
of Great Britain and Northern Ireland of AA with a Stable trend as
of the date of this press release; and
-- The consistency of the transaction's legal structure with
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology and the presence of
legal opinions that address the assignment of the assets to the
Issuer.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
PEOPLECERT WISDOM: Moody's Cuts CFR to B2 & Alters Outlook to Neg.
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded PeopleCert Wisdom Limited's
(PeopleCert, or the company) corporate family rating to B2 from B1
and probability of default rating to B2-PD from B1-PD.
Concurrently, Moody's have downgraded to B2 from B1 the instrument
rating of the EUR300 million backed senior secured notes due
September 2026 issued by PeopleCert Wisdom Issuer plc. The outlook
on both entities has been changed to negative from stable.
The downgrade to B2 reflects:
-- The announced acquisition of City & Guilds' commercial awarding
and skills training activities (C&G) to be funded mainly through
additional debt
-- PeopleCert's weak trading in 2025 to date, as a result of lower
demand for migration-related language certification and trade
tariffs reducing investment-related training
-- Moody's expectations that the company's leverage will increase
and remain above 5x on a Moody's-adjusted basis
The change in outlook reflects the near term maturity of the
company's backed senior secured notes. Although Moody's expects the
notes to be refinanced before the end of 2025, the short term
maturity gives rise to material refinancing risk. The outlook could
be stabilised if the company successfully refinances its backed
senior secured notes.
RATINGS RATIONALE
PeopleCert's B2 CFR reflects the company's (1) leading market
positions of the combined business in corporate, IT and vocational
certifications; (2) vertically integrated business model, which
supports high profitability and good free cash flow; (3) the
complementary position of C&G with substantial potential for
revenue and cost synergies and efficiency gains; and (4) increased
revenue diversity following the C&G acquisition, with the
additional of vocational qualifications across a wide range of
sectors.
Conversely, the CFR is constrained by (1) integration risks from
the acquisition of C&G, more than doubling group revenues, with
transformation from a charitable to a commercial organisation; (2)
weak trading of PeopleCert in the current year due to migration
pressures and tariff-driven pressures on investment; (3) threats of
disruption from AI and from changes to UK course structures and
funding; (4) degree of key man risk and concentration of power in
the founder and CEO; and (5) refinancing risks given near term bond
maturity.
On October 16, 2025 PeopleCert announced that it had agreed the
acquisition of City & Guilds' commercial awarding and skills
training activities (C&G). C&G represents an attractive and
complementary asset for PeopleCert with the opportunity to
integrate its assessment and awarding functions with PeopleCert's
technology platform. The acquisition broadens the offer of the
combined group with C&G's technical and vocational qualifications
adding to the existing focus on business, IT and languages. There
are also substantial opportunities for synergies and cost savings.
Moody's also consider the integration risk as relatively high: C&G
is larger than PeopleCert in terms of revenue and the shift from a
charitable entity to a commercially focused enterprise brings risks
as well as opportunities.
The acquisition closed on October 31, 2025 and was financed through
a combination of GBP130 million sterling equivalent new term loan
and from existing cash. The transaction relevers the company's
balance sheet, with Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA of 6.4x, as at
September 2025 pro forma for the transaction, excluding potential
synergy and cost savings. Moody's expects the company's leverage to
reduce to around 5 – 5.5x over the next 12-18 months through
moderate organic growth, synergies and cost savings, and also from
possible debt prepayments. Moody's expects the company to remain
solidly cash generative, with Moody's-adjusted free cash flow/debt
in the mid to high single digit percentages. The company has a good
track record of rapid deleveraging after its acquisition of AXELOS
in 2021.
PeopleCert's recent trading performance negatively affects its
rating position. The company reported declining revenues and EBITDA
for the six months ended June 2025. This reflected lower levels of
corporate investments as a result of uncertainties over trade
tariffs and slowing economic growth, as well as pressures to reduce
immigration in UK and other countries affecting language
certification.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
ESG considerations were a key driver of this rating action.
PeopleCert is carrying out a large debt-funded acquisition which
significantly increases leverage, and has not refinanced its backed
senior secured notes until less than 12 months prior to maturity.
This is partly mitigated by the company's strong record of
deleveraging following the acquisition of AXELOS in 2021. As a
result Moody's have changed the governance risk score for
PeopleCert to G-4 from G-3 and changed the overall ESG Credit
Impact Score to CIS-4 from CIS-3.
PeopleCert's has low credit exposure to environmental risks,
considering its focus mainly on the provision of examinations and
certifications. The company's social risks mainly relate to its
need to attract and retain highly skilled personnel. PeopleCert is
well positioned to benefit from the continuously growing demand for
skilled employees across different industries.
RATING OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects the near term refinancing risks in
relation to the company's existing EUR300 million backed senior
secured notes, which mature in September 2026.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Upward pressure on the rating could occur if the company returns to
sustainable positive organic growth in revenues and EBITDA and if
C&G is successfully integrated without operational disruption. An
upgrade would also require the company's Moody's-adjusted
Debt/EBITDA to decrease sustainably below 4.5x; and for
Moody's-adjusted FCF/debt to exceed 10% on a sustainable basis; and
for good liquidity to be maintained.
The outlook could be stabilised if the company successfully
refinances its backed senior secured notes, with trading
performance remaining solid.
Downward pressure on the rating could develop if PeopleCert fails
to refinance its bond by the end of 2025; or fails to grow its
revenue, exam volumes decline sustainably or profitability
significantly decreases; or if there are operating challenges in
the integration of C&G. A downgrade could also arise if the
company's Moody's-adjusted Debt/EBITDA does not reduce sustainably
below 6x; or if Moody's-adjusted Free Cash Flow/Debt sustainably
declines below 5%; or if liquidity remains weak after refinancing
the bond.
LIQUIDITY PROFILE
PeopleCert's liquidity is currently weak which reflects the near
term maturity of the company's backed senior secured notes, which
mature in September 2026. The company plans to launch their
refinancing imminently. If this is successfully completed,
liquidity would be adequate, supported by an undrawn super senior
revolving credit facility (RCF) of EUR50 million available until
2030, alongside opening cash at September 2025, pro forma for the
transaction, of GBP72 million. Moody's expects the company to
generate Moody's-adjusted free cash flow of around GBP20-30 million
annually. PeopleCert's business has very limited seasonality in its
cash flow and moderate working capital needs.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The B2 instrument rating of PeopleCert's EUR300 million backed
senior secured notes is aligned with the CFR, despite the priority
position the senior secured RCF because of its modest size. There
is a comprehensive security package that includes share pledges,
intragroup receivables, bank accounts and floating charges over the
company's IP. The notes further benefit from guarantees by material
subsidiaries which represented 99.7% of consolidated EBITDA at
closing.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Business and
Consumer Services published in November 2021.
PeopleCert's B2 rating is two notches below the scorecard-indicated
rating of Ba3. This reflects the releveraging effect from the C&G
transaction as well as from the company's weaker trading
performance in 2025 to date.
COMPANY PROFILE
PeopleCert, founded in 2000, is a global leader in the education
and assessment industry. Its portfolio includes brands such as ITIL
for IT Operations and Digital Transformation, PRINCE2 for Project,
Programme and Portfolio Management, DevOps Institute for DevOps and
IT, and LanguageCert for English language qualifications. The
company delivers its portfolio across 200+ countries, 50,000
corporations (82% of the Fortune 500) and 800 government
organisations, through a network of 2,500 partners, more than 3,000
recognising institutions, and a proprietary online invigilation
platform.
The Company is owned by the current CEO and majority-owner (80% of
share capital) Byron Nicolaides and is headquartered in the UK,
with a minority shareholder, FTV Capital (20%).
During the financial year ended December 31, 2024, the company
generated GBP121 million of revenue and a company-adjusted EBITDA
of GBP70 million.
City & Guilds is UK market leader in qualifications, assessment and
training, focused on vocational training. It serves around one
million learners annually across over 20 industries through more
than 5,000 approved training partners. The acquisition perimeter
generated GBP153 million of revenue and GBP12 million of EBITDA in
the year ended August 2024.
POLARIS 2025-3: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class X2 Debt
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Polaris 2025-3 Plc final ratings, as
detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Polaris 2025-3 Plc
A XS3216526205 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B XS3216526387 LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
C XS3216526460 LT A+sf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D XS3216526544 LT A-sf New Rating BBB+(EXP)sf
E XS3216526890 LT BBB+sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
F XS3216526973 LT BBsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
G XS3216527195 LT BBsf New Rating B(EXP)sf
X1 XS3216527278 LT BB+sf New Rating B(EXP)sf
X2 XS3216527351 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Polaris 2025-3 is a securitisation of owner-occupied (OO) and
buy-to-let (BTL) mortgages originated by UK Mortgage Lending Ltd,
which is wholly owned by Pepper Money Limited. The loans are
secured on properties located in the UK. The transaction includes
primarily 2025 originations, with a small portion originated in
previous years. This is the 11th transaction in the Polaris
series.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Specialist Assets: The mortgage pool comprises a mix of recently
originated assets and some more seasoned OO loans. There is a small
portion of BTL loans included (3.9%), Pepper has only recently
resumed BTL lending. Pepper has a manual approach to underwriting,
which is typical for specialist lenders, focusing on borrowers who
do not qualify on high street lenders' automated scorecard
criteria.
Transaction Adjustment: Arrears performance data is weaker than at
high street prime lenders as would be expected, given the complex
target market of the originator. The mortgage pool is 20% composed
of loans where the borrower has a County Court Judgement (CCJ), of
which about 12.5% have a CCJ balance of greater than GBP1,000.
About 58% of the pool is from Pepper's strongest products - '36' or
'48' - representing the number of months since the last
CCJ/default, but the rest of the pool consists of products with
more recent borrower CCJ/default. Shared ownership mortgages
account for 7.5% of the pool. Fitch has applied a transaction
adjustment of 1.25x to the foreclosure frequency (FF) to reflect
the product mix and historical performance. In line with that for
other specialist lenders, Fitch has increased the FF for
self-employed borrowers to the OO sub-pool with verified income to
30%, instead of the 20% rise typically applied under its UK RMBS
Rating Criteria.
Product Switches Drive Excess Spread,: The assets in the portfolio
earn higher interest rates than typical prime mortgage loans. The
weighted average (WA) interest rate is 6.2%; however, the level of
excess spread is reduced by the ability of the transaction to
retain product switches. Up to 25% of the original balance of the
loans (including prefunded loans) can be retained after the product
switch. The minimum interest rate of the product switches is at a
level that produces a post-swap margin of 2%.
The point at which these loans are scheduled to revert from fixed
to the relevant follow-on rate will likely determine when
prepayments will occur. Fitch has, therefore, applied an
alternative high prepayment stress that tracks the fixed-rate
reversion profile (including retained product switches) of the
pool. The prepayment rate applied is floored at the high prepayment
rate assumptions produced by its analytical model ResiGlobal (UK)
and capped at a maximum 40% a year.
Fixed Interest Rate Swap Schedule: The deal features a
fixed-to-floating interest rate swap to hedge the risk between the
fixed-rate mortgage assets and the SONIA-linked notes. The swap has
a defined notional schedule which incorporates prepayments that go
up over time. In Fitch's cash flow modelling, the combination of
high prepayments and decreasing interest rates leads to the
transaction being over-hedged and, as swap payments are senior to
note interest, this can result in pressure being put on cash
flows.
Prefunding: There was an initial over-issuance of approximately a
quarter of the notes. These additional funds can be used to
purchase additional assets up until the first interest payment
date. The conditions around the permitted pool of prefunded loans
mitigate the risk of a material deterioration in the credit quality
of the asset pool.
Final Ratings Above Expected Ratings: The final are higher than the
expected ratings by one notch for the class C and D notes, two
notches for the class E notes, three notches for the class F and G
notes, and four notches for the class X1 notes. This is due to the
notes' final margins being lower than those provided to Fitch for
the expected-ratings analysis, resulting in higher available excess
spread.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and the economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated to increasing levels of
delinquencies and defaults that could reduce the credit enhancement
available to the notes. In addition, unexpected declines in
recoveries could result in lower net proceeds, which may make
certain notes susceptible to negative rating action, depending on
the extent of the decline in recoveries.
Fitch found that a 15% rise in the weighted average (WA) FF and a
15% fall in the WA recovery rate (RR) would result in downgrades of
no more than two notches each on the class B, C, D, F and G notes,
and three notches each for the class E and X1 notes. The
sensitivity will result in a downgrade of the class X2 notes to the
distressed rating category. The class A notes will not be
affected.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults, would lead to increasing credit enhancement and,
potentially, upgrades. Fitch found that a 15% decrease in the WAFF
and a 15% rise in the WARR would lead to upgrades of two notches
each for the class D and X2 notes, three notches each for the class
E, G and X1 notes, and four notches for the class F notes. There is
no impact on the class B and C notes. The class A notes are already
rated at the maximum 'AAAsf'.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Fitch was provided with Form ABS Due Diligence-15E as prepared by
Deloitte LLP. The third-party due diligence described in Form 15E
focused on the verification of loan data. Fitch considered this
information in its analysis, which did not have an effect on its
analysis or conclusions.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small, targeted sample of the
originator's origination files and found the information contained
in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the
originator's policies and practices and the other information
provided to us about the asset portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above, its
assessment of the information relied upon for its rating analysis
according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it
is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
POLARIS 2025-3: S&P Assigns CCC(sf) Rating on Class X2-Dfrd Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Polaris 2025-3
PLC's class A, B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, G-Dfrd,
X1-Dfrd, and X2-Dfrd notes. At closing, the issuer also issued
unrated RC1 and RC2 residual certificates.
The originator, UK Mortgage Lending Ltd., began lending in 2015 and
operates as a specialist buy-to-let and owner-occupied mortgage
lender. This is the 11th Polaris transaction that S&P has rated.
The historical performance of the lender's mortgage book has proven
relatively strong to date, with total arrears consistently below
6.0% for owner-occupied mortgages. Total arrears have trended below
its U.K. nonconforming index for post-2014 originations
The servicer, Pepper (UK) Ltd., is an established and leading U.K.
servicer. S&P believes its team is experienced, and it has already
serviced several transactions that it has rated. Since Pepper (UK)
also provides third-party servicing, it has well-established and
fully integrated servicing systems and policies.
The capital structure's application of principal proceeds is fully
sequential. Credit enhancement can therefore accumulate for the
rated notes, enabling the capital structure to withstand
performance shocks. The pool has a low current indexed
loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 66.4%, which is less likely to incur
loss severities if the borrower defaults.
The liquidity reserve fund was unfunded at closing and is expected
to accumulate using available principal receipts until it reaches
the higher of 1% of the class A or B-Dfrd notes' closing balances.
As a result, the class A notes will remain exposed to liquidity
risk until the reserve is fully funded. S&P said, "We considered
this in our cash flow analysis, and we noted the liquidity coverage
available to each class in our rating considerations. In our
stressed cash flow modelling, the liquidity reserve fund is fully
funded shortly after closing."
The transaction includes a prefunded amount of up to 24.3%, where
the issuer can purchase loans until the first interest payment
date. The addition of these loans could adversely affect the pool's
credit quality. Portfolio limitations mitigate this risk. Product
switches are permitted, subject to certain conditions being met.
S&P performed additional sensitivities that capture the risk of
margin deterioration, and the assigned ratings reflect the results
of these sensitivities.
Of the loans in the pool, 7.52% relates to shared ownership
mortgages, and this exposure is lower than in Polaris 2025-2 PLC
(7.73%). S&P considered this risk in its analysis.
S&P said, "We stress the transaction's cash flows to test the
credit and liquidity support that the assets, subordinated
tranches, and reserves provide. Our ratings address timely payment
of interest and ultimate payment of principal on the class A notes,
and they reflect ultimate payment of interest and principal on all
other rated notes. Our standard cash flow analysis indicates that
the available credit enhancement for the class D-Dfrd to G-Dfrd
notes is commensurate with higher ratings than those currently
assigned. However, the ratings on these notes also reflect the
results of sensitivities related to higher defaults, product
switches, and prefunding, as well as sensitivity to reduced excess
spread caused by prepayments."
The transaction embeds some strengths that may offset deteriorating
collateral performance. Given its sequential amortization, credit
enhancement is expected to accumulate. The existence of a liquidity
fund may, to a certain extent, protect the notes against credit
losses and liquidity stresses. In addition, the interest rate swap
mitigates the effect on note coupon payments from rising daily
compounded Sterling Overnight Index Average (SONIA) rates that they
are linked to.
S&P said, "The class F-Dfrd and X1-Dfrd notes did not pass any of
the rating scenario stresses in our driving cash flow run that
incorporates higher prepayments, but they pass our steady state
scenarios. However, because our ratings on these notes address
ultimate payment of principal and interest, we believe default is
not likely, as the notes can continue to defer interest until
maturity. In line with our 'CCC' ratings criteria, the class F-Dfrd
and X1-Dfrd notes are not dependent on favorable economic
conditions to repay their obligations at maturity. We therefore
assigned our 'B- (sf)' ratings to these notes.
"The class G-Dfrd and X2-Dfrd notes did not pass any of the rating
scenario stresses in our driving cash flow run that incorporates
higher prepayments, or our steady state scenarios. However, because
our ratings on these notes address ultimate payment of principal
and interest, we believe default is not likely, as the notes can
continue to defer interest until maturity. In line with our 'CCC'
ratings criteria, the class G-Dfrd and X2-Dfrd notes are dependent
on favorable economic conditions to repay their obligations at
maturity. We therefore assigned our 'CCC (sf)' ratings to these
notes.
"The issuer is an English special-purpose entity, which we consider
to be bankruptcy remote. We consider the legal structure and
transaction documents to be in line with our legal criteria.
"The issuer is exposed to HSBC Bank as the transaction account
provider, and HSBC Bank as swap counterparty. The documented
replacement mechanisms for the account providers and swap
counterparty adequately mitigate the transaction's exposure to
counterparty risk, in line with our counterparty criteria.
"Since we assigned preliminary ratings, the transaction priced
tighter than the margins that we initially assumed and the swap
margin is lower. The ratings on all the classes of notes remain
unaffected from the preliminary ratings we assigned on account of
tighter margins."
Ratings
Class Rating Amount (mil. GBP)
A AAA (sf) 377.325
B-Dfrd* AA (sf) 23.650
C-Dfrd* A- (sf) 13.975
D-Dfrd* BBB- (sf) 7.525
E-Dfrd* BB+ (sf) 3.225
F-Dfrd* B- (sf) 3.440
G-Dfrd CCC (sf) 0.860
X1-Dfrd B- (sf) 10.750
X2-Dfrd CCC (sf) 6.450
RC1 Residual Certs NR N/A
RC2 Residual Certs NR N/A
*S&P's rating on this class considers the potential deferral of
interest payments.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
SAGE AR 2021: S&P Raises Class E Notes Rating to 'B+(sf)'
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised to 'AAA (sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A+ (sf)',
'BBB+ (sf)', and 'BB+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)',
'BB (sf)', and 'B+ (sf)' its credit ratings on Sage AR Funding 2021
PLC's class A, B, C, D, and E notes, respectively.
Rating rationale
S&P said, "The upgrades follow the publication of our global CMBS
methodology and assumptions as well as our review of the most
recent performance data. The transaction's credit and cash flow
characteristics have improved since our previous review in July
2023. The S&P Global Ratings value is 11.6% higher, reflecting the
increased S&P Global Ratings net cash flow (NCF) and the fact that
our value is now net of purchase costs, so we no longer deduct 5%
from the gross value."
Transaction overview
Sage AR Funding 2021 is a CMBS transaction backed by a GBP274.9
million loan originally secured on a portfolio of 1,712 social
housing units located throughout the U.K. It is currently secured
against 1,680 units following the sale of 32 units in June 2025.
The issuer on-lent the note proceeds to the borrower (Sage Borrower
AR2 Ltd.) through an issuer/borrower loan. A portion of the class A
notes, equal to GBP5.7 million, was used to fund the issuer
liquidity reserve.
The borrower is a wholly owned subsidiary of Sage Rented Ltd.
(SRL), the parent registered provider (RP), which is a for-profit
RP of social housing ultimately owned by Blackstone Inc. alongside
the Regis Group PLC.
The issuer/borrower loan provides for cash trap mechanisms set at a
rated loan-to-value (LTV) ratio greater than 78%, or a debt yield
less than 3.56%. The loan has an initial term of five years with 20
one-year extension options available, subject to satisfying certain
conditions. There is no amortization in the initial five years,
but, if extended, the loan amortizes by 1.0% of principal on the
initial repayment date and cash sweep starting in year six.
The portfolio's reported market value based on the market value
subject to tenancies (MV-STT) is GBP359.7 million as of July 2025,
which equates to an LTV ratio of 70.2% (based on the rated notes)
and 75.3% for the full loan (including the class R retention
piece). The value of the 1,680 units in the portfolio increased by
1.5% on a like-for-like basis. The LTV ratio based on the rated
notes has increased from 68.0% since S&P's previous review. As of
August 2025, the debt yield increased to 5.07% from 4.43% at our
previous review. Both the debt yield and LTV ratio comply with the
cash trap triggers.
The portfolio is currently 99.3% occupied compared with 84% at
closing. The contracted annual rent is GBP17.1 million as of August
2025, 16.3% higher than the gross rental income of GBP14.7 million
at our previous review, and the annual net rental income increased
to GBP12.8 million from GBP11.3 million over the same period.
Table 1
Loan and collateral summary
Current review Previous review
(November 2025) (August 2023)
Data as of August 2025 May 2023
Senior loan balance (mil. GBP) 271.0 274.9
Rated notes-to-market value ratio (%)* 70.2 68.0
Debt yield (%) 5.07 4.43
Gross rental income per year (mil. GBP) 17.1 14.7
Net rental income per year (mil. GBP) 12.8 11.3
Vacancy rate (%) 0.7 0.0
Market value (mil. GBP) 359.7 376.9
*Excludes the portion of class A notes used for the issuer
liquidity reserve.
Credit evaluation
S&P said, "We consider the portfolio's NCF to be GBP12.2 million on
a sustainable basis. This is based on a fully-let rent of GBP17.2
million, based on the grossed up contracted annual rental income,
and is adjusted for 5% vacancy and 25.5% for nonrecoverable
expenses. Our vacancy assumption remains unchanged since our
previous review. We have updated our nonrecoverable expenses
assumption to 25.5% from 23.0% based on recent portfolio
performance and comparable transactions.
"We applied a 4.2% capitalization rate against our NCF. Our value
of GBP288.2 million represents a 19.9% haircut to the July 2025
market value of GBP359.7 million."
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Current Previous
Review review
S&P Global Ratings rent fully let (mil. GBP) 17.2 15.7
S&P Global Ratings vacancy (%) 5.0 5.0
S&P Global Ratings expenses (%) 25.5 23.0
S&P Global Ratings net cash flow (mil. GBP) 12.2 11.5
S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate (%) 4.2 4.2
Purchase costs (%) N/A 5.0
S&P Global ratings value (mil. GBP) 288.2 258.2
Haircut to MV-STT (%) 19.9 31.5
S&P Global Ratings LTV ratio
(before recovery rate adjustments; %) 94.0 106.5
MV-STT—Market value subject to tenancies.
LTV--Loan to value.
N/A--Not applicable.
Property and loan-level adjustments
S&P said, "For this transaction, we made a 17% net positive advance
rate adjustment to our recovery rates, which reflects property
diversification, amortization credit, an asset quality score of
3.5, and an income stability score of 4.5. We also made an
adjustment for the ability of the parent RP to incur additional
debt."
Other analytical considerations
The loan is hedged with an interest rate cap with a strike rate of
1.5%. The cap agreement had an initial term of two years, has been
renewed annually, and the current cap agreement expires in November
2025. Under the loan agreement, the borrower is required to extend
the cap at a strike rate of the higher of 1.0% and a strike rate
that ensures a hedged interest coverage ratio of a minimum of 1.5x.
S&P expects the cap to be extended in November 2025. If the hedging
is not extended, a loan event of default would be triggered and the
4% Sterling Overnight Index Average cap on the notes will be
activated.
S&P said, "We also assessed whether the cash flow from the
securitized assets would be sufficient to make timely payments of
interest and ultimate repayment of principal by the notes' legal
final maturity date, after considering available credit enhancement
and allowing for transaction expenses and liquidity support. In
these scenarios, we used a stressed note interest rate to assess
whether the issuer will still have sufficient revenue to meet its
interest payment obligations. If the loan became unhedged, our NCF
would not be sufficient to cover the notes' debt obligations in
full. Further, liquidity support in the transaction amounts to less
than one year's worth of bond interest and senior expenses.
"Our analysis also included a full review of the legal and
regulatory risks, operational and administrative risks, and
counterparty risks. Our assessment of these risks remains unchanged
since closing and is commensurate with the ratings."
Rating actions
S&P said, "Our ratings address the issuer's ability to meet timely
interest payments and principal repayment no later than the legal
final maturity in November 2051.
"The property portfolio's gross rental income has increased since
our previous review. We consider the long-term sustainable value to
be 11.6% higher than at our previous review also because we no
longer deduct purchase costs. Our higher value results in an S&P
Global Ratings LTV ratio (before recovery rate adjustments) of
94.0%, compared with 106.5% at our previous review.
"Our analysis of the credit metrics indicates higher ratings on the
notes than those assigned. However, we also considered that if the
loan became unhedged, our NCF would not be sufficient to cover the
notes' debt obligations in full. Further, the liquidity support
amounts to less than one year's worth of bond interest and senior
expenses. We therefore limited our upgrades and raised our ratings
on the class A, B, C, and D notes to 'AAA (sf)', 'AA (sf)', 'A+
(sf)', and 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)', 'A (sf)', 'BBB (sf)', and
'BB (sf)'.
"Additionally, the class E notes do not benefit from liquidity
support which, in line with our criteria, constrains the rating at
'BB+'. We therefore raised the rating to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'B+
(sf)'."
SAGE AR 2025: S&P Raises Class E Notes Rating to 'BB+sf'
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised to 'AA+ (sf)', 'AA- (sf)', 'A- (sf)', and
'BB+ (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)', 'A- (sf)', 'BBB- (sf)', and 'BB- (sf)'
its credit ratings on Sage AR Funding 2025 No.1 PLC's class B, C,
D, and E notes, respectively. At the same time, S&P affirmed its
'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A2 notes. S&P has resolved the UCO
placements for all classes of notes.
Rating rationale
S&P said, "The rating actions follow the publication of our global
CMBS criteria. The transaction's credit and cash flow
characteristics have remained stable since closing. Our S&P Global
Ratings value is 2.6% higher than at closing, because our value is
now net of purchase costs, so we no longer deduct 5% from the gross
value."
Transaction overview
Sage AR Funding 2025 No.1 is a CMBS transaction backed by a loan
originally secured on a portfolio of 2,123 social housing units
located in England. As of the August 2025 note payment date, the
portfolio comprises 2,046 units following the sale of 77 units in
June 2025.
At closing, the issuer used the note issuance proceeds to acquire
the GBP270.0 million tranche A loan from the loan seller and to
advance the GBP33.0 million tranche R loan to the borrower. The
tranche R loan ranks junior to the tranche A loan. The tranche A
loan and the tranche R loan are collectively referred to as the
loan.
The borrower then on-lent the loan proceeds to Sage Rented Ltd.
(SRL), the parent registered provider (RP), through a parent RP
facility agreement. The parent RP will use the proceeds of this
loan to directly or indirectly finance or refinance the properties
owned by the parent RP.
The borrower is a wholly owned subsidiary of the parent RP, which
is a for-profit RP of social housing ultimately owned by Blackstone
Inc. alongside the Regis Group PLC.
On Aug. 27, 2025, the issuer issued a further GBP132.5 million
class A2 notes, the proceeds of which were used to redeem in full
the class A1 notes. The loan provides for cash trap mechanisms set
at a rated loan-to-value (LTV) ratio greater than 76.92% or a rated
debt yield less than 4.675%. Following a permitted change of
control, a cash trap event will occur if the rated LTV ratio is
greater than the rated LTV ratio on the change of control date plus
10%, or the rated debt yield is less than 90% of the rated debt
yield on the change of control date.
The loan has an initial term of five years with two one-year
extension options available, subject to the satisfaction of certain
conditions. There is no scheduled amortization during the loan
term.
The portfolio's current market value subject to tenancies (MV-STT)
is GBP439.1 million, which equates to an LTV ratio of 59.7% (based
on the rated notes). The market value is down from GBP452.2 million
at closing following the sale of 77 units.
Table 1
Loan and collateral summary
Current review
(November 2025) Closing
Data as of August 2025 Dec 2024
Senior loan balance (mil. GBP) 295.2 303.0
Rated note balance (mil. GBP) 262.2 270.0
Rated notes-to-market value ratio (%) 59.7 59.7
Debt yield (%) 5.6 5.7
Gross rental income per year (mil. GBP) 19.6 19.8
Net rental income per year (mil. GBP) 14.7 15.4
Vacancy rate (%) 0.9 0.4
Market value (mil. GBP) 439.1 452.2
Credit evaluation
S&P said, "We consider that the assets' potential to produce net
cash flow (NCF) is GBP14.0 million on a sustainable basis. This is
based on the current contractual rent grossed up to full occupancy.
We adjusted the fully let rent for 5.0% vacancy and 25.5%
nonrecoverable expenses. Our vacancy and nonrecoverable expenses
assumptions remain unchanged since closing.
"We consider 4.2% to be an appropriate weighted-average
capitalization rate for the portfolio, given the property type,
portfolio quality, and location.
"We applied the weighted-average cap rate to the S&P Global Ratings
NCF to determine the properties' sustainable value at GBP332.4
million, which represents a 24.3% haircut to the GBP439.1 million
MV-STT."
Table 2
S&P Global Ratings' key assumptions
Current review
(August 2025) Closing
S&P Global Ratings rent fully let (mil. GBP) 19.8 20.3
S&P Global Ratings vacancy (%) 5.0 5.0
S&P Global Ratings non-recoverable expenses (%) 25.5 25.5
S&P Global Ratings net cash flow (mil. GBP) 14.0 14.4
S&P Global Ratings capitalization rate (%) 4.2 4.2
Purchase costs (%) N/A 5.0
S&P Global Ratings value (mil. GBP) 332.4 323.9
Haircut to MV-STT (%) (24.3) (28.4)
S&P Global Ratings LTV ratio
(before recovery rate adjustments; %) 88.8 93.5
MV-STT—Market value subject to tenancies.
LTV--Loan to value.
N/A--Not applicable.
Property and loan-level adjustments
S&P said, "For this transaction, we made a 12.5% net positive
advance rate adjustment to our recovery rates, which reflects
property diversification, an asset quality score of 3.5, and an
income stability score of 4.5. We also made an adjustment for the
ability of the parent RP to incur additional debt."
Other analytical considerations
As of the August 2025 note payment date, the liquidity facility
balance was GBP9.1 million, down from GBP9.4 million at closing and
in line with the lower loan amount following unit sales and loan
prepayment. The liquidity facility is available to fund an expenses
shortfall, a property protection shortfall, or an interest
shortfall on the class A, B, C, and D notes. There have been no
liquidity facility drawings to date.
The loan is hedged with an interest rate cap with a strike rate of
2.5%. The cap agreement has an initial term of two years. Under the
loan agreement, the borrower is required to extend the cap at a
strike rate of the higher of 2.5% and a strike rate that ensures a
hedged interest coverage ratio of a minimum of 1.2x. If the cap is
not extended, a loan event of default would be triggered and the 5%
Sterling Overnight Index Average cap on the notes will be
activated.
S&P said, "We also assessed whether the cash flow from the
securitized assets would be sufficient to make timely payments of
interest and ultimate repayment of principal by the notes' legal
final maturity date in 2038, after considering available credit
enhancement and allowing for transaction expenses and liquidity
support. In these scenarios, we used a stressed note interest rate
to assess whether the issuer will still have sufficient revenue to
meet its interest payment obligations. If the loan became unhedged,
our NCF would not be sufficient to cover the notes' debt
obligations in full. Further, liquidity support in the transaction
amounts to less than one year's worth of bond interest and senior
expenses.
"Our analysis also included a full review of the legal and
regulatory risks, operational and administrative risks, and
counterparty risks. Our assessment of these risks remains unchanged
since closing and is commensurate with the assigned ratings."
Rating actions
S&P said, "Our ratings address the issuer's ability to meet timely
payment of interest on the class A2, B, C, and D notes, ultimate
payment of interest on the class E notes, and payment of principal
no later than the legal final maturity in May 2038 on all classes
of notes. The legal final maturity date is initially May 17, 2037.
However, the servicer has the option to extend the loan one time by
12 months beyond the extended loan maturity date in 2032. Should
the servicer choose to exercise this option, the legal final
maturity date will be automatically extended to May 2038.
"Our opinion of the long-term sustainable value is slightly higher
than at closing, following a change in our criteria. The S&P Global
Ratings value is now net of purchase costs, so we no longer deduct
5% from the gross value. Therefore, the S&P Global Ratings LTV
ratio is 88.8%, down from 93.5% at closing.
"Our analysis of the credit metrics indicates higher ratings on the
class B to E notes than those assigned. However, we also considered
that if the loan became unhedged, our NCF would not be sufficient
to cover the notes' debt obligations in full. Further, liquidity
support amounts to less than one year's worth of bond interest and
senior expenses. We therefore limited our upgrades and raised our
ratings on the class B, C, and D notes to 'AA+ (sf)', 'AA- (sf)',
and 'A- (sf)' from 'AA- (sf)', 'A- (sf)', and 'BBB- (sf)'.
"Additionally, the class E notes do not benefit from liquidity
support, which, in line with our criteria, constrains the rating at
'BB+'. We therefore raised the rating to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'BB-
(sf)'.
"We affirmed our 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A2 notes."
The transaction closed in May 2025 and is backed by a GBP303.0
million loan originally secured on a portfolio of 2,123 social
housing units located in England. It is currently secured on 2,046
social housing units.
VGL HOLDCO: PwC Appointed as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------
VGL Holdco Limited entered into administration in the High Court of
Justice, Business and Property Courts of England and Wales,
Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Case Number CR-2025-007861.
Catherine Rachel Atkinson, Zelf Hussain, and Peter David Dickens of
PwC were appointed as joint administrators on Nov. 7, 2025.
The Company is a non-trading holding company.
Its registered office is at Acre House, 11–15 William Road,
London, NW1 3ER
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Catherine Rachel Atkinson
Zelf Hussain
PwC LLP
7 More London
Riverside, SE1 2RT
- and -
Peter David Dickens
PwC LLP
1 Hardman Square
Manchester, M3 3EB
For further details, contact:
Tel No: 0113 289 4000
Email: uk_vglh_enquiries@pwc.com
WARWICK FINANCE: Moody's Ups Rating on GBP36.73MM E Notes from B1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings of 3 notes in Warwick
Finance Residential Mortgages Number Three PLC. The rating action
reflects the increased levels of credit enhancement, the better
than expected collateral performance and Moody's assessments of the
likelihood of prolonged missed interest payments.
Moody's affirmed the ratings of the notes that had sufficient
credit enhancement to maintain their current ratings.
GBP1469.18M Class A Notes, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Jun
20, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
GBP128.55M Class B Notes, Affirmed Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun 20,
2024 Affirmed Aa2 (sf)
GBP64.28M Class C Notes, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Jun
20, 2024 Affirmed A1 (sf)
GBP36.73M Class D Notes, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Jun
20, 2024 Upgraded to Baa2 (sf)
GBP36.73M Class E Notes, Upgraded to Baa1 (sf); previously on Jun
20, 2024 Upgraded to B1 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action is prompted by an increase in credit enhancement
for the affected tranches and Moody's assessments of the low
likelihood of prolonged missed interest payments, as well as by the
decreased key collateral assumptions, namely the portfolio Expected
Loss (EL) and MILAN Stressed Loss assumptions.
Increase in Available Credit Enhancement
Sequential amortization led to an increase in the credit
enhancement available in the transaction.
For instance, the credit enhancement for the tranches affected by
rating action increased to 25.72% from 19.65% for Class C, to
20.04% from 15.30% for Class D and to 14.36% from 10.94% for Class
E, since the last rating action.
Revision of Key Collateral Assumptions:
As part of the rating action, Moody's reassessed Moody's lifetime
loss expectation for the portfolio reflecting the collateral
performance to date.
The performance of the transaction has continued to be stable since
last rating action with 90 days plus arrears currently stand at
8.72% of current pool balance showing a decreasing trend over the
past year. Cumulative losses currently stand at 0.44% of original
pool balance stable from a year earlier.
Moody's decreased the expected loss assumption to 4.14% as a
percentage of current pool balance due to the improving
performance. The revised expected loss assumption corresponds to
1.87% as a percentage of original pool balance from 2.73%.
Moody's reassessed loan-by-loan information to estimate the loss
Moody's expects the portfolio to incur in a severe economic stress.
As a result, Moody's have decreased the MILAN Stressed Loss
assumption to 13.7% from 16.7%.
Assessment of the likelihood of prolonged missed interest
Interest payments for the Class C Notes, Class D Notes and Class E
Notes are dependent on any excess spread left after covering senior
expenses, interest on the more senior tranches and losses.
Principal can only be used to pay interest for the most senior
Class of Notes and the liquidity reserve is only available to cover
fees and interest on Class A Notes.
Moody's analysis considers the very low likelihood of prolonged
interest deferrals on Class C Notes and Class D Notes and the
likelihood of interest deferrals on Class E Notes in the future.
Moody's considered that the more senior Notes are likely to be
outstanding for a while and there is still a substantial
probability of interest deferral – which however Moody's expects
to be recouped with interest on deferred interest – for the
Class E Notes, hence limiting the upgrade to Baa1 (sf).
Counterparty Exposure
The rating actions took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as servicer and the account banks.
Moody's considered how the liquidity available in the transactions
and other mitigants support continuity of note payments, in case of
servicer default.
The liquidity reserve provides liquidity support to Class A,
however, Classes B to E do not benefit from it. As a result, the
rating of the Class B and Class C Notes are constrained by
operational risk.
The rating action also considered the migration, in October 2025,
of the servicing duties from Western Mortgages Services Limited to
Topaz Finance Limited (Topaz) and the release of Homeloan
Management Limited from its role as Back-Up Servicer. Topaz is not
rated but the parent company, Computershare Ltd, is rated Baa2 (LT
Issuer Rating). Moody's assessments took into account the rating of
the parent entity of Topaz as well as the extensive experience and
the relative size and market share of this servicer in the UK
mortgage market.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Residential
Mortgage-Backed Securitizations" published in October 2024.
The analysis undertaken by Moody's at the initial assignment of
ratings for RMBS securities may focus on aspects that become less
relevant or typically remain unchanged during the surveillance
stage.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Factors or circumstances that could lead to an upgrade of the
ratings include (1) performance of the underlying collateral that
is better than Moody's expected, (2) an increase in available
credit enhancement and (3) improvements in the credit quality of
the transaction counterparties.
Factors or circumstances that could lead to a downgrade of the
ratings include (1) an increase in sovereign risk, (2) performance
of the underlying collateral that is worse than Moody's expected,
(3) deterioration in the notes' available credit enhancement and
(4) deterioration in the credit quality of the transaction
counterparties.
WEATHERBREAK WINDOWS: FRP Advisory Appointed as Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------------
Weatherbreak Windows Limited was placed into administration in the
High Court of Justice, Court Number CR-2025-007898. Miles Needham
and Andy John of FRP Advisory Trading Limited were appointed as
joint administrators on Nov. 10, 2025.
The company describes itself as double glazing installers.
Its registered office is at Unit 21 Sundon Industrial Estate,
Dencora Way, Luton, LU3 3HP (to be changed to c/o FRP Advisory
Trading Limited, 4 Beaconsfield Road, St Albans, Hertfordshire, AL1
3RD).
Its principal trading address is Unit 21 Sundon Industrial Estate,
Dencora Way, Luton, LU3 3HP.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Miles Needham
Andy John
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
4 Beaconsfield Road
St Albans, Hertfordshire, AL1 3RD
For further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 01727 811111
Email: cp.stalbans@frpadvisory.com
*********
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