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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Monday, August 11, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 159
Headlines
A U S T R I A
ALLWYN INTERNATIONAL: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' IDR, Outlook Positive
A Z E R B A I J A N
AFB BANK: Fitch Assigns 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
B U L G A R I A
NATSIONALNA ELEKTRICHESKA: S&P Affirms 'BB' ICR, Outlook Now Stable
F R A N C E
NORIA 2021: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class F Notes
NORIA 2023: DBRS Cuts Class F Notes Rating to B(low)
REXEL SA: Moody's Affirms 'Ba1' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
G E R M A N Y
CECONOMY AG: Fitch Puts 'BB' Long-Term IDR on Watch Positive
I R E L A N D
MALLINCKRODT PLC: Court Confirms Resolution on Capital Reduction
PURPLE FINANCE 2: Moody's Affirms B1 Rating on EUR11.6MM F Notes
THUNDER LOGISTICS 2024-1: DBRS Puts BB(low) Rating Under Review Neg
I T A L Y
PIAGGIO: S&P Affirms 'BB-' Sr. Unsec. Notes Rating, Outlook Now Neg
L U X E M B O U R G
OHI GROUP: S&P Alters Outlook to Stable, Affirms 'B' LT ICR
N E T H E R L A N D S
DUTCH MORTGAGE 2024-1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on E Notes
S P A I N
PROSIL AQUISITION: DBRS Cuts Class A Notes Rating to B(high)
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
29 BUCKLAND: Opus Restructuring Named as Joint Administrators
APD LIMITED: FRP Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
CENERGIST LIMITED: Interpath Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
ENERGEAN PLC: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
GUSTO RESTAURANTS: Interpath Named as Joint Administrators
MALDON METALS: Carter Clark Named as Joint Administrators
NTS 247: Antony Batty Named as Administrators
PARK CHINOIS: FRP Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
POLARIS 2025-2: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class F Notes
SECRET6 GROUP: Azets Holding Named as Joint Administrators
UGGBUGG FASHION: KR8 Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
UNIQUE PROPERTY: Forvis Mazars Named as Administrators
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A U S T R I A
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ALLWYN INTERNATIONAL: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' IDR, Outlook Positive
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Allwyn International AG's new EUR600
million senior secured notes due 2031 a 'BB-' rating with a
Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. Fitch has also affirmed Allwyn's
Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB-' with a Positive
Outlook. The notes were issued by fully owned subsidiary, Allwyn
Entertainment Financing (UK) plc.
The Positive Outlook reflects Allwyn's strong deleveraging profile
after the forecast large investment of 2025 and 2026, in particular
its share of payments for the Italian lottery license. Its
financial policy remains one of the main rating drivers as
higher-than-forecast cash up-streamed to ultimate shareholders or
unanticipated large debt-funded expansion could affect free cash
flow (FCF) generation and deleveraging and lead to the Outlook
being revised to Stable.
Allwyn's IDR reflects its solid business profile, with increasing
product and geographical diversification and scale in the last five
years. It includes its assumption of material operating
profitability improvement of the United Kingdom National Lottery
(UKNL) license in 2025 and resilient performance of Kaizen Gaming
International in Brazil.
Key Rating Drivers
Business Profile Further Streamlined: Allwyn recently announced
further streamlining of its group structure, through the sale of
its Australian and German land-based casinos and acquisition of the
remaining minority stake in Stoiximan via OPAP S.A., Allwyn's
majority-owned subsidiary in Greece. The announced disposals will
reduce Allwyn's exposure to the land-based casino market, which
Fitch views as stagnating, and the consolidation of the full
Stoiximan stake will reduce cash dividends to minority
stakeholders.
License Payments Affecting FCF: The renewal cost of Lottoitalia's
lottery license in Italy will be higher than its previous forecast,
with Allwyn's 32.5% share of renewal costs EUR725 million. Fitch
estimates that most of these license payments, or EUR465million,
will be made in 2026, resulting in its forecast of one-off negative
FCF margins in 2025 and 2026. Fitch assumes that in the absence of
large discretionary outflows, Allwyn should be able to generate
healthy FCF margins in the mid-to-high single digits from 2027.
Affiliates Dividends Aid Deleveraging: Allwyn's net proportional
EBITDAR leverage was strong in 2024 at 3.5x on the back of higher
than estimated dividends from affiliates. In 2025, Fitch expects
leverage to temporarily increase above the positive sensitivity of
4.5x, reaching 4.9x, due to a large cash outlay for the Italian
lottery tender, alongside the planned acquisition of Novibet that
Fitch assumes will be primarily debt-funded. However, continuously
increasing dividends from equity-owned operations over 2026-2027
combined with steadily growing Fitch-calculated proportionally
consolidated earnings should support deleveraging to 4.5x in 2026
and 4.0x in 2027, based on its assumptions.
Financial Policy Key for Rating: Allwyn's FCF before dividends
remains strong, due to the high profitability of its core
businesses and steady dividends from operating companies. This is
sufficient to service debt and maintenance capex but is outweighed
by forecast high dividend payments and discretionary investments,
leading to negative FCF in 2025-2026. This means material
deviations from Allwyn's financial policy - including an
established consolidated net leverage target of 2.5x and dividend
guidance of EUR200 million-300 million a year - could hinder
deleveraging and leave little room to absorb operating
underperformance.
Limited Regulation Risk for Lotteries: Allwyn continued to generate
over 70% of its gross gaming revenues from its lottery business in
2024. Fitch continues to view this as a more stable gaming segment,
growing slightly more slowly than online sports betting and
iGaming, but less exposed to player safety regulations and fiscal
risks due to sizeable upfront license payments.
Expansionary Business Growth to Continue: Fitch expects modest
growth in the lottery market, so anticipate growth will primarily
be driven by new and recent acquisitions, alongside the
consolidation of partially owned stakes. Fitch includes in its
forecast about EUR500 million of M&A spend in 2025, followed by
EUR100 million-200 million a year in 2026-2029. Within the
company's existing businesses, Fitch expects growth to come from an
increasing share of non-lottery gaming revenues and increased
penetration of online channels for lottery operations.
Peer Analysis
Allwyn's EBITDAR margins are strong relative to other Fitch-rated
B2C-focused operators, such as Flutter Entertainment plc
(BBB-/Stable), Entain plc (BB/Stable) and evoke plc (B+/Negative),
which are among the five largest iGaming and online sportsbook
operators in Europe.
Allwyn has a high portion of lottery revenue, which is less
volatile and less exposed to regulatory risks, and has good
geographical diversification across Europe, with monopoly or
leadership positions within its market segments. It also has a
presence in the US and Latin America. However, its revenue
diversification is still slightly weaker than the multi-regional
revenue bases of Flutter and Entain.
Allwyn has larger scale and geographic diversification than Betclic
Everest Group (BB-/Stable). This is offset by a less conservative
financial policy and materially higher leverage, resulting in the
same rating.
Key Assumptions
Fitch's Key Assumptions Within its Rating Case for the Issuer:
- Low-to-mid single-digit organic revenue growth in 2025-2026 on
increased online volume in the core markets of the Czech Republic
and Greece, with the extent of growth depending on local platform
strength. It will also be fueled by revenue growth from the ramp-up
of UKNL operations. Low-single-digit revenue decline in Austria due
to assets disposal
- Consolidated EBITDA margin improving to above 28% by 2029, from
27% in 2025
- Material dividends from equity-owned businesses due to strong
operational performance in Brazil and stable performance in Italy
- Ordinary dividend payments to ultimate shareholders of EUR300
million a year. Extraordinary dividends of EUR200 million-400
million a year in 2027-2029, assuming that surplus cash generated
is paid out as dividends
- Consolidation of Novibet from 2026
- Bolt-on acquisitions of EUR150 million a year at an enterprise
value of 10.0x EBITDA over 2026-2029 (net of proceeds from assets
sale)
Recovery Analysis
Fitch rates the senior secured debt of Allwyn, issued by Allwyn
International AG, Allwyn Entertainment Financing (UK) plc and
Allwyn Entertainment Financing (US) LLC, at 'BB-'/'RR4', the same
level as Allwyn's IDR. Fitch did not apply any notching of the
instrument rating from the IDR, due to the subordination of senior
secured debt to reduced, but still meaningful levels, of operating
companies' debt, the absence of guarantees and collateral from
operating companies, and a material portion of dividend payments
from subsidiaries to minority shareholders.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Deterioration of operating performance leading to consistently
negative pre-dividend FCF
- A more aggressive financial policy, reflected in proportional
lease-adjusted net debt being consistently above 5.5x proportional
EBITDAR
- EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage below 2.5x, and gross
dividend/interest at holding company of less than 2.0x on a
sustained basis
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Further strengthening of operations, with increased access to
respective cash flows, and debt structure simplification
- Sound financial discipline leading to proportional lease-adjusted
net debt trending below 4.5x proportional EBITDAR
- EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage above 3.0x, and gross
dividend/gross interest at holding company of more than 2.5x on a
sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Fitch estimates that Allwyn had sound liquidity at end-2024, with
around EUR1 billion of Fitch-calculated cash and operating
companies' cash balances at year-end adjusted for minority stake
ownership. In July 2025, the company increased its revolving credit
facility to EUR350 million and extended its maturity to 2030. It
also had EUR560 million other undrawn facilities and EUR312 million
of facilities at subsidiaries after the July refinancing.
Debt maturities were evenly balanced at end-March 2025, with less
than 10% of consolidated debt maturing before 2028 following the
completed refinancing in July 2025. Major maturities start only
from 2029. Allwyn's solid access to debt capital markets will keep
refinancing risk manageable.
Issuer Profile
Allwyn is the largest European private lottery operator, holding
leading or monopolistic positions in Austria, the Czech Republic,
Greece, Cyprus, the UK and Italy. It is present in the US since its
acquisition of Camelot LS Group.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
In accordance with Fitch's Corporate Rating Criteria, Fitch uses
proportional consolidation for not fully owned assets to arrive at
lease-adjusted net debt and EBITDAR for its assessment of leverage
metrics used in the Rating Sensitivities.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
Allwyn has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Group Structure, due
to substantial minority positions in some of its consolidated
assets as well as material contribution of equity-owned businesses
to cash flows, which can lead to high volatility in underlying cash
flows. This has a negative impact on the credit profile, and is
relevant to the ratings in conjunction with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Allwyn International AG LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed RR4 BB-
Allwyn Entertainment
Financing (UK) plc
senior secured LT BB- New Rating RR4
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed RR4 BB-
Allwyn Entertainment
Financing (US) LLC
senior secured LT BB- Affirmed RR4 BB-
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A Z E R B A I J A N
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AFB BANK: Fitch Assigns 'B' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
---------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Azerbaijan-based AFB Bank Open Joint
Stock Company (AFB) Long-Term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of 'B'
with Stable Outlooks. Fitch has also assigned AFB a Viability
Rating (VR) of 'b' and Government Support Rating (GSR) of 'no
support'.
Key Rating Drivers
AFB's 'B' LT IDRs are driven by its intrinsic creditworthiness, as
captured by its 'b' VR. The VR reflects a limited domestic
franchise, business concentrations, and weak, although improving,
loan quality. These factors are balanced by reasonable
profitability, strong capitalisation, and adequate liquidity
buffers.
Moderating Growth; Retail Lending Risks: Fitch projects
Azerbaijan's GDP growth to decelerate to 3.5% in 2025 and 2.5% in
2026 (from 4.1% in 2024), reflecting a slowdown in the oil and gas
sector amid lower global prices. The banking sector's average
metrics have improved since 2017, with lowered loan dollarisation
and reduced legacy asset-quality risks. However, the rapid
expansion of retail lending since 2021 could pose overheating
risks, although the central bank takes proactive measures to
mitigate credit risk in this segment.
Limited Franchise: AFB is a small bank, making up less than 1% of
sector assets and deposits at end-1H25. The bank is developing
retail lending (end-2024: 49% of gross loans), dominated by
low-risk mortgages (76% of total). The corporate franchise is
designed around companies affiliated with a large local
conglomerate, resulting in high business model concentrations. AFB
is owned by a local prominent businessman, and its strategy for the
coming years aims at improving performance through greater
diversification of its banking operations.
Vulnerable Risk Profile: Fitch assesses AFB's underwriting
standards as weak, due to sizable single-name loan concentrations,
translating into volatile loan quality and growth. Fitch estimates
that the 25 largest borrower groups exceeded 70% of the corporate
and SME portfolio at end-2024, with the bulk comprising
relationship-based exposures. Fitch expects loan growth to
accelerate to above 20% a year in 2025 and 2026 (2024: 1.7%), in
line with the bank's expansion strategy, mainly driven by retail
and SME lending.
High Impaired Loans; Moderate Coverage: Impaired loans (Stage 3
under IFRS 9) decreased slightly to 14.4% of gross loans at
end-2024 (end-2023: 15.6%), supported by large write-offs (2024:
7.6% of average loans). Stage 2 loans remained a low 1.4% of gross
loans at end-2024 (end-2023: 2%). Total reserve coverage of Stage 3
loans reduced to an acceptable 60% at end-2024 (end-2023: 86%).
Fitch expects the bank's impaired loans ratio to decrease gradually
to 10% in 2025 and 2026, supported by resumed loan growth.
Good Profitability But Volatile: The bank's pre-impairment
operating profit exceeded 3% of average loans in 2022-2024, after
being negative in 2021. However, this provides only a moderate
buffer to absorb credit losses, given AFB's high loan
concentrations. The operating profit/risk-weighted assets (RWAs)
ratio gradually reduced to a still-adequate 2.9% in 2024 (2021:
7.3%), and Fitch expects it to normalise at 2% in 2025-2026, due to
higher credit losses.
Solid Capital Buffer: AFB's Fitch Core Capital (FCC) ratio declined
to a still robust 36% at end-2024 (end-2023: 39%), due to full
distribution of 2023 net income as dividends and 3% RWAs growth.
The regulatory Tier 1 capital ratio was also high at 32% at
end-1H25. In its view, AFB's capital buffer will be partly used for
substantial loan growth in 2025 and 2026. However, the FCC ratio
will likely stay above 20%, and could be supported by a capital
injection from the major shareholder.
Concentrated Deposits; Ample Liquidity: Customer deposits made up
61% of liabilities at end-2024, while wholesale funds accounted for
a notable 36%. The latter primarily comprises low-cost, long-term
loans from state development institutions. The deposit base is
highly concentrated by name, including related parties and
companies affiliated with a conglomerate. The bank's liquidity
buffer was adequate at end-2024, covering 48% of deposits.
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
AFB's VR and Long-Term IDRs could be downgraded on a material
weakening of capitalisation due to for instance, loss-making
performance or rapid loan growth. Furthermore, a significant
weakening of liquidity, particularly as a consequence of
substantial deposit outflows from the largest corporate customers,
could also be credit negative.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upside potential for AFB's VR and Long-Term IDRs is limited and
would necessitate a substantial strengthening of the commercial
franchise, a more diversified business model, and material
enhancements to its risk management framework.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
The bank's 'B' Short-Term IDRs are the only possible option mapping
to the 'B' Long-Term IDRs.
AFB's GSR of 'no support' reflects its view that state support is
unlikely to be available to Azerbaijani banks due to the
authorities' patchy record of support to the banking sector, as
well as AFB's limited systemic importance. Potential for support
from the bank's private shareholders cannot be reliably assessed.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The Short-Term IDRs are sensitive to changes in the bank's
Long-Term IDRs.
Upside to the bank's GSR is limited unless there is a record of
timely and sufficient capital support from state authorities being
provided to privately owned banks.
VR ADJUSTMENTS
The earnings and profitability score of 'b+' is below the 'bbb'
category implied score because of the following adjustment earnings
stability (negative).
The capitalisation and leverage score of 'b+' is below the 'bbb'
category implied score because of the following adjustment reason:
size of capital base (negative).
The funding and liquidity score of 'b' is below the 'bb' category
category implied score because of the following adjustment reason:
deposit structure (negative).
Date of Relevant Committee
29 July 2025
ESG Considerations
AFB has an ESG Relevance Score of '4' for Governance Structure, due
to weaknesses in governance and controls leading to risks of high
relationship-based lending. This factor has a negative impact on
the credit profile and is relevant to the ratings in conjunction
with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
AFB Bank Open Joint
Stock Company LT IDR B New Rating WD
ST IDR B New Rating WD
LC LT IDR B New Rating
LC ST IDR B New Rating
Viability b New Rating WD
Government Support ns New Rating
===============
B U L G A R I A
===============
NATSIONALNA ELEKTRICHESKA: S&P Affirms 'BB' ICR, Outlook Now Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook on NEK to stable from
positive and affirmed its 'BB' long-term issuer credit rating on
Natsionalna Elektricheska Kompania (NEK).
The stable outlook reflects S&P's view that the FFO to debt of
NEK's parent, BEH, remains about 35%, with uncertainties weighting
on the group's future earnings.
The postponement of the Bulgarian electricity market's
liberalization for households to an indefinite date and the
lowering of the price caps applied to national generators' earnings
raises uncertainties about the future revenue and EBITDA of
state-owned company Bulgarian Energy Holding (BEH or the group),
the owner of Natsionalna Elektricheska Kompania (NEK).
S&P said, "We revised downward our EBITDA forecast for NEK's parent
BEH following Bulgaria's decision to postpone the liberalization of
the electricity retail market. This leads to weaker revenue than we
expected for BEH as it implies the maintenance of a price cap on
power producers who give the extra revenue from the difference
between market and capped prices as compensation to the Security of
the Electricity System fund (SESF).
The SESF provides end suppliers with the difference between the
market price and the fixed consumer price for households. This
measure aims to mitigate the impact of market fluctuations on
households while gradually moving toward full market
liberalization. As a result, the earnings of BEH's hydro, thermal,
and nuclear power generators are capped. S&P believes that
uncertainties remain over whether the state will terminate the
price cap in 2026, which we reflect in our base case.
"The government lowered the price caps in July 2025, with earnings
from nuclear generation capped at BGN120 per megawatt hour (/MWh)
(BGN1 = EUR0.51), down from BGN150/MWh in 2024 and the first half
of 2025. We expect BGN400 million-BGN600 million in annual EBITDA
from nuclear generation in 2025-2027 (about 35% of BEH's total
EBITDA), compared with our expectation of more than BGN1 billion in
our previous base case.
"We expect NEK to generate higher EBITDA of BGN250 million from
2025 compared with about BGN160 million in 2024 following the
termination of its role as a public supplier for protected
customers in July 2025. NEK now operates as a coordinator,
balancing BEH's power production with demand from end suppliers. We
don't forecast any material profit from this trading activity in
NEK's future EBITDA due to the lack of a track record. Hydro power
plants' earnings have been capped at BGN140/MWh since July 2025,
down from BGN300/MWh in the first half of the year."
Higher capital expenditure (capex) and dividends have led to a
decline in BEH's credit measures this year, with FFO to debt
averaging 35% in 2025-2027, down from about 60% in 2024. BEH is
progressing with the construction of two new nuclear units at the
Kozloduy site, each with a capacity of up to 1.2 gigawatts (GW).
The project schedule anticipates construction starting in 2030 and
commercial operations between 2035 and 2038. BEH should make a
final investment decision by year-end 2026, when we expect clarity
on total capex. S&P said, "However, we already forecast BGN1.2
billion in capex for the project development phase in 2025 and a
total of BGN2.1 billion in capex the same year. We expect capex to
remain at about BGN1 billion in 2026-2027 and dividends at about
BGN600 million-BGN700 million in 2025-2027. We forecast an increase
in net debt to about BGN3.7 billion by 2027 from BGN1.7 billion in
2024. As a result, we consider the group credit worthiness has
weakened."
The Bulgarian government's improved propensity to support BEH
offsets the deterioration in BEH's financial metrics. S&P said, "On
July 10, 2025, we upgraded Bulgaria to 'BBB+' on the confirmation
of its accession to the Eurozone. In our view, Bulgaria's accession
enhances its capacity to support BEH should it come under financial
stress. We continue to believe that there is a moderately high
likelihood that BEH, NEK's 100% owner, would receive support from
the Bulgarian government. This is evident from a track record of
state support despite the unstable domestic political situation. We
observe Bulgaria providing extraordinary support to BEH's
subsidiaries in the form of state guarantees, state loans, and cash
capital injections. Moreover, we expect Bulgaria to extend such
support extend to NEK."
In 2016, NEK received interest-free financial aid directly from the
Bulgarian government. It repaid this in advance in April 2022 using
its own funds and the proceeds of an intercompany loan from BEH.
S&P expects that the government's willingness to provide support
will continue, since BEH maintains its strategic importance for the
country's security of energy supply and strategic energy plan. BEH
is Bulgaria's leading electricity producer, generating about 58% of
the nation's electricity, and the owner of the electricity and gas
transmission systems.
S&P said, "We will, however, closely monitor political
uncertainties and the evolution of the rule of law and
institutional framework in Bulgaria, since these could impair both
the government's willingness to support BEH and the timeliness of
such support. In addition, we will monitor the construction of the
new nuclear reactors in Bulgaria and monitor the state's long-term
support for them, notably through capital injections and state
guarantees, as this will be critical to our view of the group's
credit quality and of the likelihood of government support."
The rating on NEK continues to depend on the supported group credit
profile (GCP) because we regard NEK as a highly strategic
subsidiary of BEH, its sole owner. This reflects NEK's very
important role in Bulgaria's energy system as a hydropower producer
and balancing coordinator for the electricity system, as well as
NEK's transformation from a loss-making operation to a contributor
of close to 20% of BEH's EBITDA in 2025-2027.
NEK's leverage is significantly higher than BEH's but should
gradually reduce once the retail market is liberalized. S&P said,
"All NEK's debt is to its parent BEH, illustrating what we consider
to be ongoing funding support from the parent. In 2025-2027, we
expect NEK's FFO to debt to be 9% on average, compared with 35% for
BEH, constraining NEK's SACP to the 'b' category. Our rating on NEK
includes two notches of uplift for parental support above NEK's
'b+' SACP and we cap the rating at one notch below BEH's supported
GCP."
S&P said, "The stable outlook reflects our view of NEK as a highly
strategic subsidiary of BEH and our view of the group's stable
credit quality. We anticipate that BEH's leverage will increase to
FFO to debt of about 35% from 2025, with no new large debt-financed
projects, continuously high dividend distributions, and adequate
liquidity."
S&P would likely lower the rating on NEK if:
-- BEH's creditworthiness worsens. This could follow weaker
operating performance; higher leverage, such that FFO to debt
remains below 30%; or lower liquidity as a result of electricity
prices dropping below S&P's forecast and the price caps persisting
beyond 2025.
-- S&P no longer saw NEK as highly strategic to BEH, for example
because of operational weaknesses at its hydropower plants or a
lack of support from its parent.
In both cases, we will monitor the Bulgarian government's stability
and its ability to support BEH in a timely manner if needed. S&P
will also monitor any negative intervention by the state beyond the
exceptional measures that it took during the energy crisis with the
continuity of price caps after 2025.
A downgrade of Bulgaria by one notch would not lead to a downgrade
of NEK.
Although unlikely in the short term, a material improvement of
BEH's creditworthiness could trigger an upgrade. Such improvement
could come from BEH deleveraging, with FFO to debt sustainably
above 40%. This could also come from greater stability of the
group's profitability, clarity over the plan to liberalize the
national retail market, and the development of new nuclear power
plants supported by the state.
S&P said, "We could upgrade NEK should we start to regard it as
core to BEH, possibly due to improving profitability and leverage
in line with BEH's profitability and leverage and a materially
higher contribution to BEH's EBITDA. Nevertheless, we wouldn't
upgrade NEK solely because we revised its SACP upward to 'bb-' or
'bb', unless the group's creditworthiness improves at the same
time."
An upgrade of Bulgaria by one notch would not automatically lead to
an upgrade of NEK.
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F R A N C E
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NORIA 2021: DBRS Confirms BB(low) Rating on Class F Notes
---------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH confirmed the credit ratings on the notes
(collectively, the Notes) issued by Noria 2021 (the Issuer), as
follows:
-- Class A Notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C Notes at AA (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes at A (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class F Notes at BB (low) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal maturity date in October 2049. The credit ratings on the
Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, and Class F Notes address the
ultimate payment of interest and ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal maturity date while junior to other outstanding classes
of notes, but the timely payment of scheduled interest when they
are the senior-most tranche.
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of the June 2025 payment date;
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables; and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the Notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a French securitization collateralized by a
portfolio of personal, debt consolidation, and sales finance loans
granted by BNP Paribas Personal Finance (the originator). The
transaction closed in July 2021 with an initial portfolio of EUR
900.1 million and included an initial 11-month revolving period,
which ended on the June 2022 payment date. Following the end of the
revolving period, the Notes have been amortizing on a pro rata
basis and will continue to do so unless a sequential redemption
event is triggered.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2025 payment date, loans that were one to two and
two to three months delinquent represented 1.2% and 0.4% of the
portfolio balance, respectively, while loans that were more than
three months delinquent represented 0.3%. Gross cumulative defaults
amounted to 4.1% of the aggregate initial portfolio balance, with
cumulative recoveries of 19.0% to date.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS maintained its base case PD and LGD assumptions at
4.8% and 58.0%, respectively.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The subordination of the respective junior notes provides credit
enhancement to the rated notes. As of the June 2025 payment date,
credit enhancement to the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class
E, and Class F Notes remained largely unchanged since closing at
28.0%, 23.6%, 15.1%, 10.1%, 7.1%, and 4.6%, respectively, because
of the pro rata amortization of the Notes. If a sequential
redemption event is triggered, the principal repayment of the Notes
will become sequential and nonreversible until the higher-ranked
class of Notes is fully redeemed.
The transaction benefits from a cash reserve equal to 1.0% of the
Class A, Class B, Class C, and Class D Notes' balance, funded by
the seller at closing. This reserve is available to the Issuer only
when the principal collections are not sufficient to cover the
interest deficiencies, which are defined as the shortfalls in
senior expenses, swap payments, and interest on the Class A Notes
and, if not subordinated, interest on the Class B, Class C, and
Class D Notes. As of the June 2025 payment date, the reserve is at
its floor level of EUR 4.05 million.
A commingling reserve facility is also available to the Issuer if
the specially dedicated account bank is rated below the required
credit rating for the account bank or following a breach of its
material obligations. The required amount is equal to the sum of
2.5% of the performing receivables and 0.6% of the outstanding
principal balance of the initial receivables.
BNP Paribas SA acts as the special dedicated account bank and the
account bank for the transaction. Based on Morningstar DBRS'
reference credit rating of AA on BNP Paribas SA (which is one notch
below its Long Term Critical Obligations Rating of AA (high)), the
downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and
other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure,
Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to
the account bank to be consistent with the credit ratings assigned
to the Notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
BNP Paribas Personal Finance acts as the swap counterparty for the
transaction. Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on BNP Paribas
Personal Finance is consistent with the first rating threshold as
described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
NORIA 2023: DBRS Cuts Class F Notes Rating to B(low)
----------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH took the following rating actions on the notes
(collectively, the Rated Notes) issued by Noria 2023 (the Issuer):
-- Class A Notes confirmed at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class B Notes confirmed at A (low) (sf)
-- Class C Notes confirmed at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class D Notes confirmed at BBB (sf)
-- Class E Notes downgraded to BB (low) (sf) from BB (sf)
-- Class F Notes downgraded to B (low) (sf) from BB (low) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal maturity date in October 2040. The credit ratings on the
Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, and Class F Notes address the
ultimate payment of interest and ultimate repayment of principal by
the legal maturity date while junior to other outstanding classes
of notes, but the timely payment of scheduled interest when they
are the senior-most tranche.
The confirmations follow an annual review of the transaction and
are based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of the June 2025 payment date;
-- Probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), and
expected loss assumptions on the remaining receivables; and
-- Current available credit enhancement to the Notes to cover the
expected losses at their respective credit rating levels.
The transaction is a French securitizations collateralized by a
portfolio of personal, debt consolidation, and sales finance loans
granted by BNP Paribas Personal Finance (the originator). The
transaction closed in July 2023 with an initial portfolio of EUR
500.0 million and included an initial 14-month revolving period,
which ended on the September 2024 payment date. Following the end
of the revolving period, the Rated Notes have been amortizing on a
pro rata basis and will continue to do so unless a sequential
redemption event is triggered, in which case the principal
repayment of the Notes will become sequential and nonreversible
until the higher-ranked class of Notes is fully redeemed.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
As of the June 2025 payment date, loans that were one to two and
two to three months delinquent represented 0.6% and 0.2% of the
portfolio balance, respectively, while loans that were more than
three months delinquent represented 0.1%. Gross cumulative defaults
amounted to 2.7% of the aggregate initial portfolio balance, with
cumulative recoveries of 7.3% to date. Despite the relatively high
level of defaults recorded, it is notable that no sequential
redemption event has been triggered so far.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and increased its base case PD assumption to
5.3% from 4.8%, and maintained its base case LGD assumption at
58.0%. The revision is driven by higher than expected levels of
default observed since closing, with monthly defaulted receivables
showing no sign of slowing down at present. Morningstar DBRS will
continue to closely monitor the transaction's performance and will
take further credit rating actions if the performance worsens
beyond our expectations.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT
The subordination of the respective junior notes and the general
reserve provide credit enhancement to the Rated Notes. As of the
June 2025 payment date, credit enhancement to the Class A, Class B,
Class C, Class D, Class E, and Class F Notes decreased to 19.0%,
13.0%, 11.0%, 9.2%, 6.0%, and 5.0%, respectively, from 20.6%,
14.6%, 12.6%, 10.8%, 7.6%, and 6.6%, respectively, at closing two
years ago. As no sequential redemption event has been triggered to
date, the principal repayment of the Rated Notes continues to be on
a pro rata basis. The decreased credit enhancement is a result of
the high defaults recorded since closing, with the general reserve
funds being drawn to clear the principal deficiency sub-ledgers,
which tracks the monthly defaulted receivables balance. As a
result, the general reserve, which was funded to EUR 13.0 million
(2.6% of the initial notes balance at closing) by the seller at
closing, has been decreasing continuously for the past 20 monthly
payment dates and has been diminished to EUR 3.7 million as of the
latest payment date.
The transaction additionally benefits from a liquidity reserve
equal to 1.25% of the Notes' balance, funded by the seller at
closing. This reserve is available to the Issuer only when the
principal collections are not sufficient to cover the interest
deficiencies, which are defined as the shortfalls in senior
expenses, swap payments, and interest on the Class A Notes and, if
not subordinated, interest payments on the Notes. The reserve is
currently at its target level of EUR 4.5 million.
A commingling reserve facility is also available to the Issuer if
the specially dedicated account bank is rated below the required
credit rating for the account bank or following a breach of its
material obligations. The required amount is equal to the sum of
2.5% of the performing receivables and 0.6% of the outstanding
principal balance of the initial receivables.
BNP Paribas SA acts as the special dedicated account bank and the
account bank for the transaction. Based on Morningstar DBRS'
reference credit rating of AA on BNP Paribas SA (which is one notch
below its Long Term Critical Obligations Rating of AA (high)), the
downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction documents, and
other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction structure,
Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the exposure to
the account bank to be consistent with the credit ratings assigned
to the Rated Notes, as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
BNP Paribas Personal Finance acts as the swap counterparty for the
transaction. Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on BNP Paribas
Personal Finance is consistent with the first rating threshold as
described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
REXEL SA: Moody's Affirms 'Ba1' CFR, Outlook Remains Stable
-----------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings of Rexel SA (Rexel),
including the Ba1 corporate family rating, the Ba1-PD probability
of default rating, and the Ba1 ratings on the senior unsecured
notes. The outlook remains stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Rexel's ratings affirmation reflects its robust operating
performance and relative margin resilience, underpinned by
diversified geographic and end-market exposure, disciplined cost
control, and earnings-accretive bolt-on acquisitions.
Rexel has delivered resilient operating results despite market-wide
slowdown in construction activities, outperforming both building
materials peers and direct electrical distributors. Its strong
presence in the fragmented North American market enabled it to
capitalize on double-digit revenue growth from datacenters and
broadband infrastructure expansion, fully offsetting ongoing
structural and regulatory headwinds in Europe and Asia-Pacific.
Margin preservation efforts, including workforce rationalization
and strategic exits from lagging operations in New Zealand and
Finland, contributed to a 31 basis point improvement in company's
EBITA margin in H1 2025 versus H1 2024, effectively offsetting cost
inflation.
Since the beginning of 2024, Rexel completed eight acquisitions
targeting high-growth industrial automation and electrification
markets in North America. While Moody's expects these transactions
to be earnings-accretive, partial debt funding has resulted in
higher leverage and greater reliance on short-term funding. Rexel's
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA rose to 3.6x in LTM June 2025 from
2.6x in LTM June 2023 and its Moody's-adjusted net debt/EBITDA
increased to 3.3x in LTM June 2025 from 2.2x in LTM June 2023.
Moody's expects Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA to peak at around 3.8x
by year-end 2025, before improving to around 3.2x in 2026 as
earnings from bolt-ons are realized. Maintaining financial
discipline — particularly around shareholder distributions and
M&A — will be essential to preserving operating resilience and
ensuring sustainable deleveraging.
RATIONALE OF THE OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Rexel will
sustain solid operating performance and maintain credit metrics
aligned with its Ba1 rating over the next 12 to 18 months. Moody's
expects Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA in the range of 3.0x-3.8x,
Moody's-adjusted EBITDA/interest in the range 6.5x-7.5x, and
continued positive free cash flow (FCF) generation.
The stable outlook also reflects Moody's expectations that the
company will adhere to prudent financial policies, adjusting the
pace of M&A activity and shareholder returns, to align leverage
with its net leverage target below 2.0x (2.4x for LTM June 2025).
LIQUIDITY
Rexel maintains good liquidity. As of June 30, 2025, the company
had access to EUR439 million cash and cash equivalents, a EUR700
million fully undrawn revolving credit facility (RCF), EUR38
million undrawn committed factoring programs and EUR64 million
undrawn bilaterial facilities. In June and July 2025, the company
extended the maturity of its European and US factoring programs by
three years to 2028 and increased total commitments by $80
million.
Rexel faces upcoming debt maturities, including EUR318 million
commercial paper due 2025 and EUR768 million medium-term notes and
drawn factoring facilities due 2026. Moody's expects the company to
refinance or roll over these obligations well ahead of their
maturities. Moody's also expects Rexel to maintain yearly
shareholder distributions, with up to EUR370 million dividend
payments and EUR105 million share buybacks. In parallel, Moody's
anticipates continued market share consolidation through bolt-on
acquisitions of up to EUR350 million each year, primarily funded by
internally generated cash flows. Despite these outflows, Moody's
projects Rexel will maintain its consistent track record of large
positive FCF generation —at EUR170 million in 2025 and EUR413
million in 2026 (Moody's definition and estimate) — and solid
cash balance around EUR560 million by end of 2026.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Rexel's capital structure comprises both financial and operating
liabilities. The financial liabilities include EUR1,400 million
senior unsecured notes, EUR700 million senior unsecured RCF, EUR200
million Schuldschein loans, EUR300 million outstanding commercial
paper, EUR96 million medium-term notes, and EUR194 million bank
borrowings. The operating liabilities include EUR2,384 billion
trade payables, EUR236 million short-term lease obligations, and
EUR89 million pension liabilities.
In Moody's Loss Given Default (LGD) waterfall, Moody's treat these
sizeable operating liabilities as structurally senior to the
unsecured financial liabilities at holding level that do not
benefit from guarantees from the operating subsidiaries. Because of
this structural subordination, Moody's LGD model indicates a Ba2
rating for the senior unsecured notes. However, Moody's applies a
one-notch override to align the senior unsecured notes rating with
the CFR of Ba1. This override reflects Rexel's strong credit
profile and Moody's expectations that, in a downturn, operating
liabilities can be offset by trade receivables and other current
assets, thereby preserving recovery prospects for senior unsecured
noteholders.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive rating pressure could develop if:
-- Rexel continues to demonstrate consistent revenue and earnings
growth, maintaining solid profitability;
-- Rexel maintains prudent financial policies with disciplined
capital allocation, leading to Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA
declining sustainably towards 2.5x; and
-- Moody's-adjusted retained cash flow/debt increases above 25% on
a sustained basis.
Moody's could relax the upgrade factors if Rexel demonstrates a
structurally stronger business profile, with greater resilience
through economic cycles and sustainably higher operating
profitability, in line with its strategy.
Conversely, negative rating pressure would arise if:
-- Rexel demonstrates aggressive financial policies, illustrated
by large debt-funded acquisitions or excessive shareholder
distributions, leading to Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA persistently
above 3.5x;
-- There is evidence of a sustained deterioration in margins;
-- Moody's-adjusted retained cash flow/debt decreases below 15% on
a sustained basis; and
-- Liquidity deteriorates
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Distribution
and Supply Chain Services published in December 2024.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Rexel is a global leading distributor of low and ultra-low voltage
electrical products and integrated solution, serving residential,
commercial, and industrial end-markets. Its core product portfolio
includes cables, lighting, HVAC systems, photovoltaic
installations, industrial automation, and energy efficiency
solutions. Rexel also delivers specialized services in smart
building technologies, datacenters and broadband infrastructure,
and electric vehicle charging infrastructure. In the 12 months
ending June 2025, the company generated EUR19.4 billion sales and
EUR1.5 billion company's reported EBITDA. Rexel has been listed on
Euronext Paris since April 2007, with a 98.8% free float.
=============
G E R M A N Y
=============
CECONOMY AG: Fitch Puts 'BB' Long-Term IDR on Watch Positive
------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has placed Ceconomy AG's 'BB' Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) and senior unsecured rating with a Recovery
Rating of 'RR4' on Rating Watch Positive (RWP).
The placement on RWP follows the signing of investment and
shareholder agreements by JD. com, Inc. It reflects Fitch's
expectations that following the public takeover JD will become a
strategic investor with a stronger credit profile. This will result
in an upgrade of Ceconomy's ratings under Fitch's Parent-Subsidiary
Linkage (PSL) Criteria. Completion of the transaction remains
subject to regulatory approvals and is expected during the first
half of 2026.
Ceconomy's current rating reflects its large-scale,
well-diversified product offering, omnichannel capabilities, and
its pan-European footprint. Fitch expects continued profit
recovery. Rating constraints are low operating margins in a
competitive market, a history of volatile free cash flow (FCF) and
tight EBITDAR fixed-charge cover.
Key Rating Drivers
JD Takeover Rating Positive: The voluntary takeover completion will
likely lead to an upgrade of Ceconomy's 'BB' rating, reflecting
JD's stronger credit profile with the exact notching uplift
dependent on its assessment of legal, strategic and operational
linkages under its PSL Criteria. Based on the announced plan Fitch
expects the strategic incentive to support Ceconomy to be the
strongest, with JD intending to accelerate Ceconomy's growth
strategy and boosting its presence in Europe through its over 1,000
stores and online channel. Fitch also expects Ceconomy to benefit
from JD's knowledge in technology, logistics and supply chain
management.
Stronger New Parent: Fitch considers JD's credit profile stronger
than Ceconomy's, stemming from its leading market position as
largest online retailer in China, greater scale of USD160 billion
revenue and USD6.9 billion EBITDA in 2024, albeit with high
exposure to the single market of China. Nearly half of its revenue
comes from electronics and home appliances sales. JD's EBITDA
margin of about 4% is in line with sector averages, but its
financial profile benefits from a more conservative capital
structure with reported net cash position at end-2024.
Founder family shareholder Convergenta will maintain an about 25.4%
stake, and JD intends to take Ceconomy private by June 2026 from
the current 36% free float. Under existing recent EUR500 million
bond documentation, a change of control clause will be triggered at
30% and while the intention is to maintain existing funding
arrangements, Fitch expects the stronger parent to support Ceconomy
in case of earlier repayment requirement.
Ceconomy To Remain Independent: According to the signed investment
agreement, Ceconomy will remain independently run, with its own
strategy, brands, headquarters and stores, IT systems, no workforce
reductions, board, and no material change to its organisational
structure for at least five years after the completion. JD has
committed to no domination or profit and loss transfer agreement
for three years. This is likely to lead to its assessment of low
operational incentive to support from the new parent under its PSL
Criteria.
Profitability Improvement: Ceconomy operates in the largely
commoditised mass market of appliances and consumer-electronics
retailing, which is exposed to intense competition, limited
customer loyalty and high online market penetration. Its profit
margins are low, but Fitch expects recovery towards 2.5% by the
financial year ending September 2026 (FY26) and forecast EBITDA to
rise towards EUR600 million by FY27 from about EUR360 million in
FY24. This will be aided by a recovery in demand, cost-efficiency
measures, a shift of the product mix to private label and an
increasing contribution from the services and solutions business
and media services.
Leading European Consumer Electronics Retailer: Ceconomy is the
largest consumer electronics retailer in Europe, but Fitch places
its business profile between the 'BBB' and 'BB' categories due to
the fiercely competitive and volatile market. It benefits from a
strong brand name, sizeable operations with a pan-European
footprint, and a well-diversified product offering with adequate
omnichannel capabilities.
Diversification Offsets Macroeconomic Challenges: Geographic
diversification helped Ceconomy offset weak sales in its key German
market during FY23-FY24, where consumers were tightening spending
on major non-discretionary items, with the strength of the Turkish,
Dutch and Spanish markets.
Execution Risks: In its biggest markets, Ceconomy is shifting from
largely relying on third-party distributors and stocking products
in its stores, to a model with one large nationwide hub,
complemented by smaller regional ones. Fitch sees this as having
some execution risks but believe that it will lead to more agile
inventory management, enabling the company to operate with lower
stock, and, once the automation project is implemented, reduced
operating costs. Risks are mitigated by the good progress already
achieved. JD's know-how and technology should help enhance this.
Tight Fixed-Charge Coverage: Fitch sees weak EBITDAR fixed-charge
coverage remaining at around 1.6x-1.8x, corresponding to low 'b'.
This is balanced by an actively managed leased store network,
mitigating the impact of inflation indexation, and broadly flat
lease payments combined with modest cash debt service. Tightening
fixed-charge coverage ratios would signal less effective property
management and could put the ratings under pressure.
Lower Leverage Following Criteria Change: Fitch anticipates EBITDAR
net leverage of near 2x over FY25-FY27, placing Ceconomy's
financial structure score in the 'BBB' rating category. Under its
updated criteria, Fitch uses reported IFRS16 lease liabilities
instead of capitalising lease expense (at 7x multiple previously)
leading to around 2x lower leverage for Ceconomy. Short-term leases
with under three years remaining on average is reflected in IFRS16
based leverage metric, with additional flexibility from early
termination clauses, usually linked to store-based profitability
metrics.
Peer Analysis
Ceconomy's rating combines the 'BBB' traits of its sizeable
operations, market position and product offering, with 'B'
operating profitability and fixed charge coverage. Fitch regards
the highly commoditised consumer electronics markets in which the
company operates as a rating constraint, with exposure to demand
volatility and rising competing online penetration. Consequently,
its credit profile is in line with that of the consumer electronics
retail sub-sector.
Ceconomy's closest Fitch-rated peer is FNAC Darty SA (BB+/Stable),
which is almost three times smaller by revenue but has slightly
stronger profitability due to its greater focus on premium
subsectors, editorial products and subscription services, and a
demonstrated ability to pass on price increases and protect
margins. FNAC's EBITDA margin is higher, reflected in the one-notch
rating differential, although Fitch expects Ceconomy's margin to
gradually improve towards 3%.
Ceconomy has similarly strong positions in its respective markets
as Kingfisher plc (BBB/Stable), the largest DIY group in UK and
Poland, combined with scale and good diversification. Ceconomy's
financial policy of a maximum 2.5x net debt (including leases)/
EBITDAR and well-managed leased property portfolio are positive for
its credit profile, although this is offset by considerably lower
profitability and weaker coverage metrics versus Kingfisher. This
is reflected in the three-notch rating differential.
Pepco Group N.V (BB/Stable), a European value retailer with leading
positions in central and eastern European markets, is smaller in
scale but has stronger growth prospects and higher profit margins
than Ceconomy. Pepco has slightly better coverage metrics and
similar leverage to Ceconomy.
Key Assumptions
- Low single-digit revenue growth over FY25-FY28
- Fitch-defined EBITDA margin to improve to 2% in FY25 and
gradually expand towards 2.5% in FY27
- Marginally positive working capital cash inflow over FY25-FY28
- Capex at around EUR275 million a year over FY25-FY28
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Fitch would remove the RWP if the takeover by JD does not go
ahead
- Decline in profitability and like-for-like sales, for example,
due to increased competition or a poor business mix, with EBITDA
margin remaining below 2%
- EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage below 1.6x
- EBITDAR net leverage consistently above 3.5x
- Mostly negative FCF
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Fitch would look to upgrade Ceconomy's standalone rating when
takeover is approved by the regulator and JD becomes a strategic
investor holding at least 31.7% (equity commitments to sell by
current shareholders) and establishing a PSL relationship. The
extent of the upgrade will depend on its assessment of legal,
strategic and operational linkages with JD after the takeover under
its PSL criteria.
- Improved profitability and like-for-like sales, for example, due
to a strengthened competitive position or an improved business mix,
with Fitch-defined EBITDA margin sustained above 2.5%
- EBITDAR net leverage consistently below 2.5x
- EBITDAR fixed-charge coverage above 2.0x
- Neutral to marginally positive FCF generation and improved cash
flow conversion leading to lower year on year trade working capital
volatility
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Fitch estimates Ceconomy's readily available cash balance at about
EUR1 billion at FYE25, which is adequate for its limited debt
service requirements in the absence of material contractual debt
maturities until FY27. Fitch projects low single-digit FCF margins
before any shareholder distributions.
Ceconomy has access to an undrawn committed revolving credit
facility of EUR900 million due in 2028, as well as a EUR500 million
commercial paper programme to support short-term financing needs
(EUR25 million utilised at March 2025), although Fitch does not
include the latter in its liquidity calculation. Ceconomy has two
bonds outstanding totalling EUR644 million, in addition to three
promissory note loans totalling EUR72 million and a EUR151 million
convertible bond due in 2027.
Under Ceconomy's latest EUR500 million 6.25% senior unsecured bond
due 2029 document, holders can declare the bond due and demand
redemption under a change-of-control clause (30% threshold).
However, to exercise this option under the remaining EUR144 million
bond due in 2026, the threshold is at 50% and a downgrade of the
issuer's or bond's rating must also have occurred.
Fitch does not restrict the cash balance for working capital
purposes, as Fitch views its cash position in the fourth quarter of
its financial year as a fair representation of the average annual
level.
Issuer Profile
Ceconomy is a leading European consumer electronics retailer and
service and solution provider. It operates over 1,000 stores across
Mediamarkt and Saturn brands in 11 countries and generates nearly
25% of sales online.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Ceconomy AG LT IDR BB Rating Watch On BB
senior
unsecured LT BB Rating Watch On RR4 BB
=============
I R E L A N D
=============
MALLINCKRODT PLC: Court Confirms Resolution on Capital Reduction
----------------------------------------------------------------
THE HIGH COURT COMMERCIAL
2025 No. 206 COS
(2025 No. 32 COM)
IN THE MATTER OF MALLINCKRODT PUBLIC LIMITED
COMPANY
AND IN THE MATTER OF THE COMPANIES ACT 2014 AND IN THE MATTER OF A
PROPOSAL FOR A SCHEME OF ARRANGEMENT PURSUANT TO PART 9, CHAPTER 1
OF THE COMPANIES ACT 2014
AND IN THE MATTER OF A PROPOSED REDUCTION OF CAPITAL PURSUANT TO
SECTIONS 84 TO 86 OF THE COMPANIES ACT 2014
An Order of the High Court of Ireland made on July 17, 2025,
confirming a special resolution passed at an extraordinary general
meeting of Mallinckrodt plc on June 13, 2025, by way of resolution
of the members of the Company entitled to receive notice of, attend
and vote at general meetings of the Company, approving the
reduction of the company capital of the Company by the cancellation
of the amount of USD$1,068,266,960.90 standing to the credit of the
Company's share premium account as at May 12, 2025 (the total
balance of the Company's share premium account on such date being
USD$1,068,266,960.90), in accordance with Article 42 of the
Company's Articles of Association, together with the minute
approved by the Court was delivered to the Registrar of Companies
on July 24, 2025.
About Mallinckrodt plc
Mallinckrodt (OTCMKTS: MNKTQ) -- http://www.mallinckrodt.com/-- is
a global business consisting of multiple wholly-owned subsidiaries
that develop, manufacture, market and distribute specialty
pharmaceutical products and therapies. The Company's Specialty
Brands reportable segment's areas of focus include autoimmune and
rare diseases in specialty areas like neurology, rheumatology,
nephrology, pulmonology and ophthalmology; immunotherapy and
neonatal respiratory critical care therapies; analgesics; and
gastrointestinal products. Its Specialty Generics reportable
segment includes specialty generic drugs and active pharmaceutical
ingredients.
On Oct. 12, 2020, Mallinckrodt plc and certain of its affiliates
sought Chapter 11 protection in Delaware (Bankr. D. Del. Lead Case
No. 20-12522) to seek approval of a restructuring that would reduce
total debt by $1.3 billion and resolve opioid-related claims
against them. Mallinckrodt in mid-June 2022 successfully completed
its reorganization process, emerged from Chapter 11 and completed
the Irish Examinership proceedings.
Mallinckrodt Plc said in a regulatory filing in early June 2023
that it was considering a second bankruptcy filing and other
options after its lenders raised concerns over an upcoming $200
million payment related to opioid-related litigation.
Mallinckrodt plc and certain of its affiliates again sought Chapter
11 protection (Bankr. D. Del. Lead Case No. 23-11258) on Aug. 28,
2023. Mallinckrodt disclosed $5,106,900,000 in assets and
$3,512,000,000 in liabilities as of June 30, 2023.
Judge John T. Dorsey oversees the new cases.
In the prior Chapter 11 cases, the Debtors tapped Latham & Watkins,
LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A. as their bankruptcy
counsel; Arthur Cox and Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz as corporate
and finance counsel; Ropes & Gray, LLP as litigation counsel;
Torys, LLP as CCAA counsel; Guggenheim Securities, LLC as
investment banker; and AlixPartners, LLP, as restructuring
advisor.
In the new Chapter 11 cases, the Debtors tapped Latham & Watkins,
LLP and Richards, Layton & Finger, P.A., as their bankruptcy
counsel; Arthur Cox and Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz as corporate
and finance counsel; Guggenheim Securities, LLC as investment
banker; and AlixPartners, LLP, as restructuring advisor. Kroll is
the claims agent.
PURPLE FINANCE 2: Moody's Affirms B1 Rating on EUR11.6MM F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Purple Finance CLO 2 Designated Activity Company:
EUR24,000,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Upgraded to Aa2 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2025
Upgraded to A1 (sf)
EUR23,800,000 Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Upgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2025
Upgraded to Ba1 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR248,000,000 (Current outstanding amount EUR24,186,488) Class A
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2032, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Mar 24, 2025 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
EUR40,700,000 Class B Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due 2032,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2025 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
EUR8,900,000 Class C-1 Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2025
Upgraded to Aaa (sf)
EUR15,000,000 Class C-2 Senior Secured Deferrable Fixed Rate Notes
due 2032, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2025 Upgraded to
Aaa (sf)
EUR11,600,000 Class F Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2032, Affirmed B1 (sf); previously on Mar 24, 2025
Affirmed B1 (sf)
Purple Finance CLO 2 Designated Activity Company, issued in October
2019, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a
portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured European loans. The
portfolio is managed by Ostrum Asset Management with MV Credit
S.a.r.l. acting as a delegated collateral manager for the issuer.
The transaction's reinvestment period ended in October 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class D and Class E notes are primarily
a result of the deleveraging of the Class A notes following
amortisation of the underlying portfolio since the last rating
action in March 2025.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A, Class B, Class C-1,
Class C-2 and Class F notes are primarily a result of the expected
losses on the notes remaining consistent with their current rating
levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest portfolio, its
relevant structural features and its actual over-collateralisation
ratios.
The Class A notes have paid down by approximately EUR98.7 million
(39.8%) since the last rating action in March 2025 and EUR223.8
(90.2%) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the capital
structure. According to the trustee report dated July 2025[1] the
Class A/B, Class C, Class D, Class E and Class F OC ratios are
reported at 212.9%, 168.3%, 139.1%, 118.7% and 110.7% compared to
February 2025[2] levels of 163.4%, 142.6%, 126.4%, 113.6% and
108.3%, respectively. Moody's note that the July 2025 principal
payments are not reflected in the reported OC ratios.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodologies
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR167.1m
Defaulted Securities: EUR0m
Diversity Score: 31
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3279
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.0 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for
Euribor/reference rate floors): 4.0%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 5.5%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 45.09%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
THUNDER LOGISTICS 2024-1: DBRS Puts BB(low) Rating Under Review Neg
-------------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH placed its credit ratings on the following
classes of commercial mortgage-backed floating-rate notes due in
November 2036 issued by Thunder Logistics 2024-1 DAC (the Issuer)
Under Review with Negative Implications (UR-Neg.):
-- Class A at AAA (sf)
-- Class B at AA (sf)
-- Class C at A (low) (sf)
-- Class D at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E at BB (low) (sf)
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The UR-Neg. credit rating actions follow Morningstar DBRS' review
of the loan performance as well as the impact of the disposals over
the first two quarters of this transaction since its origination in
October 2024. The increase in the physical and economic vacancy
rates of the portfolio due to tenants terminating their leases
raises questions about cash flow stability. This is coupled with
the consideration that 29% of the original underlying collateral
has been sold as fully occupied magnifying further the decrease in
the gross rental income and the increase in the vacancy rate of the
remaining pool of properties. Morningstar DBRS expects to receive
additional information regarding the sponsor's sales plan and
letting strategy before taking any further credit rating actions.
The transaction is a securitization of a EUR 250 million
floating-rate commercial real estate loan backed by a pan-European
portfolio of 22 big-box logistics properties spread across Spain,
France, Germany, and the Netherlands, which are collectively
managed by Logicor operating as the asset manager.
The loan is regulated by a common terms agreement (CTA) and is
divided into four term facilities, term A to term D. Term A is
advanced to the French borrowers, while the remaining three
facilities are respectively advanced to the Spanish borrowers, the
German and Luxembourg borrowers collectively, and the Dutch
borrower (each a borrower and, together, the borrowers). The
borrowers are limited-purpose entities established for the purposes
of owning and managing the properties and acting as holding
companies. They are all ultimately owned and controlled by the
sponsor. On 20 August 2024, Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE and
Société Générale, S.A. (the loan sellers) advanced the loan to
the borrowers.
On June 1, 2024, CBRE conducted valuations on the 22 properties and
appraised their aggregate MV at EUR 381.9 million. CBRE also valued
the property portfolio at EUR 398.13 million (the portfolio MV) on
the assumption that the assets transact as part of a corporate sale
and, as such, incur lower transaction costs. The aggregate MV of
the 16 properties remaining in the portfolio was estimated at EUR
271.7 million and at EUR 286.2 million including the premium under
the assumption of corporate sale.
As of May 2025 interest payment date (IPD), the loan balance
decreased to EUR 178 million from EUR 250 million at issuance, due
to disposal proceeds applied as partial prepayment of the loan.
Funds came from the disposal of six properties sold in 2025 so far.
Up to the May 2025 IPD, the borrowers prepaid a total of EUR 71.3
million disposal proceeds, equivalent to 28.9% of the initial whole
loan amount, towards the loan. The loan proceeds were applied on a
pro rata basis towards the Notes. A prepayment fee/make whole was
also collected in the amount of EUR 23,433 for the January 2025
disposal and EUR 118,328 for the May 2025 disposal and distributed
pro rata towards the Notes. Consequently, as of the May 2025 IPD,
the number of properties remaining in the portfolio decreased to 16
from 22 at origination. Of the 16 properties, eight assets are in
France (50.7% of the MV), five in Spain (22.1% of the MV), two in
Germany (14.9% of the MV), and one in the Netherlands (12.3% of the
MV).
The annual rental income of the portfolio was EUR 13.9 million as
of May 2025 IPD, down from EUR 19.47 million at issuance. This
decrease was mainly driven by property disposals. Additionally, the
debt yield (DY) declined to 6.56% in May 2025 from 7.40% at
issuance. The weighted-average (WA) unexpired lease term slightly
decreased to 4.0 years from 4.4 years. Subsequently, the
loan-to-value ratio (LTV) stood at 62.4% in May 2025, slightly down
from 62.8% at issuance.
The servicer reported a vacancy rate of 23.7% as of the May 2025
IPD, up from 20.0% at the first IPD in February 2025 and from 19.2%
at the cut-off date. Morningstar DBRS notes that the inclusion of
expired leases reported by the servicer as of the May 2025 IPD
would trigger a further increase in the vacancy level and drop in
the projected rental contributions.
The loan is interest only and is structured with a five-year fixed
loan term. The loan margin reflects the margin payable on the Notes
at each IPD (excluding the Class A liquidity reserve portion of the
Class A notes). On the closing date, the loan margin was set at
2.42% per annum (p.a.). However, this margin is subject to a
contractual cap (the loan margin cap), which is set at 3.25% p.a.
or 4.25% p.a. during a servicer extension period.
HSBC Bank plc provided hedging on the notional amount of not less
than 95.0% of the outstanding principal amount of the loan with a
strike rate at 4.0% p.a. The level of hedging required is to ensure
a hedged interest cover ratio (ICR) of not less than 1.25 times.
Per the CTA, failure to comply with any of the required hedging
conditions outlined above constitutes a loan event of default.
The loan features cash trap covenants based on the DY and LTV. A
cash trap event will occur if (1) the loan's LTV is greater than
72.79% and/or (2) the loan's DY is less than 6.20%. The loan does
not feature any financial default covenants prior to the occurrence
of a permitted change of control (COC). After the occurrence of a
permitted COC, at each IPD, the borrowers must ensure that the
loan's LTV does not exceed the lower of the LTV at the date of the
permitted COC + 15% (on an absolute basis) or 80%. The DY, instead,
must not fall below 85% of the DY on the date of occurrence of the
permitted COC.
The sponsor can dispose of any assets securing the loan by repaying
a release price of 100% of the allocated loan amount (ALA) up to
the first-release price threshold (i.e., no release premium), which
is 10% of the initial portfolio valuation. Once the first-release
price threshold is met, the release price will be 105% of the ALA
up to the second-release price threshold, which is 20% of the
initial portfolio valuation. The release price will be 110% of the
ALA thereafter. On or after the occurrence of a permitted COC, the
release price applicable on the disposal of a property will be 115%
of the ALA of that property. The WA release premium applied in
prepayment of the loan so far was 105%.
The Class E notes are subject to an available funds cap where the
shortfall is attributable to an increase on the WA margin payable
on the Notes (however arising) or to a final recovery determination
of the loan.
Morningstar DBRS will review its underwriting assumptions focusing
on the cash flow assumptions and the timing of the business plan
execution and its assessment of the long term stabilized
capitalization rate.
On the closing date, the Issuer acquired the whole interest in the
loan pursuant to the loan sale documents. For the purpose of
satisfying the applicable risk retention requirements, the Issuer
lenders advanced a EUR 13.1 million loan (the Issuer loan) to the
Issuer. As of May 2025, the issuer loan balance stood at EUR 9.4
million. The proceeds of the issuance of the notes were used by the
Issuer, together with the amount borrowed under the Issuer loan, to
acquire the loan from the loan sellers. At origination, a portion
of the proceeds of the issuance of the class A notes in an amount
equal to EUR 11.4 million together with EUR 0.6 million of the
amount drawn under the Issuer loan were used to fund a EUR 12.0
million liquidity reserve to provide liquidity support to the
interest payments to the Class A and Class B notes.
As of the May 2025 IPD, the liquidity reserve amounts to EUR 9.5
million, down from EUR 12.0 million at issuance. Morningstar DBRS
estimates that the issuer liquidity reserve covers approximately 20
months of interest payments on the covered notes, based on a cap
strike rate of 4.0% and a Euribor cap of 4.0% after the Notes'
expected maturity date.
The loan matures on 15 November 2029, which is approximately five
years after the utilization date. There are no extension options.
The final legal maturity of the Notes is November 17, 2036, seven
years after the loan maturity date. Morningstar DBRS believes that,
if necessary, this would provide sufficient time to enforce on the
loan collateral and ultimately repay the noteholders, given the
security structure and the relevant jurisdictions involved in this
transaction.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
PIAGGIO: S&P Affirms 'BB-' Sr. Unsec. Notes Rating, Outlook Now Neg
-------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on Italian light mobility
manufacturer Piaggio to negative from stable and affirmed its 'BB-'
ratings on the company and its senior unsecured note. The recovery
rating of '3' is unchanged with estimated recovery prospects at
65%.
The negative outlook reflects the possibility of a downgrade within
the next 12 months if Piaggio's FFO to debt remains below 20%,
alongside continued negative discretionary cash flow.
S&P said, "We assume Piaggio's revenue will decline 5.0%-10.0% to
EUR1.5 billion-EUR1.6 billion in 2025, following a 13.9%
contraction midyear due to the transition from Euro 5 to Euro 5+
emissions standards in Europe and prolonged market weakness in
Asia-Pacific, factoring in our anticipation of stronger market
conditions in the second half of the year.
"Although we anticipate resilient profitability, with an S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.5%-14.0% in 2025, the
deterioration of absolute EBITDA will likely temporarily constrain
the company's cash generation and deleveraging prospects.
"As a result, we think Piaggio's funds from operations (FFO) to
debt will remain weak for the rating, at 15.0%-20.0% in 2025 (down
from 21.6% in 2024), and recover to slightly above those levels in
2026, assuming market conditions start to improve.
"We think that, over the next 12 months, Piaggio's credit metrics
and deleveraging prospects will remain under pressure from
persistently difficult market conditions. The company's sales
declined 13.9% in the first six months of the year, with
double-digit contractions across all regions. While we now
anticipate a modest recovery in the second half of the year--driven
by a low comparable base, the end of EURO5 products destocking in
Europe, and slightly improving discretionary consumer spending in
Asia-Pacific--we still expect full-year 2025 revenue to decline by
5.0%-10.0% to EUR1.5 billion-EUR1.6 billion. This should be
followed by a more pronounced recovery in 2026, with revenue
increasing by 5.0%-10.0%. However, ongoing macroeconomic
uncertainty makes the recovery's timing and magnitude uncertain. In
addition, the increasingly aggressive competition from Asian
players in Europe poses some risks to Piaggio's volumes in that
region, especially from more price sensitive consumers, while
Piaggio focuses on the premium segment. Piaggio's market shares in
the European scooter segment shrank to 21.4% in 2024 from 24.0% in
2020.
"We view positively the company's improved and resilient
profitability over the past two years, despite a materially lower
revenue base. In the first six months of 2025, against the 13.9%
revenue crunch, Piaggio reported an EBITDA margin of approximately
17.3%--only slightly down from 17.5% in the same period a year
earlier. We think this resilience stems from the company's
cost-control initiatives and good operating leverage, driven by
management's focus on margin improvement and its productivity
program. For the full year, we expect the reported EBITDA margin to
land between 16.4% and 16.8%, representing a minor decline from
16.8% in 2024, as lower volumes and reduced fixed cost absorption
are likely to offset the aforementioned positive factors. We assume
an S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.5%-14.0% in 2025
and 13.8%-14.3% in 2026, versus 14.0% in 2024, on the back of
higher volumes and revenue recovery in 2026.
"Tight free operating cash flow (FOCF) is likely to limit Piaggio's
deleveraging potential in 2025, despite the company's decision to
reduce cash dividends. Under our revised base case for 2025, we
anticipate S&P Global Ratings-adjusted FOCF will be neutral to
modestly negative (negative EUR42 million in 2024). We also
anticipate that cash dividends will reach EUR28 million (EUR69
million in 2024). We calculate Piaggio's reported net debt to
EBITDA for the 12 months ended June 30, 2025, stood at 2.3x, versus
2.1x at end-2024 and 1.3x at mid-2024. The deterioration stemmed
from both lower EBITDA and the increase in the net financial
position amid significant capital allocation needs. Consequently,
the company's reported net debt could moderately worsen from the
2024 level of EUR534 million. The resulting weaker FFO to debt of
15.0%-20.0% in 2025 brushes the lower thresholds for our 'BB-'
rating. Our 2026 base case incorporates some market recovery, but
visibility remains low, and any improvement in Piaggo's financial
performance will rely on a sustained pickup in demand.
"Although we anticipate a limited direct impact on Piaggio from the
trade tariffs, the underlying uncertainty constrains the company's
deleveraging prospects. Overall, the Americas represents slightly
more than 5% of Piaggio's revenue in 2024, and we estimate that the
group's direct exposure to U.S. remains relatively limited."
However, because the company does not have a manufacturing
footprint in North America, all two-wheeler vehicles sold in the
U.S., exported from the company's Italian or Asia-Pacific
facilities, could be subject to import tariff. This additional
uncertainty, considering the already narrow rating headroom, may
further constrain the company's ability to deleverage.
S&P Global Ratings believes there is a high degree of
unpredictability around policy implementation by the U.S.
administration and responses--specifically with regard to
tariffs--and the potential effect on economies, supply chains, and
credit conditions around the world. As a result, our baseline
forecasts carry a significant amount of uncertainty, magnified by
ongoing regional geopolitical conflicts. As situations evolve, S&P
will gauge the macro and credit materiality of potential shifts and
reassess our guidance accordingly [see our research here:
spglobal.com/ratings].
The negative outlook indicates the possibility of a downgrade
within the next 12 months.
S&P could lower its ratings on Piaggio if its FFO to debt does not
remain above 20%, alongside continuous negative DCF. This could
occur due to increased leverage because of prolonged weak market
conditions, a further reduced market share, negative pricing and
mix effects, or weaker cash flow.
S&P could revise the outlook to stable if Piaggio's FFO to debt
stays above 20%, accompanied by at least neutral DCF.
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
OHI GROUP: S&P Alters Outlook to Stable, Affirms 'B' LT ICR
-----------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised the outlook to stable from positive and
affirmed its 'B' long-term issuer credit and issue ratings on
helicopter operator OHI Group S.A. (OHI) and its senior secured
debt. The recovery rating on the debt remains '3'.
The stable outlook indicates S&P's view that OHI will continue
implementing new contracts over the next few quarters, which should
support improved profitability with EBITDA margins approaching 35%
and gross debt to EBITDA of about 4x in 2025.
OHI's weaker-than-expected 2024 results will lengthen profitability
improvements and leverage reduction.
OHI's 2024 results fell short of S&P's expectations due to weaker
cash generation from the delayed start of new contracts, and higher
adjusted debt, with S&P Global Ratings-adjusted gross debt to
EBITDA of 5.3x and funds from operations (FFO) to gross debt of
15.4%, versus our previous expectations of 3x and 22%,
respectively.
In part, the higher leverage was to support a stronger backlog of
EUR2.1 billion by year-end 2024, versus EUR1.3 billion in 2023, but
it still means the company will take longer to meet S&P's upside
triggers.
S&P said, "Net revenue was EUR420 million and EBITDA was EUR135.7
million for the year, below our previous forecasts of EUR483
million and EUR182.8 million. This was mainly because the start of
new contracts slipped to the end of 2024, versus the third and
fourth quarters, and the lower average flying hours registered in
contracts with Petrobras. Consequently, OHI delivered weaker
margins and higher leverage than we initially expected, distancing
from our upside triggers. On a positive note, OHI registered a
higher backlog of EUR2.1 billion in 2024, up 61.5% from 2023, with
an average duration of approximately four years that brings revenue
visibility. Of the backlog, part of it will start generating
revenue in second-half 2025 at a higher average medium aircraft
equivalent (MACE) rate of EUR7.5 million per contract. Nonetheless,
this also resulted in higher debt levels to support contract
deployment and leases to secure new aircraft for such contracts.
"We expect OHI to deliver solid revenue growth in the coming years
from its existing backlog and a historical 50% win ratio for bids
in the Brazilian domestic market, while renewal rates remain at
about 90%-100%. Moreover, it should continue improving
profitability with EBITDA margins of about 36.5% in 2025 and above
40%-45% in 2026, as new contracts gain profit share over legacy
ones. Still, our current forecast for 2025 and 2026 is weaker than
previously, which is the reason for the outlook revision to stable
from positive.
"Our 'B' issuer credit rating on OHI continues to reflect its
smaller scale and elevated geographic and client concentration,
balanced by its stronger profitability than peers. The company's
2024 net revenue remained significantly lower than its main rated
peer, Bristow Group Inc. (B/Stable/--), which registered almost
EUR1.4 billion in the same period. The U.S.-based company currently
operates a fleet of 211 aircraft (versus OHI's 84 in 2024) with
more diverse end markets, such as offshore oil and gas in over five
countries, and stable search and rescue contracts with the U.K.
government. In contrast, OHI has the bulk of cash generation
concentrated in Brazil, with Petrobras, but its favorable contract
terms allow for stronger profitability than Bristow (EBITDA margin
of 23.4% in 2024).
"In our revised forecasts, we expect higher leverage for OHI, but
liquidity is improving. Our current expectation is for gross debt
to EBITDA of about 4.0x in 2025, and 3.0x in 2026, versus 2.0x-2.5x
before."
Last year OHI issued senior secured notes of $400 million to
refinance the bulk of its existing debt and support capital
expenditure (capex). It now has a somewhat smooth debt amortization
profile, given the notes will start maturing in 2027 with
semi-annual installments of $25 million, and the leases are tied to
contract cash inflows.
The company delayed the delivery of 2024 financials to prepare for
alignment with listing requirements. S&P doesn't incorporate a
potential IPO in our forecast because the timing and amount are
highly uncertain. If a listing goes ahead, it would need to
reassess and incorporate the funds and use of proceeds in its base
case.
S&P said, "The stable outlook reflects our view that OHI will
continue implementing the new contracts from its large backlog.
Additionally, we expect consistent EBITDA margin improvements at
the pace new contracts gain more relevance over legacy ones. We
expect S&P Global Ratings-adjusted gross debt to EBITDA of about 4x
and FFO to gross debt of 10%-15% in 2025, and about 3x and 22% in
2026, respectively.
"We could downgrade OHI in the next 12-18 months if leverage
deteriorates from our base case amid a weaker bid-to-win ratio
and/or delays in the deployment of new contracts lengthening cash
flow generation. In this scenario, we would consistently see FFO to
gross debt below 12% and negative FOCF after lease payments.
"An upgrade is not likely in the short term, but we could raise the
ratings if the company sustains a comfortable liquidity position,
while FFO to gross debt improves to above 30%. This could be a
result of stronger cash flow generation from more contracts at
higher prices and the potential use of surplus cash to reduce
debt."
=====================
N E T H E R L A N D S
=====================
DUTCH MORTGAGE 2024-1: DBRS Confirms B(low) Rating on E Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH took the following credit rating actions on the
notes issued by Dutch Mortgage Finance 2024-1 B.V. (the Issuer):
-- Class A Notes confirmed at AAA (sf)
-- Class B Notes confirmed at AA (sf)
-- Class C Notes upgraded to A (high) (sf) from A (low) (sf)
-- Class D Notes confirmed at BBB (low) (sf)
-- Class E Notes confirmed at B (low) (sf)
The credit rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by the legal
final maturity date in August 2067. The credit rating on the Class
B Notes addresses the timely payment of interest when most senior
and the ultimate payment of principal by the legal final maturity
date. The credit ratings on the Class C, Class D, and Class E Notes
address the ultimate payment of interest and principal by the legal
final maturity date.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The credit rating actions follow an annual review of the
transactions and are based on the following analytical
considerations:
-- Portfolio performance, in terms of delinquencies, defaults, and
losses, as of April 30, 2025 (corresponding to the May 2025 payment
date);
-- Portfolio default rate (PD), loss given default (LGD), and
expected loss assumptions based on potential portfolio migration
due to the purchase of further advances according to the asset
conditions; and
-- Current available credit enhancement (CE) to the notes to cover
the expected losses at their respective credit rating levels as of
the May 2025 payment date.
The transaction is a securitization of mortgage loans secured
against buy-to-let residential, mixed-use, and commercial real
estate properties located in the Netherlands. RNHB B.V. (RNHB)
either originated or acquired the mortgage loans and Vesting
Finance Servicing B.V. services the portfolio.
PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
Delinquencies have been low since closing. As of April 30, 2025,
loans two to three months in arrears and more than three months in
arrears were 0.1% and 0.2% of the outstanding portfolio balance,
respectively, compared to 0.1% and 0.4%, respectively, at closing.
There were no cumulative defaults.
PORTFOLIO ASSUMPTIONS AND KEY DRIVERS
Morningstar DBRS conducted a loan-by-loan analysis of the remaining
pool of receivables and updated its base case PD and LGD
assumptions at the B (sf) credit rating level to 3.2% and 10.5%,
respectively.
The base case PD and LGD assumptions are based on a potential
migration of the current portfolio as per the asset conditions set
out in the transaction documents.
CREDIT ENHANCEMENT AND RESERVES
CE is provided by the subordination of the junior classes and a
reserve fund.
As of the May 2025 payment date, CE increased as follows since
closing:
-- CE to the Class A Notes to 19.7% from 17.1%;
-- CE to the Class B Notes to 13.8% from 12.1%;
-- CE to the Class C Notes to 15.2% from 8.6%;
-- CE to the Class D Notes to 5.9% from 5.2%; and
-- CE to the Class E Notes to 3.4% from 3.1%.
The reserve fund is available to cover senior fees, interest, swap
payments, and principal via the principal deficiency ledgers (PDLs)
on the rated notes. As of the May 2025 payment date, the reserve
fund was at its target level of approximately EUR 20.2 million.
As of the May 2025 payment date, all PDLs were clear and there was
no cumulative deferred interest.
U.S. Bank Europe DAC acts as the account bank for the transaction.
Based on Morningstar DBRS' private credit rating on U.S. Bank
Europe DAC, the downgrade provisions outlined in the transaction
documents, and other mitigating factors inherent in the transaction
structure, Morningstar DBRS considers the risk arising from the
exposure to the account bank to be consistent with the credit
rating assigned to the Class A Notes, as described in Morningstar
DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European Structured
Finance Transactions" methodology.
NatWest Markets N.V. act as the swap counterparty for the
transaction. Morningstar DBRS' public Long-Term Issuer Rating of "A
(high)" on NatWest Markets N.V. is consistent with the first credit
rating threshold as described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and
Derivative Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions"
methodology.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
=========
S P A I N
=========
PROSIL AQUISITION: DBRS Cuts Class A Notes Rating to B(high)
------------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings GmbH downgraded its credit rating on the Class A notes
issued by ProSil Acquisition S.A. (the Issuer) to B (high) (sf)
from BB (sf). Morningstar DBRS also removed the Class A notes from
Under Review with Negative Implications, where they were placed on
15 April 2025. The trend on the Class A notes is Stable.
The transaction represents the issuance of the Class A, Class B,
Class J, and Class Z notes (collectively, the Notes). The credit
rating on the Class A notes addresses the timely payment of
interest and the ultimate payment of principal on or before the
final legal maturity date. Morningstar DBRS does not rate the Class
B, Class J, or Class Z notes.
The Notes are collateralized by a pool of mostly secured Spanish
nonperforming loans originated by Abanca Corporacion Bancaria S.A.
and Abanca Corporación División Inmobiliaria S.L. ProSil
Acquisition S.A., Cell Number 1, Cell Number 2, and Cell Number 3
(the transferor) sold the receivables to ProSil Acquisition
S.A.(the Issuer). As of the closing date in March 2019, the gross
book value of the loan pool was approximately EUR 494.7 million.
Cortland Investors II S.a r.l. operates as the sponsor and
retention holder in the transaction and, over time, acquired the
three portfolios that are part of the pool (Avia, Lor, and Sil).
HipoGes Iberia S.L. (the Servicer) services the loans and manages
the following Spanish property companies as at the closing date:
(1) Beautmoon Spain, S.L.; (2) Osgood Invest, S.L.; (3) Butepala
Servicios y Gestiones S.L.; and (4) Vetapana Servicios y Gestiones
S.L.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The credit rating action follows a review of the transaction and is
based on the following analytical considerations:
-- Transaction performance: An assessment of portfolio recoveries
as of March 2025 focusing on (1) a comparison of actual collections
with the Servicer's initial business plan forecast, (2) the
collection performance observed over recent months, and (3) a
comparison of the current performance with Morningstar DBRS'
expectations.
-- Updated business plan: The Servicer's updated business plan as
of February 2025, received in July 2025, and the comparison with
the initial collection expectations.
-- Portfolio characteristics: Loan pool composition as of March
2025 and the evolution of its core features since issuance.
-- Transaction liquidating structure: The order of priority
entails a fully sequential amortization of the Notes (i.e., the
Class B notes will begin to amortize following the full repayment
of the Class A notes, and the Class J notes will amortize following
the full repayment of the Class B notes). Additionally, interest
payments on the Class B notes become subordinated to principal
payments on the Class A notes if the cumulative collection ratio or
the net present value (NPV) cumulative profitability ratio is lower
than 90%. This trigger has been breached since the April 2020
interest payment date. As per the March 2025 servicing report, the
cumulative collection ratio was 48.6% and the NPV cumulative
profitability ratio was 85.1%.
-- Liquidity support: The transaction benefits from an amortizing
cash reserve providing liquidity to the structure covering
potential interest shortfalls on the Class A notes and senior fees.
The cash reserve target amount is equal to 4.5% of the Class A
notes' principal outstanding and is currently fully funded.
TRANSACTION AND PERFORMANCE
According to the latest investor report from April 2025, the
outstanding principal amounts on the Class A, Class B, Class J, and
Class Z notes were EUR 66.8 million, EUR 30.0 million, EUR 15.0
million, and EUR 16.0 million, respectively. As of the April 2025
payment date, the balance on the Class A notes had amortized by
60.7% since issuance, and the current aggregated transaction
balance was EUR 127.8 million.
As of March 2025, the transaction was performing below the
Servicer's initial business plan expectations. The actual
cumulative gross collections equaled EUR 172.4 million, whereas the
Servicer's initial business plan estimated cumulative gross
collections of EUR 314.8 million for the same period. Therefore, as
of March 2025, the transaction was underperforming by EUR 142.4
million (-45.2%) compared with the initial business plan
expectations.
At issuance, Morningstar DBRS estimated cumulative gross
collections for the same period of EUR 158.2 million at the BBB
(low) (sf) stressed scenario. Therefore, as of March 2025, the
transaction was performing above Morningstar DBRS' initial stressed
expectations.
Pursuant to the requirements set out in the receivable servicing
agreement, in July 2025, the Servicer delivered an updated
portfolio business plan as of February 2025.
The updated portfolio business plan, combined with the actual
cumulative gross collections of EUR 168.1 million as of February
2025, results in a total of EUR 284.7 million, which is 12.5% lower
than the total gross collections of EUR 325.3 million estimated in
the initial business plan.
Excluding actual collections, the Servicer's expected future
collections from April 2025 accounted for EUR 113.6 million.
Morningstar DBRS' updated B (high) (sf) credit rating stress
assumes a haircut of 21.0% to the Servicer's updated business plan,
considering future expected collections.
The transaction's final maturity date is October 31, 2039.
Notes: All figures are in euros unless otherwise noted.
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
29 BUCKLAND: Opus Restructuring Named as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------
29 Buckland Crescent Management Company Limited was placed into
administration proceedings in the High Court of Justice Business
and Property Courts of England and Wales, Insolvency & Companies
List (ChD) Court Number: CR-2025-005177, and Allister Manson and
Mark Boast of Opus Restructuring LLP were appointed as joint
administrators on July 28, 2025.
29 Buckland Crescent was a non-trading company.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at 29
Buckland Crescent, London, NW3 5DJ.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Allister Manson
Mark Boast
Opus Restructuring LLP
322 High Holborn, London
WC1V 7PB
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 020 3326 6454
Alternative contact: Tony Chambers
APD LIMITED: FRP Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------
APD Limited was placed into administration proceedings in the High
Court of Justice Court Number: CR-2025-004495, and Glyn Mummery and
Emma Priest of FRP Advisory Trading Limited, were appointed as
joint administrators on July 25, 2025.
APD Limited is a manufacturer of electronic components.
Its registered office is at 7 Quy Court Colliers Lane,
Stow-Cum-Quy, Cambridge, CB25 9AU, to be changed to FRP Advisory
Trading Limited, Jupiter House, Warley Hill Business Park, The
Drive, Brentwood, CM13 3BE.
Its principal trading address is at 7 Quy Court Colliers Lane,
Stow-Cum-Quy, Cambridge, CB25 9AU.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Emma Priest
Glyn Mummery
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
Jupiter House, Warley Hill Business Park
The Drive, Brentwood, Essex
CM13 3BE
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Email: cp.brentwood@frpadvisory.com
Tel No: 01277 50 33 33
Alternative contact:
Alia Howland
Email: cp.brentwood@frpadvisory.com
CENERGIST LIMITED: Interpath Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Cenergist Limited was placed into administration proceedings in the
High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts at Leeds,
Insolvency and Companies List (ChD) No CR-2025-LDS-000749, and
James Ronald Alexander Lumb and Howard Smith of Interpath Advisory,
Interpath Ltd were appointed as joint administrators on July 25,
2025.
Cenergist Limited specialized in combined facilities support
activities.
Its registered office is at Sandgate House, 102 Quayside, Newcastle
Upon Tyne, NE1 3DX.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
James Ronald Alexander Lumb
Howard Smith
Interpath Advisory, Interpath Ltd
60 Grey Street, Newcastle
NE1 6AH
For further details contact:
Beca Sargeant
Tel, No: +44 203 989 2731
ENERGEAN PLC: Fitch Affirms 'BB-' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Energean plc's Long-Term Issuer Default
Rating (IDR) at 'BB-' with a Stable Outlook. Fitch has also
affirmed the senior secured rating on the company's USD450 million
notes at 'BB'. The Recovery Rating is 'RR3'.
The affirmation reflects its expectation that Energean will be able
to deleverage to below its negative rating sensitivity of 2x EBITDA
net leverage from 2026, despite a lower than expected run-rate
production in 2025 at Israeli and non-Israeli assets (excluding its
outage adjustments). Fitch conservatively assumes three months of
production outages from Israeli assets in 2025, returning to
run-rate levels thereafter and assuming no insurance proceeds. The
delayed deleveraging implies limited rating headroom.
The termination of Energean's planned disposal of assets in Italy,
Egypt, and Croatia is credit neutral. The somewhat larger scale and
greater diversification without the divestment are offset by higher
productions costs and less near-term debt reduction.
Key Rating Drivers
Ongoing Operating Environment Stress: The continuation of armed
conflicts between Israel and various other parties continues to
pose heightened risk for Energean's operations in Israel. Earlier
this year the floating production storage and offloading vessel
servicing Karish was ordered to temporarily suspend operations,
although there was no damage to the company's assets. A large-scale
and prolonged disruption to the Karish field would affect
Energean's rating, despite its ability to absorb a three-month
outage with committed liquidity sources under its assumptions, but
this is not its base case.
Revised Production Expectations: Fitch has revised down its
expectations of near-term and run-rate production for Energean. The
company lowered its guidance for 2025 to 155-165 thousand barrels
of oil equivalent per day (kboe/d) from 160-175kboe/d. Some of this
is related to underperformance at non-Israel assets and attributed
to uncertainty caused by the divestment process, but Fitch expects
production in Israel to be lower than its initial expectations as
Fitch has better clarity around run-rate production, including the
impact of seasonality of domestic demand and scheduled maintenance
needs.
Fitch has revised its expectation of total run-rate production to
170-180kboe/d from 190-200kboe/d, dependent on the successful
ramp-up of the Katlan development in 2027. This is in line with a
'BB-' rating, but it results in slower than anticipated
deleveraging. The failure to reach and maintain this level of
run-rate production will likely lead to a downgrade.
Divestiture Transaction Terminated: Fitch views the termination of
the proposed sale of assets in Egypt, Italy, and Croatia as credit
neutral for Energean. The larger scale and more diversified asset
base are positive for the business profile, but the lack of
divestment will result in slower deleveraging.
Delayed Deleveraging: Due to the termination of the company's
divestiture of various non-Israeli assets and revised production
expectations, Fitch expects Energean's deleveraging trajectory to
be delayed. Fitch expects it will take until end-2026 to deleverage
below its 2x EBITDA net leverage negative sensitivity. Fitch
expects the company will maintain sub-2x EBITDA net leverage on a
run-rate basis, under its price assumptions, with somewhat lower
headroom and contingent on successful operational execution and
continued prudent financial management.
Dividend Policy Clarity: Energean has confirmed it will keep
dividends in line with historical levels of about USD220 million
per year following the termination of its planned divestment of
various non-Israeli assets. Fitch views this as sustainable.
Consolidated Profile: Energean's holding company notes are
structurally subordinated to debt at operating companies, which
mainly consists of USD2.6 billion of project finance debt at its
100% opco Energean Israel Limited (EISL) secured by Israeli assets.
However, Fitch analyses Energean on a consolidated basis, due to
cross-default provisions in its notes' documentation.
Senior Secured Rating: Fitch rates the senior secured notes using a
generic approach for 'BB' category issuers, which reflects the
relative instrument ranking in the capital structure. Given the
large share of debt ranking more senior to the notes, the Recovery
Rating for the notes is 'RR3' to reflect lower recovery prospects
relative to other senior notes. This results in the senior secured
rating being notched up by only once from the IDR.
Israel-Focused Gas Producer: Over 70% of Energean's production
comes from Israel. The company's gas-focused production mix is
supportive of strong long-term demand due to undersupply in the
region, but its credit profile is highly dependent on cash flows
from Israel.
Low Re-Contracting Risk: Fitch expects Energean would be able to
replace any customers in the event of a contract termination or
other unforeseen event, given its record of successful
re-contracting alongside high domestic demand in Israel, its access
to international markets, and the favourable economics of the
Israeli assets. Fitch views the successful ramp-up of Israeli
assets' production as substantially mitigating contract termination
risk.
Improving Cost of Production: Energean's cost structure has
substantially improved over the last three years to around
USD10/boe in 2024 (including royalties), from USD19/boe in 2022,
and Fitch expects it to modestly decline further once the Katlan
development comes online in 2027. This is driven by a higher
contribution from Israeli assets, which have substantially lower
unit costs than the rest of the portfolio.
Future Acquisitions Likely: Energean has publicly stated its
intention of pursuing further growth through acquisitions. The
size, terms, and geographic location of future acquisition targets
is not yet known. However, the execution risk posed by an
acquisition-driven growth strategy is offset by the company's
strong record of integrating acquired assets, its adequate
financial headroom, and stable cash flows from Israel.
Peer Analysis
S.N.G.N. Romgaz S.A (BBB-/Negative; Standalone Credit Profile: bb+)
is Energean's closest peer, but has a more diversified profile with
its gas storage and electricity generation, as opposed to
Energean's focus on upstream operations. Energean is larger, with
production of over 150kboe/d in 2024, but has lower realised prices
in the Israeli gas market than Romgaz's European gas price
environment.
Energean has a more favourable cost of production before royalties
and is subject to a more advantageous tax regime, although this is
counterbalanced by geopolitical and security risks in light of the
ongoing armed conflict between Israel and various parties.
Fitch rates Energean one notch above Kosmos Energy Ltd. (B+/Stable)
due to its higher production. Energean's longer reserve life and
its large share of contracted sales under long-term take-or-pay
agreements provide more cash flow visibility.
Key Assumptions
Key Assumptions Within Its Rating Case for the Issuer:
- Oil and gas prices to 2028 in line with its base case price deck
- Consolidated production volumes of 131kboe/d in 2025 in the event
of operational disruption resulting in three months of lost
production in Israel, and peaking at around 178kboe/d by 2028
- Capex averaging around USD438 million a year for 2025-2028
- Israeli gas sold at contractual floor prices for 2025-2028
- Dividend payments of USD220 million per year for 2025-2028
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade:
- Material reduction in production due to closure of Israeli fields
or damage to EISL's operations on a protracted basis
- Failure to deleverage below 2.0x EBITDA net leverage by end-2026
- Significant gas sales contract terminations at EISL
- Negative post-dividend FCF on a sustained basis, due to capex
overruns, production delays or high dividend payments
- Lack of visible progress on a planned refinancing of the USD450
million senior secured notes by early 2026
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade:
- Sustained de-escalation of geopolitical risk will be a
pre-requisite for positive rating action
- EBITDA net leverage below 1.0x on a sustained basis and solid
liquidity profile
- Continued prudent financial management at EISL, ensuring sound
distributable cash flow generation
- Increasing 1P reserve levels
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Energean does not have any immediate external funding needs, and
liquidity is good, with no material maturities until 2027. At
end-2024 Energean's liquidity was USD446 million, including
Fitch-defined cash and cash equivalents (USD320 million) and
availability under its USD126 million revolving credit facility.
Issuer Profile
Energean is an independent oil and gas producer with its core
assets located in Israel, Egypt, Italy, and Croatia.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Energean plc LT IDR BB- Affirmed BB-
senior secured LT BB Affirmed RR3 BB
GUSTO RESTAURANTS: Interpath Named as Joint Administrators
----------------------------------------------------------
Gusto Restaurants Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, Insolvency and Companies list (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-005198, and William James Wright and Richard John Harrison
of Interpath Advisory, Interpath Ltd, were appointed as joint
administrators on July 29, 2025.
Gusto Restaurants operated licensed restaurants.
Its registered office is at c/o Interpath Ltd, 10th Floor, One
Marsden Street, Manchester M2 1HW.
Its principal trading address is at 81 King Street, Knutsford, WA16
6DX.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
William James Wright
Interpath Advisory, Interpath Ltd
10 Fleet Place
London, EC4M 7RB
-- and --
Richard John Harrison
Interpath Advisory
Interpath Ltd, 10th Floor
One Marsden Street, Manchester
M2 1HW
For further details contact:
Ellie Underwood
Tel. No.: 0113 512 0980
MALDON METALS: Carter Clark Named as Joint Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------
Maldon Metals Limited was placed into administration proceedings in
the High Court of Justice ChD Court Number: CR-2025-005114, and
Jenny Poleykett and Alan Clark of Carter Clark were appointed as
joint administrators on July 29, 2025.
Maldon Metals specialized in the recovery of sorted materials.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at 13 West
Station Yard, Spital Road, Maldon, CM9 6TR.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Jenny Poleykett
Alan Clark
Carter Clark
Recovery House
15-17 Roebuck Road
Hainault Business Park Ilford
Essex, IG6 3TU
Further details contact:
Carter Clark
Email: lisa.portway@carterclark.co.uk
NTS 247: Antony Batty Named as Administrators
---------------------------------------------
NTS 247 Ltd was placed into administration proceedings in the High
Court of Justice Business and Property Courts of England and Wales
Court Number: CR-2025-004366, and Jeffrey Mark Brenner and James
William Stares of Antony Batty & Company LLP, were appointed as
administrators on July 25, 2025.
Previously known as A Bubble Company Limited, NTS 247 operated in
the hospitality industry.
Its registered office is at 3rd Floor, Titchfield House, 14-18
Great Titchfield St, London, W1W 8BD
The administrators can be reached at:
Jeffrey Mark Brenner
James William Stares
Antony Batty & Company LLP
3 Field Court, Gray's Inn
London, WC1R 5EF
For further details contact
Sheniz Bayram
Tel No: 020 7831 1234
Email: Sheniz@antonybatty.com
PARK CHINOIS: FRP Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
--------------------------------------------------------
Park Chinois Limited was placed into administration proceedings in
the High Court of Justice Court Number: CR-2025-004702, and Ian
James Corfield and Philip Lewis Armstrong of FRP Advisory Trading
Limited, were appointed as joint administrators on July 22, 2025.
Park Chinois operated licensed restaurants.
Its registered office is at 19 Berkeley Street, London, W1J 8ED to
be changed to C/O FRP Advisory Trading Limited, 110 Cannon Street,
London, EC4N 6EU.
Its principal trading address is at 19 Berkeley Street, London, W1J
8ED.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Ian James Corfield
Philip Lewis Armstrong
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
2nd Floor, 110 Cannon Street
London, EC4N 6EU
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel: 020 3005 4000
Alternative contact:
Sam Malloy
Email: cp.london@frpadvisory.com
POLARIS 2025-2: DBRS Finalizes B Rating on Class F Notes
--------------------------------------------------------
DBRS Ratings Limited finalized its provisional credit ratings on
the residential mortgage-backed notes issued by Polaris 2025-2 PLC
(the Issuer) as follows:
-- Class A notes at AAA (sf)
-- Class B notes at AA (high) (sf)
-- Class C notes at A (high) (sf)
-- Class D notes at BBB (high) (sf)
-- Class E notes at BB (high) (sf)
-- Class F notes at B (sf)
-- Class X1 notes at BB (high) (sf)
The finalized credit ratings on the Class D, Class F, and Class X1
notes are higher than the provisional credit ratings Morningstar
DBRS assigned because of the lower cost of funding in the
transaction after the notes priced.
The credit rating on the Class A notes addresses the timely payment
of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal on or before
the final maturity date in August 2068. The credit ratings on the
Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, Class F, and Class X1 notes
address the timely payment of interest once they are the most
senior class of notes outstanding and, until then, the ultimate
payment of interest and the ultimate repayment of principal on or
before the final maturity date.
Morningstar DBRS does not rate the Class Z or Class X2 notes or the
residual certificates also issued in this transaction.
CREDIT RATING RATIONALE
The Issuer is a bankruptcy-remote special-purpose vehicle
incorporated in England and Wales. The notes issued funded the
purchase of residential assets originated by UK Mortgage Lending
Ltd (UKML). On or prior to the issue date, UK Residential Mortgages
Limited (UKRML or the Seller), acquired the beneficial title from
UKML. Both UKML and UKRML are wholly owned by Pepper Money (PMB)
Limited (Pepper Money). Pepper (UK) Limited (PUK) is the appointed
servicer for the transaction. Pepper Money is part of the Pepper
Group Limited, a worldwide consumer finance business, third-party
loan servicer, and asset manager. PUK was recently sold to J.C.
Flowers & Co. in February 2025. CSC Capital Markets UK Limited acts
as the backup servicer facilitator for the transaction.
The mortgage portfolio consists of GBP 480 million in first-lien
owner-occupied (OO) mortgages secured by properties in the UK,
excluding the prefunded pool.
The transaction includes a prefunding mechanism where the Seller
has the option to sell UKML-originated mortgage loans to the Issuer
subject to certain conditions to prevent a material deterioration
in credit quality. The acquisition of these assets will occur
before the first interest payment date using the proceeds standing
to the credit of the prefunding reserves. Any funds that are not
applied to purchase additional loans will, (1) if standing to the
credit of the prefunding principal reserve ledger, be applied pro
rata to pay down the Class A to Class F and Class Z notes; or (2)
if standing to the credit of the prefunding revenue reserve ledger,
flow through the revenue priority of payments.
The Issuer issued seven tranches of collateralized mortgage-backed
securities (the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class E, Class
F, and Class Z notes) to finance the purchase of the portfolio and
the prefunding principal reserve ledger at closing. Additionally,
the Issuer issued two classes of noncollateralized notes (the Class
X1 and Class X2 notes).
The transaction is structured to initially provide 13.5% of credit
enhancement to the Class A notes. This includes subordination of
the Class B to the Class F and the Class Z notes.
The transaction features a fixed-to-floating interest rate swap,
given that the majority of the pool is composed of fixed-rate loans
with a compulsory reversion to floating in the future. The
liabilities pay a coupon linked to the daily compounded Sterling
Overnight Index Average.
Lloyds Bank Corporate Markets plc (LBCM) is the swap counterparty
at closing. Based on Morningstar DBRS' private credit ratings on
LBCM, the downgrade provisions outlined in the documents, and the
transaction structural mitigants, Morningstar DBRS considers the
risk arising from the exposure to the swap counterparty to be
consistent with the credit ratings assigned to the rated notes as
described in Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for
European Structured Finance Transactions" methodology.
Citibank N.A./London Branch (Citibank London) will act as the
Issuer account bank and will hold the Issuer's transaction account,
the liquidity reserve fund (LRF), and the swap collateral account.
Barclays Bank PLC (Barclays) will be appointed as the collection
account bank. Morningstar DBRS privately rates Citibank London and
has a Long Term Critical Obligations Rating of AA (low) and a
Long-Term Issuer Rating of "A" on Barclays, both with Positive
trends. Both entities meet the eligible credit ratings in
structured finance transactions and are consistent with the credit
ratings assigned to the rated notes as described in Morningstar
DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European Structured
Finance Transactions" methodology.
Liquidity in the transaction is provided by a LRF that is
amortizing and sized at 1.0% of the Class A and Class B notes'
outstanding balance. The LRF covers senior costs and expenses, swap
payments, and interest shortfalls for the Class A and Class B
notes. The LRF will be funded through available principal funds
until the LRF target amount has been transferred (disregarding LRF
debits). From that date onwards, the LRF will be funded through
revenue. Any liquidity reserve excess amount will be applied as
available principal receipts, and the reserve will be released in
full once the Class B notes are fully repaid. In addition, the
Issuer can use principal to cover senior costs and expenses, swap
payments, and interest on the most senior class of notes
outstanding up to the Class F notes and before that, interest on
the Class B notes provided the Class B principal deficiency ledger
is not greater than 10% of the Class B outstanding principal
amount. Principal can be used once the LRF has been exhausted.
Interest shortfalls on the notes (apart from Class A), as long as
they are not the most senior class outstanding, may be deferred and
not be recorded as an event of default until the final maturity
date or such earlier date on which the notes are fully redeemed.
Morningstar DBRS based its credit ratings on a review of the
following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction's capital structure, including the form and
sufficiency of available credit enhancement;
-- The mortgage portfolio's credit quality and the servicer's
ability to perform collection and resolution activities.
Morningstar DBRS estimated stress-level probability of default
(PD), loss given default (LGD), and expected losses (EL) on the
mortgage portfolio. Morningstar DBRS used the PD, LGD, and EL as
inputs into the cash flow engine and analyzed the mortgage
portfolio in accordance with its "European RMBS Insight
Methodology";
-- The transaction's ability to withstand stressed cash flow
assumptions and repay the Class A, Class B, Class C, Class D, Class
E, Class F, and Class X1 notes according to the terms of the
transaction documents;
-- The structural mitigants in place to avoid potential payment
disruptions caused by operational risk, such as a downgrade, and
replacement language in the transaction documents;
-- Morningstar DBRS' sovereign credit rating on the United Kingdom
of Great Britain and Northern Ireland of AA with a Stable trend as
of the date of this press release; and
-- The consistency of the transaction's legal structure with
Morningstar DBRS' "Legal and Derivative Criteria for European
Structured Finance Transactions" methodology and the presence of
legal opinions that address the assignment of the assets to the
Issuer.
Morningstar DBRS' credit ratings on the rated notes address the
credit risk associated with the identified financial obligations in
accordance with the relevant transaction documents. The associated
financial obligations for each of the rated notes are the related
Interest Amounts and the related class balances.
Notes: All figures are in British pound sterling unless otherwise
noted.
SECRET6 GROUP: Azets Holding Named as Joint Administrators
----------------------------------------------------------
Secret6 Group Holdings Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property
Courts in Leeds, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-LDS-000755, and Meghan Andrews, and Matthew Richards of
Azets Holding Limited, were appointed as joint administrators on
July 24, 2025.
Secret6 Group specialized in technical testing and analysis.
Its registered office is at Suffolk House C/O Catalis Limited,
George Street, East Croydon, CR0 1PE.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Meghan Andrews
Matthew Richards
Azets Holdings Limited
2nd Floor Regis House
45 King William Street
London EC4R 9AN
Further details contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 0207 403 1877
Alternative contact:
Katie Newton
Email: katie.newton@azets.co.uk
UGGBUGG FASHION: KR8 Advisory Named as Joint Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------
Uggbugg Fashion Ltd was placed into administration proceedings in
the High Court of Justice, Business and Property Courts in
Manchester, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-005113, and James Saunders and Mark Blackman of KR8
Advisory Limited were appointed as joint administrators on July 28,
2025.
Uggbugg Fashion, trading as Missy Empire, specialized in the retail
sale of textiles in specialized stores.
Its registered office is at C/O KR8 Advisory Limited, The Lexicon,
10-12 Mount Street, Manchester, M2 5NT.
Its principal trading address is at 59 Knowsley St, Manchester, M8
8JF.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
James Saunders
Mark Blackman
KR8 Advisory Limited
The Lexicon, 10-12 Mount Street
Manchester, M2 5NT
Further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Email: caseenquiries@kr8.co.uk
UNIQUE PROPERTY: Forvis Mazars Named as Administrators
------------------------------------------------------
Unique Property Investment Group Ltd was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice Business and Property
Courts of England and Wales, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD)
Court Number: CR-2025-005172, Micheal Pallott and Adam Harris of
Forvis Mazars LLP, were appointed as administrators on July 25,
2025.
Unique Property Investment specialized in the letting and operating
of own or leased real estate, and providing business support
service activities not elsewhere classified.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at 61/63
Crockhamwell Road, Woodley, Reading, RG5 3JP.
The administrators can be reached at:
Michael Pallott
Adam Harris
Forvis Mazars LLP
30 Old Bailey, London
EC4M 7AU
For further details contact:
Christina Michael
Email: Christina.Michael@mazars.co.uk
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
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Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2025. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
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