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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Monday, August 25, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 169
Headlines
I R E L A N D
ARINI EUROPEAN I: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
AVOCA CLO XVII: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F-R-R Notes
AVOCA CLO XXXVII: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
BILBAO CLO V: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class E Notes
BILBAO CLO V: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Class E Notes
CARLYLE EURO 2019-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on EUR10MM E Notes to B3
DRYDEN 74: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F-R Notes
FORTRESS 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F Notes
HARVEST CLO XVI: Fitch Affirms 'B+sf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
SIGNAL HARMONIC I: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
SONA FIOS V: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F-2 Notes
N E T H E R L A N D S
OCI NV: S&P Downgrades ICR to 'BB', Outlook Developing
S P A I N
SABADELL CONSUMO 1: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class D Notes
U K R A I N E
DTEK RENEWABLES: Fitch Affirms 'CC' Foreign & Local-Currency IDRs
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
CAISTER FINANCE: DBRS Finalizes Bsf Rating on Class F Notes
CHESHIRE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
METRO BANK: Fitch Hikes Long-Term IDR to 'BB-', Outlook Positive
SUMMERHOUSE 1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to GBP50MM C Notes
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I R E L A N D
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ARINI EUROPEAN I: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Arini European CLO I DAC reset notes
final ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Arini European CLO I DAC
A-R-Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A-R-Notes XS3133391063 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R XS3133391733 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R XS3133392111 LT Asf New Rating
D-R XS3133392541 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R XS3133393192 LT BB-sf New Rating
F-R XS3133393515 LT B-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Arini European CLO I DAC is a securitisation of mainly (at least
90%) senior secured obligations with a component of senior
unsecured obligations, second-lien loans, mezzanine obligations and
high-yield bonds. Net proceeds from the reset notes have been used
to redeem the existing notes (except the subordinated notes) and
fund the existing portfolio with a target par of EUR400 million.
The portfolio is actively managed by Arini Loan Management US LLC -
European Management Series. The CLO has a 4.5-year reinvestment
period and an 8.5-year weighted average life (WAL) test.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors in the 'B' category. The Fitch
weighted average rating factor of the current portfolio is 23.7.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the current portfolio is 62.8%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes two
matrices corresponding to an 8.5-year WAL that are effective at
closing and two forward matrices corresponding to a 7.5-year WAL.
Each matrix set corresponds to two fixed-rate asset limits of 5%
and 10%. All matrices are based on a top 10 obligor concentration
limit of 20%.The forward matrices can be selected by the manager
one year from issue date, provided the collateral principal amount
(defaults at Fitch-calculated collateral value) is at least at the
reinvestment target par balance, among other conditions.
The transaction also has various portfolio concentration limits,
including a maximum exposure to the three largest Fitch-defined
industries in the portfolio at 40%. These covenants ensure the
asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a reinvestment
period of about 4.5 years and includes reinvestment criteria
similar to those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis
is based on a stressed case portfolio with the aim of testing the
robustness of the transaction structure against its covenants and
portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis was reduced by 12 months. This is
to account for the strict reinvestment conditions envisaged by the
transaction after its reinvestment period, which include passing
the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC' maximum limit, and a WAL
covenant that progressively steps down. In Fitch's opinion, these
conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio
during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) across all ratings
and a 25% decrease of the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of
the current portfolio would have no rating impact on the class A,
B, and C notes and lead to downgrades of one notch for the class D
and E notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. Due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than
the Fitch-stressed portfolio, the class B, D, E and F notes display
rating cushions of two notches and the class C notes of three
notches. The class A notes are at the highest achievable rating and
therefore have no rating cushion.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
across all ratings and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings
of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of three
notches for the class A and D notes, four notches for the class B
and C notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR across all ratings and a 25%
increase in the RRR across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed
portfolio would result in upgrades of no more than three notches
across the structure, apart from the 'AAAsf' notes, which are at
the highest level on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing the notes
to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the remaining life of
the transaction. After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades
may result from stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging,
leading to higher credit enhancement and excess spread available to
cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Arini European CLO I DAC
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Arini European CLO
I DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AVOCA CLO XVII: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F-R-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Avoca CLO XVII DAC's reset notes final
ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Avoca CLO XVII DAC
A-R-R 2022 XS2434355876 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-R-R XS3133400666 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B-1-R-R XS3133400823 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
B-2-R-R XS3133401128 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C-R-R XS3133401474 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D-R-R XS3133401631 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E-R-R XS3133401805 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F-R-R XS3133402019 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
X-R XS3133400401 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Avoca CLO XVII DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured
obligations (at least 96%) with a component of senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note proceeds
have been used to redeem the existing notes except the subordinated
notes and fund the portfolio with a target par of EUR500 million.
The portfolio is actively managed by KKR Credit Advisors (Ireland).
The collateralised loan obligation (CLO) has a 4.5-year
reinvestment period and a 7.5 year weighted average life (WAL) test
at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The Fitch-weighted
average rating factor of the identified portfolio is 24.7.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 96% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 60.9 %.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction has a
concentration limit for the 10 largest obligors of 20%. The
transaction also includes various concentration limits, including a
maximum exposure to the three largest Fitch-defined industries in
the portfolio of 40%. These covenants ensure the asset portfolio
will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The transaction could extend the WAL
test by one year from 12 months after closing if the aggregate
collateral balance (with defaulted obligations carried at the lower
of Fitch and another rating agency's collateral value) is at least
at the reinvestment target par amount and all tests are passing.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has two matrix
sets, corresponding to a top 10 obligor concentration limit of 20%,
and two fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 10%. The first matrix set
corresponds to a WAL of 7.5 years at closing. The second matrix set
has a WAL of seven years and is effective 18 months from closing,
subject to the aggregate collateral balance (defaulted obligation
at Fitch's collateral value) being at least equal to the
reinvestment target par balance
The transaction has a reinvestment period of about 4.5 years and
includes reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash-flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged after the reinvestment period. These include, among
others, passing both the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC' limit
after reinvestment as well as a WAL covenant that progressively
steps down before and after the end of the reinvestment period.
Fitch believes these conditions would reduce the effective risk
horizon of the portfolio during the stress period.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
An increase of the default rate (RDR) at all rating levels in the
current portfolio by 25% of the mean RDR and a decrease of the
recovery rate (RRR) by 25% at all rating levels would have no
impact on the class X-R and A-R-R notes and lead to downgrades of
one notch for the class B-1-R-R, B-2-R-R, C-R-R and D-R-R notes,
two notches for the class E-R-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the
class F-R-R notes. Downgrades may occur if the build-up of the
notes' credit enhancement following amortisation does not
compensate for a larger loss expectation than initially assumed due
to unexpectedly high levels of defaults and portfolio
deterioration.
Due to the better metrics and shorter life of the current portfolio
than the Fitch-stressed portfolio, the class B-1-R-R,B-2-R-R,
D-R-R, E-R-R and F-R-R notes display a rating cushion of two
notches and the class C-R-R notes of one notch.
Should the cushion between the current portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the stressed
portfolio would lead to downgrades of two notches for the class
A-R-R notes, four notches for the class B-1-R-R, B-2-R-R and C-R-R
notes, three notches for the class D-R-R notes and to below 'B-sf'
for the class E-R-R and F-R-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A reduction of the RDR at all rating levels in the stressed
portfolio by 25% of the mean RDR and an increase in the RRR by 25%
at all rating levels would result in upgrades of up to two notches
for all notes, except for the 'AAAsf' rated notes, which are at the
highest level on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing the notes
to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the remaining life of
the transaction. After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades
may result from stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging,
leading to higher credit enhancement and excess spread available to
cover losses in the remaining portfolio
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Avoca CLO XVII
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
AVOCA CLO XXXVII: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Avoca CLO XXXVII DAC final ratings, as
detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Avoca CLO XXXVII DAC
Class A XS3088651933 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
Class B XS3088652584 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
Class C XS3088652741 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
Class D XS3088653129 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
Class E XS3088653046 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
Class F XS3088653558 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Subordinated Notes
XS3088653715 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
Avoca CLO XXXVII DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured
obligations (at least 96%) with a component of senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note proceeds
have been used to fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR400
million.
The portfolio is actively managed by KKR Credit Advisors (Ireland).
The CLO has a 4.7-year reinvestment period and a 7.5-year weighted
average life (WAL) test covenant at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The Fitch-weighted
average rating factor of the identified portfolio is 24.7.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 96% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 60.9.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes
four Fitch matrices. Two are effective at closing, corresponding to
a 7.5-year WAL, two are effective 18 months after closing,
corresponding to a 7.0-year WAL with a target par condition. Each
matrix set corresponds to two different fixed-rate asset limit at
5% and 12.5%. All matrices are based on a top 10 obligor
concentration limit of 20% and a maximum exposure to the three
largest Fitch-defined industries of 40%, among others. These
covenants ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to
excessive concentration.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The transaction could extend the WAL
test covenant by approximately one year, from 12 months after
closing, if the aggregate collateral balance (with defaulted
obligations carried at the lower of Fitch's and another rating
agency's collateral value) is at least at the reinvestment target
par amount and all the tests are passing.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction will have a
reinvestment period of about 4.7 years and includes reinvestment
criteria similar to those of other European transactions. Fitch's
analysis is based on a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of
testing the robustness of the transaction structure against its
covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
test covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment
conditions envisaged after the reinvestment period. These include
passing both the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC' limit after
reinvestment, and a WAL test covenant that progressively steps down
before and after the end of the reinvestment period. Fitch believes
these conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the
portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
An increase of the default rate (RDR) at all rating levels in the
identified portfolio by 25% of the mean RDR and a decrease of the
recovery rate (RRR) by 25% at all rating levels would have no
impact on the class A notes and lead to downgrades of one notch for
the class B to E notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Downgrades may occur if the build-up of the notes' credit
enhancement following amortisation does not compensate for a larger
loss expectation than initially assumed due to unexpectedly high
levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. Due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than
the Fitch-stressed portfolio, the class B to F notes have rating
cushions of two notches.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the stressed
portfolio would lead to downgrades of four notches for the class B
notes, three notches for the class A, C and E notes, two notches
for the class D notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A reduction of the RDR at all rating levels in the stressed
portfolio by 25% of the mean RDR and an increase in the RRR by 25%
at all rating levels would result in upgrades of up to three
notches for all notes, except for the 'AAAsf' rated notes, which
are at the highest level on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test covenant, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction. After the end of the
reinvestment period, upgrades may result from stable portfolio
credit quality and deleveraging, leading to higher credit
enhancement and excess spread available to cover losses in the
remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Avoca CLO XXXVII
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BILBAO CLO V: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Bilbao CLO V DAC's notes final ratings,
as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Bilbao CLO V DAC
A -1 Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A-1 XS3053427269 LT AAAsf New Rating
A-2 XS3053427426 LT AAsf New Rating
B XS3053427939 LT Asf New Rating
C XS3053428150 LT BBB-sf New Rating
D XS3053428317 LT BB-sf New Rating
E XS3053428580 LT B-sf New Rating
Sub Notes XS3053428747 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Bilbao CLO V DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured loans
with a component of senior unsecured, mezzanine, and second-lien
loans. The note proceeds have been used to fund a portfolio with a
target par of EUR400 million. The portfolio is actively managed by
Guggenheim Partners Europe Limited. The CLO has a 4.5-year
reinvestment period and an 8.66-year weighted average life (WAL).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/ 'B-'. The Fitch-weighted
average rating factor (WARF) of the identified portfolio is 25.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 61.4%.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes
three sets of Fitch test matrices, one of which is effective at
closing with a WAL of 8.66 years, one 12 months after closing with
a WAL of 7.66 years and another 18 months after closing with a WAL
of 7.16 years. The two sets of forward matrices are conditional on
the collateral principal amount (with defaults accounted for at
Fitch-calculated collateral value) being at least at the
reinvestment target par balance and subject to confirmation by
Fitch.
The transaction also includes various concentration limits,
including a top 10 obligor concentration limit of 20%, fixed-rate
obligation limits of 5% and 15%, and a maximum exposure to the
three largest Fitch-defined industries of 40%. These covenants
ensure that the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has an
approximately 4.66-year reinvestment period, which is governed by
reinvestment criteria that are similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash-flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL Fitch modelled is 12 months
less than the WAL covenant. This is to account for the strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged after the reinvestment period.
These include passing both the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC'
limit after reinvestment and a WAL covenant that progressively
steps down over time, both before and after the end of the
reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions would reduce
the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would lead to downgrades of two notches each on the class
A2 and B notes, one notch each on the class C and D notes and to
below 'B-sf' for the class E notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class A2,
C, D and E notes each have a rating cushion of two notches and the
class B notes have a cushion of one notch, due to the better
metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than the
Fitch-stressed portfolio.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches for the class B notes, up to three notches each for the
class A1, A2 and C notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class E and F
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to two notches each for the class A2 and B notes and
up to three notches each for the class C, D, and E notes. The class
A notes are already rated 'AAAsf' and cannot be upgraded.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Bilbao CLO V DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
BILBAO CLO V: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Class E Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Bilbao CLO V
DAC's class A-1 to E European cash flow CLO notes and class A-1
loan. At closing, the issuer also issued subordinated notes.
This is a European cash flow CLO transaction, securitizing a
portfolio of primarily senior secured leveraged loans and bonds.
The transaction is managed by Guggenheim Partners Europe Ltd.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes and loan through collateral
selection, ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,858.17
Default rate dispersion 407.17
Weighted-average life (years) 4.79
Weighted-average life (years) extended
to cover the length of the reinvestment period 4.79
Obligor diversity measure 100.58
Industry diversity measure 16.68
Regional diversity measure 1.26
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 1.23
Actual 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.07
Actual weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.86
Actual weighted-average coupon (%) 3.64
Rationale
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes and loan will pay
quarterly interest unless a frequency switch event occurs.
Following this, the notes and loan will permanently switch to
semiannual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period ends approximately 4.7 years
after closing, and its non-call period ends 1.7 years after
closing.
S&P said, "Our ratings reflect our assessment of the collateral
portfolio's credit quality, which has a weighted-average rating of
'B'. The portfolio is well-diversified as of the closing date,
primarily comprising broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior
secured term loans and bonds. Therefore, we have conducted our
credit and cash flow analysis by applying our criteria for
corporate cash flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR400 million target par
amount, the actual weighted-average spread (3.86%), the actual
weighted-average coupon (3.64%), and the actual weighted-average
recovery rates at all rating levels. We applied various cash flow
stress scenarios, using four different default patterns, in
conjunction with different interest rate stress scenarios for each
liability rating category.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on April 20, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio for so
long as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation
to the initial ratings on the notes and loan. This test looks at
the total amount of losses that the transaction can sustain as
established by the initial cash flows for each rating, and it
compares that with the current portfolio's default potential plus
par losses to date." As a result, until the end of the reinvestment
period, the collateral manager may through trading deteriorate the
transaction's current risk profile, as long as the initial ratings
are maintained.
Following the end of the reinvestment period, certain assets can be
substituted as long as they meet the reinvestment criteria.
S&P said, "Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria,
the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote. The issuer is a special-purpose entity that meets our
criteria for bankruptcy remoteness.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for the class A-2 to D notes benefits from
break-even default rate (BDR) and scenario default rate cushions
that we would typically consider commensurate with higher ratings
than those assigned. However, as the CLO is still in its
reinvestment phase, during which the transaction's credit risk
profile could deteriorate, we have capped our ratings assigned to
the notes. The class A-1 notes and A-1 loan can withstand stresses
commensurate with the assigned ratings.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-1 to D notes and A-1 loan.
"For the class E notes, our credit and cash flow analysis indicate
that the available credit enhancement could withstand stresses
commensurate with a lower rating. However, we have applied our
'CCC' rating criteria, resulting in a 'B- (sf)' rating on this
class of notes."
The ratings uplift for the class E notes reflects several key
factors, including:
-- The class E notes' available credit enhancement, which is in
the same range as that of other CLOs S&P has rated and that has
recently been issued in Europe.
-- The portfolio's average credit quality, which is similar to
other recent CLOs.
-- S&P's model generated BDR at the 'B-' rating level of 26.35%
(for a portfolio with a weighted-average life of 4.79 years),
versus if it was to consider a long-term sustainable default rate
of 3.1% for 4.79 years, which would result in a target default rate
of 14.85%.
-- S&P does not believe that there is a one-in-two chance of this
note defaulting.
-- S&P does not envision this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
S&P said, "Following this analysis, we consider that the available
credit enhancement for the class E notes is commensurate with the
assigned 'B- (sf)' rating.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to provide an indication of
how rising pressures among speculative-grade corporates could
affect our ratings on European CLO transactions, we have also
included the sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-1 to D notes
and A-1 loan based on four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class E notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being related
to certain activities. Accordingly, since the exclusion of assets
from these industries does not result in material differences
between the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no
specific adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to
account for any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) Interest rate§ enhancement (%)
A-1 AAA (sf) 165.30 3mE +1.32% 38.00
A-1 loan AAA (sf) 82.70 3mE +1.32% 38.00
A-2 AA (sf) 40.00 3mE +2.00% 28.00
B A (sf) 28.00 3mE +2.25% 21.00
C BBB- (sf) 28.00 3mE +3.15% 14.00
D BB- (sf) 18.00 3mE +5.80% 9.50
E B- (sf) 12.00 3mE +8.42% 6.50
Sub NR 32.80 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-1 and A-2 notes and class A-1
loan address timely interest and ultimate principal payments. The
ratings assigned to the class B to E notes address ultimate
interest and principal payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
3mE--Three-month EURIBOR.
CARLYLE EURO 2019-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on EUR10MM E Notes to B3
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has taken a variety of rating actions on the
following notes issued by Carlyle Euro CLO 2019-1 DAC:
EUR36,000,000 Class A-2A Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2032, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to
Aa1 (sf)
EUR10,000,000 Class A-2B Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due 2032,
Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023 Upgraded to Aa1
(sf)
EUR23,000,000 Class B Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Upgraded to Aa3 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
EUR27,000,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Upgraded to Baa2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023
Affirmed Baa3 (sf)
EUR10,000,000 Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Downgraded to B3 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023
Affirmed B2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR240,000,000 (Current outstanding amount EUR186,749,553) Class
A-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2032, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Oct 16, 2023 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
EUR22,700,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Affirmed Ba2 (sf); previously on Oct 16, 2023
Affirmed Ba2 (sf)
Carlyle Euro CLO 2019-1 DAC, issued in March 2019, is a
collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a portfolio of
mostly high-yield senior secured European and US loans. The
portfolio is managed by CELF Advisors LLP. The transaction's
reinvestment period ended in September 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The upgrades on the ratings on the Classes A2-A, A2-B, B and C
notes are primarily a result of the deleveraging of the Class A1
notes following amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the
end of the reinvestment period; the downgrade on the rating on the
Class E notes is due to the deterioration in the
over-collateralisation ratio since the end of the reinvestment
period.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A1 and class D notes
are primarily a result of the expected losses on the notes
remaining consistent with their current rating levels, after taking
into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its relevant structural
features and its actual over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A1 notes have paid down by approximately EUR53.3 million
(38.2%) since the end of the reinvestment period. As a result of
the deleveraging, over-collateralisation (OC) has increased for
senior tranches of the capital structure. According to the trustee
report dated July 2025[1] the Class A, Class B and Class C OC
ratios are reported at 142.70%, 129.90% and 117.49% compared to
December 2023[2] levels of 136.86%, 126.68% and 116.50%,
respectively.
At the same time, the over-collateralisation ratios of the class D
and Class E notes have deteriorated to 108.76% and 105.31% in July
2025[1] from 109.12% and 106.16% in December 2023[2], respectively
as a result of par losses that accumulated over this period.
The deleveraging and OC improvements primarily resulted from high
prepayment rates of leveraged loans in the underlying portfolio. A
portion of such prepaid proceeds has been applied to amortise the
liabilities. All else held equal, such deleveraging is generally a
positive credit driver for the CLO's rated liabilities.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR331,836,468
Defaulted Securities: EUR2,081,697
Diversity Score: 44
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3009
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.52 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for Euribor
floors): 3.66%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.00%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 44.06%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as the account bank, using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
DRYDEN 74: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Dryden 74 Euro CLO 2020 DAC reset final
ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Dryden 74 Euro CLO 2020 DAC
A-R XS3144968255 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-1-R XS3144968412 LT AAsf New Rating
B-2-R XS3144968685 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R XS3144968842 LT Asf New Rating
D-R XS3144969063 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R XS3144969220 LT BB-sf New Rating
F-R XS3144969576 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes XS2124851952 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Dryden 74 Euro CLO 2020 DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. All
except the subordinated notes were refinanced, with the remaining
proceeds invested in additional assets until the target par amount
is reached.
The portfolio has a target par of EUR400 million. The portfolio is
managed by PGIM Loan Originator Manager Limited and PGIM Limited.
The collateralised loan obligation (CLO) has a three-year
reinvestment period and a 7.1-year weighted average life test (WAL)
test.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The
Fitch-calculated weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the
identified portfolio is 24.6.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio
is 62.4%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes two
Fitch matrices that are effective at closing, accompanied by two
fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 12.5%. All matrices are based on
a top-10 obligor concentration limit at 23%. The transaction also
includes various concentration limits, including a maximum of 40%
to the three largest Fitch-defined industries. These covenants
ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has an around
three-year reinvestment period and includes reinvestment criteria
similar to those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis
is based on a stressed case portfolio with the aim of testing the
robustness of the transaction structure against its covenants and
portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment period. These
conditions include passing the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC'
bucket limitation test after reinvestment, and a WAL covenant that
gradually steps down, before and after the end of the reinvestment
period. Fitch believes these conditions would reduce the effective
risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) s and a 25% decrease
of the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A-R notes and lead to
downgrades of one notch each on the class B-1-R to E-R notes and to
below 'B-sf' for the class F-R notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the current portfolio, may occur if
the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class
B-1-R, B-2-R, D-R, E-R and F-R notes each have a rating cushion of
two notches and the class C-R notes have a cushion of one notch due
to the better metrics and shorter life of the current portfolio
than the Fitch-stressed portfolio,
Should the cushion between the current portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches for the notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR across all
ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to an upgrade of
up to three notches for the rated notes, except for the 'AAAsf'
rated notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL life test,
allowing the notes to withstand larger-than- expected losses for
the remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of
the reinvestment period may occur result from a stable portfolio
credit quality and deleveraging, leading to higher credit
enhancement and excess spread available to cover losses in the
remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Dryden 74 Euro CLO
2020 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
FORTRESS 2025-2: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Fortress Credit Europe BSL 2025-2 DAC's
notes final ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Fortress Credit Europe
BSL 2025-2 DAC
Class A Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
Class A Notes XS3114012548 LT AAAsf New Rating
Class B XS3114012894 LT AAsf New Rating
Class C XS3114013272 LT Asf New Rating
Class D XS3114013199 LT BBB-sf New Rating
Class E XS3114013439 LT BB-sf New Rating
Class F XS3114013942 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinates Notes XS3114013868 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Fortress Credit Europe BSL 2025-2 DAC is a securitisation of mainly
senior secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of
senior unsecured obligations, second-lien loans, mezzanine
obligations and high-yield bonds. Note proceeds have been used to
fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR400 million. The portfolio
is actively managed by FCFE CM LLC. The CLO has a 4.7-year
reinvestment period and an 8.5-year weighted average life (WAL)
test covenant at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the identified portfolio
is 23.4.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated
weighted average recovery rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio
is 61.7%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes two
Fitch matrices effective at closing, corresponding to a 8.5-year
WAL covenant, and two Fitch forward matrices corresponding to a
seven-year WAL. The forward matrices could be elected 1.5 years
after closing if the collateral principal amount (default at
Fitch-calculated collateral value) is at least at the reinvestment
target par balance. Each matrix set corresponds to two different
fixed-rate asset limits at 5% and 10%. All matrices are based on a
top 10 obligor concentration limit at 20%.
The transaction also includes various concentration limits,
including a maximum of 40% of the three largest Fitch-defined
industries. These covenants ensure that the asset portfolio will
not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.7-year
reinvestment period and includes reinvestment criteria similar to
those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on
a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of
the transaction structure against its covenants and portfolio
guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than that
specified in the WAL test covenant. This is to account for the
strict reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after
its reinvestment period, which include passing the coverage tests
and the Fitch 'CCC' portfolio profile test, alongside a WAL test
covenant that gradually steps down. Fitch believes these conditions
would reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during
stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A notes and on the
class A loan, and lead to downgrades of one notch each for the
class D and E notes, two notches each for the class B and C notes,
and to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class B and
C notes each have a cushion of one notch and the class D, E and F
notes each have a cushion of two notches, due to the better metrics
and shorter life of the identified portfolio than the
Fitch-stressed portfolio.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of four notches
each for the class A to D notes and for the class A loan, and to
below 'B-sf' for the class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to three notches each, except for the 'AAAsf' rated
notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test covenant,
allowing the notes to withstand larger-than- expected losses for
the remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of
the reinvestment period upgrades may result from stable portfolio
credit quality and deleveraging, leading to higher credit
enhancement and excess spread available to cover losses in the
remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Fortress Credit
Europe BSL 2025-2 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
HARVEST CLO XVI: Fitch Affirms 'B+sf' Rating on Class F-R Notes
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded Harvest CLO XVI DAC's class B-1-RR and
B-2-RR notes and affirmed the others. All the notes are on Stable
Outlook.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Harvest CLO XVI DAC
A-RR XS2304366227 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
B-1-RR XS2304367035 LT AAAsf Upgrade AA+sf
B-2-RR XS2304367894 LT AAAsf Upgrade AA+sf
C-RR XS2304368603 LT A+sf Affirmed A+sf
D-RR XS2304373439 LT BBB+sf Affirmed BBB+sf
E-R XS1890819011 LT BB+sf Affirmed BB+sf
F-R XS1890817585 LT B+sf Affirmed B+sf
Transaction Summary
Harvest CLO XVI DAC is a cash flow CLO mostly comprising senior
secured obligations. The transaction is actively managed by
Investcorp Credit Management EU Limited and is outside its
reinvestment period.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Transaction Deleveraging: Around EUR97 million of the class A-RR
notes has been repaid since its last review in September 2024. This
deleveraging was caused by the failure of certain tests that
prevented the manager from reinvesting, resulting in an increase in
credit enhancement for the rated notes.
Losses Below Rating Case Assumptions: As of the latest trustee
report, the transaction was around 2.4% below par (calculated as
the current par difference over the original target par), which is
lower than its rating-case assumptions, and had EUR8.5 million
defaulted assets in the portfolio. Exposure to assets with a
Fitch-derived rating of 'CCC+' and below is 6.7%, according to the
latest trustee report, compared with a limit of 7.5%.
Low Refinancing Risks: The transaction has manageable near- and
medium-term refinancing risk, with no portfolio assets maturing in
2025 and 3.1% maturing in 2026,
'B'/'B-' Portfolio: Fitch assesses the average credit quality of
the underlying obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The Fitch-calculated weighted
average rating factor of the current portfolio is 27 under the
latest criteria. About 18.7% of the portfolio is currently on
Negative Outlook.
High Recovery Expectations: Senior secured obligations comprise
98.8% of the portfolio. Fitch views the recovery prospects for
these assets as more favourable than for second-lien, unsecured and
mezzanine assets. The weighted average recovery rate of the current
portfolio as reported by the trustee was 63.8%.
Transaction Outside Reinvestment Period: The transaction exited its
reinvestment period in April 2023, and the most senior notes are
deleveraging. The transaction is failing the weighted average life
(WAL) test, among others, which has prevented the manager from
reinvesting since July 2024. As a result, its analysis is based on
the current portfolio with assets on Negative Outlook notched down
by one level, with the WAL floored at four years, according to its
criteria.
Deviation from Model-Implied Rating: The class C-RR and the class
D-RR notes are rated three notches and one notch below their
respective model-implied ratings (MIRs). The deviation reflects
insufficient default rate cushion at the MIRs.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Downgrades may occur if build-up of credit enhancement following
amortisation does not compensate for a larger loss expectation than
assumed, due to unexpectedly high levels of defaults and portfolio
deterioration.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upgrades may result from stable portfolio credit quality and the
continuing amortisation of the notes, leading to higher credit
enhancement across the structure.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third-party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Harvest CLO XVI
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose in the key rating drivers
any ESG factor which has a significant impact on the rating on an
individual basis.
SIGNAL HARMONIC I: Fitch Assigns B-(EXP)sf Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Signal Harmonic CLO I DAC's reset notes
expected ratings.
The assignment of final ratings is contingent on the receipt of
final documents conforming to information already reviewed.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Signal Harmonic
CLO I DAC
A-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
B-R LT AA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
C-R LT A(EXP)sf Expected Rating
D-R LT BBB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
E-R LT BB-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
F-R LT B-(EXP)sf Expected Rating
X-R LT AAA(EXP)sf Expected Rating
Transaction Summary
Signal Harmonic CLO I DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note proceeds
will be used to redeem the existing notes (except the subordinated
notes) and to fund a portfolio with a target par of EUR500
million.
The portfolio will be actively managed by Signal Loan Management
Limited and the CLO will have a five-year reinvestment period and a
nine-year weighted average life (WAL) test at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The Fitch weighted
average rating factor of the identified portfolio is 24.6.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio will comprise senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 62.3%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction will include
various concentration limits, including a top 10 obligor
concentration limit of 20%, a maximum exposure to the three largest
Fitch-defined industries of 40% and a maximum exposure to
fixed-rate assets of 10%. These covenants ensure that the asset
portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction will have a
reinvestment period of five years and will include reinvestment
criteria similar to those of other European transactions. Fitch's
analysis is based on a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of
testing the robustness of the transaction structure against its
covenants and portfolio guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment period, which
include passing the coverage test and the Fitch 'CCC' bucket
limitation test after reinvestment, as well as a WAL covenant that
gradually steps down, before and after the end of the
reinvestment.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase in the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease in
the recovery rate (RRR) across all the ratings of the identified
portfolio would lead to downgrades of one notch for the class D-R
and E-R notes, two notches for the class B-R and C-R notes and to
below 'B-sf' for the class F-R notes. The class X-R and A-R notes
would not be affected.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. Owing to the
identified portfolio's better metrics and a shorter life than the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, the class B-R, D-R, E-R and F-R notes
display rating cushions of two notches and the class C-R notes of
one notch. The class X-R and A-R notes have no rating cushion, as
they are at the highest achievable rating on Fitch's scale.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase in the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease in the RRR across all the ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches for the class A-R to D-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the
class E-R and F-R notes. The class X-R notes would not be
affected.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction in the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to four notches, except for the 'AAAsf' notes, which
are at the highest level on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing the notes
to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the transaction's
remaining life. After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades
may result from stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging,
leading to higher credit enhancement and excess spread to cover
losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Signal Harmonic CLO
I DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
SONA FIOS V: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F-2 Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Sona Fios CLO V DAC final ratings, as
detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Sona Fios CLO V DAC
Class A XS3119453275 LT AAAsf New Rating
Class B-1 XS3119453358 LT AAsf New Rating
Class B-2 XS3119454323 LT AAsf New Rating
Class C XS3119453606 LT Asf New Rating
Class D XS3119453788 LT BBB-sf New Rating
Class E XS3119454679 LT BB-sf New Rating
Class F-1 XS3121130077 LT B+sf New Rating
Class F-2 XS3119454083 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated Notes XS3119454166 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Sona Fios CLO V DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior secured
obligations (at least 90%), with a component of senior unsecured,
mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note proceeds
have been used to purchase a portfolio with a target par of EUR400
million. The portfolio is actively managed by Sona Asset Management
(UK) LLP. The CLO has a 4.5-year reinvestment period and an
8.5-year weighted average life (WAL) test.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B+'/'B'. The Fitch weighted
average rating factor of the identified portfolio is 23.1.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90.0% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 62.3%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes various
concentration limits in the portfolio, including a top 10 obligor
concentration limit at 20% and a maximum exposure to the
three-largest Fitch-defined industries at 40%. These covenants
ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a 4.5-year
reinvestment period and includes reinvestment criteria similar to
those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on
a stressed-case portfolio, with the aim of testing the robustness
of the transaction structure against its covenants and portfolio
guidelines.
The transaction has two Fitch matrix sets, one effective at closing
and one a year later. The matrices in each set correspond to a top
10 obligor concentration limit at 20%, a fixed-rate asset limit at
12.5% or 7.5%, and a WAL test of 8.5-year for the closing matrix
set and 7.5-year for the forward matrix set. The forward matrix set
is subject to the aggregate collateral balance (with defaulted
obligations carried at the Fitch collateral value) being at least
equal to the target par amount.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL Fitch modelled is 12 months
less than the WAL covenant. This is to account for the strict
reinvestment conditions envisaged after the reinvestment period.
These include passing the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC' bucket
test after reinvestment and a WAL covenant that gradually steps
down over time. Fitch believes these conditions would reduce the
effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A to D notes and F-1
notes and would lead to a downgrade of one notch for the class E
notes, and to below 'B-sf' for the class F-2 notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration. The class B,
D, E, and F-2 notes each have a rating cushion of up to two
notches, while the class C and F-1 notes have a cushion of three
notches, due to the better metrics and shorter life of the
identified portfolio than the Fitch-stressed portfolio. The class A
notes are at the highest achievable rating and, therefore, have no
rating cushion.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded, due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to three
notches each for the class A and D notes, of four each for the
class B and C notes, and to below 'B-sf' for the class E to F-2
notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to three notches for the rated notes, except for the
'AAAsf' rated notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction.
Upgrades after the end of the reinvestment period may result from a
stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging, leading to higher
credit enhancement and excess spread available to cover losses in
the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and European Securities
and Markets Authority-registered rating agencies. Fitch has relied
on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch and other
rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio information or
information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for its analysis
according to its applicable rating methodologies indicates that it
is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Sona Fios CLO V
DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
=====================
N E T H E R L A N D S
=====================
OCI NV: S&P Downgrades ICR to 'BB', Outlook Developing
------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on
OCI N.V. to 'BB' from 'BB+' and removed it from CreditWatch with
negative implications. S&P withdrew the issue-level rating and
recovery rating on the US$600 million bond maturing in March 2033,
because it was repaid in full.
The developing outlook reflects several uncertain elements related
to the company's strategic review, including the future business
scope and scale, the final capital structure, and financial policy,
which currently remain unclear. S&P said, "We may lower our rating
on OCI by one or more notches if the company adopts a more
aggressive financial policy resulting in higher leverage, or
further deploys capital for shareholder remuneration instead of
allocating proceeds from disposals to investing in attractive
assets. Conversely, we may raise the rating if the company opts to
reinvest the remaining proceeds from completed disposals in
profitable attractive assets." This could be further enhanced by
equity contributions from shareholders or proceeds from future
disposals, provided the company maintains a prudent financial
policy.
As of June 2025, OCI N.V. successfully completed the sale of its
methanol business to Methanex Corp. for a total value of US$1.6
billion. Additionally, the company announced its intention to
return up to an extra US$1 billion to shareholders through various
distribution channels in 2025 and early 2026.
OCI's business scale and scope have significantly decreased due to
recent disposals, while projected profitability and cash flow
volatility remain high. On June 27, 2025, OCI successfully
completed the sale of its methanol business to Methanex Corp.,
which had previously been announced in September 2024. The
transaction was valued at US$1.6 billion on a cash-free debt-free
basis comprising approximately US$1.3 billion of cash, and the
issuance of 9.9 million common shares of Methanex valued at US$346
million. Following the transaction, OCI became the second-largest
shareholder in Methanex, owning 12.9% of total shares. S&P said,
"We believe that the recent disposals have significantly reduced
the competitiveness, resilience, scale, and diversification of
OCI's operations, considering that OCI's continuing operations
comprise only the European nitrogen business and corporate
entities, which reported negative EBITDA of US$125.5 million in
2024 and negative US$156.2 million in 2023. We project that EBITDA
of OCI's nitrogen business will gradually improve in 2025 to about
US$100 million following completed planned turnaround, demand
recovery, and projected decrease in European gas prices.
Nevertheless, we believe that cash flow generation of OCI's
European nitrogen business will continue to fluctuate, reflecting
its high exposure to volatile natural gas and fertilizer prices."
The downgrade also reflects lower proceeds eligible for
reinvestment after deploying further capital for shareholder
returns. Following the extraordinary dividend payment of US$1
billion during the first half of 2024, the company announced it
intends to distribute up to an additional US$1 billion to
shareholders over the next 12 months. Specifically, the first
tranche of US$700 million is set to be distributed in September
2025, comprising a combination of capital repayment and
extraordinary cash dividends. Meanwhile, the company anticipates
returning the second tranche of up to US$300 million to
shareholders in late 2025 or early 2026 through a mix of
extraordinary cash dividends and share buybacks, contingent upon
board approval and successful progress on the strategic review, as
well as the receipt of deferred cash proceeds. This brings the
total cumulative shareholder distributions to US$7.4 billion over
the last four years, leaving only about US$500 million-US$1 billion
of proceeds (net of bond tendering) that could be allocated to
value-accretive investment opportunities. Since the company is yet
to provide clarity on its capital allocation future strategy, S&P
cannot rule out the possibility of further shareholder remuneration
if OCI cannot find attractive investment opportunities.
S&P said, "We view OCI's reported net cash position and recent debt
repayment as factors supporting the rating. We positively note that
the company benefits from a strong balance sheet, with reported a
net cash position of US$1.371 billion as of Dec. 31, 2024, and it
has fully repaid its US$600 million bond due 2033. Following the
bond tendering, OCI has no financial debt outstanding, which we
view as a positive factor supporting our rating assessment.
Overall, the solid cash balance and overall net cash position are
definitive positive credit factors in our analysis. Nevertheless,
we acknowledge that the future capital structure and financial
policy are highly uncertain, as they will depend on OCI's final
business scope, which the company has not yet detailed. Moreover,
we have revised our liquidity assessment to adequate from strong,
given that OCI, despite having a robust balance sheet characterized
by a net cash position and no upcoming debt maturities following
the bond repayment, has yet to finalize its capital structure and
determine the allocation of the remaining proceeds from disposals.
"The developing outlook reflects uncertainties regarding the
company's strategic review, including its future business scope,
capital structure, and financial policy. OCI's strategic direction
remains unclear after the company first announced a strategic
review in 2023. We currently do not have visibility on OCI's final
business perimeter, also considering that the company continues to
evaluate alternatives for its European nitrogen business, and we
cannot rule out further divestments as part of its ongoing
strategic review. Moreover, the final capital structure and
financial policy remain subject to the company's future strategic
direction and are uncertain at this stage. Specifically, rating
pressure could arise if OCI pursues a more aggressive financial
strategy that leads to increased leverage or continues to
prioritize shareholder returns over reinvesting proceeds from asset
disposals in appealing investments. On the other hand, rating
upside could steam from reinvestment of proceeds into attractive
assets, potentially bolstered by shareholder equity contribution,
provided that the company maintains a cautious financial policy.
"The outlook is developing, reflecting our view that we could
either lower, raise, or affirm our rating, depending on OCI's
future decisions related to its strategic review, including the
future business scope and scale, the final capital structure, and
financial policy.
"We may lower our rating on OCI by one or more notches if the
company adopts a more aggressive financial policy resulting in
higher leverage, or further deploys capital for shareholder
remuneration instead of allocating proceeds from disposals to
investment in attractive assets.
"We may raise the rating on OCI if the company opts to reinvest the
remaining proceeds from completed disposals into profitable
attractive assets. This could be further enhanced by equity
contributions from shareholders or proceeds from future disposals,
provided the company maintains a prudent financial policy."
=========
S P A I N
=========
SABADELL CONSUMO 1: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class D Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH (Morningstar DBRS) confirmed its credit ratings
on the notes issued by Sabadell Consumo 1 Fondo de Titulizacion
(the Issuer), as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B Notes at A (sf)
-- Class C Notes at BBB (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BB (low) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and the ultimate payment of principal on or before the
legal final maturity date in March 2031. The credit ratings on the
Class B, Class C, and Class D Notes address the ultimate payment of
interest and principal on or before the legal final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of the June 2025 payment date;
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables; and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a static securitisation of Spanish consumer loan
receivables originated and serviced by Banco Sabadell, S.A., which
closed in September 2019 with an original portfolio balance of EUR
1,000.0 million.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2025 payment date, loans that were 30 to 60 days
delinquent and 60 to 90 days delinquent represented 0.8% and 0.4%
of the outstanding portfolio balance, respectively, while loans
more than 90 days delinquent amounted to 0.6%. Gross cumulative
defaults amounted to 4.5% of the aggregate original portfolio
balance, 22.5% of which has been recovered to date.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and updated its base case PD and LGD
assumptions to 5.0% and 77.0% respectively, based on transaction
observed performance.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The subordination of the respective junior obligations provides
credit enhancement to the rated notes. As of the June 2025 payment
date, credit enhancement to the Class A Notes was 12.5%; credit
enhancement to the Class B Notes was 9.0%; credit enhancement to
the Class C Notes was 5.5%; and credit enhancement to the Class D
Notes was 3.0%. The credit enhancement levels have remained
unchanged since the Morningstar DBRS initial credit ratings because
of the pro rata amortisation of the rated notes.
The transaction benefits from an amortising cash reserve, available
to cover senior expenses, interest payments on the Class A Notes
and, unless deferred, interest payments on the Class B Notes. The
reserve has a target balance equal to 0.55% of the outstanding
Class A and Class B Notes balance, subject to a floor of EUR 1.25
million. As of the June 2025 payment date, the reserve was at its
floor level of EUR 1.25 million.
Societe Generale, S.A. (SocGen) acts as the account bank for the
transaction. Based on Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on
SocGen, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction
documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction
structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the
exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the credit
ratings assigned to the rated notes, as described in Morningstar
DBRS' "Legal and Criteria for European Structured Finance
Transactions" methodology.
Deutsche Bank AG, London (DB London) acts as the interest cap
provider for the transaction. Morningstar DBRS' private credit
rating on DB London is consistent with the First Rating Threshold
as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria
for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the applicable classes address
the credit risk associated with the identified financial
obligations in accordance with the relevant transaction documents.
Where applicable, a description of these financial obligations can
be found in the transactions' respective press releases at
issuance.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
=============
U K R A I N E
=============
DTEK RENEWABLES: Fitch Affirms 'CC' Foreign & Local-Currency IDRs
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed DTEK Renewables B.V.'s (DTEK RES)
Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR)
at 'CC'. Fitch has also affirmed DTEK Renewables Finance B.V.'s
senior unsecured rating at 'CC' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'.
The ratings reflect the high risk of damage or disruption at DTEK
RES's facilities due to the ongoing war in Ukraine, as well as
risks to debt service and refinancing due to capital control
restrictions imposed by the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU).
Key Rating Drivers
Protracted War: The ongoing conflict means DTEK RES's operational
and financial performance remains conditional on the war's
developments and its related impact on the energy market in
Ukraine, including the financial and liquidity position of main
energy market participants. In addition, DTEK RES's liquidity is
constrained by limitations under the NBU FX transfer moratorium on
capital repayments of bonds issued abroad.
Moratorium In Place: The NBU relaxed the moratorium on cross-border
foreign-currency payments in 2024 under certain conditions.
Companies are now allowed to purchase foreign currencies and send
cash abroad by means of dividends to service coupon payment of
bonds issued abroad, but principal repayments are still not
permitted. The company has so far not been granted an exception to
the FX transfer moratorium for any capital repayments.
Sufficient Cash for Coupon Payments: DTEK RES has sufficient cash,
held in Ukraine and abroad, for the next four bond coupon payments
of about EUR14 million each in November 2025, May 2026, November
2026 and May 2027. There is limited visibility on whether the NBU
will allow the repayment of the company's bonds in November 2027
with funds that are subject to exchange controls, or whether the
company will be able to arrange refinancing.
Temporary Rise in Leverage: Its rating case forecasts funds from
operations (FFO) net leverage temporarily increasing to 10.8x in
2025, from 5.5x in 2024 and 5.4x in 2023, driven by a large capex
plan. Once the projects are fully operational, Fitch expects FFO
net leverage to decline to 4.5x in 2027.
Improved Settlements from Guaranteed Buyer: As of 19 August 2025,
the level of settlements from Guaranteed Buyer State Enterprise
(Guaranteed Buyer SE) for electricity supplied for January -July
2025 was 92%, as was the level of settlements for electricity
supplied in 2024. In 2024 DTEK RES also received EUR44 million
(UAH1,904 million), including VAT, in accumulated trade debt
repayment, resulting in strong working capital inflows. Fitch
projects the settlements from Guaranteed Buyer SE - which offtakes
about 70% of electricity generated by DTEK RES - to average at 85%
of the amounts due. Settlements remain conditional on the overall
situation in the Ukrainian energy market.
Improving Cash Flow: Tiligulska Wind Electric Plant, a subsidiary
of DTEK RES, switched to the market premium (FiP) mechanism in
April 2024 and continues to sell its energy output (about 30% of
DTEK RES's total output) on the day-ahead market. Under the FiP,
receivables are settled within a few days while Guaranteed Buyer SE
covers the difference between the day-ahead market price and the
feed-in-tariff. This continues to support DTEK RES's cash flow.
Rising EBITDA: DTEK RES's EBITDA was EUR95 million in 2024, above
its forecast of EUR83 million. Fitch has revised up its EBITDA
projections for 2025-2027 to reflect the commissioning of the
battery energy storage (BESS) and Tiligulska Wind Power Plant II
projects. Fitch forecasts an improvement in EBITDA to about EUR140
million in 2026 and about EUR190 million in 2027 once Tiligulska II
is fully operational.
Investment in BESS: DTEK RES is constructing a 200MW EUR140 million
BESS project after winning 140MW under NPC Ukrenergo's auction for
automatic frequency restoration reserve services (aFRR). The
project is financed by equity and EUR67 million (UAH2,950 million)
of debt from Ukrainian banks. The aFRR five-year contract with
Ukrenergo at EUR25-28 per MWh will secure revenue for 70% of
output, supporting Fitch-projected annual EBITDA of about EUR30
million.
Expansion of Tiligulska Plant: In December 2024 DTEK RES began the
construction of the EUR450 million second stage of the Tiligulska
Wind Power Plant of 384MW. The project is financed by EUR370
million of debt, including loans from Danske Bank, fully guaranteed
by the Export and Investment Fund of Denmark. Financing is secured
on project assets, with no guarantee from DTEK RES. The expansion
will be fully commissioned by end- 2026. Fitch expects the project
to generate almost EUR90 million of EBITDA annually.
Project Finance Debt: DTEK RES has been paying interest on its
project finance debt but has not made any principal repayments. In
July 2025 DTEK RES settled all overdue liabilities and another
scheduled payment to the supplier under the equipment supply
agreement for the Nikopolska power plant. As of end-2024, there was
EUR81 million of debt under the agreement and the company had
sufficient cash to make these repayments. However, the original NBU
restriction remains in force and continues to limit payments under
the equipment supply agreement.
Complex Group Structure: DTEK RES is part of a larger group, DTEK
GROUP B.V., which is a private energy corporation in Ukraine
ultimately owned by System Capital Management (SCM). Fitch rates
DTEK RES on a standalone basis under Parent and Subsidiary Linkage
Rating Criteria Fitch assesses that SCM has overall weak incentives
to support it.
Peer Analysis
DTEK RES's affiliated companies, DTEK Energy B.V. and DTEK DTEK OIL
& GAS PRODUCTION B.V. (both rated CC), share tight liquidity and
high operational risks.
Key Assumptions
Fitch's Key Assumptions within Its Rating Case for the Issuer:
- Fitch assumes that DTEK RES will continue to operate the plants
it currently controls, with installed capacity of 561MW, including
its solar plants and Tiligulska I. Total electricity production
averaging 1,010 GWh annually, generating on average EUR78 million
annually of EBITDA in 2025-2027
- BESS project to be operational from October 2025, generating on
average EUR30 million of EBITDA annually in 2026-2027
- Gradual construction of Tiligulska II from 2026, with planned
full commissioning by the end of the year, generating almost EUR90
million of EBITDA annually from 2027
- Collection of receivables from Guaranteed Buyer SE at 85% of the
amounts due and 100% collection of receivables of Tiligulska I and
receivables under the BESS and Tiligulska II projects
- Total capex of EUR475 million over 2025-2027 for the development
of the BESS project and Tiligulska II, with the majority of it
incurred in 2025
Recovery Analysis
Key Recovery Rating Assumptions
The recovery analysis assumes that DTEK RES would be a going
concern (GC) in bankruptcy and that the company would be
reorganised rather than liquidated.
Its recovery analysis assumes that creditor recoveries will be
derived from the guarantors' group only, which comprises DTEK RES
and certain subsidiaries, but excludes the operating solar plant
Nikopol.
Its GC EBITDA estimate reflects its view of a sustainable,
post-reorganisation EBITDA level on which Fitch bases the valuation
of the company in a distressed scenario.
Its estimate of DTEK RES's GC EBITDA, at about EUR45 million,
factors in the GC EBITDA of subsidiaries - Orlivska Wind Farm,
Pokrovska Solar Farm and Tryfonivska Solar Farm and Tiligulska Wind
Electric Plant.
Fitch applies a recovery multiple of 3x.
Its estimates of creditor claims include EUR14 million of secured
bank loans and EUR281 million of unsecured green bonds.
After deducting 10% for administrative claims, this generates a
ranked recovery in the 'RR4' band, leading to a 'CC' instrument
rating.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The rating would be downgraded on signs that a default-like process
had begun (for example, a formal launch of another debt exchange
proposal involving a material reduction in terms to avoid a
traditional payment default).
Non-payment of coupon or debt obligations or steps towards further
debt restructuring would result in a downgrade.
The IDR would be downgraded to 'D' if DTEK RES entered into
bankruptcy filings, administration, receivership, liquidation or
other formal winding-up procedures, or ceased business.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
De-escalation of the conflict with reducing operating risks and
relaxed FX and cross border payment controls with improved
liquidity and reduced refinancing risks will lead to an upgrade.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2024 DTEK RES had EUR580 million of outstanding debt,
including EUR281 million of green bonds and EUR108 million of bank
debt at subsidiaries within the guarantor group, i.e. Orlivska and
Tiligulska. This compares with EUR99 million of cash and cash
equivalents, with the majority placed within the guarantor group.
Debt maturities for 2025 are EUR81 million under the original debt
documentation. This includes scheduled debt maturities and overdue
amounts, of which EUR64 million is related to assets located on
temporarily occupied territories, for which DTEK RES has not made
any principal repayments. No capital repayments are expected under
the guarantor group, also taking into account that debt to Orlivska
was extended until August 2026.
At end-2024, DTEK RES had EUR276 million of available committed
credit facilities designated for Tiligulska II, of which about
EUR131 million was drawn in 1H25. This is against Fitch-expected
negative free cash flow of about EUR450 million in 2025, driven by
Tiligulska II and the BESS project. By August 2025 DTEK RES
finalised EUR67 million (UAH 2,950 million) loans from local banks
for the BESS project.
Issuer Profile
DTEK RES is the owner of wind and solar power generation assets in
Ukraine with a 1,064MW capacity.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
DTEK Renewables
Finance B.V.
senior unsecured LT CC Affirmed RR4 CC
DTEK Renewables B.V. LT IDR CC Affirmed CC
LC LT IDR CC Affirmed CC
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
CAISTER FINANCE: DBRS Finalizes Bsf Rating on Class F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited (Morningstar DBRS) finalised provisional
credit ratings for the following classes of debt issued by Caister
Finance DAC (the Issuer):
-- Class A1 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class A2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class A Loan at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B Loan at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C Loan at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class D Loan at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BB (sf)
-- Class F Notes at B (sf)
The trends on all credit ratings are Stable.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The Issuer is the partial securitisation of a GBP 2,855.9 million
senior loan, which is split pari assu across facility A1, facility
A2, and a capital expenditures (capex) facility, and a GBP 81.2
million subordinated Class R loan. Proceeds of the securitsation,
together with the nonsecuritised loans, is being used to refinance
the acquisition of a portfolio of 39 holiday parks majority owned
by funds managed by Blackstone Inc. (Blackstone) and operated by
Haven Leisure Limited (Haven), the largest holiday park operator in
the UK. The parks offer a total of approximately 39,400 individual
pitches, with an average count of just over 1,000 pitches per park.
The vast majority (97% of the total count) of the sites are owned
on either a freehold or a long-leasehold basis.
The issuance of GBP 1,542.8 million of rated notes and rated loans
(together, rated debt) under this transaction, together with the
Class R notes, represents the securitisation of facility A2 and
facility R at closing. The remaining GBP 974.4 million facility A1
loan and GBP 338.7 million capex facility loan commitment, which is
expected to be drawn after closing, is being advanced by
third-party lenders. The borrower group was created through
Blackstone's acquisition of the Haven portfolio in 2021 and is
directly controlled by Blackstone.
CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE) valued the portfolio at GBP 3,872.6 million
as at 31 December 2024. In F2024, the portfolio generated a total
revenue of GBP 931.8 million and EBITDA of GBP 232.7 million after
corporate overheads. Site-level EBITDA (before corporate overheads)
was GBP 290.6 million, reflecting a site-level EBITDA margin of
31.3%. After corporate overheads, the EBITDA margin was 24.9%. The
combined loan-to-value (LTV) of the pari passu-ranking facility A1,
facility A2 (securitised), and the capex facility (on a fully drawn
basis) stands at 73.7% at closing, and including the risk-retention
Class R note, the LTV is 76.0%. Morningstar DBRS understands from
the arranger that the purchase consideration for the original
acquisition in 2021 was more than GBP 3.0 billion and that
Blackstone will continue to have a material equity stake in the
underlying portfolio after completing the refinancing contemplated
by this transaction.
Haven is by far the largest holiday park operator in the UK and has
a well-regarded brand, with portfolio-wide occupancy of more than
90% (excluding periods of park closure). The portfolio has
demonstrated stable top-line performance, with no year-over-year
decline in revenue since 2008 except in 2020. Total revenue almost
doubled to GBP 932 million in 2024 from GBP 470 million in 2008.
Corporate-level EBITDA over the same period also doubled to GBP
232.7 million in 2024 from GBP 115 million in 2008, with an EBITDA
margin consistently hovering around 25% (except in 2020). Between
2022 and 2024, Blackstone undertook a significant accretive capex
programme totalling GBP 466 million, which helped to deliver a
compounded average growth rate of 10% in revenue (8.6% on a
per-pitch basis) from 2022 through 2024.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term sustainable net cash flow (NCF)
assumption for the portfolio is GBP 255.9 million per annum. The
corresponding Morningstar DBRS value of GBP 2,734.7 million,
arrived at by applying a 9.25% cap rate and deductions for certain
costs, represents a haircut of 29.4% to the CBRE valuation.
There are no senior loan default financial covenants prior to a
permitted change of control (PCOC); however, cash trap covenants
are applicable with respect to LTV and debt yield. The cash trap
event occurs if, on any loan interest payment date (15 February, 15
May, 15 August, and 15 November) the LTV ratio is greater than 74.5
% or the debt yield (DY) is less than: (1) 8.3%, up to but
excluding the third anniversary of the initial utilisation date, or
(2) 9.5%, on or following the third anniversary of the initial
utilisation date. Following a PCOC, default LTV covenant is set at
a maximum level of LTV as on the PCOC date + 20% and default DY
covenant is set at a minimum level of 80% of the DY as on the PCOC
date.
The initial loan maturity date is in August 2027; however, four
annual extension options are available through August 2028, August
2029, August 2030, and August 2031, although the fourth extension
is subject to the consent of supermajority lenders, as further
described in the offering circular. The senior loans must be fully
hedged through August 2027 via an interest rate cap with a strike
rate that is no higher than the greater of 4.5% and the strike rate
required to achieve a minimum hedged interest coverage ratio (ICR)
level of 1.4 times (x). Morningstar DBRS understands that the
hedging for facilities A1 and A2 will be put in place after
closing, but within 20 business days from the date of first
utilisation and will be coterminous with the initial loan maturity
in August 2027. With respect to the capex facility, the hedging is
expected to be in place on the later of the date falling five
business days before the first loan interest payment date and the
first loan interest payment date on which at least GBP 10 million
is outstanding under the capex facility loan. Failure to do so
would trigger a default under the senior facilities agreement and
if the hedging is not put in place within a further 21 calendar
days from such default, it would enable the facility agent, acting
on the instructions of the majority lenders, to accelerate the
loans and enforce the transaction security. Should the initial loan
maturity date be extended, transaction documents provide for
extended hedging arrangements, which will be coterminus with such
extended loan maturity date, via either an interest rate cap or an
interest rate swap, and to be in place on or before the initial
loam term has expired. The extension period hedging is required to
be such that the strike rate (in case of an interest rate cap) or
the swap rate (in case of an interest rate swap) is no higher than
the greater of 4.5% and the rate required to achieve a minimum
hedged ICR level of 1.4x.
The loan is interest only and carries a floating rate, which is
referenced to the sterling overnight index average (Sonia, floored
at 0%) plus a margin that, with respect to the securitised facility
A2 loan, is calculated as the weighted average (WA) of the
aggregate interest amounts payable on the rated debt under each
class. Loan margin for both the nonsecuritised facility A1 and
capex facility is set at 3.5%. The Class R facility margin is set
at 11.5% at closing.
The transaction is structured with a five-year tail period where
the final maturity date of each class of rated debt shall be
automatically extended to ensure that the final rated debt maturity
date falls five years after the final loan repayment date.
On the closing date, the issuer benefits from a GBP 72.8 million
liquidity facility provided by Goldman Sachs Bank USA and Citibank
NA London Branch. The liquidity facility covers the interest
payments on Class A, Class B, Class C, and Class D rated debt. No
liquidity withdrawal can be made to cover shortfalls in funds
available to the Issuer to pay any amounts in respect of the
interest due on the Class E notes, Class F notes, and Class R
notes. The Class E and Class F notes are subject to an Available
Funds Cap. Based on a cap strike rate of 4.5%, the liquidity
facility will cover 12 months of interest payments for Class A
through Class D of the rated debt during the term of the loan;
based on a Sonia cap of 5% post loan final repayment date, the
liquidity facility will cover 11 months of interest payments for
Class A through Class D of the rated debt.
To satisfy risk retention requirements, a retaining sponsor entity
of the borrower has retained a residual interest consisting of no
less than 5% of the nominal and fair market value of the overall
capital structure by subscribing to the unrated and junior-ranking
GBP 81.2 million Class R Notes. Class R has no enforcement rights.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the Issuer address the credit
risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations are the rated debt's interest at the
applicable interest rate and the related debt's principal balance.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings do not address nonpayment risk
associated with contractual payment obligations contemplated in the
applicable transaction documents that are not financial
obligations. For example, credit ratings on the debt listed above
do not address payments of the Sonia excess amounts, exit payment
amounts, and pro rata default interest.
Morningstar DBRS' long-term credit ratings provide opinions on risk
of default. Morningstar DBRS considers risk of default to be the
risk that an issuer will fail to satisfy the financial obligations
in accordance with the terms under which a long-term obligation has
been issued.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
Environmental (E) Factors
Climate and Weather Risks is a relevant Environmental factor.
Beachfront locations make up 87% of the portfolio, which makes them
vulnerable to physical risks associated with climate change trends
and events. For example, extreme weather events and rising sea
levels, if materialised, could result in operational disruptions,
remediation costs, and/or negative collateral value implications.
From Phase I environmental reports, Morningstar DBRS understands
that most sites are within low-probability flood zone 1. However,
there are six assets that are exposed to fluvial or tidal flooding
risk. Flood risk management plans are in place for these parks.
Additionally, Morningstar DBRS notes that the facility agreement
requires each obligor to maintain insurance against loss or damage
caused by natural disasters such as fire, storm, flood, earthquake,
subsidence, and lightning, as well as insurance against business
interruption for a period of not less than two years. The coastal
erosion risk report identified one property (Far Grange) to have a
high erosion risk, with a potential impact on up to 40 pitches by
2055 (nine pitches at risk of being affected in the next five
years). However, this represents a small portion of the 804 pitches
this property comprises and of the 39,412 pitches the portfolio
comprises. Subsequently, Morningstar DBRS concluded the
Environmental risk to be relevant but not significant.
There were no Social or Governance factors that had a significant
or relevant effect on the credit analysis.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
CHESHIRE 2025-1: Fitch Assigns 'BB-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Cheshire 2025-1 PLC final ratings, as
listed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Cheshire 2025-1 PLC
A XS3140971576 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B XS3140988463 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C XS3141004179 LT A-sf New Rating A-(EXP)sf
D XS3141017585 LT BBBsf New Rating BBB(EXP)sf
E XS3141022239 LT BBsf New Rating BB(EXP)sf
F XS3141022312 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
X XS3141023633 LT CCCsf New Rating CCC(EXP)sf
Transaction Summary
The transaction is a securitisation of UK non-conforming (UKN)
owner-occupied (OO; 74.1%) and buy-to-let (BTL; 25.9%) mortgages
originated in the UK by various legacy non-conforming lenders. The
assets were previously securitised in the Formentera PLC (56.8%)
and Cheshire 2020-1 PLC (43.2%) transactions. The former was rated
by Fitch.
Barclays Bank PLC is the transaction sponsor and Pepper (UK)
Limited and Topaz Finance Limited act as legal title holders and
servicers for the two sub-pools, respectively.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Seasoned Non-Conforming Loans: The portfolio is highly seasoned
(18.1 years) with 95.7% (by current balance) originated between
2006-2008. The pool has a high weighted average (WA) original
loan-to-value (LTV) of 89.6% but has benefited from a degree of
borrower deleveraging, with a WA current LTV of 82.4%, and a
significant amount of indexation leading to a WA indexed current
LTV of 52.4%. This leads to an overall WA sustainable LTV of
58.7%.
The pool is typical for pre-global financial crisis UKN
transactions rated by Fitch, with pre-2014 OO origination and high
proportions of self-certified and interest-only loans as well as a
significant proportion of the pool currently in arrears for longer
than one month (24.1%). Fitch therefore applied the UKN and BTL
assumptions set out in the UK RMBS Rating Criteria.
Standard Transaction Adjustment, Missing Data Adjustments: The
performance of the pool since June 2020 has been in line with its
UKN Index but underperformed its BTL Index. It has also largely
performed in line with other Fitch-rated UKN/BTL transactions This
would ordinarily lead Fitch to apply a transaction adjustment of
1.0x to the OO portion and 1.5 to the BTL portion respectively.
However, there are several fields with incomplete or missing data
in the pool tape, particularly for adverse credit. This data would
be less determinative of future performance than recent and
historical performance data for such a seasoned pool but it is data
typically provided for UKN pools rated by Fitch. This data, along
with other missing fields, led us to apply a further 1.2x
foreclosure frequency (FF) adjustment to the entire pool.
Pay Rate Analysis: Borrower pay rates since June 2020 have averaged
100.6% reflecting over-payments. When capping pay rates at 100%
(monthly payments due only), to strip out overpayments, it
decreases to 88%. Furthermore, pay rates for borrowers in
late-stage arrears (greater than three months) average around half
of the monthly payment due over the last five years, while
borrowers in arrears for more than 12 months have averaged under a
third. Fitch redefines loans in arrears more than 12 months as
defaulted from day one under its UK RMBS Rating Criteria.
Limited Representations & Warranties Framework: The loan warranties
provided by the seller are limited because it was not the
originator of the assets. The seller provides warranty indemnity
cover for two years from close for any breaches of the loan
warranties. In its analysis Fitch placed more emphasis on the
following aspects: the lack of breaches in past transactions
containing these assets; the agreed upon procedures report (AUP)
completed at the close of each original transaction; the AUP
provided for this transaction in line with that on other
non-conforming transactions; and the seasoning of the assets making
it any material representation & warranties breaches unlikely.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The transaction's performance may be affected by changes in market
conditions and economic environment. Weakening economic performance
is strongly correlated to increasing levels of delinquencies and
defaults that could reduce the credit enhancement available to the
notes. Fitch conducts sensitivity analyses by stressing the
transaction's FF and recovery rate (RR) assumptions and examining
the rating implications on all classes of notes. A 15% increase in
the WAFF and a 15% decrease in the WARR indicate downgrades of up
to three notches for the class A, C, D and notes, four notches for
the class B and E notes, and several notches for the class F notes.
The class X notes already have a distressed rating.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Stable to improved asset performance driven by stable delinquencies
and defaults would lead to increasing credit enhancement and
consideration of potential upgrades. Fitch tested an additional
rating sensitivity scenario by applying a decrease in the FF of 15%
and an increase in the RR of 15%. The impact on the notes could be
upgrades of up to two notches for the class B notes, four notches
for the class C, D and E notes and five notches for the class F
notes. There is no impact on the class X notes. The class A notes
are at the highest rating on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The pool tape contained incomplete or missing data for employment
type, income verification and adverse credit. Fitch applied an FF
adjustment of 1.2x to the pool. Fitch reviewed the results of a
third-party assessment conducted on the asset portfolio information
and concluded that there were no findings that affected the rating
analysis.
Overall, and together with the assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the asset pool information relied upon for
Fitch's rating analysis according to its applicable rating
methodologies indicates that it is reliable.
Date of Relevant Committee
07 August 2025
ESG Considerations
Cheshire 2025-1 PLC has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Customer
Welfare - Fair Messaging, Privacy & Data Security due to the high
proportion of interest-only loans in legacy OO mortgages, which has
a negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
Cheshire 2025-1 PLC has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Human
Rights, Community Relations, Access & Affordability due to a large
proportion of the pool containing OO loans advanced with limited
affordability checks, which has a negative impact on the credit
profile, and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other
factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
METRO BANK: Fitch Hikes Long-Term IDR to 'BB-', Outlook Positive
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded Metro Bank Holdings Plc's (MBH)
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to 'BB-' from 'B+' and Metro
Bank PLC's Long-Term IDR to 'BB' from 'BB-'. The Outlook on MBH is
Positive and the Outlook on Metro Bank is Evolving. Fitch has also
upgraded MBH's and Metro Bank's Viability Ratings (VRs) to 'bb-'
from 'b+'.
The upgrades reflect MBH's strategic progress in strengthening its
business model and financial performance, as reflected by its
return to operating profitability in 1H25. The upgrade also
reflects MBH's resultant improved flexibility, including no longer
being required to raise costly minimum requirement for own funds
and eligible liabilities (MREL) debt. Its Positive Outlook reflects
upgrade potential, contingent on continued strategic execution,
particularly business growth that supports profitability.
Metro Bank's Long-Term IDR is one notch above MBH's given the
existing large buffer of qualifying junior debt (QJD; MREL debt)
that provides protection to Metro Bank's senior creditors. The
Evolving Outlook on Metro Bank reflects the potential for either
negative rating action if Fitch expects the buffer of QJD debt to
fall sustainably below 10% of risk-weighted assets (RWAs), or
positive action if Fitch expects the QJD buffer to remain
significant and MBH is upgraded.
Key Rating Drivers
Strategy Execution: MBH has made material progress in implementing
its transformation strategy since end-2023, with profitability
supported by asset rotation towards higher yielding assets, a lower
cost base, and falling funding costs. MBH's and Metro Bank's VRs
are one notch below their implied VRs because Fitch's assessment of
their business profile has a high influence on the VRs. This
reflects execution risk as the bank aims to grow in its targeted
businesses and a limited record of structural profitability.
Improved Flexibility: MBH expects to no longer be subject to the
MREL regime following the Bank of England's announcements last
month increasing the size thresholds for 'bail-in' institutions.
MBH has therefore announced it no longer expects to have to raise
MREL debt and will review whether to maintain its existing
outstanding debt. Fitch believes MBH's return to operating
profitability, combined with not having to raise MREL debt, will
improve the group's strategic flexibility and its capacity to
grow.
Opco's Long-Term IDR Uplift: Metro Bank's Long-Term IDR is one
notch above MBH's as the former's senior creditors benefit from the
protection provided by MREL-eligible instruments that are raised by
MBH and down-streamed to Metro Bank in a subordinated manner.
Higher-Risk Lending: MBH is growing lending in its targeted
segments, including in higher-yielding commercial and specialist
mortgages, while running off lower-yielding consumer,
government-backed and prime owner-occupied mortgage loans. Fitch
views these targeted segments as higher-risk. MBH's risk controls
are reasonable although the transformation strategy gives rise to
execution and operational risks.
Higher Structural Impairments: MBH's impaired loans ratio rose to
5.4% at end-1H25 (end-1H24: 3.8%), due primarily to the sale of a
well performing mortgage portfolio. High loan growth may reduce the
impaired loans ratio in the short term, but Fitch expects the
impaired loans ratio to remain above 5% by end-2026 as loans
season. The change in mix of loans towards higher-risk lending
means Fitch expects loan impairment charges to structurally
increase.
Improving Structural Profitability: MBH's operating profit at 1.2%
of RWAs in 1H25 (1H24: -0.9%) reflects growth in higher-margin
lending, lower cost of deposits and a reduced cost base. Fitch
calculated operating profit was modest in nominal terms at GBP37.8
million in 1H25 but reflects the turnaround from years of losses.
Earnings will also benefit from maturing low-yielding treasury
assets being replaced by assets with higher rates. Fitch forecasts
operating profitability to improve above 1.5% of RWAs due to
business growth in higher-yielding loans and the lack of further
MREL issuance, although this is subject to material execution
risk.
Moderate Capital Buffers: MBH's common Tier 1 (CET1) ratio of 12.8%
at end-1H25 provides a moderate buffer over its 9.7% minimum CET1
requirements, and Fitch expects it to be supported by improving
profitability despite RWAs growth. In March, the bank issued GBP250
million additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital, which supports its Tier 1
ratio. MBH's UK leverage ratio of 7.9% at end-1H25 compares
reasonably with UK peers.
Deposit Base Optimisation: MBH is reducing its deposit base (8%
reduction in 1H25) to improve funding costs, following a high-cost
deposit campaign in 4Q23-1Q24. Its gross loans/deposit ratio
(end-1H25: 66.5%) will increase over the medium term with loan
growth but remain low compared with peers. MBH has been able to
access wholesale funding but at a high cost. Metro Bank's liquidity
is strong, following portfolio sales, and its liquidity coverage
ratio was 427% at end-1H25.
No Double Leverage: MBH's VR is equalised with Metro Bank's,
reflecting the absence of holding company double leverage and
prudent liquidity management, which reduces the risk of cash flow
mismatches.
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
The VRs are primarily sensitive to MBH's business profile. The VRs
would come under pressure and MBH's Outlook could be revised to
Stable, if strategic execution does not lead to a sustainable
improvement in the bank's structural earnings and profitability
(e.g. operating profit/RWAs is sustainably below 0.5%), or if there
is a significant loosening in risk appetite that leads to material
asset quality weakening.
Metro Bank's Long-Term IDR would be downgraded to the level of its
VR if Fitch expected the QJD buffer to fall consistently below 10%.
This could happen, for example, if MBH repurchased the qualifying
outstanding securities or if RWAs grew more than expected.
Fitch could downgrade MBH's IDRs and VR by one notch if it expected
double leverage at the holding company to increase materially over
120% for a sustained period, without significant risk mitigants in
place.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Fitch would upgrade MBH's Long-Term IDR on evidence of successful
business growth. This would be manifested in Metro Bank's
structural operating profitability rising sustainably above 1.5% of
RWAs and its impaired loans ratio remaining below 6%, while risk
appetite and capital buffers do not significantly loosen.
An upgrade of Metro Bank's Long-Term IDR would be contingent on the
QJD buffer remaining materially above 10% of RWAs.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
MBH's and Metro Bank's Short-Term IDRs of 'B' are the only option
corresponding to their Long-Term IDRs.
MBH's senior unsecured bond's long-term rating is in line with its
Long-Term IDR. Its subordinated Tier 2 bond is rated two notches
below its VR, in line with the baseline notching in its Bank Rating
Criteria.
MBH's AT1 notes are rated three notches below its VR, reflecting
two notches for loss severity, given the notes' deep subordination,
and one notch for incremental non-performance risk, given their
full discretionary, non-cumulative coupons. Fitch has applied three
notches from MBH's VR, instead of the baseline four notches, due to
the anchor rating being at the 'BB-' threshold under the agency's
criteria.
MBH's Government Support Rating (GSR) of 'no support' reflects
Fitch's view that senior creditors cannot rely on extraordinary
support from the UK authorities in the event that it becomes
non-viable. This is due to UK legislation and regulations that
provide a framework requiring senior creditors to participate in
losses after a failure, and to the bank's low systemic importance.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
MBH's senior unsecured debt rating is mainly sensitive to changes
in its Long-Term IDR. The debt rating could also be notched below
the Long-Term IDR if its loss-severity expectations increase.
MBH's Tier 2 debt rating is mainly sensitive to changes in its VR.
MBH's AT1 debt rating is mainly sensitive to changes in its VR.
However, the AT1 debt rating would be notched off four times down
from MBH's VR if its VR was upgraded to 'bb' or above, in line with
the baseline notching under Fitch's Bank Criteria.
An upgrade of the GSR would be contingent on a positive change in
the UK's propensity to support its banks and a significant increase
in MBH's systemic importance. While not impossible, this is highly
unlikely, in Fitch's view.
VR ADJUSTMENTS
Metro Bank's and MBH's VRs are below their implied VRs due to the
following adjustment reason: business profile (negative).
The business profile score of 'bb-' is below the 'bbb' implied
category score due to the following adjustment reasons: business
model (negative), strategy and execution (negative).
The asset quality score of 'bb+' is below the 'bbb' implied
category score due to the following adjustment reason: underwriting
standards and growth (negative).
The earnings & profitability score of 'bb-' is above the 'b &
below' implied category score due to the following adjustment
reason: historical and future metrics (positive).
The capitalisation & leverage score of 'bb-' is below the 'a'
implied category score due to the following adjustment reason:
internal capital generation and growth (negative).
The funding & liquidity score of 'bb' is below the 'a' implied
category score due to the following adjustment reasons: non-deposit
funding (negative).
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Metro Bank
Holdings Plc LT IDR BB- Upgrade B+
ST IDR B Affirmed B
Viability bb- Upgrade b+
Government Support ns Affirmed ns
Subordinated LT B- Upgrade CCC+
senior
unsecured LT BB- Upgrade B+
subordinated LT B Upgrade B-
Metro Bank PLC LT IDR BB Upgrade BB-
ST IDR B Affirmed B
Viability bb- Upgrade b+
Government Support ns Affirmed ns
SUMMERHOUSE 1: Moody's Assigns Ba3 Rating to GBP50MM C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned definitive ratings to Notes issued by
Summerhouse 1 plc:
GBP148.15M Class A1 Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes due October
2091, Definitive Rating Assigned Aa3 (sf)
GBP43.955M Class A2 Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes due October
2091, Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
GBP38.517M Class A3 Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes due October
2091, Definitive Rating Assigned Baa1 (sf)
GBP120M Class B Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes due October 2091,
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
GBP50M Class C Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes due October 2091,
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Moody's have not assigned a rating to the subordinated GBP11M Class
Z VFN Fixed Rate Asset Backed Notes due October 2091.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Notes are backed by a static pool of UK residential reverse
mortgage loans originated by More 2 Life Ltd. The beneficial
interests in the loans have been purchased and subsequently sold to
Summerhouse 1 plc RMBS by Slatewood Financing LP (a wholly owned
subsidiary undertaking of Universities Superannuation Scheme
Limited), who is the transaction's seller and risk retention
holder. The loans will be serviced by More 2 Life Ltd.
The portfolio of assets amount to approximately GBP355.4 million as
of April 30, 2025 pool cutoff date. No interest or principal
payments are required during the lifetime of the loans. Instead,
interest amounts accrue on the loans until the lender is fully
repaid in a single bullet, typically from the sale proceeds of the
properties. Borrowers may elect to prepay at any time, but the
loans are not required to be repaid until the earlier of the death
of borrowers or the borrowers entering into long-term care.
The transaction structure includes senior Class A1, A2 and A3
Notes, mezzanine B Notes, and a subordinated Class C Notes. The
Class A1, A2 and A3 Notes are each subject to their own prescribed
payment schedule and will be repaid in full (including all
interest) if their respective payment schedules are met. The
Classes A1, A2 and A3 Notes benefit from subordination of the more
junior notes, as well as from a liquidity reserve fund sized at
GBP10.0 million at closing. The Class B and Class C Notes are not
subject to a schedule, and are repaid via the sequential waterfall
on a pass-through basis from closing.
Missed Class A scheduled payments trigger an MA breach event, and
moves the transaction to the post-MA breach event priority of
payments. If a level 1 MA breach event has occurred, and there has
been an amount outstanding on the Class A1 missed payment ledger on
8 or more consecutive interest payment dates, a Class A1
accelerated amortisation event is triggered, and the Class A1
noteholders are able to initiate enforcement via the trustee.
The ratings are primarily based on the credit quality of the
portfolio, the structural features of the transaction and its legal
integrity.
According to Moody's, the transaction benefits from various credit
strengths such a granular portfolio with no significant
concentrations and a moderate indexed LTV (loan-to-value) of 42.8%.
The reserve fund will be initially funded to the sum of GBP10.0
million, accounting for approximately 2.8% of the day 1 outstanding
pool balance, and sufficient to cover all scheduled payments to the
Class A1, Class A2 and Class A3 Notes including senior fees for 18
months once scheduled payments begin.
Moody's also notes that the transaction features some credit
weaknesses. These include the transaction structure complexity and
the irregular timing of assets cash flows alongside fixed scheduled
payments to the Class A Notes. The transaction is exposed to
payment disruption risk given the unrated servicer and the lack of
back-up servicer. In mitigation Five Sigma Finance Limited will act
as back-up servicer facilitator and U.S. Bank Global Corporate
Trust Limited will be the cash manager. Another relative weakness
are the seller's representations and warranties. The seller, via
More 2 Life Ltd., provides representations and warranties that are
time and quantum limited. Given that the timing of the repayment of
UK equity release mortgage loans is highly uncertain and can be
outstanding for many years without any borrower interaction, this
is considered a weakness. The heightened governance risk and
exposure to servicing disruption risk has constrained the notes'
maximum achievable rating to Aa3.
Various structural features have been included in the transaction
in addition to the liquidity reserve fund to protect the Class A
noteholders, including the initiation of a reserve fund linked to
the house price index (HPI), and another linked to the speed of the
pool's redemption. There is also a tail-end reserve fund, activated
following the full repayment of the Class B Notes, if either the
HPI or redemption levels breach prescribed triggers. The other
classes benefit from subordination of more junior classes of Notes,
but do not benefit from other sources of liquidity other than
cashflows from the securitised portfolio.
This reverse mortgage transaction is exposed to social risks
related to demographic and social trends. In particular, mortality
rates are a key rating driver of this asset class, as are trends
related to the timing of when borrowers move to long-term care
facilities (morbidity events). The transaction is also exposed to
governance risk related to transaction's complexity, oversight by
independent third parties of complicated transaction computations,
and key transaction parties' capabilities being weaker compared to
a typical RMBS transaction. The oversight and investor protection
framework is overall considered to have a limited impact on the
current rating, with greater potential for future negative impact
over time.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Reverse
Mortgage Securitizations" published in May 2024.
The analysis undertaken by Moody's at the initial assignment of
ratings for RMBS securities may focus on aspects that become less
relevant or typically remain unchanged during the surveillance
stage.
FACTORS THAT WOULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS:
Factors that may cause an upgrade of the ratings of the notes
include significantly better than expected performance of the pool
together with an increase in credit enhancement of the notes.
Factors that would lead to a downgrade of the ratings include: (i)
increased counterparty risk; (ii) materially higher prepayment or
materially lower mortality rates; (iii) economic conditions being
worse than forecast resulting in lower property values; and (iv)
unforeseen legal challenges or regulatory changes.
*********
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