250729.mbx
T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Monday, July 28, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 149
Headlines
I R E L A N D
ARES EUROPEAN X: Moody's Ups Rating on EUR26MM Cl. E Notes to Ba1
FAIR OAKS VI: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F Notes
I T A L Y
BANCA IFIS: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
CASSIA SRL 2022-1: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on EUR47.2MM C Notes
ILLIMITY BANK: Fitch Hikes LT IDR to 'BB' & Keeps Rating Watch Pos.
KEPLER S.P.A: Fitch Puts 'B' Final Rating to EUR500M Sr. Sec. Notes
K A Z A K H S T A N
FORTEBANK JSC: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
L U X E M B O U R G
ALEXANDRITE LAKE: Fitch Assigns 'B+' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' LT IDR, Outlook Stable
S P A I N
CAIXABANK PYMES 11: Moody's Ups Rating on EUR318.5MM B Notes to B1
T U R K E Y
SEKERBANK T.A.S: Fitch Puts 'CCC' Final Rating to $200MM AT1 Notes
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
ABILJO EXCAVATOR: PKF Smith Cooper Named as Joint Administrators
BRAVEJOIN COMPANY: Marshall Peters Named as Administrator
C-TRG RESOURCE: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
CHALLENGE LOGISTICS: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
CHALLENGE RECRUITMENT: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
CHALLENGE-TRG RECRUITMENT: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
EIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT: Antony Batty Named as Administrators
FINASTRA LIMITED: Moody's Assigns 'B3' CFR, Outlook Stable
IMPALA BIDCO: Moody's Cuts CFR to B3, Under Review for Downgrade
WILLIAMS CONTRACT: Bailams & Co Named as Administrator
- - - - -
=============
I R E L A N D
=============
ARES EUROPEAN X: Moody's Ups Rating on EUR26MM Cl. E Notes to Ba1
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the ratings on the following notes
issued by Ares European CLO X DAC:
EUR31,500,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031, Upgraded to Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf)
EUR25,750,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031, Upgraded to A1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024
Upgraded to A3 (sf)
EUR26,000,000 Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031, Upgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024
Affirmed Ba2 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following notes:
EUR274,500,000 (Current outstanding amount EUR123,161,261) Class A
Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2031, Affirmed Aaa (sf);
previously on Oct 7, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
EUR30,250,000 Class B-1 Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2031, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024 Affirmed Aaa
(sf)
EUR17,000,000 Class B-2 Senior Secured Fixed Rate Notes due 2031,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024 Affirmed Aaa (sf)
EUR13,500,000 Class F Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2031, Affirmed B1 (sf); previously on Oct 7, 2024
Upgraded to B1 (sf)
Ares European CLO X DAC, issued in September 2018 and refinanced in
June 2021, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a
portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured European loans. The
portfolio is managed by Ares European Loan Management LLP ("AELM").
The transaction's reinvestment period ended in April 2023.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrades on the Class C notes, the Class D notes and
Class E notes are primarily a result of the deleveraging of the
senior notes following amortisation of the underlying portfolio
since the last rating action in October 2024.
The affirmations on the ratings on the Class A notes, Class B-1
notes, Class B-2 notes and Class F notes are primarily a result of
the expected losses on the notes remaining consistent with their
current rating levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralisation ratios.
The Class A notes have paid down by approximately EUR81.2 million
(29.6%) since the last rating action in Oct 2024 and EUR151.3
million (55.1%) since closing. As a result of the deleveraging,
over-collateralisation (OC) has increased across the capital
structure. According to the trustee report dated July 2025[1] the
Class A/B, Class C, Class D and Class E OC ratios are reported at
167.1%, 142.6%, 127.3% and 114.9% compared to September 2024[2]
levels of 150.1%%, 133.4%,122.3% and 112.8%, respectively. Moody's
note that the July 2025 note principal payments are not reflected
in the reported OC ratios.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR306,062,418
Defaulted Securities: EUR3,000,000
Diversity Score: 50
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 3043
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 3.2 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for
Euribor/reference rate floors): 3.82%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.16%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 43.84%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Moody's note that the July 2025[1] trustee report was published at
the time Moody's were completing Moody's analysis of the June 2025
data. Key portfolio metrics such as WARF, diversity score, weighted
average spread and life, and OC ratios exhibit little or no change
between these dates, and Moody's anticipated the July 2025 paydown
in Moody's analysis.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated notes' performance is subject to uncertainty. The notes'
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the notes'
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: The main source of uncertainty in this
transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the notes' ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales by the collateral manager or
be delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
FAIR OAKS VI: Fitch Assigns 'B-sf' Final Rating to Class F Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Fair Oaks Loan Funding VI DAC's notes
final ratings, as detailed below.
Entity/Debt Rating
----------- ------
Fair Oaks Loan
Funding VI DAC
X Notes LT AAAsf New Rating
A Loan LT AAAsf New Rating
A Notes LT AAAsf New Rating
B Notes LT AAsf New Rating
C Notes LT Asf New Rating
D Notes LT BBB-sf New Rating
E Notes LT BB-sf New Rating
F Notes LT B-sf New Rating
M Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Subordinated Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Z Notes LT NRsf New Rating
Transaction Summary
Fair Oaks Loan Funding VI DAC is a securitisation of mainly senior
secured obligations (at least 90%) with a component of senior
unsecured, mezzanine, second-lien loans and high-yield bonds. The
portfolio has a target par of EUR350 million.
The portfolio is actively managed by Fair Oaks Capital Limited
(Fair Oaks). The collateralised loan obligation (CLO) has a
4.5-year reinvestment period and a 7.5-year weighted average life
(WAL) test at closing.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Average Portfolio Credit Quality (Positive): Fitch considers the
average credit quality of obligors to be in the 'B' category. The
Fitch weighted average rating factor (WARF) of the identified
portfolio is 24.4.
High Recovery Expectations (Positive): At least 90% of the
portfolio comprises senior secured obligations. Fitch views the
recovery prospects for these assets as more favourable than for
second-lien, unsecured and mezzanine assets. The Fitch weighted
average recovery rate (WARR) of the identified portfolio is 59.9%.
Diversified Asset Portfolio (Positive): The transaction has a
concentration limit for the 10 largest obligors of 20%. The
transaction also includes other various concentration limits,
including a maximum exposure to the three largest (Fitch-defined)
industries in the portfolio at 40%. These covenants ensure the
asset portfolio will not be exposed to excessive concentration.
Portfolio Management (Neutral): The transaction has two matrices
that are effective at closing and two that are effective six months
after closing, all with fixed-rate limits of 5% and 10%. The
closing matrices correspond to a 7.5-year WAL test while the
forward matrices correspond to a seven-year WAL test. The
transaction has a reinvestment period of about 4.5 years and
includes reinvestment criteria similar to those of other European
transactions. Fitch's analysis is based on a stressed-case
portfolio with the aim of testing the robustness of the transaction
structure against its covenants and portfolio guidelines.
WAL Step-Up Feature (Neutral): The transaction can extend the WAL
by one year, following the step-up determination date, which is 12
months after closing. The WAL extension is at the discretion of the
manager but is subject to conditions including fulfilling the
portfolio profile tests, collateral-quality tests, coverage tests
and meeting the reinvestment target par, with defaulted assets at
their collateral value on the step-up determination date.
Cash-flow Analysis (Positive): The WAL for the transaction's
Fitch-stressed portfolio analysis is 12 months less than the WAL
covenant. This is to account for the strict reinvestment conditions
envisaged after the reinvestment period. These include passing both
the coverage tests and the Fitch 'CCC' limit after reinvestment,
and a WAL covenant that progressively steps down over time, both
before and after the end of the reinvestment period. Fitch believes
these conditions would reduce the effective risk horizon of the
portfolio during stress periods.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
A 25% increase of the mean default rate (RDR) and a 25% decrease of
the recovery rate (RRR) across all ratings of the identified
portfolio would have no impact on the class X and A notes and would
lead to a downgrade of up to two notches for the class B to E
notes, and to below 'B-sf' for the class F note. Downgrades may
occur if the build-up of the notes' credit enhancement following
amortisation does not compensate for a larger loss expectation than
initially assumed due to unexpectedly high levels of defaults and
portfolio deterioration.
The class B to F notes each have a rating cushion of up to two
notches due to the better metrics and shorter life of the
identified portfolio than the Fitch-stressed portfolio.
Should the cushion between the identified portfolio and the
Fitch-stressed portfolio be eroded either due to manager trading or
negative portfolio credit migration, a 25% increase of the mean RDR
and a 25% decrease of the RRR across all ratings of the
Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to downgrades of up to four
notches for the rated notes.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
A 25% reduction of the mean RDR and a 25% increase in the RRR
across all ratings of the Fitch-stressed portfolio would lead to
upgrades of up to three notches for the rated notes, except for the
'AAAsf' rated notes.
Upgrades during the reinvestment period, which are based on the
Fitch-stressed portfolio, may occur on better-than-expected
portfolio credit quality and a shorter remaining WAL test, allowing
the notes to withstand larger-than- expected losses for the
remaining life of the transaction. Upgrades after the end of the
reinvestment period may result from stable portfolio credit quality
and deleveraging, leading to higher credit enhancement and excess
spread available to cover losses in the remaining portfolio.
USE OF THIRD PARTY DUE DILIGENCE PURSUANT TO SEC RULE 17G -10
Form ABS Due Diligence-15E was not provided to, or reviewed by,
Fitch in relation to this rating action.
DATA ADEQUACY
The majority of the underlying assets or risk-presenting entities
have ratings or credit opinions from Fitch and/or other Nationally
Recognised Statistical Rating Organisations and/or European
Securities and Markets Authority- registered rating agencies. Fitch
has relied on the practices of the relevant groups within Fitch
and/or other rating agencies to assess the asset portfolio
information or information on the risk-presenting entities.
Overall, and together with any assumptions referred to above,
Fitch's assessment of the information relied upon for the agency's
rating analysis according to its applicable rating methodologies
indicates that it is adequately reliable.
ESG Considerations
Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores for Fair Oaks Loan
Funding VI DAC.
In cases where Fitch does not provide ESG relevance scores in
connection with the credit rating of a transaction, programme,
instrument or issuer, Fitch will disclose any ESG factor that is a
key rating driver in the key rating drivers section of the relevant
rating action commentary.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
BANCA IFIS: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
-------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Banca IFIS S.p.A.'s (IFIS) Long-Term
Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB+' and Viability Rating (VR) at
'bb+'. The Outlook on the Long-Term IDR is Stable. This follows the
bank's successful takeover of illimity Bank S.p.A (BB/Rating Watch
Positive).
IFIS's ratings are not immediately affected by the completion of
the takeover as the expected business model strengthening will take
time to materialise. Fitch also believes IFIS's satisfactory
execution record and adequate capitalisation mitigate the financial
impact from the acquisition and the execution risk stemming from
the integration of illimity, which is a large and materially weaker
entity relative to IFIS. Over the medium term, the ratings could
benefit from a swift integration, realisation of planned synergies
through the turnaround of the acquired bank, and efficient
management of the combined entity's risk appetite and funding.
Key Rating Drivers
Acquisition to Benefit Business Profile: IFIS's ratings primarily
reflect its specialised business model, with an established niche
franchise and adequate through-the-cycle profitability, both of
which should ultimately benefit from the additional diversification
within niche segments brought by illimity. The ratings also reflect
a temporary negative impact on the combined bank's operating
profitability given integration costs, and IFIS's prudent capital
and liquidity management.
The ratings also consider a moderately higher risk appetite than
average linked to its business model and organic impaired loans
ratio (which excludes the purchased non-performing loan portfolio),
and adequately diversified but price-sensitive funding.
Illimity Acquisition Accelerates Diversification: The acquisition
of illimity could help IFIS accelerate its business and earnings
diversification and franchise growth in its businesses with Italian
SMEs, despite its expectation of the wind-down of less profitable
businesses. Fitch expects the financial effect of the acquisition
and integration risks to be contained.
Fitch believes IFIS will notably benefit from increased scale in
its small corporate and investment banking activities and, to a
lesser extent, in its core historical franchise of factoring - into
which illimity had recently ventured - and expand in the lucrative
but shrinking corporate impaired loan market. The combined entity
will remain the fourth largest company in the non-performing loan
(NPL) business in Italy.
Transformational Acquisition: Fitch believes IFIS is adequately
positioned to pursue its diversification strategy while achieving
benefits of scale through the acquisition of illimity. The latter
is large, representing about 40% of IFIS's assets and less than 30%
of revenue. The acquisition will therefore be transformative for
IFIS and Fitch expects updated medium-term strategic targets in
2026. Fitch expects the combined operating profit/risk weighted
assets (RWAs) ratio to temporarily fall below IFIS's recent levels
of 2%-2.5% in 2025, due in part to integration costs, before it
rebounds to above 2% once synergies are realised by 2027.
Controlled Execution Risk: Fitch believes execution risks from the
acquisition of illimity are consistent with IFIS's ratings. This is
despite a materially weaker credit profile and business model at
illimity than at IFIS. The successful completion of the takeover,
with more than 92% of ownership already secured, should smooth the
execution of planned synergies, facilitate the integration and,
potentially, reduce the risk of some portfolios. IFIS plans to
first proceed with the acquisition of remaining minorities and then
delist illimity in the coming months, while performing due
diligence after acquisition in parallel. Fitch expects IFIS will
ultimately merge with illimity in 2026.
Acquisition Reduces Capital Headroom: IFIS maintains adequate RWAs
and leverage-based capital metrics, considering its risk appetite.
Its 16.55% common equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio at end-March 2025,
after a rise of 45bp in 1Q25, provides a comfortable buffer to
cushion the acquisition of illimity. Fitch expects IFIS to maintain
its CET1 ratio above the bank's 14% target by end-2026, given
expected badwill recognition, consistent internal capital
generation and prudent capital management. The small additional
premium offered to illimity's shareholders at the end of the tender
period did not result in material additional capital erosion
compared with its initial forecast.
Price-Sensitive Deposits, Prudent Liquidity: The acquisition of
illimity should contribute to further expansion of IFIS's deposit
base, but Fitch expects the latter to tighten pricing on illimity's
expensive funding mix. IFIS's access to wholesale debt markets is
more established than illimity's and other small Italian banks,
which should help it gradually replace the acquired entity's
maturing debt at a more cost-effective level.
The key rating drivers of IFIS's VR and IDRs are outlined in its
Rating Action Commentary published on 10 April 2025 (see "Fitch
Affirms Banca IFIS at 'BB+'; Outlook Stable")
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Negative rating pressure could arise from the acquisition of
illimity if IFIS failed to manage integration risks. This could
manifest in a failure to extract synergies, while capital and
earnings durably weaken versus IFIS's trajectory before the
acquisition. Materially larger-than-expected operational losses on
the integration could also lead to a negative rating action.
IFIS's ratings have sufficient headroom to absorb a moderately
weaker-than-expected macroeconomic environment that could affect
its business in the short term. However, the ratings could be
downgraded if IFIS's organic impaired loans ratio structurally
increased towards 10% and the CET1 ratio fell below 14% without
prospects of reversing in the short term. Operating profit falling
towards 1.5% of RWAs on a sustained basis would also put pressure
on the ratings, especially if this resulted from heightened
pressure on funding costs.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Rating upside is primarily contingent on evidence of progress in
IFIS's diversification strategy, notably through the smooth
integration of illimity, which would ultimately strengthen its
business profile, while controlling its risk appetite. A successful
integration demonstrated by execution of the announced synergies,
the alignment of risk cultures, and tangible benefits from an
increased size in key operating segments, all within a reasonable
timeframe, could ultimately be positive for the sustainability of
IFIS's business profile and earnings, and its ratings.
In particular, IFIS would have to sustain a higher earnings
generation than its long-term average (e.g. an operating
profit/RWAs ratio of at least around 2.5%). This would have to be
accompanied by continued prudent capital management, with a CET1
ratio comfortably above the 14% target, and asset quality
maintained at around current levels (e.g. organic impaired loans
ratio of 5%).
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
Deposits and Senior Debt
IFIS's long-term deposit rating of 'BBB-' is one notch above the
bank's Long-Term IDR given full depositor preference in Italy and
the bank's compliance with minimum requirements for own funds and
eligible liabilities (MREL). The short-term deposit rating of 'F3'
is mapped to IFIS's 'BBB-' long-term deposit rating.
Senior preferred debt is rated in line with the Long-Term IDR. This
reflects its expectation that IFIS's resolution buffers under MREL
will comprise both senior preferred and junior debt instruments,
plus equity. The rating also reflects its expectation that the
buffer of more junior instruments is unlikely to sustainably exceed
10% of the bank's RWAs.
Subordinated Debt
The Tier 2 debt is rated two notches below IFIS's VR for loss
severity to reflect poor recovery prospects. No notching is applied
for incremental non-performance risk because write-down of the
notes will only occur once the point of non-viability is reached
and there is no coupon flexibility before non-viability.
No Government Support
IFIS's Government Support Rating (GSR) of 'no support' reflects
Fitch's view that senior creditors cannot rely on receiving full
extraordinary support from the sovereign if the bank becomes
non-viable. The EU's Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive and the
Single Resolution Mechanism for eurozone banks provide a framework
for resolving banks that requires senior creditors participating in
losses ahead of a bank receiving sovereign support.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
Deposits and Senior Debt
The long-term deposit and senior preferred ratings are primarily
sensitive to changes in the bank's Long-Term IDR, from which they
are notched.
In addition, the long-term deposit rating is also sensitive to a
reduction in the buffers of senior and junior debt, for example, if
the bank fails to comply with its MREL.
The senior preferred debt could be upgraded if IFIS were expected
to meet the resolution buffer requirements exclusively with more
junior instruments, or if Fitch expected resolution buffers
represented by more junior instruments to be at least 10% of RWAs
on a sustained basis, neither of which is currently the case.
Subordinated Debt
The subordinated debt rating is primarily sensitive to changes in
the VR, from which it is notched. The rating is also sensitive to a
change in the notes' notching, which could arise if Fitch changes
its assessment of their non-performance relative to the risk
captured in the VR.
An upgrade of the GSR would be contingent on a positive change in
the sovereign's propensity to support the bank. Fitch believes this
is highly unlikely, although not impossible.
VR ADJUSTMENTS
The operating environment score of 'bbb' is below the 'a' implied
category score due to the following adjustment reason: sovereign
rating (negative).
The asset quality score of 'bb' is above the 'b and below' implied
category score due to the following adjustment reason: loan
classification policies (positive).
The earnings and profitability score of 'bb+' is below the 'bbb'
implied category score due to the following adjustment reason:
revenue diversification (negative).
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Banca IFIS S.p.A. LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
ST IDR B Affirmed B
Viability bb+ Affirmed bb+
Government Support ns Affirmed ns
Subordinated LT BB- Affirmed BB-
long-term
deposits LT BBB- Affirmed BBB-
Senior
preferred LT BB+ Affirmed BB+
short-term
deposits ST F3 Affirmed F3
CASSIA SRL 2022-1: Moody's Affirms Ba3 Rating on EUR47.2MM C Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the ratings of all three classes of
notes issued by Cassia 2022-1 S.R.L.:
EUR153.4M Class A Notes, Affirmed A2 (sf); previously on Apr 8,
2022 Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
EUR34.8M Class B Notes, Affirmed Baa3 (sf); previously on Apr 8,
2022 Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
EUR47.2M Class C Notes, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on Apr 8,
2022 Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The affirmation reflects the stable performance of the underlying
portfolio. The reported weighted average (WA) debt yield (DY) of
the two loans remains strong at 10.8%, while the WA loan-to-value
(LTV) ratio has improved to 57.8%, down from 59.9% at closing. This
improvement follows the disposal of two properties and an increase
in market valuations based on the July 2024 appraisal. Moody's
current WA LTV of the two loans stands at 77.4%, down from 78.2% at
closing. Moody's current LTV for the Thunder portfolio loan is
79.4% and 73.2% for the Jupiter portfolio loan as compared to 80.4%
and 73.2% at closing respectively.
As of the May 2025 IPD[1], two properties were sold from the
Thunder portfolio, reducing the total number of properties in the
portfolio to 18. The proceeds from the disposals were used to top
up the liquidity facility and the remaining EUR10.3 million were
used to prepay the notes on a pro-rata basis. This principal
prepayment has lowered Thunder II's reported LTV to 56.3%, compared
to 59.6% at closing. The reported LTV for the Jupiter loan is
57.7%.
PERFORMANCE SUMMARY
The transaction is backed by two uncrossed loans, with the
outstanding balance reduced to EUR224.5 million from EUR236.4
million at closing. These loans are secured against 40 logistics
properties across Italy, most of which are strategically located
along the country's primary logistics corridors. The sponsor of the
loans is Blackstone Real Estate Partners L.P.
In August 2022, an unintended redemption occurred, funded by
amounts drawn from the liquidity reserve, which led to a temporary
reduction in the reserve balance. To address the reduction, the
transaction documentation was amended in November 2022 to correct
the partial redemption[2]. Among the amendments, it was stipulated
that principal receipts from prepayments would be used to replenish
the liquidity reserve before being allocated to pay down the
notes.
Following the recent disposals, the reserve has been fully restored
to its intended commitment level and now stands at EUR11.3 million.
Furthermore, there was no release premium included as the total
disposed property value was below the 10% of market value
threshold. The release price mechanism for each loan states that
there is no release premium for the first 10% of properties sold by
market value (MV), a 105% premium with respect to the subsequent
10% of properties sold, and then 110% thereafter.
According to the May 2025 Quarterly Investor Report[1], the Jupiter
portfolio, comprising 22 properties, is fully occupied as compared
to 6.8% vacancy at closing. The Thunder portfolio has been reduced
to 18 properties following two disposals. Despite a decline from
its August 2024 peak of 24.8%, the Thunder portfolio's vacancy rate
remains relatively high at 20.8%. The elevated vacancy is
attributed to ongoing capex works affecting several properties.
However, strong sector fundamentals and the enhanced quality of the
upgraded properties should support the re-letting. On existing
releasing activity, both portfolios exhibit strong reletting
spreads over the past year.
Moody's value of the properties is approximately 25% lower than the
latest reported values as of the May 2025 IPD. Specifically,
Moody's values the Thunder II portfolio at 27% below its reported
value (adjusted for the disposals), and the Jupiter portfolio at
21% below its reported value.
Moody's rating action reflects a base pool expected loss of 1.4% of
the current balance. Moody's derive this loss expectation from the
analysis of the default probability of the securitised loans (both
during the term and at maturity) and the value assessment of the
collateral.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "EMEA
Commercial Mortgage-backed Securitisations" published in June
2025.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Main factors or circumstances that could lead to an upgrade of the
ratings are generally (i) an increase in the property values
backing the underlying loans, or (ii) a decrease in default risk
assessment or (iii) given the exposure to Italy a decrease in
sovereign risk.
Main factors or circumstances that could lead to a downgrade of the
ratings are generally (i) a decline in the property values backing
the underlying loans, especially due to prolonged higher than
expected vacancy levels in the Thunder portfolio or (ii) an
increase in default risk assessment or (iii) given the exposure to
Italy an increase in sovereign risk.
ILLIMITY BANK: Fitch Hikes LT IDR to 'BB' & Keeps Rating Watch Pos.
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has upgraded illimity Bank S.p.A.'s Long-Term Issuer
Default Rating (IDR) and long-term senior preferred debt to 'BB'
from 'BB-'. Fitch has also upgraded by one notch illimity's
long-term deposit and Tier 2 ratings. Fitch has maintained the
bank's Long-Term IDR and debt ratings on Rating Watch Positive
(RWP).
The rating actions follow illimity's successful takeover by Banca
IFIS S.p.A. (IFIS, BB+/Stable), reaching about 93% of the former's
share capital. The change in ownership has led us to withdraw the
Government Support Rating (GSR) of 'no support'. This reflects its
view that IFIS has now become the primary source of extraordinary
support, leading us to assign a Shareholder Support Rating (SSR) of
'bb' and place it on RWP.
The RWP on illimity's SSR, Long-Term IDR and debt ratings reflects
the potential to equalise the bank's ratings with those of IFIS
once Fitch gains more clarity about the merger process on
completion of ongoing due diligence. The resolution of the RWP
could take longer than Fitch's typical horizon of six months.
Fitch has withdrawn the GSR because it no longer considers it
relevant to its coverage.
Key Rating Drivers
Shareholder Support Drives Ratings: illimity's ratings benefit from
a moderate probability of support from its new, higher-rated owner
following the takeover. Fitch has reflected this likelihood of
support by assigning illimity a SSR of 'bb'. In Fitch's opinion,
illimity is strategically important to IFIS given its recent
acquisition because it adds scale and business diversification to
the latter's core businesses. The SSR is one notch below IFIS's
Long-Term IDR, reflecting illimity's large relative size and its
expectation that the integration process will be challenging and
gradual.
High Propensity to Support: Fitch believes a default of illimity
would create high reputational risk for IFIS, and that the Italian
authorities would favour support for illimity from IFIS. In
addition, Fitch expects the enlarged group to adopt a combined
group resolution plan, which will make support for the subsidiary
likely as the group will ultimately operate under a single
point-of-entry model.
Integration Risks, Large Relative Size: Fitch expects illimity to
be merged into IFIS by 2026 and be fully operationally integrated
in 2027. However, Fitch considers there to be significant execution
risks due to illimity's large size relative to its parent, at about
40% of the combined entity's assets at end-2024, its relatively
large number of legal entities and its weak performance record.
Illimity's recent wind-down of its non-performing loan business
also highlighted valuation risks in its assets, which Fitch
believes will need to be carefully managed.
Clear Strategic Fit: illimity's acquisition will strengthen IFIS's
position as a leader in specialty finance with a focus on SMEs.
Both institutions have complementary sector focuses, which should
generate significant synergies. This includes expanding product
offerings and improving client servicing by integrating high
value-added products, like factoring.
Viability Rating Unaffected: Fitch does not consider the
acquisition to have an immediate significant impact on the
standalone credit profile of illimity, so its Viability Rating is
unaffected by the rating actions. The key rating drivers of
illimity's Viability Rating are outlined in its Rating Action
Commentary published on 10 April 2025 (see "Fitch Places illimity
on Rating Watch Positive on IFIS's Exchange Offer")
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Illimity's IDRs and SSR would be downgraded if IFIS's Long-Term IDR
was downgraded. Fitch will likely remove the ratings from RWP and
affirm the ratings if the integration and merger of illimity is
significantly delayed, for example due to higher-than-expected
execution risks, and assuming illimity remains strategically
important to IFIS.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
An upgrade of the IDRs and SSR would be contingent on an upgrade of
the IFIS's Long-Term IDR. The resolution of the RWP and
equalisation of illimity's ratings with its parent's would be
contingent on the completion of due diligence after the acquisition
and clarity on the timing of the merger.
Fitch also expects to withdraw illimity's issuer ratings on
completion of the merger into IFIS as the bank will cease to exist
as a separate legal entity.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
The RWP on illimity's long-term debt ratings mirrors that on the
bank's Long-Term IDR, from which they are notched.
The long-term deposit rating of 'BB+' is one notch above the bank's
Long-Term IDR given full depositor preference in Italy and the
protection offered by large buffers of lower-ranking senior
preferred and Tier 2 debt. The uplift also reflects its expectation
that the bank will maintain these buffers throughout the
integration process. The short-term deposit rating of 'B' is mapped
to illimity's 'BB+' long-term deposit rating.
Senior preferred debt is rated in line with the bank's Long-Term
IDR. This reflects its expectation that illimity will maintain a
total debt buffer above 10% of its risk-weighted assets throughout
the integration process.
Subordinated Tier 2 debt is notched down from illimity's Long-Term
IDR because Fitch believes support from IFIS will extend to
illimity's bondholders. The subordinated Tier 2 debt is rated two
notches below the Long-Term IDR for loss severity to reflect poor
recovery prospects. No notching is applied for incremental
non-performance risk because write-down of the notes will only
occur once the point of non-viability is reached, and there is no
coupon flexibility before non-viability.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
The debt ratings are sensitive to changes in the bank's IDRs, from
which they are notched.
The long-term senior preferred and deposit ratings could be
downgraded by one notch if the buffer of unsecured debt fell below
10% of RWAs without prospects of recovery in the medium term.
The subordinated debt rating is also sensitive to a change in the
notes' notching, which could result from a change in Fitch's
assessment of their non-performance relative to the risk captured
in the Long-Term IDR.
An upgrade of the GSR would be contingent on a positive change in
the sovereign's propensity to support the bank. In its view, this
is highly unlikely, although not impossible.
Public Ratings with Credit Linkage to other ratings
illimity's Long-Term IDR and SSR are linked to IFIS's Long-Term
IDR.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
illimity Bank
S.p.A. LT IDR BB Upgrade BB-
ST IDR B Affirmed B
Government Support WD Withdrawn ns
Shareholder Support bb New Rating
Subordinated LT B+ Upgrade B
long-term
deposits LT BB+ Upgrade BB
Senior
preferred LT BB Upgrade BB-
short-term
deposits ST B Rating Watch Maintained B
KEPLER S.P.A: Fitch Puts 'B' Final Rating to EUR500M Sr. Sec. Notes
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Kepler S.p.A. (Biofarma)'s EUR500
million senior secured notes a final 'B' senior secured rating with
a Recovery Rating of 'RR4'. The final rating is in line with the
expected rating Fitch assigned to the notes on 23 June. Proceeds
have been used to refinance its EUR345 million notes and to
partially repay other senior secured debt and the drawn portion of
a super senior revolving credit facility (RCF).
Biofarma's 'B' Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) reflects the
company's modest size, high leverage and narrow business focus,
which are balanced against its established market position as a
contract development and manufacturing organisation (CDMO) in
nutraceuticals, with a leading global position in the attractive
niche probiotics subsector.
The Stable Outlook on the IDR reflects its expectation that
Biofarma will benefit from structural and profitable growth in its
specialist markets, leading to moderately reducing leverage across
2025-2027.
Key Rating Drivers
Specialist Niche CDMO: The ratings reflect Biofarma's established
market positions in the structurally growing niche nutraceutical
market as an innovative outsourcing partner for consumer health
firms and divisions of pharmaceutical companies. Biofarma produces
nutraceutical finished dosage-form products for health supplements,
skin cosmetics and associated medical device products. Its key area
of expertise is probiotics, a growing market in which it holds a
meaningful share in the EU and the US, representing around a third
of the company's sales.
Its global position in nutraceuticals and probiotics was
strengthened with its EU370 million acquisition of US Pharma Labs
in 2023, which allowed it to enter the large US market and to
become a partner of choice for global clients. The acquisition
expanded its manufacturing footprint by adding US and Chinese
facilities, including enhanced Chinese sourcing capabilities to
support its manufacturing facilities in northern Italy and France.
Limited Scale, Concentrated Business: Biofarma's limited scale and
diversification, although improved with the recent acquisitions,
are mitigated by the technological content and long production
cycles of its products and high switching costs for its customers,
which protects the business and increases revenue visibility. Fitch
estimates that 55% of revenues are derived from specialist and
differentiated products, such as probiotics and the more regulated
medical devices products. Fitch views its expertise in R&D product
development and its state-of-the-art manufacturing as critical to
its success as a partner of choice for its larger customers.
Capex to Accelerate Growth: Fitch expects Biofarma's organic growth
to exceed the mid-single-digit growth of its underlying markets at
around 9% over 2025-2027, largely driven by the completion of
investments in two new manufacturing facilities in France and the
US, which should become operational from 2H25.
Resilient Profitability: Fitch views Biofarma's profitability as
resilient for a specialist CDMO, reflecting its leadership in
differentiated market niches in which it can add value to clients
with its specialised product development expertise. In recent
years, Biofarma has proven its ability to pass on cost inflation in
its specialty business faster than CDMO peers operating in more
commoditised markets. Its rating case assumes EBITDA margins will
gradually improve towards 23% by 2027 from 19.6% in 2024. This will
be driven by positive operating leverage from revenue growth and
cost efficiencies from its state-of-the art manufacturing
facilities under construction.
Expansion Capex Hits FCF: High expansion capex in manufacturing
capabilities to support growth (over 11% of sales in 2024) has led
to negative free cash flow (FCF) and Fitch expects it to constrain
FCF through to 2027. Fitch expects a gradual improvement of FCF,
driven by EBITDA expansion, with FCF forecast to improve in 2025
and become mildly positive thereafter.
High Leverage to Moderate: Fitch expects Biofarma's EBITDA leverage
to improve to 6.4x in 2025 (6.7x in 2024), which is high but
consistent with the rating. Its Stable Outlook assumes a prudent
financial policy that allows gradual organic deleveraging to 5.5x
by 2027, as higher revenue growth and margins drive EBITDA
expansion.
Selective M&A, Moderate Execution Risks: Fitch anticipates the
company will pursue modest bolt-on acquisitions, focusing on
targeted technologies and manufacturing capabilities, while
expanding its geographical reach outside Italy. This would lead to
manageable execution risks. Its rating case assumes an annual M&A
of between EUR50 million and EUR100 million over 2025-2027. Fitch
would treat higher or aggressive M&A as event risk, particularly if
it is financed only by debt rather than debt and equity.
Supportive Market Fundamentals: Biofarma benefits from supportive
market fundamentals, with non-cyclical volume growth driven by a
rising and ageing population and an increasing focus on health,
disease prevention and self-medication. The company is also well
placed to capitalise on the outsourcing trend of specialist
ingredient manufacturing processes in the consumer health market.
Peer Analysis
Fitch regards capital- and asset-intensive businesses, such as
F.I.S. Fabbrica Italiana Sintetici S.p.A. (B/Positive), Roar Bidco
AB (Recipharm; B/Stable), European Medco Development 3 Sa.r.l.
(Axplora; B-/Stable) and Financiere Top Mendel SAS (Ceva Sante;
B+/Stable) as direct peers of Biofarma. They all rely on ongoing
investments to grow at pace with or above the market and to
maintain operating margins.
Biofarma's profitability is similar to that of Axplora and Triley
Midco 2 Limited (Clinigen Group, B/Negative), and higher than
Recipharm's and F.I.S.'s. Nevertheless, Biofarma is considerably
smaller than all its peers.
In Fitch's wider pharmaceutical rated portfolio, generic drug
manufacturing companies Nidda BondCo GmbH (Stada; B/Stable) and
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (BB+/Stable), are much
larger than Biofarma, while asset-light niche pharmaceutical
companies outsourcing manufacturing to CDMOs, such as CHEPLAPHARM
Arzneimittel GmbH (B/Stable) and ADVANZ PHARMA HoldCo Limited
(B/Stable), are similar in size but have better profitability and
positive FCF margins in the double digits.
Key Assumptions
Fitch's Key Assumptions Within Its Rating Case for the Issuer
- Organic revenue growth of 8%-9% over 2025-2027, supported by new
capex projects in France and the US
- Annual acquisitions of EUR50 million-100 million over 2025-2027,
contributing to further revenue growth
- Fitch-defined EBITDA margin improving gradually to 23% in 2027,
from 19.6% in 2024
- Working capital inflow of EUR5 million in 2025, followed by
outflows of EUR5 million-10 million a year in 2026-2027
- Capex at 11.7% of sales in 2025, then moderating to 9% in 2026
and 7.5% in 2027
- No dividends
Recovery Analysis
Biofarma's recovery analysis is based on a going-concern (GC)
approach, which according to its analysis supports a higher
realisable value in financial distress than a balance-sheet
liquidation.
Financial distress could arise primarily from increased costs or
price pressures in a higher-than-expected inflationary environment,
or the loss of key contracts from its top customers, which would
lead to margin contraction and reduced cash flow generation.
Fitch estimates an EBITDA of EUR85 million after restructuring,
based on its GC enterprise value (EV) calculation. At this level of
EBITDA, Fitch believes the company will be able to continue
generating cash, although it would face high pressure given a
debt/EBITDA of around 8.0x.
The multiple Fitch used for EV calculation is 5.5x EBITDA, the same
as in the last review. The multiple reflects increased scale and
wider geographic diversification after the US Pharma acquisition.
Fitch treats the RCF, which the company increased to EUR135 million
from EUR104 million as a part of the refinancing, as it is super
senior to the senior secured notes. After deducting 10% for
administrative claims and assuming the RCF as fully drawn and super
senior to the notes, its principal waterfall analysis generates a
ranked recovery in the 'RR4' category for the new senior secured
floating-rate notes, leading to a 'B' rating, at the same level as
the current IDR.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors That Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Unsuccessful implementation of growth strategy, including an M&A
approach that increases financial and execution risks
- EBITDA margin at or below 20% on a sustained basis
- Weakening cash generation, with FCF margins around break-even on
a sustained basis
- Fitch-calculated gross debt consistently above 6.5x EBITDA
- EBITDA interest coverage below 2.0x on a sustained basis
Factors That Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Successful implementation of growth strategy, including selective
and targeted M&A, leading to increased scale
- EBITDA margin at or above 25% on a sustained basis
- Continued strong cash generation, with FCF margins in the high
single digits on a sustained basis
- Fitch-calculated gross debt sustained at or below 4.5x EBITDA
- EBITDA interest coverage above 3.0x on a sustained basis
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Biofarma had EUR9 million of cash on its balance sheet (excluding
EUR5 million of Fitch-defined restricted cash) at end-1Q25. The
company has access to a fully available increased EUR135 million
RCF maturing in September 2029 after the refinancing. In addition,
it has an increased EUR200 million capex/acquisition facility,
which is fully undrawn. Its senior secured notes mature in December
2029. Fitch expects Biofarma to generate negative FCF in 2025,
before turning slightly positive from 2026. Its rating case assumes
new acquisitions will mostly be financed with additional debt.
Issuer Profile
Biofarma is an Italian CDMO specialising in manufacturing health
supplements, medical devices and cosmetics, with a leading position
in the development and production of probiotics.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Kepler S.p.A.
senior secured LT B New Rating RR4 B(EXP)
===================
K A Z A K H S T A N
===================
FORTEBANK JSC: Fitch Affirms 'BB' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
---------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed ForteBank JSC's Long-Term Foreign- and
Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at at 'BB' with a
Stable Outlook. Fitch has also affirmed the Viability Rating (VR)
at 'bb'.
The ratings affirmation follows Forte's recent announcement that it
has agreed to acquire a 100% stake in Kazakhstan-based JSC Home
Credit Bank (HCBK; BB-/Stable/bb-). The acquisition will be
financed in cash. The bank expects the transaction to close by
end-2025, subject to regulatory approval.
The affirmation reflects Fitch's view that the bank has substantial
rating headroom to absorb anticipated impacts from acquisition and
organic rapid credit growth, given the bank's existing solid
capital and liquidity buffers, robust profitability and acceptable
asset quality.
Key Rating Drivers
Acquisition Adds Scale: Forte's mid-sized franchise (representing
7% of sector loans as of end-May 2025) could be enhanced by the
acquisition of HCBK (2%), a consumer finance monoliner, which may
lead Forte to qualify as a domestic systemically important bank
(D-SIB). Forte has a universal franchise, with good access to the
largest Kazakh corporates, including export-oriented companies, in
addition to its focus on consumer finance and SME lending. The
banks' possible merger timeline is yet unknown, while integration
of HCBK will strengthen Forte's retail product offering. Revenues
will remain reliant on net interest income.
Higher, Retail-Driven Credit Costs: Fitch estimates the planned
acquisition will increase Forte's exposure to high-risk/high-reward
consumer finance to 35% of the combined portfolio by end-2025 from
23% of Forte's standalone book at end-1Q25. This would weigh on the
group's risk profile and asset quality. Forte's loan impairment
charges (LICs; 2.4% of average loans in 2024) were above the
sector's, mainly driven by consumer finance, and Fitch expects them
to increase to above 3% after consolidation. Credit risks will be
softened by HCBK's more effective risk controls in consumer finance
than Forte's, while Forte has a conservative risk appetite in
corporate and SME lending.
Asset Quality Metrics to Weaken: Forte's asset quality is supported
by a moderate share of loans in total assets (end-1Q25: 47%), while
non-loan assets are mostly investment grade. Forte's impaired loans
were a manageable 5% of the book and 87% covered by total reserves.
Upon the conclusion of the acquisition, Fitch estimates that loans
will account for 60% of the combined assets, the consolidated
impaired loans ratio will rise to around 6%, and reserve coverage
will decline below 70%, reflecting HCBK's weaker metrics. However,
the combined metrics should remain acceptable for the rating
level.
Robust Performance: The bank's operating profit averaged a strong
6.5% of risk-weighted assets over the past four years. Wide
margins, due to Forte's high-margin consumer finance subsector, and
adequate operating efficiency resulted in robust pre-impairment
profit at 13% of average loans in 2024. This is comfortably above
the cost of risk and translates into a strong loss-absorption
capacity and a high return on average equity (above 30% over
2022-2024). Integration of HCBK will support the group's
performance at current levels, while management budgets only
moderate integration costs over 2026.
Capital to Decline Significantly: Fitch estimates that Forte's
solid Fitch Core Capital (FCC) ratio of 20% at end-1Q25 may fall
substantially to 12% by end-2025, driven by Forte's large
pre-acquisition dividend payout, aggressive organic growth in 2025,
and post-acquisition capital dilution. Fitch expects the group to
recover the FCC ratio closer to 14% by end-2026, supported by
strong internal capital generation. However, its forecast is
contingent on significant growth moderation and full profit
retention in 2026, in line with management's guidance.
Ample Liquidity: Forte's loans/deposits ratio was a healthy 75%,
while short-term wholesale debt repayments are limited. Fitch
anticipates the loans/deposits ratio of the consolidated entity
will increase, due to HCBK's large wholesale debt, but remain a
still reasonable 90%. Forte's liquidity cushion (equal to around
40% of total assets at end-1Q25) is ample to comfortably cover the
acquisition price and support the liquidity needs of the combined
entity.
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
Forte's ratings could be downgraded on a sustained weakening of
asset quality, profitability and capitalisation beyond Fitch's
expectations following the consolidation of HCBK.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
Upside potential is currently limited. In the medium term, a
build-up of the FCC ratio to above 17% on a sustained basis and an
extended record of efficient credit risk controls following HCBK's
integration could justify an upgrade. This should be combined with
a material franchise strengthening alongside a record of
business-model stability and strong financial performance.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: KEY RATING DRIVERS
Forte's National Long-Term Rating of 'A(kaz)' reflects the bank's
creditworthiness in local currency relative to that of other
issuers in Kazakhstan.
Forte's senior unsecured debt, including USD400 million in 7.75%
five-year Eurobonds, is rated in line with the bank's Long-Term IDR
and National Long-Term Rating, reflecting average recovery
prospects in a default.
Forte's Government Support Rating (GSR) of 'b-' reflects a limited
probability of support from Kazakhstan, given the bank's moderate
systemic importance. The significant gap between Forte's GSR and
Kazakhstan's sovereign rating captures a patchy record of state
support to privately owned Kazakh banks, with bail-ins of certain
senior unsecured creditors in the past.
OTHER DEBT AND ISSUER RATINGS: RATING SENSITIVITIES
Forte's National Long-Term Rating is sensitive to change in its
creditworthiness relative to other Kazakhstani issuers.
The bank's senior debt ratings are likely to move in tandem with
the Long-Term IDR and National Long-Term Rating.
Forte's GSR is sensitive to Fitch's assessment of Kazakhstan's
ability and propensity to provide support to the banking sector.
Its view on the propensity of Kazakh authorities to provide support
to banks is primarily based on the record of state support.
VR ADJUSTMENTS
The asset quality score of 'bb' is above the 'b & below' category
implied score because of the following adjustment reason: non-loan
exposures (positive).
The earnings and profitability score of 'bb+' is below the 'bbb'
category implied score because of the following adjustment reason:
revenue diversification (negative).
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
ForteBank JSC LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
ST IDR B Affirmed B
LC LT IDR BB Affirmed BB
Natl LT A(kaz)Affirmed A(kaz)
Viability bb Affirmed bb
Government Support b- Affirmed b-
senior
unsecured LT BB Affirmed BB
senior
unsecured Natl LT A(kaz)Affirmed A(kaz)
===================
L U X E M B O U R G
===================
ALEXANDRITE LAKE: Fitch Assigns 'B+' Long-Term IDR, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Alexandrite Lake Lux Holdings S.a.r.l. a
first-time Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) of 'B+' with a
Stable Outlook and its planned EUR300 million senior secured bond
an expected rating of 'BB-(EXP)' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR3'.
The IDR and expected senior secured rating also apply to the
co-issuer Savoy Luxembourg Holdings S.Ã .r.l. (together the
co-midcos). The co-midcos jointly own 100% of alstria office AG
(alstria). The assignment of the final ratings is contingent on the
receipt of final documents conforming to information already
reviewed.
The consolidated profile of the Brookfield-owned co-midcos, and
their subordinated debt, includes alstria. It owns a EUR4.1 billion
German non-prime rent income-producing office portfolio,
specialising in the refurbishment and repositioning of offices for
a portion of its portfolio. The core portfolio has long lease
lengths, 93% occupancy, and affordable rents in city centre
locations.
Key Rating Drivers
Key Rating Drivers for alstria
Office Portfolio Qualities: alstria's end-2024 portfolio is
strategically located in some of Germany's leading office markets:
Hamburg (33% by end-2024 value), Düsseldorf (27%), Frankfurt
(22%), Stuttgart (11%), and Berlin (8%). Most of these assets are
moderate in size, averaging 13,000 sqm, with an affordable rent
averaging EUR18.6/sqm/month, with potential upside to market rent
and ultimate sale. There is asset concentration with the top 10
assets constituting 33% of end-2024 value.
Stabilised assets comprised 93% of the portfolio by value at
end-2024, with the balance consisting of refurbishment properties
(defined as less than 50% occupancy) office assets.
Stabilised Portfolio's Rental Income: alstria's tenant base is
robust, with 37% of end-2024 annual rent sourced from public sector
entities such as the City of Hamburg, Frankfurt and Berlin or
investment-grade companies, some with state links. The portfolio
has a solid weighted average unexpired lease term to earliest-break
(WALB) of 5.2 years, ensuring longevity of income. Vacancy within
the total portfolio is managed at around 8% (by estimated rental
value, ERV) reflecting alstria's continuous refurbishment
strategy.
Worked Assets in Refurbishment Portfolio: alstria has some
under-invested assets, often bought at reduced prices, to refurbish
and re-let for higher rents when market conditions are conducive.
This will increase their capital value. Planned refurbishments do
not target prime quality fit-out or prime rents but optimise
returns by setting rents appropriate for central urban locations.
Switching from single-lets to multi-tenanted buildings creates
positive rental tension for future years' lease expiries to
optimise (rather than a stale building on a single 15 year lease).
Refurbishment Spend and Higher Rents: The success of this strategy
is seen in the portfolio's average rent increasing year on year.
Individual examples, such as Epplestrasse 225 in Stuttgart and
Deutsche-Telekom-Allee 9 in Darmstadt, show that earlier
refurbishments increased rents higher than previous levels given
the refurbishment cost, with subsequent refurbishments increasing
rent levels again. The end-value of a refurbished building's
previous-value, plus capex spent to establish higher rent, plus
valuation uplift, is the profitable transitional activity of
alstria.
Managed Vacancy Rate: alstria mitigates the execution risk inherent
in refurbishment projects by investing strategically in its
portfolio, managing the vacancy rate around 8% (excluding
developments). Typically, about 10 projects are underway
simultaneously, each averaging EUR25 million-EUR30 million in
capex, which helps reduce concentration risk. These projects
usually take 2.0-2.5 years from vacancy to re-letting.
Capex Planning Flexibility: alstria can time its use of capex, as
its assets typically only require limited outlay. Upon lease
expiry, alstria has the option to re-let at broadly existing rents
or refurbish the property, which increases rental values. Fitch
expects the development pipeline will be funded mainly through
asset disposals, or with potential equity involvement from
Brookfield, to achieve the group's target 50% loan-to-value (LTV)
leverage threshold and minimal reliance on further debt.
High But Stable Leverage: Fitch expects that alstria's net
debt/EBITDA leverage will remain high at around 15x-16x over the
next two to three years, but may reduce thereafter should it be
able to sell properties. alstria is committed to reducing its LTV
ratio to about 50% from 56% at end-2024 over the long term.
alstria's interest cover benefits from low-coupon bank and bond
debt with 2026-2028 interest coverage forecast about 1.8x.
Key Rating Drivers for Alexandrite Lake Lux Holdings S.a.r.l, and
Savoy Luxembourg Holdings S.a.r.l. (the Co-MidCos)
PSL Rating Approach: Fitch uses its Parent and Subsidiary Linkage
(PSL) Rating Criteria reflecting the co-ordinated Brookfield
ownership and the co-midcos' control over alstria's strategy.
Under its PSL criteria, Fitch assesses alstria's legal ring-fencing
as 'porous' reflecting the debt incurrence and maintenance
covenants in alstria's public bonds, which limit downside risk.
Dividends from alstria are not required to service co-midco debt,
which also has liquidity support from its owners. Furthermore, a
default of a co-midco will not result in a default on alstria's
debt. Fitch has assessed access and control as 'porous' with
alstria having external funding and stated financial policy
(alstria's LTV target of below 50%, no co-borrowing) conditioned by
financial covenants.
PSL-Required Consolidated Metrics: With this linkage the criteria
guides that the co-midcos' ratings are derived from the
consolidated profile, including alstria's figures. Consolidated net
debt/EBITDA is 19x-17x, LTV about 60%-63%, and consolidated
interest cover narrows to 1.4x by 2027.
Co-Midcos' Debt Service: To service the bonds' coupons, co-midcos
are reliant on cash dividends from alstria, and/or liquidity under
a letter of credit-backed (LOC) mechanism for interest payment
shortfalls. Fitch views the six-month LOC interest expense reserve
mechanism, supported by the two Brookfield funds, as an accretive
initial six months liquidity to cover interest payments for the
senior secured bond, should dividends from alstria be interrupted.
If the LOC is drawn, Brookfield may be required to renew its
commitment to, or top-up, any shortfall in the six-month LOC.
alstria Dividend Capacity: Instead of alstria upstreaming a
dividend, the ultimate owners expect alstria to deploy its cashflow
towards re-investment in higher-yielding property refurbishments.
Fitch calculates alstria's dividend capacity ratio (alstria's
EBITDA less interest expense and tax/co-midco interest costs),
stand-alone interest cover, as comfortably above 2x but the
co-midco-level consolidated interest cover tightens to 1.4x by
2027. The high consolidated leverage and tight interest cover frame
the co-midcos' ratings.
Financial Covenants: Incremental debt at the co-midco level is
limited to EUR515 million. As incurrence-based covenants, alstria's
public bonds have an LTV ratio below 60% (end-2024: 55%), secured
debt/total assets less than 45% (32%) and unencumbered
assets/unsecured debt above 150% (186%). alstria's
maintenance-based interest coverage is above 1.8x (2.4x).
Peer Analysis
DEMIRE Deutsche Mittelstand Real Estate AG's (IDR: CCC+) EUR0.8
billion secondary office-weighted portfolio is located in non-CBD
areas across Germany. In comparison, alstria's EUR4.1 billion
portfolio is also diversified within Germany but is concentrated in
the country's top office markets, which have distinct local sector
dynamics. This mitigates concentration risk of the single-country
focus. alstria offers mid-market rents in or near CBD locations,
where demand is stronger than for DEMIRE's non-CBD affordable
office space, as reflected in alstria's vacancy rate of 8.6% versus
DEMIRE's 18% at end-1Q25.
Within Brookfield-owned Alexandrite Monnet UK HoldCo Plc (IDR:
B+/Stable), Befimmo's assets are concentrated in Brussels' prime
CBD market and have high occupancy, strong rent collection, and a
focus on increasing rents and ESG credentials. At end-2023, the
tenant base was made up of 53% public sector entities, a proportion
unique among indicated Fitch-rated peers. Befimmo's asset quality
is higher than alstria's, with half its portfolio younger than 10
years. Although Befimmo's average rent (EUR15/sq m/month) is lower
than alstria's (EUR19/sq m/month) due to legacy government leases,
its cash flow has greater visibility, reflected in a WALB of 9.5
years compared with alstria's 5.2 years.
Sirius Real Estate Limited (IDR: BBB/Stable) invests in secondary
German offices, which are strategically located close to key German
cities. Sirius's approach to acquiring higher-yielding assets, with
a moderate level of capex required, is standardised and has a
record of improving cash flow and lease tenors. Sirius has an
active in-house leasing team for the German operations.
Key Assumptions
Fitch's Key Assumptions for alstria
- Rental growth from annual indexation of 1.3%-2.0%
- Rent increases during 2026-2027 are based on some scheduled
refurbishments being let. For 2028 and 2029 Fitch assumes a 10%
gross rent yield on improvement capex, and 4.8% yield rent lost
from disposals (also producing an annualised effect).
- Rental yield on refurbishment capex averages 9.6%
- Investment property disposals of EUR80 million in 2025, EUR110
million in 2026, EUR250 million annually thereafter
- Total value-enhancing capex of EUR140 million in 2025, EUR104
million-EUR110 million thereafter
- Cost of debt for in-place secured loans is based on Fitch's
Global Economic Outlook EUR policy; new unsecured debt assumed to
be issued at a fixed-rate coupon of 5.5%
- Existing interest rate hedging and caps increase alstria's cost
of debt by EUR1.5 million-EUR4 million annually
Recovery Analysis
Its bespoke recovery analysis assumes that the co-midcos would be
liquidated rather than restructured as a going concern (GC) in a
default.
Fitch uses alstria's EUR4,163 million of investment property assets
as at 1Q25. Given the inclusion of its undrawn EUR150 million
revolving credit facility (RCF) in debt, the drawing of which would
most likely add assets, Fitch added the same amount to investment
properties, the total of which Fitch applies a standard 20%
discount. Additionally, a standard 10% deduction is made for
administrative claims.
Fitch's principal waterfall analysis measures these proceeds
against alstria's end-1Q25 secured debt of EUR1,571.5 million, and
unsecured gross debt of EUR978 million plus the longer-dated EUR150
million portion of the undrawn RCF maturing in 2028.
Flowing through to the co-midcos level, Fitch's principal waterfall
analysis generates a high ranked recovery for the EUR300 million
structurally subordinated secured bond. At co-midcos' 'B+' IDR, the
senior secured rating is capped at 'RR3'.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
(Using Fitch's PSL criteria, co-midcos' IDRs are the same as the
consolidated profile)
- Deterioration of alstria's operational and financial profile
- Co-midco consolidated net debt/EBITDA above 18x
- Co-midco consolidated LTV above 65%
- Co-midco standalone interest coverage below 1.2x (alstria EBITDA
less interest expense/co-midco interest expense)
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- Material Improvement in the consolidated profile including
alstria's operational and financial profile
- Co-midco consolidated net debt/EBITDA below 14x
- Co-midco consolidated LTV below 55%
- Co-midco standalone interest coverage above 1.45x
Liquidity and Debt Structure
alstria's end-2024 average debt maturity was relatively short at
2.8 years, with EUR335.2 million of unsecured debt and EUR107
million of secured debt maturities during 2025. The weighted
average debt ratio improves to about four years pro forma for the
new EUR500 million unsecured bond issued in March 2025 which partly
prepaid some tendered unsecured 2025, 2026 and 2027 unsecured
bonds, along with new secured funding incurred in 1H25.
As at end-March 2025, after 1Q25's refinancing, alstria has EUR200
million undrawn from its RCFs (of which EUR50 million matures in
April 2026 and the remainder in April 2028), EUR146 million of
unrestricted cash relative to EUR84.4 million of September 2025
bonds remaining outstanding, and a EUR107m secured loan due
end-August 2025, which is to be refinanced.
Co-midco liquidity resources are detailed above.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery
----------- ------ --------
Alexandrite Lake
Lux Holdings S.a r.l. LT IDR B+ New Rating
senior secured LT BB-(EXP) Expected Rating RR3
Savoy Luxembourg
Holdings S.a r.l. LT IDR B+ New Rating
senior secured LT BB-(EXP) Expected Rating RR3
MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL: Fitch Affirms 'BB+' LT IDR, Outlook Stable
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has affirmed Millicom International Cellular, S.A.'s
Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs)
at 'BB+' with a Stable Rating Outlook. In addition, Fitch has
affirmed Millicom's senior unsecured debt at 'BB+'.
Millicom International Cellular S.A.'s ratings reflect its
geographic diversification, strong brand recognition and network
quality, which support the company's leading positions in key
markets, robust subscriber base and solid operating cash flow
generation. Millicom's ratings are constrained by the operating
environments of its operating subsidiaries, which contribute
significant upstream cash flows.
The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch Ratings' expectation that the
company will maintain consolidated net leverage below 3.5x despite
potential inorganic acquisitions, adhere to its established
financial policy, and continue to demonstrate market leadership in
its key markets.
Key Rating Drivers
Weak Operating Environment: Millicom's ratings are constrained by
the challenging operating environments in the Latin American
countries where it operates. These environments are characterized
by weak systemic governance, relatively low sovereign ratings and
vulnerability to economic shocks, resulting in more volatile
political, regulatory, and economic conditions.
Strong Market Positions: Millicom maintains leading market
positions, ranking either No. 1 or No. 2 in most of its markets.
Fitch expects Millicom to retain these positions, supported by
superior network quality, extensive coverage, and strong B2B
operations. Its leading market positions underpin robust EBITDA
margins of around 37% and stable FFO margins of approximately 25%,
which are consistent with investment-grade peers. These strengths
also position the company to capitalize on growth opportunities in
underserved mobile data and fixed broadband segments.
Solid FCF Before Dividend: Fitch expects Millicom's strong free
cash flow (FCF) before dividends of around USD780 million in 2025,
supported by improved operational performance and lower capex
intensity. This cash flow is expected to be largely upstreamed,
with dividend distributions estimated in USD760 million in 2025.
Positive FCF is projected over the medium term, supported by strong
cash flow from operations (CFO), capex intensity in the 11%-14%
range, and dividend distributions that remain subject to compliance
with the company's net leverage target of 2.5x.
Limited Leverage Impact of Acquisitions: Fitch expects Millicom to
sustain net leverage below 3.5x in the medium term, consistent with
a 'BB+' rating. The potential acquisitions in Colombia, Ecuador and
Uruguay should have a limited impact of 0.5x in net leverage. These
transactions would represent a total investment of around USD1.82
billion. Net leverage is expected to decline to 2.5x
post-acquisitions, in line with company's leverage target. This
reduction is supported by higher EBITDA from cost initiatives and
increased revenues.
Inorganic Growth to Improve Diversification: Millicom's ongoing
acquisition processes in Colombia, Ecuador, and Uruguay are
intended to capitalize on strategic opportunities to enhance the
company's footprint in South America, expanding into countries with
favorable economic fundamentals. These acquisitions will strengthen
Millicom's network position and consolidate its status as the
second-largest operator in each market, with expected market shares
between 30% and 40% upon completion. The transactions are
anticipated to close in late 2025 or first quarter 2026, subject to
regulatory approvals.
Standalone Rating: Despite Iliad Holding S.A.S.'s (BB/Positive)
current 40% indirect ownership stake in Millicom and considering
its classification as an unrestricted subsidiary, Fitch rates
Millicom on a standalone basis. This approach reflects the high
proportion of publicly listed shares, the composition of Millicom's
board of directors, separate external funding, independence in
treasury operations, and the absence of guarantees or
cross-defaults. Fitch will continue to monitor for any changes in
ownership structure that could affect Millicom's financial policy
or funding structure.
Peer Analysis
Millicom's credit profile is comparable to regional
telecommunications peers in the 'BB' rating category based on a
solid financial profile and operational scale and diversification,
as well as strong positions in key markets, offset by high
concentration in countries with low sovereign ratings in Latin
America, which tend to have more volatile economic environments.
Millicom has a stronger financial profile than diversified
integrated telecom operators in the region, such as Cable &
Wireless Communications Limited (BB-/Stable), supporting a higher
rating. Millicom's leverage is moderately higher than that of
Empresa de Telecomunicaciones de Bogota, S.A., E.S.P.
(BB+/Negative), but it benefits from a stronger business profile
that has leading market positions in multiple markets.
Millicom also has a stronger financial structure and business
profile than Axtel S.A.B. de C.V. (BB-/Stable), a Mexican
fixed-line operator as well as Colombia Telecomunicaciones S.A.
E.S.P. BIC (BB+/Stable), an integrated Colombian telecom operator.
Compared with investment-grade operators, such as Chile's Empresa
Nacional de Telecomunicaciones S.A. (Entel, BBB-/Stable), Millicom
has stronger profitability but a somewhat weaker leverage profile.
Millicom is rated below Entel due in part to its operating
environments and the sources of its dividends, as well as its
weaker leverage profile.
Key Assumptions
- Reduction of 4.3 % in revenue in 2025 due to the devaluation
process in Bolivia and low-single-digit growth in the following
years. Mobile subscribers with average growth of 1.5% to 2% growth
and low-single-digit growth in ARPU;
- Fixed business revenues with low-single-digit growth due to the
low-single-digit reduction in ARPU offset by the increase in the
subscriber base;
- EBITDA margins of Millicom without new acquisitions moving to 38%
in the medium term (36.9% in 2024) due to the implementation of
cost savings improvements and general stabilization in competitive
pressures across Millicom's key markets;
- EBITDA margins including Ecuador and Uruguay will be sustained
around 37%;
- Inorganic acquisitions of Uruguay and Ecuador closed at the end
of 2025 and beginning to consolidate in 2026. Colombia acquisitions
not included, waiting for regulatory approvals;
- SBA transaction completed in 2025. Cash inputs for USD975 million
before taxes;
- Average capex/sales (including spectrum) of approximately 12% in
2024, trending toward 14% over the medium term;
- Dividend Distribution: Interim dividend USD1 /share paid in
January 2025, USD3/share in four equal installments (in July 2025,
October 2025, January 2026 and April 2026), and USD2.5/share in two
equal installments in October 2025 and April 2026. In the medium
term, dividends will be subject to compliance with the leverage
targets.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
- Consolidated total adjusted net debt/EBITDA at 3.5x or above and
lease-adjusted net debt/EBITDAR at 4.5x or above;
- (CFO - capex)/debt sustained below 7.5% on a sustained basis;
- Holding company debt/upstream cash flows received consistently
above 4.5x;
- A change in financial policy could have negative implications for
Millicom's ratings.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
- An improvement in the operating environments of the Millicom
group, particularly in Guatemala;
- Total adjusted net debt/EBITDA of 2.5x or below and
lease-adjusted net debt/EBITDAR of 3.5x or below sustained over the
rating horizon;
- (CFO - capex)/debt sustained above 12.5%.
Liquidity and Debt Structure
Millicom demonstrates a robust liquidity position, with substantial
cash reserves that fully cover its short-term debt. As of March 31,
2025, the consolidated group's readily available cash stood at
USD582 million, comfortably covering its reported short-term debt
obligations of USD254 million. In addition, the company has access
to a USD600 million undrawn revolving credit facility. The LATI
transaction, related to the sale of about 7,000 towers in
Guatemala, Honduras, Panama, El Salvador and Nicaragua to SBA
Communications Corporation (SBA) for approximately USD975 million,
will improve Millicom's financial flexibility in the short term.
Fitch anticipates no liquidity issues for either the operating
companies or the holding company, given the operating companies'
stable cash flow generation and consistent cash transfers to the
holding company. Millicom's solid track record in accessing capital
markets when external financing is needed further underpins its
effective liquidity management. The company has a strategy in place
to refinance obligations in USD to local currencies to reduce the
exposition to FX volatility.
Issuer Profile
Millicom is a diversified telecom operating in nine Latin American
countries under the Tigo brand. It provides B2C mobile services,
B2C fixed telephony, pay TV and broadband services, B2B fixed and
mobile services, and mobile finance solution services.
Summary of Financial Adjustments
- Lease adjustments.
MACROECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS AND SECTOR FORECASTS
Fitch's latest quarterly Global Corporates Macro and Sector
Forecasts data file which aggregates key data points used in its
credit analysis. Fitch's macroeconomic forecasts, commodity price
assumptions, default rate forecasts, sector key performance
indicators and sector-level forecasts are among the data items
included.
ESG Considerations
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit-neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Prior
----------- ------ -----
Millicom International
Cellular S.A. LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
LC LT IDR BB+ Affirmed BB+
senior unsecured LT BB+ Affirmed BB+
=========
S P A I N
=========
CAIXABANK PYMES 11: Moody's Ups Rating on EUR318.5MM B Notes to B1
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has upgraded the rating of one note in CAIXABANK
PYMES 11, FONDO DE TITULIZACION. The rating action reflects the
stable collateral performance observed, the further deleveraging of
the outstanding senior notes and the very low likelihood of
prolonged interest shortfall.
Moody's affirmed the rating of the note that had sufficient credit
enhancement to maintain their current rating.
Maximum achievable rating is Aa1 (sf) for structured finance
transactions in Spain, driven by the corresponding local currency
country ceiling of the country.
EUR2131.5M (Current outstanding amount EUR48.5m) Series A Notes,
Affirmed Aa1 (sf); previously on Jun 22, 2022 Affirmed Aa1 (sf)
EUR318.5M Series B Notes, Upgraded to B1 (sf); previously on Jun
22, 2022 Upgraded to B2 (sf)
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action is prompted by stable collateral performance
observed, the further deleveraging of the outstanding senior notes
and the very low likelihood of prolonged interest shortfall.
Revision of Key Collateral Assumptions:
As part of the rating action, Moody's reassessed Moody's expected
default rate and recovery rate assumptions for the portfolio
reflecting the collateral performance to date.
The performance of the transaction has continued to be stable over
the last year. 90 days plus arrears currently stand at 1.95% of
current pool balance showing a decreasing trend over the past year.
Cumulative defaults currently stand at 1.95% of original pool
balance up from 1.77% a year earlier.
Moody's have considered the increased borrower concentration by
applying an additional stress to the pool default rate of 30%
resulting in an expected default rate of 8.5%. Moody's also assumed
a stochastic recovery rate of 37%.
Moody's reassessed Moody's SME Stressed Loss assumption for this
transaction. SME Stressed Loss captures the loss Moody's expects
the portfolio to suffer in the event of a severe recession
scenario. As a result, Moody's have assessed the SME Stressed Loss
assumption at 32.2%.
Moody's have incorporated the sensitivity of the ratings to
borrower concentrations into the quantitative analysis. In
particular, Moody's considered the credit enhancement coverage of
large debtors in the transaction as it shows significant exposure
to large debtors.
Increase in Available Credit Enhancement
Sequential amortization led to the increase in the credit
enhancement available in this transaction.
For instance, the credit enhancement for the most senior tranche
affected by the rating action increased to 91.9% from 31.1% since
the last rating action.
Counterparty Exposure
The rating actions took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as servicer or account bank.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "SME
Asset-backed Securitizations" published in June 2025.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
Factors or circumstances that could lead to an upgrade of the
ratings include (1) performance of the underlying collateral that
is better than Moody's expected, (2) an increase in available
credit enhancement, (3) improvements in the credit quality of the
transaction counterparties and (4) a decrease in sovereign risk.
Factors or circumstances that could lead to a downgrade of the
ratings include (1) an increase in sovereign risk, (2) performance
of the underlying collateral that is worse than Moody's expected,
(3) deterioration in the notes' available credit enhancement and
(4) deterioration in the credit quality of the transaction
counterparties.
===========
T U R K E Y
===========
SEKERBANK T.A.S: Fitch Puts 'CCC' Final Rating to $200MM AT1 Notes
------------------------------------------------------------------
Fitch Ratings has assigned Sekerbank T.A.S.'s (Sekerbank;
B/Positive/b) USD200 million additional Tier 1 (AT1) capital notes
a final rating of 'CCC' with a Recovery Rating of 'RR6'.
The final rating is the same as the expected rating affirmed on
July 16, 2025.
Key Rating Drivers
The rating assigned to the notes is three notches below Sekerbank's
'b' Viability Rating, in accordance with Fitch's "Bank Rating
Criteria." Fitch has only notched the debt rating three times from
Sekerbank's VR (twice for loss severity and only once for
non-performance risk), instead of the baseline four notches, due to
rating compression as Sekerbank's VR is below the 'BB-' anchor
rating threshold. The 'RR6' Recovery Rating reflects poor recovery
prospects in a default.
The notes are Basel-III compliant, perpetual, deeply subordinated,
fixed rate resettable AT1 debt securities. The notes will have
fully discretionary non-cumulative interest payments and be subject
to full or partial write-down if the issuer or group's common
equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio falls below 5.125%. The principal
write-down can be reinstated and written up at the issuer's
discretion if a positive distributable net profit is recorded.
The notes will also be subject to permanent partial or full
write-down on the occurrence of a non-viability event (NVE). An NVE
is when it becomes probable that the bank will become non-viable as
determined by the local regulator, the Banking and Regulatory
Supervision Authority (BRSA). The bank will be deemed non-viable
should it reach the point at which the BRSA determines its
operating license is to be revoked and the bank liquidated or the
rights of the bank's shareholders (except to dividends), and the
management and supervision of the bank are transferred to the
Savings Deposit Insurance Fund on the condition that losses are
deducted from the capital of existing shareholders.
The notes have no fixed maturity, although Sekerbank will have the
option (subject to BRSA approval) to repay the notes from the fifth
anniversary of the issue date to and including the first reset
date, or on any interest payment date thereafter.
Sekerbank's consolidated regulatory CET1 and Tier 1 ratios were
18.4% at end-1Q25, including regulatory forbearance on foreign
currency risk-weighted assets, well above its regulatory minimum
requirements of 7.0% and 8.5%, respectively. Excluding regulatory
forbearance, the ratios would have been 17.7% and 17.8%,
respectively.
Rating Sensitivities
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Negative
Rating Action/Downgrade
As the notes are notched down from Sekerbank's VR, their rating is
sensitive to a downgrade of the VR. The notes' rating is also
sensitive to an unfavorable revision of Fitch's assessment of
incremental non-performance risk. This may result, for example,
from a sharp decline in capital buffers relative to regulatory
requirements.
Factors that Could, Individually or Collectively, Lead to Positive
Rating Action/Upgrade
The notes' rating is sensitive to an upgrade of Sekerbank's VR.
Date of Relevant Committee
16-Jul-2025
ESG Considerations
The ESG Relevance Score for Management Strategy of '4' reflects an
increased regulatory burden on all Turkish banks. Management's
ability across the sector to determine their own strategy and price
risk is constrained by increased regulatory interventions and by
the operational challenges of implementing regulations at the bank
level. This has a moderately negative impact on the credit profile
and is relevant to the rating in combination with other factors.
The highest level of ESG credit relevance is a score of '3', unless
otherwise disclosed in this section. A score of '3' means ESG
issues are credit neutral or have only a minimal credit impact on
the entity, either due to their nature or the way in which they are
being managed by the entity. Fitch's ESG Relevance Scores are not
inputs in the rating process; they are an observation on the
relevance and materiality of ESG factors in the rating decision.
Entity/Debt Rating Recovery Prior
----------- ------ -------- -----
Sekerbank T.A.S.
Subordinated LT CCC New Rating RR6 CCC(EXP)
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
ABILJO EXCAVATOR: PKF Smith Cooper Named as Joint Administrators
----------------------------------------------------------------
Abiljo Excavator Services Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the Business and Property Courts of England and
Wales, No 003708 of 2025, and Dean Anthony Nelson and Emily Louise
Oliver of PKF Smith Cooper were appointed as joint administrators
on July 10, 2025.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at Unit 315
Fauld Industrial Estate, Tutbury, Burton-On-Trent, Staffordshire,
DE13 9HS.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Emily Louise Oliver
Dean Anthony Nelson
PKF Smith Cooper
Prospect House, 1 Prospect Place,
Pride Park, Derby
Derbyshire, DE24 8HG
Telephone: 01332 332021
For further information contact
Stanley Bottrill
Smith Cooper
Tel No: 01332 332021
Email: stanley.bottrill@pkfsmithcooper.com
Prospect House, 1 Prospect Place
Pride Park, Derby, DE24 8HG
BRAVEJOIN COMPANY: Marshall Peters Named as Administrator
---------------------------------------------------------
Bravejoin Company Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice, Court Number:
CR2025MAN000987, and Lee Morris of Marshall Peters was appointed as
administrator on July 19, 2025.
Bravejoin Company Limited, trading as Archers Steelwork & Cladding,
offered specialised construction activities.
Its registered office is at c/o Marshall Peters, Heskin Hall Farm,
Wood Lane, Heskin, Preston, Lancashire, PR7 5PA.
Its principal trading address is at Unit 4 Felspar Road, Amington
Industrial Estate, Tamworth, B77 4DP.
The administrator can be reached at:
Lee Morris
Marshall Peters
Heskin Hall Farm, Wood Lane
Heskin, Preston, PR7 5PA
Telephone: 01257 452021
For further information contact:
Judd Bennett
Marshall Peters
Heskin Hall Farm, Wood Lane,
Heskin, Preston, PR7 5PA
Tel No: 01257 452021
Email: juddbennett@marshallpeters.co.uk
C-TRG RESOURCE: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
----------------------------------------------------
C-TRG Resource Limited was placed into administration proceedings
in the High Court of Justice Business and Property Courts in
London, Company and Insolvency List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-004792, and Martyn Rickels and Anthony Collier of FRP
Advisory Trading Limited, were appointed as joint administrators on
July 12, 2025.
C-TRG Resource Limited was a temporary employment agency.
Its registered office is at c/o FRP Advisory Trading Ltd, 4th
Floor, Abbey House, 32 Booth Street, Manchester, M2 4AB.
Its principal trading address is at 1 Smithy Court, Wigan, WN3
6PS.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Martyn Rickels
Anthony Collier
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
4th Floor, Abbey House
32 Booth Street, Manchester
M2 4AB
Further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 0161 833 3344
Alternative contact:
Kade Doherty
Email: cp.manchester@frpadvisory.com
CHALLENGE LOGISTICS: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------
Challenge Logistics Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice Business and Property
Courts in London, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-004793, and Martyn Rickels and Anthony Collier of FRP
Advisory Trading Limited, were appointed as administrators on July
12, 2025.
Challenge Logistics specialized in freight transport by road; as
well as an temporary employment agency.
Its registered office is at 1 Smithy Court, Smithy Brook Road,
Wigan, Greater Manchester, WN3 6PS in the process of being changed
to c/o FRP Advisory Trading Ltd, 4th Floor, Abbey House, 32 Booth
Street, Manchester, M2 4AB.
Its principal trading address is at 1 Smithy Court, Smithy Brook
Road, Wigan, Greater Manchester, WN3 6PS.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Martyn Rickels
Anthony Collier
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
4th Floor, Abbey House
Booth Street, Manchester
M2 4AB
Further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 0161 833 3344
Alternative contact:
Kade Doherty
Email: cp.manchester@frpadvisory.com
CHALLENGE RECRUITMENT: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------
Challenge Recruitment Group Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property
Courts in London, Company and Insolvency List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-004796, and Martyn Rickels and Anthony Collier of FRP
Advisory Trading Limited, were appointed as joint administrators on
July 12, 2025.
Challenge Recruitment Group specialized in activities of head
offices.
Its registered office is at 1 Smithy Court, Smithy Brook Road,
Wigan, Greater Manchester, WN3 6PS in the process of being changed
to c/o FRP Advisory Trading Ltd, 4th Floor, Abbey House, 32 Booth
Street, Manchester, M2 4AB.
Its principal trading address is at 1 Smithy Court, Smithy Brook
Road, Wigan, Greater Manchester, WN3 6PS.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Martyn Rickels
Anthony Collier
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
4th Floor, Abbey House
32 Booth Street, Manchester
M2 4AB
Further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 0161 833 3344
Alternative contact:
Kade Doherty
Email: cp.manchester@frpadvisory.com
CHALLENGE-TRG RECRUITMENT: FRP Advisory Named as Administrators
---------------------------------------------------------------
Challenge-Trg Recruitment Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice Business and Property
Courts in London, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-004798, and Martyn Rickels and Anthony Collier of FRP
Advisory Trading Limited, were appointed as joint administrators on
July 12, 2025.
Challenge-Trg Recruitment was a temporary employment agency.
Its registered office is at 1 Smithy Court, Smithy Brook Road,
Wigan, Greater Manchester, WN3 6PS in the process of being changed
to c/o FRP Advisory Trading Ltd, 4th Floor, Abbey House, 32 Booth
Street, Manchester, M2 4AB.
Its principal trading address is at 1 Smithy Court, Smithy Brook
Road, Wigan, WN3 6PS.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Martyn Rickels
Anthony Collier
FRP Advisory Trading Limited
4th Floor, Abbey House
32 Booth Street, Manchester
M2 4AB
Further details, contact:
The Joint Administrators
Tel No: 0161 833 3344
Alternative contact:
Kade Doherty
Email: cp.manchester@frpadvisory.com
EIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT: Antony Batty Named as Administrators
------------------------------------------------------------
Eight Asset Management (Eightam) Limited was placed into
administration proceedings in the High Court of Justice
Court Number: CR-2025-004711, and Hugh Jesseman and William Antony
Batty of Antony Batty & Company LLP, were appointed as
administrators on July 11, 2025.
Eight Asset Management specialized in property management.
Its registered office is at 9 Astra Centre, Edinburgh Way, Harlow,
CM20 2BN.
The administrators can be reached at:
Hugh Jesseman
William Antony Batty
Antony Batty & Company LLP
3 Field Court, Gray's Inn
London, WC1R 5EF
For further details contact:
Mamata Paudel
Tel No: 020 7831 1234
Email at mamata@antonybatty.com
FINASTRA LIMITED: Moody's Assigns 'B3' CFR, Outlook Stable
----------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings assigned a B3 corporate family rating and a B3-PD
probability of default rating to Finastra Limited (Finastra).
Concurrently, Moody's assigned B3 ratings to Finastra USA, Inc.'s
senior secured first lien bank credit facilities (including the
proposed $450 million revolver, $2,400 million US term loan, and
EUR600 million Euro term loan) as well as a Caa2 rating to Finastra
USA, Inc.'s proposed $500 million senior secured second lien term
loan. The outlook of Finastra and Finastra USA, Inc. is stable.
The proposed loans will be used to repay Finastra's existing
privately placed debt.
Governance considerations were a driver of the rating, including
the company's elevated leverage and controlled ownership. Moody's
anticipates that proceeds from Finastra's announced sale of its TCM
business will be used to repay privately placed debt. Moody's
expects the impact of this repayment coupled with the earnings loss
of the asset sale to have minimal leverage impact.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Finastra's CFR reflects very high leverage, which has not
materially improved following Misys' debt-funded acquisition of D+H
Corporation in 2017. It also reflects the constraining impact a
high cash interest expense has on free cash flow, for a company
that otherwise generates good EBITDA margins. Moody's views overall
growth potential as relatively low. The large sum of preferred
shares in the capital structure is credit negative as Moody's
believes that the company may opportunistically redeem the
preferred shares with new debt issuance to reduce equity dilution
and the high-cost of the PIK notes.
Finastra's CFR is supported by its leading position in the
financial services software market, strong gross and net revenue
retention rates, and growing portion of recurring revenues across
business units. Finastra's diverse international footprint and
product portfolio also support the credit profile. Access to the
proposed $450 million revolving credit facility will support
liquidity, and cash flow generation will benefit from good EBITDA
margins and interest savings.
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Finastra will
grow revenue in the low-single digit percent range in the next
12-18 months. It also reflects Moody's expectations that the
company will delever to under 8x in the same timespan on the back
of operating leverage and disciplined cost management. Moody's
expects FCF generation such that FCF/Debt will be in the low single
digit percent range, although note that the continued wind down of
the company's prior EPP program has constrained cash generation for
the fiscal year ended May 2025. The stable outlook assumes cash
generation in fiscal year ended May 2026. Forward free cash
generation will be supported by the reduction of the impact of the
EPP wind down as well as reduced cash interest expense following
the refinancing transaction.
Finastra's adequate liquidity is supported by the proposed undrawn
$450 million revolving credit facility and $185 million of cash as
of May 2025. Moody's expects the company to be able to generate
low-single digit percent FCF/Debt in the next 12-18 months.
Finastra will have no material maturities until 2030.
Marketing terms for the new credit facilities (final terms may
differ materially) include the following: incremental 1st lien debt
capacity up to the greater of $750 million and 100% of consolidated
EBITDA, plus unlimited amounts subject to the greater of a First
Lien Leverage Ratio and leverage neutral incurrence. Amounts up to
the greater of $750 million and 100% of consolidated EBITDA, plus
any debt not initially incurred under the first lien incremental
incurrence test, plus any first lien incremental facilities
incurred in connection with a permitted acquisition or investment
and any term loan A facility, may be incurred with an inside
maturity date.
Amounts up to the greater of $750 million and 100% of consolidated
EBITDA can be incurred as Permitted Alternative Security Debt,
guaranteed by non-loan parties or secured by non-collateral.
There is a guarantor coverage requirement of 80% of group
Consolidated EBITDA.
There are no "blocker" provisions which prohibit the transfer of
special assets to unrestricted subsidiaries. There are no
protective provisions restricting an up-tiering transaction.
Asset sale proceeds (excluding the TCM sale) may be used by the
company to prepay intercompany debt.
Amounts up to the unused capacity from the general investment
basket, plus the general basket for prepayments of subordinated
debt plus 100 % of unused capacity from the restricted payment
covenant may be reallocated to incur debt.
The capital structure is portable to a Permitted Acquiror subject
to ratings reaffirmation and other conditions.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
Finastra's credit impact score of CIS-4 reflects its exposure to
governance risks as a result of its controlled ownership and high
financial leverage. The existence of preferred shares in the
capital structure also creates the risk of redemption via debt.
These governance considerations are reflected in the company's
issuer profile score of G-4. Social risks include dependence on
highly skilled technology talent and risk of reputational harm from
cybersecurity breaches and data privacy concerns, as reflected by
the assigned issuer profile score of S-3.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Ratings could be upgraded if the company generates continuous
organic revenue and EBITDA growth, Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA is
reduced below 6.5x, and Moody's-adjusted FCF/debt is sustained
above the mid-single digit percent range.
Ratings could be downgraded if the company is unable to generate
positive FCF in a year, organic revenue or EBITDA growth is
negative, Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA exceeds 8x on a sustained
basis, or liquidity deteriorates.
Finastra is a financial services software provider that offers a
broad range of solutions to over 6,000 banks and financial
institutions located across 135 countries. The group was formed as
a result of the acquisition of D+H Corporation by Misys in June
2017. Finastra and its legacy entity Misys have been owned by the
specialist financial sponsor Vista Equity Partners (Vista) since
2012. The company generates more than $1,500 million in revenue.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Software
published in June 2022.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
IMPALA BIDCO: Moody's Cuts CFR to B3, Under Review for Downgrade
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has downgraded Impala Bidco Limited's (Acacium
Group, or the company) corporate family rating to B3 from B2 and
the Probability of Default Rating to B3-PD from B2-PD.
Concurrently, Moody's downgraded to B3 from B2 the ratings of the
existing GBP375 million senior secured first lien term loan B due
2028 (GBP TLB), of the GBP45 million senior secured first lien
revolving credit facility due 2027 (RCF) both issued by Impala
Bidco 0 Limited and of the $140 million senior secured first lien
term loan B due 2028 (USD TLB) issued by ICS US Holdings Inc. The
ratings for Acacium Group and ICS US Holdings Inc. have been placed
on review for downgrade.
Previously, the outlook on both entities was stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects the continued material contraction of
Acacium Group's activities during the course of 2025, which Moody's
expects to lead to a more than 30% reduction in Moody's adjusted
EBITDA for the full year compared to Moody's previous forecast of
February 2025. Moody's expects demand for interim staff by NHS
England to no longer recover in 2025. The recent publication of the
NHS Government Spending Review (Phase 2) at the end of June and the
thank you note from the Secretary of State for Health and Social
Care in early June to the NHS trusts for the ongoing effort to
reduce temporary staffing expenditures, reinforce Moody's
expectations that NHS trusts must reduce their spend on agency
staffing by at least 30% in the next financial year.
At this point, Moody's views the ongoing pressure within NHS
England to limit the use of interim agencies as a structural change
of the healthcare contingent staffing market, which is likely to
cause the exit of a number of smaller players as well as less
segregation between NHS "interim bank" and agency contingent
workers. The Acacium Group remains well positioned in such
environment given its ability to offer managed services solutions
and via Xyla (Acacium Group's digital healthcare and community
services division), a key differentiator to other staffing
agencies. Xyla is the better performing business division within
Acacium Group. Moody's also continues to expect the company will
benefit from ongoing externalization of a number of services to
private health companies to carry out additional treatment for NHS
patients. The Acacium Group, however, has to continue to adjust its
cost base downwards and Moody's expects this to complete by the end
of 2025 with full benefits emerging only in 2026. The cost
restructuring will put pressure on the company's ability to
generate a positive Moody's adjusted free cash flow in 2025.
Moody's estimates Moody's adjusted debt to EBITDA to be above 11x
in 2025 and to remain well above 6.0x still in 2026. However,
management has indicated earlier in the year that a number of
disposals could be initiated to improve liquidity and reduce debt
outstanding.
Acacium Group's B3 ratings continue to be supported by its (1)
leading position in a fragmented market; (2) long term growth in
demand for healthcare services with supportive demographics in its
core markets (UK, US, Australia), alongside structural and
sustained staff shortages; (3) diversified offering that include
life sciences, the provision of community based and digital
healthcare service solutions and a growing international presence,
all contributing to a reduced reliance on NHS England
Acacium Group's ratings, however, are constrained by (1) revenue
generation remaining highly dependent on NHS England, which faces
pressure from increased demand and unsustainable cost structure;
(2) potential risks of technological disruption through
disintermediation or more efficient procurement practices; (3) the
combination of a Moody's adjusted EBITDA to Interest of about 1.0x
and an elevated Moody's adjusted debt to EBITDA at above 11.0x that
Moody's expects for the full year 2025.
LIQUIDITY
Acacium Group's liquidity position remains adequate. The company
had GBP22.2 million of cash on balance sheet and a fully undrawn
GBP45 million RCF, as of May 31, 2025.
The RCF has a springing first lien net leverage covenant being
tested only when the RCF's drawn amount exceeds 40% of commitment;
Moody's estimates the facility will not be drawn until maturity in
2027 as the company has sufficient availability from a number of
asset backed facilities which are used to manage intra-year working
capital movements and tend to be repaid in full by year end.
Moody's expects Moody's adjusted free cash flow to be negative in
2025, largely due to exceptional costs to deliver cost out
commitments in terms of reduced headcount and property footprint.
Acacium Group's debt maturity profile remains favorable, with the
next scheduled debt repayment in 2028 when the senior secured first
lien term loan B mature.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The GBP TLB and USD TLB, together with the RCF rank pari-passu and
are rated in line with the CFR reflecting a senior only financing
structure.
RATIONALE FOR THE OUTLOOK
Moody's review will focus on the timing and the use of proceeds
from potential disposals and the business profile of Acacium Group
after disposals Additionally, Moody's will continue to monitor
Acacium Group's progress in adapting its business model to how best
serve the healthcare contingent work market in the UK , together
with Xyla and the Life Sciences division which could post a
positive revenue growth in 2025. The ratings could be confirmed at
the current level if Moody's see a reversal of the weakening trend
in the first five months of 2025 and the company cash flow
generation is sufficient to service its current debt obligations.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
The review for downgrade indicate that a ratings downgrade is
unlikely over the next 12-18 months. The ratings could however be
upgraded following a sustained period of stable volumes and
profitability, with a continued increase in scale of services not
related to Last Minute Nursing in the UK. An upgrade would also
require a Moody's-adjusted Debt to EBITDA ratio below 5.5x and
Moody's-Adjusted FCF/Debt above 3%.
The ratings could be downgraded upon conclusion of the review if
Moody's expects Moody's adjusted interest to EBITA to deteriorate
below 1.0x on sustainable basis, or Moody's-adjusted Debt to EBITDA
to remain above 6.5x by the end of 2026, or the company's liquidity
weakens.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Business and
Consumer Services published in November 2021.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
Acacium Group, a leading global healthcare and life science
delivery partner with services and staffing operations across four
continents. Acacium Group is headquartered in London and since
September 2020 is majority-owned by Onex Partners. The company has
a market leading position as supplier of temporary staff to NHS
England and after acquiring USA based Favorite, in December 2021,
it is one of the top 10 healthcare staffing firms in the country.
WILLIAMS CONTRACT: Bailams & Co Named as Administrator
------------------------------------------------------
A Williams Contract Services Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice, Business and Property
Courts in Wales, Insolvency and Companies List (ChD) Court Number:
CR-2025-004255, and Michelle Williams of Bailams & Co was appointed
as administrator on June 23, 2025.
A Williams Contract, trading as a Williams Contract Services,
specialized in site preparation and other specialized construction
activities.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at Ty Mari,
Heol Horeb, Llandysul, Ceredigion, SA44 4JN.
The administrator can be reached at:
Michelle Williams
Bailams & Co
Ty Antur, Navigation Park,
Abercynon, CF45 4SN
Further details contact:
Bailams & Co
Tel No: 01443 749768
Email: michelle@bailams.co.uk
alicia@bailams.co.uk
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless Hills,
Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C., USA.
Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2025. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
publication in any form (including e-mail forwarding, electronic
re-mailing and photocopying) is strictly prohibited without prior
written permission of the publishers.
Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to
be reliable, but is not guaranteed.
The TCR Europe subscription rate is US$775 per half-year,
delivered via e-mail. Additional e-mail subscriptions for
members of the same firm for the term of the initial subscription
or balance thereof are US$25 each. For subscription information,
contact Peter Chapman at 215-945-7000.
* * * End of Transmission * * *