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T R O U B L E D C O M P A N Y R E P O R T E R
E U R O P E
Friday, June 20, 2025, Vol. 26, No. 123
Headlines
A U S T R I A
KOMMUNALKREDIT AUSTRIA: S&P Rates New Tier 2 Sub. Notes 'BB+'
F R A N C E
TEREOS SCA: S&P Affirms 'BB-' LT ICR & Alters Outlook to Negative
G E R M A N Y
BENTELER INT'L: Moody's Rates New EUR600MM Sr. Secured Notes 'Ba3'
H U N G A R Y
WIZZ AIR: Moody's Downgrades CFR to Ba2, Outlook Remains Negative
I R E L A N D
AVOCA CLO XXXVII: S&P Assigns Prelim. B-(sf) Rating on Cl. F Notes
BARINGS EURO 2021-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on EUR8MM F Notes to Caa1
DRYDEN 27 R 2017: S&P Affirms 'B-(sf)' Rating on Class F-R Notes
I T A L Y
FIBERCOP SPA: Moody's Rates New Senior Secured EUR Notes 'Ba1'
TEAMSYSTEM SPA: Moody's Affirms 'B2' CFR, Outlook Stable
N E T H E R L A N D S
DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP: S&P Assigns 'BB+' ICR, Outlook Stable
S P A I N
AERNNOVA AEROSPACE: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'B3' CFR to Negative
S W I T Z E R L A N D
GATEGROUP HOLDING: S&P Raises ICR to 'B+' on Completed Refinancing
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
79TH COMMERCIAL: Quantuma Advisory Named as Administrators
79TH LUXURY: Quantuma Advisory Named as Administrators
AWAZE LTD: S&P Affirms 'B-' ICR & Alters Outlook to Negative
BELLIS FINCO: Moody's Rates New EUR959MM Senior Secured Notes 'B1'
CAMBRIAN ASSOCIATES: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
GERMAN SPECIALISTS: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
HENLEY DEVELOPMENTS: RSM UK Named as Administrators
MEDDINGS THERMALEC: Lameys Named as Administrators
PHARMANOVIA BIDCO: S&P Downgrades ICR to 'B-', Outlook Negative
PLANTMADE LIMITED: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
STARS UK: New EUR100MM Loan Add-on No Impact on Moody's 'B2' CFR
X X X X X X X X
[] BOOK REVIEW: Bailout: An Insider's Account of Bank Failures
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A U S T R I A
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KOMMUNALKREDIT AUSTRIA: S&P Rates New Tier 2 Sub. Notes 'BB+'
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB+' issue-level rating to the
proposed EUR150 million Tier 2 nondeferrable, subordinated notes to
be issued by Kommunalkredit Austria AG (Kommunalkredit;
BBB/Stable/A-2). The rating is subject to our review of the final
issuance documentation.
In accordance with our criteria for hybrid capital instruments, the
'BB+' issue rating reflects S&P's analysis of the proposed
instrument and our assessment of Kommunalkredit's 'bbb' stand-alone
credit profile (SACP).
The issue rating stands two notches below the SACP, due to the
following deductions:
-- One notch because of the notes' contractual subordination with
respect to the bank's senior obligations; and
-- One notch because the notes contain a statutory loss absorption
feature with write-down or conversion of claims, which could be
triggered at the "point of non-viability" of Kommunalkredit through
declaration by the Austrian Financial Market Authority as the
competent authority for resolution of the bank.
S&P said, "When evaluating the instrument, we believe there are no
additional nonpayment risks that would justify deduction of
additional notches to those noted above.
"We understand that the instrument will be eligible as Tier 2
regulatory capital for Kommunalkredit. But given the notes' lack of
going-concern loss absorption, we do not include them in our
calculation of the bank's total adjusted capital."
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F R A N C E
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TEREOS SCA: S&P Affirms 'BB-' LT ICR & Alters Outlook to Negative
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S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on sugar group Tereos SCA to
negative from positive and affirmed the 'BB-' long-term issuer
credit rating. At the same time, S&P affirmed its 'BB-' rating on
the company's existing senior unsecured notes.
S&P said, "The negative outlook reflects that we could lower our
issuer credit rating on Tereos in the next 12-18 months if the
group is unable to restore its operational performance from fiscal
2027 and delivers a slower recovery in credit metrics than we
expected, despite the more supportive market conditions for sugar
and ethanol that we anticipate and the cost-savings measures
implemented by the Group.
"After reporting solid results in fiscal 2025 (ended March 31,
2025), we now forecast Tereos SCA's operational performance will
deteriorate more than we expected in fiscal 2026. We now see S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA rising about 6.0x (3.2x in
2025) and funds from operations (FFO) to debt decreasing to about
5%-10% (versus 18% in 2025), reflecting adverse market conditions
in Europe for sugar and ethanol and lower margins for starch
products.
"But we also anticipate Tereos' operating performance will rebound
in fiscal 2027 thanks to higher sugar market prices in Europe,
cost-savings measures, and improving operating efficiency, such
that S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA ratio decreases to
4.5x-5.0x and FFO to debt of 12%-17%.
"We forecast Tereos' operational performance will deteriorate
temporarily in fiscal 2026 because of weak market prices in Europe
sugar and ethanol, which made up 65% of total sales last year. We
now forecast Tereos will achieve an S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
debt to EBITDA of about 6x and FFO to debt of about 5%-10% in
fiscal 2026. This is a material deterioration from the 3.2x and 18%
achieved in fiscal 2025. We forecast lower margins for sugar and
ethanol, notably in Europe, reflecting our expectation of lower
contracted prices for sugar, lower spot prices for ethanol, and
high production costs. Sugar prices in Europe have declined
substantially because producers have increased their sugar beet
planted areas to benefit from favorable market conditions in recent
years, and because of large volumes of tax-free imports from
Ukraine. On the ethanol market, imports of corn ethanol from the
U.S. have contributed to lower prices, along with lower oil prices.
We also consider the likely lower volumes of sugarcane processed in
Brazil amid adverse weather conditions, lower international market
prices caused by large volumes of exports from India, and a
devaluation of the Brazilian real against the U.S. dollar. These
will contribute to a lower margin. Yet we note that the ethanol
market price remains supportive in Brazil, thanks to a growing
demand."
Tereos' ambition to regain volumes in the starch and sweeteners
segment will also put short-term pressure on its margins in this
segment. According to the company, this segment contributed 24.5%
of Tereos' total EBITDA in fiscal 2025. A starch factory in France
has been running at sub-optimal levels following an industrial
incident that happened in November 2023 which should be largely
resolved in 2026. Tereos may have to lower selling prices of starch
products as both starch factories gradually recover volumes, which
will likely result in lower profitability in this segment. The
challenges in sugar, ethanol, and starch combined underpin our
forecast of lower S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA for Tereos at
about EUR480 million-EUR500 million in fiscal 2026, from the EUR790
million achieved in fiscal 2025.
S&P said, "We see Tereos' profits and cash flows improving in
fiscal 2027, thanks to higher market prices for sugar in Europe and
from the company's efforts to streamline its cost structure. We
forecast higher S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA for Tereos at
EUR600 million-EUR620 million in fiscal 2027 versus EUR480
million-EUR500 million in fiscal 2025. As such, we forecast Tereos
to improve its credit metrics in fiscal 2027 versus fiscal 2026,
such that it reaches S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA of
4.5x-5.0x and FFO to debt of 12%-17%, which are in line with the
rating but leave little headroom for underperformance. Sugar prices
in Europe will likely be supported by the recent decision by
several sugar producers to reduce their planted areas of sugar
beets, which Tereos estimates will reduce by 8% in Europe, and to
close some sugar beet processing factories. We forecast higher
margins from the sugar international division, supported by higher
volumes of sugarcane processed in Brazil and stable prices, as well
as a moderate improvement in margin from the starch and sweeteners
segment, thanks to growing volumes. Additionally, we believe it
plausible that Tereos may continue to look to sell or close noncore
and unprofitable assets to focus on its strategic businesses.
Recent asset sales include the announced disposal of its natural
products trading activities, and the disposal of its packaging site
in the U.K. Tereos has also announced initiatives to reduce costs
across support functions from 2027.
"The sugar and ethanol business remain working capital and capital
spending (capex) intensive, but Tereos should be able to retain
good access to bank financing and periodically to debt capital
markets. We continue to see Tereos as well funded for its
day-to-day activities, despite the inherent cash flow volatility in
large parts of its business. We project FFO of around EUR170
million this year and around EUR420 million next year. We forecast
capex at EUR350 million-EUR370 million in fiscal 2026 and fiscal
2027 (versus EUR455 million last year). We note that a large share
of forecast capex is to achieve Tereos' sustainability ambitions
through various projects, which the company could postpone if it
needs to protect its free cash flow generation and financial
flexibility under adverse market conditions. Our forecast reflects
the high annual spending to maintain an efficient industrial
footprint, sugarcane planting projects in Brazil, and
decarbonization initiatives. We see Tereos' business as working
capital intensive and exposed to price and availability of raw
materials, which results in sizable short-term funding needs. We
believe the group retains sizable cash balances at all times and
good access to committed bank financing in Europe and Brazil. The
group also has an established track record in accessing debt
capital markets, as evidenced by the successful EUR300 million bond
issuance in January 2025.
"We assume Tereos will maintain a consistent capital allocation
policy to prioritize deleveraging over discretionary spending.
Tereos' public targets include its ambition to maintain a reported
net debt leverage ratio below 3x over the medium term. It is
looking to accomplish this by achieving an EBIT margin higher than
5% and by reducing debt with positive free cash flows before
working capital requirements. In addition to the group's efforts to
streamline its unprofitable operations and continue to benefit from
cost savings, we see as highly unlikely the group would pursue a
medium to large debt-financed acquisition. This is notably because
the board and the cooperative's members (10,300 sugar beet farmers
in France) support the management's efforts to strengthen the group
financially versus pursuing ambitious expansion plans.
"The negative outlook indicates our view that we could lower our
issuer credit rating on Tereos in the next 12-18 months if the
company is unable to restore credit metrics commensurate with the
'BB-' rating from fiscal 2027. We currently forecast that the
company will successfully improve its operational performance in
fiscal 2027, after a temporary deterioration this year, such that
its S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA improves to within
4x-5x and FFO to debt to above 12%. We also forecast Tereos will
generate high FFO of more than EUR400 million from fiscal 2027 to
support its large capex requirements. Yet we see some degree of
uncertainty in Tereos' capacity to improve its credit metrics from
fiscal 2027, which relies on favorable market conditions and on the
successful application of cost containment measures.
"We could lower our rating if Tereos' is unable to materially
improve its credit metrics due to weaker-than-expected cash flows,
such that adjusted debt leverage is greater than 5x and FFO to debt
below 12% until fiscal 2027. We would also view negatively if the
EBITDA interest coverage ratio declined below 2x over the same
period, which would weaken the group's ability to access bank
funding and capital markets in our opinion.
"We believe cash flows could remain weak over the next 18 months
should profits in sugar and ethanol activities in Europe remain
very low due to subdued market prices driven by ample supply and
weak demand. Severe operational disruptions in its main growing
regions and processing plants in France and Brazil could also
impact the group's operating performance with Tereos unlikely to be
able to immediately take drastic cash-conservation measures, given
the high working capital and capex intensity of the group.
"We could revise the outlook to stable over the next 12-18 months
if Tereos demonstrates its ability to improve the operational
performance of its sugar and ethanol operations, such that the
company performs broadly in line with or better than our current
expectation, with adjusted debt to EBITDA returning to within 4x-5x
and FFO to debt above 12% from fiscal 2027."
This could happen if Tereos is able to benefit from more supportive
sugar prices in Europe, combined with a continued execution of its
business strategy to focus on achieving high margins and efforts to
contain costs, translating into higher profitability in its sugar
and ethanol segments.
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G E R M A N Y
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BENTELER INT'L: Moody's Rates New EUR600MM Sr. Secured Notes 'Ba3'
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Moody's Ratings said that it expects to assign a Ba3 instrument
rating to BENTELER International AG's ("BIAG", "BENTELER" or the
"Company") proposed new EUR600 million backed senior secured notes
due 2031.
The issuance is in the context of a refinancing of all of BIAG's
existing debt instruments, including its outstanding $500 million
10.5% and EUR525 million 9.375% backed senior secured bonds due
2028, which have become callable since May 2025. Following the
transaction, BAIG's total debt will remain unchanged, except for
transaction cost. Moody's expects the proposed refinancing to
result in lower annual interest payments, in addition to extending
the maturity profile, both a credit positive.
The rating on the new backed senior secured bonds are expected to
be aligned with BIAG's Corporate Family Rating (CFR) at Ba3.
BENTELER's current and future financial debt instruments are
ranking pari passu and benefit from the same security package.
BENTELER International AG's Ba3 CFR is supported by (i) the
company's global scale and strong market position, with expertise
in metal processing of steel and aluminum for automotive and
industrial customers, (ii) the company's strong and differentiated
product portfolio, and well established relationships with OEM
customers, (iii) a good level of diversification due to the steel
tube business, and (iv) a relatively conservative financial policy,
and a commitment to reduce gross debt and maintain a
company-defined net leverage of 1.5x through the cycle (2.0x in the
last twelve months to March 2025).
The rating is constrained by (i) the company's exposure to the
automotive industry, which is highly cyclical and highly
competitive, and its highly concentrated customer portfolio in the
automotive business, (ii) the high sensitivity to the Shreveport
steel tube plant whose performance is highly reliant on the Oil and
Gas industry in the US, (iii) the relatively low group
profitability, and (iv) a history of low and volatile operating
profits.
The outlook is stable and reflects Moody's expectations that
BENTELER will be able to maintain an EBIT margin of at least 4.5%
over the next 12-18 months despite being in a challenging operating
environment. The outlook also assumes that the company will
continue to generate positive free cash flow (Moody's-adjusted)
supporting its good liquidity profile, and deleveraging towards
3.5x (Moody's-adjusted) during this period.
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H U N G A R Y
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WIZZ AIR: Moody's Downgrades CFR to Ba2, Outlook Remains Negative
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Moody's Ratings has downgraded Wizz Air Holdings plc's (Wizz Air)
long-term corporate family rating to Ba2 from Ba1. Concurrently,
Moody's downgraded Wizz Air's Probability of Default rating to
Ba2-PD from Ba1-PD and Wizz Air Finance Company BV's backed senior
unsecured notes as well as the backed senior unsecured medium term
note program ratings to Ba2 from Ba1 and to (P)Ba2 from (P)Ba1,
respectively. The outlook on both entities remains negative.
"The rating action reflects the company's ongoing weak
point-in-time credit metrics with a slower than expected recovery
driven by the high level of groundings from the GTF engine issue
that lead to higher costs beyond the agreed compensation levels"
says Dirk Goedde, a Moody's Ratings Vice President – Senior
Analyst and lead analyst of Wizz Air. "The grounding of aircraft
has significantly hindered Wizz Air's growth plans, which are
essential for improving profitability. The airline relies on growth
to offset rising operating and inflation-related costs, but this
strategy is undermined by its inability to fully utilize its
fleet.", Mr. Goedde continued.
RATINGS RATIONALE
Wizz Air's financial performance in its fiscal year 2025 was weaker
than expected and its financial metrics remained outside of the Ba1
rating category. Despite Wizz Air growing its total fleet, the
full-year effect of the groundings from the GTF engine issue has
reduced the planned expansion of its operating fleet so that the
company's capacity as measured by available seat kilometers (ASK)
was flat in FY25. While an improvement in load factor by 1pp to
91.2% and increase in yields catered for 4% revenue growth,
structural cost increases did impact its profitability with Moody's
adjusted EBIT-margin declining to 2.8% from 5.8%. Such increases
included higher staff and network related costs but also higher
indirect costs from the groundings such as higher maintenance costs
as well as higher depreciation of the growing fleet albeit around
20% was not operational.
While Moody's believes that the company can return to its previous
growth pattern from new deliveries and the grounded part of its
fleet being gradually reduced, credit metrics will remain subdued
in the next 12-18 months. Based on the recent delivery schedule and
under the assumption that the company will further improve load
factors against slightly lower yields to stimulate demand while
RASK (revenue per average seat kilometer) continues to grow,
Moody's forecasts revenue growth of 12% and 10% in fiscal year 2026
and 2027 respectively. Although Moody's believes that the recently
lower fuel prices will support a margin recovery, cost increases
for staff and network will persist leading to an increase in its
Moody's adjusted EBIT-margin towards 5% in 2026 with some upside
thereafter. This increase leads to an improvement in Wizz Air's
Moody's adjusted debt/EBITDA towards 5.0x and 4.8x in 2026 and 2027
respectively, from 5.9x in fiscal year 2025. Considering the
ongoing fleet expansion, Moody's expects ongoing negative
Moodys-adjusted free cash flow generation which will be compensated
for by cash gains from sale-and-leaseback transactions (depending
on the company's financing decisions) and contracted PDP refunds
– both of which are excluded from Moodys adjusted free cash
flow.
More general, Wizz Air's rating remains supported by the company's
superior cost base, its efficient fleet and focus on the growing
CEE aviation market. The company's expansionary strategy remains
unchanged and will benefit from these supportive factors, although
it will require some time for new routes to become profitable and
Moody's cannot rule out a margin of error as Wizz Air executes this
growth strategy.
Wizz Air's rating is also supported by the company's strong
liquidity profile. The company had around EUR1.7 billion available
cash and cash equivalents on balance sheet as per End of March 2025
or 32% of fiscal year 2025 revenue. Liquidity is deemed more than
sufficient to maneuver through a 12-month period of weak operating
conditions if market conditions deteriorate. Wizz Air faces debt
maturities of EUR500 million backed senior unsecured notes in
January 2026, issued by Wizz Air Finance Company BV and EUR272
million ETS repurchase obligation due in March 2026, with the
latter being expected to be rolled over at maturity.
OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects credit metrics outside of the
requirement for a Ba2 rating (e.g. Debt/EBITDA below 5.0x) and
risks around a recovery and successful adoption of the expansion
given the volatility in the industry. Moody's may stabilize the
outlook if Wizz Air credit metrics in line with Moody's base case
and absent any external negative effects.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
Wizz Air Finance Company BV's backed senior unsecured notes are
rated Ba2, at the same level of Wizz Air's CFR, in line with
Moody's Loss Given Default for Speculative-Grade Companies (LGD)
methodology published in December 2015. This reflects the fact that
the majority of the financial debt of Wizz Air is senior unsecured
and issued by a finance subsidiary backed by the parent company of
Wizz Air. However, the notes are structurally subordinated to the
secured ETS financing as well as opco-liabilities such as lease
liabilities given the lack of guarantees. Any further unsecured
debt issuance may therefore create negative pressure on the
instrument ratings.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive rating pressure could develop if on a Moody's adjusted
basis (i) Wizz Air reduces its Debt/EBITDA sustainably below 4.0x ,
(ii) its EBIT margin exceeds 10% on a sustained basis, (iii) its
(funds from operations + interest)/interest is maintained above
6.0x and (iv) its strong liquidity profile is maintained.
Moody's could downgrade Wizz Air if over the next 12 to 18 months
the company does not demonstrate an ongoing positive trajectory of
metrics, and (i) gross adjusted debt to EBITDA remains sustainably
above 5.0x, (ii) its (funds from operations + interest)/interest
falls below 4.0x and (iii) adjusted EBIT margin below 5%.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Passenger
Airlines published in August 2024.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
Wizz Air Holdings plc (Wizz Air is the largest low-cost airline in
CEE and one of Europe's leading ultra-low-cost airlines that
provide short- and medium-haul point-to-point routes. Established
in 2003, Wizz Air has grown significantly and carried around 63.4
million passengers in 2025 (40 million in 2019).
The company has 33 operating bases (+1 y-o-y) and serves around 200
airports (+20 y-o-y) in 55 countries (+1 y-o-y), with an A320/321
family fleet of about 231 aircraft (+23 y-o-y). Its core markets
include Poland, Romania, Hungary and Bulgaria, which the company
links to other CEE and Western European destinations, especially
the UK. In fiscal 2025, Wizz Air generated revenue of around EUR5.3
billion (+4% y-o-y), with a company adjusted EBITDA of EUR1,134
million (-5% y-o-y).
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I R E L A N D
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AVOCA CLO XXXVII: S&P Assigns Prelim. B-(sf) Rating on Cl. F Notes
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S&P Global Ratings assigned its preliminary ratings to Avoca CLO
XXXVII DAC's class A, B, C, D, E, and F notes. At closing, the
issuer will also issue unrated subordinated notes.
The preliminary ratings assigned to Avoca CLO XXXVII's notes
reflect S&P's assessment of:
-- The diversified collateral pool, which primarily comprises
broadly syndicated speculative-grade senior secured term loans and
bonds that are governed by collateral quality tests.
-- The credit enhancement provided through the subordination of
cash flows, excess spread, and overcollateralization.
-- The collateral manager's experienced team, which can affect the
performance of the rated notes through collateral selection,
ongoing portfolio management, and trading.
-- The transaction's legal structure, which S&P expects to be
bankruptcy remote.
-- The transaction's counterparty risks, which S&P expects to be
in line with its counterparty rating framework.
Portfolio benchmarks
S&P weighted-average rating factor 2,868.85
Default rate dispersion 342.79
Weighted-average life (years) 4.68
Obligor diversity measure 128.88
Industry diversity measure 17.55
Regional diversity measure 1.24
Transaction key metrics
Portfolio weighted-average rating
derived from S&P's CDO evaluator B
'CCC' category rated assets (%) 1.75
'AAA' weighted-average recovery (%) 36.86
Weighted-average spread (%) 3.77
Covenanted weighted-average coupon (%) 5.00
Rationale
Under the transaction documents, the rated notes will pay quarterly
interest unless a frequency switch event occurs. Following this,
the notes will switch to semiannual payments. The portfolio's
reinvestment period will end approximately 4.5 years after
closing.
S&P said, "At closing, we expect the portfolio to be
well-diversified, primarily comprising broadly syndicated
speculative-grade senior secured term loans and bonds. Therefore,
we have conducted our credit and cash flow analysis by applying our
criteria for corporate cash flow CDOs.
"In our cash flow analysis, we modeled a target par of EUR400
million. Additionally, we modeled the actual weighted-average
spread (3.77%), the covenanted weighted-average coupon (5.00%), and
the weighted-average recovery rates calculated in line with our CLO
criteria for all classes of notes. We applied various cash flow
stress scenarios, using four different default patterns, in
conjunction with different interest rate stress scenarios for each
liability rating category.
"Until the end of the reinvestment period on Jan. 25, 2030, the
collateral manager may substitute assets in the portfolio as long
as our CDO Monitor test is maintained or improved in relation to
the initial ratings on the notes. This test looks at the total
amount of losses that the transaction can sustain--as established
by the initial cash flows for each rating--and compares that with
the current portfolio's default potential plus par losses to date.
As a result, until the end of the reinvestment period, the
collateral manager may through trading deteriorate the
transaction's current risk profile, if the initial ratings are
maintained.
"Under our structured finance sovereign risk criteria, we consider
the transaction's exposure to country risk sufficiently mitigated
at the assigned preliminary ratings.
"At closing, we expect the transaction's documented counterparty
replacement and remedy mechanisms to adequately mitigate its
exposure to counterparty risk under our counterparty criteria.
"We expect the transaction's legal structure and framework to be
bankruptcy remote, in line with our legal criteria.
"The CLO will be managed by KKR Credit Advisors (Ireland) Unlimited
Co., and the maximum potential rating on the liabilities is 'AAA'
under our operational risk criteria.
"Following our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe the preliminary ratings
are commensurate with the available credit enhancement for the
class A to F notes. Our credit and cash flow analysis indicates
that the available credit enhancement for the class B to F notes
could withstand stresses commensurate with higher ratings than
those assigned. However, as the CLO will be in its reinvestment
phase starting from closing--during which the transaction's credit
risk profile could deteriorate--we have capped our preliminary
ratings on the notes.
"Given our analysis of the credit, cash flow, counterparty,
operational, and legal risks, we believe our preliminary ratings
are commensurate with the available credit enhancement for all the
rated classes of notes.
"In addition to our standard analysis, to indicate how rising
pressures among speculative-grade corporates could affect our
ratings on European CLO transactions, we also included the
sensitivity of the ratings on the class A to E notes based on four
hypothetical scenarios.
"As our ratings analysis makes additional considerations before
assigning ratings in the 'CCC' category, and we would assign a 'B-'
rating if the criteria for assigning a 'CCC' category rating are
not met, we have not included the above scenario analysis results
for the class F notes."
Environmental, social, and governance
S&P said, "We regard the transaction's exposure to environmental,
social, and governance (ESG) credit factors as broadly in line with
our benchmark for the sector. Primarily due to the diversity of the
assets within CLOs, the exposure to environmental and social credit
factors is viewed as below average, while governance credit factors
are average. For this transaction, the documents prohibit or limit
certain assets from being related to certain activities.
Accordingly, since the exclusion of assets from these activities
does not result in material differences between the transaction and
our ESG benchmark for the sector, no specific adjustments have been
made in our rating analysis to account for any ESG-related risks or
opportunities."
Avoca CLO XXXVII DAC is a European cash flow CLO securitization of
a revolving pool, comprising mainly euro-denominated leveraged
loans and bonds. The transaction is a broadly syndicated CLO that
will be managed by KKR Credit Advisors (Ireland) Unlimited Co.
Ratings list
Prelim. Prelim. Amount Indicative Credit
Class rating* (mil. EUR) interest rate§ enhancement (%)
A AAA (sf) 244.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR 39.00
plus 1.33%
B AA (sf) 50.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR 26.50
plus 1.75%
C A (sf) 24.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR 20.50
plus 2.15%
D BBB- (sf) 27.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR 13.75
plus 3.00%
E BB- (sf) 18.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR 9.25
plus 5.50%
F B- (sf) 11.00 Three/six-month EURIBOR 6.50
plus 8.26%
Sub NR 29.50 N/A N/A
*The preliminary ratings assigned to the class A and B notes
address timely interest and ultimate principal payments. The
preliminary ratings assigned to the class C, D, E, and F notes
address ultimate interest and principal payments.
§ Solely for modeling purposes as the actual spreads may vary at
pricing. The payment frequency switches to semiannual and the index
switches to six-month EURIBOR when a frequency switch event occurs.
EURIBOR--Euro Interbank Offered Rate.
NR--Not rated.
N/A--Not applicable.
BARINGS EURO 2021-1: Moody's Cuts Rating on EUR8MM F Notes to Caa1
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Moody's Ratings has taken a variety of rating actions on the
following debt issued by Barings Euro CLO 2021-1 Designated
Activity Company:
EUR40,000,000 Class B Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due 2034,
Upgraded to Aa1 (sf); previously on May 12, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Aa2 (sf)
EUR8,000,000 Class F Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate Notes
due 2034, Downgraded to Caa1 (sf); previously on May 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned B3 (sf)
Moody's have also affirmed the ratings on the following debt:
EUR198,000,000 Class A Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes due
2034, Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on May 12, 2021 Definitive
Rating Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR50,000,000 Class A Senior Secured Floating Rate Loan due 2034,
Affirmed Aaa (sf); previously on May 12, 2021 Definitive Rating
Assigned Aaa (sf)
EUR28,000,000 Class C Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Affirmed A2 (sf); previously on May 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned A2 (sf)
EUR25,000,000 Class D Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Affirmed Baa3 (sf); previously on May 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Baa3 (sf)
EUR23,000,000 Class E Senior Secured Deferrable Floating Rate
Notes due 2034, Affirmed Ba3 (sf); previously on May 12, 2021
Definitive Rating Assigned Ba3 (sf)
Barings Euro CLO 2021-1 Designated Activity Company, issued in May
2021, is a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) backed by a
portfolio of mostly high-yield senior secured European loans. The
portfolio is managed by Barings (U.K.) Limited. The transaction's
reinvestment period will end in July 2025.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating upgrade on the Class B notes is primarily a result of
the benefit of the shorter period of time remaining before the end
of the reinvestment period in July 2025.
The downgrade on the rating on the Class F notes is primarily a
result of par loss paired with continued deterioration of the WAS
of the underlying pool since the payment date in July 2024.
The affirmations to the ratings on the Class A debt, Class C notes,
Class D notes and Class E notes are primarily a result of the
expected losses on the notes remaining consistent with their
current rating levels, after taking into account the CLO's latest
portfolio, its relevant structural features and its actual
over-collateralisation ratios.
In light of reinvestment restrictions during the amortisation
period, and therefore the limited ability to effect significant
changes to the current collateral pool, Moody's analysed the deal
assuming a higher likelihood that the collateral pool
characteristics would maintain an adequate buffer relative to
certain covenant requirements.
The key model inputs Moody's uses in Moody's analysis, such as par,
weighted average rating factor, diversity score and the weighted
average recovery rate, are based on Moody's published methodology
and could differ from the trustee's reported numbers.
In Moody's base case, Moody's used the following assumptions:
Performing par and principal proceeds balance: EUR388.7 million
Defaulted Securities: EUR4.9 million
Diversity Score: 63
Weighted Average Rating Factor (WARF): 2896
Weighted Average Life (WAL): 4.4 years
Weighted Average Spread (WAS) (before accounting for Euribor
floors): 3.8%
Weighted Average Coupon (WAC): 4.2%
Weighted Average Recovery Rate (WARR): 43.1%
Par haircut in OC tests and interest diversion test: 0%
The default probability derives from the credit quality of the
collateral pool and Moody's expectations of the remaining life of
the collateral pool. The estimated average recovery rate on future
defaults is based primarily on the seniority of the assets in the
collateral pool. In each case, historical and market performance
and a collateral manager's latitude to trade collateral are also
relevant factors. Moody's incorporates these default and recovery
characteristics of the collateral pool into Moody's cash flow model
analysis, subjecting them to stresses as a function of the target
rating of each CLO liability it is analysing.
Methodology Underlying the Rating Action:
The principal methodology used in these ratings was "Moody's Global
Approach to Rating Collateralized Loan Obligations" published in
May 2024.
Counterparty Exposure:
The rating action took into consideration the notes' exposure to
relevant counterparties, such as account bank, using the
methodology "Structured Finance Counterparty Risks" published in
May 2025. Moody's concluded the ratings of the notes are not
constrained by these risks.
Factors that would lead to an upgrade or downgrade of the ratings:
The rated debt's performance is subject to uncertainty. The debt's
performance is sensitive to the performance of the underlying
portfolio, which in turn depends on economic and credit conditions
that may change. The collateral manager's investment decisions and
management of the transaction will also affect the debt's
performance.
Additional uncertainty about performance is due to the following:
-- Portfolio amortisation: Once reaching the end of the
reinvestment period in July 2025, the main source of uncertainty in
this transaction is the pace of amortisation of the underlying
portfolio, which can vary significantly depending on market
conditions and have a significant impact on the debt ratings.
Amortisation could accelerate as a consequence of high loan
prepayment levels or collateral sales the collateral manager or be
delayed by an increase in loan amend-and-extend restructurings.
Fast amortisation would usually benefit the ratings of the notes
beginning with the notes having the highest prepayment priority.
-- Weighted average life: The debt ratings are sensitive to the
weighted average life assumption of the portfolio, which could
lengthen as a result of the manager's decision to reinvest in new
issue loans or other loans with longer maturities, or participate
in amend-to-extend offerings. The effect on the ratings of
extending the portfolio's weighted average life can be positive or
negative depending on the notes' seniority.
-- Recovery of defaulted assets: Market value fluctuations in
trustee-reported defaulted assets and those Moody's assumes have
defaulted can result in volatility in the deal's
over-collateralisation levels. Further, the timing of recoveries
and the manager's decision whether to work out or sell defaulted
assets can also result in additional uncertainty. Recoveries higher
than Moody's expectations would have a positive impact on the debt
ratings.
In addition to the quantitative factors that Moody's explicitly
modelled, qualitative factors are part of the rating committee's
considerations. These qualitative factors include the structural
protections in the transaction, its recent performance given the
market environment, the legal environment, specific documentation
features, the collateral manager's track record and the potential
for selection bias in the portfolio. All information available to
rating committees, including macroeconomic forecasts, input from
Moody's other analytical groups, market factors, and judgments
regarding the nature and severity of credit stress on the
transactions, can influence the final rating decision.
DRYDEN 27 R 2017: S&P Affirms 'B-(sf)' Rating on Class F-R Notes
----------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its credit ratings on Dryden 27 R Euro
CLO 2017 DAC's class B-1-R and B-2-R notes to 'AA+ (sf)' from 'AA
(sf)', class C-R notes to 'AA- (sf)' from 'A (sf)', and class D-R
notes to 'BBB+ (sf)' from 'BBB (sf)'. At the same time, S&P
affirmed its 'AAA (sf)' rating on the class A-R notes, 'BB- (sf)'
rating on the class E-R notes, and 'B- (sf)' rating on the class
F-R notes.
S&P said, "The rating actions follow the application of our global
corporate CLO criteria, and our credit and cash flow analysis of
the transaction based on the March 2025 trustee report.
"Our ratings address timely payment of interest and ultimate
payment of principal on the class A-R, B-1-R, and B-2-R notes, and
ultimate payment of interest and principal on the class C-R, D-R,
E-R, and F-R notes."
Since the transaction closed in March 2021:
-- The portfolio's weighted-average rating is 'B'.
-- The portfolio is diversified with 125 obligors.
-- The portfolio's weighted-average life is 3.55 years.
Despite a more concentrated portfolio, the scenario default rates
(SDRs) decreased for all rating scenarios, mainly due to improved
credit quality and the reduction in the portfolio's
weighted-average life to 3.55 years from 4.65 years.
Portfolio benchmarks
SPWARF 2,861.81
Default rate dispersion (%) 688.61
Weighted-average life (years) 3.55
Obligor diversity measure 89.43
Industry diversity measure 17.98
Regional diversity measure 1.21
SPWARF--S&P Global Ratings' weighted-average rating factor.
On the cash flow side:
-- The reinvestment period for the transaction ended in April
2023. The class A-R notes have deleveraged by EUR68.36 million
since then, with a note factor of 75.45%.
-- No class of notes is deferring interest.
-- All coverage tests are passing as of the March 2025 trustee
report.
-- The transaction saw a decrease in assets compared with
liabilities, amounting to EUR9.60 million.
Transaction key metrics
Total collateral amount (mil. EUR)* 388.03
Defaulted assets (mil. EUR) 0
Number of performing obligors 125
Portfolio weighted-average rating B
'CCC' assets (%) 5.79
'AAA' SDR (%) 58.75
'AAA' WARR (%) 36.32
*Performing assets plus cash and expected recoveries on defaulted
assets.
SDR--Scenario default rate.
WARR--Weighted-average recovery rate.
Credit enhancement
Current credit Previous credit
enhancement enhancement
Current (based on the March 2025 closed in
Class amount (EUR) trustee report) (%) (March 2021) (%)
A-R 210,136,415 45.85 40.24
B-1-R 33,250,000 31.74 28.49
B-2-R 21,500,000 31.74 28.49
C-R 30,250,000 23.94 22.00
D-R 32,500,000 15.57 15.02
E-R 24,000,000 9.38 9.87
F-R 13,000,000 6.03 7.08
Sub 46,900,000 N/A N/A
Credit enhancement = [Performing balance + cash balance + recovery
on defaulted obligations (if any) – tranche balance (including
tranche balance of all senior tranches)]/ [Performing balance +
cash balance + recovery on defaulted obligations (if any)].
N/A--Not applicable.
The CLO has a smoothing account that helps to mitigate any
frequency timing mismatch risks.
S&P said, "In our credit and cash flow analysis, we considered the
transaction's available current cash balance and the SDRs, as per
the March 2025 trustee report. Based on the improved SDRs and
continued deleveraging of the senior notes--which has increased
available credit enhancement--we raised our ratings on the class
B-1-R, B-2-R, C-R, and D-R notes. The available credit enhancement
for these tranches is now commensurate with higher levels of
stress."
At the same time, we affirmed our 'AAA (sf)','BB- (sf)', and 'B-
(sf)' ratings on the class A-R, E-R, and F-R notes, respectively.
The available credit enhancement for these tranches remains
commensurate with the assigned ratings.
S&P's cash flow analysis indicates that the class C-R notes could
withstand stresses at a higher rating level than that assigned.
The transaction has continued to amortize since the end of the
reinvestment period in April 2023. However, S&P has considered that
the manager has been reinvesting unscheduled redemption proceeds
and sale proceeds from credit-improved and credit-impaired assets.
Such reinvestments (as opposed to repayment of the liabilities)
therefore prolong the note repayment profile for the most senior
class of notes.
S&P said, "We also considered the portion of senior notes
outstanding, the current macroeconomic environment, and the
tranches' relative seniority. Considering all of these factors, we
limited our upgrade of the class C-R notes and raised our rating by
two notches to 'AA- (sf)'.
"In our cash flow analysis, the class E-R notes pass at a lower
rating level than that assigned. However, we considered that the
failure at the current rating level of 'BB-' is 20 basis points,
and that the tranche's available credit enhancement is commensurate
with a 'BB- (sf)' rating. We therefore affirmed our rating.
"For the class F-R notes, our cash flow analysis indicated a lower
rating than that currently assigned. The tranche's current
break-even default ratio cushion at the 'B-' rating level is
negative. Based on the portfolio's actual characteristics and
additional overlaying factors, including our long-term corporate
default rates and the notes' available credit enhancement, this
class is able to sustain a steady-state scenario, in accordance
with our 'CCC' rating criteria." S&P's analysis also considers:
-- The notes' available credit enhancement is in the same range as
other recently issued European CLOs S&P rates.
-- S&P's model-generated portfolio default risk is at the 'B-'
rating level at 14.32% (for a portfolio with a weighted-average
life of 3.55 years), versus 11.00% if it was to consider a
long-term sustainable default rate of 3.1% for 3.55 years.
-- Whether the tranche is vulnerable to nonpayment risk in the
near term.
-- If there is a one-in-two chance of this tranche defaulting.
-- If S&P envisions this tranche defaulting in the next 12-18
months.
S&P said, "Following our analysis, we consider that the class F-R
notes' available credit enhancement is commensurate with a 'B-
(sf)' rating. We therefore affirmed our rating.
"Counterparty, operational, and legal risks are adequately
mitigated in line with our criteria.
"Following the application of our structured finance sovereign risk
criteria, we consider the transaction's exposure to country risk to
be limited at the assigned ratings, as the exposure to individual
sovereigns does not exceed the diversification thresholds outlined
in our criteria."
Dryden 27 R Euro CLO 2017 DAC is a broadly syndicated CLO managed
by PGIM Ltd.
=========
I T A L Y
=========
FIBERCOP SPA: Moody's Rates New Senior Secured EUR Notes 'Ba1'
--------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings assigned Ba1 ratings to the FiberCop S.p.A.
(FiberCop) proposed senior secured Euro Notes. Other ratings,
including FiberCop's Ba1 Corporate Family Rating are not affected.
The outlook is negative.
The Notes, which will be split into fixed rate notes and floating
rate notes maturing between 2030 and 2032, are expected to have a
cumulative amount of approximately EUR1.4 billion. Net proceeds
from the issuance, will be used for general corporate purposes,
including capital expenditures and the potential refinancing of
existing debt maturities in 2026.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The Ba1 rating for the proposed EUR1.4 billion senior secured Euro
Notes of FiberCop are general senior secured obligations and rank
pari passu in right of payment with the company's existing notes,
term loans and revolving credit facility. As such, the Ba1 rating
of the Notes is in line with FiberCop's CFR.
The Ba1 CFR is underpinned by (1) FiberCop's role as a critical
infrastructure provider in Italy, with a unique nationwide
fixed-line network that spans asymmetric digital subscriber line
(ADSL), fiber-to-the-cabinet (FTTC), and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH)
technologies; (2) its entrenched position in the wholesale
broadband market, with approximately 71% market share, alongside a
growing portfolio of specialised services for telecom operators and
large enterprise; (3) limited infrastructure competition and high
barriers to entry across much of its network footprint; (4) the
relative stability and predictability of its revenue base,
supported by long-term wholesale agreements with all major telecom
operators and growing demand for high-speed connectivity; and (5)
the low risk of technology substitution, given the absence of cable
infrastructure and the complementary role of FTTC during the
ongoing transition to FTTH.
However, the rating is constrained by (1) the company's ambitious
FTTH rollout strategy, which requires a significant acceleration of
its capital expenditure and will lead to negative free cash flow
until at least 2027; (2) its indirect exposure to a highly
competitive retail broadband market, which may indirectly affect
wholesale volumes and pricing dynamics; and (3) the high financial
leverage, which limits near-term financial flexibility.
Over the coming years, Moody's expects FiberCop's EBITDA to improve
moderately, driven by the implementation of cost saving initiatives
and network efficiencies. However, as the company remains in its
peak FTTH roll out phase, Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA is forecast
to peak at around 7.0x in 2025 and decline progressively toward
6.0x as capital spending substantially decreases in 2028.
OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects Moody's expectations that FiberCop's
credit metrics will remain weak for the Ba1 rating through 2027 due
to its large FTTH investment plan. It also reflects that execution
risks and sustained negative free cash flow during the peak
deployment phase constrain the credit profile, although Moody's
expects the company to maintain a prudent financial policy and
adequate liquidity.
LIQUIDITY
Following the successful issuance of the EUR1.4 billion Notes,
FiberCop will have a strong liquidity position. This is also
supported by EUR923 million of cash as of March 2025 and a fully
undrawn EUR2 billion revolving credit facility maturing in 2029.
The company benefits from a well-distributed debt maturity profile,
with approximately EUR700 million of debt repayments due in the
first half of 2026. Overall, Moody's expects that FiberCop's
liquidity position and cash flow generation will be sufficient to
cover its cash requirements, including investments, interest, and
debt repayments, over the next 12-18 months.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Upward pressure on FiberCop's ratings is unlikely in the near term.
However, the outlook could be stabilised if the company
demonstrates consistent execution of its business plan, including
timely and cost-effective FTTH deployment, while maintaining
performance in line with budget. Evidence of improving operating
performance and effective cost control, resulting in
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA trending toward 6.0x, alongside a
prudent financial policy and solid liquidity, would also support
stabilisation.
Downward pressure on FiberCop's ratings could arise from a
permanent weakening in the company's financial profile, such that
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA is likely to remain above 6.0x for a
prolonged period, without a clear path to deleveraging. Additional
pressure could emerge from a deterioration in the company's
liquidity position, or the implementation of a financial policy
that prioritises shareholder returns over creditor interests,
including debt-funded acquisitions or dividend distributions during
the FTTH rollout phase.
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Communications
Infrastructure published in February 2022.
COMPANY PROFILE
FiberCop S.p.A. owns and operates the largest fixed-line wholesale
network in Italy, with a nationwide footprint and significant
coverage across broadband and ultrabroadband services. In 2024,
FiberCop's pro-forma revenues, considering the effects of the
separation transaction and related agreements, amounted to around
EUR3.9 billion and pro-forma EBITDA to around EUR2.2 billion. The
company is majority-owned by a consortium led by KKR, alongside
ADIA, CPPIB, F2i, and the Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance.
TEAMSYSTEM SPA: Moody's Affirms 'B2' CFR, Outlook Stable
--------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings affirmed TeamSystem S.p.A.'s (TeamSystem or the
company) B2 long term corporate family rating and the B2-PD
probability of default rating. Concurrently, Moody's assigned B2
ratings to the proposed EUR1.2 billion senior secured notes
contemplated in the recently launched transaction, the proceeds of
which will be used to partially refinance existing debt, finance
bolt-on acquisitions and a shareholder distribution and boost cash
on balance. The ratings of the existing senior secured notes due
2028 and 2031 were affirmed at B2. The outlook remains stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action balances the negative impact on credit metrics
implicit in the recently launched transaction with TeamSystem's
slightly enhanced business profile following further acquisitions,
and solid track record in improving revenues, EBITDA and credit
metrics following the 2021 recapitalisation transaction, as well as
Moody's expectations that credit metrics will improve to levels in
line with the B2 ratings over the next 12 to 18 months.
TeamSystem will use the proceeds of the new EUR1.2 billion senior
secured notes to refinance EUR300 million of its EUR850 million
senior secured floating rate notes maturing in 2028 and the EUR45
million draw under the Revolving Credit Facility (RCF); finance a
EUR350 million distribution to shareholders and prefund existing
deferred and other M&A related considerations in the amount of
EUR220 million. The remainder of around EUR285 million will
strengthen the company's cash position for future bolt-on
acquisitions and pay transaction related fees.
In addition, TeamSystem is also envisaging issuing a new EUR350
million pay-if-you-want (PIYW) notes issued outside the restricted
group that will be used to fund shareholder distributions.
Pro forma for the transaction, Moody's-adjusted gross debt to
EBITDA weakens to around 7.4x as of March 2025, outside the
expectations for the B2 CFR. However, Moody's estimates growth will
facilitate leverage improvement towards 6.0x over the next 12 to 18
months, in line with the expectations for the B2 rating. Although
the company's acquisitive strategy may delay forecast leverage
reduction, Moody's expects the leverage reduction trajectory to
remain intact. Additionally, Moody's estimates Moody's-adjusted
free cash flow (FCF) generation and interest coverage will remain
solid, at around 4-5% FCF/debt and at least 2.5x on a EBITDA –
capital expenditures) / interest basis, over the next 12 to 18
months. This calculation incorporates Moody's expectations that the
company will no longer service the interest on the PIYW notes
issued outside of the restricted group (EUR650 million pro forma
for the transaction).
TeamSystem's leading position in the Italian enterprise software
market targeting professionals and small and medium-sized
enterprises; the complexity of Italy's tax, payroll and accounting
frameworks, which drives demand for frequent software upgrades and
provides some protection against international software vendors;
and significant recurring revenue and low churn, which boost
revenue visibility, support its B2 CFR. Conversely, the company's
still high geographical concentration, with revenue generated
mainly in Italy; limited degree of product diversification, given
its focus on enterprise software; and aggressive financial policy,
all constrain the rating.
RATING OUTLOOK
TeamSystem's stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that the
company's credit metrics will improve and remain commensurate with
the B2 ratings guidance over the next 12 to 18 months. The outlook
incorporates Moody's assumptions that there will be no significant
increase in leverage from any future debt-funded acquisitions or
shareholder distributions prior to an improvement of credit metrics
to levels commensurate with Moody's expectations for the B2 rating,
and that the company will maintain at least adequate liquidity.
LIQUIDITY
TeamSystem's liquidity is very good, supported by EUR160 million of
cash on balance as of end March 2025, a EUR300 million super-senior
RCF, which pro forma for the transaction will be upsized to EUR350
million and fully available (EUR45 million drawn as of end March
2025) and forecast solid positive FCF. Moody's expects the group to
maintain significant capacity against the springing senior secured
net leverage covenant, which is set at 9.98x and tested when the
RCF is drawn by more than 40%.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATIONS
The B2 instrument ratings are in line with TeamSystem's CFR. All
instruments rank pari passu, with the exception of the super-senior
RCF. However, the RCF's quantum of EUR350 million is not
sufficiently large to lead to a notching down from the CFR. The
security package provided to the senior secured lenders is limited
to pledges over shares, bank accounts and intercompany
receivables.
Moody's do not include the PIYW notes debt in TeamSystem's
Moody's-adjusted credit metrics calculation, nor in its loss given
default waterfall. However, Moody's considers its existence
qualitatively as credit negative.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Although unlikely at this stage, positive rating pressure could
develop if the company continues to grow its revenue and EBITDA,
such that Moody's-adjusted leverage (R&D capitalised) improves to
below 5.0x; Moody's-adjusted FCF/debt improves towards 10%; and
Moody's-adjusted (EBITDA – capital expenditures) / interest
expense improves towards 3.0x, all on a sustained basis. Adequate
liquidity and financial policy clarity are also important
considerations.
Conversely, negative rating pressure could develop if the company's
revenue and EBITDA growth is weaker than expected such that there
is no longer an expectation that Moody's-adjusted leverage (R&D
capitalised) will improve towards 6.0x over the next 18 months;
Moody's-adjusted FCF weakens towards breakeven, or Moody's-adjusted
(EBITDA – capital expenditures) / interest expense is below 2.0x,
all on a sustained basis; or if liquidity deteriorates. A
transaction that significantly increases leverage before TeamSystem
demonstrates improvement in credit metrics could also have negative
ratings implications.
ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL AND GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
Even though the transaction has no implication to the CFR and
instrument ratings, the company's decision to debt fund a
shareholder distribution and to a lesser extent acquisitions,
thereby increasing leverage, is a negative governance
consideration. The track record of EBITDA growth and improvement in
credit metrics following the 2021 recapitalisation is a positive
consideration.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Software
published in June 2022.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
COMPANY PROFILE
TeamSystem is a provider of ERP software to SMEs and professionals
mainly in Italy, but with operations in other countries such as
Turkiye, Spain, France or Israel. The company offers integrated ERP
systems covering mainly accounting, tax, legal and payroll
management software solutions. Additionally, TeamSystem also
provides vertical-specific software solutions and training
(CAD/CAM, education and other) for sectors such as manufacturing,
retail and technology, among others. It operates through direct
commercial branches and indirect channels, such as value-added
resellers (VARs). In the last twelve months ended in March 2025 and
pro forma for acquisitions, TeamSystem recorded revenue of EUR996
million and company-adjusted EBITDA of EUR438 million.
TeamSystem is controlled by funds managed by Hellman & Friedman LLC
(H&F). In addition, Silver Lake, Abu Dhabi Investment Authority
(ADIA) and CapitalG and management hold minority stakes in the
company.
=====================
N E T H E R L A N D S
=====================
DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP: S&P Assigns 'BB+' ICR, Outlook Stable
--------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'BB+' long-term issuer credit
rating on Deutsche EuroShop AG (DES) and its 'BBB-' issue rating on
the senior unsecured bond. The recovery rating is '2' (85%).
The stable outlook reflects S&P's view that DES' operating
performance should remain resilient over the coming 12 months,
while its leverage would remain consistent with the current rating
level.
DES, a Germany-based retail landlord, owns and manages a EUR4.0
billion portfolio of 21 shopping centers in Germany (80%), and in
Austria and Eastern Europe (20%).
The company plans to use the proceeds of its EUR500 million senior
unsecured bond to repay existing secured debt, and fund capital
expenditure (capex) and dividends which will be partly used to
repay its main shareholder Hercules BidCo's debt.
S&P said, "Our assessment of DES' business risk profile is
underpinned by its moderately sized portfolio of stable
income-generating shopping centers, well positioned to address
customers' daily necessities, and its good market position in
Germany. The company's EUR4.0 billion portfolio (as of end March
2025) comprises 21 shopping centers across Germany (about 80% of
portfolio value) and Austria and Central and Eastern Europe (CEE;
one center per country in the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and
Austria). DES' assets aim to attract people for daily necessities,
with locations in catchment areas, and an average value of EUR204
million per asset. DES has a long and solid track record of
operations in Germany, where it benefits from a very good market
position and from the experience of its asset manager ECE Group's
track record (assets under management of EUR31.0 billion market
value in 12 countries). The area for new shopping centers has been
limited in Germany over the past few years, leading to a relatively
low gross leasable area (GLA) per inhabitants as compared to other
European countries (2.0 GLA per 100,000 inhabitants as per Statista
and Green Street compared with more than 10 in some Nordic
countries). To enhance the quality of its portfolio, DES has
started to increase its capex program over the last few years from
EUR18.7 million in 2021 to EUR40 million-EUR45 million annually
over 2022-2024 and we assume it could increase further to about
EUR70 million-EUR90 million in 2025 and above EUR50 million in
2026. As of March 2025, the portfolio's occupancy stood at 95.4%,
improved from its 93.0% level end of 2023, but still slightly lower
than pre-pandemic levels (97.6% end of 2019). In our view, the
retail industry remains vulnerable to economic and consumption
trends, and retailers have proven fragile in recent years and
especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, and we view a risk that
some of the retailers could demonstrate thinner margins, more
leverage, and declining turnover over the coming years. This is
especially the case in the fashion industry, which represent around
half of DES' annual rental income. We expect that the company's
diversified tenant base will support occupancy levels to remain
relatively stable over our 12-month forecast horizon, with the top
10 tenants accounting for 21% of 2024 rental income, including H&M
for 2.7%, Deichmann SE for 2.4%, and The New Yorker for 2.4%. We
view the company's occupancy cost ratio of 11.3% as of end-2024,
and its weighted average lease maturity of 4.7 years as relatively
good and standard for the industry. We anticipate the development
risk to remain limited in the portfolio because the share of such
activities is limited to the extension of existing properties.
Moreover, we expect the share of assets under development should
remain below 5% in near future.
"As a result of increased capex and dividends, we expect the
company's debt to debt plus equity and debt to EBITDA to increase
over 2025-2026, although consistent with the current rating level.
We forecast DES' S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
debt-to-debt-plus-equity and debt-to-EBITDA ratios to increase from
53.0% as of end-2024 to about 57.0%-57.5% in 2025-2026, and from
9.5x as of end-2024 to 10.0x-10.5x, respectively. This is because
we assume about EUR200 million of dividends in 2025 and about
EUR115 million in 2026, and EUR70 million-EUR90 million of capex in
2025 and above EUR50 million in 2026. Hercules BidCo (owned 98.8%
by Oaktree and 1.2% by Alexander Otto) owns 55% of DES, and we
understand the dividends that will be paid to this shareholder will
be used to repay its debt (EUR279 million end of 2024) and related
interests, which we consider as debt in our credit metrics. As a
result, the effect from dividends on the company's debt under our
calculations mainly comes from the portion paid to the other
shareholders. In addition, the company's strategy since the
Hercules BidCo takeover in 2022 is to improve its existing
portfolio through higher capex, including investments in
modernization work, extension of assets, LED lighting,
photovoltaics, etc. Given the currently subdued German economy and
household consumption, we assume potential negative reversion on
rents could offset indexation over the coming years. As growth in
cash flows may be muted for the coming years, we also expect
potential slight decline in portfolio value. At the same time,
about half of the company's bond proceeds will be used to repay
existing secured debt.
"Despite the cost of debt increasing over time, we expect the
company's EBITDA-interest-coverage ratio will remain robust over
our forecast horizon. We forecast this ratio to stand at 2.5x-2.6x
over 2025-2026, from 2.8x over 2024. In addition to a relatively
subdued growth in EBITDA, we expect the company's capital structure
to gradually reflect the current higher interest rates environment,
with an average cost of debt increasing from its 2.8% level end of
2024 (excluding the Bidco) to about 3.5% over 2025-2026, following
the EUR500 million bond issuance with a 4.5% coupon. That said, the
effect of this higher cost of debt on the company's interest burden
will partly be compensated by the progressive repayment of the
EUR279 million Bidco loan (as of end 2024), which bears a much
higher interest rate.
"Our assessment of DES' financial policy factors in the company's
ownership structure, under which the company's largest shareholder
is the private equity firm Oaktree, through the entity Hercules
BidCo holding 55% of DES. We assess DES' financial policy as
Financial Sponsor-5 (FS-5), indicating that we consider that DES
could adopt a more aggressive leverage to maximize its largest
shareholder returns, which we consider as a financial sponsor, as
compared to companies with larger free float and limited
shareholder influence for example. That said, we acknowledge that
Oaktree and Alexander Otto (who holds 21.4% of DES) have a joint
control over DES and Hercules BidCo, through a partnership
agreement and a voting agreement, which balances to some extent the
influence of Oaktree over the company. The remaining 23.6% are
listed free float. Our FS-5 assessment incorporates our
expectations that the risk of releveraging beyond our forecast is
relatively low, based on the company's moderate financial risk
appetite and adequate liquidity profile.
"We view DES' management and governance as moderately negative,
with no impact on the final issuer credit rating. This assessment
incorporates the company's joint controlled ownership by Oaktree
(55% through Hercules BidCo in which it owns 98.8% and Alexander
Otto owns 1.2%) and the Otto family (21.4% through Alexander Otto).
We think that Oaktree might consider a more aggressive agenda of
maximizing shareholder returns. According to the documentation,
Oaktree plans to exit the investment starting from 2027. We further
think that the company's group structure is relatively complex, to
the extent we think it could lead to additional credit risk due to
reduced transparency or potential conflicts of interest with
creditors or increased analytical complexity. The board comprises
nine members: Three are Oaktree representatives, three are
Alexander Otto representatives, and three are independent members;
decision-making would be dependent on the common agreement between
Oaktree and the Otto family.
"We view DES' credit quality as comparable to that of other 'BB+'
rated peers, notably thanks to a moderate leverage for its current
financial risk profile assessment. We apply a positive comparable
rating analysis modifier, which results in a one notch uplift from
our 'bb' anchor, mainly reflecting the company's credit metrics,
which we view at the better end of our aggressive financial risk
profile assessment (capped at this level due to financial sponsor
ownership). This notably includes an EBITDA-interest-coverage ratio
well above 1.8x, better than that of peers within the same
financial risk profile category, as well as debt to debt plus
equity remaining below 60% over our 12-month forecast horizon. We
also view the company's creditworthiness, including its sizable
portfolio of stable income-generating assets and robust market
position, as more robust than those of peers rated at 'BB' (like
IGD Siiq SpA or Globalworth Real Estate Investments Ltd. for
example).
"The stable outlook reflects our view that DES' operating
performance should remain resilient over the next 12 months on the
back of positive, although slowing, indexation and resilient
retailer sales growth. Including the bond issuance, we expect S&P
Global Ratings-adjusted debt to debt plus equity to remain at
55%-58% and debt to EBITDA at about 9.5x-10.5x over the coming 12
months, while its EBITDA-interest-coverage ratio should remain at
above 2.4x."
S&P could lower its ratings on DES if its operating performance
deteriorates, for example, owing to a market downturn with a
decline in occupancy rates and like-for-like rental growth or a
negative valuation of the portfolio, which could lead to the
following ratios, on a sustained basis:
-- Debt to debt plus equity increasing to 60% or above;
-- EBITDA interest coverage failing to remain well above 1.8x; or
-- Debt to EBITDA deviating materially from our base case.
At the same time, if the shareholders' approach to DES became more
aggressive, this would also prompt us to lower our rating. This
could happen if, for example, the company materially increases the
expected dividend payout or increases leverage so that DES' credit
metrics deteriorate significantly. A sustained deterioration in the
company's operating performance, such as decreasing occupancy
levels, could also prompt us to review the rating downward.
Although S&P currently views an upgrade to DES as remote, it could
upgrade DES if the company would adopt a more conservative
financial policy, for example through a track record in the
shareholders' behavior that would be consistent with a higher
rating level, including a limited appetite for further leveraging
and a strong operating performance. Such a track record needs to be
solid enough for us to consider the company as not being controlled
by a financial sponsor.
A positive rating action could also stem from a change in the
shareholding structure of DES, in which the financial sponsor would
relinquish control over the medium term.
A more conservative financial policy that would be consistent with
a higher rating level would require ratios such as:
-- Debt to debt plus equity toward 50%;
-- EBITDA interest coverage well above 2.4x; and
-- Debt to EBITDA below 9.5x.
=========
S P A I N
=========
AERNNOVA AEROSPACE: Moody's Alters Outlook on 'B3' CFR to Negative
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has affirmed the B3 long term corporate family
rating and the B3-PD probability of default rating of Spain-based
design, engineering and aerostructures manufacturer Aernnova
Aerospace Corporation, S.A. (Aernnova). Concurrently, Moody's
affirmed the B3 instrument rating on the backed senior secured bank
credit facilities raised by Aernnova Aerospace, S.A.U. The outlook
on both entities has been changed to negative from stable.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The rating action reflects a deterioration in Moody's expectations
regarding Aernnova's deleveraging prospects for 2025. The company
ended 2024 with Moody's-adjusted gross debt/EBITDA at approximately
8.1x (including factoring), which was broadly in line with Moody's
prior expectations. Revenue grew by 12%, and the Moody's-adjusted
EBITDA margin improved to 10.6%, up from 8.7% in 2023, supported by
strong demand and increased deliveries in the aerostructures
segment.
However, contrary to Moody's earlier projections, Moody's no longer
expect the deleveraging trend to continue in 2025. This is
primarily due the slower-than-expected ramp-up of the A350 program
- due to the complexity and time required to integrate Spirit into
Airbus SE's production value chain - is likely to negatively impact
Aernnova's profitability. Further headwinds include EUR5–10
million in costs related to the ANN 2025 cost-efficiency program
and adverse foreign exchange effects stemming from USD depreciation
against the EUR. Additionally, Process Automation segment's
(Automotive sector) sales declined by approximately 60% in Q1 2025,
resulting in EBITDA-level losses. Moody's anticipates similar
performance for the full year, although this segment only
represents 5% of the group sales.
As a result, Moody's now expect the company's Moody's-adjusted
EBITDA margin to decline to the 7.5%–8.5% range in 2025,
including one offs costs and hedging costs mentioned before. The
company currently has hedging in place for 24 months (covering all
of 2025 and 2026, and partially 2027). Hedging for 2025 is included
in the published budget. The company does not expect any cash
impact due to exchange rate volatility.
At the same time, Aernnova's Moody's-adjusted gross debt increased
by EUR77 million as of March 2025 compared to year-end 2023. This
rise is attributed to the upsizing of the backed senior secured
Term Loan B (TLB) last year, plus the higher amount of bilateral
revolving facilities and the drawing under the syndicated backed
senior secured revolving credit facility (RCF). Moody's believes
this higher debt quantum will hinder the company's ability to
deleverage into the 6–7x range in the future. In 2025, leverage
may exceed 10x, positioning Aernnova weakly within the single-B
rating category. As of March 2025, Moody's-adjusted gross leverage
had already risen to 9.3x.
The maturities of its main debt instruments raised by Aernnova
Aerospace, S.A.U., the EUR540 million TLB and the EUR100 million
RCF, were extended to 2030 and 2029, respectively, during last
year's refinancing. The rating is also underpinned by Aernnova's
robust order backlog of $4.8 billion as of December 2024,
equivalent to approximately 4.5x trailing twelve-month revenue.
Despite ongoing supply chain challenges affecting new aircraft
production, the aerospace industry's fundamental outlook remains
strong. Aernnova's core Aerospace segment continued to perform well
in Q1 2025, with 12% growth in both revenue and EBITDA.
The rating is mainly supported by (1) the fundamentally positive
outlook for the global aerospace and defense sector with increasing
aircraft production and higher defense budgets globally; (2)
Aernnova's well-established and long-term cooperation with
aerospace original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), especially with
its main customer Airbus SE (A2 positive), responsible for 47% of
its sales in 2024 and almost ¾ of its order backlog; (3) its
solid competitive position, underpinned by Aernnova's in-house
composite capabilities and its role as a sole source supplier for
almost all of its contracts; and (4) its improved business
diversification over the last few years with increased exposure to
narrowbody, business jets and defense segments.
The rating is primarily constrained by (1) weak credit metrics with
around 9.3x Moody's adjusted gross leverage as of March 2025; (2)
risks that the leverage may remain elevated and the capital
structure could come under increasing pressure due to the slower
than expect production ramp-up in commercial aerospace,
underperformance in the automotive segment, own restructuring
costs, unfavorable FX movements etc; and (3) Aernnova's modest
scale and the cyclical nature of the commercial aerospace
industry.
RATIONALE FOR NEGATIVE OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects Moody's concerns that Aernnova's
credit metrics may deteriorate in 2025, with Moody's adjusted gross
leverage potentially exceeding 10x by the year-end. Moreover,
additional debt raised to offset negative free cash flow in 2024
and 2025 could result in leverage remaining elevated, even as
EBITDA begins to recover. The negative outlook is also driven by a
weakening of Aernnova's liquidity position due to the increased use
of bilateral credit facilities which are subject to annual
extension.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive rating pressure could arise if:
-- Further stabilization of operating environment with increasing
aerospace production rates;
-- Moody's-adjusted gross debt/ EBITDA below 6x on a sustained
basis;
-- Consistently positive free cash flow generation;
-- Absence of major execution challenges in key platforms.
Conversely, negative rating pressure could arise if:
-- Inability to reduce Moody's-adjusted gross debt/ EBITDA below
7x;
-- Moody's-adjusted EBIT/ Interest remaining below 1x;
-- Further deterioration in liquidity with a greater reliance on
uncommitted facilities;
-- Execution challenges materially distorting earnings and cash
generation.
LIQUIDITY
Aernnova's liquidity profile is weak. As of March 31, 2025, the
company had EUR42 million in cash on its balance sheet plus the
EUR85 million available under the EUR100 million revolving credit
facility (RCF), maturing in 2029. The amount of debt maturities in
the coming years - EUR18 million in 2025, EUR15 million in 2026,
EUR7 million in 2027 – are manageable, with its main debt
instrument, the EUR540 million TLB, coming due only in 2030.
However, the EUR60 million bilateral facilities drawn require
annual extension. Moreover, in 2024 Aernnova had a negative EUR51
million of free cash flow (Moody's adjusted) and Moody's expects
another EUR10-40 million consumption in 2025, which includes
one-off costs related to transfer of work between operating
entities. Excluding the one-offs the company expects to have a
positive cash flow in 2025.
A rating stabilization would require a reversal to sustainably
positive FCF generation and strengthening of the liquidity profile
with lower reliance on bilateral facilities with annual renewal.
STRUCTURAL CONSIDERATION
In the Loss Given Default for Speculative-Grade Companies(LGD)
assessment for Aernnova, Moody's rank pari passu the EUR540 million
TLB maturing in 2030 with the senior secured EUR100 million RCF
maturing in 2029 raised by Aernnova Aerospace, S.A.U. The senior
debt instruments are guaranteed by Aernnova's parent company,
Aernnova Aerospace Corporation, S.A., and its material
subsidiaries, representing at least 80% of consolidated EBITDA. The
security package includes pledges over shares, bank accounts and
intragroup receivables. These instruments are rated B3 in line with
the corporate family rating. Moody's assumes a standard family
recovery rate of 50%, which reflects the covenant-lite nature of
the loan documentation, and this results in a B3-PD probability of
default rating.
The capital structure also includes the EUR41 million of unsecured
institutional debt as of March 31, 2025, mostly
non-interest-bearing and amortizing, as well as the EUR21 million
bank loans and the EUR60 million bilateral credit facilities that
Moody's rank junior to senior secured instruments. However, the
existence of unsecured instruments does not lead to an uplift for
senior secured instrument given their relatively modest share in
the capital structure. Moreover, their amortization over time
reduces the extent of loss absorption in case of financial
difficulties.
PRINCIPAL METHODOLOGY
The principal methodology used in these ratings was Aerospace and
Defense published in December 2024.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
PROFILE
Headquartered in Alava, Spain, Aernnova Aerospace Corporation S.A.
(Aernnova) is a leading Tier 1/ Tier 2 supplier of metallic and
composite aerostructures and components such as wings, empennages
and fuselage sections for original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)
in the aeronautical sector (e.g. Airbus SE (A2 positive), Embraer
S.A. (Baa3 stable) etc.). In addition, the company provides
engineering services to the main aircraft manufacturers and other
Tier 1 suppliers. Aernnova is also involved in the manufacturing of
welding products for the automotive sector and general industrial
use. The group owns production facilities in Spain, the UK,
Portugal, Romania, Mexico, Brazil and the US, which along with the
commercial office in China support its global activities across 30
aerospace programmes. In the last 12 months ended in March 2025,
Aernnova generated EUR990 million of revenue.
=====================
S W I T Z E R L A N D
=====================
GATEGROUP HOLDING: S&P Raises ICR to 'B+' on Completed Refinancing
------------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings raised its long-term issuer credit ratings on
gategroup Holding AG (gategroup) and its finance and core
subsidiary gategroup Finance International S.a.r.l. to 'B+' from
'B-' and removed them from CreditWatch with positive implications.
The rating on the term loan B issued by gategroup Finance is
unchanged at 'B+'.
S&P said, "The stable outlook indicates that we expect gategroup to
expand its earnings base, enabling it to lower adjusted debt to
EBITDA for 2025-2026 to below 5.0x on a weighted-average basis.
Although the financing documentation permits it, we do not expect
gategroup to pursue potential shareholder distributions or
debt-funded acquisitions that would cause adjusted debt to EBITDA
to exceed 5.0x."
The upgrade is underpinned by the successful completion of the
refinancing transaction, which significantly improved gategroup's
capital structure position. As expected, gategroup used most of the
proceeds from issuing the EUR675 million and $500 million tranches
to alleviate the pressure on its liquidity caused by two large
upcoming maturities. These comprised a term loan A and drawings
under the existing revolving credit facility (RCF), both due in
October 2026. As a result, S&P removed its one-notch negative
capital structure modifier. The company also signed a new
multicurrency RCF equivalent to CHF300 million, which was undrawn
at closing.
S&P understands that gategroup used part of the remaining proceeds
to make early repayments on COVID-19 related debt. It had accessed
a debt facility under the U.S. Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and
Economic Security (CARES) Act and has also received French
government-guaranteed bank loans under a COVID-19 support program.
The term loan B issued was CHF45 million larger than gategroup's
initially proposed issuance amount. It will use the additional
amount to pay other debt-like items.
Following the amendments to gategroup's shareholder loan, S&P now
excludes it from adjusted debt. The amended shareholder loan is now
treated as equity, in line with its criteria, which lowered
adjusted debt at gategroup to about CHF2.2 billion in 2025, from
CHF2.8 billion in 2024.
S&P said, "We do not deduct cash when calculating our adjusted debt
because 50% of gategroup's shares are owned by a financial sponsor.
Given the company's capacity to generate positive free operating
cash flow (FOCF), track record of limited shareholder returns, and
the shareholders' focus on deleveraging, we don't expect an
increase in adjusted debt above this level. Therefore, we revised
our financial sponsor assessment to 'FS-5', from 'FS-6'.
"Our base-case assumption is that higher passenger volumes, high
customer retention rates, new contract wins, and contractual and
extraordinary price increases, will support EBITDA growth. The most
pronounced growth in passenger volumes recently has been in
Asia-Pacific and for long-haul traffic. We forecast that adjusted
EBITDA after restructuring costs will rise to CHF400 million-CHF450
million in 2025, and to CHF450 million-CHF500 million in 2026, from
CHF368 million in 2024 and CHF222 million in 2023. This implies
that the company will be able to sustain the positive FOCF (after
lease payments) it achieved in 2024 (CHF74 million) and 2023 (CHF31
million).
"Our forecast indicates that gategroup's adjusted debt to EBITDA
will improve to about 5.3x in 2025 and further to about 4.6x in
2026, from the opening level of about 6.0x. Therefore, we have
revised our financial risk profile to aggressive from highly
leveraged. Because the forecast weighted-average adjusted leverage
over 2025-2026 of 4.9x-5.0x is at the lower end of our aggressive
financial risk profile category, we adjust the anchor down by one
notch from 'bb-'. The anchor is derived from the company's fair
business risk profile and aggressive financial risk profile.
"The stable outlook indicates that we expect gategroup to expand
its earnings base, enabling it to lower adjusted debt to EBITDA for
2025-2026 to below 5.0x on a weighted-average basis. Although the
financing documentation permits it, we do not expect gategroup to
pursue potential shareholder distributions or debt-funded
acquisitions that would cause adjusted debt to EBITDA to exceed
5.0x.
"We could lower the rating if gategroup's adjusted debt to EBITDA
exceeds 5.0x for a prolonged period. This could occur if the
company experiences operational setbacks--for instance, if demand
for air travel declines unexpectedly--or if gategroup's
profitability does not improve as expected. It could also occur if
the company unexpectedly decides to make large debt-funded
shareholder distributions or acquisitions. If it were to follow a
more-aggressive financial policy, we would very likely revise down
our financial sponsor assessment to 'FS-6'.
"We could raise the rating if gategroup exhibits strong operating
performance and FOCF generation, so that adjusted debt to EBITDA
falls below 4.5x and is sustained at this level, and at the same
time, the company prioritizes reducing leverage and uses excess
cash to make debt repayments instead of discretionary spending. An
upgrade would also depend on gategroup's liquidity remaining
adequate, so that liquidity sources exceeded uses by at least
1.2x."
===========================
U N I T E D K I N G D O M
===========================
79TH COMMERCIAL: Quantuma Advisory Named as Administrators
----------------------------------------------------------
79th Commercial One Ltd was placed into administration proceedings
in the Business and Property Courts in England and Wales, Court
Number: CR-2025-002947, and Jeremy Woodside and Andrew Stoneman of
Quantuma Advisory Limited were appointed as administrators on May
12, 2025.
79th Commercial engaged in service activities.
Its registered office is at Southport Business Park, Wight Moss
Way, Southport, PR8 4HQ and it is in the process of being changed
to C/o Quantuma Advisory Limited, The Lexicon, 10-12 Mount Street,
Manchester, M2 5NT
Its principal trading address is at Southport Business Park, Wight
Moss Way, Southport, PR8 4HQ
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Jeremy Woodside
Quantuma Advisory Limited
The Lexicon
10-12 Mount Street
Manchester M2 5NT
-- and --
Andrew Stoneman
Robert Goodhew
Kroll Advisory Ltd
32 London Bridge Street
London, SE1 9SG
For further details, please contact
Alex Holliday
Tel No: 01616 949 144
Email: alex.holliday@quantuma.com
79TH LUXURY: Quantuma Advisory Named as Administrators
------------------------------------------------------
79th Luxury Living Four Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the Business and Property Courts in England and
Wales, Court Number: CR-2025-003913, and Jeremy Woodside and Robert
Goodhew of Quantuma Advisory Limited were appointed as
administrators on June 9, 2025.
79th Luxury Living engaged in service activities.
Its registered office is at Southport Business Park, Wight Moss
Way, Southport, PR8 4HQ and it is in the process of being changed
to C/o Quantuma Advisory Limited, The Lexicon, 10-12 Mount Street,
Manchester, M2 5NT
Its principal trading address is at Southport Business Park, Wight
Moss Way, Southport, PR8 4HQ
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Jeremy Woodside
Quantuma Advisory Limited
The Lexicon
10-12 Mount Street
Manchester M2 5NT
-- and --
Andrew Stoneman
Robert Goodhew
Kroll Advisory Ltd
32 London Bridge Street
London, SE1 9SG
For further details, please contact
Alex Holliday
Tel No: 01616 949 144
Email: alex.holliday@quantuma.com
AWAZE LTD: S&P Affirms 'B-' ICR & Alters Outlook to Negative
------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on European vacation rental
operator group parent Awaze Ltd. to negative from stable and
affirmed its 'B-' long-term issuer credit and issue ratings on the
group and its EUR350 million term loan B (TLB) and EUR75 million
revolving credit facility (RCF).
The negative outlook indicates that S&P could lower the rating if
Awaze fails to demonstrate recovery in operating performance and
credit metrics, leading it to view its capital structure as
unsustainable.
Weak consumer confidence, high gross customer acquisition costs and
relatively high nonoperating costs pushed Awaze Ltd.'s leverage to
13.4x for 2024 from 6.4x in 2023.
S&P said, "Awaze has underperformed our expectations for fiscal
2024 and management guidance for 2025 is materially weaker than our
expectation." This has resulted in S&P-Global Ratings adjusted debt
to EBITDA reaching a wider-than-expected 13.4x for fiscal 2024,
with a projected 9.0x for 2025 compared with 6.4x in 2023. The
issues in 2024 stem from a competitive environment, high
nonoperating cost expense, inflationary cost pressure, and an
overestimation of peak summer demand, which led to higher customer
acquisition costs and a working capital drag. The group's
nonoperating costs in 2024 (including deal costs of EUR3.5 million
and sponsor advisory fees and travel expense of EUR4.2 million)
stress profitability, given the group's limited scale operation
reflected in its S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA of EUR31
million (after deducting EUR8.7 million of capitalized development
costs adjustment) for 2024. If the group does not demonstrate a
trend of improving the quality of its earnings, S&P could assess
the group's capital structure as unsustainable.
The new management team is focused on increasing its revenue mix
from direct channels and addressing the cost base, which should
drive more meaningful credit metric improvement from 2026. In 2024,
the group used indirect channels to improve occupancy rates, but
demand wasn't strong enough to justify the higher acquisition
costs. Now, the focus is on increasing the overall revenue mix from
direct channels to 65%-67% and addressing its cost base. This
strategy is supported by a completed technology stack update, which
includes all inventories posted on a single platform with dynamic
pricing, and the rollout of a consumer app to improve customer
retention and lower customer acquisition costs. S&P Said, "The
company expects these initiatives, along with a back-office process
automation, to deliver incremental EBITDA and we anticipate the
early benefits will become apparent in fiscal 2026 and we
anticipate S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA to improve to EUR55
million from EUR40 million in 2025. We expect the group's FOCF
after leases to remain negative in 2025, then improve to about
EUR12 million in 2026."
Awaze's liquidity position remains adequate, supported by a fully
undrawn RCF and sound cash balance. As of March 31, 2025, the RCF
was fully undrawn, and the group held EUR103.9 million in
unrestricted cash. S&P anticipates the group's cash balance and the
undrawn RCF should cover the working capital swings of about EUR100
million. The company negotiated adjustments to leverage covenants
for December 2025 and December 2026, setting the tests at 5.5x and
4.5x, respectively. This provides headroom and mitigates potential
covenant breaches, particularly given the springing covenant that
is triggered if 35% (EUR26 million) of the EUR75 million RCF is
drawn. The RCF, which matures in February 2028 alongside the EUR350
million TLB in May 2028, presents no near-term debt maturity
risks.
The negative outlook indicates that S&P could lower the rating in
the upcoming quarters if Awaze does not demonstrate positive
momentum in operating performance to sustainably improve its
profitability by adjusting its cost base and improve its occupancy
rates. It also reflects the risk of failure to generate FOCF from
persistent high exceptional costs, or maintains leverage above 7x
sustainably, which could lead us to consider the company's capital
structure unsustainable.
S&P could lower its rating on Awaze if:
-- The group proves unable to deliver benefits from its initiative
programs or reduce non-operating expense, translating into weak
EBITDA and funds from operations (FFO), persistently negative FOCF,
and no material deleveraging, which could make us consider the
capital structure unsustainable; or
-- The company's liquidity tightens, reflecting weak earnings,
unexpected intrayear working capital outflows, or drawings under
the company's RCF resulting in covenant breach.
S&P said, "We could revise the outlook to stable if Awaze's
operating performance improved better than our base-case scenario,
with substantial EBITDA margin expansion, showing a path to
sustainable leverage reduction and positive FOCF." A stable outlook
would also require the group to maintain adequate liquidity.
BELLIS FINCO: Moody's Rates New EUR959MM Senior Secured Notes 'B1'
------------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings has assigned a B1 instrument rating to Bellis Finco
PLC's (ASDA) contemplated new EUR595 million backed senior secured
notes with maturity in 2031, to be issued by Bellis Acquisition
Company PLC. All other ratings, including ASDA's B1 corporate
family rating, probability of default rating, backed senior
unsecured rating and the negative outlook on both entities are
unaffected.
ASDA intends to use the proceeds of the new issuance and about
GBP300 million of cash on balance sheet to refinance its GBP500
million backed senior unsecured notes due February 2027 and about
GBP300 million of senior secured notes due 2026.
RATINGS RATIONALE
The B1 instrument rating assigned to ASDA's new EUR595 million
backed senior secured notes due 2031 is in line with other senior
secured obligation that Moody's currently rate. The transaction is
however credit positive overall, as it extends the company's debt
maturity profile and reduces its leverage.
If completed as proposed, the transaction would leave ASDA's next
debt maturities as a GBP162 million term loan due in 2028 and a
GBP684 million privately placed facility due in 2029. Pro forma for
the transaction and based on the last 12 months (LTM) period ended
March 31, 2025, Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA would decline to 6.0x
from 6.3x. However, leverage would still be elevated for the B1
rating category, as evidenced by the negative outlook.
The planned debt repayment will also reduce liquidity to around
GBP530 million of cash on balance sheet, pro forma as of March 31,
2025. Although cash is limited considering ASDA's scale and working
capital needs, the company's liquidity remains adequate, supported
by a fully available GBP793 million senior secured bank credit
facility due October 2028. Moody's-adjusted free cash flow (FCF)
has been broadly neutral over the LTM March 2025 period. The
refinancing will have a marginal impact on interest expense, which
Moody's estimates to increase by GBP15-20 million to GBP380-385
million. Moody's therefore still expect ASDA to generate around
GBP200 million p.a. of FCF in 2025 and 2026, notwithstanding the
capital spending for Project Future and supported by working
capital inflows of about GBP200 million in 2025 and GBP30 million
in 2026.
Beyond the refinancing, ASDA's turnaround plan will continue. The
company has invested in price which results in a material reduction
in profit in the short term amid intense competitive and cost
pressure. Following a challenging year 2024 when ASDA's
like-for-like (LFL) non-fuel sales were down 3.4% in the year and
4.2% in Q4, trading is improving although still in decline in the
first half of 2025. ASDA's strategy is focused on widening the
price gap with the other Big Four incumbents, improving its
availability and leveraging the broad offering at its large stores.
Non-fuel LFL sales were down 4.5% in the first quarter, or 3.1%
adjusted for the timing of Easter. LFL sales for May to the 27th
were down 1.7%. As a result, the company-adjusted after-rent EBITDA
from large stores in the first quarter declined materially.
Although ASDA's volume growth continues to trail that of the
broader UK grocery market, the gap has been reducing. ASDA's market
share continued to decline year-over-year and was down by about one
percentage point to 12.1% during the first five months of 2025.
RATING OUTLOOK
The negative outlook reflects Moody's expectations that ASDA's key
credit metrics will remain weak for the rating category, and
highlights the execution risks associated with the company's
strategy.
The outlook could return to stable if ASDA successfully turns
around the business, supported by the significant investments and
operational improvements that it expects to continue through 2025.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATING
The negative outlook indicates that the ratings are unlikely to be
upgraded over the next 12-18 months. However, positive rating
pressure could develop if ASDA's operating performance and market
share improve significantly over time, if its Moody's adjusted
leverage consistently reduces below 4.5x, if its coverage of
interest expenses (measured as (EBITDA - CAPEX)/interest) exceeds
2.5x, and if free cash flow to debt surpasses 10%, with at least
adequate liquidity.
The ratings could be downgraded if (1) ASDA's operating performance
and grocery market share fail to improve in line with the company's
business plan, (2) Moody's adjusted leverage for ASDA does not
remain on path to reduce to below 6.0x beyond 2025, or (3) its
interest coverage ratio falls below 1.75x, the company generates
negative free cash flows on a Moody's adjusted basis, or if its
liquidity deteriorates.
The principal methodology used in this rating was Retail and
Apparel published in November 2023.
The net effect of any adjustments applied to rating factor scores
or scorecard outputs under the primary methodology(ies), if any,
was not material to the ratings addressed in this announcement.
CORPORATE PROFILE
Headquartered in Leeds, ASDA is the UK's third largest grocery
retailer and second largest independent fuel retailer. In 2024, it
reported GBP26.8 billion in revenue, including GBP5.1 billion from
fuel, and an after-rent EBITDA of GBP1,141 million. It operates 580
supermarkets, 469 convenience stores, and 322 fuel forecourts. ASDA
is primarily owned by TDR Capital LLP, with Walmart, Inc. and
Mohsin Issa holding minority stakes. In November 2024, TDR Capital
increased its stake to 67.5%, while Mohsin Issa retains 22.5%, and
Walmart, Inc. holds 10%.
CAMBRIAN ASSOCIATES: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
------------------------------------------------------------
Cambrian Associates Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in Business and Property Courts in Manchester,
Insolvency & Companies List (ChD, Court Number:
CR-2025-MAN-000849, and Dean Watson and Paul Stanley of Begbies
Traynor (Central) LLP were appointed as administrators on June 11,
2025.
Cambrian Associates engaged in financial intermediation.
Its registered office is at 4th Floor, Merchants House, Crook
Street, Chester, CH1 2BE.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Dean Watson
Paul Stanley
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
340 Deansgate
Manchester, M3 4LY
For further details contact:
Jack Priestley
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
E-mail: Cambrian@btguk.com
Tel No: 0161 837 1700
GERMAN SPECIALISTS: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
-----------------------------------------------------------
German Specialists Ltd was placed into administration proceedings
Business and Property Courts in Manchester, Insolvency & Companies
List (ChD), Court Number: CR-2025-000848, and Dean Watson and Paul
Stanley of Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP were appointed as
administrators on June 11, 2025.
German Specialists engaged in Motor Trade.
Its registered office is C/O Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP, 340
Deansgate, Manchester, M3 4LY.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Dean Watson
Paul Stanley
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
340 Deansgate
Manchester, M3 4LY
For further details contact:
Sam Shaw
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
Email: Sam.Shaw@btguk.com
Tel No: 0161 837 1700
HENLEY DEVELOPMENTS: RSM UK Named as Administrators
---------------------------------------------------
Henley Developments 210 Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice Business and Property
Courts in Leeds, Insolvency & Companies List (ChD), Court Number:
CR-2025-000576, and James Miller and Lee Van Lockwood of RSM UK
Restructuring Advisory LLP were appointed as administrators on June
9, 2025.
Henley Developments specialized in the development of building
projects.
Its registered office is at Central Square, 5th Floor, 29
Wellington Street, Leeds, LS1 4DL
Its principal trading address is at Land on the North-East Side,
Greenock Road, London, W3 8DU
The joint administrators can be reached at:
James Miller
Lee Van Lockwood
RSM UK Restructuring Advisory LLP
Central Square, 5th Floor
29 Wellington Street
Leeds, LS1 4DL
Correspondence address & contact details of case manager:
Ryan Marsh
RSM UK Restructuring Advisory LLP
Central Square, 5th Floor
29 Wellington Street
Leeds, LS1 4DL
Tel: 0113 285 5053
Contact details for Joint Administrators: Tel: 0113 285 5000
MEDDINGS THERMALEC: Lameys Named as Administrators
--------------------------------------------------
Meddings Thermalec Limited was placed into administration
proceedings in the High Court of Justice Business and Property
Courts of England and Wales, Court Number: CR-2025-4025, and
Michelle Anne Weir of Lameys was appointed as administrators on
June 12, 2025.
Meddings Thermalec is a manufacturer of metal forming machinery.
Its registered office and principal trading address is at Kingsley
Close, East Way, Lee Mill Industrial Estate, Ivybridge, Devon, PL21
9LL.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Michelle Anne Weir
Lameys
One Courtenay Park, Newton Abbot
Devon, TQ12 2HD
For further details contact:
Sophie Fay
Email: sfay@lameys.co.uk
Tel No: 01626 366117
PHARMANOVIA BIDCO: S&P Downgrades ICR to 'B-', Outlook Negative
---------------------------------------------------------------
S&P Global Ratings lowered its long-term issuer credit rating on
specialty pharmaceutical company Pharmanovia Bidco Ltd. to 'B-'
from 'B'. At the same time, S&P lowered its issue rating on
Pharmanovia's EUR980 million term loan B (TLB) to 'B-', with an
unchanged recovery rating of '3' and recovery prospects of 50%-70%
(rounded estimate: 55%).
The negative outlook reflects uncertainty around the timing of
recovery to support the uplift in Pharmanovia's operating
performance and profitability.
The downgrade reflects the material deviation S&P expects in fiscal
2025 performance due to operational challenges and
larger-than-anticipated portfolio erosion leading to considerably
weaker profitability. Pharmanovia's preliminary results for fiscal
2025 are significantly lower than anticipated with guidance for
topline contracting by approximately 12% to about EUR355 million
from EUR406 million in the prior year. A combination operational
challenges, which all culminated in the fourth quarter, drives
this. Pharmanovia encountered labelling issues for Rocaltrol China
at the beginning of fiscal 2025 which led to
higher-than-anticipated inventory buildup suppressing primary and
secondary sales to the market. While there had been some recovery
in the third quarter of 2024, the business in China was further hit
with the implementation of regulatory policies at a local level.
This led to a material 66% drop in year-on-year sales for Rocaltrol
China in the fourth quarter alone. Outside China, Pharmanovia also
experienced supply challenges, particularly in Mexico, along with
normalization of inventory build-up in the rest of the world,
namely in Italy and Spain.
In addition to supply and operational challenges, the existing
portfolio experienced higher-than-anticipated decline in fiscal
2025. The strong decline of higher margin products, such as Bonviva
(51% year-on-year decline) and Valium (41% year-on-year decline),
and the increase in contribution of lower margin products such as
Ellipse, resulted in a negative mix effect on EBITDA margin
generation. S&P said, "We now forecast S&P Global Ratings-adjusted
EBITDA for fiscal 2025 to be EUR83 million-EUR84 million,
corresponding to the adjusted EBITDA margin dropping to 23.5%
(compared with 37.3% in the prior year). This is a material
deviation compared with our previous expectation of EUR185 million.
As a result, key credit metrics for fiscal 2025 are significantly
weaker than our previous expectations. We estimate S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA of about 12.5x, compared with our
previous forecast of 5.7x, and EBITDA interest coverage of about
1.0x, a decline compared with the expected 2.6x. Additionally,
despite supportive working capital dynamics and no materially large
capital expenditure (capex), we forecast negative FOCF generation
of about EUR25 million-EUR30 million."
S&P said, "We anticipate S&P Global Ratings-adjusted debt to EBITDA
to decline but remain elevated at about 10.0x in fiscal 2026 as
Pharmanovia focuses on operational transformation. Under our
updated base-case forecast, we assume revenue will remain stagnant
at about EUR350 million, primarily due to the destocking effect of
Ellipse which will offset recovery in Mexico following the supply
challenges and growth in the innovation portfolio, namely Sunosi
and the newly acquired licensing agreement of Reagila. In China,
Pharmanovia has also established new commercial partnerships in
retail and hospital channels. We anticipate a gradual, although
back-weighted to second half fiscal 2026, recovery of Rocaltrol
China as Pharmanovia invests more heavily in promotional activity
to recover primary and secondary sales. We forecast S&P Global
Ratings-adjusted EBITDA to improve slightly to about EUR105 million
as operational saving initiatives begin to reap benefits. For
fiscal 2026, Pharmanovia have identified, and are executing, more
than EUR10 million savings as part of the operational
transformation. Coupled with the realization of technical transfer
savings as the company integrates recent acquisitions, this should
help offset the higher personnel expenses, increased China Contract
Sales Organization (CSO) fees, and increased sales and marketing
from promotional activity to increase the innovation portfolio. We
anticipate S&P Global Ratings-adjusted EBITDA margins to remain
suppressed at about 30%, opposed to historical levels of
approximately and above 40%, as Pharmanovia require time to
reinvigorate the mix of portfolio to recover higher margin product
growth, along with turnaround of operational challenges.
"We expect Pharmanovia to maintain adequate liquidity, generating
positive FOCF in fiscal 2026 supporting gradual deleveraging.
Considering the asset-light nature of the business model, which we
view as positive for the company, we estimate stable capex
requirements of about EUR15 million-EUR20 million annually to
facilitate technical transfers of recent acquisitions. As
Pharmanovia unwinds and phases the working capital cycle, this
should help generate positive FOCF in fiscal 2026 of about EUR10
million. We think that Pharmanovia will likely pursue small
in-licensing deals or acquisitions in the near term to supplement
growth, as evidenced with recent acquisition of licensing
agreements for regional rights to a new New Chemical Entity (NCE)
Reagila. However, we do not incorporate large scale acquisitions as
we think that the company will focus on internal operational
improvements over the next 12-18 months. We note there are no
near-term refinancing risks as the company recently refinanced the
capital structure such that the maturity of the EUR980 million TLB
is in February 2030. Pharmanovia also has access to EUR217.9
million revolving credit facility (RCF) maturing August 2029, which
was drawn EUR20 million at end fiscal 2025 and we do not anticipate
the covenant test to be triggered in the next 12 months. Overall,
positive free cash flow generation and RCF availability should help
support the company deleverage over the next 12-18 months.
"We could lower our ratings on Pharmanovia to 'CCC+' if adjusted
debt to EBITDA remains elevated by end-March 2026 and leading to a
capital structure becoming unsustainable, with no prospects for
rapid improvement or if we see FOCF remains negative. This could
arise if recovery in Rocaltrol China and the rest of the world
portfolio does not materialize and from operational transformation
initiatives failing to result in tangible benefits and a sizable
EBITDA recovery.
"We could also lower the rating if the company entered a sizable
debt-financed acquisition, since this would question the company's
deleveraging path and limit management's focus on operational
recovery.
"We could revise our outlook to stable over the next 12 months if
Pharmanovia's performance improved such that adjusted debt to
EBITDA decreases well below 10.0x on a sustained basis as well as
sustained positive FOCF generation."
This would stem from sustainable volume demand across the
innovation portfolio, along with strong recovery of Rocaltrol
China, and delivery of operational efficiency projects, leading to
a rebound in EBITDA generation.
PLANTMADE LIMITED: Begbies Traynor Named as Administrators
----------------------------------------------------------
Plantmade Limited was placed into administration proceedings in the
High Court of Justice, Business & Property Courts in Manchester,
Insolvency & Companies (ChD), Court Number: CR-2025-MAN-000831, and
Mark Weekes and Paul Stanley of Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP were
appointed as administrators on June 9, 2025.
Plantmade Limited engaged in the retail sale of cosmetic and toilet
articles.
Its registered office is at Unit 6 Io Trade Centre, Deacon Way,
Tilehurst, Reading, RG30 6AZ.
The joint administrators can be reached at:
Mark Weekes
Paul Stanley
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
340 Deansgate
Manchester, M3 4LY
For further details contact:
Sam Shaw
Begbies Traynor (Central) LLP
Email: Sam.Shaw@btguk.com
Tel No: 0161 837 1700
STARS UK: New EUR100MM Loan Add-on No Impact on Moody's 'B2' CFR
----------------------------------------------------------------
Moody's Ratings reports that on June 16, 2025, Stars UK Bidco
Limited (Theramex or the company) has launched a EUR100 million
fungible add-on to its existing senior secured term loan B3. The
issuance will be used, together with cash from its balance sheet,
to repay the EUR170 million Holdco PIK instrument outside the rated
group.
The company's ratings are unaffected by the proposed transaction,
including its B2 long-term corporate family rating, B2-PD
probability of default rating and the B2 ratings of the senior
secured bank credit facilities, and the stable outlook.
The transaction follows solid financial performance in recent
quarters, especially in the first quarter of 2025, on the back of
growth in several of its core products especially its
menopause-related portfolio. For the rest of 2025, Moody's expects
continued solid performance with growth in the menopause portfolio
balanced by greater competition in contraception and osteoporosis.
Some of the outperformance was also driven by a one-off refund and
timing of revenue with distributors, which will balance over 2025.
Moody's-adjusted debt/EBITDA pro-forma for the transaction remains
high at 7.1x (expensing all exceptional cost), but takes into
account the company's track record and Moody's expectations of
organic deleveraging towards 6.0x in 2026. Leverage is also no
higher than it stood a quarter ago and prior to the transaction, at
7.3x for 2024, given the company's strong Q1 performance.
Pro-forma for the transaction and as of March 31, 2025, the company
had EUR45 million of cash and access to the fully undrawn EUR130
million senior secured multi-currency revolving credit facility.
Moody's also expects the company to remain free cash flow positive
over the next 12-18 months.
RATING OUTLOOK
The stable outlook reflects Moody's expectations that Theramex will
be able to sustain its market position and successfully launch new
products without experiencing any major supply issues. As a result,
the outlook assumes gradual revenue and EBITDA growth and ensuing
gross deleveraging as well as materially positive free cash flow
generation. The outlook also incorporates Moody's expectations that
the company will not embark on any further materially releveraging
debt-funded acquisitions or make debt-funded shareholder
distributions.
FACTORS THAT COULD LEAD TO AN UPGRADE OR DOWNGRADE OF THE RATINGS
Positive pressure on the ratings could arise if revenue and EBITDA
growth continue after the expiration of the Zoely patent in
selected European markets, and product and supplier concentration
reduce. Positive rating pressure could also arise if
Moody's-adjusted leverage decreases below 4.5x on a sustainable
basis, Moody's-adjusted free cash flow/debt increases sustainably
above 10%, and there is an absence of shareholder distributions and
further material debt-funded acquisitions.
Conversely, negative rating pressure could arise if revenue and
EBITDA decline organically or in case of significant supply,
operational or litigation issues. Negative pressure on the ratings
could also arise if Moody's-adjusted leverage fails to reduce
sustainably below 6.0x, including as a result of debt-funded
transactions, free cash flow generation reduces to below 5% of
Moody's-adjusted debt on a sustained basis or the liquidity
position deteriorates materially.
Theramex is a pharmaceutical sales and marketing organisation
focused on women's health. It benefits from a stable portfolio of
largely off-patent branded drugs, strong distribution capabilities,
particularly in its core Western European markets, and a stable to
growing market.
===============
X X X X X X X X
===============
[] BOOK REVIEW: Bailout: An Insider's Account of Bank Failures
--------------------------------------------------------------
Bailout: An Insider's Account of Bank Failures and Rescues
Author: Irvine H. Sprague
Publisher: Beard Books
Soft cover: 321 pages
List Price: $34.95
Order your personal copy at
https://ecommerce.beardbooks.com/beardbooks/bailout.html
No one is more qualified to write a work on this subject of bank
bailouts. Holding the positions of chairman or director of the
Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) during the 1970s and
1980s, one of Sprague's most important tasks was to close down
banks that were failing before they could cause wider damage. The
decades of the 1970s and '80s were times of high interest rates for
both depositors and borrowers. Rates for depositors at many banks
approached 10%, with rates for loans higher than that. The fierce
competition in the banking industry to offer the highest rates to
attract and keep depositors caused severe financial stress to an
unusually high number of banks. Having to pay out so much in
interest to stay competitive without taking in much greater
deposits was straining the cash and other assets of many banks. The
unprecedented high interest rates also had the effect of reducing
the number of loans banks were giving out. There were not so many
borrowers willing to take on loans with the high interest rates.
With the disruptions in their interrelated deposits and loans, many
banks began to engage in unprecedented and unfamiliar financial
activities, including investing in risky business ventures. As
well as having harmful effects on local economies, the widely
reported troubles of a number of well-known and well-respected
banks were having a harmful effect on the public's confidence in
the entire banking industry.
Sprague along with other government and private-sector leaders in
the banking and financial field realized the problems with banks of
all sizes in all parts of the country had to be dealt with
decisively. Action had to be taken to restore public confidence,
as well as prevent widespread and long-lasting damage to the U.S.
economy. Sprague's task was one of damage control largely on the
blind. The banking industry, the financial community, and the
government and the public had never faced such a large number of
bank failures at one time. The Home Loan Bank Board for the
savings-and-loans associations had allowed these institutions to
treat goodwill as an asset in an effort to shore up their
deteriorating financial situations with disastrous results for
their depositors and U.S. taxpayers. Such a desperate stratagem
only made the problems with the savings-and-loans worse. The banks
covered by the FDIC headed by Sprague were different from these
institutions. But the problems with their basic business of
deposits and loans were more or less the same. And the cause of the
problem was precisely the same: the high interest rates.
Faced with so many bank failures, Sprague and the government
officials, Congresspersons, and leaders he worked with realized
they could not deal effectively with every bank failure. So one of
their first tasks was to devise criteria for which failures they
would deal with. Their criteria formed what came to be known as
the "essentiality doctrine." This was crucial for guidance in
dealing with the banking crisis, as well as for explanation and
justification to the public for the government agency's decisions
and actions. Sprague's tale is mainly a "chronicle [of] the
evolution of the essentiality doctrine, which derives from the
statutory authority for bank bailouts." The doctrine was first used
in the bailout of the small Unity Bank of Boston and refined in the
bailouts of the Bank of the Commonwealth and First Pennsylvania
Bank. It then came into use for the multi-billion dollar bailout
of the Continental Illinois National Bank and Trust Company in the
early 1980s. Continental's failure came about almost overnight by
the "lightening-fast removal of large deposits from around the
world by electronic transfer." This was another of the
unprecedented causes for the bank failures Sprague had to deal with
in the new, high-interest, world of banking in the '70s and '80s.
The main part of the book is how the essentiality doctrine was
applied in the case of each of these four banks, with the
especially high-stakes bailout of Continental having a section of
its own.
Although stability and reliability have returned to the banking
industry with the return of modest and low interest rates in
following decades, Sprague's recounting of the momentous activities
for damage control of bank failures for whatever reasons still
holds lessons for today. For bank failures inevitably occur in any
economic conditions; and in dealing with these promptly and
effectively in the ways pioneered by Sprague, the unfavorable
economic effects will be contained, and public confidence in the
banking system maintained.
As chairman or director of the FDIC for more than 11 years, Irvine
H. Sprague (1921-2004) handled 374 bank failures. He was a special
assistant to President Johnson, and has worked on economic issues
with other high government officials.
*********
S U B S C R I P T I O N I N F O R M A T I O N
Troubled Company Reporter-Europe is a daily newsletter co-
published by Bankruptcy Creditors' Service, Inc., Fairless Hills,
Pennsylvania, USA, and Beard Group, Inc., Washington, D.C., USA.
Marites O. Claro, Rousel Elaine T. Fernandez, Joy A. Agravante,
Julie Anne L. Toledo, Ivy B. Magdadaro, and Peter A. Chapman,
Editors.
Copyright 2025. All rights reserved. ISSN 1529-2754.
This material is copyrighted and any commercial use, resale or
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Information contained herein is obtained from sources believed to
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