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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Tuesday, August 19, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 165
Headlines
A Z E R B A I J A N
AZERBAIJAN BUSINESS: S&P Raises Long-Term ICR 'BB', Outlook Stable
B E L A R U S
BELARUSBANK: S&P Withdraws 'CCC/C' Issuer Credit Ratings
G E R M A N Y
SC GERMANY 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB(high) Rating on F Notes
I R E L A N D
ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 2: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Class F-R Notes
ARINI EUROPEAN VI: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Class F Notes
CVC CORDATUS V: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
CVC CORDATUS XXVIII: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
DILOSK RMBS 7: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class E Notes
GROSVENOR PLACE 2025-3: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating to Class F Notes
MADISON PARK XV: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F-R-R Notes
NEUBERGER BERMAN 7: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
K A Z A K H S T A N
PRIVATE COMPANY: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
P O R T U G A L
TAGUS: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class E Notes
R U S S I A
TAJIKISTAN: S&P Affirms 'B/B' Sovereign Credit Ratings
T U R K E Y
FLO MAGAZACILIK: Moody's Withdraws 'B2' Corporate Family Rating
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
CAISTER FINANCE: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
DIGNITY FINANCE: S&P Raises Class B Notes Rating to 'CCC+ (sf)'
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A Z E R B A I J A N
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AZERBAIJAN BUSINESS: S&P Raises Long-Term ICR 'BB', Outlook Stable
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S&P Global Ratings raised its long-term issuer credit rating on
Azerbaijan Business Development Fund (ABDF) to 'BB' from 'BB-'. The
outlook is stable. S&P also affirmed its 'B' short-term rating on
ABDF.
On Jan. 1, 2025, Entrepreneurship Development Fund (EDF) and
Azerbaijan Investment Company (AIC) merged to form Azerbaijan
Business Development Fund (ABDF) under the Ministry of Economy.
In late 2024, EDF wrote off most of its legacy problem loans,
materially improving the combined entity's risk profile.
ABDF was established through the legal merger of EDF and AIC under
the Ministry of Economy on Jan. 1, 2025. The two entities are
currently undergoing operational integration. The formation of the
management board for the combined entity is expected to be
finalized by year-end 2025.
At mid-year 2025, EDF's assets amounted to Azerbaijani new manat
(AZN) 1.05 billion (about $615 million), while AIC's assets totaled
AZN374 million (about $220 million). Both entities support
entrepreneurship and economic diversification in Azerbaijan: EDF
channels government financing at subsidized rates to entrepreneurs
through banks, and AIC takes minority stakes in companies that
produce export-oriented and import-substitution products in
non-oil-and-gas-related industries.
In late 2024 EDF wrote off AZN192 million in fully provisioned
Stage 3 loans to financial institutions that had their licenses
withdrawn between 2016-2020. Thus, by mid-year 2025 its Stage 3
loans declined to AZN9.7 million, accounting for 1.4% of total
loans, from 24% at year-end 2023. This compares favorably to S&P's
current estimate of Stage 3 loans making up 5%-6% in the Azerbaijan
banking sector. Loans disbursed by EDF over the past five years
have demonstrated relatively sound credit quality, with a limited
number of nonperforming loans. Provisions were 3% of total loans at
year-end 2024 and covered Stage 3 loans by 2x.
S&P said, "We note that AIC's legacy primary activity of taking
equity stakes in local businesses has an inherently higher risk
profile than EDF's portfolio of loans to local banks for on-lending
to small and midsize enterprises. That said, we expect the combined
entity's capitalization (as measured by our RAC ratio) to remain
very strong and supportive of the upgrade. We expect ABDF to
publish consolidated audited IFRS financials for 2025 in June
2026.
"The stable outlook reflects our expectation that over the next 12
months both entities will progress with their operational
integration, and ABDF will maintain its very strong capitalization
and contained risk appetite.
"We could consider lowering ABDF's rating if the operational
integration of both entities encounters difficulties and/or the
fund increases its risk profile post-merger and accumulates
material debt.
"We consider an upgrade over the next 12 months unlikely. Over the
longer term, an upgrade would depend on ABDF demonstrating a
consistent record of increasing relevance and importance in its
public policy role, as well as a higher sovereign rating on
Azerbaijan."
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B E L A R U S
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BELARUSBANK: S&P Withdraws 'CCC/C' Issuer Credit Ratings
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings withdrew its 'CCC/C' long- and short-term issuer
credit ratings on two Belarus financial institutions. The
withdrawal follows the EU Council Decision 2025/1471, of July 18,
2025, which amended Decision 2012/642/CFSP of Oct. 15, 2012,
concerning sanctions on Belarus.
The banks affected are:
-- Belagrorpombank JSC; and
-- JSC Savings Bank Belarusbank.
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G E R M A N Y
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SC GERMANY 2023-1: DBRS Confirms BB(high) Rating on F Notes
-----------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH confirmed its credit ratings on the notes
(collectively, the Notes) issued by SC Germany S.A., acting on
behalf and for the account of its Compartment Consumer 2023-1 (the
Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- Class C Notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at BB (high) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal final maturity date. The credit ratings on the Class B
Notes, Class C Notes, Class D Notes, and Class E Notes address the
ultimate payment of interest, the timely payment of interest when
most senior, and the ultimate repayment of principal by the legal
final maturity date. The credit rating on the Class F Notes
addresses the ultimate payment of interest and the ultimate
repayment of principal by the legal final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The credit rating actions follow an annual review of the
transaction and are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of the July 2025 payment date;
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables; and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the Notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a securitization collateralized by a portfolio
of fixed-rate unsecured amortizing personal loans granted without a
specific purpose to private individuals domiciled in Germany and
serviced by Santander Consumer Bank AG (SCB; the originator,
seller, and servicer). The transaction closed in August 2023 with
an initial portfolio of EUR 800 million and included an initial 12-
month revolving period, which ended on the August 2024 payment
date.
Following the end of the revolving period, the Class A, Class B,
Class C, Class D and Class E Notes started amortizing on a pro rata
basis and will continue to do so unless a sequential redemption
event is triggered. Pursuant to the interest priority of payments,
the Class F Notes started amortizing from the first payment date
using available excess spread, with a target amortization schedule
of 20 equal instalments to be paid after the replenishment of the
liquidity reserve.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the July 2025 payment date, loans that were one to two and
two to three months delinquent represented 0.8% and 0.2% of the
portfolio balance, respectively, while loans that were more than
three months delinquent represented 1.0%. Gross cumulative defaults
amounted to 3.4% of the original portfolio balance, of which 0.2%
recovered to date.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS maintained its base case PD and LGD assumption at
4.75% and 84.0%, respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The subordination of the respective junior notes,
over-collateralization of the outstanding collateral portfolio and
Part 2 of the liquidity reserve (as defined in the next paragraph),
provide credit enhancement.
As of the July 2025 payment date, credit enhancement to the Class
A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E and Class F have slightly
increased since the issue date to 25.4%, 20.5%, 15.3%, 10.1%, 4.9%
and 3.5%, respectively from 24.8%, 19.8%, 14.5%, 9.3%, 4.0% and
2.6%, respectively.
The transaction benefits from an amortizing liquidity reserve with
a target balance at 1.5% of the outstanding balance of the Notes
which is replenished in two different positions in the interest
waterfall:
-- Part 1 has required amount equal to 1% of the Notes'
outstanding amount with a floor amount of EUR 3,916,000 and can
cover shortfalls in senior expenses, swap payments, and interest on
the Class A Notes and, if not deferred, interest on the Class B
through Class F Notes.
-- Part 2 has a required amount defined as the difference between
the required aggregate amount and Part 1 and can be used to clear
the remaining shortfalls and any debit in the principal deficiency
ledgers. The excess reserve amount could also cover items below the
reserve replenishment, such as deferred interest on the junior
notes and Class F Notes principal.
Since March 2024 payment date the liquidity reserve was not at its
target and consequently Class F Notes stopped amortizing. As of
July 2025 payment date, the liquidity reserve outstanding amount
was EUR 5.6 million, below its target at EUR 8.5 million.
A commingling reserve is also available to the Issuer if the rating
of Santander Consumer Finance S.A. falls below the required credit
rating or Santander Consumer Finance S.A. ceases to have direct
ownership of at least 50% of the originator. The required amount is
equal to the sum of (A) 1.5 times the scheduled collections for the
next month and (B) 2.75% of the outstanding portfolio balance as at
the preceding payment date.
The Bank of New York Mellon, Frankfurt Branch acts as the account
bank for the transaction. Based on Morningstar DBRS' private credit
rating, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction
documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction
structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the
exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the credit
ratings assigned to the Notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS'
"Legal and Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance
Transactions" methodology.
DZ BANK AG Deutsche Zentral-Genossenschaftsbank, acts as the swap
counterparty for the transaction. Morningstar DBRS reference credit
rating at AA (low) is consistent with the first rating threshold as
described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
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I R E L A N D
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ANCHORAGE CAPITAL 2: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Class F-R Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Anchorage Capital
Europe CLO 2 DAC's class A-R to F-R European cash flow CLO notes,
and the class A loan. At closing, the issuer had unrated
subordinated notes outstanding from the existing transaction and
issued an additional EUR17.60 million of subordinated notes.
This transaction is a reset of an existing transaction that
originally closed on April 20, 2021. The existing classes of notes
will be fully redeemed with the proceeds from the issuance of the
replacement notes on the reset date.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes and loan through collateral
selection, ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,756.27
Default rate dispersion 550.43
Weighted-average life (years) 4.61
Weighted-average life (years) extended
to cover the length of the reinvestment period 4.61
Obligor diversity measure 134.94
Industry diversity measure 18.95
Regional diversity measure 1.20
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 2.86
Actual 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.59
Actual weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.79
Actual weighted-average coupon (%) 5.11
Rationale
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will permanently switch to semiannual payments.
The portfolio's reinvestment period ends approximately 4.5 years
after closing, and its noncall period ends 1.5 years after
closing.
S&P said, "Our ratings reflect our assessment of the collateral
portfolio's credit quality, which has a weighted-average rating of
'B'. The portfolio is well-diversified as of the closing date,
primarily comprising broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior
secured term loans and senior secured bonds. Therefore, we have
conducted our credit and cash flow analysis by applying our
criteria for corporate cash flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR400 million target par
amount, the actual weighted-average spread (3.79%), the actual
weighted-average coupon (5.11%), and the actual weighted-average
recovery rates at all rating levels. We applied various cash flow
stress scenarios, using four different default patterns, in
conjunction with different interest rate stress scenarios for each
liability rating category.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for the class B-R to E-R notes benefits from
break-even default rate (BDR) and scenario default rate cushions
that we would typically consider commensurate with higher ratings
than those assigned. However, as the CLO is still in its
reinvestment phase, during which the transaction's credit risk
profile could deteriorate, we have capped our ratings assigned to
the notes. The class A-R, F-R notes and A loan can withstand
stresses commensurate with the assigned ratings.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on Jan. 15, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio for so
long as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation
to the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain as established by
the initial cash flows for each rating, and it compares that with
the current portfolio's default potential plus par losses to date.
As a result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the
collateral manager may through trading deteriorate the
transaction's current risk profile, as long as the initial ratings
are maintained."
Following the end of the reinvestment period, certain assets can be
substituted as long as they meet the reinvestment criteria.
S&P said, "Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria,
the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned ratings as of the closing date.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote. The issuer is a special-purpose entity that meets our
criteria for bankruptcy remoteness.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class
A-R to F-R notes.
"Following the application of our 'CCC' rating criteria, we
consider that the available credit enhancement for the class F-R
notes is commensurate with the assigned rating.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to provide an indication of
how rising pressures among speculative-grade corporates could
affect our ratings on European CLO transactions, we have also
included the sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-R to E-R
notes based on four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F-R notes."
The transaction securitizes a portfolio of primarily senior secured
leveraged loans and bonds, and it is managed by Anchorage CLO ECM,
LLC.
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit assets from being related
to certain activities, including, obligors deriving revenue from
certain industries like production of palm oil, affecting animal
welfare etc. Accordingly, since the exclusion of assets from these
industries does not result in material differences between the
transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific
adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to account for
any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) enhancement (%) Interest rate§
A-R AAA (sf) 121.00 38.00 3mE +1.38%
A loan AAA (sf) 127.00 38.00 3mE +1.38%
B-R AA (sf) 42.00 27.50 3mE +2.10%
C-R A (sf) 24.00 21.50 3mE +2.50%
D-R BBB- (sf) 29.00 14.25 3mE +3.40%
E-R BB- (sf) 20.00 9.25 3mE +6.00%
F-R B- (sf) 11.00 6.50 3mE +8.52%
Sub. Notes NR 59.60 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-R and B-R notes, and A loan
address timely interest and ultimate principal payments. The
ratings assigned to the class C-R to F-R notes address ultimate
interest and principal payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month Euro Interbank Offered Rate (EURIBOR) when a
frequency switch event occurs.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
3mE--Three-month EURIBOR.
ARINI EUROPEAN VI: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Class F Notes
--------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Arini European
CLO VI DAC's class A, B, C, D, E, and F notes. The issuer also
issued unrated subordinated notes.
This is a European cash flow CLO transaction, securitizing a pool
of primarily syndicated senior secured loans or bonds. The
portfolio's reinvestment period will end approximately 4.51 years
after closing. Under the transaction documents, the rated notes pay
quarterly interest unless there is a frequency switch event.
Following this, the notes will switch to semiannual payment.
The portfolio is well-diversified, primarily comprising broadly
syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and senior
secured bonds. Therefore, S&P has conducted its credit and cash
flow analysis by applying its criteria for corporate cash flow
CDOs.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,662.11
Default rate dispersion 586.25
Weighted-average life (years) excluding
reinvestment period 5.12
Obligor diversity measure 143.25
Industry diversity measure 26.11
Regional diversity measure 1.20
Transaction key metrics
Total par amount (mil. EUR) 400
Defaulted assets (mil. EUR) 0
Number of performing obligors 169
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 0.88
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.92
Target weighted-average spread net of floors (%) 3.74
Target weighted-average coupon (%) 2.25
S&P said, "In our cash flow analysis, we modeled the EUR400 million
target par amount, the target weighted-average spread of 3.39%, the
target weighted-average coupon of 3.90%, and the covenanted
weighted-average recovery rate of 35.92% on the AAA level. For all
the other rated notes, we used the target weighted-average recovery
rates. We applied various cash flow stress scenarios, using four
different default patterns, in conjunction with different interest
rate stress scenarios for each liability rating category.
"Following the application of our structured finance sovereign risk
criteria, the transaction's exposure to country risk is
sufficiently limited at the assigned ratings, as the exposure to
individual sovereigns does not exceed the diversification
thresholds outlined in our criteria.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"The transaction's legal structure is bankruptcy remote, in line
with our legal criteria.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe that our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the class A
to E notes.
"For the class F notes, our credit and cash flow analysis indicates
that the available credit enhancement could withstand stresses
commensurate with a lower rating. However, we have applied our
'CCC' rating criteria, resulting in a 'B- (sf)' rating on this
class of notes."
The ratings uplift for the class F notes reflects several key
factors, including:
-- The class F notes' available credit enhancement, which is in
the same range as that of other CLOs S&P has rated and that has
recently been issued in Europe.
-- The portfolio's average credit quality, which is similar to
other recent CLOs.
-- S&P's model generated break-even default rate at the 'B-'
rating level of 22.38% (for a portfolio with a weighted-average
life of 5.12 years), versus if it was to consider a long-term
sustainable default rate of 3.1% for 5.12 years, which would result
in a target default rate of 15.87%.
-- S&P does not believe that there is a one-in-two chance of this
note defaulting.
-- S&P does not envision this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
-- Following this analysis, S&P considers that the available
credit enhancement for the class F notes is commensurate with the
assigned 'B- (sf)' rating.
S&P said, "Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the
available credit enhancement for the class B to D notes is
commensurate with higher ratings than those we have assigned.
However, as the CLO will have a reinvestment period, during which
the transaction's credit risk profile could deteriorate, we have
capped our ratings on these notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, we have also included the
sensitivity of the ratings on the class A to E notes based on four
hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit or limit assets from being
related to certain industries. Since the exclusion of assets from
these industries does not result in material differences between
the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific
adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to account for
any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
Arini European CLO VI is a European cash flow CLO securitization of
a revolving pool, comprising euro-denominated senior secured loans
and bonds issued mainly by speculative-grade borrowers. Arini
Capital Management US LLC is the collateral manager.
Ratings
Amount
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) Sub (%) Interest rate§
A AAA (sf) 248.00 38.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 1.32%
B AA (sf) 44.00 27.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 2.00%
C A (sf) 24.00 21.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 2.40%
D BBB- (sf) 28.00 14.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 3.45%
E BB- (sf) 18.00 9.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 5.75%
F B- (sf) 12.00 6.50 Three/six-month EURIBOR
plus 8.25%
Sub notes NR 29.70 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A and B notes address timely
interest and ultimate principal payments. The ratings assigned to
the class C to F notes address ultimate interest and principal
payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
CVC CORDATUS V: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
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Fitch Ratings has assigned CVC Cordatus Loan Fund V DAC reset notes
final ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
CVC Cordatus Loan Fund V DAC
Class A-R XS3093346552 LT AAAsf New Rating
Class B-R XS3093345406 LT AAsf New Rating
Class C-R XS3093346719 LT Asf New Rating
Class D-R XS3093345828 LT BBB-sf New Rating
Class E-R XS3093346040 LT BB-sf New Rating
Class F-R XS3093346982 LT B-sf New Rating
Subordinated XS1212474966 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
CVC Cordatus Loan Fund V DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. Note
proceeds have been used to redeem the existing notes, except the
subordinated notes, and to fund the existing portfolio with a
target par of EUR400 million.
The portfolio is actively managed by CVC Credit Partners Investment
Management Limited. The CLO has a five-year reinvestment period and
a 7.5-year weighted average life (WAL) test at closing, which can
be extended 1.5 years after closing, subject to conditions.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The Fitch-weighted
average rating factor of the identified portfolio is 25.5.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch-weighted
average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is 59.6%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction has two matrices
that are effective at closing, corresponding to a 7.5-year WAL and
two different fixed-rate asset limits of 5% and 10%. The
transaction includes two forward matrices corresponding to the same
fixed-rate asset limits but a seven-year WAL, which can be selected
two years after closing, subject to the aggregate collateral
balance (with defaulted obligations carried at collateral value)
being equal to or exceeding the reinvestment target par.
The transaction includes also two extended WAL matrices with the
same fixed rate limits but a nine-year WAL. The switch to these
more conservative matrices allows the manager to step up the WAL
without conditions on the WAL test step-up determination date. The
transaction also has various concentration limits, including a top
10 obligor concentration limit of 20% and maximum exposure to the
three largest Fitch-defined industries of 40%. These covenants
ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The transaction can extend the WAL
test by 18 months, from 1.5 years after closing. The WAL extension
is at the option of the manager, but subject to conditions
including passing the Fitch collateral quality tests, and the
aggregate collateral balance with defaulted assets at their
collateral value being equal to or greater than the reinvestment
target par.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has a five-year
reinvestment period and includes reinvestment criteria similar to
those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on
a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of
the transaction structure against its covenants and portfolio
guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis and matrices analysis is 12
months less than the WAL covenant. This is to account for the
strict reinvestment conditions envisaged by the transaction after
its reinvestment period, which include passing the coverage tests
and the Fitch 'CCC' bucket limitation test after reinvestment, and
a WAL covenant that gradually steps down before and after the end
of the reinvestment period. Fitch believes these conditions would
reduce the effective risk horizon of the portfolio during stress
periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class A-R notes and would
lead to downgrades of up to two notches each for the class B-R,
C-R, D-R and E-R notes and to below 'B-sf' for the class F-R
notes.
Downgrades, which are based on the identified portfolio, may occur
if the loss expectation is larger than assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. The class B-R,
D-R, E-R and F-R notes each have a rating cushion of two notches
and the class C-R notes have a cushion of one notch, due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than
the Fitch-stressed portfolio.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches each for the class A-R, B-R, C-R and D-R notes, and to
below 'B-sf' for the class E-R and F-R notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to two notches each for the notes, except the
'AAAsf' notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from stable portfolio credit quality
and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for CVC Cordatus Loan
Fund V DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
CVC CORDATUS XXVIII: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating to Cl. F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to CVC Cordatus Loan
Fund XXVIII DAC's class A-R, B-R, C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R notes. The
issuer has unrated subordinated notes outstanding from the existing
transaction and also issued EUR1.6 million of additional
subordinated notes.
This transaction is a reset of the already existing transaction
that closed in August 2023. The issuance proceeds of the
refinancing debt were used to redeem the refinanced debt, for which
we withdrew our ratings at the same time, and pay fees and expenses
incurred in connection with the reset.
The ratings assigned to the notes reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which consists primarily of
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which is in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,869.11
Default rate dispersion 516.49
Weighted-average life (years) 4.52
Weighted-average life extended to cover the
length of the reinvestment period (years) 4.52
Obligor diversity measure 120.44
Industry diversity measure 22.23
Regional diversity measure 1.16
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 3.45
Target 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.51
Target weighted-average spread (%) 3.81
Target weighted-average coupon (%) 4.31
Liquidity facility
This transaction has a EUR1.0 million liquidity facility, provided
by The Bank of New York Mellon, with a maximum commitment period of
four years and an option to extend for a further 24 months. The
margin on the facility is 2.50% and drawdowns are limited to the
amount of accrued but unpaid interest on collateral debt
obligations. The liquidity facility is repaid using interest
proceeds in a senior position of the waterfall or repaid directly
from the interest account on a business day earlier than the
payment date. For its cash flow analysis, S&P assumes that the
liquidity facility is fully drawn throughout the six-year period
and that the amount is repaid just before the coverage tests
breach.
Rating rationale
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will switch to semiannual payments. The portfolio's
reinvestment period will end approximately 4.5 years after
closing.
S&P said, "At closing, we expect the portfolio to be
well-diversified, primarily comprising broadly syndicated
speculative-grade senior secured term loans and senior secured
bonds. Therefore, we have conducted our credit and cash flow
analysis by applying our criteria for corporate cash flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR375 million target par
amount, the covenanted weighted-average spread (3.72%), the target
weighted-average coupon (4.31%), and the target weighted-average
recovery rates calculated in line with our CLO criteria for all
rating levels. We applied various cash flow stress scenarios, using
four different default patterns, in conjunction with different
interest rate stress scenarios for each liability rating category.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on Feb. 15, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio for so
long as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation
to the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain as established by
the initial cash flows for each rating, and it compares that with
the current portfolio's default potential plus par losses to date.
As a result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the
collateral manager may through trading deteriorate the
transaction's current risk profile, if the initial ratings are
maintained.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our current counterparty criteria.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, the
transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently mitigated at
the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's legal structure and framework is bankruptcy
remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available
credit enhancement for the class B-R, C-R, and D-R notes could
withstand stresses commensurate with higher rating levels than
those we have assigned. However, as the CLO will be in its
reinvestment phase starting from closing, during which the
transaction's credit risk profile could deteriorate, we have capped
our ratings assigned to the notes.
For the class F-R notes, our credit and cash flow analysis
indicates that the available credit enhancement could withstand
stresses commensurate with a lower rating. However, we have applied
our 'CCC' rating criteria, resulting in a 'B- (sf)' rating on this
class of notes.
The ratings uplift for the class F-R notes reflects several key
factors, including:
-- The class F-R notes' available credit enhancement, which is in
the same range as that of other CLOs S&P has rated and that has
recently been issued in Europe.
-- The portfolio's average credit quality, which is similar to
other recent CLOs.
-- S&P's model generated break-even default rate at the 'B-'
rating level of 22.20% (for a portfolio with a weighted-average
life of 4.5 years), versus if it was to consider a long-term
sustainable default rate of 3.1% for 4.52 years, which would result
in a target default rate of 14.01%.
-- S&P does not believe that there is a one-in-two chance of this
note defaulting.
-- S&P does not envision this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
-- Following this analysis, S&P considers that the available
credit enhancement for the class F-R notes is commensurate with the
assigned 'B- (sf)' rating.
S&P said, "Taking the above factors into account and following our
analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty, operational, and
legal risks, we believe that the assigned ratings are commensurate
with the available credit enhancement for all the rated classes of
notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to provide an indication of
how rising pressures among speculative-grade corporates could
affect our ratings on European CLO transactions, we have also
included the sensitivity of the ratings on the class A-R to E-R
notes based on four hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F-R notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the exposure to environmental, social, and
governance (ESG) credit factors in the transaction as being broadly
in line with our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the
diversity of the assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental
credit factors is viewed as below average, social credit factors
are below average, and governance credit factors are average. For
this transaction, the documents prohibit or limit assets from being
related to certain industries. Since the exclusion of assets from
these industries does not result in material differences between
the transaction and our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific
adjustments have been made in our rating analysis to account for
any ESG-related risks or opportunities."
The transaction securitizes a portfolio of primarily senior secured
leveraged loans and bonds and will be managed CVC Credit Partners
Investment Management Ltd.
Ratings
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) Interest rate§ enhancement (%)
A-R AAA (sf) 228.70 3/6-month EURIBOR + 1.32% 39.01
B-R AA (sf) 43.10 3/6-month EURIBOR + 1.95% 27.52
C-R A (sf) 22.60 3/6-month EURIBOR + 2.30% 21.49
D-R BBB- (sf) 26.20 3/6-month EURIBOR + 3.15% 14.51
E-R BB- (sf) 18.70 3/6-month EURIBOR + 5.75% 9.52
F-R B- (sf) 11.30 3/6-month EURIBOR + 8.54% 6.51
Sub NR 28.70 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A-R and B-R notes address timely
interest and ultimate principal payments. The ratings assigned to
the class C-R, D-R, E-R, and F-R notes address ultimate interest
and principal payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
DILOSK RMBS 7: DBRS Confirms BB Rating on Class E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH took the following credit rating actions on the
notes issued by Dilosk RMBS No. 7 DAC (the Issuer):
-- Class A confirmed at AAA (sf)
-- Class B confirmed at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class C confirmed at A (sf)
-- Class D confirmed at BBB (sf)
-- Class E confirmed at BB (sf)
-- Class F upgraded to B (sf) from B (low) (sf)
Morningstar DBRS also discontinued its credit rating on the Class
X1 notes following its repayment in full at the May 2025 payment
date.
The credit rating on the Class A notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and ultimate payment of principal on or before the
legal final maturity date in November 2062. The credit rating on
the Class B notes addresses the ultimate payment of interest and
principal while junior and the timely payment of interest while the
senior-most class outstanding. The credit ratings on the Class C,
Class D, Class E, and Class F notes address the ultimate payment of
interest and principal.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The credit rating actions follow an annual review of the
transaction and are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults and
losses as of 30 April 2025 (corresponding to the May 2025 payment
date).
-- Portfolio default rate (PD), loss given default (LGD) and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables.
-- Current available credit enhancement (CE) to the notes to cover
the expected losses at their respective credit rating levels at the
May 2025 payment date.
The transaction is a securitization of first-lien buy-to-let
mortgage loans originated and serviced by Dilosk DAC (Dilosk), and
granted to individuals, corporates, and pension trusts in the
Republic of Ireland. All primary servicing activities are delegated
to BCMGlobal under the Master Servicing Agreement with Dilosk. CSC
Capital Markets (Ireland) Limited acts as the back-up servicer
facilitator.
The first optional redemption date is at the payment date in
February 2027, coinciding with a step-up of the margins on the
Class A to Class F notes.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of April 30, 2025, loans two to three months in arrears
represented 0.0% of the outstanding portfolio balance, loans more
than three months in arrears represented 0.2%, and the cumulative
default ratio was 0.0%.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and has updated its base case PD and LGD
assumptions at the B (sf) credit rating level to 1.7% and 10.1%
respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
CE to the notes consists of the subordination of junior classes and
the general reserve fund. As of the May 2025 payment date, CE to
the rated notes increased as follows compared to the last annual
review:
-- CE to the Class A to 14.8% from 12.5%;
-- CE to the Class B to 10.9% from 9.1%;
-- CE to the Class C to 6.4% from 5.1%;
-- CE to the Class D to 3.8% from 2.8%;
-- CE to the Class E to 2.2% from 1.4%; and
-- CE to the Class F to 1.2% from 0.6%.
As of the May 2025 payment date, the general reserve fund was at
its target level of approximately EUR 1.1 million, equal to 1.25%
of the original principal balance of the Class A to F notes, minus
the liquidity reserve target amount. The general reserve fund is
available to cover senior fees, interest, and principal via the
principal deficiency ledgers (PDLs) on the rated notes. As of the
May 2025 payment date, all PDLs were clear.
As of the May 2025 payment date, the liquidity reserve fund was at
its target level of approximately EUR 1.4 million, equal to 1.0% of
the outstanding principal balance of the Class A notes and is
available to cover senior fees and interest on the Class A notes.
The Bank of New York Mellon, Dublin Branch (BNY Mellon) acts as the
account bank for the transaction. Based on the Morningstar DBRS
private credit rating of BNY Mellon, the downgrade provisions
outlined in the transaction documents, and other mitigating factors
inherent in the transaction structure, Morningstar DBRS considers
the risk arising from the exposure to the account bank to be
consistent with the credit rating assigned to the Class A notes, as
described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
GROSVENOR PLACE 2025-3: S&P Assigns B-(sf) Rating to Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its credit ratings to Grosvenor Place
CLO 2025-3 DAC's class A, B, C, D, E, and F notes. At closing, the
issuer also issued unrated subordinated notes.
The ratings reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which is bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which are in line with
S&P's counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor 2,575.52
Default rate dispersion 611.42
Weighted-average life (years) 4.84
Obligor diversity measure 133.23
Industry diversity measure 25.42
Regional diversity measure 1.19
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 0.00
Actual 'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 37.04
Actual weighted-average spread (net of floors; %) 3.65
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will switch to semiannual payments.
The portfolio is well-diversified, primarily comprising broadly
syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and senior
secured bonds. Therefore, S&P has conducted our credit and cash
flow analysis by applying its criteria for corporate cash flow
CDOs.
S&P said, "In our cash flow analysis, we used the EUR400 million
target par amount, the covenanted weighted-average spread (3.55%),
the covenanted weighted-average coupon (4.50%), and the target
weighted-average recovery rates calculated in line with our CLO
criteria for all classes of notes. We applied various cash flow
stress scenarios, using four different default patterns, in
conjunction with different interest rate stress scenarios for each
liability rating category.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on Feb. 15, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio as long
as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation to
the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain--as established
by the initial cash flows for each rating--and compares that with
the current portfolio's default potential plus par losses to date.
As a result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the
collateral manager may through trading deteriorate the
transaction's current risk profile, if the initial ratings are
maintained.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we consider
that the transaction's exposure to country risk is sufficiently
mitigated at the assigned ratings.
"The transaction's documented counterparty replacement and remedy
mechanisms adequately mitigate its exposure to counterparty risk
under our counterparty criteria, and the legal structure and
framework is bankruptcy remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"The CLO is managed by CQS (UK) LLP, and the maximum potential
rating on the liabilities is 'AAA' under our operational risk
criteria.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe the rating is commensurate
with the available credit enhancement for the class A notes. Our
credit and cash flow analysis indicates that the available credit
enhancement for the class B to E notes could withstand stresses
commensurate with higher ratings than those assigned. However, as
the CLO will be in its reinvestment phase starting from
closing--during which the transaction's credit risk profile could
deteriorate--we have capped our ratings on the notes.
"For the class F notes, our credit and cash flow analysis indicates
that the available credit enhancement could withstand stresses
commensurate with a lower rating. However, we have applied our
'CCC' rating criteria, resulting in a 'B- (sf)' rating on this
class of notes."
The ratings uplift for the class F notes reflects several key
factors, including:
-- The class F notes' available credit enhancement, which is in
the same range as that of other CLOs S&P has rated and that has
recently been issued in Europe.
-- The portfolio's average credit quality, which is similar to
other recent CLOs.
-- S&P's model generated break-even default rate at the 'B-'
rating level of 23.62% (for a portfolio with a weighted-average
life of 4.84 years), versus if S&P has to consider a long-term
sustainable default rate of 3.1% for 4.84 years, which would result
in a target default rate of 15.02%.
-- S&P does not believe that there is a one-in-two chance of this
note defaulting.
-- S&P does not envision this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
S&P said, "Following this analysis, we consider that the available
credit enhancement for the class F notes is commensurate with the
assigned 'B- (sf)' rating.
"Given our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our ratings are
commensurate with the available credit enhancement for all the
rated classes of notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to indicate how rising
pressures among speculative-grade corporates could affect our
ratings on European CLO transactions, we also included the
sensitivity of the ratings on class A to E notes based on four
hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F notes."
Grosvenor Place CLO 2025-3 is a European cash flow CLO
securitization of a revolving pool, comprising euro-denominated
senior secured loans and bonds issued mainly by speculative-grade
borrowers. CQS (UK) LLP manages the transaction.
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the transaction's exposure to environmental,
social, and governance (ESG) credit factors as broadly in line with
our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the diversity of the
assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental and social credit
factors is viewed as below average, while governance credit factors
are average. For this transaction, the documents prohibit assets
from being related to certain activities. Accordingly, since the
exclusion of assets from these industries does not result in
material differences between the transaction and our ESG benchmark
for the sector, no specific adjustments have been made in our
rating analysis to account for any ESG-related risks or
opportunities."
Ratings list
Amount Credit
Class Rating* (mil. EUR) Interest rate§ enhancement (%)
A AAA (sf) 248.00 3M EURIBOR plus 1.37% 38.00
B AA (sf) 44.00 3M EURIBOR plus 2.20% 27.00
C A (sf) 24.00 3M EURIBOR plus 2.55% 21.00
D BBB- (sf) 28.00 3M EURIBOR plus 3.60% 14.00
E BB- (sf) 18.00 3M EURIBOR plus 6.10% 9.50
F B- (sf) 12.00 3M EURIBOR plus 8.49% 6.50
Sub. NR 31.00 N/A N/A
*The ratings assigned to the class A and B notes address timely
interest and ultimate principal payments. The ratings assigned to
the class C, D, E, and F notes address ultimate interest and
principal payments.
§The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
3
M--Three-month.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
Sub.--Subordinated.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
MADISON PARK XV: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F-R-R Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Madison Park Euro Funding XV DAC's
refinancing notes a final rating and affirmed the class A-1-R
notes, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Madison Park Euro
Funding XV DAC
A-1-R XS2472843973 LT AAAsf Affirmed AAAsf
A-2-R XS2472844278 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAAsf
A-2-R-R XS3145350222 LT AAAsf New Rating
B-R XS2472844435 LT PIFsf Paid In Full AAsf
B-R-R XS3145350578 LT AAsf New Rating
C-R XS2472844948 LT PIFsf Paid In Full Asf
C-R-R XS3145350735 LT Asf New Rating
D-R XS2472845168 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BBB-sf
D-R-R XS3145351469 LT BBB-sf New Rating
E-R XS2472845325 LT PIFsf Paid In Full BB-sf
E-R-R XS3145352350 LT BB-sf New Rating
F-R XS2472845671 LT PIFsf Paid In Full B-sf
F-R-R XS3145352947 LT B-sf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Madison Park Euro Funding XV DAC is a securitisation of mainly
senior secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of
senior unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans, first-lien last-out
loans and high-yield bonds. The refinancing note proceeds have been
used to redeem the outstanding notes (apart from the class A-1-R
and the subordinated ones) and fund a portfolio with a target par
of EUR400 million. The portfolio is actively managed by Credit
Suisse Asset Management Limited. The CLO will exit its reinvestment
period in July 2027 and has a six-year weighted average life
(WAL).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
'B'/'B-' Portfolio Credit Quality: Fitch places the average credit
quality of obligors at 'B'/'B-'. The weighted average rating
factor, as calculated by Fitch, is 25.8.
High Recovery Expectations: At least 90% of the portfolio comprises
senior secured obligations. Fitch views the recovery prospects for
these assets as more favourable than for second-lien, unsecured and
mezzanine assets. The Fitch-calculated weighted average recovery
rate of the current portfolio is 60.7%.
Diversified Portfolio: The transaction includes two updated Fitch
matrices, effective at closing, corresponding to a six-year WAL,
fixed-rate asset limits at 7.5% and 12.5% and a top 10 obligor
concentration limit at 23%. The transaction includes various
concentration limits in the portfolio, including the maximum
exposure to the three largest Fitch-defined industries in the
portfolio at 42.5%. These covenants ensure the asset portfolio will
not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Affirmation of Non-Refinanced Notes: The non-refinanced notes have
been affirmed with a Stable Outlook in line with their
model-implied rating under the updated matrices.
Transaction Inside Reinvestment Period: The transaction is within
its reinvestment period, which expires in July 2027, and the
manager can reinvest principal proceeds and sale proceeds subject
to compliance with the reinvestment criteria. Given the manager's
ability to reinvest, Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed
portfolio, which tested the notes' achievable ratings across the
matrices, since the portfolio can still migrate to different
collateral quality tests.
Cash Flow Modelling: The transaction needs to satisfy the coverage
tests and the Fitch 'CCC' test after the reinvestment period, among
other reinvestment criteria. Together with a consistently
decreasing WAL, this would reduce the effective risk horizon of the
portfolio during stress periods. However, Fitch used the covenanted
WAL test at closing for the stressed portfolio modelling because
the WAL at closing is already at the floor of six years.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the notes.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of defaults and portfolio deterioration.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to three
notches each for the notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to three notches except for the 'AAAsf' notes, which
are at the highest level on Fitch's rating scale and cannot be
upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing the notes
to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the remaining life of
the transaction. After the end of the reinvestment period, upgrades
may result from a stable portfolio credit quality and deleveraging,
leading to higher credit enhancement and excess spread available to
cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Madison Park Euro Funding XV DAC
Fitch has checked the consistency and plausibility of the
information it has received about the performance of the asset pool
and the transaction. Fitch has not reviewed the results of any
third party assessment of the asset portfolio information or
conducted a review of origination files as part of its ongoing
monitoring.
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Madison Park Euro
Funding XV DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
NEUBERGER BERMAN 7: Fitch Assigns B-sf Final Rating to Cl. F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers Euro CLO
7 DAC final ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Neuberger Berman Loan
Advisers Euro CLO 7 DAC
A-1 XS3058759377 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
A-2 XS3058759534 LT AAAsf New Rating AAA(EXP)sf
B XS3058759880 LT AAsf New Rating AA(EXP)sf
C XS3058760201 LT Asf New Rating A(EXP)sf
D XS3058760466 LT BBB-sf New Rating BBB-(EXP)sf
E XS3058760623 LT BB-sf New Rating BB-(EXP)sf
F XS3058760979 LT B-sf New Rating B-(EXP)sf
Performance
XS3058761605 LT NRsf New Rating
Senior Preferred
Return XS3058761274 LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes
XS3058761860 LT NRsf New Rating NR(EXP)sf
Subordinated Preferred
Return XS3058761431 LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers Euro CLO 7 DAC is a securitisation
of mainly senior secured loans and secured senior bonds (at least
90%), with a component of senior unsecured, mezzanine and
second-lien loans. Note proceeds have been used to fund a portfolio
with a target par of EUR300 million. The portfolio is actively
managed by Neuberger Berman Europe Limited. The CLO has a 4.6-year
reinvestment period and a 7.5-year weighted average life (WAL)
test.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Neutral): Fitch assesses the
average credit quality of obligors to be in the 'B' category. The
Fitch weighted average rating factor of the identified portfolio is
23.6.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations (96% if the class
A-1 investor holds the majority of the class A-1 notes). Fitch
views the recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable
than for second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch
weighted average recovery rate of the identified portfolio is
61.8%.
Diversified Portfolio (Positive): The transaction includes two
matrices that are effective at closing, with fixed-rate limits of
5% and 12.5%. The transaction includes various concentration limits
in the portfolio, including the top 10 obligor concentration limit
at 20% and the maximum exposure to the three largest
(Fitch-defined) industries in the portfolio at 40%. These covenants
ensure the asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive
concentration.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The deal could extend the WAL test
by one year from the date that is one year from closing, if the
collateral principal amount (defaulted obligations at the lower of
their market value and Fitch recovery rate) is at least at the
target par and if the transaction is passing in all its tests.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has an around
4.6-year reinvestment period and reinvestment criteria similar to
those of other European transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on
a stressed-case portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of
the transaction structure against its covenants and portfolio
guidelines.
Cash Flow Modelling (Positive): The WAL used for the transaction's
stress portfolio analysis was reduced by one year, down to 6.5
years. This accounts for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged by the transaction after its reinvestment period. These
conditions include passing both the coverage tests and the Fitch
'CCC' maximum limit, as well as a WAL covenant that progressively
steps down, before and after the end of the reinvestment period.
Fitch believes these conditions would reduce the effective risk
horizon of the portfolio during the stress period.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would lead to downgrades of one notch each for the class
B to E notes, to below 'B-sf' for the class F notes and have no
impact on the class A-1 and A-2 notes.
Based on the identified portfolio, downgrades may occur if the loss
expectation is larger than initially assumed, due to unexpectedly
high levels of default and portfolio deterioration. Due to the
better metrics and shorter life of the identified portfolio than
the Fitch-stressed portfolio, the class B to F notes have two-notch
cushions while the class A-1 and A-2 notes have no rating cushion.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of four notches
for the class B notes, three notches for the class A-1, A-2 and C
notes, two notches for the class D notes and to below 'B-sf' for
the class E and F notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR across all ratings and a 25%
increase in the RRR across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed
portfolio would lead to upgrades of up to three notches for the
notes, except for the 'AAAsf' rated notes, which are at the highest
level on Fitch's scale and cannot be upgraded.
During the reinvestment period, based on the Fitch-stressed
portfolio, upgrades may occur on better-than-expected portfolio
credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, meaning the notes
are able to withstand larger-than-expected losses for the
transaction's remaining life. After the end of the reinvestment
period, upgrades may occur on stable portfolio credit quality and
deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
Neuberger Berman Loan Advisers Euro CLO 7 DAC
The majority of the underlying assets or risk presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Neuberger Berman
Loan Advisers Euro CLO 7 DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
===================
K A Z A K H S T A N
===================
PRIVATE COMPANY: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Private Company BI Development Ltd.'s
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB', with a Stable
Outlook.
The affirmation is underpinned by the Kazakh homebuilder's
prominent position in the expanding local real estate market and
modest leverage. Fitch anticipates that buoyant housing demand in
the largest urban centres of Kazakhstan (BBB/Stable) will support
the group's residential-for-sale projects. Its EBITDA margin should
reduce over the next two years due to a change in product mix,
although Fitch expects it to remain healthy, at over 15%.
The Stable Outlook reflects its expectation that BI Development
will maintain a prudent approach to developments and maintain its
risk-management policy to prevent a build-up of surplus inventory.
Fitch expects financial leverage to remain low and net interest
coverage to be ample.
Key Rating Drivers
Reputable Master Developer: BI Development focuses on the
construction and sale of modern residential apartments in
Kazakhstan's major urban centres. The group has established a
strong reputation as a leading developer, managing all aspects of
large-scale real estate projects, from master planning to
development and management of residential communities. It typically
oversees the project lifecycle, from land acquisition and zoning to
infrastructure delivery and project completion. Its portfolio
ranges from standard to premium apartments at various price points,
with developments generally comprising condominium buildings
averaging 150 units.
Large-scale developments, such as 'Bigville', include schools,
offices and other public facilities and amenities for local
municipalities. Since 2022, the group has expanded its footprint
internationally, with new projects in Uzbekistan (BB/Stable), where
BI Development is active in 14 projects.
Vast Landbank: BI Development's substantial landbank holdings in
Kazakhstan largest cities should allow the group to lower land
expenditure costs and consistently generate stable revenue through
to 2029, supporting scale expansion and greater project
diversification. A large portion of near-term income is already
secured through signed contracts.
Risk Management Policy: The group employs robust internal risk
controls and consistently executes complex developments. To
mitigate risk, large-scale projects are delivered in stages. It
does not set formal presale targets, but structures projects in
phases so that most units are sold during construction before
commencing work on the same or neighbouring sites. For adjacent
sites, BI Development proceeds after achieving sales of at least
50% of the project, or up to 70% for premium residential
developments.
Supportive Housing Demand: Kazakhstan's housing market recorded
modest price growth in 2024. Demand remained concentrated in urban
centres with established infrastructure, such as Almaty, Astana and
the Karaganda Region. The demand is driven by shifting customer
preferences towards modern, high-quality and spacious properties
and increased interest in mixed-use developments. Economic growth,
rising disposable incomes, favourable mortgage conditions and
government initiatives promoting affordable housing continue to
support market activity. The group is well positioned to capture
this expanding demand.
Leverage to Remain Low: BI Development has maintained debt/EBITDA
below 1x during the past two years, declining from 2.4x in 2021,
which had been affected by the Covid-19 pandemic. Fitch forecasts
EBITDA leverage will remain below 1.5x through to 2028, with the
group expected to retain a net cash position. EBITDA net interest
coverage is anticipated to remain ample at above 15x over the next
three years, assuming no major new debt issuance.
Governance Constrained: As a private company, BI Development has a
less robust governance framework and less frequent financial
reporting than rated peers. This includes limited independence of
its board, partial financial disclosure and related-party
transactions in the wider group. These factors have a negative
impact on the credit profile.
Peer Analysis
BI Development's offering is comparable to that of Via Celere
Desarrollos Inmobiliarios, S.A.U. (BB-/Stable) in Spain and AEDAS
Homes, S.A. (BB-/Rating Watch Negative): the two focus on mid- to
high-value, multi-family, multi-storey condominiums in major cities
in their markets. In contrast, UK-based peers Miller Homes Group
(Finco) PLC (B+/Stable) and Maison Bidco Limited (Keepmoat;
BB-/Stable) primarily develop single-family homes in regions
outside London. All the groups address local demand for new
housing: Binghatti Holding Ltd (BB-/Stable) in Dubai, which targets
the mid-market, is expanding into the luxury market to attract high
net worth individuals and investors.
Emaar Properties PJSC (BBB/Stable), Arada Developments LLC
(B+/Stable) and BI Development are master developers, with a focus
on large-scale community projects, resulting in different business
models to most EMEA homebuilders'. Adherence to a pre-sale target
is a key consideration in Fitch's assessment of homebuilder
business profiles, although it often reflects market practice
rather than company-specific policy. There are no regulatory
requirements for pre-sale thresholds ahead of construction in
Kazakhstan.
In France, Kaufman & Broad S.A. (BBB-/Stable) applies an internal
pre-sale target of 60% before acquiring land and starting
construction, supporting its working capital profile. Via Celere
and AEDAS Homes set lower pre-sale thresholds of 30%-50%, which are
typically required by Spanish financial institutions for
development finance.
BI Development's leverage profile, expected to be in a net cash
position, is similar to that of Kaufman & Broad and The Berkeley
Group Holdings plc (BBB-/Stable).
Key Assumptions
Fitch's Key Assumptions Within Its Rating Case for the Issuer
- Revenue growth in 2025 and 2026 driven by record sales in 2024
- EBITDA margin in the mid-teens during 2025-2028
- Dividends payments to increase to about KZT60 billion a year to
2028, in line with the cash flow generated by BI Development
- No M&As over the next four years
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- EBITDA interest coverage below 5x
- EBITDA gross leverage above 2.0x on sustained basis
- Deterioration of the credit profile of Private Company BI Group
Ltd, BI Development's parent company, which may result in the
extraction of funds from the subsidiary
- Shareholder-friendly policy leading to a deterioration of the
financial profile
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Improved corporate governance and transparency
- Further growth in size and diversification leading to the revenue
generation of over EUR1.5 billion
- Consistently positive FCF margins of over 3%
- EBITDA gross leverage below 1.0x on sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
At end-2024, BI Development's liquidity was healthy, with
Fitch-defined readily available cash of KZT320 billion. This is
sufficient to cover short-term debt maturities of about KZT40
billion over the next 12 months. Outstanding bonds (KZT40 billion)
have a maturity of between one and two years, aligned with the
local market practice.
The group also has access to uncommitted revolving credit
facilities from local banks, which is typical in Kazakhstan. Fitch
does not include uncommitted or short-term facilities in its
assessment of BI Development's liquidity. At end-2024, the group's
secured debt amounted to KZT30 billion, around a third of the
outstanding debt.
Issuer Profile
BI Development specialises in building and selling modern
apartments in Kazakhstan's largest conurbations.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
BI Development has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance
Structure as the group is ultimately privately owned, which has a
negative impact on the credit profile, and is relevant to the
ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Private Company BI
Development Ltd. LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
===============
P O R T U G A L
===============
TAGUS: DBRS Confirms B Rating on Class E Notes
----------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH confirmed its credit ratings on the notes
(collectively, the rated notes) issued by Tagus - Sociedade de
Titularizacao de Creditos, S.A., Viriato Finance No. 1 (the
Issuer):
-- Class A notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class B notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class C notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class D notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class E notes at B (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A notes addresses the timely payment
of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal final maturity date in October 2040. The credit ratings
on the Class B, Class C, Class D, and Class E notes address the
ultimate payment of interest while junior to other outstanding
classes of notes but the timely payment of scheduled interest when
they are the senior-most tranche, and the ultimate repayment of
principal by the final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of the June 2025 payment date;
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables; and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the rated notes to
cover the expected losses at their respective credit rating
levels.
The transaction is a securitization of Portuguese unsecured
consumer loan receivables originated by WiZink Bank S.A.U.,
Portuguese Branch. The transaction closed in September 2021 and
included an initial 12-month revolving period, which ended on the
September 2022 payment date, when the rated notes started to
amortize on a pro rata basis. As of the June 2025 payment date, the
EUR 50.2 million portfolio (excluding defaulted receivables)
consisted of fixed-rate unsecured amortizing personal loan
receivables granted without a specific purpose for existing credit
card customers (credito adicional) and further advances (top-up) to
private individuals domiciled in Portugal.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2025 payment date, loans that were one to two months
and two to three months delinquent represented 1.4% and 1.0% of the
portfolio balance, respectively, while loans more than three months
delinquent represented 1.8%. Gross cumulative defaults were 8.3% of
the original portfolio balance, with cumulative recoveries of 71.7%
to date.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and maintained its base case PD and LGD
assumptions at 8.2% and 80.0%, respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The subordination of the junior obligations provides credit
enhancement to the rated notes. As of the June 2025 payment date,
credit enhancement to the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, and
Class E notes was 24.0%, 20.0%, 12.0%, 6.5%, and 3.5%,
respectively. The credit enhancement has remained stable because of
the pro rata amortization mechanism and will continue to remain
stable until a sequential redemption event occurs.
The cash reserve account is available to cover senior expenses and
interest shortfalls on the Class A, Class B, and Class C notes. The
cash reserve account was funded at closing with EUR 1.3 million and
its required balance is set at 1.0% of the outstanding Class A,
Class B, and Class C notes, subject to a EUR 0.7 million floor. The
cash reserve has always been at its target level and, as of the
June 2025 payment date, stood at EUR 0.7 million.
U.S. Bank Europe DAC (previously Elavon Financial Services DAC) is
the account bank provider for the transaction. Based on the
Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on U.S. Bank Europe DAC and
the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents,
Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to
the account bank to be consistent with the credit ratings assigned
to the rated notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
BNP Paribas SA (BNP Paribas) is the swap counterparty for the
transaction. Morningstar DBRS' public credit rating on BNP Paribas
is consistent with the credit ratings assigned to the rated notes,
as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria
for European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
===========
R U S S I A
===========
TAJIKISTAN: S&P Affirms 'B/B' Sovereign Credit Ratings
------------------------------------------------------
On Aug. 15, 2025, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'B' long-term and
'B' short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings
on Tajikistan. The outlook remains stable. The transfer and
convertibility assessment is 'B'.
Outlook
S&P said, "The stable outlook reflects our expectation that
Tajikistan can comfortably meet its moderate debt-servicing needs
over the next 12 months. We also expect that Tajikistan's
government debt will remain low and predominantly concessional,
offsetting risks from the country's structurally volatile external
position."
Downside scenario
S&P said, "We could take a negative rating action should
Tajikistan's external or fiscal performance prove weaker than our
base-case expectations, for example, because of a substantial
slowdown in labor remittances. We could also lower the rating if
the government's financing options tightened, for example, because
of reduced access to concessional funding due to failure to meet
access conditions."
Upside scenario
A positive rating action could result from a sustained improvement
in Tajikistan's governance, transparency, and data disclosure
standards, including in the broader public sector.
Rationale
Tajikistan remains a small land-locked economy with high
transportation costs, and despite rapid expansion of domestic
industrial production, continues to depend on labor remittances
(48% of GDP in 2024), particularly from Russia.
In a bid to enhance domestic energy security and raise renewable
energy export potential, Tajikistan has engaged with concessional
partners to mobilize external financing for its flagship Rogun
Hydro Power Project (HPP). The government negotiated financing
packages with a consortium of multilateral and bilateral partners
to finance about 50% of the estimated $6.4 billion (40% of
projected 2025 GDP) required to complete the project by 2035.
However, there have been delays in unlocking this funding,
particularly from the World Bank, pending completion of remaining
effectiveness conditions.
S&P said, "In our view, Tajikistan's government debt maturity
profile will remain manageable over the next 12 months, owing to
the prevalence of official concessional debt. The government is
repaying is sole outstanding Eurobond in six US$83 million
semiannual installments scheduled to finish in September 2027
through a combination of domestic debt issuance, reserve drawdowns,
and gold sales through the Ministry of Finance. We expect continued
support from multilateral development partners will help the
authorities meet the country's external and fiscal financing
needs."
Institutional and economic profile: Tajikistan's economy relies on
Russia for trade and labor remittances
Preliminary official numbers indicated that Tajikistan's economy
expanded by 8.1% over the first half of 2025. S&P said, "We expect
growth to slow toward 5.5% in 2026-2028, driven by slower private
sector consumption on the back of normalizing remittances.
Industrial production and mining will likely be affected by softer
metal prices. We assume gold prices of $2,900 per ounce (/oz) in
2025, $2,500/oz in 2026, and $2,100/oz in 2027. We also continue to
note shortcomings in Tajikistan's disclosure of national accounts
data."
Sharp increases in wages of migrants and remittances have been
supportive for economic growth in recent years. Financial inflows
including remittances increased by 44% year on year in 2024 (to 48%
of GDP) and another 63% year on year in the first quarter of 2025,
supporting domestic demand for goods and services and propping up
the domestic real estate market. Over 90% of these transfers are
from countries in the Commonwealth of Independent States, mostly
Russia. S&P expects this growth to decelerate due to likely slower
increase of nominal wages in Russia in 2025 and a weaker Russian
ruble exchange rate.
Expanding electricity production is a potential source of growth
and exports beyond our forecast horizon through 2028. Tajikistan
started construction of the Rogun HPP in 2016, disbursing well over
$3 billion since then to finance the project's first two of the six
turbines (the third turbine is expected to be completed in 2025).
Upon its completion, planned for 2035, the project is expected to
increase Tajikistan's existing power generation capacity by more
than 50%, resolving electricity shortage issues and exporting about
60% of its output to Central Asia. However, it remains a costly
project crowding out other domestic capital expenditure of the
government.
The remaining cost to complete the Rogun HPP by 2035 is estimated
at $6.4 billion. Tajikistan's government has negotiated a financing
package with a consortium of multilateral and bilateral partners to
cover about 50% of this cost, with the other half expected to come
from the government's budget and the project's revenue. The
provisional external funding envelope includes $1.5 billion in
nonconcessional loans, $850 million in grant funding, and $550
million in concessional loans. S&P understands that at least a
portion of this grant funding is contingent on Tajikistan's status
as a "least-developed" country, a status likely to be revised in
2026.
Tajikistan continues to maintain a broad policy of international
neutrality. Relations with Russia remain important, both
commercially and militarily, while those with China have
strengthened in recent years following increased inflows of capital
from China to Tajikistan's public infrastructure and mining
projects. In 2025, Tajikistan and neighboring Kyrgyzstan achieved a
major breakthrough in a longstanding border dispute, signing a
border agreement and reopening travel between the two countries.
In S&P's view, Tajikistan's highly centralized decision-making and
untested power succession could undermine the predictability of
policymaking. At the same time, it has provided a certain degree of
political stability. President Emomali Rahmon has dominated
Tajikistan's political landscape since the mid-1990s, when a long
civil war ended and the economy started to recover from the
pronounced recession that followed the dissolution of the Soviet
Union in 1991. The president has ultimate decision-making power and
is serving his fifth consecutive term after his reelection in 2020.
The country's constitution sets no limit on the number of
presidential terms, and the presidential administration controls
strategic decisions and sets the policy agenda.
Flexibility and performance profile: External and fiscal balance
sheets have improved, despite longstanding structural
vulnerabilities
Tajikistan's balance of payments position remains susceptible to
external shocks, reflecting the country's narrow export base, high
dependence on imports, and strong reliance on workers' remittances.
Although trade exposure to neighboring China, Kazakhstan, and
Uzbekistan has increased since the start of the Russia-Ukraine war,
Russia remains one of Tajikistan's largest trading partners,
accounting for about one-quarter of its total trade (mostly fuel
imports) and over 90% of labor remittances.
That said, Tajikistan's external position has strengthened after
posting five consecutive full-year current account surpluses since
2020. S&P said, "We project the current account will remain in
surplus in 2025 and 2026, supported by resilient remittances and
commodity exports. However, we expect a small deficit averaging
about 1.0% of GDP in 2027-2028, in line with our assumption of
normalizing remittance inflows. These inflows, combined with the
central bank's recent monetization of gold purchased from local
producers, helped shore-up foreign currency reserves to a record
high $4.6 billion at the end of March 2025 (covering 7.4 months of
imports of goods and services). We note that gold exports, while
low in recent years, may need to be rerouted in light of recent
uncertainties on U.S. tariffs on Switzerland, where the majority of
Tajikistan's gold is smelted."
S&P said, "In our view, Tajikistan continues to adhere to fiscal
discipline. Strong growth in corporate, property, and nonincome tax
revenue, supported by digitalization initiatives, expansion in
industry and construction, and the scale back of tax incentives
introduced under the 2021 Tax Code allowed the government to keep
fiscal deficits at 1.0%-1.2% of GDP in 2023-2024. On the
expenditure side, a one-time increase in grants supported higher
capital outlays. Overall, we project Tajikistan's fiscal deficit at
1.2% of GDP in 2025, below the IMF program target of 2.5% of GDP,
although we don't rule out additional off-balance-sheet, ad-hoc
expenses related to state-owned enterprises (SOEs).
"We project the general government deficit will gradually widen to
a moderate 2.0%-2.5% of GDP over 2026-2028. In our forecasts, we
assume a decline in mining-related revenue and continued budgeted
capital expenditure for Rogun HPP of about 2%-3% of GDP annually."
A high proportion of central government debt--about 90% of total
debt--is denominated in foreign currency, exposing the government's
balance sheet to exchange rate volatility risks. Because of strong
GDP growth, contained fiscal deficits, and currency appreciation,
net general government debt declined to about 20% of GDP in 2024,
from about 35% in 2021. S&P forecasts a modest rise in the net
debt-to-GDP ratio to a still moderate 26% by 2028, reflecting our
projection of a gradual depreciation of the Tajikistani somoni and
additional external debt accumulation for Rogun HPP.
Tajikistan's $500 million 10-year Eurobond maturing in 2027, issued
to fund the first two turbines of the Rogun HPP, started amortizing
in 2025. Principal payments of $83 million (0.8% of GDP) are being
made in six equal semiannual installments commenced March 2025 and
ending September 2027. Annual interest payments on the bond account
for a modest $35.6 million (0.3% of GDP) based on the bond's
interest rate of 7.125%.
S&P said, "Our assessment of Tajikistan's public finances reflects
material contingent liabilities from SOEs. In our view, high debt
at loss-making SOEs--especially in the energy sector--represents
sizable fiscal risks for the government. We understand some SOEs'
weak financial position requires government intervention to service
their debt. Based on official numbers, we broadly estimate SOEs'
liabilities, including loans, penalties, and arrears, at about 32%
of GDP as of April 1, 2025, of which the majority is due by the
national power company Barqi Tojik. Separately, the government
continues to guarantee external loans for enterprises such as Barqi
Tojik and Khujand Water Supply (amounting to $135 million; 1.0% of
GDP), which we include in our calculation of general government
debt." The government, however, aims to enhance governance and
transparency of the SOE sector through the publication of a
statement of fiscal risks and creation of a single public
depositary for their financial reports.
Barqi Tojik's structural earnings deficit stems from selling
electricity below cost-recovery levels, contributing to significant
arrears to private-sector creditors and suppliers (about 7% of GDP
at year-end 2024). To address this issue, the government, in
collaboration with the World Bank, committed to Barqi Tojik's
financial recovery over 2022-2031. The plan aims to raise average
domestic power tariffs to full cost-recovery levels by 2027, while
reducing the company's technical and commercial losses. To this
end, the government raised electricity prices for residential and
industrial consumers by 16% in 2024 and hiked prices by 15% again
in April 2025.
S&P said, "In our view, Tajikistan's monetary policy effectiveness
remains limited due to the country's shallow capital markets, small
banking system, and high reliance on cash, which comprises
three-quarters of the total money supply. Average inflation
remained flat at 3.6% in 2025, compared with 2024, below that of
regional peers and the lower range of the National Bank of
Tajikistan's (NBT's) target range of 5% plus or minus two
percentage points. We expect headline inflation to gradually
increase toward the NBT's target, supported by gradual relaxation
of monetary policy, a weakening exchange rate, and strong domestic
consumption. In response to subdued price growth, the NBT lowered
its policy rate to 7.75% in August 2025, its third cut in 2025.
"The NBT has increased banking system oversight and tightened
underwriting standards in recent years. However, we think the
financial sector still faces high credit risk due to banks' lending
and underwriting standards, low household wealth, and high credit
concentration. Nonperforming loans declined to 7.0% of total loans
as of March 31, 2025, from a peak of 46.8% at year-end 2016, but
they remain elevated due to banks' exposure to the relatively
loss-making SOEs. Dollarization has been reducing, with
foreign-currency-denominated deposits and loans accounting for
39.5% and 26.4%, respectively, of total deposits and loans as of
March 31, 2025."
In accordance with S&P's relevant policies and procedures, the
Rating Committee was composed of analysts that are qualified to
vote in the committee, with sufficient experience to convey the
appropriate level of knowledge and understanding of the methodology
applicable. At the onset of the committee, the chair confirmed that
the information provided to the Rating Committee by the primary
analyst had been distributed in a timely manner and was sufficient
for Committee members to make an informed decision.
After the primary analyst gave opening remarks and explained the
recommendation, the Committee discussed key rating factors and
critical issues in accordance with the relevant criteria.
Qualitative and quantitative risk factors were considered and
discussed, looking at track-record and forecasts.
The committee's assessment of the key rating factors is reflected
in the Rating Component Scores above.
The chair ensured every voting member was given the opportunity to
articulate his/her opinion. The chair or designee reviewed the
draft report to ensure consistency with the Committee decision. The
views and the decision of the rating committee are summarized in
the above rationale and outlook. The weighting of all rating
factors is described in the methodology used in this rating
action.
Ratings list
Ratings Affirmed
Tajikistan
Sovereign Credit Rating B/Stable/B
Transfer & Convertibility Assessment
Local Currency B
Senior Unsecured B
===========
T U R K E Y
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FLO MAGAZACILIK: Moody's Withdraws 'B2' Corporate Family Rating
---------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has withdrawn the B2 corporate family rating, B2-PD
probability of default rating, and B2 senior unsecured rating of
FLO Magazacilik ve Pazarlama A.S. (FLO). Prior to the withdrawal,
the outlook was stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Moody's have decided to withdraw the ratings because FLO's proposed
transaction ultimately did not close.
Established in 2001, FLO Magazacilik ve Pazarlama A.S. is an
Istanbul-based Turkish retailer that designs, produces and sells
footwear, sportswear, and accessories. The company has a business
model that combines its own, exclusively licensed, private label,
and third party brands.
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
CAISTER FINANCE: S&P Assigns B- (sf) Rating on Class F Notes
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings has assigned its credit ratings to Caister
Finance DAC's class A1, A2, B, C, D, E, and F notes and class A
loan, B loan, C loan, and D loan. The issuer also issued unrated
class R notes at closing.
This is a CMBS transaction backed by a senior loan secured on a
portfolio of 40 properties, which include 39 U.K. holiday parks
operated by the Haven Group and one head office of the Haven Group.
Haven is the U.K.'s largest holiday park operator based on the
number of pitches.
On the closing date, the issuer advanced a GBP1.5428 billion senior
facility A2 loan to Bard Bidco Ltd., the borrower, pursuant to the
facilities agreement.
Certain other lenders also advanced to the borrower a GBP974.4
million senior facility A1 loan. A senior capex facility up to
GBP338.7 million may be advanced after the closing date. The total
senior loan (A1, A2, and capex facility) is GBP2.86 billion.
The issuer advanced a GBP81.2 million facility R loan to the
borrower, which ranks junior to the senior loan.
The issuer also drew down the class A to D tranched loan notes from
their respective lenders.
After the closing date, the issuer may issue additional notes or
tranched loan notes subject to certain conditions being met. These
include obtaining a rating agency confirmation that such additional
issuance will not result in a downgrade or withdrawal of the
current ratings on the debt.
The senior loan provides for cash trap mechanisms if the
loan-to-value (LTV) ratio is greater than 74.5% or if the debt
yield is less than 8.3% before year three of the loan and 9.5% from
year three onward.
The senior loan has an initial term of two years with four one-year
extension options available, subject to the satisfaction of certain
conditions. There is no scheduled amortization during the loan
term.
The portfolio's market value as of Dec. 31, 2024, is GBP3.87
billion, which equates to an LTV ratio of 74% based on the total
senior loan and 65% excluding the capex loan.
S&P said, "Our ratings address the issuer's ability to meet timely
payment of interest on the class A to D debt, ultimate payment of
interest on the class E and F notes, and payment of principal not
later than the legal final maturity in August 2036 on all classes
of debt. For the class F notes, even though they do not pass our
'B' rating level stresses, we have assigned a 'B- (sf)' rating. We
believe this tranche's ability to repay interest and principal does
not rely on favorable economic and financial conditions."
The legal final maturity date is initially August 2035. However,
there is the option to extend the loan's term once by 12 months
beyond the third extended loan maturity date in 2030 if there is
approval by lenders holding 85% of the senior loan. Should the
lenders choose to exercise this option, the legal final maturity
date will be automatically extended to August 2036.
Ratings
Class Rating* Amount (mil. GBP)
A1 Note AAA (sf) 374.90
A2 Note AAA (sf) 0.10
A Loan AAA (sf) 153.00
B Note AA (sf) 122.70
B Loan AA (sf) 41.10
C Note A- (sf) 80.60
C Loan A- (sf) 27.00
D Note BBB- (sf) 201.60
D Loan BBB- (sf) 67.60
E Note BB- (sf) 326.60
F Note B- (sf) 147.60
R Note NR 81.20
*S&P's ratings address timely payment of interest on the class A to
D notes and loans, ultimate payment of interest on the class E and
F notes, and payment of principal not later than the legal final
maturity in August 2036 on all classes of rated debt. The legal
final maturity date is initially in August 2035. However, there is
the option to extend the term of the loan once by 12 months if
approval is obtained by 85% of the lenders. Should the lenders
choose to do so, the legal final maturity will also be extended by
one year. The ratings therefore address repayment of principal by
August 2036.
NR--Not rated.
DIGNITY FINANCE: S&P Raises Class B Notes Rating to 'CCC+ (sf)'
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised to 'BB+ (sf)' from 'B+ (sf)', and to
'CCC+ (sf)' from 'CC (sf)' its credit ratings on Dignity Finance
PLC's class A and class B notes, respectively.
Dignity (2002)'s financial year 2024 performance showed significant
improvement in profitability thanks to the management's
margin-enhancing measures offsetting a decline in volumes across
the business as the U.K. saw a lower-than-expected death rate
during the year. S&P now forecasts a more significant S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA improvement in 2025 and 2026 since its
previous review, on the back of mildly recovering market share and
ongoing operational efficiency efforts. This improvement together
with the class A notes' partial repayments, has improved our DSCR
analysis on the class A notes.
On July 28, 2025, Dignity (2002) Ltd.'s tender offer was completed
and GBP17.24 million of the class A notes were redeemed at 95.7% of
their outstanding principal balance. S&P views this tender offer as
opportunistic, considering the current rating on the class A notes,
secondary market prices, prevailing interest rates, and the notes'
maturity.
Dignity Finance PLC is a corporate securitization of the U.K.
operating business of the funeral service provider Dignity (2002)
Ltd. (Dignity 2002 or the borrower). It originally closed in April
2003 and was last tapped in October 2014.
The transaction features two classes of fixed-rate notes (A and B),
the proceeds of which have been on-lent by the issuer to Dignity
2002 via issuer-borrower loans. The operating cash flows generated
by Dignity 2002 are available to repay its borrowings from the
issuer that, in turn, uses those proceeds to service the notes.
Recent performance and forecast
As of the latest Dignity (2002)'s investor report, for the 52-week
period ended March 28, 2025, the securitization group operates 580
funeral locations (down from 646 as of March 29, 2024) and 44
crematoria (same level as of March 2024).
Dignity (2002)'s 2024 performance showed effectiveness in the
management's margin-enhancing initiatives. It reported S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA of GBP44.8 million with a margin of 13.8%,
representing a 350 basis point improvement from 2023. This is
despite a small decline in revenue driven by a lower-than-expected
death rate in the U.K. affecting volumes across funeral and
cremation services especially in the first half of 2024, and the
company's decision to close 90 less profitable funeral homes,
offset by price increases.
S&P said, "We expect the company during 2025 to regain some of the
market share lost during the reorganization of its operations
(including ensuring a higher funeral home open rate) and as the
management engineers its merchandising and marketing strategy to
expand volume and topline. Given funeral homes' high fixed cost
base, price increases which were fully implemented at the start of
2025 and any additional volumes driven by management initiatives,
along with our assumption of some recovery in the U.K. death rate,
would be highly margin-accretive, as wage and other input costs
remain high. We also expect the high exceptional costs related to
reorganization, redundancy, and legal fees in 2024 (including
GBP16.1 million restructuring costs and GBP6.2 million onerous
provision in covering funeral costs for customers from
non-FCA-compliant funeral plan providers) to taper off in 2025 and
2026.
"As a result, we forecast S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin
to improve to about 17% in 2025 before stabilizing at about 19% in
2026, from 13.8% in 2024. This profitability level is still
structurally lower than the historic level of about 26% before the
regulatory impact began to register in 2021.
"We expect ongoing inflationary costs, and a shift in customer
preferences to lower-margin services including direct cremations,
in a fragmented and regulated market, to continue to constrain
Dignity's further upside to profitability and cash flow generation,
after benefits from management's revenue- and margin-enhancing
remedies annualize. In our base case, cash flow remains thin under
annual financial debt interest, capital expenditure (capex) of
about GBP20 million-GBP25 million, and lease payment of about GBP15
million, leaving little headroom for missteps in operations,
volatility in the macroenvironment, or unexpected regulatory
risk."
Covenants
The financial covenant 1.5x EBITDA DSCR has been satisfied based on
the March 2025 investor report. S&P said, "The restricted payment
condition (RPC) 1.85x EBITDA DSCR and 1.4x free cash flow DSCR have
not been satisfied based on the same report, however given the July
2025 prepayments on the class A notes, we expect the RPC condition
to be satisfied going forward. Once met, excess of cash within the
whole business securitization structure can be released outside of
the securitization group. In our analysis we only gave credit to
core operating cash flows excluding any net proceeds from
disposals."
Business risk profile (BRP)
S&P said, "We continue to assess the borrower's BRP as weak. Our
weak BRP assessment reflects Dignity's single-country exposure to
the U.K. demographic (primarily death rate) and macroeconomic
trends, and regulatory risks. In our view, as U.K. consumers remain
budget-conscious, the unfavorable trend since the pandemic of
consumers shifting to cheaper, lower margin direct cremations or
unattended funerals, coupled with the competitive and regulatory
pressure on pricing in the fragmented market, will still constrain
earnings growth potential for Dignity in the medium term.
"We acknowledge that the company and its relatively new senior
management team has been proactively implementing measures to
recoup market share loss, following the closure of 90 less
profitable funeral homes in 2024, during a year challenged by
lower-than-expected death volumes and still high costs. That said,
we believe the business has limited differentiation potential in
the industry which continues to be crowded. The series of
regulatory reforms from the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA)
and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) since 2021 may have
facilitated some consolidation which we think has more or less
stabilized. Under our corporate securitization methodology, we use
the BRP as a proxy for earnings and cash flow volatility. We assume
that a weak BRP signifies a more volatile business."
Summary of the class A notes prepayments
S&P said, "Under the most recently accepted tender offer,
GBP17,240,535.96 of the outstanding class A notes' balance was
redeemed. Dignity Finance repurchased the selected notes at 95.7%
of the selected class A notes' outstanding principal amount. The
accrued, unpaid interest since the June 30, 2025, interest payment
date (IPD) was also paid as part of the tender offer. We view such
an offer as opportunistic. In our analysis, we considered the
current 'BB+ (sf)' rating on the class A notes as a proxy for our
assessment of whether the proposed cash tender offer is
opportunistic or distressed. After considering the notes' legal
final maturity date, current secondary market prices, and the
discount to par proposed in the tender offer, we view the offer as
opportunistic."
This was a second below par tender offer accepted by Dignity
Finance PLC's class A noteholders. Under the first accepted tender
offer in July 2024, GBP67.024 million of the outstanding class A
notes' balance was redeemed at 97% of the selected class A notes'
outstanding principal amount.
After the payments made on the June 2024 IPD (GBP15.6 million) and
the completion of the two tender offers (GBP67.024 + GBP17.24
million), the class A notes redeemed by an additional GBP99.864
million between June 2024 and July 2025. The class A notes' balance
currently stands at GBP39.4million. The proceeds to redeem the
class A notes, in aggregate about GBP97.1 million, were funded from
net available surplus funds from a funeral plan trust and
unutilized net sale proceeds. Following the early class A notes'
prepayments, the notes debt service per annum (principal plus
interest) reduced to about GBP5 million this year from about
GBP16.0 million last year.
Rating Rationale
Dignity Finance's primary sources of funds for principal and
interest payments on the notes are the loans' interest and
principal payments from the borrower and any amounts available
under the GBP55 million tranched liquidity facility. S&P said, "Our
ratings address the timely payment of interest and principal due on
the notes. They are based primarily on our ongoing assessment of
the borrowing group's underlying BRP, the integrity of the
transaction's legal and tax structure, and the robustness of
operating cash flows supported by structural enhancements."
S&P said, "We applied our corporate securitization criteria as part
of our rating analysis of the notes in this transaction. As part of
our analysis, we assess whether the operating cash flows generated
by the borrower are sufficient to make the payments required under
the notes' loan agreements by using a DSCR analysis under a
base-case and a downside scenario. Our view of the borrowing
group's potential to generate cash flows is informed by our
base-case operating cash flow projection and our assessment of its
BRP, which we derive using our corporate methodology.
"Low DSCRs in our base-case analysis for the class B notes results
in our rating on this class reflecting the creditworthiness of the
borrowing group. We consider these notes to be vulnerable and
dependent upon favorable business, financial, and economic
conditions to pay timely interest and ultimate principal."
Counterparty risk
S&P's ratings are not currently constrained by the ratings on any
of the counterparties, including the liquidity facility, and bank
account providers.
Outlook
S&P said, "We expect the business to focus on turning around the
business and mildly expanding market share with the agility to
accommodate shifting consumer preferences and ongoing improvement
in efficiency of its operations, underpinning margin improvement in
the next 12-18 months and growing the maintenance covenant
headroom. We also expect the company to be able to rebuild organic
cash flow generation that is sufficient to sustain operations and
cover payment obligations."
Downside scenario
S&P said, "We could lower our rating on the class A notes if our
minimum projected DSCRs fall below 1.5:1 in our base-case scenario
or if it 1.30:1 in our downside scenario. This would most likely
happen in the scenario of shortfall in the company's operating
performance and cash flow generation that leads to deterioration in
liquidity and heightened likelihood of payment default or
distressed exchange, or in a scenario where liquidity facility is
fully used."
Upside scenario
S&P said, "We could raise the rating on the class A notes if
performance improves such that the minimum DCSR for these notes
exceeds the mid-range of 1.5:1-3.5:1 in our base-case scenario. We
could also raise the rating on the class B notes if our assessment
of the borrower's overall creditworthiness improves, as the rating
uplift is currently limited."
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
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Editors.
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