251104.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Tuesday, November 4, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 220
Headlines
I R E L A N D
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 2021-4: Fitch Assigns B-sf Rating on F-R Notes
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 2021-4: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on F-R Notes
ARAN FUNDING 2025-1: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on F-Dfrd Notes
CARLYLE EURO 2022-5: Fitch Assigns B-sf Rating on Cl. E-R-R Notes
CARLYLE EURO 2022-5: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Cl. E-R-R Notes
DUTCH MORTGAGE 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class X Notes
RRE 2: S&P Assigns BB-(sf) Rating on Class D-R Notes
I T A L Y
GOLDEN BAR 2025-2: Fitch Assigns BB+sf Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
L U X E M B O U R G
SAMSONITE FINCO: Fitch Rates New EUR350MM Notes 'BB+'
SAMSONITE GROUP: Moody's Affirms 'Ba2' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
R U S S I A
ORIENT FINANS: S&P Affirms 'B+/B' ICRs & Alters Outlook to Positive
TRUSTBANK: S&P Affirms 'B+/B' ICRs on Resilient Performance
S P A I N
CLAVEL 4: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Notes
S W E D E N
ANTICIMEX GLOBAL: Moody's Rates New Term Loan B3, Outlook Stable
HEIMSTADEN AB: S&P Assigns 'B-' ICR, Outlook Remains Negative
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
AGILITAS IT: Alvarez & Marsal Named as Administrators
AVON FINANCE NO. 3: S&P Affirms 'B-(sf)' Rating on Cl. F-Dfrd Notes
AVON FINANCE NO. 4: S&P Affirms 'CCC(sf)' Rating on X-Dfrd Notes
DOWSON 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Two Tranches
DOWSON 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim. B-(sf) Rating on X1-Dfrd Notes
EALBROOK MORTGAGE 2024-1: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on E Notes
GLACIER ENERGY: Teneo Financial Named as Administrators
HARBOUR NO. 2: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class X Notes
HOPS HILL NO. 5: S&P Affirms 'B+(sf)' Rating on Class E-Dfrd Notes
ICW CONSULTANTS: Marshall Peters Named as Administrators
MOLOSSUS BTL 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. F Debt
MOLOSSUS BTL 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim. BB-(sf) Rating on F Notes
SHEFFIELD 3: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
UK LOGISTICS 2025-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class E Notes
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I R E L A N D
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ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 2021-4: Fitch Assigns B-sf Rating on F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Anchorage Capital Europe CLO 2021-4 DAC
reset notes final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Anchorage Capital
Europe CLO 2021-4 DAC
A-R XS3187706893 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-R XS3187707198 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R XS3187707511 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-R XS3187707784 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R XS3187707941 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F-R XS3187708329 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes
XS2294176651 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Anchorage Capital Europe CLO 2021-4 DAC is a securitisation of
mainly senior secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component
of unsecured senior loans, unsecured senior bonds, second-lien
loans, first-lien last-out loans, mezzanine obligations and
high-yield bonds.
Note proceeds have been used to redeem the existing notes (except
the subordinated notes) and to fund the existing portfolio with a
target par of EUR450million.The portfolio is actively managed by
Anchorage CLO ECM, L.L.C. The transaction has a 4.5-year
reinvestment period and an 8.5-year weighted average life test
(WAL).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch places the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average rating factor of the current portfolio is 24.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is
60.1%.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes
various concentration limits in the portfolio, including a
fixed-rate obligation limit of 12.5%, a top 10 obligor
concentration limit of 20%, and a maximum exposure to the
three-largest Fitch-defined industries in the portfolio of 40%.
These covenants ensure that the asset portfolio will not be exposed
to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.5-year
reinvestment period, which is governed by reinvestment criteria
that are similar to those of other European transactions. Fitch's
analysis is based on a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of
testing the robustness of the transaction structure against its
covenants and portfolio guidelines.
The transaction includes three Fitch test matrix sets, each
comprising two matrices that correspond to two fixed-rate asset
limits of 7.5% and 12.5%. All matrices correspond to a top 10
obligor limit at 20%. One set is effective at closing,
corresponding to an 8.5-year WAL test. The manager can switch to
the forward matrix set based on a 7.5-year WAL test from one year
after closing and to the forward matrix set based on a seven-year
WAL test from 18 months after closing. Switching to the forward
matrices is subject to the satisfaction of the reinvestment target
par condition with defaults accounted at collateral value.
Cash Flow Modelling (Neutral): The WAL used for the Fitch-stressed
portfolio analysis and matrices analysis is 12 months less than the
WAL covenant at the issue date, to account for the strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after its
reinvestment period. These include passing both the coverage tests
and the Fitch 'CCC' maximum limit, and a WAL covenant that
progressively steps down over time, both before and after the end
of the reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions would
reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress
periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase in the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease in
the recovery rate (RRR) across the all the ratings of the current
portfolio would have no impact on the class A-R to class C-R notes,
but would lead to downgrades of one notch each for the class D-R
and E-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F-R notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the current portfolio, may occur if
the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration. The class
B-R-to-F-R notes each have a rating cushion of two notches, due to
the current portfolio's better metrics and shorter life than the
Fitch-stressed- portfolio.
Should the cushion between the current portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase in the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease in the RRR across all the ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches each for the class A-R to D-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for
the class E-R and F-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction in the RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR across all
the ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to upgrades
of up to two notches each for the rated notes, except for the
'AAAsf' rated notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction.
Upgrades after the end of the reinvestment period, except for the
'AAAsf' notes, may result from stable portfolio credit quality and
deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Anchorage Capital
Europe CLO 2021-4 DAC. In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG
relevance scores in connection with the credit rating of a
transaction, programme, instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose
any ESG factor that is a key rating driver in the key rating
drivers section of the relevant rating action commentary.
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 2021-4: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Anchorage Capital
Europe CLO 2021-4 DAC's class A-R to F-R European cash flow CLO
notes. At closing, the issuer also has unrated subordinated notes
outstanding from the existing transaction and issued additional
subordinated notes.
This transaction is a reset of the already existing transaction
that closed in March 2021. The existing classes of notes were fully
redeemed with the proceeds from the issuance of the replacement
notes. S&P withdrew its ratings on the original notes on the reset
date.
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will permanently switch to semiannual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period ends approximately 4.49 years
after closing, and its noncall period ends 1.5 years after
closing.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes and loan through collateral
selection, ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,766.11
Default rate dispersion 524.77
Weighted-average life (years) 4.48
Weighted-average life extended to cover the
reinvestment period (years) 4.49
Obligor diversity measure 143.24
Industry diversity measure 19.20
Regional diversity measure 1.19
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 2.73
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.00
Target weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.62
Target weighted-average coupon (%) 5.62
Rationale
S&P said, "Our ratings reflect our assessment of the collateral
portfolio's credit quality, which has a weighted-average rating of
'B'. The portfolio is well-diversified, primarily comprising
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
senior secured bonds. Therefore, we have conducted our credit and
cash flow analysis by applying our criteria for corporate cash flow
CDOs.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on April 25, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio for so
long as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation
to the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain as established by
the initial cash flows for each rating, and compares that with the
current portfolio's default potential plus par losses to date. As a
result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the collateral
manager may through trading deteriorate the transaction's current
risk profile, if the initial ratings are maintained.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR450 million target par
amount, the covenanted weighted-average spread (3.55%), the
covenanted weighted-average coupon (4.50%), and the target
weighted-average recovery rates at each rating level calculated in
line with our CLO criteria. We applied various cash flow stress
scenarios, using four different default patterns, in conjunction
with different interest rate stress scenarios for each liability
rating category.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis show that the class B-R to D-R
notes benefit from break-even default rate (BDR) and scenario
default rate cushions that we would typically consider commensurate
with higher ratings than those assigned. However, as the CLO is
still in its reinvestment phase, during which the transaction's
credit risk profile could deteriorate, we have capped our ratings
assigned to the notes. The classes A-R and E-R notes can withstand
stresses commensurate with the assigned ratings.
"For the class F-R notes, our credit and cash flow analysis
indicate that the available credit enhancement could withstand
stresses commensurate with a lower rating. However, we have applied
our 'CCC' rating criteria, resulting in a 'B- (sf)' rating on this
class of notes."
The ratings uplift for the class F-R notes reflects several key
factors, including:
-- The class F-R notes' available credit enhancement, which is in
the same range as that of other CLOs we have rated and that have
recently been issued in Europe.
-- The portfolio's average credit quality, which is similar to
other recent CLOs.
-- S&P's model generated BDR at the 'B-' rating level of 23.96%
(for a portfolio with a weighted-average life of 4.48 years),
versus if we were to consider a long-term sustainable default rate
of 3.2% for 4.48 years, which would result in a target default rate
of 14.34%.
-- S&P does not believe that there is a one-in-two chance of this
note defaulting.
-- S&P does not envision this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
S&P said, "Following this analysis, we consider that the available
credit enhancement for the class F-R notes is commensurate with the
assigned 'B- (sf)' rating.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we consider
that the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned rating levels.
"We consider the transaction's documented counterparty replacement
and remedy mechanisms to adequately mitigate its exposure to
counterparty risk under our current counterparty criteria.
"We consider the transaction's legal structure and framework to be
bankruptcy remote. The issuer is a special-purpose entity that
meets our criteria for bankruptcy remoteness.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe that our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-R to F-R notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to provide an indication of
how rising pressures among speculative-grade corporates could
affect our ratings on European CLO transactions, we have also
included the sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-R to E-R
notes based on four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F-R notes."
The transaction securitizes a portfolio of primarily senior secured
leveraged loans and bonds, and is managed by Anchorage CLO ECM,
LLC.
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being related
to certain activities, including, obligors deriving revenue from
certain industries like production of palm oil, affecting animal
welfare etc. Accordingly, since the exclusion of assets from these
industries does not result in material differences between the
transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific
adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to account for
any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) enhancement (%) Interest rate§
A-R AAA (sf) 270.00 40.00 3mE +1.33%
B-R AA (sf) 56.25 27.50 3mE +1.85%
C-R A (sf) 26.00 21.72 3mE +2.20%
D-R BBB- (sf) 32.50 14.50 3mE +3.40%
E-R BB- (sf) 22.50 9.50 3mE +5.70%
F-R B- (sf) 13.50 6.50 3mE +8.42%
Sub. Notes NR 61.73 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-R and B-R notes address timely
interest and ultimate principal payments. The ratings assigned to
the class C-R to F-R notes address ultimate interest and principal
payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
3mE--Three-month EURIBOR.
ARAN FUNDING 2025-1: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on F-Dfrd Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned credit ratings to Aran Funding 2025-1
DAC's class A, B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, and F-Dfrd notes. At
closing, the issuer also issued unrated class Z1-Dfrd and Z2-Dfrd
notes, class X notes, and a portfolio overcollateralization
amount.
The asset pool for Aran Funding 2025-1 DAC contains EUR405.8
million first-lien residential mortgage loans located in Ireland.
Exicon DAC (formerly KBC Bank Ireland PLC) originated the loans.
The pool comprises 95.5% owner-occupied properties and 4.5%
buy-to-let (BTL) loans.
This transaction is a refinancing of Kinbane 2022-RPL 1 DAC, which
S&P rated. At closing, the issuer used the class A, B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd,
D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, and Z notes' issuance proceeds to purchase
beneficial title of the mortgage loans from the seller. The issuer
grants security over all its assets to the trustee. The assets
portfolio has all been originated by Exicon DAC (formerly KBC Bank
Ireland PLC), most (99%) before 2010. KBC Bank Ireland PLC
announced its exit from the Irish market in April 2021, returning
its banking license to the Central Bank of Ireland in April 2024.
The administrator, Pepper Finance Corporation (Ireland) DAC, is an
experienced servicer with well-established and fully integrated
servicing systems and policies.
The capital structure provides 29.93% of available credit
enhancement for the class A notes through subordination and the
non-liquidity reserve fund. A fully funded liquidity reserve fund
is available to meet revenue shortfalls on the class A notes, and
the non-liquidity reserve fund is available to meet revenue
shortfalls and provide credit enhancement to all rated notes.
The application of principal proceeds is fully sequential. Credit
enhancement can therefore build up over time for the rated notes,
enabling the capital structure to withstand performance shocks. On
each interest payment date for 10 years, principal equal to an
annualized 0.50% of the outstanding portfolio balance will be
transferred to the revenue waterfall to supplement the available
revenue. Any unutilized portfolio overcollateralization amount will
be available as credit enhancement.
Of the loans in the pool, 96.5% have been subject to a restructure.
In stressed economic conditions, these borrowers are more likely to
return into arrears. S&P said, "We considered this risk in our
analysis and increased our weighted-average foreclosure frequency
(WAFF) assumptions. Additionally, EUR1.11 million warehoused loans
are subject to potential future write-off, EUR0.39 million loans
located in the U.K., and EUR0.11 million loans with legal title
issues in the pool. We incorporated this risk within our cash flow
analysis and under-collateralized the pool by the outstanding
amount of these loans."
The transaction does not have a swap to mitigate the basis risk
between the ECB tracker loans and the interest on the liabilities.
S&P accounted for this basis risk in its analysis.
The documented replacement mechanisms adequately mitigate the
transaction's exposure to counterparty risk for the transaction and
swap collateral account and the swap counterparty in line with our
counterparty criteria. S&P said, "For this analysis, we consider
the final transaction and legal documents to be consistent with our
criteria. However, we may revise our ratings in the future should
risks emerge under any of these areas."
Borrowers pay into collection accounts held with Bank of Ireland in
the legal titleholder's name. The transaction documents will
establish a declaration of trust in the issuer's favor, over any
amounts in the collection account attributable to the mortgage
loans in the portfolio. S&P considers commingling risk to be
adequately mitigated under its counterparty criteria and have not
applied any additional adjustments in its cash flow modelling.
The issuer is an Irish special-purpose entity, which S&P considers
to be bankruptcy remote. S&P has received the relevant transaction
documents and legal opinions confirming that the sale of the assets
would survive the seller's insolvency.
Ratings
Class Rating Amount (mil. EUR) Class size (%)
A AAA (sf) 290.20 71.50
B-Dfrd AA+ (sf) 22.32 5.50
C-Dfrd A (sf) 14.21 3.50
D-Dfrd BBB (sf) 12.18 3.00
E-Dfrd BB (sf) 10.15 2.50
F-Dfrd B- (sf) 8.12 2.00
RFN NR 5.79 1.43
Z1-Dfrd NR 22.32 5.50
Z2-Dfrd NR 6.09 1.50
X NR 2.00 N/A
POA NR 20.29 5.00
Note: Our ratings address timely receipt of interest and ultimate
repayment of principal on the class A notes and the ultimate
payment of interest and principal on the other rated notes. S&P's
ratings on the class D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, and F-Dfrd notes also address
the payment of interest based on the lower of the stated coupon and
the net weighted-average coupon.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
POA--Portfolio overcollateralization amount.
CARLYLE EURO 2022-5: Fitch Assigns B-sf Rating on Cl. E-R-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Carlyle Euro CLO 2022-5 DAC reset notes
final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Carlyle Euro CLO 2022-5 DAC
A-1-R-R Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1-R-R XS3199367932 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2-R-R XS3199368237 LT AAsf New Rating
B-R-R XS3199368740 LT Asf New Rating
C-R-R XS3199369128 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D-R-R XS3199369631 LT BB-sf New Rating
E-R-R XS3199370050 LT B-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Carlyle Euro CLO 2022-5 DAC is a securitisation of mainly (at least
90%) senior secured obligations with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds were used to redeem the notes, except the subordinated
ones, and to fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR357.5
million.
The portfolio is actively managed by Carlyle CLO Management Europe
LLCand the CLO has a reinvestment period of about 4.5 years and an
8.5-year weighted average life (WAL) test covenant at closing,
which can be extended one year after closing, subject to
conditions.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The Fitch weighted
average rating factor of the identified portfolio is 24.7.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 60.7%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes various
portfolio concentration limits, including a top 10 obligor
concentration limit of 15% and a maximum exposure to the
three-largest Fitch-defined industries of 40%. These covenants
ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction includes one matrix
set at closing and one forward matrix set that is effective one
year after closing, provided that the aggregate collateral balance
(defaults carried at Fitch-calculated collateral value) is at least
at the reinvestment target par balance. Each matrix set comprises
two matrices with fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 10%,
respectively.
The transaction has a reinvestment period of about 4.5 years and
includes reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment period, which
include passing the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC' bucket
limitation test after reinvestment and a WAL test covenant that
progressively steps down, before and after the end of the
reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions would reduce
the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A-1-RR to B-R-R notes
and would lead to downgrades of one notch each for the class C-R-R
and D-R-R notes. It would also lead to a downgrade to below 'B-sf'
for the class F-R notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The rated notes
each have a rating cushion of up to two notches, due to the better
metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than the
Fitch-stressed portfolio.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches each for the class A-2-R-R and B-R-R notes, three notches
each for the class A-1-R-R and C-R-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for
the class D-R-R and E-R-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% fall of the mean RDR and a 25% rise in the RRR across all
ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to upgrades of
up to three notches for the reated notes, except the 'AAAsf'
notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from stable portfolio credit quality
and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Carlyle Euro CLO
2022-5 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CARLYLE EURO 2022-5: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating on Cl. E-R-R Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to the class
A-1-R-R, A-1-R Loan, A-2-R-R, B-R-R, C-R-R, D-R-R, and E-R-R notes
issued by Carlyle Euro CLO 2022-5 DAC. The issuer has EUR29.95
million unrated subordinated notes outstanding from the existing
transaction and issued an additional EUR7.35 million subordinated
notes.
Carlyle Euro CLO 2022-5 is a European cash flow CLO transaction,
securitizing a portfolio of primarily senior secured leveraged
loans and bonds. S&P said, "This transaction is a reset of the
already existing transaction, which we rated. We withdrew our
ratings on the existing classes of notes, which were fully redeemed
with the proceeds from the issuance of the replacement notes."
Carlyle CLO Management Europe LLC manages the transaction.
Under the transaction documents, the rated loan and notes will pay
quarterly interest unless a frequency switch event occurs.
Following this, the notes will permanently switch to semiannual
payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period will end approximately four and
half years after closing and the noncall period will end one and a
half years after closing.
The ratings assigned to Carlyle Euro CLO 2022-5's reset notes
reflect our assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and bonds
that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
-- This transaction has a one and half year noncall period and the
portfolio's reinvestment period will end four and half years after
closing.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,773.14
Default rate dispersion 528.50
Weighted-average life (years) 4.42
Weighted-average life extended to cover
the length of the reinvestment period (years) 4.50
Obligor diversity measure 140.38
Industry diversity measure 20.14
Regional diversity measure 1.39
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 2.15
Actual target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.09
Actual target weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.75
Actual target weighted-average coupon 4.02
S&P said, "Our ratings reflect our assessment of the collateral
portfolio's credit quality, which has a weighted-average rating of
'B'. The portfolio is well diversified, primarily comprising
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
senior secured bonds. Therefore, we have conducted our credit and
cash flow analysis by applying our criteria for corporate cash flow
CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR357.50 million target
par amount, the actual weighted-average spread (3.75%), the actual
weighted-average coupon (4.02%), the covenanted weighted average
recovery rate at the 'AAA' rating level (36.09%), and the actual
weighted-average recovery rate at all other rating levels in line
with our CLO criteria. We applied various cash flow stress
scenarios, using four different default patterns, in conjunction
with different interest rate stress scenarios for each liability
rating category.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis show that the class A-2-R-R,
B-R-R, C-R-R, and D-R-R notes benefit from break-even default rate
(BDR) and scenario default rate cushions that we would typically
consider to be in line with higher ratings than those assigned.
However, as the CLO is still in its reinvestment phase, during
which the transaction's credit risk profile could deteriorate, we
have capped our ratings on these classes of notes. The class
A-1-R-R and E-R-R notes and A-1-R Loan can withstand stresses
commensurate with the assigned ratings.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on April 25, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio for so
long as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation
to the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain as established by
the initial cash flows for each rating and compares that with the
default potential of the current portfolio plus par losses to date.
As a result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the
collateral manager may, through trading, deteriorate the
transaction's current risk profile, if the initial ratings are
maintained.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we consider
that the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned ratings.
"We consider that the transaction's documented counterparty
replacement and remedy mechanisms mitigate its exposure to
counterparty risk under our current counterparty criteria.
"The transaction's legal structure is bankruptcy remote, in line
with our legal criteria.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe that our assigned ratings
are commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the
class A-1-R-R to E-R-R notes and A-1-R Loan.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to provide an indication of
how rising pressures among speculative-grade corporates could
affect our ratings on European CLO transactions, we have also
included the sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-1-R-R to
D-R-R notes and A-1-R Loan based on four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class E-R-R notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average.
"For this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being
related to certain industries. Accordingly, since the exclusion of
assets from these industries does not result in material
differences between the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the
sector, no specific adjustments have been made in our rating
analysis to account for any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) enhancement (%) Interest rate§
A-1-R-R AAA (sf) 132.08 38.00 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 1.30%
A-1-R Loan AAA (sf) 89.56 38.00 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 1.30%
A-2-R-R AA (sf) 37.53 27.50 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 1.90%
B-R-R A (sf) 21.09 21.60 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 2.20%
C-R-R BBB- (sf) 26.81 14.10 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 3.10%
D-R-R BB- (sf) 16.44 9.50 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 6.00%
E-R-R B- (sf) 10.72 6.50 Three-month EURIBOR
plus 8.33%
Sub NR 37.30 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-1-R-R and A-2-R-R notes and
A-1-R Loan address timely interest and ultimate principal payments.
The ratings assigned to the class B-R-R to E-R-R notes address
ultimate interest and principal payments.
§ The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
DUTCH MORTGAGE 2025-1: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class X Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH finalized its provisional credit ratings on the
following classes of notes issued by Dutch Mortgage Finance 2025-1
B.V. (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class X Notes at BB (sf)
The finalized credit ratings on the Class E Notes are two notches
higher than the provisional credit rating Morningstar DBRS assigned
due to the lower margins on the notes after they priced.
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by the legal
final maturity date in August 2059. The credit rating on the Class
B Notes addresses the timely payment of interest when most senior
and the ultimate payment of principal by the legal final maturity
date. The credit ratings on the Class C, Class D, Class E, and
Class X Notes address the ultimate payment of interest and
principal by the legal final maturity date. Morningstar DBRS does
not rate the Class F, Class S1, Class S2, and Class R Notes, which
have also been issued in this transaction.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The Issuer is a bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicle to be
incorporated in the Netherlands. The Issuer used the proceeds of
the issued notes to fund the purchase of Dutch mortgage receivables
originated or acquired by RNHB B.V. (RNHB or the original seller).
The original seller sold the portfolio to the seller through
several warehouses. In turn, the seller who, via the interim
seller, sold the portfolio and the legal title of the mortgage
receivables to the Issuer. The Issuer used proceeds from the Class
X and R Notes to fund the reserve fund (RF).
The original seller is a buy-to-let and middle market real estate
lending business in the Netherlands and was incorporated on 16
September 2016. However, the history of the mortgage-lending
business that the seller now owns dates back to 1890, when
Nederlandse Hypotheekbank was founded. In 2008, Rijnlandse
Hypotheekbank and Nederlandse Hypotheekbank (both owned by
Rabobank) formally merged to form the RNHB business within FGH Bank
N.V. (FGH). In December 2016, the RNHB business and loan portfolio
were acquired by a consortium of (1) funds managed by AB CarVal
Investors L.P. (CarVal) and (2) Arrow Global Group Plc, with CarVal
holding the majority interest. Vesting Finance Servicing B.V.,
together with RNHB as master and special servicer, is the primary
servicer of the mortgage portfolio, and CSC Administrative Services
(Netherlands) B.V. acts as a replacement servicer facilitator.
As of 30 September 2025, the final portfolio consisted of 2,756
loans with a total portfolio balance of approximately EUR 794.5
million. The weighted-average (WA) seasoning of the final portfolio
is 3.4 years with a WA remaining term of 4.3 years. The WA current
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) remains comparatively low for a Dutch
portfolio at 60.8%. Almost all the loans (99.8%) in the portfolio
are fixed with future resets while the notes pay a floating rate of
interest. To address this interest rate mismatch, the transaction
is structured with a fixed-to-floating interest rate swap that
swaps the fixed interest rate received from the assets for
three-month Euribor. The portfolio is performing at 99.7%, and only
0.3% of the loans are in arrears equal to or greater than one
month. An additional loan of EUR 26.5 million, which was originated
after the provisional pool cut-off date of 31 July 2025
(post-provisional loan), was included in the final pool. The
post-provisional loan has a three-year term, is interest only and
bears a fixed rate of approximately 5.0%, has a current LTV of
64.4%, and is fully performing. The post-provisional loan differs
from the rest of the portfolio by its size and by its collateral.
It is backed by a single residential block of 195 units and 55
parking spaces in Amsterdam. Most of the residential units are
single rooms for student accommodation and others are apartments
rented to professionals.
Until the first optional redemption date (FORD) in November 2030,
RNHB can grant, and the Issuer must purchase, further advances
subject to their adherence to asset conditions and available
principal funds. The transaction documents specify criteria that
must be met during this period for further advances to be sold to
the Issuer. Morningstar DBRS considered these conditions when
assessing the possibility of the portfolio LTV increasing as a
result of further advances.
Morningstar DBRS calculated credit enhancement for the Class A
Notes at 13.8%, provided by the subordination of the Class B to
Class F Notes and the RF. Credit enhancement for the Class B Notes
will be 10.0%, provided by the subordination of the Class C to
Class F Notes and the RF. Credit enhancement for the Class C Notes
will be 7.0%, provided by the subordination of the Class D to Class
F Notes and the RF. Credit enhancement for the Class D Notes will
be 5.0%, provided by the subordination of the Class E to Class F
Notes and the RF. Credit enhancement for the Class E Notes will be
3.5%, provided by the subordination of the Class F Notes and the
RF.
The transaction benefits from an RF fully funded at closing from
the overall deal proceeds, which provides credit and liquidity
support to the Class A to Class F Notes. The RF is amortizing with
a target amount equal to 1.5% of the outstanding balance of the
Class A to Class F Notes with a floor on and after the FORD of 1.5%
of the Class A to Class F Notes' outstanding balance at the time of
FORD. Additionally, the notes have liquidity support from principal
receipts, which the Issuer can use to cover interest shortfalls on
the most-senior class of notes, provided that a credit is applied
to the principal deficiency ledgers in reverse-sequential order.
The Issuer entered into a fixed-to-floating balanced-guaranteed
swap with NatWest Markets N.V. (NatWest; rated A (high) with a
stable trend by Morningstar DBRS) and a fixed-to-floating banded
balanced-guaranteed swap (banded BGS) with Citibank Europe plc
(Citi Europe; rated AA (low) with a stable trend by Morningstar
DBRS) to mitigate the fixed interest rate risk from the mortgage
loans and the three-month Euribor payable on the notes. The hedging
provided by NatWest applies from closing until the first reset date
of the fixed-rate loans, after which the hedging from Citi Europe
takes over. The Issuer has also the option to continue with the
fixed-to-floating balanced-guaranteed swap provided by NatWest
after the first reset date of the fixed-rate loans. The notional of
the swaps is linked to the performing balance (less than 180 days
in arrears) of the fixed-rate assets, banded by the amortization
schedules assuming 3% constant principal repayment (CPR) and 15%
CPR in case of the banded BGS. The Issuer will pay a fixed swap
rate and receive three-month Euribor in return. The original seller
also covenants that, on an average basis, the fixed-rate mortgage
reset rate for a loan will, at the minimum, be equal to the swap
rate plus 2.25% and the overall WA margin of the pool cannot fall
below the swap rate plus 2.50%. The swaps' documents reflect
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology when Morningstar DBRS
has a public credit rating on the relevant counterparty. In the
absence of a public credit rating on the swap counterparty,
Morningstar DBRS will monitor the transaction and take credit
rating actions according to a private credit rating, if available,
or internal assessment as per Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions".
The Issuer account bank and paying agent is U.S. Bank Europe DAC
(U.S. Bank Europe). Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on U.S.
Bank Europe is consistent with the threshold for the account bank
as outlined in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology, given the
credit ratings assigned to the notes.
Morningstar DBRS based its credit ratings primarily on the
following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure, including the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement and liquidity
provisions.
-- Estimated stress-level probability of default (PD), loss given
default (LGD), and expected loss (EL) levels on the mortgage
portfolio composed of the final portfolio, which includes the
post-provisional loan. Morningstar DBRS stressed the mortgage
portfolio in accordance with the relevant asset conditions. The
mortgage portfolio was analyzed in accordance with Morningstar
DBRS' "European RMBS Insight Methodology". Morningstar DBRS also
applied commercial market value declines in accordance with its
"European CMBS Rating and Surveillance Methodology". Separate
analysis was performed on the post-provisional loan to address the
property concentration risk in accordance with multifamily
properties as described in the "European CMBS Rating and
Surveillance Methodology".
-- The transaction's ability to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay investors in accordance with the terms and
conditions of the Notes. Morningstar DBRS analyzed the transaction
cash flows using PD, LGD, and EL derived on the mortgage
portfolio.
-- The structural mitigants in place to avoid potential payment
disruptions caused by operational risk, in particular the presence
of the liquidity reserve.
-- The transaction parties' financial strength to fulfil their
respective roles.
-- The consistency of the transaction's legal structure with
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology and the expectation of
legal opinions addressing the assignment of the assets to the
Issuer.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
RRE 2: S&P Assigns BB-(sf) Rating on Class D-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned credit ratings to RRE 2 Loan Management
DAC's class A-1-R loan, and class A-1-R, A-2-R, B-R, C-1-R, C-2-R,
and D-R notes. At closing, the issuer has EUR54.89 million of
unrated subordinated notes outstanding from the existing
transaction and has issued an additional EUR3.00 million of
subordinated notes.
This transaction is a reset of the already existing transaction
that closed in June 2021.The issuance proceeds of the refinancing
debt were used to redeem the refinanced debt, and pay fees and
expenses incurred in connection with the reset. S&P has withdrawn
its ratings on the original notes.
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes and loan will pay
quarterly interest, unless a frequency switch event occurs.
Following such an event, the notes and loan would permanently
switch to semiannual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period ends 4.71 years after closing;
the non-call period ends 1.5 years after closing.
The ratings assigned to the reset notes and loan reflect S&P's
assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The experience of the collateral manager's team, which can
affect the performance of the rated notes and loan through
collateral selection, ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2674.09
Default rate dispersion 605.55
Weighted-average life (years) 4.71
Obligor diversity measure 123.23
Industry diversity measure 21.41
Regional diversity measure 1.21
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
Portfolio target par (mil. EUR) 500.89
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 1.62
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.90
Target weighted-average spread (%) 3.55
Target weighted-average coupon (%) 3.16
The portfolio is well-diversified, primarily comprising broadly
syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and senior
secured bonds. Therefore, S&P has conducted its credit and cash
flow analysis by applying its criteria for corporate cash flow
CDOs.
S&P said, "In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR500 million
target par amount, the covenanted weighted-average spread (3.45%),
and the actual weighted-average coupon (3.16%), as indicated by the
collateral manager. We assumed the targeted weighted-average
recovery rates at all rating levels. We applied various cash flow
stress scenarios, using four different default patterns, in
conjunction with different interest rate stress scenarios, for each
liability rating category."
Until July 15, 2030, when the reinvestment period ends, the
collateral manager may substitute the assets in the portfolio, as
long the CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation to
the initial ratings on the notes and loan. This test looks at the
total amount of losses that the transaction can sustain, as
established by the initial cash flows for each rating, and compares
that with the current portfolio's default potential, plus par
losses to date. As a result, until the end of the reinvestment
period, the collateral manager may, through trading, cause the
transaction's credit risk profile to deteriorate.
S&P said, "Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we
consider that the transaction's exposure to country risk is
sufficiently mitigated at the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for class A-2-R to D-R notes could withstand
stresses commensurate with higher ratings than those we have
assigned. However, as the CLO is in its reinvestment period until
July 15, 2030, during which the transaction's credit risk profile
could deteriorate, we have capped the assigned ratings.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-1-R loan and class A-1-R notes to D-R notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to indicate how rising
pressures among speculative-grade corporates could affect our
ratings on European CLO transactions, we also assessed the
sensitivity of our ratings on the class A-1 R to D-R notes, based
on four hypothetical scenarios. "
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being related
to certain industries. Accordingly, since the exclusion of assets
from these industries does not result in material differences
between the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no
specific adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to
account for any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) enhancement (%) Interest rate§
A-1-R AAA (sf) 240.00 38.00 Three /six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.28%
A-1-R loan AAA (sf) 70.00 38.00 Three /six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.28%
A-2-R AA (sf) 45.00 29.00 Three /six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.75%
B-R A (sf) 40.00 21.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 2.10%
C-1-R BBB (sf) 25.00 16.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 2.45%
C-2-R BBB- (sf) 10.00 14.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 3.50%
D-R BB- (sf) 23.15 9.37 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 4.80%
Additional
sub. Notes NR 3.00 N/A N/A
Sub notes NR 57.89 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-1-R loan and class A-1-R and
A-2-R notes address timely interest and ultimate principal
payments. The ratings assigned to the class B-R, C-1 R, C-2 R, and
D-R notes address ultimate interest and principal payments. The
payment frequency permanently switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
Sub. notes--Subordinated notes.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
GOLDEN BAR 2025-2: Fitch Assigns BB+sf Final Rating on Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Golden Bar (Securitisation) S.r.l. -
Series 2025-2 (GB 2025-2) notes final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Golden Bar
(Securitisation)
S.r.l. - Series 2025-2
A IT0005670903 LT AA+sf New Rating AA+(EXP)sf
B IT0005671125 LT AAsf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
C IT0005671133 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
D IT0005671141 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E IT0005671158 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
F IT0005671166 LT BB+sf New Rating BB+(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
GB 2025-2 is a securitisation of unsecured consumer loans and
vehicles loans with standard and flexible amortisation or balloon
repayment granted to individuals (persone fisiche) and individual
entrepreneur borrowers, by Santander Consumer Bank S.p.A. (SCB),
with a revolving period of two months. SCB is wholly owned by
Santander Consumer Finance, S.A. (A/Stable/F1), the consumer credit
arm of Banco Santander, S.A. (A/Stable/F1).
The class B notes' final rating is one notch higher than the
expected rating, due to the revised margins on all classes of
notes.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Diverse Portfolio Composition: Fitch's base-case default
expectations are set at 6% for personal loans, 1.5% for new
vehicles, 3% for used vehicles and 1.25% for balloon loans. Fitch
assigned the same base case to flexible and standard auto loans,
consistent with the predecessor transaction, as historical
performance is not materially different.
Pro Rata Subject to Triggers: The class A to E notes will repay pro
rata until a sequential redemption event occurs. Fitch views a
switch to sequential amortisation as unlikely in the base case, due
to the gap between its portfolio loss expectations and performance
triggers. The mandatory switch to sequential paydown when the
collateral balance falls below a certain threshold mitigates tail
risk.
No Servicing Fees Modelled: The deal envisages an amortising
replacement servicer fee reserve that will be funded on certain
triggers being breached. The reserve is adequate to cover its
stressed servicer fees at the notes' maximum achievable rating
throughout the transaction's life. Consequently, Fitch has not
modelled servicing fees in its cash flow analysis, resulting in
higher excess spread being available to the structure.
Excess Spread Notes Rating Cap: The class F excess spread notes are
not collateralised and their interest and principal will be paid
from the available excess spread. The notes will amortise from the
issue date and in the two-month revolving period. Fitch caps the
rating on these notes at 'BB+sf', in line with its Global
Structured Finance Rating Criteria.
'AA+sf' Sovereign Cap: The class A notes are rated at their highest
achievable rating, six notches above Italy's sovereign Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR; BBB+/Stable/F1), which is the cap for
Italian structured finance and covered bonds. The Stable Outlook on
the class A notes reflects that on the sovereign.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
At the applicable rating cap, the class A notes rating is sensitive
to changes in Italy's Long-Term IDR, as a downgrade of Italy's IDR
and downward revision of the 'AA+sf' rating cap for Italian
structured finance transactions would trigger downgrades of notes
rated at this level.
Unexpected increases in the frequency of defaults or decreases in
recovery rates that could produce loss levels larger than the base
case and could result in negative rating action on the notes. For
example, a simultaneous increase in the default base case by 25%
and decrease in the recovery base case by 25% would lead to up to
three-notch downgrades of the class B to E notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade of Italy's IDR and revision of the related rating cap
for Italian structured finance transactions could trigger an
upgrade of the class A notes.
An unexpected decrease in the frequency of defaults or an increase
in the recovery rates could produce loss levels lower than the base
case. For example, a simultaneous decrease in the default base case
by 25% and an increase in the recovery base case by 25% would lead
to upgrades of up to two notches for the class B to D notes,
provided there are no other qualitative elements that could limit
the ratings.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
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SAMSONITE FINCO: Fitch Rates New EUR350MM Notes 'BB+'
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Fitch Ratings has assigned a 'BBB-' rating with a Recovery Rating
of 'RR1' to Samsonite I.P. Holdings S.a r.l.'s new proposed senior
secured facilities, including new $750 million term loan A and $494
million term loan B facilities, and an $850 million revolver.
Additionally, Fitch has assigned a 'BB+'/'RR4' rating to Samsonite
Finco S.ar.l's new proposed EUR350 million notes. Net proceeds will
be used to refinance existing debt, of which there was
approximately $1.83 billion outstanding as of June 30, 2025.
Samsonite's 'BB+' rating reflects its position as the world's
largest travel luggage company, with strong brands and historically
good organic growth. Fitch expects Samsonite and its discretionary
retail peers to experience near-term operational challenges due to
softening consumer sentiment and the evolving U.S. tariff policy.
Longer term, Samsonite's ratings assume the company can generate
annual EBITDA of around $650 million-$700 million, with EBITDAR
leverage sustained below 2.75x.
Key Rating Drivers
Near-Term Volatility: Fitch expects the U.S. retail sector to face
near-term challenges, including declines in consumer sentiment,
business disruption and rising costs related to evolving U.S.
tariff policies. Discretionary categories could see revenue down as
much as mid-single digits with outsized EBITDA declines, given
tariff-related cost pressure. Fitch expects Samsonite's topline to
decline around 5.0% in 2025 to $3.4 billion and EBITDA to decline
around 15% to approximately $585 million. However, the company has
good liquidity to withstand near-term volatility.
Forecasted 2025 declines come after low-single digit revenue and
EBITDA declines in 2024. Topline performance in 2024 was driven
partly by softening demand in North America, and economic headwinds
in China and India, which were down in the low-single digits and
high-teens, respectively, for the year. Before 2024, Samsonite
experienced a multi-year rebound, driven by post-pandemic travel
recovery. Beginning in 2026, Fitch expects Samsonite to return to
low-single-digit topline growth, given the company's growth
initiatives and long-term fundamentals for the travel industry.
Strategy Supports Margin Trajectory: Fitch expects EBITDA margins
to moderate toward 17% in 2025, driven by fixed-cost deleveraging
and increased cost pressures from current and potential tariffs.
This is lower than the 19.0% generated in 2024 but well above the
13.5% generated in 2019. Since 2020, the company has executed
cost-saving efforts, including reducing its net store count by
approximately 14% between 2019 and 2024. Fitch expects the company
will manage costs in the near term to help mitigate the topline
deleverage and incremental costs related to tariffs.
Beginning in 2026, margins could rebound towards the mid-18% range.
Based on Fitch's topline assumptions, this yields EBITDA in the
mid-to-high $600 million range beginning in 2026. Continued growth
at the higher-margin Tumi brand could provide additional margin
improvement.
Mid-2x Leverage: Fitch expects EBITDAR leverage could trend towards
3x in 2025 from 2.7x in 2024, driven by EBITDA declines, before
returning towards the mid-2x range in 2026, on EBITDA rebound and
term loan amortization. Samsonite's 2.75x EBITDAR leverage rating
threshold is low for a 'BB+' rating and is balanced by the
company's more moderate scale. Fitch expects EBITDAR to trend below
$1.0 billion across the forecast period.
EBITDAR Below $1.0 Billion: Relative to larger retailers,
Samsonite's smaller scale (measured by EBITDAR) results in reduced
ability to navigate macroeconomic and idiosyncratic challenges,
particularly given the discretionary nature of its products. These
factors are offset by Samsonite's strong brands and leading market
share position within its category. The company owns several
well-known brands and operates across the value, mid-market and
premium market segments, which enables Samsonite to offer a fully
developed offering and grow market share.
Leading Position: Samsonite's strategy, emphasizing multi-brand and
product diversity, along with innovation and market segmentation,
has enabled it to grow market share and become the world's largest
travel luggage company, with $3.48 billion in revenues and $618
million in EBITDA for the LTM period ending June 30, 2025. As sales
continue to shift to direct-to-consumer (DTC), Samsonite's YTD 2Q25
DTC sales penetration (about 28% of company-operated retail plus
roughly 11% DTC e-commerce) supports ongoing brand growth with a
healthy retail and wholesale mix.
Good Liquidity: Samsonite has good liquidity and financial
flexibility, with $669 million in cash and $744 million
availability on its $850 million revolving credit facility as of
June 30, 2025. Fitch expects the company to generate positive FCF
(after dividends to shareholders) of $80 million-$180 million
beginning in 2025. Samsonite is listed on the Hong Kong Stock
Exchange. In August 2024, Samsonite announced that its board had
approved it to pursue a dual listing in the U.S. Fitch believes any
proceeds from a dual listing could be used towards a combination of
debt repayment, dividends, or reinvestment into the business.
Parent-Subsidiary Linkage: Fitch's analysis includes a strong
subsidiary/weak parent approach between parent Samsonite Group S.A.
and its subsidiary Samsonite IP Holdings S.a r.l. Fitch assesses
the quality of the overall linkage as high, which results in an
equalization of the ratings. The equalization reflects open legal
ring-fencing and open access and control between the stronger
subsidiaries and the parent.
Peer Analysis
Levi Strauss & Co.'s (BBB-/Stable) and Signet Jewelers Limited's
(BBB-/Stable) ratings are one notch above Samsonite's. This
reflects their lower EBITDAR leverage, which Fitch expects to trend
below 2.0x for both ratings. Signet's ratings consider good
execution from a topline and margin standpoint, which supports
Fitch's longer-term expectations of low single-digit revenue and
EBITDA growth. The rating reflects Signet's leading market position
as a U.S. specialty jeweler with an approximately 9% share of a
highly fragmented industry.
Levi's rating considers the company's good execution both from a
topline and a margin standpoint, which supports Fitch's longer-term
expectations of low single-digit revenue and EBITDA growth,
although there could be some near-term pressure on operating
results due to ongoing shifts in consumer behavior, difficult
comparisons and global macroeconomic uncertainty.
Capri Holdings Limited's 'BB'/Negative rating is one notch lower
than Samsonite's reflecting in-part its higher EBITDAR leverage and
weaker coverage metrics. Capri's Negative Outlook indicates
potential for EBITDAR leverage sustained above 3.0x and EBITDAR
fixed charge coverage sustained below 2.0x over the next 12-24
months.
Key Assumptions
- 2025 revenue to decline in the mid-single digits, driven by
ongoing headwinds to consumer discretionary spending. Topline
growth could return to the low-single digit growth range beginning
in 2026, driven by the company's ongoing topline initiatives as
well as general good fundamentals for the global travel industry.
- EBITDA to decline towards $585 million in 2025 from $683 million
in 2024, driven by topline declines. Fitch expects 2026 to be a
rebound year. Longer term, Fitch expects EBITDA could trend in the
mid-to-high $600 million range, driven by low-single digit topline
growth and margin expansion. Gross margin and EBITDA margins could
be supported by higher growth at the company's higher-end Tumi
brand, which is a higher-margin business.
- Annual FCF (after dividends to shareholders) to sustain at $80
million-$180 million annually beginning in 2025. Fitch assumes
Samsonite could deploy about $120 million annually towards capex,
including store refurbishments. In 2024, the company reinstated its
annual cash distributions to shareholders, after suspending them at
the beginning of the pandemic, and paid $150 million to
shareholders on July 16, 2024. On July 15, 2025, Samsonite paid a
cash dividend of $150 million to shareholders for the year ended
December 31, 2024. Fitch expects Samsonite will continue paying out
$150 million in annual dividends.
- Fitch expects EBITDAR leverage could climb from 2.7x in 2024 to
3.0x in 2025, driven by EBITDA declines. Thereafter, Fitch expects
EBITDAR leverage could return towards the mid-2x range, driven by
EBITDA rebound and term loan amortization.
- Fitch expects EBITDAR fixed charge coverage to trend around 3.0x
beginning in 2026.
- The company's debt structure as of June 30, 2025, consists of
EUR350 million in fixed-rate notes (3.5%) due May 2026, about $1.3
billion in floating-rate term loan A and term loan B debt due 2028
and 2030, respectively, and $100 million in borrowings on the
company's floating-rate revolving credit facility due 2028.
Variable base rates are 3.5%-4.5% range over the forecast horizon.
Recovery Analysis
Fitch does not employ a waterfall recovery analysis for issuers'
assigned ratings in the 'BB' category. Fitch rates Samsonite's
first-lien secured debt, consisting of the revolver and term loans,
at 'BBB-'/'RR1', which is one notch above the IDR and indicates
outstanding recovery prospects given default. The revolver and term
loans are unconditionally guaranteed by the company and certain
subsidiaries. They are secured by substantially all assets of the
borrowers and guarantors on a first-lien basis.
The senior notes are rated 'BB+'/'RR4', indicating average recovery
prospects. The senior notes are guaranteed on a senior subordinated
basis.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDAR leverage sustained above 2.75x;
- EBITDAR fixed charge coverage sustained below mid-2.0x.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Topline growth yielding EBITDAR trending towards $1.0 billion;
- EBITDAR leverage sustained below 2.25x;
- EBITDAR fixed charge coverage sustained above 3.0x.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Samsonite had $1.4 billion in total liquidity as of June 30, 2025,
consisting of $669 million in cash and $744 million in availability
on its revolving credit facility. As of June 30, 2025, Samsonite's
debt structure consisted of an $850 million revolver due 2028 with
$100 million in borrowings as of this date; $760 million in term
loan A debt due 2028; $495 million in term loan B debt due 2030;
and EUR350 million of senior notes due 2026.
Proforma for the transaction, Samsonite's debt consists of a $750
million term loan A due in 2030, a $494 million term loan B, due in
2032, a new $850 million revolver due in 2030, and EUR350 million
in new senior notes due in 2033. The new debt is expected to repay
existing outstanding borrowings of approximately $1.83 billion as
of June 30, 2025.
Issuer Profile
Samsonite, the world's largest luggage company, sells luggage,
business and computer bags, outdoor and casual bags and travel
accessories. For LTM ended June 30, 2025, revenue was $3.48 billion
and EBITDA $618 million. Key brands include Samsonite, Tumi and
American Tourister.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
Fitch adjusted historical and projected EBITDA to add back non-cash
stock-based compensation and exclude non-recurring charges. Fitch
uses the balance sheet reported lease liability as the capitalized
lease value when computing lease-equivalent debt.
Date of Relevant Committee
20 May 2025
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Sector Forecasts Monitor
data file which aggregates key data points used in its credit
analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
Samsonite Finco S.ar.l.
Senior Secured 2nd Lien LT BB+ New Rating RR4
Samsonite IP Holdings
S.a r.l.
senior secured LT BBB- New Rating RR1
SAMSONITE GROUP: Moody's Affirms 'Ba2' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
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Moody's Ratings affirmed Samsonite Group S.A.'s ("Samsonite") Ba2
Corporate Family Rating and Ba2-PD Probability of Default Rating.
Concurrently, Moody's assigned Ba1 ratings to Samsonite IP Holdings
S.a.r.l's (SIPH) proposed backed senior secured first lien bank
credit facilities consisting of a revolving credit facility, term
loan A, and term loan B. Moody's also assigned a B1 rating to the
proposed backed senior secured notes due 2033 issued by Samsonite
Finco S.a.r.l (Finco). Moody's took no action on, and expect to
withdraw, the ratings on the existing credit facilities and Finco
notes if they are retired as part of the refinancing. Samsonite's
SGL-1 speculative grade liquidity rating remains unchanged and the
outlooks for Samsonite, SIPH and Finco remain stable.
Samsonite is issuing a new $750 million senior secured term loan A
(TLA) that matures in 2030 and a $494 million senior secured term
loan B (TLB) that matures in 2032. The company is also putting in
place a new $850 million senior secured revolving credit facility
(RCF) that expires in 2030 to replace the existing $850 million RCF
expiring in 2028 and issuing 350 million of Euro-denominated senior
secured notes due 2033. The company will use proceeds from the new
term loans and Euro notes, along with approximately $24 million of
cash to repay the debt outstanding on the existing $760 million
term loan A, $495 million term loan B, and $413 million of USD
equivalent debt outstanding on the existing 350 million
Euro-denominated senior notes as of June 30, 2025. Proceeds from
the transaction will also pay roughly $13 million in financing
costs. The new instruments will have largely the same guarantees
and collateral as the existing loans and notes. There are multiple
permitted borrowers under the revolver and the term loans also list
Tumi, Inc. as a permitted borrower in addition to SIPH.
The transaction is credit positive because it extends the maturity
profile with a minimal increase in interest expense. Samsonite's
SGL-1 speculative grade liquidity rating reflects very good
liquidity and is supported by approximately $669 million of cash as
of June 30, 2025. An expected $750 million of availability on the
new revolver at close of the transaction and reported free cash
flow (after cash dividends to shareholders and treating lease
principal payments as an outflow reclassified to capital
expenditures from the IFRS presentation in financing) of around
$140 million over the next 12-18 months provide considerable
liquidity to address operational cash needs and an expected $23
million of annual term loan amortization in total across the TLA
and TLB.
Moody's affirmed the CFR because Moody's expects credit metrics to
remain strong despite softer consumer demand for luggage and travel
in certain markets like the US. Samsonite's very strong market
position in the luggage category and global presence help mitigate
against declines in consumer travel in specific jurisdictions. The
company's strong free cash flow and very good liquidity provide
considerable financial flexibility to navigate cyclical changes in
demand across global travel and the luggage category as well as
other operating headwinds including higher input costs and
tariffs.
Samsonite's proposed senior secured notes due 2033, issued by
Finco, have collateral consisting only of a second-priority claim
on the equity of Finco and Finco's rights to an intercompany loan
to Samsonite European Holdings funded with the proceeds of the
notes. Because Finco is a financing subsidiary with no significant
operations, Moody's do not believe the security pledged provides
substantive asset value. As a result, the notes are similar in
nature to unsecured obligations and the B1 rating is two notches
below the Ba2 CFR because of the subordination to the credit
facility. The Ba1 ratings on Samsonite's proposed secured bank
credit facilities are one notch above the CFR reflecting the
effective and contractual priority relative to the Finco notes. The
senior secured credit facilities are guaranteed by the company's
domestic and certain non-domestic operating subsidiaries and are
secured on a first lien basis by substantially all the assets of
Samsonite and its domestic and certain non-domestic subsidiaries.
The Finco notes are guaranteed on a senior subordinated basis by
Samsonite and the credit facility co-borrowers and guarantors.
Marketing terms for the new credit facilities (final terms may
differ materially) include the following: Incremental debt capacity
up to the greater of $630 million and 100% of adjusted EBITDA, plus
unused capacity reallocated from the general debt basket, plus
unlimited amounts subject pro forma first lien net leverage less
than or equal to 3.75x (if pari passu secured). No portion of the
incremental may be incurred with an earlier maturity than the
initial term loans.
The credit agreement permits the transfer of assets to unrestricted
subsidiaries, up to the carve-out capacities, subject to "blocker"
provisions which include restrictions on the disposition (whether
pursuant to a sale, exclusive license, transfer, investment,
restricted payment or otherwise) of intellectual property that is
material to the business of Samsonite and its restricted
subsidiaries, taken as a whole, to unrestricted subsidiaries.
There are no express protective provisions prohibiting an
up-tiering transaction.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Samsonite's Ba2 CFR reflects the company's market leading position
in luggage, brand strength and geographic diversification.
Samsonite's profitability is expected to remain good despite
ongoing headwinds from consumers economizing spending and increased
costs related to tariffs. The company's focus on reducing fixed
costs including streamlining the retail store base to lower lease
expense in recent years has helped strengthen its adjusted EBITDA
margin compared to historical levels. Moody's expects a modest
decline in the EBITDA margin and debt-to-EBITDA to remain around
the current 3.1x level (as of 12 months ended June 2025) over the
next 12-18 months.
Samsonite's products are discretionary and sensitive to declines in
the economic cycle as consumers reduce spending when household
income falls. Samsonite's focus on maintaining ample liquidity to
navigate market slowdowns supports the credit profile though it
does not fully mitigate earnings and leverage volatility. Financial
policy is supportive of maintaining sufficient liquidity to manage
through cycles as evidenced by the company suspending its annual
cash distribution to shareholders during the pandemic and its 2.0x
net leverage target (based on the company's calculation; 1.85x as
of June 30, 2025). Samsonite has been operating below its leverage
target creating some risk that leverage will increase over the
longer term. Samsonite increased shareholders distributions in 2024
after restarting its annual cash distributions and buying back
shares at least partly to reduce dilution ahead of a planned dual
listing of the shares in the US. Moody's expects leverage to
increase above the target level should Samsonite complete a large
acquisition with the company subsequently focused on reducing
leverage. Moody's expects solid annual free cash flow of roughly
$140 million (after cash dividends to shareholders and treating
lease principal payments as an outflow reclassified to capital
expenditures from the IFRS presentation in financing).
A comprehensive review of all credit ratings for the respective
issuer(s) has been conducted during a rating committee.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Samsonite
will maintain good operating performance and profitability despite
the softening consumer demand for luggage, slowing consumer travel
in the US, and increased costs from tariffs that are expected to
reduce the EBITDA margin. Moody's expects solid annual free cash
flow in excess of $140 million (after cash distributions to
shareholders and treating lease principal payments as an outflow
reclassified to capital expenditures from the IFRS presentation in
financing). Additionally, Moody's expects the company will maintain
very good liquidity and continue to operate the business toward its
stated net leverage target of 2.0x (based on the company's
calculations) despite the recent increase in shareholder returns.
Ratings may be upgraded if the travel sector returns to a period of
long-term stability. An upgrade would also require a stable EBITDA
margin, strong and consistent free cash flow, debt/EBITDA sustained
below 3.0x and very good liquidity. Greater clarity that the
company can withstand downturns in the travel cycle without
material deterioration in revenue, EBITDA margin, and leverage is
also necessary for an upgrade.
Ratings may be downgraded if there is a material decline in
profitability or operating performance such that free cash flow
falls below $80 million on a sustained basis as a result of factors
such as lower discretionary consumer spending, rising costs or
increased competition. The rating may also be downgraded if there
is a deterioration in liquidity or debt/EBITDA is sustained above
4.0x.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Consumer
Durables published in September 2021.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
Samsonite is a designer, manufacturer and distributor of luggage,
travel accessories and bags worldwide. Samsonite offers luggage,
business, computer, outdoor and casual bags and travel accessories.
Major brands include Samsonite, American Tourister and Tumi.
Consolidated net sales for the 12 months ended June 30, 2025, were
$3.5 billion. Samsonite is a widely held public company with
listing in Hong Kong SAR, China.
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R U S S I A
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ORIENT FINANS: S&P Affirms 'B+/B' ICRs & Alters Outlook to Positive
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S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on Uzbekistan-based Orient
Finans Bank (OFB) to positive from stable. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its 'B+/B' long- and short-term issuer credit ratings on
OFB.
Uzbekistan-based Orient Finans Bank's (OFB's) asset quality has
exceeded the system-average over the last five years, and S&P
expects this will continue despite high concentrations, slower loan
book growth, and the bank's planned expansion in retail loans and
lending to small and midsize enterprises (SMEs).
S&P said, "We also expect OFB to continue to report solid operating
performance after net income increased by 15% over first-half 2025
compared with the same period in 2024, with the return on average
equity exceeding 30% in annual terms.
"OFB's asset quality has outperformed the system average over the
past few years, and we expect this will continue over 2025-2027.
Nonperforming loans (NPLs) accounted for 1.8% of the gross loan
book in the first half of 2025. These include stage 3 and purchased
or originated credit-impaired loans and repossessed assets held for
sale in line with International Financial Reporting Standards.
Although the share of NPLs is somewhat higher than the historical
low of less than 1%, it is well below the system average of 7.8%
(in 2024). Although we expect a moderate increase in unsecured
retail and SME loans in OFB's portfolio over 2025-2027, we
anticipate OFB will adhere to its cautious underwriting approach.
We expect NPLs loans will remain at 1.5%-2.0% of the loan book over
the next two years, well below the sector average, which we
estimate will be 6.8%-7.5%. We also forecast OFB's cost of risk at
0.5%-1.0% in 2025-2027, compared with 0.6% in the first half of
2025 and the system average of 1.8%-2.0%.
"We continue to view single-name and foreign currency
concentrations as the bank's weakness, but this is to some extent
mitigated by financial collateral. The bank's 49% loan book growth
in 2024 was largely driven by one corporate loan in the oil and gas
industry, which was fully secured by a cash deposit. Excluding this
borrower, loan growth would have been much lower (26%), which is
similar to the system average. Because that loan is backed by cash
collateral, we consider that it has a limited impact on the bank's
risk-adjusted capital, although, it increases concentration on the
asset and liability side. OFB's 20 largest borrowers represented
about 46% of its total loans and 1.7x its total adjusted capital as
of midyear 2025 compared with 19% and 0.8x respectively as of
year-end 2023. We view such a concentration as a material risk that
can lead to volatile loan book growth or asset quality indicators.
However, we expect it might decline in 2026-2027 to levels
comparable with peers' following the bank's gradual expansion in
SME and retail lending and the maturity of its largest loan."
OFB's operating performance remains solid. The bank reported 15%
net income growth in the first half of 2025 compared with 39% for
the full year of 2024, supported by 37% net interest income growth
and improved noninterest income, mostly due to commissions. The
bank's return on average equity has consistently exceeded 30% over
the past five years (31% in first-half 2025) compared with the
10%-14% system-average. Although S&P expects it may decline
somewhat because of expected slowing of loan book growth, we
forecast it will remain robust at about 20%-25% over the next three
years.
S&P said, "We expect OFB to retain strong capital buffers in
2025-2026. This will be underpinned by its robust financial
performance and 85%-90% earnings retention. The bank's total
adjusted capital increased by almost by 38% in 2024 due to strong
earnings and recapitalization of about 90% of net income. We
forecast our RAC ratio to remain sustainably above 10% in the next
18-24 months after 13.9% in 2024. This is based on our expectation
that the bank's loan growth will decelerate to 15%-20% in 2025-2027
(loans increased by 3% in the first half of 2025) from about 50% on
average over the past three years, owing to deceleration in
corporate lending. We forecast its net interest margin will remain
strong at 9.0%-10.0%, supported by still-high interest rates and an
anticipated increase in the share of higher-margin retail and SME
loans. We also assume dividends of 10%-15% of net income."
The positive outlook indicates a one-in-three likelihood of an
upgrade within the next 12-18 months.
S&P said, "We could revise the outlook to stable if, contrary to
our expectations, we observe material deterioration of OFB's asset
quality or capitalization, driven, for example, by its fast
expansion into new or riskier lending segments or
higher-than-expected dividends.
"We could raise the ratings over the next 12-18 months if the
bank's asset quality metrics remain significantly better than the
market average, and our forecast RAC ratio remains sustainably
above 10%. An upgrade will also depend on a track record of
profitable growth, with the bank's creditworthiness and overall
risk profile staying consistent with that of higher-rated peers."
TRUSTBANK: S&P Affirms 'B+/B' ICRs on Resilient Performance
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'B+/B' long- and short-term issuer
credit ratings on Uzbekistan-based PJSB Trustbank. The outlook is
stable.
PJSB Trustbank has reported higher than-average profitability, with
its return on average assets reaching 6.6% during first-half 2025,
supported by the low cost of funds.
This is despite cost of risk rising to 2.9% over the same period
compared with 1.1% in 2024, due to some deterioration in the retail
loan book.
S&P said, "We expect Trustbank to retain higher-than-average
profitability despite the pickup in credit costs. Servicing the
Uzbek Commodity Exchange (UZEX) is the backbone of Trustbank's
operations, which, given the high-interest-rate environment in
Uzbekistan, allows the bank to earn a sizable spread in short-term
placements with the central bank and short-term government bonds.
Meanwhile, lower interest rates--we forecast some slowdown of
inflation by 2028--and a higher share of renumerated deposits will
slightly pressure net interest margins in 2025-2027. Still, we
believe Trustbank will outperform most, if not all, its domestic
peers in terms of return on assets, with a projected return on
average assets in excess of 5.5%. This is despite our projections
of elevated cost of risk, which reached 2.9% over the first half of
2025 compared with 1.1% in 2024."
The bank's retail portfolio quality has begun to deteriorate over
2025. Stage 3 loans reached 3% by mid-2025 while stage 2 loans hit
7%, a high level in an international context. S&P understands that
low payment discipline among borrowers historically has not
resulted in outsized credit losses and the data signals there may
have been to some improvement in past due exposures by the end of
third-quarter 2025. Moreover, Trustbank is focusing on minimizing
losses from defaults by employing credit insurance mechanisms.
Still, S&P considers rapid growth in retail (about 37% annualized
over the first nine months of 2025) to be a risk factor, further
aggravated by less advanced scoring models compared with regional
benchmarks.
S&P said, "We expect Trustbank's capital ratios to stay strong over
the next 12-18 months. We project the risk-adjusted capital ratio
to remain within 13.0%-13.5%, slightly below 13.8% observed at
year-end 2024. This largely reflects our projections of faster
credit growth (25%-27% in 2025-2027) as we understand the bank is
keen to utilize its capital buffers beyond the currently observed
regulatory ratios. Our projections incorporate some deterioration
of interest margins, to 14.0% by 2027 from 16.7% in 2024, which
will nevertheless remain exceptionally high. Our base-case scenario
assumes the bank will maintain its cost of risk below 3%.
"The stable outlook reflects our view that Trustbank's solid
capital buffer and earnings capacity will support its credit
standing over the next 12 months. Our base-case assumption is that
the bank will maintain exclusive relationships with UZEX and its
participants, resulting in lower funding costs and supporting
better margins than peers'. The outlook also captures our
expectation that the bank's liquidity position will remain stable
and continue to adequately cover short-term funding needs.
"We could take a negative rating action if there is any sign of
deterioration in Trustbank's relationship with UZEX and its
participants that hinders the bank's business stability. A
potential significant decline in capitalization, either due to
higher-than-expected growth in exposures or large dividend
distributions, could also lead us to revise the outlook to negative
or lower the rating.
"We are unlikely to take a positive rating action over the next 12
months. Over the longer term, we could take a positive rating
action if Trustbank builds on its track record of exemplary
profitability while achieving stable quality of its loan portfolio.
An upgrade would also hinge on the bank diversifying beyond its
core UZEX business."
=========
S P A I N
=========
CLAVEL 4: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating on Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Clavel Residential 4 DAC (Clavel 4)
final ratings.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Clavel Residential 4 DAC
Class A XS3186943620 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
Class B XS3186943893 LT AA-sf New Rating AA-(EXP)sf
Class C XS3186943976 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
Class D XS3186944198 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
Class E XS3186944271 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Class F XS3186944354 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Class RFN XS3186944438 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Class X XS3186944784 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Class Z1 XS3186944511 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Class Z2 XS3186944602 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Clavel 4 is a cash flow securitisation of a static pool of legacy
first-lien residential mortgages originated and serviced in Spain
by multiple entities. It includes the refinancing of Clavel
Residential 3 DAC (Clavel 3), a Spanish RMBS that closed in 2023.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Previously Securitised Loans: About 92% of the portfolio balance
comes from Clavel 3, which was paid in full on 28 October 2025. The
remaining 8% is linked to similar residential mortgages originated
by several Spanish banks that have comparable loan features,
particularly a high share of restructurings.
High Expected Foreclosure Frequency: Its foreclosure frequency (FF)
expectation on the non-defaulted portfolio, at 46.7% for the
'AAAsf' rating case, is comparable with other Spanish reperforming
RMBS transactions. It reflects that 93.6% of the pool has been
restructured and 15.6% has more than three missed monthly
instalments, for which Fitch has applied an FF rate of 100% under
the 'AAAsf' scenario. In addition, 24.5% of the restructured loans
have less than 12 months of clean payment history.
About 7.4% of the portfolio is classified as defaulted (defined as
loans with more than 12 missed monthly instalments) with no
material borrower re-engagement strategies in place. For these
loans, Fitch assigned a 100% FF expectation under its base case and
quantified the recovery rate in line with its rating criteria.
Mezzanine Notes Projected Interest Deferrals: Fitch expects the
class B to F notes to defer interest for between eight and 15 years
in their respective rating scenarios. Under the 'CCCsf' rating
case, deferrals are only expected for the class E and F notes.
These deferrals are permitted by transaction terms and do not
constitute an event of default.
Consistent with Fitch's Global Structured Finance Rating Criteria,
the rating analysis reflects that any interest deferrals are
projected to be fully recovered by the legal maturity date, that
they are a common structural feature in Spanish RMBS, and that the
transaction's documentation includes a defined mechanism for the
repayment of deferred amounts.
Transaction Adjustment: Fitch has applied a 1.5x transaction
adjustment to the FF on the non-defaulted portfolio to reflect its
general assessment of the pool, based on historical performance
data and the servicing strategies for restructured loans.
Criteria Variations: Fitch has not accounted for further drawdowns
on multi-credit loan agreements within its rating analysis,
reflecting the residual amounts of further drawdowns since 2015.
The absence of further drawdowns to date is most likely due to the
stringent conditions for application, which discourage debtors from
requesting further advances. Fitch has not applied the 1.2x FF
adjustment defined under its European RMBS Rating Criteria for
long-tenor loans as this risk is sufficiently captured by the
restructuring FF adjustment. The combined impact of the two
variations is a single-notch uplift for the class A notes.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Credit enhancement ratios unable to fully compensate the credit
losses and cash flow stresses associated with the current ratings,
all else being equal, will result in downgrades. For example, a 15%
increase in the weighted average FF rates and a 15% decrease in
weighted average recovery rates would lead to a one-category
downgrade for the class A notes and at least two-category
downgrades for the rest of the notes.
Weaker-than-expected performance of restructured loans, especially
those in a grace period, or weaker-than-expected recovery cash
flows on defaults would also lead to downgrades.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Increased credit enhancement ratios as the transaction deleverages
to fully compensate for the credit losses and cash flow stresses
commensurate with higher ratings would result in upgrades.
CRITERIA VARIATION
Fitch has not accounted for further drawdowns on multi-credit
agreements, which represent around 15% of the non-defaulted
portfolio balance, within its rating analysis, reflecting the zero
or residual instances of further drawdowns registered since April
2015. The absence of further drawdowns to date is most likely due
to the stringent conditions for application that discourage debtors
from requesting further advances.
Of the non-defaulted pool, around 71% has an original term to
maturity greater than 366 months (i.e. 30.5 years). As the term to
maturity for most of these loans was extended as part of the
restructuring arrangements, Fitch did not apply the 1.2x FF
specifically defined under its European RMBS Rating Criteria for
long tenor loans as this is sufficiently captured by the
application of restructuring FFAs.
The model-implied rating impact of the two criteria variations is a
one-notch uplift for the class A notes.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Clavel Residential 4 DAC
Fitch reviewed the results of a third party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small targeted sample of the
originator's origination files and found the information contained
in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the
originator's policies and practices and the other information
provided to the agency about the asset portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
===========
S W E D E N
===========
ANTICIMEX GLOBAL: Moody's Rates New Term Loan B3, Outlook Stable
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the B3 long-term corporate family
rating of Anticimex Global AB (Anticimex or the company) and its
B3-PD probability of default rating, following the proposed amend
and extend (A&E) transaction of its backed senior secured bank
credit facilities. Concurrently, Moody's have assigned B3
instrument ratings to the proposed amended and extended backed
senior secured term loan B (TLB) of SEK30 billion (equivalent)
borrowed by Anticimex Global AB, Anticimex International AB,
Anticimex Inc. and Anticimex Pty Ltd. and an around SEK4.1 billion
backed senior secured revolving credit facility (RCF) borrowed by
Anticimex Global AB all due in 2031. The outlook on all entities is
stable.
The proposed transaction will extend the maturity of its existing
backed senior secured TLB, senior secured TLB and senior secured
RCF by 3 years and upsize its TLB by SEK1.5 billion (equivalent).
The upsize will be used to repay the SEK630 million drawn RCF, add
cash on balance sheet and cover transaction fees and associated
expenses. The transaction is broadly leverage neutral, with its
pro-forma Moody's adjusted debt/EBITDA marginally increasing by
0.2x to 7.3x in 2024. Moody's will withdraw the ratings on the
existing backed senior secured TLBs, senior secured TLB and senior
secured RCF due 2028 upon completion of the transaction.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects Anticimex's track record of earnings
growth and stable margins, which has supported the continued
deleveraging since the peak in 2021, and its good liquidity profile
underpinned by consistent positive free cash flow (FCF,
Moody's-adjusted). It also reflects Moody's expectations that the
company will continue to increase its earnings over the next 12-18
months, supporting a deleveraging to 6.5x while improving its
interest coverage towards 2.0x, positioning the company strongly
within the B3 rating.
Over 2021 – 2024 period, Anticimex maintained an EBITA margin
(Moody'-adjusted) above 19% through the cycle while growing its
topline by around 13% CAGR through a combination of organic and
inorganic drivers. The stable profitability and steady growth have
helped Anticimex reduce its gross leverage (Moody's-adjusted) to
7.1x at the end of 2024 from very high levels of 9.6x in 2021. As
of June 2025, the company continued to deliver a solid operating
performance with last twelve months (LTM) June 2025 revenues up by
around 8.5% on constant-currency basis and the company's LTM June
2025 pro forma adjusted EBITDA increasing to SEK4,821 from around
SEK4,520 billion as of LTM June 2024. As a result, Moody's
forecasts Moody's adjusted leverage to decline slightly below 7x in
2025 and to around 6.5x in 2026.
Moody's also views positively the maturity extension of the
facilities to 2031 from 2028 as well as potential repricing of its
TLB, which should reduce its interest costs and further improve its
solid cash generation ability.
However, the ratings remain constrained by Anticimex's still high
Moody's-adjusted leverage. The degree to which the company can
reduce its financial leverage is sensitive to its M&A-driven growth
appetite and financial policy. While Anticimex has proven its
ability to successfully integrate these acquisitions, thereby
improving its earnings base, the company is not immune to potential
integration challenges which could disrupt operations. In addition,
the company's M&A spent has exceeded its FCF generation over the
past years, resulting also in growing amounts of debt.
Anticimex ratings continue to benefit from a strong and
geographically diversified foothold in the preventive pest control
industry, which is further bolstered by its diversified customer
base with low concentration and good customer retention rate.
Additionally, the company benefits from a high share of recurring
revenue and favorable long-term market fundamentals driven by
mega-trends such as urbanization, climate change, and more
stringent regulations.
OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Anticimex
will continue to grow its earnings supporting a deleveraging to
6.5x over the next 12-18 months while improving its interest
coverage towards 2.0x. The outlook also reflects Moody's
expectations that the company will maintain a good liquidity with
continued positive FCF and refrain from making any distributions to
shareholders or large debt-funded acquisitions.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive rating pressure could arise if:
-- Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA declines to below 6.5x on a
sustained basis,
-- Moody's-adjusted EBITA/interest improves to 2.0x,
-- Moody's-adjusted retained cash flow/net debt exceeds 10% on a
sustained basis and
-- maintains a good liquidity.
Negative rating pressure could arise if:
-- Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA increases to levels that could
challenge future refinancing prospects or indicate an unsustainable
capital structure over time,
-- Moody's-adjusted EBITA/interest remains below 1.5x on a
sustained basis,
-- liquidity weakens substantially as a result of overly
aggressive M&A activity, negative FCF, or shareholder
distributions.
LIQUIDITY
Proforma for the transaction, Moody's expects Anticimex to maintain
a good liquidity, underpinned by around SEK2.4 billion unrestricted
cash on balance sheet and around SEK4.1 billion availability under
the sizeable undrawn RCF. The company maintains ample headroom
under its springing net senior secured first lien leverage (at
maximum 11.5x, to be tested in each quarter end if RCF drawings
excluding cash and acquisition up to 35% of RCF exceed more than
40% of total committed RCF). Over the next 12 months-18 months,
Moody's expects Moody's-adjusted FCF to remain positive. Moody's
anticipates the company to continue with its accretive M&A
strategy, which will be partially funded with positive FCF
generation, but might also require some drawings under the RCF.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Proforma for the contemplated transaction, Anticimex's new capital
structure will consist of a SEK30 billion equivalent six-year
backed senior secured TLB and an around SEK4.1 billion backed
senior secured undrawn RCF. The term loans and RCF rank pari passu
as per the facility agreements and are rated B3 in line with the
CFR. The facilities share the same security package consisting
mainly of share pledges as well as material intra-group
receivables; these are guaranteed by a group of companies
accounting for at least 80% of consolidated EBITDA.
The B3-PD probability of default rating is on par with the
company's CFR, reflecting the use of a standard 50% recovery rate
as is customary for capital structures with first-lien bank loans
and covenant-lite documentation.
LIST OF AFFECTED RATINGS
Issuer: Anticimex Global AB
Assignments:
Backed Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility (Local Currency),
Assigned B3
Backed Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility (Foreign Currency),
Assigned B3
Affirmations:
Probability of Default Rating, Affirmed B3-PD
LT Corporate Family Rating, Affirmed B3
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Remains Stable
Issuer: Anticimex Inc.
Assignments:
Backed Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility (Local Currency),
Assigned B3
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Remains Stable
Issuer: Anticimex International AB
Assignments:
Backed Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility (Local Currency),
Assigned B3
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Assigned Stable
Issuer: Anticimex Pty Ltd.
Assignments:
Backed Senior Secured Bank Credit Facility (Local Currency),
Assigned B3
Outlook Actions:
Outlook, Remains Stable
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Business and
Consumer Services published in November 2021.
The B3 rating is currently two notches below the B1 scorecard
indicated outcome. The difference primarily reflects Anticimex's
high leverage with the deleveraging pace dependent on its
M&A-driven growth appetite and relatively weak interest coverage
metrics.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Headquartered in Stockholm, Anticimex is a provider of preventive
pest control services. The company operates 234 branches in 22
countries across Europe, North and Latin America, and Asia-Pacific.
In 2024, the company generated around SEK16.9 billion of revenue
and around SEK4.7 billion of company-adjusted pro forma EBITDA in
2024.
HEIMSTADEN AB: S&P Assigns 'B-' ICR, Outlook Remains Negative
-------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'B-'long-term issuer credit rating
and negative outlook on Heimstaden AB. S&P's also affirmed its 'B'
issue-level rating and '2' recovery rating for the company's senior
unsecured notes, reflecting our expectation of approximately 85%
recovery in the event of a payment default. Furthermore, S&P
affirmed its 'D' (default) ratings on both the company's euro
hybrid subordinated notes (with no equity content) and its Swedish
krona hybrid subordinated notes (with intermediate equity
content).
The negative outlook on Heimstaden AB reflects the risk that S&P
could downgrade the company in the next three to six months if the
company is not able to secure sufficient funding to cover its
liquidity needs or if cash flow generation remains insufficient to
support its debt service obligations.
S&P said, "In our view, Heimstaden AB's liquidity headroom will
remain tight over an 18 month period. Although the company has
sufficient liquidity sources to cover needs for the next 12 months,
we think that its upcoming debt servicing capacity (interest
payment) and committed capex in the next 18 months requiring
further funding activities to support its liquidity needs given we
expect negative FFO to continue. As of Sept. 30, 2025, the company
held approximately SEK 1.4 billion in unrestricted cash and cash
equivalents, which would cover upcoming debt maturities of Swedish
krona (SEK) 274 million and expected interest payments on its
senior unsecured and secured debt of approximately SEK610
million-SEK630 million and contractual capex of SEK450
million-SEK500 million for the next 12 months. However, liquidity
will become constrained if Heimstaden AB does not take sufficient
steps to secure funding in the next three to six months as we see
some risk when SEK700 million-SEK750 million of debt servicing
coming and capex needs of about SEK100 million-SEK110 million due
in the first quarter of 2027. We understand that Heimstaden AB
intends to dispose of directly held real estate assets over the
next few quarters to improve its capacity to service debt and
associated payments for the near term and we will closely monitor
its successful execution. In addition, we understand that the
company's incurrence covenant remains breached and restricts
Heimstaden AB to raise new debt.
"We think that Heimstaden AB's uncertain cash flow stability and
weaker financial ratios continue to exert pressure. Since February
2024, Heimstaden Bostad AB (Heibos) has suspended dividends on all
share classes to safeguard its 'BBB-' rating, significantly
reducing cash flow available to Heimstaden AB. We think the
likelihood of dividend resumption within the next 12-24 months is
limited, as Heibos relies on maintaining sufficient headroom under
its existing credit rating ratio triggers. Consequently, we
forecast that Heimstaden AB will continue to post weak EBITDA
interest coverage, well below 1.0x, for 2025 and 2026. Our forecast
assumes that dividends from investees and subsidiaries will remain
suspended over the medium term, resulting in persistently weak cash
inflows.
"We continue to reflect a six-notch differential between our 'B-'
long-term issuer credit rating on Heimstaden AB and our 'BBB-'
long-term issuer credit rating on Heibos . This notching
differential primarily reflects the structural subordination of
distributions Heimstaden AB receives from Heibos, which it does not
directly control due to the protections outlined in the
shareholders' agreement. It also accounts for differences in cash
flow stability, corporate governance and financial policy,
financial ratios, and Heimstaden AB's limited ability to liquidate
its investments. We rate Heimstaden AB using our noncontrolling
equity interest criteria ("Methodology For Companies With
Noncontrolling Equity Interests," Jan. 5, 2016), which we use to
rate debt instruments issued by entities that own shares in one or
more other entities with no direct control.
"We maintained our 'D' (default) rating on the Swedish krona and
euro subordinated hybrid notes. This is because the company is
currently deferring coupon payments to conserve cash, and we expect
the deferral to continue for at least the next 12 months. We assess
the Swedish krona hybrid instrument as having intermediate equity
content, supported by its long residual time to effective maturity
date. We consider hybrids rated in the 'B' category or below to
have intermediate equity content if there are at least 10 years
before their effective maturity date. We assign no equity content
to its euro hybrid bond because the effective maturity is below 10
years.
"The negative outlook on Heimstaden AB reflects the risk that we
could downgrade the company in the next three to six months if the
company is not able to secure sufficient funding to cover its
liquidity needs or if cash flow generation remains insufficient to
support its debt service obligations."
S&P could lower the rating on Heimstaden AB if:
-- It is unable to secure sufficient liquidity sources over the
next three to six months, creating a liquidity shortfall; and
-- Headroom under its maintenance covenants gets tighter and
breach of its incurrence covenants continues over the medium term,
leading to operational consequences for the company.
S&P could revise the outlook on our rating on Heimstaden AB to
stable if:
-- Heimstaden AB has proactively managed its liquidity position
with securing sufficient funding sources to cover its debt
servicing obligations and any near-term debt maturities; and
-- The company manages to restore headroom under its financial
incurrence covenants and maintains sufficient headroom under its
maintenance covenants.
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
AGILITAS IT: Alvarez & Marsal Named as Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------
Agilitas It Solutions Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property
Courts in Manchester, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), No
CR-CR-2025-MAN-001428, and Robert Croxen and Michael Magnay and of
Alvarez & Marsal Europe LLP were appointed as administrators on
Oct. 23, 2025.
Agilitas It Solutions engaged in business support service
activities.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at Solutions
House, 6 Glaisdale Parkway, Nottingham, NG8 4GP
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Robert Croxen
Michael Magnay
Alvarez & Marsal Europe LLP
Suite 3, Avery House
69 North Street
Brighton BN41 1DH
Tel No: +44(0)20-7715-5200
For further details, contact:
Dan Turner
Alvarez & Marsal Europe LLP
Email: INS_AGITSL@alvarezandmarsal.com
Tel No: +44(0)-20-7715-5223
AVON FINANCE NO. 3: S&P Affirms 'B-(sf)' Rating on Cl. F-Dfrd Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its credit ratings on Avon Finance No. 3
PLC's class B notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)', C-Dfrd notes to
'AA- (sf)' from 'A+ (sf)', D-Dfrd notes to 'A (sf)' from 'A- (sf)',
and X-Dfrd notes to 'B (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A notes, its 'BB+ (sf)'
rating on the E-Dfrd notes, and its 'B- (sf)' rating on the F-Dfrd
notes.
The rating actions reflect the paydown of the class A notes since
S&P's October 2024 review, which led to an increase in credit
enhancement for all rated notes.
Total loan-level arrears have decreased to 19.60% as of July 2025
from 21.33% in the previous review. 90+ days arrears have
marginally increased to 13.39% from 13.13% over the same period.
Arrears are currently below S&P's U.K. nonconforming index for
pre-2014 originations. Cumulative losses have increased to 0.22%
from 0.07% in the previous review.
S&P said, "Since our previous review, our weighted-average
foreclosure frequency assumptions have increased at all rating
levels. This increase is driven by the higher weighted-average
indexed effective loan to value (LTV) and the larger proportion of
loans receiving our reperforming adjustment. As of July 2025, the
weighted-average indexed current loan to value (LTV) is 45.78%, an
increase of 0.97 percentage points compared with the previous
review. Updates to our under- and overvaluation assessments for the
U.K. residential real estate market have also reduced our
weighted-average loss severity assumptions."
Portfolio WAFF and WALS
Rating level WAFF (%) WALS (%) Credit coverage (%)
AAA 43.71 14.95 6.53
AA 37.43 9.83 3.68
A 33.95 3.63 1.23
BBB 30.14 2.00 0.60
BB 26.00 2.00 0.52
B 24.95 2.00 0.50
WAFF--Weighted-average foreclosure frequency.
WALS--Weighted-average loss severity.
Counterparty, operational, and legal risks do not constrain the
ratings on the notes.
S&P said, "Our credit and cash flow results indicate that the
available credit enhancement for the class A and E-Dfrd notes
remains commensurate with the assigned ratings. We therefore
affirmed our 'AAA (sf)' and 'BB+ (sf)' ratings, respectively.
"Our cash flow analysis indicates that the class B, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd,
and X-Dfrd notes can withstand stresses commensurate with ratings
higher than those previously assigned. However, we limited our
upgrades of these notes, considering their sensitivity to higher
defaults levels, extended recovery timings, and increased
prepayment levels. We therefore raised the rating on the class B
notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)', the rating on the class C-Dfrd
notes to 'AA- (sf)' from 'A+ (sf)', the rating on the class D-Dfrd
notes to 'A (sf)' from 'A- (sf)', and the rating on the class
X-Dfrd notes to 'B (sf)' from 'CCC (sf)'.
"The class F-Dfrd notes face shortfalls under our standard cash
flow analysis at the 'B' rating level.
"Therefore, we applied our 'CCC' criteria to assess if either a
rating of 'B-' or a rating in the 'CCC' category would be
appropriate. Our 'CCC' rating criteria specify the need to assess
whether there is any reliance on favourable business, financial,
and economic conditions to meet the payment of interest and
principal.
"In our steady state scenario, we decreased our prepayment
assumptions in our 'high' interest rate scenario based on the
observed prepayment level, stressed actual fees in our cash flow
analysis, and did not apply spread compression, basis risk, or
standard variable rate haircuts at the 'B' rating level.
"In the steady state scenario, where the current stress level shows
little to no increase and collateral performance remains steady,
the class F-Dfrd notes pass our 'B' cash flow stresses.
"Therefore, in our view, payment of interest and principal on the
class F-Dfrd notes does not depend on favourable business,
financial, and economic conditions. We therefore affirmed our 'B-
(sf)' rating on the class F-Dfrd notes."
Macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking analysis
S&P said, "We expect U.K. inflation to remain above the Bank of
England's 2% target in 2025 and anticipate a rise in U.K. house
prices of about 4%. Although high inflation is overall credit
negative for all borrowers, inevitably some borrowers will be more
negatively affected than others, and to the extent inflationary
pressures materialize more quickly or more severely than currently
expected, risks may emerge.
"Given our current macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking view
of the U.K. residential mortgage market, we have performed
sensitivities related to higher levels of defaults due to increased
arrears and extended recovery timing due to observed delays to
repossession owning to court backlogs in the U.K. and the
repossession grace period announced by the U.K. government under
the Mortgage Charter. The notes remained robust to these
sensitivities."
Avon Finance No. 3 is backed by a pool of U.K. legacy
non-conforming owner-occupied and buy-to-let mortgages originated
by GMAC-RFC Ltd. and Platform Funding Ltd.
AVON FINANCE NO. 4: S&P Affirms 'CCC(sf)' Rating on X-Dfrd Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its credit ratings on Avon Finance No. 4
PLC's class B notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)' and C-Dfrd notes
to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'. At the same time, S&P affirmed its 'AAA
(sf)', 'BBB (sf)', 'B- (sf), 'CCC (sf)', 'CCC- (sf)', and 'CCC
(sf)' ratings on the class A, D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, G-Dfrd, and
X-Dfrd notes, respectively.
The rating actions reflect the paydown of the class A notes since
our October 2024 review, which led to an increase in credit
enhancement for all rated notes.
Total loan-level arrears have marginally increased to 21.49% as of
May 2025 from 21.348% in the previous review. 90+ days arrears have
marginally decreased to 14.40% from 14.49% over the same period.
Arrears are currently below S&P's U.K. nonconforming index for
pre-2014 originations. Cumulative losses have increased to 0.18%
from 0.08% in the previous review.
S&P said, "Since the previous review, our weighted-average
foreclosure frequency assumptions have increased at all rating
levels. This increase is driven by the higher weighted-average
indexed effective loan to value (LTV) and the larger proportion of
loans in the portfolio receiving a 100% foreclosure frequency. As
of May 2025, the weighted-average indexed current LTV is 46.01%, an
increase of 0.49 percentage points compared with the previous
review. Updates to our under- and overvaluation assessments for the
U.K. residential real estate market have also reduced our
weighted-average loss severity assumptions."
Portfolio WAFF and WALS
Rating level WAFF (%) WALS (%) Credit coverage (%)
AAA 44.65 16.14 7.21
AA 38.69 10.94 4.23
A 35.40 4.45 1.57
BBB 31.60 2.27 0.72
BB 27.49 2.00 0.55
B 26.46 2.00 0.53
WAFF--Weighted-average foreclosure frequency.
WALS--Weighted-average loss severity.
Counterparty, operational, and legal risks do not constrain the
ratings on the notes.
S&P said, "Our credit and cash flow results indicate that the
available credit enhancement for the class A notes remains
commensurate with the assigned rating. We therefore affirmed our
'AAA (sf)' rating.
"Our cash flow analysis indicates that the class B, C-Dfrd, and
D-Dfrd notes can withstand stresses commensurate with ratings
higher than those previously assigned. However, we limited our
upgrades on the class B and C-Dfrd notes, considering their
sensitivity to higher default levels, extended recovery timings,
and increased prepayment levels. We therefore raised our rating on
the class B notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA (sf)' and our rating on
the class C-Dfrd notes to 'A+ (sf)' from 'A (sf)'. We affirmed our
'BBB (sf)' rating on the class D-Dfrd notes.
"The class E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, G-Dfrd, and X-Dfrd notes face shortfalls
under our standard cash flow analysis at the 'B' rating level.
"Therefore, we applied our 'CCC' criteria to assess if either a
rating of 'B-' or a rating in the 'CCC' category would be
appropriate. Our 'CCC' rating criteria specify the need to assess
whether there is any reliance on favourable business, financial,
and economic conditions to meet the payment of interest and
principal.
"In our steady state scenario, we decreased our prepayment
assumptions in our 'high' interest rate scenario based on the
observed prepayment level, stressed actual fees in our cash flow
analysis, and did not apply spread compression or basis risk.
"In the steady state scenario, where the current stress level shows
little to no increase and collateral performance remains steady,
the class E-Dfrd notes pass our 'B' cash flow stresses. Therefore,
in our view, payment of interest and principal on the class E-Dfrd
notes does not depend on favourable business, financial, and
economic conditions. We therefore affirmed our 'B- (sf)' rating on
the class E-Dfrd notes.
"The class F-Dfrd, G-Dfrd, and X-Dfrd notes do not pass our 'B'
cash flow stresses in the steady state scenario. Therefore, in our
view, payment of interest and principal on the class F-Dfrd to
X-Dfrd notes does depend on favorable business, financial, and
economic conditions. We therefore affirmed our 'CCC (sf)' rating on
the class F-Dfrd notes, our 'CCC- (sf)' rating on the class G-Dfrd
notes, and our 'CCC (sf)' rating on the class X-Dfrd notes."
Macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking analysis
S&P said, "We expect U.K. inflation to remain above the Bank of
England's 2% target in 2025 and anticipate a rise in U.K. house
prices of about 4%. Although high inflation is overall credit
negative for all borrowers, inevitably some borrowers will be more
negatively affected than others, and to the extent inflationary
pressures materialize more quickly or more severely than currently
expected, risks may emerge.
"Given our current macroeconomic forecasts and forward-looking view
of the U.K. residential mortgage market, we have performed
sensitivities related to higher levels of defaults due to increased
arrears and extended recovery timing due to observed delays to
repossession owning to court backlogs in the U.K. and the
repossession grace period announced by the U.K. government under
the Mortgage Charter. The notes remained robust to these
sensitivities."
Avon Finance No. 4 is backed by a pool of U.K. legacy
non-conforming owner-occupied and buy-to-let mortgages originated
by GMAC-RFC Ltd. and Platform Funding Ltd.
DOWSON 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Two Tranches
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Dowson 2025-1 plc expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
final documents conforming to information already received.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Dowson 2025-1 plc
Class A XS3216856172 LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class B XS3216858038 LT AA+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class C XS3216859358 LT A+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class D XS3216862659 LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class E XS3216865918 LT BBB(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class F XS3216873185 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class X1 XS3216878069 LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Class X2 XS3216878903 LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Dowson 2025-1 is a static securitisation of auto loan receivables
originated by Oodle Financial Services Limited in the UK. The
portfolio consists of hire purchase (HP) loans, financing
predominantly used vehicles.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Assumptions Reflect Non-Prime Pool: The transaction is backed by a
pool of predominantly of non-prime auto loans, as underlined by the
pool's high weighted average annual percentage rates and
loan-to-value (LTV) ratios. About 44% of the pool has over 100%
original LTV, highlighting increased credit risk relative to prime
UK auto ABS transactions.
Fitch has applied a higher base-case lifetime default rate of 16.6%
to the blended portfolio, reflecting the historical performance
data provided by Oodle and the non-prime composition of the pool. A
blended multiple of 3.03x has been applied to the 'AAAsf' default
base case, taking into account the high base-case default rate and
other relevant factors. Fitch's recovery base case assumption is
55%, subject to a haircut of 50% for the'AAAsf' rating.
Used-Car Price Exposure: Loans regulated by the Consumer Credit Act
provide obligors with voluntary termination (VT) rights, allowing
them to return the vehicle before maturity. The issuer is exposed
to the risk of declines in used-car prices as proceeds from the
sale of returned vehicles may be lower than the outstanding loan
balance. Fitch assumed a total VT loss of 4.2% at 'AAAsf. The
assumed VT losses are smaller than prime UK auto ABS transactions,
given its high default base case.
Hybrid Pro Rata Redemption: The class A to F notes will amortise
sequentially from closing until the class A notes' support ratio
— defined as one minus the ratio of the class A outstanding
principal balance to the performing portfolio principal balance —
reaches 38%. Thereafter, all the notes will amortise pro rata if no
sequential amortisation event has occured.
Sequential amortisation events are linked to performance triggers
such as principal deficiency ledger or cumulative defaults
exceeding certain thresholds. Fitch views these triggers as robust
enough to prevent the pro rata mechanism from continuing following
early signs of performance deterioration. Fitch believes the tail
risk posed by the pro rata pay-down is mitigated by the mandatory
switch to sequential amortisation when the note balance falls below
10% of the initial balance.
PIR May Constrain Junior Notes: Payment interruption risk (PIR) is
mitigated for the class A and B notes through the presence of a
dedicated liquidity reserve. In contrast, the class C to F notes do
not benefit from full liquidity protection, as the reserve
designated to cover interest shortfalls for these tranches may be
depleted by losses arising from all class notes. Nevertheless, the
presence of a declaration of trust in favour of the issuer,
alongside the collection account bank (HSBC Bank plc; AA-/Stable)
holding funds for no longer than two business days, mitigates PIR
up to the 'Asf' category.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Expected ratings (class A/B/C/D/E/F/X1): 'AAA(EXP)sf'/
'AA+(EXP)sf'/ 'A+(EXP)sf'/ 'A-(EXP)sf'/'BBB(EXP)sf'/ 'B-(EXP)sf'/
'B-(EXP)sf'
Sensitivity to Increased Defaults:
Increase defaults by 10%: 'AA+(EXP)sf'/ 'AA(EXP)sf'/ 'A+(EXP)sf'/
'A-(EXP)sf'/ 'BBB(EXP)sf'/ 'CCC(EXP)sf'/ 'CCC(EXP)sf'
Increase defaults by 25%: 'AA+(EXP)sf'/ 'AA-(EXP)sf'/ 'A(EXP)sf'/
'BBB+(EXP)sf'/ 'BBB-(EXP)sf'/ 'CCC(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'
Increase defaults by 50%: 'AA-(EXP)sf'/ 'A(EXP)sf'/ 'BBB+(EXP)sf'/
'BBB-(EXP)sf'/ 'BB(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'
Sensitivity to Reduced Recoveries:
Reduce recoveries by 10%: 'AAA(EXP)sf'/ 'AA(EXP)sf'/ 'A+(EXP)sf'/
'A(EXP)sf'/ 'BBB(EXP)sf'/ 'CCC(EXP)sf'/ 'CCC(EXP)sf'
Reduce recoveries by 25%: 'AAA(EXP)sf'/ 'AA(EXP)sf'/ 'A+(EXP)sf'/
'A-(EXP)sf'/ 'BBB(EXP)sf'/ 'CCC(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'
Reduce recoveries by 50%: 'AA+(EXP)sf'/ 'AA-(EXP)sf'/ 'A(EXP)sf'/
'BBB+(EXP)sf'/ 'BB+(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'
Sensitivity to Increased Defaults and Reduced Recoveries:
Increase defaults by 10%, reduce recoveries by 10%: 'AA+(EXP)sf'/
'AA-(EXP)sf'/ 'A+(EXP)sf'/ 'A-(EXP)sf'/ 'BBB-(EXP)sf'/
'CCC(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'
Increase defaults by 25%, reduce recoveries by 25%: 'AA(EXP)sf'/
'A+(EXP)sf'/ 'A-(EXP)sf'/'BBB(EXP)sf'/'BB+(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'/
'NR(EXP)sf'
Increase defaults by 50%, reduce recoveries by 50%: 'A(EXP)sf'/
'BBB(EXP)sf'/'BBB-(EXP)sf'/ 'BB(EXP)sf'/ 'NR(EXP)sf'/
'NR(EXP)sf'/'NR(EXP)sf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Sensitivity to Reduced Defaults and Increased Recoveries:
Reduce defaults by 10%, increase recoveries by 10%: 'AAA(EXP)sf'/
'AA+(EXP)sf'/ 'A+(EXP)sf'/'A+(EXP)sf'/
'A-(EXP)sf'/'BB+(EXP)sf'/'BB-(EXP)sf'
Reduce defaults by 25%, increase recoveries by 25%:
'AAA(EXP)sf'/'AAA(EXP)sf'/'A+(EXP)sf'/'A+(EXP)sf'/
'A+(EXP)sf'/'BBB(EXP)sf'/'BB+(EXP)sf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Fitch conducted a review of a small, targeted sample of the
originator's origination files and found the information contained
in the reviewed files to be adequately consistent with the
originator's policies and practices and the other information
provided to the agency about the asset portfolio.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
DOWSON 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim. B-(sf) Rating on X1-Dfrd Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary credit ratings to
Dowson 2025-1 PLC's class A, B, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, and
X1-Dfrd notes. The class X1-Dfrd and X2 notes will be excess spread
notes. The proceeds from the class X1-Dfrd notes will be used to
fund the initial required cash reserves, the premium portion of the
purchase price, to pay certain issuer expenses and fees, and to pay
any upfront swap premium due to the swap provider.
Dowson 2025-1 is the eighth public securitization of U.K. auto
loans originated by Oodle Financial Services Ltd. S&P also rated
the first seven Dowson securitizations, which were issued between
September 2019 and October 2024.
S&P does not believe that the transaction will be affected by the
Financial Conduct Authority's (FCA's) proposed redress scheme for
missold car finance loans. The preliminary pool does not include
any agreements within the scope of the current proposal for the
scheme.
Oodle is an independent auto and consumer lender in the U.K., with
a focus on used car financing for prime and near-prime customers.
The underlying collateral will comprise fully amortizing fixed-rate
auto loan receivables arising under hire purchase (HP) agreements
granted to private borrowers resident in the U.K. for the purchase
of used and new vehicles. There are no personal contract purchase
(PCP) agreements in the pool. Therefore, the transaction will not
be exposed to residual value risk.
Of the underlying collateral, 6.7% was previously securitized in
Dowson 2022-1 PLC, 9.0% was previously securitized in Dowson 2022-2
PLC, and 0.57% was previously securitized under Dowson 2021-1 PLC
and Dowson 2021-2.
Of the pool, 15.6% consists of multipart agreements that include
certain add-on components. These cover insurance, warranties, and
refinancing of amounts owed by the obligor under any preexisting
HP, lease, or other auto finance agreement, which is terminated by
the obligor upon entering a new agreement. The add-on components
comprise about 1.5% of the pool.
Collections will be distributed monthly with separate waterfalls
for interest and principal collections, and the notes amortize
sequentially until the subordination for the class A notes reaches
38%. After this point, the asset-backed notes will amortize pro
rata, subject to nonreversible sequential amortization triggers.
At closing, a combination of note subordination, the availability
of collateralized notes reserve fund, and any available excess
spread will provide credit enhancement for the rated notes.
The class A reserve fund will provide liquidity support to the
class A notes, the class B reserve fund will provide liquidity
support to the class A and B notes, and the collateralized notes
reserve fund will provide liquidity support and credit enhancement
to the class A to F-Dfrd notes.
Oodle will remain the initial servicer of the portfolio. A moderate
severity and portability risk assessment, combined with a low
disruption risk assessment, results in no cap on the transaction
ratings. The transaction features a backup servicer, Lenvi
Servicing Ltd.
The assets pay a monthly fixed interest rate, and all notes pay
compounded daily sterling overnight index average (SONIA) plus a
margin subject to a floor of zero. Consequently, the notes will
benefit from an interest rate swap with a fixed amortization
profile, with an option to rebalance subject to the satisfaction of
certain conditions.
S&P's structured finance operational risk and sovereign risk
criteria do not constrain the assigned preliminary ratings. It
expects the legal opinions to adequately address any legal risk in
line with its criteria.
Preliminary ratings
Available
Prelim credit Legal
Prelim amount enhancement at Final
Class rating* (mil. GBP) closing (%)§ Interest maturity
A AAA (sf) 227.50 35.30 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
B AA (sf) 35.00 25.30 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
C-Dfrd A (sf) 24.50 18.30 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
D-Dfrd BBB+ (sf) 19.25 12.80 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
E-Dfrd BB (sf) 19.25 7.30 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
F-Dfrd B- (sf) 24.50 0.30 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
X1-Dfrd† B- (sf) 26.25 0.00 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
X2† NR 17.50 0.00 Daily compounded Dec 2032
SONIA plus a margin
*S&P said, "Our preliminary ratings on the class A and B notes
address the timely payment of interest and ultimate payment of
principal, while our preliminary ratings on the class C-Dfrd,
D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd, F-Dfrd, and X1-Dfrd notes address the ultimate
payment of both interest and principal no later than the legal
final maturity date. Our preliminary ratings also address the
timely receipt of interest and full immediate repayment of all
previously deferred interest on the class C–Dfrd, D-Dfrd, E-Dfrd,
F-Dfrd, and X1-Dfrd notes when they become the most senior class
outstanding."
§Available credit enhancement at closing comprises subordination
and the availability of the collateralized notes reserve fund.
†The class X1-Dfrd and X2 notes will be excess spread notes not
backed by collateral.
SONIA--Sterling Overnight Index Average.
EALBROOK MORTGAGE 2024-1: DBRS Confirms B(high) Rating on E Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the Class A to
Class E Notes (together, the Rated Notes) issued by Ealbrook
Mortgage Funding 2024-1 Plc (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class E Notes at B (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and ultimate repayment of principal on or before the
legal final Maturity date. The credit ratings on the Class B, Class
C, Class D, and Class E Notes address the ultimate payment of
interest and principal on or before the legal final maturity date
while junior, and timely payment of interest while the senior-most
class outstanding.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults and
losses, as of the August 2025 payment date.
-- Portfolio default rate (PD), loss given default (LGD) and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables.
-- Current available credit enhancement to the notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a securitization of UK first-lien, predominantly
owner-occupied, residential mortgages originated and serviced by
Bluestone Mortgages Limited (Bluestone). In 2023, Bluestone was
acquired by Shawbrook Bank Limited, which is the Seller and sponsor
of the transaction. The First Optional Redemption Date (FORD) is on
the November 2028 payment date and coincides with the step-up of
the margins on the Rated Notes. The legal final maturity date is at
the payment date in August 2066.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of 31 July 2025, loans two to three months in arrears
represented 2.1% of the outstanding portfolio balance, and loans
more than three months in arrears represented 5.3%. The cumulative
default ratio was 0.1%.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and has updated its base case PD and LGD
assumptions at the B (sf) credit rating level to 11.7% and 7.0%
respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
Credit enhancement to the Rated Notes is provided by subordination
of the junior notes and the general reserve fund (GRF). As of the
August 2025 payment date, credit enhancement had increased from the
Morningstar DBRS Initial Rating as follows:
-- Class A Notes: 10.9%, up from 10.0%;
-- Class B Notes: 5.8%, up from 5.3%;
-- Class C Notes: 4.2%, up from 3.8%;
-- Class D Notes: 2.6%, up from 2.3%; and
-- Class E Notes: 0.1%, up from 0.0%.
The transaction benefits from a liquidity reserve fund (LRF) of GBP
5.0 million, equivalent to 1.4% of the outstanding Class A and
Class B Notes balance. The LRF covers senior fees and interest on
the Class A and Class B Notes (providing Class B is either the most
senior outstanding or the Class B principal deficiency ledger (PDL)
balance is no greater than 10.0%). The LRF will stop amortizing if
either: (1) the collateralized notes are not redeemed in full at
the FORD; or (2) cumulative defaults are greater than 5.0% of the
original portfolio balance.
The transaction also benefits from a GRF of GBP 0.3 million,
equivalent to 1.4% of the initial Rated Notes balance minus the LRF
target amount. The GRF covers senior fees, interest on the Rated
Notes, and principal losses via the PDLs on the Rated Notes
(subject to a PDL condition of 10% for each class of notes, unless
they are the most senior outstanding). The GRF will also stop
amortizing if either: (1) the collateralized notes are not redeemed
in full at the FORD; or (2) cumulative defaults are greater than
5.0% of the original portfolio balance.
Citibank N.A., London Branch (Citibank) acts as the account bank
for the transaction. Based on the Morningstar DBRS private credit
rating on Citibank, the downgrade provisions outlined in the
transaction documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the
transaction structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising
from the exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the
credit rating assigned to the Class A Notes, as described in
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets plc (Lloyds) acts as the swap
counterparty for the transaction. Morningstar DBRS' private credit
rating on Lloyds is above the First Rating Threshold as described
in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
GLACIER ENERGY: Teneo Financial Named as Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------
Glacier Energy Manufacturing Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the Court of Session, Edinburgh
No P1096 of 2025, and Adele MacLeod and Clare Boardman of Teneo
Financial Advisory Limited were appointed as administrators on Oct.
24, 2025.
Glacier Energy specialized in provision of machining equipment,
heat transfer systems and non-destructive testing inspection
services across the oil and gas, renewables, petrochemicals and
power generation industries.
Its registered office is c/o Teneo Financial Advisory Limited, 66
Hanover Street, Edinburgh EH2 1EL
Its principal trading address is at Blackwood House, Union Grove
Lane, Aberdeen AB10 6XU
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Adele MacLeod
Clare Boardman
Teneo Financial Advisory Limited
The Colmore Building
20 Colmore Circus Queensway
Birmingham, B4 6AT
For further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel: 0121 619 0120
Alternative contact:
Daisy Cartlidge
Email: daisy.cartlidge@teneo.com
HARBOUR NO. 2: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on Class X Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited confirmed its credit ratings on the notes
issued by Harbour No. 2 PLC (the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at B (high) (sf)
-- Class X Notes at B (low) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A2 Notes addresses the timely
payment of interest and ultimate repayment of principal by the
Legal Final Maturity Date. The credit ratings on the Class B, Class
C, Class D, Class E, and Class F Notes address the ultimate payment
of interest and principal on or before the legal final maturity
date while junior, and timely payment of interest while the
senior-most class outstanding. The credit rating on the Class X
Notes addresses the ultimate payment of interest and principal on
or before the legal final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults and
losses, as of the July 2025 payment date.
-- Portfolio default rate (PD), loss given default (LGD) and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables.
-- Current available credit enhancement to the notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a securitization of UK owner-occupied and
buy-to-let residential mortgages originated by several originators
which ceased their lending operations after the 2008 financial
crisis. The portfolio was previously secured in the Harbour No.1
plc transaction; Harbour No.1 plc sold the securitized portfolio to
Isle of Wight Home Loans Limited, a SPV fully owned by Barclays
Bank plc, and on the same date sold the portfolio to the Issuer.
The portfolio was originally assembled by buying three different
portfolios: the Wall portfolio; the MAQ portfolio; and the Morag
portfolio. Each portfolio is serviced by a different servicer: the
Wall portfolio is serviced by Intrum Mortgages UK Finance Limited,
the MAQ portfolio is serviced by Pepper (UK) Limited, and the Morag
portfolio is serviced by Topaz Finance Limited.
The Class A Notes initially comprised Class A1 and Class A2 Notes,
paid pro rata and pari passu. The transaction documents permit the
issuance of further Class A2 Notes following a request from the
portfolio option holder and with the Class A1 Noteholders' consent.
On 10 April 2025, further Class A2 Notes totaling GBP 223 million
were issued and combined with the initial Class A2 Notes to form a
single class of Notes. The Issuer used the proceeds from the
issuance of additional Class A2 Notes to redeem the Class A1 Notes
in full so that the total Class A issuance remained unchanged. The
AAA (sf) credit rating on the Class A1 Notes was subsequently
discontinued following their redemption in full.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of 30 June 2025, loans two to three months in arrears
represented 2.9% of the outstanding portfolio balance and loans
more than three months in arrears represented 36.1%. Cumulative
principal losses as a percentage of the original portfolio balance
were 0.7%.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and updated its base case PD and LGD
assumptions at the B (sf) credit rating level to 41.0% and 9.8%
respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
Credit enhancement to the Class A to Class F Notes is provided by
subordination of the junior notes and the general reserve fund
(GRF). As of the July 2025 payment date, credit enhancement had
increased from the Morningstar DBRS Initial Rating as follows:
-- Class A2 Notes: 38.7%, up from 33.8%;
-- Class B Notes: 30.9%, up from 26.4%;
-- Class C Notes: 23.6%, up from 19.5%;
-- Class D Notes: 12.3%, up from 14.4%;
-- Class E Notes: 14.9%, up from 11.2%; and
-- Class F Notes: 10.6%, up from 7.0%.
The transaction benefits from a liquidity reserve fund (LRF) of GBP
1.2 million, equal to 0.5% of the initial Class A1 and Class A2
Notes balance. The LRF covers senior fees and interest on the Class
A2 Notes.
The GRF is nonamortizing and covers senior fees, interest on the
Class A2 to Class F Notes, and principal losses via the principal
deficiency ledgers (PDL) on the Class A2 to Class F Notes (subject
to a PDL condition of 10% for each class of notes, unless they are
the most senior outstanding). The target balance of the GRF is
1.25% of the initial portfolio balance. The GRF is currently funded
to its target level of GBP 4.6 million.
Barclays Bank PLC acts as the account bank for the transaction.
Based on the account bank reference rating of Barclays Bank PLC at
A (high), which is one notch below the Morningstar DBRS public
Long-Term Critical Obligations Rating of AA (low); the downgrade
provisions outlined in the transaction documents; and other
mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure,
Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to
the account bank to be consistent with the ratings assigned to the
Class A2 Notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS's "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
HOPS HILL NO. 5: S&P Affirms 'B+(sf)' Rating on Class E-Dfrd Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'AAA (sf)', 'AA- (sf)', 'A- (sf)',
'BBB- (sf)', and 'B+ (sf)' credit ratings on Hops Hill No.5 PLC's
class A, B-Dfrd, C-Dfrd, D-Dfrd, and E-Dfrd notes, respectively. At
the same time, S&P also resolved the UCO placements.
The transaction closed in July 2025 and was subsequently placed
under criteria observation following the publication of its updated
counterparty criteria. As the first interest payment date is due in
November 2025, no performance data was available at the time of the
review. Therefore, S&P used the information received at closing, so
its credit analysis results, and capital structure remain
unchanged.
The rating actions reflect the effect of the removal of previously
modelled commingling loss. Collections are swept daily and under
revised counterparty criteria, the servicer exposure is minor and
does not constrain the ratings on the securities.
S&P said, "Following our updated cash flow analysis, we affirmed
our 'AAA (sf)', 'AA- (sf)', and 'A- (sf)' ratings on the class A,
B-Dfrd, and C-Dfrd notes because our cash flow results indicate
that the available credit enhancement remains commensurate with the
assigned ratings.
"The class D-Dfrd and E-Dfrd notes pass stresses in our standard
run at rating levels higher than that those previously assigned
when removing the commingling loss-based stresses. However, we
affirmed our 'BBB- (sf)' rating on the class D-Dfrd notes and 'B+
(sf)' rating on the class E-Dfrd notes, similar to what we did at
closing, considering the results of additional sensitivity runs,
the tranches' sensitivity to higher defaults, and lower excess
spread caused by prepayments."
The transaction is backed by a pool of first ranking, buy-to-let
residential mortgages in the U.K.
ICW CONSULTANTS: Marshall Peters Named as Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------
ICW Consultants Scot Ltd was placed into administration proceedings
in the Court of Session, and Lee Morris and John Thompson of
Marshall Peters were appointed as administrators on Oct. 24, 2025.
ICW Consultants engaged in business support service activities.
Its registered office is at Unit 22b Queen Elizabeth Avenue,
Hillington Park, Glasgow, G52 4NQ
Its principal trading address is at Wilson Business Park, 1 Queen
Elizabeth Avenue, Glasgow, G52 8NQ
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Lee Morris
John Thompson
Marshall Peters
Heskin Hall Farm, Wood Lane
Heskin, Preston PR7 5PA
Tel No: 01257 452021
For further details, contact:
Joe Mosson
Marshall Peters
Tel No: 01257 452021
Email: joemosson@marshallpeters.co.uk
Heskin Hall Farm, Wood Lane
Heskin, Preston, PR7 5PA
MOLOSSUS BTL 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'B-(EXP)sf' Rating on Cl. F Debt
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Molossus BTL 2025-1 PLC (Molo 2025-1)
expected ratings. The assignment of final ratings is contingent on
the receipt of final documents conforming to the information
already reviewed.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Molossus BTL
2025-1 PLC
A LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C LT A-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E LT B+(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
G LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Z LT NR(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Molo 2025-1 is a securitisation of buy-to-let (BTL) mortgages
originated in England and Wales by ColCap Financial UK Limited
(ColCap). ColCap is a wholly owned subsidiary of ColCap Financial
Limited, an Australian non-bank mortgage lender.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Limited Performance Data: The loans within the pool have similar
characteristics to standard UK BTL mortgages; however, ColCap UK
only started originating BTL mortgages in 2019, under the brand
Molo Finance, and did not have material origination volumes until
2021. The limited history of origination and subsequent performance
data are sufficiently mitigated through the available proxy data
and adjustments made to the foreclosure frequency (FF) in Fitch's
analysis.
Assets with Low Seasoning: Loans originated in and after 2024 will
constitute 95.8% of the underlying pool. The pool will have a
weighted average (WA) original loan-to-value (LTV) of 72.7% and a
WA current LTV of 72.6%, leading to a WA sustainable LTV of 80.9%.
The pool will also have a Fitch-calculated WA interest coverage
ratio of 115.8%.
Prefunding Mechanism: The transaction will include a prefunding
reserve where funds raised surplus to requirements are set aside.
These funds may be used to purchase further loans to add to the
asset pool before the first interest payment date. There will be no
portfolio limits. However, the additional loan criteria will
require that loans be sourced only from the seller's pipeline as at
31 August 2025. The stratification of loans in the pipeline are not
materially different from the pool, so no change in the pool's
credit profile is expected.
Product Switches Drive Excess Spread: The current WA interest rate
is 5.2%, but the level of excess spread will be reduced by the
ability of the transaction to retain product switches. Up to 5% of
the original balance of the pool (including prefunded loans) can be
retained after a product switch. The minimum interest rate of
product switches will be at a level that produces a post-swap
margin of 1.4%.
The point at which these loans are scheduled to revert from a fixed
rate to the variable rate will likely determine when prepayments
will occur. Fitch has therefore applied an alternative high
prepayment stress that tracks the fixed rate reversion profile
(including retained product switches) of the pool. The prepayment
rate applied is floored at 5% during periods of no reversion and
capped at a maximum 40% a year during peaks of reversions.
Fixed Hedging Schedule: At closing, the issuer will enter a swap
agreement to mitigate the interest rate risk arising from the
fixed-rate mortgage loans before their reversion date. The swap
will follow a pre-defined schedule rather than on the balance of
fixed-rate loans. If the loans prepay or default, the issuer will
be over-hedged. The excess hedging is beneficial to the issuer in a
rising interest-rate environment and detrimental in decreasing
interest rate scenarios. For product switch loans, the issuer will
enter into a product switch interest rate swap or make a product
switch interest rate swap adjustment, maintaining a minimum
post-swap yield of 1.4% on the product switch loans.
Guarantee for Unrated Swap Provider: MUFG Securities EMEA Plc, one
of the swap providers, is unrated. A deed poll guarantee is
provided by MUFG Bank, Ltd, a Fitch-rated entity incorporated in
Japan and eligible to provide credit support. Fitch has received a
legal opinion confirming that the guarantee, as supplemented and
amended by the deeds of supplement and amendment, constitutes
legal, valid, binding and enforceable obligations under English
law.
However, no sufficient legal assurance has been provided for the
enforceability of the guarantee as supplemented and amended under
Japanese law. Fitch has assessed a scenario without the MUFG
Securities EMEA Plc hedging and found that the notes' ratings would
not be lower than the assigned ratings, despite the transaction
being partly unhedged in this scenario.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by adverse changes in
market conditions and the economic environment. Weakening economic
performance is strongly correlated to increasing delinquencies and
defaults that could reduce credit enhancement available to the
notes.
In addition, unexpected declines in recoveries could result in
lower net proceeds, which may make certain notes susceptible to
negative rating action, depending on the extent of the decline in
recoveries.
Fitch found that a 15% increase in the WAFF and 15% decrease of the
WA recovery rate (RR) would imply the following:
Class A: 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'Asf'
Class C: 'BBBsf'
Class D: 'BBsf'
Class E: 'Bsf'
Class F: Below 'B-sf'
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing credit enhancement and,
potentially, upgrades.
Fitch found that a 15% decrease in the WAFF and 15% increase of the
WARR would imply the following:
Class A: 'AAAsf'
Class B: 'AA+sf'
Class C: 'A+sf'
Class D: 'BBB+sf'
Class E: 'BBsf'
Class F: 'B-sf'
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch reviewed the results of a third-party assessment conducted on
the asset portfolio information, and concluded that there were no
findings that affected the rating analysis.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
MOLOSSUS BTL 2025-1: S&P Assigns Prelim. BB-(sf) Rating on F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings has assigned preliminary credit ratings to
Molossus BTL 2025-1 PLC's (Molossus 2025-1) class A notes and class
B-Dfrd to F-Dfrd interest deferrable notes. At closing, Molossus
2025-1 will also issue unrated class G and Z notes and unrated
certificates.
Molossus 2025-1 is a static RMBS transaction that securitizes a
portfolio of GBP259.2 million buy-to-let (BTL) mortgage loans
secured on properties in the U.K. (the provisional pool). The loans
were originated by ColCap Financial UK Ltd. (ColCap UK). The
transaction includes an expected prefunded amount of 13.6%,
comprising GBP40.8 million of loans randomly drawn from an existing
pool of GBP57.5 million of loans currently offered to borrowers.
The GBP259.2 million provisional pool, combined with the expected
GBP40.8 million prefunding loans, together make up the expected
GBP300 million combined pool.
The prefunding portfolio's credit characteristics are very similar
to the provisional pool. S&P expects these prefunding loans to be
sold to the issuer from closing until the first interest payment
date. On the first interest payment date, if these loans are not
purchased, the unused prefunding amount will pay down the
collateralized notes pro rata, according to the principal
waterfall.
ColCap UK is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ColCal Financial Overseas
Holdings Ltd., which in turn is a wholly owned subsidiary of ColCap
Financial Ltd., a company incorporated in Australia. This is ColCap
UK's second securitization, after Molossus BTL 2024-1 PLC, which
also comprised solely first-lien BTL loans.
The historical performance of the lender's mortgage book has proven
relatively strong to date, with total arrears across first-lien BTL
mortgages remaining below 1.0%. The pool is considered prime, with
limited tolerance to adverse credit markers, such as arrears and
county court judgments.
At closing, a fully funded liquidity reserve account will provide
support to the class A and B-Dfrd notes. The transaction also
features a general reserve account which provides support to the
class A to F-Dfrd notes. Principal can also be used to cure
interest shortfalls if the relevant class of notes is the most
senior outstanding.
The transaction will have low excess spread at closing, driven by
the fixed rate the issuer pays upon the interest rate swap and the
low fixed rate on the pool. S&P expects excess spread to increase
once the loans revert to their reversionary rates, further
strengthening the transaction's ability to absorb potential
losses.
At closing, the issuer will use the issuance proceeds to purchase
the full beneficial interest in the mortgage loans from the seller.
The issuer will grant security over all of its assets in favor of
the security trustee.
S&P said, "Based on our initial analysis, we do not expect any
rating constraints in the transaction under our counterparty,
operational risk, or structured finance sovereign risk criteria. We
consider the issuer to be bankruptcy remote, subject to our review
of the executed transaction documents and legal opinions."
Ratings
Class Prelim. Rating Prelim. class size (%)
A AAA (sf) 88.36
B-Dfrd AA- (sf) 5.70
C-Dfrd A (sf) 1.97
D-Dfrd BBB+ (sf) 1.32
E-Dfrd BB+ (sf) 0.70
F-Dfrd BB- (sf) 1.00
G NR 0.95
Z NR N/A
Certificates NR N/A
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
SHEFFIELD 3: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
----------------------------------------------------
Sheffield 3 Limited was placed into administration proceedings in
the High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts of England
and Wales, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD), No CR-2025-007468,
and Julian Nigel Richard Pitts and Stephen Mark Powell of Begbies
Traynor (Central) LLP were appointed as administrators on Oct. 24,
2025.
Sheffield 3 is a non-trading company.
Its registered office is at Suite 500, Unit 2, 94A Wycliffe Road,
Northampton, NN1 5JF.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Julian Nigel Richard Pitts
Kris Anthony Wigfield
Paul Stanley
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
3rd Floor, Westfield House
60 Charter Row
Sheffield S1 3FZ
For further details, contact:
Pan Myet Chal at swfc@btguk.com
SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
------------------------------------------------------------
Sheffield Wednesday Football Club Limited was placed into
administration proceedings in the High Court of Justice, Business
and Property Courts of England and Wales, Insolvency and Companies
List (ChD), No CR-2025-007467, and Julian Nigel Richard Pitts and
Paul Stanley of Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP were appointed as
administrators on Oct. 24, 2025.
Sheffield Wednesday is into the operation of sports facilities.
Its registered office is at Suite 500, Unit 2, 94A Wycliffe Road,
Northampton, NN1 5JF.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Julian Nigel Richard Pitts
Kris Anthony Wigfield
Paul Stanley
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
3rd Floor, Westfield House
60 Charter Row
Sheffield S1 3FZ
For further details, contact:
swfc@btguk.com
UK LOGISTICS 2025-2: DBRS Finalizes BB Rating on Class E Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited finalized provisional credit ratings to the
following bonds issued by UK Logistics 2025-2 DAC (the Issuer):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (sf)
All trends are Stable.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The transaction is a securitization of a GBP 760.3 million
floating-rate commercial real estate (CRE) loan originated by
Natixis, London Branch and Natixis Pfandbrief Bank AG (together,
Natixis), Société Generale, London Branch (SG) and Morgan Stanley
Bank, N.A. (MS; collectively the lenders) and backed by a portfolio
of 114 industrial and logistics (I&L) properties located throughout
the UK. Natixis and SG are acting as loan sellers and securitizing
a portion of their respective shares of the loan (GBP 510 million).
Together, MS, Natixis and SG are retaining GBP 250.3 million from
the total loan amount, which will have a pari passu ranking with
the securitized portion of the loan. Furthermore, to enable the
issuer to buy the securitized portion of the loan from the loan
sellers, and to comply with applicable regulatory risk retention
requirements, Natixis and SG together are advancing approximately
GBP 26.7 million to the Issuer on closing date (the Issuer loan).
The entire amount of the Issuer loan is initially funded by SG,
half of which will subsequently be novated to Natixis for cash
consideration. An amount of approximately GBP 22.5 million from the
proceeds of the Class A notes issuance and an amount of
approximately GBP 1.18 million from the Issuer loan is being set
aside to fund a liquidity facility reserve at the issuer level.
The properties are collectively owned and managed by Indurent
Management Limited (Indurent), a portfolio company controlled by
funds managed and/or advised by the Blackstone Group or its
affiliated entities (Blackstone or the Sponsor). The obligors are
various propco entities owned and controlled by Indurent as well as
certain pledgeco and holdco entities directly or indirectly
controlled by Blackstone.
The loan is regulated by a facility agreement that was entered into
between the lenders and the borrowers in August 2025. The purpose
of the loan was to refinance existing indebtedness on Blackstone's
portfolio of I&L assets that have been acquired since 2022.
Morningstar DBRS notes that, of the 114 assets securitized in this
transaction, 103 assets were previously financed via Stark
Financing 2023-1 DAC, which has since been repaid.
The loan bears interest at a floating rate equal to three-month
Sterling Overnight Index Average (Sonia) (subject to zero floor),
plus a loan margin of 2.25% per annum. The loan is interest only
(IO) and does not benefit from any scheduled amortization, either
before or after any permitted change of control (PCOC). The loan is
initially expected to mature in August 2027 (the initial repayment
date) with three one-year extension options available to the
borrower, conditional upon satisfactory hedging being in place
prior to each extension and no non-payment, insolvency or
insolvency proceedings related event of default (EOD) continuing at
the relevant time. The legal final maturity of the notes is fixed
in August 2035, five years after the final loan repayment date in
August 2030. Morningstar DBRS is of the opinion that a minimum
five-year legal tail period provides sufficient time to enforce on
the loan collateral and ultimately repay the noteholders.
The loan includes the following cash trap covenants: a
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) greater than 77.5% and/or (1) falling on
or before the loan payment date in August 2027, the debt yield (DY)
is less than 6.50%; and (2) falling on or after the loan payment
date in November 2027, DY is less than 8.00%. The loan also
features EOD financial covenants following any PCOC, set out as
follows: the LTV EOD financial covenant is set at LTV being greater
than LTV as at the PCOC date + 15 percentage points, and the DY EOD
financial covenant is set at lesser than 85.0% of the DY as at the
PCOC date.
The sponsor can dispose of any assets securing the loan by repaying
a release price of 100% of the allocated loan amount (ALA) up to
the first release price threshold, which equals 10% of the initial
portfolio valuation. Once the first release price threshold is met,
the release price will be 105% of the ALA up to the second release
price threshold, which equals 20% of the initial portfolio
valuation. The release price will be 110% of the ALA thereafter.
Following a PCOC, the release price will increase by 2.5 percentage
points for each relevant bucket of the release price threshold
(102.5% up to 10% of the initial portfolio valuation, 107.5% from
10% to 20% of the initial portfolio valuation and 112.5% beyond 20%
of the initial portfolio valuation).
Morningstar DBRS understands that no interest rate hedging is yet
in place on the loan, but is expected to be put in place before the
first loan payment date in November 2025. The aggregate notional
amount of the hedging transactions in respect of the loan is
expected to be 100% of the outstanding principal amount of the
loan. Morningstar DBRS understands that the initial hedging is
expected to be via an interest rate cap with a strike rate of 2.5%
for year 1 (through August 2026) of the loan, with the strike rate
rising to 4.25% for year 2 (through August 2027). Further, the
borrower is obligated to ensure that the maximum hedging rate is no
more than the higher of (1) 5.00% per annum and (2) the rate that
ensures that, as at the date on which the relevant hedging
transaction is contracted, the hedged interest coverage ratio (ICR)
is not less than 1.25 times (x). However, if any hedging
transaction is in the form of a swap and if the market prevailing
swap (fixed leg) rate at that time is lower than each of (1) and
(2) above, such market prevailing swap (fixed leg) rate on the date
on which the relevant hedging transaction is contracted would be
the maximum hedging rate. Furthermore, in the event of one or more
extensions to the loan maturity date beyond August 2027, there is
an obligation to extend the hedge every year for the remaining term
of the loan. Failure to extend the hedging arrangement such that it
is co-terminus with the expected final repayment date on the loan
would constitute an event of default under transaction documents.
Morningstar DBRS, however, notes that the transaction documents
contemplate and provide for such extension of hedging arrangements,
following the same requisite criteria for the maximum hedging rate
as described above.
The portfolio comprises 114 I&L assets across the UK. The majority
of the portfolio is located in the North, representing 41.6% of
market value (MV) and 46.5% of gross rental income (GRI). The
remainder of the portfolio is spread across the South East,
Midlands, Scotland, and South West & Wales. 68% of the portfolio by
GLA comprises small box units (
*********
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Editors.
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